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Monthly B u s iness Review OFT HE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS v:r~U:m:e::2=3=,=N=0=.=4==========================D=a=I=la=s=,=T=e=x=as=,=J=u=n=e=I=,=1=9=3=8========~===T=h=i8=C=O=PY==i8=r=e=le=aB=ed==f=or==pu~b=-=~==a=y=3=1 lication in morning: paver&- ============================================================= DISTRI'CT SUMMARY f Business at wholesale and retail in the Eleventh District, a teir allowance for seasonal influences, declined ih April an Was lower than in the same month of 1937. Preliminary rep . d • orts In icate that department store sales in. the first two we~ks in ~ay were abo~t 8 per cent under those in that PhtIod last year. The value of construction contracts awarded owed a moderate decrease from the heavy ~arch volume, ~t Was nearly one-third greater than a year ago. The valuhon of building permits issued at principal cities was arger than in either comparative month. The output of petMleum continued to increase in April and the first week l~ I a~ but declined in the subsequent week to the lowest Ve smce January. BUSINESS " A ~e value of department store sales in this district during Pdl~ Was about the same as that in the preceding month m Ap.ril, 1937. However, when allowance is made for usual Increase in consumer buying prior to Easter, the v~ ume of business was somewhat smaller than in either o tkhe two comparative months. Reflecting this decline, this h t an' 9 s a d'Justed index of department store sales dropped ° X,O pel' cent of the 1923-1925 average, which is the lowest gure recorded in nearly two years. The April figure compares with 113.8 per cent in January this year, 104•.3 bel' ~ent in ~arch, and 106.0 per cent in April last year. espIte the recent decline in business sales durin/! the first f OUr h , ~ i hmont s of the year were 1.9 per cent larger than those n t e comparable period of 1937. W Sto~ks of merchandise at reporting department stores ctre Increased further by 1.6 per cent in April, but at the Aos~ of the month they were 4.7 per cent smaller than on r~nl 3~, 1937, when stocks were higher than on any cori \ondmg date in recent years. The rate of stock turnover B~ first ~our months of 1938 was higher than during any rc10 ar p~nod for which data are available. . A 'lllectlOns on open accounts increased seasonally durmg pPl'l , but continued in smaller volume than a year ago. AaYt;l1 ents on installment accounts were about the same as in pn last year. b i iliI \e re FOll.owing some improvement in ~arch, the business of mportIng wholesale trade firms in this district declined paord re th~n seasonally in April. Decreases in sales as com- WIth the preceding month occurred in all repor ting lin pr es except electrical goods, but the declines were most A onounced in dry goods and in machinery and equipment. ce~~OtPared with April, 1937, combined sales were 12 per per ower, which compares with an average decline of 9 "tio for the first four months of the year. The distriburesn :nd~rugs was in slightly larger volume than in the corPO~in l~g month last year, but the decreases in other reper g hnes ranged from 11 per cent for groceries to 36 war cent for machinery and equipment. Inventories of hardago e nd drug firms continued at a higher level than a year firn: ut those of dry goods, electrical supply and grocery ing were substantially lower. Collections in most reportThmes showed a decline during the month. orea e 1umber of commercial failures in this district inBe d rom March to April, but the total indebtedness was cer b i· smaller, indicating that the failures were confined principally to the smaller firms. According to Dun and Bradstreet, Incorporated, there were 28 insolvencies during the month with liabilities of $254,000, as compared with 19 failures in ~arch owing $313,000, and 16 defaulting firms in April last year with an indebtedness of $344,000. INDUSTRY The value of new construction work begun in the Eleventh District during April, although 18 per cent below the heavy volume in ~arch, was 29 per cent above that in the same month of 1937. The increase over last year, however, was ac· counted for by the expansion in public works, as awards for other classes of construction were in smaller volume than in April, 1937. From the accompanying chart it will be noted that residential building in this district showed an upward trend from the end of 1934 to April, 1937, the total for the latter month being the largest for any month since October, 1929. ~lthough there was a substantial decline in awards during the last eight months of 1937, they have increased sharply since the first of this year and in April the volume was only 10 per cent under the peak reached in the same month last year. The valuation of building permits issued during April at fourteen principal cities in the Eleventh District increased for the third consecutive month and exceeded the total for April last year by 27 per cent. The value of permits issued during the first four months of 1938 was 11 per cent greater than in the corresponding period of 1937. Production of petroleum in the Eleventh District continued to expand during April with the result that daily average production during the month, amounting to 1,521,815 barrels, was about 2 per cent higher than in ~arch and was only 2 per cent under the average for April last year. However, in the second week of ~ay the Texas Railroad Commission ordered a shutdown of all fields in the State each Saturday during the remainder of the month, in addition to the Sunday shutdowns which were already in effect. In consequence, the daily average output in this district declined to 1,4.04,000 barrels in the week ended ~ay 14, which was the lowest weekly figure recorded since the last week in January when the Sunday shutdowns in Texas were put into effect. Drilling activity increased slightly during April, but CONSTRUCT IO N CONTRACTS AWARDED ELEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT M1LLIONS 40 or COLLARS MtLLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 30~-1-+--1-~-1--+--~~--t---~---t---i----t---l~ I--I-----l----+----j-----,I---_j___ -h,-----< 20 If-ll '---J This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) 10 2 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW was lower than a year ago. Completions averaged 38.4 wells daily during the four weeks ended April 23, as compared with 37.5 wells in the preceding period and 45.6 wells in the corresponding period of 1937. Manufacturers of cotton textiles in the United States curtailed operations by considerably more than the usual seasonal amount during April in an effort to bring production in closer alignment with sales, which apparently have been below output for several months. Actual consumption of raw cotton during April amounted to only 414,,392 bales, which was about one-fifth smaller than the amount utilized in March and 42 per cent below consumption in April last year. The percentage decline from a year ago in April is considerably larger than the average decline of 26 per cent shown for the first nine months of the current season. Total consumption so far this season amounted to 4,438,159 bales as compared with 6,016,882 bales in the same period of the WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS r~---- Percentage change in: ,Ratio April colleetions Stocks ° to accounts outstand· Net sales ~------~ ingAprill rApril, 1938 from Jan. 1 to April, 1938, from r,------~ April, Maroh, Apr. 30, 1938 April, Maroh, Install1937 19S8 from 1937 1937 19S8 Regular ment Retnil trode: Department stores: Total 11th Dist .. .3 .6 - 4 .7 +1.6 + 1.9 Dallas ........ .. - 3. 5 - 2.5 .5.- .6 .5 Fort Worth ...... + 4.8 - 5.0 -3.4 +7.7 2.6 Houston ........ . +11.2 +17.6 5.3 - 2.3 3.0 San Antonio.. ... + .6 + 1.7 5.1 - 4.6 1.2 Other cities ...... - 8.4 - 4.3 - 1.8 - 12.7 + 2.0 Independent stores:t Arizona . ........ - 16 .5 + 7.4 Oklahoma ....... - 6.0 + 4.2 New Mexico ..... -17.3 + 13 .0 Texas ........... - 0.2 - 3.2 Wholesale trade:t Machinery, cquil>' mcnt '" supplies (exe'pteleetflcal) -35.6 -29. 0 - 36.5 Dry goods .... ... - 12 .2 -24.5 - 11.3 ':":25: 6 + 1.8 - 8.0 - 5.1 - 2.2 Groceries ........ - 11 .3 - 2.2 + 4.1 +12.0 - 2.0 Drugs ........... + .4 - 0.4 Hardware ....... -16.1 -14.2 - 8.2 + 4.2 + 4.7 EleotrioalsllPplies -21.3 + 2.0 - 13 .4 - 17.5 - 8.7 tCompiled by United Stntes Department of Commerce. 'Stocka at -+ + + + + 40.6 40.5 36.5 41.0 43.0 40.8 + + 14 .7 17 .6 10.8 iU 16.1 19.4 35.2 04.2 74 .6 66.4 104 .7 close of month. INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOOKS (1923-25 avernge - 100) With seasonal adjustment Total Eleventh Dist .. Dallas .............. Fort Worth .......... Houston ............. San Antonio ......... Sales-April, 1038 1037 09.0 106 .0 105 .0 116.3 00.0 98.8 110 .5 103 .3 ' 89.4 05.3 Without sDallonal adjustment Stooka-April, v Sales-April, 1038 1937 1038 1937 66.9 69 .4 100.0 101.8 68.6 60 . 1 104 .8 100 .3 64.9 67.3 09 .0 93 .9 49.8 49 .2 111.6 99 .2 56.9 62 .4 92 . 1 93.4 Slocks-April, ' 1038 1037 69 .6 ' 72.2 70.7 71.2 67 .5 70.0 51.3 50.7 60.3 66.1 VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRAOTS AWARDED (In thousands of dollars) April April March January 1 to April 30 1938 1937 1038 1938 1037 Eleventh District-totn!... $ 16,207 5 12,617 5 19,763 5 54,455 5 40,942 Residcntial. ........ ... 4,888 5,431 4,759 16,209 18,105 All other. . . . . . . . . .. . . . 11,310 7,186 15,004 38,246 22,837 United States°-total..... 222,016 269,534 226,018 031,756 763,444 Residential. . . . . . . . . . . . 74,577 107,813 79,396 230,203 330,392 All other.............. 147,439 161,721 147,522 533,241 502,364 '37 states east of the Roeky Mountain.s. BOURCE: F. W. Dodge Corporation. BUILDING PERMITS Pereentage change Percentage valuation from Jan. 1 to Apr. 30, 1038 change , valuation v v Valuatien Apr., 1937 Mar.,1938 No. Valuation from 1037 110 5 838,730 S 223,770 +125.0 - 54.2 +180 .5 421,501 - 35.5 - 33.1 741 2,225,180 + 55.5 83,101 - 14.8 - 67 .2 516 486,187 + 10.8 344,525 .6 - 30.0 1,200,004 610 + 8.4 1,186,742 0.9 + 10 . 1 2,582 3,961,331 - 13 .3 160,879 + 34.4 + 52.5 282 435,130 .2 2,216,115 808,040 - 27.0 +225.0 808 - 35.4 177,662 + 50.8 - 70.5 1,145,563 657 +111.4 2,480,330 + 75.0 - 22.8 1,660 8,466,276 + 16 . 1 75,255 - 41.8 6.8 492 688,451 + 85.6 1,214,584 318,518 + 18 .9 + 2.9 1,120 - 31.4 1,300,482 +406.0 +400.7 2,556,340 555 + 00.5 131,054 - 10. 1 + 66.7 224 348,772 .6 245 52,410 + 1.5 - 15 .5 188,586 + 81.0 April,1938 No. 33 Amarillo ....... Austin ......... 177 Beaumont ...... 128 C~us Christi. . 163 D as· .. . ..... 700 78 El Paso .. . ..... Fort Worth ..... 214 Galveston .. .... 150 Houston ... . ... . 438 Port Arthur . ... 113 San Antonio .... 208 Shreveport ..... 170 Waco .... . ..... 50 Wiehitn Falls ... 98 ------ - - Total. ..... 2,828 57,046,087 + 27.0 + °Includes Highland Park and Univoraily Park. --- 4.0 10,620 525,072,265 + 10.9 preceding season and an average of 4,693,415 bales during the corresponding period of the five seasons 1932-1937. The decrease of 10 per cent in the consumption of cotton at mills in Texas during the nine months of the current sea' son was considerably smaller than that at all mills in the United States. In April consumption showed declines of 1,1 per cent from March this year and 24, per cent from April last year. Foreign shipments of cotton from the United States during April, although seasonally 11 per cent lower than in March. were slightly larger than those in the corresponding month last year. Exports to Japan, which have been in unusuallY small volume this season, increased 24, per cent from March to April, and exceeded those in April, 1937, by 8 per cent, Takings by Great Britain continued larger than those a year ago despite the accumulation of heavy stocks of raw cotton and the sharp curtailment of activity at textile mills. Total exports from the United States amounted to 377,250 bales ~s compared with 4,25,888 bales in March and 373,158 bales In April, 1937. During the first nine months of the current season, exports exceeded those in the same period of the 19361937 season by 6 per cent. Exports of cotton from the ports of Houston and GalvesSTATISTICS ON COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS , . - - - - Texas----v---United Stntos-----August 1 to AprH30 August 1 to April 30 This season Last season This season Last season Cottonseed reeeived at mills 4415,082 (tons) ................. . ... 1,665,740 005,477 6,308,166 4:280,027 Cottonseed erushed (tons) . .... 1,535,358 006,424 5,830,740 Cottonseed on hand AprIl 30 156,746 (tons) ..................... 163,254 8,020 504,002 Produetion of preduets: Crude oil (pounds) ... .. .... 452,476,343 257,966,828 1,707,603,640 1,202,718,6~~ 1,023,6 0 Cake and menl (tons) ... .. .. 717,157 423,329 2,603,141 402,447 Hulls (tons) ............... 230,377 1,089 ,3~4 1,496,566 1,065,8 Linters hrunning bales) ...... 320,890 105,688 1,348,218 Stooks on and April 30: 15438,650 Crude oil (pounds) . .. ... . .. 16,516,548 026,770 47,724,452 '101,422 Cake and meal (tons) ....... 76,066 21,008 284,572 05,363 Hulls (tons) ...... ......... 48,736 18,686 175,084 150,348 Lintcrs (running balos) . . . ... 123,569 28,005 553,652 SOURCE: Bureau of Cen.sus. CONSUMPTION, STOCKS AND EXPORTS OF COTTON (Bales) August 1 to April 30 April April Maroh This season Last .eason 1938 1037 1038 Consumption at: 2 06,220 Texas milia ........... . 0,356 12,362 10,551 86, 71 6,016,882 United States mills .... . 414,302 718,975 510,041 4,488,150 U.S. Stocks-end of month: :.,. In consuming estab'mts. 1,703,045 1,986,694 1,771,037 , .... Public stg., compresses .. 10,485,880 4,214,825 10,056,051 EXQorls from U. S. to: 1,020'm United Kingdom ..•.... 78,540 64,406 1,472,650 101,380 632, France ... ............ . 20,904 11,955 33,140 608,610 313,3090~ Italy ................ .. 28,073 38,415 42,181 438,063 574, Germany ............. . 25,845 74,065 615,156 18,459 575,405 Other Europe ......... . 62,848 47,775 781,070 85,516 1,354,~~~ Japan ............... .. 120,006 112,217 554,084 07,605 285, All other countries ..... . 39,144 24,325 47,598 478,578 Total exports. ... 377,250 --a7a.158 425,888 5,034,120 --4,762,361 REOEIPTS, EXPORTS, AND STOOKS OF 00l1TON AT 'I'HE PORTS OF HOUSTON AND GALVESTON (Balos) August 1 to April!on April April Mareh 1038 1037 1038 'I'his season Last. 072 Roceipts........ .. . . . . .. . 61,383 51,210 121,015 3,640,166 22,06~~'448 Exports. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201,832 148,653 226,266 2,608,227 " Stoeks, end of month. . . .. 1,527,372 745,053 1,668,071 North Texas ................ . West Texas .................. East Texas ..... ........ .... . South Texas ... ............. ; Texas Coastal ................ Total Texas ...•..• New Mexico ................. North Louisiana .............. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (Barrel a) '0 dailY April, 1938 InoreMo or deorw o 'fill' average produoti~ 'rotal D~Avg, r Mar .. 1938 Produetion Pr uetion Apr., 1037 + 3,5S~ 4,218,100 140,603 - 5,510 6,737,050 224,508 - 8,732 15,096,000 533,200 ~1,777 6,062,450 232,082 + 6,580 6,175,550 205,852 + 5,774 ~ +33,158 40,000,050 ~3,674 1,336,335 + 1,87 2 3,189,800 106,327 817 + + 456 2,374,600 70,153 + 7,220 .....:----+34,086 45,654,450 1,521,815 -35,637 --- Total distriet, .••.• SOUROE: Tho Oil WookIy, Housten, TUlII. --- --- --- :j: ~:~~6 :j: ~:~~~ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 8 ~on showed a gain of 36 per cent o:ver April last year, bringIng the total for the season to date to 2,608,227 bales, or 2 per cent under those in the same period last season. Receipts these ports declined seasonally in April, but continued arger than a year ago. . it FINANCE . Since the reduction in reserve requirements became effecti~ehodn April 16, member banks in the Eleventh District have Wit rawn a portion of their reserve balances with the Fedhri l Reserve Bank and ha:ve increased substantially their ances with other commercial banks. In the first half of ay the reserve balances of member banks in this district ilieraged $163,903,000; which was $17,145,000 lower than e average in the first half of April. Nevertheless, excess reser~es during the past month were at a higher level than at any hme during the past year due to the fact that required Es~rves declined considerably more than reserve balances. shmates based on the latest available figures indicate that $~cess reserves in the first half of May were approximately fi 8,000,000 which was 41 per cent of required reserves. This ~ure compares with 29 per cent in the first half of April w earen. the higher reserve requirements were in effect. Total DIng assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas :mounted to $98,521,000 on May 15, which was about the sarne ~s on, April 15, but $2,462,000 less than on the correPln~Ing date last year. Federal Reserve notes in actual cir~~ lon declined slightly between April 15 and May 15, and e latter date were $11,725,000 lower than a year ago. c.lhe loa~s of weekly reporting member banks in leading lilebof thiS district, which had shown a steady decline from O~~ ec~mber to the middle of April, increased about $2,1 ,000 In the subsequent three weeks. The expansion in oans from April 20 to May 11 was chiefly in commercial, M :h CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (In thoUBllnds of dollars) May 15, May 15, Total cll8h piscounta f~~~vosber'b'~""""" "" " ""' " B~dustrial ndvanem a .. . .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. .. .. . tills bought in th"''' .... .. .. . . .. . ..... ..... ... ... Tniled Slntos G 0 open market.................... olnl carning a:;;:nmcnt soourities.... . . . . .•.•. ... ~emhor bank r . 'd' . .... . . . . . .. .. . ... ........ . Cederal Rescrvcesc~ . CPOSlts. . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . .. •.. Ommitmcnta ton°nk I!, adotua! ciroulation. . . . . . . . . . mom ustrlOt advances. . . . . . . . . . 1038 $205,530 320 80S 10 07,283 08.621 164.470 77.045 244 1037 S180,250 000 1,331 112 08,634 100.983 170.0S0 80.070 302 April 15, 10S8 $220,031 202 008 10 07,283 08.409 180.010 78.524 208 CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES (In thousands of dollars) May 11. May 12, April 13. TOlnllo.ns d ' 1038 1037 1038 Total loans on lDvestmonts...... . .. . .. . .... . .... . U80,638 $482,154 $487.005 Commoroi~,'i ' d" t': i· .. · .. ·: .. .. .... · ...... ·.. 280.820 147.210 1.088 2.404 14.270 20.021 1.174 43.968 170.802 20.076 40,170 02,780 200.078 303.287 180.224 24.742 18~l460 214.307 120.681 1.008 2.613 10.580 20.013 806 38.800 187.380 28.105 52.173 112.886 154.522 305.266 120.571 7,077 178.724 620 220.801 146.232 2.070 2.113 14.406 20.110 250 44.011 174.888 88.708 49.458 110,048 177.525 306.784 130.000 24.010 175.653 Open mark~t ~a Us rIO and agrIoulturnlloans. .. ..• LOans to broko per 'd"d' . . .. .. .. .. .. .. . . .. .. .. .. . Other loans f rs an ~Iers in securities.... . . .. .. llcnl estate 100; purohosmg or oarrying securities.... Loans to banksns.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. . .. .. . U~·II other loans ... .... ···············.........•.. o nlled Statos G .. . .. .. .. . .. .. . .. . .. . .. .. .. .. .. . obligations fullyovernmcnt dircct obligations. . . . . . . . • ~or SQ()uritios. ~uarantcnd by thc U. S. Govornment. B crves with Fed" " RCa' ..... .. .... .. ...... ..... Dnlances with do or~. b orvo Bank............ .. .. T~mand doposita mos~o anks...................... U"!,e d~lta . . . :-a ustedt......... . ........ . ... 1 nlled Btatos G ................... .. ...... ..... Bntorba)lk de(lOSi~ornmont deposits......... .... . . .. orrowlUgs from Fed' ai '&8 '" .. ...... ....... ... . . tInclud I cr orve Bank.......... ... 1'4000 Nono Itoma reporfe3 ~~omohnd dc~ita other than intor,bank and United States Govnrnmont, less cash - on and or In process of collcollOn. GrOS1! demand v Timo GrOS1! demand April. 1930 ... .. ..... $ 927.028 $105.575 S527.743 109.683 578.110 April. 1037 .......... 1.043.756 December. 1037 .. . . . ..... 1.117.735 211.810 007.769 January. 1038 ... . . ... .. 1.116.242 215,115 608.048 February. 1038 ...... . . . . 1.113.910 216.344 606.222 218.188 001.354 March. 1038.. .. . .... 1.006.362 217.042 592.050 1038.. .. .. .... 1.074.855 April. SAVINGS DEPOSITS April 30. 1038 , Timo Gross demand Time $107.500 108.562 110,003 110.174 110,587 121.102 120.896 $400.185 465.646 500.966 507.594 507.607 405.008 482.706 S88.015 01.121 94.817 05.941 06.757 07.086 07.046 Pomontago ehanf,0 in , savings deposits rom r Number of Number of Amount of r April 30, savings Maroh 31. savinI!" ro{;rting dopos.ts 1037 1038 dopositors anks Beaumont ............... Dallas .................. EI Paso ................. Fort Worth .. .... ........ Galvoston ............... Houston ................. Port Arthur .. ........... San Antonio ........ .. ... Shreveport .. ............ Waeo .................. . Wichita Falla .... .... .. .. All othora ............... 0.580 00.304 16,028 37.820 18,247 71.665 5,086 28.818 24.450 0.222 7.137 59.379 3 8 2 3 4 10 2 5 3 3 3 70 S 3.770.410 20.000.451 8.084.540 13,228.428 11.306.464 28.605.613 2.645.854 17.672.768 11,208,002 4.830.330 3.528.680 20.004.604 + 3.7 :j: 4.4 1.7 - - 6 .1 + 4.5 + 4.7 .2 + 3.0 + .5 Abileno ................. Austin .................. Beaumont ....... ........ Corsicana . .............. Dallas ... .... ........... EI Paso .. .......... .... . Fort Worth .............. Galveston ............... Houston ................. Port Arthur . . ........... Roswell .... ............ . San Autonio ............. Shrevoport. .. ... ..... ... Texarkona· .. .. ........ .. Tucson ... . ....... ....... ~~~~::::::::::::::::::: Wiohita Falla ............ 1037 S 8.333 33,805 20.018 3.595 242.752 27.333 00.240 20.487 218.662 0.845 3.882 73.009 46.588 0.357 12.535 15.562 14.377 16,654 over year - .2 + 0.4 - 14.4 - 14.0 - 9.2 - 3 .8 - 15 .7 + .3 - 8.0 - 3 .0 + 2.8 - 12.4 - 10.8 -30.8 - 4 .5 -16.2 -14.4 + 1.3 -+ 1938 S 0.054 34.170 25.038 3.450 238.348 27.520 78.117 26.822 211,678 0.094 3.790 67.523 43.711 0,778 11.430 13.804 13.300 17.966 + Pctg. ehanta ovor mont - 8. 2 + 5.3 - 11 . 1 -11.0 -7.5 - 4.4 - 2.6 .0 - 5 .0 - 4.5 + 5. 1 - 5.1 - 5.0 -33.8 + 4.7 -5.5 - 8.1 - 6.1 - 1846.505 - 0.0 - 5.' S870.974 Total. .......... S800.610 .Includes the figures of two banks in Texarkona. ArkonsllS,locatod In the Eighth Diltriet. DISCOUNT RATES CHARGED BY MEMBER BANKS DURING MAY, 1938 Prevailing rntos: Fort Worth EIPaso nate eharged DallllS na Fedoral ~~~~Ars Oll primo oommorcial paper such as is now eligible for rediseount under Iho 2}T8 17r6 6-0 ot . .... . . ........... .. . ... .. ... .. ..... . ............................ . naIe oharged on I 3-6 6 te on 100118 soo o:\to ot.her banks socured by bills roocivablo . .. ... . .... .. ..... . ... . ... . ... . in othor mork'ta prlIDC stock oxohango or othnr curront collatoral (llot includillg loana plaeod Domond e rough eorrospondont banks): . 6 3*8 Houston San Antonio Waco 3-6 6-7 6 4-6 3-6 3-7 5-6 4-7 6-8 7-8 tJ! ~te oha~:l°on~::::~':::: :: : ::: :: : : : : :: :: : : : : :: :: : : : :: : :::: :: :: :::: :: :: :: :: :: : : :::::: : 6-6 4-8 2-8 118 .. .... ..... . . . . ........... ....... ... . . . ..... ....... . .. ..... ......... .. 6-8 te on catllo loa omm Ity papor aocured by warohouse receipta, oto ......... ..• ..... .•.• .. .... .3 --- --.4 373.136 SI60.071.140 +. 3.3 110 Total ........... DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (In thoUBllnds of dollars) Petg. eh ango March April April 1938 S 8.314 35,070 28.048 3.071 220.358 20;307 76.054 20.574 201.130 0.547 3.092 64.068 41.510 6.476 11,977 13,045 12.301 10.873 + .6 + .2 -1.8 + .7 .2 + .4 + 2.6 + 1.5 + 5.4 + 4 .2 +1.7 +11.1 + 8.3 -1.2 6-8 6-8 6-8 4-8 4*8 6-10 1~ 6-8 , 6 6-8 3-8 8 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 4 were at the lowest level since August, 1936, while their balances with other banks were at the highest level on record. Gross demand deposits held by member banks in this district declined for the fourth consecutive month, the daily average in April being $4.2,900,000 below the record established last December, but $31,100,000 greater than the average in the corresponding month of 1937. Time deposits, which had shown a steady expansion over the preceding twelve months, declined slightly in April. AGRICULTURE Weather conditions during April and the first half of May were unfavorable for agriculture in many sections of the Eleventh District. Frequent and excessive rains in a considerable portion of the eastern half of the district have delayed planting operations and have caused extensive damage to growing crops. Furthermore, wet soil and subnormal temperatures prevailing during a part of the period interfered with seed germination, necessitating considerable replanting of com and cotton in some areas. In portions of west and northwest Texas and southern New Mexico, high winds have depleted surface moisture. Despite the unfavorable developments during April, fair to good yields are still in prospect for grain crops in Texas. The May 1 estimate of wheat production in Texas was placed by the Department of Agriculture at 39,860,000 bushels, which is the same as the April 1 estimate and 1,830,000 bushels lower than the 1937 harvest. The ten-year average (1927-1936) production for the State amounted to 29,984,,000 bushels. The Department estimated that acreage ahandonment was 25 per cent of the total area seeded in the fall of ~937. T.he heaviest abandonment occurred in the High Plams sectIOn of the Texas Panhandle where moisture de· ficiency, high winds, dust storms and green·bug infestation have caused extensive damage. The indicated per acre yield on the 3,986,000 acres remaining for harvest on May 1 was 10 bushels, which compares with a harvest of 10.6 bushels per acre last year and an average per acre yield of 10.1 bushels. The estimated production of wheat in New Mexico was reduced 50 per cent during April and the May 1 forecast of 1,904,000 bushels is considerably smaller than the 1937 production. The condition of oats on May 1 in Texas and Oklahoma was considerably higher than on the same date in 1937, ·but in Louisiana the condition was slightly lower than a year ago. Prospects fo r peaches and pecans were reduced materially by freeze and wind damage during the early part of April. The most serious damage apparently occurred in the western part of the district. On May 1 the peach crop in Texas was forecast at 1,080,000 bushels as compared with 1,392,000 bushels produced last year. Although the growth of spring veg~ta~le ~rops was retarded somewhat during April, present mdIcatIOns are that a fair supply of all vegetables should be available at about the usual time. Growing conditions have been generally favorable for citrus fruits in Texas. Livestock ranges in Texas showed a further improvement during the past month and, due to the favorable moisture conditions prevailing in most sections of the State, good to excellent summer grazing is in prospect. In New Mexico and southern Arizona the deficiency of moisture and low temperatures retarded the growth of range grass and caused some shrinkage in livestock. Cattle and sheep in Texas have made good gains with some stock already in marketable flesh. According to the Department of Agriculture the move- ment of cattle to northern feed lots will be relatively light this year but shipments direct to market are expected to be comparatively heavy. Marketings of sheep will likely be con' siderably smaller than the record volume a year ago. Sales of wool have been fairly active at prices considerably under those prevailing in the spring of 1937. In contrast with a sharp seasonal increase in the market· ings of sheep, receipts of cattle and calves at the Fort Worth market declined moderately from March to April, whereas substantial increases usually occur at this time. As compared with the heavy receipts in April last year, marketings of all classes of livestock were much smaller. Livestock prices showed unevenly lower trends durin g April and the first week in May. In the subsequent week, however, the market evidenced a stronger undertone as lighter supplies and a broader demand brought about price increases of 25 to 50 cents per hundredweight on cattle and hogs. Reflecting the larger receipts from marketings of livestock and livestock products, cash income of farmers in this dis, trict from the sale of principal farm products rose more than seasonally in March and continued in excess of that a year ago, notwithstanding the lower level of commodity prices obtaining this year. Government benefit payments increased from $4,200,000 in February to $14,,300,000 in March, but the latter figure was 35 per cent less than in the same month last year. This decline from a year ago in the amount of Government payments more than offset the increase in reo ceipts from the sale of farm products, with the result that total receipts this March were 6 per cent smaller than in March, 1937. Aggregate income during the first quarter of 1938 amounted to $156,000,000 which was about equal to that in the same period of 1937. Following slight increases between the middle of February and the middle of Mar ch, average prices received by farmers in Texas decreased in the subsequent thirty days. The index of farm prices in the United States declined further by 2 points during the month, the mid.April figure be' ing 94 per cent of the pre-war ave'r age as compared with 130 per cent on the same date in 1937. CASH FARM I NCOME FROM SALE OF PRINCIPAL FARM PRODuc'rs AND GOVERNMENT BENEFIT PAYMEN'J'S (In thousands of dollars) , . - - - Mareh, 1938 - - - v - - - Totnl reeeipts - - - - - Reecip~. from: GovernJon 1 to Morob 31 r-----~, mont Maroh Mareh r - ' -----Crops Livestook" payments 1938 1937 1938 1037 Arizona .. .... . S 2.474 S 1,057 S 222 S 4,653 $ 3.563 S 13,003 $ 1O,08~ !,ouiniann ... .. . 1-' 0" Mo<ico .. . Oklnhcma .... . 7,315 1,713 18,168 31.915 17,868 0,808 29,042 87,448 37,04~ ~ Total. . ... $18,151 $20,658 $14,340 $50,158 $62,674 "Includes reoeipts from solo of livestock and livestock produots. SOURCE: United .States Dopartment of Agriculturo. $156,059 $156,405 'rCX:l.t\, ., .. ..•• 2,524 200 2,056 9,08 1 2,037 1,472 7,441 13,751 794 274 2,188 10,021 5.355 2,01 2 12,535 34,603 FORT WORTH LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS (Number) April April Change over Marcb Cattlo. . . . . ..•.. . ..• . ... Calves. . . . . . . .. .. . . . •. . . Hogs...... . .. .. ..... .. . Sheep.. . ... .. .... . .. .. . . 1038 47,895 21,154 23,211 160,596 1937 62,128 25,226 34,962 277,101 - yenr 14.233 4,072 11,751 110,505 1038 48.234 23,073 35,883 71,603 COMPARA'rrVE TOP LIVESl'OCI{ PRICES (Dollars per hundredwoight) April April 1088 S9.60 7.75 9 .50 0 .50 8 .25 8.25 8 .35 1037 $10 .76 7 .50 11. 50 8.00 8.60 10 .00 12 .00 21,14 8,618 Chango ovor month _ 330 _ 1,010 _ 12,672 +04,033 Maroh 193B $0. 25 8.25 9.50 6.00 8.25 8:90 8.60 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW JUNE 1, 1938 NATIONAL SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Compiled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) ... ",.. IN DUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 40 , ,eo 'to 100 '00 I V . 10 ./ JVV\ \ \ 'v./ -.Cl. ,.0 ,00 90 80 Y 10 70 ... , 19" 1038 1"7 1938 Index of h . for Bea P YSlca.1 ,:,olume of production, adjusted B SOnal varIatIon, 1928-1925 average 100. y months, January, 1984 to April, 1988 . = ,':;, " .. - FAOTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS 'r- ".,, '" ... ,'0 '.1 0 EMPlDYMEy! ~ eo lA ~Ij " V r 00 \ t-'.J f"./ 70 .. , ~ 100 90 \ ..... 80 .- PAYROLLS 10 .0 '0 "I D34 19" 1836 1937 -• 1938 Indexes of b adjustment ~um eO' employed and payrolls, without age ==: 100 ~ seasonal variation, 1923-1925 aver1988. Index' y m?nths, J a nuary, 1984 to April, es compIled by the United States Burcau of Labor Statistics. ....... ... "" DEPARTMENT STORE SALES too r-- I I j.J !..Jl 10 ~- vv J V = " It - """-to ,'." I- ---,~ r~~[:fs ....... .. to ~--l~~.~~ f--J -<:>: Wholesale prices of industrial commodities continued to decline from the middle of April to the third week of May and prices of agricultural products also decreased somewhat further. Steel scrap, copper, and rayon showed considerable declines and there were reductions in prices of some finished industrial produc~s. It was ann~unced that prices of most finished steel products would be unchanged for third quarter dehvery. BANK CREDIT r- '-;."""AL"",,,, )~ ..... '~~'" 1-:71-. ........ r- DISTRIBUTION MEMBER BANK9IN 10. LEADING CITIES IIU,IONI" to Factory employment and payrolls declined from the middle of March to the middle of April, and the Board's seasonally adjusted index of employment was at 79 per cent of the J.923·1925 average as compared with 82 in March and 84- at the beginning of the year. The number employed at automobile factories declined sharply and there were further sub· stantial decreases in the steel and machinery industries and at railroad repair shops. Smaller declines were reported in most other manufacturing industries. Employment at mines and on the railroads also decreased, while in trade there was some increase in the number em· ployed, reflecting partly increased business at the Easter season. COMMODITY PRICES 00 o •... .." .poe exes of val Of 100. By monthue J sales, 1928-1925 average 8, anunry, 1984 to April, 1988. ~ r--.. _ It EMPLOYMENT Freight·car loadings also declined from March to April, reflecting largely reduced imp- ' ments of miscellaneous freight, and were about 30 per cent less than in April, 1937. V\J l/ ...., .... Value of construction contracts awarded, which had increased considerably in March, showed little change in April, according to figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation. Awards usually increase somewhat further in April. In the first four months of this year private residential building was about one·fourth less than in the corresponding period last year, while other private work, particularly industrial and utility construction, was only about one·half as large as a year ago. Awards for public projects were somewhat larger than last year. ,00 .:: ~~~tO~Al~~:I:~~ Ind index, was at 77 per cent of the 1923-1925 average as compared mth the level of about 79 per cent maintained during the first quarter of the year. The decline reflected chiefly considerable reductions in output at cotton textile mills and lumber mills, where there had been moderate increases in production in March. In most other manufacturing industries changes in activity were largely seasonal in character. Output at steel mills continued at around 33 per cent of capacity and in the automobile industry showed little change, amount. ing in April to about 40 per cent of the volume of a year ago. In the first three weeks of May production of steel and automobiles was at a lower rate than in April. At mines there was a considerable decline in output of anthracite in April while bituminous coal pro· duction showed somewhat less than the usual seasonal decrease. Crude petroleum production continued in large volume. , 50 '00 PRODUCTION In April volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted . Distri bution of commodities to consumers showed less than the usual seasonal rise in April. The Board's adjusted index of department store sales was 83 in April compared with 86 in March and 90 at the beginning of the year, and figures -for the first half of May indica te a further decrease. 200 '110 I--- Industrial production declined in April, reflecting chiefly reduced activjty in the cotton textile and lumber industries. Distribution of commoditjes increased less than seasonally hut continued to be somewhat in excess of production. Commodity prices showed a funher decrease. J"'1 h/V""" v 7.R"j .." ,. ~ ID~ 19~ ~ WedneSdny 11 es for reporting member bank s in i~l leading 88. Total de es: September 5, 1984 to May 18, . POSItS, excluding interbank, are adJusted to exclude "Boat." :fitr Total loans and investments of reporting member banks in 101 leading cities showed little change during April and the ~'st hal~ of May. Holdings .o~ United States Go.vemment oblitTations increased somewhat, wlnle holdmgs of other secunLIes and loans declmed. Adjust~d demand deposits in leading cities increased during the period as a result of expenditures by the Treasury from its balances with the Reserve banks. Interbank deposits also in· creased substantially. Member bank reserves increased further, reflecting principally Treasury disbursements from its deposits at the Reserve banks, including retirement of $50,000,000 of Treasury bills each week. MONEY RATES AND BOND YIELDS Yields on Government securities declined slightly further in the four weeks ending May 21 to an average on longer-term Treasury bonds of 2.28 per cent. The average yield on 3·to·5 year Treasury notes declined to a new low of 0.73 per cent. The rate on three.mont~ Treasury bills continued at record low levels, and other open·market money rates rem81ned un· changed.