Full text of U.S. Financial Data : December 9, 1993
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DEC 1 S 1033 ■B. Financial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: The civilian unemployment rate decreased to 6.4 percent in November from 6.8 percent in October. The November rate is 0.9 percentage points less than a year earlier, reflecting a 2 percent increase in employment and 1 percent growth in the labor force. The composite index of leading indicators increased 0.5 percent in October, following increases of 0.2 percent in September and 0.5 percent in August. Nine of the 11 components contributed to the October increase, with the largest boost coming from the index of consumer expectations. ✓ New orders for manufactured durable goods increased 2.6 percent in October, following a 1.1 percent increase in September. Orders for durable goods so far this year are up 8.4 percent from the same 1992 period. Durable-goods data are not adjusted for inflation. Sales of new, one-family houses in October decreased to an annual rate of679,000 units from 726,000 units in September. For the first 10 months of this year, sales of new houses were up 6.1 per cent from the same 1992 period. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Billions of Dollars Averages or uaily Ngures Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 1993 Billions Sep 29 Oct 13 27 Nov 10 24 Dec 8 418.1 420.2 ■ 423.6 420.4 423.3 422.5 7 II 4 II 2 t! 2 1( ID 14 21 11 25 D 22 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: December 8, 1993 Nov II 30 |] 17 ID 2D ID 24 Jan Feb Mar Dec 7 21 Apr 5 i 20 3 Oct 17 Nov 1 15 2) Dec » banks, an ^ ^ t adjusted monetary base j3e<*era* Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the averaae of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods endinq: l»S» 12/9/92 VV93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/7/93 9.9 10.5 11.2 10.8 9.5 13.9 13.3 12.4 10.6 8/4/« VI/93 10/13/93 periods ending: 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/7/93 8/4/93 9/1/93 10/13/93 11/10/93 12/8/93 8.9 10.5 9.6 10.3 10.5 10.8 10.6 10.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.4 6.6 8.3 8.8 9.5 9.5 8.8 11.4 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.1 10.8 12.2 11.3 9.4 11.2 8.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1993 Billions Oct 25 11 1 4.5 Nov 1 1118.4 8 1118.8 15 1123.0 22 1124.4. 29 1127.3 (left scale) -TCD (right scale) 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Nov Dec Feb 1993 Billions Oct 25 Nov 1 8 15 788.5 791.0 791.8 795.8 29 798.1 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 29, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. r Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annua! rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 11/30/92 3/1/93 4/26/93 5/31/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 8/30/93 9/27/93 of four weeks ending: 4/26/93 5/31/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 8/30/93 9/27/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 5.5 9.8 9.3 9.7 9.9 10.5 10.2 10.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14.1 12.3 12.4 12.2 12.7 12.0 11.8 19.0 17.0 15.4 15.5 14.1 13.5 9.6 10.2 11.6 10.8 10.6 11.8 13.1 11.7 11.4 13.3 11.5 11.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 110 1993 Billions Sep 15 29 Oct 13 27 Nov 10 24 99.5 100.6 ■ 102.7 105.9 101.1 103.4 102 94 90 86 7 21 4 18 2 Nov 1992 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 I 22 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Dec 21 3 17 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 24, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 11/25/92 2/17/93 4/28/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 7/21/93 8/18/93 9/29/93 two maintenance periods ending: 4/28/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 7/21/93 8/18/93 9/29/93 10/27/93 11/24/93 2.8 6.9 6.5 8.3 8.0 6.6 10.9 7.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.6 -1.2 2.9 3.3 2.3 8.3 4.8 17.4 19.4 15.7 10.7 18.3 11.8 13.3 10.6 6.3 15.9 9.0 14.0 7.0 18.7 9.9 1.0 17.4 7.1 22.6 7.6 15.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 22, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Nov 23. 1992 0.3 Mar 1, 1993 2.6 May 24. 1993 0.8 Jul 5, 1993 0.6 Aug 2, 1993 0.9 Aug 30, 1993 1.1 ‘ Sep “ 27, 1993 -1.2 Oct Nov Dec Jan Ratio Sep 13 2.659 2.659 2.647 2.634 2.661 2.655 Oct 11 Nov 8 Feb Mar Apr May 1992 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: November 22, 1993 Jun Jul Aug Sep 15 29 13 27 Nov Dec Oct 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 29, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Nov 30. 1992 10.4 Mar 1, 1993 10.5 May 31. 1993 10.8 Jun 28, 1993 10.2 Jul 26. 1993 10.6 Aug 30. 1993 9.7 Sep 27, 1993 6.8 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec 1992 11 25 Jan 1993 Billions Oct 25 Nov 1 318.2 319.5 319.1 319.3 320.5 321.2 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1993 1 15 29 13 27 Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 29. 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent - 9.0 Coqx irate Aaa onds V > b 6.0 Pr me Dot k Lo an Rote t > s' A \ > / / * 1 s— - - X 5.0 ___ l _______ J \ , Munk dpal Bo ids \ s. '"•S, **“n s „ Percent Averages of Daily Figures 9.0 5.0 V A 3.0 / 3.0 Comrr erdal Pc 2.0 2 »IM ,~T*r~i ~i~T T ~T"»~T~r T T-|-Tj 16 30 13 27 II 25 Oct Nov Dec 1992 • i »j 'Ml1 8 22 5 19 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 'I'M Th.. n-r-r- T'l V f 'i~T~r 'T'T 2.0 II 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 I 15 29 12 26 10 24 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 10, 1993 1993 90—Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Sep 17 24 Oct 1 8 15 22 29 Nov 5 12 19 26 Dec 3 10 * 3.12 3.11 3.16 3.23 3.22 3.23 3.29 3.36 3.36 3.33 3.36 3.35 3.33 3.14 3.15 3.17 3.15 3.14 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.15 3.14 3.15 3.27 3.43 3.08 3.08 3.10 3.18 3.17 3.18 3.24 3.31 3.30 3.28 3.29 3.30 3.28 6.66 6.79 6.69 6.70 6.62 6.63 6.73 6.87 6.92 6.94 6.99 6.95 6.86 7.33 7.43 7.35 7.35 7.25 7.26 7.38 7.57 7.65 7.69 7.74 7.70 7.62 5.27 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.20 5.20 5.31 5.45 5.46 5.46 5.49 5.46 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds. Thursday data N.A. — Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 7.0 7.0 5- -Ysor rsosur) Sscur ties s 6.0 r / / f V\ \ / \ ' \ / ✓ - S__ 5.0 ✓ \ ---- \~ — \ 5.0 s/ 4.0 Fsd« ral Funds Rots Vd ** 1—V > * /s- ■ Konth Trsoi uryBIH v -i> <V ■C.7 7^5 C •count Ruts V ^----- 3.0 2.0 ! 16 30 13 11 11 25 I 22 Oct Nov Dec Jan 5 19 5 11 2 16 30 14 il Feb Mar Apr May 11 25 Jun 9 23 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1992 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: December 10. 1993 1993 Sep 17 24 Oct 1 8 15 22 29 Nov 5 12 19 26 Dec 3 10 * Federal Funds ** 3.03 3.12 3.05 3.24 2.91 2.97 2.97 3.04 2.96 3.03 2.98 3.09 2.92 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *** 1 —Year Treasury Bill 2.96 2.93 2.92 2.97 3.02 3.04 3.06 3.08 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.12 3.09 3.06 3.06 3.02 3.08 3.12 3.14 3.19 3.25 3.28 3.26 3.30 3.26 3.27 3.24 3.26 3.21 3.21 3.22 3.27 3.32 3.40 3.39 3.42 3.46 3.46 3.42 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury 4.73 5.89 4.80 5.99 4.72 5.89 4.69 5.88 4.62 5.77 4.69 5.82 4.82 5.95 5.03 6.13 5.04 6.17 5.04 6.20 5.13 6.30 5.14 6.25 5.09 6.14 ourrent aata appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3560 “ Billions of Dollars 1725 I M2 1993 Billions Oct 25 3530.1 Nov 1 3529.2 8 3540.0 15 35 47.3 22 35 48.2 29 35 47.8 3535 2825 M2 left sc 2525 3510 ■ w *»» * — s, . - 3485 _ L — **. 2425 No 1-M1 M 2 (righ- scale) Norl—M1 .42 199C Billieans Oct 25 2415.6 Nov 1 2410.8 8 2421.2 15 2424.3 22 2423.8 29 2420.5 3480 3435 I I ______ ______ _____ 5 19 2 It 30 14 21 Oct Nov Dec II 25 8 22 Jan Feb 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 12 21 Mar Apr May Jun Jut 1992 9 23 Aug 8 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Sep Oct Nov Dec 2325 2225 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: November 29, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) —. .. Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: I o tne average 11/30/92 3/1/93 4/26/93 5/31/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 8/30/93 9/27/93 of four weeks ending: 4/26/93 5/31/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 8/30/93 9/27/93 11/1/93 11/29/93 -1.8 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3.7 3.6 2.8 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.7 7.4 4.8 4.0 4.2 3.3 3.6 1.4 1.6 2.3 1.8 2.2 0.8 2.0 1.4 2.0 3.2 2.0 2.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1250 -------- 1--------- 1---------Savings 1993 Billions Oct 25 1207.6 1220 Nov 81 1210.3 12 14.4 15 12 15.6 22 12 14.2 29 12 14.0 Billions of Dollars 410 Il 300 Saving ■ Dopoi its (let 1190 ISO “«1 V. — _ /• — - — N _y 1100 320 Me ney Market (ri ght sea le) Mor ey Ma rket 1992 Billiems 1130 Oct 2 5 332 .8 1 333.3 "NOV 8 333.6 15 334.5 22 340.9 29 339.1 ______ I______ I_____ 5 IS Oct J It 30 14 21 11 IS 1 22 1 22 S 1! ] 17 31 14 21 12 20 Nov Dec Jon Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 1993 1 23 i 20 Aug Sep 4 II I IS 2! 13 22 Oct Nov Dec 290 260 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Large and Small Time Deposits1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small Time Large Time (left scale) Large 1993 310 —Oct 25 Nov 1 8 15 22 29 5 19 2 Time Billions 333.4 332.7 333.0 332.4 331.0 334.0 16 30 14 28 Nov Dec 1993 Billions Oct 25 Nov 1 8 15 22 29 793.8 792.3 790.2 788.4 787.9 785.8 Small Time (right scale) 25 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 29, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings Billions of Dollars From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 993 Billions Nov 3 0.142 17 24 ■Dec 1 8 0.073 0.075 0.076 ---0.036 10 7 21 Oct 4 II 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan 1992 10 24 10 24 7 21 Feb Mar Apr 5 IS May 2 1i 30 14 20 11 25 8 22 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 0.121 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 Oct Nov Dec Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings Billions of Dollars From Federal Reserve banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions Nov 3 0.142 17 24 Dec 1 8 0.073 0.075 0.076 — 0.036 10 7 21 Oct 4 II 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan 10 24 10 24 7 21 Feb Mar Apr 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 0.121 3 17 1 15 29 Nov Dec 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: December 8, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "r Billions of Dollars 1993 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies __________________ Not Seaeonoliy Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions Oct 27 158.949 Nov 3 160.963 10 158.839 17 159.454 24 159.676 _Dec 1 160.281 20 3 17 I 15 29 Nov Dec 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: December 1, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 Billions of Dollars Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks 2/ Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending November 24, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Nov 25, 1992 -2.8 Feb 24, 1993 -1.3 May 26, 1993 1.2 Jun 23, 1993 -0.4 Jul 21. 1993 0.0 Aug 25, 1993 1.9 Sep 22, 1993 2.7 Billions of Dollars Oct 20 27 Nov 3 10 17 24 Jul Aug 272.867__ 272.930’ 274.356 273.612 275.109 274.080 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: November 24, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.+ billion Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 :100 Averages of Daily Figures 115 1993 1973=100 Nov 3 105 Dec 1 95 85 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 Oct Nov 1992 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Latest data plotted week ending: December 8, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75