View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

Week ending: January 25r 1978
Growth of
slowing^£|&ce October of last year. Slowing in the growth of deposits at thrifts
S&cu^i&d after interest rates on three-month Treasury bills rose more than 50 basis
points above the ceiling interest rates on savings deposits and 30-89 day time deposits.
In contrast, the ceiling rates on longer-term time deposits were above yields
on U.S. Government securities with comparable maturities during most of last year, which
was probably a major reason why rising interest rates did not have larger effects on the
growth of deposits at thrift institutions. However, the margin by which the Interest
ceilings on longer-term deposits exceeded yields on U.S. Government securities has
narrowed steadily in recent months. Those yields have been above the corresponding
celling rates at thrifts since mid-December for long-term U.S. Government securities and
since late December for 3-5 year securities (see page 7).

Growth of Deposits at Nonbank Thrift Institutions
and Selected Interest Rate Differentials

Period
1977
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
April
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
1978
Jan.

Rate of
Growth
in Deposits

Ceiling Rate on ..
Short-Term Deposits^
Less Yield on
3-Month Treasury Bills

14.9 2
12.3
11.4
11.1
11.7
12.9
16.6
20.1
20.3
17.4
12.5
9.8

0.63 2
0.58
0.65
0.71
0.29
0.23
0.06
- 0.24
0.56
0.91
- 0.85
0.82

N.A.

—

Ceiling Rate on ,,
4-6 Year Deposits—'
Less Yield on 3-5
Year U.S.
Treasury Securities

1.01
0.81
0.77
0.92
0.74
0.92
0.83
0.60
0.58
0.27
0.22
0.10

1.18*

- 0.20*

Z

Ceiling Rate
on Deposits
with Maturities
of 6 Years
and Over.5/ Less
Yield on Long-Term
Treasury Securities

0.40 2
0.22
0.18
0.25
0.18
0.32
0.30
0.25
0.30
0.15
0.07
- 0.02
- 0.26*

1/

Short-term deposits are savings deposits and 30-89 day time deposits. The ceiling
interest rate on those deposits at nonbank thrift institutions is 5.25 percent.

2/

7.50 percent.

3/

7.75 percent.

*

Based upon averages of rates available.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Released: January 27, 1978

MONETARY BASE

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---- ----- -----I 134

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
134 ------ i-----1-BILLIONS
__ DEC.

21

129.8
130.1

131.1
130.9
132.2
132.2

1 IS 20 12 26

JAN

0 23

APR

FEB

SEP

MAY

OCT

DEC

JAN

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGi JANUARY 25, 19T8

MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
1/26/77

4/27/77

6/22/77

7/27/77

1 1 .7
10.9
11.1
10.8
9.5
10.8

11.1
11.3
10.9
9.3

8/24/77

9/28/77 10/26/77 11/23/77

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDINGi
6/22/77
7/27/77
8/24/77
9/28/77
10/26/77
11/23/77
12/28/77
1/25/78


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.8
8.3
9.0
9.0
9.3
9.3
8.8
9.6

7.4
8.7
8.9
9.3
9.4

8.6
9.7

10.8

10.5

10.2

10.7

8.5
10.4

10.7

8.1

6.5
10.3

10.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MULTIPLIER 1/
ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT*/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

MULTIPLIER

RAT i Q

ISIS.
DEC.

!4

- 2.3

I I I I I I I
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING! JANUARY 18, 1978

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
114------ 1-----,--

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
--------- ----- n4

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
__ OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
- JANUARY 25, 1078 FROM
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
NOV.
- OCT.
SEP.
- AUG.
_ JUL.
APR.
-- JAN.

23, 1977
26, 1977
28, 1977
24, 1977
27, 1977
27, 1977
26, 1977

ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

13.3
13.1
13.3
12.3
12.7
11.5
11.2

1879

BILLIONS

111.8

111.6
112.8
1 15 20 12 26 0 23 0 23
DEC
JAN FEB
MAR
1976

6 20
APR

4 18 1 15 20 15 27 10 24

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

7 21

SEP

5 10

2 16 30 14 28 11 25

DEC

JAN

8 22

FEC

1977

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING! JANUARY 25, 1978
1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) / MONETARY BASE.
2/

CONSISTS OF FEDERAL RESERVE HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES. LOANS FLOAT
OTHER ASSETS. ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT IS COMPUTED BY SUBTRACflNG TREASURY
SloHl
reserve banks from this series, and adjusting the series for re­
serve REQUIREMENT RAT 10 CHANGES AND SH1FTS IN THE ^lAMF TYPE OF DEPQSITS BFTWFFN RAMc'c
WHERE DIFFERENT RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIOS APPLY. DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THI^BANK


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---- ----- ----=3 820

820 cz----- 1----- 1-BILLIONS

805. 1
805.8
806.9
813. 1
810.6
812.0

I 15 29 12 26 9 23
JAN FEB

9 23

6 20

4 16

APR

MAY

1 15 29 13 27 10 24

7 21
SEP

5 IB
OCT

2 16 30 14 28 II 25 6 22
DEC
JAN FEB

1978

1976
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/20/77 6/15/77 7/20/77 8/17/77 9/21/77 10/19/77 11/16/77
1/19/77
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
6/15/77
7/20/77
8/17/77
9/21/77
10/19/77
11/16/77
12/21/77
1/18/78

8.4
9.6
9.7
9.5
9.4
9.1
8.7
8.7

9.8
10. 1
9.7
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.6

12.8
11.1
10.6
9.6
8.9
9.0

9.4
9.2
8.3
7.7
7.9

8. 5
7.5
7.0
7.4

7.1
6.6
7.2

5.6
6.7

7.3

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

4

5

MONEY STOCK ( Ml )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
345

BILLIONS
333.9
335.4
335.7
340.2
336.6
337.4

340

335

330

325

320

315

310

I I I I
1 15 29 12 26 9 23
JAN FEB

9 23

6 20

4 18

APR

MAY

1976

1 15 29 13 27 10 24

7 21

5 19

SEP

OCT

2 16 30 14 28 11 25

DEC

JAN

8 22

FEB

1977

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC.

MONEY STOCK (Ml )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
1/19/77

4/20/77

6/15/77

7/20/77

8/17/77

5.4
7.1
7.4
7.7
7.9
7.3
6.9
7.3

8.7
9.0
9.1
9.1
8. 1
7.4
7.9

12.5
1 1.3
10.9
9.2
8. 1
8.7

9.6
9.5
7.7
6.7
7.6

9.3
7.0
5.9
7.1

9/21/77 10/19/77 11/16/77

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
6/15/77
7/20/77
8/17/77
9/21/77
10/19/77
11/16/77
12/21/77
1/18/78


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

5.6
4.7
6.5

2.6
5.6

7.3

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

5

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT
10.0

9.5

9.0

8.5
CORPORATE Aaa BONDS

8.0
7.5

7.0

PRIME BANK
LOAN RATE

6.5
MUNICIPAL
BONDS aex

6.0
5.5

COMMERCIAL PAPER

5.0

90 DAY CD'Saaat
4.5

4.0

9 17 31 14 28 11 25 11 25

JAN

FEB

8 22

MAR

6 20

3 17

MAY

JUN

1 15 29 12 26

9 23

7 21

4 18

OCT

NOV

2 16 30 13 27 10 24

JAN

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 27, 1978

1978
DEC.

90 DAY
CD’S aBHt

2
6.62
9
6.63
16
6.72
23
6.72
30
6.78
JAN.
6
6.77
13
6.88
20
7.06
27 ** *** 6.97
FEB.
3
10
17
24

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER
4-6 MONTH

PRIME
BANKERS’
ACCEPTANCES

6.57
6.60
6.64
6.68
6.68
6.69
6.77
6.85
6.83

6.46
6.55
6.57
6.65
6.71
6.71
6.98
6.89
6.86

CORPORATE
BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BONDS aet

8.08
8.13
8. 18
8.23
8.28
8.30
8.40
8.44
8.45

5.47
5.54
5.55
5.55
5.66
5.64
5.75
5.74
N. A.

Aaa

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.
N8* BONO BUYER’S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS. THURSDAY DATA.
*** SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES Fofc THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
, EARLJER THAN DATES SHOWN. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.9 RELEASE.
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE

6


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED 8Y FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PERCENT

PERCENT

8.0 --

3-5 YEAR
TREASURY SECURITIES

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE
DISCOUNT RATE

THREE-MONTH TREASURY
BILL MARKET YIELD

3 17 31 M 28 11 25 II 25 8 22
DEC
JAN FEB MAR
APR

6 20
MAY

3 17
JUN

1976

1 15 29 12 26 9 23
JUL
AUG
SEP

7 21
OCT

4 18
NOV

2 16 30 13 27 10 24
DEC
JAN FEB

1977

,g78

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 27, 1978

1978
DEC.

2
9
16
23
30
JAN.
6
13
20
27 *
FEB.
3
10
17
24

FEDERAL
FUNDS *K

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

3-5 YEAR
TREASURY
SECUR1T1ES

LONG-TERM
TREASURY
SECUR1T1ES

6.55
6.51
6.49
6.54
6.65
6.69
6.58
6.78
6.72

6.04
6.07
6.03
6.03
6.16
6.20
6.60
6.48
6.44

6.49
6.52
6.50
6.53
6.57
6.57
6.94
6.84
6.83

7.29
7.36
7.38
7.43
7.51
7.52
7.78
7.75
7.76

7.66
7.72
7.75
7.81
7.88
7.91
8.05
8.04
8.05

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.

"
tSSIurY

THAN DATE SKm‘B?L?"TfifoIRONSD?SC^NTRBAsTi.C°“>UTE° BV THE FEiERAL RESEBVE “* « «!• LOUIS.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

NET TIME DEPOSITS
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS
471.3
470.4
471.3
472.9
47 .0
47 4.7

425

1

15 20 12 26

JAN

0 25

0 23

FEB

6 20

4 18

APR

MAY

1

15 20 13 27 10 24

7 21

5 10

2 16 30 14 28 1

DEC
1977

1976

25

8 22

JAN FEB
1978

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
38 NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERT 1FICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME dERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT lSSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/20/77 6/15/77 7/20/77 8/17/77 9/21/77 10/19/77 11/16/77
1/19/77
TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
6/15/77
7/20/77
8/17/77
9/21/77
10/19/77
11/16/77
12/21/77
1/18/78

8


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

10.8
11.4
11.4
10.8
10.6
10.3
10.1
9.8

10.8
10.8
10. 1
9.8
9.6
9.3
9.0

12.7
10.9
10.4
9.9
9.5
9. 1

9. 1
8.9
8.6
8.5
8.2

8. 1
8.0
7.9
7.7

8.1
8.0
7.7

7.8
7.4

7.3

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS of DOLLARS

DOLLARS

245.7
246.9
246.9
251.5
247.9
248.2

— JAN

1

billions of

IS 20 12 26

JAN

0 23

FEB

0 23

MAR

6 20

4 18

APR

MAY

1

IS 20 13 27 10 24

7 21

SEP

5 10
OCT

2 16 30 14 28 tl 2S

JAN

8 22

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
1/19/77

4/20/77

6/15/77

7/20/77

8/17/77

4. 1
6.0
6.7
7.0
7.1
6.4
5.9
6.4

8.2
8.9
8.9
8.8
7.5
6.6
7.3

13. 1
1 1.6
10.8
8.7
7.3
8.0

10.0
9.5
7.0
5.7
6.8

8.6
5.7
4.5
6.0

9/21/77 10/19/77 11/16/77

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
6/15/77
7/20/77
8/17/77
9/21/77
10/19/77
11/16/77
12/21/77
1/18/78


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

3.8
2.8
5.2

0.5
4.3

6.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

9

CURRENCY COMPONENT
OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTtD

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS of dollars

BILLIONS
88.5
88.7
88.7
88.7

1 IS 20 12 2®

JAN

9 23

9 23

FEB

6 20
APR

4 18
MAY

1 15 29 13 27 10 24

1976

7 21

5 19

SEP

OCT

2 18 30 14 28 11 25

DEC

JAN

8 22

FEB

1977

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING; JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.

CURRENCY
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
1/19/77

4/20/77

6/15/77

7/20/77

8/17/77

9.5
9.5
9.4
9.9
9.8
9.6
9.6

10.8
10.1
10.7
10.4
10.1
10.0

9.2
10.3
10.1
9.7
9.7

10.6
10.2
9.8
9.7

9/21/77 10/19/77 11/16/77

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
6/15/77
7/20/77
8/17/77
9/21/77
10/19/77
11/16/77
12/21/77
1/18/78

10


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

9.4
9.9
9,8
9.7
10.0
9,9
9.8
9.8

11.1
10. 1
9.9

9.0
9.0

8.9

PREFARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
ALL MEMBER BANKS

IN THE NATION
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---- ----- ----- 2.5

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1M MILLIONS.
DEC. 21

1

527

15 29 12 26

JAN

9 25

9 25

FEB

0 20

4 16

APR

MAY

1

15 29 15 27 10 24

7 21

5 19

2 15 30 14 29 It 25

SEP

OCT

DEC

JAN

8 22

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 25, 1978

BUSINESS LOANS

( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

_ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
— THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
- JANUARY 18, 1978 FROM
__THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

MILLIONS

DEC. 14
- SEP. 21
10.0

.............Ill
1

15 29 12 26

JAN

9 25

I I I I I
9 23

6 20

4 18

1

15 29 13 27 10 24

7 21

5 19

2 16 30 14 28 11 25

JAN

FEB

8 22

FEB

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

77.4
77.3
7B.6

1 IS 29 12 26 9 23
JAN
FEB

9 23

6 20
APR

4 IS
MAY

1 IS 29 IS 27 10 24

7 21
SEP

5 19
OCT

2 16 SO 14 2S 11 2S 8 22
DEC
JAN
FEB
1978

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: JANUARY 18, 1978
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BACK OF ST. LOUIS