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The Obama Administration’s Efforts
To Stabilize The Housing Market
and Help American Homeowners
September 2011
U.S. Department
of Housing
and Urban
Development
| Office
of Policy
Development
Research
U.S Department
of Housing
and Urban
Development
| U.S.
Department
of the and
Treasury
The Administration’s goal is to stabilize the housing market and
provide security for homeowners. To meet these objectives in the
context of a very challenging market, the Administration developed
a broad approach implementing state and local housing agency
initiatives, tax credits for homebuyers, neighborhood stabilization
and community development programs, mortgage modifications
and refinancing, housing counseling, continued Federal Housing
Administration (FHA) engagement, support for Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac and increased consumer protections. In addition, Federal
Reserve and Treasury MBS purchase programs have helped to keep
mortgage interest rates at record lows over the past year. More detail
on the Administration’s efforts can be found in the Appendix.
September 2011 Scorecard on Administration’s
Comprehensive Housing Initiative
The President’s housing market recovery efforts began immediately
after taking office in February 2009. The September 2011 housing
scorecard includes the following key indicators of market health and
results of the Administration’s comprehensive response, as outlined
above:
•
Housing data available through August underscore
market fragility and paint a mixed picture of recovery.
Though August home prices as reported by S&P/Case-Shiller
and FHFA improved for the fourth consecutive month after several
previous months of decline, the latest housing data is a mixed bag
with home prices showing continued strain from foreclosures and
distressed sales. Foreclosure completions continued a downward
trend, as mortgage aid programs are helping homeowners,
although some of the decline remains due to lender processing
issues delaying some foreclosure actions.
•
The Administration’s recovery efforts have helped
millions of families deal with the worst economic
crisis since the Great Depression. More than 5.1 million
modification arrangements were started between April 2009
and the end of August 2011 – including nearly 1.7 million
HAMP trial modification starts, more than 1,020,000 FHA loss
mitigation and early delinquency interventions, and more than
2.4 million proprietary modifications under HOPE Now. While
some homeowners may have received help from more than one
program, the total number of agreements offered continues to
more than double the number of foreclosure completions for the
same period (2.3 million). In August, more than 26,000 additional
homeowners received a permanent modification through the
Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP);
more than 816,000 homeowners across the country have received
a HAMP permanent modification to date, saving a median of
$525 per month - more than one-third of their median beforemodification payment. The August Monthly Report can be found at:
http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/financial-stability/results/
MHA-Reports/Pages/default.aspx
Given the current fragility and recognizing that recovery will take
place over time, the Administration remains committed to its efforts to
prevent avoidable foreclosures and stabilize the housing market.
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 1
The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | September 2011
Expectations On House Prices Remain Above 2009 Projections
House Prices Up Four Consecutive Months,
Distressed Sales Remain Key In This Fragile Recovery
Existing And New Home Sales
Existing Homes On The Market Below Peak, Number
Of Units Held Off The Market Remains High
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 2
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | September 2011
Mortgage Rates At Record Lows,
Affordability Index Remains High
11.5 Million Homeowners Have Refinanced Since
April 1, 2009
Mortgage Aid Helps Foreclosures Trend Downward,
Although Foreclosure StartsTurn Up In August
Mortgage Aid Extended More Than 5 Million Times, Outpacing Foreclosures
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 3
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | September 2011
Homeowners Save From Reduced Mortgage Payments
Total Home Equity Similar To Prior Quarter
And Remains Higher Than First Quarter 2009
Housing Counselors Serve Millions Of Families
FHA Supports Mortgage Lending During Crisis
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 4
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. Department
Housing
and Urban
| Office
of Help
Policy American
Development
and Research| September 2011
The Obama Administration’s
Effoforts
To Stabilize
TheDevelopment
Housing Market
and
Homeowners
Indicator
HOUSING ASSISTANCE AND STABILIZATION PERFORMANCE METRICS
Distressed Homeowners Assisted (thousands)
HAMP Trial Modifications
HAMP Permanent Modifications
FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions
HOPE Now Modifications
This Period
Last Period
Cumulative From Apr 1, 2009
26.6
25.4
46.8
55.7
22.1
28.3
39.3
50.3
582.8
Borrower Annual Savings ($ millions)
HAMP Trial Modifications
HAMP Permanent Modifications
All Refinances
Activities Completed Under NSP (housing units)
New Construction or Residential Rehab
Demolition or Clearance
Direct Homeownership Assistance
Counseled Borrowers (thousands)
Change in Aggregate Home Equity ($ billions)
Indicator
Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM, percent)
Latest Release
1,688
817
1,025
2,471
August-11
August-11
August-11
July-11
404.5
6,388
2nd Q 11
----
----
715
4,144
20,363
(r)
2nd Q 11
2nd Q 11
2nd Q 11
----
----
6,612 [49,973]
17,951 [25,027]
8,291 [20,433]
(r,b)
(r,b)
(r,b)
2nd Q 11
2nd Q 11
2nd Q 11
–17.6
–195.8
(r)
20.3
(r)
HOUSING MARKET FACT SHEET
This Period
Last Period
4.01
Year Ago
4.09
4.37
2nd Q 11
As of Dec 2008
Latest Release
5.10
29-Sep-11
Housing Affordability (index)
176.9
174.4
(r)
164.4
166.3
Home Prices (indices)
Case Shiller (NSA)
FHFA (SA)
CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA)
142.8
184.7
154.9
141.5
183.3
152.4
(r)
(r)
(r)
148.9
191.0
155.8
150.5
197.5
161.9
Home Sales (thousands, SA)
New
Existing
First Time Buyers
Distressed Sales (percent, NSA)
24.6
419.2
221.9
26
25.2
389.2
207.2
28
(r)
23.2
353.3
188.3
29
31.4
395.0
174.8
33
August-11
August-11
August-11
July-11
Housing Supply
Existing Homes for Sale (thousands, NSA)
Existing Homes - Months’ Supply (months)
New Homes for Sale (thousands, SA)
New Homes for Sale - Months’ Supply (months, SA)
Vacant Units Held Off Market (thousands)
3,577
8.5
162
6.6
3,843
3,686
9.5
164
6.5
3,861
(r)
(r)
(r)
(r)
4,117
11.7
206
8.9
3,725
3,700
9.4
353
11.2
3,511
August-11
August-11
August-11
August-11
2nd Q 11
Mortgage Originations (thousands)
Refinance Originations
Purchase Originations
851.3
593.4
919.1
524.4
1,021.3
750.4
767.2
986.4
2nd Q 11
2nd Q 11
54.4
68.2
48.9
62.9
72.7
56.2
August-11
August-11
August-11
(p)
(p)
(r)
(r)
July-11
(r)
July-11
July-11
July-11
FHA Originations (thousands)
Refinance Originations
Purchase Originations
Purchases by First Time Buyers
26.0
84.9
63.5
Mortgage Delinquency Rates (percent)
Prime
Subprime
FHA
4.4
32.1
12.1
4.5
33.2
12.2
5.2
36.2
12.4
4.4
34.1
14.3
August-11
August-11
August-11
1,472
1,725
612
1,485
1,728
599
1,694
1,814
558
913
1,642
333
August-11
August-11
August-11
10,882
10,906
10,971
--
2nd Q 10
78.9
84.4
64.8
22.4
46.2
59.5
85.4
67.8
26.9
62.2
96.5
147.0
95.4
21.8
61.8
121.5
103.0
78.9
13.9
74.0
August-11
August-11
August-11
July-11
July-11
Seriously Delinquent Mortgages (thousands)
Prime
Subprime
FHA
Underwater Borrowers (thousands)
Foreclosure Actions (thousands)
Notice of Default (Foreclosure Starts)
Notice of Foreclosure Sale
Foreclosure Completions
Short Sales
REO Sales
(p)
(p)
(p)
(p)
(p)
17.2
68.4
48.7
(r)
(r)
(r)
(r)
(r)
SA = seasonally adjusted, NSA = not SA, p = preliminary, r = revised, b = brackets include units in process.
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 5
(r)
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. Department
Housing
and Urban
| Office
of Help
Policy American
Development
and Research| September 2011
The Obama Administration’s
Effoforts
To Stabilize
TheDevelopment
Housing Market
and
Homeowners
A. Items in Tables
SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY
Description
Distressed Homeowners Assisted
HAMP Trial Modifications
HAMP Permanent Modifications
FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions
HOPE Now Modifications
Frequency
Sources
Notes on Methodology
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Treasury
Treasury
HUD
Hope Now Alliance
As reported.
As reported.
All FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions.
All proprietary modifications completed.
Counseled Borrowers (thousands)
Quarterly
HUD
Housing counseling activity reported by all HUD-approved housing counselors.
Borrower Annual Savings
HAMP Trial Modifications
Quarterly
HUD, Treasury, and Freddie Mac
HAMP Permanent Modifications
Quarterly
HUD and Treasury
All Refinances
Quarterly
HUD, and MBA
HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP trial modifications
and Freddie Mac monthly savings estimates.
HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP permanent
modifications and median monthly savings estimates.
Refinance originations (see below) multiplied by HUD estimate of annualized savings per refinance.
Quarterly
HUD
Demolition or Clearance
Quarterly
HUD
Direct Homeownership Assistance
Quarterly
HUD
Change in Aggregate Home Equity
Quarterly
Federal Reserve Board
Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM)
Weekly
Freddie Mac
Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as reported for 30-Year fixed rate mortgages (FRM).
Housing Affordability
Monthly
National Association of Realtors ®
NAR’s composite housing affordability index as reported. A value of 100 means that a
family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a
median-priced home. An index above 100 signifies that family earning the median income
has more than enough income to qualify.
Home Prices
Case-Shiller (NSA)
Monthly
Standard and Poor’s
Monthly
Monthly
Federal Housing Finance Agency
CoreLogic
Case-Shiller 20-metro composite index, January 2000 = 100. Standard and Poor’s recommends
use of not seasonally adjusted index when making monthly comparisons.
FHFA monthly (purchase-only) index for US, January 1991 = 100.
CoreLogic national combined index, distressed sales excluded, January 2000 = 100.
(Only available as NSA).
Monthly
HUD and Census Bureau
Existing
Monthly
National Association of Realtors ®
First Time Buyers
Monthly
NAR, Census Bureau, and HUD
Distressed Sales (NSA)
Monthly
CoreLogic
Housing Supply
Existing Homes for Sale (NSA)
Existing Homes - Months’ Supply
New Homes for Sale (SA)
New Homes for Sale - Months’ Supply (SA)
Vacant Units Held Off Market
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Quarterly
National Association of Realtors ®
National Association of Realtors ®
HUD and Census Bureau
HUD and Census Bureau
Census Bureau
As reported.
As reported.
As reported.
As reported.
As reported.
Mortgage Originations
Refinance Originations
Quarterly
Purchase Originations
Quarterly
Mortgage Bankers Association
and HUD
Mortgage Bankers Association
and HUD
HUD estimate of refinance originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of refiance
originations.
HUD estimate of home purchase originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of home
purchase originations.
Completed Activities Under NSP (housing units)
New Construction or Residential Rehab
FHFA (SA)
CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA)
Home Sales (SA)
New
Housing units constructed/rehabilitated using Neighborhood Stabilization Program.
Bracketed numbers include units in process, to be completed by 3/2013.
Housing units demolished/cleared using Neighborhood Stabilization Program. Bracketed
numbers as above.
Completed downpayment assistance or non-amortizing second mortgages by grantee to
make purchase of NSP unit affordable. Bracketed numbers as above.
Difference in aggregate household owners’ equity in real estate as reported in the Federal
Reserve Board’s Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States for stated time period.
Seasonally adjusted annual rates divided by 12. A newly constructed house is considered
sold when either a sales contract has been signed or a deposit accepted, even if this occurs
before construction has actually started.
Seasonally adjusted annual rates divided by 12. Existing-home sales, which include singlefamily, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, are based on transaction closings. This differs
from the U.S. Census Bureau’s series on new single-family home sales, which are based on
contracts or the acceptance of a deposit.
Sum of seasonally adjusted new and existing home sales (above) multiplied by National
Association of Realtors ® annual estimate of first time buyer share of existing home sales.
Short sales and REO (Real Estate Owned) sales as a percent of total existing home sales
(current month subject to revision).
FHA Originations
Refinance Originations
Purchase Originations
Purchases by First Time Buyer
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
HUD
HUD
HUD
FHA originations reported as of date of loan closing. Estimate for current month scaled upward
due to normal reporting lag and shown as preliminary.
Mortgage Delinquency Rates (NSA)
Prime
Subprime
FHA
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
LPS Applied Analytics
LPS Applied Analytics
HUD
Total mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by mortgages actively serviced.
Total mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by mortgages actively serviced.
Total FHA mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by FHA’s insurance in force.
Seriously Delinquent Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
FHA
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
LPS Applied Analytics, MBA, and HUD Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure, scaled up to market.
LPS Applied Analytics, MBA, and HUD Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure, scaled up to market.
HUD
Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure.
Underwater Borrowers
Quarterly
CoreLogic
As reported.
Foreclosure Actions
Notice of Default (Foreclosure Starts)
Monthly
Realty Trac
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Monthly
Realty Trac
Realty Trac
CoreLogic
CoreLogic
Reported counts of notice of default plus lis pendens. Some foreclosure starts may be omitted in
states where the filing of a notice of default is optional.
Notice of sale (auctions).
Real Estate Owned (REO).
Count of Short Sales for the month as reported (current month subject to revision).
Count of REO (Real Estate Owned) Sales for the month as reported (current month subject to
revision).
Notice of Foreclosure Sale
Foreclosure Completions
Short sales
REO Sales
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 6
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. Department
Housing
and Urban
| Office
of Help
Policy American
Development
and Research| September 2011
The Obama Administration’s
Effoforts
To Stabilize
TheDevelopment
Housing Market
and
Homeowners
SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY
B. Notes on Charts.
1. Monthly house price trends shown as changes in respective house price indices applied to a common base price set equal to the median price of an existing
home sold in January 2003 as reported by the National Association of Realtors. Indices shown: S&P/Case Shiller 20-metro composite index (NSA), January
2000 = 100, FHFA monthly (purchase-only) index for US (SA), January 1991 = 100, and CoreLogic-Distressed Sales Excluded (Monthly) for US (NSA),
January 2000 =100.
2. S&P/Case-Shiller 20 metro composite index (NSA) as reported monthly. Futures index figures report forward expectations of the level of the S&P/Case Shiller
index as of the date indicated, estimated from prices of futures contracts reported by Radar Logic.
3. Reported seasonally adjusted annual rates for new and existing home sales divided by 12.
4. HUD estimate of refinance originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of refinance originations.
5. Cumulative HAMP modifications started, FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions, plus proprietary modifications completed as reported by
Hope Now Alliance. Some homeowners may be counted in more than one category. Foreclosure completions are properties entering Real Estate Owned
(REO) as reported by Realty Trac.
6. Foreclosure starts include notice of default and lis pendens, completions are properties entering REO. Both as reported by Realty Trac. See “Foreclosure
Actions” above.
7. See “Borrower Annual Savings” above.
8. FHA market shares as FHA purchase and refinance originations divided by HUD estimates of purchase and refinance mortgage originations as noted in
“Mortgage Originations” above.
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 7
U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. Department
Housing
and Urban
| Office
of Help
Policy American
Development
and Research| September 2011
The Obama Administration’s
Effoforts
To Stabilize
TheDevelopment
Housing Market
and
Homeowners
Appendix
The Administration has taken a broad set of actions to stabilize the housing market and help
American homeowners. Two years ago, stress in the financial system had severely reduced
the supply of mortgage credit, limiting the ability of Americans to buy homes or refinance
mortgages. Millions of responsible families who had made their monthly payments and had
fulfilled their obligations saw their property values fall. They also found themselves unable to
refinance at lower mortgage rates.
In February 2009, less than one month after taking office, President Obama announced the
Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan. As part of this plan and through other housing
initiatives, the Administration has taken the following actions to strengthen the housing market:
•
Supported Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to ensure continued access to affordable
mortgage credit;
•
The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury purchased more than $1.4 trillion in agency
mortgage backed securities through independent MBS purchase programs, helping to
keep mortgage rates at historic lows;
•
Launched a modification initiative to help homeowners reduce mortgage payments to
affordable levels and to prevent avoidable foreclosures;
•
Launched a $23.5 billion Housing Finance Agencies Initiative to increase sustainable
homeownership and rental resources;
•
Supported the First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit, which helped more than 2.5 million
American families purchase homes;
•
Provided more than $5 billion in support for affordable rental housing through low
income housing tax credit programs and $6.92 billion in support for the Neighborhood
Stabilization Program to restore neighborhoods hardest hit by the concentrated
foreclosures;
•
Created the $7.6 billion HFA Hardest Hit Fund for innovative foreclosure prevention
programs in the nation’s hardest hit housing markets.
•
Launched the $1 billion Emergency Homeowners Loan Program, as part of the DoddFrank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, to help unemployed and
underemployed homeowners pay a portion of their monthly mortgage.
•
Created an FHA Short Refinance Option that helps underwater borrowers refinance into
a new, stable, FHA-insured mortgage that is more aligned with actual property values.
•
Supported home purchase and refinance activity through the FHA to provide access to
affordable mortgage capital and help homeowners prevent foreclosures.
###
September 2011 National Scorecard | Page 8
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