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AN NUAL REPO RT Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Charles J. scanlon became President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on January 4, 1962. Prior to that date he had been First Vice President. Mr. Scanlon started working for the Bank in 1933 following his graduation from Parker High School in Chicago. He continued his education through evening courses offered by the American Institute of Banking and by Northwestern University. Later he graduated from the Stonier Graduate School of Banking, Rutgers University. Mr. Scanlon was Chief Examiner of the Bank when he was elected First Vice President in 1959. He has instructed and lectured on banking subjects at the Inter-Agency Bank Examination School, Washington, D. C., Northwestern University, and North Central College, Naperville, Illinois. Recently Mr. Scanlon served as a consultant to the Government of Liberia in connection with the consideration of the establishment of a central bank. In announcing the appointment Mr. Robert P. Briggs, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said, “Mr. Scanlon has devoted his business career to this Bank and has risen to the position of Chief Executive Officer as a result of the outstanding work he has done. No man better understands the problems of the District. He will give the Bank outstanding leadership. In turn the Bank will further the growth and development of the five-state area in the Seventh Federal Reserve District.” To the Member Banks of the Seventh Federal Reserve District: Economic activity rose during 1961, following a moderate decline in the second half of the preceding year. The major developments in business, agriculture and banking, as they have affected the Seventh District, are dis cussed briefly in this report. The statements of condition as of December 31, 1961, and of earnings and expenses for the year appear on pages 10 and 11. By way of general review, business activity rose rapidly early in the year, slowed in the summer and accelerated again beginning in October. Most measures of activity established new record highs before the year-end. Never theless, there was still substantial capacity to accommodate further increases in employment and production. Markets for products and services were highly competitive throughout the year, and credit was readily available to all qualified borrowers. In the Seventh Federal Reserve District both the decline in activity in 1960 and the expansion in 1961 were relatively greater than in the nation. This reflects the great importance of durable goods manufacturing in the District. These industries typically fluctuate more during business cycles than many other types of activity. The most significant feature of the business expansion in its early stages was the rise of inventories beginning in the second quarter of the year, followed by a slow rise in investment in new plant and equipment. Consumer spending also increased, although not as rapidly as personal income. The increase in demand in the business and consumer sectors was accompanied by higher outlays by the Federal, state and local governments. Consumers continued to increase their savings deposits and other liquid fi nancial assets at a rapid pace. Through September, instalment debt on auto mobiles was declining and what some regarded as a rather slow pace of spending for goods continued to be reflected in retail sales. Farm income, at a higher level throughout the year than in 1960, had risen as a result of excellent crops, higher price supports and increased Government payments to retire land from production. In the fourth quarter retail sales rose sharply, unemployment declined more than seasonally and business firms reported plans to increase inventories more rapidly as well as to step up investment in new plant and equipment. As a result, 1961 ended on a note of confidence quite different from the mood prevailing at the start of the year. It is against this general background that developments in individual industries and areas must be evaluated. Personal income rose somewhat faster in the District than in the nation as employment increased and work weeks in manufacturing were lengthened. In March income established a new record, and throughout the remainder of the year new highs were established almost every month. Although consumer buying rose somewhat, it did not keep pace with the rise of personal income until the fourth quarter. Spending was somewhat cau tious in the face of the relatively high unemployment. The sharpening of international tensions and calls of reserve units to active duty appeared also to have contributed to the moderate rate of retail trade. In September and October the low inventories of some kinds of new automobiles may have limited sales temporarily. In the fourth quarter, however, consumer buying, particularly of automobiles, increased substantially. Stronger consumer demand was reflected also in a rise in instalment credit beginning in October. Throughout the year retail sales in the District were strongest in the rural areas. Farm income was well above the preceding year with producers of hogs, dairy products and grains all showing gains. Generally excellent weather conditions and heavy applications of fertilizer assured record yields of corn and soybeans, the two major District crops. Incomes of hog producers improved as a result of larger marketings and low feed costs while a good level of consumer demand maintained prices. Cattle feeders in the summer did less well than in 1960 because prices declined substantially. Dairy farmers increased production and were benefited by somewhat higher prices. The very large production of turkeys and broilers caused severe price declines and low returns to poultry raisers. Prices of farm land were rising toward the end of 1961, following a modest decline in some areas in the preceding year. However, relatively little land was offered for sale and in most communities there were very few transac tions during the year. Farm real estate debt continued the gradual increase that has been evident in recent years. Production of automobiles, especially important in many Midwest areas, was reduced sharply in the first quarter of 1961 to enable dealers to work off large inventories; a record 1 million domestically produced passenger cars were on hand when the year began. However, in April production began to rise rapidly and continued at an improved rate until halted by model changeovers in August and strikes in September and October. In the final months of the year, production was stepped up to provide adequate inventories of the new models and accommodate the sharp increase of retail sales. During the fourth quarter production of cars was second only to the same period of 1955, while sales about equaled the record number in that earlier period. In the final months of 1961 output and employment in the auto industry probably 2 Annual Report, 1961 would have risen even more were it not for the labor contracts negotiated in September and October. Under the terms of these agreements large sup plemental unemployment compensation payments would be required if out put was reduced in the face of an excessive inventory build-up. For 1961 as a whole, auto output was 5.5 million units— 18 per cent below the 1960 level. But deliveries to customers declined only 9 per cent. Dealer inventories, which had risen in 1960, were reduced in 1961. Other features of the car market were the continued decline in imports and the further rise in the proportion of domestically produced “compacts.” Production of trucks was about 8 per cent below the previous year, with the heavy-duty vehicles declining relatively more than the lighter weights. As in the case of autos, truck sales improved substantially in the fourth quarter and production was at the highest rate for the period since 1955. Steel output was about the same in 1961 as in 1960. However, the patterns in the two years were very different. Production of steel declined by about 50 per cent during 1960 from a record rate in January to a very low level at the end of the year. In 1961, January was the low month and December marked the high. But the rise in steel output during 1961 was not steady. This was the first major industry to report a rise in activity early in the year. In July production was 40 per cent above the level in January. Once output had risen in line with current consumption, there was little further change until December when steel users, led by the auto firms, sharply increased orders. Steel pro duction in the Chicago area paralleled the national pattern closely, while in Detroit there was a temporary cutback in midyear. Expenditures for machinery and equipment began to rise in the second quar ter of 1961, concurrent with the rise in spending by consumers and Gov ernment. In earlier postwar upswings, revivals in demand for capital goods had lagged the pickup in other sectors by about six months. Continued strength in foreign orders helped support the gradual rise in pro duction of industrial machinery and equipment. Production of farm machin ery, on the other hand, had increased rapidly in the spring as manufacturers and distributors expanded inventories in anticipation of higher sales, expected to accompany the rise of farm income. However, sales were below the ex pected volume and production was reduced in the summer. Toward year-end, with a large harvest assured, farmers stepped up their purchases and manu facturers increased production schedules. Production and sales of construction machinery increased somewhat during 1961 as the volume of public works and other heavy construction rose, al though part of the new orders were filled by drawing down the large inven tories on hand at the beginning of the year. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 3 The demand for railroad equipment and truck trailers declined further in 1961. While new orders picked up in the autumn as rail and truck traffic increased, the improvement came much later than in other sectors of durable goods manufacturing. Residential construction advanced during the year with the increase more than offsetting the decline in industrial construction. Somewhat greater avail ability of mortgage funds aided housing starts. In the first 10 months con struction was undertaken on 4 per cent more new houses than in the corre sponding period of the preceding year in the nation, while the increase in the District was about 2 per cent. A growing share of the new housing in large urban centers was apartments; construction of single-family dwellings was far below the preceding year in some cities. Total loans and discounts at District member banks increased somewhat during 1961, but the rise was less than in 1960. Loans to commercial and industrial firms and to consumers declined in the first half of the year and rose only moderately in the second half. This was in contrast with agricultural loans which had a fairly steady rise after a drop in some areas in 1960. With the demand for credit from the consumer and business sectors relatively weak, banks increased real estate loans and loans to securities dealers. But most of the rise in banks’ earning assets was in short-term Government securities. At the large banks in the District, loans showed very little change in 1961. The increase of total loans and discounts noted above was in the smaller banks, which, as a group, reported loan growth throughout the year although at a slower rate than in 1960. Net repayments on commercial and industrial loans at large banks were greater than usual through July. Subsequent loan expansion largely reflected seasonal borrowings by commodity dealers, food processors and trade firms. Despite the higher activity, durable goods producers and finance companies reduced their borrowing from banks. The relatively weak demand for business credit from banks reflected in part the large amount of funds available from other sources. Business firms issued a large volume of securities during 1961, depreciation allowances continued upward and, after the first quarter, profits rose. Finance companies increased their sales of commercial paper. Total deposits of all District member banks increased more than twice as much in 1961 as in the previous year, with small banks gaining relatively more than large banks. Time deposits accounted for a large share of the increase. Demand deposits also increased rapidly after midsummer. With deposits increasing more than loans, the ratio of loans to total deposits at District banks declined from a peak of 50 per cent in mid-1960 to 48 per cent in October 1961. Most of the declines in the loan/deposit ratios occurred in the large banks. 4 Annual Report, 1961 Monetary policy was responsible for a substantial expansion in bank re serves during the year. As noted above, this was reflected largely in a sharp rise in banks’ holdings of Treasury securities and municipals, with the increase concentrated in Treasury bills and other short-term issues. The large banks in the major cities in the District began to increase their holdings of short-term Governments in the latter part of 1960. At these banks Treasury issues maturing within one year rose from 300 million dollars in mid-1960 to a peak of 2 billion in October 1961. At the smaller banks the increase was proportionately much less. Borrowing by member banks from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago was the smallest since 1950 and averaged less than 20 million dollars daily during the year. There were no changes in reserve requirements of member banks, but applications of several Reserve City banks to be reclassified as Country banks were approved by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The Federal Reserve discount rate remained at 3 per cent throughout 1961, and interest rates on most types of securities and loans were relatively stable. Short-term Treasury bills fluctuated between 2 lA and 2 Vi per cent during most of the year. Bond yields moved up somewhat in the spring when security issues were very large, but contrary to widespread expectations rates leveled off in the summer and showed some tendency to decline in the fall. In December the Board of Governors amended Regulation Q which pre scribes the maximum rates that may be paid by member banks on savings and time deposits. Effective January 1, 1962, the maximum permissible rates are 3 Vi per cent on savings and time deposits of six months or more, except that 4 per cent may be paid on balances which remain on deposit for a year or more. Before the close of the year several banks in the District an nounced plans to increase the rates they pay on time and savings deposits to the new legal maximums. Inflationary pressures were largely absent during 1961. In view of the rapid rise in output and employment there was a gratifying stability of prices. While prices of foods and services rose and pushed the consumer price index to a record high, manufactured goods were generally stable with reductions on some items balancing increases on others. Ample capacity, particularly in basic industries, and widespread competition from imports were responsible for keeping markets highly competitive. Prices of some industrial raw mate rials declined, notably aluminum and some types of steel. The 1962 auto mobiles were introduced at about the same prices as comparable models in the preceding year. A t the close of the year the economic picture was favorable with activity con tinuing to rise, employment and income increasing further and credit readily available. But the ever-present challenge, to achieve efficient and relatively full utilization of resources without triggering speculation and inflation, con tinued in the spotlight at the national, District and community levels. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 5 Resignations and Appointments of Officers Carl E. Allen, after five years of outstanding leadership as President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, resigned as of December 31, 1961, to become a vice president of General Motors Corporation. The resignation of George W. Mitchell, Vice President and Director of Re search, was accepted as of August 30, 1961. His appointment as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System was a high honor and recognition of his outstanding services to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The resignation of Robert C. Holland as Vice President was accepted as of February 15, 1961. Mr. Holland is continuing his employment in the Fed eral Reserve System by joining the staff of the Board of Governors. The resignations of these officers, Messrs. Allen, Mitchell and Holland, were accepted with sincere regret. With them, in their new positions, go the best wishes of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Ernest T. Baughman, Vice President, was appointed Director of Research on September 1, 1961, succeeding George W. Mitchell. Richard A. Moffatt, Assistant Vice President, was promoted to Vice Presi dent, September 1, 1961, in charge of Credit and Investment Departments. Robert E. Sorg, formerly Assistant Cashier, was made Assistant Vice Pres ident on November 1, 1961. Elbert O. Fults, formerly Assistant Chief Examiner, became Assistant Vice President on January 1, 1962. Daniel M. Doyle and Karl A. Scheld were appointed Assistant Cashiers on September 1, 1961, and Erich K. Kroll was appointed an Assistant Cashier on November 1, 1961. Board Appointments and Elections During the year 1961, Board appointments and elections were announced as follows: Robert P. Briggs, Executive Vice President, Consumers Power Company, Jackson, Michigan, a Director since 1956 and Chairman and Federal Re serve Agent in 1961, was reappointed a Director for a term of three years and was redesignated Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent for 1962. James H. Hilton, President, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, a Director since 1960 and Deputy Chairman for 1961, was redesignated Deputy Chair man for 1962. John H. Crocker, Chairman of the Board, The Citizens National Bank of Decatur, Decatur, Illinois, a Director since 1959, was reelected for a term of three years. 6 Annual Report, 1961 William E. Rutz, Director and Member of the Executive Committee, Giddings and Lewis Machine Tool Company, Fond du Lac, Wisconsin, was elected a Director for a term of three years, succeeding William J. Grede, Chairman of the Board, Grede Foundries, Inc., Milwaukee, Wisconsin. James W. Miller, President, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, Michigan, was appointed a Director (Detroit Branch) for a term of three years, succeeding C. V. Patterson, Director, The Upjohn Company, Kala mazoo, Michigan. Donald F. Valley, Chairman of the Board, National Bank of Detroit, De troit, Michigan, a Director (Detroit Branch) since 1959, was reappointed for a term of three years. Kenneth V. Zwiener, President, Harris Trust and Savings Bank, Chicago, Illinois, was appointed member of the Federal Advisory Council from the Seventh Federal Reserve District for 1962, succeeding Homer J. Livingston, Chairman of the Board, The First National Bank of Chicago. Retirements The year 1961 brought the retirement of the following: William J. Grede and C. V. Patterson retired as directors, and Homer J. Livingston retired as our representative on the Federal Advisory Council. Mr. Grede was a director for more than 14 years. Mr. Patterson served as a member of our Detroit Branch Board for more than five years. Mr. Livingston was the Seventh District representative on the Federal Advisory Council for six years, during the last three of which he served by election of the council as its president. Fred H. Grimm, Assistant Cashier, retired December 31, 1961, after more than 45 years of faithful service. The employees listed below, all with service records of more than 25 years, retired in the course of the year: Harry Dearborn Henry Dickey Glenna Dillard Albert C. Gericke Fanny Hamilton Edward A. Herwald Hilda A. Hoehl Frank R. Hoffman Jennie E. Johnsen Verna Kott Gerald N. Mehney Orville H. Meiners Walter O. Mueller Willis Nieman Hervey E. Shannon David W. Startup Sidney G. Tull Helen S. Walsh Joseph C. Walz The Bank is grateful to all of the officers and employees, including those who retired during the year, for their devoted service to the Bank and to the Federal Reserve System. Respectfully submitted, By order of the Board of Directors January 15, 1962 R obert P. B riggs, Chairman Board of Directors Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 7 ROBERT P. BRIGGS, Executive Vice President Consumers Power Company Jackson, Michigan C h a irm a n a n d F e d e ra l R eserve A g e n t JAMES H. HILTON, President Iowa State University Ames, Iowa D ep u ty C h a irm a n JOHN H. CROCKER, Chairman of the Board The Citizens National Bank of Decatur Decatur, Illinois GERALD F. LANGENOHL, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary Allis-Chalmers Mfg. Co. Milwaukee, Wisconsin WILLIAM A. HANLEY, Director Eli Lilly and Company Indianapolis, Indiana WILLIAM E. RUTZ, Director and Member of the Executive Committee Giddings and Lewis Machine Tool Company Fond du Lac, Wisconsin VIVIAN W. JOHNSON, Chairman of the Board First National Bank Cedar Falls, Iowa DAVID M. KENNEDY, Chairman of the Board Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago Chicago, Illinois DETROIT JOHN W. SHELDON, President Chas. A. Stevens & Co. Chicago, Illinois BRANCH DIRECTORS J. THOMAS SMITH, President Dura Corporation Oak Park, Michigan Chairman CARL A. GERSTACKER, Chairman of the Board The Dow Chemical Company Midland, Michigan JAMES W. MILLER, President Western Michigan University Kalamazoo, Michigan C. LINCOLN LINDERHOLM, President Central Bank Grand Rapids, Michigan FRANKLIN H. MOORE, President The Commercial and Savings Bank of St. Clair St. Clair, Michigan WILLIAM A. MAYBERRY, Chairman of the Board Manufacturers National Bank of Detroit Detroit, Michigan DONALD F. VALLEY, Chairman of the Board National Bank of Detroit Detroit, Michigan MEMBER OF FEDERAL ADVISORY KENNETH V. ZWIENER, President Harris Trust and Savings Bank Chicago, Illinois January 1, 1962 8 Annual Report, 1961 COUNCIL ERNEST T. BAUGHMAN, Vice President CLARENCE T. LAIBLY, Vice President ARTHUR M. GUSTAVSON, Vice President RICHARD A. MOFFATT, Vice President HUGH J. HELMER, Vice President HAROLD J. NEWMAN, Vice President PAUL C. HODGE, Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary HARRY S. SCHULTZ, Vice President LAURENCE H. JONES, Vice President and Cashier RUSSEL A. SWANEY, Vice President CARL E. BIERBAUER, Assistant Vice President ROBERT E. SORG, Assistant Vice President ELBERT O. FULTS, Assistant Vice President JOSEPH J. SRP, Assistant Vice President EDWARD A. HEATH, Assistant Vice President and Assistant Secretary GEORGE T. TUCKER, Assistant Vice President BRUCE L. SMYTH, Assistant Vice President CHARLES G. WRIGHT, Assistant Vice President JOHN J. CAPOUCH, Assistant Cashier LESTER A. GOHR, Assistant Cashier LE ROY A. DAVIS, Assistant Cashier VICTOR A. HANSEN, Assistant Cashier LE ROY W. DAWSON, Assistant Cashier WILLIAM O. HUME, Assistant Cashier DANIEL M. DOYLE, Assistant Cashier ERICH K. KROLL, Assistant Cashier FRANCIS C. EDLER, Assistant Cashier KARL A. SCHELD, Assistant Cashier JOHN J. ENDRES, General Auditor LELAND M. ROSS, Chief Examiner FRED A. DONS, Assistant General Auditor JOSEPH B. LEDERLEITNER, Assistant Counsel and Assistant Secretary DETROIT BRANCH RUSSEL A. SWANEY, Vice President W. GEORGE RICKEL, Assistant Cashier RICHARD W. BLOOMFIELD, Assistant Vice President ARTHUR J. WIEGANDT, Assistant Cashier PAUL F. CAREY, Assistant Cashier GORDON W. LAMPHERE, Assistant General Counsel ‘ Effective January 4, 1962. January 1, 1962 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 9 CONDITION Assets Gold certifcate a c c o u n t ............................. Redemption fund for Federal Reserve notes Total gold certificate reserves December 31, 1961 December 31, 1960 $2,564,681,898 211,636,890 $2,790,451,708 188,792,575 $2,776,318,788 $2,979,244,283 38,893,000 58,328,505 39,968,500 63,750,734 Federal Reserve notes of other Banks . Other c a s h ................................................... Discounts and advances: Secured by U. S. Government securities O t h e r ................................................... Total discounts and advances . U. S. Government securities . . . . $ $ 350,000 2,115,000 2,465,000 $ 1,575,000 1,104,000 2,679,000 $ 4,907,667,000 4,618,576,000 $4,910,132,000 $4,621,255,000 Cash items in process of collection Bank p r e m i s e s ............................................ Other a s s e t s ................................................... 1,238,947,337 24,249,956 40,309,602 1,111,469,450 22,158,913 34,965,202 Total a s s e t s ............................... $9,087,179,188 $8,872,812,082 Federal Reserve notes. $5,361,534,170 $5,302,418,460 Deposits: Member bank reserves . U. S. Treasurer—general account F o r e ig n ............................................ O t h e r ............................................ $2,539,800,738 66,400,647 37,365,000 12,015,216 $2,495,251,926 62,973,258 29,532,000 13,000,450 Total d eposits............................. Deferred availability cash items . Other l i a b i li t ie s .................................... $2,655,581,601 874,167,816 10,622,801 $2,600,757,634 791,124,731 5,032,357 $8,901,906,388 $8,699,333,182 Total liabilities and capital accounts 61,757,600 123,515,200 $9,087,179,188 57,826,300 115,652,600 $8,872,812,082 Ratio of gold certificate reserves to deposit and Federal Reserve note liabilities combined 34.6% 37.6% Total loans and securities . Liabilities Total liabilities . . . . Capital accounts Capital paid i n ................................................... Surplus ................................................................. Contingent liability on acceptances purchased for foreign correspondents............................. 10 Annual Report, 1961 $ 17,625,000 $ 32,043,600 STATEMENT OF EARNINGS AND EXPENSES Discounts and advances . U. S. Government securities All o th e r............................. 1960 1961 Current earnings: $ 608,563 160,030,217 46,602 $ 4,097,753 185,580,969 83,967 $160,685,382 $189,762,689 Operating exp enses........................................... $ 25,363,764 $ 23,372,403 Federal Reserve c u r r e n c y ............................. 1,040,334 1,121,254 Total current earnings Current expenses: 886,200 904,900 $ 27,290,298 $ 25,398,557 Assessment for expenses of Board of Governors T o t a l ................................................................. Less reimbursement for certain fiscal agency 3,726,826 3,652,299 Current net expenses . $ 23,563,472 $ 21,746,258 Current net earnings . $137,121,910 $168,016,431 $ $ and other e x p e n s e s ............................. Additions to current net earnings: Profit on sales of U. S. Government securities (net) . 592,468 All o th e r................................................................................ Total additions 132,125 40,031 $ 632,499 $ 2,024,275 5,589 2,851 Deductions from current net e a r n i n g s ............................. Net ad d itio n s................................................................. $ Net earnings before payments to U. S. Treasury . $137,751,558 Dividends p a i d ........................................................................ Paid U. S. Treasury (interest on Federal Reserve notes) . Transferred to surplus................................................................. 417,446 1,474,704 Transferred from reserves for contingencies . $ 629,648 $ 2,018,686 $170,035,117 3,613,523 3,333,631 126,275,435 158,382,686 7,862,600 $ 8,318,800 Surplus account Surplus, January 1 Transferred to surplus—as above . Surplus, December 31 $115,652,600 $107,333,800 7,862,600 8,318,800 $123,515,200 $115,652,600 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 11