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SPECIAL ANALYSES BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT FISCAL YEAR 1 9 7 2 SPECIAL ANALYSES BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT FISCAL YEAR 1 9 7 2 FOREWORD This volume of Special Analyses contains facts and figures on various features of the recommendations transmitted by the President in The Budget of the United States Government, 1972. The purpose of this volume is to present special analytical information about significant aspects of Government activities. This complements the detailed financial and program information which is contained in the Budget Appendix. Part 1 provides analyses and tabulations which cover Government finances and operations as a whole, and reflect the ways in which Government finances affect the economy. Part 2 furnishes Government-wide program and financial information in seven social program areas—education, manpower, health, income security, crime reduction, housing, and environment. Part S discusses trends and developments in selected areas of Government activity—aid to State and local governments, public works, and research and development. Part 4 presents the budgets of a number of the larger agencies in terms of the program categories used for program planning and evaluation in each agency. GENERAL NOTES 1. All years referred to are fiscal years, unless otherwise noted. 2. Detail in the tables, text, and charts of this volume may not add to the totals because of rounding. U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON: 1971 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 - Price $1.50 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PART 1. ECONOMIC A N D FINANCIAL ANALYSES 5 A. Federal transactions in the national income accounts 7 B. Funds in the budget C. Borrowing and investments D. Investment, operating, and other budget outlays E. Federal credit programs F. Principal Federal statistical programs G. Balances of budget authority H. Civilian employment in the executive branch PART 2. FEDERAL SOCIAL PROGRAMS I. Federal education programs J. Federal manpower programs K. Federal health programs L. Federal income security programs M. Federal programs for the reduction of crime N. Federal housing progr:ms 0 . Federal environmental programs PART 3. SPECIAL ASPECTS OF FEDERAL PROGRAMS P. Federal aid to State and local governments Q. Federal public works activities R. Federal research and development programs 22 31 41 67 87 96 105 115 117 134 149 174 197 210 219 231 233 249 271 PART 4. ANALYTIC PROGRAM STRUCTURE 287 S. Selected agency budgets by program categories 289 3 PART 1 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSES INTRODUCTION Part 1 provides analyses and tabulations which cover Government finances and operations as a whole, and reflect the ways in which Government finances affect the economy. These special analyses encompass those designated A through H. Special Analysis A presents the Federal budget estimates in terms of the national income accounts. It is designed to explain the relationships of the unified budget of the Federal Government to the national income accounts, which constitute the most widely used measure of aggregate economic activity in the United States. Special Analysis B classifies budget information by the groups of funds (Federal and trust) which comprise the budget. It also presents aggregate data on the gross receipts and outlays of all funds. Special Analysis C summarizes current developments and trends in borrowing and in investments in U.S. Government securities made by the Treasury Department and other Federal agencies. It includes information on the potential impact of Government and Governmentsponsored programs on the capital market. Special Analysis D analyzes budget outlays in terms of the duration and nature of the benefits derived, distinguishing those of an investment or developmental type from those which primarily yield current benefits. Apart from this analysis and the distribution between the loan account and the expenditure account, the U.S. budget, unlike those of some other governments, includes outlays which are for "capital" or investment type activities in the same accounts in which "current" activities and costs are shown. Special Analysis E covers Federal credit programs—direct loans and insurance or guarantee of private loans. It includes all transactions in the loan account, and also the credit transactions which are in the expenditure account, plus additional information on federally aided credit. Included for the first time is a brief analysis of loan subsidy costs. Special Analysis F reflects the year-to-year level of activity under the principal programs of the Federal Government for collecting current statistics, and current spending for periodic statistics obtained in census-type surveys usually conducted every 5 or 10 years. Special Analysis 0 analyzes the unobligated and obligated balances of budget authority for Federal and trust funds carried forward at the end of each fiscal year. Special Analysis H deals with the levels of civilian employment in the executive branch. It also contains figures on total Federal personnel (including military personnel). SPECIAL ANALYSIS A FEDERAL TRANSACTIONS IN THE NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS The budget is designed to serve many purposes: • To serve the broadest national objectives, it proposes an allocation of resources between the private and public sectors, and within the public sector; • It is an economic document that reflects the taxing and spending policies of the Government for promoting growth of the national economy, high employment, relative price stability, and strengthening of the Nation's balance-of-payments position; • It sets forth the President's requests to Congress for appropriation action on existing or new programs, and changes in tax legislation; and • It is a report to the Congress and the people on how the Government has spent the funds entrusted to it in past years. No single budget concept can completely satisfy all these purposes. The budget document and related Treasury reports are designed to provide complete, detailed information on the finances of the Federal Government. For those concerned with aggregate economic activity in the country, however, the national income accounts (NIA) of the United States are the most widely used measures—and interest is focused heavily on the Federal sector of these accounts. The purpose of this analysis is to explain the relationships of the budget to the Federal sector of the national income accounts, and to translate the budget estimates into national income account terms. It is divided into two major sections: (1) The size and trends of major components in the Federal sector; and (2) the relationship between the Federal sector and the budget. FEDERAL SECTOR RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES Total receipts in the Federal sector of the NIA are estimated to rise by $25.9 billion between 1971 and 1972, reaching a total of $225.9 billion in 1972. Expenditures are expected to rise by $15.1 billion, amounting to $230.1 billion in 1972, and resulting in a deficit of $4.2 billion. Table A-l shows total Federal sector receipts and outlays by category for 1970-72, along with the surplus or deficit. In 1970, the Federal sector was close to balance, but in 1971 and 1972 it is in deficit largely because the economy is operating considerably below its potential. For a discussion of this point see the discussion of the "full employment surplus" on pp. 9-11 of the budget document. Trends in Federal sector receipts.—Total Federal sector receipts have risen substantially and there have been major shifts in the distribution of receipts by category over the past three decades. 7 8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Corporate tax receipts dropped from 46.9% of total receipts in 1942, to 18.5% in 1970 and an expected 19.3% in 1972. In contrast, social insurance taxes and contributions rose from 14.4% of receipts in 1942 to 24.6% in 1970 and an expected 27.3% in 1972. Table A-2 provides a comparison of total receipts to the gross national product (GNP) and each receipt component to a broad measure of the economic base from which the receipts are derived. Table A-1. FEDERAL RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES IN THE NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS (in billions of dollars) Description 1970 1971 1972 RECEIPTS Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total receipts 93.7 36.8 19.4 48.9 90.6 35.8 20.3 53.2 99.0 43.5 21.8 61.6 198.7 200.0 225.9 100.8 (78.7) (22.1) 56.5 (54.5) (2.0) 22.1 14.0 4.6 —.1 97.9 (74.1) (23.8) 69.2 (67.0) (2.2) 27.0 14.6 6.2 .1 102.2 (74.0) (28.2) 75.0 (72.5) (2.5) 34.4 14.3 4.2 197.9 215.0 230.1 +.8 -15.0 -4.2 EXPENDITURES Purchases of goods and services Defense Nondefense Transfer payments Domestic ("to persons") Foreign Grants-in-aid to State and local governments Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Wage accruals less disbursements Total expenditures Surplus (+) or deficit ( - ) Personal tax and nontax receipts are the largest receipt category, with individual income taxes providing the bulk of the money. This category has provided from 40% to 45% of total Federal income for most years since World War II. Besides individual income taxes this category includes estate and gift taxes, fines, and fees paid by individuals. These receipts tend to rise as personal income rises; the sharp rise as a percent of personal income in 1969 was due mainly to the income tax surcharge; 1971 is the first full year following the repeal of the surcharge. There is some tendency for these receipts to rise as a percent of personal income over time because higher average incomes which are the result of both economic growth and inflation put people into higher tax brackets. An offsetting movement results from tax reductions such as those in 1964 and the Tax Reform Act of 1969. During the period 1944 through 1966, corporate profits tax accruals constituted the second largest receipt category, supplying, on balance, about half as much revenue as personal taxes. This category differs from the category of corporation income taxes in the budget because of two factors: (1) The budget records cash receipts while the Federal sector records corporations' tax liabilities, and (2) deposits of earnings SPECIAL ANALYSES Table A-2. FEDERAL SECTOR RECEIPTS RELATED TO ECONOMIC ACTIVITY Personal Total Contributions for Corporate Time period oFGNP of personal income profits GNP compensation of employees 5-YEAR AVERAGES 1946-50 1951-55 1956-60 1961-65 1966-70, 17.4 18.8 18.5 18.9 19.9 9.0 10.4 10.5 10.6 11.3 35.2 45.9 43.0 41.0 40.4 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.1 3.9 3.9 5.0 6.5 7.9 ANNUAL DATA 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 estimate 19.2 18.9 18.4 18.4 19.1 19.4 21.3 20.8 19.8 10.9 10.6 9.9 10.2 10.6 10.8 12.4 12.0 11.2 41.4 40.4 38.7 37.8 38.3 40.2 42.5 42.9 41.1 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.9 7.9 7.8 8.2 8.3 8.6 by the Federal Reserve System are included in NIA as corporate profits taxes while the budget treats them as miscellaneous receipts. Over the past two decades, corporate profits tax accruals have fluctuated widely as a percent of corporate profits. In the 1952-54 period they averaged more than 46% of corporate profits; from 1955 through 1964 they ranged from 40% to 43%, and dropped to 38% for the 1965 to 1967 period. The income tax surcharge raised 1968 corporate taxes to more than 42% of corporate profits. While the expiration of the surcharge at the end of June 1970 reduced these taxes, the repeal of the investment tax credit and certain other provisions of the recent tax reform bill will offset part of the reduction. Indirect business tax and nontax accruals consist primarily of excise taxes, customs duties, and Federal receipts on rents and royalties paid by business. Over the past 20 years, this category has decreased in importance as a source of revenues. For the period 1946 through 1950, they provided about 19% of total Federal sector receipts; from 1951 through 1965 they averaged only 14% of total Federal sector receipts; while from 1966 through 1969 they were less than 11%. By 1972, these are expected to constitute only 9.6% of total Federal sector receipts. Contributions for social insurance are the final category of receipts, and are becoming increasingly important over time. In 1944 they were slightly over 10% of total receipts; by 1963 they reached 20% and by 1972 they are expected to be 27.3% of the total. They are now more than twice as large a percentage of compensation of employees as they were in the 1946-50 period. As table A-3 shows, there are three main growth areas in the social insurance group: Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (OASDI), civil service retirement, and the health insurance trust funds. 10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Growth of OASDI receipts results from larger numbers of insured taxpayers, higher rates of taxation, and a rising tax base. The civil service retirement fund is financed by employer and employee contributions. While the number of Federal civil service employees has not grown appreciably since 1966, the increase in average salaries and the higher rates of contributions by employing agencies and employees is resulting in continued growth in civil service retirement receipts. The hospital and supplementary medical insurance funds are relatively new, but are characterized by rapid growth that is attributable to both exparsion of coverage and higher rates. These higher rates are required because of the particularly rapid growth in utilization and costs in this area. The general fund makes payments to both of these funds, but such payments are not classified as social insurance contributions. There is some growth under the "other" retirement and disability category, which is principally railroad retirement receipts, while the veterans insurance contributions (mainly the National Service Life Insurance fund) are quite stable. The remaining category—unemployment insurance—reached a high of $4.1 billion in 1963; in 1972 it is expected to total $4.2 billion. These receipts finance the benefit payments and administrative costs under the Federal-State unemployment insurance program. Although Federal military personnel also earn retired pay, their retirement program is not contributory and the NIA does not record any retirement contributions under this program. Table A-3. COMPOSITION OF CONTRIBUTIONS FOR SOCIAL INSURANCE (in billions of dollars) Retirement and disability Fiscal year Total social insurance 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 16.7 18.1 19.9 22.1 23.5 24.6 28.5 35.7 38.3 44.2 48.9 53.2 61.6 Old-age, Civil and disability insurance retirement 11.2 12.2 13.5 14.8 16.5 17.3 20.2 24.9 26.5 30.9 34.5 36.2 41.0 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 Hospital and supplementary medical insurance Othe 0.7 .6 .7 .7 .7 .7 .8 .8 .9 1.0 .9 1.0 1.0 0.9 3.3 4.2 5.3 5.7 7.9 10.9 Unemployment Veterans insurance life in(includes surance RRUI) 2.8 3.0 3.3 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 4.2 0.5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .7 .7 Trends in Federal sector expenditures.— Federal sector expenditures, like receipts, are divided into several major groupings, depending upon the nature of the transaction. The primary division is between purchases of goods and services (chiefly for defense) and all other transactions. Purchases represent that portion of the Nation's output that is bought directly by the Federal Government; the other SPECIAL ANALYSES 11 categories consist primarily of transfers of income to other groups which, in turn, can be used to finance their purchase of goods and services. As chart A-l shows, the composition of Federal sector expenditures has altered drastically. Total purchases of goods and services as a percent of GNP are at the lowest point since 1952, while Chart A-1 Federal Sector Expenditures as a Percent of G N P 1950 Fiscal Years domestic transfer payments and grants-in-aid have reached record highs. While this analysis is not devoted to discussing the changing program composition of the Federal budget, there is extensive discussion of these matters in the main part of the Budget Document. Purchases of goods and services.—Purchases are divided into two categories—defense and nondefense. As chart A-2 shows, the principal fluctuations in total purchases relative to the economy are caused by changes in defense purchases. Defense purchases of goods and services.—This is the largest single component of Federal sector outlays, and includes most of the expenditures of the Department of Defense, the military assistance program, the Atomic Energy Commission, and other defense-related 12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Chart A-S Federal Sector Purchases as a Percent of G N P P e r c e n t •• activities. In recent years, about 40% of defense purchases have gone directly into compensation of Federal employees; about two-thirds of this compensation has been paid to military personnel and one-third to civilian employees. Defense purchases have fluctuated widely in the past three decades, varying with the state of international tensions. At the peak of World War II, they constituted over 40% of GNP— yet in 4 years they dropped to only 4% of the total. The Korean war raised defense purchases to 13%% of GNP in 1953, followed by a decline during most of the following 13 years. The increase in defense spending in conjunction with the Vietnam fighting pushed defense purchases to a peak of 9.2% of GNP in 1968; subsequent reductions are expected to result in defense purchases totaling 7.3% of GNP in 1971—the lowest ratio in 20 years. Nondefense purchases of goods and services.—This category covers the goods and services consumed in Federal civilian operations including such programs as maintenance of national forest, park, and recreation areas; space exploration; promotion of commerce; construction of flood control and navigation projects; operation of the Federal airway system; a wide variety of medical and other scientific research; Federal law enforcement activities; and maintenance of veterans hospitals. In recent years, about 45% of total nondefense purchases has gone directly into compensation of Federal employees. 13 SPECIAL ANALYSES Nondefense purchases varied considerably as a proportion of GNP during the decade from 1951 through 1960; they rose from 1.6% of GNP in 1960 to 2.4% in 1964, largely as a result of expansion of the space program. Subsequent decreases in space expenditures have been offset by increases in other domestic spending, so that total nondefense purchases were 2.3% or 2.4% of GNP for each year since 1964; in 1971 they are expected to total 2.4% of GNP. Other Federal sector expenditures.—As table A-l shows, there are several categories under this heading. The two principal categories are domestic transfer payments and grants-in-aid. These expenditures are largely devoted to coping with domestic social problems. As chart A-3 shows, spending in these areas has risen considerably relative to the total economy in recent years. Chart A-3 Federal Sector Expenditures Other Than Purchases as a Percent of GNP Percent Percent jr 15- 10 — 1950 Fiscal Years Increased spending on defense purchases, grants, and transfers in 1967 and 1968 resulted in a noticeable rise in the total Federal sector relative to GNP. The relative decline of defense purchases since then has been offset by the increase in domestic transfers and grants, resulting in a relatively stable total but a considerable change in the mix from 1969-71; this trend is expected to continue in 1972, especially with the introduction of revenue sharing. 14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Domestic transfer payments.—This is the largest category of Federal sector expenditures that affects the distribution of national income without constituting a direct Federal consumption of resources. Spending in these programs has expanded rapidly, mainly because of a larger number of beneficiaries and higher benefit payments under the social insurance programs. Around two-thirds of the payments are for retirement and disability, with the old-age and survivors insurance fund (OASI) constituting over 70% of retirement and disability payments and nearly one-half of all domestic transfer payments. Other major components of retirement and disability are civil service retirement, railroad retirement, disability insurance, and military retired pay. A large portion of recent increases is due to liberalization of benefit levels which have been accompanied by the legislated increases in social insurance tax rates and base. Table A-4. DOMESTIC TRANSFER PAYMENTS (in millions of dollars) Fiscal year Total 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 _ . 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 estimate. _ . 1972 estimate 20.6 23.6 25.1 26.4 27.3 28.3 31.8 37.2 42.4 48.3 54.5 67.0 72.5 Retirement and disability 13.1 14.4 16.4 18.0 19.1 20.2 23.9 25.3 27.9 31.9 35.5 42.1 46.2 Hospital and supplementary medical insurance Veterans insurance and benefits Food stamps * * * * * 3.2 5.1 6.3 6.8 7.9 8.6 0.1 .1 .2 .2 .5 1.5 1.9 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.7 5.3 5.5 6.2 6.9 8.1 8.7 Unemployment benefits 2.7 4.2 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.0 5.5 4.6 Other 0.4 .4 .5 .5 .6 .8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.5 •Less than $50 million. Another large group of domestic transfer payments is for medical care under the hospital and supplementary medical insurance programs. There were no benefit payments under these programs prior to 1967, but by 1972 they are expected to provide $8.6 billion to beneficiaries. The food stamp program began in 1961 and grew gradually until 1970, when it more than doubled. It is continuing to expand at a rapid rate. In practice, most expenditures under the income security and health categories of grants-in-aid provide benefits for the same lowincome groups that are assisted by these food stamps. Total outlays for the three categories together were $2.5 billion in 1960; in 1965 they totaled $4.0 billion; by 1969 they were $8.5 billion and they are expected to total $16.0 billion in 1972. This growth reflects the rapid expansion of public assistance payments in recent years plus expansion of the food stamp program. SPECIAL ANALYSES 15 Veterans insurance and benefits constitute a traditional major category of outlays. Included are transfer payments made by the Veterans Administration but not Defense Department retired pay, which is included under retirement and disability. Nearly half of the increase in this category between 1966 and 1972 was for educational benefits (the GI bill); most of the remainder of the increase was for veterans compensation and pensions. The other major group of domestic transfer payments is unemployment benefits. There has been a gradual rise in expenditures under this program over time because of higher average benefit payments. The increase in 1071 reflects current unemployment experience while 1972 shows an expected decline as the economy improves. " Grants-in-aid.—This group of outlays is composed of many programs designed to assist State and local governments to (1) provide public services and (2) finance programs to aid needy people. Table A-5. FEDERAL G R A N T S - I N - A I D Fiscal year Total 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 . 1968 1969 1970 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 6.8 6.9 7.6 8.4 9.8 10.9 12.7 14.8 17.6 19.1 22.1 27.0 34.4 Income security 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 4.6 4.9 6.0 8.2 9.5 Health 0.2 .3 .4 .5 .7 .7 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.6 (in billions of dollars) Education and manpower 0.5 .5 .6 .7 .8 1.1 2.2 3.2 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.5 4.5 Transportation 3.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.9 5.1 Community development and housing 0.1 .1 .2 .2 .2 .4 .4 .6 .8 .9 1.8 2.1 2.7 Revenue sharing and other l 0.8 .9 .0 .0 .4 5 6 6 ft 2.0 3.0 8.0 1 A general program of revenue sharing is proposed to begin in 1972 with outlays of $4. 0 billion in that year. The categories of income security and health are almost entirety devoted to providing assistance to low-income persons. Most outlays for these programs—which include public assistance, Medicaid, and vocational rehabilitation—are established by statutory formulas and have risen dramatically in recent years. Special Analysis K (Federal Health Programs) and Special Analysis L (Federal Income Security Programs) provide more specific coverage of these activities. Another group of grant programs is devoted to education and manpower activities. The three largest categories of education grants are elementary and secondary education (which are focused heavily on economically deprived areas), higher education, and Federal aid to impacted areas (for school districts with children of Federal civilian or military personnel). The Government is emphasizing improved delivery of educational services and the use of manpower training 16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 programs as instruments for moving people from welfare rolls to productive employment. Special Analysis I (Federal Education Programs) and Special Analysis J (Federal Manpower Programs) provide detailed discussion of these programs. Transportation has been a major component of grant outlays since the mid-1950's. The highway trust fund has been highly successful in financing a nationwide system of roads that is unsurpassed in the world. While progress toward completion of this system is continuing, the basic focus of expansion in the transportation field is now concentrated in two other areas: aviation and urban mass transit. The vast expansion of air travel in recent years has greatly strained the capacity of our national airport and airway system. The Government is vigorously pursuing a planned increase in outlays for aviation—including significant grants for airport construction. These outlays are to be financed by aviation user charges rather than by the general taxpayer. The community development and housing area is receiving increasing assistance from Federal grants. While the vast majority of urban construction is provided and financed privately, there are key public facilities such as water systems, waste treatment plants, slum clearance, open space and recreation facilities, that have received and are receiving large infusions of Federal money. The final category of grants includes the proposed general revenue sharing payment of $4.0 billion in 1972. Also included in this group are Federal grants for crime control and for water pollution abatement. Outlays in 1972 for the President's special revenue-sharing proposals are largely covered in the other categories. Part 2 of the Budget provides detailed estimates. A more detailed discussion of grant-in-aid programs is presented in Special Analysis P of this budget. Although the scope of that analysis differs somewhat from the NIA, most of the programs are common to both. The principal differences between the Special Analysis P and the NIA grants are: (1) Special Analysis P includes some outlays (mainly for food stamps, the Office of Economic Opportunity, and hospital construction) that the NIA treats as transfer payments; (2) Special Analysis P excludes payments for research, while the NIA includes research payments to public universities as grants; and (3) Special Analysis P includes aid in kind, while the NIA treats these as nondefense purchases. Other Federal sector expenditures.—Four other categories complete the Federal sector expenditures. The principal growth in recent years is for net interest paid. This growth has been caused in part by a larger outstanding debt, but primarily by higher interest rates; however, interest rates have begun declining, on the average, and should be lower In 1972 than in 1971. Foreign transfer payments are mainly of three types—expenditure of dollars to assist economic development programs, grants of foreign currencies that are earned from sale of surplus agricultural products, and payments for social security and similar programs to individuals living abroad. Although payments to individuals are gradually rising (roughly proportionate with the rise in GNP), total foreign transfer payments have been stable (and a declining proportion of GNP) for many years. SPECIAL ANALYSES 17 Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises consists of two elements that are consolidated for statistical reasons: (a) Subsidy payments to resident businesses; and (b) the "current surplus" or "deficit" of Government enterprises. (a) A subsidy is a monetary grant to a unit engaged in commercial activities (mainly businesses and farms). Examples of subsidies are Government payments to farmers for land retirement, payments to air carriers, and the operating differential subsidy of the Maritime Administration. (b) Government enterprise is the term applied to those functions of the Government (usually appearing in the budget as public enterprise revolving funds) for which operating costs are to a great extent covered by the sale of goods and services to the public, as distinguished from those financed by tax receipts. Government enterprises conduct operations that are of a business-type nature. The difference between their sales and current operating expenses constitutes the surplus or deficit of Government enterprises. The largest of these enterprises are the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC), the Postal Service, and the Tennessee Valley Authority. Wage accruals less disbursements is an adjustment item occasionally made in the NIA to take account of the fact that wages and salaries are not always received at the same time as they are earned. National income is typically recorded in the period when earned, rather than when received—i.e., an accrual basis of accounting. Personal income, including wage and salary disbursements, is regularly estimated on a cash basis—following the usual thinking and practice of households. Ordinarily, w^age and salary payments disbursed in one period but earned in the preceding period are approximately offset by those earned in the current period, but not received until the following period, making the adjustment between national income and personal income small or negligible. An exception occurred in 1970 due to a retroactive pay increase for Federal employees. RELATIONSHIP OF THE BUDGET TO THE FEDERAL SECTOR OF THE NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS Conceptually, the national income accounts include all the Nation's current income and production activities, and do not measure transactions—such as loans—that represent an exchange of assets rather than income or production. Loan transactions have a significant economic impact, affecting both income and output, but they are best analyzed as part of credit rather than fiscal policy. Special Analysis C (Borrowing and Investment) and Special Analysis E (Federal Credit Programs) are both designed to facilitate a study of the financial market implications of the budget. Budget outlays are divided into two major segments—the expenditure account and the loan account. All transactions included in the loan account are excluded from the Federal sector, so this discussion focuses exclusively on how the Federal budget expenditure account relates to the Federal sector account. Table A-6 shows the major differences between the budget and the Federal sector estimates. These differences are explained in the following paragraphs. 430-700 O—71 18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72, Table A-6. RELATIONSHIP OF THE BUDGET TO THE FEDERAL SECTOR, NIA (in billions of dollars) Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate RECEIPTS Total budget receipts 193.7 Government contribution for employee retirement (grossing) _ Other netting and grossing Adjustment to accruals Other Federal sector, NIA receipts 194.2 217.6 2.8 1.5 1.5 -.1 2.7 1.6 4.4 -.4 198.7 200.0 225.9 196.6 212.8 229.2 —2.1 —1.8 2.7 1.5 1.5 -.5 -1.6 -2.4 2.8 1.5 1.6 .3 -.9 -2.2 2.7 1.6 .5 7 197.9 215.0 230.1 2.7 1.5 .9 -.1 ' EXPENDITURES Total budget outlays_„ Loan account Financial transactions in the expenditure account Government contribution for employee retirement (grossing)___ Other netting and grossing Defense timing adjustment Other Federal sector, NIA expenditures Lending and financial transactions.—The loan account in the budget includes only those domestic credit transactions where there are definite requirements for full repayment of the loans, plus all foreign loans made on commercial terms. Credit programs that do not meet these requirements are included in the expenditure account. The Federal sector, however, excludes not only all lending transactions in the loan account, but also some financial transactions counted as expenditures in the budget—such as foreign loans of the Agency for International Development, and tobacco and foreign loans in the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC). CCC nonrecourse commodity loans are treated as purchases of goods under the national income accounts concept. Government contribution for employee retirement.—The contributions of Government agencies, as employers, to retirement trust funds are deducted from total budget expenditures since these contributions represent intragovernmental transactions. However, the NIA considers Government payments for employee retirement to be part of the compensation paid to Government employees; the receipts are counted as contributions for social insurance. Therefore, the Federal sector includes the Government's contributions to retirement funds in both receipts and expenditures. About 70% of this money goes to the civil service retirement fund and most of the remainder goes for Federal employees insured under social security. Other netting and grossing.—The budget normally counts as receipts only income from taxation or revenues due to the exercise of governmental power to compel payment. Money received in the course of business-type transactions, therefore, are normally shown as offsets against expenditures. For instance, receipts from two major insurance SPECIAL ANALYSES 19 programs operated by the Veterans Administration (National Service Life Insurance and U.S. Government Life Insurance) are netted against expenditures in the budget since these programs are voluntary, commercial-type activities. However, in the NIA, these are treated as receipts, in the same way as receipts from compulsory Government insurance programs. These adjustments also affect total receipts and expenditures equally and thus do not alter either the budget or Federal sector surplus or deficit. Timing adjustments.—The budget records receipts at the time the cash is collected regardless of when the income is earned; expenditures (except interest) are generally recorded at the time the checks are issued. The NIA attempts to record most receipts paid by the business sector in the time period in which the income is earned rather than when taxes are actually paid; personal income taxes are recorded at the time of payment by the individual taxpayer. For instance, corporate income taxes in the NIA are recorded as taxes when the profits are earned (accrued) regardless of when the cash is received by the Treasury. The principal timing adjustment on the expenditures side is for defense purchases. Procurement items (such as ships or airplanes) are recorded in the Federal sector as defense purchases at the time of delivery to the Federal Government rather than when they are fabricated or when they are paid for; work in process is counted as part of private business inventories until the articles are completed and delivered to the Government. Both the budget and the Federal sector record public debt interest when it accrues. Other.—This category includes some miscellaneous adjustments, largely for certain specialized aspects of the national income accounts, such as purchase and sale of land, which are included in the budget but not in the national income accounts. Certain nondefense timing adjustments are included here because of the difficulty in separating them from other adjustment categories. It also includes adjustments for certain foreign currency transactions which are not included in the budget. 20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table A-7. GNP AND FEDERAL SECTOR EXPENDITURES AS A PERCENT OF GNP (in billions of dollars) Fiscal year Total GNP (in billions of Fed< Total expendi- Purch ases defen se 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 _1954 . 1955 . 1956 _ ... 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968. 1969 1970 1971 estimate. _ _ 260.0 263.3 310.5 337.2 358.9 362.1 378.6 409.4 431.3 440.3 469.1 495.2 506.5 542.1 573.4 612.2 654.2 721.2 769.8 827.3 897.7 956.0 1,012.0 15.2 16.1 14.4 19.6 21.1 20.5 17.8 17.0 17.6 18.9 19.4 18.4 19.3 19.6 19.4 19.1 18.1 18.3 20.1 20.8 20.8 20.7 21.2 4.8 4.8 7.0 12.4 13.6 12.6 10.2 9.6 9.8 10.2 9.9 9.1 9.2 9.3 8.8 8.3 7.5 7.5 8.8 9.2 8.8 8.2 7.3 2.7 2-4 .1 4 2.0 2.1 1.4 .5 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 Domestic transfer payments 3.1 4.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.3 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.7 6.6 Grantsin-aid 0.8 .9 .8 .7 .8 .8 .8 .8 .9 .1 .3 .4 .4 ,4 ,5 .6 .7 1.8 .9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.7 All other 3.9 3.7 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 Table A-8. FEDERAL TRANSACTIONS IN THE NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS, 1961-1972 (in billions of dollars) Actual Description Estimate 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 43.6 20.3 13.3 18.1 47.3 22.9 14.2 19.9 49.6 23.5 15.0 22.1 50.7 25.7 15.6 23.5 51.3 27.7 16.9 24.6 57.6 31.0 15.7 28.5 64.5 31.2 15.8 35.7 71.0 34.0 17.1 38.3 89.5 38.9 18.6 44.2 93.7 36.8 19.4 48.9 90.6 35.8 20.3 53.2 99.0 43.5 21.8 61.6 95.3 104.2 110.2 115.5 120.5 132.8 147.2 160.4 191.3 198.7 200.0 225.9 Purchase of goods and services Defense Nondefense Transfer payments Domestic ("to persons") Foreign Grants-in-aid to State and local governments Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Wage accruals less disbursements 55.5 (46.7) (8.9) 25.6 (23.6) (2.1) 6.9 6.8 3.2 60.9 (50.5) (10.4) 27.2 (25.1) (2.1) 7.6 6.8 3.8 63.4 (50.4) (13.0) 28.5 (26.4) (2.1) 8.4 7.5 3.6 65.7 (50.9) (14.7) 29.5 (27.3) (2.2) 9.8 8.1 3.8 64.4 (48.9) (15.5) 30.5 (28.3) (2.2) 10.9 8.5 4.1 71.7 (54.4) (17.3) 34.2 (31.8) (2.3) 12.7 9.0 4.5 85.3 (67.7) (17.6) 39.4 (37.2) (2.2) 14.8 9.9 5.1 95.2 (75.8) (19.4) 44.5 (42.4) (2.1) 17.6 10.9 4.1 100.6 (78.6) (22.0) 50.5 (48.3) (2.2) 19.1 12.3 4.1 100.8 (78.7) (22.1) 56.5 (54.5) (2.0) 22.1 14.0 4.6 —.1 97.9 (74.1) (23.8) 69.2 (67.0) (2.2) 27.0 14.6 6.2 .1 102.2 (74.0) (28.2) 75.0 (72.5) (2.5) 34.4 14.3 4.2 Total expenditures, national income basis 98.0 106.4 111.4 116.9 118.5 131.9 154.5 172.3 186.7 197.9 215.0 230.1 -2.7 -2.1 -1.2 -1.4 +2.0 +.9 -7.2 -11.9 +4.6 +.8 -15.0 -4.2 RECEIPTS, NATIONAL INCOME BASIS Personal taxes and nontaxes Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total receipts, national income basis EXPENDITURES, NATIONAL INCOME BASIS Excess of receipts or expenditures (—), national income basis Source.— Actual data for 1 9 6 1 - 7 0 are based on the estimates prepared by the D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e . D a t a for 1971 and 1972 are based on estimates by t h e Office of M a n a g e m e n t and B u d g e t in cooperation with the D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e . SPECIAL ANALYSIS B FUNDS IN THE BUDGET This analysis classifies budget information by the groups of funds which comprise the budget. It also presents information on the gross receipts and expenditures of all funds in the aggregate. BREAKDOWN OF TOTALS, BY FUND GROUPS Table B-l shows the breakdown of total budget receipts and outlays between the Federal funds and the trust funds. The two groups together, after deducting for transactions that flow between them, make up the budget totals. Table B-l. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS, BY FUND GROUP (in millions of dollars) Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate RECEIPTS Federal funds: Total in fund accounts Interfund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public 146,020 -802 -2,060 143,656 -1,224 -3,295 158,414 -1,311 -3,383 Receipts, Federal funds 143,158 139,137 153,720 Trust funds: Total in fund accounts Interfund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public 61,464 —597 —1,505 68,504 —626 —1,713 77,887 —760 —1,636 59,362 66,165 75,490 Receipts, trust funds Intragovernmental transactions —8,778 —11,109 —11,617 Total budget receipts 193,743 194,193 217,593 159,164 -802 169,184 -1,224 181,551 -1,311 —2,060 —3,295 —3,383 156,301 164,665 176,857 51,167 -597 —1,505 61,538 -626 —1,713 66,388 -760 —1,636 49,065 59,200 63,992 —8,778 —11,109 —11,617 196,588 212,755 229,232 2,845 18,562 11,639 OUTLAYS Federal funds: Total in fund accounts Interfund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public Outlays, Federal funds Trust funds: Total in fund accounts Interfund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public Outlays, trust funds Intragovernmental transactions Total budget outlays Budget deficit FEDERAL FUNDS The Federal funds are those which the Government administers as owner (as distinguished from those administered in a trustee or 22 SPECIAL ANALYSES 23 fiduciary capacity). There are four subgroups of Federal funds—the general fund, special funds, public enterprise funds, and intragovernmental revolving and management funds. Table B-2. FEDERAL FUND RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars) Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts Total receipts Federal funds 90,412 32,829 10,351 3,644 2,430 3,492 88,300 30,100 10,650 3,730 2,490 3,867 93,700 36,700 11,115 5,300 2,700 4,205 143,158 139,137 153,720 342 127 36 394 142 50 428 166 55 2,425 1,796 417 8,310 1,079 77,154 1,195 17,435 2,603 857 640 804 430 2,039 19,598 2,453 350 446 3,750 1,510 8,358 2,148 3,047 1,620 302 8,697 1,204 73,368 1,413 21,343 3,333 406 1,071 1,561 466 2,909 20,983 2,275 679 335 3,368 2,353 9,635 2,911 3,212 1,045 419 9,506 1,282 74,972 1,496 23,920 3,888 1,395 1,412 2,032 509 2,151 21,270 2,318 1,364 —275 3,151 1,333 10,302 3,537 500 300 4,019 1,000 950 156,301 164,665 176,857 -13,143 -25,528 -23,137 OUTLAYS BY AGENCY Legislative Branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President: Foreign assistance Economic opportunity Other Agriculture Commerce Defense-Military 1 _ _ . Defense-Civil Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development Interior __ __ Justice Labor State ___ Transportation Treasury Atomic Energy Commission Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration Other independent agencies Allowances for: Added amount for revenue sharing Pay increases (excluding Department of Defense) Contingencies Total outlays Federal funds Excess of outlays ( - ) __ ___ _ Note.— Excludes charges resulting from reclassification in 1970 of certificates of interest issued by the Commodity Credit Corporation, $1,583 million. 1 Includes allowance for all-volunteer force and civilian and military pay increases for Department of Defense. Receipts and outlays.—The receipts of the general and special funds in 1972 are estimated at $154 billion, as presented in table B-2. Outlays of all the Federal funds, estimated at $177 billion, are distributed as shown. The proprietary receipts of the general fund 24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 and special funds, the interfund receipts, and the receipts of the public enterprise funds and the intragovernmental funds, have all been offset in arriving at the outlays for each agency. Obligations.—The obligations (net) for Federal funds are estimated at $185 billion for 1972, as set forth in table B-3. These transactions largely flow from the budget authority of $185 billion for the year, although in part the obligations were authorized by prior years budget authority. Table B-3. OBLIGATIONS INCURRED, NET, IN FEDERAL FUNDS (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate BY AGENCY Legislative Branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President Agriculture Commerce Defense—Military Defense—Civil Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development Interior Justice Labor State Transportation Treasury Atomic Energy Commission Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration Other independent agencies Allowances for: Added amount for revenue sharing Civilian and military pay increases (excluding Department of Defense) Contingencies Total 332 126 38 4,822 7,303 1,053 73,245 1,134 18,059 2,606 1,028 862 1,055 439 2,134 19,620 2,282 628 440 3,861 1,567 8,414 2,393 398 145 49 5,400 7,866 1,304 73,753 1,472 22,412 3,312 402 1,225 2,165 494 2,781 21,009 2,540 1,487 530 3,513 2,862 9,716 4,331 513 168 56 4,896 9,525 1,411 76,200 1,619 25,832 5,018 1,400 1,550 2,152 512 2,244 21,277 2,355 2,357 —153 3,270 1,538 10,231 4,637 4,106 153,440 525 500 1,050 1,250 170,191 185,012 Balances of prior authority.—Table B-4 shows the balances of budget authority carried forward in Federal funds at the end of each fiscal year. To the extent that valid Government obligations have been incurred and remain unpaid, amounts sufficient to pay them may be carried over into the next year. Unobligated balances may be carried forward in accordance with specific provisions of law, usually in order to permit completion of projects as contemplated at the time the appropriations were first made, but also to provide funding for activities of a continuing nature (such as business-type enterprises) or for standby emergency purposes (such as1 backup for insurance of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation). 1 For a more detailed review of balances, see Special Analysis G, Balances of Budget Authority. SPECIAL ANALYSES 25 Table B-4. FEDERAL FUND BALANCES OF BUDGET AUTHORITY (in millions of dollars) Department or other unit Start 1970 Obli- Unobli- End 1970 Obli- Unobli- Obligated Legislative Branch 26 52 63 32 23 The Judiciary 11 9 12 * Executive Office of the * President __ _ 5 1 5 6 Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance 4 1,994 1,916 61 1,703 International development assistance... 3,981 7,286 4,079 7,532 4,286 Office of Economic Opportunity 806 17 1,075 5 1,147 190 1,101 Other _. 662 826 184 6,865 1,783 5,848 1,526 5,021 Agriculture 230 1,252 230 1,151 Commerce. __ _ 1,207 29,501 14,893 25,483 14,744 25,868 Defense—Military 336 296 235 278 Defense—Civil _ __ 293 Health, Education, and 544 9,522 708 8,455 7,910 Welfare Housing and Urban De7,509 13,527 7,502 15,471 7,481 velopment _ 777 780 338 290 610 Interior _ 429 276 29 37 55 Justice _ 416 1,235 363 Labor. _ __ 632 468 74 46 7 45 13 State _ 948 1,006 814 1,134 1,043 Transportation, 160 134 114 13 Treasury _ _ 21 Atomic Energy Commis336 1,362 398 1,096 1,268 sion Environmental Protection 828 468 1,636 93 Agency 557 General Services Admin314 125 360 120 306 istration National Aeronautics and 216 1,658 331 1,513 Space Administration. _ 1,405 217 1,371 863 51 803 Postal Service. _ 942 861 1,636 809 1,691 Veterans Administration. 4 3 4 3 4 Civil Service Commission. 2,818 2,569 2,903 2,215 3,887 Export-Import Bank.. _ Federal Deposit Insurance 3,000 3,000 Corporation Federal Home Loan Bank 87 12 7,206 48 3,994 Board Other independent agen1,842 1,481 1,080 1,680 1,292 cies. _ _ _ 225 Special allowances. _ Total End 1972 End 1971 Unobligated Unobli- Obli- 82 * 111 14 * 6 76 2,163 4,883 8,022 533 21 55 828 1,892 5,045 163 1,381 11,720 27,095 27 175 2,723 12,556 192 416 14 351 11,433 266 14,451 8,612 11,598 382 38 349 11 782 567 1,356 463 25 351 9 3,348 9 1,099 167 104 1,398 271 2,629 365 205 437 169 10,090 1,674 3 1,052 1,777 1,577 871 13 4,825 10,023 1,967 4 8,024 77 180 2,657 27 3,000 3,000 7,352 143 7,513 3,611 1,939 3,080 662 72,432 54,709 69,151 59,100 74,680 68,449 82,840 65,289 *Less than $500 thousand. PUBLIC ENTERPRISE FUNDS The public enterprise funds are a subgroup of Federal funds, and data thereon are included on a net basis in tables B-2 through B-4. The public enterprise funds carry on a cycle of business-type operations, primarily with the public, on behalf of the Government. Some are incorporated enterprises; others are unincorporated. The general 26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 fund usually supplies them with capital, although in a few cases they may borrow from the public. Receipts and outlays.—Receipts of public enterprise funds are estimated at $25,381 million in 1972, and gross outlays are planned to total $31,577 million (table B-5), resulting in net outlays of $6,196 million. For 1972 the Postal Service fund receipts include the appropriations from the general fund, whereas in previous years they did not. Table B-5. PUBLIC ENTERPRISE FUND TRANSACTIONS (in millions of dollars) Description Funds appropriated to the President: Foreign assistance Other Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation i ...... Farmers Home Administration Federal Crop Insurance Corporation Commerce Defense: Military Civil (Panama Canal Company) Health, Education, and Welfare. Housing and Urban Development: College housing loan fund. __ Urban renewal fund Low-rent public housing fund. Federal Housing Administration Other Interior Labor Transportation Treasury.^.. .......... General Services Administration 2 Postal Service Veterans Administration Other independent offices: Export-Import Bank Farm Credit Administration. Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation __ Other National Credit Union Administration Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority.. U.S. Information Agency Total Receipts from the public Receipts from other accounts... Applicable receipts 1970 actual 1971 estimate Gross outlays 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 137 307 169 326 180 126 881 255 857 214 894 116 4,306 4,869 3,493 8,083 8,072 7,118 2,241 2,797 2,798 2,279 2,339 2,444 48 101 45 45 45 50 57 87 42 17 46 17 14 19 18 18 22 37 174 23 185 31 192 33 168 151 201 110 196 65 150 652 731 164 534 744 156 685 820 346 1,696 727 301 1,616 756 206 1,985 830 781 602 44 282 28 1 10 6,570 687 897 1,035 42 299 93 2 2 6,874 1,006 974 1,194 42 222 36 3 2 10,073 1,100 578 1,307 94 278 132 1 1 8,080 679 711 1,735 174 296 295 2 1 9,227 809 797 1,473 90 220 346 2 2 9,934 719 1,581 4 1,826 4 1,809 5 1,800 4 1,954 4 2,099 5 324 20 204 24 213 26 156 20 62 26 51 31 7 14 19 7 9 10 305 502 322 655 317 750 547 713 * 577 1,080 585 1,258 * 20,632 23,228 25,381 29,146 31,510 31,577 (17,944) (2,688) (20,710) (2,519) (20,774) (4,607) *Less than $500 thousand. 1 Receipts include advances from foreign assistance and special export programs of $830 million in 1969. $921 million in 1970, and $933 million in 1971. 2 Receipts include grants from the general fund of $1,472 million in 1972. SPECIAL ANALYSES 27 TRUST FUNDS The trust funds are administered in a fiduciary capacity by the Government. They include one subgroup, trust revolving funds, which, like the public enterprise funds, carry on a businesslike cycle of operations and are normally stated on a net basis (outlays less receipts). Receipts and outlays.—Trust fund receipts are estimated at $75 billion in 1972, with outlays planned at $64 billion, as shown in table B-6. The transactions of the Federal old-age and survivors insurance fund are far larger than any other trust fund. Table B-6. OUTLAYS AND RECEIPTS OF TRUST FUNDS (in millions of dollars) Description Funds to which receipts are appropriated: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund Health insurance trust funds. Unemployment trust fund_._ Railroad employees retirement funds Federal employees retirement funds Airport and airway trust funds Highway trust funds Foreign military sales trust fund Veterans life insurance funds. Other trust funds (nonrevolving) Trust revolving funds (table B-7) Subtotal Interfund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public Total Outlays 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 27,320 32,000 35,105 31,746 33,190 38,204 2,954 7,149 3,555 3,536 8,262 5,964 3,880 9,033 5,195 4,380 7,489 4,074 4,570 10,201 4,299 4,735 13,189 4,963 1,608 1,914 1,944 1,744 1,895 2,080 2,770 3,575 1,409 4,772 4,705 4,382 3,202 371 4,718 5,473 5,257 1,201 5,759 5,542 1,248 5,908 950 769 935 803 900 824 813 753 980 799 900 833 234 -524 294 -461 317 -566 287 353 285 51,167 61,538 66,388 61,464 68,504 77,887 -597 -626 -760 -597 -626 -760 -1,505 -1,713 -1,636 -1,505 -1,713 -1,636 49,065 59,200 63,992 59,362 66,165 75,490 1970 actual 1970 actual Receipts 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR .19 72 This group of funds reflects an excess of receipts of $7 to $11.5 billion each year, as follows (in millions of dollars): 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 59,362 49,065 66,165 59,200 75,490 63,992 10,297 6,965 11,499 Total receipts, trust funds Total outlays, trust funds Excess of receipts, trust funds The activities of the trust revolving fund subgroup are shown in table B-7. Several of such funds, representing mixed-ownership corporations, were eliminated from the scope of this fund group, when the enterprises became privately owned during 1969. Table B-7. T R U S T REVOLVING F U N D TRANSACTIONS (in millions of dollars) Applicable receipts Description 1970 actual Civil Service Commission (employees' life insurance and health benefits) Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation All other trust revolving funds.. Total trust funds1 Gross outlays 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1,415 1,585 1,850 1,230 1,432 1,684 396 124 391 129 454 134 68 113 83 129 52 136 1,411 1,644 1,871 revolving Receipts from the public Receipts from other accounts. _ 1 1971 estimate 1,935 (1,332) (603) 2,105 2,438 (1,335) (770) (1.465) (973) Excludes right-of-way revolving fund which is a part of the highway trust funds. Balances of the trust funds.—The balances of the trust funds continue to increase, as shown in the following end-of-year figures (in millions of dollars): 1969 actual Open book balances Investments in U.S. securities: Publicdebt Agency debt Total __. 1970 actuml 197! etlimatt 1972e$timat$ 3.891 4,529 5,355 5,303 80.403 2.293 90.654 2.051 97,328 1.616 109,204 1,291 86.587 97,234 104,299 115,797 The breakdown of the balances by fund is disclosed in table B-8. The amounts include both open book balances with Treasury and investments in U.S. securities. Part of the balances is obligated, part is unobligated. The balances on an authorization basis exceed the cash balances because for a few accounts budget authority is not the same as receipts; these differences are listed in the note appended to the table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 29 For 1972, as in many recent years, the largest net investments are expected to be those of the trust funds established by the Social Security Act as amended. Table B-8. T R U S T FUND BALANCES (in millions of dollars) Description Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund___ Federal disability insurance trust fund Health insurance trust funds Unemployment trust fund Railroad retirement accounts Federal employees retirement funds Airport and airway trust fund Highway trust funds Foreign military sales trust fund Veterans life insurance funds Other trust funds (nonrevolving) Trust revolving funds Total As of June 30 1969 ictual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 28,119 3,659 2,353 12,566 4,631 20,491 32,611 5,085 2,735 13,117 4,843 22,496 1,524 605 7,092 538 5,009 86,587 1972 estimate 2,615 468 7,143 589 5,533 33,821 6,138 4,674 11,441 4,875 24,571 830 3,656 513 7,139 647 5,994 36,919 6,994 8,829 11,184 5,035 26,539 669 4,792 513 7,149 614 6,561 97,234 104,299 115,797 Note.—The balances shown here cover the amounts on deposit with Treasury, and the U.S. securities held. In addition, certain funds have authority to obligate in advance of receiving moneys, and to borrow from the public. The reconciliation is as follows: Balance available on an authorization basis Unfinanced contract authorizations: Airport and airway trust fund Highway trust funds Foreign military sale trust fund Office of Saline Water Unappropriated receipts: Available as needed, on an indefinite basis Available for appropriation by Congress: Soldiers* Home permanent fund Airport and airway trust fund Highway trust funds Retained as permanent endowment Balance available on a cash basis 1969 98,344 1970 109,860 1971 116,378 1972 128,090 -11,364 -2,037 -8 —840 -12,478 -1,962 -3 —780 -13,615 -1,832 —688 -14,698 -1,782 23 18 18 18 110 111 108 1,513 6 2,522 6 110 402 3,611 6 4,743 6 86,587 97,234 104,299 115,797 FLOW OF GOVERNMENT-ADMINISTERED FUNDS Although the main budget figures offset certain receipts in arriving at the outlays, it is possible to reconstruct the data to reflect the gross receipts and outlays, without offsets. Table B-9 presents such a statement. It differs from the unified, comprehensive budget only with respect to grossing and netting, and the distribution here of the nonfunctional adjustments to outlays shown in other tables. The items which are grossed here, but treated as offsets elsewhere, are as follows (in millions of dollars): 30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Receipts regularly offset in individual accounts: Receipts of public enterprise funds (table B-5) Receipts of trust revolving funds (table B-7) Reimbursements to other appropriations and funds: Department of Defense—Military Sale of student loan notes, Office of Education Other agencies Receipts offset for the budget by agency and function (table 13) _ - _ Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 17,944 1,332 20,710 1,335 20,774 1,465 2,530 2,375 _ _ _ 906 1,150 3,814 5,273 26,526 30,843 2,372 400 1,129 5,306 31,446 Table B-9. GROSS FLOW OF GOVERNMENT-ADMINISTERED FUNDS (in millions of dollars) Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions Unemployment insurance Contributions for other insurance and retirement Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Other receipts from the public: General and special funds Public enterprise funds . Trust funds (excluding trust revolving funds) Trust revolving funds Reimbursements to appropriations and other funds Total receipts from the public 90,412 32,829 88,300 30,100 93,700 36,700 39,133 3,464 2,701 15,705 3,644 2,430 42,297 3,604 3,072 16,800 3,730 2,490 50,225 4,183 3,151 17,500 5,300 2,700 5,717 17,944 1,522 1,332 3,436 7,338 20,710 1,735 1,335 3,525 7,784 20,774 1,656 1,465 3,901 220,269 225,036 249,039 84,696 5,574 3,787 11,613 4,127 16,453 5,663 7,496 13,745 43,374 9,956 14,704 1,926 81,248 5,916 3,418 12,038 5,423 19,002 6,642 8,643 15,761 55,102 11,638 15,013 2,952 82,486 6,337 3,198 10,648 6,297 20,133 7,802 9,505 16,955 60,330 12,418 14,692 3,908 500 300 4,019 1,000 950 223,114 243,598 260,678 -2,845 -18,562 -11,639 PAYMENTS BY FUNCTION National defense (including DOD pay increases) International affairs and finance Space research and technology Agriculture and rural development Natural resources Commerce and transportation Community development and housing Education and manpower Health . Income security Veterans benefits and services Interest _ _ . General government Allowances for: Added amount for revenue sharing Pay increases (excluding Department of Defense) Contingencies Total payments to the public Excess of payments ( - ) —,._- SPECIAL ANALYSIS C BORROWING AND INVESTMENTS The major fiscal responsibilities of the Federal Government include not only the collection of revenues and the disbursement of cash necessary to finance the day-to-day operations of Government programs, but also: • The borrowing of additional cash to meet requirements not covered by current revenues and to refinance maturing obligations; • The management and investment of balances not currently required by trust funds and other accounts for outlays; and • The provision of advice and assistance, including, in many cases, Government guarantees for borrowing by certain nonFederal borrowers. This analysis summarizes current developments and trends in borrowings and in investments in U.S. Government securities made by the Treasury Department and other Federal agencies. It also includes discussion of the statutory limitation on the Federal debt, and summarizes current and expected developments in borrowing by Government-sponsored enterprises and in Government-guaranteed debt issued by non-Federal borrowers. All of these factors are significant in determining the impact of the programs contained in the 1972 Federal budget on financial markets. BORROWING FROM AND REPAYMENT TO THE PUBLIC One measure of the impact of Federal fiscal policies on the economy and on financial markets is the volume of net Government borrowing from the public. Borrowing within the Federal Government itself— Table C-1. NET CHANGES IN FEDERAL BORROWING (in millions of dollars) Increase or decrease (—) Description Gross Federal debt: Publicdebt (issued by Treasury) Agency debt (issued by agencies) Total gross Federal debt l Less debt held by Government agencies: Publicdebt Agency debt Increase in debt held by the public 1 1972 estimate Outstanding end 1972 estimate 17,199 25,926 23,556 -1,739 -1,497 -1,189 419,576 9,824 1970 actual _.. 1971 estimate 15,460 24,429 22,367 429,400 10,355 -293 7,314 -484 12,110 -343 114,594 1,726 5,397 17,600 10,600 313,080 Excludes notes issued to the International Monetary Fund 31 32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 mainly borrowing from trust funds—only indirectly affects the financial markets. Table C-l summarizes net changes in Federal borrowing for 1970 through 1972. Net Federal borrowing from the public is expected to be $17.6 billion in 1971 and $10.6 billion in 1972. SIZE AND GROWTH OF FEDERAL DEBT Federal debt has risen over most of the past two decades. During the 15-year period ending with 1970, gross Federal debt rose by about 39%, and the portion borrowed from the public rose by about 26%. This was substantially less than the increases of 250% in State and local government debt, 215% in corporate debt, and 220% in personal debt. Consequently, net borrowing by the Federal Government, although significant, has become a relatively smaller factor in financial markets. In recent years, however, an increasing portion of the Federal securities sold has been in relatively short maturities. The present 4%% statutory ceiling on interest rates payable on marketable issues with maturities exceeding 7 years is substantially below long-term market rates. As a result, no new direct Treasury obligations with long maturities have been issued since January 1965. This has tended to concentrate Federal borrowing in the short end of the market and to increase both the gross dollar volume and the number of offerings each year. Since 1965, the average length of Treasury marketable debt instruments has declined from about 53^> years to about 33^ years, and the amount of debt that needs refunding each year now exceeds $100 billion. Table C-2. COMPARISON OF TRENDS IN FEDERAL DEBT, INTEREST, AND GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (in billions of dollars) Fiscal year 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 . 1964 . 1965 1966 1967 1968... 1969 1970 1971 estimate 1 __. Debt held Gross Federal by public, end of debt, end 1 year of year Interest on debt held by public 226.6 222.2 219.4 226.4 235.0 237.2 238.6 248.4 254.4 257.6 261.6 264.7 267.5 290.6 279.5 284.9 302.4 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.5 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.8 9.4 10.0 10.6 11.8 12.8 14.3 14.8 15.9 274.4 272.8 272.4 279.7 287.8 290.9 292.9 303.3 310.8 316.8 323.2 329.5 341.4 369.8 367.1 382.6 407.0 GNP for 379 409 431 440 469 495 506 542 573 612 654 721 770 827 898 956 1,012 Debt held by public Inter est as p>er- of GNP GNIP 59.8 54.3 50.9 51.5 50.1 47.9 47.2 45.8 44.4 42.1 40.0 36.7 34.9 35.3 31.0 29.8 29.9 t of 1.37 M .39 1 45 1 V 63 1 55 47 1 53 I S3 1.52 1.47 1.53 1.54 59 1 54 1.57 Excludes special notes issued to International Monetary Fund and international lending agencies. SPECIAL ANALYSES 33 In the aggregate, Federal debt held by the public has risen much less than the increase in the Nation's gross national product. The publicly held Federal debt outstanding at the end of 1955 amounted to almost 60% of the gross national product during the year. By the close of 1970, the comparable ratio had fallen to only 30% (see table 0-2). On the other hand, changes in the net interest cost of the debt held by the public may be more significant than changes in the total amount of debt. As a result of the general increase in interest rates since 1960, the amount of interest payable on both new cash borrowings and refundings has increased substantially. Between 1955 and 1970, net interest paid to the public almost tripled (increasing from $5.2 to $14.8 billion), while the interest-bearing debt was up by only 26%. In that period, interest costs grew more rapidly than the gross national product. In 1970, net interest paid to the public amounted to 1.54% of the gross national product, compared with 1.37% in 1955. BORROWING BY FEDERAL AGENCIES Some Government agencies are authorized to issue their own debt instruments to the public or to other Government agencies and funds. Such agency borrowing is part of the Federal debt, as the term is used in the summary tables of the budget. Since the disbursement of such borrowed money represents a budget outlay, the authorization to borrow likewise represents budget authority. New or additional borrowing authority was recently granted to the Postal Service and the Tennessee Valley Authority—$10 billion and $3.2 billion, respectively. The Postal Service may borrow up to $2 billion a year and may borrow either from the public or from the Treasury. Net changes in outstanding agency debt (other than debt owed to the Treasury) are shown in table C-3. For both 1971 and 1972, agency debt repayments will exceed their new borrowings by $1.5 billion and $1.2 billion, respectively. About half of the agency debt of $9.8 billion estimated to be outstanding on June 30, 1972, will consist of $5.4 billion in certificates of participation in pools of loans issued in prior years by the Government National Mortgage Association, as trustee on behalf of the Departments of Agriculture; Health, Education, and Welfare; and Housing and Urban Development; the Veterans Administration; and the Small Business Administration. No further issuance of such certificates of participation is currently planned. Other major types of agency debt include portfolio certificates and debentures sold by the Export-Import Bank, family housing mortgages issued by the Department of Defense and the Coast Guard, revenue bonds issued by the Tennessee Valley Authority, and debentures by the Federal Housing Administration (in payment of some of the insurance claims arising from Federal mortgage insurance). The Government provides capital for certain of its business-type activities in the form of "debt"; that is, some government enterprises have, in addition to capital stock, issued notes or other types of debt 430-700 O—71 34 T H E BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1 9 7 2 instruments to the Treasury (in return for cash). Since these differ only in form, but not in substance, from other methods of providing capital to the enterprises, these amounts are not shown as liabilities, but as a part of the Government's ownership equity on the enterprise statements of financial condition in the Budget Appendix, and these amounts are similarly excluded from figures on agency "debt" or "borrowing" throughout the budget documents. Table C-3. AGENCY BORROWING 1 (in millions of dollars) Increase or decrease ( - ) Description 1970 actual Borrowing from the public: Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation 2 Farmers Home Administration Rural Electrification Administration Defense Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: College housing loans Public facility loans ". Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association Veterans Administration Export-Import Bank Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Allother Total borrowing from the public Borrowing from other funds: Agriculture 2 Defense Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: College housing loans Public facility loans. Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association Veterans Administration Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Total borrowing from other funds Total agency borrowing^ 1971 estimate —1,583 -198 -44 -74 13 -109 -5 —51 —216 -264 -579 -269 302 2 1972 estimate Outstanding end 1972 estimate -79 -1 -97 58 -77 -3 394 58 1,377 140 -650 -1 —45 —57 -65 -480 -61 470 2 -328 -3 2 —123 -58 -604 -148 530 5 320 102 472 1,011 1,098 808 337 1,966 16 -1,013 -846 8,098 -209 -14 -17 -19 -15 -1 -48 -15 - 3 165 212 59 -208 * —11 25 128 44 -34 -335 -1 —5 —25 -28 —27 -30 -94 -3 —3 —68 -41 —69 133 43 91 423 459 141 -299 -484 -344 1,726 -3,030 _3,329 -1,497 -1,189 9,824 * Less than $500 thousand. 1 Excludes agency borrowing from Treasury. 2 Transactions for 1970 include repayment of $1,583 million of CCC certificates of interest held by the public and $7 million held by other funds. The certificates were reclassified on July 1, 1969. from sales of guaranteed loans to borrowing; the reclassifi cation is excluded from this table. AGENCY INVESTMENTS IN FEDERAL SECURITIES Trust funds and some public enterprise funds accumulate cash in excess of current requirements in order to meet possible future claims and demands. Such temporary cash surpluses are usually invested in SPECIAL ANALYSES 35 public debt or agency securities. These investments, in turn, are "cashed" as the money is needed for disbursement. Neither purchases nor redemptions of these securities are counted as budget outlays or receipts. Table C-4. AGENCY INVESTMENTS IN FEDERAL SECURITIES (in millions of dollars) Description Investment in public debt (issued by Treasury): Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors ins. trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund Federal supplementary medical ins. trust fund Housing and Urban Development: Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association Other Interior: Indian Tribal Funds Labor: Unemployment trust fund Transportation: Highway trust fund Treasury: Exchange Stabilization Fund Veterans Administration: Trus t funds Other Civil Service Commission: Trust funds Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.: Trust fund Federal Home Loan Bank Board: FSLIC Railroad Retirement Board: Trust funds All other Total investments in public debt Investment in agency debt: Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors ins. trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund Housing and Urban Development: Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association l Labor: Unemployment trust fund Veterans Administration: Trust funds Civil Service Commission: Trust funds Federal Home Loan Bank Board: FSLIC Railroad Retirement Board: Trust funds Allother Total investments in agency debt Total agency investments in Federal securities. Increase or decrease ( - ) in investments 1970 actual 3,953 1,392 693 -345 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Holdings end 1972 estimate 1,212 1,035 1,744 249 3,142 889 3,909 221 33,815 6,674 8,236 484 134 215 -336 207 28 11 181 553 -1,523 1,089 1,038 -10 -12 233 -251 12 -166 1,135 1,437 629 82 200 11,099 4,775 116 59 1,960 328 173 318 69 36 52 2,202 405 152 98 42 6,815 531 27,047 5,196 2,593 4,765 216 66 66 2,414 310 152 123 19 10,354 7,314 12,110 114,594 —85 —15 —20 —50 —50 505 —50 —3 —48 —65 -75 —5 —38 —100 -70 —35 —4 —8 —100 -25 —100 -50 -7 -110 -6 -6 310 375 160 50 60 -299 -484 -344 1,726 10,055 6,830 11,767 116,320 50 68 148 1 Transactions for 1970 include this investment of $7 million of CCC certificates of interest, reclassified as debt as of July 1, 1969. As shown in table C-4, net investments by Government agencies and trust funds in Government securities are estimated to rise $6.8 billion in 1971 and an additional $11.8 billion in 1972. The total investments of Government agencies and trust funds will reach an 36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 estimated $116.3 billion by June 30, 1972. This means that they will hold about 27% of the gross Federal debt. Four major trust funds— the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Fund, the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Insurance Fund, the Unemployment Trust Fund, and the National Service Life Insurance Fund of the Veterans Administration—account for three-quarters of these holdings. LIMITATIONS ON FEDERAL DEBT Since enactment of the Second Liberty Bond Act in 1917, a general statutory limitation has been placed on the amount of certain types of Federal debt that can be outstanding at any one time. The limit currently applies to a special definition of the debt, consisting of: • All public debt issued by the Treasury since September 1917, whether held by the Government or by the public; • Agency debt in the form of participation certificates issued during 1968 under the Participation Sales Act of 1966; and • Other debt issued by Federal agencies which, accord'ng to explicit statutes, is fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by the United States. The statutory limit based on this definition is $395 billion for the period beginning July 1, 1970, and ending on June 30, 1971. This includes a temporary increase of $15 billion, which expires on June 30, 1971, after which the permanent limit of $380 billion becomes effective. The outstanding debt subject to this limit at the end of 1970, 1971, and 1972, is compared with the corresponding Federal debt held by the public and the gross Federal debt in table C-5. The Federal debt held by the public is projected to increase by $17.6 billion in 1971 and by $10.6 billion in 1972. The debt subject to statutory limitation is scheduled to rise by $24.9 billion and $23.6 billion, respectively. The difference is due primarily to the fact that the debt subject to limitation includes most of the debt held by Government trust funds and other agencies and the estimated increases in such holdings equal or exceed the rise in the debt subject to limitation. Since the statutory limit declines, while the debt subject to limit is rising, an increase in the debt limit will be necessary. In addition to the broad range of Treasury and agency obligations subject to the general debt limitation, borrowing by other agencies in most cases is subject to explicit statutory authorization; e.g., outstanding revenue bonds issued by the Tennessee Valley Authority are currently limited to $5 billion. SPECIAL ANALYSES 37 Table C-5. DEBT SUBJECT TO GENERAL STATUTORY LIMITATION (in millions of dollars) End of year Description Federal debt held by the public Add: Federal securities held by Government agencies Gross Federal debt Deduct: Public debt not subject to limitation Agency debt not subject to general limitation: Departmentof Defense Export-Import Bank Tennessee Valley Authority Participation certificates1 Rural Electrification Administration Other__. Total Federal debt not subject to limitation Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Add: District of Columbia Stadium bonds Special notes held by International Monetary Fund Total debt subject to statutory limitation . _. 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 284,880 302,480 313,080 97,723 104,553 116,320 382,603 407,033 429,400 631 430 430 1,772 1,893 996 4,720 1,679 1,412 1,436 4,540 12 10,024 13 9,510 1,579 808 1,966 3,455 58 27 8,323 372,580 397,523 421,077 20 825 20 825 20 825 373,425 398,368 421,922 1 Represents certificates of participation issued by Government National Mortgage Association as trustee for 5 departments and agencies (excluding those issued during 1968). BORROWING BY GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED ENTERPRISES Six Government-sponsored enterprises, in which there is currently no Government investment, borrow under Government auspices. The borrowing programs of all six enterprises are subject to Federal supervision. All, in addition, consult the Treasury Department, either by law or custom, in planning their market offerings. The Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal home loan banks are required to obtain Treasury approval of the terms and timing of specific offerings and the Treasury Department is authorized to purchase limited amounts of their obligations. Four of the six enterprises are systems of regional lending institutions that pool their borrowings. All of the established enterprises have a long history of successful financial performance. Hence, despite the absence of explicit Federal guarantees, the obligations of these enterprises are sold at interest rates only slightly higher than those obtained on direct Treasury issues. Each of these Government-sponsored agencies expanded its borrowing in 1970 and anticipates expansion in 1971 and 1972 (see table C-6). Total net new borrowing by the six Government-sponsored enterprises as a whole is expected to rise by $7.5 billion in 1971, and by another $9.2 billion in 1972. The large increases in such borrowing reflect the strong support provided to the housing market by the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal home loan banks, and the new Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, recently established to provide a secondary market for residential mortgages. 38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table C-6. NET BORROWING OF GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED ENTERPRISES (in millions of dollars) Description Housing and Urban Development: Federal National Mortgage Association Farm Credit Administration: Banks for cooperatives ._._ Federal intermediate credit banks Federal land b a n k s . . . . Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal home loan banks... Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.__ _ Total.... Increase or decrease (—) 1970 actual 5,087 1971 1972 estimate estimate 3,820 Outstanding end 1972 estimate 3,645 20,631 116 729 425 43 621 443 76 699 502 1,643 6,287 7,229 4,359 2,120 470 3,000 1,245 15,000 1,715 10,716 7,517 9,167 52,505 GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES OF NON-FEDERAL BORROWING Seven departments and seven independent Federal agencies guarantee, in whole or in part, obligations issued by specific groups of nonFederal borrowers. Net changes in outstanding guaranteed debt of such borrowers are shown by agency and program in table C-7. The bulk of the obligations so guaranteed are mortgage loans to help private borrowers to buy or build housing; these are insured by the Federal Housing Administration or the Farmers Home Administration, or guaranteed by the Veterans Administration. In these and other programs, Government insurance or guarantees reduce or eliminate the risk of loss for private lenders and thus broaden the access of eligible borrowers to financial markets or improve the terms on which they can obtain needed funds. In some cases, the Federal agency provides direct or indirect subsidies; e.g., by payment of: (1) Most of the debt service on bonds issued by local public authorities to finance construction of low-rent public housing—as well as placement fees on public housing and urban renewal notes when market rates exceed 6%; (2) the full amount of interest payments during school and service years on most insured loans to students, plus incentive payments to lenders during the life of loan to the extent necessary to provide equitable returns; and (3) supplementary interest payments by the Farmers Home Administration in placing loans with private lenders. In a few cases, a Federal agency sponsors offerings of guaranteed obligations for a number of borrowers simultaneously; e.g., the periodic offerings of guaranteed public housing notes and bonds and urban renewal notes by the Department of Housing and Urban Development. In many cases, guarantees of non-Federal obligations have only an indirect effect on the budget. Nevertheless, they help to assure financing of programs or projects that, in the absence of such support, might have been financed elsewhere on less favorable terms, if at all. In some cases, sales of direct Federal loans to private lenders with the aid of Federal guarantees enable the program in question to make new loans that otherwise could not have been made within prevailing budget totals. Net additions to guaranteed non-Federal SPECIAL ANALYSES 39 debt arising from sale of direct loans by four major programs, less repurchases (puts), are shown in the footnote at the bottom of table C-7. As table C-7 indicates, outstanding guaranteed debt of non-Federal borrowers will increase by $17.9 billion in 1971 and by another $24.5 billion in 1972, primarily because of heavy federally assisted borrowing for housing. By the end of 1972, such guaranteed debt will amount to an estimated $167.5 billion. The volume and trends in this type of financial assistance are discussed more fully in Special Analysis E, "Federal Credit Programs." 1 Table C-7. NET GOVERNMENT-GUARANTEED BORROWING BY NONFEDERAL BORROWERS (in millions of dollars) Description Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance International development assistance Agriculture: Farmers Home Administration Commerce: Economic Development Administration Trade adjustment assistance Maritime Administration Health, Education, and Welfare: Student loans Medical facilities loans Academic facilities loans Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent public housing Community development loans Federal Housing Administration New communities fund Tra nsportation: Federal Railroad Administration Veterans Administration District of Columbia Export-Import Bank Small Business Administration All other Total1 Increase or decrease (—) 1970 actual Outstanding end 1972 estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 82 54 2,173 —46 —36 944 —54 65 1,737 348 256 7,633 —11 —1 13 100 1,128 88 296 100 202 1,172 902 500 26 1,425 500 296 4,279 1,000 322 940 287 4,593 1. 113 1,051 376 11,118 95 100 1,125 -88 204 -599 758 550 145 1,187 453 14,530 105 25 2,214 71 936 617 63 10,310 3,791 93,242 200 125 39,379 91 2,894 1,976 363 10,008 17,902 24,472 167,450 1 Includes net increase in outstanding debt resulting from direct loans sold with Federal guarantees to private lenders minus repurchases (puts) by following programs: 1970 Agriculture: Farmers Home Administration Housing and Urban Development Veterans Administration Export-Import Bank Total 1 See table E-3. 1971 1972 1,109 1,492 38 146 300 420 2,037 230 432 400 1,293 2,212 3,099 40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 TOTAL FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY ASSISTED BORROWING Federally assisted borrowing is expected to grow more than Federal borrowing from the public in both 1971 and 1972. Table C-8 summarizes the developments in the three categories of borrowing, together with adjustments necessary to eliminate double counting. Federal borrowing from the public is expected to increase $17.6 billion in 1971 and grow another $10.6 billion in 1972. Total Federal and federally assisted borrowing from the public is expected to increase $38.3 billion in 1971 and $40.6 billion in 1972. Table C-8. NET BORROWING FROM PUBLIC BY GOVERNMENT, GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED AND GOVERNMENTGUARANTEED AGENCIES (in billions of dollars) Increase or decrease (—) Description 1970 actual Federal borrowing from the public l 2 1971 1972 estimate estimate Outstanding end 1972 estimate 5.4 17.6 10.6 313.1 Debt of Government-sponsored agencies Less borrowing or repayment (—) of debt held by Government agencies 10.7 7.5 9.2 52.5 —.4 —.1 * * Net Government-sponsored borrowing from public. 11.1 7.6 9.2 52.5 10.0 17.9 24.5 167.5 5.4 .6 4.0 .5 .3 3.7 * * 21.1 5.5 .3 Net Government-guaranteed borrowing from public by non-Federal borrowers 4.0 13.1 20.8 140.6 Total, Federal and federally assisted borrowing from public 20.5 38.3 40.6 506.2 3 Government guaranteed debt of non-Federal borrowers _ Less borrowing from Government or Government-sponsored agencies: Federal National Mortgage Association Government National Mortgage Association Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation *Less than $500 thousand. 1 See table C-l. 2 See table C-6. » See table C-7. SPECIAL ANALYSIS D INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS This analysis focuses on the distinction between outlays that are of an investment or "capital" nature and outlays directed to operating, or "current," purposes. To facilitate the analysis, the outlays presented in the budget as loan and expenditure accounts are classified in the following three categories: Investment-type outlays—yields benefits over several years, and consists of investments in: • Federal assets of both a physical and financial nature; • State, local, and private physical assets; • Developmental expenditures to add to the Nation's capacity for better education, technical innovation, and health services. Current outlays—provides benefits in the year that they are made and consists of: • Aid and special services to agriculture, business, labor, homeowners, tenants, veterans, and for international commitments and Federal welfare obligations. • Ketirement and social insurance representing Federal trusts established to provide an assured income to contributors or their families in the event of unemployment, retirement, disability, or death. • Other services and current operating expenses, including transactions such as: operation and administration of Federal departments and agencies; repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets; regulatory and control activities; and interest. Unclassified outlays—which cannot be classified in either of the above two categories are placed in this residual classification. It includes: • Allowance for revenue sharing, containing amounts covering the President's proposal for general revenue sharing, as well as additions to the detailed budget estimates that would accompany the conversion of various Federal aids to proposed special revenuesharing grants; • Allowance for pay increases for civilian agencies (the corresponding pay increases for the military and civilian personnel of the Department of Defense are included in the national defense details); • Allowance for contingencies; and • Certain financial adjustments that cannot conveniently, or precisely, be distributed, such as proprietary receipts and the employer share of employee retirement. Each of the major classifications is subdivided so that civil and national defense outlays can be separately analyzed. The national defense grouping in this analysis corresponds to the national defense 41 42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 function in the budget; the civil grouping includes all other functions in the budget. Table D-1. SUMMARY OF INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in billions of dollars) Outlays 1970 1971 1972 actual estimate estimate INVESTMENT-TYPE OUTLAYS Additions to Federal assets: Civil: Loans and other financial investments 3. 1 2.5 2.7 2.2 .6 .3 23.8 3.0 —.4 .4 20.9 3.4 —.3 .6 20.9 6.9 7.8 8.6 * * * 16.8 18.7 20.1 8.9 9.0 9.1 Physical assets: Public works... Major commodity inventories Major equipment and other physical assets National defense Additions to State, local, and private assets: Civil National defense Developmental outlays: Civil National defense Subtotal, investment-type outlays: Civil 30.0 32.1 35.1 National defense 32.7 29.9 30.0 28.0 35.4 38.1 1.5 42.8 1.6 51.8 1.6 55.3 14.7 15.0 14.7 5.5 47.2 7.0 45.4 .9 7.9 44.3 3.6 Civil 91.0 109.2 115.9 National defense 48.7 47.9 49.5 —2.4 —3.4 .5 .3 —2.5 —4.7 4.0 1.0 1.0 —2.5 —4.7 196.6 212.8 229.2 CURRENT OUTLAYS Current expenses for aids and special services: Civil National defense Retirement and social insurance benefits—civil Other services and current operating expenses: Civil: Interest Other National defense Allowances, Department of Defense Subtotal, current outlays: UNCLASSIFIED ITEMS Allowances: Added amount for revenue sharing Pay increases (excluding Department of Defense) Contingencies Employer share, employee retirement (—) Proprietary receipts from the public ( - ) 1 Total budget outlays 1 Excludes loan repayments deposited in miscellaneous receipts and offset in the loan and expenditure account as follows: 1970 1971 1972 Loan repayments offset in the loan account —249 —265 —287 Repayments offset in the expenditure account —205 —268 —298 Summary.—The primary factors influencing investments and current outlays in 1972 are: SPECIAL ANALYSES 43 • The proportion of the budget dedicated to civil purposes is expected to be $151.0 billion, 66% of the total 1972 budget. • Additions to Federal civil assets are expected to be $6.4 billion in 1972, an increase of $0.9 billion, or 16% over 1971. • Investments in State and local, and private assets will be $8.6 billion, an increase of $0.8 billion, growing by 10%. • Development investments in education, training, and health amount to $13.2 billion in 1972, an increase of $1.1 billion, or 10%, over 1971. • Current outlays for welfare are $11.9 billion, growing at a 24% rate, up $2.3 billion from 1971. • Current outlays for Homeowners and Tenants will have an estimated growth of $0.5 billion, and will be $0.9 billion in 1972. • Retirement and social insurance systems will be $55.3 billion in 1972, an increase of $3.5 billion over 1971, making these benefit payments 24% of the total 1972 budget. • As part of a comprehensive new revenue-sharing program, general revenue sharing with State and local governments is proposed, amounting to $5 billion on a first full-year basis and adding $3.75 billion to 1972 outlays. • Significant reductions occur in private assets (down $0.4 billion), agriculture (down $0.6 billion), international aids (down $0.9 billion), other aids and special services (down $0.3 billion), and unemployment benefits (down $0.8 billion). Table D-2. CIVIL INVESTMENTS AND CURRENT OPERATING OUTLAYS Percent of total outlays 1968 actual INVESTMENT-TYPE 1969 actual 1970 actual 1972 estimate OUTLAYS Additions to Federal assets: Loans Other financial investments Public worksites and direct construction Major commodity inventories Major equipment Other physical assets—acquisition and improvement 4. 6 .2 1.4 —. 5 .1 1.8 .1 1.2 .2 .1 1. 5 1 1 3 1 .1 .1 .1 5.8 3. 4 3.0 .6 Subtotal, additions to State, local, and private assets Other development outlays: Education, training, and health Research and development Engineering and natural resources surveys x__ Subtotal, additions to Federal assets Additions to State, local, and private assets: State and local assets Private assets Subtotal, other development outlays Total, investment-type outlays See footnotes at end of table. 1971 estimate 1.0 .1 1.4 _ .2 .1 1.0 .2 1.5 -.1 .1 3.2 2.6 2.8 3.0 .6 3.0 .5 3.2 .5 3.3 .4 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.7 4.5 3.8 .1 4.8 3.5 .1 5.3 3.2 .1 5.7 3.0 .1 5.8 2.9 .1 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.8 8.8 17.8 15.4 15.2 15.1 15.3 r. 44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-2. CIVIL INVESTMENTS AND CURRENT OPERATING OUTLAYS— Continued Percent of total outlays 1968 actual CURRENT OUTLAYS Current outlays for aids and special services: Agriculture 2 Business 2 Labor Homeowners and tenants 2 Veterans 2 International aids Welfare aids Other aids and special services 2 1969 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2.1 1.0 .4 -.2 4.0 1.0 2.4 1.5 2.3 .9 .4 -.2 4.1 .9 2.5 1.9 2.2 .9 .4 -.0 4.4 .7 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.0 .4 .2 4.8 .7 4.5 2.7 1.9 1.0 .4 .4 4.7 .6 5.2 2.4 Subtotal, current expenses for aids and special services 12.3 12.7 14.3 16.6 16.6 Retirement and social insurance benefits: Insurance benefits Unemployment benefits Other retirement and social insurance benefits 2_ 16.4 1.1 1.1 18.5 1.1 1.3 19.1 1.4 1.3 20.7 2.4 1.3 21.0 1.9 1.2 Subtotal, retirement and social insurance benefits 18.7 20.9 21.8 24.3 24.1 Other services and current operating expenses: Repair, maintenance and operation of physical assets (excluding special services) Regulation and control Other operation and administration Interest 2 .4 .4 1.7 6.4 .4 .5 -1.6 7.0 .5 .5 1.8 7.5 .5 .7 2.1 7.1 .7 .8 2.2 6.4 Subtotal, other services and current operating expenses 8.9 9.5 10.3 10.4 9.8 Total, current outlays 39.9 43.1 46.3 51.3 50.6 Total, investment-type outlays and current outlays 57.7 58.5 61.5 66.4 65.9 1 Includes offsets for interbudgetary transactions. Note.—Subtotals and totals may not add due to rounding. OUTLAYS OF AN INVESTMENT NATURE Outlays of an investment nature are divided into three categories: (1) additions to Federal assets; (2) additions to State, local, and private assets; and (3) developmental outlays. The investment-type portion of civil outlays is $35.1 billion, approximately 15% of the budget, and growing at a rate of 9%. Defense investments are $30 billion, comprising 61% of the 1972 defense budget. SPECIAL ANALYSES 45 Additions to Federal assets.—This category comprises additions to both financial and physical assests of the Federal Government. Civil Federal assets which in 1972 will be $6.4 billion, increasing by $0.9 billion, or 15% from the 1971 level. The financial assets are primarily direct loans—for example, loans to finance private housing construction and encourage homeownership, to help small businesses, to finance rural electric and telephone systems, and to promote economic development abroad. Federal financial assets include both loans and other financial investments that are classified in tha expenditure account, as well as loans in the loan account. Other financial investments include the capital provided for certain international organizations. Civil loans and financial assets are estimated at $2.3 billion and represent 1% of the 1972 budget. Loans are expected to increase by $0.1 billion and other financial investments by $0.1 billion. Special Analysis E discusses financial investments in greater detail. Additions to physical assets include outlays for public works, such as dam construction, flood control projects, Federal power systems, changes in major commodity inventories and outlays for major equipment (including military equipment) and for the acquisition and improvement of real property and other physical assets. Additions to civil physical assets are $3.7 billion in 1972, an increase of $0. 7 billion over 1971. The major change is in outlays for sites and direct construction, which are expected to increase by $0.3 billion. Additions to State, local, and private assets.—Federal outlays in this category add to State, local, and private assets. Grants that add to the physical assets of State and local governments are primarily for the construction of highways (mainly through the highway trust fund), hospitals, airports, waste-treatment works, watershed protection projects, schools in federally affected areas, and public facilities under economic development programs for depressed regions. Outlays that increase the value of privately owned assets are largely for the conservation and improvement of private farmland and water, for grants for construction of private nonprofit hospitals and other health facilities, and for construction subsidies to the merchant fleet. Civil additions to State, local, and private assets in 1972 will be $8.6 billion, an increase of $0.8 billion, primarily in Federal contribution to highways, hospitals, and other facilities. The increase, although substantial, will be at a slower rate, falling from an annual rate of 14% in 1971 to 10% in 1972. However, the 1972 increase could be much greater if State and local governments use the discretion permitted under the new revenue-sharing program to add to their physical assets. Developmental outlays.—Federal outlays of this type are principally for research and development, education and health, and other programs that improve the Nation's knowledge, technical skills, and physical vigor. The Federal outlays shown in this category do not 46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 fully reflect the Government's contribution to the productivity of the economy. Certain other programs that further this end are classified in accordance with their principal purpose; thus, veterans educational benefits are listed as veterans aids rather than as developmental outlays. Similarly, the training of military personnel or other Government personnel is treated as an operating expense and not as part of the Government's education and training programs. Civil developmental outlays are $20.1 billion, an increase of $1.4 billion from 1971, and is growing by 7%, a decrease from the 11% rate in 1971. Civil outlays for education, training, and health are $13.2 billion in 1972. This amount is 6% of the 1972 outlays, an increase of 10% over 1971. Current civil outlays for research and development are $6.7 billion in 1972 and reflect an increase of $0.2 billion from the 1971 level. The rate of increase in 1972 is 3%, and maintains the 1971 growth rate. OUTLAYS OF A CURRENT NATURE Outlays of a current nature are divided into the following categories: (1) current expenses for aids and special services; (2) retirement and social insurance benefits; and (3) other services and current operating expenses. The current outlays for civil functions are $115.9 billion, an increase of $6.7 billion from'1971. The rate of increase, however, will decline from 20% in 1971 to 6% in 1972. Current expenses for aids and special services.—Outlays classified under this heading provide aids or special services to certain groups, mainly in the year in which the outlays are made. In addition to such items as outlays for the farm programs of the Commodity Credit Corporation, maritime operating subsidies, veterans pensions, and grants to foreign nations for economic and military assistance, this category includes: (1) administrative and other operating expense, attributable to investment-type programs that benefit specific groups; and (2) the costs of maintaining the physical assets related to those programs. Only part of the Federal Government's aid to special groups is reflected in this classification, which is limited by definition to current expenses. For example, subsidies for the construction of private merchant ships are classified as additions to private assets. Similarly, outlays for which the Federal Government receives assets or collateral (as the acquisition of farm commodities by the Commodity Credit Corporation) are treated as additions to Federal assets. Many indirect Government aids are excluded from this classification either because they are not reflected in outlays or cannot be readily measured. Examples of such indirect benefits are preferential tax treatments. Although outlays in this category essentially provide a direct aid or special service yielding immediate benefits, some of the items included contribute indirectly to the Nation's future development. Among these are grants for several community development purposes. SPECIAL ANALYSES 47 Civil outlays will grow at 8%, increasing by $2.7 billion to a 1972 level of $38.1 billion. The rate of growth, however, of this category has slowed down. There is a 12.7% decrease ($0.6 billion) for agriculture, and a 134% increase ($0.5 billion) for homeowners and tenants. An area that continues at a high growth rate is welfare aid, which is expected to be $11.9 billion in 1972, up by $2.3 billion from 1971 and growing at a 24% rate, which is smaller than the 49% rate being experienced in 1971. Retirement and social insurance benefits.—This category applies only to trust funds. It covers benefit programs that: (1) are financed from special taxes or contributions; and (2) provide insurance against the loss of income due to unemployment, retirement, disability, or death. It does not include outlays for Government employees' health and life insurance expenditures, which are in the form of premium payments to approved companies. A large part of the growth in retirement and social insurance benefits is the result of a growing number of recipients as well as cost-of-living increases. Outlays for these benefits are expected to rise 7% in 1972, to $55.3 billion. These benefits will be 24% of the budget in 1972. Other services and current operating outlays.—The outlays reported under this heading support a wide range of activities. They consist mainly of: pay and subsistence of military personnel; repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets of the national military establishment and general purpose public buildings; conduct of foreign affairs; tax collection; payment of interest on the national debt; and operation and administration of other direct Federal programs not elsewhere classified. These outlays are expected to increase by $0.5 billion and will reach $22.5 billion in 1972. Increases of $0.2 billion for regulation and control, and $0.6 billion for other operation and administration expenses are partially offset by an expected decrease of $0.3 billion in interest payments. UNCLASSIFIED Certain transactions cannot be properly classified into any of the categories described above. The major examples of such transactions include revenue sharing and the special allowances for civilian agency pay increases, and for unforeseeable contingencies. Interfund and intragovernmental receipts arise as a result of transactions between Government agencies or funds. These transactions occur entirely within Government accounts and are deducted from outlays to avoid double counting. In order to provide a measure of outlays by character, most interfund and intragovernmental receipts are allocated to a particular category whenever possible. Thus, for example, interest received by the social security and other trust funds is deducted from the Interest category in order to derive a measure of interest outlays affecting the public. Proprietary receipts from the public, arising from market-oriented or business-type activities of the Government, are unclassified and 48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 offset against total outla}Ts to highlight the net impact of the budget. In addition, Government agency contributions for employee retirement, which help to finance retirement benefits, are deducted as a lump-sum unclassified amount. RELATIONSHIP TO CAPITAL BUDGET The U.S. Government does not produce a capital budget in the sense of a long-range program for the acquisition of assets, with separate financing of capital outlays. Some foreign governments and some State and local governments fund a portion of their capital expenditures by separate borrowing. They exclude most or all such expenditures from their computation of budget totals, except for annual charges to amortize these capital outlays over a number of years. While not a precise measure of the difference between capital and current items, this analysis does provide useful general magnitudes. However, it does not make any allowance for depreciation and obsolescence on existing physical assets, anticipated losses on loan programs, or profit or loss on sales of assets at figures different from their book value. Agencies record such allowances for transactions only where the data will serve program and management needs, as in the case of the public enterprise funds. As a result, it is not possible to determine directly from this analysis the net addition to the value of federally owned assets. Recoverability of outlays.—In general, Government outlays for assets are not expected to be recovered by specific revenues. However, most loans, investment in commodity inventories, the construction of powerplants, and outlays for range and forest improvements on public domain and national forest lands are offset in whole or in part by receipts to the Treasury through repayments and sales, specific charges, or recoveries. Where activities are carried on through revolving funds, such as in the case of most loan programs, receipts are credited directly against disbursements and only the difference is included in the total of outlays in the budget and in this analysis. All other receipts from the public arising from market-oriented or businesstype activities of the Government are offset against total outlays. Whether recovered by specific revenues or not, investment and developmental outlays for both physical and human capital add to the wealth and income of the Nation, and by helping to expand the tax base, augment the Government's potential future revenues. However, this analysis does not attempt to measure the degree of recoverability of developmental outlays, the potential gain in public revenues that will be forthcoming from them, nor the duration of future benefits and their discounted present value. SPECIAL ANALYSES 49 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars) Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS Loans: Loan account—civil: To domestic and private borrowers: Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation: Price support and related prog-ams Rural Electrification Administration Farmers Home Administration: Direct loans Rural housing insurance Emergency credit revolving fund Agricultural credit insurance Other 1 Other1 Department of Commerce: Economic development assistance: Industrial development loans and guarantees Trade adjustment assistance Other Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Higher education facilities loans and other Other Department of Housing and Urban Development: Housing production and mortgage credit: Federal Housing Administration: Housing for the elderly or handicapped College housing loans and other expenses Federal Housing Administration fund Special assistance functions Management and liquidating functions Community development: Rehabilitation loans Housing management Veterans Administration: Loan guaranty revolving fund Veterans direct loans National service life insurance Other1 Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Interstate Commerce Commission: Recoveries on loan guarantees Small Business Administration: Business loans and investment Disaster loans Other agencies 1 Total to domestic and private borrowers. To State and local governments: Department of Commerce: Economic development facilities andother._ ._.. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Higher education facilities loans and other.__ See footnotes at end of table. 430-700 0—71 50 317 75 354 82 338 52 91 —21 —146 -13 1 42 —475 —33 —74 -6 1 -249 —110 —8 —87 -1 * 19 44 -8 -7 21 58 -7 70 9 59 9 11 16 82 83 —55 671 —79 35 1 44 36 112 645 —102 50 —1 26 14 85 432 —367 39 —1 73 26 92 13 —153 30 96 16 —127 —223 102 18 90 —1 5 —1 44 * 73 54 7 78 85 18 110 85 -9 1,587 986 254 39 27 23 31 25 3 50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS—Continued Loans—Continued Loan account—civil—Continued To domestic and private borrowers—Continued Department of Housing and Urban Development: Housing production and mortgage credit: Federal housing Administration: Low-rent public housing loans and other activities College housing loans and other expenses Community development: Urban renewal loans and planning advances Public facility loans Housing management Department of Transportation: Federal Highway Administration: Right-of-way revolving fund (trustfund) . Urban Mass Transportation Administration District of Coiumbia: Capital outlay loans Other agencies Total to State and local governments To foreign borrowers: Export-Import Bank of the United States Other agencies _ Total to foreign borrowers —1 56 12 70 10 28 —6 39 * 47 40 * 1 33 * 3 * 90 3 35 * 114 7 35 * 138 16 253 377 285 292 248 2 398 9 292 250 407 ._ 2,133 1,612 947 Loan account—national defense: To domestic and private borrowers: Other agencies —2 Total loan account—civil Total loan accounts Expenditure account—civil: To domestic and private borrowers: Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation: Price support and related programs Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: National Institutes of Health: Health Manpower Health professions education and nurse training funds. Office of Education: Higher education Department of Justice: law enforcement assistance Other agencies Total to domestic and private borrowers To State and local governments: Other agencies See footnotes at end of table. —1 —1 2,131 1,611 946 —546 —710 86 18 10 164 18 —6 42 * 212 22 5 32 —1 -28 28 3 — 342 —429 120 —1 3 —5 SPECIAL ANALYSES 51 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS—Continued Loans—Continued Expenditure account—civil —Continued To foreign borrowers: Funds appropriated to the President: International development assistance Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation: Public Law 480 credit sales Department of State 867 777 760 446 -3 471 -3 720 -3 Total to foreign borrowers 1,310 1,245 1,478 Total loan repayments deposited in miscellaneous receipt accounts -192 -242 -231 775 576 1,362 Expenditure account—national defense: To domestic and private borrowers: Funds appropriated to the President * * -1 To foreign borrowers: Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance: Military credit sales to Israel Foreign military credit sales Other agencies 70 —2 375 179 —2 125 313 3 68 552 441 —13 —26 —67 55 526 373 830 1,101 1,735 2,961 2,712 2,681 Other financial investments—civil: Investments in quasi-public institutions, trust funds, and international institutions: Funds appropriated to the President: International financial institutions Department of Labor 224 —4 272 —3 352 —2 Total investments in quasi-public institutions, trust funds, and international institutions 220 269 350 Total expenditure account—civil Total to foreign borrowers Total loan repayments deposited in miscellaneous receipt accounts Total expenditure account—national defense Total expenditure accounts Total loans See footnotes at end of table. 52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description Investment-type 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS—Continued Public works—sites and direct construction: Civil: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service: Forest roads and trails Other 1 Other Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers: Construction, general Flood control, Mississippi River and tributaries Construction, local funds (trust funds) Other 1 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Indian health facilities and other health services and mental health administration 1 Other 1 Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Construction: Schools and other Road construction National Park Service Bureau of Reclamation: Construction and rehabilitation Colorado River Basin project Other i Bonneville Power Administration: Construction Other Department of Justice: Federal Prison System Immigration and Naturalization Service Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Acquisition, construction, and improvements. Federal Aviation Administration: Airway system investment and development (airport and airway trust fund) Facilities and equipment and construction, National Capital airports Other General Services Administration: Public buildings National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration: Hospitals and other Tennessee Valley Authority Other agencies Total public works, civil National defense: Department of Defense—Military: Military construction. Family housing Other See footnotes at end of table. 97 17 11 125 18 7 130 28 9 702 45 18 14 900 51 30 18 888 57 28 17 19 17 31 33 24 35 31 18 32 33 26 35 44 25 60 140 1 33 102 26 190 13 22 92 35 211 33 20 92 23 2 * 2 1 43 1 33 31 35 119 220 108 3 130 54 77 80 348 38 53 18 144 50 171 87 538 58 11 31 217 43 236 127 609 83 2,200 3,032 3,381 1,130 149 2 1,152 154 4 1,463 202 2 SPECIAL ANALYSES 53 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS—Continued Public works—sites and direct constructor!—Continued National defense—Continued Atomic Energy Commission 259 277 232 Total public works, national defense 1,540 1,586 1,899 Total public works—sites and direct construction 3,740 4,618 5,280 608 30 —513 102 —252 —2 639 —411 —255 —14 —166 —23 16 * 27 5 30 3 2 —133 10 641 —544 —244 52 104 12 53 146 29 59 216 19 168 227 294 National defense: Department of Defense—Military: Procurement Atomic Energy Commission 21,584 165 18,448 188 17,936 159 Total major equipment, national defense 21, 749 18,636 18,095 Total major equipment 21,917 18,863 18,389 53 69 73 101 45 127 63 21 161 26 150 26 2 —44 2 —52 2 —52 Major commodity inventories: Civil: Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation.. Department of the Interior: Helium fund Total major commodity inventories, civil National defense: Funds appropriated to the President: Expansion of defense production General Services Administration: Property management and disposal activities Other agencies Total major commodity inventories, national defense Total major commodity inventories Major equipment: Civil: Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Postal Service Other agencies1 Total major equipment, civil Other physical assets—acquisition and improvement: Civil: Department of Agriculture: Reforestation and range improvements and other Department of Housing and Urban Development: Housing production and mortgage credit and other Department of the Interior: Land and water conservation Other 1 General Services Administration: Real property activities Surplus real property credit sales See footnotes at end of table. 54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description Investment-type 1970 1971 1972 outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO FEDERAL ASSETS—Continued Other physical assets—acquisition and improvement—Continued Civil—Continued Other agencies l -18 -30 -12 179 220 315 437 322 12 491 Total other physical assets, national defense 437 322 502 Total other physical assets—acquisition and improvement _ 616 542 817 30,095 26,460 27,273 161 1 223 3 230 71 31 22 6 77 36 38 5 80 32 61 3 135 141 151 142 88 127 86 104 100 31 208 18 2 20 194 12 7 13 111 11 9 109 43 23 141 72 33 1 170 100 38 2 46 18 35 1 2 60 21 47 * 23 110 38 50 4 64 Total other physical assets, civil National defense: Department of Defense—Military Atomic Energy Commission Total additions to Federal assets ADDITIONS TO STATE, LOCAL, AND PRIVATE ASSETS State and local assets: Civil: Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development Public works acceleration Department of Agriculture: Watershed improvement Flood prevention Rural water and waste disposal grants Rural housing for domestic farm labor and other Department of Commerce: Economic development facilities and other Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Medical facilities construction and other National Institutes of Health: Health manpower Office of Education: School assistance in federally affected areas Higher education^..... Libraries and educational communication Social and Rehabilitation Service Department of Housing and Urban Development: Community development: Grants for basic water and sewer facilities Open space land programs Grants for neighborhood facilities Community development planning and management Department of the Interior: Land and water conservation Administration of territories Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife Other . Department of Justice: Law enforcement assistance See footnotes at end of table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 55 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued ADDITIONS TO STATE, LOCAL, AND PRIVATE ASSETS—Continued State and local assets—Continued Civil—Continued Department of Transportation: Federal Aviation Administration: Grants-in-aid for airports (airport and airway trust fund in 1971 and 1972) Federal Highway Administration: Highway trust fund Other *___ -.-:-—.National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Urban Mass Transportation Administration Environmental Protection Agency Intergovernmental agencies: Federal contribution, Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority Other agencies Total State and local assets, civil National defense: Department of Defense—Military Total State and local assets Private assets: Civil: Department of Agriculture: Soil Conservation Service Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service Other Department of Commerce: Ship construction National Oceanic and Atomspheric Administration Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Medical facilities construction National Institutes of Health: Health manpower Office of Education: Higher education and other Other___. National Science Foundation Other agenciesl Total private assets, civil National defense: General Services Administration Total private assets Total additions to State, local, and private assets See footnotes at end of table. 83 134 147 4,279 4,575 4,561 34 33 43 102 179 177 427 8 287 1,004 16 23 100 11 112 9 5,906 6,824 7,654 16 13 16 5,922 6,837 7,669 146 309 2 153 265 2 152 238 2 89 136 4 184 1 150 57 107 29 29 28 133 61 111 45 24 39 123 53 66 48 24 38 947 972 929 * * * 947 972 929 6, 869 7,809 8,599 56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued OTHER DEVELOPMENTAL EXPENDITURES Education, training, and health: Civil: Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development programs Economic opportunity program Department of Agriculture: Extension Service Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Mental health Comprehensive health planning and services Maternal and child health Regional medical programs Disease control Indian health services Other i National Institutes of Health: National Heart and Lung Institute National Institute of General Medical Sciences Health manpower National Library of Medicine Other Office of Education: Emergency school assistance Elementery and secondary education School assistance in federally affected areas Education for the handicapped Vocational and adult education Higher education. Education professions development Library and educational communication Research and development Salaries and expenses Other Social and Rehabilitation Service: Grants to States for public assistance Work incentives Rehabilitation services and facilities Research and training Assistance to refugees in the United States Other Social Security Administration ! Howard University Office of Child Development Other Department of Housing and Urban Development: College housing loans and other expenses Other _ _ . Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Education and welfare services Department of Justice: Law enforcement assistance and other. Department of Labor: Manpower Administration: Manpower training services and other Environmental Protection Agency Veterans Administration: Medical care and other Corporation for Public Broadcasting National Foundation on the Arts and the Humanities l See footnotes at end of table. 4 1,183 125 14 994 160 24 425 171 163 190 217 100 31 103 30 168 217 237 108 34 120 34 195 221 281 85 59 132 33 26 67 137 24 99 23 56 162 25 105 25 60 246 22 86 1,471 621 66 285 551 166 136 11 47 31 100 1,707 480 75 406 677 138 78 18 47 17 300 1,795 461 87 447 1,033 136 41 27 49 30 2,766 87 436 29 18 4 18 31 3,299 146 530 28 24 6 26 35 33 38 3,437 231 534 22 27 4 28 41 138 16 55 4 30 7 9 8 143 19 178 48 199 65 450 35 95 15 15 1,042 39 115 23 40 1,529 54 116 35 64 SPECIAL ANALYSES 57 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued OTHER DEVELOPMENTAL EXPENDITURES—Continued Education, training, and health—Continued Civil—Continued National Science Foundation Smithsonian Institution Other agencies Total education, training, and health, civil National defense: Atomic Energy Commission and other agencies Total education, training, and health 140 18 27 143 21 39 114 25 36 10,325 12,058 13,204 16 15 14 10,341 12,073 13,218 44 10 59 20 69 21 162 61 45 23 173 68 48 23 173 73 49 21 72 29 18 74 31 32 91 34 47 29 24 111 21 33 879 114 36 33 973 120 43 29 1,054 * 74 15 9 66 16 38 74 17 40 24 53 32 62 36 12 53 45 41 43 48 37 23 52 58 27 59 67 24 66 111 9 56 24 24 71 232 13 68 40 52 118 281 25 83 67 53 137 Research and development: Civil: Funds appropriated to the President: Economic opportunity program Other Department of Agriculture: Agricultural Research Service * Cooperative State Research Service Forest Service Other i Department of Commerce: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Bureau of Standards Other . Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Environmental Health Service: Environmental control Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Mental health Health services research and development Other National Institutes of Health Office of Education: Vocational and adult education Research and development Other ._.__ ..... Social and Rehabilitation Service: Research and training and other Other * Department of Housing and Urban Development: Research and technology and other „___ Department of the Interior: Geological survey Bureau of Mines: Conservation and development of mineral resources and other 1 Office of Saline Water: Saline water conversion Other * Department of Transportation: Civil supersonic aircraft development Coast Guard . Federal Aviation Administration l National Highway Traffic Safety Administration l. - _ Other i Environmental Protection Agency l See footnotes at end of table. 58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Investment-type outlays—Continued OTHER DEVELOPMENTAL EXPENDITURES—Continued Research and development—Continued Civil—Continued National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration National Science Foundation 1 Smithsonian Institution Other agencies 3,701 30 60 292 20 33 3,331 37 64 330 24 42 3,121 46 64 404 31 55 Total research and development, civil 6,288 6,475 6,668 346 7,166 7 1,346 342 7,281 6 1,309 315 7,504 5 1,252 8,865 8,937 9,077 15,152 15,412 15,745 30 * 33 1 40 1 53 27 21 67 —8 57 26 25 66 —16 60 29 40 73 —16 190 192 226 Total other developmental expenditures 25,684 27,677 29,188 Total investment-type outlays 62, 647 61,946 65,060 65 25 73 26 77 27 153 93 160 88 161 85 3,664 56 8 145 92 4,350 76 * 179 82 3,709 67 National defense: Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel . Research, development, test, and evaluation Other Atomic Energy Commission Total research and development, national defense Total research and development Engineering and natural resources surveys—civil: Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers The Panama Canal Department of the Interior: Geological survey Other i . Environmental Protection Agency 1 Other agencies Intragovernmental transactions (—) Total engineering and natural resources surveys Current Outlays CURRENT EXPENSES FOR AIDS AND SPECIAL SERVICES Agricultural—civil: Department of Agriculture: Consumer and Marketing Service l Foreign Agricultural Service Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service: Other Sugar Act program Commodity Credit Corporation: Price support and related programs National Wool Act Other Farmers Home Administration 1 Other 1 _ See footnotes at end of table. 193 83 SPECIAL ANALYSES 59 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 1971 1972 actual estimate estimate Current Outlays—Continued CURRENT EXPENSES FOR AIDS AND SPECIAL SERVICES—Continued Agricultural—civil—Continued Other agencies Total agriculture 26 22 13 4,326 5,057 4,416 22 26 48 24 21 54 27 21 56 212 57 277 61 247 63 169 —24 195 -5 267 -14 379 763 1 5 37 391 909 25 7 32 399 992 19 11 23 134 11 —19 124 12 -24 103 28 -25 Business—civil: Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Patent Office.Maritime Administration: Operating-differential subsidies and other Other 1 Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers: Operation and maintenance The Panama Canal Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Navigation aids and other ! Federal Aviation Administration: Operations and other l Federal Railroad Administration Other Civil Aeronautics Board: Payments to air carriers Small Business Administration: Business loans and investments and other Other agencies l Federal interfund transactions (—) Total business 1,822 2,102 2,218 14 36 38 664 42 20 14 12 774 54 24 19 18 826 80 30 20 25 767 924 1,018 -249 14 -34 474 -27 25 -257 -343 67 -34 811 -4 28 -126 -388 140 -5 1,303 8 6 -130 -54 399 934 Labor—civil: Department of the Interior: Bureau of Mines: Health and safety_ Department of Labor: Manpower Administration: Unemployment trust fund and other Workplace Standards Administration Bureau of Labor Statistics Other Equal Employment Opportunity Commission Total labor Homeowners and tenants—civil: Funds appropriated to the President Department of Housing and Urban Development: Housing Production and Mortgage Credit: Federal Housing Administration Special assistance functions Other Housing management: Housing payments and other Federal Insurance Administration Other Federal Home Loan Bank Board Total homeowners and tenants See footnotes at end of table * 60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Current Outlays—Continued CURRENT EXPENSES FOR AIDS AND SPECIAL SERVICES—Continued Veterans—civil: Department of Defense—Civil Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Payment to social security trust funds Veterans Administration: Compensation and pensions Readjustment benefits Medical care General operating expenses Loan guaranty revolving fund Veterans reopened insurance fund Veterans special life insurance fund National service life insurance fund U.S. Government life insurance fund Other1 Other agencies Intragovernmental transactions (—) 26 27 30 11 11 48 5,336 988 1,548 237 —13 —38 —37 593 81 4 11 —128 5,837 1,675 1,767 251 10 —35 —38 624 81 18 7 —129 6,238 1,938 1,896 265 33 —34 —39 641 79 21 7 —260 8,619 10,107 10,864 466 307 33 90 504 355 26 88 658 408 46 73 491 -73 38 544 -120 35 241 -108 26 1,351 1,432 1,343 1,489 28 1,586 40 1,572 50 Total international aids, national defense 1,518 1,626 1,622 Total international aids 2,869 3,059 2,965 145 100 80 440 84 577 299 __ 455 102 1,535 522 1 469 14 1,971 561 2 Total veterans International aids: Civil: Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance International development assistance l President's foreign assistance contingency fund Peace Corps 1 Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation: Public Law 480 donations of agricultural commodities and other Export-Import Bank of the United States Other agenciesl Total international aids, civil National defense: Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance1 Department of Defense—Military: Military construction Welfare aids—civil: Funds appropriated to the President: Disaster relief Department of Agriculture: Removal of surplus agricultural commodities Special milk program Food stamp program Child nutrition programs Forest Service See footnotes at end of table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 61 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Current Outlays—Continued CURRENT EXPENSES FOR AIDS AND SPECIAL SERVICES—Continued Welfare aids—civil—Continued Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Maternal and child health Social and Rehabilitation Service: Grants to States for public assistance Special programs for the aging Youth development and delinquency prevention Other services Assistance to refugees in the United States Social Security Administration: Special benefits for disabled coal miners Family assistance and community services Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Education and welfare services Total welfare aids 45 1 * 4,678 20 3 30 62 6,391 24 7 35 81 7,482 26 12 36 105 10 239 384 664 41 65 69 6,434 9,557 11,876 8 572 24 10 563 27 10 558 26 116 46 74 53 30 55 27 4 77 16 29 8 82 31 30 28 69 34 464 146 146 212 2,004 * 529 185 146 238 2,589 534 193 157 267 2,417 56 63 82 40 47 50 86 380 1,054 -3 46 1,035 5 59 450 150 1,300 22 55 57 56 16 3 72 66 16 4 77 96 17 4 Other aids and special services—civil: Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development programs Office of Economic Opportunity l Department of Agriculture: Forest Service Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census: Nineteenth decennial census and other x_ Economic development assistance Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Mental health. Medical facilities construction Patient care and special health services Other !___ --:-—.Social Security Administration: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund Payment to social security trust funds Departmental management and other Department of Housing and Urban Development: Community development planning and management: Comprehensive planning grants and other Community development: Model cities programs Community development grants Urban renewal capita] grants Other Departmental management and other Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Resources management Tribal funds (trust funds) Other 1 — — Other 1 See footnotes at end of table. 62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Current Outlays—Continued CURRENT EXPENSES FOR AIDS AND SPECIAL SERVICES—Continued Other aids and special services—civil—Continued Department of Transportation: Federal Highway Administration: Highway beautification Highway trust fund Other 1 ... National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Other Postal Service Other agenciesl Intragovernmental transactions (—) 14 70 4 50 15 1,299 33 —2,025 21 80 2 66 28 1,898 41 —2,626 30 87 7 53 34 835 42 —2,321 4,733 5,823 5,478 29,516 37,026 39,770 26,266 2,778 4,804 1,979 93 1,592 —5 29,817 3,231 5,820 2,070 1,096 92 1,895 —5 31,026 3,416 6,690 2,300 2,692 95 1,926 —5 37,507 44,016 48,140 Unemployment benefits—civil: Department of Labor: Unemployment trust fund 2,792 5,080 4,270 Other retirement and social insurance benefits—civil: Civil Service Commission: Civil service retirement and disability fund Other trust funds 2,752 19 3,181 22 3,552 24 Trust interfund and intragovernmental transactions (—) —233 —517 — 722 Total, other retirement and social insurance benefits 2,537 2,686 2,854 42,83 6 51, 782 55,264 Total other aids and special services Total current expenses for aids and special services RETIREMENT AND SOCIAL INSURANCE BENEFITS Insurance benefits—civil: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund Proposed legislation Department of Labor: Unemployment trust fund Railroad Retirement Board (trust fund) Trust interfund transactions (—) Total insurance benefits Total, retirement and social insurance benefits See footnotes at end of table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 63 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Current Outlays—Continued OTHER SERVICES AND CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES Repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets (excluding special services): Civil: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service l Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers: Operation and maintenance Flood control and coastal emergencies Flood control, Mississippi River and tributaries pther Miscellaneous accounts Department of the Interior: Bureau of Land Managementl National Park Service l Bureau of Reclamation 1 Bonneville Power Administration and other General Services Administration: Public buildings Tennessee Valley Authority Other agencies l Total repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets, civil National defense: Department of Defense—Military: Operation and maintenance Family housing Atomic Energy Commission General Services Administration 240 298 240 87 25 29 15 * 88 12 34i 79 95 64 45 351 -179 65 85 115 76 49 399 -160 66 74 123 85 52 421 -157 71 1,062 1,067 21,570 355 227 * 20,340 365 160 * 20,195 402 163 * 22,152 20,866 20,761 23,068 21,928 21,828 916 I * 114 10 31i I * Total repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets, national defense... _.._ Total repair, maintenance, and operation of physical assets. Regulation and control—civil: The Judiciary Department of Agriculture: Agricultural Research Service 1 Consumer and Marketing Service 1 Other Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Food and Drug Administration and other — Department of Justice: Legal activities and general administration Federal Bureau of Investigation Immigration and Naturalization Service l Federal Prison System -----Law Enforcement Assistance Administration Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs._ Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Federal Aviation Administration Other See footnotes at end of table. 132 95 117 6 58 102 249 104 67 41 25 57 55 7 148 172 97 135 6 100 144 6 64 76 131 280 119 81 302 36 150 310 122 88 453 50 62 62 8 69 67 6 64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 1971 1972 Current Outlays—Continued OTHER SERVICES AND CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES—Continued Regulation and control—civil—Continued Department of the Treasury: Bureau of Customs l Secret Service Other 1 Environmental Protection Agency Federal Communications Commission Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (trust fund) Interstate Commerce Commission National Labor Relations Board Other agencies 1 Total, regulation and control 20 29 -5 38 23 —328 27 38 117 26 44 * 54 25 -308 28 41 127 29 60 1 58 30 -402 27 44 134 1,071 1,567 1,791 Other operation and administration: Civil: International activities: Department of State: Administration of foreign affairs * International organizations and conferences l _. Educational exchange 1___ Other United States Information Agency l Other agencies Total international activities Federal financial activities: Legislative branch: General Accounting Office and other. _ Department of the Treasury: Bureau of Accounts 1 Bureau of Customs Bureau of the Mint Bureau of the Public Debt Internal Revenue Service Other_.__ Other agencies Total Federal financial activities Other direct Federal programs: Legislative branch Executive Office of the President Department of Commerce: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 1 National Bureau of Standards Department of Defense—Civil Department of the Interior * Department of theTreasury: Bureau of Accounts and other *_ Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration Civil Service Commission: Salaries and expenses and other l Employees life insurance trust fund Retired employees health benefits trust fund See footnotes at end of table. 231 139 30 2 187 9 234 154 34 2 190 11 242 176 36 2 192 8 599 625 660 73 81 45 112 18 64 870 17 4 .48 138 26 72 943 20 3 1,204 1,332 50 156 30 78 1,043 23 3 1,470 254 32 284 44 300 49 141 11 67 52 53 * 143 143 11 76 65 182 5 128 167 13 78 93 237 57 104 47 —161 —27 53 154 -2 51 -157 * SPECIAL ANALYSES 65 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Current Outlays—Continued OTHER SERVICES AND CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES—Continued Other operation and administration—Continued Civil—Continued Other direct Federal programs—Continued Other agencies l I ntrabudgetary transactions (—) Total other direct Federal programs Retirement, unemployment, and accident compensation for Federal employees: Department of Labor: Federal unemployment benefits and allowances Federal workmen's compensation benefits Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Retired p a y . Civil Service Commission: Special payments and annuities. Other agencies Intragovernmental transactions Total retirement, unemployment, and accident compensation for Federal employees 10 —* 16 —* 20 —* 622 851 1,012 183 81 59 273 10 308 84 66 579 17 254 90 71 820 21 —14 606 1,054 1,243 79 73 83 Shared revenues and grants-in-aid: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service Department of the Interior: Bureau of Land Management Office of Territories Other Department of the Treasury: Bureau of Customs Internal Revenue Service District of Columbia: Federal payment Tennessee Valley Authority Other agencies 86 45 5 86 58 6 92 64 6 43 85 115 16 8 56 87 143 20 8 66 90 158 27 9 Total shared revenues and grants-in-aid 481 537 595 3,508 4, 395 4,976 22,685 2,849 39 110 64 -803 75 11 —7 21,356 3,394 40 111 59 -497 75 11 —6 19,790 3,744 39 113 67 -310 78 7 -—6 Total other operation and administration, national defense. _ 25,024 24,544 23,523 Total other operation and administration 28,531 28,939 28, 500 Total other operation and administration, civil National defense: Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel.. Retired pay, defense Operation and maintenance Family housing Civil d e f e n s e . . . . Other i Selective Service System Other agencies * Intragovernmental transactions (—) See footnotes at end of table. 430-700 O—71——5 66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table D-3. INVESTMENT, OPERATING, AND OTHER BUDGET OUTLAYS (in millions of dollars)—Continued Description 1970 1971 1972 19,304 20,800 21,150 113 6 117 7 117 6 119 124 123 —783 -3,936 — 1, 200 - 4 , 711 — 1,272 -5,310 Total interest 14,704 15,014 14,692 Total other services and current operating expenses 67,379 67,451 66,811 945 2,430 Current Outlays—Continued OTHER SERVICES AND CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES—Continued Interest: On the public debt Other interest: On refunds: Department of the Treasury On uninvested funds: Department of the Treasury Total other interest Intrabudgetary transactions ( — ) : l Interest on Government capital in enterprises (—) Interest received by trust funds ( - ) ,. National defense allowances: Civilian and military pay increases All-volunteer force 1,150 Total national defense allowances Total current outlays UNCLASSIFIED Payments to other funds * Allowances for: Added amount for revenue sharing Pay increases (excluding Department of Defense) Contingencies Employer share, employee retirement (—) Proprietary receipts from the public ( - ) 2 _ _ _ Total budget outlays 1"Less than $500 thousand. 2 Includes both Federal funds — 945 3,580 139,730 157,204 165,427 15 31 —41 —2,444 -3,360 500 300 —2,486 -4,740 4,019 1,000 950 —2,461 -4,721 196,588 212,755 229,232 and trust funds. Excludes loan repayments deposited in miscellaneous receipts and offset in the loan and expenditure account as follows: 1970 1971 1972 Loan repayments offset in the loan account —249 —265 —287 Repayments offset in the expenditure account —205 —268 —298 SPECIAL ANALYSIS E FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS INTRODUCTION Federal credit aids—direct loans, Federal insurance or guarantees of private loans, and interest subsidies—play a major role in Government programs for: (a) Improvement of housing and encouragement of homeownership; (b) development of agricultural and other natural resources; (c) assistance to foreign economic development and security; (d) promotion of business, especially exports, transportation, and small business generally; (e) redevelopment of communities and regions; and (f) aid to higher education. In addition, Government-sponsored private lending agencies provide major credit assistance in the first two of these areas. Federal Credit Programs New Commitments Total Guarantees and Insurance Direct Loans—Expenditure Account 20 10 1961 '62 '63 Fiscal Years '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 Estimate G7 68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 In several programs, credit aids are part of a package of Federal assistance. Such a package sometimes also includes, for example, grants to provide necessary public facilities for depressed areas; grants for work-training, education, and other types of community action to help combat poverty; technical aids to help underdeveloped countries plan and construct basic transportation systems; or management advice to help rural residents plan, develop, and operate their farms productively. From 1961 through 1968, the combined level of Federal direct loans and guarantees and insurance of private loans rose steadily at a rate comparable to the growth of the gross national product. This reflected both broadening of many existing programs and initiation of new programs to meet emerging needs. However, during 1969, the Secondary Market Operations Trust Fund of the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA), the Federal intermediate credit banks and the banks for cooperatives were converted from mixed-ownership to privately owned enterprises. As a result, the trend of the direct and guaranteed loans as shown in the chart of new commitments,1 suggests a diminution—but this dip is only a matter of classification. The outstanding loans of these federally sponsored enterprises continue to be shown in table E-5—and are included in an overall summary of Federal and federally assisted credit in table E-6 and an accompanying chart. The increasing emphasis on private financing has also caused major changes in the package of credit assistance made available in recent years. These changes would be extended still further by proposed legislation. Instead of relying primarily on direct loans with their major immediate budgetary impact, Federal agencies are encouraging greater private financing by undertaking to guarantee or insure such private funds against loss, to pay a share of the interest costs, or both. Examples of these approaches include: (a) Federally insured loans and interest subsidies for college students; (b) insured or guaranteed loans combined with supplementary payments to finance housing for lowand moderate-income families in both urban and rural areas; and (c) payment of a portion of the interest on privately financed loans for college housing and academic facilities and medical facilities. Other current proposals to apply these approaches to Federal aid for other groups are mentioned later in this analysis. SCOPE OF SPECIAL ANALYSIS This analysis: (a) summarizes 1970-72 trends in Federal credit programs; (b) indicates the relationship between the credit programs and overall budget totals; and (c) provides (for the first time) summary estimates of loan subsidy costs provided during the past year. Information is summarized for all direct loan, and loan guarantee and insurance programs operated by Federal agencies and trust funds—including both currently active programs and programs in process of liquidation. In addition, a final table summarizes net changes in outstanding amounts both of direct Federal loans (included in the budget) and i Sec p. 67. SPECIAL ANALYSES 69 of guaranteed and insured loans and loans made by Governmentsponsored agencies (not reflected in budget outlays). The principal disbursements and repayments of most of the direct Federal loans covered by this analysis are included in the loan account. In addition, in line with the recommendations of the 1967 President's Commission on Budget Concepts, two specific types of direct loan programs, accounting for more than one-quarter of direct loan commitments, are reflected in the expenditure account; these programs comprise: (a) foreign loans made largely on noncommercial terms; and (b) other loans where the terms of the loan contract make repayment in certain respects contingent rather than mandatory. A major example of the latter is the nonrecourse commodity loan program of the Commodity Credit Corporation. Disbursements, repayments, and net outlays for each appropriation and fund account which finances these programs are listed in the Appendix to the Budget.2 In the case of programs in the loan account, net lending is also separately identified, for each applicable account, in Part 6 of the budget. The tables in this analysis include only data on loans that are both disbursed and repayable in dollars. Loan disbursements in foreign currencies are not charged to the budget, and loan repayments in foreign currencies are not credits to the budget. Current policy requires that, in all new commitments, loans disbursed in dollars be repaid in dollars. However, a few commitments outstanding at the time of policy change called for dollar disbursements but permit repayment in foreign currency.3 The 1972 analysis includes coverage of new credit programs and changes to existing programs authorized by legislation enacted during the past 4year. Such legislation, summarized in the last section of this analysis authorized several important changes in Federal credit programs. The analysis also reflects the impact (to the extent that data are available) on Federal credit programs of proposed legislation: (a) authorizing insurance of farm operating loans by the Farmers Home Administration, and revising interest rates on farm ownership loans; (b) establishing a Rural Telephone Bank; (c) revising student-aid programs to provide subsidized loans to lower income students, and establishing a National Student Loan Association to help finance loans to students at all income levels; (d) substituting federally supported borrowing from the public for direct loans to finance public works and other capital outlays by the District of Columbia; and(e) creating an Environmental Financing Authority to assist local communities to finance waste treatment projects on reasonable terms by substituting the Authority's borrowing for local obligations. 2 See Appendix, pp. 1099-1102. 3 The level and trends in direct loans of Government agencies disbursed or repayable in foreign currencies are as follows (in millions of dollars): 1970 1971 1972 Outstanding, start of year (dollar equivalent) 5,825 5,816 5,793 Disbursements 143 135 125 Repayments—dollars 12 10 10 Repayments—local currencies 140 147 146 Net disbursements —10 —22 —31 Outstanding, end of year 5,816 5,793 5,762 4 See pp. 84-86. 70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 N E W COMMITMENTS New commitments for direct loans and guarantees often give the best advance indication of trends in the financing impact of these programs. In a few cases, commitment and loan disbursement occur simultaneously. But in most others, such as loans for construction purposes, fairly long leadtimes may elapse between commitment and disbursement. Although not all commitments result in loans, sometimes because the borrower finds other funds in the meantime, commitments generally stimulate fairly prompt initiation of economic activity—such as the start of a construction project to be financed at completion. In this analysis, commitments are defined to include administrative reservations as well as final approvals by Federal agencies of direct loans or of insurance or guarantees of private loans. They are shown on a gross basis and include the unguaranteed portions of loans partially covered by Federal guarantees. Direct loans.—New commitments for direct loans will rise from $10.4 billion in 1970 to $10.9 billion in 1971 and to $11.3 billion in 1972. This trend is much slower than the growth of federally aided credit as a whole and reflects efforts to gradually move the Federal Government out of the lending business as a primary lender. Federal credit policy is moving instead to greater reliance on private credit resources, confining credit assistance mainly to supplementary credit aids and devices that provide greater access to credit resources by certain classes of borrowers in accordance with Federal priorities. Despite the relatively slow rise in direct lending, however, major increases in loan commitments from 1970 to 1972 are expected for some programs: those for Export-Import Bank will rise by $1 billion, and those for several international assistance programs are to rise by $0.7 billion. Guarantees and insurance.—New commitments for guarantees and insurance of private loans are expected to rise rapidly from $27.5 billion in 1970 to $37.8 billion in 1971 and $46.6 billion in 1972. The 2-year increase from 1970 to 1972 is primarily attributable to expansion in the volume of mortgage insurance commitments by the Federal Housing Administration ($10.2 billion), the Veterans Administration ($2.2 billion) and the Farmers Home Administration ($1.1 billion). These increases, mainly for housing purposes, will be made possible in part by the extensive purchases of such obligations by the privately owned FNMA, in both 1971 and 1972, and by the somewhat easier credit conditions anticipated in 1971-72. In addition, guarantee commitments for community development and new communities are expected to rise over the 2 years by $1.4 billion. Under authority provided in 1968, GNMA expects to guarantee $1.3 billion in 1971 and $1.6 billion in 1972 in private securities backed by insured housing loans.5 Outside the housing field, HEW will increase commitments by $2.1 billion, mostly for insured student loans, and the Export-Import Bank plans by 1972 to raise its level of commitments for guaranteed loans by roughly $1.1 billion over the 1970 level. fi See footnote 1 to table E-1. SPECIAL ANALYSES 71 Table E-1. NEW COMMITMENTS FOR FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS CLASSIFIED BY TYPE OF ASSISTANCE AND ACCOUNT (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Agency or program Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans 683 831 67 52 486 947 96 94 EXPENDITURE ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance International development assistance Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation Health, Education, and Welfare Other programs 2,833 217 11 Total, expenditure account 3,937 70 807 51 2,491 281 10 51 4,296 2,772 34 17 119 4,256 190 48 25 119 1,317 386 564 87 2,268 LOAN ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the President: Office of Economic Opportunity Overseas Private Investment Corporation. Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation Rural Electrification Administration Farmers Home Administration Commerce: Economic Development Administration. __ Maritime Administration Trade Adjustment Assistance Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent public housing Community development loans Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association1 New communities fund Other mortgage credit Interior Transportation...... Veterans Administration: Housing loans and guarantees Insurance policy loans District of Columbia Export-Import Bank Federal Home Loan Bank Board Small Business Administration Other agencies or programs Total, loan account1 Grandtotal1 3 260 470 451 61 91 4 15 1,136 342 470 458 * 110 64 21 959 61 1,521 169 677 1,517 569 16,324 185 640 1,669 952 22,434 995 127 13 3 63 321 75 75 202 307 194 129 2,209 90 452 3 3,720 2,280 6,507 10,444 100 11 92 100 429 Ml 767 1 241 100 3,070 1,548 1,519 26,468 28 160 200 125 2,976 27,431 6,611 37,632 7,016 46,409 27,482 10,907 37,751 11,272 46,599 1,022 236 214 183 3,246 19 343 2 250 200 334 203 163 2,927 13 452 2 446 2 4,887 100 17 35 5,962 71 3,400 1,192 *1 Less than $500 thousand. To avoid double counting, excludes GNMA commitments for guarantee of mortgage backed securities—1970-72 amounts are $438 million, $1,301 million, $1,550 million. 72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Overlapping commitments.—Total estimated new commitments of $49 billion in 1971 and of $58 billion in 1972 include several cases where two or more types of Federal assistance are provided for the same borrower or on the same property or project at different stages in the financing process. In several programs, the same authority is used both to make direct loans and to guarantee or insure private loans. This is true of certain programs of the Farmers Home Administration, and in urban renewal and public housing programs of the Department of Housing and Urban Development. In the latter cases, the allocation of direct loan and guarantee commitments is estimated on the basis of past experience. DISBURSEMENTS AND REPAYMENTS Gross disbursements for direct loans have the most immediate impact on the budget. In long-established programs, or in programs involving short-term loans, however, the cash outflow required for such disbursements usually is largely or wholly offset by repayments on the outstanding portfolio of loans. This is true for most of the credit extensions by the Farmers Home Administration and the Commodity Credit Corporation, as well as for the interim financing of public housing and urban renewal projects. On the other hand, long-term loans, such as those to finance construction of college housing and academic facilities or rural electrification and telephone systems, as well as puchases of mortgages to help finance residential housing, can have a major net impact on the budget, since repayments in the early years often fall short of new loans. Federal Loan Account J Billion, > -8.5 1961 '62 FhealY«ai» '43 *64 '65 *66 '67 '68 *69 10 '71 "72 EtflMte SPECIAL ANALYSES 73 Table E-2. DISBURSEMENTS AND REPAYMENTS FOR FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS CLASSIFIED BY TYPE OF ACCOUNT (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Agency or program EXPENDITURE Disbursements 1971 estimate Repayments Disbursements 1972 estimate Repayments Disbursements Repayments ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the President: International security assistance International development assistance Agriculture: Commodity Credit CorporationHealth, Education, and Welfare. __ Treasury Other programs 136 899 79 100 554 817 26 130 488 811 117 126 2,811 192 1 23 2,910 1 121 20 2,444 256 2,739 5 34 2,683 1 149 15 41 1,933 1 152 19 Total, expenditure account 4,062 3,231 4,105 3,004 4,084 2,349 1 11 2 LOAN ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the President: Office of Economic Opportunity Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation Rural Electrification Administration Farmers Home Administration Commerce: Economic Development Administration Maritime Administration Trade adjustment assistance Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent Public Housing Community development loans Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association Other mortgage credit Interior General Services Administration Veterans Administration: Housing loans and guarantees Insurance policy loans District of Columbia Export-Import Bank Federal Home Loan Bank Board Small Business Administration Other agencies or programs Total, loan account Grandtotal Repurchases and sales of loans included above: Agriculture: Farmers Home Administration Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development Veterans Administration Export-Import Bank _ ._ Other agencies (GSA) Total 260 492 2, 105 209 342 175 528 2,141 2,160 9 — 3 8 267 386 516 174 2,705 2.584 304 178 3.038 59 15 7 2 440 8 9 85 116 6 102 9 60 470 720 678 91 816 291 9 44 721 745 650 176 733 513 64 243 826 737 151 270 194 129 1,569 111 342 12 8,313 65 12,375 543 7 609 146 224 69 9 24 56 531 117 3 32 22 52 170 89 39 1,277 21 215 10 435 312 92 203 49 163 1,738 1.490 13 12 217 379 71 152 203 214 183 1.852 18 408 6,182 8,807 9,440 785 205 15 52 7,196 816 664 65 466 51 3 57 553 94 46 1,453 13 212 9 55 8,494 9,413 12,913 10,200 13,524 10,843 1,668 407 2,219 98 38 _ 406 260 -. 803 13 2,210 190 - 2,571 430 50 432 400 25 190 4.138 7 300 420 407 — 2,946 74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 In accordance with the recommendations of the 1967 President's Commission on Budget Concepts, both the budget as a whole and this analysis segregate and treat separately net lending—the excess of principal disbursements over collections of all credit programs in the loan account. The gross data on disbursements are also adjusted to reflect writeoffs, losses, and recoveries. As a result, the net lending in any year equals the change between the loans outstanding in the loan account at the beginning of the year and the total outstanding at the end of the year. The same principles are followed in deriving the gross and net loan expenditures for credit programs in the expenditure account. As a result, the net loan disbursements for all credit programs in the loan account and the totals for the credit programs in the expenditure account are identical with the outlays shown as "loans" in the "additions to Federal assets" category in Special Analysis D.6 Although repayments on prior loans are customarily offset against new loan disbursements, the reuse of loan repayments to make new loans in most instances is as discretionary as the spending of newly appropriated funds from revenue sources. Therefore, gross disbursements rather than net are the best measure of loan program levels. Federal guarantees and insurance of private loans, except when accompanied by interest subsidies, ordinarily have only minor and indirect Federal budget consequences. Principal disbursements of Federal funds normally occur only when the borrower defaults, or in a few programs when holders of such insured loans exercise their repurchase options. Over the 1959-68 period, gross disbursements for all Federal programs in the loan account rose from $7.9 billion to $20.4 billion. Net lending ranged from a low in 1963—when repayments exceeded new loan disbursements by $0.1 billion—to peaks of $5.1 billion in 1967 and $6.1 billion in 1968. By contrast, in 1969-72, sharp reductions in the budgetary impact of these programs have been occurring. In 1969, gross disbursements dropped to $13.1 billion, followed by a further decline to $12.1 billion in 1970; but these are expected to rise somewhat, to $12.9 billion in 1971 and to $13.5 billion in 1972. The 1968-70 decline is mainly accounted for by the conversion to private ownership of three major groups of lending agencies, which disbursed $11.4 billion in loans during 1968 and $4.2 billion in the portion of 1969 prior to their shifts to private ownership. Net lending—the excess of disbursements over receipts in the loan account—in 1969 dropped to $1.5 billion. In 1970, it increased to $2.1 billion, but will fall in 1971, to $1.6 billion and in 1972, to $0.9 billion. The declines in 1971 and 1972 result largely from the estimated increases of $0.7 billion and $1.2 billion in sales of direct loans by six agencies, together with reductions of $0.4 billion and $0.2 billion in repurchases by two of these agencies. Details by agency are shown at the bottom of table E-2. • See table D-3 on pp. 49-51. SPECIAL ANALYSES 75 Net loan outlays in the expenditure account fell from $1.9 billion in 1969 to $0.8 billion in 1970, but will reach $1.1 billion in 1971, and $1.7 billion in 1972, almost entirely the result of an expected increase in the net loan expenditures of the Commodity Credit Corporation from excess repayments of $0.1 billion in 1970 to excess disbursements of $0.8 billion in 1972. OUTSTANDING DIRECT AND GUARANTEED LOANS A useful measure of the growth of Federal credit programs over a period of years is provided by the total of outstanding direct and guaranteed loans. By the close of 1972, direct loans outstanding will total $56 billion and guaranteed loans outstanding will total $167 billion—a gross total of $224 billion. Outstanding direct loans in the loan account rose by an estimated $2.1 billion during 1970 and will rise by $1.6 billion in 1971 and by $0.9 billion in 1972, to a total of $34.2 billion on June 30, 1972. Significant increases over the 2-year period include the Export-Import Bank ($0.6 billion), the Rural Electrification Administration ($0.7 billion), the GNMA ($0.6 billion), and the Small Business Administration ($0.4 billion). Loans held by the Farmers Home Administration will fall by $1.0 billion. Outstanding direct loans in the expenditure account will rise by $1.1 billion in 1971 and $1.7 billion in 1972. The portfolio of foreign economic assistance loans made by the Agency for International Development and its successors will rise by $1.4 billion during the 2-year period, accounting for most of the increase. Outstanding guaranteed and insured loans for both accounts are expected to rise by an estimated $17.9 billion in 1971 and by $26.5 billion during 1972. The net increase in outstanding loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration ($25.7 billion) accounts for more than half of the 1970-72 rise. Other major increases are anticipated by HUD in its low-rent public housing program ($2.3 billion), the Farmers Home Administration ($2.7 billion), the Export-Import Bank ($1.7 billion), the Veterans Administration ($3.3 billion), the Student Loan Insurance program of the Office of Education ($3.6 billion), and the Small Business Administration ($1.2 billion). The amounts shown include both the guaranteed and unguaranteed portion of outstanding loans in order to give a more complete picture of the economic impact of these programs. The estimated contingent liability of the Federal Government by the end of 1972 will be $20.7 billion less than the $167.4 billion principal amount of the loans guaranteed and insured. Most of this difference is accounted for by the veterans loan guarantee program, where the Government's liability will be $18.7 billion lower than the amount of guaranteed loans outstanding. 76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table E-3. OUTSTANDING DIRECT LOANS, AND GUARANTEED AND INSURED LOANS FOR FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS CLASSIFIED BY TYPE OF ACCOUNT (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Agency or program 1971 estimate Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans 134 8,633 1972 estimate Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans Direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans 448 227 662 9,320 402 191 1,033 10,004 348 256 _ 49 4,297 1,770 4,240 275 49 5,103 1,755 4,088 297 49 723 20,564 642 22,299 653 EXPENDITURE ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the president: International security assistance International development assistance... Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation._ Health, Education, and Welfare Treasury _ Other programs Total, expenditure account 4,537 1,515 4,388 256 19,463 LOAN ACCOUNT Funds appropriated to the President: Office of Economic Opportunity Overseas Private Investment Corporation Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation Rural Electrification Administration. _ _ Farmers Home Administration Commerce: Economic Development Administration. Maritime Administration Trade adustment assistance Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent public housing Community development loans.__ Federal Housing Administration Government National Mortgage Association*..... New communities fund Other mortgage credit. Interior Transportation General Services Administration Veterans Administration: Housing loans and guarantees Insurance policy loans. District of Columbia Export-Import Bank. Federal Home Loan Bank Board Small Business Administration. Other agencies or programs Total, loan account * Grand t o t a l 1 75 _ _ 68 90 3 509 5,343 2,659 57 238 15 302 4,952 584 5,697 2,115 5,896 666 6,035 1,662 7,633 343 73 14 630 414 66 13 926 470 1,952 563 3,379 459 59 58 593 13 1,128 100 5,601 90 751 641 8,072 2,962 67,594 102 888 753 9,123 3,338 78,712 112 961 839 10,310 3,791 93,242 _ 4,847 __ 3,658 191 7 180 5,391 5,456 95 3 2, 749 973 357 5,714 256 1,658 62 36,040 3,807 203 42 200 __ 101 200 3,873 222 77 195 37,165 _ 20 1,958 808 15 2,626 1,084 471 5,961 256 1,821 105 31,615 124,352 33,226 142,336 34,172 166,797 51,078 125,076 53,790 142,978 56,472 167,450 20 1,200 1,358 14 2,276 1,204 608 6,360 261 2,016 103 125 39,379 91 2,894 1,976 13 1 To avoid double counting, excludes GNMA guarantees of mortgage backed securities— 1970-72 guarantees outstanding are $438 million. $1,739 million. $3,289 million. SPECIAL ANALYSES 77 INTEREST SUBSIDIES Federal credit programs help achieve Federal program objectives by providing more favorable teims than many borrowers can obtain from other sources, and often provide access to credit that might not otherwise be available to them on any terms. Lower interest rates, longer maturities, and higher loan-to-value ratios are the most common favorable terms. Forebearance in the event of hardship, and other protection in the event of default or opportunity to refinance, are also occasional favorable features. This discussion focuses on the interest subsidies and the various approaches to measuring both the immediate and long-run costs of these subsidies. Additional subsidy elements—such as costs of administration and losses, forgiveness of part or all of loan principal under certain program conditions, or the subsidies resulting from tax-exempt interest—are not calculated. Direct loan subsidies.—Unlike most other programs, Government outlays for direct loans are largely or wholly repayable, generally with interest, so that the long-run net cost usually is substantially less than the initial gross outlays. Few direct loan programs are fully self-supporting, however. Even where statutory interest rate formulas are designed to reflect Treasury borrowing costs, there is often no additional fee assessed to reimburse the Government for administrative costs and provision for losses. The net impact on the budget of the interest rates charged borrowers on direct loans in any one year includes both the subsidy costs arising from the new loans made during the year and the subsidy costs currently attributable to all outstanding loans made in prior years. By the same token, the loans made each year that provide credit to borrowers at submarket interest rates will add to the net budget outlays for many years to come, depending on the maturity of the loan. Once such loans are committed and disbursed, the future costs are largely predetermined, and the net outlays resulting from the excess of interest costs over interest receipts are relatively uncontrollable. Guaranteed and insured loan subsidies.—In recent years, an increasing number of guaranteed loan programs have provided significant subsidies in order to help meet the needs of their borrowers. In some cases, guarantee fees or insurance premiums cover part or all of administrative expenses and probable losses; for others there are no such charges. In some programs, such as in the Farmers Home Administration insured loan programs, the Government agency makes a direct loan at interest rates below the market and resells the loan with its guarantee and with a commitment to pay additional interest to the private purchaser of the loan. Most important are the increasing number of long-term contracts to provide debt service grants. These range from commitments to cover both interest and principal amounts on low-rent public housing loans, first authorized in 1937, to the more recent practice of underwriting a major share but not all of interest costs on a variety of housing programs, as well as similar contracts for student loans, and academic facilities, and on medical facilities loans. 78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Just as is the case with direct loans, the net impact on the budget of subsidies for guaranteed and insured loans includes both those arising from new loans and those attributable to outstanding loans made in prior years. Likewise, these subsidies add to net budget outlays over future years, and it is appropriate to measure their ultimate net cost in meaningful terms. Subsidy measurement.—One way to measure the ultimate net cost of the successive annu.d subsidy costs of direct loans is in "present value" terms in accordance with the recommendations of the 1967 President's Commission on Budget Concepts. This is accomplished by capitalizing future subsidies at an appropriate interest rate. One such rate might be the rate Treasury must pay for its current longer term borrowings; another might be the rate which the borrower would have to pay in the private market for a guaranteed loan. The rates borrowers would have to pay without Government subsidy or guarantee would likewise provide a useful illustration, but these can't be readily determined—since many borrowers might otherwise be unable to borrow at any rate. Table E-4 contains estimates, on both an annual and a presentvalue basis, of the interest subsidy costs attributable to the major direct loans, as well as to the guaranteed and insured loans made during 1970. Two rates are used—7}i% and 9%%—to illustrate both the first year subsidy and the present value of future subsidies under alternative interest rate assumptions. The lower rate is close to the average Treasury borrowing rate for 5- to 7-year issues in 1970; the higher rate approximates the typical gross yield on guaranteed loans in that year. Precise subsidy measurements are not available and several assumptions have been required. The estimates are mainly intended to be illustrative rathei than exact or comprehensive measures. The data provided here are a first step toward the difficult task of meeting the widespread interest in the measurement of the cost of loan subsidies. Loan subsidies, annual basis.—To identify the current budgetary cost of interest subsidies on new loans, the table presents estimates of the subsidy costs for the first full year after the loans are disbursed. This provides a measure of the annual rate of subsidies payable on new loans that is more meaningful than the subsidies actually paid on such loans in 1970. On this basis/ the first full-year subsidy cost for 1970 direct loans is estimated to be $297 million at 7){% a n d $448 million at 9%%; while the corresponding cost for 1970 guaranteed and insured loans is estimated to be $551 million at 7}&% and $749 million at 9){%. Price support and economic assistance programs accounted for more than half of the direct loan subsidies. Housing loans received well over half of the subsidies for guaranteed and insured loans. 79 SPECIAL ANALYSES Table E-4. ESTIMATED INTEREST SUBSIDY COSTS AND BENEFITS OF MAJOR DIRECT LOANS MADE AND GUARANTEED AND INSURED LOANS COMMITTED IN 1970 (in millions of dollars) Agency and program Gross loan outlays Borrower loan terms 1 (percent— years) Subsidy if rate were 7 ^ % lst full year Subsidy if rate were 9ft% Capitalized value 1st full year Capitalized value DIRECT LOANS Funds appropriated to the President: Security assistance Development assistance Agriculture: CCC: Price support CCC: Public Law 480 Farmers Home Administration Rural Electrification Administration. Health, Education, and Welfare: Capital for student loans Higher education facilities Housing and Urban Development: Urban renewal Low-rent public housing College housing FHAfund Housing for elderly VA: Insurance policy loans Export-Import Bank Small Business Administration: Business and investment fund Disaster loan fund Total, major subsidized direct loans 136 906 6-10 2-40 1 50 517 3 68 20 609 2,338 3#-1 494 2^-33 4 () 2-33 94 19 7 20 87 226 49 246 140 27 16 29 128 272 100 290 217 3 0-13 102 3-40 16 4 76 46 21 6 95 57 595 !-}{ 720 0-% 184 3-40 135 5^-30 106 3-50 195 4-10 1,569 6.3-7^ 16 36 7 2 22 46 10 21 43 102 46 63 4 12 16 34 84 28 53 30 65 279 6.2-11 91 3-11 2 3 18 19 6 4 41 297 1,603 448 2,126 987 6.3-33 703 5-40 10 15 118 187 27 28 270 283 3 63 4 179 46 80 6 268 58 22 114 176 9 133 5 21 1,039 168 81 1,628 17 30 144 224 11 189 10 28 1,128 210 102 1,914 35 551 3,484 749 4,296 2 578 497 9,142 4 9 5 6 7 32 44 169 26 GUARANTEED AND INSURED LOANS (commitments) Agriculture: Rural housing insurance Agricultural credit insurance Health, Education, and Welfare: Student loan insurance Higher education facilities Housing and Urban Development: Urban renewal Low-rent public housing Interim financing College housing Mortgage insurance (subsidized) _ _ _ Export-Import Bank: Portfolio sales.. Total, major subsidized, guaranteed and insured loans 840 120 0—13 3-40 569 1.6-% 1,517 0-40 3,529 0-% 202 3-31 3,228 2-34 406 5.8-4.5 12,101 1 If terms vary these are estimated averages. Interest rates include insurance premiums where these are2 charged. Interest rate shown is for first 10 years only. Rate is 3% for last 30 years. 3 Zero interest rate applies only while student is in school plus 9 months (average period 3 years): thereafter rate is 3% on direct loans, 7% for insured loans. 4 Various interest rates and maturities. 80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Loan subsidies, present value basis.—To measure the ultimate net cost of continuing annual subsidies on loans made or guaranteed in 1970, the table indicates the present value of such subsidies; i.e., the total amount of all future subsidies on such loans discounted at interest rates of 7}{% and 9%%. On this basis, the ultimate net cost for direct loans is $1.6 billion when valued at 7}{% and $2.1 billion when valued at 9%%. On guaranteed and insured loans, the calculated present value of long-term subsidy agreements is $3.5 billion at 7%% and $4.3 billion at 9%%- The present values at 7}i% for direct loan and for guaranteed and insured loan subsidies are not properly additive as a measure of long-run budget effect since in the latter case the Government actually pays the subsidy based on the private market rate. Moreover, subsidy elements other than interest are mostly excluded. However, the present values at 9%% might be aggregated to illustrate that part of subsidies provided borrowers, not including the value of the guarantee. Comparable estimates of subsidy costs for loans expected to be made or guaranteed in 1971 and 1972 are not available. The reductions which have already occurred in market rates of interest from the record 1970 levels should tend to reduce the net subsidy outlays for new lending activity. However, the total volume of subsidized loans, particularly insured and guaranteed loans, will probably increase in both 1971 and 1972. SPECIAL ANALYSES 81 GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED CREDIT PROGRAMS Seven major types of Government-sponsored privately owned institutions administer credit programs. The programs of these institutions are neither included in the budget totals, nor subject to budgetary control. Detailed schedules and explanatory statements of six of these groups and of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are printed as annexed budgets in part III of the Appendix. The operations of the Federal Reserve banks have no direct effect on budget totals, but payments of excess Federal Reserve earnings are regularly made to the Treasury and become budget receipts. (Actual receipts in 1970 totaled $3.3 billion.) Table E-5. NET CHANGES IN OUTSTANDING LOANS FOR MAJOR GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED CREDIT PROGRAMS (in millions of dollars) Agency Housing and Urban Development: Federal National Mortgage Association 1 Farm Credit Administration: Banks for cooperatives Federal intermediate credit banks Federal loan banks Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal home loan banks . Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Total Federal Reserve, Board of Governors: Federal Reserve banks Increase 1970 actual 5,402 197! estimate 3,561 21,102 66 642 464 91 722 494 1,907 6,461 7,953 3,823 2,264 315 3,000 —5 15,500 310 10,560 7,786 7,863 53,233 (2) (2) (2) 155 742 438 -638 4,035 1972 estimate Outstanding end of 1972 estimate 1 Data for Federal National Mortgage Association represent gross unpaid principal amounts. 2 Estimates not available. One Government-sponsored enterprise is new. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation was created by the Emergency Home Finance Act of 1970 (Public Law 91-351), as a secondary market facility for mortgages held by savings institutions. The Corporation began operations in 1971. In addition, legislation is being proposed to create two other institutions whose borrowing and lending will be outside budget totals: (1) the Environmental Financing Authority will serve primarily as a conduit to provide for municipal borrowing from the private credit markets, substituting the Authority's taxable obligations for the obligations of small municipalities that have difficulty in obtaining financing on reasonable terms for waste treatment plants; and (2) the National Student Loan Association will serve primarily as a secondary market facility to provide liquidity and new capital to banks and university operated student loan funds by selling its own federally guaranteed obligations in the private capital markets. Planning for the two organizations has not been completed and data for them are not reflected in table E-5. 430-700 0—71 82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 The six Government-sponsored credit programs—excluding the Federal Reserve banks (for which no forecasts are available)— anticipate continued expansion in their lending activity in both 1971 and 1972, though at a slower pace than in 1970. Their total loan portfolios are expected to rise by $7.8 billion in 1971 and by another $7.9 billion in 1972 to $53.2 billion on June 30, 1972. Most of the 2-year increase represents purchases of insured and guaranteed housing mortgages by the Federal National Mortgage Association and advances by the Federal home loan banks to member institutions engaged almost entirely in home mortgage lending. Hence, these programs, like the Government-guaranteed and insured loans previously discussed, are currently being devoted largely to supporting the housing market. SUMMARY OF FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY ASSISTED CREDIT Changes in the outstanding volume of credit either directly provided or given major assistance by the types of programs discussed in this analysis are summarized in table E-6. The coverage includes direct Government loans, Government-guaranteed and insured loans, and loans of Government-sponsored enterprises (excluding the Federal Keserve banks). Adjustments are made to exclude double counting, e.g., cases where loans by the sponsored agencies are also guaranteed or insured. During 1970 the aggregate amount of such credit outstanding increased by $15.9 billion. On the basis of present estimates, further increases will occur of $23.6 billion in 1971 and $31.4 billion in 1972, bringing the total outstanding credit and credit assistance to $250 billion on June 30, 1972. Table E-6. NET CHANGES IN OUTSTANDING FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY ASSISTED CREDIT (in millions of dollars) Type of credit assistance Direct Government loans: Expenditure account Loan account Net, direct loans Guaranteed and insured loans Less net increase in holdings by: Federal National Mortgage Association Government National Mortgage Association Export-Import Bank . Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Net, guaranteed and insured loans 1 Government sponsored agencies, loans Total 1 Excludes Federal Reserve banks. Increase or decrease in credit 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Outstanding end of 1972 estimate 831 2,131 1,10! 1,611 1,735 946 22,299 34,172 2,962 2,712 2,681 56,472 8,418 5,402 590 58 17,901 4,035 542 -58 315 24,473 167,450 3,661 56 -90 —5 21,102 5,506 232 310 2,368 13,067 20,851 140,300 10,560 7,786 7,863 53,233 15,880 23,565 31,395 250,005 83 SPECIAL ANALYSES Federal and Federally Assisted Credit Outstanding S Billions 250 — Loam by Government Sponsored 200 — 150 — 1961 '62 '63 Fiscal Y e a n '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 Estimate In addition to the rapid rise in total volume of Federal and federally assisted credit, sharp shifts in the year-to-year pattern will occur. In late 1971 and 1972, improvement in private financial markets is expected to permit a significant increase in the volume of guaranteed and insured housing loans, with somewhat less dependence upon FNMA purchases. The same improvement should also reduce needs for advances by the home loan banks, but increased lending by the new Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation is anticipated. The share of the total expansion accounted for by guaranteed and insured loans (net) is expected to rise from 15% in 1970 to 66% in 1972, while the share provided by federally sponsored enterprises drops from 66% to 25%. The share provided by direct Federal loans also drops—from 19% to 9%. Federal Credit Policy.—Federal credit programs which the Congress has placed outside the budget—guaranteed and insured loans, or loans by federally sponsored enterprises—escape regular review by either the executive or the legislative branch. The evaluation of these extrabudgetary programs has not always been consistent with that provided regular budget programs. Their effects on fiscal policy have not been rigorously included in the overall budget process. And their effects on overall debt management are not coordinated well with the overall public debt policy. Legislation is therefore to be proposed which will permit these programs to be reviewed and coordinated along with other Federal programs. 84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 SUMMARY OF LEGISLATION AUTHORIZING N E W AND BROADENED FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS The following summary lists all legislation authorizing new Federal credit programs or revising existing programs in major respects enacted during the last session of Congress. It excludes simple extensions in expiring laws and increases in funds for continuing programs. Department of Agriculture and Small Business Administration A. Disaster Assistance Act of 1970—Public Law 91-606 (1) Requires partial forgiveness of loan principal, revises interest formula and liberalizes eligibility requirements on disaster assistance loans provided by the Small Business Administration and the Farmers Home Administration; and (2) liberalizes adjustment provisions on other loan programs in cases of major disasters. B. Agricultural Credit Insurance Fund Loans—Public Law 91-617. (1) Requires interest on insured loans sold by this fund to be included in gross income subject to Federal income taxation. C. Consolidated Farmers Home Act Amendments—Public Law 91-620. (1) Increases maximum s:ze of farm ownership loans. Department of Commerce A. Merchant Marine Act of 1970—Public Law 91-469 (1) Decreases ceiling and broadens ship financing eligible for mortgage insurance; and (2) revises interest payable on ship sales mortgage installments. Department of Defense (and other agencies) A. Defense Production Act amendments—Public Law 91-379 (1) Limits maximum amount of any single loan guarantee; and (2) prohibits, with prescribed exceptions, use of guarantee authority to prevent financial insolvency or bankruptcy. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare A. Medical Facilities Construction and Modernization Amendments of 1970—Public Law 91-296 (1) Authorizes loan guarantees and loans to modernize and construct medical facilities; (2) authorizes interest subsidies on guaranteed loans to nonprofit private agencies, and to purchasers of guaranteed loans to public agencies; and (3) requires that interest and interest subsidies on guaranteed loans be included in gross income subject to Federal income taxes. B. Health Training Improvement Act of 1970—Public Law 91-519. (1) Authorizes capital contributions to help finance low-interest loans to students of allied health professions, with partial cancellation of principal for service in certain areas. SPECIAL ANALYSES 85 Department of Housing and Urban Development and other agencies A. Emergency Home Finance Act of 1970—Public Law 91-351 (1) Authorizes FNMA secondary market for conventional mortgages; (2) creates Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation to purchase and sell residential mortgages; and (3) provides interest subsidy payments to FNMA and FHLMC on mortgage loans to finance middle-income housing and authorizes insurance of such mortgages. B. Housing and Urban Development Act of 1970—Public Law 91-609 (1) Authorizes guarantees of obligations to finance new community development and related purposes, but requires income of guaranteed obligations of State development agencies to be subject to Federal taxation; (2) authorizes loans to pay interest on such obligations; (3) authorizes grants to State agencies equal to the difference between the interest rate on guaranteed securities and prevailing rates on similar tax-exempt issues; (4) authorizes increased interest subsidies on insured loans by Farmers Home Administration to provide housing for domestic farm labor; and (5) provides for guarantee of construction surety bonds by SBA. C. Uniform Relocation Assistance and Real Property Acquisition Policies Act of 1970—Public Law 91-646 (1) Authorizes reimbursement for increased interest costs for replacement housing for homeowners displaced by federally assisted programs; (2) liberalizes insurance of mortgages for displacees; and (3) authorizes interest-free loans to nonprofit groups for preliminary housing expenses. Department of Transportation A. Urban Mass Transportation Assistance Act of 1970— Public Law 91-453 (1) Authorizes loans (and grants) for acquisition and construction of facilities and equipment and of real property required for mass transportation assistance. B. Rail Passenger Service Act of 1970—Public Law 91-518 (1) Authorizes guarantees of obligations of the National Rail Passenger Corporation issued to finance roadbed improvement and rolling stock; and (2) authorizes interim loans or loan guarantees for railroads contracting with NRPC to provide passenger service. C. Federal-aid Highway Act of 1970—Public Law 91-605 (1) Authorizes compensation for increased mortgage interest rates payable on housing by owners displaced by highway program. D. Emergency Rail Services Act of 1970—Public Law 91-663 (1) Authorizes guarantees of trustee certificates of railroads undergoing reorganization. 86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Veterans Administration A. Veterans Housing Act of 1970—Public Law 91-506 (1) Authorizes guaranteed and direct loans to eligible veterans for mobile homes and lots at interest rates determined by Administrator; and (2) removes time limit on veteran's eligibility for all types of credit assistance. National Credit Union Administration A. Insurance for credit union shares—Public Law 91-468 (1) Authorizes loans to reopen closed credit unions or to prevent closing of insured credit unions. Securities Exchange Commission A. Securities Investor Protection Act of 1970—Public Law 91-598 (1) Authorizes loans to SIPC fund if assessments and other income are insufficient. SPECIAL ANALYSIS F PRINCIPAL FEDERAL STATISTICAL PROGRAMS Accurate economic and social statistics are always critical for intelligent evaluation of national economic activity and performance of specific Federal programs. Deficiencies in key economic data (e.g., gross national product, retail sales, wages, and prices) have complicated the problem of making sound policy choices during the past few years. Data series developed decades ago too often fail to focus on the crucial facts needed for effective decision making. Gaps in our social statistics have hampered the development of adequate social policy. Statistical detail for States, metropolitan areas and cities available today does not meet the needs of local authorities in dealing with social and economic problems under the New Federalism. Therefore, the principal Federal statistical programs and the resources requested for 1972 reflect changes needed to strengthen Federal statistics in these subject areas. This special analysis includes statistical programs of several agencies which were not included in the special analysis for 1971 and previous years. These added programs account for approximately $32 million, or 15 percent of the total budget requests for current statistical programs for 1972. The costs of these programs are included in the figures shown for each of the 3 years. It should be noted, however, that because of this change in program content, the figures for 1970 and 1971 in this special analysis are not comparable with figures for the same years in the 1971 special analysis. A general grouping of the statistical activities of the various agencies is reflected in the amounts shown for current statistical programs (see table 1). Recommendations for 1972 for current statistics total $209.3 million compared to $188.3 million in the previous year, an increase of $21 million or 11.2 percent. In addition to these continuing activities, the Federal Government conducts a number of periodic programs, such as the census of population and housing every 10 years, the economic censuses every 5 years, and the decennial revision of the Consumer Price Index. Amounts required for these programs fluctuate widely from year to year depending upon the nature and periodicity of the activities. Recommendations for the periodic programs for 1972 aggregate $34.2 million. This is only half the total for 1971. The decrease is accounted for almost entirely by the decline in cost as the processing and publication of the 19th decennial census comes to completion, even though work on the 1972 census of governments, the 1972 economic censuses, and revision of the Consumer Price Index is building toward the peak which will be reached in 1973. To indicate the interrelationships of the statistical programs carried out by different agencies and to aid in evaluating the Government's overall statistical system, the significant components of current Federal statistical activity are brought together and classified by broad subject areas. These areas and the amounts involved for 87 88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 current programs are summarized in table 1. Information by agencies, for both current and periodic programs, is shown in table 2. In some cases, these programs represent the entire output of agencies whose sole function is to develop general-purpose statistical information. In other instances, an agency's general-purpose statistical output is a byproduct of its principal activities. Consequently, the current statistical programs covered in this analysis include the entire program of some agencies and only a small part of the programs of others. A brief description of the major program changes is shown below by broad subject areas. Adjustments made for additional amounts required for strengthening existing programs, increased pay costs, and for savings resulting from increased productivity are not itemized in descriptive statements but are reflected in the totals. Table F-l. OBLIGATIONS FOR PRINCIPAL CURRENT STATISTICAL PROGRAMS, BY BROAD SUBJECT AREAS (in millions of dollars) Program Labor statistics Demographic and social statistics Health, vital and environmental statistics Population statistics Educational statistics Crime statistics Social security and welfare statistics Prices and price indexes Production and distribution statistics Construction and housing statistics National income and business financial accounts Total principal current programs 1970 1971 1972 39.7 50.7 (25.5) (2.9) (4.8) (4.4) (13.1) 8.0 47.0 9.6 14.0 42.4 63.7 (31.1) (3.7) (5.7) (8.3) (14.9) 9.4 50.2 7.6 15.0 51.1 69.8 (35.0) (3.4) (6.1) (12.1) (13.2) 10.0 52.9 10.0 15.5 168.9 188.3 209.3 LABOR STATISTICS Of the $8.7 million increase requested for labor statistics, about $4 million represents proposals for additional or expanded statistics. The rest represents increased costs of existing programs at both the Federal level and in the federally funded portion of work done by cooperating States. There are two major new projects to be conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The first would improve information on the construction industry—work injuries, wages, industrial relations and productivity—as part of a concerted effort, endorsed by the President's Cabinet Committee on Construction, to develop statistics needed to solve the problems in this sector of the economy ($1 million). The second would initiate a complete systems redesign of major BLS data series preparatory to going over to a new computer system ($500 thousand). The National Institutes of Health proposes to devote additional funds for contract research in the field of health manpower ($500 thousand). Finally, the recently enacted Occupational Health and Safety Act will require statistical information for program and evaluation purposes. Although the specific outlines of this program SPECIAL ANALYSES 89 are not yet determined, estimates of $200 thousand for 1971 and $2 million for 1972 have been included to indicate the expected magnitude. Much of the increase in 1972 over 1971 represents the increased costs of existing programs, in particular, the manpower training activity statistics produced by the Manpower Administration, Department of Labor. There are also included for the first time in this analysis, funds for the development of labor market information which the Manpower Administration transfers to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and to State employment security agencies. These funds are used to collect statistics on job vacancies and to develop current estimates of employment by occupation from a sample of employers. These two programs are still in the developmental stage, although national statistics are being released on job vacancies for manufacturing industries each month, as well as some information for selected areas. The Manpower Administration also supports some experimental research on methods of obtaining improved manpower information in urban poverty areas. No increase in these programs for labor market information is requested for 1972. The 1971 budget for the Bureau of Labor Statistics includes funds ($500 thousand) for strengthening price, wage, and productivity statistics needed by the National Commission on Productivity. In 1972, funds to support this Commission are included in the appropriation request for the Council of Economic Advisers. The National Register of Scientists and Engineers, now maintained by the National Science Foundation, is being discontinued in its present form. Instead, about $375 thousand will be devoted to the development of new methods for obtaining data on scientific and technical personnel. In addition, NSF will analyze the impact of Federal expenditures on scientific and engineering employment ($100 thousand) and examine new methods of making scientific and manpower analyses ($100 thousand). The net result of these changes will be a reduction of $400 thousand in the NSF budget for manpower studies. DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS The expansion in the scope of principal Federal statistical programs included in the special analysis this year affected the demographic and social statistics most of all. For this reason, an initial effort has been made to distinguish in the tables as well as in the text some of the more important areas of social statistics so that the overall changes may be better understood. In addition to changes in the separate subject areas noted below, $125 thousand has been included in the 1972 budget request for the publication of a statistical volume on social indicators which is now being prepared in the Office of Management and Budget with the collaboration of the major statistical agencies. Population statistics.—Work will continue on the updating of the Current Population Survey with information based on the 1970 Census, part of a 3-year program which was initiated last year. The Bureau of the Census also plans to continue procedures instituted last year which are designed to obtain improved estimates of family income in connection with the March enumeration of the Current 90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Population Survey. An experimental project to use Internal Revenue Service income tax records to develop local population and income estimates was discontinued as not likely to be worth the investment (—$277 thousand). Health, vital, and environmental statistics.—As a result of a change in the funding arrangements for the National Nutritional Surveillance program, there has been an increase of about $2.5 million in the budget request for the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) for 1972 and a corresponding drop in the statistical budget for the remainder of the Health Services and Mental Health Administration (HSMHA). In 1971, this same program was financed under the regional medical program of HSMHA with the funds transferred to NCHS for the actual work. Aside from this funding change, a major program increase ($2.4 million) is proposed for the work of the National Center for Health Statistics. About half of the additional funds would be used to speed up collection of vital statistics which are of particular importance in the development of current population estimates and projections. The remainder would be used to inaugurate field collection for the family growth survey, which will provide data on the family planning practices of the population, and to produce national statistics on the number and characteristics of persons receiving subsidized family planning services. A substantial increase (approximately $1 million) is proposed for the research and development arm of the National Center for Health Services for construction of models and for demonstration projects for cooperative Federal, State, and local health statistics programs. Educational statistics.—Moderate increases are proposed for the National Center for Educational Statistics to obtain additional information needed for long-range educational planning such as: (1) more detailed characteristics of college-level students, (2) a survey of 2-year colleges to examine their potential in meeting the anticipated increase in college enrollment, (3) collection of additional data on elementary and secondary school financing in anticipation of the needs expressed by the President's Commission on School Finance, and (4) the start of a longitudinal survey of high school seniors to examine subsequent educational and work experience. Social security and welfare statistics.—This grouping includes the statistical programs of the Social Security Administration and the Social and Rehabilitation Service, with the exception of health-related statistical programs. Also included are the statistical activities of the Office of Economic Opportunity. No program increase is requested for the Social Security Administration or the Office of Economic Opportunity. Funds requested for the Social and Rehabilitation Service show a decrease in 1972 following the completion of a national demonstration project to assist States and local areas to develop improved social welfare statistics (—$1.5 million). Crime statistics.—The principal program increases in this field are for the National Criminal Justice Information and Statistics Service in the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration, Department of SPECIAL ANALYSES 91 Justice. Further work will be done in developing and conducting surveys of crime victims, utilizing the Bureau of the Census for collecting the data. These studies based on information from victims of crime will provide new estimates of the total amount of crime and the characteristics of victims, and will point to possible methods of crime avoidance and prevention. Other projects include development of transaction statistics which would follow an offender through each step of the justice process, and establishment of an information system to provide data on LEAA grants and subgrants. The Bureau of Prisons will expand collection of data on inmates and will undertake statistical prediction studies to determine the probable effect of educational, vocational training, counseling, and other programs in relation to inmate characteristics. PRICES AND PRICE INDEXES The major change in the statistics program on prices is the work necessary for the revision of the Consumer Price Index which is discussed below under periodic programs. However, increased funds ($220 thousand) are requested for the Bureau of the Census to extend its development of construction price indexes. There is currently an index for single family homes and one for multifamily housing is underway. The increase will be used primarily for nonresidential construction. Preparation of these indexes is considered of high priority since they will replace unsatisfactory indexes now being used as GNP deflators in order to measure changes in the real volume of construction. Also, part of the funds requested to carry out the program recommended by the Cabinet Committee on Construction will enable the Bureau of Labor Statistics to improve data on prices of construction materials and mobile homes. PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION STATISTICS The principal elements of production and distribution statistics for which changes are planned in 1972 are in the program of the Bureau of the Census. The monthly retail trade survey sample will be increased so as to improve the reliability of published estimates by reducing the sampling variance. Also, as a result of the sample expansion, it will be possible to publish additional data by kind-of-business detail, as well as additional States, standard metropolitan statistical areas, and central cities ($350 thousand). Coverage of the monthly service trade series will be expanded to include nonprofit organizations; engineering and architectural services; and accounting, auditing, and bookkeeping services ($107 thousand). In the manufacturing sector, the quality of the monthly survey of manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders data will be improved: (a) by a detailed review of the sample panel to insure that divisional reports of large diversified companies adequately cover all significant product lines, and (b) by annual benchmarking to the annual survey of manufactures, which will be processed on an accelerated time schedule to assure prompter release of the results ($418 thousand). Funds are requested ($300 thousand) for advance planning and testing by the Census Bureau of a Government-wide computerized directory of all U.S. business firms and their establishments (containing 92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 name, mailing address, industry code, and size code). The directory will make available to designated Federal agencies, for statistical purposes only, up-to-date and consistent mailing lists that will assure uniform and complete coverage of specified industries, areas, or size classes. It will also provide a frame for selection of sample survey panels which may be benchmarked against a known statistical universe. There is a reduction (—$250 thousand) in the request for Economic Research Service, Department of Agriculture, principally for work on marketing costs and margins and cost of producing cotton. CONSTRUCTION AND HOUSING STATISTICS A new annual housing survey will be initiated with $500 thousand of the funds requested for the Bureau of the Census. These funds are intended to finance a national and regional sample, supplemented by funds from HUD for local data. This survey is considered of high priority and was endorsed by the President's Cabinet Committee on Construction. The data obtained will fill many voids in housing information such as: a current check on the size of the inventory; transactions in the existing housing market; rate of deterioration of housing and of upgrading; and the incomes and demographic characteristics of families as they move through the housing supply. A net increase of $1.3 million is requested for the Department of Housing and Urban Development, which, with savings resulting from the completion of some projects started in prior years, will finance the initiation of an annual housing survey in 20-25 SMSA's, providing data for the central city and the balance of the SMSA separately. This survey is an integral part of the one described above in connection with the Bureau of the Census. The request also includes funds to finance HUD's share of a full year's operation of the new mortgage gross flow series. NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS FINANCIAL ACCOUNTS An increase of $500 thousand is requested for 1972 to improve data in the area of national income and business financial accounts. Economic accounts.—The budget proposal for the Office of Business Economics provides for increased budget authority in three areas. The first will provide new measures for evaluating the impact of Federal activity and improve our knowledge of the timing of the fiscal impact ($150 thousand). It will provide comprehensive and consistent measures of the stages of Federal spending in terms of new obl^gational authority, placement of orders, production, delivery, and payment. Second, the extension of bilateral balance-of-payments accounts ($200 thousand) will increase the accuracy of measures of U.S. transactions with individual foreign countries by enabling a detailed reconciliation of U.S. data with comparable figures produced by other countries. This will assist in country-by-country balance-ofpayments analysis and in the formulation of economic policy. Third, a new project on evaluating current economic fluctuations ($100 thousand) is directed toward the development of an up-to-date list SPECIAL ANALYSES 93 of cyclical indicators, the development of broader definitions of cyclical episodes, and new ways of measuring the cyclical performance of the economy. This effort builds upon and extends the prior work of the National Bureau of Economic Research. Financial statistics.—Two programs designed to improve statistics on corporate financial developments are proposed in the budget for the Federal Trade Commission ($126 thousand). One is the extension of coverage of the principal survey in the area of corporate financial statistics, the " Quarterly Financial Report/' to include nonmanufacturing industries such as mining, retail and wholesale trade. The other will provide annual data on total receipts and net income distributed by major line-of-business for diversified corporations, to improve the primary industry classification of these businesses and to provide measures of the nature and extent of their secondary activities. The budget for the Securities and Exchange Commission has been reduced (—$170 thousand), largely due to the completion of the institutional investors survey. PERIODIC PROGRAMS 19th Decennial Census.—This is the final planned appropriation request for the 1970 censuses of population, housing and agriculture. The funds requested will provide for the remaining work of programing, computer processing, tabulation, and publication of the data. 1972 economic censuses.—The 1972 request represents the second of a five-stage request for the economic censuses (manufactures, mineral industries, construction, retail, wholesale, service, transportation, and other businesses) to be taken covering calendar 1972. This request covers various preparatory steps including design of report forms, preparation of mailing lists, writing and testing computer programs, and determining other collection and processing procedures. The requested funds provide for a major effort to speed up the issuance of census publications, with the hope that the publication schedule for the 1967 censuses can be bettered by from 6 to 12 months. 1972 census of governments.—Information for this quinquennial census is obtained from State and local governments. The requested funds provide for the collection of data during the year on such subjects as taxes and tax valuations, governmental receipts, expenditures, indebtedness, and number of employees. The funds requested will permit improved data on tax valuations by extending the collection to smaller governmental units. Revision of the Consumer Price Index.—The 1972 budget request for the Bureau of Labor Statistics includes $4.2 million for the third year of a comprehensive revision of the Consumer Price Index, which is undertaken every 10 years. The 1972 funds include a substantial amount for the collection of a consumer expenditure survey which will provide up-to-date weights for the revision of the Consumer Price Index. Arrangements have been made for these data to be collected from a sample of families by the Bureau of the Census as agent for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table F-2. OBLIGATIONS FOR PRINCIPAL STATISTICAL PROGRAMS, BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Agency 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 0.4 4.5 16.9 0.5 4.8 18.6 0.5 4.5 18.9 20.1 .2 .4 1.8 2.6 3.5 22.6 .2 .5 1.8 2.9 4.0 24.4 .2 .5 1.8 3.4 4.5 1.2 1.2 1.3 9.3 1.9 4.8 5.1 2.9 12.4 5.9 10.1 3.8 5.7 6.4 4.9 13.4 3.0 15.3 2.3 6.1 6.9 3.4 13.5 4.3 2.8 2.8 4.4 3.6 3.6 8.3 3.6 3.5 12.1 ___ 24.2 13.0 2.8 26.4 13.0 3.0 .2 29.4 16.3 3.1 2.0 --- .7 3.5 1.0 .5 3.5 1.7 1.0 3.5 1.9 7.6 -9 8.0 .9 -4 1.1 -9 -4 -7 1.5 5.2 1.1 .4 1.4 1.0 .5 .7 1.5 4.9 «8 8.1 1.2 ••> .5 1.8 1.1 .6 .7 1.1 4.9 .6 168.9 188.3 209.3 CURRENT PROGRAMS Department of Agriculture: • Agricultural Research Service • Economic Research Service Statistical Reporting Service Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census • Bureau of Domestic Commerce • Bureau of International Commerce • Economic Development Administration • National Marine Fisheries Service Office of Business Economics Department of Defense: • Corps of Engineers Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: National Center for Health Statistics • OtherHSMHA National Center for Educational Statistics • National Institutes of Health • Social and Rehabilitation Service • Social Security Administration • Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior: • Bureau of Mines • Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife • Department of Justice Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics • Manpower Administration • Workplace Standards Administration • Occupational Safety and Health Department of Transportation: • Office of the Secretary • Federal Highway Administration • National Highway Safety Bureau Department of the Treasury: • Internal Revenue Service • Civil Aeronautics Board • Council of Economic Advisers • Environmental Protection Agency • Federal Home Loan Bank Board • Federal Power Commission • Federal Trade Commission • Interstate Commerce Commission • National Science Foundation • Office of Economic Opportunity.___ • Securities and Exchange Commission Total, current programs - --- SPECIAL ANALYSES 95 Table F-2. OBLIGATIONS FOR PRINCIPAL STATISTICAL PROGRAMS, BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars)—Continued Agency 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 62.7 .4 1.3 24.7 1.4 3.9 PERIODIC PROGRAMS Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census: 19th decennial census 1972 census of governments 1972 economic censuses 1967 census of governments 1967 economic censuses Modernization of computer equipment Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics: Revision of Consumer Price Index 126.8 .2 .1 3.7 .5 Total, periodic programs 131.3 Total, principal statistical programs 300.2 •=Statistical activities only. 1.0 3.0 1.6 4.2 70.0 34.2 258.3 243.5 SPECIAL ANALYSIS G BALANCES OF BUDGET AUTHORITY This analysis presents information on balances of budget authority carried forward at the end of each of the three fiscal years shown in the budget. These balances may be obligated or unobligated; the latter occur only when the source of authority permits their use in subsequent years. Such balances of budget authority are a natural outgrowth of the Federal budget system, in which outlays can occur only subsequent to the enactment of appropriations or other forms of budget authority. In the case of most Government accounts, the timelag between appropriations of budget authority, obligations of funds, and related outlays is relatively short, and appropriations not obligated by the end of the fiscal year expire. However, in other cases, such as major procurement and construction programs, obligations and outlays may occur over a period of years after the budget authority is granted, and balances are carried forward until the authority is obligated and spent. In still others, authority is provided for standby emergency purposes (such as backup for insurance of bank deposits); if such authority is not needed or used, it is carried forward as a balance year after year. Amounts that have been obligated are carried forward as obligated balances until the subsequent payment of the obligations. The sum of the unobligated and obligated balances constitutes the unexpended balances. SUMMARY OF BALANCES BY FOND GROUPS Table G-l provides a breakdown of unexpended balances of budget authority under Federal funds and trust funds, and shows the unobligated and obligated amounts in each of the fund groups. Federal funds are those collected and used by the Federal Government, as owner. Of the estimated $148.1 billion of Federal fund unexpended balances at the end of 1972, the major portion—$82.8 billion (56%)—will have been obligated. Correspondingly, unobligated Federal fund balances are estimated at $65.3 billion (44% of the Federal fund unexpended balances). Trust funds are those administered in a fiduciary or trustee capacity by the Federal Government for specified purposes, such as social security programs. Of the $128.1 billion trust fund unexpended balances at the end of 1972, unobligated balances are estimated to be $114.2 billion (89%). Trust fund obligated balances are estimated to be only $13.9 billion (11% of trust fund unexpended balances). 96 SPECIAL ANALYSES 97 Table G-l1. SUMMARY OF BALANCES (in millions of dollars) Description Balances end oif year 1970 actual Federal funds: Unobligated balances Obligated balances Total Federal fund unexpended balances Trust funds: Unobligated balances Obligated balances Total trust fund unexpended balances Total, Federal and trust funds: Unobligated balances Obligated balances Total unexpended balances 1971 1972 estimate estimate 59,100 69,151 68,449 74,680 65,289 82,840 128,251 143, 129 148,129 97,349 12,511 103,092 13,287 114,204 13,886 109,860 116,379 128,090 156,449 81,662 171,541 87,967 179,493 96,726 238,111 259,508 276,219 FEDERAL FUND UNOBLIGATED BALANCES There are a variety of reasons for the unobligated balances in Federal funds. These are reflected in the categories used in table G-2. These categories are not mutually exclusive, since an individual item might be placed in more than one category, but they do serve to illustrate the basic characteristics of the balances. For purposes of this analysis, the categories cover only those accounts with balances of $20 million or more. Accounts with unobligated balances of less than $20 million are shown in the aggregate at the end of the table. Guarantee and insurance programs.—The Federal Government provides guarantees and insurance in certain areas, notably in housing and banking activities. In these kinds of programs, appropriations and other budget authority are provided for contingency backup, reserves, and debt redemption. To the extent such authority is not used, the amounts are carried forward as unobligated balances. Of the $65.3 billion Federal fund balances estimated to remain unobligated at the end of 1972, $26.5 billion (41%) fall into this category. The major portion of this amount ($20.4 billion) is basically standby and backup authority that, it is hoped, will not be used in the foreseeable future. For example: • $7,397 million is available for investment in the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and other international financial institutions, if these institutions make a "call" upon member nations for more paid-in capital; • $4,750 million is available for the Federal home loan banks and for the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation; • $3,000 million is available for the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; and • $2,250 million is available for loans to the Federal National Mortgage Association. 430-700 O—71 98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table G-2. ANALYSIS OF FEDERAL FUND UNOBLIGATED BALANCES (in millions of dollars) Category and agency Guarantee and insurance programs: 1 Standby and backup authority: International financial institutions Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Investment in Federal home loan banks Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Department of Housing and Urban Development: Loans to Federal National Mortgage Association Low-rent public housing Flood and civil disorder insurance Federal Housing Administration fund Urban renewal loans and planning advances Veterans Administration: Loan guaranty fund Other agencies... Total standby and backup authority Reserves for losses and debt redemption: Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Department of Housing and Urban Development: Federal Housing Administration fund Participation sales fund . Veterans Administration: Veterans insurance funds Department of Agriculture: Rural housing, and agriculture credit insurance _ International development assistance: Housing investment guaranty fund____ Overseas Private Investment Corporation Other agencies Total reserves for losses and debt redemption Total guarantee and insurance programs Loan programs: l Department of Housing and Urban Development: Government National Mortgage Association: Special assistance functions College housing loans Public facilities loans Housing for the elderly or handicapped . Department of Agriculture: Farmers home and rural electrification and telephone loans Veterans Administration: Direct loan revolving fund _ -Department of Labor: Advances to Employment Security Administration International development assistance: Development loans Small Business Administration Export-Import Bank Other agencies Total loan programs See footnotes at end of table. Unobligated balances end of year 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 6,839 7,397 7,397 4,000 750 3,000 4,000 750 3,000 4,000 750 3,000 2,250 1,094 556 339 301 477 260 2,250 942 564 388 250 603 365 2,250 832 557 389 173 662 374 19,866 20,509 20,384 2,439 2,588 2,754 1,203 491 411 1,381 643 467 1,624 358 519 264 669 579 100 88 49 129 74 8I 4V Ml ™ 5,070 6,007 6,087 24,936 26,516 26,471 4,546 2,289 252 46 4,320 1,275 214 41 3,912 876 157 56 514 643 839 763 345 46/ „ 3f8 2,215 ^96 379 585 348 400 221 1,052 283 12,041 9,118 350 218 _ 7,816 SPECIAL ANALYSES 99 Table G-2. ANALYSIS OF FEDERAL FUND UNOBLIGATED BALANCES (in millions of dollars)—Continued Category and agency Procurement programs: 1 Department of Defense-Military Department of Agriculture: Removal of surplus agricultural commodities Other agencies Total procurement programs Construction and land programs: 1 2 Postal Service Department of Transportation: Urban mass transportation program Grants in aid for airports and public lands and forest highways. Tennessee Valley Authority Department of Defense—Military Department of Agriculture: Forest roads and trails and rural environmental assistance Department of Housing and Urban Development: Grants for urban renewal; water, sewer, and neighborhood facilities Department of Interior: Land and water conservation fund and road construction Environmental Protection Agency: Construction grants Other agencies Total construction and land programs Research and development programs: Department of Defense—Military Other agencies Other balances: 1 Department of Defense—Military Department of Agriculture: Price support and related programs Rural water and waste disposal grants Other agencies Total other balances Balances of less than $20 million Total Federal fund unobligated balances 1 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 10,666 7,933 9,020 300 298 300 149 300 97 11,264 8,382 9,427 10,000 9,750 225 157 272 1,526 3,068 65 2,886 1,460 2,462 366 431 418 1,524 1,569 362 250 440 1,196 322 255 581 404 350 404 5,956 20, 6^7 17,999 1,225 242 1,141 117 956 15 1,467 1,258 971 1,182 1,091 1,042 1,646 56 1,025 529 14 561 2,828 2,172 2,146 610 368 458 59,100 68,449 65,289 2,428 1,421 1 Total, research and development programs 2 Unobligated balances end of year Covers accounts with balances of $20 million or more. Excludes loans for construction. Most of the remaining balances of standby and backup authority are in the Department of Housing and Urban Development, principally for guaranteed private loans in the low-rent public housing program ($832 million), and for prompt payment to insurance companies of reinsurance claims in flood and civil disorder damage cases ($557 million). This category also includes balances held as reserves for losses, which are primarily derived from fees, premiums, and other types of collections obtained from the protected groups themselves. Most of 100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 these balances are akin to funds held in trust. Significant items in this group include $2,754 million in fees and premiums collected from insured savings and loan institutions, $1,624 million for Federal housing insurance, $519 million held in reserves for Veterans Administration insurance programs, and $579 million held in reserves for rural housing and agriculture credit insurance programs of the Department of Agriculture. The Department of Housing and Urban Development also has $358 million for payment to holders of participation certificates as they mature, which is in the nature of debt redemption. Loan programs.—Another sizable category of unobligated balances results from the financing of loan programs. Approximately 12%—$7.8 billion—of unobligated Federal fund balances estimated to be carried over into 1973 is in loan programs. These programs generally are financed through revolving or business-type funds, which are established to carry on a cycle of operations, mainly with the public. Most of these funds are expected to be selfsustaining over a period of years. Their capital requirements are supplied through appropriations or other forms of budget authority. As they generate receipts from their own operations, the funds pay interest on their borrowings and repay unneeded capital. Balances relating to the revolving funds usually consist of amounts on deposit with the Treasury or of undrawn authorizations to borrow either from the Treasury or directly from the public. Approximately 64% of unobligated balances in this category ($5.0 billion), is in the Department ol Housing and Urban Development, largely for the special assistance functions of the Government National Mortgage Association ($3,912 million) and for loans foi college housing ($876 million). Many of the programs in the Department of Housing and Urban Development require budget authority on a long-leadtime basis in order to provide assurance to the potential borrower or contractor that adequate financing will be available when needed. The requirements for these programs are complex, and considerable time and money are required on the part of the applicant to develop a project to the stage wheie the Government can enter into a firm legal obligation. To deal with this problem, a reservation system has been worked out under which the Government—on its books—sets aside sufficient financing at the time it is convinced the applicant can develop a project that will meet requirements. These reservations are converted into legal obligations when an acceptable application is submitted and approved. The amounts so reserved are counted as unobligated until the final agreement or legally binding contract is actually consummated. The Department of Agriculture carries sizable, although considerably smaller, unobligated balances for rural housing, electrification, and telephone loan programs, which are estimated to total $839 million at the end of 1972. The Veterans Administration is estimated to have balances of $763 million at the end of 1972 for housing loan programs for veterans. The Export-Import Bank has had sizable unobligated balances in past years. As indicated by data for the 3-year period covered by this budget, these balances will be fully ussd by the end of 1972 in the expanded lending program of the Bank. SPECIAL ANALYSES 101 Procurement programs.—Of the $65.3 billion Federal fund balances estimated to remain unobligated at the end of 1972, o9.4 billion (14%) is attributable to the Government's major procurement programs. Approximately $9.0 billion (95%) of the balances available for procurement is for the acquisition by the Department of Defense of capital equipment, such as aircraft, missiles, ships, combat vehicles, and other weapons. These sizable balances are due to the relatively long leadtime required for such procurement and the application of a fall-funding policy. Full funding has the effect of setting a limit on the size of the specific program or project. This approach discloses to Congress the estimated full cost involved before the work actually begins, and requires that the Congress approve the estimated full cost before the project is undertaken. Under the full-funding concept, it should be recognized that funds may be "committed" to a given purpose, even though legally unobligated. For example, in the Department of Defense, funds are committed when the contracting organizations are directed to proceed with procurement—that is, before invitations to bid are issued. Thus, funds are clearly earmarked for specific projects when contractors are asked to bid. This avoids having bidders go to the expense of responding to an invitation to bid, only to find that no contract can be awarded due to unavailability of funds. Construction and land programs.—Programs in this category— involving land acquisition and improvement, and construction of facilities—account for $18.0 billion (28%) of the $65.3 billion Federal fund balances estimated to remain unobligated at the end of 1972. Most of these balances are in the Postal Service ($9,750 million), in the form of borrowing authority provided by the Postal Reorganization Act (Public Law 91-375) of August 1970. Other major balances include $2,462 million in the Department of Transportation for the urban mass transportation program, and $2,428 in the Tennessee Valley Authority, primarily for that agency's power program. Lesser balances are for the military construction of the Department of Defense. The full-funding policy discussed above under procurement also applies to these major construction programs. However, there are a few that are funded on an incremental basis, principally for reclamation, rivers and harbors, and flood control projects. In these programs only small unobligated balances are sometimes carried forward. Unobligated balances of loans for construction are excluded here. Such balances are included under loan programs. Research and development programs.—Balances relating to research and development programs amount to $971 million, or approximately 2% of the unobligated Federal fund balances estimated at the end of 1972. Most of the unobligated balances in this category estimated at the end of 1972 are in the Department of Defense—principally for the development, testing, evaluation, and improvement of weapons systems and related equipment. The "Other agencies" balance in this category at the end of 1972 is held by the Environmental Protection 102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Agency. As indicated by the declining trend in this entry, balances held by agencies other than the Environmental Protection Agency— e.g., the Atomic Energy Commission and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration—are estimated to be fully utilized by the end of 1972. Other balances.—Of the remaining $2.1 billion (3%) of Federal fund unobligated balances (in accounts with balances of $20 million or more) to be carried forward into 1973, $1,042 million is in the Department of Defense, mainly for industrial fund operations. These balances are characteristic of industrial fund activity—they are attributable to the time lag that occurs between receipt of a work order by the fund, and completion of the work required under the order. The Commodity Credit Corporation of the Department of Agriculture will have unobligated balances of $529 million in this category at the end of 1972, representing commodity price supports and related programs. The $561 million shown under "Other agencies" represents scattered balances among a number of programs such as State and community highway safety, highway beautification, Federal prison industries, and grants and other programs under international development assistance. FEDERAL FUND OBLIGATED BALANCES Table G-3 presents the major Federal fund obligated balances. Such balances are composed of the unpaid portion of obligations incurred by the Government in the form of orders placed, contracts awarded, and services received. Of the $82.8 billion Federal fund obligated balances estimated at the end of 1972, $27.1 billion (33%) are attributable to the military programs of the Department of Defense. The remaining obligated balances of $55.7 billion (67%) are scattered among the various civilian agencies and programs. The major cause of obligated balances is the long leadtime required in the procurement, construction, and research and development activities of the Federal agencies. There is also a considerable time lag involved in grants for capital outlays, where the State or local government must be assured of the availability of Federal funds before it lets a construction contract, but the related Federal payments are phased out over several years as work is performed. This applies to urban renewal in the Department of Housing and Urban Development; urban mass transportation in the Department of Transportation; hospital, health, and higher education in the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; and similar construction grant programs. Loan programs also account for sizable obligated balances due to the lag between the signing of the loan contract that creates the obligation, and the payments over a period of time as cash is needed by the borrower. This applies to loans to foreign borrowers, such as those made by the Export-Import Bank and other financial institutions under International development assistance, and to domestic loans for programs such as rural electrification in the Department of Agriculture. SPECIAL ANALYSES 103 Table G-3. FEDERAL FUND OBLIGATED BALANCES (in millions of dollars) Obligated balances end of year Description 1970 actual Department of Defense—Military: Procurement Research and development Operation and maintenance_ __ Construction Military personnel Other 1 ._ Total Department of Defense—Military Civilian agencies: Funds Appropriated to the President: International development assistance International security assistance Office of Economic Opportunity Appalachian regional development programs Other Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation Rural Electrification Administration Farmers Home Administration Agricultural Stabilization and Correlation Service Other . Department of Commerce (mostly economic development and maritime programs) Department of Defense—Civil Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education (mainly grants to colleges, universities, local school districts, and other educational institutions) __ Social and Rehabilitation Service (mainly grants to States) _ _ National Institutes of Health Health Service and Mental Health Administration (mostly community mental health and hospital construction) Other Department of the Interior Department of Justice (mostly Law Enforcement Assistance Administration) Depai tment of Labor (manpower development and training) __ Atomic Energy Commission (mostly research and development) _ Environmental Protection Agency (mostly construction grants) _ Department of Transportation (mostly urban mass transportation, highways and Coast Guard) Department of Housing and Urban Development: Community Development (mainly urban renewal fund) Housing Production and Mortgage Credit: Federal Housing Administration _ _ Other National Aeronautics and Space Administration (mostly research and development) Postal Service Veterans Administration Export-Import Bank Other civilian agencies 2 Total civilian agencies Total Federal fund obligated balances 1 Includes obligated ment of Defense (1971, 2 Includes obligated excluding D O D ( 1 9 7 1 , $500 million). balances of allowances $55 million; 1972, $185 balances of allowances $25 million; 1972, $75 _.._ 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 15,838 3,483 2,970 924 568 1,700 16,234 3,327 2,785 1,221 834 1,467 16,992 3,896 2,816 1,314 892 1,185 25,483 25,868 27,095 4,079 1,703 1,147 451 375 4,286 1,994 806 504 598 4,883 2,163 533 513 315 3,645 1,129 351 257 466 2,781 1,067 431 222 520 2,554 1,115 578 210 588 1,151 235 1,252 293 1,381 416 2,878 2, 536 1,561 3,296 2,915 1,723 4,326 3,301 1,911 1,416 64 780 1,464 124 777 1,453 437 782 276 632 1,096 828 429 1,235 1,362 1,636 567 1,356 1,398 2,629 1,134 1,006 1,099 5,216 5,544 6,555 1,925 361 1,542 395 1,535 522 1,513 863 861 2,903 1,836 1,658 1,371 942 3,887 2,752 1,777 1,577 871 4,825 3,575 43,668 48,812 55,745 69,151 74,680 82,840 for civilian and military pay increases of the D e p a r t million), and for all-volunteer force (1972, $50 million). for revenue sharing (1972, $87 million); pay i n c r e a s e s , million); and contingencies ( 1 9 7 1 , $200 million; 1972, 104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 T R U S T F U N D BALANCES The balances of trust funds are shown in table G-4. The amounts include both unobligated and obligated balances of trust fund authorizations. The unobligated balances include both the open book balances and investments in U.S. securities. The investments in such securities are held until funds are needed to meet statutory requirements in subsequent years. Table G-4. T R U S T F U N D BALANCES (in millions of dollars) Balances end of year Description Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund Federal disability insurance trust fund. Federal hospital insurance trust fund.. Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund. _.._ Unemployment trust fund Railroad retirement accounts Civil service retirement and disability fund Federal employees health benefits fund. Federal employees life insurance fund. Highway trust funds Airport and airway trust fund National service life insurance fund. __ U.S. Government life insurance fund. _ Foreign military sales trust f u n d . . . . . . Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation funds Other trust funds Total trust funds 1970 1971 Obli- 30,151 4,800 2,665 2,460 285 12 31,228 5,835 4,377 2,593 303 13 34,320 6,674 8,286 2,599 320 36 47 13,070 4,705 10 50 138 262 11,394 4,720 21 50 155 484 11,137 4,878 23 50 157 22,207 97 225 33 815 7,520 24,247 106 26,180 133 362 24 197 6,173 779 6,003 737 2,132 255 21 969 7,487 428 375 24 212 7,274 606 6,045 698 2,032 284 3 1,126 7,473 751 382 24 262 334 46 4,471 628 326 55 4,856 601 342 54 13,287 114,204 13,886 5,050 840 5,978 778 2,232 4,154 575 97,349 Unobli 1972 Unobliigated 12,511 103,092 Obligated Unoblii- Obligated SPECIAL ANALYSIS H CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT IN THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH Civilian employment in the executive branch will increase modestly in 1972. New and expanding programs of the civilian sector will be almost offset by decreases in employment in defense and space programs and by selective reductions in other agencies. The estimates in this analysis, for both full-time permanent and total employment, reflect continued vigilant management scrutiny and the absorption of workload increases through anticipated gains in employee productivity. FULL-TIME PERMANENT CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT The year 1970 represented a year of administrative control of Federal employment, in contrast to the rigid formula restrictions for 1969 prescribed b}^ the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968. These flexible administrative controls succeeded in reducing the number of full-time permanent Federal civilian employees on board June 30, 1970, by about 50,000 below the level estimated 6 months earlier in the 1971 budget document. An actual reduction of about 81,200 was achieved in the year ending June 30, 1970. For June 30, 1971, full-time permanent civilian employment is estimated to be 2,574,000—'an increase of about 21,400 from June 30, 1970. New or expanding civilian programs in such areas as environmental protection; crime reduction, including the sky marshal program; increased veterans medical services; and improved Government building security are contributing to the net increase. Full-time permanent civilian employment at the end of 1972 is estimated to be 2,589,300. Forty-one percent of this figure represents employment in the Department of Defense, 23% will be employed by the Postal Service, and another 6% is attributable to the Veterans Administration. These three agencies account for 70% of all full-time permanent civilian employment in the executive branch. Table H - l depicts estimated changes in end-of-year employment levels between 1971 and 1972. While the Department of Defense shows a net decrease of 17,500, increases for a number of civilian agencies totaling 27,800 will bring about an expected Government-wide increase of 15,300, a figure which should be contrasted with the 21,400 increase estimated for the current year. Despite both increases the number of Federal employees per thousand of total population has declined steadily since 1969. 105 106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table H-1. SUMMARY OF FULL-TIME PERMANENT CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT IN THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH Agency As of June 1970 actual 2 Department of Agriculture 82,553 Department of Commerce 25,427 Department of Defense, military functions 1,129,642 Department of Defense, civil functions 30,293 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare.... * 99, 657 Department of Housing and Urban Development. _ 14,661 2 Department of the Interior 56,570 Department of Justice 38,013 Department of Labor 10,217 Department of State 23,618 Department of Transportation 63,879 Department of the Treasury 86,020 Atomic Energy Commission 7,033 2 Environmental Protection Agency 5 , 778 General Services Administration 36,400 National Aeronautics and Space Administration 31,223 Postal Service 565,618 Veterans Administration 148,497 Other agencies: Agency for International Development 14,486 Civil Service Commission 5,214 Office of Economic Opportunity 2,387 Selective Service System 6, 665 Small Business Administration 4,015 Tennessee Valley Authority 12,657 The Panama Canal 14,635 United States Information Agency 9,989 2 Miscellaneous Agencies 27,414 Subtotal Allowance for contingencies Total l 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 85,600 87,300 1.700 28,400 29,600 1.200 1,079,500 1,061,600 -17,900 30,900 31,300 400 105,300 102,100 -3,200 16,000 16,700 700 58,000 59,100 1,100 43,600 46,800 3.200 11.600 12,100 500 23,600 23.700 100 69,600 71,900 2.300 93,500 100,400 6.900 7,000 7,000 6,700 8,900 2,200 39,900 41,600 1,700 29,900 28,400 -1,500 585,200 590,500 5,300 154,400 160,800 6,400 14,000 5,500 2,500 6,500 4,100 13,300 14,800 9,900 29,700 11.100 5.900 2.500 6.500 4,200 13,300 14.900 9,900 31,200 2,552,571 2,569,000 2,579,300 3 Change 1971-72 5,000 -2,900 400 100 100 1,500 10,300 10,000 5,000 2,552,571 2,574,000 2,589,300 15,300 1 2 3 Excludes disadvantaged worker-trainees in the Public Service Careers program. Reflects reallocations of positions to the Environmental Protection Agency. Subject to later distribution. Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. In a number of agencies, increased employment in 1972 results from program workload, services, and payments that rise under present law with an expanding population, a growing economy, and the shifting of emphasis in national priorities. Most of the 1972 increases in employment occur in: (1) The Department of the Treasury, up 6,900, largely for increased audit capabilities in the Internal Revenue Service to enhance the equity of Federal revenue collections. Other increases are for the Secret Service (in part to effect establishment of the Executive Protective Service), the Bureau of Customs, coin and currency manufacturing activities, and for fiscal services. (2) Veterans Administration, up 6,400, to provide better medical care for an increased caseload. (3) The Postal Service, up 5,300, to service an increase in mail volume and a substantial rise in the number of delivery stops caused mainly by more patrons in suburban areas. SPECIAL ANALYSES 107 (4) The Department of Justice, up 3,200, the largest segment to satisfy increased demands on the FBI. Smaller increases are also provided for the Federal Prison System and in the Immigration and Naturalization Service. The number of deputy U.S. marshals will be increased to provide adequate courtroom security. (5) The Department of Transportation, up 2,300, primarily to increase the number of air traffic controllers and maintenance technicians. Smaller increases are provided for the Urban Mass Transportation Administration, the Federal Highway Administration, the National Highway Safety Bureau, and the Coast Guard. (6) The Environmental Protection Agency, a newly created agency, has an estimated 1972 employment level of 8,900 of which about 5,800 represent transfers from other agencies. Another 3,100 positions—900 in 1971 and 2,200 in 1972—will be provided as a net increase for this vital function. (7) The Department of Agriculture, up 1,700, for support of credit programs (Farmers' Home Administration, Rural Electrification Administration), increased research and development, increased forestry efforts, consumer protection, and an expanding food stamp program. (8) The General Services Administration, up 1,700, for increases in building security personnel and in service, maintenance, and construction activities. (9) The Department of Commerce, up 1,200, for the most part in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (10) The Department of the Interior, up 1,100, reflecting increases in; the Bureau of Land Management, Indian and territorial programs, geological survey efforts, wildlife and the National Park Service, and power programs. Significant employment decreases will occur in four agencies; (1) The Department of Defense, down 17,500, due to a continuing decline in manpower requirements. (2) The Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, down 3,200. This decrease results mainly from a change in the way the Department meets its responsibilities with respect to Federal beneficiaries. (3) The Agency for International Development will decline by 2,900 as a result of the President's reform and reorganization of foreign assistance programs. A substantial portion of the decline is in overseas employment. (4) The National Aeronautics and Space Administration, down 1,500, in response to a phasedown of space program activity. TOTAL FEDERAL PERSONNEL "Total Federal personnel" encompasses employment in the legislative and judicial branches, armed services personnel, and Federal civilian employment in the executive branch. Within the category of total Federal civilian employment, full-time permanent employees account for nearly 89%. The remainder is made up of part-time employees, intermittent employees (thosje employed on an irregular or occasional basis), and full-time temporary emp]oyees (those in positions occupied for less than a year). The various employment categories are shown in table H-2. 108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table H-2. TOTAL FEDERAL GOVERNMENT EMPLOYMENT As of June Description 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Civilian employment in the executive branch: Full-time permanent * Other than full-time permanent2 Armed services personnel on active duty: Department of Defense... Department of Transportation (Coast Guard) 2,552,571 2,574,000 331,334 320,300 2,589,300 306,600 3,065,508 2,698,700 38,000 39,200 2,504,800 39,600 Subtotal. Legislative and Judicial personnel 5,987,413 5,632,200 37,602 5,440,300 Total 6,025,015 1 2 Excludes disadvantaged worker-trainees in the Public Service Careers program. Excludes summer and part-time workers under the President's Youth Opportunity Campaign and merchant seaman on vessels under Federal shipping contracts. PERSONNEL COMPENSATION AND B E N E F I T S Table H - 3 presents selected data of the Federal payroll and related costs. Table H-3. PERSONNEL COMPENSATION AND BENEFITS (in millions of dollars) Description Civilian personnel costs: 2 Direct compensation Personnel benefits 1970 actual 1971 estimate l 1972 estimate l __ 27,258 2,255 29,000 2,500 29,600 2,700 Total Armed Forces personnel costs: 3 Direct compensation Personnel benefits 29,513 31,500 32,300 16,690 3,961 16,000 3,900 14,700 3,600 20,651 19,900 18,300 Total 1 Excludes budget allowances of $1.5 billion for 1971 and $3.6 billion for 1972 for military and civilian pay increases effective January 1971 and January 1972. 2 Excludes Members and officers of Congress. 2 Excludes Reserve components. SPECIAL ANALYSES 109 The various pay components which comprise direct compensation are: basic pay; premium pay for overtime, holidays, Sundays, night work, and hazardous duty; and post differentials for overseas duty. Related personnel benefits include the Government's share of Federal retirement and old-age survivor's and disability insurance costs; employee's life insurance; health insurance and benefits; and similar payments. Also included are cost-of-living and quarters allowances, uniform allowances (when paid in cash) and, in the case of military personnel, allowances for subsistence, reenlistment bonuses, and certain other cash payments. Obligations to be incurred for civilian personnel compensation and benefits in 1972 are estimated at $32.3 billion. Some of the personnel compensation is offset by proprietary receipts, while compensation of others is paid from public enterprise funds (such as the Postal Service). The cost of these employees, included in table H-3, amounts to $7.4 in 1972. After allowing for the offsets, the remaining cost of Federal civilian employee compensation is only 10.4% of the budget totals. Government pay scales for "blue collar" workers have for many years been subject to administrative adjustments to correspond to local prevailing wages in private industry. As wages in private industry have advanced, Federal compensation for such workers has also increased. Salary rates for most other Federal workers are adjusted under the law for comparability with rates paid for the same levels of work in private enterprise, as determined on the basis of appropriate annual surveys conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The recently enacted "Federal Pay Comparability Act of 1970" authorizes the President to make pay adjustments on January 1, 1971, and for each succeeding year thereafter to establish comparability between Federal and private enterprise salary rates. Under this act an average salary increase of 5.96% has been authorized, effective in January of 1971. An equivalent increase, in military basic pay only, of 7.9% also has been authorized, as required by law. As a result, Federal salaries in 1971 will correspond to 1970 private enterprise rates. Total allowances for general civilian and military pay increases of $3.6 billion are carried in the 1972 budget to cover the January 1971 increase, a possible further adjustment effective January 1972, and certain wage-board adjustments for 1972. GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYMENT Table H-4 presents the geographical distribution of Federal civilian employment. Most Federal employees—82%—work in the various States. The Washington, D.C., metropolitan area (including bordering areas of Maryland and Virginia) accounts for less than 11%, while the remaining 7% are in foreign countries and in U.S. territories and possessions. Employees in foreign countries are, for the most part, nationals of the countries in which they work. 110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table H-4. FEDERAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT BY GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION (as of June 1970) Location Washington, D.C., metropolitan area 2 Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho. Illinois._ _. Indiana Iowa Kansas . , ,-_ Kentucky , „ Louisiana ,. , Maine _,1 3 Maryland Massachusetts Michigan. T... Minnesota Mississippi , .., Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada — New Hampshire New Jersey ._. New Mexico ___ New York North Carolina _._. North Dakota Ohio 1 2 3 Total employment l 320,970 55,672 14,808 27,504 16,908 308,395 42,359 19,688 4,732 69,486 76,467 26,974 8,582 112,320 42,539 18,264 22,625 35,863 28,597 15,926 63,958 65,662 53,329 29,818 21,100 66,182 10,668 15,093 8,521 5,226 67,384 25,717 178,647 37,866 8,055 99,146 Location Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah.... Vermont Virginia3 Washington.. West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Undistributed 4 .. Summer Youth..-x Total employment l ._ Total United States 2,709,749 Outside United States: Territories and possessions... :i . Foreign countries Total Outside United States U.S. citizens Foreign nationals 5 _ . . - ^ - . . . _ Total employment Legislative and judicial 55,293 24,868 139,837 14,626 29,345 9,614 41,923 149,743 39,992 3,720 76,710 54,640 13,287 26,150 5,352 -402 -44,038 36,328 175,430 211,758 (53,759) (157,999) _ 2,921,507 —37,602 Total executive branch 2,883,905 Distributed as follows: Full-time permanent (2,552,571) Temporary, part-time and intermittent (331,334) Distribution by State is partially estimated Includes employees of the executive branch and of the legislative and judicial branches. Excludes employment within the Washington, D.C., metropolitan area, which includes the District of Columbia and the adjacent counties and cities in Maryland and Virginia. 4 Merchant seamen on vessels under Federal shipping contracts. 5 Excludes 102,780 foreign nationals provided to the Department of Defense under contract agreements, or other arrangements with foreign governments which provide for the furnishing of personal services. SPECIAL ANALYSES 111 TRENDS IN WORKLOAD Although civilian employment is being reduced in some activities and agencies of the executive branch, the pressures of economic expansion, population growth, and social problems are such that workload increases in a number of programs are necessary. Some of these increases are: • Food stamp participants are expected to increase by 30%. • The number of federally inspected meat and poultry processing plants is expected to rise by 10%. • Rural housing loans are estimated to increase by 52%. • Mail volume and delivery stops are expected to increase by 3.1% and 2.6%, respectively. • FBI investigations are expected to increase by 125,000. • It is estimated that there will be 12 million additional inspections by the Immigration and Naturalization Service. • Population in Federal prisons can be expected to increase by 1.5%. • Potential and actual cases completed by the Justice Department are expected to increase by 11%. • The number of landings and takeoffs at airports with FAA towers is expected to rise by almost 10%. • The number of tax returns filed with the Internal Revenue Service will increase by 2.5% to 111.3 million, and there will be an 11% increase in the number of tax returns audited. • The number of persons arriving in the country for processing through customs is expected to increase by 6% and formal cargo entries by 8%. • Coin production at U.S. mints will increase by 5.7% to meet the coinage needs of the economy. • The number of veterans who will avail themselves of educational opportunities or on-the-job training is expected to increase by more than 10%. This list represents some of the major workload increases expected in 1972. The growth in manpower needs has been kept to a minimum by requiring steadily greater productivity. POPULATION AND GOVERNMENT EMPLOYMENT COMPARISONS For more than 18 years, the ratio of Federal employment to total employment in all governmental units—Federal, State, and local— has been declining. This proportion is estimated to be less than 22% in 1972, as shown on the following chart. 112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Government Civilian Employment Millions of Employe 14 — 10- 8— (78%) 1965 1970 1972 Estimate The ratio of Federal civilian employment to population (see table H-5) has been decreasing since 1968 and is expected to be 13.8 per thousand in 1972. Table H-5 covering the period 1942-72, presents a comparison of total Federal civilian employment in the executive branch with State and local government employment, and the U.S. population. The Federal employment data includes temporary and part-time personnel. SPECIAL ANALYSES Table H-5. 113 GOVERNMENT EMPLOYMENT AND POPULATION, 1942-72 Government employment 1942 1943 _. 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953. _ _ 1954 _. 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 2 1961 1962 1963 3 19643 1965 _ 1966 . 1967 1968 1969 4 19702 1971 2 1972 Popu lation Federal State and All govern- Federal as branch x (thousands) ments (thousands) umts (thousands) all governmental units 2,272 3,274 3,304 3,787 2,666 2,082 2,044 2,075 1,934 2,456 2,574 2,532 2,382 2,371 2,372 2,391 2,355 2,355 2,371 2,407 2,485 2,490 2,469 2,496 2,664 2,877 2,951 2,980 2,884 2,894 2,896 3,310 3,184 3,092 3,104 3,305 3,568 3,776 3,906 4,078 4,031 4,134 4,282 4,552 4,728 5,064 5,380 5,630 5,806 6,073 6,295 6,533 6,834 7,236 7,683 8,259 8,730 9,141 9,496 9,929 5,582 6,458 6,396 6,891 5,971 5,650 5,820 5,981 6,012 6,487 6,708 6,814 6,934 7,099 7,436 7,771 7,985 8,161 8,444 8,702 9,018 9,324 9,705 10,179 10,923 11,607 12,092 12,476 12,813 40.7 50.7 51.7 55.0 44.6 36.8 35.1 34.7 32.2 37.9 38.4 37.2 34.4 33.4 31.9 30.8 29.5 28.9 28.1 27.7 27.6 26.7 25.4 24.6 24.4 24.8 24.4 23.9 22.5 22.2 21.8 Total United States (thousands) 135,361 137,250 138,916 140,468 141,936 144,698 147,208 149,767 152,271 154,878 157,553 160,184 163,026 165,931 168,903 171,984 174,882 177,830 180,684 183,756 186,656 189,417 192,120 194,592 196,920 199,118 201,166 203,635 205,537 207,597 209,934 Federal ment per 1,000 population 16.8 23.9 23.8 27.0 18.8 14.4 13.9 13.9 12.7 15.9 16.3 15.8 14.6 14.3 14.0 13.9 13.5 13.2 13.1 13.1 13.3 13.1 12.9 12.8 13.5 14.4 14.7 14.6 14.1 14.0 13.8 1 Covers total end-of-year employment in full-time permanent, temporary, part-time, and intermittent positions except for summer workers under the President's Youth Opportunity Campaign; merchant seamen on vessels under Federal shipping contracts; and beginning in 1970, excludes Public Service Careers program disadvantaged worker-trainees and disadvantaged students employed part time. 2 Includes temporary employees for the decennial census. 3 Excludes 7,41 1 project employees in 1963 and 406 project employees in 1964 for the public works acceleration program. 4 On Jan. 1, 1969, 42,000 civilian technicians of the Army and Air Force National Guard converted by law from State to Federal employment status. They are included in the Federal employment figures in 5this table after and including 1969. An official projection of State and local government employment is not available. The percentages shown for these years are consistent with a range of reasonable estimates based on recent trends in population and State and local government activity. 430-7W O—71 PART 2 FEDERAL SOCIAL PROGRAMS 115 INTRODUCTION Part 2 furnishes Government-wide program and financial information in seven social program areas—education, manpower, health, income security, crime reduction, housing, and environment. I t includes the special analyses designated I through O. The figures used in these analyses differ from the data shown under somewhat similarly titled categories of the functional classification used in P a r t 5 of the Budget and elsewhere. I n the functional classification, each activity is categorized according to its major purpose; thus all the military spending of the Department of Defense falls into the functional category, National defense. I n these special analyses, however, all spending for education, health, etc., is included, even if the activity has a different primary purpose. Thus the tabulations here are more comprehensive with regard to these particular types of social programs. The Government's commitment of resources to the first six of these purposes is evidenced in the tabulation below. This is n o t a complete representation, however, since some resources also go into other social programs t h a t are not explicitly covered by a special analysis in this volume. Also, outlays relating to the environment, set forth in Special Analysis O, are not included in the following tabulation: FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR SELECTED SOCIAL PROGRAMS, 1972 [In millions of dollars] Outlays Description Special analysis: I. Education J. Manpower K. Health L. Income security M. Reduction of crime N. Housing Deduction for duplications included above Total Civilian agencies 12,639 3,739 20,300 76,964 1,900 1,066 —17,072 99,536 Depart' ment of Defense 897 19 1,912 3,955 All agencies 705 -211 13,536 3,758 22,212 80,919 1,900 1,771 -17,283 7,277 106,813 Some activities of the Government serve more than one social purpose; for example, the Medicare and Medicaid programs may be considered as a part of both the Federal health and income security programs. About $12,026 million for 1972 is included in both the health and income security categories. Thus, in adding the six categories to a total, a deduction must be made to avoid double counting. 116 SPECIAL ANALYSIS I FEDERAL EDUCATION PROGRAMS PART I—OVERVIEW The 1972 Federal budget provides outlays of $13.5 billion for aid to education, an increase of $0.9 billion over 1971. This amount comprises 5.9% of total Federal spending in 1972 and represents about a fivefold rise in education outlays since 1962. Federal education programs may be viewed as serving two functions. First, they support education directly by aiding educational institutions and individuals attending them. This function is served principally by the programs of the Office of Education. Also included are Head Start projects, now administered by the Office of Child Development, assistance for former servicemen under the GI bill, payments to students who are children of deceased or disabled social security beneficiaries, and education of American Indians and overseas dependents of U.S. military personnel. Loans for college housing provided by the Department of Housing and Urban Development also fall within this category. These programs constitute 60% of total Federal spending for education. Table 1-1. MAJOR FEDERAL EDUCATION ACTIVITIES (in billions of dollars) Program Office of Education programs (HEW) Head Start (HEW) NSF science education College housing loans (HUD) Education of American Indians (Interior) and overseas dependents (DOD) GI education benefits (VA) Social security benefits for children in school (HEW) Subtotal, direct support Research at academic institutions * (20 agencies) Health and other scientific manpower training 1 (7 agencies) Training of Federal and other public employees at educational institutions (12 agencies) Agricultural extension (Agriculture) Education aid to foreign countries (AID) Child nutrition (Agriculture) Allother Subtotal, other education.. Total 1 Outlays 1971 1970 1972 4.1 .3 .1 .2 4.4 .3 .1 .1 4.8 .4 .1 .1 .3 .9 .5 .4 1.5 .6 .5 1.7 .6 6.4 7.5 8.1 1.5 .6 1.5 .6 1.7 .5 .4 .1 .1 .6 1.2 .4 .2 .2 .8 1.5 .4 .2 .2 .8 1.6 4.5 5.2 5.4 10.9 12.7 13.5 Excludes portion included in Office of Education. 117 118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Federal programs also support education as a means of meeting other national objectives. Examples of programs in this category are: University research to extend medical knowledge, training of manpower to improve delivery of health services, agricultural extension services, Agency for International Development assistance to schools and colleges abroad, and professional training of military officers. Such activities account for 40% of total outlays for education. Federal outlays for education have risen almost $11 billion since 1962. Of this amount, $4.6 billion has been allocated to elementary and secondary education, a fivefold increase. Federal investment in higher education has risen $4.7 billion and is now four times the 1962 level. Of the total spending in U.S. education institutions, Federal education funds account for 23%. Table 1-2 summarizes the trend in Federal outlays by level of education since 1962. Table 1-2. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR EDUCATION (1962-72) (in billions of dollars) Actual Elementary and secondary Higher Adult and other. Total Estim;cited 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 0.9 10 1.0 1.6 1.7 8 3 3 36 10 3.6 4.4 6 2.7 .9 3 7 4 4 6 13 ? 0 8 2 6 1.3 1,7 1 5 4.3 51 15 5.0 5.8 1.9 55 60 70 2.8 3.2 3.5 4.1 6.2 7.9 9.3 9.5 10.9 12.7 13.5 The remainder of part I of this analysis highlights Federal education policies and budget proposals for 1972 and indicates the degree to which different Federal agencies are supporting education. Part II discusses the principal Government programs by level of education. Part III contains technical notes on coverage and scope of the analysis and the relationship to other analyses in the Federal budget. EDUCATION POLICIES AND THE 1972 BUDGET In education, as in other domestic fields, the Federal Government is emphasizing reform and renewal to improve performance and concentrate resources on meeting urgent national problems. Over the next year a number of significant proposals will be made: • The administration will recommend a new and expanded program of special revenue sharing with the States and localities for elementary and secondary education. This proposal will draw together the wide array of overlapping and bewildering authorities for categorical grants into four broad areas of national interest and provide additional funds during 1972. • One of the most pressing public concerns for the past 20 years has been the attempt to overcome the adverse educational impact of racial isolation in our Nation's schools. Progress in school desegregation has been accelerating, particularly in the last few years. SPECIAL ANALYSES 119 To expedite and encourage the early completion of this change, the administration is requesting a total of $1.5 billion in 1971 and 1972 for grants to desegregating schools. • To insure that no qualified student who wants to go to college will be barred by lack of financial resources, a basic revision of the existing Office of Education student aid programs will be recommended. • To spur innovation in institutions of higher education, a National Foundation for Higher Education will be proposed under new legislation. As a new independent Federal agency, the Foundation will assist colleges to experiment with new educational forms and techniques. • The administration also has requested that a National Institute of Education be established within HEW to bring to education the intensity and quality of research and experimentation which the Federal Government has developed in space and medical research areas. • Education will be affected fundamentally by administration proposals to (a) share a fixed and growing portion of the Federal tax base with the States—to use as they determine—under a program of general revenue sharing (see Special Analysis P) and (b) reform the Nation's failing welfare system to free States of a significant portion of fast-growing welfare costs and lead to a more stable home environment for thousands of children. (See Special Analysis L.) The significant increases in outlays for education in 1972, compared to those in 1971, are (in millions of dollars): Special revenue sharing for elementary and secondary education Emergency school assistance Education of children from low-income families College student assistance National Foundation for Higher Education Academic research, all agencies National Foundation for the Arts and the Humanities National Institutes of Health 92 200 59 264 30 160 26 147 FEDERAL SUPPORT OF EDUCATION BY AGENCY Table 1-3 provides a summary of total Federal outlays for education by administering agency. It shows that only 36% of these outlays are for programs administered by the U.S. Office of Education, the Federal Government's principal agency for education programs. Other parts of the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare account for 16% of all Federal outlays for education, primarily for medical education and research programs conducted at colleges and universities. The remaining 48% of total Federal education outlays are distributed among 28 Federal departments and agencies, of which the largest shares are accounted for by the Department of Defense, the Veterans Administration, the Department of Agriculture, the National Science Foundation, and the Office of Economic Opportunity. 120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table 1-3. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR EDUCATION BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) 1962 Federal agency Actual Agriculture Defense Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education Other H E W Housing and Urban Development Interior National Science Foundation, __ Office of Economic Opportunity Veterans Administration Other2. Total Federal o u t l a y s . . . 1970 actual Percent 1971 estimate 1972 Estimate Percent 454 467 17 17 910 1,042 1,244 1,087 543 381 20 14 4,109 1,820 4,443 1,969 227 84 183 9 3 6 216 249 464 235 319 502 167 364 546 1 3 4 161 264 5 9 456 916 706 430 1,514 879 290 1,734 1,072 2 12 7 2,764 100 10,888 12,662 1,225 1,104 10 8 M.830 2,204 36 16 13,536 100 1 Includes $92 million for special revenue sharing for elementary and secondary education. - Includes Commerce, Justice, State, Transportation, AEC, AID, EPA, NASA, National Foundation on the Arts and the Humanities, Small Business Administration, Smithsonian Institution, TVA, USIA, GPO, and Library of Congress. PART II—FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR EDUCATION BY LEVEL PRESCHOOL, ELEMENTARY, AND SECONDARY EDUCATION In 1972, outlays for preschool, elementary, and secondary education will amount to $5,458 million, an increase of $471 million over 1971. Federal funds supply about 1 1 % of national expenditures on elementary and secondary education in public and nonpublic schools. Table 1-4 displays Federal outlays by agency and major program. Nearly 48% of the total is for grants to States and local school districts under programs administered by the Office of Education. Another 1 1 % Table 1-4. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR PRESCHOOL, ELEMENTARY, AND SECONDARY EDUCATION BY AGENCY AND PROGRAM (in millions of dollars) Agency and program 1970 actual Agriculture: Child nutrition Defense: Education of overseas dependents Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Emergency school assistance Grants to States and school districts Demonstration projects Office of Child Development: Head Start Interior: Indian education Labor: Neighborhood Youth Corps in school National Science Foundation: Science Education Other Federal agencies Total 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 593 131 808 139 816 159 100 2,350 2,492 300 330 134 58 37 344 317 335 157 62 41 536 300 2,661 305 351 182 72 35 577 4,277 4,987 5,458 SPECIAL ANALYSES 121 is for Head Start and other demonstration projects which are developing new approaches to education. Table 1-5 displays Federal outlays by sublevel and type of support. The following paragraphs describe current Federal actions by sublevel. Table 1-5. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION BY SUBLEVEL AND TYPE OF SUPPORT (in millions of dollars) Sublevel and type of support Total, elementary and secondary Preschool Elementary and secondary Vocational education Other Current operations Facilities and equipment Student support Teacher training Educational research 1 1970 actual 4,277 1971 estimate 4,987 1972 estimate 15,458 356 402 425 3,298 3,785 4,046 197 426 262 537 286 611 3,519 166 177 220 200 4,065 208 206 248 260 4,332 249 219 252 314 Total includes an undistributed amount of $92 million for special revenue sharing. Preschool.—Research findings strongly support the contention that a child's potential is determined to a significant extent by the nature of his environment during the first 5 years of life. In order to break the chain of inherited disadvantage from poverty, it is necessary to reach children before they enter school. Many questions remain unanswered as to what action should be taken by persons outside the family and what objectives are to be accomplished. The Federal Government is supporting the exploration of such questions through several complementary efforts. Those included in this special analysis are: • The new Office of Child Development (OCD), located in the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, to provide leadership and coordination for all Federal programs for preschool children. • Head Start, operated by OCD under delegation from the Office of Economic Opportunity, demonstrating and providing a variety of services—educational, medical, and social—for 263,000 3to 5-year-old children. In 1972, Head Start will give special attention to serving the children of persons eligible for assistance under the proposed welfare reform. • Kindergarten and prekindergarten supported under grants to schools for the education of the disadvantaged at the option of local school districts. Other programs, not included in Special Analysis I tabulation, also support services which have a potentially significant impact on the development of child learning abilities: 122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 • Day care services provided in conjunction with Federal manpower and social service programs. Principal efforts include Work Incentive training and day care, and funds for social services supported by Assistance to Families With Dependent Children and Child Welfare grants under the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. The administration has proposed in the welfare reform to expand and improve day care services for welfare recipients. In 1972, these improved services will be provided to 200,000 children at a cost of $850 per child. • Nutrition programs of the Department of Agriculture and health research being conducted by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Table 1-6 provides details on the enrollment of children in federally supported preschool programs. Table 1-6. NUMBER OF CHILDREN ENROLLED IN DAY CARE AND CHILD DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS (in thousands) i Program Head Start: Full year—full day Full year—part day Summer 1 Office of Education (preschool-kindergarten) Subtotal, included in education analysis Training related day care for welfare recipients (HEW) AFDC supported day care (HEW) Other (manpower, OEO migrant, child welfare services) Subtotal, not included in the education analysis Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 89 174 209 342 89 174 209 370 89 186 150 400 814 842 825 58 264 36 117 348 39 200 400 41 358 504 641 1,172 1,346 1,466 1 Reduction in Head Start summer program reflects a continued conversion from summer to fullyear programs. Elementary and secondary.—The 1972 budget reflects a commitment to improve the effectiveness of Federal efforts by reforming programs to insure that Federal funds are allocated to areas of greatest need. An important element of the administration's reform of Federal grant programs will be a proposal to adopt an expanded program of special revenue sharing for elementary and secondary education. This proposal will pull together the large number of narrow-purpose categorical grants to States and local districts into four broad areas reflecting national educational priorities. These will include compensatory education for the disadvantaged, education of children affected by handicapping conditions, assistance to schools in areas impacted by Federal activities, and vocational education. Flexible funds for the general support of education will also be provided. This significant new proposal would become effect January 1, 1972, and would provide $3 billion during the first full year, an increase of SPECIAL ANALYSES 123 $192 million in budget authority over the amounts requested in the 1972 budget for existing programs. The programs and funds involved are summarized in table 1-7. Table 1-7. SPECIAL REVENUE SHARING FOR ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION (in millions of dollars) Programs included in 1972 budget Department of Agriculture: School lunch program Related grants Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Aid to federally affected areas Educationally deprived children Library resources Supplementary services Equipment and minor remodeling Strengthening State agencies Education for the handicapped Vocational education Subtotal Additional amounts for special revenue sharing: First full-year basis Fiscalyear 1972 (50%) Total, full-year basis Total, fiscal year 1972 1972 estimate Budget authority Outlays 175 18 171 17 440 1,500 80 143 33 35 384 487 1,440 73 142 39 27 34 382 2,808 2,812 192 (96) 3,000 2,904 188 (92) 3,000 2,904 The special revenue-sharing proposal would retain the essential framework of national policy but give States and localities a wider degree of discretion as to how they would meet their own local problems. The proposal would also permit a large margin of flexibility to move funds from one broad purpose to another to enable States to respond to their own priorities. A total of $1.5 billion is provided for the proposed Emergency School Assistance Act for 1971 and 1972. Project grants will be made to local school districts which are desegregating under court order or attempting to overcome the educational disadvantages of racial isolation. Funds made available in 1971 and 1972 will be spent in succeeding years to allow for the careful development of programs to achieve these objectives. The administration's proposals for general Federal revenue sharing and welfare reform will have a significant impact on the financing of elementary and secondary education. The Federal revenues to be returned to the States each year in increasing amounts will be used by States and local governments as they see fit and without Federal strings. Education, which accounts for over two-fifths of State and local government spending, is certain to be a major beneficiary of this revenue-sharing measure. Also, the proposed welfare reform will lift from the States and local governments much of the pressure from rising welfare costs which have drained away funds from other purposes, such as education. 124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 The President's Commission on School Finance is undertaking a review of the financial structure of elementary and secondary education and will recommend basic reforms to place the financing of our schools on a sound and stable basis. Vocational education.—The Federal Government supports vocational education programs serving 6 million secondary school students through grants to States. These grants will be included in the special revenue-sharing proposal for elementary and secondary education in 1972. This will give the States greater flexibility and responsibility in meeting their particular vocational education needs, while preserving an area of high national emphasis. The 1972 budget also provides for a strengthened research and development program to help redirect vocational programs to focus more on the special needs of the disadvantaged and the handicapped, to build closer ties between schools and employers, and to develop new and improved course offerings. The Department of Labor administers the Neighborhood Youth Corps in-school program which provides grants for work and study programs to help financially needy youth to remain in school. Grants also are made for construction of vocational schools by the Appalachian Regional Commission, a cooperative Federal-State economic development agency. In addition to the $286 million in outlays for these vocational education programs in secondary schools in 1972, the Federal Government will spend $200 million for vocational and technical education programs in postsecondary technical schools and junior colleges and for programs for adults w^ho wish to upgrade their vocational skills. Other programs.—Outlays in this category are primarily for support of education research, development and demonstration projects, and education personnel training programs. The Federal Government is a major source of funds for support of education research and development. In 1972, outlays for this purpose are estimated to increase by $53 million to $268 million. Initial startup funds are provided under proposed legislation for a National Institute of Education. The Institute, an agency in the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, will serve as a focal point for educational research and experimentation in the United States. Working with researchers, school officials, teachers, scientists, humanists, and others, it will help identify educational problems, develop programs to alleviate these problems, and assist school systems to put the results of educational research and development into practice. Other initiatives of the Government include support for (a) experimental schools to develop and evaluate changes in curriculums, staffing, and organization as they affect student performance in actual school situations (Office of Education); and (b) a variety of research and experimental projects (Office of Child Development), including a planned variation experiment in the Head Start program. The 1972 budget also continues to emphasize the evaluation of existing Federal aid programs and supports an expansion of a national assessment of educational achievement being conducted by the Education Commission of the States. Table 1-8 summarizes the Federal education research and development outlays by program and agency. SPECIAL ANALYSES 125 Table 1-8. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR PRESCHOOL, ELEMENTARY, AND SECONDARY EDUCATION RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT (in millions of dollars) Agency and program Office of Education: National Institute of Education. Experimental schools Follow Through Sesame Street National assessment Handicapped children Vocational research Other research and development Office of Child Development: Head Start evaluation and research Early education research and development 1970 1971 ___ 38 1 1 17 2 82 * 55 1 3 22 19 100 3 10 50 3 5 28 38 109 7 1 11 4 11 11 149 215 268 * Total 1972 '"Less than $500 thousand. Federal assistance to strengthen teaching resources is provided through several agencies. The 1972 budget places priority on demonstration projects to improve the selection, preparation, certification, and utilization of all educational personnel. "On-the-job" training for education personnel will be provided through the Teacher Corps and Career Opportunities program. About 85% of project participants under the Education Professions Development Act are already in the educational system, and 45% are from minority groups. Four-fifths of the funds for these projects are directed to poverty area schools, half of the funds support demonstration projects for installing innovative practices in elementary and secondary schools, and one-fifth of the funds support training of personnel in critical shortage (early childhood, special education, bilingual education, and vocational education). The number of education personnel trained in these federally assisted programs is shown in table 1-9. Table 1-9. NUMBER OF TEACHERS AND OTHER EDUCATION PERSONNEL RECEIVING TRAINING Agency and program Office of Education: Education Professional Development Act: Teacher Corps Career Opportunities Program Other personnel training and development Teachers of the handicapped Office of Child Development: Head Start: Short-term training National Science Foundation._ Total _ .__ 1970 actual _.._ 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3,653 8,000 53,668 4,822 4,647 10,000 48,687 4,400 5,291 12,000 43,208 4,400 7,500 57,210 8,500 36,208 8,500 32,000 134,853 112,442 105,399 126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 HIGHER EDUCATION Federal outlays for higher education will total $6 billion in 1972. This is 44% of total Federal outlays for education and about 25% of the estimated total expenditures of U.S. colleges and universities in 1972. Table 1-10. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR HIGHER EDUCATION BY AGENCY AND PROGRAM (in millions of dollars) Agency and program Defense: Academic research Other Subtotal, Department of Defense Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Student assistance Construction of facilities Institutional and personnel development Subtotal, Office of Education Other Health, Education, and Welfare: Academic research-health services Fellowships and traineeships-health professions NIH facilities construction Social and rehabilitation research and training Social Security (student benefits) Other Subtotal, Other Health, Education, and Welfare Housing and Urban Development: College housing Other Veterans Administration: Readjustment benefits National Science Foundation Other Total, higher education 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 219 278 206 314 209 311 497 520 520 610 437 220 708 374 287 800 201 308 1,369 1,309 1,710 619 285 137 51 563 188 1,843 677 281 147 49 594 268 3,016 196 1 665 360 447 137 3 1,101 341 495 46 10 1,260 363 449 5,809 6,047 1,267 586 280 139 51 502 152 5,142 Table 1-10 indicates the major Federal agencies and programs contributing to higher education. The Department of Health, Education, and Welfare provides the largest amount of support with 54% of total Federal expenditures. Major Federal programs include: (a) grants and loans to college students by the Office of Education; (b) grants and loans for the construction of facilities by OE, NIH, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development; (c) fellowship and traineeship programs by several agencies; (d) project grants for academic research by several agencies; and (e) payments to college students from the Veterans Administration and the Social Security Administration. SPECIAL ANALYSES 127 Table I—11 indicates how Federal funds are distributed by type of institution. In 1972, 2-year institutions are estimated to receive 11% of Federal outlays, 4-year institutions, 42%, and graduate and professional schools, 17%. Table 1-11. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR HIGHER EDUCATION BY TYPE OF INSTITUTION (in millions of dollars) Types of institution 2-year institutions Other undergraduate Graduate and professional Other 1970 __. _ Total 1971 1972 483 2,288 863 1,508 645 2,604 1,010 1,551 687 2,576 1,073 1,711 5,142 5,809 6,047 Table 1-12 shows Federal expenditures for higher education by type of support. Approximately 50% of the Federal funds are used for student aid, 20% for institutional aid, and 30% are for research and training. The following paragraphs discuss current Federal activities by type of support. Table 1-12. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR HIGHER EDUCATION BY TYPE OF SUPPORT (in millions of dollars) Type of support Student support.. Institutional support: Current operations Facilities and equipment Research and training: Academic research Educational research Teacher training Total 1970 actual ___ ._ 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2,128 2,769 3,033 659 800 674 715 766 472 1,508 25 21 1,549 22 80 1,710 5 61 5,142 5,809 6,047 Student aid.—Funds for student aid programs will total an estimated $3 billion in 1972. A basic revision of the existing student assistance programs of the Office of Education will be proposed to insure that no qualified student who wants to go to college will be barred by lack of funds. Under this proposal, grants, work-study payments, and subsidized loans will be provided to lower income undergraduate students with the amount of aid related to family income. Over 2.5 million students will receive benefits from this program. Legislation also will be proposed to establish a National Student Loan Association to provide loan capital to banks and colleges for loans to students at all income level. The improved access to federally guaranteed loans will help almost 1 million undergraduate and graduate students to finance their education. 128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table 1-13. UNDERGRADUATE STUDENT SUPPORT i (outlays in millions of dollars; number of students in thousands) Total outlays 1970 actual Defense 1971 estimate Number of students 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 83 86 86 62 53 49 Health, Education, and Welfare. 1,049 1,240 1,350 2,133 2,407 3,979 Office of Education Social Security Administration Health agencies and other. _. 615 751 843 1,703 1,945 3,500 401 33 451 38 475 32 402 28 432 30 455 24 Veterans Administration National Science Foundation.__ 539 4 894 5 1,028 2 506 3 679 4 746 2 1,675 2,225 2,466 2,704 3,143 4,776 Total 1 Involves some duplication because students may be assisted under more than 1 program. Tables 1-13 and 1-14 indicate the funds expended and the awards made to undergraduate and graduate students by major agency. The Veterans Administration will provide grants to 900,000 returning veterans who are enrolled at institutions of higher education. Outlays of $594 million will be paid in 1972 under provisions of the Social Security Act to students under age 22 who are the children of retired, decreased, or disabled beneficiaries. Finally, several Federal agencies offer fellowships and traineeships to support graduate, professional, and postdoctoral students in a variety of fields. A total of 202,000 such students will be aided in 1972. Table 1-14. GRADUATE STUDENT S U P P O R T 1 (outlays in millions; number of students in thousands) Total outlays 1970 actual Health, Education, and Welfare. Veterans Administration National Science Foundation..__ Other Total 1 1971 estimate Number of students 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 257 126 34 16 262 208 33 16 262 232 27 16 100 101 8 4 104 135 5 4 104 145 3 4 433 519 537 213 248 256 Involves some duplication because students may be assisted under more than 1 program. Institutional support.—Federal outlays for institutional support will total $1.2 billion in 1972 with $766 million for current operations and $472 million for facilities and equipment. SPECIAL ANALYSES 129 The primary elements of aid under current operations in table 1-12 are: • Cost-of-education allowances paid to institutions of higher education as part of fellowship and traineeship grants, largely in the natural and health sciences, by the National Science Foundation and HEW; • Grants to institutions made by HEW for the training of students in the health professions and rehabilitation services; • Grants made by the Office of Education to developing colleges which are not yet quality academic institutions and to college libraries; and • Department of Defense funds for college ROTC activities. To spur reforms in higher education, a National Foundation for Higher Education, funded at $100 million in budget authority, will be recommended under new legislation. An independent Federal agency, the Foundation will provide funds to colleges and universities that wish to experiment with new educational forms and techniques and assist in the development of national policy in higher education. Continuing efforts will be devoted in 1972 to meeting the special needs of predominantly black institutions. Budget authority is increased under several Federal programs to help these institutions improve their educational capability. The Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Office of Education support the construction of college and university classrooms, laboratories, libraries, and dormitories. The method of support has been shifting from direct Federal grants and loans to Federal interest subsidy payments on loans made to institutions of higher education by private lenders. Approximately $520 million in loans for new construction will be supported by the Office of Education interest subsidy payments. About $300 million of new construction will be supported by the HUD college housing program. Grants are also made by the National Institutes of Health for construction of health facilities at medical, dental, nursing, and other health professions schools. Research and training.—Federal outlays of $1.7 billion for research and training in 1972 include $1,710 million for academic research, $5 million for educational research, and $61 million for teacher training. Funds for educational research will support experimental projects to study and test means of changing traditional structures and curriculums in higher education. The National Science Foundation programs will upgrade science curriculums and facilitate the incorporation of computers in college instruction. Several Federal agencies have programs for the training of college and university personnel. The National Science Foundation supports programs to improve the competence of college teachers. Under the Education Professions Development Act, the Office of Education will give special attention to personnel development in junior colleges, technical institutes, and liberal arts colleges. Office of Education programs will develop training models for new careers in higher education experiments with innovative training techniques and improvements in teacher education programs at the graduate level. 430-700 O—71 130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Federal outlays for academic research represent about two-thirds of the total expenditures for sponsored research performed by universities. The major agencies supporting research are HEW (medical, health, and welfare research), DOD (research related to military requirements), and the National Science Foundation (research in all fields of science). Federal programs for academic research are discussed also in the special analysis, "Federal Research, Development, and Related Programs." ADULT EDUCATION AND OTHER ACTIVITIES A significant portion of Federal outlays for education are devoted to adult and various community education programs. In 1972, the estimated Federal outlays for these programs will total $2 billion, or 14% of all Federal education expenditures. These outlays are summarized in table 1-15. nible 1-15. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR ADULT EDUCATION AND OTHER ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars) 1971 i Adult and continuing education: Adult basic Extension Continuing education Public library services Public broadcasting National Foundation on the Arts and the Humanities Subtotal Training of public employees: Federal civilian State and local Federal military Subtotal Foreign educational activities Other Total _ _ 1972 estimate 66 125 269 51 19 17 80 160 408 49 28 38 83 171 474 34 42 64 547 763 868 15 9 381 15 12 396 15 12 393 406 422 419 193 324 243 438 247 456 1,470 1,868 1,990 Adult and continuing education.—This category includes Federal programs which provide educational opportunities for adults who either have not participated fully in the formal educational process in their youth or wish to continue their acquisition of knowledge and skills through less formal means. Adult basic education classes enrolling over 650,000 men and women who have had less than 8 years of formal schooling will be supported by outlays of $83 million in 1972, mostly by the Office of Education and the Office of Economic Opportunity. These programs, largely in low-income areas, will enable adults to overcome English language limitations and to prepare for occupational training leading to more profitable employment. SPECIAL ANALYSES 131 The Department of Agriculture will spend $171 million in 1972 to support instruction in agriculture, home economics, and related subjects through land-grant college extension activities. Increases will provide for nutrition education and professional assistance in community development. The Office of Education will support vocational education programs for 3 million adults who will upgrade or acquire new work skills. Almost 400,000 individuals will benefit in 1972 from the Veterans Administration readjustment benefits programs to widows and wives of deceased or seriously disabled veterans. The Defense Department will support off-duty education programs for 333,000 servicemen in 1972. Other programs covered by this category totaling $108 million in 1972 include: • Office of Education grants to States for public library services and educational broadcasting facilities. • The Federal grant to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, a publicly supported, private nonprofit institution, providing operating assistance and financing new public television and radio programs. • The National Foundation on the Arts and the Humanities with a doubled budget authority in 1972 to aid various cultural activities, support State arts councils, and fund programs in colleges and universities to improve the quality of instruction in the humanities. Training of public employees.—This analysis includes Federal programs designed to assist public employees in increasing their professional skills through graduate education and other courses at educational institutions. Inservice and on-the-job training are excluded since education institutions are not involved. The military services account for the major part of this continuing education effort ($393 million or 94% in 1972), utilizing both institutions of higher education and their own educational facilities. Training of civilian employees of the Federal Government, as well as State and local employees, is supported by the various branches of the Armed Forces, the Foreign Service Institute in the Department of State, the law enforcement training program of the Department of Justice, and the public health and rehabilitation manpower activities of HEW. Table 1-16. NUMBER OF INDIVIDUALS BENEFITING FROM FEDERAL PROGRAMS FOR ADULT EDUCATION AND OTHER ACTIVITIES (in thousands) Sublevel and program Adult and Continuing education: Adult basic Vocational education Other continuing education Training of public employees: Federal civilian State and local Federal military 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3,659 2,352 2,092 3,725 2,626 2,350 3,713 2,839 2,500 21 392 379 21 412 383 21 412 380 132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 In 1972, an estimated 21,000 Federal civilian, 412,000 State and local, and 380,000 military personnel will receive graduate, professional, or other education. Foreign education.—The Federal Government supports foreign students attending colleges and universities in the United States and provides assistance to educational institutions in foreign countries. The principal Federal agencies involved are the Agency for International Development, the Peace Corps, and the Department of State. Other Federal support for education.—This category covers a number of Federal activities that do not fall conveniently into any other categories. This includes the Library of Congress and the National Agricultural Library, the educational activities of the Smithsonian Institution and the Small Business Administration, $364 million for Bureau of Indian Affairs welfare and training programs, and $35 million for research supported by the National Science Foundation outside academic institutions. PART III—COVERAGE OF THE EDUCATION SPECIAL ANALYSIS This analysis includes all Federal programs which have the direct support of educational activities as a major purpose or which involve the use of educational resources to achieve other purposes. For this analysis, education is denned as (1) a student-teacher relationship primarily for the transmission of organized knowledge, as distinguished from occupational skill, or (2) the provision of services to the community at large aimed at expanding individuals' opportunities for professional or career advancement, for civic involvement, or for a more meaningful and satisfying leisure. Any Federal program with outlays of $500,000 or more which supports any educational activity meeting this definition is included in this analysis. This analysis does not include scientific research conducted outside of academic institutions (other than that in laboratories and other science projects of the National Science Foundation and Smithsonian Institution). Also, it does not include scientific research conducted in university-managed centers under Federal contracts. Finally, it excludes university service contracts—for example, to operate mental health centers—and many inservice training programs for Federal civilian employees. Relationship to other special budget analyses and budget functions.— All programs classified in the budget functional category for education (see part 5 of the Budget Document) are included in this special analysis. These include all the programs of the Office of Education and the National Science Foundation, as well as Office of Economic Opportunity education activities, college housing loans and education of American Indians. For 1972, outlays for programs classified under the budget functional category of education total $6.1 billion. In addition this analysis includes outlays of $7.4 billion for 1972 for programs classified under such other budget functional categories as "national defense7' and "health." These activities use education— most often graduate training or research at academic institutions— as a means of accomplishing their primary objectives. SPECIAL ANALYSES 133 The amounts tabulated in this analysis include some programs also covered in other special analyses. For example, outlays of about $1.5 billion in 1972 are included in both this analysis and Special Analysis K, "Federal Health Programs/' for university and other postsecondary programs which help train medical personnel. In addition, approximately $1.7 billion in outlays for 1972 for research in academic institutions are reflected in both this special analysis and Special Analysis R, "Federal Research, Development, and Related Programs/ 7 Table 1-17 summarizes the outlays included in this analysis which are also included in other special analyses and by major budget functional categories. Table 1-17. FEDERAL EDUCATION OUTLAYS BY MAJOR BUDGET FUNCTIONAL CATEGORIES AND RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER SPECIAL BUDGET ANALYSES (in millions of dollars) Major functional category and special budget analysis Functional categories: Education Other categories: National defense International affairs and finance Space research and technology Agriculture Natural resources Commerce and transportation Community development and housing Manpower __ Health Income security Veterans benefits and services General government Special analyses: Federal health programs Federal manpower programs Federal income security programs Federal research, development and related programs 1970 actual _. 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 5,022 5,513 6,086 1,158 1,195 1,199 180 155 277 61 52 39 4 237 147 398 59 86 121 58 1,091 1,148 1,163 1,424 1,514 1,313 1,462 1,734 68 79 916 61 241 134 367 68 96 143 11 1,398 1,450 54 72 1,418 1,508 2,077 1,550 2,328 1,710 1,500 SPECIAL ANALYSIS J FEDERAL MANPOWER PROGRAMS SCOPE OF THE ANALYSIS A wide variety of public and private economic and social activities have some effect on the work force. This analysis covers only a limited group of Federal programs intended to influence directly the quality and composition of the work force by increasing the skills and employment opportunities of individuals in the work force, or those who desire to be in it but who are vocationally unprepared or face other barriers to employment. Programs serving this objective provide skill training, work experience, job placement assistance, and related social and health services. The programs in this analysis generally: (1) operate outside the normal educational processes; (2) give services for periods of less than 1 year; (3) provide skill training and job opportunities for nonprofessional jobs; and (4) target on the disadvantaged sector of the population. The analysis covers all programs classified as Manpower Training and Employment Services in the functional classification of the budget, and programs which are directed toward similar objectives but are included under other functional classifications such as Income Security, National Defense, Community Development and Housing, and Veterans Benefits and Services.1 It excludes all professional training and programs which are part of the normal educational process, such as vocational education. These programs are included in Special Analysis I, "Federal Education Programs." 1972 BUDGET OVERVIEW The major emphasis of the 1972 budget for manpower programs is the consolidation of many narrow categorical programs administered by the Department of Labor into a broad special revenue sharing grant to States and local communities for manpower training. Total outlays for manpower programs will exceed $3.7 billion, an increase of 13% over 1971 and 62% over 1969. This increase reflects continued commitment to manpower programs as a means of helping unemployed and underemployed individuals become self-sufficient through regular employment. The $444 million increase in 1972 over 1971 is concentrated in two major areas: • $197 million for programs covered by the new manpower reform legislation. A total of $2.0 billion in budget authority will be provided during the first full year under this special revenue sharing measure. • $78 million for the Work Incentive Program (WIN) to lay the foundation for expanded training efforts under the welfare reform proposal. This increased effort will enroll 187,000 welfare recipients in training and provide day care for 200,000 children. » See part 5 of the Budget of the United Stales, 1972. 134 SPECIAL ANALYSES Table J-1. 1972 B U D G E T H I G H L I G H T S 1 Program Special revenue sharing for manpower training: Existing authorities Additional amounts Work incentive program Veterans programs Vocational rehabilitation Other work and training programs Employment service Other placement and support programs Total 135 (in millions of dollars) Outlays 1969 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2 1,073 1,056 1,331 27 89 363 180 293 290 75 140 441 232 325 295 123 235 533 319 344 428 1,375 153 201 279 543 347 363 497 2,313 2,563 3,314 3,758 1 Due to differences in appropriation patterns, many outlay adjustments have been made to show programs in a corresponding manner. For example, WIN totals are reduced because Federal administrative costs and research funds are included in its budget unlike most manpower programs. Vocational rehabilitation is increased to reflect funds received from social security trust funds. 2 An additional $68 million is included elsewhere for Program Direction, Research, and Support and Computerized Job Matching. See table J-2. 1972 LEGISLATIVE PROGRAM Major reforms of the grant-in-aid system are an important part of the overall revenue sharing package proposed to take effect on January 1, 1972. The purpose of these reforms is to overcome: • The "fiscal crunch" that is preventing effective action by States and local communities in meeting pressing domestic needs; and • Administrative rigidities caused by the proliferation of special purpose, narrowly based grant programs. In the past, various Federal manpower programs focused on small target groups within the overall disadvantaged population or on a particular technique for providing services. Little attention was given to either measuring or meeting overall community needs. In addition, manpower programs generally operated on a direct contract basis, often with many individual sponsors in a single community. These administrative arrangements hindered the development of an overall community approach to meeting manpower needs. The new manpower reform proposal addresses these deficiencies. It is based on the original administration proposal submitted to the Congress in August 1969. The legislation will consolidate various statutory authorities into a single comprehensive program in the Department of Labor. Under the new authority: • State and local governments will have prime responsibility for planning and administering manpower training efforts. This decentralization will enable local citizens to develop comprehensive strategies for meeting manpower needs in their own areas. • All categorical programs administered by the Department of Labor, except the Federal-State Employment Service, will be included. Broad flexible authority will permit the tailoring of manpower services to meet the needs of individual participants and local labor market conditions. 136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 • A major portion of the funds will be allocated to States by a formula based on size of labor force and the incidence of unemployment and poverty. Within States, law will require a large part of these funds to be allocated on a similar basis to local communities. • Remaining funds will be used by the Secretary of Labor to supplement State and local programs which provide exemplary services, support research and development projects, and provide training and technical assistance to State and local program operators. • To qualify for these funds, State and local governments must provide a comprehensive framework for planning and delivering manpower services. This comprehensive framework would involve the active participation of public employment offices, local educational institutions, vocational rehabilitation, and welfare programs. Additional special revenue sharing funds as shown in table J-2 below will be requested upon enactment of this legislation. Table J-2. FEDERAL FUNDS FOR MANPOWER REFORM LEGISLATION (in millions of dollars) Description Items included in budget details for 1972: Department of Labor: Manpower training services Subtotal Additional amounts from general revenues: Full-year basis Fiscal year 1972 (50%) Total, full-year basis Total, fiscal year 1972 Budget authority Outlays 1,565 1,443 1,565 1,443 435 (217) 2,000 1,782 307 (153) 1,750 1,596 Closely related to manpower reform legislation is the proposed reform of the Nation's welfare system. Strong work requirements will be built into the new program. All recipients who are able to work, except mothers of preschool children, must register with their local Employment Service office. Training efforts will be greatly expanded to provide the means to self-support for those recipients who cannot b e placed directly into employment. Major incentives for work and training will be provided by: • Insuring that individuals will always gain financially by going to work. • Establishing quality child care services for mothers who are at work or in training. • Increasing monetary allowances to offset fully the costs of travel and other training-related expenses incurred by enrollees. This large-scale effort to train and place welfare recipients in productive employment will build upon the experience of the Work Incentive Program. It will be administered in conjunction with the manpower reform legislation and the vocational rehabilitation program. SPECIAL ANALYSES 137 Legislation will be resubmitted to strengthen the process for eliminating barriers to equal employment for minority groups. Under this legislation the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission could file civil suits in the district courts when it is unable to obtain voluntary compliance with title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964. SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC OBJECTIVES OF MANPOWER PROGRAMS Most manpower programs were initiated to serve persons who would otherwise be unable to obtain self-sustaining employment. The programs fill a gap between the educational system which initially prepares persons for their careers, and income security programs which provide income for persons who are unable to work because of age, incapacity, or economic conditions. The expanding capability of manpower programs to reach and serve the disadvantaged make them an important tool in attacking the Nation's social problems. Manpower programs also complement national economic policy. Effective job placement and training programs train and place enrollees in skill shortage occupations. In a tight labor market, such activities reduce inflationary pressures by increasing the productivity of marginal workers and by enabling employers to obtain skilled workers who would otherwise be unavailable. During periods of high unemployment, work and training programs can be used to increase the skills of the work force and serve as a source of income support for unemployed workers. MAJOR MANPOWER PROGRAMS This section of the analysis summarizes the different manpower programs by type of program—either work and training, job placement assistance, or program direction, research, and support. Work and training programs.—Besides providing skill training, work and training programs generally offer remedial education, counseling, and other supportive services. However, most of the current programs are limited to a single major service approach. • On-the-job training programs target on existing job vacancies, usually by reimbursing employers for the added costs of hiring and training unskilled workers. This reimbursement may include a payment for the employee's lower initial productivity. • Institutional training programs provide vocational skill instruction in a classroom setting away from the jobsite. Enrollees receive monetary allowances while in training. • Work support programs create federally subsidized jobs in the public sector. Unemployed persons learn work skills and habits to prepare them for regular employment, and receive wages for their work. • Rehabilitation programs focus on the training of physically or mentally disabled persons. They are separately classified since health services account for 18% of total costs in these programs, significantly higher than in other manpower programs. Use of these different approaches to training often reflects employer preferences or traditional methods of entry into a particular occupa 138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 tion or industry. For example, production line workers such as assemblers in the automobile industry are generally trained on the job. On the other hand, most secretaries learn their basic job skills in the classroom. Individual trainee needs are also an important factor in the selection of the service approach. In on-the-job training programs the trainee is hired for a specific job, and then trained. This guarantee of employment may be an essential start to successful training of many of the hard-core unemployed. However, institutional training can provide a broader training base not limited to one particular job, giving the trainee more job mobility and security. In contrast to on-the-job and institutional training, work support programs provide transitional employment opportunities and necessary remedial services for individuals who are temporarily unable to find regular employment due to: (1) youthful inexperience, (2) economic dislocation, (3) minor personality disorders, or (4) age discrimination. In recent years, two comprehensive programs—the Work Incentive Program (WIN) and the Concentrated Employment Program (CEP)— have been initiated to provide a complete range of work and training services. WIN serves recipients of public assistance, and CEP serves disadvantaged persons in limited geographical areas of high unemployment. Both provide on-the-job and institutional training, work support, and supportive services, and are valuable models for the operation of a comprehensive community manpower program. Table J-3. WORK AND TRAINING PROGRAMS (outlays in millions of dollars, individuals in thousands) Outlays New enrollees * Program 1969 al Special revenue sharing for manpower training: Existing authorities: Job opportunities in the business sector Public service careers Manpower development and training institutional training. Job Corps Neighborhood Youth Corps inschool and summer Neighborhood Youth Corps outof-school Operation Mainstream Concentrated employment program Additional amounts Work incentive program On-the-job training for veterans Veterans vocational rehabilitation _ _ Vocational rehabilitation Social services trainipg Other programs Total 1 1970 al 1971 1972 1969 al 1970 al 1971 1972 est. 107 17 136 18 219 ] 97 136 4 177 4 226 ) 39 248 236 260 144 292 158 135 53 182 194 236 1,375 430 130 43 436 130 45 411 1,085 106 37 98 42 109 50 140 164 170 27 49 40 363 44 136 75 87 53 441 107 125 123 164 71 533 143 176 153 201 203 77 543 175 172 64 12 127 48 13 112 113 81 49 10 368 55 212 92 70 13 411 69 202 125 99 16 442 86 218 74 11 1,731 1,943 2,541 2,898 1,745 1,819 2,027 2,194 Estimated new enrollees during a year, less overlap due to persons served more than once. 120 187 104 16 385 108 189 SPECIAL ANALYSES 139 Under the manpower reform proposal, States and local communities will be given the opportunity to determine the mix of on-the-job training, institutional training, and work support best suited to local labor market conditions and the needs of unemployed and underemployed persons in their areas. Table J-3 presents the outlays and numbers of individuals served by various Federal work and training programs. In 1972, the proposed manpower reform will pull together the large number of separate programs administered by the Department of Labor. The remainder of this section includes a brief description of these programs as they currently exist. However, under the new legislation it is expected that States and localities will develop new programs and adapt old ones to meet their specific needs. On-the-job training.—The primary on-the-job training programs are Job Opportunities in the Business Sector (JOBS), Public Service Careers (PSC), Veterans OJT, and Project 100,000. The JOBS program, operated in conjunction with the National Alliance of Businessmen, provides employment and training opportunities in private industry for disadvantaged persons. PSC is a similar program in the public sector. Components which seek to upgrade workers from low-level jobs have recently been initiated in these programs. A special JOBS Optional component (formerly the MDTA-OJT program) is utilized by smaller employers who cannot provide a wide range of supportive services. JOBS, JOBS Optional, and PSC will all be incorporated in the new State and local manpower delivery system. Veterans OJT is provided by the Veterans Administration to former servicemen pursuing an approved course of full-time apprenticeship or other on-the-job training. The program is growing rapidly to serve the rising number of eligible veterans. Project 100,000, operated by the armed services, will enlist 55,000 recruits during 1972 who do not meet entrance requirements, and provide special remedial services to enable them to perform military duties. Institutional training.—MDTA institutional training and the Job Corps are the major institutional training programs. Both of these programs will be covered by the manpower reform proposal. The institutional training program, conducted under the authority of the Manpower Development and Training Act (MDTA), provides training through skill centers, special training courses, and individual referral to regular public and private training. Seventy MDTA skill centers have been established, each of which provides training in a variety of occupations, as well as necessary remedial education and other supportive services at a single location. The Job Corps has been redirected to emphasize smaller centers in major cities. This change will permit more individual attention for enrollees, training that is targeted on local labor market needs, and integration of centers into comprehensive State and local manpower programs. Job Corps centers are already training Neighborhood Youth Corps and WIN enrollees on a nonresidential basis, and Job Corps enrollees are receiving vocational training in MDTA skill centers. 140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 During 1971, more trainees will enter the institutional component of the Work Incentive Program (WIN) than any other institutional program. The rapid growth of the WIN program since its inception in 1969, reflects the continued commitment to manpower programs as a vehicle for reducing welfare dependency. Expansion of WIN will provide the foundation for the increased training efforts contemplated under the welfare reform program. Institutional training is also a major component of the Concentrated Employment Program (CEP) Other major institutional programs include training programs for Indians, offenders, and welfare recipients operated by the Departments of the Interior, Justice, and Health, Education, and Welfare, respectively. Work support.—The principal work support programs are the Neighborhood Youth Corps (NYC) and Operation Mainstream. In addition, CEP provides a substantial amount of work support. All of these activities will become a part of the comprehensive State and local manpower effort covered by the new legislation. The Neighborhood Youth Corps, through its in-school and summer projects, provides part time or summer employment for needy high school students to enable them to stay in school. Out-of-school projects provide remedial services and jobs for school dropouts to enable them to return to school or obtain a marketable skill. Operation Mainstream provides employment opportunities to chronically unemployed workers, principally in rural areas where jobs are severely limited. Rehabilitation.—Two programs focus on the rehabilitation of physically or mentally handicapped persons: the Federal-State vocational rehabilitation program administered by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, and the vocational rehabilitation program for disabled veterans administered by the Veterans Administration. These programs are not included in the manpower reform legislation and will remain essentially unchanged in 1972. Under the Federal-State vocational rehabilitation program, currently the largest single manpower program, clients are prepared for competitive employment, homemaking, or sheltered employment. State rehabilitation agencies determine client needs and purchase services on a case-by-case basis. It is estimated that 288,000 individuals will be rehabilitated under this program in 1972. A heavy emphasis will be given to assisting the culturally and socially disadvantaged, especially public assistance recipients and criminal offenders. The veterans vocational rehabilitation program provides similar services to persons with a service-connected disability. In addition to counseling and training, veterans receive subsistence allowances, disability compensation, tuition, books, and fees. Job placement assistance.—These programs promote a smoothly operating labor market by matching job vacancies with qualified workers, and by overcoming barriers created by job discrimination. They develop and disseminate information on employer and employee needs, and counsel and test job seekers. Other services include "outreach" to unemployed people, and job development and job restructuring efforts with employers. SPECIAL ANALYSES 141 Table J-4. JOB PLACEMENT ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS (in millions of dollars) Program Outlays 1969 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Employment service Computerized job placement Project transition Other 293 5 14 27 325 6 14 27 344 26 14 29 363 28 13 29 Subtotal, placement services Equal employment opportunity activities Child care for employed mothers 339 9 88 372 13 93 414 21 162 434 29 222 437 478 597 685 Total The Federal-State Employment Service (ES), operated by the States, accounts for 53% of 1972 outlays in this category. The ES, with 2,100 local offices and 31,000 employees, provides not only placement services for the general work force, but also makes special efforts to place the disadvantaged, including graduates of manpower training programs. Up to 11 million persons are expected to receive services in 1972. Computerized job banks will be installed in all major labor markets by 1972 to assist in job placement efforts. The job bank provides comprehensive listings, updated daily, of available jobs in a metropolitan area. More automated job matching systems will also be tested in 14 States. Job matching is a much more complex task than a job bank, requiring the computer to compare a large number of differing characteristics of both applicants and jobs. Project Transition provides counseling, testing, limited skill training, and job placement assistance to servicemen prior to discharge. The Defense Department will spend $13 million on this program in 1972. In 1972, outlays for the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission will increase by $7 million, a 40% increase over 1971. The Commission attempts to reduce barriers to employment of minority groups and others by identifying and eliminating discriminatory practices. The Office of Federal Contract Compliance, in conjunction with the 15 major Federal contracting agencies, will insure that affirmative action plans are undertaken by Federal contractors to provide equal employment opportunities. To increase minority employment participation in the construction trades, it has devised the ''Philadelphia Plan" and voluntary "hometown" programs which set employment goals for Federal construction contractors. Manpower research, development, and evaluation.—Under the proposed manpower legislation, Federal efforts will be strengthened to provide information and technical assistance to States and local communities on methods to improve program performance. One important device for obtaining such information is through research and development (R. & D.) and evaluation activities. Table J-5 summarizes Federal resources for manpower R. & D. and evaluation efforts, primarily funded by the Department of Labor and the Office of Economic Opportunity. In addition, other agencies carry 142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table J-5. PROGRAM DIRECTION, RESEARCH, A N D SUPPORT (in millions of dollars) Program Research and development Evaluation Subtotal Program direction Labor market information Planning and technical assistance. Subtotal Total Outlays 1969 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 29 4 26 2 28 6 25 5 33 28 34 30 73 30 10 72 32 11 82 38 22 82 41 23 113 115 142 146 146 143 176 176 out R. & D. activities affecting manpower, especially the Departments of Defense, and Health, Education, and Welfare, and the Veterans Administration. Research and development programs seek to understand and affect the operation of labor market mechanisms. Research is conducted in a nonoperating environment while developmental activities (often termed experiments or demonstrations) seek to develop or demonstrate new service techniques in an operational setting. The Office of Economic Opportunity will continue its efforts to reform State and local civil service systems to permit the hiring of qualified persons who may lack formal academic credentials. In conjunction with the National Civil Service League, a demonstration effort called Project Pacemaker is attempting to document unnecessary barriers to employment of the disadvantaged and provide technical assistance to States and cities in remedying the problems. The Department of Labor has initiated an important study of the dynamics of labor market behavior. A 5-year longitudinal survey of youth under 25, women 30 to 44 years of age, and men aged 45-59 is being used to gain insight on the high youth unemployment rates, movement of women in and out of the labor force, and changes in employment patterns of men approaching retirement age. Evaluation activities seek to determine what works, to what extent, and under what conditions. Evaluation efforts generally focus on recently initiated programs or major program changes. A major longitudinal evaluation of four manpower programs is nearing completion. It examines the effects of the Job Corps, JOBS, MDTA institutional and NYC out-of-school on employment and earnings of participants and compares them with similar groups of nonparticipants. A similar study is being conducted on the WIN program. The impact of job banks on ES operations and their effect on service to clients will be examined during 1972. Program direction and support.—Major efforts are underway to improve the effectiveness of manpower programs through administrative reforms and improved information. In the last few years a number of administrative actions have been taken to decentralize decisionmaking. At the same time, efforts have been made to improve SPECIAL ANALYSES 143 the capacity of States and local communities to assume greater responsibilities in manpower planning and programing. At the Federal level: • Greater authority was delegated to the Regional Manpower Administrators, and uniform regional boundaries with OEO, HEW, and HUD were adopted to improve interdepartmental coordination of manpower and other social programs. • Regional manpower offices were reorganized from a categorical program basis to a geographic area basis to provide closer contacts with individual States and communities. At the State and local level: • The interagency Cooperative Area Manpower Planning System (CAMPS) has been strongly emphasized. CAMPS has provided a vehicle for coordination of planning efforts by various State and local manpower agencies. • During 1969 and 1970, grants were made to 49 Governors and 106 mayors to develop their own manpower planning capability for their role as chairmen of CAMPS committees. • Administration of the JOBS optional component was delegated to the States in 1971 as a transitional step in the development of State capability. PERSONS SERVED Enrollment and training levels.—Man-years of training and new enrollments are the output measures used in this analysis. Man-years is the average enrollment during the year and new enrollments are the number of different people served during each fiscal year. In a few programs, e.g., NYC in-school and summer, a significant number of people enroll in more than one program within a single year, or in the same program several years in succession. In these cases, this analysis uses a net figure which deducts the overlap. In some programs there are periods where no significant amounts of services are provided, e.g., persons awaiting services in the Concentrated Employment Program. The analysis uses a man-years of service estimate to exclude such periods. Table J-6 shows the various measures by service approach. Table J-6. TOTAL ENROLLMENT AND TRAINING LEVELS IN 1970 * (in thousands) Approach Man-years Man-years of service Enrollees New enrollees On-the-job training Institutional training Rehabilitation Postschool work support 170 275 511 75 167 254 511 69 342 467 428 114 332 433 424 107 Subtotal, postschool In-school work support 031 200 1,000 200 1,351 764 1,295 524 1,231 1,200 2,115 1,819 Total 1 Excludes Job Placement Assistance programs in which the enrollment concept does not apply. 144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Characteristics.—The 10.4 million adults who were poor in 1969, of whom about half were in the labor force but earning less than a poverty wage, is a rough representation of the universe of need for manpower programs. The universe actually may be considerably larger, since many persons earn slightly more than the poverty standard and are vulnerable to skill obsolescence and unemployment. However, many poor adults are not good candidates for manpower services because of ill health, old age, or conflicting family responsibilities. For these individuals income maintenance programs are more appropriate. The focus of most Federal manpower programs on the poverty universe reflects the judgment that persons with severe employment handicaps are least likely to be able to improve their employment experience without assistance. For example, the manpower programs administered by the Department of Labor emphasize services to poor persons who are not suitably employed, and are either (1) school dropouts, (2) under 22 years of age, (3) 45 years of age or over, (4) handicapped, or (5) subject to special employment obstacles such as racial discrimination. This focus on the disadvantaged avoids displacement of private training efforts which are generally targeted on different groups. Table J-7. CHARACTERISTICS OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE, ADULT POVERTY POPULATION, AND MANPOWER PROGRAM PARTICIPANTS Characteristics Average number (millions) Percent: Aged21 orless Aged 55 or more Male . Less than high school education 8th grade education or less Poor Public assistance recipients Disabled Minority races Total U.S. work force 1969 (age 16-64) civilian, noninstitutional 77.5 14 14 62 37 17 7 1 2 () 11 Poverty population 1969 (age 16-64) civilian, noninstitutional Manpower program participants 1970 estimate (age 1 14 and above) 10.4 23 19 39 66 38 100 26 (2) 21 1.3 36 6 58 56 13 73 23 35 40 1 All entries are estimates. Excludes Job Placement Assistance and In-school programs. 2 Not available. Table J-7 indicates that manpower programs are meeting their intended targets: the poor, the less educated, members of minorities, youth, and welfare recipients. Older persons are a small part of the population served since employment is often less appropriate than income support. The number of individuals served by manpower programs is a growing proportion of the poverty population. In 1970 manpower programs served about 12% of the 10.4 million poor adults. By 1972 it is estimated that a larger percentage of the poor will be served as adult enrollments rise over 33% from 1970. SPECIAL ANALYSES 145 Table J-8. CHARACTERISTICS OF ENROLLEES BY APPROACH IN 1970 (in percent) Approach Poor Less than M[inority high races school education Aged 21 or less Male DisPublic assistance abled recipients On-the-job training _ Institutional training Rehabilitation __ Postschool work support 58 83 68 96 48 57 55 82 42 52 22 57 43 37 22 61 82 43 57 53 9 45 11 26 3 5 100 2 Subtotal, postschooL_ In-school work support 73 99 56 98 40 57 36 100 58 44 23 30 35 0 80 68 45 54 57 26 25 Total As indicated in table J-8 above, the characteristics of enrollees served by different approaches vary considerably. In 1970, OJT enrollees were still among the least disadvantaged because on-the-job training programs tend to enroll those most job-ready. Institutional programs now serve high proportions of welfare clients and educationally disadvantaged primarily due to the growth of the WIN program. Most disabled persons are served by rehabilitation programs targeted to their special needs. The postschool work support programs focus on the most disadvantaged groups and provide a source of shortterm employment and income for individuals who have no immediate prospects for regular jobs. SERVICES PROVIDED Each major program approach provides a substantially different mix of services, as shown in table J-9. Table J-9. DISTRIBUTION OF COSTS BY APPROACH IN 1970 (in percent) Approach * Service Remedial education _ Skill training.__ Work supervision Child care Health Recruitment, counseling, and placement Other supportive services 2 Program administration. _ Allowances Total OJT Institutional Work support Rehabilitation 1 6 0 0 18 Job placement assistance * * 1 17 * * * 5 33 5 12 22 * 11 1 10 2 13 1 * 11 * * 5 2 11 29 25 7 38 29 70 15 9 * 100 100 100 100 10( 1 27 * 60 2 *Less than 0.5%. 1 Excludes Program Direction, Research, and Support. Includes State and local shares. - Includes payments to employers to compensate for lower productivity of trainees and amounts which could not be allocated to other services. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 430-700 O—71 10 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Most OJT programs reimburse employers for the cost of training and other supportive services, although a few programs provide allowances and other services directly to enrollees. The institutional programs focus on remedial education and skill training. Work support programs emphasize payment of wages for work performed, and work supervision. Job placement assistance programs provide counseling, placement, and such services as child care to allow parents to work. Overall, allowances are the largest part of manpower costs, reflecting the need of enrollees for income support while participating in training. This need will be somewhat reduced with the enactment of welfare reform legislation providing basic income support to all needy families with children although incentive allowances will still be provided. Although a comprehensive array of services is provided by manpower programs in total, the actual services available to each enrollee are often limited to those of the particular program in which he participates. For example, in 1971 over 24% of the child care is provided for WIN enrollees, even though WIN accounts for only 12% of all postschool women enrolled. Consolidation and coordination of programs under manpower reform legislation will better enable enrollees to receive the services which are most appropriate to their needs. In addition to the great variance in services provided by program and approach, there are significant differences in overall unit costs. Table J-10. UNIT COSTS BY APPROACH IN 1970 * Approach On-the-job-training Institutional training Rehabilitation Postschool work support Subtotal postschool In-school work support Total Average ParticiMan-year duration pant unit unit cost of enrollcost estimate ment estimate (years) $1,900 2,800 1,150 3,800 0.55 .54 1.17 .51 $1,050 1,500 1,350 1,950 1,850 1,600 .78 .28 1,400 450 1,800 .58 1,050 1 Based on man-years of service. Includes State and local share, if any. Excludes child care components. All dollar amounts rounded to nearest 50. In 1970, unit costs were highest for institutional training programs, reflecting the high cost of skill training combined with maintenance payments. Both man-year and participant costs are lowest for inschool programs, because they are part-time or of short duration. OJT costs are also low because the employers' payment of salary costs obviates the need for allowances in most cases. In all approaches except rehabilitation, the participant unit cost is lower than the man-year cost because the duration of enrollment is less than 1 year. SPECIAL ANALYSES 147 Within all approaches, unit costs vary widely among individual programs reflecting the intensity of services and the clientele group served. For example, the Work Incentive Program pays lower allowances than most programs because enrollees are already receiving welfare payments. Job Corps has a high unit cost because housing and meals are provided in addition to an intensive training program. MANPOWER FUNDS BY AGENCY The following table shows manpower obligations and outlays by administering agency and program. Two agencies—the Departments of Labor, and Health, Education, and Welfare will account for 86% of all manpower outlays in 1972, about the same as in 1971. Table J-11. FEDERAL FUNDS FOR MANPOWER PROGRAMS BY ADMINISTERING AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Agency and program Obligjitions Outlays 1972 1972 1969 36 34 34 259 30 32 33 32 36 34 293 30 32 33 10 14 7 14 5 14 5 13 10 14 7 14 5 14 5 13 24 21 19 19 24 21 19 19 132 9 386 9 6 195 15 483 9 4 269 38 561 10 6 377 78 599 8 130 3 363 8 30 193 15 441 8 2 288 43 533 9 4 373 69 543 9 4 542 705 884 1,062 534 659 877 999 Department of Housing and Urban Development: Community development _ 19 24 29 6 * 6 29 36 Department of the Interior: On-the-job training for Indians. _ Institutional training for Indians. Indian placement assistance 3 18 4 3 29 6 3 31 6 3 31 6 2 18 4 2 26 5 3 31 6 3 31 6 24 38 39 39 24 33 39 39 Office of Economic Opportunity: 0 E 0 Manpower Job Corps _ Subtotal, 0E0 Department of Defense: Project 100,000 Proj ect Transition Subtotal, Defense... 1969 1970 36 278 32 315 1971 1970 1971 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Social services training and child care Work incentive child care Vocational rehabilitation Foster Grandparents Expired programs Subtotal, HEW Subtotal, Interior *Less than $500 thousand. 14S THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table J-11. FEDERAL FUNDS FOR MANPOWER PROGRAMS BY ADMINISTERING AGENCY (in millions of dollars)—Continued Agency and Program Obligations 1969 actual Department of Justice: Training for offenders Department of Labor: Special revenue sharing for manpower training: Existing authorities Additional amounts Work incentive training Employment service Computerized job placement ES labor market information..... BLS labor market information.__ OFCC and age discrimination Program administration and other Subtotal, Labor Veterans Administration: On-the-job training for veterans._ Veterans vocational rehabilitation. Veterans assistance centers 1970 actual 1971 est. 2 3 965 1,344 1,496 Outlays 1972 cst. 1969 actual 4 6 100 293 5 19 9 1 81 325 12 21 9 1 52 344 30 23 10 3 1,484 217 189 363 30 24 11 4 88 119 148 1,480 1,911 1970 actual 2 1971 est. 3 837 1,056 1972 cst. 4 1,331 6 26 293 5 19 9 1 67 325 6 21 9 1 97 344 26 23 10 3 1,375 153 155 363 28 24 11 4 145 87 108 151 134 2,106 2,468 1,276 1,592 1,985 2,247 53 40 1 87 164 53 71 1 2 198 77 2 49 40 1 87 164 53 71 1 2 203 77 2 94 141 237 276 90 141 237 281 Equal Employment Opportunity Commission: Equal employment opportunity... 9 13 16 27 9 12 18 25 All Federal agencies—Disadvantaged youth programs 61 67 74 74 61 67 74 74 2,956 3,444 4,010 2,313 2,563 3,314 3,758 Subtotal, VA Total 2,569 SPECIAL ANALYSIS K FEDERAL HEALTH PROGRAMS * General overview.—Federal spending for health in 1972 is estimated at $22.2 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion over 1971. As indicated in table K-l, Federal health outlays will comprise 9.7% of total Federal expenditures in 1972 and will account for more than one-fourth of all expenditures, public and private, for health. By contrast, only a decade ago, Federal outlays for health were $3.7 billion—less than 4% of total Federal budget outlays and 12% of total national expenditures for health. This shift began in 1967 with the implementation of the Medicare and Medicaid legislation, which finances a significant portion of the health care costs of the aged and the poor. In 1966, total Federal health expenditures were $5.2 billion, of which only 19% helped finance the cost of health care for the general public. In 1967, Federal health outlays rose to $10.8 billion, of which 48% were spent to finance health care, principally for the aged and the poor. In 1972, total Federal outlays for this purpose are estimated at $14.1 billion, or 64% of all Federal health expenditures. Table K-l. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR HEALTH COMPARED TO THE TOTAL FEDERAL BUDGET AND TO TOTAL NATIONAL EXPENDITURES FOR HEALTH (dollars in billions) 1960 Federal outlays for health Total Federal budget outlays. Total national health expenditures __ Federal health outlays as percent of: Total Federal budget outlaysTotal national health expenditures _. 1962 1967 $3.5 $3.7 $92.2 $106.8 $26.4 $30.2 1968 $10.8 $158.3 $47.9 1970 1971 1972 $14. 1 $18. 1 $20.7 $178. 9 $196. 6 $212.8 $53. 6 $67. 2 NA $22.2 $229.2 NA 3.8 3.5 6.8 7.9 9.2 9.7 9.7 13 12 23 26 27 NA NA NA.= Not available. HEALTH POLICIES AND THE 1972 BUDGET The outlays for medical and health related activities of all Federal agencies are grouped by major program categories in table K-2 for the years 1970-72. Similar historical data for selected prior years are shown in table 14 on page 170 of this analysis. 1 Coverage of this Analysis. The Health Analysis includes all the medical and health programs classified in the "Health" function in Part 5 of the Budget Document, as well as health aspects of programs in agencies which are assigned to other functions in the budget. The largest of this latter group are the health programs in the Department of Defense and the Veterans Administration. The addition of health outlays from programs and agencies functionally classified elsewhere in the budget account for the $22.2 billion reported in this analysis compared to the $16.0 billion reported in Part 5 of the budget. Both Part 5 and this analysis use the same categorical framework to distribute health outlays. However, for technical reasons Part 5 does not make as detailed a distribution in the outlays from a single appropriation as is done in this analysis. Thus, some outlays are assigned in this analysis to a different category. 149 150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table K-2. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH-RELATED ACTIVITIES BY CATEGORY (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Development of health resources, total. _„..._._._ Health research (including special cancer initiative) Training and education (including special new program) Construction of hospitals and health facilities Improving the organization and delivery of health services Provision of hospital and medical services, total Direct Federal hospital and medical services Hospital and medical services, indirect Prevention and control of health problems, total Disease prevention and control Environmental control Consumer protection Total outlays from Federal and trust funds 197! estimate 1972 estimate _ (3,264) (3,579) (3,828) 1,577 1,742 1,843 969 1,049 1,128 539 566 619 179 222 238 (14,080) (16,238) (17,458) 3,058 3,276 3,334 11,022 12,962 14,124 __ (722) (876) (926) 434 515 530 111 160 170 177 200 226 18,066 20,693 22,212 The 1972 Federal health program emphasizes increased Federal leverage and leadership to stimulate basic reforms in the Nation's health sector. A new program for health will be presented to the Congress in calendar 1971 directed toward the expansion of preventive programs and the achievement of greater equity and efficiency in the delivery of health services. Among the new initiatives to be proposed are a health protection program for low-income families with children to take effect after 1972, a new $100 million cancer research program, a special research program on sickle cell anemia, and reforms and increases affecting the training and geographic distribution of health manpower. The 1972 budget also reflects proposed changes in existing programs designed to improve the effectiveness of Federal health programs and to ensure that both Federal and other national expenditures on health will result in more equitable and efficient health care. The following measures will be taken: • Cost control procedures and policies will be increased in Medicare and Medicaid. Although outlays in these programs continue to rise as more people are served and as medical care costs rise, the increase in benefit payments is estimated at 8% in 1972 compared to an increase of 17% in 1971; • Health professions schools will be allowed greater flexibility in their use of Federal institutional grant funds and will be provided a more stable and higher level of basic support for their educational costs; • The focus of those Federal programs aimed at improving our health care delivery system will be sharpened and will include greater use of and experiments with health maintenance organizations (HMO), which stress ambulatory and preventive health care; • Emphasis will be placed on preventive health efforts through increases in biomedical research, environmental health, family planning services, treatment and rehabilitation of drug addicts and alcoholics, consumer protection, and occupational health activities; and SPECIAL ANALYSES 151 • Direct care programs in the VA will be improved by increasing the ratio of staff to patients and by expanding specialized medical services. DEVELOPMENT OF HEALTH KESOURCES Federal programs aimed at enlarging the health resources of the Nation include health research, health manpower training and education, construction of medical and health facilities, and efforts directed toward improving the organization and delivery of health services. The combined outlays for these programs will rise to $3,828 million in 1972, an increase of $249 million over 1971. Health research.—One of the keys to the prevention of disease is acquiring an understanding of disease processes through health research. Because the fruits of health research can benefit all segments of society, it is appropriate that the Federal Government assume major responsibility for support of this activity. The Federal Government accounts for 60% of national health research expenditures; with industry accounting for 29%; and foundations, voluntary health agencies, and others the remaining 11%. Federal expenditures for health research, which approximated $100 million in 1950, will total $1,843 million in 1972. Table K-3 displays some of the areas of federally supported health research. This research is conducted principally in medical schools, universities, and other nonprofit institutions which account for an estimated 63% of total Federal health research expenditures. Federal laboratories and clinics will spend approximately 25%, and industry another 12%. Table K-3. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR HEALTH RESEARCH (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Basic research Categorical research and development Cancer Cardiovascular Mental health Neurological and visual Population and family planning Environmental health Other categorical research and development Research facilities construction Research, total (550) (976) 181 147 85 90 17 146 310 (51) 1,577 1971 estimate 1972 estimate (581) (1,106) 210 166 87 98 33 184 328 (55) (580) (1,205) 257 171 91 98 44 217 326 (58) 1,742 1,843 Some 13 Federal agencies support biological and medical research (see table K-17). The Department of Health, Education, and Welfare will account for 70% of total Federal health research expenditures in 1972, principally through the National Institutes of Health. The programs it supports range from basic investigations designed to promote the understanding of biological and life processes, including factors that interfere with normal life functions, to efforts focused on new treatment and prevention methods of the most prevalent diseases. In 1972, as in 1971, increases for HEW health research will be directed toward exploiting research leads for the prevention and control of disease. Reflecting this, cancer research will be significantly accelerated 152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 through a new $100 million program. Research on arteriosclerosis will also be intensified with the aim of understanding the factors associated with a high risk of heart attacks. Research will be substantially expanded on sickle cell anemia, a hereditable disease that affects one in every 400-500 young blacks. Research will be conducted on childhood illnesses and disabilities and on safe and effective means of enabling parents to plan the number and spacing of their children. Other high priority research areas include lung disease, tooth decay, drug abuse, and alcoholism. Both the newly established Environmental Protection Agency and HEW will intensify efforts to understand the effects on man of environmental pollutants. EPA's health research programs are treated in more detail in Special Analyses O and R of this volume. The health research programs of the Department of Defense and the Veterans Administration, which together provide 9% of Federal health research support, are concerned with factors affecting the health of servicemen, including the care and rehabilitation of those with service-connected injuries. VA health research also emphasizes the medical problems of aging veterans. Many of these research activities are of broad national interest and are coordinated with HEW. In 1972, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration will continue to support health research as part of its man-in-space program and its studies on the extraterrestrial origin of life. The Atomic Energy Commission will study the biological effects of radiation, the use of radiation in the solution of health problems such as the treatment of cancer, and the protection of man from exposure to radiation. The Department of Agriculture supports research on diseases affecting animal and plant products, which in turn have health or economic consequences for man, and on the role of insects as disease carriers. The Agency for International Development supports health research to assist less developed countries contain population growth and the spread of disease. The National Science Foundation supports basic research in biology and biochemistry. Training and education.—The rise in demand for medical services since 1965, generated in part by Medicare and Medicaid, has not been paralleled by adequate increases in the supply of health manpower. Consequently, the Federal Government has assumed an obligation to assist in expanding this resource. Federal outlays for health training and education will increase by $79 million to $1,128 million in 1972 and will support the training of physicians, dentists, nurses, paramedical personnel, and other types of health professionals. Among the institutions responsible for the training of health manpower, medical schools play a key role and warrant special attention. Since 1950, Federal support for medical school programs has been largely for their biomedical research activities. Although these funds have also indirectly aided in improving physician education, only since 1965 has direct Federal assistance been available for the expansion of medical student enrollments. Federal funds to increase medical student enrollments (and enrollments in schools of dentistry, osteopathy, pharmacy, podiatry, optometry, and veterinary medicine) have been directed through grants for the construction of classroom and teaching hospital space, for "institutional support" (i.e., grants for operating expenses and curriculum improvements), and for student SPECIAL ANALYSES 153 aid (loans and scholarships). The number of students entering 113 medical schools in 1972 will exceed 11,600, a 23% increase over the 5-year period 1968-72 compared to only a 7% increase over a like period prior to 1965. Table K-4. FEDERAL FUNDS T O MEDICAL SCHOOLS (obligations in millions of dollars) Agency Department of Health, Education, and Welfare National Institutes of Health Research Education Construction Health Services and Mental Health Administration Research Education Construction Social and Rehabilitation Service Research Education Atomic Energy Commission: Research Department of Defense: Education National Aeronautics and Space Administration: Research Department of Housing and Urban Development Education Construction National Science Foundation: Research Veterans Administration: Research Total Research Education Construction 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 767.6 836.3 1,015.7 (635.1) 453.1 79.4 102.6 (117.8) 42.1 72.3 (703.6) 498.0 125.6 80.0 (118.1) 43.0 73.3 (875.7) 544.6 248.4 82.7 (125.4) 44.3 74.3 3.4 1.8 6.8 (14.7) 14.6 .1 (14.6) 14.6 (14.6) 14.6 14.6 14.5 14.6 .5 .7 .7 1.8 1.9 1.9 (4.0) (4.4) (4.7) 3.9 4^0 4lO 7.0 7.0 7.0 .5 .8 .8 i . i (796.0) 533.7 152.4 109.9 •7 (865.6) 579.8 200.0 85.8 (1.045.4) 627.8 324.1 93.5 Total Federal support for medical school research, education and construction programs in 1972 will amount to an estimated $1,045 million, as shown in table K-4. Although approximately 60% of this amount is for research programs, support for the educational programs of medical schools is increasing at a faster rate than for research, and shows a significant increase in 1972. The increase in funds for educational programs in 1972, along with an amended Health Alanpower Act, will provide medical, dental, and other health professions schools with greater stability and flexibility in the use of Federal funds. A special $95 million program will be supportive of these aims and of many of the reforms and efficiencies recommended for medical and dental schools by the Carnegie Commission on Higher Education. In 1972, 12 Federal agencies will fund programs to train research and health care personnel. The number of these individuals who will be aided in 1972 for some part of their education by various Federal programs is indicated in table K-5. 154 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table K-5. FEDERAL AGENCIES SUPPORTING HEALTH TRAINING IN 1972 Numbers of students and trainees aided in— Dentistry and other pro- 2 fessions Nursing 19,238 21,799 20,632 5,510 34,370 17,406 3,239 1,263 3,263 22 Medicine 1 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Veterans Administration Department of Labor Department of Defense Agency for International Development Environmental Protection Agency Other agencies 1 2 3 Paramedical professions Research Other health training 3 15,225 85,495 2,470 1,193 8,400 62,585 5,955 2,567 861 6,291 48 5,152 1,566 31 250 50 230 2 156 6,533 3,307 3,785 Includes medical students, interns, and residents. Includes pharmacy, optometry, podiatry, veterinary medicine, etc. Includes short-term training. Among Federal agencies, the National Institutes of Health in HEW will continue to be the largest supporter of health manpower training. The Veterans Administration, through its 169 hospitals, most of which are affiliated with medical schools, also trains large numbers of health professionals. The Department of Labor, under the Manpower Development Training Act, supports the training of the greatest number of paramedical personnel of any Federal agency. Construction of health care facilities.—Federal outlays for construction of health care facilities, including environmental health facilities, are estimated at $620 million in 1972, an increase of $54 million over 1971. These expenditures will be used to build or modernize health care facilities operated by Federal agencies for their own beneficiaries or to support construction of community facilities to serve the general population. Of the total outlays of $229 million in 1972 for construction of federally owned and operated hospitals and health facilities, 82% will be expended by the Veterans Administration and the Department of Defense. These expenditures will concentrate on modernizing and replacing existing facilities rather than adding to total bed capacity. The largest Federal program to support construction of community operated health facilities is the medical facilities construction program (Hill-Burton) in the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. In its 25 years of operation through June 1970, the HillBurton program has authorized construction or modernization of almost 457,000 hospital and long-term care beds and over 1,500 outpatient and rehabilitation facilities with a total cost of over $12 billion, of which almost $3.6 billion represents the Federal share. Recently enacted revisions to the Hill-Burton program provide new support mechanisms for meeting the Nation's changing needs for health facilities. Beginning in 1971, Federal support for hospital modernization and construction of long-term care centers is available through Federal guarantees and subsidies of loans obtained in the private market. Hospitals and long-term care facilities are able to SPECIAL ANALYSES 155 repay these loans through income generated from patient charges and third-party insurance payments including Medicare and Medicaid. By the end of 1972, this program will guarantee and subsidize a cumulative total of $1 billion in loans. With hospitals and long-term facilities assisted through the loan guarantee program, direct Federal grant support will be limited to those facilities which ordinarily do not generate income sufficient to repay long-term mortgages and which, in addition, have the potential for either avoiding or shortening the need for hospitalization. The 1970 legislative revisions substantially increased the grant authorizations for ambulatory care facilities (hospital outpatient departments, clinics, community health centers) and the 1972 budget provides the full amount authorized by the law for construction of these facilities— $70 million. It is anticipated that this total will generate approximately $266 million worth of construction and assist 243 ambulatory care projects. The outlay impact of the increased program level will be reflected in subsequent years. Total outlays for federally supported construction of hospitals and other facilities will remain virtually level as a result of funds obligated in prior years when the support program was heavily hospital grantoriented. In 1972, however, grant obligations for hospitals are significantly lower and will result in outlay reductions in subsequent years. Table K-6. HOSPITAL AND HEALTH FACILITY CONSTRUCTION O u t l a y s (in millions of dollars) 1970 Federally supported construction of hospitals and other facilities: Hospitals, new Hospitals, modernized and replacedLong-term care facilities Environmental health facilities Ambulatory care facilities Other Total, federally supported Federal hospitals and health facilities: Hospitals, new Hospitals, modernized and replaced. Long-term care facilities Environmental health facilities Ambulatory care facilities Other Total, Federal Total, construction _ __ 1971 1972 121 113 104 91 77 9 67 33 94 80 13 73 24 102 81 15 60 28 397 396 390 32 73 24 4 9 46 78 1 30 3 12 66 105 3 29 2 23 142 169 229 539 566 620 Number of beds (or projects) ' 1970 1971 1972 9,609 8.478 8.092 8,178 7,040 7,128 6,889 5,845 6,497 (89) (89) 90 1,316 70 1,043 (5) (10) (68) 264 2,095 (2) •Less that $500 thousand. 1 Represents beds and projects which become available in each of the 3 years, irrespective of the year(s) of related outlays. Other Federal programs also help supply funds for construction of community health facilities. The Department of Housing and Urban Development provides mortgage insurance (but without an interest subsidy) for construction of hospitals, nursing homes, and group prac 156 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 tice facilities. It is estimated that the volume of mortgage insurance commitments in 1972 by HUD will total $524 million, an increase of $111 million over 1971 and will support construction or modernization of 5,500 hospital beds and almost 20,000 proprietary and private nonprofit long-term care beds. Organization and delivery of health services.—The 1972 budget continues to place priority on improving the efficiency of the health care system and in combating the continued rise in health care prices. Cost increases are due to general economic conditions, wage increases, and increased demand for medical services generated in part by Federal financing programs. These factors are aggravated by scarce manpower resources in many areas and the reimbursement mechanisms of private and public insurance programs which frequently do not discourage the use of higher priced inpatient facilities when lower cost ambulatory care would be appropriate. As a result, many providers of health care lack the incentive to minimize cost while assuring a high standard of care. In 1972, more than $238 million will be directed to programs designed to alleviate these problems. Efforts will be made to expand the use of paramedical manpower, to encourage the use of ambulatory care, to improve the mechanisms and capability for regional health care planning, and to increase experimental and other approaches to better utilization of health care technology. To improve planning for the development and allocation of health resources at the State and local level, the partnership for health program will spend $26 million in 1972, an increase of $6 million over 1971. This will fund 14 new areawide planning agencies and aid the conversion of 34 existing agencies from the organizational to the planning stage. In total, 151 areawide planning agencies will be working toward a more coherent and efficient health system. The regional medical program (RMP) will concentrate grants to those regions that have been most productive and will reduce awards to those RMP's that have exhibited the least potential for playing a catalytic role in moving the local health care system toward improved accessibility and quality of care. The major emphasis in 1972 will be directed toward more efficient utilization of professional and allied health personnel; the development of new ways to improve quality control and decrease costs of care in hospitals; promotion of early detection of disease; and improved treatment of heart, stroke, cancer, and kidney disease. The National Center for Health Services Research and Development is the principal research agency concerned with improving the organization, delivery, and financing of health services. Its 1972 research program will be directed into the following areas: development of experimental community based health delivery systems, simplified financing mechanisms and cost containment methods including a broad research and evaluation effort on health maintenance organizations, experiments in the training and utilization of new types of health services manpower, and the development of a cooperative Federal-State-local health statistics system. In addition, the National Center will retain primary responsibility for coordinating joint RMP-CHP efforts to improve health planning and organization of the health care delivery system. SPECIAL ANALYSES 157 Table K-7. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR IMPROVING THE ORGANIZATION AND DELIVERY OF HEALTH SERVICES (in millions of dollars) Purpose of expenditure Area wide planning Improving and implementing technology Manpower utilization Health care systems Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 39 30 48 62 42 34 52 95 179 222 1972 estimate 51 31 52 104 238 In other efforts to encourage efficiency and reduce costs, several agencies in HEW will experiment with new reimbursement arrangements, including prepaid comprehensive health care programs and negotiated fees. Additional funds in HEW and OEO will be channeled into experiments related to the use of new medical manpower, including physicians' assistants, that offer promise for alleviating health manpower shortages, particularly in rural and inner city areas where physicians are often scarce. OEO will also concentrate on developing community-wide health networks designed to serve persons living in poverty areas by linking together the various health care resources in a community into a more responsive system. Both the Veterans Administration and the Department of Defense will undertake experiments in health services delivery, including use of systems analysis for designing and operating a modern acute care hospital. PROVISION OF HOSPITAL AND MEDICAL SERVICES The Federal Government provides for hospital and medical care in two ways: (1) by financing the costs of health services obtained by eligible beneficiaries in non-Federal facilities or from private physicians, and (2) by directly operating health care facilities for certain groups of beneficiaries entitled to receive medical services at Government expense. Medicare and Medicaid comprise the major portion of the first category of funds, outlays for which will rise $1,162 million in 1972. Outlays for Federal direct care programs will increase by only $58 million during 1972, reflecting the substitution of more efficient facilities in the private sector for some of the older, outmoded Federal institutions and a reduction in the Defense Department's medical care program. Payment for hospital and medical service.—Medicare.—Through reimbursements for institutional care, physician visits, and a wide range of outpatient services, the Federal Medicare program pays approximately 47% of the total personal health care costs for the aged. Total expenditures by the program will exceed $9 billion in 1972, of which 70% will represent payments for services provided in hospitals, extended care facilities, and through home health agencies, and 25% will represent payments to physicians and other outpatient care facilities. The remaining 5% consist of administrative costs and other payments designed to improve the operation of the program. Medicare, by removing the financial obstacles to the receipt of medical services for persons over 65, has significantly influenced 158 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table K-8. PROVISION OF HOSPITAL AND MEDICAL SERVICES Outlays (in millions of dollars) Provision of direct Federal hospital and medical services General hospital inpatients Psychiatric hospital inpatients Long-term care inpatients Outpatient visits and other services Number admitted (in thousands) 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 3,058 3,276 3,334 1,679 415 81 882 1,792 452 93 940 1,818 1,925 1,827 1,716 473 163 166 166 104 35 37 37 939 61,540 58,743 56,163 Provision of hospital and medical services, indirect 11,022 12,962 14,124 General hospital inpatients Psychiatric hospital inpatients Long-term care inpatients Physician services—Office, home, or institution Outpatient visits and other services Total 5,997 233 1,060 7,261 246 1,190 8,102 212 863 1,890 207 833 2,328 1,403 2,512 1,752 2,838 \J(] cU 2,108 \l[}'^ 2,125 218 960 7 4 ^ l% o w 2,296 223 1,035 97 «R7 ' z/ 00/ 14,080 16,238 17,458 the utilization of these services. Hence, to the extent that their expanded demand increased more rapidly than the capacity of the health care system to deliver services, Medicare has been both the cause and the victim of the rapid rise in medical prices. From 1968 to 1972, hospital admissions under Medicare are estimated to have increased by 15%. When adjusted for population growth, the increase is reduced to 8.5%. Similar increases have occurred in the number of aged persons who receive benefits for physician and other outpatient services. As a result of these utilization patterns, total benefit payments under Medicare increased 53% from 1968 to 1971. A large portion of the increase can, of course, be attributed to the 21% rise in medical care prices during the 1968-70 period. The table below displays the pattern of utilization and costs in the program. a. Hospitals: ^68 1969 1970 1971 1972 Admissions (in thousands) 5,655 5,918 6,093 6,338 6,508 Admissions per 1,000 covered aged 291 296 305 312 316 Benefit payments (in millions) $3,300 $4,220 $4,439 $5,372 $5,766 b. Extended care facilities: Admissions (in thousands) 448.5 507.6 476.0 514.0 540.0 Admissions per 1,000 covered aged 23.0 25.0 23.8 25. 3 26. 2 Admissions as a percent of hospital admissions. __ 7.9 8.6 7.8 8.1 8.3 Benefit payments (in millions) $330 $390 $295 $350 $450 c. Physicians' services: Individuals meeting deductible (in thousands)-. 8,810 8,990 9,200 9,500 9,400 Benefit payments (in millions) $1,142 $1,500 $1,771 $1,832 $1,965 d. Medical prices, percent increase from prior years (as of June in year shown): Medical care services 7.1 8.7 6.8 Hospital daily service charge 12.2 13.0 12.1 Physicians'fees 5.5 7.3 7.6 To counteract cost escalation, extensive administrative actions have been undertaken. Intensified efforts have been made to achieve more careful review of the level of care provided in hospitals and SPECIAL ANALYSES 159 extended care facilities, to enforce utilization review requirements, and to reject unreasonable physician fee increases. These efforts have been partially successful as reflected by the 1970 fiscal and statistical data for hospital and ECF care. Benefit payments to hospitals increased 5% in 1970 compared with 28% in 1969. Outlays for ECF care actually declined over 1969. The average length of stay in hospitals decreased from 13.5 days in 1969 to 12.9 days in 1970. To contribute further to this effort, legislation will be proposed that will extend cost sharing arrangements with Medicare beneficiaries to encourage the utilization of less costly but appropriate alternatives to hospitalization such as extended care facilities and home health agencies. The legislation will also promote the use of more efficient health care delivery mechanisms such as health maintenance organizations. Medicaid.—Program costs for the Medicaid program in 1972 are derived from estimates submitted by States adjusted to reflect improved administrative controls over program abuses and proposed legislation to curtail overutilization of institutional services through limitations on Federal matching and cost sharing with Medicaid beneficiaries. The cost to the Federal Government, representing approximately 54% of the total program costs, are estimated to be $3.4 billion in 1972, a 4% increase over 1971. The small increase is in marked contrast to increases in prior year costs, which averaged about 20% per year from 1968 through 1971. The following table depicts the cost increases and other selected program indicators for the period 1968-72. 1968 Payments to medical vendors (millions) Percentage increase over prior year (%) Adminstrative costs (millions) Percent of payments to categorically needy (%) Number of States and jurisdictions in program (as of beginning of each year) Recipients of service (millions of persons) Aged Blind and disabled Children under 21 Otheradults 1969 1970 1971 1972 $1,731 $2,191 $2,604 $3,102 $3,216 55 27 19 19 4 $77 $94 $115 $148 $168 NA 66 69 77 78 40 11.5 43 12.9 * 52 15.0 52 17.0 52 19.0 2.6 .9 5.2 2.8 2.9 1.1 5.9 3.0 3.0 1.3 7.4 3.3 3.1 1.5 8.7 3.7 3.1 1.7 10.1 4.2 1 Two States, Arizona and Alaska, are not participating in the Medicaid program. NA=Not available. It should be noted that in the years 1967-69 most of the inciease in Medicaid recipients is attiibutable to a rise in the number of States and jurisdictions in the program. In the latter years, however, the rise in the number of persons receiving medical assistance results largely from increases in the number of public assistance recipients. As a result of the substantial increase in the public assistance rolls, a major shift is occurring in the distribution of payments between categorically needy and medically indigent persons. The percentage of total Medicaid payments on behalf of the medically indigent has declined from 31% in 1968 to an estimated 22% in 1972. In terms of the types of services provided, Medicaid is heavily weighted toward inpatient hospital care and nursing homes. In 1971, 160 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 hospitals and nursing homes accounted for approximately two-thirds of all Federal Medicaid outlays, while services rendered by physicians represented 13%, outpatient hospital services, drugs, and other care, 22%. In an effort to modify these proportions so that greater emphasis is placed on more cost-effective ambulatory and preventive care, legislation will be proposed to discourage unnecessary utilization of institutional care by limiting Federal matching for care provided in nursing homes and mental hospitals to that needed for active treatment, and by instituting cost-sharing provisions for care provided in general hospitals. Higher Federal matching will be provided for all ambulatory care to encourage greater use of hospital outpatient clinics, comprehensive health centers, and physicians services. A major restructuring of the Medicaid program will be proposed as part of the administration's new family health protection plan to be submitted to the 92d Congress. However, this program will be implemented after 1972. Maternal and child health and family planning.—The major goal of the MCH program is to provide health services to mothers and children, especially in rural areas or areas suffering from economic distress. The program directly supports the operation of clinics which provide comprehensive maternal and infant care, and a complete range of medical and dental services for children and youth from lowincome areas. The benefits of this program can be seen from the sharp reduction in the infant mortality rate for population groups served by infant care centers and the nearly 50% decrease in the number of hospital stays required by enrollees in children and youth health care programs. In 1972, grants will total $75 million to provide necessary health care for over 2.7 million mothers, infants, and children, and over $59 million to provide case-finding, diagnosis and treatment to over 500,000 crippled children throughout the country. Increases in the 1972 budget are designed to carry out the mandate of the President to deliver family planning services to all low-income women who want but cannot afford such services. When all projects funded in 1972 are operational, nearly 3 million of the estimated 5 million women in need will be receiving services through federally subsidized programs. Federal employee's health benefit program (FEHB).—The Federal Government offers a choice of at least five types of health insurance plans, including prepaid comprehensive group plans, to its 2.6 million active and retired civilian employees, and their dependents. In 1972, Federal payments will increase by $158 million to $521 million, reflecting the full-year impact of new legislation adjusting the proportion of Federal payments to total payments from 23% to 40% in January 1971. The increase in the Federal share will result in a slight decline in employee and annuitant premiums in 1972, even though there has been an increase in medical prices and greater utilization of health services. Providing medical care directly to Federal beneficiaries.— The Federal Government provides direct medical care for members of the Armed Forces and their dependents, retired servicemen and their dependents, veterans, merchant seamen, and American Indians. Out SPECIAL ANALYSES 161 lays for this purpose have declined from 49% of total Federal health expenditures in 1960 to 15% in 1972, primarily as a result of the rapid growth in Federal outlays for payment of hospital and medical care through the Medicare and Medicaid programs. Direct Federal care still remains a major program element, however, with outlays expected to total $3,334 billion in 1972, an increase of $58 million over 1971. The Department of Defense provides full medical care to its active and retired military personnel, and their dependents. In 1972, the DOD will operate 190 military hospitals and will contract with community facilities to care for its beneficiaries. Outlays to operate this health care system will be $1,359 million in 1972, $51 million less than in 1971. This decline in expenditures is the result of the reduction in the size of the Armed Forces and their number of dependents, offset to some extent by the higher costs of care in community facilities. The Veterans Administration will concentrate on providing quality medical care to veterans with service-connected disabilities by operating 169 hospitals, 103 long-term care facilities, and 206 outpatient clinics, with total expenditures for direct care programs estimated at $1.8 billion in 1972, an increase of $139 million over the 1971 level. Within this total, however, greater emphasis will be placed on outpatient and nursing home treatment. In 1972, there will be a slight rise in the number of patients treated in VA hospitals to 805,000, while the number of outpatients treated will rise from 6.7 million to 7.1 million. The average monthly turnover rate in VA general hospitals is estimated to rise from 72.3% in 1971 to 73.5% in 1972, and the ratio of staff to patients is expected to increase by 6%. As a result of recent legislation liberalizing entitlement to dental care and expanding benefits to Vietnam veterans, outpatient medical and dental treatment by private physicians and dentists is expected to remain high. The Department of Health, Education, and Welfare will explore opportunities for using community or other Federal facilities to provide quality medical care to the 234,000 primary beneficiaries of the Public Health Service. Under this policy, consideration will be given to the potential of converting the existing PHS facilities to community use. Similarly, the National Institute for Mental Health will transfer the operation of Fort Worth Hospital to the Department of Justice to permit that agency to expand its capacity to treat narcotics addicts who have been convicted of a felony. HEW will continue to operate a direct care program for American Indians, lepers, and persons committed or voluntarily presenting themselves for mental health treatment at Saint Elizabeths Hospital in Washington, D.C. Distribution of health care outlays by age groups and economic status.—Table K-9 distributes Federal outlays for the "provision of hospital and medical services" category among three major age groups and between indigent and nonindigent persons. Funds expended for categories relating to the development of health resources and for the prevention and control of health problems have been excluded from the following table since they are designed to serve the entire Nation and are not normally allocable by population group or income. 430-700 O—71——11 162 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table K-9 indicates that the largest health care expenditure increase in absolute terms will be for the aged, rising by $645 million to $10.6 billion in 1972; however, the largest percentage increase over 1971 will be for children, reflecting the administration's emphasis on improving the health of our Nation's youth. Approximately 39% of total health care expenditures will be directed at the needy in 1972. Table K-9. ESTIMATED HEALTH CARE OUTLAYS BY POPULATION AND INCOME GROUPS (in millions of dollars) 1969 1970 1971 Total, all recipients 12,794 14,074 16,228 17,446 Aged (65 and over) Other adults (19-64) Children and youth (0-18) 8,071 3,427 1,295 8,567 3,585 1,922 9,924 4,071 2,233 10,569 4,360 2,517 5,384 6,340 6,786 3,281 1,218 618 3,219 1,037 1,128 3,741 1,236 1,363 3,835 1,359 1,592 7,678 8,690 9,886 10,657 4,790 2,210 677 5,347 2,548 794 6,182 2,833 871 6,733 3,000 925 Indigent, total Aged (65 and over) Other adults (19-64) Children and youth (0-18) Nonindigent, total Aged (65 and over) Other adults (19-64) Children and youth (0-18) ~5jl6 1972 Aged.—Over 60% of Federal personal health care outlays will be on behalf of the aged. The 1972 increase for this age group of $645 million over 1971 is almost entirely attributable to the Medicare and Medicaid programs. In 1972, 31% of Federal Medicaid payments will support medical services for the aged, although they comprise 16% of the program's beneficiaries. Federal funds in total continue to pay for approximately 60% of the personal health care costs of the aged. Other adults.—In 1972, nonaged adults will receive $4.4 billion in health care services paid for by the Federal Government. Over twothirds of these funds will be directed toward the nonindigent, the bulk of which will pay for health care rendered to veterans, the decreasing number of military servicemen, and Federal employees, as well as eligible dependents. Of the $1.4 billion which will be spent by the Federal Government for hospital and medical care for needy adults, $855 million will come from Medicaid, $148 million from the Veterans Administration, and the remaining $356 million from a number of smaller programs, including OEO's neighborhood health centers, the vocational rehabilitation program, and the maternal and child health program. Children and youth.—Federal health outlays for children from birth to 18 years will increase 13% to $2.5 billion in 1972. Of the $284 million increase over 1971, $229 million is attributable to Medicaid, bringing the program's support for children's health care services to $1.4 billion. Other significant increases are provided by the maternal and child health and Indian health service programs. Outlays by the Department of Defense for such services to children of servicemen SPECIAL ANALYSES 163 will decline by $18 million, reflecting the reduced size of the Armed Forces. Virtually all of the increase in health care outlays for children and youth will benefit needy families, raising these expenditures to $1.6 billion, or 63% of the total directed to this age group. Of total Medicaid outlays, over 4 1 % will support health care for children, an increase from 36% in 1971, representing the administration's policy of directing an increasing proportion of outlays toward needy children. National and Federal expenditures by age.—The Social Security Administration has published data on total public and private expenditures in 1969 for personal health care. The role of Federal programs in this sector is summarized in the following table. In 1969, children accounted for 11% of the total Federal outlays for personal health care; in 1972, as indicated in table K-9, their share will increase to almost 15%. This trend, accompanied by the expected emphasis on child health in the proposed family protection program, should result in further changes in the Federal role in subsequent years. Table K-9a. TOTAL NATIONAL AND FEDERAL EXPENDITURES FOR PERSONAL HEALTH CARE BY AGE GROUPS, 1969 (dollars in billions) Age group Age (65 and over) Other adults (19 to 65) Children and youth (0 to 18) _ Total ] Federal expenditures Total national expenditures Dollars Percent distribution $13.5 30.7 8.4 26 58 16 52.6 100 Percent Federal of total Percent expendiDollars tures clistribution $7.7 3.3 1.4 1 1 2 4 62 17 11 57 11 17 100 24 Excludes $0.4 billion in Medicare and Medicaid administrative expenses. PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF HEALTH PROBLEMS Expenditures for the prevention and control of health problems will increase by $50 million to $926 million in 1972. The Federal Government will continue to promote comprehensive health care with emphasis on disease prevention and environmental protection. This section includes a discussion of only those activities that arc primarily directed toward this topic. Many activities described in other sections of this analysis (e.g., manpower training, drug regulation, family planning, and selected aspects of health research) also relate to the prevention and control of health problems. Table K-10. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF HEALTH PROBLEMS (in millions of dollars) Disease prevention and control Environmental control Consumer protection Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 434 111 177 515 160 200 530 170 226 722 876 926 164 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Disease prevention.—A basic principle that underlies the Federal health strategy is the promotion of preventive care, which can result in significant savings in terms of human life and economic costs while preserving the Nation's limited health resources. The following are examples of Federal prevention efforts: • The National Communicable Disease Center (NCDC) spearheads Federal efforts to combat contagious disease through research, data gathering and dissemination, the maintenance of surveillance systems, and the provision of scientific and technical assistance to State and local health departments. • Public education activities are conducted in such areas as nutrition, smoking, drug abuse, and automotive safety. • OEO, Maternal and Child Health Service, the Indian Health Service, and Community Health Services provide consumer education to persons eligible to receive direct care. • Several Federal agencies undertake activities to raise nutritional standards. In 1972, the Food and Drug Administration will develop nutritional guidelines for prepared foods and will propose labeling requirements to assist the consumer in assessing the nutritional content of his diet. Research on the prevalence and cause of malnutrition is undertaken by NCDC and the National Center for Health Statistics. • New initiatives are being undertaken to encourage physicians to provide preventive health care to their patients, in particular through measures to stimulate the development of HMO's. • Efforts to prevent and control disease abroad are undertaken by the Agency for International Development, the Peace Corps, and international agencies to which the United States contributes financially such as the World Health Organization and the Pan American Health Organization. Outlays in 1972 by AID, State Department, and the Peace Corps for these purposes will be $177 million. Environmental control.—The principal agency concerned with environmental control is the newly created Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Efforts to reduce and control factors and practices that adversely affect the health of our Nation will be intensified through support of research and control programs in such areas as air and water pollution, pesticide and radiation hazards, solid waste disposal, and noise abatement. To reduce air pollution, special emphasis will be placed on developing a low emission advanced automotive power system and on further strengthening State and local air pollution control agencies through increased funding and technical assistance. Air quality standards will be determined for the estimated 250 air quality control regions which will be established by March 31, 1971, and which will encompass the whole United States. EPA will continue to support short-term training programs to increase the numbers of qualified scientists, administrators, and other personnel in air pollution control and will conduct research to develop the technology to control sulfur and nitrogen oxides and other air pollutants. Continued efforts will be made to develop solid waste recycling techniques. Revised guidelines for proper operation of municipal incinerators and sanitary landfills are being developed. All State and SPECIAL ANALYSES 165 local plans approved by the Office of Solid Wastes in EPA must conform to existing solid wastes guidelines. Programs promoting water hygiene will be expanded and accelerated in 1972 to ensure nationally acceptable public water supplies. Additional resources are expected to be allocated by EPA later in the year for air pollution and solid wastes programs to implement the provisions of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970 and the Resource Recovery Act of 1970. These funds are not included in this analysis. Consumer protection.—Consumer protection activities are an essential part of disease prevention. Most Federal departments have programs aimed at safeguarding the health and safety of the individual from illness and injury resulting from unsafe products. The Department of Transportation sets and enforces safety standards for automobiles. The Department of Agriculture has the responsibility of assuring the wholesomeness of meat and poultry products, and will commence inspection of egg products and processing plants during 1972. Under its new legislative mandate, the Department of Commerce will emphasize improved fish processing techniques and the inspection and grading of commercial fishery processing plants. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has the lead role in the fields of food, drug, and product safety. FDA's outlays will increase by $15 million to $94 million, reflecting the high priority placed on consumer protection. In 1972, the FDA will place greater emphasis on ensuring the safety of foods through increased food inspection activities; expanded research on the presence of toxic chemicals, poisonous metals, and micotoxins; the initiation with industry of a cooperative quality assurance program; and increased inspection of imported foods. It will also conduct research into the prevalence of drug residues in food-producing animals. FDA will improve its drug review procedures so as to provide the public with needed drugs more rapidly and with greater assurance of safety, and will accelerate removal of ineffective drugs from the market. The agency will establish a testing and monitoring program to determine the safety and efficacy of medical devices. During 1972, FDA will begin operation of a National Center for Food and Drug Safety Evaluation to determine the health effects of chemicals and drugs taken by man in small doses but over long periods of time. SPECIAL IMPACT PROGRAMS Several programs have been selected for extended discussion in this section because of their special significance in the 1972 budget. Outlays for these programs are classified in one or more of the major categories in table K-2. Drug abuse and alcoholism.—Efforts to combat drug abuse and alcoholism will be expanded, as obligations in these areas rise $23.5 million to $173 million in 1972. The National Institute of Mental Health and the Office of Economic Opportunity- are the major Federal agencies responsible for programs in drug abuse and alcoholism and both emphasize community-based prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation. Legislation previously in effect, which authorized only the funding of treatment programs for narcotic addicts, has been broadened to 166 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 encompass a wide variety of comprehensive approaches to prevent and treat all forms of drug abuse. Under new alcoholism legislation, NIMH will establish a National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism to coordinate the Federal effort against this disease. The new drug abuse and alcoholism legislation provides for expansion of preventive measures through education and public information projects. NIMH's National Clearinghouse for Drug Abuse Information will continue to gather and disseminate the most current data available to increase public knowledge of the facts about drug use, and the Clearinghouse and the Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs will produce public service messages to increase public awareness of the dangers of drug abuse. The 1972 budget will also support expanded programs in the development of paramedical and other personnel to deal with the drug abuser and alcoholic and will increase Federal support of research directed towards improving our knowledge of the causes, habits, and treatment procedures to be used in controlling these diseases. In addition, research on the actual effects of drugs and alcohol on man will be undertaken by NIMH. TableK-ll. ESTIMATED OBLIGATIONS FOR CIVILIAN DRUG ABUSE AND ALCOHOLISM PROGRAMS (dollars in millions) 1969 estimate 1970 estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate $21.9 1.4 2.2 $40.1 13.4 12.8 4.5 7.7 $46.1 13.7 14.5 3.0 $18.7 6.7 4.5 3.0 5.6 28.5 38.5 78.5 84.5 1.2 0.2 0.4 3.5 3.7 1.5 6.2 6.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 3.1 1.8 8.7 14.2 16.1 14.1 16.3 17.8 19.1 44.3 63.5 110.5 119.7 NA NA 13.3 3.3 9.2 17.9 3.8 14.3 22.1 3.8 16.6 30.9 40.2 1.2 5.5 1.6 6.6 4.8 8.4 23.3 39.1 53.4 DRUG ABUSE Treatment and rehabilitation: Health, Education, and Welfare—National Institute of Mental Health Justice Office of Economic Opportunity Housing and Urban Development—Model Cities. __ Other Subtotal Education and training: National Institute of Mental Health Office of Education Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs Subtotal Research and other support—Health, Education, and Welfare Total, drug abuse 10.2 ALCOHOLISM Treatment and rehabilitation: Health, Education, and Welfare: National Institute of Mental Health Social and Rehabilitation Service Veterans Administration Subtotal Education and training: Health, Education and Welfare, Research—Health, Education and Welfare Total, alcoholism NA= Not available. NA NA SPECIAL ANALYSES 167 In 1971, a 13-member Commission on Marihuana and Drug Abuse will be established by the President to conduct a comprehensive study of marihuana. Its agenda will include the following topics: the extent of marihuana's use in the United States, an evaluation of existing laws related to its use, a study of marihuana pharmacology and its short- and long-term effects, its relation to other drugs and to crime, and factors related to the international control of marihuana. The Commission will also conduct a comprehensive investigation of the causes of drug abuse. Health Maintenance Organizations.—HMO's are medical organizations that provide patients comprehensive medical care, generally on a prepaid basis. They are characterized by an organizational structure that establishes incentives to deliver comprehensive health services at lower overall costs than more traditional medical programs. These incentives tend to discourage unnecessary hospitilization and to encourage preventive and ambulatory care. Many Federal employees can enroll in this kind of program as one of several health insurance options available to them. The administration is again recommending legislation to facilitate the use of HMO's under Medicare. In addition, HEW will conduct research and evaluation of the organization, cost, and effectiveness of HMO's and will provide technical assistance to groups desiring to establish HMO's. Also, health care providers may apply to HUD for mortgage insurance for construction and major equipment for group practice facilities. Indians.—Outlays for Indian health services will be increased in 1972 by $12 million to strengthen maternal and child health programs and expand community-based mental health services. The continued reduction in the number of inpatients served by the hospitals of the Indian Health Service will result in an improved ratio of staff to patients and a higher quality of care. Consistent with the President's message on Indians (July 8, 1970) requesting a reallocation of an additional $10 million for Indian health programs, expanded support will be provided in both 1971 and 1972 by OEO, the Department of Labor, and other health programs in HEW. These funds will be used to alleviate major Indian health problems such as infection of the inner ear, mental health, alcoholism, and maternal and child health as well as expand Indian community health projects and develop Indian health manpower. Indicators of improved health among Indians include a 47% reduction in infant mortality during the last decade and a 59% reduction in deaths caused by TB. In total, outlays for Indian health services and facilities in 1972 will exceed $152 million. Family planning.—The ability of families to decide the number and spacing of their children through family planning is one of the most effective measures for reducing infant and maternal mortality and for improving the physical and mental health of the family. Federal support of family planning programs will increase from $135 million in 1971 to $189 minion in 1972. These funds will support an expanded program of biomedical and attitudinal research, train health personnel to deliver family planning services, and provide family planning services to approximately 2.8 million of the 5 million poor women in the United States who face financial or other barriers to receiving them. 168 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table K-12. ESTIMATED OBLIGATIONS FOR FAMILY PLANNING SERVICES AND RESEARCH (in millions of dollars) 1970 Services to low-income persons in the United States (total) 1971 1972 70.0 98.2 141.9 Health, Education, and Welfare (total) 48.0 72.2 120.4 National Center for Family Planning Services Maternal and Child Health Other HEW Office of Economic Opportunity 22.8 18.1 22.0 33.6 17.0 21.6 26.0 90.9 17.0 12.5 21.5 24.7 37.1 46.8 16.3 1.1 7.3 28.0 1.1 8.0 38.0 1.3 7.5 Research (total) National Institutes of Health Food and Drug Administration Agency for International Development_ 7.1 To provide better coordination among all the family planning activities within HEW, a new Office of Deputy Assistant Secretary for Population Affairs has been established in the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health. The function of this new office is to establish departmentwide goals and strategies in family planning and population activities and to coordinate and focus these activities through the Center for Population Research and the National Center for Family Planning Services. The 1972 OEO family planning program will provide family planning services to over 400,000 women and will initiate new projects to improve the delivery of services to teenagers, rural families, and other hard-to-reach groups. OEO will also investigate new ways to involve private industry in the support and encouragement of family planning. $10 million worth of projects which were initiated by OEO in prior years will be transferred to the National Center for Family Planning Services in 1972 consistent with the effort to make the latter the lead Government agency in the delivery of family planning services. Other health centers programs.—Obligations will increase by $40 million to support 241 community-based, comprehensive health projects, which have been established to provide health care resources to poor rural and urban areas and to demonstrate new and improved methods of delivering health services. Both OEO and HEW projects are typically designed around a single location, usually a "neighborhood health center" or other type of outpatient facility, and include preventive and diagnostic services, outpatient treatment, in-home care of the chronically ill and other home-health services rehabilitation services, dental services, and drugs. Auxiliary services such as casefmding, community outreach, and foliowup are also offered. Neighborhood residents participate in planning and guiding program development and fill many new paraprofessional health jobs. The period of Federal support for staffing Community Mental Health Centers (CMHC) has been extended from 51 months to 8 SPECIAL ANALYSES 169 years jto allow the centers more time to obtain alternative sources of financial support. During 1972, major efforts will be made to evaluate to what extent and under what conditions these centers are effective in controlling mental health problems and allowing patients to perform productive roles. Greater efforts will be made to obtain stable financial support for centers through reimbursements and third-party health insurance payments so that currently committed Federal funds can be released to extend support to new centers. In 1972, the Federa program level for CMHC's will increase by $15 million to $105 million TabIeK-13. FEDERALLY FUNDED HEALTH CENTERS Total Federal obligations (millions) Partnership for Health Maternal and Child Health NIMH OEO 1 Number of centers funded __ Partnership for Health Maternal and Child Health NIMH (operating grants) OEO 1 Number of persons served in year (thousands) _ Partnership for Health Maternal and Child Health NIMH OEO 1969 1970 1971 1972 $183.0 $214.6 $327.9 $382.6 10.0 75.0 46.0 52.0 20.0 75.8 47.6 71.2 60.0 82.8 90.1 95.0 78.0 89.5 105.1 110.0 395 463 534 590 18 110 218 49 26 115 255 67 46 116 307 65 55 116 349 70 837 1,212 1,690 2,027 5 532 NA 300 39 573 NA 600 260 630 NA 800 385 642 NA 1,000 1 In addition to 49 neighborhood health centers (of which 16 were transferred to HEW in 1971 and several more will be transferred in 1972), the OEO numbers include comprehensive health care projects in outpatient departments, group practice projects, and community network projects. HISTORICAL RESUME Table K-2 classifies Federal health outlays for the years 1970 through 1972. The following table K-14 distributes Federal health outlays b}r function for the period 1960 through 1969. The data for 1960 are not strictly comparable with data for other years since they represent "funds provided77 rather than outlays. 170 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table K-14. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH-RELATED ACTIVITIES BY CATEGORY (in millions of dollars) Development of health resources, total Health research Training and education. Construction of hospitals and health facilities. __ Improving the organization and delivery of health services2 Provision of hospital and medical services, total. Direct Federal hospital and medical services.. Hospital and medical services, indirect Prevention and control of health problems, total... Total outlays from Federal and trust funds I960 1 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1,017 510 217 1,529 892 257 1,806 1,069 298 1,807 1,040 317 1,956 1,167 410 2,430 1,364 593 2,803 3,111 1,547 1,528 687 805 290 380 439 450 378 391 470 612 82 100 166 1969 2,165 2,783 2,904 2,936 3,521 7,831 10,764 12,794 1,701 1,877 1,971 2,022 2,199 2,552 2,738 2,860 464 906 933 914 1,322 5,279 8,025 9,934 326 346 393 418 451 540 565 651 3,508 4,658 5,103 5,161 5,928 10,801 14,132 16,556 1 Report of the Committee on Government Operations, U.S. Senate: "Coordination of Federal Agencies" programs in biomedical research and in other scientific areas, report No. 142, Mar. 30, 1961. 2 Not tabulated in 1960—66 as a separate subcategory. EXPENDITURES FOR HEALTH ACTIVITIES BY AGENCY The following tables distribute the health-related expenditures of Federal agencies by the categories used in this analysis. Except for HEW and parts of the Civil Service Commission and the Environmental Protection Agency, the outlays of these agencies are, because of their major purpose, assigned to functions other than Health (650) in part 5 of the Budget document. The tables, therefore, indicate the predominant budget functional code for each agency. Other special analyses such as those on research and development, education, and manpower also include all Federal outlays in their areas. They will thus include, where pertinent, the same outlays which are tabulated in this analysis. TableK-15. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH-RELATED ACTIVITIES BY AGENCY, 1970 (in millions of dollars) Functional code Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Health Services and Mental Health Administration. National Institutes of Heajth Food and Drug Administration Social Security Administration Social and Rehabilitation Service Other... Department of Defense Veterans Administration Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of Agriculture Environmental Protection Agency (predecessor agencies)Agency for International Development Office of Economic Opportunity National Aeronautics and Space Administration Atomic Energy Commission Civil Service Commission Department of Labor Department of State National Science Foundation Other agencies Agency contributions to employee health funds Total outlays for health, 1970 650 650 650 650 650/700 051 800 550 350 650 150 550 250 058 906 604 150 605 Health research Training and Construeeducation tion 1,083.9 130.3 905.7 18.3 653.0 155.4 481.1 .7 349.0 341.2 6.2 29.6 88.8 61.8 9.5 6.4 79.7 95.0 1.3 .4 52.5 67.3 7.8 38.5 34.5 3.3 4.7 4.7 4.5 92.1 102.5 .6 28.0 43.4 113.7 4.3 3.5 9.6 57.2 1,576.8 968.8 539.1 Organization and delivery 161.4 135.1 26.3 14.1 1.4 Direct Federal hospital and medical Indirect Federal hospital and medical 153.0 10,293.2 153.0 268.7 1,396,2 1,475:3 1.3 7,149.2 2,866.9 8.4 263.7 86.5 8.0 126.0 .6 41.2 .1 .4 .7 33.3 4.3 199.0 179.0 3,057.9 11,022.2 Prevention and control of health problems Total 340.3 13,033.9 275.4 1,459.2 4.3 1,423.6 68.6 49.6 7,149.2 11.0 2,918.2 15.2 19.9 1,900.9 1, 800.0 17.3 193.1 154.5 88.1 48.9 97.4 84.9 127.3 92.7 103.1 41.4 .2 113.7 30.1 25.2 31.5 196.8 48.4 199.0 722.4 18,066.2 TableK-16. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH-RELATED ACTIVITIES BY AGENCY, 1971 (in millions of dollars) Training Funccode Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Health Services and Meantal Health Administration _ _ National Institutes of Health __ Food and Drug Administration Social Security Administration Social and Rehabilitation Service Other Department of Defense __ _ Veterans Administration._ __ _ _ Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of Agriculture Environmental Protection Agency Agency for International Development Office of Economic Opportunity _ __ __ ____ National Aeronautics and Space Administration Atomic Energy Commission Civil Service Commission Department of Labor Department of State _ __ National Science Foundation. Other agencies Agency contributions to employee health funds Total outlays for health, 1971 Ojganization research 1,185.6 136.8 995.3 23.6 687.4 151.2 517.9 1.0 348.8 318.7 6.9 2.1 650/700 29.9 051 800 550 350 650 150 550 250 058 906 604 150 605 89.4 67.1 9.6 7.6 84.8 115.5 40.0 57.6 12.2 10.4 10.8 56.6 70.2 9.5 7.0 5.9 7.0 650 650 650 650 delivery 189.1 160.2 28.9 16.2 8.8 Direct Indirect Preven- and medical and medical of health problems 170.8 12,017.8 170.8 325.8 .1 .4 35.9 5.3 295.6 377.7 14,977.2 295.8 1,559.3 4.5 1,553.5 55.9 82.5 8,262.0 21.5 3,491.5 28.2 19.3 1,934.3 2,053.3 51.3 174.7 214.7 172.5 137.2 32.2 157.3 150.8 99.8 101.9 68.3 .4 126.1 32.6 27.6 33.0 259.7 71.3 295.6 3,276.4 12,961.6 875.8 20,693.1 1,410.1 1,695.5 142.8 8.0 2.1 97.7 101.5 .5 30.0 61.1 126.1 4.5 3.0 14.4 71.4 .3 1,742.3 1,049.2 565.5 222.4 8,262.0 3,420.1 9.9 274.1 124.8 33.0 67.9 TableK-17. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH-RELATED ACTIVITIES BY AGENCY, 1972 (in millions of dollars) Functional code Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Health Services and Mental Health Administration National Institutes of Health Food and Drug Administration Social Security Administration Social and Rehabilitation Service Other Department of Defense Veterans Administration Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of Agriculture Environmental Protection Agency Agency for International Development Office of Economic Opportunity T-r — National Aeronautics and Space Administration Atomic Energy Commission Civil Service Commission Department of Labor Department of State National Science Foundation Department of Commerce Other agencies Agency contributions to employee health funds Total outlays for health, 1972 650 650 650 650 650/700 051 800 550 350 650 150 55 ° 250 058 906 604 150 605 500 Health research Training and education Construetion 1,296.7 166.4 1,074.2 29.4 767.9 158.1 591.2 1.1 332.4 301.5 6.6 2.4 26.6 87.9 71.8 8.2 9.3 87.6 115.9 14.7 7.2 83.5 104.7 8.9 39.3 72.1 10.9 8.0 6.1 Organization and delivery 195.6 168.1 27.4 Direct Federal hospital and medical 140.2 13,012.6 140.2 405.3 .1 1,358.8 16.3 1,798.9 9.5 9,033.2 3,563.9 10.2 274.5 119.8 40.0 9.7 15 82.6 100.3 Indirect Federal hospital and medical ]44 -° -7 2.0 .4 104.7 31.6 125.2 5.3 2.4 49.7 9.4 1,842.9 1,128.1 .2 .2 78.1 1.5 619.5 238.0 36.3 , 3,334.3 .4 10.3 416.5 14,123.5 Prevention and control of health problems Total 389.1 16,134.5 298.8 1,638.4 4.9 1,704.5 65.3 98.1 9,033.3 20.2 3,633.6 26.6 19.4 1,911.7 2,227.5 58.4 189.8 229.1 89.4 169.5 141.3 168.0 15 9.7 84.5 100.7 .4 105.1 125.2 32.0 38.1 34.0 64.4 249.7 416.5 925.8 22,212.2 SPECIAL ANALYSIS L FEDERAL INCOME SECURITY PROGRAMS Federal income security programs provide essential income protection for millions of Americans. In 1972, social security will benefit 27 million, public assistance and welfare reform will aid 14 million, and food stamps will help 11 million. These programs are characterized by: —Rapid growth, particularly in recent years—rising from $60 billion in 1970 to almost $81 billion in 1972; —Piecemeal development, stemming from different time periods of enactment and divergent goals; —Varying forms, ranging from cash based on contribution (or need) to benefits in kind (such as housing or medical care); and —An emergent income strategy, seeking to knit related programs more closely together to increase their combined effectiveness. INCOME STRATEGY Many of the administration's highest priority goals involve the restructuring of income security programs. Reform of food stamps and unemployment compensation were important accomplishments in calendar year 1970. The administration has proposed, and will press again this year, the reform of the Nation's two basic income security systems: —Welfare reform, the most complete overhaul of any domestic program in a generation; and —Social security, with benefit increases, automatic adjustments for rises in the cost of living, and other improvements. The principles of the administration's income strategy are: —Equity.—Benefits should be distributed in a consistent manner among beneficiaries with similar circumstances. For example, programs paying benefits based on need should consider all resources in determining benefits. —Adequacy.—Benefits should bear a reasonable relationship to need, and be adjusted periodically to maintain that adequacy. Examples include recent amendments to the food stamp program providing allotments large enough to purchase a nutritionally adequate diet, and the proposed national standards under welfare reform. —Graduated benefits.—Disproportionate drops in benefits as income rises should be avoided as a disincentive to increased earnings (where that possibility exists). As a general rule, where benefits are related to income, that relationship should resemble a straight line rather than a series of steps or notches. —Self-regulation.—The lag of program benefits behind changed circumstances can cause serious hardship in some instances. An effort is being made to make programs more self-adjusting with changes in basic conditions. Examples include: 174 SPECIAL ANALYSES 175 • Food stamps (enacted) and social security (proposed), where benefits would be adjusted automatically for changes in the cost of living. (Financing would also be automatic under social security.) • Unemployment insurance, where extended benefits will be automatically triggered by changed economic circumstances. These principles will also be applied this year in integrating food stamp benefits with welfare reform, and harmonizing veterans compensation and pension programs with other income security programs. OVERVIEW: 1972 Federal outlays for income security programs will total an estimated $80.9 billion in 1972—over one-third of the total Federal budget and 7% of the Gross National Product (GNP). Table L-l. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR INCOME SECURITY PROGRAMS 1970 actual 1971 estimate Federal outlays for cash benefits (millions): Social security (OASDI) Federal employee benefits Veterans benefits Public assistance Unemployment insurance Railroad retirement Other programs Proposed legislation included above $29,045 5,768 5,340 3,868 2,886 1,586 74 $34,090 $37,576 6,873 7,549 5,829 6,243 5,243 6,257 5,172 4,365 1,890 1,922 336 522 (1,067) (3,196) Subtotal, outlays, cash benefits 48,567 59,433 1972 estimate 64,434 Federal outlays for in-kind benefits (millions): Food and nutrition Healthcare Housing Proposed legislation included above 1,590 9,576 475 Subtotal, outlays, in-kind benefits 11,641 14,738 Total, benefit outlays 60,209 74,171 80,919 Federal outlays for administration 1,960 2,247 2,367 2,783 3,171 11,143 12,026 812 1,288 (13) (—801) 16,485 Cash payments account for 80% of total income security outlays, with social security programs the largest by far. Benefits in kind will constitute the balance—distributed primarily for medical care, followed by food and housing benefits. HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND PURPOSES The historical basis of income security programs lies in the retirement insurance and welfare legislation of the 1930's and the veterans benefits programs dating from the Revolutionary War. Programs have been added to this basic bloc, until there are now almost 40 programs within 12 agencies. Previous analyses have focused on the programs; this analysis is a transition to examination of the persons and functions 176 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 served by the programs: the aged, the disabled, the unemployed, mothers with small children and no breadwinner, and the just plain poor, who cannot earn quite enough to live decently through their own efforts. FUNDAMENTAL REFORM: WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY Income security programs are under intensive review for necessary reform. The most sweeping changes proposed to the Congress in the coming year involve the Nation's two basic income maintenance programs: welfare and social security. Welfare reform.—The present welfare system is a failure—in the eyes of recipients and taxpayers alike. It lacks incentives for selfsupport or family cohesion. Conversely, it often creates a greater sense of dependency. The rapid increase in welfare recipients compounds the problems of existing welfare programs: —Three States experienced caseload increases of 50% or more in 1970; 10 more saw rolls rise by one-third or more. —Costs have doubled in 5 years, and threaten serious financial problems for many State treasuries. Welfare reform is focused on the basic problems of present welfare programs. It will: —Provide national eligibility standards—covering all poor families with children for the first time, and setting up a computerized cross-check of eligibility and income; —Establish minimum benefit standards (at $1,600 for a family of four with no income and $110 per month for the aged, blind, or disabled); —Require States where payments are now higher to supplement the basic Federal allowance up to the old payment level or the U.S. Census Bureau poverty standard—whichever is lower; —Establish strong work incentives and requirements: • requiring all able-bodied adults (except mothers with preschool children) to register for, and accept, suitable work and training; • reducing benefit payments by $500 for each adult family member who refuses suitable work or training, and cutting State supplementary payments by a proportionate amount; • exempting the first $720 of earnings in computing benefits— smoothing the transition from welfare to work; and • increasing incentives to earn by reducing benefits by 50% for earnings over $720 per year (with the rate not to exceed 67% where State supplementation is required). —Offer increased opportunities and funds for training and child care, to enable the many recipients who desire work—but lack the requisite skills or adequate care for their children—to achieve their goal of self-support; —Provide substantial fiscal relief to States—amounting to roughly a half billion in the first year and growing over time. These reforms will take effect during 1973. The 1972 budget provides $581 million in budget authority and $502 million in outlays to do the advance planning and lay the sound administrative foundation to insure effective operation in the ensuing years. SPECIAL ANALYSES 177 Social security.—Major administration proposals for changes in the social security program involve: —Providing automatic benefit increases to keep pace with the cost of living (the Consumer Price Index); —Raising benefits 6% across the board, retroactive to January 1, 1971, as the first step in adjusting benefits to rising costs; —Financing benefits with automatic changes in the "wage base" (raising the maximum earnings subject to the social security payroll tax in step with increased earnings in the economy); —Liberalizing the earnings or retirement test (the amount of permissible income before benefits are reduced) by permitting up to $2,000 of earnings with no benefit loss and providing a 50% offset from that point without limit; and —Increasing widow's benefits to the full amount of her deceased husband's entitlement. The combined tax rate for social security cash programs under current law is scheduled to rise from 8.4% to 9.2% effective January 1, 1971. Proposed legislation would hold the rate to 8.4% for cash programs, while raising the rate for medical programs by a comparable 0.8% to keep these programs financially sound. It will also be proposed that the maximum earnings subject to tax be raised from $7,800 per year to $9,000—effective retroactively to January 1, 1971—the same timing as for the 6% benefit increase. Housing.—Benefits to low-income families are provided both in cash and in kind. One of the most difficult in-kind programs to mesh with cash assistance is the public housing program. The administration will introduce legislation again this year to scale public housing benefits with income, thus ameliorating the serious work disincentive which can result when a small increase in earnings may abruptly terminate eligibility for subsidized housing. Legislation will be resubmitted in 1972 to achieve major reforms of both subsidized and unsubsidized housing programs. The objective will be to simplify and consolidate these programs. The research and technology program of the Department of Housing and Urban Development will emphasize the development of means to improve housing management and prevent the deterioration and abandonment of housing resources. Medical benefits.—Similarly, the administration has promised a reform of the Medicaid program to overcome any work disincentives. The reform proposal will be submitted in the 92d Congress. Proposed legislation on the in-kind health benefit programs, Medicare and Medicaid, would curtail overutilization of hospital and other services. The proposals would provide increased program control of Medicare, and increased emphasis in Medicaid on preventive medical care and restrain cost increases for institutional services. RECENT PROGRAM DEVELOPMENTS A number of significant improvements were made in income security programs in calendar year 1970. 430-700 O—71 12 178 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Food and nutrition.—Food stamp program reform has been emphasized in the administration's effort to eliminate hunger and malnutrition in the United States. Modifications in program benefits were instituted early in calendar year 1970. Thus, program changes provided for a level of benefits which permit recipients to purchase an adequate diet at a cost which, in most cases, is less than 30% of family income. Eecently enacted legislation proposed by the administration confirms these modifications, and further, will permit the issuance of food stamps free to families with little or no income—as proposed by the administration. It also provides for automatic increases in stamp allotment with rises in the cost of living, and better administrative integration with public assistance cash programs. Participation in the food stamp program will increase from 3.2 million persons at the end of 1969 to an estimated 11 million in 1972. Average benefits under the program have increased from $6.62 per person per month to nearly $14 per person per month this year. Outlays under the program have increased from $248 million in 1969 to almost $1.5 billion in 1971 and are budgeted at $1.9 billion in 1972. In addition to the food stamp program, the distribution of commodities to needy families reached 3.8 million persons in 1970. As the food stamp program continues to expand into new areas, the number of persons receiving commodities is expected to decline, and the level of program benefits will be improved. There are only 10 counties in the country which do not yet operate or have plans for either a food stamp or commodity distribution program, compared with 440 in that situation in the^ summer of 1969. The child nutrition program, as a result of legislation approved in May 1970 and increased funding in 1971, will be able to provide free or reduced-price lunches for all needy children in schools with lunch programs. The total number of children receiving benefits under the school lunch program is expected to reach 26 million in 1971 and 1972. In view of the increased attention to a nutritionally balanced child nutrition program and increased efforts to reach needy children in particular, the administration is again proposing the termination of the special milk program. Unemployment insurance.—The 91st Congress^ enacted the most significant improvements in the unemployment insurance program since passage of the original law in 1935. This historic legislation proposed by administration: —makes an additional 4.8 million persons eligible for benefits; —provides for up to 13 additional weeks of benefits automatically when insured unemployment exceeds 4.5%; and —improves the financial and administrative structure of the system. The unemployment insurance program is a dual responsibility of Federal and State Governments. The Federal Government pays the administrative costs of the program (estimated at $411 million in 1972) and evaluates State laws to determine that they are in conformant^ with criteria established by law. State governments pay the costs of benefits (estimated at $4.3 billion in 1972) and administer the program. SPECIAL ANALYSES 179 Benefit levels vary among the States because the law allows States to establish their own benefit levels. However, it has been a generally accepted principle that unemployment benefits should be equal to 50% of a worker's wage. The President, in signing the unemployment insurance bill in August 1970, called upon the States to voluntarily increase their benefit maximums by 1972 to two-thirds of the average wage in the State. This w^ould enable 80% of the workers to receive benefits equal to 50% of their wages. At present it is estimated that only about 40% of the States pay benefits equal to at least 50% of wages. This change would increase the adequacy of benefits and help the program better accomplish its goals. Veterans benefits.—Veterans income security needs are met through disability compensation (for service-connected disability), and pensions (for non-service-connected disability). Veterans disability compensation was amended July 1, 1970, to provide increased rates of disability compensation, and more liberal criteria for widows' eligibility for benefits. The increases in rates of compensation ranged from 8% to 12%, depending upon the degree of disability. Additional allowances supplementing the compensation payable to veterans who are 50% or more disabled with dependents were also increased by an average of 8%. Pension benefits are payable, on a needs basis, to wartime veterans and dependents of deceased veterans for non-service-connected disability and death. Recent legislation increased pensions by an average of 9.6%, with slightly higher rates for veterans at the upper end of the income scale. In the year ahead, a special effort will be made to explore the ways in which veterans compensation and pension programs can be brought into conformity with the basic principles of the administration's income strategy. Railroad retirement benefits.—The contribution base for the railroad retirement system continues to decline as the work force in this industry declines. Faced with a beneficiary roll now significantly larger than the work force that must finance benefits, and with the demand for further benefit increases in the future, the system is now being studied by a special Commission on Railroad Retirement to recommend reforms in the program. Civil service retirement and military retirement.—These benefits were automatically increased with the cost of living by 5.6% on August 1, 1970. INCOME STRATEGY AND TARGET GROUPS The analytical structure applied to income security expenditures is particularly important in the context of an emergent income strategy. The analysis below is organized by target group—with programs combined which serve persons in similar circumstances, even though the nominal criteria for receipt of benefits may be quite diverse. 180 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 The administration's income strategy embodies two fundamental goals: —that all persons should have an adequate living standard; and —that individuals should be aided in securing the capacity to achieve this standard by their own efforts. Where self-support is possible in part, or in the future, income security programs provide present support, or supplementary support. At the same time, other efforts are made to remedy the cause of the temporary or longer term poverty. Income security programs must not undermine the will for dignity and independence of the person being aided as do our present welfare programs. Where self-support is not possible, income security programs provide the wherewithal to live decently. Where the transfers in the former category should be on a fairly temporary basis, the groups aided here may have to receive permanent program benefits. In structuring income security programs for analysis, we ask: How do we assist people who are: —disabled; —aged; —or more generally, share some particular situation or circumstance which impedes their capacity for self-support. This contrasts with a focus on programs and has the analytical advantage of identifying: —the range of eligibility requirements or tests for different programs which meet the needs of similar circumstances; —the meshing of overlapping programs, and the offset, if any, to multiple benefits; and —the restrictiveness or selectivity of programs covering similar groups. The analytical categories used in this analysis include: (1) annuitants; (2) other aged beneficiaries; (3) the disabled; (4) mothers with dependent children; and (5) transitional low income groups. Annuitants and other aged beneficiaries comprise the largest categories. Annuitants, account for 29% of total benefit outlays for all categories in 1970, with benefits for other aged comprising 33%. The disabled ($8.2 billion), mothers and children ($5.0 billion), and transitional low income ($5.6 billion) are the remaining categories. The largest relative increase will occur in the transitional low income group—which will increase by an estimated $5 billion in 1972 over 1970, or 62%. [Dollars in millions] Outlays Annuitants Other aged Percent of total Increase Percent 1970-1972 increase 1970-72 1970 1971 1972 $17,199 19,924 $20,328 23,138 $22,376 25,264 28.6 33.1 $5,177 5,340 30.1 26.8 Disabled 8,247 9,847 10,916 13.7 2,669 32.4 Mothers and children Transitional low income 5,002 5,566 6,129 9,584 6,997 9,970 8.3 9.2 1,995 4,404 39.8 79.1 Other 4,271 5,145 5,396 7.1 1,125 26.3 60,209 74,171 80,919 100.0 20,710 34.4 Total Annuitants.—There are four federally run contributory retirement systems: social security (OASI), railroad retirement, civil service, and the foreign service retirement system. Outlays for these four programs these trust funds during their working life. SPECIAL ANALYSES 181 Other income security benefits are basically financed by taxes levied on different groups of persons than those receiving the payment. This is not the case for these benefits to persons based on a contributions history. The reforms needed here would: (1) rationalize the calculation of changes in benefit provisions in relation to funding, (2) provide for timeliness in adjustments to changes in price levels, and (3) improve administration. The coverage of these retirement plans is suggested by their names, with social security reaching most wage and salary workers and many self-employed persons in the United States. In all four systems, the benefit calculations are based upon the history of contributions. Under old-age and survivors insurance (OASI), 10,206,000 retired workers received pensions in 1970 related to the amounts paid into the system. Some 404,000 recipients in 1970 are primary beneficiaries under the railroad retirement system, but about 40% of these retirees are also recipients of social security benefits. A total of 461,500 persons are beneficiaries of the civil service retirement system and 1,850 of the foreign service retirement system, with little or no overlap between these two Federal employee systems. At least 40% of beneficiaries of the two Federal civilian employee systems are also receiving social security. The probable total number of primary beneficiaries of all the contributory retirement systems is thus 10.7 million persons in 1970, and 11.8 million in 1972. Outlays of the social security system constitute a fairly constant 85% of the annuities to the primary beneficiaries under the four contributory retirement systems. These annuity-type outlays constituted $17.2 billion in 1970 and will rise to $22.4 billion in 1972. The 1972 expenditure represents an increase of 10% over the estimated 1971 level. There is a wide range among the systems in the average benefit per primary beneficiary, reflecting the differences among them in contribution rates—from $143 per month for OASI to $707 per month for the foreign service. Table L-2. ANNUITIES TO PRIMARY BENEFICIARIES IN CONTRIBUTORY RETIREMENT SYSTEMS: ANNUITY BENEFIT, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY SYSTEM Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual 1971 est. 1972 est. Number of primary beneficiaries (thousands) 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. Old-age and survivors insurance... $14,661 $17,363 $19,191 10,206 Railroad Retirement Board.... 874 1,036 1,034 404 Civil Service Commission 1,651 1,914 2,134 462 Foreign Service retirement 13 15 17 2 Total 17,199 20,328 22,376 Average monthly payments 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. 10,746 11,240 $120 $134 $143 405 404 180 213 213 484 506 298 330 352 2 2 589 666 707 .... .... 182 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 As a possible analogue to an annuity, one important consideration is the economic rate of return on "investment" or contribution. Preliminary calculations for the civil service system indicate that the return on the contributions of the employee plus the matching contribution of the Federal Government—represented by the expected benefits to the primary beneficiary—is on the order of magnitude of 9%. (This is for persons retiring, 1960, 1965, or 1970.) They also indicate that the benefits to the retired Federal employee represent a return of approximately 12% on his own contributions to the system. Other aged.—The largest portion of Federal income security outlays are directed to the needs of the aged. The programs from which the aged draw benefits range from welfare and Medicaid through veterans compensation and pensions to social security and Medicare. Underlying all these program outlays is the presumption that persons past a certain age (for example, 65) are generally not self-supporting through their own current earnings. This category includes those programs or parts of programs which benefit the aged, but where the benefit outlay to a specific individual is based upon criteria other than his or her own contribution. The criterion of the program may be a contributions history of some related person, and is not necessarily based on an}7 measure of need. This definition includes benefits to aged widows under contributory retirement programs, and to the widows of uniformed servicemen; benefits to the wives of annuitants which are based upon the husband's contribution history; the minimum benefit payments under social security which, in effect, put a floor under the payments made based on earnings; payments to aged retirees from the uniformed services, who make no contribution to their retirement system; public assistance to the aged; Medicaid benefits to elderly persons; Medicare; and certain in-kind benefits to needy, aged persons. In 1970, $19.9 billion in benefit outlays to the aged was made under the above program segments, some 33% of total income security outlays in that year. It is estimated that in 1972, $25.3 billion will be spent, 30% of all income security outlays. In 2 years these expenditures have increased by $5.3 billion, 26% of the increase in all income security outlays between 1970 and 1972. Benefits to aged persons present difficult problems of meshing, consistency, and equity among the various program benefits. This is due in good part to the multiplicity of program payments serving this target group, and to the maturity of the programs of which they are a part. Aged widows.—Aged widows account for $7.2 billion in benefit outlays in 1972—or 28% of all benefits to the aged outside of annuities to primary beneficiaries. Some 3,488,000 aged widows received benefits from social security in 1970 with 1,118,000 widows covered in other programs. There is considerable overlap of these other program beneficiaries with those covered by social security. Widows of annuitants under the four contributory retirement systems have limited entitlement to annuities after the death of the primary beneficiary. For example, there is incomplete vesting—or the automatic right to benefits. Remarriage of the widow may, depending upon the particular program, terminate the widow's benefit based upon SPECIAL ANALYSES 183 her husband's contribution. Under social security, benefits depend upon age (either 62 or 60—at a reduced rate) and other earned income. Civil service benefits for widows depend upon the election by the retiree of benefits financed through a reduction in his own annuity while still living, and are available to the widow regardless of age, or other income. Retired members of the uniformed services similarly can elect a reduced annuity to provide survivors benefits. For veterans benefits, the surviving widow of a veteran who was receiving compensation for a service-connected disability is entitled to survivors benefits and the widow of a veteran who had been receiving a pension for non-serviceconnected disability will also receive a continued, but smaller, pension. Military retirement benefits to widows are not adjusted for income, while those for veterans' widows are, with 10% of social security benefits excluded from countable income. Aged wives of retirees.—Under OAS1 and railroad retirement, $2.8 billion will be paid in 1972 as benefits to women in their capacity as wives of covered retirees. This entitlement is independent of any contribution history of their own, and requires only that they exceed a particular age, although it will vary with both her husband's and her own earned income. Where a wife has dual entitlement under social security based upon her earnings history, as well as her husband's, she will receive only the larger benefit. In 1972, 346,000 wives will have dual entitlement in which the wife's benefit exceeds the benefit based upon own earnings. Payments based on the minimum.—In 1970, $1.6 billion of social security outlays were paid in the form of statutory minimum amounts to retired workers, to the dependents of such retired workers, and to noninsured beneficiaries age 72 and over. This will rise to $1.7 billion in 1972. A total of 2.7 million persons received such minimum benefit payments in 1970 and will have fallen to 2.4 million during 1972. Aged retirees of the uniformed services.—The retirement systems for the uniformed and military services are wholly federally financed, and therefore the benefits paid cannot be related to a contributions history. Aged retirees from the military and other uniformed services (those over 65), plus compensation and pension recipients receiving benefits from the Veterans Administration for disability (also over age 65) received $1.4 billion of benefits in 1970 and will receive an estimated $1.6 billion in 1972. There are 968,000 persons under these programs at an average benefit level of $1,685 per year in 1972. Medicare.—Since enactment of medicare in 1965, the aged have been the beneficiaries of a unique income security program for medical service provision in the event of nonchronic illness. All persons over 65 with social security coverage and those who were age 65 and over in the year of enactment are automatically provided with hospitalization insurance and can elect supplementary medical insurance which covers doctors' services. Twenty million persons are now covered by this program. Medicare has cost-sharing provisions (being strengthened to enforce responsible utilization of scarce medical facilities and resources) and cutoffs on benefits. 184 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table L-3. BENEFITS FOR THE AGED EXCEPT ANNUITIES TO PRIMARY BENEFICIARIES: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENT Benefit outlays Number of beneAverage monthly (millions) ficiaries (thousands) payments 1970 1971 1972 1970 V^Tl VT12 7970 1971 1972 actual est. est actual est. est. actual est. est. Benefits to aged widows: Social security (OASDI) members $4,201 Railroad employees 320 Federal civilian employees. 213 Uniformed service members . 629 Benefits to aged wives of retirees: Old-age and survivors insurance 2.090 Railroad retirement 189 Minimum benefit payments, old-age and survivors insurance 1.561 Aged retirees, uniformed, services 1,433 Medicare 6,783 Public assistance to the aged: Old-age assistance, assistance to refugees, and to Indians Medicaid In-kind benefits to needy aged: Food Housing Total. 1 $5. 032 $5,765 3.488 3.636 3.795 $100 $115 $127 381 418 269 272 277 99 117 128 248 280 139 147 155 128 141 151 675 721 710 742 769 74 76 78 2,377 229 2,583 224 2,752 179 2,811 179 2.804 179 63 88 70 107 77 104 1.671 1.663 2.693 2,570 2,431 48 54 57 1,543 7,868 1.631 8,597 987 9,200 971 9,500 968 9,800 121 61 132 69 140 73 1,270 988 1,545 1,145 1,716 2,085 2.143 2,225 1,144 P) p) p) 51 P) 60 p) 64 P) 112 135 235 193 269 1.712 2,264 2,342 254 546 637 742 5 21 9 25 10 29 19,924 23,138 25,264 Number of eligible persons receiving reimbursed services not known. Medicare outlays will rise from $6.8 billion in 1970 to an estimated $8.6 billion in 1972, financed in good measure from contributions under OASDHI. In 1970, 9.2 million persons actually received medical care for which Federal payment was made. Public assistance for the aged.—Approximately one-eighth of the outlays benefiting aged persons (excluding annuities to primary beneficiaries of the contributory retirement systems) are made under welfare programs. In 1970, $1.3 billion of cash grants were made to the aged, almost entirely through old-age assistance. This amount will reach $1.7 billion in 1972, assisting some 2.2 million aged persons in 1972. Old-age assistance, provided within each of the 50 States, has State-determined eligibility tests and benefit levels. Medical assistance, or Medicaid, furnished another $1 billion in 1970 of benefits to needy aged persons. Medicaid covers costs of chronic illness and the cost-sharing of medicare where aged persons are not able to meet these from their own resources. Medicaid also has State-determined eligibility and benefit levels. Within the welfare-type benefit category are also included in-kind program benefits which pay part of the costs of food and shelter. One-half billion dollars of in-kind benefits, excluding SPECIAL ANALYSES 185 medical benefits, will reach aged persons through food stamps, commodity surplus distribution, public housing, and rent and interest supplements. Disabled.—The disabled constitute the second target group for whom there is a presumption of permanent inability to achieve selfsupport. Eligibility for an income security benefit for the disabled person may be based on: membership in a contributory retirement system (OASDI, or civil service), on military service, on occupation (coal miner), or on indigency (welfare). Six million persons in the United States are currently receiving income security benefits from Federal programs on the basis of medically verified physical or mental disability. The disabled will receive $8.2 billion in 1970 and these benefits will reach $10.9 billion in 1972— an increase of almost one-third. The increases are distributed among the types of programs from which disabled persons draw income security benefits: disability insurance provisions of retirement systems; disability compensation for persons with wartime military service; public assistance to adults and disabled male heads of families; Medicaid; and special benefits to disabled coal miners. About $3.5 billion was provided to the disabled covered by retirement systems in 1970. Members of the social security system and the railroad retirement system are eligible for retirement benefits computed on their earnings history to the date of permanent disability. They receive additional benefits for dependent children residing with them although not for a nonaged wife. Federal civilian employees receive a disability benefit based on total disability for his previous occupation—paying a minimum benefit of 40% of the average of his highest 3 years of earnings. However, when he reaches age 65 this benefit is decreased to the retirement annuity to which his contributions to date of disability retirement actually entitled him. The uniformed services have an entirely different method of computing benefits to the disabled. Rather than relating benefits to previous levels of earnings, they are scaled to the degree of physical impairment. Disability retirement from the military, and veterans compensation and indemnities, are both provided for disabilities which are presumptively service-connected. Veterans' pensions provide benefits to persons who have seen wartime military service for nonservice-connected but presumptively total disability where financial need can be demonstrated. Veterans compensation accounts for 77% of the $3.1 billion of disability benefits provided for uniformed services in 1970. All three programs will rise proportionately to a total of $3.7 billion in 1972, increasing at an average annual rate of 10.2% per year over the 2-year interval. Under the recently enacted (December 1969) Federal Coal Mine Health and Safety Act, compensation is paid to black lung victims in amounts related to the workmen's compensation law provided for Federal employees (FECA). Eligible persons began registering for benefits in the spring of 1970. By 1972, benefits to disabled coal miners will be paid in the amount of $247 million. 186 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table L-4. BENEFITS FOR THE DISABLED: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENT Benefit outlays Number of beneAverage monthly (millions) ficiaries (thousands) payments 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. actual est. est. actual est. est. Civilian covered employment: Disability insurance $2,778 $3,329 $3,622 Federal civilian employees. 559 649 732 Railroad employees. __ 144 162 157 Coal miners 6 141 247 Uniformed services: Military service-connected disability 2,637 3,001 3,268 Other 443 450 475 Public assistance to the disabled, including refugees and Indians: Aid to the blind 56 60 62 Aid to the permanently and totally disabled,.__ 531 666 803 AFDC (disabled male heads of family) 267 398 500 Medicaid 789 909 953 In-kind benefits to needy disabled: Food 35 76 87 Housing 2 6 10 Total 1 8,247 9,847 397 1,487 1,560 $166 $187 $193 209 218 233 259 280 200 35, 34 333 386 385 36 44 84 250 267 245 2 106 118 117 123 124 132 84 58 60 62 945 1,075 55 59 62 29 074 2,129 2,199 306 299 314 80 801 83 22 28 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 354 13 539 25 558 39 8 13 12 20 988 1,192 1,452 13 21 10,916 Number of eligible persons receiving reimbursed services not known. Public assistance is provided for disabled persons under three categories: the blind, the permanently and totally disabled, and the disabled heads of families who meet the asset and income eligibility tests for aid to families with dependent children. There are great diversities among the program benefits, depending upon the State of residence, in this as in other welfare programs. Approximately 1,397,000 persons receive disability benefits under social security. Another 200,000 individuals receive benefits through Federal civilian employee programs. Allowing for overlap, some 1.5 million persons receive disability benefits calculated on their previous earnings. In 1970 there were 141,000 veterans under age 65 receiving disability benefits under military retirement, 1,933,000 (under 65) receiving veterans compensation, and 313,000 (under 65) receiving veterans pensions; in total, 2.4 million persons receive disability benefits based upon uniformed service. It is estimated that by 1972, 84,000 disabled coal miners will be receiving special benefits under the black lung program. Approximately 1.1 million adults and three-quarters of a million children are supported by welfare payments predicated upon the disability of the adult. These persons are all eligible for Medicaid benefits. An additional 251,000 disabled persons not on public assistance received benefits under Medicaid in 1970. It is estimated that in 1972, 1.7 million adults and 1.1 million children will be supported by public assistance based upon disability. SPECIAL ANALYSES 187 Mothers and dependent children.—Benefit eligibility varies considerably for the last target group for whom self-support is not assumed to be universally possible. This group includes mothers with dependent children, and no male breadwinner. These mothers receive income security benefits under two types of programs. $3.1 billion in 1970 was provided to covered widows of employees under OASDI. Some 1,363,000 families received survivors benefits from social security, and an additional 240,000 families received other program benefits. These benefits parallel widows benefits under each of the systems, with the addition of allowances for dependents. Beginning in 1970, benefits are provided to widows and their children of deceased coal miners suffering from black lung disease. By 1972, these outlays will reach $12 million for this target group. It is estimated that 4,000 families will receive these benefits, with an unknown degree of overlap with social security. The second source of assistance to mothers with dependent children are means-tested programs—dominated by welfare. Approximately $1 billion of cash payments was made in 1970 to women with preschool children. These AFDC families with preschoolers received an additional half-billion dollars' worth of medical services. Estimates are not available for the other in-kind benefits provided to this group. The number of families was estimated to be almost 1 million, rising in 1972 to 1.4 million. Cash payments and medical services to femaleheaded AFDC families with preschool children will reach $2.5 billion in 1972. Table L-5. BENEFITS FOR MOTHERS AND DEPENDENT CHILDREN AND NO HUSBAND: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES AND AVERAGE PAYMENT Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. Benefits to widows of covered employees: Old-age and survivors insurance $3,114 $3,620 $4,043 Railroad employees __ 19 25 28 Federal civilian employees 70 80 90 Uniformed service members 324 343 360 Coal miners 8 12 Public Assistance: A F D C : Mothers with p r e s c h o o l children: Cash payments 1,001 1,477 1,830 Medical services 474 575 634 Total 1 5,002 6,129 Number of beneficiaries (thousands) 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. 1,363 1,402 1,421 13 13 14 $190 $215 122 160 $237 167 37 39 41 158 171 183 190 200 2 209 4 142 143 144 3,577 4,486 5,332 P) 6,997 Number of eligible persons receiving reimbursed services not known. Average monthly payments 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. 23 (l) 27 O 29 O 188 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 There is much scope for analyzing the range of eligibility requirements and benefit levels in the programs serving this target group. Overlap and inconsistencies make this group of programs a prime target for reform and harmonization with the income strategy. Transitional low income.—The bulk of the population of the United States—48%—are able-bodied men and women, as compared to 10% who are aged. A much smaller proportion of the beneficiaries and outlays under programs are made on behalf of the able-bodied temporary poor. The intent of income security outlays for able-bodied men and women is to tide over such persons during intervals when they cannot support themselves, until other measures correct the causes of such inability to provide self-support. Benefits are available from a range of programs, with great variation in benefits and in the stringency of eligibility requirements. There is a great potential for harmonizing and rationalizing outlays for this target group, and it is one of the main foci of welfare reform. In many cases, there is not much consistency in the distribution of these benefits. The pyramiding of separate programs leads, in some instances, to disproportionate decreases in income security benefits when own income rises, creating incentive effects adverse to the fundamental aim of these programs, that of ending dependency on Government benefits. The major system of unemployment insurance, constituting 93% of unemployment benefits paid in 1970, is State administered. This means that provisions, benefit levels, and duration of benefit availability vary—depending upon place of residence. Some 5.8 million persons were aided with unemployment insurance in 1970 and it is anticipated that 7.4 million persons will receive unemployment benefits in 1972. These outlays total $3.1 billion in 1970, rising to $5.4 billion in 1971 and declining to $4.6 billion in 1972, as the economic situation improves. There are separate unemployment insurance programs basically similar in intent for Federal employees and ex-servicemen, and for railroad employees. A fourth unemployment benefit of up to 16 months' duration (as compared to 9 months, with extended benefits, in State unemployment insurance) is trade adjustment benefits which provide living expenses, extended during vocational reeducation, for persons in industries especially affected by competitive imports. A second set of programs providing income security benefits to able-bodied men and women are means-tested cash and in-kind benefit programs. Approximately $1.3 billion was spent in 1970 under cash assistance to families with able-bodied unemployed fathers, cash assistance to families in the AFDC program with all children in school, to Cuban refugees and Indians, and in providing medical care, food, and housing in-kind benefits to these groups. In-kind food and housing benefits were also provided through public housing, food stamps, child nutrition programs, and commodity distribution to other low-income families and children. These outlays will reach a level of $2 billion in 1972. It is estimated that 700,000 families in this category received welfare benefits in 1970, and over 1 million families will receive such benefits in 1972. SPECIAL ANALYSES 189 Table L-6. BENEFITS FOR TRANSITIONAL LOW INCOME AND OTHER: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENT Number of beneficiaries (thousands) Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual 1971 est. 1972 est. Temporary joblessness: Unemployment insurance system $2,793 $5,080 $4,270 Other unemployment insurance 277 361 355 Longer term joblessness: Cash: AFDC: Unemployed fathers-. 100 142 169 Mothers with all children in schools 667 985 1,220 Other1-.. 43 68 83 Longer term joblessness: In-kind: Medical 360 444 485 Food 2 1970 actual 1971 est. Average monthly payments 1972 est. 5,394 8,266 6,910 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. $264 $290 $321 386 430 458 217 234 243 321 450 498 26 26 28 2,384 2,991 3,555 80 118 135 23 47 27 48 29 51 (3) (3) (3) 2,000 3,500 4,000 (3) (3) 14 16 (3) 328 687 888 18 661 1,204 1,475 10,000 15,000 16,000 6 7 8 337 613 1,025 2,245 2,896 4,274 12 18 20 Subtotal, transitional low income 5,566 9,584 9,970 Uniformed services retirees under 65 Other 2,305 1,966 2,740 2,405 3,014 2,382 Subtotal, other.. 4,271 5,145 5,396 Total 9,837 14,729 15,366 Low-income families and children: Food Housing2 ... 571 614 __._ 663 336 372 .... 397 1 Includes all AFDC-related assistance to refugees, and Indians. 2 Includes all benefits to AFDC and UF families. Number of eligible persons receiving reimbursed services not known. 3 Additional benefit outlays to able-bodied men and women are made to uniformed services retirees under the age of 65. Some 571,000 persons received $2.3 billion upon retirement after at least 20 years of service in the military forces. This outlay will reach $3 billion in 1972. FEDERAL AID TO THE POOR In 1969 (the latest year for which statistics are available), there were 24.3 million persons—12% of all Americans—with incomes below the poverty line as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau ($3,720 for a family of four). Of the total, about one-half (47%) were children and youth under the age of 21, one-third were adults between the ages of 21 and 64, and one-fifth were 65 years of age or older. In terms of residency, the total was fairly evenly divided between the Nation's metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas. 190 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table L-7. FEDERAL AID TO THE POOR BY ACTIVITIES (in billions of dollars) Category 1968 actual 1969 actual 11.3 (10.4) Income security Cash benefits In-kind benefits Education Health Manpower __ Other 10.2 (9.6) (.6) 1.5 3.8 1.4 .6 4.7 1.4 .6 Total 17.6 19.5 (:? 1970 1971 1972 13.2 (11.8) (1.4) 1.8 5.7 1.6 .7 17.1 (14.3) (2.8) 2.1 6.3 1.9 .9 19.2 (15.7) (3.4) 2.2 6.8 2.0 .9 23.0 28.3 31.1 Income security programs, excluding Medicare and Medicaid, represent 62% of the Federal aid that will be provided to the poor in 1972. These programs are complemented by a variety of other programs designed to deal with specific problems in assisting the poor to raise their standards of living. As indicated in table L-7, the aggregate amount of Federal resources addressed to the needs of the poor in 1972 is $31.1 billion, an increase of 10% over 1971 and 77% over 1968. Most of this increase is accounted for by programs which provide income support for individuals and families, either through cash benefits or through such in-kind benefits as food stamps and medical assistance. Sizable increases have also been provided for the more specialized programs, notably manpower training, education, and health. Table L-8. FEDERAL AID TO THE POOR BY ANALYTICAL CATEGORIES (in billions of dollars) Category Poverty entitlement! Human investment Maintenance Normal entitlement Human investment Maintenance Total 1968 actual 1969 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 8.1 (2.9) (5.2) 9.5 (.7) (8.8) 9.2 (2.8) (6.4) 10.4 (.8) (9.6) 11.3 (3.1) (8.2) 11.6 (•9) (10.7) 15.1 (3.8) (11.2) 13.2 (1.0) (12.2) 17.4 (4.1) (13.2) 13.8 (1.0) (12.8) 17.6 19.5 23.0 28.3 31.1 Table L-8 distributes Federal outlays for the poor by eligibility criteria. Poverty entitlements include programs such as Medicaid, food stamps and public housing directed to the poor specifically by reason of their poverty. Normal entitlements include programs from which the poor receive benefits for reasons other than poverty, such as social security benefits which the poor receive because they have an earnings history. Human investment programs include all Federal activities that actively promote the development of work skills, education, economic development, and similar activities to assist the poor to break out of poverty. Maintenance programs comprise both cash and in-kind payments such as public assistance and food stamps. SPECIAL ANALYSES 191 PROGRAM EXPENDITURES Income security outlays will reach $80.9 billion in 1972. Of this, the largest program is OASDI, at $37.6 billion. 26.9 million persons will receive OASDI benefits in 1972. The second largest program is Medicare at $8.6 billion, serving 20 million of these same persons. Next in size is public assistance at $6.3 billion. Following are tables by program and by agency showing outlays and beneficiaries in 1970, 1971, and 1972. Table L-9. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR INCOME SECURITY BENEFITS, BY DEPARTMENT AND PROGRAM Department, agency and program Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Social security: Old-age and survivors insurance Disability insurance Hospital insurance Supplementary medical insurance ... Public assistance: Maintenance payments Medicaid Special benefits for disabled coal miners Assistance to refugees Public Health Service officers retirement Medical care for retired commissioned officers Proposed legislation included above Total, Health, Education, and Welfare Veterans Administration: Disability and dependency and indemnity compensation Veterans and survivors pensions Life insurance (net subsidy) Other veterans benefits Total, Veterans Administration Department of Labor: Unemployment insurance (State programs) Railroad unemployment Unemployment compensation for Federal employees and ex• servicemen Trade adjustment activities Employees compensation Total, Labor Department of Defense—Military: Military retirement Medical care for retirees Total, Defense Benefit outlays (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 26,267 2,778 4,804 1,979 30,761 3,329 5,827 2,041 33,954 3,622 6,347 2,250 3,868 2,612 7 50 9 2 5,243 3,072 224 64 11 2 (1,020) 6,257 3,216 375 90 13 2 (2,297) 42,376 50,574 56,126 2,974 2,255 18 93 3,323 2,392 18 96 3,582 2,526 20 114 5,340 5,829 6,243 2,793 93 5,080 92 4,270 95 ioa anc loo 1 132 JVJ 14 152 Tex LJ1* 20 177 3,203 5,643 4,816 2,849 179 3,394 201 3,744 211 3,028 3,595 3,955 192 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table L-9-FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR INCOME SECURITY BENEFITS, BY DEPARTMENT AND PROGRAM—Continued Department, agency and program Department of Agriculture: Food stamps Child nutrition Special milk Removal of surplus commodities Proposed legislation included above Benefit outlays (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1,490 673 102 487 (35) 1.941 667 14 527 (35) 1,551 2,752 3,149 2,518 1 2,923 1 3,266 1 2, 519 2,924 3,267 1,586 1,890 (25) 1.922 (62) Total, Railroad Retirement Board 1, 586 1,890 1,922 Department of Housing and Urban Development 475 812 1,288 475 812 1,288 59 67 71 59 67 71 16 19 21 16 19 21 39 31 22 39 31 22 16 34 37 34 37 1 2 1 2 Total, Agriculture Civil Service Commission: Civil service retirement Special annuities (CSC) Total, Civil Service Commission Railroad Retirement Board: Railroad retirement Proposed legislation included above Total, Housing and Urban Development Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Retirement Total, Transportation Department of State: Foreign Service Retirement Total, State Office of Economic Opportunity: Emergency Food Program Total, Office of Economic Opportunity 551 379 102 519 1972 estimate Department of the Interior: General Assistance to Indians Total, Interior 16 Department of Commerce: NOAA officers retirement 1 Total, Commerce 1 Total, Federal Outlays 60,209 74,171 80,919 SPECIAL ANALYSES 193 Table L-10. RETIREMENT BENEFITS: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY PROGRAM Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual Number of beneficiaries (thousands) 1971 est. 1972 est. 1970 actual 1971 est. 1972 est. Average monthly payments 1970 actual Social security:OASI $18,577 $21,710 $23,739 16,099 16,589 16,934 $96 Federal employee retirement system: Military retirement—. 2,325 2,809 3,100 602 649 701 321 Civil service retirement 1,651 1,914 2,134 462 484 506 298 Coast Guard retirements 56 63 68 12 13 13 375 Foreign service retirement 13 15 17 2 2 2 589 PHS officers retirement 7 9 10 1 1 1 754 NOAA officers retirement 1 1 1 * * * 885 Railroad retirement. 1,087 1,294 1,287 614 615 614 148 Proposed legislation included above.._ (420) (1,270) .___ Total 23,717 27,815 30,356 1971 est. 1972 est. $109 $117 361 369 330 352 417 427 666 707 849 919 947 1,044 175 175 .... .... .... •Less than $500 thousand. Table L-11. DISABILITY BENEFITS: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY PROGRAM Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual Number of beneficiaries Average monthly (thousands) payments 1971 1972 est. est. 1970 actual wf\ \9T2 est. est. 1970 1971 actual est. 1972 est. Social security (DI) $2,778 $3,329 $3,622 2,490 2,656 2,780 $93 $104 $106 Veterans benefits: Disability compensation._ 2,382 2,685 2,910 2,065 2,113 2,181 96 106 111 Other compensation 17 18 32 Federal employee retirement systems: Military retirement 487 573 631 141 151 161 288 317 327 Civil service retirement.. _ 478 555 618 184 193 201 217 240 256 Coast Guard retirement. _ 3 3 3 1 1 2 154 171 175 Foreign service retirement. 2 2 3 * * * 637 678 737 PHS officers retirement... 2 2 3 * * * 680 850 928 NpAA officers retirement. * * * * * * 633 726 859 Special benefits for disabled coal miners 6 141 247 2 44 84 250 267 245 Railroad retirement (permanent disability) 86 110 104 36 35 34 199 262 257 Employees compensation.__ 78 92 111 16 16 16 407 479 576 Railroad unemployment (temporary disability) ___ 58 52 53 27 25 25 179 173 177 Proposed legislation included above (98) (208) .... —- —Total disability benefits "Less than $500 thousand. 430-700 0—71 13 6,377 7,562 8,337 —_ —- —- 194 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table L-12. SURVIVORS BENEFITS: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY PROGRAM Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual 1971 est. Number of beneficiaries (thousands) 1972 est. 1970 actual 1971 est. Average monthly payments 1972 1970 1971 1972 est. actual est. est. Social security: OASI $7,690 $9,051 $10,215 6,723 6,994 7,233 Veterans benefits: Dependents indemnity compensation 471 477 480 592 638 673 561 Other veterans benefits. _ 79 82 540 584 76 325 Railroad retirement 461 505 322 330 388 Federal employee retirement systems: 8 Military retirement 10 8 12 13 9 454 514 Civil service retirement. _ 291 389 309 326 Coast Guard retirement. * * * * * * Foreign Service retire* * * 1 1 1 ment * * * * * * PHS officers retirement __ * * * * * NOAA officers retirement * Special benefits for disabled * 128 25 coal miners 1 83 67 35 37 9 Employees compensation _ _ 33 9 9 Proposed legislation in(549) (1,716) . Total, survivors benefits 9,180 10,814 $95 $108 $118 105 12 100 112 12 118 117 12 128 104 111 107 116 123 107 120 132 108 204 203 125 204 209 125 220 215 132 306 324 343 12,168 *Less than $500 thousand. Table L-13. UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY PROGRAM Benefit outlays Number of beneficiaries Average weekly (millions) (thousands) .payments 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 actual est. est. actual est. est. actual est. est. Unemployment benefits: Workers insured under Statelaws $2,793 $5,080 $4,270 5,393 8,266 6,910 Unemployment compensation for Federal employees and ex-service400 305 254 336 377 183 men 21 22 23 42 Railroad unemployment. _ 40 35 Trade adjustment activi20 3 6 10 14 ties - -_ 1 Total, unemployment benefits 3,012 5,439 4,586 $61 $67 $74 49 63 63 56 63 47 51 54 SPECIAL ANALYSES 195 Table L-14. WELFARE BENEFITS: BENEFIT OUTLAYS, BENEFICIARIES, AND AVERAGE PAYMENTS BY PROGRAM Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 Actual 1971 Number of beneficiaries (thousands) 1972 Public assistance (Federal share): Old age assistance $1,242 $1,509 $1,666 Aid to the blind 60 62 Aid to the perma56 nently and totally disabled 797 662 Aid to families with 528 3,002 3,719 dependent children. 2,034 Emergency assistance. 10 8 12 Total public assistance (Federal share) 3,868 5,243 Average monthly payments 1970 actual 1971 1972 2,048 80 2,098 83 798 940 7,270 11 1970 actual 1971 1972 2,169 84 $51 58 $60 60 $64 62 1,070 55 59 67 9,119 10,837 11 12 23 60 27 81 29 85 102 43 108 46 114 48 6,257 10,207 12,250 14,172 Total (State and local share) _ _ _ (2,777) (3,797) (4,720) Veterans pensions: Veterans Survivors 1,351 903 1,391 1,001 1,439 1,087 1,105 1,744 1,075 1,829 1,050 1,896 Total, veterans pensions . 2,255 2,392 2,526 2,929 2,904 2,946 Assistance to refugees __ 50 64 90 76 93 115 55 58 65 General assistance to Indians. 16 34 37 36 64 70 37 44 44 6,189 7,733 8,910 Total 196 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 TableL-15. BENEFITS IN KIND: OUTLAYS AND BENEFICIARIES FOR SELECTED PROGRAMS Benefit outlays (millions) 1970 actual Food and nutrition: Food stamps Child nutrition Special milk . Removal of surplus commodities OEO emergency assistance... Health care: Medicare Medicaid (Federal outlays)__ Medicaid (State and local payments) Housing: Public housing Rent supplements Home ownership and rental housing assistance Other programs Proposed legislation included above Total, benefits in kind... 1971 estimate Number of beneficiaries (thousands) 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate $551 379 102 $1,490 673 102 $1,941 667 14 4,300 20,594 16,700 9,000 26,055 16,700 11,000 26,055 0 519 39 487 31 527 22 29,853 1,200 32,278 950 31,919 650 6,783 2,612 7,868 3,072 8,597 3,216 20,000 11,658 20,300 13,787 20,600 15,747 (2,460) (2,912) (3,081) 433 19 616 44 752 88 2,780 79 3,100 162 3,453 297 22 181 152 203 448 213 339 800 1,390 858 2,736 920 (13) 11,641 14,738 (-801) 16,485 _ __ SPECIAL ANALYSIS M FEDERAL PROGRAMS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME The Federal crime reduction program is designed to reverse the trend of rising crime in our Nation, and to limit the great losses in both economic and human resources associated with the trend. Recognizing that State and local governments have the broadest responsibilities for controlling crime, the Federal Government will provide increased technical and financial assistance to State and local law enforcement. Federal law enforcement will be improved and intensified in certain areas of high national priority such as attacking the problem of organized crime, and controlling large scale trafficking in narcotics and dangerous drugs. The Federal crime reduction program is a comprehensive effort to: (1) determine the nature and extent of the crime problem and the causes of criminal behavior; (2) prevent crime through programs directed at acute national problems such as juvenile delinquency, alcoholism, narcotic addiction, and drug abuse; (3) increase the deterrent to criminal action by improving the effectiveness of police and investigators at all levels of government; (4) develop a system of corrections, both in institutions and in the community, that can truly rehabilitate men; and (5) assure that the criminal law is responsive to the needs of society, and is administered with fairness and efficiency. ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF THE PAST YEAR There were numerous accomplishments during the past year, including a variety of legislative enactments which will permit more effective crime reduction activities. Among the most significant accomplishments were: • Enactment of the Organized Crime Control Act of 1970 which will increase in a variety of ways the ability of the Government to investigate and prosecute members of organized crime. The act will permit broader Federal investigations of large-scale illegal gambling activities and thereby reduce gambling profits available to organized crime for investment in other enterprises. Also, title XI of the act will permit greater control to be exercised over the illegal distribution and use of explosive materials. • Establishment by the Attorney General in June 1970 of a National Council on Organized Crime to coordinate Federal organized crime enforcement. The Council has set a goal of breaking up organized crime within 6 years. In 1970, FBI investigations alone led to the conviction of 461 organized crime and gambling figures, and the Justice Department has supervised the prosecution and conviction of 33 top echelon organized crime leaders. • Enactment of the Comprehensive Drug Abuse Prevention and Control Act of 1970. This major reform of our narcotics and dangerous drug laws will enhance our enforcement ability, and provide for expanded prevention and rehabilitation programs. Earlier in the year, the President announced greatly expanded 197 198 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Federal programs for drug education and training. In addition, Federal enforcement of drug laws has been intensified during the year. The Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs and the Bureau of Customs are now engaged in cooperative efforts which are destroying major criminal systems for illegally importing and distributing narcotics and drugs. Also, during the year, the United States has devoted particular attention to seeking and obtaining improved international cooperation in controlling the illegal traffic in narcotics and drugs. • Progress in carrying out the President's directive of last year to initiate reforms in our correctional systems. Several Federal agencies now have programs underway to provide special institutions and treatment for juvenile offenders, addicts, and mentally disturbed and violent offenders. Comprehensive community correctional centers are now being planned or constructed in a number of urban areas. The recent enactment of the Omnibus Crime Control Act of 1970 authorizes a new program in the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration for improving correctional programs and facilities. This authority will permit great improvements in probation and parole services throughout the country. • A landmark statement by the Chief Justice of the United States concerning problems of the Federal courts. The Chief Justice suggested the trial of criminal cases within 60 days after indictment, and called for consideration of a variety of reforms to increase the efficiency of the courts. The Congress authorized 61 additional district court judgeships during the year, enacted an increase to provide court executives for each of the 11 Federal circuit courts, and amended the Criminal Justice Act to assure improved defense services for poor persons. Table M-1. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME BY AGENCY* (in thousands of dollars) Outlays 1970 actual The Judiciary 2 Office of Economic Opportunity Department of Agriculture Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior. Department of Justice Department of Labor Department of Transportation Treasury Department Atomic Energy Commission General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration Other independent agencies Total Federal outlays.. 1 2 _ __._ _ 57,125 5,732 3,307 59,923 4,550 17,198 508,584 5,888 10,032 115,868 116 19,013 1,000 26,394 21,866 320 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 62,375 79,370 15,540 16,330 3,945 4,074 86, 723 99,880 23,055 27,480 18,630 21,222 929,312 1,259,107 8,103 32,525 40,857 66,600 158,620 176,361 136 153 31,918 43,585 1,395 1,270 32,923 37,215 29,874 34,686 485 300 856,916 1,443,891 1,900,158 Does not include Department of Defense or nondomestic outlays for crime reduction. Outlays estimated by the Office of Management and Budget. SPECIAL ANALYSES 199 • The completion of a major study by the National Commission on Reform of Federal Criminal Laws which recommends comprehensive revisions in the structure and substance of Federal criminal law. These recommendations will now be studied by the executive departments and other interested organizations and will provide a focus for future discussions and action to reform criminal law. • Progress in the effort to reduce crime in the District of Columbia. The number of police on the streets of the District has been increased, a greater number of narcotic addicts are being treated and thereby taken off the streets, reforms have been realized in the court system with the enactment of the District of Columbia Court Reform and Criminal Procedure Act of 1970, and improvements are being made in the correctional system. This combination of programs has slowed the increasing rate of crime in the District, and demonstrated that a concerted systemwide effort to reduce crime in a large city can work. 1972 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS Federal outlays for programs to reduce crime will total $1,900 million in 1972. This compares with $1,444 million in 1971 and is 122% more than was spent for these programs in 1970. It is estimated that expenditures of all governments—State, local, and Federal—for crime reduction programs will be almost $11.5 billion in 1972. Of the $1,900 million of Federal expenditures in 1972, $804 million or 42% of the total will be directed to assisting State and local governments. This compares with 38% of Federal expenditures devoted to such purposes in 1971, and 21% in 1970. Assistance to State and local governments for all aspects of law enforcement will be increased by 45% in 1972. The Departments of Justice and Treasury have the largest crime reduction programs with expenditures in 1972 of $1,259 million and $176 million, respectively. In 1971 and 1972 these Departments are emphasizing programs for the control of (1) the narcotics and drug traffic, (2) organized crime, and (3) terrorist activities, bombings and illegal use of explosives. Other agencies with rapidly expanding crime reduction programs are the Department of Labor (manpower development programs for offenders), and the Department of Transportation (protection of air commerce and control of aircraft hijacking). CRIME REDUCTION PROGRAM BY ACTIVITIES The budget outlays reported by this special analysis cover all domestic Federal programs directly related to or closely associated with crime reduction, except outlays associated with programs of the the Defense Department.1 The analysis includes certain programs of 1 Defense Department outlays for crime reduction are not included in the tables and totals used in this analysis. However, a summary of Defense Department outlays for law enforcement are estimated as follows (in millions of dollars): 1970 Department of the Air Force Department of the Navy Department of the Army Total Department of Defense 1971 1972 281,601 8,788 314,928 297,231 11,805 306,483 296,729 12,616 295,552 605,317 615,519 604,897 200 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 the judiciary even though the basic function of the judiciary is to assure the administration of justice rather than to reduce crime. It excludes general social programs (even though such programs may indirectly reduce crime) unless they are clearly within the context of crime reduction or prevention (e.g., vocational training of prisoners; treatment of juvenile delinquents). Also, the analysis does not include background investigations for employment, administrative inspections, guarding functions not requiring police powers, or investigations primarily of a regulatory nature which may in rare cases result in the application of criminal sanctions. Where activities involve both civil and criminal proceedings (e.g., operation of courts) an allocation of outlays to the criminal function has been estimated by the Office of Management and Budget. Table M-2. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME BY MAJOR PROGRAM AND SELECTED ACTIVITY * (in thousands of dollars) Outlays Major program and selected activity 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Crime research and statistics: Statistics on crime, criminals, and criminal justice system Research on criminal behavior and sociology of crime Program total Reform of criminal laws 1,866 12,636 4,612 37,840 7,535 51,825 14,502 42,452 59,360 634 1,387 1,461 3,122 5,934 4,765 19,886 19,996 9,240 51,692 41,182 25, 587 65,367 50,718 29,012 52,244 124,395 149,862 221,037 150, 174 31,699 44, 725 11,967 242,022 233, 651 50,592 68, 411 20,926 252,221 306,042 62,427 75,597 29,616 459,602 615,602 725,903 2,662 44,679 2,790 33,392 2,971 1,918 429 14,630 84,409 9,676 130,565 24,993 14,311 3,431 20,734 104,298 12,865 171,797 34,211 18,939 4,405 88,841 282,015 367,249 Services for prevention of crime: Public education on law observance, enforcement, and criminal justice Special programs for rehabilitation of alcoholics and narcotic addicts Prevention and control of juvenile delinquency Development of other community crime prevention services. _ Program total Federal criminal law enforcement and Federal police: Enforcement in support of Federal systems General Federal law enforcement Federal police Specialized activities against organized crime Support for Federal law enforcement Program total Assistance to State and local police activities: Intelligence and information systems Education and training of enforcement officers Laboratory support General police activities Control of civil disorders Combating organized crime ___ Other Program total See footnotes at end of table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 201 Table M-2. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME BY MAJOR PROGRAM AND SELECTED ACTIVITY 1 (in thousands of dollars)—Con. Outlays Major program and selected activity 1970 actual Administration of criminal justice: Conduct of Federal criminal prosecutions Operation and support of Federal court systems 2 Assistance to States and localities for improved administration of justice Other supporting programs Program total Rehabilitation of offenders: Operation and construction of Federal correctional institutions Federal probation, parole, and community treatment Federal inmate education and training Federal inmate medical treatment Other programs supporting Federal corrections Assistance to States and localities for improved correctional programs Program total Planning and coordination of crime reduction programs Total Federal outlays 1 2 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 22, 845 54, 786 28,523 60,303 31, 875 72, 649 1,717 5,501 19,816 7,986 27,276 12,506 84,849 116,628 144,306 78,095 15, 635 5,979 5,057 430 95,640 16,599 7,659 5, 735 637 147,258 19, 771 9,712 9,481 1,032 34,150 104,364 221,847 139,346 230,634 409,101 16,898 30,778 42,916 856,916 1,443,891 1,900,158 Does not include Department of Defense or nondomestic outlays for crime reduction. Outlays estimated by the Office of Management and Budget. Crime research and statistics.—Crime research and statistics includes those Government activities designed to produce statistics and knowledge concerning crime, criminals, and the criminal justice system, and those which develop improved methods and techniques for the operation of the system. • Outlays of $59 million will be devoted to crime research and statistics in 1972. Of this amount $7.5 million is for statistical activities and $51.8 million for research. This compares with $42.5 million spent for research and statistics in 1971. • LEAA will fund a "pilot cities program" which is designed to determine the value of comprehensive systemwide applications of improved law enforcement methods and technologies in several medium sized cities. New statistical programs of LEAA will be utilized to measure the impact of these improved methods on crime in the pilot cities. • The National Institute of Mental Health will continue studies of a wide range of issues in the areas of crime, delinquency, corrections, and individual violence, and will conduct basic and applied research on the nature and causes of law-violating behavior, recognizing that progress toward more effective crime prevention will depend upon a sound knowledge base. • NIMH is also conducting an in-depth study and analysis of the entire juvenile justice system in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. 202 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 • LEAA, in cooperation with the National Bureau of Standards, will develop a laboratory to define performance standards for law enforcement equipment and develop uniform procedures for measuring its quality. • The Atomic Energy Commission is continuing to work with LEAA and the Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs to find new applications of neutron activation analysis and other techniques in scientific crime investigations. • The Office of Economic Opportunity will devote over $2 million in 1972 to research concerning the process by which felony offenders can best be reintegrated into community life, and how State and local laws can be best utilized to assist in this process. Reform of criminal laws.—Criminal law reform includes Government efforts to improve the effectiveness of the Nation's laws and assure that they accurately reflect the values and standards of society. • Over $1.4 million will be spent for law reform in 1972. Over $1.1 million of this amount will support law reform efforts of State and local governments. • The Department of Justice and other Federal agencies will study the recommendations of The National Commission on Reform of Federal Criminal Laws with a view to modernizing our criminal law to assure that it is responsive to our present social needs. • The Justice Department has developed and proposed a model State narcotics and dangerous drug law. This model law has been adopted by the National Conference of Commissioners on Uniform State Laws and made available to the States. Several States have already enacted the law. • LEAA is supporting projects to develop a criminal law revision clearing house which will collect and distribute information about law revision activities throughout the United States. Prevention of crime.—Crime prevention includes Government efforts to limit or render less probable the commission of criminal acts by means other than direct enforcement or general correctional activities. Included are public education, alcoholic and addict rehabilitation, treatment of juvenile delinquents, and projects to improve policecommunity relations. • Total outlays for Federal crime prevention programs will be $149.9 million in 1972. This is 20% more than was spent for such purposes in 1971, and 187% more than the $52.2 million devoted to crime prevention in 1970. • In 1972 increased attention will be devoted to the problems of juvenile delinquency. LEAA grants will support a great variety of projects and programs for the rehabilitation of juvenile offenders, and for prevention of delinquency among groups of youth where the risk of delinquency is high. • The Youth Development and Delinquency Prevention Administration in HEW will give emphasis to the development of model SPECIAL ANALYSES 203 systems for the prevention and control of delinquency and provide technical assistance to utilize the knowledge obtained from the model systems developed. • The National Institute of Mental Health will conduct both institutional and community based treatment programs for narcotic addicts. In 1972, treatment and rehabilitative after care will be provided for an estimated 24,000 addicts. • Both the Office of Economic Opportunity and the Veterans Administration will fund alcoholism and drug addict treatment units in 1972. The VA will add 17 alcoholism treatment units and 14 drug dependence units to provide effective treatment and rehabilitation of veterans. • A 3-year drug information program will be undertaken jointly by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, the Department of Justice, and the Department of Defense. A series of publications will be produced to provide accurate and factual information on drugs. Federal criminal law enforcement and Federal police.—Law enforce- ment involves direct Federal Government efforts to detect, identify, and apprehend violators of criminal laws. Representative programs include criminal investigations, policing of certain Federal areas, and special concerted programs against organized crime and air piracy. • $725.9 million in outlays will support Federal investigative and police activities in 1972. This compares with total outlays of $615.6 million in 1971 and $459.6 million in 1972 for this purpose. Outlays for Federal efforts against organized crime will be $75.6 million in 1972 or an increase of 69% over funds spent to combat organized crime in 1970. • In a statement of September 11, 1970, the President said that the menace of air piracy must be met immediately and effectively. A special program has been developed to place highly trained "sky marshals" on commercial flights and to greatly increase security measures at air terminals to prevent weapons and explosives from being carried aboard aircraft. • The Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs has developed an intelligence system which concentrates on identifying the major drug trafficking organizations responsible for most of the hard narcotics brought into the country. The Bureau of Customs has established a new intelligence system to help identify smugglers at border stations and other points of entry, and is employing a number of new enforcement techniques to limit the introduction of narcotics and drugs into the country. • The FBI will increase efforts to destroy major organized crime operations, investigate terrorist bombings, and carry out investigations of a variety of Federal crimes. • Both the U.S. Marshals and the General Services Administration will increase personnel assigned to assure the safety of Federal 204 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 judges and provide necessary security for Federal courtrooms and other Federal buildings. Over $46.6 million will be spent for these programs in 1972. • The U.S. Marshals Service is increasing training for its personnel in order to meet the increased demands upon it, including those resulting from air piracies, courtroom violence, and increased need for witness security. • The Treasury Department will spend $7.5 million in 1972 for further construction of the Federal Law Enforcement Training Center which will train 8,700 agents annually from 17 participating Federal enforcement organizations. • The Internal Revenue Service will conduct over 7,700 tax fraud investigations in 1972, and will carry out a variety of new responsibilities under title XI of the Organized Crime Control Act of 1970, concerning the licensing and control of explosives. • In 1970, for the first time, the Tax Division in the Department of Justice received more than 1,000 tax fraud cases including 106 involving racketeers. Over 600 defendants were convicted, including 25 in the racketeer category. • The Secret Service obtained over 3,000 convictions in 1970 involving check and bond forgeries and counterfeiting. The Secret Service will continue to participate with other Federal enforcement agencies in the organized crime program. • The Immigration and Naturalization Service's Border Patrol officers located 18,747 smuggled aliens in 1970. This was a 59% increase over the number of smuggled aliens in 1969 which was a previous all-time record. The Patrol also apprehended 3,298 persons for smuggling aliens into the country. • In 19707 U.S. game management agents and other personnel made 7,066 apprehensions of violators of Federal wildlife conservation laws that resulted in jail sentences of 15,370 days and 147,620 days of probation. Assistance to State and local police.—This includes Federal efforts to provide or improve activities which support or upgrade State and local police and investigative agencies. • Outlays to assist State and local police will total $367.2 million in 1972, an increase of $85.2 million over 1971, and $278.4 million over 1970. Over $104 million will be spent to train and educate State and local police and almost $19 million will support State and local efforts against organized crime. • Several Federal investigative agencies provide direct training assistance to State and local police. In 1970 the FBI provided training to over 260,000 police officers in over 8,500 training sessions. In the same year the Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs trained 60,103 officers in a total of 980 2-week law enforcement schools and shorter 1- to 3-day seminars. • The LEAA program has been the principal source of Federal funds for improving police operations. LEAA will spend $295 million in 1972 for a broad range of projects determined to be priority needs by State and local governments. Almost 50% of LEAA's total program is for direct support and improvement in police activities. Police improvement projects are being undertaken in all the States and major cities of the country. SPECIAL ANALYSES 205 • The Veterans Administration, in cooperation with experts in the field of law enforcement, has developed a model on-the-job training program for policemen. It provides 13 months of training and related academic instruction, leading to a journeyman's status for the trainee. Over 30,000 men will participate in this program in 1972. • LEAA's law enforcement education program provides financial assistance to State and local police officers to gain college credits. In 1970, 38,229 police officers availed themselves of assistance under this program. • In 1972, the FBI will provide indexing services for Project Search, an automated system for exchanging criminal records among Federal, State, and local law enforcement and criminal justice agencies. Administration oj criminal justice.—This category includes the preparation and prosecution of criminal cases, operation of court systems, trial of cases, provision of defense counsel in certain cases, and related and supportive activities. • Expenditures of $144.3 million will support all programs for the prosecution of criminal cases and the administration of criminal justice in 1972, over $27 million of which will be to assist State and local prosecution and courts. The operation of Federal court systems will require outlays of $72.6 million in 1972 and $31.9 million will be spent to conduct criminal prosecutions. • During 1970, there were (excluding transfers) 38,102 criminal cases commenced in the U.S. district courts, compared with 33,585 in 1969. The district courts terminated 34,962 criminal cases in 1970 as compared with 30,578 in 1969. As of June 30, 1970, there were 20,910 pending criminal cases in the district courts. Appeals in criminal cases and appeals in habeas corpus cases and other prisoner cases again are the fastest growing part of the caseload in the courts of appeals. In 1970, the increase in appeals from district court cases was reflected in habeas corpus appeals by Federal prisoners, up 16.7%, and in appeals from denials of motions to vacate sentence, up 26.3%. • Indian courts disposed of about 79,323 criminal cases during 1970 and the trend for the current year indicates this figure will exceed 80,000. • At the State and local level LEAA is financing studies of integrated court systems; providing court management studies; training juvenile court judges; and funding a number of projects to upgrade both prosecutive services and public defender systems. Rehabilitation oj offenders.—These programs include Government custody and rehabilitation of criminal offenders. Specific projects include the supervision and operation of correctional institutions, inmate and offender treatment and training programs, probation and parole services, and other supportive functions. • Over $409 million of Federal funds will be devoted to the custody and rehabilitation of criminal offenders in 1972. This compares with $230.6 million spent in 1971 and $139.3 million in 1970. Over 206 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 $221.8 million will be for assistance to State and local correctional systems and programs. This is an increase of 113% of such assistance provided in 1971 and 550% more than assistance provided in 1970. • In 1972 the Bureau of Prisons plans to have construction underway on four new prison facilities, including a specialized research prison for violent offenders. Also, funds are budgeted to plan seven additional facilities, including five metropolitan correctional centers. The Fort Worth narcotic addict treatment facility will be converted to a prison medical center. • During 1970, 13,000 Federal inmates (63% of the total Federal inmate population of 20,687) participated in educational programs. High school equivalency testing was administered for 2,471 inmates with 1,845 or 75% passing and becoming eligible for the diploma equivalent. Over 5,240 were trained through vocational programs. • In 1972 the Office of Education will spend about $1 million to improve library services for approximately 69,000 inmates in 250 institutions. • The Department of Labor has developed a five-State model program to provide State employment security agencies with the staff to link inmates to existing manpower resources. The Department of Labor will also fund expanded inmate training programs (during 1970, 49 projects were funded, serving 3,248 trainees) and will continue an experimental program of pretrial diversions to determine whether intensive counseling and manpower services can provide a successful alternative to the usual process of arraignment, trial and sentencing. • In 1971, LEAA will begin implementation of a new correctional system improvement program authorized by the Omnibus Crime Control Act of 1970. Over $97 million will be budgeted for this program in 1972. The program will provide State and local governments up to 75% of the cost of developing and implementing projects for new or improved correctional facilities and programs. These funds will be used to improve rehabilitative programs both in institutions and in the community and will be available for expanded probation and parole services. • Under the President's authority with respect to clemency matters, 82 pardons and 14 commutations of sentence were granted in 1970, and 432 pardon petitions and 266 commutation petitions were denied. Planning and coordination.—Included are Federal support of State and local planning and coordination of crime reduction activities. • Outlays of $42.9 million will support planning and coordination of federally guided crime reduction programs in 1972. The principal funding agency for supporting State and local law enforcement planning is the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration in the Department of Justice. SPECIAL ANALYSES 207 Table M-3. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME BY MAJOR PROGRAM AND AGENCY 1 (in thousands of dollars) Outlays Major program and agency 1970 actual Crime research and statistics: The Judiciary 2 Office of Economic Opportunity Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Justice Department of Transportation Atomic Energy Commission National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service.... Program total Reform of criminal laws: Department of Justice Other independent agencies Program total Services for prevention of crime: Office of Economic Opportunity Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Transportation Postal Service Veterans Administration Program total Federal Criminal law enforcement and Federal police: Department of Agriculture Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Labor Department of Transportation Treasury Department General Services Administration Postal Service Other independent agencies Program total Assistance to States and local police activities: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of the Interior Department of Justice Treasury Department General Services Administration Veterans Administration Program total See footnotes at end of table. 80 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 4,751 7, 227 485 116 1, 000 843 144 300 5,435 32,900 1,195 136 1, 395 947 253 2,200 5, 478 48,316 1,254 153 I, 270 436 14,502 42,452 59,360 387 247 1,202 185 . 1,461 634 1,387 1,461 12,800 55, 737 19, 000 545 24,690 1,063 60 10,500 13, 330 66,449 22,500 624 33,095 800 64 13.000 3,400 32, 352 3,565 469 3,896 508 54 8,000 52,244 124,395 149,862 3,307 15,389 274,692 "594 9,037 115,000 16,013 25,497 73 3,945 16,454 338,875 3,103 38,597 157,094 25,318 31,916 300 4,074 18,310 385,244 3,125 64, 544 174,806 38,785 36,715 300 459,602 615,602 725,903 2,077 483 68,547 868 3,000 13,866 2,575 540 251,400 1,526 6,600 19,374 3,075 714 335,419 1,555 4,800 21,686 88,841 282,015 367,249 208 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table M-3. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR THE REDUCTION OF CRIME BY MAJOR PROGRAM AND AGENCY1 (in thousands of dollars)—Continued Outlays Major program and selected activity 1970 actual Administration of criminal justice: The Judiciary 2 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Transportation Program total Rehabilitation of offenders: The Judiciary 2 Office of Economic Opportunity Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Labor Program total Planning and coordination of crime reduction programs: Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of Justice Program total Total Federal outlays 1 2 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 43,959 703 135 40,050 2 48,723 700 234 66,969 2 62,880 700 309 80,415 2 84,849 116,628 144,306 13,086 2,332 20,040 725 722 97,147 5,294 13,508 2,440 22,276 4,055 857 182,498 5,000 16,237 800 24, 178 4,980 1,265 332,241 29,400 139,346 230,634 409,101 260 16,638 30,778 42,916 16,898 30,778 42,916 856,916 1,443,891 1,900,158 Does not include Department of Defense or nondomestic outlays for crime reduction. Outlays estimated by the Office of Management and Budget. SPECIAL ANALYSES 209 Table M-4. SELECTED CRIME REDUCTION DATA (dollars in thousands) 1968 Federal outlays for crime reduction: Federal crime reduction outlays assisting States and localities Federal crime reduction outlays for reduction of Federal crimes Total Federal outlays for reduction of crime 1969 (*) $103, 739 $177, 251 (}) 554,614 679,665 $530,643 658,353 856,916 Federal personnel: 2 2 Full-time Federal criminal investigators 12,618 12,818 U.S. attorneys and assistant attorneys (man-years on criminal workload) 480 560 Attorneys—Criminal division (man-years) 168 168 U.S. district court judgeships 341 341 State and local crimes: 3 Serious crimes recorded (UCR-table 2) 4,466,600 4,989,700 Violent crimes recorded (UCR—table 2) 588,800 655,100 Rate of serious crimes per 100,000 inhabitants (UCR— table 2) 2,235 2,471 Rate of violent crimes per 100,000 inhabitants (UCR— table 2) 295 324 Percent index crimes cleared by arrest (UCR—table 13)_.._ 20.9 20.6 Percent found guilty of persons charged by police (UCR— table 1 5 ) . . . . Federal investigations: FBI, investigative matters received Immigration and Naturalization Service (investigations completed) Postal Service, criminal caseload IRS, tax fraud investigations Bureau of Customs (cases closed) Secret Service (cases closed) Disposition of Federal criminal matters: Investigative matters presented for prosecutive decision— prosecution declined Federal criminal cases commenced 4 Federal criminal cases terminated 4 Federal criminal cases pending 4 Federal criminal cases pending over 6 months 5 Federal criminal defendants convicted High echelon organized crime figures convicted Corrections: Average Federal jail population Average Federal prison population Court commitments to Federal institutions Average Federal prison sentences (months) Persons under supervision of Federal Probation System (end of year) 6 . Federal paroles granted Warrants issued for violation of conditions of release from prison Executive clemency petitions granted 1970 2 14,610 630 206 402 (i) (i) « (i) (*) 66.7 65.5 (*) 820,830 859,666 882,254 9,268 181,153 9,372 27,989 87,197 11,394 200,812 8,135 28,175 79,892 12,794 211,166 7,711 32,040 99,390 79,891 30,714 29,492 14,763 4,340 26,660 23 83,608 33,585 30,578 )7,770 5,078 29,450 29 89,139 38,102 34, 962 20,910 5,710 30,500 33 3,438 19,677 11,653 44.5 3,866 20,239 11,162 45.2 4,284 20,687 11,300 46.0 36,785 5,840 36,985 5,445 38,409 5,142 2,891 16 2,521 2,369 96 1 Not available. 2 3 CSC jobs classified i n series 1811 as of October 31. From uniform crime reports—calendar years 1968 and 1969 (FBI). *5 Excludes transfers. Excludes pending cases of fugitives. fl Includes probation, parole, and mandatory release; estimate by the Office of Management and Budget. 4 3 0 - 7 0 0 O—71 14 SPECIAL ANALYSIS N FEDERAL HOUSING PROGRAMS COVERAGE AND SCOPE OF THE ANALYSIS A wide variety of Federal programs and activities have a direct or indirect impact on the production of housing. These include programs of direct Federal construction of housing (primarily for civilian employees or military personnel), basic involvement in mortgage financing, and subsidies for housing fQr low- and moderate-income families. In addition, major activities outside the Federal budget, involving both Government-sponsored enterprises and private investment, occur as a direct result of Federal programs and policies. This analysis summarizes the impact of these Federal programs and activities. Programs are included if they: • Assist the production or sale of family housing; • Assist in preventing deterioration of the existing housing stock; and • Provide 1 certain other types of indirect support for housing production. This analysis concentrates on the financial and budget impact of Federal and federally assisted housing activities. In particular, it concentrates on federally assisted financial commitments (which usually precede starts) and on outlays (which usually follow completions). SUMMARY Federal budget outlays for housing excluding the impact of asset sales are expected to total $4.1 billion in 1972, compared to $3.4 billion in 1971 and $2.6 billion in 1970. The change from 1971 to 1972 is primarily a reflection of increased outlays for housing for low- and moderate-income families, consisting of: • An increase of $476 million in payments on outstanding longterm subsidy contracts supporting housing for low- and moderateincome families; and • A $447 million increase in insured loans originated in rural areas for subsequent sale by the Farmers Home Administration. The impact of these increases, however, is partially offset by a $457 million increase in the sale of financial assets and other reductions, with the result that net budget outlays (after taking account of these sales) increase by only $300 million. In addition to activities included within the Federal budget totals, Government-sponsored enterprises (the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, and the Federal home loan banks) are expected to borrow $8.2 billion for 1 Activities excluded from this analysis include: Housing allowances which are paid to civilian employees, military personnel, or beneficiaries of income maintenance programs; the production of dormitories or barracks or housing outside the United States, and its possessions; and programs which assist housing only by providing land and supporting facilities. 210 SPECIAL ANALYSES 211 investment in housing, compared to $11.6 billion in 1971. This decline reflects the anticipation of somewhat easier credit conditions, permitting a major growth in mortgage credit to be financed with less support from these institutions. This is reflected also in the $22.3 billion total which is estimated to be forthcoming from private investors for federally assisted housing programs, a marked decrease from the $27.5 billion estimated for 1971. Table N-1. SUMMARY OF FEDERAL HOUSING PROGRAMS (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Budget outlays for housing programs, excluding proceeds from sale of financial assets Less: Proceeds from sale of financial assets Net budget outlays for housing programs Federally assisted private investment in housing Borrowings by Government-sponsored enterprises included above, 2,646 —883 1,763 14,950 (13, 787) 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3,362 —1,892 4,120 —2,349 1,470 27,546 (11,570) 1,771 22,338 (8,175) Table N-2. BUDGET OUTLAYS FOR HOUSING PROGRAMS (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Budget outlays for housing by agency: Department of Housing and Urban Development. Department of Defense Department of Agriculture Veterans Administration Federal Home Loan Bank Board Small Business Administration Other agencies Total Financial asset sales included above: Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of Agriculture Veterans Administration Total Budget outlays for housing by type of programs: Guaranteed or insured financing Direct Federal financing without subsidy Subsidized housing for special groups: Financing combined with subsidy Subsidy without Federal capital investment Assistance to sponsors of housing for low- and moderateincome families Federally operated housing _ Research and development on housing Other assistance for housing Total 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1,001 1,410 1,452 610 127 97 625 705 -82 -167 60 36 -454 -100 -136 81 45 -284 -132 63 49 1,763 1,470 1,771 845 38 1,592 300 230 1,688 432 883 1,892 2,349 -195 -917 -34 -80 -490 -624 847 543 917 876 1,347 5 542 8 49 9 563 45 57 8 644 25 66 1,763 1,470 795 1,771 212 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Units completed.—In combination, Federal housing programs are expected to assist in the completion for occupancy of 1,006,000 units of new or substantially rehabilitated housing in 1972, compared with 493,000 and 912,000 units in 1970 and 1971, respectively. In addition, these programs will facilitate the sale in 1972 of an estimated 1,209,000 units of existing housing, about the same as in 1970 and 1971. Of the new or rehabilitated units, 501,000 in 1972 will be subsidized for low- and moderate-income families, compared with 169,000 in 1970 and 402,000 in 1971. Units committed.—The completion or sale of a unit frequently follows by lengthy periods the first commitment on the part of the Federal Government affecting that unit. For example, the agreement to insure a mortgage or provide a subsidy for a multifamily unit may predate by 18 months to 3 years the time when that unit is ready for occupancy. This lag reflects the time required to plan and construct the project. It is commonly much shorter for single-family homes. Because of this lag, the units made available for occupancy in any year largely reflect commitments made by the Government in prior years, and commitments made in any year will result in units becoming available in subsequent years. In 1972, the Federal Government expects to make commitments to assist a total of 1,296,000 units of new and rehabilitated housing, including 570,000 subsidized units for low- and moderate-income families. This represents a major increase over the 490,000 subsidized units committed in 1971 and the 411,000 units Table N-3. HOUSING UNITS COMMITTED UNDER FEDERAL PROGRAMS (in thousands of units) New or rehabilitated Type of assistance Guaranteed or insured financing: Guaranteed or insured mortgages. _ _ Insurance on deposits in thrift institutions Direct Federal financing without subsidy. Subsidized housing for special groups: Subsidy combined with financing... Subsidy without Federal capital investment: Low- and moderate-income families Direct Federal construction or acquisition: Military family housing Other Less: Estimated duplication 1 Total 1970 actual 324 Existing 1971 1972 estimate estimate 1970 actual 1971 1972 estimate estimate 154 352 215 421 192 733 502 768 674 894 678 15 68 70 8 9 1 31 54 40 83 85 87 411 490 570 49 37 52 1,296 1,375 1,573 4 * —8 8 * —8 931 1,179 1,662 •Less than 500 units. Represents estimate of insured or guaranteed mortgages purchased by thrift institutions. 1 SPECIAL ANALYSES 213 committed in 1970. Commitments to assist the sale of existing houses are expected to total 1,662,000 in 1972, compared to 1,375,000 in 1970 and 1,573,000 in 1971. Of the 1972 total, 52,000 represent subsidized units for low- and moderate-income families, compared to 37,000 in 1971 and 49,000 in 1970. DESCRIPTION OF FEDERAL HOUSING PROGRAMS The following material describes the various types of Federal programs to aid housing. I t follows the organization of the tabular material on budget outlays (table N-2), units committed (table N-3), and units made available (table N-4). Table-4. HOUSING UNITS MADE AVAILABLE UNDER FEDERAL PROGRAMS (in thousands of units) New or rehabilitated Existing Type of assistance 1970 actual Guaranteed or insured financing: Guaranteed or insured mortgages.__ Insurance on deposits in thrift institutions Direct Federal financing without subsidy Subsidized housing for special groups: Subsidy combined with financing Subsidy without Federal capital investment: Low-and moderate-income families Direct Federal construction or acquisition: Military family housing Other Less: Estimated duplication * Total 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 93 232 256 510 570 622 146 8 195 6 182 2 356 14 478 14 446 1 72 79 64 83 85 87 169 402 501 56 38 53 8 * —3 3 * —5 493 912 1,006 6 1 * —5 1 * * * * 1,186 1,209 * * 1,020 * *Less than 500 units. Represents estimate of insured or guaranteed mortgages purchased by thrift institutions. 1 Guaranteed or insured financing.—In terms of total housing units affected, the predominant characteristic of Federal housing programs is an emphasis on facilitating the flow of private mortgage credit through the use of insurance and guarantee programs. Leading examples are the insured loan programs in the Federal Housing Administration of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Farmers Home Administration of the Department of Agriculture (USDA), the home loan guarantees of the Veterans Administration (VA), and the insurance deposits in thrift institutions by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC). Budget outlays from insurance programs are a relatively small part of the total. In HUD mortgage insurance operations and in the FSLIC, fees, premiums, and other revenues generally exceed in- 214 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 surance claims, permitting reserves to be built up to cover possible losses in the future. VA's loan guarantee program generally operates at a loss, as the bulk of the loans now outstanding were guaranteed without the collection of fees. A one-time fee previously collected on most of the new loans guaranteed was eliminated by the Veterans Housing Act of 1970. The USD A in its housing programs serves as mortgage originator and servicer as well as insurer. In this capacity, it may actually supply a portion of the financing required for the loans it insures, generally on an interim basis pending sale of the loans to private investors. The inventory of loans held is expected to decline in 1972 through the use of a new instrument in the sale of loans. The bulk of the Farmers Home Administration insured housing loan program (all of it in 1972) is addressed to meeting the needs of low- and moderate-income families. This includes some loans containing an "interest credit" feature, under which the borrower pays reduced interest rates, depending on income. The balance of the 1972 program consists of loans at a fixed interest rate, below the current market rate. In both cases the Government makes up the difference betweenr the rates charged to borrowers and those necessary to place loans w ith private investors. Direct Federal financing without subsidy.—This category includes programs which provide direct loans, or their equivalent in the form of Government purchase of mortgages, but without attaching an explicit subsidy to the loan. These programs are generally designed to serve areas where private mortgage credit is not readily available (e.g., rural areas and small towns) or to finance mortgages which the private market is not prepared to accept (such as mortgages on housing of new and experimental character, or housing in urban renewal areas). While the number of units affected by these programs is small compared to that of the insurance and guarantee programs, the budget impact is larger. This reflects the fact that each unit results in outlays at the time the unit is produced equal to almost the full cost of the unit. In some cases, this budget impact can be reduced through sale of the direct loan to a private investor. The primary unsubsidized direct loan programs are those in the Veterans Administration and portions of the activity of the Special Assistance Fund in HUD's Government National Mortgage Association. The direct loan program in the Veterans Administration is being terminated in 1972, and replaced by greater activity under the loan guaranty program. Additional Veterans Administration staff arc being added to insure the availability of private credit in rural areas and small towns. Subsidized housing for special groups: Financing combined with subsidy.—This category covers Federal programs which provide a subsidy while simultaneously providing part or all of the capital financing required for the production of the housing unit. The most common method is the low-interest rate direct loan, which is used in several programs in HUD and in the Small Business Administration's disaster loan program. Assistance to low- and moderate-income families is the predominant objective in the case of HUD, including, in the case of the rehabilitation loan program, helping present owner-occupants restore their housing to standard condition. The SBA program is SPECIAL ANALYSES 215 aimed at assisting the victims of natural disasters. Two other HUD programs (direct loans for housing for the elderly and GNMA special assistance for low- and moderate-income housing) are being phased out in favor of the much larger program of rental housing assistance. This latter program (discussed below) relies on private, rather than Federal, financing of the mortgage. In addition to low-interest loans, there are several programs which provide a one-time capital grant to reduce the cost of housing to the occupant. These include rehabilitation grants provided under HDD's urban renewal program and grants for farm labor housing available from the Farmers Home Administration. A total of 87,000 units are expected to be made available under grant programs in 1972, compared to 85,000 in 1971. Subsidized housing for special groups: Subsidy without Federal capital investment.—This category includes programs under which the Federal Government subsidizes a dwelling unit for which the basic capital financing is provided by private investors at market rates of interest. The programs in this category (low-rent public housing, rent supplements, rental housing assistance and homeownership assistance) are expected to add 439,000 units available for occupancy in 1972, representing a large part of the housing for low- and moderate-income families produced in that year. Under these programs, the Federal Government agrees to provide an annual (or monthly) payment on behalf of a specified unit of housing, with the subsidy contract usually running for the life of the mortgage or bond issued to finance the unit. This may be for a period of up to 40 years. In the case of the homeownership and rental housing assistance programs, the payment represents a part of the interest cost on the mortgage. In the case of low-rent public housing and rent supplements, the payment commonly covers both principal and interest on the bond or mortgage and may cover a part of the operating costs as well. In all four programs, the subsidy payment can be flexible, with rising income on the part of the occupant being reflected in a lower subsidy. Outlays for these programs will continue to rise steadily, reaching $1,347 million in 1972 as new subsidy contracts are added to the continuing costs of contracts approved in prior years. In 1971, as authorized by the Emergency Home Finance Act of 1970, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board began a new program of interest subsidy payments on home mortgages. The 1971 appropriation of $85 million and the proposed 1972 appropriation of the same amount will be used to reduce the mortgage interest payments of eligible homeowners by $20 per month for the first 5 years of the mortgage. (An eligible family is one wiiosc income is below the median for its area, and is, without the subsidy, insufficient to support a mortgage on a suitable home priced below the median for the area.) It is estimated that 70,000 units will come under payment in both 1971 and 1972, resulting in outlays of $3.6 million in 1971, and $25.1 million in 1972. Subsidized housing for special groups: Assistance to sponsors of housing for IOVJ- and moderate-income families.—This category includes programs of grants and loans to groups developing and operating housing for low- and moderate-income families. Outlays in 1972 are expected to total $8 million, of which OEO's assistance to housing 216 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 development corporations represents $4 million. Also included are programs of assistance to nonprofit sponsors funded in HUD, Agriculture, and the Appalachian Regional Commission, and certain assistance to Indian tribes provided by Interior. Federally operated housing.—The predominant activity in this category is the provision of family housing for military personnel, totaling almost 6,400 units to be made available in 1972. This includes a small number of leased units which will be added to the inventory in that year. In addition, about 51 units will be completed for civilian employees of a number of other Federal agencies. This consists of housing for employees who must, of necessity, be stationed in areas where adequate private housing is not available. Research and development.—The HUD research and technology program is the primary focus for Federal research and development in housing. As the HUD program, Operation Breakthrough, nears completion in 1972, increasing emphasis will be given to encouraging large volume production through the systems and methods developed under Operation Breakthrough. Major new HUD efforts include developing ways to improve housing management and to prevent the deterioration and abandonment of housing. In conjunction with HUD, the Building Research Division of the National Bureau of Standards will expand its program to develop improved building codes and standards. Outlays for Operation Breakthrough are expected to total $17 million in 1972, while other outlays for research and development in housing will total $8 million. This latter amount includes programs in HUD (other than Breakthrough), the Department of Agriculture, and the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. Statistical and market analysis.—In order to provide policymakers at all levejs of Government and the private sector with information on housing needs and production and the condition of financial markets related to housing, the Federal Government maintains an ongoing program of statistical and market analysis. These activities range from short-range analyses of individual housing markets to broad gage statistics on housing production and mortgage flows and the housing component of the decennial census. Outlays for this category are estimated to total $3 million in 1972. Equal housing opportunity.—This program aims to provide equal housing opportunity through the enforcement of laws, the administration of Federal assistance programs, and the provision of educational and other assistance. HUD and the Department of Justice have major responsibility for enforcement of the fair housing laws. All Federal agencies with housing or related programs are responsible for administering their programs in a manner to insure equal housing opportunity. Undistributed administrative expenses.—These outlays, totaling $29 million in 1972, represent the costs of operating programs covering more than one program category, which it is not feasible to divide among categories. SPECIAL ANALYSES 217 HOUSING ACTIVITIES OF GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED ENTERPRISES Three Government-sponsored enterprises, outside the budget, are of major importance in housing production. These are the 12 Federal home loan banks, the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC). All three operate to channel funds into mortgages by borrowing in the capital markets and directing these funds into mortgages. In the case of the Federal home loan banks, the investment takes the form of advances to thrift institutions which, in turn, invest the bulk of their assets in home mortgages. FNMA purchases FHA-insured and VAguaranteed mortgages directly. The FHLMC purchases primarily "conventional" mortgages (those not federally insured or guaranteed). All have the result of increasing the total supply of mortgage financing. The net increase in home loan bank advances in 1972 is expected to total $3.0 billion, while the net increase in FNMA mortgage holdings is estimated at $2.6 billion. The net increase in FHLMC mortgage holdings is estimated at $0.8 billion. FEDERALLY ASSISTED PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN HOUSING The vast bulk of housing in the United States is financed privately including most of that portion which is federally assisted. Directly or indirectly, Federal housing programs are expected to affect decisions by private investors involving some $22 billion in 1972. This includes a $12.1 billion increase in savings at thrift institutions regulated by the Federal home loan bank system which, together with $3.0 billion in advances from the home loan banks, will permit these institutions to increase their housing investments by $15.1 billion. Of this total, about $2.6 billion will be in mortgages insured or guaranteed by the Federal Government. Of the remaining $4.5 billion increase in outstanding guaranteed mortgages, $2.9 will be held by FNMA and GNMA, and $0.8 billion by "the FHLMC, leaving $0.9 billion for purchase by other private investors. These investors will also purchase an estimated $1.2 billion of tax-exempt notes and bonds financing the construction of low-rent public housing and will finance $8.2 billion of borrowings by FNMA and the Federal home loan banks. In order to facilitate investment in Government insured or guaranteed mortgages, the Government National Mortgage Association is authorized to guarantee mortgage-backed securities. Under this program, private financial institutions accumulate a supply of mortgages and sell securities based on these mortgages to other investors, promising to pass on the principal and interest collections. GNMA expected to guarantee performance by the issuers of $2.1 billion of these securities in 1972. This amount will constitute part of the net increase in outstanding guaranteed or insured mortgages shown in table N-5. 218 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table N-5. NET FEDERALLY ASSISTED PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN HOUSING (in millions of dollars) 1970 actual Increase in outstanding guaranteed or insured mortgages: Federal Housing Administration! Veterans Administration Farmers Home Administration 1971 est. 1972 est. 1,592 1,204 682 6,729 -139 1,206 3,872 1,973 1,300 3,477 7,795 7,145 -2,303 — 5,626 —593 -3,528 — 3,096 —608 —562 -2,627 — 2,648 —217 —774 —5,045 1 880 9,092 —3,824 17,189 —2,266 15,100 —3,005 5,268 14,923 12,095 Increase in outstanding guaranteed public housing bonds and notes. 940 1,052 1,188 Increase in outstanding borrowings from the public by Government-sponsored enterprises: Federal National Mortgage Association Federal Home Loan Bank System 9,428 4,359 9,450 2,120 5,175 3,000 Subtotal 13,787 11,570 8,175 Total 14,950 27,546 22,338 Subtotal... . Less net increase in holdings by: Thrift institutions regulated or insured by the Federal Home Loan Bank System (estimated) Federal National Mortgage Association Government National Mortgage Association Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Net from other private investors Increase in assets of thrift institutions regulated or insured by the Federal Home Loan Bank System Less net increase in advances from Federal Home Loan banks Net from other private investors 1 Includes property improvement loans and some nonhousing mortgages. SPECIAL ANALYSIS O FEDERAL ENVIRONMENTAL PROGRAMS This analysis identifies Federal funding for selected environmental activities. It covers: Pollution control and abatement activities; Sewer and water programs; Selected activities to protect and enhance the environment; and Activities to understand, describe, and predict environmental conditions. POLLUTION CONTROL AND ABATEMENT Federal funding for pollution control and abatement activities in 1972 will increase significantly over 1970 and 1971: [In millions of dollars] 1970 actual Budget authority Obligations Outlays 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Percent increase over 1971 1,432 1,071 1,828 2,036 3,127 3,088 71 52 751 1,176 2,014 71 The largest share of the increase is for grants to State and local governments for construction of municipal waste treatment facilities. Grants were made for 1,050 treatment facility projects in 1970; 1,650 grants are expected in 1971, and 2,000 in 1972. Grants also provide support for pollution control agency operations and for planning. Budget authority for grants will increase by 89% over 1971, from $1,108 million to $2,089 million. Outlays will increase by 112%, from $533 million to $1,131 million. Table 0-1. POLLUTION CONTROL AND ABATEMENT ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars) Budget authority Type activity Financial aid to State and local governments Research, development, and demonstration Federal abatement and control operations Manpower development Reduce pollution from Federal facilities..... Program direction and other Separate transmittal 1 Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 874 1,108 344 Outlays 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 390 2,089 426 288 296 533 378 1.131 398 80 16 123 19 122 20 72 12 98 15 117 19 11 48 113 62 13 250 135 85 - 32 52 88 61 4 185 110 56 1,432 1,828 751 1,176 2,014 3,127 1 Not reflected in preceding activity lines are proposals that will be transmitted subsequently for $13 million in budget authority for 1971, and $85 million for 1972 for EPA for implementing air quality and solid waste legislation and other activities. 219 220 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Funding will also increase for: • Research, development, and demonstration activities which include efforts to determine and describe pollution sources and effects and to develop and demonstrate technology for monitoring and controlling pollution (work is performed in Federal laboratories and under contracts and grants with educational institutions, industry, and others); • Direct Federal pollution control operations including planning, monitoring, and surveillance; standard setting and enforcement; and technical assistance; and • Manpower development, ranging from training of treatment plant operators to researchers at the graduate level. Budget authority win increase by 121%, from $113 million to $250 million, primarily in the Department of Defense, for remedial projects to reduce pollution from Federal facilities—as required by Executive Order 11507, February 4, 1970. This is a major step toward the goal of having all essential Federal projects underway by December 31, 1972. Agencies involved.—Major Federal activities to control and abate pollution were consolidated in the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) on December 2, 1970, by Reorganization Plan No. 3. However, several other agencies carry on important pollution control activities, as indicated in table O-2. Table 0-2. POLLUTION CONTROL AND ABATEMENT ACTIVITIES—BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Agency Environmental Protection Agency » .Defense—Military Atomic Energy Commission Agriculture Defense—Civil Interior Transportation Commerce General Services AdministrationNational Aeronautics and Space Administration National Science Foundation. __ Other agencies Total Outlays Budget authority 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1,046 89 120 60 3 36 17 19 1 1,297 126 125 96 11 47 49 28 1 2,440 193 127 77 56 68 60 29 19 388 39 116 91 3 37 11 22 695 83 126 93 \\ 48 17 28 1 1,359 147 125 107 56 65 54 34 1 21 7 12 17 13 18 16 17 25 15 7 23 17 12 36 13 14 38 1,432 1,828 3,127 751 1,176 2,014 J Funding shown above for EPA has been adjusted to include activities actually carried out by Departments of Health, Education, and Welfare; Agriculture; Interior; Atomic Energy Commission; and Federal Radiation Council prior to Dec. 2, 1970. The budget authority adjustment is $42 million in 1970 and $14 million in 1971, and the related outlay adjustment is $37 million in 1970 and $17 million in 1971 SPECIAL ANALYSES 221 Funding for EPA will increase sharply in 1972. Budget authority for activities now carried on by EPA will increase by 88% in 1972 from $1,297 million to $2,440 million. Outlays will increase by 96% from $695 million to $1,359 million. EPA's program of grants for waste treatment facilities will be doubled—from $1 billion to $2 billion annually with the goal of assisting States and localities in reducing the Nation's backlog of treatment facilities needs. Other major increases will provide for implementing the new air quality and solid waste legislation, for increasing grants for State and local pollution control agency operations, increasing planning activities, increasing research on water supply purity, expanding cost-sharing arrangements with private industry to develop technology for controlling sulfur oxides, expanding the program for developing low-pollution motor vehicles, and increasing EPA's efforts directed toward identifying the magnitude of pollution problems and determining benefits and costs associated with alternative corrective actions. Other agencies also carry out important pollution control and abatement activities. For example, the Department of Defense will expand its effort to reduce pollution from its industrial production facilities and military bases and step up research on abating pollution from naval vessels and jet engine run-up facilities. The Atomic Energy Commission will continue its major program of research, development and monitoring relating to effects of ionizing radiation. The Department of Agriculture makes grants and loans for waste treatment facilities in smaller localities and conducts research on agriculturally related pollution such as pesticides, animal and crop processing wastes, and fertilizer and plant nutrients. Increases in 1972 are largely for reducing pollution from facilities in national forests. Pesticide registration activities, formerly conducted in the Department, were transferred to EPA. The Department of the Interior will continue research relating to pollution sources and effects, will expand activities to reduce pollution from facilities in the national parks, and will increase research in methods of converting coal to lo^vy pollution fuels. Water pollution control and certain pesticides activities were transferred to EPA. The Corps of Engineers will construct dikes for the containment of polluted material dredged from Great Lakes harbors. The Department of Transportation will increase funding significantly for work on reducing aircraft engine noise, studying environmental effects of supersonic aircraft and reducing pollution from Coast Guard installations. The Department of Commerce provides grants for waste treatment facilities under economic development programs and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration conducts research on sources and effects of pollution and engages in environmental monitoring. The General Services Administration will have increased funding in 1972 for pollution reduction at Federal installations. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration activities consist primarily of research and development on reduction of aircraft noise. 222 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Most pollution abatement activities of the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare have been transferred to the Environmental Protection Agency, including air pollution, solid waste, pesticides standards, water hygiene, and certain radiation activities. Media polluted and pollutants.—Pollution control and abatement activities are generally focused on reducing pollution in air or water or reducing adverse effects of particular pollutants such as pesticides or radiation. Table 0-3 summarizes the total Federal effort in terms of media polluted and also identifies funding associated with selected pollutants. Among the media, water pollution currently receives the greatest share—80%—of total Federal pollution control obligations. This large share is a result of grants and loans for construction of municipal waste treatment facilities. Air pollution control efforts account for 11% of the total. Principal Federal efforts in 1972 will be directed toward research, development, and demonstration; grants to State and local air pollution control agencies; and direct Federal operations such as monitoring, standard setting, and enforcement. Funds to implement new air quality legislation will be proposed in a subsequent request to the Congress. Activities relating to pollution of land are for research and other activities concerned with effects of acid mine drainage, nutrients, pesticides, and other substances. Federal pollution control activities relating to radiation, pesticides, solid wastes, and noise are largely confined to research relating to effects, control technology, and standard setting and enforcement. Funds to implement new solid waste legislation will be contained in a subsequent request. Table 0-3. POLLUTION CONTROL AND ABATEMENT ACTIVITIES—BY MEDIA OR POLLUTANT (in millions of dollars) Media or pollutant Media polluted: Water: Construction grants and loans Other Air Land . Other (e.g., living things, materials) Multi-media (i.e., more than one of above) TotaP Selected pollutants: 2 Solid wastes Pesticides Radiation Noise Obligations 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 491 186 189 35 100 69 1,256 296 234 42 97 98 1,974 425 341 46 110 107 1,071 2,023 3,003 20 30 116 36 39 42 124 43 50 54 129 66 1 Excludes $13 million in 1971 and $85 million in 1972 for EPA which will be proposed in a separate transmittal (see footnote for table O-l). 2 These funds are included in the "media" breakdown above. SPECIAL ANALYSES 223 Excluded from the funding shown above for pollution control and abatement activities are: • activities to reduce or avoid the use of pesticides. Funding for such activities is expected to be approximately $57 million in 1972 for both research and education programs, largely carried out by the Department of Agriculture; and • activities that are carried on for some other primary purpose but which also contribute to the reduction of pollution. For example, extensive activities to hold soil in place to preserve soil productivity, such as those financed by the Department of Agriculture, and other erosion control activities by Corps of Engineers and Department of Transportation (highways), have been excluded from this analysis even though these activities also serve to reduce sediment pollution of water. SEWER AND WATER PROGRAMS Federal programs of grants and loans for the construction of sewer and water systems are directed toward a variety of objectives, including economic development, urban and rural development, and in some cases, pollution control. [In millions of dollars] Budget authority Obligations Outlays 1970 actual 1971 estimate 252 409 364 500 422 382 Percent 1972 increase estimate over 1971 1 124 * 389 446 17 1 Budget authority and obligations for water and sewer grants will decline in 1972 as grant programs administered by HUD and Agriculture are merged into Special revenue-sharing programs. Grants and loans to finance w^ater system and sewer line construction are made by five Federal agencies. The Department of Housing and Urban Development, as a part of its community development efforts, provides assistance for basic sewer and water facilities. $100 million in new grant reservations will be made by December 31, 1971. On January 1, 1972, the program will be folded into the Urban Community Development Special Revenue-Sharing Program. Public facility loans, about 67% of which are used to finance sewer and water facilities, will be increased by 62% in 1972. The Department of Agriculture provides grants and loans for basic sewer and water facilities in rural communities with population not in excess of 5,500 people. Approximately one-half of the $25 million budgeted for grants will be obligated prior to January 1, 1972, and the remainder will be folded into the Rural Community Development Special Revenue-Sharing Program. Agriculture's loans, about 78% of which are used for water and sewer facilities, will be increased by 18%. The Department of Commerce provides assistance to municipalities as a part of its economic development efforts. Budget authority will not increase, but outlays for this program will increase by 27% from $62 million in 1971 to $79 million in 1972. Other agencies providing sewer and water system grants are the Appalachian Regional Commission and the Department of the Interior (for the Trust Territory). Grants and loans made by Environmental Protection Agency, Agriculture, Commerce, and Housing and Urban Development for waste treatment plants and interceptor sewers are included in the section on pollution control and abatement. THE 224 BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table 0-4. SEWER AND WATER P R O G R A M S (in millions of dollars) Budget authority 1970 Purpose: Sewer grants Sewer loans Water system grants Water system loans ___ Total Agencies: Housing and Urban Development Agriculture Commerce (economic development) Other agencies Total 1971 l Outlays 1972 1970 1971 1972 102 4 142 4 205 3 287 4 44 4 71 5 72 14 112 165 88 17 138 139 116 18 168 144 252 500 124 364 382 446 135 25 350 52 0 27 133 164 168 140 192 163 81 11 84 14 84 13 60 6 62 12 79 12 252 500 124 364 382 446 SELECTED ENVIRONMENTAL ENHANCEMENT ACTIVITIES Federal funding will increase for environmental protection and enhancement activities such as providing recreational areas and open space, fish and wildlife preservation, and beautification programs. [In millions of dollars] Budget authority Obligations Outlays 1970 actual 1971 estimate 628 586 553 875 748 730 Percent 1972 increase estimate oter 1971 1,108 1,018 846 27 36 16 Protection and enhancement activities.—The Federal Government provides grants to State and local governments for acquiring land for recreational purposes, for preserving open space and historic properties, and for fish and wildlife refuges. Aid is also provided for research and planning; construction and maintenance of recreational facilities and wildlife refuges; and for promoting beautification such as highway landscaping. Similar activities are also carried on directly by several Federal agencies. Funding for many of these activities will increase sharply. For example, budget authority for grants to State and local governments to acquire recreational and open space lands will increase by 61%, from $140 million in 1971 to $226 million in 1972. Grants for development of recreational areas will increase by 127%, from $120 million in 1971 to $272 million in 1972. SPECIAL ANALYSES 225 Table 0-5. SELECTED ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND ENHANCEMENT ACTIVITIES (in millions of doHars) Activity — Budget authority Outlays 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 80 140 226 51 75 107 55 3 51 120 7 56 111 6 63 53 2 45 53 7 60 100 7 69 62 116 112 62 79 87 252 440 679 214 lib 371 85 138 98 68 158 151 158 181 197 163 177 1 56 66 10 2 37 66 10 2 48 73 11 1 34 63 10 2 36 71 10 193 2 44 Subtotal 376 434 429 339 454 474 Total 628 875 1,108 553 730 846 Financial aid to State and local governments: Purchase recreation and open space lands _ . Develop recreational areas, related activities Historic properties Preserve fish and wildlife Beautification (e.g., highways) Subtotal Direct Federal activities: Purchase nationally important areas __ __ Develop recreational facilities, related activities __ Historic properties Park roads and trails Preserve fish and wildlife Beautification 1970 actual 1970 actual 1971 1972 73 11 Agencies involved.—The Department of the Interior accounts for approximately 61% of the environmental protection and enhancement activities described in this section. Interior's budget authority for these programs will increase by 13%, from $552 million in 1971 to $624 million in 1972. Most Interior activities are carried out by the Bureau of Outdoor Recreation, including the land and water conservation fund; the Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife; and the National Park Service. The 1972 budget for the land and water conservation fund provides a major increase for grants to State and local governments to help them meet the increasing demand for local recreation areas, especially those located in or near major cities. Federal land purchases financed from the fund are made by several Federal agencies to preserve nationally important natural and historic areas, including endangered species habitats. Newly authorized areas for which funds are provided to begin initial acquisition in 1972 are Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore, Voyageurs National Park, Gulf Islands National Seashore, Chesapeake and Ohio Canal Historic Park, and Andersonville National Historic Site. Emphasis will also be placed on acquisition of lands in older natural preservation areas and parks such as Everglades National Park. The Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife provides assistance to State and local governments for fish and wildlife restoration and establishes Federal refuges. The National Park Service emphasizes resource protection, construction and maintenance of visitor facilities at national park system areas and park roads, trails, and highways. 430-700 O—71 15 226 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 The Department of Housing and Urban Development provides grants to help States and localities acquire and develop open space lands. In 1972, the open space program will be reoriented to help meet the growing recreational needs in urban areas. New emphasis will be given to the development of small neighborhood parks in and around cities. To support this initiative, budget authority will increase by 167%, from $75 million to $200 million. The Department of Transportation provides assistance to State and local governments for highway beautification activities, including control of advertising and junkyards, landscaping, and scenic easements. Budget authority for such DOT activities will increase by 11%, from $97 million to $108 million. The Department of Agriculture carries out a variety of environmental enhancement activities, particularly through the Forest Service. The 1972 budget authority will increase by 16%, from $83 million in 1971 to $96 million in 1972. The Corps of Engineers provides facilities for water based recreation at reservoirs and other public works. The Department of Commerce provides assistance to State and local governments through its economic development programs for the development of recreational areas. Table 0-6. SELECTED ENVIRONMENTAL ENHANCEMENT ACTIVITIES, BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Outlays Budget authority 1970 actual Interior _ _ Housing and Urban Development Transportation __ Agriculture Defense—Civil _ Commerce Other agencies Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 366 552 634 307 452 517 75 42 81 75 97 83 200 108 96 43 51 80 12 60 81 100 69 43 12 8 46 13 10 47 14 10 43 20 9 46 9 10 628 875 1,108 553 730 94 47 8 10 846 UNDERSTANDING, DESCRIBING, AND PREDICTING THE ENVIRONMENT * Federal agencies conduct a wide variety of activities to understand, describe, and predict environmental conditions. Objectives range from the provision of routine weather forecasts to the scientific understanding of complex ecological systems. Funding for these activities wall increase in 1972. [In millions of dollars] Budget authority Obligations Outlays 1970 estimate 1971 estimate 719 710 702 867 880 810 Percent 1972 increase estimate over 1971 950 956 917 10 9 13 Activities.—Over half of the funding for this category supports environmental observation and measurement to describe and predict weather and ocean conditions and disturbances such as earthquakes. 1 This section excludes activities reported under Pollution control and abatement. SPECIAL ANALYSES 227 Budget authority will increase by 9%, from $486 million in 1971 to $528 million in 1972 for research, development, and operational activities in this category. Funding will also be increased, but less sharply, for: • Locating and describing natural resources; • Survey activities to describe the physical environment for the purpose of preparing maps and charts; and • Weather modification. Additional emphasis will be placed upon research to develop a better understanding of the impact of the environment on man, for which budget authority will be increased by 42%, from $33 million in 1971 to $47 million in 1972; and on ecological and other basic environmental research, for which budget authority will be increased by 51% from $49 million in 1971 to $74 million in 1972. Table 0-7. UNDERSTANDING, DESCRIBING AND PREDICTING THE ENVIRONMENT, BY TYPE ACTIVITY (in millions of dollars) Activity Observe and predict weather and ocean conditions, disturbances: Research and development _ _ Operations Locating and describing natural resources: Research and development- _ Operations Physical environmental surveys: Research and development _ _ Operations Weather modification Research on environmental impact on man _ Ecological and other basic environmental research. _ . _ Total Outlays Budget authority 1970 actual e 1972 itimate 1971 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 120 299 139 347 154 374 105 305 128 343 152 375 100 61 145 74 140 75 95 60 no 74 124 74 4 54 12 4 60 16 4 66 17 4 54 12 4 57 16 4 65 17 26 33 47 25 30 38 44 50 75 41 48 68 719 867 950 702 810 917 Agencies involved.—In this overall category, the Department of Commerce accounts for about one-fourth of all Federal activities. The Department's activities are carried out by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration which was created on October 3, 1970, by Reorganization Plan No. 4, and includes the former Environmental Science Services Administration and activities transferred from the Departments of the Interior, Defense, and Transportation and the National Science Foundation. NOAA carries on a wide range of environmental observation and prediction activities, including weather, river and marine forecasting; mapping and charting; development of instrumentation; data dissemination; and related research. Budget authority will increase by 4%, from $226 million in 1971 to $235 million in 1972, with increases providing for improved public weather services; hurricane and tornado warnings; weather modification experiments; earthquake and seismic research; satellite procurement; and development of ocean data buoys. 228 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table 0-8. UNDERSTANDING, DESCRIBING AND PREDICTING THE ENVIRONMENT, BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Budget authority Agency Commerce1 Defense—Military National Science Foundation... National Aeronautics and Space Administration Interior Agriculture Health, Education, and Welfare. Transportation Smithsonian Institution Other agencies Total 1970 actual 1971 estimate Outlays 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 193 178 60 226 194 92 235 185 161 190 178 61 219 194 88 245 185 136 87 103 51 17 17 9 3 129 117 53 21 18 10 7 117 131 52 25 22 16 7 75 102 51 17 17 8 2 88 116 54 20 18 9 6 106 129 52 23 22 14 6 719 867 950 702 810 917 i Funding shown above for Commerce has been adjusted to include activities actually carried out by the Departments of Defense, Interior, and Transportation and National Science Foundation prior to Oct. 3, 1970. The budget authority adjustment is $25 million in 1970 and $9 million in 1971, and the related outlay adjustment is $15 million in 1970, $14 million in 1971, and $7 million in 1972 Within the Department of Defense, both the Navy and the Air Force carry out weather and ocean observation and prediction, and mapping and charting activities important to military operations. Funding for these DOD activities will decline slightly in 1972. The National Science Foundation supports research activities important to the understanding of environmental problems. Budget authority will increase by 75%, from $92 million in 1971 to $161 million in 1972, with the increases providing for greater emphasis in nearly all areas of environmental research through such programs as the International Biological Program, and the International Decade of Ocean Exploration. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration conducts activities concerned with the application of satellite technology to atmospheric sciences and measurement of earth resources. The Department of the Interior carries out such activities as geologic investigations, topographic mapping, weather modification, and water resources research. Increases in 1972 will provide principally for expansion of Interior's work on application of remote sensing data from aircraft and spacecraft to earth resource measurement. The Department of Agriculture conducts such activities as soil and river basin surveys, research and surveys relating to forest and timber management, and basic ecological research. The Department of Health, Education, and Welfare conducts a variety of activities relating to environmental impact on man, principally research at the Department's National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. The Department of Transportation conducts oceanographic and meteorological research and surveys, largely through the Coast Guard. SPECIAL ANALYSES 229 The Smithsonian Institution conducts a variety of programs dealing with environmental impact on man and is developing baseline ecological information. Increases in 1972 will provide for substantial expansion of ecological research. OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL ACTIVITIES The meaning of the term "environment" is still subject to widely varying definitions. This first special analysis of Federal funding for environmental activities has been limited to selected areas. Among the areas of federally funded activity important to environmental understanding and environmental quality not included in this analysis are: Environmental education; Preventing or correcting environmental degradation resulting from public works or natural resource exploitation; Management of public lands; Population control and population distribution; Programs that are justified and conducted for some other primary purpose (e.g., R. & D. on improved methods for producing energy and undergrounding high-voltage electric transmission lines) but which may have significant environmental quality or natural resource conservation benefits; and Federal activities conducted outside the United States, including scientific activities overseas financed with special foreign currency. PART 3 SPECIAL ASPECTS OF FEDERAL PROGRAMS 231 INTRODUCTION Part 3 discusses trends and developments in selected areas of Government activity—aid to State and local governments, public works, and research and development. It groups these three special analyses, those designated P through R. Special Analysis P summarizes Federal grants to State and local governments as well as loans and indirect assistance. It traces the development of Federal aids over time and relates them to the finances of both the Federal Government and State and local governments. This analysis also provides a profile of Federal grants by region, and that portion benefiting metropolitan areas. Special Analysis Q brings together information on Federal construction and federally aided State and local public works. It also includes information on major Federal programs affecting construction by private cooperative and nonprofit groups. Special Analysis R identifies Federal programs for the conduct of research and development, and for facilities related to such activities. 232 SPECIAL ANALYSIS P FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS Federal Aid to State and Local Governments ,*, 30 25- 20 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Fitcal Years 1972 Estimate HIGHLIGHTS or THE 1972 AID PROGRAM This year promises to be a turning point in the history of our federal system. In 1972, total Federal aid to State and local governments, including the new revenue-sharing proposals, will total $38.3 billion. This amount will be $8 billion more than in 1971—a 26% increase in 1 year—and 4.8 times the amount in 1962. In the last 3 years, major reforms have been made in restructuring Federal aid programs to reduce program rigidity and increase program effectiveness. Proposed initiatives for 1972 will offer unprecedented proposals for change: • Sharing of Federal revenues with State and local governments in the form of unrestricted general revenue sharing funds, combined with broad purpose special revenue sharing grants without matching requirements. 233 234 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 • Fundamental reform of the welfare system (to become effective in 1973) by applying national eligibility standards, improving work incentives, broadening coverage to the working poor, and providing fiscal relief to the States. • Medicaid reforms to emphasize incentives for more efficient use of hospitalization and extended care facilities. The fastest growing major Federal aid programs in 1972, as in the last 5 years, are those related to income support and services for the poor, environmental protection and improvement, and law enforcement. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVES Federal aid to State and local governments has been a part of the American federal system since the country's earliest days. Under the Articles of Confederation, the Congress provided grants of Federal land in 1785 to support education in the Northwest Territory. Although Federal grants have a long history, the major growth in the number of grant programs and amounts of money provided has occurred only in the past two decades. The composition of the total grant program has changed significantly in this time period, as shown in table P - l . The three functions comprising human resource programs—education and manpower, health, and income maintenance— show a rapid growth during the 1960-72 period—rising from 47% of Federal aid in 1960, and reaching an expected 56% in 1972. On the other hand, commerce and transportation programs declined from 43% of the total in 1960, to an expected 14% in 1972. Table P-1. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL AIDS TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS BY FUNCTION Function Agriculture and rural development Natural resources Commerce and transportation Community development and housing. _ Education and manpower Health . Income security General revenue sharing Other Total 1955 actual 1950 actual 1965 actual I960 actual 1970 actual 1972 estimate 11 5 55 8 3 19 3 14 4 47 4 2 43 3 10 4 33 5 2 40 5 10 7 29 3 3 21 11 18 15 26 1 2 1 2 3 3 100 100 100 100 100 100 5 2 21 0) 2 4 14 10 15 12 29 11 i Less than 0.5%. While Federal grants have been growing, State and local governments have raised from their own sources about four times the amount of aid they have received from the Federal Government. SPECIAL ANALYSES 235 Table P-2. STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCES, 1950 AND 1970 Source In billions of dollars 1950 1970 Average annual percentage increase Revenue: Own revenue Federalaid 18.8 2.3 107.0 24.4 Total 21.1 131.4 9.5 22.3 132.0 9.3 Expenditures 9.0 12.5 This table is based on the National Income Accounts to permit comparison between levels of government, and differs slightly from the measure of aid used in other parts of this analysis. For a more complete discussion of different measures of aid, see the section on definitions in this analysis. STATE AND LOCAL FISCAL PROBLEMS State and local governments have been faced with critical financial problems in recent years. An imbalance exists between demands for higher levels of public services and funds available to finance these services. State and local government receipts from their own sources (excluding Federal grants) rose from a war-time low of 4.8% of GNP in 1944 to 10.5% in 1969, but the demand for expanded services rose even faster. State and local governments rely principally on consumer and property taxes, which do not grow at a rate sufficient to keep up with the growth in demand for public services. Thus, States have been forced to raise tax rates frequently—instituting new taxes or raising tax rates in more than 450 instances since 1959. In 1969, 36 State legislatures approved new taxes or increased existing ones that will augment tax receipts b}^ $4 billion. This is significantly larger than the $1.3 billion and $2.5 billion added to State tax receipts in 1965 and 1967 respectively. An additional 12 States raised tax rates in the first 6 months of 1970. In addition to State tax increases, local property taxes were raised frequently during the decade. The response of the Federal Government to the fiscal problems of State and local governments has been to increase Federal grants from $2 billion in 1950 to $24 billion in 1970. The results have been profound—Federal grants greatly contributed to raising the standards and levels of State and local services, improved the national highway network, and helped professionalize State and local personnel. While effective in many instances, this rapid growth in Federal grants has been accompanied by many undesirable problems, including: • Overlapping programs at the State and local level; • Program delaj-s and uncertainty; • Unnecessary limitations on the authority and responsibility of Governors and mayors; and • The creation of competitive State and local governmental institutions. 236 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 While certain ongoing Federal grant programs were aimed at problems of national interest, they often lost sight of the fact that the real national interest lies in the strength and ability of the State and local governments to carry out their responsibilities. REFORM OF THE GRANT SYSTEM In recognition of these problems, the administration has proposed basic reforms in Federal Government programs and institutions, and in the structure of Federal aid to State and local governments. These changes embrace three basic concepts: sorting out appropriate governmental roles, improving the basic programs, and modernizing management. Basic reform is being undertaken in such major functional areas as welfare, pollution control, unemployment insurance, and mass transit. The proposed welfare reform should help to alleviate the financial pressures on State and local governments immediately, saving States more than $400 million, with more significant savings in the long run, and taking a major step toward resolving the problem of poverty in America. A new Environmental Financing Authority is being developed to tackle the pollution problem without placing additional pressure on State and local bond markets. The administration has designed the first fundamental overhaul of the unemployment compensation system since the 1930's. A long-needed overhaul of management processes in Federal aid and other programs is being carried out. The regional boundaries of the major domestic departments of the Federal Government have been modified so that their headquarter cities and the regions that they cover conform. This facilitates cooperation between Federal agencies and makes it easier for grant recipients by having the agencies' regional offices in the same cities. A new Office of Intergovernmental Relations has been created in the Office of the Vice President. In order to foster more rational decisionmaking on the whole range of domestic programs, the administration has established a new Domestic Council, which provides a forum for considering all of the various Federal activities and functions that affect the States and their subdivisions. Government is being decentralized in several ways—through revising grant program procedures, through a proposed overhaul of the manpower training programs, and, most importantly, through the innovation of revenue sharing. In the grant area, the administration has also recommended legislation that would: • Authorize the President to consolidate closely related programs; • Simplify funding of those grant programs that are closely related and in the same agency; • Authorize joint funding of projects across agency lines; and • Offer assistance to Governors and mayors in improving their policy planning and implementation capacity in social welfare programs. REVENUE SHARING The most innovative reform of the federal system is the proposal for a program of sharing Federal revenue with State and local governments. In describing the revenue sharing program, the President stated: "Ultimately, it is our hope to use this mechanism to so SPECIAL ANALYSES 237 strengthen State and local government that by the end of the coming decade, the political landscape of America will be visibly altered, and States and cities will have a far greater share of power and responsibilities for solving their own problems." The major characteristics of the administration's revenue sharing plan are: —launching a bold new program of general revenue sharing with State and local governments without any program or project restrictions, with this portion to grow each year as the personal income tax base of the Federal Government grows; —providing six special revenue sharing grants for State and local governments in special broadly defined areas of national concern, without any requirement of matching funds; and —maintaining only those existing grant programs for which there is a clear, continuing national requirement. It is contemplated that the general, unrestricted, revenue sharing portion of the new plan would become effective on October 1, 1971; the remainder would go into effect by January 1, 1972. On & first fullyear basis, appropriations and other budget authority totaling $16 billion would be devoted to the new revenue sharing system: —five billion dollars for general revenue sharing, which would be paid in equal quarterly installments to State and local governments starting in the fourth quarter of this calendar year; and —eleven billion dollars for special revenue sharing grants, which State and local governments would have to spend in the functional area for which they are designated—transportation, education, urban and rural community development, manpower training, and law enforcement. The general revenue sharing funds will be distributed primarily on the basis of the population of each State, with an equitable passthrough to local governments, while the special revenue sharing program funds will be distributed in various ways, depending upon what is appropriate for each broad program area. Table P-3. BUDGET AUTHORITY PROPOSED FOR REVENUE SHARING PLAN, FIRST FULL YEAR Description General revenue sharing Special revenue sharing: Urban community development Rural community development Education Manpower training Law enforcement Transportation Total Billions $5.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 .5 2.6 16.1 The resources for general revenue sharing would come from revenues generated from the Federal personal income tax base and would be all new money. Funds for special revenue sharing would come from the conversion of a set of narrower categorical grants into the new pro 238 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 gram. For 1972, the budget includes specific proposals totaling $10.4 billion of budget authority (and corresponding outlays of $9.5 billion) for the grants to be converted to special revenue sharing. Thus, an additional $0.7 billion is being proposed for the first full year's budget authority of the special revenue sharing grants. The outlay effect for this addition is estimated at $0.5 billion. For a full discussion of the revenue-sharing program, see Part 2 of the Budget. SIGNIFICANT FEATURES OF FEDERAL AID IN 1972 Federal aid expenditures for grants and shared revenues will grow $8 billion in 1972, reaching a level of $38 billion. In addition, there will be $281 million of net lending to State and local governments, not including the lending activity that is being encouraged in the non-Federal sector with Federal interest subsidies. In total, Federal aids provided about 18% of State and local revenues in 1970, and is estimated to provide 22% in 1972. The largest portion of direct Federal aid is administered by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. Table P-4. FEDERAL-AID EXPENDITURES BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Agency Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense—Military Department of Defense—Civil Department of Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department^of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Environmental Protection Agency Veterans Administration District of Columbia Other Allowance for general revenue sharing Total outlays for Federal aid 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate * * 1,794.0 1,774.5 1,259.6 1,731.7 2,989.0 3,455.0 158.0 156.8 168.4 37. 1 34.2 38.6 22.2 8.6 3. 8 12,029.6 14, 716.6 16,505. 2 1, 780.4 2, 348. 7 3,012.5 258.1 308.3 400.6 41.2 337.3 528.7 1,045.1 1,734.4 2,249.5 4.8 5.7 6.1 4,520.0 4,937.2 5,069.2 128.1 142.9 155.9 202.8 460.1 1,041.1 17.9 22.8 26.0 114.6 143.0 158.0 69.2 176.6 190.0 4,019.0 23,954.7 30,296.7 38,288.2 Apart from direct Federal aid, many other Federal activities that are not included in this analysis affect the finances of State and local governments. For example, the exemption of interest on State and local bonds from Federal income taxes reduced interest costs to State and local governments by $2.0 billion in 1970. This exemption results in about $3.0 billion in "lost" revenues to the U.S. Treasury. Similarly, since taxpayers may deduct State and local taxes from Federal taxable income, a portion of State and local taxes is offset by a reduction in the taxpayers7 Federal liability. In 1970, the value of this deduction in terms of tax savings to individuals was approximately $8.5 billion. SPECIAL ANALYSES 239 Table P-5. FEDERAL-AID OUTLAYS IN RELATION TO TOTAL ]FEDERAL OUTLAYS AND TO STATE-LOCAL REVENUE Federal aid As a percent of— Fiscal year Amount (millions) 1959 1960 1961 1962_ . 1963 1964 1965 1966__ 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1 2 . ._ _ . _ $6, 669 7,040 7,112 7,893 8,634 10,141 10,904 12,960 15,240 18,599 20,255 23,955 30,297 38,288 Total Federal outlays 7.2 7.6 7.3 7.4 7.8 8.6 9.2 9.7 9.6 10.4 11.0 12.2 14.2 16.7 Domestic Federal outlays ! 15.9 16.4 15.4 15.8 16.5 17.9 18.4 19.2 19.5 20.9 21.3 21.9 23.4 26.5 State-local revenue 2 13.5 12.7 12.0 12.3 12.5 13.4 13.4 14.2 15.3 16.9 17.4 18.2 20.2 22.4 Excluding outlays for defense, space, and international programs. Excludes State-local revenue from publicly operated utilities and liquor stores. THE IMPACT OF FEDERAL AID The rapid increase in Federal aid to State and local governments has become an increasingly important factor in the finances of all levels of government. Federal aid has risen sharply as a proportion of Federal outlays in the past decade, rising from 7.4% of the total in 1962 to an estimated 16.7% in 1972. In terms of civilian domestic programs, 26.5% of Federal outlays will take the form of aids to State and local governments in 1972. Because of successful efforts by State and local governments to increase revenues from their own sources, the relative increase in the impact of Federal aid has not been quite as marked on their budgets as it has been on the Federal budget. Nevertheless, Federal aid has risen as a proportion of State and local revenues, from 13% in 1960 to an estimated 22% in 1972. The pattern of State and local spending has been influenced by those Federal grants that require the recipient government to match Federal aid funds with its own resources. In 1966, State and local governments provided an estimated $5.5 billion of their own funds to match the $13 billion of Federal grants spent in that year. In the last few years, State and local government matching funds have accounted for 10% to 14% of general expenditures out of their own revenue sources. The elimination of matching requirements for the programs absorbed by the special revenue sharing grants will reduce these numbers and allow State and local governments greater freedom in the use of their resources. In 1969, the distribution of Federal aids on a regional basis ranged from a high of more than $4 billion in the Southeast and Mideast, to a low of $0.7 billion in the Rocky Mountain area. On a per capita basis, however, the Rocky Mountain area ranked highest with grant payments of $136 per capita, while the Great Lakes with $74 and Plains region with $93 per capita were lowest. Population density and 240 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 per capita income are the two major factors that accounted for this wide variation. Generally, the level of per capita aid is inversely related to population density primarily because of aid for highway construction and shared revenues to thinly populated Western States. The population density of the Rocky Mountain area is the lowest of the regions; per capita aid is the highest. At the other end of the scale, per capita aid is lowest in the Great Lakes area and the Mideast where population density is greatest. Table P-6. REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL AID, FISCAL 1969 Region New England Mideast Great Lakes Plains Southeast Southwest Rocky Mountain Far West United States Total (in millions of dollars) Per capita Percent of State and local government general revenue 1,173 4,113 2,989 1,511 4,530 1,714 665 3,043 101.93 97.01 74.92 93.40 107.21 116.33 136.30 115.25 17.9 15.2 14.0 17.0 22.8 21.2 23.3 14.9 20,287 100.47 17.4 Sources: "Federal Aid to States—Fiscal year 1969," Department of the Treasury, and "Governmental Finances in 1968—69," Bureau of the Census. These reports provide additional information concerning State distribution of Federal grants. Per capita aid is also inversely related to per capita income. There are two reasons for this relationship. Some grant programs require lower matching ratios for the relatively poorer States. Other programs such as those for public assistance, and elementary and secondary education, are designed as aids to the disadvantage*! and tend to flow to States having proportionately more individuals with lower incomes. This reflects the growing impact of fiscal equalization provisions characteristic of a number of the more recent grant programs. For a State-by-State, }>rogram-by-program accounting of Federal grants, see the forthcoming Treasury Department publication "Federal Aid to States—Fiscal Year 1970". Within the rising total of Federal assistance to State and local governments, another important qualitative shift is taking place—the increasing emphasis on urban areas. Between 1960 and 1970, the major population growth in America occurred in the metropolitan complexes. Today, about 70% of the population lives in 233 metropolitan areas. In 1972, approximately $26.8 billion of the $38 billion of total Federal aids will be spent in standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSA's). This is an increase of about $22 billion, or nearly 600% over the amount of aid provided to these urban areas in 1962, and $12.8 billion in the last 4 years. The major increases in Federal grants for urban areas occurred in law enforcement, public assistance, and income security. Standard metropolitan statistical areas were chosen as the definition of "urban" because they are the urban unit for which information on Federal aids is most generally available. These areas cover the bulk of SPECIAL ANALYSES 241 that urban population which places heavy pressure on public service requirements—areas where population growth and population density are high. The amounts shown in table P-7 are estimates based on the best information available. Table P-7. FEDERAL-AID OUTLAYS IN URBAN AREAS (in millions of dollars) Function and program National defense Agriculture and rural development: Donation of surplus commodities Other Natural resources: Environmental protection Other Commerce and transportation: Economic development Highways Airports Urban mass transportation Other Community development and housing: Community action program Urbanrenewal Publichousing Water and sewer facilities ModelCities Other Education and manpower: Head Start and Follow Through Elementary and secondary Higher education Vocational education Employment security administration Manpower activities Othe™ Hospital construction Regional medical program Mental health Maternal and child health Comprehensive health planning and services Health educational facilities Medical assistance Health manpower Other Income security: Vocational rehabilitation PuWic assistance Child nutrition, special milk and food stamps Other General government: Law enforcement National Capital region Other Other functions General revenue sharing Total, aids to urban areas 1961 actual 1964 actual 1969 actual 1972 estimate 10 28 30 33 128 27 231 40 313 104 294 81 24 30 8 10 79 101 773 170 1,398 36 158 1,948 36 104 2,225 83 122 5 147 2,646 117 289 6 549 975 570 110 420 278 1 5 106 105 159 136 36 2 17 432 786 257 52 8 75 222 5 28 303 3 264 14 29 344 64 7 256 1,262 210 179 449 530 77 97 1,457 113 393 317 1,271 704 48 66 4 18 29 8 34 48 89 J9 50 139 80 1 ]J? 1.731 28 54 113 y 66 203 JW i MA 2,074 r*> 283 247 3,022 482 148 4UU 5.581 I. o™ >IU A, A »co J> 5 12 813 ' 140 4 iOn 37 1,170 131 3 61 1,450 168 16 25 38 9 \' 85 27 2 3,893 5,588 14,045 26,848 i Tentative estimated impact calculated on the basis of population includes both direct passthrough and discretionary State allocations. 430-700 O—71 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16 242 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Besides the programs discussed in this analysis, there are many Federal programs that have an important bearing on urban development, such as direct Federal construction and various loan and loan insurance activities. The Department of Housing and Urban Development estimated that the total Federal financial commitment for urban social and community development aids is about $44 billion in 1971— compared to $21 billion in 1964. The Department's figures indicate the magnitude of Federal financial involvement in communities of 2,500 population or over, as measured by obligations or commitments— including insured or guaranteed loans. While the tabulations are not fully comparable, these estimates provide a perspective on the dimensions of urban area expenditures not covered by this analysis. TYPES OF GRANTS Federal aid to State and local governments as reflected in budget outlays take several forms: Grants; shared revenues, usually counted as grants; and loans. Shared revenues are payments of a share of Federal revenues from a particular source—such as receipts from timber sales—which are paid to State and local governments. Grants are nonrepayable resources provided by the Federal Government in support of a State or local program of service to the public. In practice, there are two types of grants—those with "strings" attached, or conditional grants, and those with "no strings" attached, or unconditional grants. Only the former are presently in use in the United States, but the President's revenue sharing proposal is designed to change this. Conditional grants may be divided into project grants and formula grants. Project grants are a relatively recent development in the United States and are designed to meet specific problems. That is, a project grant is given for a specific program need, such as demonstration grants for education. The recipient must take the initiative in applying for the grant, and it is up to the discretion of the granting agency whether or not the particular project involved merits funding. Project grants accounted for an estimated $9.4 billion in 1969 and $11.7 billion in 1970 of total Federal aid. In contrast, formula grants are allocated to all eligible jurisdictions for selected functions on the basis of some formula. The formula criteria may include the fiscal capacity of the recipient government, total or relevant population in the area, such as the number of poor people, or both. Matching requirements on Federal grants specify the portion of the project or program cost that the recipient is required to provide in order to receive the Federal grant. Matching requirements vary widely depending on the program. For some programs, the matching rates are uniform for recipient governments. In other cases, differential rates have been established so that governments with lower fiscal capacity are required to meet lower matching requirements than those with higher fiscal capacity. Revenue sharing, a third type of grant, has been discussed in another part of this analysis. Three different statistical series showing Federal aid to State and local governments are produced by the Federal Government. Table P-8 shows the principal differences between these three series over a 6-year period. SPECIAL ANALYSES 243 Table P-8. THREE MEASURES OF FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS 1964-1969 (in billions of dollars) 1964 Budget (Special Analysis P) Principal exclusions: Agricultural commodities Foodstamps Certain OEO payments Add payments for research All other (net) Federal payments (Census) Exclude low-rent public housing All other (net) Grants-in-aid, National Income Accounts 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 10.1 10.9 13.0 15.2 18.6 20.3 —.5 (-1) .8 -.3 —.5 (—l) (— *) .9 -.2 -.3 -.1 -.2 .9 -.2 -.3 _ | -.5 1.0 -.3 -.5 -.2 -.8 1.1 -.1 -.7 -.2 -.8 1.1 -.3 10.1 —.2 -.1 11.1 —.2 « 13.1 2 2 15.0 -.2 19.4 -.3 0) 18.1 -.3 -.2 9. 8 10. 9 12. 7 14. 8 17.6 19. 1 0) 1 Less than $50 million. (See: Special Analysis A). As the table indicates, there is a growing divergence between the series shown in this analysis and the other series. The principal cause of this divergence over these years was the treatment of payments by the Office of Economic Opportunity as will be discussed below. Although these payments will be relatively stable in the years 197072, the rapid growth of food stamps will continue to widen this gap. The series used in this analysis is focused on showing Federal aid to States for programs either operated directly by State or local governments or coordinated through or approved by State agencies. It includes outlays whether cash payments or in-kind, and includes aid to the Governments of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. The basic focus is on programs aimed to serve the public but not directly administered by the Federal Government. Therefore, it excludes payments for purchases of services to the Federal Government, such as research conducted by public universities. Both the census and the national income accounts (NIA) definitions are designed to match their other definitions for data encompassing the entire economy. They exclude payments to private, nonprofit agencies even if coordinated under a State plan, since this money is reported in the private sector. The principal example of this is OEO, where a considerable amount of money the budget includes as grants goes to private nonprofit entities. Both the census and the NIA definitions exclude payments in-kind from grants—such as food stamps or commodities donated under the school lunch program—and also exclude payments to territories or possessions. However, they focus on cash payments, so payments for research conducted by public universities is included in their data, as these universities are included as part of the State/local sector in their various tabulations. There are various other—relatively minor—differences between the three series. The one major outlay included in the budget and census series but excluded from the NIA series are payments for low-rent public housing, which the NIA counts as purchases by the Federal Government rather than grants. Further information on the NIA series may be found in Special Analysis A. 244 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table P-9. FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS * (expenditures in millions of dollars) Functional code Agency and program National defense: Executive Office of the President: Office of Emergency Preparedness—Federal contributions to State and local planning Department of Defense—Military: Civil defense shelters and financial assistance Construction of Army National Guard centers Atomic Energy Commission Total, national defense finance 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 059 051 051 058 27.0 10.1 9.3 26.2 8.0 7.6 28.6 10.0 4.3 --- 46.4 41.8 42.9 4.8 5.5 .2 5.8 .2 ___ 4,8 5.7 6.0 351 352 352 352 354 355 355 354 355 433.7 25.4 6.2 8.4 19.2 106.4 448.5 38.2 1.5 4.0 12.4 24.4 137.5 1.4 1.4 463.1 61.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 24.4 161.4 10.1 .6 600.8 667.9 738.6 401 93.4 100.7 98.8 402 19.9 20.7 20.7 402 402 78.7 .9 73.2 .8 82.8 .8 401 19.4 5.9 1.0 401 2.8 2.7 2.8 402 401 403 405 86.2 1.5 * 43.2 85.7 .9 .1 58.0 92.3 .8 .2 62.7 405 405 45.7 * 60.0 * 110.0 * International affairs and finance: Department of State: East-West Cultural and Technical Interchange Center 153 International Center, Washington, D.C 151 Total, international affairs and 1970 actual Agriculture and rural development: Department of Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation and Consumer and Marketing Service: Removal of surplus agricultural commodities and value of commodities donated __ Rural water and waste disposal facilities Mutual and self-help housing Rural housing for domestic farm labor Resource conservation and development Consumer protective programs _ Cooperative agricultural extension service Water Bank Act Program Other Total, agriculture and rural development Natural resources: Department of Agriculture: Watershed protection and flood prevention _ Grants for forest protection, utilization, and basic scientific research National forest and grassland funds: payments to States and counties (shared revenue) Assistance to States for tree planting Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers: Flood control Payments to States, Flood Control Act of 1954 (shared revenue) _ _ _ Department of the Interior: Payments to States and counties (shared revenue).. Bureau of Reclamation Mine drainage and solid waste disposal Fish and wildlife restoration and management Outdoor recreational areas (Land and Water Conservation Fund) Preservation of historic properties See footnotes at end of table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 245 Table P-9. FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS * (expenditures in millions of dollars)—Continued Agency and program Functional code 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Natural resources—Continued Federal Power Commission: Payments to States (shared revenue) Tennessee Valley Authority: Payments in lieu of taxes (shared revenue) Water Resources Council Environmental Protection Agency 401 * 401 401 401 16.1 2.4 194.2 20.0 3.5 444.8 26.8 3.0 1,029.6 606.4 877.2 1,532.4 .8 184.4 3.0 264.2 282.4 .4 .9 .5 2.8 .2 156.5 2.1 .4 .9 152.2 4.6 32.9 1.0 28.4 .5 4,299.5 104.5 83.2 1.3 4,590.5 179.2 134.0 4.6 31.6 1.3 13.0 4,579.8 290.3 147.0 5.2 4,865.3 5,365.8 5,525.8 656.4 679.2 358.1 035.0 72.0 .6 140.5 33.0 50.0 4.0 655.5 442.3 1,300.0 100.0 2.0 170.0 38.0 48.0 3.0 758.9 .3 150.0 3,005.1 3,691. 7 Total, natural resources Commerce and transportation: Funds appropriated to the President: Public works acceleration 507 Appalachian development 507 Department of Commerce: State marine schools 502 Regional development 507 Promotion of tourism 506 National Bureau of Standards 506 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, _ 506 Economic development assistance 507 Department of the Interior: Resources management,__ 507 Department of Transportation: Forest and public lands highways 503 Highway beautification 503 Highway safety ___ 503 Federal-aid highways (trust fund) _ _ _ _ 503 Urban mass transportation facilities 503 2 Federal aid for airports and airways 501 Other 502 Total, commerce and transportation .5 8.9 .4 .2 ..1 158.3 5.8 Community development and housing: Funds appropriated to the President: Office of Economic Opportunity: Community Action programs 551 647.8 Department of Housing and Urban Development: Model city grants 551 75.7 Urban renewal 552 1,053.7 Open space land and urban beautification 552 43.4 New community assistance 552 Grants for basic water and sewer facilities 553 109.0 Grants for neighborhood facilities 553 23.4 Urban planning grants 554 41.2 Community development training programs 554 2. 4 Low-rent public housing programs, __ _ _ 555 435.9 National Homeownership Foundation, __ 555 _ _ CoTmunity dev.lopm nt _ - 553 _ Total, community development and housing See footnotes at end of table. _. - 2,432. 5 246 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table P-9. FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS * (expenditures in millions of dollars)—Continued Agency and program Education and manpower: Funds appropriated to the President: Office of Economic Opportunity 3 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Elementary and secondary education Office of Child Development Assistance to schools in federally affected areas Education of the handicapped Civil rights education Higher education activities (Portion to private institutions) Vocational education Libraries and community services Special institutions for the blind and deaf Education professions development Work incentive activities Emergency school assistance Department of Labor: Manpower development and training activities Grants to States for administration of employment security programs (trust fund) Department of Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Education and welfare services National Foundation on the Arts and the Humanities. Corporation for Public Broadcasting Equal Employment Opportunities Commission Other Functional code Total, health See footnotes at end of table. 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 601 899.9 796.9 601 601 601 601 601 602 602 603 608 608 601 604 601 1,469.5 1,703.7 622.0 31.1 3.1 342.0 (101.3) 285.2 104.9 1.4 86.1 81.4 464.0 33.0 12.2 313.3 (96.6) 404.9 65.9 1.5 109.4 138.3 94.9 1,789.5 138.4 437.9 34.4 8.7 175.4 (46.0) 445.9 42.1 1.6 113.9 223.4 290.0 604 420.9 991.0 1,443.5 604 327.7 374.5 395.0 601 608 608 609 ---- 16.3 .3 15.0 .9 3.7 19.6 5.9 23.0 1.4 .4 26.7 5.5 35.0 2.8 .4 4,711.4 5,553.8 5,866.1 651 651 651 651 653 272.0 (149.6) 45.4 122.0 74.3 240.8 (133.2) 68.1 180.9 80.5 214.3 (123.3) 71.8 178.8 71.8 651 653 651 653 652 652 653 652 652 185.8 145.9 9.2 10.0 1.0 1.6 1.9 235.8 2,726.8 181.7 147.3 6.0 16.7 2.2 1.3 3.4 204.2 3,250.1 178.8 175.8 3.0 12.1 .3 1.2 250.6 3,383.6 -- 3,831.4 4,383.3 4,542.2 Total, education and manpower Health: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Hospital construction (Portion to private, nonprofit institutions) Health manpower Comprehensive health planning and services Regional medical programs Construction of health educational and mental health facilities Mental health services and development Health services Environmental health Indian health services and facilities Patient care and health services Communicable and chronic diseases Maternal and child health Medical assistance 1970 actual 256.0 SPECIAL ANALYSES 247 Table P-9. FEDERAL AID TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS i (expenditures in millions of dollars)—Continued Functional code Agency and program 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Income security: Funds appropriated to the President: Disaster relief.__ Public assistance: Income maintenance payments Social services for welfare recipients Juvenile delinquency Vocational rehabilitation Administration on Aging Food stamp Child nutrition program and special milk __ _ _ Community services 703 61. 0 54.0 42.0 702 703 703 703 703 702 702 703 4,716.2 441. 4 3.6 296.5 16.1 558.7 379.4 _____ 6,439.8 544. 5 6.6 368.9 13.9 1,507.3 618.4 7,531.6 554.0 11.9 411.0 14.3 1,943.3 570.1 162.0 _._ 6,472.7 9,556.3 11,240.2 Veterans benefits and services: Veterans Administration: Aid to State homes 804 Grants for construction of State nursing homes.. _ _ 804 Administrative expenses. _ _ 804 14.0 3.4 .5 16.8 5.0 .9 17.7 7.5 .7 17.9 22.7 25.9 909 48.7 62.6 84.3 909 908 14.1 41. 2 16.1 337. 3 17.3 528. 7 909 85.2 87.0 90.0 909 __ _.- 114.6 15.8 42.9 143.0 100.0 55.9 158.0 112.2 65.9 362.5 801.9 1,056.4 Total, income security Total, veterans benefits and services ___ General government: Department of the Interior: Grants to territories Internal revenue collections, Virgin Islands (shared revenue) Department of Justice: Law enforcement assistance... Treasury Department: Tax collections for Puerto Rico (shared revenue) National Capital region: Federal payment to District of Columbia Washington Metropolitan Transit Agency Other __ Total, general government Allowance for general revenue sharing _ ___ 4 Total, grants and shared revenues ___ _ _.. 4,019.0 23,954.7 30,296.7 38,288.2 * Less than $100 thousand. 1 Grants-in-aid unless otherwise specified. Excludes loans which are shown separately in table P— 10. 23 Federal funds in 1970; trust funds in 1971 and 1972. Manpower programs transferred to Labor Department. 4 For fiscal 1972; differs from first full-year basis. Note.— This table is based on the existing system of grant programs; the adoption of revenue sharing could change the functional distribution of the 19/2 figures. 248 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table P-10. FEDERAL LOANS TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS Agency and program Agriculture and rural development: Farmers Home Administration Net outlays 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate -.1 Total, agriculture and rural development. _ -.1 Natural resources: Department of the Interior: Reclamation loans. 2.9 3.6 13.0 2.9 3.6 13.0 38.9 27.2 23.3 —.2 3.1 —.2 35.0 —.2 35.0 41.8 62.0 58.1 —1.2 —1.9 33.0 12.0 .1 87.3 10.0 —7.4 34.4 29.9 99.4 37. 0 31.6 26.8 4.7 55.6 70.5 27.6 87.2 97.3 32.3 -.2 —. 4 -.4 1.8 -.1 -1.4 90.5 4. 9 4.4 -1. 4 113. 7 -1.5 137.8 90.5 116.8 140.3 252.2 379.1 280.7 Total, natural resources Commerce and transportation: Department of Commerce: Economic development assistance, _ Department of Transportation: Mass transportation facilities Highway construction Total commerce and transportation Community development and housing: Department of Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent public housing fund Housing management revolving fund Community development Total, community development and housing Education and manpower: Department of Health, Education and Welfare: Higher education activities Department of Housing and Urban Development: College housing Total, education and manpower General government: Department of Defense—Civil Department of the Interior: Administration of territories Alaska public works General Services Administration: General activities District of Columbia Total, general government Total SPECIAL ANALYSIS Q FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES The Federal budget provides for the direct construction of public works, and for grants and loans to assist State and local government construction. This analysis brings together information on budget authority and outlays for these purposes. In addition, information is provided on grants and loans to aid construction by private cooperatives and nonprofit groups. Not included are Federal activities affecting the level of private construction, such as Federal procurement, leases, loans, loan guarantees, interest subsidies, and tax concessions. SUMMARY Federal outlays for construction of public works are expected to increase sharply from $9.8 billion in 1970 to $11.6 billion in 1971 and $13.0 billion in 1972. The increase of one-third over the 2-year period reflects primarily the expansion of major Federal programs to improve the quality of our environment and to meet pressing needs of a growing economy for power, water supplies, air and ground transportation, and other facilities. Outlays for both direct Federal construction programs and assistance for State and local projects will rise during the 2 years. Major increases in Federal civil projects will be for postal facilities, public buildings, water resources and related power projects, and airway systems. Grant outlays for municipal waste treatment facilities will rise from $176 million in 1970 to $1 billion in 1972, and Federal-aid highway grants will increase by nearly $300 million to a level of $4.6 billion in 1971 and 1972. National defense public works will also increase to $1.9 billion in 1972. Table Q-1. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR PUBLIC WORKS, 1963-72 (in millions of dollars) Total Federal outlays Fiscal year 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 _ _ _- _. _ 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 7,196 8,346 8,886 9,428 9,572 9,520 9,683 9,791 11,607 12,979 Direct Federal construction Total 3,704 4,019 4,152 4,693 4,483 3,972 3,932 3,740 4,618 5,280 Civil 2,321 2,691 2,800 3,014 2,752 2,460 2,186 2,200 3,032 3,381 Defense 1.383 1,328 ,352 ,679 ,731 1,513 ,746 ,540 ,586 ,899 Grants 3,302 4,186 4,567 4,446 4,730 5,264 5,479 5,796 6,653 7,420 Net lending 190 142 167 289 359 284 272 255 336 279 Note.—In this and the following tables, nonconstruction costs are excluded; proposed legislation is included for the years 1971 and 1972. Details may not add because of rounding. Net lending in years prior to 1967 does not reflect those repayments deposited to miscellaneous receipts, which for 1967 and later years are netted against disbursements. 249 250 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Total budget authority requested for public works programs in 1972 is $13.9 billion, compared with $19.7 billion in 1971. The larger amount for 1971 reflects $3.25 billion of additional borrowing authority for the Tennessee Valley Authority power program enacted in 1971 and $3 billion of budget authority available over 5 years for urban mass transportation grants. Trends in Federal outlays for public works are shown in table Q-l over a 10-year period, distinguishing between grants and loans to State and local governments and direct Federal civil and defense works. The accompanying chart portrays graphically the changes in the amounts of grants and direct works over the years. Federal Expenditures for Public Works 6.0- 5.8 Grants 5.0- 40 3.4 3.0 3.02.2 2.0- 1.0- 1963 1964 Fiscal Years 1965 (966 1967 1968 (969 (970 !97( (972 Estimate FACTORS AFFECTING FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS The volume and types of construction in various Federal programs are of widespread interest because of the effect on the construction industry and on the level of economic activity. Currently, the public sector accounts for about one-third of total new construction put in place as compared with one-fourth in the early 1950's. Within the public sector, about one-eighth is direct Federal construction and the remainder is State and local government construction, much of which is federally aided. In this analysis construction is defined to include the design and production of fixed structures and physical improvements to land, including new works and major additions, alterations, or improvements of existing works. Detailed planning and the cost of sites for specific construction projects are included. Preliminary planning and surveys prior to the selection of a site, general-purpose land acquisitions, such SPECIAL ANALYSES 251 as for parks and forests, and general maintenance and repair are excluded from this analysis. Total outlays for Federal public works activities remained generally constant from 1966 to 1970 because of restrictive budget policies and efforts to combat inflationary pressures. Under the full-employment budget policy of the 1972 budget, intended to promote an orderly expansion of the economy without losing ground in the fight against inflation, selective increases are proposed to meet urgent economic and environmental problems. Other major factors affecting the magnitude of Federal construction programs are: • The construction moratorium imposed by the President in September 1969 to relieve inflationary pressures was terminated in June 1970. The 75% deferral of new construction contracts during 1970 resulted in shifting some $300 million of budget outlays from 1970 to later years. Under the President's policy, the projects deferred in 1970 will not be accelerated, but will now proceed under normal program schedules. • Some new projects funded in the 1970 and 1971 budgets have been delayed to avoid aggravating inflationary conditions in local construction market areas and to comply with outlay ceilings imposed by the Congress. Almost all of these new projects are now programed for starting in 1971 and 1972. • Construction costs are continuing to rise rapidly, adding to budget outlays. The Department of Commerce's composite index of construction costs increased nearly 8% in the year ending September 1970, about the same as in the prior year. • Under the budget proposals, some Federal-aid programs are being replaced by loan guarantee and interest subsidy programs. This has the effect of reducing 1971 and 1972 outlays summarized in this analysis. • The President's proposals for new general and special revenuesharing programs, described in part 2 of the Budget, will likely increase the level of State and local construction as the new programs develop. DIRECT FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS Outlays for direct Federal construction are shown by agency in table Q-2. About two-thirds of the $5.3 billion of 1972 outlays for direct Federal construction will be for civil programs of the Federal Government, with the remaining one-third for facilities of the Department of Defense and the Atomic Energy Commission. Water resource and related power generation and transmission facilities built by a number of agencies—principally the Corps of Engineers, the Bureau of Reclamation, the Bonneville Power Administration, and the Tennessee Valley Authority—are the predominant types of construction in the civil works category. Roads and other facilities required in the national forests, parks, and other public lands are another large classification of civil works. Most Federal office buildings are built by the General Services Administration. Research facilities are built by many agencies. 252 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Outlays for defense public works will increase $313 million in 1972, after some decline in earlier years. Modernization and improvements will be required to support the missions of the armed services. Table Q 2. DIRECT FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS: OUTLAYS AND 1972 BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Outlays Program and agency 1970 actual Civil public works: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service Department of the Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil. __ Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs National Park Service Bureau of Reclamation Bonneville Power Administration Department of Justice: Federal Prison System Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Federal Aviation Administration General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration Postal Service Veterans Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other 1971 1972 estimate estimate Budget authority 1972 estimate 115 766 143 980 159 973 201 921 19 31 24 19 49 32 175 102 2 59 35 225 92 2 69 60 264 92 43 66 88 213 90 57 33 108 130 54 77 80 348 110 31 172 144 50 272 87 538 171 35 230 217 43 236 127 609 200 36 412 270 56 345 110 33 273 2,200 3,032 3,381 3,190 420 333 366 161 2 259 473 336 331 166 3 277 678 439 308 241 * 232 642 429 333 310 Subtotal national defense public works 1,540 1,586 1,899 1,920 Total direct Federal public works 3,740 4,618 5,280 5,110 Subtotal civil public works National defense public works: Department of the Army Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Interservice activities Civil defense centers and shelters Atomic Energy Commission 207 *Less than $500 thousand. GRANTS AND N E T LENDING FOR PUBLIC WORKS Federal outlays to aid State and local government construction are summarized by agency in table Q-3. These Federal grants and loans supplement State and local resources used to build facilities such as roads, water, sewer, and waste treatment facilities, airports, and schools. The requirements for State or local matching of Federal grants differ considerably among the various programs. The Federal grant is commonly expressed as a percentage of the total cost of an eligible project. The percentage may be uniform for all eligible projects, or may vary by program in accordance with such factors as population and relative financial ability of the State and local governments. SPECIAL ANALYSES 253 Depending upon program requirements, Federal disbursements may represent advances or reimbursements to the State and local authorities for the Federal share of construction put in place. Grants which indirectly support State and local construction activities, such as interest subsidies and contributions for purposes such as public housing and hospital and medical care, are not included in this analysis. The lead time between budget authorizations and expenditures tends to be longer for Federal grants than for Federal direct construction, principally because of the time required for State and local governments to arrange for their share of the project financing and to comply with other eligibility and performance requirements. Two developments promise to facilitate State and local programing. The President has recommended additional revenue sharing to enable the States to set their own priorities. He has also requested multiple-year budget authority for some programs to reduce some of the planning uncertainties. About two-thirds of the Federal outlays for construction grants in 1972 will be for highways financed from trust funds administered by the Federal Highway Administration in the Department of Transportation. A major share of the 1972 trust fund outlays relate to the interstate system of limited access roads initiated in 1956, for which the Federal share is 90%. The total cost of the 42,500 mile system, including the non-Federal share, is currently estimated at $70 billion. To continue financing the construction of the 28% of the system mileage not currently open to traffic, the Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1970 includes $9.9 billion in new authorizations for 1972 through 1976. The act also increases the Federal share of the cost of other highway-aid programs from 50% to 70%, beginning in 1974. The outlook is for substantial increases in State and local construction of airports, mass transit facilities, and waste treatment facilities. The Federal-aid programs for these types of facilities are being enlarged and modified. In the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration wi'l employ matching grants and user charges to help finance airport facilities under the Airport and Airway Development and Revenue Act of 1970. The Urban Mass Transportation Administration will administer a Federal grant program providing up to two-thirds of net project costs. Contract authority of $3 billion for this program has been provided over a 5-year period to permit communities to arrange in advance for their share of the cost. The program to provide grants for waste treatment works was transferred from the Department of the Interior to the new Environmental Protection Agency, and increased emphasis is being given to pollution control programs in the new agency. Legislation is proposed to authorize appropriations of $2 billion in 1972 and a total of $6 billion for 1972 through 1974 to finance the Federal share of the estimated $12 billion of waste treatment plant construction over this period. Within the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, the Health Services and Mental Health Administration administers programs for public hospitals and mental health centers. A new program of loan guarantees and interest subsidies (not included in this analysis) is being implemented. By the end of 1972, a total of $1 billion of loans will have been guaranteed and subsidized to aid in the construction of hospitals and other health facilities. In response 254 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table Q-3. GRANTS AND NET LENDING FOR PUBLIC WORKS: OUTLAYS AND 1972 BUDGET AUTHORITY, BY AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Program and agency Grants to State and local governments: Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development programs Department of Agriculture: Soil Conservation Service Farmers Home Administration Department of Commerce: Economic Development Administration Department of the Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil _ _ _ Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration.. National Institutes of Health Office of Education Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior: Bureau of Outdoor Recreation Office of Territories . Department of Justice: Law Enforcement Assistance Administration Department of Transportation: Federal Aviation Administration Federal Highway Administration Urban Mass Transportation Administration Environmental Protection Agency Washington Metropolitan Transit Authority Other civil Subtotal civil grants Department of Defense Total grants Lending to State and local governments: Department of Commerce: Economic Development Administration Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office ofEducation Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior: Bureau of Reclamation. _ Department of Transportation: Federal Highway Administration Urban Mass Transportation Administration District of Columbia Other agencies Subtotal lending Repayments Total net lending Outlays 1970 actual Budget authority 1972 estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 161 223 230 217 77 27 84 42 83 63 95 2 134 19 139 6 144 1 146 1 142 88 256 132 127 86 226 174 104 100 135 210 38 79 9 45 26 18 34 21 60 38 140 28 2 23 64 79 83 4,312 102 179 16 7 134 4,608 177 427 100 \\ 147 4,604 287 1,004 112 19 15 5,597 -85 2,005 188 36 5,782 14 6,642 11 7,407 13 8,636 18 5,796 6,653 7,420 8,653 40 28 24 14 33 842 4 27 897 5 5 922 14 10 3 35 89 2 35 57 122 5 143 5 63 35 1,013 -758 1,176 -840 1,148 -869 122 -7 255 336 279 115 to recent changes in the Hill-Burton program, Federal outlays for grants to aid construction of medical facilities are expected to decline in 1972. The National Institutes of Health administer programs of Federal grants for teaching facilities in the health professions and for health research facilities. The Office of Education grants for SPECIAL ANALYSES 255 higher education facilities will decline in 1972, as more use of interest subsidies on private loans for these purposes is anticipated. The Department of Housing and Urban Development's program of grants for basic water and sewer facilities is being funded on an interim basis, pending enactment of community development special revenuesharing legislation. The Department also provides construction grants for neighborhood facilities and loans to State and local governments which help finance construction of public facilities, college housing, and low-rent housing. The Department of Commerce provides grants as well as loans for construction of public facilities required under economic development assistance programs. CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS The following sections provide additional details on civil works construction. For most direct Federal projects, the responsible agencies conduct preliminary studies and surveys and obtain authorizing legislation for specific projects, where necessary, before construction appropriations may be enacted. In the case of water resource projects, coordinated long-range economic, hydrologic and land-use projections are employed to help assure economic design of facilities for each comprehensive river basin. Outlays for such preliminary planning, surveys and investigations are not included in the summary tables in this analysis. New and continuing work.—For direct Federal projects underway in 1972, table Q-4 indicates the total cost, the progress through the budget year, and the estimated outlays required to complete construction. Table Q-4. ESTIMATED COST OF 1972 DIRECT FEDERAL CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS, BY CONTINUING AND NEW WORK (in millions of dollars) Program and agency Total estimated Federal cost Outlays Prior to 1972 1972 estimate Required to cornplete Continuing work: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service Department of the Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs National Park Service Bureau of Reclamation Bonneville Power Administration Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Federal Aviation Administration Urban Mass Transportation Administration General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration. _. Postal Service Veterans Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other Total continuing work 211 15,363 139 7,631 73 952 6,780 624 1,566 7,817 447 404 33 4,378 224 62 56 258 85 158 1,477 3,181 137 57 608 46 560 1,140 602 433 1,949 1,770 28 172 14 153 1,052 323 259 907 945 21 128 20 176 34 203 109 583 177 8 309 12 231 53 77 65 459 648 33,193 16,661 2,937 13,595 256 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table Q-4 ESTIMATED COST OF 1972 DIRECT FEDERAL CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS, BY CONTINUING AND NEW WORK (in millions of dollars)—Continued al :e"d Fcdi ral Outlays Prior to 1972 1972 estimate Required to complete New projects and features in 1972: Department of Agriculture: Forest Service Department of the Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs Bureau of Reclamation Bonneville Power Administration Department of Justice: Federal Prison System Department of Transportation: Coast Guard Federal Aviation Administration Urban Mass Transportation Administration Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration. _. Postal Service Veterans Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other Total new projects and features 168 119 Total advance planning Total direct civil public works 7 19 22 80 40 53 35 270 12 28 184 53 291 63 1,276 70 2 2 . _ ._. _ 1 4 _- 86 4 82 109 6 13 5 3 6 26 16 75 33 25 13 103 2 3 16 6 33 9 22 19 22 167 10 25 168 47 258 54 ,250 51 2,783 16 361 2,405 77 33 17 28 7 21 3 1 1 3 20 6 83 13 13 139 13 29 8 14 3 3 5 81 2 15 4 2 3 4 3 6 26 3 10 4 6 1 77 5 6 32 7 5 423 151 84 188 36,399 16,828 3,381 16,188 Advance planning and site acquisition prior to start of construction: Department of the Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration Social Security Administration Department of the Interior: Bureau of Land Management National Park Service Bureau of Reclamation Department of Justice: Federal Prison System General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration Veterans Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other . 4 Outlays for continuing work—those projects started with funds appropriated in years prior to 1972—are estimated at $2.9 billion in 1972, about 87% of the total for direct civil works construction. After 1972, an additional $13.6 billion in outlays will be required to complete these projects. SPECIAL ANALYSES 257 New projects recommended for starting in 1972 are estimated to cost $2.8 billion of which $361 million wilt be spent in 1972. Partly as a result of the 1970 construction deferral, outlays by the Corps of Engineers will be over $200 million higher in 1971 than in 1970, and those of the Bureau of Reclamation, $50 million higher. Most of the projects added by the Congress to the 1971 budget are expected to be started in 1972. The Corps of Engineers is programing 35 projects and the Bureau of Reclamation eight projects for starting in 1972. The Tennessee Valley Authority builds powerplants, transmission lines, and other facilities needed to meet rapidly growing regional needs for electricity. An increase in borrowing authority of $3,250 million was provided in 19 71 to supplement proceeds from power revenues for the construction of such facilities. The Watts Bar nuclear powerplant will be started in 1972. The Bonneville Power Administration will construct additional transmission facilities to connect hydroelectric powerplants with the Federal grid and to serve increasing loads in the Pacific Northwest. The roadbuilding program of the Forest Service is being expanded to meet growing needs for lumber and recreation. The General Services Administration will begin construction of eight new buildings and the superstructures of three major buildings started in prior years. Legislation is proposed to supplement direct work with lease construction. The new Postal Service will begin construction in 1972 of facilities with an estimated total cost of $291 million, as part of a modernization program to provide better postal service. The Federal Aviation Administration will continue to modernize and improve facilities required for the airway system, including the automation of air route traffic control centers and airport traffic control towers. The Federal Railroad Administration and the Urban Mass Transportation Administration are cooperatively developing research facilities for high-speed ground transportation. The Veterans Administration will begin a replacement hospital in San Francisco, and will continue the program to modernize other hospitals. Funds are recommended in 1972 for the Federal Prison System to construct three institutions and for planning and site acquisition of seven others. Advance planning and site acquisitions.—Outlays for detailed architectural and engineering planning and site acquisitions for some projects are normally made prior to the start of construction. Outlays for these purposes are included in table Q-4, and separately identified for those projects to be started in later years. Authorized reserve oj civil public works.—Most Federal agencies that regularly build civil works projects maintain an authorized reserve which is drawn upon as necessary to fulfill program needs and budgetary policy. Projects in such reserve status require only appropriations and detailed planning for starting. The size and planning status of the authorized reserve is shown in table Q-5. 430-700 O—71 17 258 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table Q-5. RESERVE OF PRESENTLY AUTHORIZED PROJECTS AND PROGRAMS FOR UNDERTAKING AFTER 1972 (in billions of dollars) Cost of authorized reserve Estimated total Federal cost Agency Agriculture: Forest Service Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil. _ Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services Interior: Bureau of Land Management Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife Bureau of Reclamation Bonneville Power Administration _ Transportation: Federal Aviation Administration General Services Administration. __ Veterans Administration Tennessee Valley Authority Other agencies Total Status of plans as of June 30, 1971 Contract In Not could process started be let Status of plans as of June 30. 1972 Contract In Not could process started be let 0.8 10.1 0.2 .8 0.6 6.5 2.7 0.2 1.6 0.6 5.8 2.7 .2 * * 0.2 * * 0.1 .2 * .1 .2 * .1 .1 .4 1.9 .6 * 1.3 .2 .4 .2 .2 .6 * 1.4 .2 .4 .1 .2 .2 .4 .7 .8 .2 1.7 .2 .1 .3 * .3 * .1 .5 * .5 .2 .3 .1 .4 .1 .2 1.4 .1 .1 .6 .1 1.0 * .1 .1 .7 .1 18.0 3.0 8.6 6.3 5.0 7.8 5.1 *Less than $50 million. PUBLIC WORKS BY FUNCTION Table Q-8 at the end of this analysis provides detailed information on budget authority and outlays for public works programs by agency and program, grouped according to the major functional categories used in the budget. Each such major function, with the exception of interest, includes public works programs, although the level of budget authority and outlays varies widely. The commerce and transportation and natural resources functions, taken together, account for $9.4 billion or 85% of the outlays for civil construction in 1972. Grants for highways, airports, mass transportation, and other public facilities account for the predominant share of the outlays in the commerce and transportation function. This function also includes substantial programs for direct construction of facilities such as post offices, aviation control systems, and Coast Guard structures. Direct construction—principally of water resources projects—is the major component of the natural resources function. The trend of outlays for the major types of water resource developments is shown in the accompanying chart, and table Q-6 provides details for the individual agencies and types of construction. 259 SPECIAL ANALYSES t : , ; - . ; . „ . : ••;.••;;:,... Outlays (or Water Resources and Related ater Supply and Waste Disposal Multiple-purpose with Hydroelectric Power Flood Control and Beach Erosion I 1964 I I I 1965 Fiscal Yeafs 1971 kfTtfVKlTC ' Construction outlays for the remaining civil functions will total $1.7 billion in 1972. Outlays will range from $10 million in each of the international and income security functions to $652 million for the general government function. Community development and housing, education, and health functions each include outlays for construction in excess of $200 million. NATIONAL DEFENSE PUBLIC WORKS National defense public works include many types of facilities built in the United States and abroad to support the missions of the armed services. Outlays for these purposes are expected to increase by $315 million to $1.9 billion in 1972. Department ojDefense—Military.—Outlays for construction required for tactical, strategic, and general purpose forces are expected to increase in 1971 with a further increase in 1972. The figures reflect the lifting of the deferral of 75% of new construction contracts in 260 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table ^ 6 . OUTLAYS FOR WATER RESOURCES AND RELATED DEVELOPMENTS (in millions of dollars) Program and agency 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Flood control works: Agriculture: Soil Conservation Service (mostly grants) Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil Grants Interior: Bureau of Reclamation State: International Boundary and Water Commission Tennessee Valley Authority 62.2 273.6 6.4 2.3 .6 7.5 65.0 454.7 7.9 2.6 3.1 8.0 63.8 382.1 1.0 3.5 6.3 11.7 Total flood control works Beach erosion control: Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil 352.6 2.5 541.3 3.4 468.4 3.9 15.5 16.2 15.9 4.3 64.7 3.8 7.0 67.8 3.7 12.0 61.3 13.0 88.3 94.7 102.2 189.2 .1 216.5 .3 .8 161.2 .3 2.7 189.3 217.6 164.2 Multiple-purpose dams and reservoirs with hydroelectric power facilities: Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil Interior: Bureau of Reclamation Tennessee Valley Authority 269.2 63.0 13.4 321.9 118.6 24.1 303.0 173.7 35.5 Total multiple-purpose facilities Powerplants: Tennessee Valley Authority 345.6 261.7 464.6 378.1 512.2 396.6 Power transmission facilities: Interior: Bureau of Reclamation Bonneville Power Administration Southwestern Power Administration Tennessee Valley Authority 23.1 101.9 3.1 59.5 10.0 92.5 3.6 73.0 10.1 92.2 2.5 78.9 Total power transmission facilities 187.6 179.1 183.7 5.2 21.9 7.3 38.2 7. 3 61.0 75.5 76.9 99.2 109.0 43.7 23.9 .3 176.4 140.5 46.0 29.1 .7 422.0 170.0 40.0 15.5 .1 1,000.0 455.9 760.7 1,393.1 1,883.5 2,639.5 3,224.2 Irrigation and water conservation works: Agriculture: Soil Conservation Service (mostly grants) Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs Bureau of Reclamation Loan and grant program Total irrigation works Navigation facilities: Army: Corps of Engineers—Civil . Transportation: Saint Lawrence Seaway Corporation Tennessee Valley Authority Total navigation facilities Water supply and waste disposal facilities: Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development programs (grants) Agriculture: Farmers Home Administration (grants) Commerce: Economic Development Administration (primarily grants) _ Housing and Urban Development: Grants Loan disbursements Interior: Bureau of Reclamation State: International Boundary and Water Commission Environmental Protection Agency (grants) Total water supply and waste disposal Total water resources and related developments SPECIAL ANALYSES 261 1971 and the program to modernize facilities of the armed services. Budget authority of $1.7 billion is recommended in 1972 for new and improved troop housing, replacement of inadequate hospital and community support facilities, 9,684 new family housing units, and other military facilities. The modernization program is an important element in achieving progress toward an all-volunteer force. Atomic Energy Commission.—Outlays for construction of atomic energy facilities are expected to decline from 1971 to 1972. Work will continue on the world's largest accelerator for research in high energy physics, and a medium energy physics accelerator at Los Alamos, N. Mex., will be virtually completed. Outlays will increase for construction of the fast flux test facility for the fast breeder civilian power reactor development program, but outlays for facilities to provide new weapons capabilities will decline. Major modifications to existing weapons facilities will be made to further improve fire prevention and safety features. AID TO COOPERATIVES AND NONPROFIT GROUPS In some instances, private nonprofit institutions provide services similar to those provided by State and local governments and are also eligible for Federal aid. Federal outlays to aid construction by such private institutions are included in table Q-7, but are not included in the totals for public works in other parts of this analysis. Table Q-7. FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR CONSTRUCTION BY COOPERATIVES A N D N O N P R O F I T G R O U P S (not included in public works) (in millions of dollars) Program and agency 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Expenditures: Grants for private construction: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Medical facilities construction National Institutes of Health: Health, educational, research and library facilities Office of Education: Higher education facilities Gallaudet College Howard University 150 133 57 101 2 2 61 97 1 14 53 46 1 11 312 306 234 492 528 510 6 70 41 9 109 -205 6 58 51 -194 30 -223 Total net lending 472 449 367 Total Federal outlays 784 755 601 Total expenditures Lending: Department of Agriculture: Rural Electrification Administration : Electrification and telephone facilities Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Medical facilities Office of Education: Higher education facilities Department of Housing and Urban Development: College housing Repayments 123 262 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table Q-8. FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars) By major function and agency BUDGET AUTHORITY Function, agency, and program 1970 actual OUTLAYS 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3.5 5.8 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 0.9 4.8 4.5 .1 .1 CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS International Affairs and Finance Department of State: Foreign Service buildings Cultural and Technical Interchange Center, Hawaii (grant) International Center, Washington, D.C. (grant) United States Information Agency: Radio facilities and special international exhibitions .2 .2 .2 .2 11.5 7.7 5.0 Total international affairs andfinance 3.7 6.0 12.6 12.7 9.7 53.2 25.0 56.3 54.3 50.0 43.0 2.4 4.6 10.3 6.1 8.6 1.4 1.4 .6 2.9 .3 4.8 .3 4.4 .2 21.9 38.2 61.0 Space Research and Technology National Aeronautics and Space Administration: Research and space flight facilities Agriculture and Rural Development Department of Agriculture: Laboratories, research facilities, and Library Cooperative State Research Service: Grants for research facilities Soil Conservation Service: Grants for resource conservation and development. Plant materials center Farmers Home Administration: Grants for rural water and sewer systems Rural renewal loans Grants for farm labor housing Total agriculture and rural development. _ 1.0 3.4 .4 5.7 .3 46.0 100.0 5.2 -.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.2 4.0 2.0 55.7 113.1 7.7 41.8 54.9 76.7 263 SPECIAL ANALYSES Table CH. FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program BUDGET AUTHORITY OUTLAYS 1971 estimate 1972 estimate .7 82.2 .6 91.2 .6 89.4 .5 74.3 .6 79.3 .6 78.5 181.9 186.5 200.5 114.7 143.1 158.8 742.0 12.9 19.4 894.7 27.6 5.9 894.2 26.7 1.0 747.7 18.1 19.4 950.2 29.6 5.9 945.0 27.8 1.0 14.5 16.8 22.4 16.1 21.0 15.4 35.6 101.9 140.0 26.0 33.8 60. 5 3.8 2.9 .5 3.6 3.1 3 4.3 5.1 4.4 3.2 6.7 5. 0 48.4 38.2 87.6 32.0 35.4 59.5 305.5 229.0 212.6 174.5 225. 2 264.1 4.9 —1.4 .8 8.4 -1.5 .1 10.0 -1.5 4.4 -1.4 .8 5. 1 -1. 5 1 14.5 -1.5 94.7 88.2 90.0 101.9 92. 5 92.2 3.1 1.0 1.9 3.1 3. 6 2.5 .4 .3 .6 6 .4 14.6 .9 4.5 1970 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued Natural Resources Department of Agriculture: Soil Conservation Service: Flood prevention and watershed protection: Direct work Grants Forest Service: Roads, research, recreational and protective facilitiesJ Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers—Civil: Flood control, navigation and multiple-purpose projects with power Trust funds Grants Department of the Interior: Bureau of Land Management: Roads and other facilities __ Bureau of Outdoor Recreation: Grants for recreation facilities Office of Coal Research: Demonstration plants Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife: Facilities National Park Service: Parkways, roads, buildings and utilities^ Bureau of Reclamation: Irrigation and multiple-purpose projects with power l Small irrigation projects: Loans Repayments Grants Power transmission facilities: Bonneville Power Administration Southwestern Power Administration Office of Saline Water: Facilities Department of State: International Boundary and Water Commission: Water resources projects and Chamizal settlement See footnotes at end of table. 6.2 10.4 264 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table Q-8. FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program BUDGET AUTHORITY 1972 1970 1971 actual istimate stimate OUTLAYS 1970 actual 1972 stimate 1971 CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued Natural Resources—Con. Environmental Protection Agency: Buildings and facilities Grants for waste treatment and other facilities Tennessee Valley Authority: Power, water resources, and chemical facilities Total natural resources.. 1.0 1.4 2.6 803.3 1,006.0 2,005.1 179.0 427.4 1,004.5 28.7 3,283.9 33.5 348.4 538.3 608.6 2,386.0 6,001.4 3,825.1 1,868. 7 2,605.9 3,350. 3 226.3 235.3 216.8 160.7 223.0 229.9 .8 3.0 134.3 39.9 -1.0 139.3 27.9 -.6 144.4 24.0 -.7 .5 6.6 7.4 3.1 .9 .1 1.9 1.2 1.2 11.1 12.7 11.5 17.8 25.9 25.0 Commerce and Transportation Funds appropriated to the President: Appalachian regional development programs: Grants for highways, education, and health facilities Public works acceleration: Grants Department of Commerce: Economic Development Administration: Development facilities: Grants Loans Repayments Regional Action Planning Commissions: Grants for regional development facilities National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: Structures _ Grants for facilities National Bureau of Standards: Buildings Maritime Administration: Improvements Department of Defense—Civil: Panama Canal Company: Canal and harbor improvements Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Roads. ___ -._ See footnotes at end of table. 163.2 11.3 .4 146.0 14.0 146.0 14.0 23.6 23.6 1.2 2.1 .2 30.0 30.0 .2 30.0 .4 SPECIAL 265 ANALYSES Table Q-8. FEDERAL PUBLIC W O R K S ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program OUTLAYS BUDGET AUTHORITY 1970 actual 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 28.2 13.2 36.3 33.0 31.0 34.8 1.9 7.0 19.6 1.3 4.7 10.5 224.0 538.3 392.0 106.9 167.0 220.0 920.0 193.2 15.0 83.2 134.0 147.0 4.0 14.5 21.5 3 4. 1 6.8 47.1 46.6 -19.2 32. 9 28. 4 31.6 5,378.7 100.0 501.1 100.0 5,595.0 4,279. 3 3. 1 4,575. 4 35. 0 4,565.9 35.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 2.7 4.0 9.0 142.0 14.0 3,019.4 48.0 30.0 -84.8 102.3 22.0 287.2 -.2 14.0 177.2 57.0 -57.2 .1 .3 .3 76.9 271.8 236.1 CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued Commerce and Transportation—Con. Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Shore facilities and navigation aids Federal Aviation Administration: Dulles and National Airports Airway system investment and development (trust funds) 3 Airport grants (trust funds) 3 Federal Highway Administration: Grants for highway safety, rail-highway crossings, territorial and Chamizal highways Forest and public lands highway grants (trust funds) 3 Federal-aid highways and other trust funds: Grants Loans. Federal Railroad Administration: Research facilities,__ Urban Mass Transportation Administration: Transportation facilities: Research facilities Grants Loans Repayments St. Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation: Alterations Postal Service: Post offices, improvements and alterations. _ Federal Communications Commission : Facilities Total commerce transportation 476.6 344.8 .1 (2) and See footnotes at end of table. 101.2 -.2 7,382.4 10,430.3 6,794.9 5,087.8 5,887.7 6,051.1 266 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table Q-8 FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency BUDGET AUTHORITY Function, agency, and program 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate OUTLAYS 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued C o m m u n i t y Development and Housing Department of Housing and Urban Development: Low-rent public housing: Loans Repayments New community assistance grants Grants for neighborhood facilities Grants for water and sewer facilities Public facility loans Repayments. _ __ Liquidating programs: Loans Repayments . Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Headquarters Total community development and housing. _ 745.0 -733.0 826.0 -816.0 .6 2.0 23.4 33.0 38.0 109.0 43.7 -4.7 140.5 46.0 -5.8 170.0 40.0 -7.0 4.9 -6.5 6.0 -5.7 -2.0 -5.2 . .2 2.2 5.4 720.2 -721.4 2.5 5.0 5.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 135.0 350.0 8.4 . 185.9 395.0 45.0 168.9 228.8 251.2 11.1 3.0 10.9 3.0 5.0 9.3 3.9 31.1 12.0 19.8 12.0 13.3 59.8 43.0 _ 207.8 33.0 -1.5 194.3 26.9 -2.1 111.4 5.0 -2.5 17.5 11.7 10.7 73.0 -17.4 99.8 -29.4 57.6 -30.0 Education and Manpower Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Office of Education: Schools in federally affected areas: At Federal installations Grants _ Higher education facilities: Grants Loans Repayments Libraries and educational facilities (grants) Department of Housing and Urban Development: College housing loans Repayments Department of the Interior: Bureau of Indian Affairs: Schools and other facilities: Direct work Grants National Science Foundation: Research facilities 7.8 7.1 26.2 19.8 36.4 4.0 31.4 33.2 44.1 4.0 2.6 4.5 4.1 2.3 5.0 4.0 267 SPECIAL ANALYSES Table Q-8. FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency BUDGET AUTHORITY 1972 1970 1971 actual estimate estimate 1970 actual OUTLAYS 1972 1971 estimate estimate CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued Education and Manpower— Continued Smithsonian Institution: John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts Museums Total education and manpower 1.3 1.9 3.2 10.9 2.6 1.6 10.1 11.0 124.4 90.3 62.0 394.6 383.0 240.6 3.5 4.0 12.5 Health Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Food and Drug Administration: Buildings Environmental Health Service: Buildings Health Services and Mental Health Administration: Grants for mental health centers Grants for medical facilities. Loans for medical facilities _ Indian health facilities Grants for Indian health facilities Other facilities, including St. Elizabeths Hospital 1 . National Institutes of Health: Grants for health, educational research, and library facilities Buildings and facilities Social Security Administration: Buildings and district offices (trust funds) Environmental Protection Agency: Research facilities Total health 14.0 77.5 19.0 79.7 30.0 18.7 38.2 30.0 18.8 2.0 2.2 2.0 19.5 122.4 17.2 107.7 12.4 91.0 15.4 21.2 19.2 .3 2.2 .3 .2 .1 .1 3.8 9.3 5.2 95.9 105.8 78.5 3.3 87.6 3.2 85.8 5.0 99.8 7.8 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.8 1.8 .2 3.4 1.6 1.3 28.0 211.4 236.1 198.8 255.7 255.8 244.9 6.4 9.2 9.7 6.4 9.2 9.7 6.4 9.2 9.7 6.4 9.2 9.7 Income Security Social Security Administration: Buildings and district offices (trust funds) Total income security See footnotes at end of table. 268 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 7*2 Table Q-8 FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program BUDGET AUTHORITY 1970 actual OUTLAYS 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate .6 .2 2.3 .1 2.9 .1 .6 .8 2.3 .6 2.8 .1 81.4 74.6 110.2 79.6 86.6 127.2 4.0 7.5 8.0 3.5 .1 5.0 (2) CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS— Continued Veterans Benefits and Services Department of Defense—Civil: Army: Cemeteries Soldiers' Home (trust fund) _ Veterans Administration: Medical care facilities. Grants for construction of State extended care facilities . ... Corregidor-Bataan Memorial. Total veterans benefits and services. 86.2 84.6 121.2 84.5 94.5 6.3 16.2 71.1 .6 7.1 __ 7.5 _ 137.6 General Government Legislative Branch: Architect of the Capitol: Buildings and James Madison Memorial Library. __ United States Tax Court: Court building Department of Defense—Civil: Army: Power and water systems, Ryukyu Islands: Loan repayments._N Panama Canal: Improvements . Department of the Interior: Office of Territories: Public facilities in Samoa, Guam, and the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands: Grants Loans Repayments Alaska public works: Loan repayments.. Department of Justice: Immigration and Naturalization Service: Border facilities Federal Prison System: Prison facilities Law Enforcement Assistance Administration: Grants for police stations, correctional institutions and court buildings See footnotes at end of table. 14.9 19.8 1.2 —.2 —.4 —.4 1.0 .6 3.6 1.7 2.0 2.6 23.1 4.8 -.3 31.2 4.4 -.4 27.8 5.5 -.5 18.0 2.2 -.3 21.2 5.3 -.4 37.8 4.9 -.5 -(2) ~(2) ~(2) .3 1.6 .4 .1 .6 1.3 .1 18.4 57.0 2.2 2.3 42.9 13.5 50.3 79.3 1.5 22.7 64.0 SPECIAL 269 ANALYSES Table Q-8. FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program BUDGET AUTHORITY 1970 actual OUTLAYS 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 5.0 36.5 .2 .2 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate CIVIL PUBLIC WORKSContinued General Government—Con. Treasury Department: Federal Law Enforcement Training Center Bureau of Customs: Border facilities Bureau of Engraving and Printing: Air conditioning.. Bureau of the Mint: Philadelphia, and Denver Mints Secret Service: Training facilities General Services Administration: Construction of public buildings, sites and planning Central Intelligence Agency: Headquarters District of Columbia: Grants Loans Repayments Grant to Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority 1.0 1.8 1.5 .7 2.1 7.5 (2) .2 2 .1 .2 4.0 1.8 3.1 .5 .7 .1 ( ) 72.7 226.3 270.0 130.1 143.9 216.9 61.5 -3.3 34.2 -4.0 62.8 -4.9 88.7 -3.3 122.4 -4.0 142.8 -4.9 126.1 180.0 188.0 15.8 100.0 112.2 Total general government 309.6 564.4 813.7 262.0 428.0 651.8 Total civil public works__ 10,801.2 17,952.9 11,940.5 8,237.2 10,010.5 11,066.7 34.1 124.2 46.1 217.0 25.4 284.9 11.3 149.3 12.5 153.5 39.4 201.7 1.9 1.8 3.2 5 4.5 3.7 1.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 .3 259.8 607.0 592.2 410.7 459.0 663.0 10.0 10.0 33.5 8.0 10.4 11.2 9.6 5.4 7.9 7A 13.1 15.9 10.1 8.0 4.0 10.0 NATIONAL DEFENSE PUBLIC WORKS Department of Defense—Military: Interservice activities: Construction, Defense agencies Family housing Civil defense: Grants for emergency centers - _ .._ Civil defense facilities Army: Construction Construction, Army Reserve Construction, Army National Guard: Grants _- Direct work _ See footnotes at end of table. .9 4.2 270 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 197»2 Table Q-8 FEDERAL PUBLIC WORKS ACTIVITIES (in millions of dollars)—Con. By major function and agency Function, agency, and program BUDGET AUTHORITY 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 300.0 305.1 417.8 9.6 5.0 284.7 OUTLAYS 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 326.2 328.9 430.8 10.9 7.2 7.4 7.9 284.3 316.6 348.2 316.0 295.0 5.3 4.0 5.7 5.6 5.2 3.5 13.2 8.0 10.6 11.9 9.5 9.8 1,059.6 1,505.2 1,731.1 1,294.7 1,320.3 1,680.0 184.5 206.1 206.7 259.0 276.6 232.0 1,244.1 1,711.3 1,937.8 1,553.7 1,596.9 1,911.9 Total civil and defense public works 12,045.3 19,664.2 13,878.2 9,790.9 11,607.4 12,978.6 NATIONAL DEFENSE PUBLIC WORKS-Con. Department of Defense—Military—Continued Navy: Construction Construction, Naval Reserve... Air Force: Construction....... _ Construction, Air Force Reserve... ..__ Construction, Air National Guard..... Total, Department of Defense-Military.. Atomic Energy Commission: Facilities Total national defense public works 1 2 3 Includes small amounts from trust funds. Less than $50 thousand. Includes amounts from predecessor program financed from general funds. SPECIAL ANALYSIS R FEDERAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS The 1972 Budget reflects a further positive and concerted effort to apply science and technology to assist in achieving a broad range of national goals. Total Federal obligations for the conduct of research and development will increase by 7.6%, from $15.6 billion in 1971 to $16.7 billion in 1972. Expenditures will increase from $15.3 billion to $15.7 billion. In addition, $0.6 billion will be obligated for research and development facilities in 1972. Expenditures for this purpose will also be $0.6 billion in 1972. In addition to increased direct funding, steps being taken by the Federal Government through regulation and control will stimulate nonfederally financed research and development. For example, more stringent air quality standards for automobile emissions will encourage private research and development on improved engines to lessen pollution. CONDUCT OF EESEAECH AND DEVELOPMENT Through the funds included in the 1972 budget for the conduct of research and development the Nation can make greater use of its scientific capabilities and resources to deal more effectively with major national problems. For example: • Research on cancer will be accelerated through a new $100 million program; • Research in the Department of Transportation on highway safety will increase by $28 million, or 100%; • Research and development for an improved air traffic control system will increase by $14 million or 16% in 1972; • Research and development by the Department of Justice to improve law enforcement and reduce crime will more than double in 1972; • Research in the marine and atmospheric sciences under the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will increase the equivalent of 10% over 1971; • NASA will launch an experimental Earth Resources Technology Satellite to demonstrate the use of satellite information in the management of our natural resources; • The Atomic Energy Commission program to develop a liquidmetal fast-breeder power reactor to help meet growing electric power needs will increase by $18 million, or more than 20%, over 1971; and • Support by the National Science Foundation of a broad range of environmental research will increase by $66 million or 60% in 1972. The 1972 increase also provides for strengthening defense research and development to meet changing threats in this vital area of national 271 272 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 concern. The increase of $909 million in Defense obligations for research and development in 1972 will: Assure continued strategic effectiveness; Provide for modernization of U.S. forces committed to NATO; Improve the effectiveness and protection of the individual soldier; Provide for modernization of the naval forces of this country; and Strengthen the technological base which supplies knowledge for long-range military development. Finally the 1972 Budget provides additional funds to promote basic and applied research essential to the general advancement of technology and economic growth and to the long-term progress of society. This is reflected in part in the budget of the National Science Foundation which provides for an overall increase in research and development from $343 million in 1971 to $495 million in 1972. Conduct of Research and Development (Obligations) $ Billions 18 — Tot 15 — I960 1962 Fiscal Years 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 Estimate SPECIAL ANALYSES 273 Table R-l. CONDUCT OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENTi (in millions of dollars) Obligations Department or agency ]f)7Q actual Defense—Military functions National Aeronautics and Space Administration Health, Education, and Welfare Atomic Energy Commission Transportation National Science Foundation Agriculture Interior Commerce 2 Environmental Protection Agency 2___ Office of Economic Opportunity Veterans Administration Housing and Urban Development Smithsonian Institution Justice Labor All other Total ]9J] ]()J2 Expenditures ]97, 19?2 actual estimate estimate ]97Q estimate estimate 7,338 7,400 8,309 7,424 7,543 7,734 3,825 1,251 1,346 315 288 289 160 124 75 101 59 30 20 10 21 79 3,382 1,506 1,307 468 343 312 188 157 118 116 62 52 22 11 24 87 3,215 1,637 1,251 566 495 321 213 181 132 100 62 49 31 25 25 125 3,699 1,235 1,346 246 293 288 153 118 38 76 58 14 20 5 20 64 3,319 1,359 1,307 414 330 309 188 133 82 88 61 55 24 14 24 82 3,109 1,477 1,251 543 403 314 207 151 96 94 62 50 31 21 25 98 15,331 15,555 16,737 15,098 15,332 15,666 1 In this table and tables R-3, R-4, and R-5 "obligations" and "expenditures" for AEC are both accrued costs which approximate obligations and expenditures for analysis purposes. Detail in all tables may not add to totals due to rounding. For ease of comparison, tables R - l , R-4, and R-5 are listed in the same agency sequence. 2 The obligations and expenditures reported for Commerce and the Environmental Protection Agency in this and the following tables for 1970 and 1971 include a portion, but not all, of the research and development activities conducted by other agencies in these years and transferred to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of Commerce in October 1970 under Reorganization Plan No. 4 of 1970, or to the Environmental Protection Agency in December 1970 under Reorganization Plan No. 3 of 1970. Therefore, the 1970 and 1971 figures for these agencies do not reflect the full level of the activities transferred to the new agencies. Figures for the other agencies are adjusted to avoid duplication or omission. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT FACILITIES Obligations for the support and construction of facilities to conduct research and development will decrease by $132 million, from $718 million in 1971 to $586 million in 1972. The decrease in 1972 results chiefly from a decline in the overall construction program of the Atomic Energy Commission due to completion of projects initiated in prior years. Among the projects included in the 1972 budget of the Commission are funds for continued construction of the 200 Bev accelerator for high energy physics and the fast flux test facility related to further development of civilian nuclear power. 430-700 0—71 18 274 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table R-2. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Department or agency j ^ Obligations ~ i972 1970 Expenditures wf\ 1972 al Defense—Military functions National Aeronautics and Space Administration Health, Education, and Welfare Atomic Energy Commission Transportation National Science Foundation All other Total 140 162 160 141 163 153 33 12 264 5 26 17 92 10 354 26 24 50 56 13 243 56 21 37 54 5 270 4 31 28 50 16 312 21 29 36 43 22 272 39 28 35 497 718 586 534 628 592 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT IN COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES A significant measure of Federal support of science is the level of grant and contract funds to universities for research and development. Major growth is estimated in the 1972 budget for this purpose with a larger role for the National Science Foundation in such support. Total obligations for the conduct of research and development in universities will increase by 14.7%, from $1,653 million in 1971 to $1,896 million in 1972. Through the funds of the National Science Foundation, as well as other agencies, support is provided not only to insure the vitality of fundamental research efforts but also to develop and support focused research efforts to increase our understanding of the major problems of society and their solution, and to advance the Nation's economic growth and welfare. The increase in research will also provide for the training of a greater number of science and engineering graduate students through employment on the research projects, and will help develop needed capabilities in academic institutions to undertake research on important national, regional, and local problems. Table R-3. CONDUCT OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT IN COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES * (in millions of dollars) Expenditures Obligations Department or agency Health, Education, and Welfare National Science Foundation Defense—Military functions National Aeronautics and Space Administration Atomic Energy Commission Agriculture All other Total 1970 actual 1972 1971 estimate estimate 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 649 225 218 773 253 207 880 381 205 628 272 222 685 252 208 744 298 209 131 100 68 88 125 95 77 123 110 86 83 152 143 100 65 72 138 95 76 109 128 86 81 132 1,479 1,653 1,896 1,502 1,565 1,678 1970 actual 1 Amounts reported in this table are included in the totals for conduct of research and development in table R-1 SPECIAL ANALYSES 275 CONDUCT OF RESEARCH This section and the following section cover separately the conduct of research and the conduct of development, which are treated together in the sections above. The capability of this Nation to develop new products and services, ranging from weapons systems to the cure of cancer, depends on the continued and sustained investment in a broad range of research, both basic and applied. The 1972 budget reflects increased Federal support for a widening range of research. Total obligations for research will increase from $5,959 million in 1971 to $6,509 million in 1972. Expenditures will go from $5,775 million in 1971 to $6,115 million in 1972. Significantly, the portion of funds obligated for research outside of defense, atomic energy and space programs will increase by 13.8% from $2,541 million in 1971 to $2,891 million in 1972. This reflects continuation of efforts to make more effective use of research in newer areas of national concern. Table R-4. CONDUCT OF RESEARCH (in millions of dollars) Department or agency Defense-Military functions National Aeronautics and Space Ad" ministration Health, Education, and Welfare Atomic Energy Commission Transportation National Science Foundation Agriculture Interior Commerce . Environmental Protection Agency Office of Economic Opportunity Veterans Administration Housing and Urban Development Smithsonian Institution Justice Labor All other Total f^j actual Obligations Expenditures ~ ~T970 1^971 1972 1972 estimate estimate actual estimate estimate 1,549 1,472 1,625 1,577 1,494 1,577 1,428 1,140 433 48 273 280 120 85 44 21 56 7 20 7 11 40 1,523 1,369 423 55 324 302 133 104 74 23 60 13 22 8 12 42 1,582 1,478 411 65 468 311 150 130 83 25 60 13 31 16 13 49 1,381 1,140 433 41 280 278 116 85 26 20 57 4 20 3 11 34 1,495 1,243 423 47 315 299 134 95 47 22 59 13 24 10 12 43 1,530 1,338 411 58 384 304 146 110 57 23 60 9 31 14 13 50 5,564 5,959 6,509 5,506 5,775 6,115 CONDUCT OF DEVELOPMENT Development draws on knowledge gained from research for the design, testing and evaluation of new and improved materials, processes and systems. Federal funding for development has been mainly in support of defense, space and atomic energy programs where the Government is the primary consumer of the products developed. The substantial increase in funding for development in 1972 is largely attributable to Defense requirements for new and improved weapons systems and equipment. There is also a significant 276 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 increase for development in the Department of Transportation, particularly for improved urban mass transportation. Total obligations for development will increase from $9,595 million in 1971 to $10,228 million in 1972; and expenditures will increase from $9,557 million in 1971 to $9,550 million in 1972. Table R-5. CONDUCT OF DEVELOPMENT (in millions of dollars) Obligations Department or agency | 9 ? 0 actual Defense—Military functions National Aeronautics and Space Administration Health, Education, and Welfare Atomic Energy Commission Transportation National Science Foundation Agriculture Interior Commerce Environmental Protection Agency Office of Economic Opportunity Veterans Administration Housing and Urban Development Justice Labor All other Total ]9?] Expenditures | 9 ? 2 1 9 ? 0 , 9 7 2 estimate 5.789 5,928 6,684 5.848 6.050 2.397 110 913 267 15 9 40 39 31 80 2 23 3 9 40 1,859 137 883 413 18 10 55 53 44 93 2 39 3 12 46 1,633 159 840 501 27 10 63 51 49 75 2 36 8 12 78 2.318 95 913 205 13 9 37 33 12 57 2 10 1 9 30 1.824 116 883 367 15 10 54 38 35 67 2 42 4 11 39 1,579 139 840 485 19 10 61 41 39 70 2 41 7 12 48 9,767 9,595 9,592 9,557 9,550 10,228 actual ]f)?] estimate estimate estimate 6,157 PROGRAMS OF AGENCIES WITH MAJOR RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE—MILITARY The total Department of Defense 1972 obligations for research and development, including facilities, will increase by $907 million over the 1971 level, reaching a total of $8,469 million. For the conduct of research, obligations in 1972 are estimated to increase by $153 million. Continued emphasis will be given to areas of fundamental and applied research of military significance such as electronics, oceanography, materials science and lasers. Obligations for development programs and operation of test and evaluation facilities will reach a level of $6,684 million in 1972, an increase of $756 million above the 1971 level. This increase will provide for programs in the strategic areas that are essential to assure the future effectiveness of our deterrent capability. These include the B - l aircraft, antiballistic missile defense and the undersea long-range ballistic missile system (ULMS). The increase will also provide for major improvements in the capability of our general purpose forces and will fund new initiatives, including support for the individual soldier, suppression of enemy air defense, and accurate artillery fire. Increases in tactical warfare programs include the F-15 fighter to establish and maintain air superiority and the AX close-air support SPECIAL ANALYSES 277 aircraft. For naval forces, program emphasis will be given to new designs for ships and submarines and to antisubmarine warfare and fleet defense. Partially offsetting these increases are decreases for systems phasing down or completing development. These include the F-14 fighter/ interceptor, the Minuteman intercontinental ballistic missile system, the Poseidon fleet ballistic missile system, the S-3A antisubmarine warfare aircraft, the Air Force short-range attack missile, the F - l l l tactical fighter, the Mk-48 torpedo, and the Army Lance missile system. In addition, funding of the Eastern Test Range will be transferred in 1972 from the Air Force research, development, test and evaluation appropriation to the Air Force operations and maintenance appropriation and, therefore, is not included in the 1972 development total. A more detailed explanation of development trends is given in the budget appendix on pages 310-316. Table R-6. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE—MILITARY RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Purpose and budget title Conduct of research and development: Research, development, test, and evaluation: Military sciences Aircraft and related equipment Missiles and related equipment Military astronautics and related equipment Ships, small craft, and related equipment Ordnance, combat vehicles, and related equipment Other equipment Programwide management and support Emergency fund Other appropriations Total, conduct of research and development, obligations. Total, conduct of research, included above Total, conduct of development, included above Research and development facilities, obligations Total obligations 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 494 497 545 1,457 2,185 1,704 2,024 2,069 2,069 618 317 311 462 324 330 504 496 363 1,147 1,204 1,399 443 448 50 357 490 50 324 1,549 5,789 7,400 1,472 5,928 8,309 1,625 6,684 140 162 160 7,478 7,562 8,469 366 7,338 NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION All activities of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration are classified as research and development and are included in this analysis. With the phasedown of the Apollo lunar landing program, emphasis in space activities is moving toward a balanced program which will be guided by three purposes—exploration, scientific knowledge, and practical application. In the area of manned space flight, in addition to completion of the remaining Apollo missions, there will be an increase in the earth orbital manned flight program for Skylab, an experimental manned space station to test man's ability to live and 278 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 work in space. To reduce substantially the cost of future space operations in earth orbit, development will begin on the engine for a space shuttle. Research funding for space sciences will support the design of experiments and instrumentation for the Grand Tour unmanned missions to the outer planets in the late 1970's. Similar support will be provided for the 1975 Viking unmanned orbiter-lander exploration of Mars. Increases will occur in space astronomy to provide for initial development of the High Energy Astronomy Observatory which will study celestial X-ray and gamma-ray sources and cosmic rays. Funding in space applications will provide for the launch of an experimental Earth Resources Technology Satellite, which is to demonstrate the use of space acquired information in the management of natural resources. Work will continue on advancing satellite capabilities in communications, navigation, geodesy, and meteorology. Development will be initiated on a Short Take Off and Landing (STOL) aircraft to provide technology for improved short haul transportation systems. The level of effort on the long-term joint NASA/AEC nuclear rocket development program (NERVA) will be reduced in order to concentrate resources on specific space missions now envisaged in the 1970's. Table R-7. NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATIONRESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Program and type of activity Conduct of research: Manned space flight Space sciences Space applications Space Research and Technology Aeronautical Research and Technology Supporting activities Research and program management 1970 actual 148.0 315.7 131.4 143.3 95. 7 165.2 424.2 Subtotal, research plan Subtotal, research obligations Conduct of development: Manned space flight Space sciences Space applications Space Research and Technology Supporting activities Research and program management 1,423.5 (1,428.4) Subtotal, development plan Subtotal, development obligations Research and development facilities, budget plan Research and development facilities, obligations 2,389.2 (2,397.1) 50.1 (33.4) 1,882.0 65.7 6.6 32.1 124.8 278.0 1971 estimate 168.9 310.2 159.1 127.6 102.0 172.9 433.3 1972 estimate 135.3 470.7 185.9 104.0 110.0 156.6 419.6 1,474.0 1,582.1 (1,523.0) (1,582.1) 1,262.2 74.7 19.3 37.0 121.1 285.1 1,151.2 74.1 18.5 111.4 277.8 1,799.4 1,633.0 (1,859.2) (1,633.0) 25.0 56. 3 (92.1) (56.3) Total budget plan 3,862.8 3,298.4 3,271.4 Total obligations 3,858.9 3,474.3 3,271.4 SPECIAL ANALYSES 279 HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE Obligations for research and development by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare will increase by $134 million to a level of $1,650 million in 1972. Biomedical research and development will continue to grow in 1972 with particular emphasis on disease prevention. Areas to receive continued emphasis include research on heart and lung disease, sickle cell anemia, dental caries, family planning, infant and child health, environmental pollution, drug abuse and alcoholism. An additional $100 million in 1972 will fund a special cancer research initiative. Further details about Federal biomedical programs may be found in Special Analysis K of this volume. The Office of Education supports a broad range of efforts to improve education through experimentation, development and demonstrations. Although the total research and development program will decline slightly, increased support will be provided in 1972 for an experimental schools program to test and develop, in a comprehensive fashion, alternative methods of improving the learning of children in actual school situations. Greater emphasis will also be placed on the Sesame Street program for pre-school-aged children, and on a national assessment of the educational attainment of the population. Table R-8. HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE—RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Activity 1970 actual Conduct of research and development: National Institutes of Health Health Services and Mental Health Administration Office of Education Social and Rehabilitation Service Food and Drug Administration All other Subtotal, research and development Research and development facilities Total obligations 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 869 177 88 52 21 44 ,054 195 134 64 24 35 32 1,251 12 1,506 10 1,637 13 1,263 1,516 1,650 1,179 218 122 57 29 ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION Operating costs of the Atomic Energy Commission for conduct of research and development will decrease from $1,307 million in 1971 to $1,251 million in 1972, and obligations for related construction and equipment will total $243 million in 1972, as compared to $354 million in 1971. Funds for AEC's basic and applied research programs in the physical and biomedical sciences and in weapons technology will decline by approximately $12 million from the 1971 level, essentially all in the physical research program. 280 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 AEC's development programs include design and testing of nuclear weapons, development of advanced reactors for power and propulsion, and development of peaceful uses of radioisotopes and nuclear explosives. Funds for development programs will decline by about $43 million from the 1971 level. These reductions are primarily in the underground testing of nuclear weapons; in the NERVA nuclear rocket engine development program, which will be reduced in scope; and in the development of small electric power systems for space applications. These reductions will be partially offset by a significant acceleration of the program to develop an economic liquid-metal fast-breeder power reactor. The AEC budget for research and development facilities in 1972 provides for obligations of $243 million, which is $111 million less than the 1971 level. This reduction is primarily due to completion of construction projects initiated in prior years. Included in the 1972 amount is $48 million of obligations for continuation of construction of the 200 Bev accelerator for high energy physics near Chicago. Also included is $22 million of obligations for the fast flux test facility at Hanford, Wash., which will be used in the fast-breeder power reactor development program. Table R-9. ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION—RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Activity Conduct of research: Physical research Biomedical research Weapons research Other programs Total, conduct of research, obligations Conduct of development: Reactor development Weapons development and testing Special nuclear materials (production) Plowshare Other programs Total, conduct of development, obligations Research and development facilities obligations Total obligations 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 278 87 66 2 272 86 64 1 260 86 64 1 433 423 411 423 436 28 14 12 434 402 26 7 14 412 380 30 5 13 913 883 840 264 354 243 1,610 1,660 1,494 DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION Obligations for the Department of Transportation for research and development, including facilities, will increase from $495 million in 1971 to $622 million in 1972. For air transportation, obligations will increase from $87 million in 1971 to $102 million in 1972. This will permit the continuation of advanced research and development on equipment and techniques to SPECIAL ANALYSES 281 fully automate certain elements of the air traffic control system so that the system will be capable of handling increasing volumes of aircraft safely. Also, obligations for development of a civil supersonic transport will increase slightly from $234 million to $235 million in 1972. For ground transportation, obligations will increase by 66%, from $143 million in 1971 to $237 million in 1972. In the case of highways, much of the total increase from $52 million in 1971 to $85 million in 1972 is in the highway safety program. Funds will be allocated for additional demonstrations of measures to control driving by chronic alcoholics, and for improving the lifesaving characteristics of motor vehicle structures and systems. Additionally, major funding will be used for highway planning and research grants to States and for direct programs for research and development on reduction in traffic congestion, improved highway durability, and bridge structural safety. In the area of urban mass transportation, obligations for research and development will increase by $51 million, and research and development related to railroads will increase by $9 million. The increases are for initiating projects that will involve constructing new types of urban transportation systems in selected localities, for expanding railroad safety research in order to reduce loss of life and property caused by railroad accidents, and to continue work on high-speed, ground transportation systems. For water transportation, obligations will increase by $6 million to $22 million in 1972. The increase includes efforts directed toward search and rescue effectiveness, and development of commercial vessel safety standards, maritime pollution control and abatement systems, and more effective means for reducing pollution. In all of the Department's research and development projects, increased attention will be given to the environmental effects of transportation and to the study of multi- and inter-modal transportation systems and technology. NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION National Science Foundation obligations for research, development and related facilities will increase by $149 million, from $367 million in 1971 to $516 million in 1972. This increase results from a substantial growth in the total Foundation budget, and from an important change in emphasis in NSF programs toward increased support for research project efforts and away from support of programs for the general expansion of training and research capacity. This increase will provide a larger role for the Foundation in the total Federal support of research. The Foundation's scientific research project support will be increased substantially in 1972 to permit support of important basic research efforts which have previously received support from other agencies, and to increase research efforts in those areas of basic research where new knowledge is required to solve some of the serious environmental and social problems facing the Nation. There w^ill be significant increases for research in the environmental, biological, physical and social sciences. 282 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Provision has been made in 1972 for the support of the National Magnet Laboratory and the Interdisciplinary Laboratories (materials research laboratories) now funded by the Department of Defense. Funds are also included for the transfer of funding responsibility for logistic support for the U.S. Antarctic research program from the Department of Defense to the Foundation. The Foundation's national and special research programs will be more than doubled in 1972 to permit expansion and initiation of major coordinated research efforts focused on the development of scientific knowledge for the solution of national problems and advancing the Nation's technology and economic productivity. Table R-10. NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION—RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Program and type of activity 1970 actual Conduct of research: Scientific research project support: Physical sciences and mathematics Environmental sciences Biological and medical Social sciences and engineering National and special research programs: International biological program Other environmental sciences research Polar research programs Oceanographic research ship operations and facilities Research focused on major national problems National research centers: Astronomy research Atmospheric research All other research Subtotal, conduct of research Conduct of development Research and development facilities Total obligations 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 64 25 41 32 71 27 44 34 96 37 58 67 4 8 7 8 12 7 24 10 8 29 10 31 30 14 74 14 10 48 17 14 39 273 15 26 324 18 24 18 17 16 468 27 21 314 367 516 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Obligations for the Department of Agriculture for research and development, excluding related facilities, will increase from $312 million in 1971 to $321 million in 1972. The cooperative relationship with the State Agricultural Experiment Stations and schools of forestry will be further strengthened in 1972 and additional funds are provided for Federal sharing of increased costs. The research capabilities of the 16 colleges established by the Second Morrill Act of 1890 will be expanded in keeping with the administration's concern to assist minority institutions of higher education. Research emphasis in the Department will continue to be focused on solving environmental pollution problems, including disposal of animal wastes and devising safer means of pest control. Additional funding is provided for research on plant microorganisms or viruses, seeking methods to prevent widespread destruction of crops if these agents were ever introduced into this country. SPECIAL ANALYSES 283 DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR Obligations for the Department of the Interior for research, development, and related facilities will increase from $197 million in 1971 to $217 million in 1972. Obligations for the Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, which has been transferred to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the Department of Commerce, and the Federal Water Quality Administration, which is now part of the Environmental Protection Agency, are not included in the above figures. There will again be a substantial increase for research on ways to reduce health and safety hazards in coal and metal-nonmetallic mining. Emphasis will be placed on fire, explosion, and cave-in prevention, and the reduction of dusts that cause respiratory diseases. Obligations for this program will increase from $4 million in 1970 to $21 million in 1971 and $33 million in 1972. Research and development will also be increased on technology for conversion of coal to fuel gas and synthetic petroleum in order to augment present reserves of energy resources. Research will also be intensified on magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), a promising technology involving direct conversion of fuel to electricity. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Research and development by the Department of Commerce will increase by $24 million to $181 million in 1972, primarily due to increases in the oceanic and atmospheric related activities of the new National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). NOAA came into existence on October 3, 1970, as a result of Reorganization Plan No. 4. It is comprised of various marine related activities which were formerly in the Departments of the Interior, Defense, and Transportation, and the National Science Foundation, and the activities of the former Environmental Science Services Administration of the Department of Commerce. In 1972, NOAA will strengthen its research on weather modification, improved detection and tracking of violent storms, and development of new methods for more accurate weather observation and forecasting. NOAA will also conduct research directed toward conservation, development, and improved management of our commercial fishery resources. NOAA will devote increased resources in 1972 to preparation for two international projects, the International Field Year for the Great Lakes and the tropical experiment of the Global Atmospheric Research Program. It will also provide necessary instrumentation for laboratory and onsite calibration of oceanographic instruments to improve the accuracy and reliability of oceanic data. Further details on the overall marine science programs of the Federal Government will be contained in the Fourth Annual Report of the Council on Marine Resources and Engineering Development. The National Bureau of Standards will expand its research programs aimed at development of improved standards of physical measurement, advancement in computer technology and pollution abatement technology, and development of industrial and consumer products standards. Additional emphasis will also be given to building technology and flammable fabrics research programs. 284 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table R-11. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE—RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED FACILITIES (in millions of dollars) Activities National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Bureau of Standards Maritime Administration Allother Subtotal, research and development Research and development facilities Total obligations 1970 1971 1972 69 30 12 13 89 32 23 13 109 34 25 13 124 3 157 10 181 4 127 167 185 ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY The Environmental Protection Agency will conduct research and development in the areas of water and air pollution, pesticides, radiation, and solid wastes. Obligations for research and development will be $155 million in 1972, including $23 million for facilities. In addition, but not included in this analysis, EPA will obligate $32 million for demonstration projects closely related to EPA's research and development efforts; and additional funds will be obligated to research and development from an $85 million request which will be transmitted separately for implementing new air quality and solid waste legislation and for expanding other EPA programs. Water quality research and development activities for 1972 will include control methods for industrial pollutants; agricultural pollution problems; and research relating to community drinking water requirements and general water quality programs, including pesticides, heavy metals (such as mercury and copper), nitrilotriacetic acid (NTA) and temperature and oxygen tolerances. Air quality research and development programs are carried out to determine the nature, extent and behavior of air pollutants and their effects on man, and to develop means for the control of pollutants. Increased emphasis in 1972 will be placed on fuel additives; community aspects of local air quality; emission standards for mobile air pollution sources; development of low pollution vehicles; and on a cost-sharing program with industry to develop technology for controlling sulfur oxides. Solid waste research and development activities will focus on means for achieving low-cost recovery and reuse of materials and energy and on incentives to encourage recycling. EPA will also carry out expanded research and studies on pesticides, radiation, and toxic materials. Obligations for research and development activities in 1970 and part of 1971 are based on programs which were conducted in the Departments of Health, Education, and Welfare; Interior; and Agriculture, and which were transferred to EPA on December 2, 1970. SPECIAL ANALYSES 285 Environmental protection and other Federal environmental activities are discussed more fully in Special Analysis O of this volume. OTHER SIGNIFICANT RESEARCH PROGRAMS The Department of Housing and Urban Development will obligate $49 million for research and development in 1972. Emphasis will shift from Operation Breakthrough, as it nears completion, to other research and technology areas, including developing ways to improve housing management and prevent the deterioration and abandonment of housing. Ongoing efforts which will continue include developing municipal and regional information systems, gathering and evaluating data on housing, improving community environment, and applying university resources to overcoming problems of housing and community development. Research and development by the Department of Justice will more than double in 1972, with an increase from $11 million in 1971 to $25 million in 1972. Emphasis will be given to applying research and development to improve law enforcement activities and reduce crime. The Office of Economic Opportunity will continue a substantial research and development effort, with 1972 obligations of $100 million. Research and development efforts include analysis of the causes of poverty, identification of needs, and the design, conduct, and evaluation of social experiment projects with the objective of alleviating poverty and promoting equality of opportunity. PART 4 ANALYTIC PROGRAM STRUCTURE 287 INTRODUCTION Part 4, Special Analysis S, presents the budgets of a number of agencies in terms of the program structure used for program planning and evaluation in each agency. Program structures rarely conform to the organizational structure or appropriation pattern of an agency. This presentation, therefore, provides a different perspective from the view presented in Part 6 of the Budget, and cannot be directly interrelated with those data. 288 SPECIAL ANALYSIS S SELECTED AGENCY BUDGETS BY PROGRAM CATEGORIES This analysis reports the budget authority of a number of Federal agencies by program structure for the years 1970, 1971, and 1972. This structure arose from efforts to identify more precisely the relationship between agency budgets and agency objectives. It is, therefore, different from the more frequently used appropriation structures, which may reflect programs, organizational structure, objects of expenditure, etc., and sometimes present the various operating segments of an agency. Program structures provide insight into the objectives of Federal agencies; and the allocation of budget authority provides a measure of the relative priorities of an agency's programs. For some programs, however, budget authority may not be the best measure of the agency's priorities or relative program levels. For example, a more meaningful measure for a loan program may be the commitments that flow from consideration of loan applications. Several caveats should be observed in using the data reported here. First, because program structures are created within each agency separately, there is no guarantee that similar program titles in different agencies describe identical objectives. Consequently, the amounts recommended for a particular program should not be cumulated across agency lines. In addition, the ability of agencies to attribute budget authority to the program structure varies widely, since the program structure often does not have a direct relationship to the appropriation structure which provides an operational basis for intra-agency budget allocations. Statistical allocations are used where necessary to distribute appropriation requests to program structures. Twenty-one agencies with budgets representing approximately 95% of the total recommended 1972 budget authority are included in this analysis. The Environmental Protection Agency, created in 1971, appears for the first time. As the program planning and evaluation systems of the several agencies continue to improve in coverage and precision, the limitations described above will tend to disappear, and the ability of Government executives to allocate funds efficiently, on the basis of more accurate knowledge of the costs and effects of Federal programs, will be increased significantly. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE The 15 program categories of the Department of Agriculture, plus General administration and Program support, reflect the goals of increasing the capacity to produce those agricultural and forest products needed for domestic and export consumption Avhile assuring adequate returns to producers, expanding export markets, assuring a 430-700 0—71 19 289 290 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 decent home for every American, eliminating hunger and malnutrition in the pnited States, protecting public health, promoting economic and social development of rural areas in achieving balanced growth, and promoting agricultural development in friendly foreign countries. The recently enacted Agricultural Act of 1970 and the Food Stamp Act of 1970 represent the major new program thrusts for 1972. Principal program level increases recommended are food assistance programs, cooperative research and extension programs, inspection of meat and poultry, timber management, rural housing loans and x environmental quality. Table S-1. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (in millions of dollars) Program category 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate Farm income Agricultural production capacity Agricultural marketing and distribution system Food for peace Export market development Foreign agricultural development Food and nutrition Health and safety Youth development and family living Community development services Housing * Public facility and business expansion Resource protection and environmental improvement Recreation, wildlife, and natural beauty Timber General administration Program support 4,739 3,000 3,959 625 141 920 89 4 650 152 703 117 4 589 154 1,321 1,506 2,696 3,126 132 42 29 42 427 251 57 362 5 46 149 48 37 59 479 317 59 381 6 50 160 48 38 90 695 262 69 398 Total distributed to programs above Deduction for offsetting receipts 9,419 -490 8,907 -550 11,083 -590 8,929 8,357 10,493 Total budget authority, Department of Agriculture 1 108 8 7 51 Budget authority does not reflect program level. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE The Department of Commerce is engaged in a wide range of activities to promote the Nation's economic development and technological advancement. The reduction in budget authority for the Periodic data production program results from the completion in 1971 of major elements of data processing for the decennial census. Activitity will continue in 1972 on other, smaller periodic censuses. The major change within the Economic development assistance category is the increase in District programs. This reflects the continued increase in the number of development districts eligible for funding assistance. The Promotion of industry and commerce category is primarily aimed at improving the U.S. balance of trade. There is a significant increase in this area to provide trade adjustment assistance to industries adversely affected by imports. SPECIAL ANALYSES 291 Reorganization Plan Number 4 of 1970 created a new agency designed to provide a unified approach to the problems affecting the oceans and atmosphere through a centralized organization capable of dealing with these problems. Programs going into the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration include activities of the Environmental Science Services Administration and the Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, the Data buoy program from the Coast Guard, and the sea grant program of the National Science Foundation. Program increases for 1972 include funds for the International Field Year of the Great Lakes (to be conducted jointly with Canada), research to determine the effect of heavy metal contaminants (including mercury) on fish, a program to meet our international commitments for a research program of tropical air experiments, and work with various States on national fisheries problems. Promotion of the merchant marine reflects the administration's intent to modernize the U.S. Merchant Marine fleet, to make it more competitive in world trade, to decrease fleet operating subsidies, and to reduce the fleet's dependence on public construction subsidies in future years. Table S-2. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory General purpose data production and economic analysis: Current data production Periodic data production program Reimbursable data production and statistical services Construction and analysis of national economic accounts Category total Economic development assistance: Urban programs District programs Indian programs Other area assistance Research Regional programs General administration Category total Promotion of industry and commerce: Domestic business activities Trade adjustment assistance International business development Export control Field program operations Participation in U.S. expositions Foreign direct investment regulation Promotion of travel to the United States Pollution control Promotion of minority business enterprise Category total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 20.2 165.9 3.9 3.6 22.6 43.9 3.5 4.0 24.4 17.7 3.5 4.6 193.6 74.0 50.2 17.8 108.3 16.8 83.0 2.3 30.7 21.0 39.9 102.2 26.5 60.1 2.2 53.7 21.9 40.0 128.1 26.5 34.3 1.9 53.8 22.7 279.8 306.4 307.3 7.2 12.4 14.3 108.0 24.2 5.8 21.6 6.0 5.8 24.1 6.2 1.5 3.2 4.5 1.2 2.8 4.6 .3 1.9 2.6 5.9 .3 3.5 49.5 53.9 164.5 292 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table S-2. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate National oceanic and atmospheric services: Environmental prediction and warning Mapping, charting and marine description Solid earth monitoring and services Ocean fisheries and living resources Environmental satellite Sea grant Databuoy.... Tropical experiment International field year for the Great Lakes Retired pay, commissioned officers Executive direction and administration 108.4 31.8 10.5 53.9 9.7 1.2 10.1 .5 1.4 13.8 140.5 46.6 11.8 50.8 33.6 15.2 13.0 2.5 3.2 1.6 16.9 225.6 281.0 335.7 24.8 7.8 2.0 .9 1.3 2.5 27.2 8.7 2.0 2.0 1.3 2.8 27.6 9.8 2.2 2.5 1.2 2.9 39.3 44.0 46.0 48.7 4.4 55.0 5.0 57.1 5.7 2.6 5.0 53.3 62.6 67.8 34.7 209.6 215.6 242.0 254.3 244.8 Category total. _ 244.3 457.6 499.1 Ge neral administration. 6.7 7.0 7.2 1,092.2 -29.6 -6.6 1,286.5 -38.3 -13.4 1,477.8 -36.1 -13.4 1,055.9 1,234.8 1,428.2 Category total Physical measurements and standards: Basis for Nation's physical measurement system Scientific and technological services for industry and government. Technical basis for equity in trade Technical services to promote public safety Technical information services Central technical support Category total Technology: Grant and issuance of patents and registration of trademarks._ Dissemination of technical information Telecommunications, research, engineering, analysis, and technical services State technical services. C ategory total Promotion of the merchant marine: Flee t development Flee t operations Total distributed to programs above. Deductions for offsetting receipts I ntragovernmental transactions Total budget authority, Department of Commerce DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE 125.0 35.4 10.5 46.8 27.6 7.0 13.0 .3 MILITARY The military forces of the Department of Defense provide the strength to assure our security. These forces—together with the forces of our allies with whom we maintain close partnership—are designed to deter aggression and to counter it effectively where necessary. The function of the Strategic forces program is to deter nuclear attack or to retaliate, should deterrence fail. To assure our strategic SPECIAL ANALYSES 293 deterrent capability against an increasing threat will require an increase of 4.1% over 1971 budget authority. The mission of the General purpose forces is to meet contingencies requiring military force below the level of strategic nuclear retaliation. The withdrawal of U.S. forces from Vietnam, and an intensive review of overall manpower requirements, allows a reduction in the size of General purpose forces. Increases in budget authority are provided to maintain these forces at a high level of readiness, and to procure equipment which will permit the modernization of its operations. Budget authority recommended for General purpose forces in 1972 will be increased by 4.8% over 1971. The Research and development program assumes greater significance as efforts are made to exploit program opportunities to upgrade overall force capabilities. New R. & D. initiatives will be instituted to improve both strategic and general purpose capabilities. The 1972 budget authority requested for this program represents an increase of 18.9% over 1971. Table S-3. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE—MILITARY (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory 1970 actual Strategic forces General purpose forces Intelligence and communications Airlift and sealift Guard and Reserve forces Research and development Central supply and maintenance Training, medical, and general personnel activities, _ (Retired pay included in category above) 7,074.8 26,523.9 5,424.4 1,610.9 2,545.2 4,823.7 8,993.9 13, 685. 2 (2, 858.4) Administration and associated activities Support to other nations l Undistributed, contributing to programs above, _ _ 1, 460. 2 2,146.9 __ Total distributed to programs above Undistributed nonprogram financing adjustments Total budget authority, Department of Defense—Military 1 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 7,336.6 7,639.4 23,038.6 24,142.3 5,190.5 5,601.8 1,295.1 1,139.4 2,666.5 3,118.2 5,128.9 6,098.5 8,292.0 8,725.1 13, 780. 8 13, 628. 7 (3, 387.0) (3, 744.0) 1,559.7 2,295.4 1,000.0 1, 491. 3 2,459.1 3,760.0 74,289.1 —135.9 71,584.1 77,803.8 —176.2 —141.1 74,153.2 71,407.9 77,662.7 Excludes Military Assistance and foreign military credit sales DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE—CIVIL*. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS The civil works program of the Army Corps of Engineers provides for the planning, development and management of water and related land resources in each of the Nation's 19 major river basin regions. These regions, together with the General support category, as set forth below, provide the focus for management of the civil works program. The long-range objective of the Corps in project planning is to relate projects to the needs of the people of each river basin or region as defined in the Water Resources Council's comprehensive planning program and national assessment. The Columbia-North Pacific region 294 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 continues to require the largest proportion of funds during 1970-72, followed by the Ohio region. For allocation of funds in terms of type of projects, see Special Analysis Q, Federal Public Works Activities. Table S-4. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE—CIVIL: ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (in millions of dollars) Program category New England region Middle Atlantic region Gulf and South Atlantic region Ohio region Great Lakes region Upper Mississippi region Souris-Red-Rainy region Missouri River region Arkansas-White-Red region Lower Mississippi region Rio Grande region Texas Gulf region Colorado region Great Basin region California region Columbia-North Pacific region Alaska region Hawaiian Islands region Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands region General support Total distributed to programs above 1969 reserve (Public Law 90-364) 1970 budgetary reserve to be applied in 1971 1971 budgetary reserve to be applied in 1972 Offsetting proprietary receipts Total budget authority, Army Corps of Engineers, Civil.__ 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 18.7 58.2 85.0 134.5 31.0 56.6 1.1 68.1 136.4 120.6 6.8 34.7 2.3 .7 44.3 169.4 6.8 .6 .1 67.1 30.3 101.2 141.7 197.2 44.3 84.5 1.2 102.8 127.3 145.5 10.5 63.4 4.8 .5 78.1 223.6 14.6 2.6 .4 44.4 29.8 104.0 126.9 210.0 88.4 89.3 1.6 92.7 111.5 133.5 17.5 60.6 3.5 .5 72.8 243.2 20.6 2.0 .4 52.8 1,043.0 -43.8 157.4 1,418.9 1,461.6 —7.3 -157.4 45.6 —7.5 —45.6 —8.3 1,149.3 1,299.6 1,407. 7 DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE The broad objectives of the Department are reflected by four program categories—Education, Health, Social and rehabilitation services, and Income security—and their associated subcategories. Increases in budget authority requested for Education programs reflect two major areas of emphasis: emergency school assistance for desegregating local education agencies; and the revision of existing student aid programs to insure that no qualified student who wants to go to college will be barred by lack of funds. Budget authority increases requested for programs which support Health objectives are essentially contained in two health financing programs: Medicare and Medicaid. While the increases reflect changes in the cost and use of health services, they also take into account counter-balancing legislative proposals to help solve the problems of rising medical cost and overutilization of hospital services. The requested increases in total budget authority in support of Social and rehabilitation services fall equally into the social services grants to States (part of public assistance program) and the work incentive (WIN) program which includes child care. SPECIAL ANALYSES 295 Total budget authority requested for programs which support Income security objectives increases by $8 billion. This includes a request of $580 million for the welfare reform proposed legislation. The remainder is accounted for by maintenance payment grants and Social Security OASDI programs. Maintenance payment grants to States—a part of the public assistance program—rises by $1.8 billion. Budget authority for Social Security OASDI programs increases by $3.3 billion as a result of proposed legislation. It should be noted that for these programs budget authority is the "income to the trust fund"; tables specifying program outlays should be used to determine 1972 program costs for these programs. Table S-5. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Education: Development of basic skills Development of vocational and occupational skills Development of academic and profe^n^J skills Library and community drvp , • General research (nonallocabi* resu. n, _ General support Category total Health: Development of health resources Prevention and control of health problems Provision of health services General support Category total Social and rehabilitation services: Improving individual capability for self-support Improving the social functioning of individuals and families. General development of social and rehabilitation resources General support Category total Income security: Aged assistance Disability assistance Other individual and family support Increasing knowledge General support _ _ Category total Executive direction and management (departmental management) 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2,412.6 391.3 948.0 46.7 64.1 44.7 3,281.6 479. 7 1,014.2 58.2 29.6 47.2 4,070.6 433. 6 1,980.4 19.5 34.6 49.0 3,907.3 4,910.5 6,587.7 2,068.6 383.0 12,133.3 48.4 2,468.9 385.4 16,112.8 57.5 2,584.9 367.6 19,144.6 64.7 14,633.2 19,024.6 22,161.9 682.5 542.6 122.3 37.9 781.4 788.3 139.2 40.0 1,001.4 1,013.4 108.8 41.3 1,385.3 1,748.9 2,164.9 24,720.5 4,935.2 11,024.9 8.0 299.5 25,899.0 5,473.9 12,367.4 9.0 384.7 29,551.7 5,927.1 15,215.3 11.0 409.6 40,988.1 43,134.0 51,114.6 40.5 51.9 56.0 Total distributed to programs above Net deductions for interfund transactions and receipts from the public not distributed above 60,954.3 69,869.9 82,085.0 -2,641.5 -3,209.7 -3,295.3 Total budget authority, Department of Health, Education, and Welfare 58,312.8 66,660.2 78,789.7 296 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT The Department of Housing and Urban Development has two primary objectives: to facilitate the workings of the private housing industry in meeting the Nation's need for decent, safe, and sanitary housing for all Americans; and, to help local governments develop the managerial capacity and resources necessary to meet local problems. In 1972, primary emphasis will be on reforming community development and housing programs to improve the degree to which they serve broad national objectives and meet State and local needs and priorities. Legislation will be proposed to: simplify and consolidate the large number of housing programs; fold several of the categorical programs (urban renewal grants, model cities grants, water and sewer grants, and rehabilitation loans) into a more flexible program of community development special revenue sharing; and, establish a new community development planning and management program to assist localities to develop the capacity to manage their resources more effectively. Table S-6. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Assuring decent housing for all Americans: Assuring an adequate supply of low- and moderate-income housing ... . Promoting the efficient functioning of private housing markets. _ 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3,391 2 974 80 1,451 66 3,393 1,054 1,517 178 393 1,044 1,078 1,280 805 575 6 575 8 9 581 583 9 Improving management of community development activities 54 54 103 Improving management of departmental programs and resources: Research and demonstrations in urban technology 23 41 45 76 82 107 99 123 152 Category total Assuring adequate and efficient local public and private facilities and services Improving the physical environment of urban communities Improving the social environment of urban communities: Creating model neighborhoods in demonstration cities Fair housing and equal opportunity Category total Provide executive direction, general support and others Category total Adjustmentstobudgetauthority.net Total budget authority, Department of Housing and Urban Development —55 5,384 3,432 3,629 SPECIAL ANALYSES 297 Recommended budget authority for 1972 is somewhat misleading in the case of community planning, management, and development programs, since this figure reflects conversion to the new type of grant programs in mid-1972. However, the numbers show the new trend. In particular, housing assistance for low- and moderate-income families will rise to an estimated $1.5 billion; funding of a level of $1 billion is recommended for the new community development special revenuesharing program; the comprehensive planning program, reoriented and reformed as part of the transition to an entirely new program, will operate in 1972 at double the previous level; and, the open-space land program will be increased to a level of $200 million, reflecting a new orientation for the program with emphasis being given to smaller neighborhood parks in and around cities. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR The Department of the Interior has responsibility for helping to manage, conserve, and develop the Nation's water, energy, minerals, timber, forage, fish and wildlife, and outdoor recreation resources. It also has major responsibilities for Indian and territorial affairs. Programs dealing with Water and power, including basin wide and regional planning, maintenance of the Nation's basic water data network, and development of the water resources of the western portion of the Nation, will remain at approximately the 1971 funding level. The Minerals program, involving management to assure an adequate supply of the Nation's needs consistent with conservation objectives, will experience two major changes in budget authority recommended for 1972: an increase of $10.7 million is required for accelerated Mining health and safety programs; and a decrease of $70.4 million (in the Special programs item) will result from a decision by the Secretary of the Interior to terminate contract purchases of helium because of changes in anticipated future supply and demand. Within the Land, forage, timber program two significant budgetary changes are anticipated: Earth study and measurement increases by 19%, including $3.5 million for the Earth Resource Observation Systems (EROS) research program in cooperation with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration; while funds allocated to Fire protection reflect the uncertainties of occurrence. The Recreation use and preservation program category reflects the rising commitment to provide Federal assistance to State and local governments to help them provide more local recreation areas, as well as to assure Federal preservation of nationally important natural and historic areas. The Road construction—National Park Service (Federal Highway Administration) increase reflects $30 million in new contract authority granted in the Federal Highway Act. The program structure for Indians reveals the wide variety of objectives supported by Bureau of Indian Affairs programs, and the special importance placed on education. Budget authority in 1972 for the Territories category contains increases for expanded education, health, community facilities, and economic development programs. 298 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Table S^-7. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Water and power: Water data and support functions Research Management and supply Recreation development and construction Transmission and distribution of power Operation and maintenance Emergency funds not subject to advance allocation General support Category total Minerals: Information, support, and regulatory functions Classification, leasing, and sale Geologic sources Primary nonfuel minerals supply Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Nonenergy uses of fuels Mining health and safety Special programs Environmental protection General support Category total Land, forage, timber: Land classification and disposition Earth study and measurement Earth hazards Land utilization, protection, and restoration Timber production Livestock forage production Transportation system Fire protection 0 & C allocation to Forest Service General support Category total Recreation use and preservation: Planning and assistance Land acquisition Recreation development Road construction—National Park Service (Federal Highway Administration) Management/operations/maintenance/protection Rare or endangered species Wildlife habitat and production—including migratory birds Fish habitat and production General support Category total 1970 1971 22.1 52.3 298.8 9.0 116.9 79.4 1.1 21.1 24.1 60.6 232.2 10.3 102.9 85.2 22.4 24.2 61.2 220.9 4.0 106.5 98.1 1.0 23.0 600.7 537.7 538.9 10.5 11.5 14.3 17.4 12.6 8.3 3.9 1.4 25.9 49.5 5.8 2.5 12.0 15.2 13.4 17.7 12.6 11.0 3.7 1.2 54.9 76.7 6.4 2.7 13.1 16.0 13.3 17.6 11.7 13.7 6.1 1.3 65.6 6.3 8.2 2.7 163.6 227.5 175.6 9.3 48.9 1.8 12.1 11.3 9.9 14.3 31.3 2.3 5.4 9.4 52.9 2.0 12.0 12.3 10.1 16.3 30.5 2.5 5.5 10.8 63.0 2.2 12.0 12.3 10.8 21.9 17.2 2.6 5.6 146.6 153.5 158.4 15.7 119.9 44.5 23.4 275.9 114.8 27.1 280.0 180.3 41.0 103.0 1.5 68.5 31.8 6.2 20.0 115.0 1.7 70.1 38.0 6.8 50.0 124.5 2.3 80.8 40.7 6.8 432.1 665.7 792.5 1972 SPECIAL ANALYSES 299 Table S-7. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Indians: Education program support Educational research and development Education personnel training School construction Elementary and secondary education Post-secondary education Adult education Job training and placement Reservation development Community services (including welfare) Transportation Repair and maintenance, B & U Claims and treaty obligations General support Tribal funds Miscellaneous funds 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 13.2 14.3 .3 16.0 99.1 6.0 4.0 35.3 45.2 39.2 34.6 19.6 .2 10.3 103.4 6.0 10.5 117.9 9.8 4.8 39.2 49.3 62.2 35.7 21.2 3.7 10.2 131.9 5.8 15.6 .4 .2 26.2 126.2 19.0 4.8 39.2 60.6 67.5 36.2 23.5 25.2 10.4 68.8 5.8 Category total 432.1 516.8 529.6 Territories: Trust Territory American Samoa Guam Virgin Islands Office of Territories 48.1 7.2 7.8 14.4 .5 59.8 8.2 8.7 16.5 .5 65.7 11.2 10.0 17.7 .6 Category total 78.0 93.7 105.2 91.2 6.6 10.9 91.5 6.5 12.8 98.8 6.5 14.3 108.7 110.8 119.6 1,961.8 2,305.7 -811.4 -1,738.8 —31.2 —58.0 2,419.8 -887.3 1,119.1 1,532.5 Other programs: Payments to Treasury, States, and subdivisions Secretarial direction and administrative support (solicitor) Secretarial direction and administrative support (secretary) Category total Total distributed to programs above (Federal and trust funds) Offsetting proprietary receipts Intragovernmental transactions Total budget authority, Department of the Interior 508.9 DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE Department of Justice efforts are directed toward reducing the rate of criminal law violations in our Nation, and insuring the proper and equitable enforcement of civil law and civil rights protection. In the area of crime control, the Department is fostering a close partnership of State, local and Federal Government law enforcement programs. Program funding for civil law and civil rights protection continues to reflect the administration's strong commitment to the protection of the civil rights of all individuals, the prosecution of cases involving water and air pollution control, and to the administration and enforcement of immigration and naturalization laws. 300 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1972 Major program budget increases are shown for the Reduction of crime, for which program budget authority will increase by approximately $26 million over 1971; Law enforcement assistance, which will increase by $169 million over 1971; Correction of Federal offenders, which will increase by almost $66 million over 1971; and Control of narcotics and dangerous drug abuse, which will increase by $13 million over 1971. Table S-8. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Reduction of crime: Organized crime Interstate crime Federal crime Crime prevention Category total __ _ _ Law enforcement assistance: Improvement of State and local law enforcement planning Improvement of State and local law enforcement operations Research and development of devices, systems, and procedures. Support to law enforcement personnel for education and training_ Technical assistance Development of information and statistical programs Category total Correction of Federal offenders: Construction Repairs and improvements Custody and physical security of offenders Inmate care and maintenance Operations of institutions Rehabilitation of offenders Assistance to non-Federal correctional systems 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 28.8 54.3 80.8 1.6 48.0 54.0 85.9 1.9 65.2 56.9 90.9 2.3 165.5 189.8 215.3 21.0 242.8 7.5 21.7 5.7 1.0 26.0 491.4 7.5 26.1 12.4 4.0 35.0 618.1 21.0 34.0 18.5 9.7 299.7 567.4 736.3 3.9 1.5 22.5 8.9 36.2 19.3 .2 .5 20.2 2.0 27.9 10.4 39.4 22.2 .3 .6 71.1 3.0 33.1 15.0 39.8 25.4 .4 .8 93.0 123.0 188.6 27.7 1.9 1.0 .7 .8 42.0 2.4 1.3 1.4 1.6 54.0 2.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 32.1 48.7 61.6 37.1 29.7 29.8 1.0 .5 25.4 1.1 .5 32.9 1.3 .5 35.5 64.0 64.2 67.1 Research Category total Control of narcotics and dangerous drug abuse: Law enforcement Treatment of narcotics and dangerous drug offenders State and local assistance Education Research Category total Internal security and governmental integrity: Integrity of Government personnel Security of Government, Government programs, and Government property Security of Government international affairs Identification, exposure, and control of subversive movements. _. Category total SPECIAL ANALYSES 301 Table S^8. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Civil rights and community relations: Equal employment opportunity Housing Public education Interference with civil rights Voting Federally assisted programs Public accommodations and facilities Community relations assistance Category total Competition in the American economy: Anticompetitive conduct Anticompetitive market structures Governmental intervention and influence Category total Legal representation of and advice to Federal officers and agencies: Integrity of the revenue system Defense of monetary claims Recovery of money owed the United States Integrity of administrative action Land acquisition Protection and development of natural resources Category total Support of the Federal judicial system: Facilitation of litigation Protection of the integrity of the judicial system Category total Immigration and naturalization: Control of persons entering the United States Control of aliens in the United States Naturalization Central information record Category total General administration: Executive direction Administrative support Category total Deductions for offsetting receipts Total budget authority, Department of Justice 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1.8 1.0 1.8 17.4 1.5 .2 .7 3.4 2.1 1.2 2.1 26.7 1.6 .2 .8 4.5 2.3 1.3 2.3 30.6 1.7 .3 .8 5.6 27.8 39.2 44.9 4.7 4.6 1.1 5.1 4.9 1.2 5.4 5.1 1.5 10.4 11.2 12.0 8.1 7.7 5.7 5.6 3.6 1.7 8.9 8.6 6.9 6.6 3.8 1.9 9.3 9.3 7.3 7.2 4.1 2.7 32.4 36.7 39.9 19.9 2.5 24.3 5.5 30.9 9.1 22.4 29.8 40.0 60.0 32.9 6.1 8.8 67.9 36.4 6.7 10.0 71.8 38.0 6.8 10.1 107.8 121. 0 126.7 2.4 5.1 2. 6 5. 8 2.3 7.0 7.5 8. 4 9.3 —1.3 —1.5 —1.5 861.3 1,237.9 1,540.2 DEPARTMENT OF LABOR The Department of Labor's primary mission is to improve the working and living conditions of the Nation's work force. The principal means through which this mission is pursued, as reflected in the 302 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Department's program structure, are: (a) Manpower training and employment assistance, to help workers prepare for and obtain employment; (b) provision of income maintenance to workers injured at work or involuntarily unemployed; (c) workplace standards programs to achieve improved wages, safety, and general working conditions of workers; (d) measures to improve relations between organized labor and management; (e) collection and analysis of basic data on employment and working conditions of workers; and (f) management support for the above activities. The largest of these areas is Income maintenance, largely in the unemployment insurance program, which provides income to workers involuntarily unemployed. In recent years a major thrust of the Department has centered on Manpower training and employment assistance, which has grown rapidly. Within this category On-the-job and Institutional training have been areas of concerted effort, reflecting the emphasis on providing services to the disadvantaged who experience difficulty in obtaining suitable employment. Table S-9. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF LABOR (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Manpower training and employment assistance: On-the-job training—private sector On-the-job training—public sector Institutional training In-school work support Post-school work support Special targeting Computerized job placement Employment assistance Planning, evaluation, and research Program support Category total Income maintenance: Workers compensation (Federal) Unemployment insurance (Federal) Unemployment insurance (State) Administration Category total Workplace standards administration Labor management relations Data collection, analysis, and dissemination General support Total distributed to program above Proposed for separate transmittal Deductions for offsetting receipts Total budget authority, Department of Labor 1970 actual 184.1 49.0 308.0 76.4 49.6 9.3 367.4 4.8 67.7 1971 estimate 260.7 126.8 483.3 224.8 165.8 177.9 22.3 393.1 4.5 105.4 1972 estimate 260.5 125.8 521.0 235.5 165.8 172.8 22.3 395.0 4.9 142.8 1,116.3 1,964.6 2,046.4 60.1 187.9 3,368.9 347.8 109.8 266.4 3,507.2 406.5 90.0 260.0 4,130.4 444.8 3,964.7 4,289.9 4,925.2 37.3 13.1 24.8 15.2 5,171.4 —3.9 5,167.5 41.3 17.1 28.3 19.5 70.9 21.8 33.9 20.5 6,360.7 62.6 —5.0 7,118.7 6,418.3 7,114.7 —4.0 SPECIAL ANALYSES 303 DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION The Department of Transportation was created to promote greater comfort, safety, speed, efficiency, and reliability in all modes of transportation. Under this broad guideline, the Department works to develop and improve privately operated transportation services; to promote cooperation among carriers, labor, governments at all levels, and other interested parties in achieving transportation objectives; to stimulate research and development efforts in all phases of transportation; to provide general leadership in identifying and solving transportation problems; and to develop national transportation policies to accomplish these objectives. The program structure developed for the Department gives perspective to the programs and the constituent units of the Department, and aids in the 'evaluation of alternative investment strategies. The program structure provides a basis for viewing various transportation modes as interdependent components of an overall system, since the development of a balanced transportation system in each area requires that alternative "mix" strategies be considered to achieve an optimum effect. For example, expenditures for urban transportation must be considered in light of the tradeoffs between mass transit and highways. Similarly, expenditures for inter-urban transportation must be made after consideration of highway, railroad, and aviation alternatives. The Urban Mass Transportation Act of 1970 provided $3.1 billion from 1971-75 for the Mass transit program. The $3.1 billion is shown as 1971 budget authority. Also of particular note are the funds for Federal financial assistance to the National Railroad Passenger Corporation in the Interurban transportation program in 1971. General transportation safety shows a substantial increase over 1971 due primarily to the fact that for the highway safety State and community grant program, the 1970 Highway Act rescinded authorizations previously made for 1970 and 1971 while providing new authorizations for 1972 and 1973. Table S-10. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2,306.1 176.6 2,411.3 3,100.0 2,372.6 Category total (Trust funds) 2,482.7 (2,306.1) 5,511.3 (2,411.3) 2,372.6 (2,372.6) Interurban transportation: Highways Rail Air. Water 3,055.7 15.3 1,937.9 81.2 3,134.3 62.7 1,813.2 73.1 3,179.2 34.5 1,828.4 82.3 Category total (Trust funds) 5,090.1 (3,895.7) 5,083.3 (3,843.5) 5,124.4 (4,594.9) Urban transportation: Highways Mass transit 304 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table S-10. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION (in million of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory 1970 actual 1971 estimate International transportation: Highways Air. Water 85.0 43.6 5.0 210.0 38.1 20.0 235.0 36.1 Category total 128.6 253.1 291.1 103. 3 20.0 315.8 5.6 105.7 158.9 13.7 148.2 26.3 101.1 91.7 16.7 415.6 25.0 59.8 550.4 (52.7) 448.2 (94.1) 608.8 (145.5) 82.3 312.3 58.7 97. 8 356.5 66.5 113.7 411.3 71.0 453.3 (163.3) 520.8 (195.1) 596.0 (304.7) General transportation safety and other national interests: National security, boundaries, and treaties Support of science General transportation safety. Maritime pollution control Other highway programs Category total (Trustfunds) General support: General research, development, and planning Administration Coast Guard retired pay Category total (Trustfunds) 1972 estimate Total distributed to programs above._ Deductions for offsetting receipts and intragovernmental transactions 8, 705.1 11, 816. 7 8,992.9 -19.9 -647.8 -545.1 Total budget authority, Department of Transportation.. 8,685.2 11,168. 9 8,447.8 DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY The Department of the Treasury is responsible for the fiscal, debt management and monetary operations of the Federal Government. It also has major responsibility for prescribing Federal policies affecting the U.S. balance of payments. The Treasury program structure reflects the operating elements of the Department, which are funded principally by annual appropriations and, to a lesser extent, through reimbursements and miscellaneous funds. The Department's functions are grouped into five program categories. Expansion of revenue collection operations, particularly auditing of tax returns, as a result of growth in the number and complexity of tax returns filed, requires substantially increased program funding. Not included in the program structure are interest on the public debt, which accounts for most of the Department's budget authority, and several permanent appropriations. These are aggregated in the adjusting entry in the table. SPECIAL ANALYSES 305 Table S-11. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory 1970 actual Administration of Government finances: Public debt Issuance, payment, and servicing of Government checks__ General activities 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 65.0 47.7 5.4 70.4 46.8 7.1 77.2 49.6 7.4 118.1 124.3 134.2 171.3 86.1 101.2 25.8 293.5 34.3 37.9 19.4 85.4 66.4 189.0 93.8 106.8 25.2 299.8 34.0 40.8 21.8 94.7 74.7 221.4 102.2 114.5 28.0 339.3 36.6 43.5 23. 6 109.5 79.2 921.3 980.6 1,097.8 Manufacture and distribution of coins, currency, and other financial instruments 20.0 20.2 30.3 Special law enforcement: Tax fraud investigations—racketeer segment Alcohol and firearms investigations Other investigations Security responsibilities 16.7 29.6 43.2 16.0 30.7 39.8 49.7 25.8 34.4 43.9 56.8 37.5 17.7 25.9 ! 56.7 123.2 171.9 229.3 9.7 10.2 11.2 1,192. 3 1,307.2 1,502.8 Category total Collection of revenue: Revenue accounting and processing Taxpayer assistance and services Delinquent accounts operation Delinquent returns operation Audit of tax returns Tax fraud investigations—taxpayers in general Taxpayer appeals Alcohol and tobacco revenue and regulatory controls Collection of customs duties General activities Category total General activities Category total Policy determination and related activities Total distributed to programs above Items not included in the program structure: Interest . . Other appropriations not included in the program structure, Deductions for offsetting receipts Intragovernmental transactions Total budget authority, Department of the Treasury.. _ _ 1 19,424.9 20,923.7 21,273.4 200.4 357. 7 397. 8 -1,187.8 -1,590.2 -1,878.2 —84.3 —89.1 —90.5 19,545. 7 20,909.4 21,205.4 Includes $36.5 million for construction of facilities, Federal Law Enforcement Training Center. ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION The Atomic Energy Commission conducts a variety of production, research and development, and supporting activities to discharge its responsibilities for national defense and peaceful applications of atomic energy. The major trends reflected in the following table include an increase in production of enriched uranium for civilian powerplants; a decrease in plutonium production due to reduced requirements; an increase in production of nuclear weapons and a decreased level of activity in the underground testing of such weapons; a reduction in the scope of 430-700 O—71 20 306 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 the NERVA nuclear rocket program (conducted jointly with NASA) and in other space-related programs; acceleration of the program to develop an economic liquid-metal fast-breeder nuclear power reactor; some reduction in the level of support for basic and applied research in the physical sciences; and a temporary reduction in the revenues realized from the sale of uranium enrichment services to industry. TableS-12. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Procurement and production of source and special nuclear materials: Procurement of uranium concentrates Production of special nuclear materials 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 50.6 352.7 18.1 419.8 1.7 400.9 Category total. 403.3 437.9 402.6 Military applications: Nuclear weapons Naval propulsion reactors. 975.3 135.3 1,009.7 154.3 989.6 144.3 1, 110.6 1,110.6 1,164.0 1,133.9 51.9 38.1 48.4 35.6 15.0 24.7 90.0 84.0 39.7 10.9 23.5 117.2 1.4 2.8 11.5 33.4 175.6 1.0 2.7 8.7 28.8 157.2 155.8 224.2 197.2 3.7 7.3 14.2 1.4 1.0 7.7 7.5 1.0 6.7 5.2 25.2 17.6 12.9 215.2 186. 6 94. 9 210. 9 180. 4 95. 1 190.0 168.2 94.5 496.7 486.4 452.7 106.2 15.9 115.9 14.0 99.5 13.3 122.1 129.9 112.8 Category total Development of space applications: Space propulsion Space electric power Category total. Development of central station nuclear power: Converter reactors Advanced converter and low-gain breeder reactors High-gain breeder reactors Desalting applications General research and development Category total Development of other civilian applications: Merchant ship reactors Terrestrial electric power development Isotopes development Civilian applications of nuclear explosives (Plowshare) Category total Basic and applied research in the physical and biomedical sciences: High energy physics research Other physical research Biomedical research Category total Nuclear science and technology support: Supporting reactor development activities Training, education, and information Category total 2.5 SPECIAL ANALYSES 307 Table S-12. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory General support: Regulation Program direction and administration Community support Security investigations Cost of work for others Construction planning and design Category total Total distributed to programs above Adjustments to budget authority Total budget authority, Atomic Energy Commission 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 11.9 111.2 9.7 7.2 28.0 1.0 14.2 121.6 7.8 8.4 19.8 2.0 15.9 120.4 4.5 7.5 21.8 169.0 173.8 170.1 2,572.7 -352.3 2,717.8 -409.7 2,521.9 -271.0 2,220.4 2,308.1 2,250.9 ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY The Environmental Protection Agency's mission is to conduct an integrated attack on environmental pollution related to water, air, radiation, pesticides, and solid wastes, recognizing the critical relations between types of pollutants, sources of pollution, and standards and control techniques in pollution areas. Budget authority request for the Water quality abatement and control program is increased by approximately $1 billion. This results in doubling the funding level for the construction grant program to enable the municipal sector to comply with established water quality standards; strengthening State and interstate agency programs through increased financial and technical assistance; expanding areawide basin planning activities; and rectifying deficiencies identified in the 1971 Community Water Supply Study. Increases recommended for the Air pollution abatement and control program provide for continuation of the program for the development of a low emission advanced power system, acceleration in the development of sulfur oxide pollution control techniques, and nominal expansion in technical and financial assistance to State and local air pollution control agencies. In the Pesticides abatement and control and Radiation abatement and control categories, the 1972 level provides for strengthening standards and monitoring programs. The Solid wastes management increase will allow additional emphasis on recycling and the development of economic incentives, continued development of the gas-turbine incinerator concept, and an increased capability to provide assistance and information to bring about implementation of the techniques developed. The estimate for Facilities provides funding to initiate the construction of a laboratory facility in Cincinnati, Ohio. Undistributed budget authority will be used to support existing programs and new and expanded program activities necessary to implement the Clean Air Amendment of 1970, the Resource Recovery Act of 1970, and several major legislative proposals to be introduced to the 92d Congress. 308 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 TableS-13. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Program category Water quality abatement and control Air pollution abatement and control Pesticides abatement and control Radiation abatement and control Solid wastes management Facilities. Program direction and support 1970 actual 18.2 20.4 Total distributed to programs above Undistributed, proposed for separate transmittal, existing and new legislation 1,004.0 1, 273.4 2,365.8 13.0 85.0 Total budget authority, Environmental Protection Agency, _ 1,004.0 .1 1,116.3 106.8 H1.7 M. 4 M3.8 1972 estimate 2,138.3 128.9 17.2 8.6 19.2 28.0 25.6 1 881.2 104.5 1971 estimate 1,286.4 2,450.8 Amounts are for part year only, December 2 through June 30. GENERAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION The General Services Administration provides central logistical services common to all Federal agencies as well as the direct public services of the National Archives and the Presidential libraries. In the agency's program structure, these services are grouped into six major categories. Changes in budget authority estimates from 1971 to 1972 reflect trends in program requirements Government-wide as well as the effects of GSA's operations. The Facilities category shows some increase in budget authority to acquire building space to meet long-delayed requests. An increase in facilities management reflects the necessity for strengthened security of Federal buildings and increased building upkeep standards from the abnormally low levels of recent years. Legislation will be proposed to initiate a substantial reduction in the large backlog of building projects by means of lease-construction. Analyses indicate this method will offer economies over Federal construction and ownership when both direct and indirect effects are considered in the long run. -Reductions in the Supply services category reflect lower sales to user agencies together with improvements in general inventory management. The increases in Other property management and disposal services and in Agency direction and support services are necessary to achieve the very substantial "offsetting receipts," of which almost $900 million derives from sale of stockpile materials no longer necessary for anticipated needs. Sales of surplus real property, and sites and designs in support of the proposed lease-construction initiative, also contribute to offsetting receipts. On an overall basis, offsetting receipts exceed gross budget authority by almost $200 million for 1972. SPECIAL ANALYSES 309 Table S-14. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY GENERAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory 1970 actual Facilities: Acquisition Management Service direction Category total Supply services: Provision of supplies Supply management Automated data management services Service direction Category total Records services: Management Archival services Federal register Service direction Category total Transportation and communications services: Transportation (other than motor equipment) Motor equipment Communications Public utilities Service direction Category total Other property management and disposal services: Property management Real property disposal Personal property disoosal Strategic and critical materials disposal Service direction ___ Category total Agency direction and support services: Executive direction Allowances and services to former Presidents Administrative operations Category total _ Total distributed to programs above Deductions for offsetting receipts 1971 1972 133.4 298.8 2.0 267.0 358.8 2.5 314.7 380.6 2.5 434.2 628.3 697.8 66.7 1.3 2.0 4.4 68.7 1.6 22.1 4.6 67.5 1.7 2.1 4.6 74.4 97.0 75.9 14.9 7.3 .7 .8 15.3 8.6 .7 .8 15.8 9.0 .7 .8 23.7 25.4 26.3 2.6 .4 2.1 .2 .7 2.7 .3 2.2 .2 .8 2.7 .3 2.2 .3 .8 6.0 6.2 6.3 12.8 4.4 6.9 2.0 1.3 12.4 6.2 7.0 5.0 1.3 12.6 6.6 9.2 7.0 1.3 27.4 31.8 36.7 1.2 .3 15.2 1.3 .4 16.2 1.8 .4 18.1 16.7 17.9 20.3 582.4 -188.3 806.7 863.3 -365.4 -1,051.4 Total budget authority, General Services Administration 394.1 441.1 -188.1 310 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAE 1972 NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION The National Aeronautics and Space Administration is responsible for conducting civilian aeronautical and space programs, including manned and unmanned space exploration and research for the solution of the problems of flight. In 1972, funds are provided for the continued manned exploration of the moon; the extension of man's capability to live and work in space; the unmanned exploration of the planets and the universe; and the development of practical applications of space technology. In the Earth orbital manned space flight category, funds are included for development of the engine for a space shuttle and for Skylab, an experimental space station. Funds for Lunar exploration decrease due to continued phasedown of the Apollo program. Funding increases for Planetary exploration will provide for the initiation of development activities for the Grand Tour unmanned missions to the outer planets and for proceeding with the development of the Viking unmanned orbiter-lander exploration of Mars. Under the Space science category woik will start on a High Energy Astronomy Observatory. Space applications will focus on an Experimental Earth Resources Technology Satellite, and experiments in communications, navigation, geodesy, and meteorology. Under Aeronautics research and technology, funds will be included for initiation of development of a Short Take Off and Landing (STOL) aircraft. Table S-15. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Lunar exploration Earth orbital manned space Planetary exploration Space science: Astronomy Space physics Space biology Category total Space applications: Earth surveys Meteorology Communications and navigation. Category total Space research and technology Aeronautics research and technology Supporting activities: Tracking and data acquisition Other supporting activities Research and program management Total support activities flight 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1,674.7 378.1 174.7 910.9 528.3 163.3 616.2 694.3 335.6 86.6 45.6 13.7 83.3 44.4 7.9 87.0 55.3 145.9 135.6 142.3 40.0 47.5 50.4 82.8 53.8 47.0 72.1 54.1 78.7 137.9 183.6 204.9 175.4 100.5 165.9 102.0 104.0 116.5 278.0 98.3 702.2 290.0 112.4 718.4 264.0 108.2 697.4 1,078.5 1,120.8 1,069.6 SPECIAL ANALYSES 311 Table S-15. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Total distributed to programs above Financing adjustments Deductions for offsetting receipts Total budget authority, National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 3,865.7 —114.0 —5.9 3,310.3 3,283.4 —13.3 —13.4 3,745.8 3,297.0 3,270.0 POSTAL SERVICE The nine categories of the Postal Service's program structure describe both the basic postal service function of acceptance, processing, transportation and deliver}^ of mail, and necessary support activities. Between 1971 and 1972, the estimated increases in funding for Services at small post offices, Window and collection services, Delivery services, and Processing of mail amount to $175.6 million or 2.6%. Of this increase, $151.5 million is a result of the step compression agreement negotiated with the labor unions effective November 14, 1970. This agreement accelerates the rate at which postal workers receive in-grade step increases. The remaining $24.1 million represents a 0.4% increase, necessary to cover a projected 3.1% increase in mail volume. The funding of support activities is growing faster than the growth in mail volume. Most notable rates of growth are found in: Law enforcement, 18.8%; Research, development, and engineering, 72.1%; Administration, 21.5% (partly due to the aforementioned step compression); and 1.8% in Logistical postal support. Table S-16. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY POSTAL SERVICE (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Services at small post offices: Postal operations at small offices Collection and city delivery Special delivery Rural delivery routes Category total Window and collection services: Window and vending services Collection services Support services Category total Delivery services: City delivery Special delivery Rural delivery routes Support services Category total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 1,469.6 877.1 16.7 420.3 1,709.3 1,011.5 19.4 477.9 1,768.9 1,030.7 20.3 496.5 2,783.7 3,218.1 3,316.4 142.4 39.9 30.8 163.2 46.7 35.6 167.7 49.3 36.8 213.1 245.5 253.8 570.5 44.4 10.5 3.5 652.4 51.5 12.0 4.1 674.9 53.8 12.5 4.3 628.9 720.0 745.5 312 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table S-16. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY POSTAL SERVICE (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Processing of mail: Platform operations Mail preparation—originating mail Mail distribution Support services Category total Transportation: Local transportation service Intercity transportation. International transportation 1970 actual 349.9 93.8 2,026.9 79.6 358.2 94.4 2,057.9 83.2 2,208.4 2,550.2 2,593.7 88.4 532.7 169.0 101.3 558.3 174.4 106.4 598.1 176.1 790.1 834.0 880.6 18.6 6.8 3.2 25.6 8.9 3.8 31.9 10.0 3.6 28.6 38.3 45.5 1.8 37.3 10.1 2.0 7.4 35.5 18.3 3.0 11.2 70.9 24.3 4.1 51.2 64.2 110.5 39.4 72.3 285.8 40.3 59.9 101.4 329.1 47.5 67.5 110.6 350.0 125.2 437.8 537.9 653.3 248.3 679.5 719.8 805.3 648.7 903.5 927.8 1,525.1 1,552.2 8,069.6 9,733.3 —6,502.4 —6,871.5 190.5 9,872.9 10,151.5 —8,613.1 -66.7 Law enforcement: Postal crimes and prohibited mailings Administration Support services Category total Research, development, and engineering: General research Applied research and development Engineering Administration Category total Category total Logistical postal support: Capital investment Expense Category total Total obligations . Net postal revenues (including reimbursements) Net unobligated budget authority Total budget authority, Postal Service 1972 estimate 303.3 80.9 1,756.6 67.6 Category total Administration: Headquarters administration Regional and intermediate level administration Post Office administration Other administrative costs 1971 estimate 1,757. 5 12,734. 7 1,471. 7 VETERANS ADMINISTRATION The Veterans Administration provides a wide range of services for veterans and their dependents, classified by the program structure into Income security; Education, training, and rehabilitation; Housing; and Hospital and medical care. Income security accounts for about 64% of Veterans Administration budget authority for 1972. Increases in SPECIAL ANALYSES 313 this category continue to result from the impact of increased numbers of Vietnam war veterans and the liberalization of other benefits. The largest percentage increase in budget authority for 1972 is in the Education, training, and rehabilitation category. This change is largely a response to the number of veterans of the Vietnam war who will enroll in higher and continuing education under the readjustment benefits program. The housing programs of the Veterans Administration guarantee home loans made by private lenders. In 1972, the number of home loans guaranteed is expected to be 265,000, an increase of 30,000 over 1971. Neither of these programs requires budget authority for 1972; budget authority shown in this table under Housing is for the payment of interest insufficiencies on outstanding participation certificates. The Hospital and medical care program is concerned with the efficient administration of medical attention to veterans. Medical care will be improved by increasing the staff-to-patient ratio and by phasing down outmoded facilities. The increase in budget authority recommended for Construction of facilities reflects the need to replace or rehabilitate aging facilities. TableS-17. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Income security: Compensation for veteran disabilities Compensation to survivors Other compensation Veterans pensions Survivors pensions Burial allowance and related benefits Veterans life insurance trust fund Veterans life insurance revolving fund Category total Education, training, and rehabilitation: Readjustment educational assistance to veterans Rehabilitative training of disabled veterans Educational assistance to dependents of deceased and disabled veterans Other benefits Category total Housing: Payment of participation certificate interest insufficiencies Category total Hospital and medical care: Direct medical care Medical and prosthetic research Research and development in health services Education and training Medical support and miscellaneous services Construction of facilities Category total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2,396.9 595.6 4.2 1,359.4 909.0 74.9 752.9 7.3 2,715.7 641.1 4.8 1,404.5 1,006.7 78.0 799.1 5.1 2,908.0 677.3 4.7 1,441.3 1,092.1 81.4 833.1 6.5 6,100.2 6,655.0 7,044.4 936.9 41.8 1,542.9 58.0 1,762.0 64.6 51.8 13.6 73.3 22.0 77.2 28.1 1,044.1 1,696.2 1,931.9 4.8 6.1 5.9 4.8 6.1 5.9 1,585. 6 58.9 2.4 95.3 21.7 73.2 , 757.7 61.5 1,881. 9 115.6 51.2 66.5 62. 1 2. 3 116. 0 53. 4 98. 0 1,837.0 2,055.3 2,213.7 2.8 314 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 TableS-17. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Other veterans benefits and services: General operating expenses Total distributed to programs above Deductions for offsetting receipts and intragovernmental transactions Total budget authority, Veterans Administration 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 242.6 252.1 266.2 9,228.7 10,664.7 11,462.1 -478.7 -493.6 -508.4 8,750.0 10,171.1 10,953. 7 NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION The National Science Foundation supports a broad range of scien" tific research to increase the understanding of natural phenomena and fundamental life processes, and to improve our abilities to solve major national problems. Applied research efforts are being strengthened. These will enable us to cope more effectively with major societal and environmental problems, such as pollution, health, and transportation, and advance the Nation's technology and economic productivity. The Institutional support for science and science education support programs reflect a change in the Foundation's programs toward increased support for research efforts and away from the general expansion of training and research capacity. Table S-18. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION (in millions of dollars) Program category Scientific research project support Specialized research facilities and equipment National and special research programs National research centers National sea grant program Computing activities in education and research Science information activities International cooperative scientific activities I ntergovernmental science program Institutional support for science Science education support Planning and policy studies Program development and management Total distributed to programs above Adjustment to budget authority, net Deductions for offsetting receipts Total budget authority, National Science Foundation 1970 1971 1972 actual estimate estimate 161.7 6.5 39.1 27.2 9.0 16.9 13.4 1.7 .5 44.7 120.2 2.0 19.7 176.9 5.8 82.9 37.1 6.2 15.0 12.0 2.2 .4 34.5 100.6 2.4 21.3 259.8 5.8 166.6 40.4 462.6 -22.6 -1.2 497.3 8.6 -1.1 622.2 -.2 -1.1 438.8 504.8 620. 9 17.5 10.8 4.0 1.0 12.0 77.3 2.7 24.3 SPECIAL ANALYSES 315 OFFICE OF ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY The principal concern of the Office of Economic Opportunity is the development of innovative approaches for solving the problems of the poor. The agency's budget for 1972 reflects OEO's continuing concern for research and development activities in social program areas, ranging from manpower, health, and education, to economic development and housing. OEO will give particular attention in 1972 to experiments designed to test the effectiveness of private market mechanisms for delivering social services to the poor. The principal cause for the reduction of OEO budget authority in 1971 and 1972 is the transfer of major operating programs to other Federal agencies. In 1971, the Work and training program was transferred to the Department of Labor; in 1972 the Head Start and the Follow Through programs will be funded directly to the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. Table S-19. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY OFFICE OF ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY (in millions of dollars) Program category and subcategory Employment: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration Work and training Category total Economic development: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration Special impact I-D Rural loans Category total Education: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration Category total Early childhood development: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration Head Start Follow Through Category total Health: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Health and nutrition Category total 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 2.7 3.1 752.7 1.5 5.6 2.7 5.2 758.5 7.1 7.9 .4 11.5 36.2 3.5 .9 2.0 36.1 6.0 1.7 2.1 25.8 51.6 45.0 29.6 3.8 6.2 10.9 3.8 11.0 3.7 10.0 14.7 14.7 5.1 2.8 325.3 70.3 5.5 6.0 360.0 69.0 403.5 440.5 6.0 1.7 157.3 1.4 189.1 .9 159.5 159.0 190.5 160.4 6.0 316 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 19 72 Table S-19. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY OFFICE OF ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY (in millions of dollars)—Continued Program category and subcategory Other community assistance: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration Community action operations Special Indian programs Special migrant programs Legal services VISTA National summer youth Category total 1970 actual 4.8 6.7 368.2 33.2 19.3 54.7 34.2 General support: Executive direction and administration Total distributed to programs above. Intragovernmental transactions and obligations lapsing Total budget authority, Office of Economic Opportunity_.__ 1972 estimate 3.3 10.9 368.4 36.9 23.2 61.0 36.2 3.3 10.2 346.0 37.9 22.7 61.0 524.1 539.9 514.1 1.4 2.1 5.1 6.0 3.7 .9 4.2 7.0 5.5 7.5 5.6 16.2 27.7 27.4 16.0 18.0 17.9 1,938.9 8.7 1,283.4 39.6 778.0 —.3 1,947.6 1,323.0 777. 7 33.0 3.0 Basic research: Research, experimentation, and evaluation Development and demonstration (non add) Planned demonstrations and experimentation Resource mobilization and demonstration Legal development and demonstration Health development and demonstration Program administration Category total 1971 estimate 9.0 4.0 3.0 6.3 SMALL B U S I N E S S ADMINISTRATION The Small Business Administration provides financial and managerial assistance to small businessmen and assists businessmen and homeowners adversely 7affected by disasters. Agency objectives are reflected in the agency s five program categories. However, budget authority does not reflect the true effects of the loan programs because proceeds from loan repayments can be reloaned without additional budget authority. Program levels are shown in parentheses and indicate the continuing emphasis on assistance to minority businesses. Increased program levels result primarily from the expanded participation of private lending institutions in SBA's guaranteed loan programs. SPECIAL ANALYSES 317 Table S-20. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (in millions of dollars) Program category Stimulate small business in deprived areas l Program level 2 . . Promote minority entrepreneurial opportunity 1 2 Program level . Promote small business contributions to economic growth and x competitive environment Program level 2 Financial aid to victims of disasters or displacement1 ___ Program level 2 General support Total budget authority, Small Business Administration.... 1 2 1970 actual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate (153.0) 74.4 (436.0) 112.0 (252.0) (219.0) 175.0 (214.0) 25.8 63.0 69.0 (372.0) (410.0) 128.0 130.0 (246.0) (139.0) 26.4 27.3 (246.0) 200.8 403.8 81.0 (480.0) 120.0 (320.0) 427.3 Budget authority reflects the effect of offsetting receipts. Program level includes direct and guaranteed loans. UNITED STATES INFORMATION AGENCY The United States Information Agency carries out informational programs overseas to further the goal of influencing public attitudes in other countries and to foster a better understanding of U.S. foreign policy objectives. The agency programs are carried out in 112 countries through a variety of communications techniques. The major program categories shown below are based on a subcategory buildup by country and the mix of the various media products used in each. The budget authority recommendation for 1972 provides for wage and cost increases for all programs. It also provides for additional radio broadcasts to the Soviet Union and the Middle East under the Soviet Union and East Europe and the Near East and South Asia program categories. Table S-21. PROGRAM DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY UNITED STATES INFORMATION AGENCY (in millions of dollars) Program category East Asia and Pacific Africa Near East and South Asia Latin America West Europe Soviet Union and East Europe General support Total distributed to programs above Deductions for offsetting receipts Total budget authority, United States Information Agency. _ 1970 ctual 1971 estimate 1972 estimate 37.1 23.1 28.2 26.9 19.7 17.2 31.1 36.7 23.2 28.6 26.2 19.8 21.7 31.7 37.5 23.5 29.3 27.0 20.4 23.4 32.3 183.3 -.6 187.9 -.6 193.4 -.6 182.7 187.3 192.8