Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 23, 1960
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o Ubliiiui • i MAY 2 4 1950 H.li; f s d e r a i . n z s z s v E EANX or :o::3 May 23, I960. GAEITALJJLRKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA, (Including Monthly Review of Sources and Uses of Financial I n t e r m e d i a r i e s ) P a r t I - United S t a t e s Last -week t h r e e l a r g e corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s with proceeds of $63 m i l l i o n were p u b l i c l y s o l d ; no l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s were scheduled f o r s a l e . This week a $25 m i l l i o n corporate i s s u e i s scheduled t o be p u b l i c l y .offered and S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $81 m i l l i o n a r e on the c a l e n d a r . Bond y i e l d s - Yields on most types of seasoned bonds rose l a s t week. The i n c r e a s e was s u b s t a n t i a l f o r U. S. Government and S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds but minor f o r y i e l d s on high-grade corporate bonds. Mortgage y i e l d s - Average discounts i n the p r i v a t e secondary market f o r c e r t a i n JHA-insured 5 - 3 / h p e r cent new-home mortgages edged down again in A p r i l , but the implied y i e l d of 6.20 p e r cent was s t i l l 9 c l o s e t o record postwar l e v e l s , about 60 b a s i s p o i n t s above a y e a r e a r l i e r . Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s as measured by Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common stocks rose moderately l a s t week, closing Friday a t 55.85. Trading volume averaged 3 . 5 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day, the l a r g e s t t r a d i n g volume since e a r l y January. I n s t i t u t i o n a l i n v e s t o r s - Combined growth a t t h r e e major types of savings i n s t i t u t i o n s — l i f e insurance companies, savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s and mutual savings banks—totaled $ 3 . 1 b i l l i o n during t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r , 5 per cent l e s s than i n t h e comparable p e r i o d l a s t y e a r . Savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s were t h e only type having a l a r g e r inflow t h i s y e a r than l a s t . The growth i n l i f e insurance company a s s e t s was only s l i g h t l y smaller—2 per c e n t ; but t h e increase i n d e p o s i t s a t mutual savings banks was only about half as l a r g e as i n t h e f i r s t t h r e e months of 1959. The n e t increase i n l i f e insurance company a s s e t s t o t a l e d $1.3 b i l l i o n i n the f i r s t q u a r t e r . In January and February t h e growth in a s s e t s had been s l i g h t l y l a r g e r than i n t h e comparable months of 1959 J however, i n March a s s e t s increased l e s s than a year e a r l i e r . Net a c q u i s i t i o n of mortgages, t o t a l i n g $.7 b i l l i o n , w a s f o u r - f i f t h s l a r g e r than in t h e January-March 1959 period, while a c q u i s i t i o n of b u s i n e s s s e c u r i t i e s , amounting t o $.h b i l l i o n , was only about half as l a r g e . There was a s l i g h t n e t l i q u i d a t i o n of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s in c o n t r a s t with a s l i g h t net acquisition l a s t year. Sources and Uses of Funds of Major Types of Savings I n s t i t u t i o n s 1 / F i r s t Quarter 1953-1960 (In millions of d o l l a r s ) u. s . Govt. securities Year Uses of Funds State & Busil o c a l Other ness Mortgovt. secur- gages sec. ities Sources of Funds Total Net change OUUXvco in deposits Borrowing or savings capital L i f e Insurance Companies I960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 195k 1953 -174 -152 -123 -206 -215 -171 ^160 -154 -4o 47 58 . -77 -500 - 70 -106 -132 712 394 455 686 957 799 494 480 357 662 631 571 673 513 563 763 80 149 86' - 21 155 131 168 52 404 265 318 336 235 222 479 252 1,339 1,365 1,425 1,333 1,305 1,564 1,436 1,261 — — Savings and Loan Associations i960 -295 1959 -326 267 1958 1957 -235 1956 -99 1955 -54 1954 136 1953 - -30 253 470 26 347 240 179 5 139 I960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1951 1953 12 220 20 59 21 44 -30 94 — 1,229 1,422 775 638 907 1,180 736 655 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 33 123 27 122 73 28 30 20 1,220 1,689 1,095 1,070 1,118 1,329 906 782 1,471 1,371 1,317 997 1,106 1,147 1,047 877 -710 -242 -592 -299 -3 26 -39 -335gy' -254%/ 459 560 370 372 338 221 194 159 Mutual Savings Banks -53 -33 39 -76 -79 -42 22 -45 31 -41 332 205 50 26 173 135 425 508 394 355 587 . 550 4o5 299 -12 55 33 7 43 51 42 75 72 12 54 54 30 42 45 45 475 721 872 6o4 652 671 657 602 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / For description of data see Exhibits K and L. 2/ Includes Federal Home Loan Bank advances only. 302 548 719 435 512 566 54o 506 —— 173 173 153 169 140 105 117 96 -3The growth i n share c a p i t a l a t savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s , t o t a l i n g a f i r s t q u a r t e r record of $1.5 b i l l i o n , was 7 p e r cent l a r g e r than in t h e comparable months of 1959. ( I n February, t h e i n c r e a s e i n savings c a p i t a l had been o n e - f i f t h l a r g e r than a year e a r l i e r , but in Januaxy and March i n c r e a s e s were only s l i g h t l y l a r g e r . ) These a s s o c i a t i o n s made l a r g e repayments of borrowed f u n d s , p r i n c i p a l l y t o t h e Federal Home Loan Banks. Repayment of advances i s usual in the f i r s t q u a r t e r , but i t was sharply higher t h i s year than l a s t . These a s s o c i a t i o n s had borrowed i n record amounts a f t e r March l a s t year t o supplement t h e i r savings inflow i n carzying out t h e i r heavy mortgage lending a c t i v i t y . Because of a reduction of funds a v a i l a b l e t h i s y e a r , n e t a c q u i s i t i o n of m o r t ^ g e s , t o t a l i n g #1.2 b i l l i o n , was one-seventh smaller than in t h e f i r s t t h r e e months l a s t y e a r . The i n c r e a s e i n holdings of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s was only about h a l f as much i n t h e past q u a r t e r a s a year e a r l i e r . Deposits a t mutual savings banks increased $ . 3 b i l l i o n in t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r , only about half a s l a r g e a s l a s t y e a r . In March, however, t h e i n c r e a s e in d e p o s i t s was l a r g e r (although only very s l i g h t l y ) than a year e a r l i e r f o r t h e f i r s t time s i n c e November 19$8. (Throughout 1959 and the f i r s t months t h i s y e a r d e p o s i t s had e i t h e r declined a b s o l u t e l y or increased l e s s than in the comparable month a year e a r l i e r . ) Most of the funds a v a i l a b l e t h i s year were i n v e s t e d in mortgages i n c o n t r a s t with f i r s t q u a r t e r l a s t year when savings banks a l s o made s u b s t a n t i a l a c q u i s i t i o n s of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a s w e l l as mortgages. There was a s l i g h t n e t a c q u i s i t i o n of business s e c u r i t i e s by t h e s e banks i n c o n t r a s t t o a small l i q u i d a t i o n l a s t y e a r . I n March, a c q u i s i t i o n of these s e c u r i t i e s , although only $52 m i l l i o n , was the l a r g e s t s i n c e A p r i l 1959. (Savings banks had g e n e r a l l y reduced t h e i r holdings of business s e c u r i t i e s a f t e r l a t e 1958.) More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Developments in t h e Canadian c a p i t a l markets a r e p r e s e n t e d in P a r t I I a t t h e end of t h i s r e p o r t . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. l\ STOCK MARKET ^Y, 1957 MORTGAGE AND 1951 BOND 1959 i960 YIELDS I u.il* Exhibit B - Tables f o r Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and State and Corporate local Aaa State and l o c a l govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 1951* 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low 2.65 it.llt 3.55 lt.6l 4.09 4.61 li.Ut Apr. 22 Apr. 29 May 6 May 13 May 20 g / U.li5 li.U6 I1.U6 k.kS It. 46 (li/23) (9/27) (5/2) (12/31) (1/9) (1/29) (li/8) 2.45 3.76 3.07 4.37 3.83 4.42 LOO (6/6) (10A6) (4/25) (12/31) (1/2) (1/6) (3/25) 4.21 4.20 It. 17 1(.13 It. 1 6 1.90 (9/2) 3.53 (1/7) 3.28 ( V 7 ) . .30 .60 .22 .50 .16 .1*6 .19 .30 .1*7 .31* .92 .53 .92 .68 3.29 3.3U 3.32 3.32 3.37 .21* .26 .29 .32 .28 .92 .86 .85 .81 .81 1 4 ! H 3.06 (3/26) Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 195b 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low 3.1* S.10 U.51 5.32 It.83 5.36 5.17 Apr. 22 Apr. 29 May 6 May 13 May 20 2 / 5.21 (12/31) (11/29) (7/11) (12/31) (4/17) (2/12) (V8) s 5.28 5.28 2.93 (8/5) t a \%1) 1*.1*6 (7/2) 3.92 (3/26) k.k6 (1/7) 1*.22 ( V 7 ) 1*.23 ll.28 4.28 1*. 28 1*.33 .52 1.27 .77 .77 .56 .83 .71 .96 1.21 .93 .98 .79 .97 .93 .76 .77 .81 .83 .82 .91* .91* .96 .96 .96 E/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of dally figures. Average term of bonds Included la 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of dully figurea. The series lholudes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are includedt average term I s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lews are for Individual series and may be on different datee for different series. HIGH-GRADE, BOND YIELDS /Vt / - U.V. COVilNMEMT .GOVftNMINT J«« LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Exhibit i) - Tables f o r ExhibiL C Stock Market Bate Common Trading stock volume y yields 2 / (millions (per cent) of shares) Stock price index 1 / 1957-59 - High Low I960 - High Low 60.51 39.78 59.50 5k.ik March April May 6 May 13 May 20 p / 55.02 55.73 54.75 55.30 55.83 (7/31/59) (12/27/57) (1/8) (3/11) 3.07 I1.66 3.18 3.51 n 3.1*5 3.1*1 3.1*6 3.1*2 3.1*0 Stock market customer c r e d i t iCustomers' Bank Total 1debit b a l - loans to ances h/ "others" 5/ (Millions of d o l l a r s ) n 1*>761* 3,551* 1*,365 *1,153 3,1*01 2,1*82 3,198 3,028 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.5 1*,158 1*,153 n.a. n.a. n.a. 3,028 3,037 n.a. n.a. n.a. • 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,130 1,130 1,116 1,116 1,110 1 / Standard and Poor's rrmposlte Index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1941-43=10. Monthly data, ore averages of d a l l y f i g u r e s rather than of Fridays' o n l y . Highs and lows are f o r Fridays' data o n l y . 2 / Standard and Poor's composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by Federal Reserve, Y i e l d s shown are f o r d a t e s on which price index reached i t s high or low. 3 / Averages o f d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s , 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . Prior t o July 1 , 1959, auoh loans are excluded only a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 70 per cent of loans t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l aeo B u l l e t i n . Mortgage and Bond Yields 1/ Date FHA mortgages 2 / 19 59 - High Low 1953-1958 - High Low 5.63 (11/57) 1*.56 ( 2 % ) 6.23 5.57 1959 - December i960 - January February March April 6.23 6.21* 6.23 6.22 6.20 Aaa corporate Spread between now bonds 1/ corporate bonds and New 3/ 1| Seasoned It/ FHA mortgages |Seasoned bonds l*.8l (6/57) 2.71* (3/51*) 5.29 U.29 5.16 l*.95 6.96 1*.66 x/1*.78 1*.12 (9/57) 2.85 (1*/51*) 1*. 58 1*.12 1.96 .51* 1.29 .83 .90 -.12 .77 .15 1*.58 l*.6l 1*.56 1*.1*9 1*.1*5 1.07 1.29 1.27. 1.56 1.1*1 .58 .31* .1*0 .17 r/,33 1 / Neither mortgage nor bond y i e l d s take I n t o account s e r v i c i n g cootc whioh are much higher f o r mortgages than bonds. G e n e r a l l y , bonds pay i n t e r e s t semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage y i e l d s , i f computed a s e q u i v a l e n t t o a semiannual i n t e r e s t investment, would be s l i g h t l y higher than g i v e n I n the t a b l e . 2 / BmoKd on FHA f l o l d - o f f l o e opinions about average bid p r i c e s i n the p r i v a t e secondary market f o r new-home mortgages for immediate d e l i v e r y . Since l a t e 1955, data r e l a t e only t o 25-yeor mortgage s with downpaymenta of 10 per cent or more, weighted by probable volume of t r a n s a c t i o n s . Y i e l d s computed by FTIB, assuming 25-ycnr mortgagee a r e paid o f f In 12 y e a r s . Danhed l i n o s i n d i c a t e periods of adjustment t o changes i n the contractual i n t e r e s t r a t e , 3 / F i r s t National City Bank of New York. Averages of o f f e r i n g y i e l d s of a l l new i s s u e s of p u b l i o l y - s o l d bonds noted A a a , Aa or A by Moody's I n v e n t o r s Servian ( e x c e p t a e r i a l and convertible, i s s u e s and o f f e r i n g s of natural gas and f o r e i g n companies) weighted by s i z e of i s s u e . Y i e l d s on Aa and A i s s u e s are f i r s t adjusted t o an Aaa b a s i s by the r.prro'1 between y i e l d s of outstanding bonds i n t h e s e c a t e g o r i e s end those on nan-rated bonds. The s e r i e s re* f l e e t s cr.tngna In lndu.itrlnl ooirp o o l t l o n , maturity, t j p e , e t o . of new o f f e r i n g s . 4 / Moocty's I n v e s t o r s S e r v i c e . Monthly averages of d a l l y d a t a . See Exhibit B. Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) New c a p i t a l I960 Corporate 1 / 1 1959 r / 1 1958 I960 734 638 858 61*6 812 953 511 1,140 597 887 593 1,006 798 895 551 535 740 703 1,107 540 1,11b gi U68 879 864 900 862 518 920 593 513 455 1*56 474 435 2,20b 2,567 2^2 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 2,142 2,531 1,519 1,562 2,276 2,21,1, 1,860 1,365 4771 6,750 9,392 5,762 8,522 10,823 4,673 6,223 7,781. 4,520 6,380 7,746 577 715 860 821 738 646 728 e/725 i/700 894 785 887 July August September October November December January February March April May 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,151 1 s t half Three q u a r t e r s Year S t a t e and l o c a l 2/ 1 1958 1 1959 e/1,846 ' 806 403 651 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 4 / 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/1,801 Year 1/ 2/ 3/ h/ 1,999 2,412 1,716 2,503 2,899 2,586 2,731 2,213 8,630 10,1*29 S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of n e t proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. Includes $718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. Exhibit F H.lU Other Security Offerings 1 / (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Long - t e m Federal apenqy 3/~ Foreign government 2/ "1950 I960 ~19f>B~ 193T 1959 1939^ January February March 2 75 70 April May 81 60 2 1o 8 h2 196 53 October November December 33 30. 70 ii! 547 992 Year ilo 175 523 9 5 17 268 31:5" 2/363 April May 220 58 190 &28 1*60 295 273 g 215 233 s 261 July August September I467 1*23 399 369 October November December £ ^5 Year 2I4.6 358 li,179 16U £ 707 Short-term State and l o c a l government h/ January February March 1,163 251 120 35, 1 199 139 198 JulyAugust September 85 182 213 3,910 479 1*63 2,321 Federal agency 3/ 359 500 W9 1*86 675 289 727 365 665 371 208 lM 209 161 329 137 206 330 733 U71 h$h Ilk .288 137 6,047 3,098 g / Prelieinaiy. 1 / Data presented l a t h i s e x h i b i t d i f f e r from those I n Exhibit E i n t h a t refunding i s s u e s , en w e l l a s new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are defined a s those maturing i n more than one y e a r . 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n the United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l organizations. Sourcei S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. 3 / I s s u e s not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source 1 long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. 4 / P r i n c i p a l l y tax and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t * s , warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority not*». I n some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one year. Sourcet Bond Buyer. Exhibit G Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuxy.) 1/ Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered | (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1959 - A p r i l May Other 2 / 20 50 60 50 98 175 20 563 258 635 19U 263 21I4 29l 163 217 388 283 225 370 359 31x2 28k 110 363 199 loo k21 230 279 262 38U 309 July August September October November December I960 - Januaiy February March April § S t a t e and l o c a l government 70 100 320 191 71 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered May 1 through 20 Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity of net i n t e r - yield < dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Columbia Gas Sys., I n c . Wisconsin Telephone Co. Gen. Amer. Transp. Corp. Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Gov Milwaukee Gas Light Co. Uris Building Corp. Rating - Com. s t k . Deb. E.T. Com. s t k . 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 26.0 20.0 30.0 18.1 22.0 23.0 1995 1980 4-7/8 li-7/8 1.80 L84 Aaa A 1985 1975 5-5/8 6-1/2 5.1i5 V Baa — STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of Minnesota Pub. housing A u t h o r i t i e s J a c k s o n v i l l e , Florida OTHER None G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 3.2i5 48.8 1961-79 133.1 1961-2000/75 3.83 30.0 1962-80/71 3.W 2.50-3.50 2.40-3.90 :2.70-3.50 Aa Aa G-2 Footnotes 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by F e d e r a l . a g e n c i e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G. 0. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue f r o m s p e c i f i c taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y bv lease, payments. h / Uris Building Corp's #23 m i l l i o n i s s u e o f f e r e d i n u n i t s with stock. Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 2 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large i s s u e s During month following date shown State and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 1959 - Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 i960 — Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 2U6 287 165 238 198 37k 38$ 226 210 207 301 299 202 - 2$k 2b7 lb6 356 3# 270 115 295 kbS 210 255 250 2U3 Subsequent t o date shown State and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. 3U6 332 272 305 517 69k 509 271 280 252 372 3bk 357 50 50 25 70 30 1*5 35 — 517 761 500 hO 6 b02 170 336 185 5U5 310 #5 280 258 50 50 25 70 30 1*5 35 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of "May 20 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. Midwestern Gas Transmission Co. Florida Light & Power Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern E l e c t r i c Generating Co. National Cash Register Co. Northwestern Bell T e l . Co. Consolidated Edison Co. of N. Y. Montgomery Ward Credit Corp. •^Illinois B e l l Telephone Co. Deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Com. s t k . 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. 1 s t r e f . mtg. bds. Deb. Com. s t k . 25.0 60.0 20.0 30.0 1*0.0 kO.O 45.0 50.0 50.0 • 61.0 tfjames T a l c o t t I n c . Commerce Oil Refining Coip. Senior notes Deb., bds. & com. 20.0 15.0 May 26 May June 1 June 2 June 3 June 3 June 7 June 15 June 28 June 30 ( r i g h t s expire) June Indefinite 19.6 50.0 11.8 10.0 May 2k May 2h May 25 June 1 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT D e t r o i t Sch. D i s t . , Michigan S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Denver, Colorado King Co. Sch. D i s t . No. 1 , Wash. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. H.lii H-2 -13- Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of May 20 (Cont'd) Issuer STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Memphis, Tennessee ^Pennsylvania Gen. S t a t e Auth. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Pwr., California S t a t e of Kentucky S t a t e of Michigan ^Milwaukee, Wise. *State of Ohio Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) . G.O. Rev. 15.0 25.0 June 7 June 7 Rev,-Ut. G.O. Rev. -Ut. G.O. G.O. 15.0 30.0 25.0 15.0 15.0 June June June June June S.F. deb. S.F. deb. 30.0 28.0 May 26 June 15 8 lit lit lit 21 v OTHER Montreal, Canada -aAlberta Municipal Finance Corp. *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . ' ~~ ' 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of §15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . Note. —Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : None. Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and Date 1952-1959 High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1960 - Jan. 7 Feb. 25 26 Mar. 15 16 18 29 Apr. 6 8 14 21 27 May 10 12 A 1/ Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) ( b a s i s points) 5.30(12/8/59) 2.93 (3/31/54) *4.93 4.83 5.13^/ *5.08 *5.30 5.08 5.10 t S f 87 -3 31 23 2: 63 h6 32 17 4.85 33 4.94 39 4.95 39 32 4.88 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 (3/17/54) 123 -15 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 43 5:^/ 51 28 5.00 4.93 11 7 4.98 21 5.30 50 5.10 26 * ~ S i n g l e observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2/ Provides f o r a 5 - y e a r period during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n . -15- Exhibit J H.14 Sources and Uses of Funds by L i f e Insurance Companies U. S. Govt. Cash ities Value of a s s e t s a t end of p e r i o d : 1956 - Dec. 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. 1959 - Dec. I960 - Mar. Changes: 1958 - Jan. Febv Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. • 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. i960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Uses of Funds 1 / BusiS t a t e and ness l o c a l govt, Mortgages securi t i e s 2/ ities Other Total sources o r uses 12,272 13,206 14,61*0 15,998 16,402 95,844 101,309 107,580 113,626 114,905 ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1,273 1,29k 1,363 1,327 1,153 7,519 7,028 7,182 6,848 6,808 39,552 1*2,133 44,612 46,977 47 ,33a 2,23k 2,377 2,691 3,177 3,257 -102 -ill 20 -18 81 -24 22 -18 1 -17 55 110 166 16 -12k 14 -71 45 172 a 4 11 19 -142 229 158 216 216 143 201 191 129 214 309 137 308 50 12 2k Hi 29 3k 2k 37 20 26 32 12 176 137 142 115 118 102 128 139 142 186 145 291 139 76 103 39 164 • 148 45 . 154 72 72 88 334 658 358 409 380 464 506 582 485 453 587 476 913 -81 -57 -14 -2k 10 3 -15 19 -31 22 33 99 303 -71 -185 22 -16 11 13 95 -185 -22 -131 -168 188 223 251 242 193 2k2 21k 75 95 208 207 227 53 30 66 k9 79 23 9k 30 15 8 16 23 119 139 136 116 135 157 214 174 211 251 2h0 315 -17 174 108 80 97 60 208 101 95 92 134 226 5# 438 362 485 498 496 728 494 200 559 499 722 163 -36 -167 128 125 104 20 25 35 274 196 242 82 207 115 576 464 2 99 . -91 -53 -30 32,99k 35,271 37,092 39,299 40,011 4 1/ Uses of funds r e p r e s e n t n e t changes i n a s s e t s and t h e r e f o r e r e f l e c t n e t , r a t h e r than gross, u s e s . 2/ Includes s e c u r i t i e s of domestic corporations only. Source: I n s t i t u t e of L i f e Insurance. Exhibit K -16- Sources and Uses of Funds by Savings and Loan Associations Cash Value of a s s e t s a t end of period 1956 - Dec. 2,U9 2,146 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. 3,565 1959 - Dec. 2,189 1960 - Mar. 1,69k Changes: 1958 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1959 - Jan. Feb! Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dsc. i960 - Jan. Feb.* Mar. 1 Uses of funds 1 / U. S. MortGovt, gages securV ities Other Total sources or uses Sources of Funds Net Borrowchange savings ing 3/ capital (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 2,782 3,173 3,819 fcS 35,775 2,199 to,01,9 2,770 45,627 3,106 53,087 3,725 511,316 3,758 42,875 48,136 55,139 63,472 61i,692 37,146 41,912 47,976 54,548 56,01? 2,384 l,67ii 4,380 4,847 5,719 6,540 6,999 10 13 4 102 99 -43 -90 12 45 137 102 -53 134 407 554 661 681 789 216 616 692 739 665 847 453 376 488 362 511 935 73 360 447 507 480 1,072 -375 -128 -89 112 -29 165 -37 51 84 58 41 212 56 159 155 187 199 -311 180 205 161 174 114 -437 1,347 I'M -118 173 212 119 42 178 -290 -70 --77 -107 42 335 37 12 81 42 110 146 104 51 37 197 240 33% 403 528 573 554 564 578 605 470 528 -298 -26 -2 -182 26 245 -432 -43 -53 -68. 65 372 297 97 76 105 23 -4 104 17 -7 7 -34 -29 402 427 593 705 754 840 783 727 670 621 459 479 -55 80 98 151 178 10 -108 22 65 88 i4o -52 346 578 765 779 981 1,091 347 723 675 648 630 770 434 408 529 420 604 1,090 190 394 444 399 483 1,177 -181 -56 -5 97 63 313 31 118 148 136 57 219 93 226 241 262 314 -312 126 211 83 113 90 -626 -291 -34 30 176 8k -7 323 399 507 -lib 36 113 92 485 643 437 495 539 -449 -130 -131 104 120 235 45 -19 2 / Preliminary. 1 / Uses of funds represent net changes i n a s s e t s and t h e r e f o r e r e f l e c t n e t , r a t h e r than gross, uses. Savings and loan associations do not hold business securi t i e s and data on holdings of S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds, presumed t o be small, a r e not a v a i l a b l e . 2 / Prior t o 1957, data adjusted t o include mortgage pledged shares a s currently reported. 2 / Advances from Home Loan Banks and other borrowing. Sources Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation. Exhibit L -17- Sources and Uses of Funds by Mutual Savings Banks Uses of Funds 1 / State & Busilocal MortCash Govt; govt. gages ities ities' u. Value of a s s e t s at end of period 1956 - Dec. 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. r/1959 - Dec. i960 - Mar. 920 890 921 829 776 7,971 7,552 7,266 6,861* 6,881 4,331 It,973 U,8lt9 2,856 Changes: 1958 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -60 63 36 -U7 -5 bZ -66 -5 18 -8 -38 101 , -21 a -85 -62 -36 11 19 -27 -92 160 86 86 97 120 -2it 3h 8 34 -6 -2 hi -96 18 k$ -114 8 k3 -79 3 -2 -27 20 111 119 39 62 -a 13 -85 -13 .12 -32 -281 -85 -12 -16 6 -31 58 -20 -17 13 -2 -55 -26 23 -131 37 U -9 -11 32 -1? -9 52 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 1J Dec. i960 - Jan.. Feb. Mar. Sources of Funds s. Other Total sources or uses Net change in deposits 33,311 35,168 37,779 30,032 31,695 • 3it,oa 3b,983 Other (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) -32 3,523 669 682 725 722 , 725 19,529 20,951 23,039 2li,768 25,195 698 761 855 910 902 23 k 6 k -19 2k 1 8 2 2 -3 -1 ' -7 130 . 99 . 165 I51t 195 253 193 198 181 195 151 174 25 20 9 -29 ItO 5 -28 29 29 -I46 lt3 -3 208 125 175 155 161 115 179 156 160 137 12U 132 -58 32 38 159 116 150 17 -It itl -33 10 19 . h -1 8 -20 -8 -2U -6 -9 3 38,9# 39,4# 278 35,2# 3,279 3,173 3,738 3,959 it,12b ItO 123 309 23it lit9 336 93 181 300 88 llt3 267 95 k2 JU18 a 102 7 1 88 -36 6I4 108 -30 -55 81 -109 h$ 39 -12 33 31 -37 hZ -12 175 216 330 -10 217 161 32 192 163 -283 65 21b 122 113 313 6 120 202 -6k 80 197 -187 -27 3U0 53 103 17 -16 97 -ill. 86 112 -3U -96 92 -122 -12 k3 a -11 167 319 -68 50' 320 57 117 -1 -32 251 313 9k 269 26k 152 251 237 1 / Uses of funds r e p r e s e n t net changes i n a s s e t s and t h e r e f o r e r e f l e c t , net r a t h e r than g r o s s , u s e s . 2/ Includes Canadian government and p o l i t i c a l s u b d i v i s i o n s , I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development, nonguaranteed Federal agency and other bonds as well as corporate bonds and stocks. 3 / Adjusted to eliminate the e f f e c t of a c o n s o l i d a t i o n of a l a r g e savings bank Vvith a commercial bank. Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Deposit I n s u r ance Corporation. May 23, I960 -18- - P a r t I I - Canada The Canadian d o l l a r continued t o decline during t h e week and reached the lowest l e v e l i n almost two y e a r s under t h e i n f l u e n c e of reduced Canadian s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s on t h e United S t a t e s market, among other f a c t o r s . The Canadian b i l l r a t e rose even more s h a r p l y than t h e United S t a t e s b i l l r a t e , t h e r e b y decreasing the spread i n f a v o r of the United S t a t e s b i l l o The Bank of Canada sold Treasury b i l l s t o o f f s e t t h e decreased r o l l - o v e r of new b i l l s by the Treasury. Bond y i e l d s f o r a l l m a t u r i t i e s declined during t h e week,many t o new lows f o r t h e y e a r , while the c h a r t e r e d banks and t h e Bank of Canada increased t h e i r bond holdings and the general p u b l i c reduced i t s holdings. Money market c o n d i t i o n s . The average y i e l d on the s h o r t Treasury b i l l increased during the week by 32 b a s i s p o i n t s from 2.67 per c e n t a week ago t o 2.99 per c e n t a t l a s t Thursday's auction (see T a b l e ) . The y i e l d on the 6-month Treasury b i l l a l s o increased by 32 b a s i s p o i n t s from 2.90 p e r cent t o 3»22 per c e n t . Beginning a week ago, the Treasury reduced the t o t a l r o l l - o v e r of Treasury b i l l s by $15 m i l l i o n from $135 m i l l i o n t o $120 m i l l i o n , probably r e f l e c t i n g t h e improved budget p o s i t i o n . During t h e week t h e Rantof Canada reduced i t s holdings of Treasury b i l l s by $15 m i l l i o n t h e r e b y o f f s e t t i n g the reduced supply of new b i l l s . The g e n e r a l p u b l i c a l s o reduced i t s holding of Treasury b i l l s by $6 m i l l i o n while t h e c h a r t e r e d banks made n e t purchases of $7 m i l l i o n . The spread f a v o r i n g t h e United S t a t e s 3-month Treasury b i l l over t ^ e Canadian b i l l decreased during t h e week as a r e s u l t of a g r e a t e r r i s e i n t h e Canadian b i l l r a t e . The premium on t h e 3-month forward Canadian d o l l a r a l s o increased during the week. The n e t i n c e n t i v e t o hold t h e United S t a t e s b i l l t h e r e f o r e decreased from 0.57 per cent p e r annum a week ago t o 0.12 per cent l a s t week (see T a b l e ) . Bond market c o n d i t i o n s . Bond y i e l d s f o r a l l m a t u r i t i e s declined during the week, most of them t o new lows f o r t h e y e a r , and the spread i n f a y o r of Canadian bonds d e c l i n e d s h a r p l y . The spread between comparable Canadian and United S t a t e s s e c u r i t i e s (Thursday y i e l d s f o r b i l l s and Wednesday y i e l d s f o r bonds) was as follows ( f i g u r e s i n parentheses r e f e r t o t h e previous week): -0.U3 -0.1*8 0,32 0.88 1.30 per per per per per cent cent cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day b i l l ( - 0 . 6 9 ) a 182-day b i l l ( - 0 . 6 9 ) an 8-year bond (0<>71) a 20-year bond (1.01) a 35-year bond (l.Wi) The Bank of Canada and t h e c h a r t e r e d banks increased t h e i r holdings of bonds by $U m i l l i o n and $17 m i l l i o n r e s p e c t i v e l y , while t h e general public decreased i t s holdings by $15 m i l l i o n . Exchange r a t e . The Canadian d o l l a r continued t o d e c l i n e during t h e week and reached a low of 101.U7 (U.S. c e n t s ) a t l a s t Thursday's -19c l o s i n g (see T a b l e ) . An important f a c t o r i n t h e r e c e n t d e c l i n e has been the reduced Canadian borrowing i n t h e United S t a t e s . With c e n t r a l Government borrowing needs sharply reduced i n Canada, Canadian l o c a l governments a r e reducing t h e i r r e l i a n c e upon borrowing i n t h e United S t a t e s . The Governor of t h e Bank of Canada was outspoken i n h i s c r i t i c i s m of f o r e i g n borrowing by Canadians i n general and of l o c a l - a u t h o r i t y borrowing i n p a r t i c u l a r i n a speech i n Hamilton, Ontario on May 12. - He t i e d t o g e t h e r Canadian borrowing and t h e exchange r a t e f o r the Canadian d o l l a r i n t h e s e words: "The f a c t i s t h a t a t times the amount of f o r e i g n borrowing done by Canadians has exceeded even, t h e l a r g e volume of imports then r e q u i r i n g t o be f i n a n c e d and has l e d t o a strengthening of the Canadian exchange r a t e . This i n t u r n has induced a higher r a t e of imports than would otherwise have occurred, pushed t h e r a t e of imports up another notch, over and over a g a i n , imports which compete with Canadian production f o r - t h e domestic market, and have an obvious e f f e c t on employment conditions i n Canadian i n d u s t r i e s . I have no doubt t h a t t h e marginal f a c t o r , t h e straw t h a t broke t h e camel's back, so t o speak — and a t times i t has been a very l a r g e straw indeed — has been t h e unnecessary and i l l - a d v i s e d borrowing i n f o r e i g n c u r r e n c i e s on the p a r t of some p r o v i n c i a l governments and m u n i c i p a l i t i e s and t h e i r a g e n c i e s . " P r i v a t e e s t i m a t e s i n d i c a t e t h a t , s i n c e A p r i l 19, no Canadian l o c a l Government i s s u e s have been o f f e r e d on t h e U.S. market compared with $129.7 m i l l i o n i n e a r l i e r months of t h e y e a r . Corporate bond o f f e r i n g s on t h e United S t a t e s market i n t h e l a s t two weeks t o t a l e d $2 m i l l i o n compared' with $1*0 m i l l i o n e a r l i e r i n I960. Sales of Canadian s e c u r i t i e s i n t h e United S t a t e s i n I960 a r e estimated a s follows ( i n m i l l i o n s of Canadian d o l l a r s ) s Jan. 1 thru April U Provincial (direct) P r o v i n c i a l (guaranteed) Municipal Corporation Source: 15.0 22.0 82.1 25.0 lUt.l April U t h r u A p r i l 19 10.0 0.0 0.6 15.0 25.6 A p r i l 19 t h r u May 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 A. E. Ames & Co., L t d . Stock market. The p r i c e s of i n d u s t r i a l stock on the Canadian exchanges eased some l a s t week a f t e r showing moderate gains the week b e f o r e (see T a b l e ) . B r i t i s h Commonwealth Section Division of I n t e r n a t i o n a l Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data -20- 3-mo,. T r e a s . b i l l s Spread Canada 1/ U.S 1 / over U.S. 1959 - High Low 1960 - High Low 6.16 3.25 5.1U 2.67 U.U9 2.80 A p r i l 28 May 5 3.26 2.82 2.67 2.99 12 19 Canadian d o l l a r discount ( - ) 3-mo. forward premium(*M/ Spot 5/ 2.86 2.96 0.30 0.90 -0.69 105.51 102.58 105.27 101.U7 3.16 3.09 3.36 3.U2 0.10 -0.27 -0.69 -0.U3 103.72 103.30 102.59 101.U7 U.63 Net i n c e n tive to hold Can, billU/ - 103.72 103.31 102.63 101.55 0.12 -0.72 0%8 -0.57 0.00 0.06 0.12 0.31 0.10 -0.21 -0.57 -0.12 1 / Average y i e l d a t weekly tender on Thursday. 2 / Composite market yield, f o r t h e U.S. Treasury b i l l on Thursday close of b u s i n e s s . 3 / Spread between spot r a t e and 3-month forward Canadian d o l l a r on Thursday c l o s i n g , expressed as per c e n t per annum. U/ (Column. 3) spread over U.S. Treasury b i l l , p l u s Column 6) 3-month forward discount or premium. 5y I n U.S. c e n t s . Selected Government of Canada S e c u r i t y Yields 6-mo, Treas, b i l l s Spread Canada u TJ/ _i/_ 1959 - High Low 1960 - High Low A p r i l 28 May 5 12 19 6.2U 5.11 5.33 2.90 o~h -0.69 3.U3 -0.13 2.90 3.22 -0.U2 -0.69 -0.U8 3.00 Intermediate bonds (8 y r . ) Spread Canada uTl/ 5.30 5.37 U.50 5.55 Long-term bonds year) (35 year) Spread Spread Caj^da Canada vTJ/ a (20 5.05 U.73 U.UU 5.U2 U.67 1.11 0.31 5.05 5.0U U.85 U.67 0.70 0.76 0.71 0.31 5.22 5.08 I'M 5.08 lo22 0.87 0.96 0.93 1.01 0.87 5.28 5.11 1.61 0.98 5.2U 5.2U 5.20 5.12 1.U0 loUl l.UU 1.29 1/ Average y i e l d a t weekly tender on Thursday. "2/ Spread between Canadian auction r a t e and composite market y i e l d of U.S. b i l l on close of business Thursday. 3 / Government of Canada 2-3/U per cent of June 1967-68. %/ Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 p e r c e n t of 1963-68. 5 / Government of Canada 3 - l A p e r cent of October 1879 • %/ Spread over U.S. Government 3-1/1* per cent of 1978-83. 7 / Government of Canada 3 - 3 A per cent of September 1996 - March 1998. B/ Spread over U.S. Government of 1995. Canada: Changes In Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of dollars, par value) . Bank of Canada Treas. Bonds bills Chartered banks Treas. Bonds bills Government Total General p u b l i c Savings Treas. Bonds bonds bills March 17 23 30 + 11 + U3 • 22 - 10 - 9 - 3k - 18 - 17 - 10 - 1 + 9 + 2 - 3 0 + 16 - 3 7 8 0 - 32 - 12 + 26 + 10 + 19 April 6 13 20 27 May h 11 18 • + + > - - 30 0 0 * 7 + 1k 0 + It - 3 - 11 + 3 + 2 + 1 +- 2 - 8 + * + * + + + + - 6 7 5 8 7 8 7 + + - + * - 28 37 1U 10 9 3 15 10 33 It 7 17 Hi 7 9 3 2 18 7 2 17 19 1h 11 3 26 26 6 38 10 5 7 8 0 -15 Sources Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics. Sales of New Government, Municipal and Corporation Bonds (millions of dollars) To May 16 I960 Government ( d i r e c t ) Government (guaranteed) Provincial (direct) P r o v i n c i a l (guaranteed) Municipal Corporation Less s h o r t - t e r m T o t a l sold To To May 18 May 20 1959 j m . 3029.0 138.5 102.2 196.1 271.7 3737.5 2U00.0 1337.5 271*0.0 150.0 111.0 77.8 138.6 152.1 3369.5 25UO.O 829.5 Of which sold i n U.S. To To To May 18 May 20 May 16 I960 1958 1959 3280.0 300.0 195.0 iit5.lt 183.3 ltgl.7 U555.U 2330.0 2225.lt 25.0 22.0 82.7 U2.0 17177 75.0 6.2 lt.6 2U.0 1093 Source: Weekly Bond Sales Summary, A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. Prices of Industrial Stocks on the Canadian & U.S. Exchanges Toronto May 11 12 13 16 17 18 U88.9U U90.00 U93.50 1*95.56 U93.9U U93.50 Montreal 279.1 280.0 280.9 282.7 282.6 283.1 New York Standard & Poor - 58.11 58.1*3 58.95 56.98 5?.l)i 59.12 100.0 70.0 66.2 82.8 3l9To