Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 8, 1959
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Not f o r P u b l i c j t i o n j^TER SIX MONTHS H.li* June 8, 1959 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e public s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g continues t o be s u b s t a n t i a l . During t h e week ending June 5 , corporations sold l a r g e i s s u e s , including e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s , amounting to ^93 million and S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s a l s o t o t a l e d $93 m i l l i o n . This week, l a r g e corporate i s s u e s a r e expected.to t o t a l million. State and l o c a l government i s s u e s with aggregate proceeds of $173 m i l l i o n a r e scheduled f o r s a l e , including a $100 m i l l i o n bond i s s u e by the S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a . There were a number of s u b s t a n t i a l a d d i t i o n s t o the June calendar of municipal bond s a l e s l a s t week and i t now appears t h a t June bond s a l e s may be about #800 m i l l i o n , $150 m i l l i o n more than estimated l a s t week. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on corporate and U. S. Government bonds increased s l i g h t l y l a s t week, while those on S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds remained s t a b l e . O f f e r i n g y i e l d s on new corporate bonds declined s l i g h t l y l a s t week. A new Aa-rated, f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c bond i s s u e was o f f e r e d t o i n v e s t o r s on Thursday to y i e l d k.9S 5 b a s i s points below t h a t f o r a comparable o f f e r i n g made a week e a r l i e r . The o f f e r i n g of New York City bonds l a s t week a f f o r d s an opp o r t u n i t y t o compare c u r r e n t S t a t e and l o c a l government bond y i e l d s with the postwar peaks reached i n August of 1957. New York City a l s o sold a s i m i l a r A-rated issue a t about the time y i e l d s on outstanding bonds reached t h e i r peaks. The comparison of y i e l d s on these two i s s u e s tends t o confirm the movement i n the Moody's s e r i e s on outstanding bond y i e l d s , which i s s t i l l somewhat below t h e 1957 peaks. (Other municipal y i e l d s e r i e s — Standard and P o o r ' s , Bond Buyer and Dow-Jones — have surpassed t h e i r 1957 h i g h s . ) New o f f e r i n g y i e l d s f o r s h o r t e r term bonds are 25-35 b a s i s p o i n t s lower than in August 1957, while those f o r the longest term (Ik years) a r e 11 b a s i s points lower. Yields on outstanding A-rated bonds a r e c u r r e n t l y 8 b a s i s p o i n t s below the l e v e l of August 1957. New York City Bond I s s u e s A m o u n t N e t (millions interest of d o l l a r s ) [ cost Aug. 15, 1957 June 5, 1959 2*0.0 27.0 3.76 Yield by years t o maturity (per cent) New issue Outstanding!/ 5 I 10 I 14 _L 2.75 2.1*0 3.1*0 3.15 3-70 3.50 3.80 3.69 1 / Moody's A-rated State and l o c a l government bond y i e l d averages. 3.91 3.83 H.li; Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s declined s u b s t a n t i a l l y l a s t week. Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common stocks closed a t 57.51 on June 2 p e r cent lower than a week e a r l i e r . The volume of t r a d i n g again averaged 3.0 m i l l i o n shares a day. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve*System. HIGH-GRADE LOWER-GRADE BOND BOND YIELDS YIELDS H.lit Exhibit b Tables f o r E x h i b i t A High-grade bond Yields Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / Corporate Aaa 1 / Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate IState and Aaa 1local Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa 1/ (Per cent) 19514 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 2.85 it.lit it. 13 3-55 it. a it.09 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 June 5 2/ it. 33 it. 36 it. 39 k.h2 it. a (lt/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) (6/5) (1/9) 2.it5 3.76 3.8U 3.07 it. 11 3.83 (8/6) (10/18) (12/26) (it/25) (5/22) (1/2) it.05 it. 09 it.ll it. 08 it. 10 1.90 3.U5 3.31 2.61* 3.31 3.06 (9/2) (8/29) (9/11) (5/1) (6/W (3/26) 3.23 3.30 3.31 3.31 3.31 .30 .60 .51 .22 .3it .16 .30 .1*7 .72 • 3it .92 .65 .28 .27 .28 .3it .3it .82 .79 .80 .77 .79 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. Baa | / Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 195it - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 3.itlt 5.10 it.96 it. 51 5.03 it.83 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 June 5 2 / it.93 it.9it it.97 5.01 5.03 (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) (6/5) (it/17) 2.93(8/5) it. 51 (0/29) it.3it ( 9 / 1 1 ) 3.6ii (5/1) it. 20 (6/1*) 3.92 ( 3 / 2 6 ) it.12 it.19 it.20 it. 20 it. 20 .52 1.27 1.20 .77 .77 .58 .96 1.21 1.11 .93 . .98 .86 .60 .58 .58 .59 .59 .89 .89 .89 .89 .89 2 / Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e in 10 years or moro. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included} average term i s 20 years. -z Note.—highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. Averofle elO Millions MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS Exhibit D - Tables f o r Exhibit C n.iU • Stock Market Trading , Common stock volume 3j yields 2/ (millions (per cent) of shares) Stock p r i c e index 1 / Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers 1 Bank debit b a l - loans t o • ances k / "others" 5 / (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Total |1953-1958 - High 1 Low 11959 - High i Low 54.11 22.95 58.68 54.37 3.30 6.25 3.16 3.3k 4.9 0.9 14.3 3.0 4,1492 2,055 14,719 14,527 3,285 1,314 3,399 3,253 1,317 669 1,332 1,210 March April May 22 May 29 June 5 £ / 56.15 57.10 58.33 58.68 57.51 3.25 3.25 3.19 3.16 3.23 3.9 3.4 3.2 3.0 3.0 . k,597 4,719 n.a. n.a. n.a. 3,305 3*399 1,2 92 1,320 1,3214 1,326 n.a.—Mot a v a i l a b l e . g / Preliminary. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite Index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43-10, Monthly data are averages of daily f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of M d a y s 1 only. Highs and lows are for M d a y s 1 data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly closing prices by federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached i t s high or low. 3/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month figures f o r meuber firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U, S, Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans t o others, flor further detail see Bulletin. Mortgage and Bond Yields 1/ Date FHA mortgages 2/ Aaa corporate Spread between new corporate bonds and bonds 1 / New 3/ IStiasoned I4/ FHA mortgagee|Seasoned bonds 1953-1958 - High Low 5.62 14.56 5.60 5.57 I4.8I 1959 - High Low 2.74 14.53 14.29 I4.ll 2.85 14.23 14.12 1.96 .514 1.29 1.05 .90 - .12 .30 .15 1958 - Dec. 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 5.60 5.60 5.58 5.57 5.58 I4.I4I4 14.36 14.29 4.30 14.53 14.12 • I4.H4 L13 14.23 I4.O8 1.16 I.2I4 1.29 1.27 1.05 .36 .24 .15 .17 .30 1/ Neither mortgage nor bond yields take i n t o account servicing coots which are much higher for mortgage a than bonds. Generally, bonds pay i n t e r e s t semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, i f computed as equivalent to a semiannual i n t e r e s t investment, would be s l i g h t l y higher than given In the t a b l e . 2/ Based on FHA f i e l d - o f f i c e opinions about average bid prices i n the private secondary market f o r new-home mortgages for i m e d i a t e delivery. Since l a t e 1955, data r e l a t e only to 25-year mortgages with downpayraents of 10 per cent or more, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FRB, assuming 25-year mortgages are paid off in 12 years. Dashed l i n e s indicate periods of adjustment t o changes In the contractual i n t e r e s t r a t e . 3/ F i r s t National City Bank of New York. Averages of offering yields of a l l new issues of publloly-aold bonds rated Aaa, Aa or A by Moody's Investors Service (except s e r i a l and convertible issues and offerings of natural gas and foreign companies) weighted by size of i ssue . Yields on Aa and A issues are f i r s t adjusted to an Aaa basis by the spread between yields of outstanding bonds in these categories and those on fiaa-rated bonds. The series r e f l e c t s crvtngeo in Industrial oomp oaitlon, maturity, type, e t c . of new o f f e r i n g s . 4/ Moody's Investors Service. Monthly averages of daily d a t a . See Exhibit B, Exhibit E H.llt Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1959 January February March April May June 1 81*0 7k5 631 723 851., l,56li/ 1,060 1,065 1,320 636 855 639 812 953 511 71*2 572 506 1,11*1 600 881 931 765 1,453 ! S e/800 798 8# 551 765 51*6 393 1,102 538 1,1U, 1,003 921* 973 806 1*03 651 529 581* 1*31 858 1*73 911i 1,090 78 9 1,076 1*56 1*71* 1*35 698 633 698 2,216 e/2,h00 3,135 2,622 2,781* 2,2# 3 ,1*1*5 3,11*9 2,899 2,951* 2,130 e/2,285 2,276 2,21*1* 1,860 1,365 1,820 1,701* 1 ,$Hh 2,029 e/kf 616 5,757 8,51a 10,791 6,591* 9,1*93 12,1*1*7 eA,l*l5 1*,520 6,380 7,71*6 e/800 July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd i^th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year New ca p i t a l Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1958 1958 1959 1 1957 1 1957 . 3,521* 5,069 7,099 Excluding finance companies h/ 1st 2nd 3rd l*th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/2,016 e/2,150 Year 2,89k 2,583 2,7# 2,161 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,610 10,391 11,518 2/ Preliminary. — 1 / Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds, 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue, Z/ Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. i Exhibit F h.Ui Other Security Offerings 1 / (In millions of dollars) Long-term ! 1959 JJanuary February |March 1 1956 1 1957 1959 199 1 1956 1 1957 — 81* 1*9 30 — — 139 200 120 123 1*8 1*2 523 125 9 5 17 28 7 30 161* October November December 57 123 7k 1* 60 1 220 Year 995 77 59 2 1 April May | June July : August ; September 197 51* 72 GO — . 215 — 100 — 507 Short-1 State and l o c a l government i*/ January February March 175 1,163 251 2,321 572 Federal agency 3/ 233 I460 273 326 1*55 11*7 359 500 1*89 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 505 357 351* 26h 205 337 153 1*86 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 July August September 289 123 369 272 272 252 1*37 206 330 / 221* . 370 512 October November December 231 1*15 21*3 303 9li 1*59 1*51* 111* 137 1,238 255 116 3,910 3,271* April May June 190 #6'^5 fi/^97 Year 3/98 5,51*3 1 / Data presented in t h i s exhibit d i f f e r from those in Exhibit E in that refunding i s s u e s , as w e l l as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are defined as those maturing i n more than one year. 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s offered in the United States by foreign governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Sources long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission5 short-term, Federal Reserve. h/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PAdA notes included may have a somewhat Digitized FRASER longerfor term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. Exhibit G H.lii Large Long-term Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1958 - May 1959 S t a t e and l o c a l government 356 281 771 209 825 259 227 305 3# 3U0 215 359 342 July August September October November December January February March April May 505 195 275 109 288 172 259 229 335 551 369 $63 258 Other 2/ 164 86 a 18 209 100 79 174 35 176 20 50 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered June 1 through 5 Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Pub. Service Elec.—& Gas Florida Power Corp. Florida Power & Light Co. 1 s t &ref. mtg. bds. 50.0 Com.stk. 17.6 1 s t mtg. bds. 25.0 1989 5 1/8 1989 5.00 Aa 4.95 Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles Co. Flood Cont r o l L i s t . , California Memphis, Tennessee Pennsylvania S t a t e Hwy. & Bridge Authority New York, New York OTHER None G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. iiO.O 1961-89 16.0 1960-89 3.96 3.52 10.0 1961-80/6? 3.55 27.0 1960-74 n . a . 2.40-4.00, , Aa 2.30-4.204/ Aa 2.60-3.65 2.40-3.69 Aa A i| H.lii G-2 Footnotes n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of #15 m i l l i o n and overf S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of Sta te and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. h/ 1/hs of 1989 not p u b l i c l y r e o f f e r e d . 11. Ill Exhibit ii Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation - May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 - Jan. 30 Feb. 27 Mar. 31 . Apr. 30 May 29 Subsequent t o date shown During month following date shown Corporate 266 768 161 785 113 201* 301 210 270 198 396 21*6 287 ^ h e r Zj 177 225 55 21*1 295 258 229 261 551 292 550 25U 21*7 Corporate 1*61* 1,018 381 91k 216 326 l*oi 370 365 279 1*76 3U6 332 36 71 75 1*5 20 50 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of Type g * . J o t h e r 2/ 208 235 125 1(35 521* 675 683 515 856 1*81 761 517 761 36 71 75 1*5 20 50 — June 5 Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Duke Power Co. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. Pfd. s t k . Cap. s t k . 25.0 38.6 Virginia E l e c t r i c & Power Co. Com. s t k . 23.lt Spiegel, Inc. Conv. sub. deb. Philadelphia E l e c t r i c Co. 15.1 Com. s t k . -^Philip Morris, Inc. Northern I l l i n o i s Gas Co. Long Island Lighting Co. I n t e r n a t i o n a l Recreation Corp. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. 29.1 S.F. deb. / 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Com. s t k . Deb., bds. & common 1*0.0 20.0 25.0 17.2 1*5.0 June June (rights June (rights 10 10 expire) 18 expire) 19 ( r i g h t s expire) 23 ( r i g h t s expire) June 23 June 21* June 25 June 26 Summer STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of Maryland S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a *State of Connecticut *Port of New York Authority -- G.C1. G.C1. Rev.-Ei.T. Rev.- u t . 10.5 100.0 62.5 30.0 June June June June 9 10 10 17. H.lii H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of June 5 ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT CCont'd) ^ F l o r i d a S t a t e Bd. of Education C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge A u t h o r i t y *Los Angeles Dept. of V.Ttr. & Pwr., California •a-Birmingham, Alabama T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii -*State of New York Chesapeake Bay F e r r y Commission Commonwealth of Pennsylvania New York Thruway A u t h o r i t y Grant Co. Public U t i l i t y D i s t . No. 2, Washington Rev. Rev.-Ut. 12.0 3lu0 June 23 June 2it Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 15.0 22.8 19.8 50.0 lkh.0 120.0 50.0 June 2k June 25 June 25 June 30 Summer Summer Summer Rev.-Ut. 200.0 Summer S.F. deb. 33.2 July 1 OTHER •^Municipality of Metro. Toronto, Can. *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by F e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . Note. — D e l e t i o n s f o r reasons o t h e r t h a n s a l e of i s s u e : None. Exhibit I H.llt Yields onjtiew and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 - 1958 High Low 1958 - May June July August September October November December 1959 - Jan. 7 . 20 28 Feb. 18 Mar. 11 25 26 31 Apr. 3 15 16 29 May 1 13 T "14 20 21 26 June 4 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s 1 ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s ( b a s i s points) ( b a s i s points) 5.00 (9/14/57) 2.93 (3/31/54) 87 -3 3.87 3.87,, 4.07^/ 18 17 28 U.hT*/ 18 *k~hk 23 4.60 34 h.kol/ 4.43 4.43 4.47 11 9 9 13 4.60 22 » i 4.95 4.95 38 34 5.00 4.95 38 29 5.50 (11/7/57) 3.00 (3/17/51) 4.07 123 -15 6 4.162/ 15 4.75^ 23 4.67 18 4.85 5.06 17 13 5.13 . 27 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between these new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2/ Provides f o r a 5-year period during which issue may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or Digitizedmore for FRASER i s s u e s with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n .