Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 10, 1958
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H o t f p r Publication decoNTBOILED AFTER SIX MONTHS h.llr November 10, 1958. . CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS • The volume of public s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g f o r new c a p i t a l was moderate l a s t week, and i s expected to be. even smaller t h i s week. During t h e week ending November 7, which included an e l e c t i o n holiday, corporations sold l a r g e issties t o t a l i n g $55 m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l governments o f f e r e d i s s u e s with proceeds of ^82 m i l l i o n . The s a l e of another corporate issue—Indiana and Michigan Electric- Company's *20 m i l l i o n f i r s t mortgage bond issue—was o r i g i n a l l y scheduled- f o r l a s t week, then postponed. The calendar f o r t h i s week includes l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s f o r $83 m i l l i o n ; no l a r g e corporate i s s u e s are expected. Bond y i e l d s - Bond y i e l d s showed l i t t l e change l a s t week. Yields declined f o r a l l c a t e g o r i e s of outstanding bonds, except those f o r U. S.-Government o b l i g a t i o n s , which remained s t a b l e . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , a s measured by Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common stocks, reached a new record high of 52.kS on November 6 following s u b s t a n t i a l i n c r e a s e s on Monday and Wednesday. Although p r i c e s declined on Friday, the index closed a t 52.26, nearly 2 p e r cent h i g h e r than a week e a r l i e r . Trading volume continued t o be a c t i v e , averaging U.O m i l l i o n shares a day. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. tXHIBIT A CIGil-GSADE B O N D YIELDS LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS H.llt Exhibit^ Tables f o r Exhibit A • High-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa 2 / (Per cent) 1953 19SU 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low 3.h2 2.85 lt.lU a. 13 3.55 Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Nov. 10 17 2k ^ 31 7 2/ li.13 U.09 ii.io U.12 it.ll (6/19) (lt/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) 3.19 2.L5 3.76 3.83 3.07 (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (10/3) (ii/25) 2.73 1.90 3.L5 3.31 2.61 (6/25) (9/2) (8/29) (9/11) . (5/1) .83 .30 .17 .62 .3k .1*1 .35 .33 •37 .36 3.25 3.21 3.23 3.21 , 3.19 3.72 3.71* 3.77 3.75 3.75 .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 • k7 •5? •5U .56 Lower-grade Bond Yields Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa y Corporate Baa 1/ Date (Per cent) 1953 195L 1957 1958 - High — Low - High - High . Low Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Nov. 10 17 2k 31 . 7 2/ . 3.89 3.W* 5.10 k.96 U.51 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) k.9k k.9k . U.91 li.90 L 89 . 3.79 2.93 L.51 k.3k 3.6k a. 30 a. 26 a.2a a. 16 a. 12 (6/25) (8/5) (8/29) (9/11) ' .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 (5A) ^ .81 .85. .91 .78 .78 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 ' .93 1.05 1.05 1.01 .95 .93 2 / Preliminary. 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e in 10 y e a r s or- more. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n s bonds are included; average t e r n i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. EMimn c STOCK MARKET 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 Exhibit D Table f o r Exhibit C Stock Market Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading Common stock volume 2/ (millions yields V of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' Bank Total debit b a l - loans t o ances 1*/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.5k 22.95 35.98 21.93 15.89 35.28 1*9.61* 1*3.22 1*9.08 39.1*8 52.26 1*0.37 September October Oct. 2ii Oct. 31 Nov. 7 jq/ 1*8.85 50.95 50.8151.33 52.26 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/8) (12/9) (1/li*) (8/3) (1/20) (7/12) (12/20) (11/7) (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* l*-9 1.7 5.38 6.25 1*.32 5.82 U.08 i*.i*i 3.82 l*.3l* , 3.91 1*.72 3.1*1* 1*.S6 2,1*55 2,055 3,1.36 2,lt05 It,030 3,537 ii.Oltf 3,911i It,031 3,576 It, 313 3,55k 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 3,111* a,1*87 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,317 1,051 3.1* Ll 3.9 h.l l*.o 3.69 3.52 3.51* 3.50 3.a It, 313 3,111* -n.a. n.a. "1,199 1,181 1,171* 1,181 n.a. n.a.——No . a v a i l a b l e . £ / Preliminary. 1 / Standard and Poor's composite index of $00 common stocks, weekly closing prices19l*l-l*3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are f o r Friday's data only. 2 / Averages of d a i l y trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange^ 2 / Standard and Poor's composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing p r i c e s by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are f o r dates on which price index reached i t s high or low. h / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 70 per cent of loans to others. For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. Exhibit E H.lii Long-term Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 195b January February March April May July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three q u a r t e r s Year New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l 2 / 1 1956 1958 1956 1 1957 1 1 1957 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 812 953 511 742 572 506 404 696 390 1,11a 600 881 1,453 818 1,146 841 798 895 551 7# 546 393 378 490 735 E/I,IOI p/471 e/1,100 1,003 92k 973 1,063 654 838 804 403 667 529 584 431 408 206 357 1,090 789 1,076 1,069V 1,088 2/447 e/600 698 633 #8 639 . 347 409 J :i t ? 2,899 2,951 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 6,59b 9,193 12,447 4,907 7,463 10.384 723 • e/600 e/600 3,135 2,622 e/2,672 5,757 e/8,429 ;» * 2,276 % 1,820 . 1,704 1,544 2,029 1,490 1,603 971 1,395 . 3,524 5,069 7,099 3,093 4,064 5,459 Excluding f i n a n c e companies j>/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,894 2,583 e/2,622 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 . 2,810 1,647 2,541 2,246 2,826 11,518 9,260 e / Estimated. 1/ S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission e s t i m a t e s of n e t p r o c e e d s . 2 / Data through June 1956 a r e Bond Buyer data c l a s s i f i e d as new c a p i t a l by Federal Reserve; l a t e r , data a r e from t h e Investment Bankers A s s o c i a t i o n of America and a r e somewhat more complete a s t o coverage than t h e e a r l i e r d a t a , p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r F e d e r a l Government l o a n s . 3 / I n c l u d e s #718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 4 / I n c l u d e s $571.5 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e . j-j/ T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer l'inance companies Exhibit F H.Ik Other Security Offerings 1 / ( I n millions of dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 1956 1957 1956 1958 | 1937 "196 53 8k k9 30 ~8 139 198 120 123 k8 k2 95 37 507 523 125 50 28 7 ^3° k 60 1 1,163 251 72 2 39 " 19W 60 60 16U 109 215 III* 5 21 100 300 572 Short-term State and l o c a l government it/ 169 Federal agency 3/ 233 1460 273 326 k55 lk7 196 357 . 2k9 371 208 lkk 638 k30 505 380 220 283 82 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 k69 501 I S 260 289 U23 272 272 252 195 207 179 601 206 330 22k 370 512 222 k25 273 12 159 29k 328 lk8 255 ' 116 k07 222 128 3,27k 2,706 ,26k fi/362 1# 5,5k 3 3,k57 e / Estimated. jd/ Preliminary. 1/. tota presented i n t h i s exhibit d i f f e r frv.i- those in Exhibit E in that refunding i s s u e s , as well as new c a p i t a l issues, are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s offered i n the United States by foreign governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l organizations. Sources Securities and Exchange Commission. J / I s s u e s not guaranteed by the U; S. Government. Source: long-term, S ecuri t i es and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. lj/ P r i n c i p a l l y tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat Digitized l o n gfor e r FRASER term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. Exhibit G H.lU Large Long-to mi Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1957 - October November December 1958 - January February March April May June July August September October Slh 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356. 281 771 209 825 259 S t a t e and l o c a l government ' 393 3 hh hoh I4IO 553 162 300 505 195 275 109 288 172 Other 2 / 151* 1,357 2# 653 16U 86 1*1 18 209 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through 7 Issuer Type 3 / — Columbia Gas System, Inc. Nat. Gas Pipeline Co. Amount Coupon ( m i l l i o n s Maturity r a t e or Offering of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost Deb. 25.0 1 s t mtg.p.l.bdsJO.O 1983 1978 L 7/8 h 5/8 1.60 ii. 68 196^-83 1960-68 1959-99 3.82 3-1*6 3.35 3.10-3.85 2.25-3.55 1.75-3.15 Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Chicago, I l l i n o i s Baltimore Co., Maryland Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s OTHER. None Rev.-Ut. G.C. G.O. . 25.0 11.5 45.3 A A Aaa E.Ik G-2 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1/ Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of Si5 million and over5 S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. J2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and. non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. 3 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government' s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. H.lti Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation J.957 - Sept, 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct, 31 During month f o l l o w i n g " date shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2/ 576 1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 266 768 161 785 113 20l* 33li 339 363 3 1*5 370 13U 298 1*93 177 225 55 21*1 295 258 30 18 150 110 150 36 -- Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2/ 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 381 911* 216 326 z 551 51*3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 125 1*35* 521* 675 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November 7 Type Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE P a c i f i c Telephone & Telegraph Co. Martin Co. General Public U t i l i t i e s Corp. Arvida Corp. ^Northern Natural Gas Co. *P. L o r i l l a r d Co. P a c i f i c Telephone and Telegraph Co. Consumers Power Co. Montana Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Indiana & Michigan E l e c t r i c Co. Deb. S.F. deb. Common s t k . 80.0 20.0 21.h Common s t k . S.F. deb. Common s t k . 27.5 30.0 2li.0 Common s t k . Pfd. s t k . 1st mtg. bds. Deb., bds. & common 1 s t mtg. bds. 16.6 15.0 20.0 I6.0 20.0 Nov. 19 Nov. 19 Nov. 21 ( r i g h t s expire) Nov. 25 Nov. 26 Dec. 9 ( r i g h t s expire) Dec. 30 ( r i g h t s expire) Winter Winter Winter Winter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of Maryland Port of New York Authority G.O. Rev.-Ut. 16.8 25.0 Nov. 12 Nov. 12 H.ll; ti-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of November 7 (Cont'd) Type . Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT ( C o n t ' d ) . Nassau Co., New York Allegheny Co. S a n i t a r y A u t h . , Pa. Los Angeles Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f , O r a n g e Co., C a l i f o r n i a P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania . F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education * S t a t e of Ohio S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a E a s t Baton Rouge P a r i s h , L o u i s i a n a New York S t a t e Power A u t h o r i t y Chesapeake Bay F e r r y Commission D e t r o i t - M e t r o . Expressway ^Massachusetts P o r t A u t h o r i t y G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. . •Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev,—Ut. 21.6 20.0 26.0 15.8 17.4 12.5 30.0 •50.0 22.5 200.0 IhhoO 35.0 75.0 Nov. 13 Nov. 13 Nov. 18 Nov. 19 Nov. 20 • Nov. Dec. 2 Dec. 3 Dec. 10 Winter Winter Winter Winter OTHER None —Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of *15 m i l l i o n and over3 S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and over." 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and nori-guaranteed i s s u e s by F e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r reasons o t h e r t h a n s a l e of i s s u e : None. H.lU Exhibit I Yields on New and. Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March April May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 18 23 Oct. 7 15 28 29 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s ( p e r cent) ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(8/14/57) 2.93(3/31/54) 87 -3 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/54) 123 -15 *3.60., 3.89^ 4.08 3.91 -8 22 35 18 3.96^/ 4.07 4.16 4.01 4.00 3 9 -1 8 3 4.07 4.35 4 32 4.oo 3.95 -l -6 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 24 4.00 4.10 4.10 4.57 4.50 4.4O 2 / 4.42=^ 25 28 29 25 22 12 14 • 3.98^/ 1 4.352/ 31 . *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during t h e i n d i c a t e d period and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average m a t u r i t y f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s . 2/ Provides f o r a 5-year period during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n . -