Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 9, 1956
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dot f o r P u b l i c a t i o n H.lli DEC0NTR0LLED AFTER SIX MONTHS __ August 9, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y sold s e c u r i t y i s s u e s was small .during the week ending August 3 , c o n s i s t i n g only of a $25 m i l l i o n p r e f e r r e d stock o f f e r i n g and a $9 m i l l i o n S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e . No l a r g e public f l o t a t i o n s a r e expected t h i s week) ending August 10. The only o f f e r i n g o r i g i n a l l y scheduled—the $75 m i l l i o n GIT f i n a n c i a l debenture issue—was again postponed. O r i g i n a l l y r e g i s t e r e d with t h e SEC in t h e spring f o r s a l e in e a r l y June, t h e i s s u e was postponed then because of market c o n d i t i o n s . The most r e c e n t postponement was r e p o r t e d l y due t o d i f f e r e n c e s between the company and the underwriters as t o t h e a p p r o p r i a t e i n t e r e s t r a t e under current market c o n d i t i o n s . The postponement of another i s s u e , a $U0 m i l l i o n mortgage, bond o f f e r i n g of Southern C a l i f o r n i a Edison scheduled f o r s a l e in e a r l y September, was a l s o announced t h i s week. The u t i l i t y s a i d i t was planning a smaller common stock o f f e r i n g i n stead. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on a l l types of outstanding bonds increased s h a r p l y during t h e week ending August 3, most reaching new highs f o r t h e y e a r . Corporate and U. S. Government bond y i e l d s are w i t h i n l e s s than 10 basis, p o i n t s of t h e 1953 h i g h s , but S t a t e and l o c a l government y i e l d s a r e s t i l l considerably below the 1953 l e v e l s . Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 s t o c k s , advanced t o new record l e v e l s l a s t week, closing on F r i d a y , August 13, a t 295.5. Daily indexes i n d i c a t e some recovery on Tuesday and Wednesday, following a sharp drop on Monday a s s o c i a t e d with r i s i n g t e n s i o n s i n t h e Middle E a s t . More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS CORPORATE \ U. S. G O V E R N M E N T : ^ STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a !954 5 U. S. Corporate Aaa 1 / Old s e r i e s long-term 2/ New s e r i e s Spread between S t a t e and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Aaa 3/ Corporate 1State and Aaa J l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - fiigh 1955 - High low 1956 - High Low 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.35 3.07 July 6 J u l y 13 J u l y 20 J u l y 27 August 3 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.30 3.35 195U - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (L/23) (12/23) (1/7) (8/3) (3/2) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) 2.9k (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) . 3.08 ( V 2 0 ) 2.80 (2/17) 3.03 2.89 3.13 2.92 2.90 2.95 2.98 3.02 3.06 2.98 3.01 3.05 3.10 3.13 3.15 2.78 2.7U 2.1;k n.a. (8/5) (6/10) (7/3) (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.31 2.05 2.51 2.17 2.38 2.38 2.1,0 2.Ill' . 2.US (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .13 .8k .30 .61 .29 .70 •fli .68 .15 .36 .32 .30 .28 .29 .52 .57 .58 .61 .61 .38 .19 .13 .32 .3U .13 .to Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . 2 / Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y t a x a b l e , marketable 2 1/2 p e r cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 y e a r s through September 1955) and t h o s e due or c a l l a b l e in 10-12 y e a r s t h e r e a f t e r ; the average term t o f i r s t c a l l of t h e bonds included declined from lit years i n e a r l y 1953 t o 11 1/2 y e a r s in e a r l y 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of t h e 3 p e r cent bond , of 1995 and the 3 1/h p e r cent bond of 1978-83.. j / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds a r e included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . • . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per onnui V 1953 ! 1954 Corporate Baa 1 / Date 1955 State and local govt. Baa y 1956 State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Percent) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low 3.8? (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3.hh (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.U5 (l/lii) 3.85(8/3) 3.58 (3/9) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3'hh 3,20 July 6 July 13 July 20 July 27 August 3 3.78 3.78 3.79 3.82 3.85 3.31 3.3k 3.35 3.37 3.U2 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (5/3) (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.16 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (8/3) (2/2U) 3.0k 3.05 3.08 3.11 3.16 included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average tern i s 20 years. . 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates f o r different series. STOCK M A R K E T Date Stock p r i c e Trading Common volume j?/ (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances k / "others" 5 / Total (Millions, of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - High Low June J u l y 20 J u l y 27 August 3 167.1 lkk.0 221.lt . 156.5 270.7 217.k 295.5 257. k (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (VU») (8/3) (1/20) 275.5 290.1 292.8" 292.2 295.5 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.U k.6 1.5 3.1 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.3 . 5.75 5.15 • 5.33 k. 20 It.22 3.78 c/k.21 c/3.86 2,a5 2,055 3,136 2,k05 It,030 3,537 a,0lt7 3,991 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7k0 780 66k l,0it8 716 l,2kl 1,018 1,267 l,211t c/k.01 3.87 It,009 2,786 n.a. n.a. 1,223 1,21k 1,219 1,21k n.a. n.a. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . c / Corrected. V SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939=100; converted t o 19k7-k9 c 100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91. .2/ Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . It/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of the New York Stock Exchange which carry - margin accounts; excludes balances, secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in Mew York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to o t h e r s . Note.—highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s . for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March New c a p i t a l 195a 1956 S t a t e and 1.ocal 1 1 1955 195U 579 701* 790 535 407 1,223 Shi 126 635 1*01* 696 390 535 312 538 396 1*11 565 April May June e/890 e/1,100 e/760 1*78 886 687 197 656 812 377 1*90 e/730 1*27 350 6Ul 731* 71*8 853 July August September e/1,150 e/700 597 61*1* 670 909 335 7h7 e/350 e/200 1*70 2l*9 1*06 279 261 61*9 919 658 1*08 591* 1*23 877 1,385 1,118 1,121* 1,981* 5,911 1,372 2,331* 1,188 1,891* 6,789 October November December z Corporate 1 1955 1 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r l*th q u a r t e r Year 2,073 e/2,750 1,162 ^ 632 900 1,003 290 6ol* 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,190 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r Uth q u a r t e r Year 1,617 e/2,550 1,727 1,870 1,1*31* 2,55k 7,569 ' 1,1*90 e/1,597 c 2/ 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. 1 / I n c l u d e s $637.2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . _2/ T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. N o t e , — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. I H.llt Exhibit. E i Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month | 1 9 # - July August September October November December 1956 - January . February March April May . June July Corporate S t a t e and l o c a l government 101 k05 328 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 623 185 592 z Other 2 / 278 65 23U 716 U01 227 192 iM 163 157 233 U63 i6U 25 50 50 20 — Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through August 3 Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) e s t cost > CORPORATE Florida Power Corp. P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Tennessee Gas Trans. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Union E l e c t r i c Co. Superior Oil Co. Inland S t e e l Co. Sperry Rand Corp. I l l i n o i s Power Co. . Food Mach. & Chem. Corp. Champion Paper & Fiber El Paso Natural Gas Co. 1st mtg.bds. 20.0 Common s t k . 36.6 Deb. 30.0 Deb. 250.0 1st mtg.bds. Uo.o Deb. 15.7 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 Common s t k . 52.7 1 s t mtg. bds. 20.0 S.F. deb. 30.0 S.F. deb. 16.5 -Pfd. s t k . 25.0 1986 r 1977 1990 • 1986 1981 1981 1986 1961 1981 3 7/8 3.82 A 4 3 3 3 3 1/2 7/8 3/U 3A 1/2 L50 3.73 3.62 3.75 3.U7 Baa Aa Aa A Aa 3 3/h 3.80 3 3A 3.70 3.80 3.75 Aa A A H.Ik E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through August 3 (Cont'd) Issuer Type j / Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering (millions Rating Maturity yield net i n t e r of e s t cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Commonwealth of Mass. Puerto Rico Water Res. Auth. State of Michigan Tulsa, Oklahoma, Ind. School D i s t r i c t Dearborn, Michigan, School D i s t r i c t Md. S t a t e Roads Commission Jacksonville, Florida Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Salt Lake City, Utah Chicago, I l l i n o i s Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin G.O. 38.5 1957-2005 2.63 1.99-2.80 Elec. rev. G.O. 22.0 16.0 1958-93 1959-79 n.a. 2.81 Baa 2.60-3.75 2.00-2.75 . Aa G.O. 5.5 1958-71 2.62 2.10-2.60 G.O. lU.o 1956-73 2.93 2.00-3.00 A 15.0 lll.O 8.8 7.5 13.5 8.8 1957-71 1958-76 1958-81 1957-71 1958-82 1957-71 2.77 2.67 2.78 2.28 It. 28 . 2.31 1.90-2.75 2.05-2.70 2.10-2.80 1.70-2.25 y 1.70-2.30 Aa Aa A. Aa G.O. Elec. rev. G.O. G.O. Parking rev. G.O. Aa A w<e' Aaa OTHER None n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 million and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s , 3/ In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bondsj G.R., general obligations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. k / Not r e o f f e r e d . Exhibit F H.Ih Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown S t a t e and Other 2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 1955 - J u l y 29 Aug. 31 , / S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 30 J u l y 31 k07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 U37 2it7 100 18U 813 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 — __ . 50 mmmm mmmm 37 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Other 2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. 1,135 920 909 1+12 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 . hhQ. 567 1,096 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 • 917 . 785 811 832 9hl 690 726 50 —— 37 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of August. 3 Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Consumers Power Co. General Acceptance Corp. Commercial Credit Co. P a c i f i c Telephone & Telegraph Co. •^Commercial C r e d i t Co. ^Associates Investment Co. •^Minneapolis-Honeywell Co. Mack Trucks, Inc. Northern S t a t e s Power Co. D e t r o i t Edison Co. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. *New England T e l . & Tel. Co. American T e l . & Tel. Co. 3 / J . P. Stevens & Co. CIT F i n a n c i a l Corp. P a c i f i c Finance Corp. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern C a l i f . Edison Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. Notes Deb. Notes • Deb. S.F. deb. S.F. deb. 1*0.0 20.0 50.0 78.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 19.2 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. deb. 15.0 59.8 . Deb. Cap. s t k . Common s t k . 30.0 18.9 575.0 S.F. deb. Deb. Deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg.' bds. 28.7 75.0 25.0 25.0 1*0.0 August lit August 111 August lit August 21 August 21 August 23 August 23 August 30 ( r i g h t s expire) September 12 September ll* ( r i g h t s expire) September September November 5 ( r i g h t s expire) 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 H.1U F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of August 3 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount date (millions Approximate of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. New J e r s e y Highway Authority "• New York S t a t e Tliruway AuthorityJacksonville Expressway Authority Memphis, Tennessee F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e To ll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center A u t h . , F l a . Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Elec. rev.. Rev. Rev. . Rev. Rev. Rev. . 5.U 25.0 5o.o 1+2.0 135.0 185.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 August 21 Summer Summer September September Fall 1956 1956 1956 1956 36.5 August 15 OTHER Municipality of Metropolitan Toronto Deb. *—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction -and Development i s s u e s . 3 / Subject t o s t o c k h o l d e r s ' approval on September 5# 1956.