Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 6, 1976
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Capital Market Developments July 6, 1 9 7 6 Prepared by the C A P I T A L MARKETS SECTION in c o n j u n c t i o n with the MORTGAGE and CONSUMER F I N A N C E SECTION DIVISION OF R E S E A R C H AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 Index SUBSCRIPTION RATES: Weekly $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of the same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. Address requests to Publications Services, Division of Administrative Services, and make payment remittance payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U.S. Currency. TABLES 1 - 6 SECURITY VOLUME AND YIELDS 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND S E C U R I T Y CREDIT 9 - 1 6 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e p r ESTIMATE PRELIMINARY REVISED n.a NOT AVAILABLE DATA DO NOT EXIST 3 Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME WEEK ENDING NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa UTILITY RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY GROSS OFFERINGS 3 PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ($ MILLIONS) 2 9 16 23 30 8.42 8.38 8.58 8.54 8.50 8.44 8.54 8.57 345 252 390 1,157 387 96 98 96 89 85 46 10 41 98 151 May 7 14 21 28 8.68 8.82 8.82 8.95 8.62 8.78 8.83 8.84 401 147 910 636 89 92 90 87 110 65 70 335 June 4 11 18 25 8.83 8.71 8.69 8.70 8.80 8.76 8.70 8.73 325 728 472 1,183 98 96 92 70 10 30 25 334 July 2 8. 72p 8.74p 260 80 213 1976 - Apr. 8.60 ——* MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE Aaa BOND BUYER 20-80ND INDEX GROSS 3 OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END O F WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ($ MILLIONS) 2 9 16 23 30 5.77 5.74 5.63 5.63 5.63 6.69 6.65 6.54 6.55 6.55 490 502 514 543 523 82 78 93 85 84 134 158 97 139 136 May 7 14 21 28 5.75 5.85 5.92 6.00 6.71 6.83 6.91 7.03 390 1,050 841 946 73 80 90 78 137 236 175 249 June 4 11 18 25 5.90 5.85 5.83 5.81 6.89 6.86 6.85 6.87 590 773 752 313 87 82 87 76 199 223 201 160 July 2 5.81 6.87 532 74 204 1976 - Apr. NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW ISSUE A a a UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE A a a 3 U . S . GOVT. 20-YEAR 4 CONSTANT MATURITY BOND BUYER 2Q-BOND INDEX 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4.21) 6.99 (11/24) 7.49 (4/21) 7.15 (12/1) 7.36 (4/28) 7.05 (2/12) 6.19 (4/14) 5.74 (11/17) 6 . 5 4 (4/13) 4 . 9 6 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 (1/21) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 (8/24) 7 . 1 1 (1/5) 7.79 (8/10) 6.42 (1/5) 5.59 ( 8 / 3 ) 4 . 9 9 (10/11) . 1974 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8 . 0 5 (2/15) 10.52 (10/11) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 (1/4) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 (1/4) 7 . 1 5 (12/12) 5.16 ( 2 / 7 ) 1975 - High Low 9.80 (5/2) 8.89 (2/7) 9 . 7 1 (5/25) 9.06 (2/28) 9 . 0 1 (5/2) 8.57 (2/28) 8.63 (9/19) 7.63 (2/21) 7.67 ( 1 0 / 3 ) 6.27 (2/13) 1976 - High Low 8.95 (5/28) 8 . 3 8 (4/23) 9.10 (1/2) 8 . 4 4 (4/16) 8.66 (5/28) 8.36 (4/23) 8.17 (5/28) 7.80 (4/23) 7.29 ( 1 / 2 ) 6.54 (4/16) 7 14 21 28 8.68 8.82 8.82 8.95 8.62 8.78 8.83 8.84 8.48 8.56 8.62 8.66 8.03 8.15 8.16 8.17 6.71 6.83 6.91 7.03 June 4 11 18 25 8.83 8.71 8.69 8.70 8.80 8.76 8.70 8.74r 8.63 8.63 8.62 8.60 8.08 8.04 8.02 7.99 6.89 6.86 6.85 6.87 July 2 8.72p 8.73p 8.63p 8.03p 6.87 1976 - May NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-mted utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on compe. .ively bid Aaa rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 ' LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS 1976 3,297 3,764 January February April May June July August September October November December Q1 02 03 04 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year 1 CORPORATE PERIOD , 1 1975 1 1976 5,384 4,528 5,378 3,328 2,687 3,217 2,344 2,679 3,321 " 2,361 2,387 2,135 2,255 2,003 2,025 4,294 5,798 5,615 3,060 3,164 2,981 2,354 2,406 2,900 3,064 2,397 2,304 2,166 4,327 2,398 2,834 3,248 2,667 1,617 3,580 2,783 2,159 1,459 1,106 1,701 4,707 4,070 4,305 4,609 3,739 3,511 2,323 2,381 2,052 2,860 2,483 1,479 15,290 15,707 9,559 13,082 9,232 9,205 7,532 11,859 6,883 8,370 8,522 6,756 6,283 6,867 4,266 6,822 30,997 40,556 53,638 18,437 25,969 37,828 15,253 23,775 30,531 13,150 17,416 24,238 ! NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross process. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 2 STATE AND LOCAL 1974 8,344 1 1975 1 1974 Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF I S S U E PERIOD 1975 - I II III IV BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED COMMON AND PRIVATELY PREFERRED PLACED STOCK MEMO ISSUES INCLUDED OTHER ISSUERS PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS 6,077 6,699 2,450 3,468 4,735 4,407 3,324 3,421 1,382 1,190 679 1,215 3,099 3,412 3,105 4,979 1,675 2,479 1,957 1,507 127 317 771 1,076 FOREIGN [CONVERTIBLE 15,290 15,707 9,559 13,082 10,849 10,510 5,428 5,816 2,350 1,595 2,076 4,136 2,091 3,602 2,054 3,131 1,255 1,035 1,225 1,902 1976 - Feb. Mar. 4,528 5,378 3,201 3,971 705 510 622 897 610 175 Apr. May June 4,294 5,798 5,615 2,771 3,796 3,943 423 502 670 1,100 1,500 1,002 135 475 425 130 315 211 1,731 2,650 2,318 1,380 1,549 1,478 415 413 362 767 1,188 1,457 July Aug. Sept. 4,327 , 2,398 2,834 2,658 1,356 1,414 1,014 479 583 654 563 837 925 425 300 38 1,120 711 619 1,039 1,024 1,261 270 112 297 . 1,89.7 551 657 Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,707 4,070 4,305 2,389 1,666 1,761 771 1,617 1,748 1,547 787 797 102 825 975 61 154 952 1,103 1,414 1,247 1,272 902 928 55 232 1,581 1,640 1,758 1976 - J a n . Feb. 3,297 3,764 2,189 2,142 538 695 570 927 605 335 121 15 1,020 1,139 1,087 789 16 171 1,175 1,664 —— NOTES: 1 MANUFACTURING Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities end Exchange Commission. 1 656 463 215 — T a b l e 5A INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 June 28, t h r u J u l y 2, 1976 TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Western Union T e l e g . Co. Idaho Power Co. Georgia Power Walter E. H e l l e r & Co. Walter E. H e l l e r & Co. Republic of Texas Corp. A. E. S t a l e y Manuf. Co. C r e d i t h r i f t F i n . Corp. Georgia Power Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Debt Notes SF debt SF debt Notes 1 s t mtge 50.0 25.0 50.4 25.0 20.0 75.0 65.0 25.0 50.0 Other World Bank World Bank World Bank Toronto Toronto Notes Notes Bonds SF debt Debt 250.0 250.0 250.0 65.0 25.0 ISSUER OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING 10.25 9.50 10.08 10.13 10.50 9.40 8.98 10.19 9.95 Ba/BB+ 1991 1986 2001 2001 2006 2006 10.25 9.50 10.08 10.13 10.50 9.38 8.88 10.13 9.88 1981 1986 2001 1996 1986 8.00 8.38 8.85 9.25 8.50 8.00 8.38 8.85 9.25 8.55 MATURITY COUPON RATE CORPORATE —— NOTES: • Rights offering. 1 Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $ 1 5 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. - — - — Baa/BBB Ba/BB A/AA A -/BBB Baa/BBB Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa/AA Aaa/AA Table 5 B INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY < June 28, t h r u J u l y ISSUER TYPE 2 2, 1976 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY 3.1 19.9 10.0 15.7 22.4 14.6 25.9 5.0 10.0 10.8 21.4 17.6 40.0 18.2 12.8 7.3 12.7 13.0 44.0 4.7 15.3 1981-1986 1989-2005 2006 1976-2004 1976-2011 1976-2014 1978-1998 1978-1994 2006 1981-1990 2000 2005 1978-1993 1979-1991 1996 1977-1995 2008 1977-1996 1976-2003 1981-1991 2005 NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING STATE AND LOCAL Cape C o r a l , F l a . Cape C o r a l , F l a . Washoe Co., Nev. S o u t h f i e l d Bldg. A u t h . , Mich. Bensalem Tp. A u t h . , Pa. Bensalem Tp. A u t h . , Pa. Cleveland, Ohio I n d u s t r y C i v i c - R e c . - I n d u s t . A u t h . , Cal. I n d u s t r y C i v i c - R e c . - I n d u s t . A u t h . , Cal. C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Auth. C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Auth. C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Auth. Alaska, S t a t e of I l l i n o i s H e a l t h Fac. Auth. I l l i n o i s Health Fac. Auth. Connecticut Hsg. Finance Auth. Connecticut Hsg. Finance Auth. Clark Co., Nev. R o c h e s t e r , N.Y. Oliver Co., N.D. Oliver Co., N.D. G.O. G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev 6.58 6.58 6.73 —— - — 7.34 7.50 7.50 6.75 6.75 6.75 5.80 7.13 7.13 6.96 6.96 6.98 5.70 8.25 8.25 5.40-6.10 6.10-6.60 7.92 3.50-7.00 3.25-6.63 3.75-7.00 4.75-7.70 5.00-7.25 7.37 5.00-6.10 6.75 6.85 4.10-6.65 4.75-7.00 7.38 4.00-6.70 7.00 4.25-7.20 3.00-6.40 6.00-7.50 8.25 — Baa Aa Aaa A A A A A A A A-l Aa Aa Aa Aa A Aaa Baa Baa NOTES: 1 Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. 2 In case of State and local government securities, G O denotes general obligation; Rev. Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-O.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev. Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 3 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. T a b l e 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of July 2, 1976 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE B r a n i f f Airways Ohio A-T-0 I n c . Consumer Power Co. Wisconsin E l e c t . & Pwr. Co. F i r s t N a t i o n a l Bank in A t l a n t a Northern I l l i n o i s Gas I l l i n o i s Power Co. Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Corp. Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c San Diego Gas & E l e c t . Co. Ohio Edison Co. New York S t a t e E l e c t r i c & Gas D e t r o i t Edison Co. P h i l a d e l p h i a E l e c t r i c Co. Commercial C r e d i t Co. Rockwell I n t e r n a t i o n a l Corp. Rockwell I n t e r n a t i o n a l Corp. *Aetna Business Credit I n c . *Aetna Business C r e d i t I n c . Fruehauf Corp. Southwest Bancshares I n c . Brooklyn Union Gas Co. Gambles Credit Corp. American S t o r e s Co. Southern Union Co. Union E l e c t r i c Western Union T e l e . Eaton Corp. Eaton C r e d i t Corp. Abbott L a b o r a t o r i e s I l l i n o i s B e l l T e l . Co. United I l l u m i n a t i n g United I l l u m i n a t i n g Arizona Pub. Svc. Co. Notes SF debt 1st mtge 1st mtge Notes 1st mtge 1st mtge Com s t k Pfd s t k 1 s t mtge 1st mtge Com s t k 1st mtge 1 s t mtge Notes SF debt Notes Notes Notes Debt SF debt Pfd s t k Notes SF debt SF debt 1 s t mtge SF debt Debt Notes Com s t k Debt Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Com s t k 50.0 20.0 60.0 60.0 25.0 50.0 100.0 51.5 30.0 45.0 60.0 40.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 20.0 20.0 50.0 40.0 20.0 60.0 50.0 25.0 70.0 25.0 60.0 40.0 81.0 175.0 15.0 15.0 40.0 NOTES: * Included in table for first time. 1 Includes only corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over; excludes exchanges, options July July July July July July July July July July . July July July July July July July July July July July July July July INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF 6 7 7 7 8 8 13 13 13 15 20 20 21 28 Table 6A Continued FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' as of July 2, 1976 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE Other *Banque F r a n c a i s e du Commerce Exter-ieur *Newfoundland, Province of Norway Japan Development Bank Inter-American Dev. Bank Gtr n o t e s SF debt Notes Notes Debt 75.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 July 20 July 21 July July INDEF 11 Table 6B FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of J u l y 2, 1976 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL Minnesota, S t a t e of *Rhode I s l a n d Hsg. & Mtg. F i n . Corp. C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio ^Tennessee Housing Dev. Agency Port Auth. of New York & New J e r s e y New Haven, Conn. Georgia, S t a t e of G. Chicago Metro. S a n i t a r y D i s t . , 111. Univ. of Texas System Fairbanks North S t a r Boro., Alaska F l o r i d a S t a t e Bd. of Education Montgomery Co., Md. * P h i l a d e l p h i a H o s p i t a l s Auth., Pa. *Wausau, Wise. * S a l t River Agric. Improv. & Power D i s t . , Ariz. *Beaver Co. I n d u s t . Dev. A u t h . , Pa. *Gulf Coast Waste Disposal Auth., Texas Neenah, Wise. *Pennsylvania I n d u s t . Dev. Auth. San Antonio, Texas Chicago, 111. *Lawrenceburg, Ind. *Plaquemine, La. *Pekin, 111. * J o l i e t , 111. *Chelan Co. Pub. U t i l i t y D i s t . , #1 Wash. *Nashville & Davidson Co. Metro. Govt., Tenn. Texas Water Dev. Board *Portland, Oregon *San Ramon Sch. D i s t . Educ. Fac. Corp. Cal. ^ T r i n i t y River A u t h . , Texas Postponement San F r a n c i s c o . C a l i f . G.O. Rev G.O. Rev Rev G.O. G.O. 62.0 65.6 18.6 40.4 100.0 19.5 26.4 July July July July July July July 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev Rev 40.0 16.0 15.5 33.0 40.0 35.0 27.0 July July July July July July July 8 8 8 13 13 14 14 Rev Rev 40.0 14.0 July July 14 14 Rev G.O. Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev 60.0 13.9 30.0 60.0 30.0 25.0 14.5 20.0 20.0 July July July July July July July July July 14 14 15 15 15 19 20 20 20 Rev 10.0 July 20 Rev G.O. Rev 15.8 40.0 10.0 July July July 20 20 21 Rev Rev 11.0 14.0 July July 27 28 G.O. 43.4 July 20 NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over, foreign government. International Bank for Reconstruction Included in the table for the first time. i Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES TRADING VOLUME BJ INDUSTRIALS 65.48 (1/11) 49.12 (12/13) 1051.50 (1/11) 788.31 (12/5) 130.47 (1/11) 85.26 (12/20) 53.37 (3/13) 32.89 (10/3) 891.66 (3/13) 577.60 (12/6) 102.01 (3/14) 58.26 (12/9) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 51.24 (7/15) 37.16 (1/8) 881.81 (7/15) 632.04 (1/2) 96.86 (7/15) 62.20 (1/2) 55.15 (3/24) 48.04 (1/2) 1,011.02 (4/21) 858.71 (1/2) 136.84 (1/11) 26.0 (9/20) 89.12 (12/13) 9.0 (8/20) 5.5 (1/12) 1.4 (8/20) 11.3 (1/11) 3.5 (8/27) 24.9 (1/3) 7.5 (7/5) 4.4 (1/3) .9 (9/26) 7.5 (1/3) 2 . 8 (7/5) 88.00 (7/15) 60.70 (1/2) 35.2 (2/13) 8.7 (9/15) 4.2 (2/21) 1 . 1 (9/15) 8 . 1 (2/13) 2.5 (9/15) 105.30 (3/11) 84.31 (1/2) 92.09 (2/25) 76.06 (1/2) 44.5 (2/20) 10.3 (1/2) 8.6 (2/20) 1.1 (1/2) 11.1 (2/20) 3 . 5 (1/2) 102.91 104.81 16.3. 19.7 18.4. 16.9 2.0 2.4 5.8 6.3 2.1. 54.26 54.01 53.96 53.31 996.22 992.60 990.75 975.23 103:16 90.02 89.78 89.39 88.04 2.0 I:? 52.78 53.73 55.29 55.35 963.90 978.80 1,001.80 999.84 102.20 102.77 104.89 105.06 87.75 87.71 90.05 90.05 16.2 16.3 22.3 19.ir 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 5.1 5.4 6.7 6.0 55.57 999.84 105.17 90.88 20.5 2.4 6.0 NOTES: 1 Figures other then high* and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). 3 4 12/31/66 - 60 Based on average price change until September 4, 1973 thereafter, based on market value of shares listed. 13 Table 8 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON 1 BROKERS O N 2 MARGIN CONVERTIBLE STOCK BONDS BANKS 3 1 lilDC^I II A TCI\ NONMARuIN UAIIIIADMII UNREGULATED STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 1975 - May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,700 4,990 5,300 5,220 5,250 5,300 5,370 5,390 140 146 143 142 145 144 146 147 819 844 820 832 852 1,007 1,008 960 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 5,420 5,950 6,410 6,690 6,940 146 153 162 163 161 1,000 1,037 1,042 2,321 2,333 2,355 340 290 310 -80 30 50 70 20 2 6 -3 -5 25 -24 12 20 155 1 -48 -2 551 -47 70 63 -209 -41 11 40 37 5 40 12 22 , 1,883 2,434 2,387 2,457 2,520 2,311 2,270 2,281 CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING 1975 - May July Aug. S ept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 30 530 460 280 250 1 7 9 1 -2 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no 4 Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS S A V I N G S & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 9,621 10,067 4,815 2,909 11,070 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975 - September October November December 785 348 765 1,394 1976 - J a n u a r y February March April r 1,037 1,017 2,029 586 1975 - J a n u a r y February March April May 405 713 1,149 955 1,295 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 13.5 12.4 5.3 3.0 11.3 —— —— 4.9 8.7 13.8 11.4 15.3 SHARE CAPITAL NET NEW MONEY NET FLOW 5 ,378 5 ,451 -442 -2 ,822 4 ,757 27,793 32,567 20,237 16,053 43,118 -338 131 549 114 3,698 2,264 2,246 4,332 810 787 866 352 5,375 3,946 >,072 2,805 — — - - ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET FLOW 2 17.2 16.7 8.4 5.8 15.9 NET NEW MONEY 26,331 29,335 10,062 1,846 34,033 37,414 42,634 25,052 18,962 54,188 — -— — 631 2,086 2,072 968 4,483 2,612 3.011 5,726 293 2,217 2.621 1,082 — — — — 5,108 3*719 3,687 2,583 6,412 4,963 9,101 3,391 5,918 4,497 4,553 3,935 ABJVSTED 11.5 14.6 18.6 17.6 19.8 2,756 3,718 5,013 4,667 5,532 NOTES: 1 Regilar deposits at mutual savings beiks exclude Hems such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. New deposits net of both'withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of ii yowth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Digitized 3forAnnuel FRASER Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 20,653 23,884 10,507 4,668 29,276 19.0 18.7 9.8 7.0 17.7 SEASONAL 2,351 3,005 3,864 3,712 4,237 NET NEW MONEY 9.6 12.9 17.2 15.8 18.5 Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 1975 - June July August September October November December 1,369 1,190 1,044 802 731 772 633 1976 1,039 796 January February March April p 1,018 917 NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings be 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and 3 Annual growth rata for monthly data is thi Sauna: National Aaeociation of Mutual Savings ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 16.0 NET NEW MONEY SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW ANNUAL GROWTH RATE DEPOSITS NET NEW MONEY NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 20.2 21.5 17.4 16.1 14.4 13.3 12.3 5,764 5,964 4,977 4,484 4,065 3,897 3,559 19.0 19.3 15.9 14.1 7.0 4,395 4,774 3,933 3,682 3,334 3,125 2.926 11.4 8.7 11.0 9.8 4,232 3,658 4,078 3,676 17.7 15.0 16,5 14.7 5,271 4,454 5,096 4,593 15.9 13.3 15.0 13.4 13.7 11.9 9.0 8.2 8.6 •tarns such as Christmas dub and •ow accounts, which represent e very small part of tc Data for SftL's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total 12.6 12.0 10.8 NET NEW MONEY 16 Table 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL 1972 - Dec. ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN S A V I N G S B K S> ASSOCIATIONS (N Y. S T A T E ) 25.2 20.3 .45 .43 .02 ! 16.4 3.5 .04 .21 -.17 j 12.4 2.2 .09 -.09 | 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 -.03 -.01 .50 1.18 .55 .25 .92 1.21 .90 .01 .35 .04 .08 .14 .39 1.17 .49 .21 .94 1.10 .96 .07 .42 .08 -.11 -.24 .11 .01 .06 .04 -.02 .11 -.06 -.06 -.07 .04 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 .06 .61 .48 .38 .48 .02 .67 .27 .29 .44 .04 06 .21 .09 .04 19.9 1974 - Dec. 14.6 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 14.6 14.5 15.0 16.2 16.8 17.0 17.9 19.1 20.0 20.1 20.4 20.4 12.5 12.6 13.0 14.2 14.7 14.9 15.9 16.9 17.9 18.0 18.4 18.5 18.5 19.2 19.4 19.7 20.2 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr . - May 20.5 21.1 21.5 21.9 22.5 ^ ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS A S S O C I A T I O N S ( N Y. S T A T E ) 4.9 1973 - Dec. • July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. NET CHANGE TOTAL NOTES: Based o n d a t a f r o m Federal H o m e L o a n Bank Board a n d Savings B a n k s Association of N e w Y o r k S t a t e . B o t h series i n c l u d e a m i n o r a m o u n t of nonresidential c o m m i t m e n t s ; S&L c o m m i t m e n t s also include loans in process. N e t changes are derived directly f r o m u n r o u n d e d e n d o f period o u t s t a n d i n g levels as r e p o r t e d a n d a f t e r seasonal a d j u s t m e n t by Federal Reserve. S u b t o t a l s m a y n o t a d d t o t o t a l s b e c a u s e of r o u n d i n g . ! t i 1' > I % T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES FHLMC FHLB FNMA ' +530 +1,475 +1,693 +1,910 +1,946 +11 +598 +1,528 +1,349 +1,850 +1,950 -150 +256 +998 +1,349 +1,500 +1,300 — — +256 -671 -695 +424 +508 +1,442 +2,699 +1,804 +878 +2,768 +1,665 -89 +507 -756 -657 +450 -4 +992 +2,250 +1,499 +200 +2,750 +1,599 +93 +961 —800 -657 — +44 -4 +992 +1,500 +1,000 +400 +1,700 +1,499 -217 +470 — -200 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. p -242 -659 +440 0 -1,568 +330 +236 -398 215 587 152 669 -5 -254 + 689 +69 -1,279 + 600 + 300 -700 100 850 200 600 -4 -554 -11 -30 -1,279 0 0 -700 0 +150 0 0 + 300 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 -1 0 + 700 + 100 0 + 600 + 300 0 100 700 0 600 1976 - J a n . p -154 0 0 0 1973 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. — +350 +650 — — -150 — +450 — Notes: Based on d a t a from t h e Treasvry Survey of Ownership. 1/ S a l e s of FHLB d i s c o u n t n o t e s began i n May 1974. 2/ Preliminary. — — +750 +499 — — —— — —— — +1,050 +100 +310 +491 Table 12 18 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS O F DOLLARS TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA PERIOD 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS MSB's S & Us INSURANCE COMPANIES FNMA-GNMA Not S e a s o n a l l y Ad j u s t e d 41,647 57,587 58,372 42,748 42,475 39,259 55,561 55,072 36,526 37,636 9,940 16,800 19,600 11,700 2,900 3,938 5,377 5,6^2 2,172 2,236 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,560 29,400 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 3,100 2,388 2,026 3,300 6,222 4,839 1 , \ | | 1975 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,781 3,284 4,413 4,132 2,918 3,754 900 500 600 226 200 272 2,996 2,323 2,774 210 195 508 649 366 658 ^ ! : 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 2,451 3,534 4,490 1,802 3,270 5,330 300 600 900 900 1,100 87 106 123 309 1,378 2,416 4,069 4,171 4,028 37 148 238 410 264 -840 -429 -534 ' : f ' 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Seasonally Adjusted 1975 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June" | 5,353 4,265 5,189 4,842 3,910 4,454 923 614 877 273 214 200 3,490 2,949 3,360 156 133 17 511 355 735 : ; : 3,682 4,748 4,678 3,196 4,333 5,364 687 962 987 762 826 184 249 119 301 2,189 2,848 3,844 3,771 3,228 145 274 414 486 415 -686 -255 -343 ; , > NOTES: 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board. Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these r o u p s accounted for 83 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1974. 2 Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. Table 13 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D A N N U A L R A T E S 4 3I RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL MULTFAMLV & COMMERCIAL 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.7 6.2 5.3 5.3 6.0 10.6 10.0 10.0 11.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 11.1 11.5 14.9 17.1 4.6 5.2 6.3 6.3 3.5 4.5 5.1 7.0 8.1 9.7 11.4 13.2 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 27.4 34.9 38.1 43.1 18.7 25.6 28.4 33.6 8.7 9.4 9.7 9.5 7.6 9.4 11.6 10.8 16.3 18.7 21.4 20.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.4 62.8 61.7 63.9 72.1 47.7 45.5 46.2 51.5 38.0 35.8 37.4 42.6 9.7 9.7 8.8 8.9 12.4 13.7 15.1 18.2 22.1 23.3 23.9 27.1 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.4 1973 - I II III IV 83.4 72.4 70.6 61.4 59.7 50.4 48.9 39.5 51.1 39.6 40.1 32.6 8.7 10.8 8.8 6.9 19.7 18.0 18.1 18.0 28.3 28.8 26.9 24.9 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.9 1974 - I II III IV 60.2 62.3 52.0 43.0 37 .7 38.9 31.8 25.9 29.4 32.4 26.1 21.6 8.3 6.5 5.7 4.3 18.9 18.6 14.3 11.3 27.2 25.0 20.0 15.6 3.6 4.8 5.9 5.7 1975 - I II III IV 35.4 45.7 58.2 69.8 21.1 31.7 39.9 49.9 19.4 30.9 38.6 49.9 1.7 0.9 1.4 *— 9.1 9.7 13.9 14. 8 10.8 10.6 15.3 14.8 5:1 4.3 4.4 5.1 1976 - I 66.2 51.3 47.7 3.6 10.4 14.0 4.5 TOTAL TOTAL 1969 - I II III IV 31.7 28.9 25.7 25.4 23.3 21.3 18.7 18.0 18.9 16.7 14.0 12.2 1970 - I II III IV 20.7 22.7 28.4 32.5 15.7 16.7 21.2 23.4 1971 - I II III IV 37.2 46.7 52.1 56.3 1972 - I II III IV QUARTER 1 [ 1" ' ° 4" FAMILY MULTIFAMILY FARM NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1 to 4- family and multifamily mortgage d e b t . 4 * Data r e v i s e d A p r i l 12 due t o r e e s t i m a t i o n of s e a s o n a l f a c t o r s . Less t h a n . 0 5 . PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN T H O U S A N D S OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COMPLETIONS 2-OR 1-FAMILY MORE 1,324 1,352 1,925 2,219 1,820 1,074 924 626 647 906 1,033 882 644 668 698 705 1,018 1,186 937 431 257 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 689 701 677 837 912 949 1,042 995 1,095 1,079 1,085 1,028 508 515 503 603 658 679 711 732 779 769 787 766 182 186 173 234 254 270 331 263 316 310 298 262 1,120 1,134 1,134 1,095 1,158 828 850 827 813 821 292 284 307 282 337 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May -FAMILY MORE FAMILY FAMILY 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 2-OR 1 ! j ! : ! !I i i 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 269 1,467 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1,388 1,161 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 893 1,005 953 986 982 1,085 1,080 1,207 1,264 1,304 1,431 1,381 1,283 748 722 763 774 853 . 874 916 979 966 1,093 1,048 962 257 231 223 208 232 206 291 285 338 338 333 321 1,236 1,547 1,417 1,381 1,415 957 1,295 1,110 1,063 1,057 279 252 307 318 358 | I | | j ! 1 MOBILE 2-OR HOME MORE SHIPMENTS-' 413 401 497 576 567 329 216 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,014 1,692 1,296 808 802 1, 014 1, 143 1,,174 932 866 592 617 692 828 840 760 430 1,547 1,350 1,314 1,244 1,269 1,202 1,261 1,267 1,315 1,115 1,386 1,329 959 793 757 782 827 808 882 880 969 738 992 993 588 557 557 462 442 394 379 387 346 377 394 336 190 221 193 190 209 201 213 225 228 235 230 224 1,213 1,299 1,393 1,262 926 953 1 ,024 981 287 346 369 281 263 287 244 237 261 1 1 P r i v a t e b u i l d i n g p e r m i t s (for 1 4 0 0 0 areas w i t h p e r m i t s y s t e m s , e x c l u d i n g f a r m ) , starts, and c o m p l e t i o n s are C e n s u s B u r e a u d a t a . A d w e l l i n g u n i t is s t a r t e d w h e n e x c a v a t i o n begins. In t h e c a s e of a p a r t m e n t b u i l d i n g s , all u n i t s are c o n s i d e r e d s t a r t e d at t h a t t i m e ; h o w e v e r , all such u n i t s are c o n s i d e r e d c o m p l e t e d w h e n m o r e t h a n half of t h e u n i t s in t h e s t r u c t u r e are r e a d y f o r use. P r i v a t e m o b , ' , h o m eFRASER s h i p m e n t s a r e M o b i l e H o m e M a n u f a c t u r e r s A s s o c i a t i o n d a t a c o n v e r t e d t o seasonally Digitized for 1 P e r m i t d a t a f o r 1 9 6 9 a n d 1 9 7 0 b a s e d o n 1 3 . 0 0 0 areas w i t h p e r m i t s y s t e m s adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. 2/ FAMILY T a b l e 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET EXISTING HOMES RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON CONVENTIONAL AND HUD(FHA) DISCOUNT NEW HOME (PERCENTAGE MORTGAGES POINTS) (BASIS POINTS) 1974 - High 9.80 8.55 45 -70 9.80 8.60 50 -70 10.38 8.54 44 -25 6.3 2.3 1 -70 1975 - High Low 9.25 8.90 15 -70 9.30 8.95 20 -65 9.74 8.69 31 -91 6.2 2.4 21 -49 1975 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 9.25 9.20 9.15 9.53 9.41 9.32 31 4.0 3.1 2.4 -28 1976 9.05 9.00 8.95 8.90 9.00 9.06 9.04 40 46 2.4 2.2 - 1 - 4 8.82 9.03 24 2.5 4.1 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr . May 9.30 9.25 9.20 39 42 42 32 5 9.10 9.05 9.00 8.95 9.05 44 47 47 '37 10 -21 -17 NOTES : 1 GroS5 vie,d , p r e a d " aver89e mort9a9e return before ^ducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection 22 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS nnVFRMMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION OFFERED AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) ACCEPTED OFFERED 51 (4/21) 643 (8/25) 366 (8/11) 9.95 (9/22) 100 ( 4 / 7 ) 25 (2/10) 18 (2/10) 8 . 7 8 (2/10) 10 (10/20) 9 (2/10) 1975 - High Low AVERAGE YIELD 10.02 ( 9 / 2 2 ) . 8.96 (3/10) . Oct. 6 20 198.5 43.2 143.0 23.2 9.95 9.65 27.5 9.7 23.5 9.2 10.02 9.81 Nov. 3 17 69.8 293.1 41.7 180.6 9.32 9.33 19.6 68.6 15.2 34.6 9.54 9.40 Dec. 1 15 29 255.9 287.1 95.3 138.5 158.8 52.7 9.32 9.31 9.29 73.9 69.7 41.8 40.5 31.2 11.8 9.38 9.36 9.35 1976 - J a n . 12 26 58.4 103.9 31.5 57.7 9.13 9.07 42.7 33.4 32.1 24.7 9.28 9.22 Feb. 9 23 252.2 126.9 179.9 81.2 9.07 9.04 57.8 44.0 36.9 23.3 9.17 9.14 22 299.9 146.3 171.9 121.6 9.06 9.03 75.4 46.2 45.0 33.7 9.15 9.13 Apr. 106.2 132.1 56.2 60.1 8.94 8.83 56.4 55.3 31.8 33.4 9.05 9.00 May 483.3 634.3 * 222.3 321.4 8.94 9.13 110.7 128.8 60.1 68.9 9.09 9.24 349.5 146.6 261.2 224.7 98.8 157.5 9.20 9.14 9.12 131.4 77.3 93.6 90.5 70.3 59.2 9.31 9.30 9.31 1975 June 1 14 28 offered by bidders relate to total eligible bids received. I