Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : September 4, 1973
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f!h A \(aL z / H.16I ... CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS September 4 , 1 9 7 3 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE, AGRICULTURAL, and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION O F RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 V U/O > INDEX D E V E L O P M E N T S IN T H E C O R P O R A T E AND MUNICIPAL BONO MARKETS C A P I T A L MARKET Y I E L D S C A P I T A L MARKET VOLUME STOCK MARKET MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e ESTIMATE P PRELIMINARY r REVISED n.a. N O T AVAILABLE DATA DO NOT EXIST Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION 3 CORPORATE B O N D MARKET WEEK ENDING 1973 - J u l y Aug. 6 13 20 27 3 17 24 31 YIELDS NEW ISSUE 1 A a a UTILITY RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 7.92 7.92 8.03 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT S O L D BY END OF WEEK „NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 7.80 7.85 7.94 0 317 54 219 0 76 81 96 0 77 10 10 8.28 8.32r 343 150 90 393 0 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 8.12 8.31 8.52 8.30 8.29r 2 8.16 8.20 8.15 MUNICIPAL B O N D MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE VOLUME BOND BUYER 20-60ND INDEX 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT S O L D BY END O F WEEK NEW I S S U E S 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ( $ MILLIONS) 1973 - J u l y 6 13 20 27 5.10 5.25 5.20 5.30 5.34 5.40 5.37 5.48 194 503 436 626 71 74 76 85 133 129 144 148 Aug. 3 10 17 24 31 5.40 5.40 5.20 5.20 5.10 5.59 5.58 5.47 5.44 5.34 181 256 215 292 536 89 94 85 83 91 86 53 59 75 79 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS 1 NEW I S S U E A a a UTILITY DATE RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 3 U.S. GOVT. 20-YEAR C O N S T A N T MATURITY 4 B O N D BUYER 2 D - B O N D INDEX 1971 - High Low 8.26 (7/30) 7.02 ( 2 / 5 ) 8.23 (1/1) 7.17 ( 1 2 / 3 1 ) 7.71 (8/12) 7.06 (2/12) 6.51 (6/18) 5.69 (3/23) 6.23 ( 6 / 2 3 ) 4.97 ( 1 0 / 2 1 ) 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4/21) 6 . 9 9 (11/24) 7.46 (5/12) 7.17 ( 1 / 7 ) 7.36 (4/28) 7.05 ( 1 2 / 8 ) \. 6 . 1 9 ( 4 / 1 4 ) \ 5.74 (11/17) 5.54 (4/13) 4.96 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 (1/21) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 ( 8 / 2 4 ) 7.11 ( 1 / 5 ) 7.79 (8/10) 6.42 (1/5) 5.59 (8/3) 5.03 (1/12) 7.80 7.85 7.94 8.12 7.41 7.44 7.45 7.48 7.16 7.20 7.25 7.39 5.34 5.40 5.37 5.48 8.28 8 . 3 2r 8.16 8.21 8.15p 7.53 7.61 7.71 7.77 7.74p 7.71 7.79 7.65 7.52 7.43p 5.59 5.58 5.47 5.44 5.34 - July Aug. 6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24 31 -- 7.92 7.92 8.03 8.31 8.52 8.30 8.29r I ! NOTES: 1 Federal Beterve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-merket yield on competitively bid Aae-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U S. Treasury deta. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS PERIOD I 1 CORPORATE 1973 1 1972 1 2 S T A T E AND LOCAL 1971 1973 1 1972 1 1971 January February March 2,327 1,962 3,933 3,205 3,369 3,229 3,115 3,000 6,075 1,974 1,499 2,451 1,776 2,005 2,239 2,732 1,851 2,258 April May June 2,484 2,468 3,275 3,598 4,341 4,042 3,300 4,375 1,818 1,921 2,072 1,989 2,017 2,270 1,891 2,167 2,013 July August September 3,582 2,893 2,720 4,147 2,532 3,768 1,805 1,966 1,726 1,989 1,903 2,098 October November December 3,791 3,377 3,396 3,387 3,704 3,673 2,200 1,861 1,794 1,728 2,264 2,068 9,803 11,214 9,195 10,564 12,190 11,688 10,447 10,764 6,020 6,276 5,494 5,855 6,841 6,081 5,990 6,060 21,017 30,212 40,776 23,844 34,325 45,089 12,296 17,790 23,645 12,812 18,902 24,962 01 02 03 04 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year 8,222 5,924 5,811 - NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. H.16 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN M I L L I O N S O F D O L L A R S G R O S S P R O C E E D S BY T Y P E O F I S S U E PERIOD 1972 - I I III IV G R O S S P R O C E E D S BY T Y P E O F I S S U E R BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED COMMON AND PRIVATELY PREFERRED PLACED STOCK 1 MEMO I S S U E S INCLUDED MANUFACTURING PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS F O R E I G N (CONVERTIBLE 11,214 9,195 10,564 4,634 4,192 4,158 2,781 1,867 3,147 3,798 3,136 3,258 245 57 245 449 836 428 2,109 1,629 1,398 3,495 2,680 2,934 ' 1,369 856 1,079 4,240 4,030 5,151 1973 - I 8,222 2,945 1,405 3,971 105 112 898 2,427 1,215 3,683 1972 - Mar. 3,229 1,677 577 976 3 233 604 740 227 1,658 Apr. May June j 3,275 3,598 4,341 1,622 1,676 1,336 789 744 1,218 864 1,148 1,786 15 100 130 92 226 131 581 761 767 1,219 738 '1,538 178 391 800 1,297 1,708 1,235 Jul/ Sep ex 3,582 2,893 2,720 1,807 1,523 863 1,118 948 1,070 3 17 '37 450 183 203 574 452 603 798 635 1,247 586 237 33 1,624 1,568 838 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,791 3,377 3,396 1,773 1,361 1,024 564 982 1,601 1,454 1,034 770 28 124 93 162 171 95 383 426 589 1,280 794 860 371 658 50 1,757 1,499 1,895 1973 - J a n . Feb. Mar. 2,327 1,962 3,933 989 641 1,315 287 316 802 1,050 1,004 1,817 14 27 64 81 28 3 176 213 509 900 596 931 33 174 1,008 1,218 980 1,485 Apr. May 2,484 2,468 938 1,049 788 611 758 808 63 44 25 78 282 381 519 765 258 367 1,426 955 Augl /• * 657 421 . 789 NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Estimated data are derived by Federal Reserve based upon available information. H.16 Table 5A LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 August 1 t h r u August 31 f 1973 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY C O U P O N RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING CORPORATE Consumers Pwr. Alabama Pwr. Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s Smith I n t e r n a t ' l S t . John Del-Ray Mining New England Power Mich.-Wise. P i p e l i n e Co. Guardian Mtge. I n v e s t o r s B a r n e t t Mtg. I n v e s t o r s Tr. F l a . Pwr. & L t . New York T e l . 1 s t mtg Bonds 1 s t mtg Com s t k Com s t k ( r t s ) 1 s t Mtge Sst Mtge Bene.Int. Conv deb 1st mtg Bonds 75.0 100.0 50.0 28.9 15.5 40.0 50.0 19.8 30.0 50.0 300.0 * 2003 2003 2003 8-5/8 8-7/8 8.50 8.50 8.80 8.50 Aa A Aa __ __ 2003 1993 1998 1980 2012 . —— 8-5/8 8-5/8 8.46 8.68 8-1/2 8-1/8 8.30 8.50 8.00 8.30 — Aa A . — Aa Aaa \ \ a NOTES: * Rights offering. 1 Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over. H.16 T a b l e SB C o n t i n u e d LARGE LONG-T^RM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY August 1 t h r u August 31. 1973 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE MOODY'S RATING J STATE AND LOCAL F l o r i d a , S t a t e of S t . of New Hampshire Indus. Dev. Auth. Illinois Alaska Long Beach C i v i c C t r . Auth, Cal. D.C. Redev. Land Agency Houston, Tex. Houston, Tex. Minnesota Housing F i n . Agency. Gainsville, Fla. Metro Denver Swge. D i s t . #1, Cal. C h a r l o t t e , N.C. Boston New J e r s e y St. Petersburg, Fla. Penn, S t a t e of i Maryland, S t a t e of / N.Y. S t . Housing Finance Agency Milwaukee Area Voc., Tec. & Adult Ed. Dist. OFFERING YIELD G.O. P o l l cont r e v G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. " Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Prom note 50.0 10.0 100.0 31.0 36.0 13.1 11.5 23.5 30.0 11.0 20.0 21.5 27.0 75.0 20.0 125.0 54.3 136.5 22.0 1974-1992 1998 1974-1998 1977-1998 1977-2006 1974-2004 1978-1988 2010 1974-1983 1975-1995 1979-2004 1975-1996 1974-1993 1978-1997 1974-1998 1976-1983 1976-1988 1974-2014 1974-1983 " 5.38 7.50 5.27 . 5.80 5.93 6.10 6.10 5.71 5.50 5.41 4.95 5.80 5.17 5.30 5.48 4.93 6.19 5.30-5.75 7.50 5.00-5.80 5.26-6.00 5.20-6.05 5.00-5.40 5.25-6.00 6.21 5.10-5.70 5.10-5.90 5.00-5.60 4.70-5.00 5.50-5.80 4.90-5.25 4.90-5.45 5.00-5.80 4.80-4.90 5.60-6.20 4.92 4. 90-4.85 Aa - - Aaa Baa-1 Aa Aaa Baa Baa — Aa Aa Aaa Baa-1 Aaa A-1 A-1 A Aa OTHER FNMA FNMA FNMA Debs Debs Debs 400.0 300.0 300.0 - ~ 1975 1979 7.85 8.20 7.85 7.85 8.20 7.85 - - T a b l e 6A FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ° 1 As of August 31, 1973 ISSUER Wisconsin Pub. Svc. P u b l i c S e r v i c e of Colo. Miss. Pwr. & L t . GTE of Pa. *New England T e l . & T e l . New J e r s e y B e l l Utah Pwr. & L t . Utah Pwr. & L t . Philadelphia Elect. Delmarva Pwr. & L t . Cleveland E l e c t . I l i u m . Ohio Edison *Southern Railway * P a c i f i c Lighting Service J e r s e y C e n t r a l Pwr. & L t . *Hawaiian E l e c t . Northern S t a t e s Pwr. (Wise.) Va E l e c t . & Pwr. GTE of Southwest *MGIC MTGE Corp TYPE Debs Pref s t k Bonds 1st mtg Com s t k ( r t s ) Debs Com s t k Com s t k Com s t k ( r t s ) Pref s t k Pref s t k Bonds Equip TR C t f s Deb 1st mtg 1st mtg 1st mtg Com s t k Bonds 1st mtg AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF D O L L A R S ) ' 25..0 30,.0 20,.0 25,.0 188,.5 150..0 30,.0 28..6 106.,2 15,.0 25..0 75..0 15.,0 30.,0 50.,0 16.,0 30. 0 95. 0 30. 0 100. 0 „ APPROXIMATE DATE O F O F F E R I N G September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September September 5 5 5 5 9 11 11 11 12 12 12 17 18 19 19 19 26 26 27 NOTES: • Included in table for first time. 1 Includes corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over. H.16 Table 6B ]1 FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 . As of August 31, 1973 AMOUNT (IN M I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS) ISSUER APPROXIMATE DATE O F O F F E R I N G STATE & LOCAL *HUD Oregon, S t a t e of Nassau Co, N.Y. *N. J . S p o r t s & Exp. Auth. Chicago *Onondaga Co., N.Y. Los Angeles DWAP Washington, S t a t e of U n i v e r s i t y of Texas L a f a y e t t e , La. Barton Co. Dev. A u t h . , Ga. Baltimore Co., Md Greenle Co., I n d . Dev. Auth. Oakland U . S . D . , Cal. *New York C i t y *Sacramento, C a l i f . Muni. U t i l . Bonds G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. P o l l cont rev P o l l cont reV P o l l cont rev G.O. G.O. Rev. 446.3 75.0 48.5 265.0 47.0 12.0 15.0 28.0 46.5 10.0 41.0 42.0 85.00 10'. 8 385.0 50.0 September September September September September September September September September September September September September October October November 5 5 9 10 10 12 12 12 13 18 15 16 14 NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and issues of Federally sponsored agencies. Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES DATE NYSE INDEX 3 | D J INDUSTRIALS! AMEX 4 | 2 TRADING VOLUME NYSE NASDAQ | AMEX | NASDAQ 8.9(12/30) 5.1(11/26) 26.68(4/28) 112.66(12/31) 22.72(1/4) 100.52(2/26) 22.1(2/12) 11.0(9/17) 6.7(2/5) 2.7(8/13) 65.14(12/11) 1036.27(12/11) 889.30(1/3) 56.23(1/3) 28.53(4/14) 133.28(4/21) 25.61(1/3) 114.88(1/7) 21.8(11/10) 11.2(9/8) 7.4(3/10) 2.6(9/6) 11.7(3/10) 6.5(9/10) 65.48(1/11) 53.36(7/6) 26.70(1/8) 136.18(1/12) 22.20(6/25) 99.39(7/5) 20.4(1/12) 10.2(7/6) 4.8(1/12) 1.5(8/24) 10.4(1/12) 3.8(7/6) 1971 - High Low 57.76(4/18) 48.73(1/4) 1972 - High Low 1973 - High Low 950.82(4/28) 797.97(11/23) 1051.70(1/11) 851.90(8/22) July 6 13 20 27 53.36 55.12 57.09 58.36 870.11 885.99 910.90 936.71 22.24 22.64 23.18 23.54 99.48 103.03 107.67 109.36 10.2 14.6 16.7 17.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.1 4.0 5.5 5.9 6.2 Aug. 3 10 17 24 31 56.79 55.84 54.58 54.18 55.64 908.87 892.38 871.84 863.49 887.57 23.35 23.17 22.97 22.81 22.98 106.82 105.32 103.71 102.40 12. l r 12.4r 11. 8 r 10. 8r 12.3 2. 3 r 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.7 4.9 4.9 4.4 4. l r 4.4 li. a . NOTES: 1 Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5% hours per day and 5 days per week, or 27% hours per week. In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time periods, shown below: From Through January 3, 1969 July 7 , 1 9 6 9 1 January 2, 1970 July 3 , 1 9 6 9 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 3 12/31/65 » 5 0 4 Average dollar value of shares listed. Hours/Day 4 4% 5 . Days/Week 5 5 5 Hours/We# 20 22% 25 H.16 19 Table 8 SECURITY CREDIT R E G U L A T E D MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END O F P E R I O D BROKERS ON 1 BROKERS ON 2 MARGIN CONVERTIBLE STOCK BONDS 31 BANKS UNREGULATED4 NONMARGIN STOCK CREDIT AT B A N K S OTHER SECURITY CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1973- J a n , Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 7,660 7,780 7,800 7,800 7,890 7,900 248 246 248 250 249 254 979 1,032 1,008 943 902 865 1,772 1,800 1,871 1,875 1,871 1,896 1,285 1,298 1,255 1,351 1,296 1,528 7,700 7,500 7,200 7,040 6,540 6,180 6,010 249 248 244 232 224 215 216 865 867 879 872 866 n.a. n.a. 1,940 1,954 1,917 1,969 2,010 n.a. n.a. 1,484 1,508 1,566 1,482 1,502 6/ 6/ 150 120 20 90 10 4 -2 2 2 -1 5 24 53 -24 -65 -41 -37 128 28 71 4 -4 25 11 13 - 43 96 45 132 -200 -200 -300 -160 -500 -360 -70 -5 -1 -4 -12 -8 -9 1 2 12 -7 -6 n.a. n.a. 44 14 -37 52 41 n.a. n.a. -44 24 58 32 20 n. a. , . C H A N G E IN O U T S T A N D I N G July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1973 - J a n . Feb. Mar.' Apr. May June July - • NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 . June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no 5 Includes loans to purchase or carry margin stock if these are unsecured or secured entirely by unrestricted collateral. 6 Discontinued. H.16 5 Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MUTUAL S A V I N G S B A N K S REGULAR D E P O S I T S DATE NET FLOW 1 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE S A V I N G S & LOAN A S S O C I A T I O N S NET NEW MONEY 2 S H A R E CAPITAL NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET NEW MONEY 2 TOTAL DEPOSITS NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET NEW MONEY 2 NOT SEASONALLY A D J U S T E D 1970 1971 1972 4,517 9,621 9,788 6.8 13.5 12.0 936 5,678 5,397 10,965 28,230 32,902 1972 - Apr. \ May. June 464 669 1,136 - — 280 533 868 1,744 2,209 3,738 -- 1973 - Apr. . May June 96 525 823 -88 366 -35 831 1.880 3,277 *. — - — — —— — 8.1 19.3 19.5 -- - — 5,285 20,653 23,884 15,482 37,851 42,690 7.7 17,5 17.0 6,221 26,331 29,281 1,668 2,107 1,626 2,208 2,878 4,874 —— 1,948 2,640 2,494 724 1,763 900 927 2,383 4,100 —— 4,834 2,299 2,980 1,646 2,379 3,085 19.4 9.1 11.7 6.4 9.2 11.8 — — — 636 2,107 865 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1973 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 808 465 579 387 450 690 10.6 6.1 7.5 5.0 5.8 8.8 --—--- 4,026 1,834 2,401 1,259 1,929 2,395 23.3 10.4 13.5 7.0 10.7 13.2 —— —— —— - --- - - — - — - -- NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources! 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source:, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. H.16 14 T a b l e 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS O F DOLLARS, SEASONALLY A D J U S T E D OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL MUTUAL ALL S A V I N G S S A V I N G S BKS> & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. S T A T E ) NET CHANGE TOTAL MUTUAL ALL S A V I N G S SAVINGS BKS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. S T A T E ) ( B i l l i o n s of D o l l a r s i, S e a s o n a l l y Adjusted)^£/ 1971 - Dec. 16.6 13.1 3.6 .09 - .06 .15 1972 - J a n . Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 18.0 19.1 19.7 20.1 20.6 20.7 21.0 21.8 22.9 23.6 24.3 24.9 14.1 15.0 15.4 15.7 16.2 16.3 16.5 17.3 18.1 18.7 19.4 20.0 3.9 4.1 . 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 .24 1.19 .49 .42 .60 .53 .36 .83 .99 .73 .73 .68 .11 .91 .38 .29 .55 .60 .26 .76 .77 .63 .69 .65 .13 .28 .11 .13 .05 -.07 .10 .07 .22 .10 .04 .03 1973 - J a n . . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 25.9 26.5 26.0 25.3 24.6 24.0 20.8 21.5 21.2 20. 7 20.1 19.6 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 .98 .59 -.59 65 -.74 -.55 .81 .69 -.38 -.48 -.61 -.43 .17 -.10 -.21 -.17 -.13 -.12 . 4-5 ' 1 - NOTES: Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded end-of-period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. H.16 T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES FNMA —— +350 +200 -1 +201 +450 -13 +554 +649 +550 +500 -339 -245 +65 -347 +193 +135 -73 +93 -396 +63 ** — -259 -230 -72 +139 -170 -214 -366 +121 +524 -65 +317 -202 — —— +399 +248 -1 +299 +813 -1 -1 +100 -47 +311 +475 -403 -2 -1 -200 -1 -1 -1 +200 +103 +337 -1 +131 +452 +582 +1,267 +1,769 +740 +122 +312 +378 +1,303 +1,600 +961 +251 -1 +1,195 +1,200 +600 . — — —— from the T r e a s u r y S u r v e y of O w n e r s h i p . SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES FHLMC -259 +169 +176 +138 +129 +599 -367 +120 +624 -112 +628 +273 1972 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. on data FHLB -450 -651 -452 -337 -39 -87 -28 +200 -250 -439 -696 -388 -483 +604 +335 +453 +942 -96 +563 NOTES: Based TOTAL -100 -451 -453 -136 +411 +200 +526 +849 +300 +500 1971 - Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1973 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES - —— —— - - +300 — — — — — +602 +250 — — +500 -1 +814 — - - — - - — — — -25 +76 +116 +51 — +1 +400 +100 -150 -1 +400 +6 +10 +379 +107 +361 . +9 +140 +204 -36 +169 -221 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS FINANCIAL I N S T I T U T I O N S TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL 24,074 21,736 41,647 57,107 19,699 16,827 39,259 55,081 5,404 2,462 9,940 15,999 2,682 1,845 3,938 5,377 9,561 10,172 24,160 31,982 2,052 2,348 1,221 1,723 4,375 4,909 2,388 2,026 1972 - J u l y Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 4,872 5,931 5,286 4,779 5,114 5,943 4,717 5,563 4,918 4,684 4,984 5,811 1,500 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,500 1,000 438 553 502 472 517 598 2,758 3,313 2,926 2,673 2,712 3,101 79 97 90 139 255 1,112 164 368 137 95 130 132 1973 - Jan Feb Mar Apr MayJune 3,760 3,454 4,913 4,364 5,339 6,363 3,565 3,388 4,844 4,368 5,503 6,108 900 900 1,200 1,200 1,600 1,700 458 331 568 506 562 598 2,045 2,128 2,999 2,991 3,250 3,296 162 39 77 -329 142 514 195 66 69 - 4 -164 255 PERIOD COMMERCIAL BANKS MSB's S & L s INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES Not S e a s o n a l l y A d j u s t e d 1969 1970 1971 1972 Seasonally Adjusted 1972 - J u l y Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 4,849 5,471 4,748 4,714 5,282 5,697 4,593 5,179 4,714 4,738 5,212 5,601 1,451 1,477 1,155 1,393 1,524 1,164 472 515 537 484 513 525 2,678 3,108 2,911 2,726 2,876 3,130 101 79 111 135 299 782 147 292 34 - 24 70 96 1973 - J a n Feb Mar Apr May 4,501 4,081 5,168 4,224 5,272 5,800 4,273 3,969 5,044 4,333 5,331 5,466 1,112 1,079 1,262 1,162 1,533 1,589 475 388 601 554 562 527 2,467 2,430 3,067 2,906 3,100 2,794 219 72 114 -289 187 556 228 112 124 91 - 59 334 NOTES: 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 89per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1 9 7 2 . 2 Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. H.16 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES RESIDENTIAL QUARTER TOTAL TOTAL 1- t o 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAl MULTFAMUr & COMMERCIAl ' FARM 1968 - I II III IV 28.1 26.4 25.5 29.6 19.4 18.2 17.2 20.4 16.3 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1969 - I II III IV 32.0 29.1 25.8 25.2 23.8 21.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 , 14.0 13.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 5.4 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1970 - I II III IV 20.7 22.9 28.5 31.8 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 9.4 11.6 15.0 16.2 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.6 4.8 4.6 5.1 6.8 9.8 9.8 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 1971 - I II III IV 37.5 47.8 52.2 54.2 27.3 36.0 38.9 40.7 19.2 26.5 30.1 31.9 8.0 9.4 8.8 8.9 8.1 9.5 11.1 11.0 16.1 18.9 19.8 . 19.9 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 1972 - I II III IV 62.4 64.9 65.2 68.4 45.4 47.1 47.3 50.6 35.9 37.5 38.5 40.2 9.5 9.6 8.8 10.4 14.5 15.2 15.2 15.4 23.9 24.8 24.0 25.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 1973 - I II 77.0 71.8 57.9 53.0 46.9 42.8 11.0 10.2 16.1 16.2 27.1 26.4 3.0 2.6 * NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1 to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. H.16 Table 14 x> / PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERM ITSy PERIOD TOTAL 1—FAMILY COMPLETIONS STARTS 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1—FAMILY 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1 —FAMILY 2 - O R MORE FAMILY MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS 1969 1970 1971 1972 1,322 1,352 1,952 2,219 626 647 928 1,033 696 705 1,025 1,186 1,500 1,467 2,085 2,379 811 813 1,151 1,309 656 , 898 901 1,048 1,399 1,452 1,740 2,002 808 802 1,014 1,145 1972 - August September October November December 2,281 2,366 2,318 2,226 2,399 1,065 1,029 1,138 1,013 1,001 1,216 1,337 1,180 1,213 1,398 2,424 2,426 2,446 2,395 2,369 1,373 1,382 1,315 1,324 1,207 1,051 1,045 1,131 1,071 1,162 1,973 1,972 1,945 1,980 2,147 1,210 1,118 1,156 1,153 1,168 763 853 789 828 980 534 494 548 666 606 1973 ~ J a n u a r y February March April " May r / June r / July 2,233 2,209 2,129 1,939 1,838 2,030 1,816 1,062 1,079 1,022 945 954 934 891 1,171 1,130 1,107 994 884 1,096 925 2,497 2,456 2,260 2,123 2,413 2,093 2,176 1,450 1,372 1,245 1,202 1,271 1,117 1,249 1,047 1,084 1,015 921 1,142 976 927 2,147 2,033 2,162 2,067 2,175 2,102 1,324 1,259 1,310 1,168 1,288 1,215 823 774 851 899 887 886 648 642 737 680 661 616 . 592 617 692 829 413 401 497 576 - — • NOTES: Private building permits (for 14,000 areas with permit systems, excluding farm), starts and completions are Census Bureau data, with completions converted to a seasonally adjusted annual rate by the Federal Reserve. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins. In the case of apartment buildings, all units are considered started at that time; however, all such units are considered completed when half of the units in the structure are ready for uss. Private mobile home shipments are Mobile Home Manufacturers Assoc. data converted to seasonally adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. •jL/ Data f o r 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 p e r m i t - i s s u i n g p l a c e s . Table 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL L O A N S PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES 1 PERIOD RATE (IN PER C E N T ) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1971 - High Low 7.95 7.55 52 01 1972 - High Low 7.70 7.55 1972 - J u l y Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1973 - J a n Feb Mar Apr May June July NEW HOMES 1 RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON NEW A a a CONVENTIONAL UTILITY 1 AND HUD(FHA) BOND DISCOUNT NEW HOME YIELD (PERCENTAGE M O R T G A G E S (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) POINTS) HUD(FHA) INSURED L O A N S S E C O N D A R Y MARKET EXISTING H O M E S SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 8.05 7.65 62 06 7.97 7.32 31 07 7.8 2.7 28 01 8.04 7.28 61 15 7.75 7.60 66 20 7.57 7.45 48 05 4.7 3.7 14 06 7.45 7.09 7.65 7.65 7.70 7.70 7.70 7.70 27 28 30 32 61 55 7.70 7.70 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 32 33 35 37 66 60 7.54 7.55 7.56 7.57 7.57 7.56 16 18 16 19 48 41 4.4 4.5 4. 6 4.7 4.7 4. 6 11 10 14 13 13 14 7.38 7.37 7.40 7.38 7.09 7.15 7.70 7.75 7.80 7.90 7.95 8.05 8.40 32 35 31 44 44 41 39 7.75 7.80 7.85 7.90 8.00 8.10 8.40 37 40 36 44 49 46 39 7.55 7.56 7.63 7.73 7.79 7.89 8.19 17 16 14 27 28 25 18 4.5 4.6 5.2 5.9 6.4 7.2 9.4 15 19 17 17 16 16 21 7.38 7.40 7.49 7.46 7.51 7.64 8.01 NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) are based on unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment. prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. Table 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS DATE OF AUCTION GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT AVERAGE (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) YIELD OFFERED 1973 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. 2 8 22 5 6 19 21 5 6 19 21 2 3 16 •17 30 | ACCEPTED CONVENTIONAL AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED . 74 2 107 0 61 3 92 1 7.69 7,. 70 128 7 65 4 7.71 - 110 3 -- 71 6 -- AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 39.. 3 25..5 -• -• - - -• " 100..9 7.73 | 62..9 7.84 7.89 -- - - 66,.0 49.,6 7.92 7.95 - - -- 170 8 107 7 7,.75 -- 60..3 44.,3 297 3 168 7 7.,81 -- -- -- - -- -- 86.,8 56.,4 8.02 111.; 9 81.,6 8.11 - 234..6 145.,9 7,: s 6 216.,6 190. 7 7,.89 -- -- 261.,2 185. 9 14 29 258. 3 212.,4 11 25 -- -- -- 7..92 111.,0 128.,9 88. 4 88. 2 8.17 8.23 187. 7 140. 0 7.• 96 . 8.,00 117. 6 113. 3 84. 4 74. 0 8.31 8.39 184. 5 199. 3 142. 2 118. 7 8.,04 8.,09 110. 1 95. 0 74. 1 69..4 8.44 8.51 9 23 539. 0 351. 4 244. 8 181. 4 8.,38 8.,54 108. 0 119. 0 ' 72. 5 61. 7 8.67 8.79 6 458. 5 525, . 0 201. 9 223.,8 8. 71 8 .95 154. 3 171..3 77. 4 77.2 8.98 9.27 20 * NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 3 8 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate t o total eligible bids received.