Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 12, 1971
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v | r DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS L.5.8 CooWeniial (F.R.) April 12, 1971 c^v ;w/. .. O^idati fi\oXfct V — c- CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS X C a p i t a l Markets Section, D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , B o a r d of G o v e r n o r s of t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S y s t e m , W a s h i n g t o n , D. C . S ~ - %' ' INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa WEEK ENDING: 1971 - Mar. Apr. CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 5 12 19 26 7.79 7.54 7.14 7.08 7.12 7.20 7.26 7.25 930 976 936 1,013 90 94 96 97 2 9 16 7.15 7.16 7.22 7.23 608 310e : 525e 67 79e WEEK ENDING: YIELDS BOND BUYER MOODY'S SEASONED 20 SEASONED Aaa BOND INDEX 1971 - Mar. 5 12 19 26 5.15 4.95 4.90 5.00 Apr. 2 9 16 5.00 5.10 . n. a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n. a. n.a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED OF WEEK OFFERINGS WITHIN 28 DAYS 5.37 5.28 5.00 5.03 375^ 596 485 407 62 89 84 69 1,127 948 737 958 5.15 5.21 314 549 481 69 61 1,164 1,136 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: Sec footnotes to Table 3 • \ TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATE OFFERED \ \ AMOUNT (MIL. $) 4/7 4/5 4/1 4/1 4/1 3/30 3/30 3/17 3/17 OFFERED 60.0 35.0 25.0 40.0 50.0 125.0 60.0 50.0 50.0 DATE I RELEXSED 2/17 3/23 3/23 3/31 CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND YIELD CALL PROTECTION ISSUER COUPON 4/5 4/6 4/6 4/6 Apr. 7.21 7.40 8.50 6.25 7.70 7.20 7.55 7.30 8.30 25 40 90 60 80 60 85 .90 90 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 10 yrs. 10 yrs. 10 yrs. Aaa Aa A -- Aaa A Baa Baa CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROISSUER coupoi YIELD IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED AMOUNT 50.0 250.0 75.0 100.0 Dana Corp Std Oil of Calif. Pennzoil United R. J. Reynolds 7.30 7.00 8-3/8 7-3/8 INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN SYNDICATE DATE 1971 - Mar. 7-1/4 7-1/2 8-1/2 6-1/2 7.70 7-1/4 7-1/2 7.30 8.30 Baltimore G & E Cent. 111. P. S. Mack Fin. Ohio Pwr. So. Nat. Gas N. J, Bell Tel. Dart Ind. No. Amer. Rockwell No. Amer. Rockwell - ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 12 19 26 2 9 N.C. - No call protection. 767 773 840 879 887 160 112 186 230 360 1 7.30 7.00 8.35 7.40 +45 +15 +27 +12 A Aaa Baa A 10 10 10 10 yrs3 yrs yrs yrs 30% 10% 30% 10% CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 75 90 87 167 164 Digitized 1 for FRASER All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday,except for latest week which is daily average of three days ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. < TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields DATE NEW CORPORATE Aaa1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS4 1968 - High Low 7.02 6.13 (12/13) (8/30) 6.55 (1/27) 5 i 95 (9/13) 5.90 5.18 (1/20) (8/9) 4.85 4.07 (1/26) (8/8) 1969— High Low 8.85 6.90 (12/5) (2/21) 7.84 6.55 (2/26) (1/12) 6.97 5.96 (12/26) (1/24) 6.90 4.82 (12/18) (1/28) 1970 - High Low 9.30 7.68 (6/19) (12/18) 8.60 7.48 (7/3) (12/31) 7.55 6.17 (5/29) (12/18) 7.12 5.33 (5/29) (12/11) 1971 - Mar. Apr. 19 26 2 9 7.14 7.08 7.15 7.16 7.26 7.25 7.22 7.23 5.87 5.73 5.84 5.87 5.00 5.03 5.15 5.21 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. 2 Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 3 Weekly average of daily figures. A Thursday figures. %he average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. ,^\ Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 1 TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS STATE AND LOCAL 2 CORPORATE1 PERIOD 1971 1970 1969 2,684 l,800e 1,340 1,214 1,555 1,262 987 538 2,748 2,076 2,530 1,647 996 1,085 1,801 1,110 737 2,768 2,274 3,518 2,478 1,427 2,427 1,348 1,359 1,758 1,097 808 559 3,777 4,182 3,980 1,933 2,375 2,532 1,924 1,748 2,190 1,280 886 816 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,939 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 4,109 3,728 4,465 5,862 2,787 3,648 2,464 2,982 18,445 27,005 38,944 13,572 19,904 26,744 7,837 12,302 18,164 6,435 8,899 11,881 1970 1969 2,636 1,802 3,539 2,075 2,045 2,098 April May June 3,170 3,909 3,389 July August September October November December 1971 January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year ilUL 5,850e 11,967 Excluding; finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter ! 1 | 6,170 7,037 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. 1 i 3 Year 1 2 3 j f $ \ 5 \ i TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON MEMO: AND BONDS ISSUES INCLUDED MFG. PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. STOCK FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE PLACED OFFERED QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL 1970 - II III IV e/ 1971 - I £7 10,468 8,560. 11.937 11,967 6,994 5,987 7,827 8,381 1,282 914 1,421 1,296 2,190 1.659 2,690 2,289 135 83 226 n. a. 710 287 737 801 1970 - Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,539 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,768 2,274 3,518 3,777 4,181 3,979 1,914 2,022 3,041 1,931 1,831 1,731 2,425 2,390 3,001 2,436 *71 447 399 436 320 205 389 304 283 834 1,154 701 468 1,021 617 338 704 1,083 898 709 128 89 20 26 68 11 4 56 11 159 3,017 1971 - Jan. Feb. e/ 3.100 Mar. £/ 5,850 2,031 2,200 4,150 496 300 500 489 600 1,200 52 n.a. n. a. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS 2,445 2,314 3,169 3,971 2,812 2,714 3,406 2,718 2,162 868 1,346 1,612 286 398 230 82 107 59 121 388 184 165 1,416 689 817 939 638 682 994 1,006 1,107 1,056 906 1,109 600 1,103 843 630 1,241 1,101 1,350 955 306 62 1,747 353 144 279 445 371 693 282 911 1,310 744 994 1,143 682 838 1,300 1,033 1,687 101 150 550 716 623 1,110 985 392 620 600 1,286 785 2,470 OTHER ISSUERS1 3,048 2,663 4,020 3,666 ! 1 Other issuers arc extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are avail able. 585 1,795 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT ' (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Conv debs Cap stk 1st mtg 1st mtg 1st mtg Debs Debs Notes 15.0 67.0 35.0 25.0 60.0 100.0 25.0 30.0 MATURITY 8 April 5 . A aril 9. 1971 COUPON RATE OR OFFER- MOODY'S RATING NET INTERING EST COST YIELD Corporate Midland Mtge Pan American World Airway, Inc. Central Illinois Pub Serv Corp Louisian Pwr & Light Baltimore G & E W. T. Grant Co. Colorado Interstate Corp Brown Shoe Co. 7.00 2001 2001 2001 1996 1991 1978 7.50 7.00 7.14 4.75 8.50 6.50 7.40 7.70 7.21 4.75 8.50 6.55 Aa A Aaa Baa Baa A T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury)' April 5, thru April 9, 1971 AMOUNT CMILLIONS ISSUER TYPE 2 OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON 1 1 R A T E OR N E T INTER- d EST C O S T | iMTKRi;.c MOODY'S RATING VILLI) State and Local New York State Oregon, State of Oregon, State of Howard Co., Maryland Howard Co., Maryland Greensboro, N. C. Minn, Minn. Minn., Minn. Memphis, Tenn. Ohio, State of Ohio, State of Kansas City, Mo. Austin, Texas Mass., State of Norristown Area Sch Auth, Pa. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. 18.0 2.5 45.0 5.8 4.9 11.0 5.1 6.0 21.0 25.0 50.0 27.5 25.0 125.2 17.9 1972-2021 1974-2001 1974-1991 1973-2001 1972-1991 1972-1993 1972-1991 1972-1981 1972-1996 1972-1989 1972-1996 1974-2000 Bonds 300.0 1974 — 1972-2020 1972-1996 5.21 4.95 4.49 5.05 4.78 4.41 4.37 3.57 4.55 4.35 5.10 8.02 4.07 2.30-5. 25 2.80-5.30 2.80-5. 10 3.75-5. 50 2.50-5.40 2.30-5.,10 2.25-4.,90 2.40-4.00 2.30-5.,15 2.30-4.,85 2.50-5,,40 4.75-7.,25 3.50-4..50 Aa Aa Aa A A Aa Aaa Aaa Aa Aa Aa —— —— , • — Other Federal Land Bank 5.30 5.30 • — Rights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. In case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes genera I.'ob li gat i on ; '< e v. - U t., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-lit. , revenue bonds secured only by income from.quasi-utiliti.es; Kev.-K.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Kev.-Kent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and. Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE Corp orates Atlantic City Elec. Co. 1st. Mtg. American Fletcher Corp. Debs. Fedders Corp. Conv. debs. Gulf Resources & Chem. Corp. Debs. Kennecott Copper Corp. Debs. Avco Financial Serv. Inc. Debs. Fidelity Bank Debs. Texas Electric Service Co. 1st. Mtg. Gen' 1 Tel. Co. of Ohio 1st. Mtg. American yanamid Co. Debs. Montana Power Co. Bds. Burlington Northern, Inc. 1st. Mtg. Republic Nat *1 Bk. of Dallas Prom. Notes Michigan Wisconsin Pipeline Bds. Union Elec. Co. Bds. Washington, Wtr. & Pwr. Co. Debs. Illinois Bell Tel. Co. Bds. Jersey Central Pwr. & Lt. Co. Debs. El Pasco Elec. Co. 1st. Mtg. Minnesota Pwr. & Lt. 1st. Mtg. *Potomac Edison Co. 1st. Mtg. Debs. • G.M. A. C. Northern Indiana Pub. Serv. Co. 1st. Mtg. Texas Gas Transmission Corp. Debs. Hartford National Corp. Debs. Lord Abbett-Bd.-Deb. Fund Inc.Debs Kentucky Utilities Co. Equity Sec. Kentucky Utilities Co. 1st. Mtg. National Homes Corp. Conv. debs. Armstrong Rubber Co. Debs. Indiana Bell Tel. Co. ]Debs. Alabama Gas Co. 1st. Mtg. Monumental Corp. ]Notes Occidental Petroleum Corp. (Conv. debs. Beneficial Corp. ]Bds. Beneficial Corp Iids. Microdot Inc. IVotes Central Tel. & Utility Corp. 1st. Mtg. Gen'1 Tel. Co. of the S.W. Iids. Owens-111. Inc. I)ebs. "" Dayton Pwr. & Lt. Co. I>ref. Stk. Dayton Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1Lst. Mtg. Levitz Furniture Corp. Clom. Stk. McGraw-Edison Co. £i.F. debs. AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 27.0 25.0 , 50.0 20.0 200.0 50.0 30.6 25.0 20.0 100.0 25.0 60.0 35.0 40.0 50.0 15.0 200.0 21.0 16.0 23.0 20.0 100.0 50.0 30.0 25.0 120.0 15.0 35.0 25.0 25.0 100.0 16.0 20.0 100.0 25.0 50.0 20.0 20.0 40.0 100.0 20.0 45.0 32.1 50.0 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING April 12 April 12 April 12 April 12 April 12 April 12 April 12 April 13 April 14 April 14 April 14 April 15 April 15 April 15 April 15 April 15 April 20 April 20 April 21 April 22 April 27 April 28 „ 1 April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April April May 28 . • 1 1 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (continued) qf April ?. 1971 AMOUNT APPROXIMATE DATE (MILLIONS ISSUER TYPE OF OF OFFERING DOLLARS) Corporates (continued) New England Tel. & Tel. Co. Lucky Stores Inc. Union Tank Car Co. Western Elec. Co. Debs. Debs. Equip. Trst. Ctfs. Debs. 200.0 25.0 May May 25.0 100.0 May June 25 8 JABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 . As of April 9, 1971 AMOUNT (MILLIONS APPROXIMATE DATE ISSUER TYPE OF OF OFFERING DOLLARS) I State and Local New York State Dorm. Auth. Los Angeles Co. Flood Con. Dist. Port of N. Y. Auth. Islip Cen. Sch. Dist. #7, N.Y. Penna, St. Pub. Sch. Bldg. Auth. Nassau Co., N. Y. Austin ISD, Texas Washington State Louisiana Stadium and Exp. Dist. Santa Clara Co., Calif. Bldg. Auth. Santa Clara Co., Calif. •California, State of 'Conn. Health & Ed. Fac. Auth. Dade Co. Port Auth., Fla. Wayne, Township, N. J. S/D Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Pwr. Philadelphia, pa. San Bernardino, Calif. Redevp. Agency Cleveland City Sch. Dist. West Virginia, State of Sacramento, Calif Municipal Utility Dist. Texas, State of Illinois Fairfax Co., Va. New Orleans Austin, Texas Allegheny. Co. . Pa. Oakland Co.^ Mich. Other Province of Ontario * 1 2 : Rev. |G.O. (St Gtd.) G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. 15.4 . 10.0 23.5 11.6 36.0 48.0 18.5 72.5 113.0 Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. 17.0 17.0 100.0 12.3 . 10.8 10.5 39.0 48.6 Bds. G.O. G.O. 13.5 16.0 45.0 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. & G.O. Rev. G.O. 40.0 30.0 100.0 30.0 19.8 13.0 29.7 13.3 'G • 0 • 1 Debs. —; IOO.O April April April April April April April April April 13 13 13 13 20 20 20 21 21 April April April April April April April April 21 21 21 21 22 22 28 28 April April April May May May May May May July 5 17 17 19 19 20 1 April May Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. 13 Table 8 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES1' TRADING VOLUME 2 ' DATE NYSE INDEX 3 - DJ. INDUSTRIALS AMEX * NYSE AMEX - High Low 61.27(11/2) 48.66(3/5) 985.21(12/13) 825.13(3/21) 33.24(12/20] 17.1(7/12) 21.97(3/25) 8.3(3/29) 9.3(1/19) 2.9(3/29) - High Low 50.32(5/14) 49.31(7/29) 968.85(5/14) 769.93(12/17) 32.91(1/3) 25.02(7/29) 16.5(3/29) 8.6(8/29) 8.0(1/31) 3.6(11/21] - High Low 52.36(1/5) 37.69(5/26) 842.00(12/29) 631.16(5/26) 27.02(1/8) 19.36(5/27) 18.5(12/4) 7.8(8/14) 7.1(1/2) 1.8(8/14) 16.5 18.3 18.3 15.6 5.6 6.4 6.1 4.7 14.9 19.0 5.0 5.6 - Mar. 5 12 19 26 54.47 54.83 55.69 55.19 898.00 898.34 912.92 903.48 25.71 25.88 . 26.14 26.04 Apr. 2 9 55.58 56.33 903.04 920.39 26.20 26.41 . NOTES: 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American.Stock Exchange. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week, (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time Hours/ Days/ From Through: . Day Week January 3, 19*9 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 - 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4 4-1/2 5 5 5 5 27-1/2 hours per week. periods, shown below: Hours/ Week 20 22-1/2 25 ^ u TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOD CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS1 I BANKS2 I TOTAL CUSTOMERS 1 NET DEBIT BALANCES NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY BROKERS AND* FREE CREDIT DEALERS 3 BALANCES Outstanding; 1971 • Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep to Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 4,570 4,520 4,360 4,160 4,150 3,800 3,810 3,920 4,010 4,010 4,030 2,370 2,370 2,330 2,290 2,290 2,290 2,300 2,330 2,270 2,320 2,330 6,940 6,890 6,690 6,450 6,150 6,090 6,110 6,250 6,280 6,330 6,360 6,562 6,353 5,985 5,433 5,281 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 4,000 4,090 2,300 2,330 6,300 6,420 (4) (4) -110 - 50 -160 200 - 40 -170 - 50 -121 -209 -368 -552 -152 2,563 2,441 2,248 2,222 2,009 (5)2,180 2,083 2,236 2,163 2,197 2,286 2,452 2,743 4,099 3.912 3,724 3,211 3,272 (4) it! (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) Change in Outstanding; 1971 • Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 40 40 - 10 -350 110 90 2 18 10 30 60 50 10 - 30 90 30 30 - 10 -200 240 -300 - 60 - 20 140 30 52 28 - 60 120 -163 - 22 -193 - 26 -213 171 97 153 - 73 34 89 42 -187 -188 -513 - 61 166 294. Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans-to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers'net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting ^ large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) DATE SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS NET REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET SHARE CAPITAL NEW NEW ANNUAL ANNUAL MONEY2 GROWTH NET MONEY2 GROWTH NET FLOW FLOW RATE 1 RATE 1 TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Adjusted 1968 1969 1970 4,203 2,549 4,466 7.0 4.0 6.7 1969 - Dec. 1970 - Jan. Feb. 1970 - Dec. , 1971 - J a n . % Feb.E./ 571 -114 246 1,167 798 900 __ 1970 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. , 1971 - Jan. Feb. E 1 2 3 \ 426 437 540 796 885 939 —— 7.4 7.6 9.3 13.6 15.0 15,7 1,143 -763 936 -237 -240 160 376 631 800 -— . --- ' . 7,432 4,200 11,173 2,738 -1,003 5,295 11,635 6,749 15,639 1,085 -387 —— -1,417 -1,418 — 205 177 —— 2,816 1,161 2,476 2,554 2,342 2,445 Seasonally Adjusted 1,656 -1,531 451 3,983 3,352 3,345 1,321 1,415 1,130 1,740 3,619 2,473 6.0 3.2 8.2 11.3 12.0 9.5 14.5 29.8 19.9 --- --- • 1,747 1,852 1,670 2,536 4,504 3 ,412 6.3 3.4 7.7 3,881 -1,766 6,231 -- -624 -1,658 337 1,537 3,107 ; 3,142 —— — -—— • 10.0 10.6 9.4 14.2 24.9 18.5 -- — --- Annual growth rate for monthly, data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 967, of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and.certainescrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Hank Hoard. NOTE: Data shown above reflect revised seasonal adjustments. • S&L data (unadjusted) have been revised from benchmarks. \ TABLE 11:' Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions ) DATE 970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1971 - Jan. Feb. TOTAL OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN I 1 TOTAL 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.2 8.6 ASSOCIATIONS (Billions of Dollars, St asonally Adjusted) 1/ 5.6 2.6 -.16 -.18 2.5 5.4 -.27 -.20 5.2 ^ 2.5 -.31 -.24 5.4 \ 2.4 -.08 .21 2.2 .34 5.8 ^ .20 2.1 .26 6.1 .17 2.0 6.5 .37 .41 9.8 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.1 6.8 7.1 7.5 7.8 8.1 2.0 1-8 1.8 1.8 2.0 10.4 11.2 8.3 8.9 2; 1 2.3 , .21 .25 .30 .35 .51 .25 .80 - 16 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) .29 .36 .37 .34 .28 .20 .60 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. -.02 -.07 -.07 -.13 -.14 -.09 -.04 -.08 -.11 -.07 .01 .23 . 05 .20 17 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 DATE TOTAL INCLUDING .FNMA-GNMA TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS LIFE MUTUAL SAVINGS &| INSURANCE . F.;MA-GN>LA SAVINGS LOAN COMPANIES BANKS ASSOC. | COMMERCIAL BANKS ! , • Not Seasonally Adlusted 1966 1967 1968 1969 j 1970 - Jan. - Feb. i 18,105 20,016 23,781 24,051 15,782 18,219 21,273 19,676 1,041 1,099 437 566 1970 - Dec. 2,811 r 1971 - Jan. Feb. n.a. n.a. 2,663 r 4,705 4,639 6,677 5,535, 2,720 3,153 2,787 2,682 - 3,761 7,520 9,350 9,407 4,596 2,907 2,459 2,052 2,323 1,797 2,508 4,375 136 223 213 187 604 533 495 148 50 50 38 106 200 302 r 1,666 100 300 239 r 180 941 r 1,135 n.a. n.a. 220 161 195 199 222 213 83 151 200 131 232 Seasonally Adlusted 1970 - Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. t Oct. 1 Nov. i Dec. r 971 1 1 f I : 1,542 1,330 1,351 1,485 1,749 2,083 1,817 2,091 2,074 2,187 2, 604 1,044 809 844 1,050 1,281 1,575 1,409 1,727 1,754 1,958 2,504? - Jan. Feb. 199 140 76 65 81 165 168 228 . 195 224 312 143 186 188 155 201 142 175 245 170 176 256 482 322 385 631 777 1,055 983 1,103 1,189 1,427 1,704 283 445 225 r 217 1,261 1,398 n.a. n.a. 498 521 — 507 435 468 508 408 364 320 229 100 n.a. n.a. Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1967. i 18 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding Billions of dollars, SAAR QUARTER TOTAL RESIDENTIAL3 1 - to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL 1 MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM 5.5 4.1 8.2 6.0 2.2 1.8 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.4 • 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.8 1966 - I I IV 18.6 15.1 10.9 9.1 8.3 7.0 2.6 2.1 1967 - I II III IV 15.9 20.7 26.6 27.3 10.3 13.9 19.2 19.8 7.0 10.5 15.3 16.0 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.8 1968 - I 13 III IV- 27.7 26.2 26.0 29.6 19.0 18.2 17.7 20.2 15.8 15.0 14.1 16.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 6.4 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.4 9.2 10.2 11.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 j | 1969 - I p IIP IIIp IV p 31.3 28.9 26.5 25.1 25.0 21.5 19.3 18.3 18.6 16.8 14.6 13.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 6.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2-2 2.2 1-8 1.4 I 1 | | 1970 - I p ii> IIIp IVe 20.3 23.4 27.0 29.5 13.8 16.9 21,0 22.5 8.8 11.5 15.0 16.6 5.0 5.4 6.1 5.9 5.0 5.0 4.2 4.7 9.8 9.8 10.2 10.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.2 | 1 I | 1 1 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute bf Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds serie? mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. 19 TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly ''Auction" Results 2 WEEK ENDED IMPLICIT YIELD (per cent) COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEAR 1 1-YEAR" 906906TOTAL TOTAL & OVER MONTH & OVER DAY / MONTH DAY OFFERED Oct. 5 19 267.5 352.5 149.8 149.7 62.2 53.2 73.1 88.1 14.5 8.4 8.90 8.89 8.92 8.90 8.97 8.95 Nov. 2 16 341.5 222.4 181.2 100.1 170.3 75.8 62.4 79.4 18.7 15.1 8.90 8.89 8.93 8.90 8.93 8.92 Dec. 7 14 28 166.5 165.5 60.6 127.8 124.7 48.1 54.7 42.1 17.2 60.9 72.1 28.9 12.2 10.5 3.0 8.56 8.51 8.41 8.54 8.43 8.36 8.57 8.47 8.40 Jan. 25 44.6 ' 35.5 9.9 25.6 — 7.83 7.96 -- Feb. 8 23.4 23.3 10.6 12.7 — 7.67 7.67 Mar. 1 15 29 186.0 193.5 122.5 51.8 74.0 66.9 15.2 17.9 36.7 29.3 41.2 26.3 , 7.43 7.33 7.32 7.43 7.45 7.45 7.3 14.9 3.9 — 7.56 7.55 7.55 Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered onljy after completion and occupancy. I 1 For "proposed construction" of new homes only. 2 Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of. 38 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. Prior to August 10, 1970 the servicing fee was 50 basis points. 20 TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS DATE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,059 1,306 1,392 1,224 1,242 1,393 1,603 1,425 1,509 1,583 1,693 2,054 • Jan. 2/ Feb.2/ 1,709 1,715 1 2 TOTAL UNADJUSTED TYPE OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER BUILDING * PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE)2 577 725 708 697 728 835 827 838 881 890 934 1,240 482 581 684 527 514 558 776 587 627 693 759 814 66.4 74.3 114.7 128.4 125.0 135.2 140.8 128.7 130.9 140.9 126.9 121.4 16.5 3.4 17.5 3.9 25.2 4.8 32.4 5.4 37.1 5.2 40.7 5.1 43.4 5.3 34.1 5.6 34.3 5.3 40.4 5.8 33.7 5.5 63.2 5.7 46.5 52.9 84.7 90.6 80.8 89.4 92.1 87.7 91.3 94.7 87.2 52.5 1,050 1,119 1,085 1,177 1,309 1,285 1,309 1,378 1,388 1,523 1,487 1,768 937 975 772 740 109.7 99.6 32.3 4.6 27.3 4.7 72.8 67.6 1,635 1,622 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and nou-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a -unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and j VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts inj elude both units financed by conventional mortgages and^units without mortgages, j Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates" for about 10,000 areas I identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning j January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or | all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building per-| mits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per I month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. 1 21 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES 2 DATE 30-YEAR CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 1 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 •SPREAD BETWEEN - YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 1968 - High Low 1969 - High Low 7.52 6.78 8.62 7.99 7.40 6.75 8.35 7.55 .02 -.27 -.13 -.40 6.79 6.15 8.75 6.91 1.20 .26 1.08 -.13 1970 - High Low 9.29 8.40 8.60 8.30 -.10 — .74 9.11 7.80 .99 .01 8.97 8.90 8.40 8.50 8.45 8.30 -.47 -.45 -.10 8.63 8.34 7.80 —— 7.95 7.75 n.a. n.a. 7.24 7.28 1970 - Oct. Nov. Dec. " 1971 - Jan. Feb. 1 2 3 4 .34 *56 -6o \ ' A ^ n.a. Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Data shown are for 30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, and weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period o f 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based on FHA-field-office opinion'on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring officecities. Beginning with April I960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the series. , See note for Table 1. 22 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms 1 DATE NEW HOMES CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY RATE (PER (YEARS) TIVE (PER CENT) RATE 3 CENT) 2 EXISTSKG HOMES CON- FEES & LOW/ LQAK/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE PRICE LOAN (PER RATIO AMI. RATE TIVE RITY RATIO CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER (PER ($000) (PER CENT) CENT) CENT) 2 4 3 LOAN AMI. ($000) 8.16 8.23 8.29 8.24 8.28 8.31 8.32 8.35 8.31 8.33 8.26 8.20 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.02 0.98 0.99 1.01 0.98 1.03 1.05 0.99 1.07 8.34 8.41 8.47 8.41 8.45 8.48 8.49 8.52 8.48 8.51 8.43 8.38 25.0 24.2 25.0 24.8 25.3 25.1 25.1 24.8 25.2 25.1 25.3 25.8 69.3 71.8 71.1 71.3 71.7 71.3 71.5 71.6 72.7 72.4 72.1 73.8 25.1 24.9 25.1 24.5 25.3 25.6 24.9 25.5 25.3 24.8 25.2 25.8 8.13 8.23 8.26 8.19 8.18 8.19 8.21 8.25 8.27 8.20 8.18 8.12 0.94 1.02 0.98 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.85 8.29 8.41 8.43 8.34 8.34 8.36 8.37 8.41 8.42 8.35 8.32 8.26 22.4 22.4 22.6 22.7 22.8 23.0 23.1 23.1 22.8 22.8 22.7 23.3 20.5 20.4 20.6 20.4 21.1 21.5 21.7 21.4 21.0 20.5 21.1 21.7 8.03 7.75 0.92 1.01 8.18 7.92 25.8 26.3 73.3 74.0 26.4 26.6 7.94 7.67 0.82 0.78 8.08 7.80 23.5 24.0 " 4 1970 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. r 70.3 70.2 70.4 70.2 70.3 71.5 71.5 71.7 71.7 71.5 71.5 71.9 1971 Jan. Feb. 1 , 72.5 73.2 22.0 22.5 Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristies of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exelude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series en conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates—in Table 16. 2 Fees and charges—expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount—include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. 4 Derived by FRB. j | # \ i j | | j <