Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 22, 1971
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res®!® DECOSTBOLLED AFTER SIX MONTIS L.5.8 February 22, 1971 CAPITAL MARKET .OPMENTS Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C« INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market —18^33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.o. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED 1 NEW,ISSUE Aaa WEEK ENDING: 1971 - Feb. 5 12 19 26 Feb. 7.10 7.06 V 7.07 YIELDS BOND BUYER MOODY'S SEASONED SEASONED 20 Aaa BOND INDEX WEEK ENDING: 1971 - 6.91 6.97 7.11 5 12 19 26 5.10 4.75 4.85 5.27 5.05 5.27 n.a. CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME: 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULE!) OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 384 637 522 75 Oe 64 94 76 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END OF WEEK OFFERINGS 343 462 602 325e 72 69 63 n.a. n.a. n. a. n.a. n.a. BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 870 1,037 1,070 n. a. 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and ! bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) j 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. | Note: See footnotes to Table 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATE OFFERED AMOUNT (MIL. 9) 35.0 100.0 50.0 50.0 90.0 30.0 30.0 2/18 2/17 2/17 2/17 2/16 2/11 2/10 DATE | RELEXSED OFFERED Jersey Cent'1 P & L U.S. Plywood Dana Corp. Houston Lt. & Pwr. Wisconsin Tel. X Union Bk. Los Angeles 'Indiana Mich. 8.13 8.00 7.30 7.25 7.25 7.35 6.50 8.00 8.05 7.30 7.15 7.15 7.35 6.35 A A Aaa Aaa 5 10 10 5 5 ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 60% 95% 80% 50% 25% 80% 80% yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs __ M— A 6 yrs CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE ^DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROISSUER COUPON YIELD IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED . AMOUNT Texas P & L Central P & L Georgia P & L 7-1/8 7.00 7.38 INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST I IN SYNDICATE DATE 1 RATING AND J [ORIGINAL COUPON 1 YIELD CALL PROTECTION ISSUER 30.0 36.0 49.5 2/18 2/16 2/19 2/4 2/9 2/16 ! I 6.95 6.95 7.29 +31 +34 +34 Aaa Aa Aa 5 yrs 5 yrs 5 yrs 20% 75% 60% ; CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 1971 - Jan. 22 29 689 856 111 350 22 162 Feb. 5 12 19 858 764 787 227 221 394 308 44 133 All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday, except for latest week which is daily average of three days ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields DATE NEW CORPORATE Aaa1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 1968 - High Low 7.02 (12/13) 6.13 (8/30) 6.55 (1/27) 5.95 (9/13) 5.90 (1/20) 5.18 (8/9) 4.85 (1/26) 4.07 (8/8) 1969 - High Low 8.85 (12/5) 6.90 (2/21) 7.84 (2/26) 6.55 (1/12) 6.97 (12/26) 5.96 (1/24) 6.90 (12/18) 4.82 (1/28) 1970 - H i g h Low 9.30 (6/19) 7.68 (12/18) 8.60 (7/3) 7.48 (12/31) 7.55 (5/29) 6.17 (12/18) 7.12 (5/29) 5.33 (12/11) 1971 - Jan. 22 29 6.98 6.76 7.36 7.19 6.09 6.05 5.13 5.16 Feb. 5 12 19 6.91 6*97 7.11 7.10 7.06 7.07 6.10 6.08 6.14 5.27 5.05 5.27 1 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 3 Weekly average of daily figures. "4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified, by Moody's Investors Service. a Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 2 TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements a (In millions of dollars) * GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE 1 PERIOD STATE A N D LOCAL 2 1971 19/0 1969 1971 1970 1969 2,750e 2,636 1,802 3,539 2,075 2,045 2,098 2,600e 1,340 1,224 1,555 1,262 ; 987 ' 538 ; April May June 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,748 2,076 2,530 1,647 1,004 1,081 1,801 1,110 737 July August September 2,768 2,274 3,518 2,478 1,427 2,427 1,356 1,358 1,758 1,097 : 808 559 5 October November December 3,777 4,182 3,980 1,933 2,375 2,532 1,924 1,748 2,190 1,280 886 816 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,939 6,218 7,354 6,332 6*840 4,119 3,732 4,472 5,862 2,787 3,648 2,464 ; 2,982 , 18,445 27,005 38,944 13,572 19,904 26,744 7,851 12,323 18,185 6,435 ; 8,899 ; 11,8811 January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year | 1 Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd ^3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 6,170 7,037 : Year 1 2 3 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. ' : ) 1 TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON MEMO: AND BONDS ISSUES INCLUDED MFG. PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE STOCK PLACED OFFERED 1,262 1,282 914 1,385 2,138 2,190 1,659 2,576 1970 - I II III IV e/ 7,977 10,468 . 8,560 11,601 4,577 6,994 5,987 7,640 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr, May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,636 1,802 3,539 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,768 2,274 3,518 3,777 4,181 3,979 1,595 1,068 1,914 2,022 3,041 1,931 1,831 1,731 2,425 2,390 3,001 2,436 516 525 266 468 471 __ 1,154 447 701 468" 399 436 1,021 320 617 338 205 389 704 1,083 304 283 898 834 709 1971 - Jan. e/ 2,750 2,000 300 1 450 222 135 83 226 61 33 128 , 89 V 20 26 68 11 4 56 11 159 n. a. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS 922 710 287 737 2,584 2,445 2,314 2,869 2,085 2,812 2,714 2,996 766 2,162 868 1,320 2,543 3,048 2,663 4,417 387 249 286 398 230 82 107 59 121 388 184 165 811 357 1,416 689 817 939 638 682 994 1,006 1,107 1,056 639 540 906 1,109 600 1,103 843 630 1,241 1,101 1,350 955 234 226 306 62 1,747 353 144 279 445 371 693 282 952 680 911 1,310 744 994 1,143 682 838 1,300 1,033 1,687 80 505 465 380 1,400 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. OTHER ISSUERS 1 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) February 1 thru February 19,1971 vOUL'ON KATE OR NET ItfLT.REBT COST OITKRINC. Y11'jLD MOOMY'^ RATtNC Corporates 30.0 1st. Mtg. Texas Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st. Mtg. bds 40.0 Pub. Serv. Co. of Colo. 100.0 Debs. Unlroyal Inc. 40.0 1st. Mtg. Pacific Pwr. & Lt. Co. 65.0 1st. Mtg. Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Co. 60.0 Debs. Penna. Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st. Mtg. 36.0 Central Pwr. & Light Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Debs 500.0 Indiana & Mich. Elec. Co. v Cum pref istk 30.0 Indiana & Mich. Elec. Co. 1st Mtg. 30.0 Reliance Elec. Co. 30.0 Debs. Cap notes 30.0 Union Bank 100.0 Notes Commercial Credit Co. 35.0 1st Mtg. Jersey Cent. Pwr. & Lt. Co. 100.0 U. S. Plywood-Champion Paper ] cS.F. debs . 50.0 Debs. Dana Corp. 49.5 1st. Mtg. Georgia Pwr. Co. 90.0 Debs. Wisconsin Tel. Co. 49.5 1st. Mtg. Houston Lt. 6c Pwr. Co. 25.0 Pref. Stk Jersey Central Pwr. & Lt. Co. Equip Tr Ctfs 18.0 Trailer Train Co. State and Local 55.0 G.O. Hawaii, State of 35.0 Rev. Pittsburgh Stadium Auth., Pa. 25.0 G.O. Virginia Public Sch. Auth. 36.8 G.O. Puerto Rico's 50.0 G.O. Louisiana, State of 100.0 G.O. Port of N. Y. Auth. 51.8 Ge 0. Minnesota 26.2 G.O. Prince Georges Co., Md. 14.2 Bds. Univ. of Louisville K. Y. 10.0 G.O. St. Louis, Mo. 2001 2001 1996 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 7.13 7.25 5.50 7.88 7.38 7.25 7.00 7.00 6.95 7.17 5.50 7.90 7.25 7.15 6.95 7.06 Aaa Aa Ba Baa A Aa Aa Aaa 1978 1996 2001 1977 2001 1996 1996 2001 2007 2001 < 6.50 7.20 7.35 6.88 8.13 8.00 7.30 7.88 7.25 7.25 6.35 7.20 7.35 7.08 8.00 8.05 7.30 7.29 7.15 7.15 A A -— A Baa A Aa Aaa Aaa -- 1972-86 7.88 5.50-6. 80 A 1974-1991 1972-2011 1972-1991 1973-96 1972-92 2006 1973-1991 1972-1996 1975-2003 1972-1991 4.63 6.48 4.53 6.32 4.79 6.08 4.40 4.74 5.71 4.56 3.00-5.,40 3.00-6.,00 2.40-5.,60 2.75-5.,75 2.40-5,.50 5.97 2.50-5,.00 2.60-5 .25 3.30-6.20 2.25-5 .00 A Baa Aa A-l A-l -- Aa A A Aa TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 i ISSUER State and Local TYPE 2 2 3 MATURITY COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST February 1 thru February 19,1971 OFFERING YIELD MOODY 1 S RATING fcontinued^ G.O. California Prince William Co, Va. G.O. Rev. Los Angeles DWAP G.O. Anne Arundel Co., Md. G10. Yonkers >N. Y. G.O. Hartford, Conn. G.O. Alaska Peabody, Mass. G.O. San Antonio, Tex. Rev. Monroe Co., N. Y. G.O. Vermont, State of G.O. Dallas-Ft. Worth Airport, Tex. Rev. New York, State of G.O. Detroit, Mich. \ Rev. Tennessee G.O. Rev. Calif. State Colleges Los Angeles Co. Fid. Ctr. Dlst Bds. California Rev. Centennial Jt. Sch. Bd. Auth. * \ AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 100.0 15.0 18.0 18.0 16.3 14.4 21.3 11.0 10.0 16.2 25.0 75.0 96.0 20.0 66.0 13.1 1980-20 1972-1990 1977-96 1972-2001 1971-88 1972-2009 1972-1992 1990-91 1975-90 1971-2000 1972-90 1979-2000 1972-2001 1971-2002 1972-91 1973-2010 24.0 12.9 1972-01 1973-1999 5.52 4.69 5.47 4.93 4.29 5.76 4.26 6.00 3.90-5.70 2.75-5.00 3.60-5.30 2.80-5.50 2.70-5.00 2.60-5.30 3.00-5.80 2.80-5.20 3.10-4.90 2.20-5.00 2.25-4.65 5.00-6.79 2.25-4.75 2.80-6.00 2.40-4.90 3.00-6.00 Aa A Aa A A Aaa Baa Aa Baa Aaa Aaa Baa Aa A Aa A 4.69 6.13 2.25-5.20 3.50-5.90 Aa Baa 4.77 5.07 — 4.65 -— —— tUghts offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and O v e r ; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. ^ In case of State and local government securities, G.Q. denotes general obligation; !<ev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public -utilities; Rev,-Q.-lit., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (continued) As p f F e b r u a r y 19> ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate M . Lowenstein & Co. Debs Notes Bankers Trust Co. Bonds Central Tel. & Util. Corp. Bonds Northern States Pwr Co. Debs Texas/Eastern Trans Corp. Debs Swift & Co. Debs U.Si Steel Corp. South Carolina Elec & Gas. Co, Bonds Debs Walgreen Co. Debs Hart Schaffner & Marx American Airlines Inc. Ctfs Gen'1 Tel. Co. Florida 1st mtg Southern Natural Gas Co. Debs McCulloch Properties Credit Debs Corp. Notes Microdot Inc. Bonds Beneficial Corp Beneficial Corp Bonds Occidental Petroleum Corp. Conv debs Monumental Corp Notes Alabama Gas Co. 1st mtg Abbott Laboratories Debs Harsco Corp. S.F. debs Maine Yankee Atomic Pwr Co. Bonds Phillips Petroleum Debs *Fruehauf Finance Co. Notes *Fruehauf Finance Co. Debs Gen' 1 Elec. Co. Debs *North American Rockwell Corp. S.F, debs Chemical New York Corp Conv debs Columbia Gas System Inc. Debs Duquesne Light Co. 1st mtg Debs Pacific Tel & Tel Co. 1st mtg Seaboard Coast Line Railroad Philadelphia Elec. Co. Cum pref stk Ralston Purina Co. Debs Bonds Rochester Tel. Co. 1st mtg Burlington Northern, Inc. Bonds Utah Pwr & Light Co. Natural Gas^pipeline Co. of America Debs Bonds Virginia Elec & Pwr Co. Bonds Arkansas Pwr & Light Co. 50.0 February 22 75.0 20.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 150.0 35.0 30.0 35.0 32.0 45.0 50.0 February February February February February February February February February February February February 22 22 23 23 23 23 24 24 25 25 25 25 30.0 20.0 50.0 25.0 100.0 20.0 16.0 60.0 30.0 50.0 200.0 25.0 25.0 200.0 100.0 50.0 75.0 35.0 200.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 30.0 60.0 35.0 February February February February February February February March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 8 9 9 10 11 11 11 16 March March March 17 17 18 40.0 90.0 30.0 1 9 n 11 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (continued) ' . As of 19, AMOUNT . z (MILLIONS APPROXIMATE DATE ISSUER OF OF OFFERING TYPE DOLLARS) Corporate (cont'd) American Can Co. Georgia-Pacific Corp Central Tel & Util Corp Southern Natural Gas Co. *American Metal Climax Inc. *Pet Inc. *Avco Financial Service Inc. *Florida Gas transmission Co. Leviting Furniture Corp First Chicago Corp Dayton Pwr & Light Co. Dayton Pwr & Light Co. American Metal Climax Inc. American Metal Climax Inc. Puerto Rico Telephone Co. Louisiana R*r & Light Evans Products Co. Pacific & Foundry Co. Ohio Power Company New England Tel & Tel Co. S.F. debs Conv debs 1st mtg Debs Debs Debs Debs 1st mtg Com stk Debs Pref stk 1st mtg Notes S.F. debs Debs 1st mtg Debs Debs 1st mtg Debs 75.0 125.0 20.0 50.0 100.0 35.0 50.0 18.0 32.1 150.0 20.0 45.0 , 50.0 50.0 35.0 25.0 50.0 15.0 40.0 200.0 . March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March April 1 May 25 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 As of February 19, 1971 1 ISSUER 1 | TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State and Local Los Angeles Harbor Dept. Calif. New York St. Hsg. Finance Agcy. ! Texas Wtr. Development Bd. Texas, State of j Ohio, State of San Bernardino, Calif. Redevp. Agency West Va., State of Md., State of New York State Dorm. Auth. Roanoke, Va. Milwaukee *Atlanta, Ga. *Hempstead, N. Y. Birmingham Wtr. Works Bd., Ala. Dallas, City of Broward Co. S/D, Fla. San Antonio, Tex. Washington St. Bd. Comm. Coll. E a. -Suffolk Co., N. Y. *Clarkstown, N. Y. *South Carolina, State of Buffalo, N. Y. Cincinnati, Ohio Henderson, Ky. Baltimore, Md. Newark, N . J . 1 Santa Clara Co., Calif Bldg. Auth. Greensboro, N. C. * 1 2 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. 16.0 103.8 25.0 25.0 75.0 13.5 45.0 56.3 29.5 10.1 12.8 23.5 17.9 11.0 27.0 18.6 13.0 21.0 16.6 12.7 38.7 22.1 16.1 76.0 35.2 18.8 17.0 11.0 x Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 24 24 24 25 25 Feb. Feb. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Apr. Apr. 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 9 9 9 10 10 16 16 21 6 Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other, issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of S10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. Table 8 13 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES1- TRADING VOLUME 2 ' DATE NYSE INDEX 3 - D J . INDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 - NYSE AMEX 1968 - High Low 61.27(11/2) 48.66(3/5) 985.21(12/13) 825.13(3/21) 33.24(12/20) 21.97(3/25) 17.1(7/12) 8.3(3/29) .3(1/19) 2.9(3/29) 1969 - High Low 50.32(5/14) 49.31(7/29) 968.85(5/14) 769.93(12/17) 32.91(1/3) 25.02(7/29) 16.5(3/29) 8.6(8/29) 8.0(1/31) 3.6(11/21) 1970 - H i g h Low 52.36(1/5) 37.69(5/26) 842.00(12/29) 631.16(5/26) 27.02(1/8) 19.36(5/27) 18.5(12/4) 7.8(8/14) 7.1(1/2) 1.8(8/14) 1971 - Jan. 29 52.64 868.50 24.32 20.2 5.3 Feb. 5 12 19 53.36 54.16 53.20 876.57 888.83 878.56 24.87 25.37 25.03 21.1 22.1 18.6 6.9 6.7 6.2 NOTES: 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are nor - necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange.. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week, (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time Hours/ Days/ From Through: Day Week January 3, 1969 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 . May 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 - 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4 4-1/2 5 5 5 5 , 27-1/2 hours per week. periods, shown below: Hours/ Week 20 22-1/2 25 14 TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOD CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: TOTAL BROKERS 1 I BANKS 2 CUSTOMERS' NET DEBIT BALANCES NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY BROKERS AND FREE CREDIT DEALERS 3 BALANCES Outstanding: 1969 - Dec. 4,970 2,580 7,550 7,445 2,803 4,642 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,680 4,570 4,520 4,360 4,160 4,150 3,800 3,810 3,920 4,010 2,430 2,370 2,370 2,330 2,290 2,290 2,290 2,300 2,330 2,270 2,320 2,330 7,110 6,940 6,890 6,690 6,450 6,150 6,090 6,110 6,250 6,280 6,330 6,360 6,683 6,562 6,353 5,985 5,433 5,281 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 2,626 2,563 2,441 2,248 2,222 2,009 (5)2,180 2,083 2,236 2,163 2,197 4,057 4,099 3,912 3,724 3,211 3,272 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 4,010 4,030 2,286 Change in Outstanding: 1969 - Dec. -100 60 -40 334 190 144 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -290 -110 - 50 -160 200 - 10 -350 - 10 110 90 2 18 -150 - 40 -440 -170 - 50 -200 240 -300 - 60 - 20 140 30 52 28 -762 -121 -209 -368 -552 -152 -177 -163 - 22 -193 - 26 -213 171 97 153 - 73 34 89 -585 42 -187 -188 -513 - 61 40 40 10 30 60 50 10 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt { until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers' net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New \ork Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether^ regulated or not. | TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET ANNUAL NEW MONEY 2 GROWTH NET FLOW RATE 1 SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS SHARE CAPITAL NET NEW ANNUAL NET GROWTH MONEY 2 FLOW RATE 1 TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Adjusted 1968 19#/ 1969 - Nov. Dec. 1970 - Jan. 1970 - Nov. , Dec X 1971 - J a n . ' 4,203 2,549 4,466 7.0 4.0 6.7 257 571 -114 497 1,167 750 —— —— - 1,143 -763 936 7,432 4,019 11,083 6.0 3.1 8.2 2,738 -1,003 5,288 11,635 6,568 15,549 6.3 3.4 7.7 3,881 -1,766 6,224 179 -237 -240 226 1,069 -1,371 __ 207 -387 -1,418 483 1,640 -1,485 —* 386 -624 -1,658 388 376 n. a. 1,098 2,730 2,460 —— 1,044 1,154 n.a. 1,595 3,897 3,210 —— —m — __ — 1,432 1,530 H# 3* " Seasonally Adjusted 1970 - Aug. Sept, Oct. Nov. Dep. 1971 - J a n J 1 2 3 268 437 444 531 822 791 4.7 7.6 7.7 9.1 14.1 13.4 — — --— — 785 1,393 1,399 1,092 1,755 3,256 6.8 11.9 11.9 9.2 14.6 26.8 __ -- . , —— ——— . 1,053 1,830 1,843 1,623 2,577 4,047 6.1 10.5 10.5 9.2 14.4 22.4 ** — mm — Annual growth rate tor monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L: insured associations' only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Hanks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. —— TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions . / DATE - Dec. 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. TOTAL 1 OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS 1 NET CHANGE ALL MUTUAL ALL SAVINGS SAVINGS & TOTAL SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS ASSOCIATIONS y (Billions of Dollars, S<iasonally Adjusted) 1/ MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) 8.4 5.8 2.6 -.25 -.12 -.13 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.2 8.6 r8.8 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.8 6.1 6.5 6.8 r7.1 7.4 7.5 7.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 -.17 -.30 -.26 .13 .24 .22 .38 .24 .24 .32 .34 .55 -.22 -.23 -.21 .26 .38 .30 .42 .33 .39 .39 .33 .32 .04 -.07 -.05 -.13 -.14 -.09 -.04 -.08 " -.10 -.06 -.07 -.22 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. 17 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 DATE TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS LIFE MUTUAL [SAVINGS &) SAVINGS COMMERCIAL LOAN 1 INSURANCE BANKS BANKS ] ASSOC. j COMPANIES FXMA-GNMA Not Seasonally Adiusted 18,105 20,016 23,781 24,051 15,782 18,219 21,273 19,676 4,705 4,639 6,677 5,535 2,720 3,153 2,787 2,682 3,761 7,520 9,350 9,407 4,596 2,907 2,459 2,052 2,323 1,797 2,508: 4,375 1969 - Nov. - Dec. 1,636 2,120 1,042 1,475 300 200 151 325 450 533 141 417 594 645. 1970 - Jan. 1,041 437 50 38 136 127 n.a. n.a. 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 - Nov. - Dec. 1971 - Jan. 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. MayJune July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1971 - Jan. 1 rl,933 n.a. 300 200 183 254 1,322 1,664 n.a. 100 n.a. n.a. 1,469 1,542 1,330 1,351 1,485 1,749 2,083 1,817 2,091 2,074 r2,187 n.a. 919 1,044 809 844 1,050 1,281 1,575 1,409 1,727 1,754 1,958 n.a. 231 199 140 76 65 81 165 168 228 195 224 312 # cle n.a. 283 r2,185 n.a. n.a. „ Seasonally Adlusted 452 25 482 143 322 186 385 188 631 155 201 777 142 1,055 983 175 245 1,103 1,189 170 1,427 176 1,702 208 n.a. 213 211 220 161 195 199 222 213 83 151 200 131 604 r253 148 550 498 521 507 435 468 508* 408 364 320 r229100 n.a. Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. .Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately bv National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life^ Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1969. 18 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding 1 Billions of dollars, SAAR QUARTER i TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 3 1- to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM 1966 - II IV 18.6 15.1 10.9 9.1 8.3 7.0 2.6 2.1 5.5 4.1 8.2 6.0 2.2 1.8 j 1967 - I 15.9 20.7 26.6 27.3 10.3 13.9 19.2 19.8 7.0 10.5 15.3 16.0 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.8 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.4 1.8 1-8 2.5 S | ; 2., J 1968 - I 15 ~ III. IV- 27.7 26.2 26.0 29.6 19.0 18.2 17.7 20.2 15.8 15.0 14.1 16.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 6.4 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.4 9.2 10.2 11.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 i.8 * ' % ; 1969 - I p IIp IIIp IV p 31.3 28.9 26.5 30.4 29.0 21.5 19.3 18.3 18.6 16.8 14.6 13.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 6.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2-2 T 20.3 23.4 26.9 13.8 16.9 20.9 8.8 11.5 15.0 5.0 5.4 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.2 9.8 9.8 10.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 T Z III IV 1970 - I p I5> IIIp IV p ; ' 1.8# 1.4 j| - l Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance f Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, NaI tional Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agri- I culture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration,? Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and mul-tifamily mortgage debt combined. TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly " A u c t i o n " Results IMPLICIT YIELD 2 (per cent) COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEAR 1 1 -YEARN 9090TOTAL TOTAL 66& OVER MONTH & OVER OFFERED DAY DAY MONTH ;; WEKK ENDED 1970 - Oct. 5 19 267.5 352.5 149.8 149.7 62.2 53.2 73.1 88.1 14.5 8.4 8.90 8.89 8.92 8.90 8.97 8.95 Nov. 2 16 341.5 222.4 181.2 100.1 170.3 75.8 62.4 79.4 18.7 15.1 8.90 8.89 8.93 8.90 8.93 8.92 Dec. 7 14 28 166.5 165.5 60.6 127.8 124.7 48.1 54.7 42.1 17.2 60.9 72.1 28.9 12.2 - 10.5 3.0 8.56 8.51 8.41 8.54 8.43 8.36 8.57 8.47 8.40 1971 - Jan. 25 44.6 35.5 9.9 25.6 7.83 7.96 Feb. 8 23.4 23.3 10.6 12.7 7.67 7.67 — — Note: Under'the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time- within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and. occupancy". 1 2 \ For "proposed construction" of new homes only. Average 'secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee. and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 1 r> years for '30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 38 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. Prior to August 10, 1970 the servicing fee was 50 basis points. 20 TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits ! DATE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE , TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MOREj 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. r/ Dec. r/ 1,059 1,306 11,392 '1,224 ; 1,242 1,393 ! 1,603 1,425 1,509 j1,583 1,693 |2,028 1971 - Jan. £ / 11,701 577 725 708 697 728 835 827 838 881 890 934 1,228 482 581 684 527 514 558 776 587 627 693 759 800 931 770 1 | i | STARTS TOTAL UNADJUSTED TYPE OF FINANCING FHA 1 VA OTHER BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE) 2 66.4 74.3 114.7 128.4 125.0 135.2 140.8 128.7 130.9 140.9 126.9 119.9 16.5 3.4 17.5 3.9 25.2 4.8 32.4 ^5.4 37.1 5.2 40.7 5.1 43.4 5.3 34.1 5.6 34.3 5.3 40.4 5.8 33.7 5.5 63.2 5.7 46.5 52.9 84.7 90.6 80.8 89.4 92.1 87.7 91.3 94.7 87.2 51.0 1,013 1,137 1,099 1,263 1,321 1,306 1,275 1,326 1,371 1,521 1,487 1,768 109.1 n.a. n.a. 1,595 4.6 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and nou-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both unit^finaneed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning^ January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building per mits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. 21 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA . MORTGAGES 2 DATE 30-YEAR CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 1 NEW SPREAD BE- [ TWEEN YIELDS Aaa CORPORATE ON CONV. & BONDS FHA MORT4 GAGES SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 1967 - High - Low 1968 - High Low 1969 - High Low 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 8.62 7.99 6.70 6.40 7.40 6.75 8.35 7.55 .11 -.12 .02 -.27 -.13 -.40 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 8.75 6.91 1970 - High Low 9.29 8.40 8.60 8.30 --.10 -.74 9.11 7.80 .99 .01 1970 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 9.01 8.97 8.90 8.40 8.50 8.50 8.45 8.30 -.51 -.47 -.45 -.10 8.42 8.63 8.34 7.80 .59 .34 .56 .60 1971 - Jan. 1 2 3 4 7.95 * 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 1.08 -.13 7.24 Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are . much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. . Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Data shown are for 30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, and weighted by probablb volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjust-: ment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on con ventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring officecities. Beginning with April 1960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the series. See note for Table 1. 22 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms NEW HOMES CON- FEES & i I LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC-I MATURITY I PRICE TIVE i (YEARS) 1 RATIO (PER RATE | (PER CENT) RATE | (PER 3 / ' CENT) CENT) 2 LOAN AMT. ($000) 4 1 EXISTING HOMES CON- FEES & LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO (PER CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 1969 1.06 8.25 25.4 71.9 25.0 8.08 0.93 8.24 22.9 8.16 1.08 1.09 8.34 8.41 8.47 8.40 8.45 8.48 8.49 8.52 8.48 8.51 8.43 8.37 25.0 24.2 25.0 24.8 25.3 25.1 25.1 24.8 69.3 71.8 71.1 71.1 71.7 71.3 71.5 71.6 72.7 72.4 72.1 74.0 25.1 24.9 25.1 24.5 25.3 25.6 24.9 25.5 25.3 24.8 8.13 8.23 0.94 8.23 8.29 8.23 1.02 8.29 8.41 8.43 8.35 8.34 8.36 8.37 8.41 8.42 8.35 8.32 22.4 22.4 Dec. 70.6 20. 1970 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. r/ Dec. 8.28 8.31 8.32 8.35 8.31 8.33 8.26 8.20 1.11 1.02 0.98 0.99 1.01 0.98 1.03 1.05 0.99 1.07 25.2 25.1 25.3 25.9 25.2 25.7 8.26 8.20 8.18 8.19 8.21 8.25 8.27 8.20 8.18 8.12 0.98 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.84 8.26 70.3 70.2 22.6 70.4 22.8 70.4 22.8 70.3 23.0 71.5 71.5 • 71.7 22.8 71.7 22.8 71.5 22.8 71.5 23.3 71.9 20.5 20.4 20.6 20.4 21.1 21.5 21.7 21.4 21.0 20.5 21.1 ; 21.8 i Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide addled income to the lender and-are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. Derived by FRB.