Prices Received and Paid, by Farmers

Name: Prices Received and Paid, by Farmers
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Keywords: Economic Data, Economic indicators, Economic conditions, United States

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The following is plain-text output generated by Optical Character Recognition. 108th Congress 2d Session Economic Indicators JUNE 2004 Includes data available as of July Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE Created pursuant to Sec 5 a of Public Law 304 79th Cong ROBERT F BENNETT Utah Chairman JIM SAXTON New Jersey Vice Chairman SENATE SAM BROWNBACK Kansas JEFF SESSIONS Alabama JOHN SUNUNU New Hampshire LAMAR ALEXANDER Tennessee SUSAN M COLLINS Maine JACK REED Rhode Island EDWARD M KENNEDY Massachusetts PAUL S SARBANES Maryland JEFF BINGAMAN New Mexico HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES PAUL RYAN Wisconsin JENNIFER DUNN Washington PHIL ENGLISH Pennsylvania ADAM H PUTNAM Florida RON PAUL Texas PETE STARK California CAROLYN B MALONEY New York MELVIN L WATT North Carolina BARON P HILL Indiana COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS N GREGORY MANKIW Chairman HARVEY S ROSEN Member KRISTIN J FORBES Member PUBLIC LAW 120 81ST CONGRESS CHAPTER 237 1ST SESSION JOINT RESOLUTION S J Res 55 To print the monthly publication entitled Economic Indicators Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled Economic Indicators and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate the Clerk Sergeant at Arms and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House and the Congressional Library seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public Approved June Charts prepared by the Art Production Section Design and Graphics Branch Office of the Secretary Department of Commerce Economic Indicators published monthly is available at 3 00 a single copy 3 75 foreign or by subscription at 33 00 per year 41 25 for foreign mailing from SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON D C 20402 For sale by the U S Government Printing Office Superintendent of Documents Mail Stop SSOP Washington DC ii TOTAL OUTPUT INCOME AND SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT In the first quarter of 2004 according to revised estimates current dollar gross domestic product GDP rose 6 9 percent annual rate real GDP GDP in chained 2000 dollars rose 3 9 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 2 9 percent Billions of current dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Period III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r GDP Exports and imports of goods and services Personal Gross Gross conprivate domestic sumption domestic product expendi investtures ment Net exports Exports Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal Imports Total Total less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases 1 Addendum Gross national product Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Billions of chained 2000 dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Gross private domestic investment Period III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV Ir Gross domestic product Exports and imports of goods and services Personal conNonresi Resi Change sumption dential dential in priexpendifixed fixed vate tures invest invest invenment ment tories Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services NOTE Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP the chained 2000 dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates Total National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases 1 Addendum Gross national product Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Index numbers quarterly data are seasonally adjusted Personal consumption expenditures Period III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Gross domestic product Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis Gross private domestic investment Services Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of Government consumption expenditures goods and services and gross investment Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES INDEXES AND PERCENT CHANGES Quarterly data are seasonally adjusted Percent change from preceding period 1 Index numbers Real GDP chain type quantity index Period I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Quarterly GDP chain type price index percent changes are at annual rates GDP implicit price deflator GDP current dollars Real GDP chain type quantity index GDP chain type price index GDP implicit price deflator Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS GROSS VALUE ADDED AND PRICE COSTS AND PROFITS Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Price per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business dollars 1 2 Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business billions of dollars 1 Unit nonlabor cost Period Current dollars I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Chained 2000 dollars Total Compensation of employees unit labor cost Estimates for nonfinancial corporate business for 2000 and earlier periods are based on the Standard Industrial Classification SIC later estimates are based on the North American Industry Classification System NAICS 2 The implicit price deflator for gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business divided by 100 3 Less subsidies plus business current transfer payments Total Consumption of fixed capital Taxes on production and imports 3 Net interest and miscellaneous payments Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 4 Total Taxes on corporate income Profits after tax Unit profits from current production inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis 5 With 3 NATIONAL INCOME Billions of dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Proprietors income 1 Period III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r With National income Compensation of employees Farm Nonfarm Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest and miscellaneous pay ments Taxes on production and imports Less Subsidies Busness current transfer payments Current surplus of government enterprises Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis REAL PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES Billions of chained 2000 dollars except as noted quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Durable goods Period III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Nondurable goods Other Total nondurable goods Food Includes other items not shown separately NOTE Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP the chained 2000 dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates 4 Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Services Fuel oil and coal Other Total services Housing Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis Medical care Retail sales of new passenger cars and light trucks millions of units SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose 55 9 billion annual rate in May following an increase of 61 1 billion in April Wages and salaries rose 35 3 billion in May following an increase of 32 2 billion in April Billions of dollars monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Compensation of employees received Period May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May p 1 With 2 With Total personal income Total Wage and salary disbursements inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments capital consumption adjustment mainly of social insurance benefits to persons Supplements to wages and salaries Proprietors income 1 Farm Nonfarm Personal income receipts on assets Rental income of persons Total Personal interest income Personal dividend income Personal current transfer receipts Less Contributions for government social insurance Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis 3 Consists 5 DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME According to revised estimates per capita disposable personal income in chained 2000 dollars rose at an annual rate of 4 0 percent in the first quarter of 2004 Period Personal income Less Personal current taxes Equals Disposable personal income Less Personal outlays 1 Equals Personal saving Disposable personal income in billions of chained 2000 dollars Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars Chained 2000 dollars Per capita personal consumption expenditures Current dollars Chained 2000 dollars Dollars Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population including Armed Forces overseas thousands 2 Percent Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2000 III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Includes personal consumption expenditures personal interest payments nonmortgage and personal current transfer payments 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data which are averages for the period Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census FARM INCOME According to the preliminary forecast for 2004 gross farm income is forecast at 255 1 billion and net farm income at 47 6 billion Billions of dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Income of farm operators from farming Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total 1 Total p I II III IV I II III IV I p II p III p IV p Livestock and products Cash marketing receipts Government payments value of changes in inventories other farm related cash income and nonmoney income produced by farms including imputed rent of operator residences 2 Crop receipts include proceeds received from commodities placed under Commodity Credit Corporation loans Crops Value of inventory changes Direct Government payments Production expenses Net farm income Physical changes in beginning and ending year inventories of crop and livestock commodities valued at weighted average market prices during the period 4 Includes only Government payments made directly to farmers Note Data for 2003 and 2004 are forecast Source Department of Agriculture 7 CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 2004 according to revised estimates corporate profits before tax fell 25 4 billion annual rate and profits after tax fell 26 0 billion Billions of dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Period Profits before tax Nonfinancial Total 2 Total Financial Total 3 Manufacturing Utilities Wholesale Retail Taxes on corporate income Total Net dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r See p 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments rest of the world not shown separately industries not shown separately 2 Includes 3 Includes 8 4 Data by industry beginning 1998 are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System NAICS and are not directly comparable with data for prior years shown which are based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification SIC Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis REAL GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT In the first quarter of 2004 according to revised estimates nonresidential fixed investment in chained 2000 dollars rose 15 2 billion annual rate and residential investment rose 5 9 billion There was an increase of 25 5 billion in inventories following an increase of 9 0 billion in the fourth quarter Billions of chained 2000 dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Fixed investment Period Gross private domestic investment Change in private inventories Nonresidential Total Total Equipment and software Residential Structures Total Nonfarm III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r NOTE See p 10 for further detail on fixed investment by type Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP the chained 2000 dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis 9 REAL PRIVATE FIXED INVESTMENT BY TYPE Billions of chained 2000 dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Nonresidential Residential Equipment and software Period Total fixed investment Structures Information processing equipment and software Total nonresidential Structures Transportation equipment Other equipment Total residential Total 2 Single family Other Industrial equipment Total Computers and peripheral equipment 1 Software Total III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r For details on this component see Survey of Current Business Tables for growth rates 5 3 2 for contributions and 5 3 3 for quantity indexes 2 Includes other items not shown separately Equipment NOTE Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP the chained 2000 dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis BUSINESS INVESTMENT Billions of dollars Capital expenditures By industry Period Total capital expenditures Total by industry Forestry fishing Con Manuand Min Utili strucfacagriing ties turtion culing tural services ProFor Real fesscomTransesional Health panies portaFiWhole Retail tion Infor nance tate scien care Other withand tific and out sale and maand 1 and emtrade trade waretion insur rental tech social and ployhousance leas nical assistance ees ing ing services For companies with employees Includes the following industries Management of companies and enterprises administrative and support and waste management educational services arts entertainment and recreation accommodation and food services and other services except public administration Also includes an item for structure and equipment expenditures serving multiple industry categories 10 NOTE Data from Annual Capital Expenditures Industry data are based on the North American Industry Classification System NAICS 1997 Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE In June employment rose by 259 000 and unemployment rose by Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over except as noted monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA Civilian employment Period June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Civilian noninstitutional population NSA Civilian labor force Percent 1 Unemployment Total Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over Both sexes 16 19 years Civilian labor force or employment as percent of civilian noninstitutional population and unemployment as percent of civilian labor force 2 Data beginning January 1994 reflect a major redesign of the household survey questionnaire 3 Not strictly comparable with earlier data Total Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over Both sexes 16 19 years Not in labor force Labor force participation rate Employment population ratio Unemployment rate NOTE Beginning January 2004 data reflect revised population controls and are not strictly comparable with earlier data See Employment and Earnings for details on breaks in series Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In June the unemployment rate was unchanged from May at 5 6 percent Monthly data seasonally adjusted Unemployment rate percent of civilian labor force in group By race or ethnicity 1 By sex and age Period All civilian workers Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over Both sexes 16 19 years White By selected groups Black or African American Asian NSA Hispanic or Latino ethnicity Married men spouse present Women who maintain families NSA Full time workers Part time workers June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Beginning in 2003 persons who selected this race group only Prior to 2003 persons who reported more than one race were included in the group they identified as the main race Persons whose ethnicity is identified as Hispanic or Latino may be of any race 2 See footnote 2 p NOTE Data relate to persons age 16 years and over Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In June the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell the percentages for 5 14 weeks and for 15 26 weeks rose The mean duration of unemployment fell to 19 9 weeks and the median duration rose to 10 8 weeks Monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment thousands Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5 14 weeks weeks Reason for unemployment percent distribution State programs Number of weeks 27 weeks and over Average mean Median Job losers 1 Job leavers Reentrants New entrants Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment all regular programs unadjusted 2 Weekly average thousands June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Beginning January 1994 job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs 2 Includes State 50 States District of Columbia Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands ex servicemen UCX and Federal UCFE Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs Does not include Railroad RR program Federal supplemental compensation or Emergency Unemployment Compensation programs 3 See footnote 2 p r 342 p NOTE Data relate to persons age 16 years and over except for insured unemployment and initial claims Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose by 112 000 in June Thousands of wage and salary workers 1 monthly data seasonally adjusted Goods producing industries Period Total nonagricultural employment Total 2 Construction Manufacturing Service providing industries Total Trade transportation and utilities Total June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr r May r June p Data from the establishment survey Includes all full and part time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period that includes the 12th of the month Excludes proprietors self employed persons unpaid family workers and private household workers Data from the household survey shown on p 11 include those workers and also count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes bad weather etc even if they are not paid for the time off In the series shown here persons who work at more than one job are counted each time they appear on a payroll in contrast to the series shown on p 11 where persons are counted only once as employed unemployed or not in the labor force See Employment and Earnings for details 14 Retail trade Financial activities Profes Educasional tion Leisure and and and busihealth hospiness services tality services Other services 4 Government Total Federal Includes natural resources and mining not shown separately 3 Includes wholesale trade transportation and warehousing and utilities not shown separately 4 Other services and information Note Data classified by industry based on the 2002 North American Industry Classification System NAICS For details see Employment and Earnings June 2003 Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS HOURLY EARNINGS AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES For production or nonsupervisory workers monthly data seasonally adjusted Average weekly hours Average gross hourly earnings Manufacturing Period May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr r May r June p Total private nonagricultural Total Average gross weekly earnings Total private nonagricultural 1 Overtime Current dollars dollars Total private nonagricultural 1 Manufacturing Current dollars Also includes other private industry groups shown on p 14 2 Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers CPI W on a base Percent change from a year earlier total private nonagricultural Current dollars 1982 dollars 2 Manufacturing Construction Retail trade Current dollars dollars Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX PRIVATE INDUSTRY Index June Percent change from 3 months earlier Period Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries 12 months earlier Benefits 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Not seasonally adjusted Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Sept Dec Mar June Sept Dec Mar June Sept Dec Mar June Sept Dec Mar Seasonally adjusted 1 Employer costs for employee benefits NOTE The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries Not seasonally adjusted Data exclude farm and household workers Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Output 1 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Hours of all persons 2 Business sector Compensation per hour 3 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Indexes quarterly data seasonally adjusted I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I Percent change quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I Output refers to real gross domestic product originating in the sector 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers Estimates based primarily on establishment data 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans Also includes an estimate of wages salaries and supplemental payments for the self employed 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers CPI U for recent quarters The trend from is based on the consumer price index research series CPI U RS 5 Current dollar gross domestic output divided by the output index NOTE Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here Data based on GDP data released on May Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in May Monthly data seasonally adjusted Total industrial production 1 Percent Period Index From preceding month Industry production indexes change 2 From year earlier Capacity utilization rate output as percent of capacity 1 Manufacturing Total 1 Durable Nondurable Other nonNAICS 1 Mining Utilities Total industry Total manufacturing May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb r Mar r Apr r May p Total industry and total manufacturing series include manufacturing as defined in the North American Industry Classification System NAICS plus those industries logging and newspaper periodical book and directory publishing that have traditionally been included in manufacturing 2 Percent changes based on unrounded indexes Note Data based on the North American Industry Classification System NAICS except series as defined in footnote 1 Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES monthly data seasonally adjusted Products and nonindustrial supplies Final products Consumer goods Equipment Durable goods Business equipment Period Total Total Materials Nonindustrial supplies Nondurable goods Total 1 Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total 1 Energy May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb r Mar r Apr r May p Includes other items not shown separately monthly data seasonally adjusted Durable manufactures Primary metal Period Total Iron and steel products Nondurable manufactures Computer and electronic products Fabricated metal products Machinery Total Selected hightechnology 1 Transportation equipment Total Motor vehicles and parts Apparel Printing and support Chemical Food May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb r Mar r Apr r May p Computers and office equipment communications equipment and semiconductors and related electronic components 18 Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System NEW CONSTRUCTION Billions of dollars monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total Total 1 Federal and State and local Nonresidential New housing Total Lodging Commercial including farm Office Manufacturing Other r r r r May r June r July r Aug r Sept r Oct r Nov r Dec r Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May p Includes residential improvements not shown separately 2 Includes health care educational communication and power among other categories not shown separately NOTE Data reflect annual revisions released on July Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES Thousands of units or houses except as noted New private housing units Period Total New private houses Units started by type of structure unit units 1 5 units or more Units authorized Units completed Houses sold Houses for sale at end of period 2 Vacancy rate for rental housing units percent Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2003 May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar r Apr r May p Derived seasonally adjusted monthly data for 2 4 housing units started are no longer published 2 Seasonally adjusted 3 Revised series Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter NOTE Units authorized are for 19 000 places r 1 165 r Beginning 1999 housing starts completions and sales are not directly comparable with earlier data due to new estimation methods Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES Manufacturing and Trade In April according to preliminary estimates manufacturing and trade sales were about unchanged and inventories rose 6 9 billion According to advance estimates retail sales rose 1 3 percent in May Retail and food services sales rose 1 2 percent Millions of dollars except ratios seasonally adjusted except as noted Manufacturing and trade 1 Period Sales Apr r May r June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Inventories Inventorysales ratio Wholesale Sales 2 Inventories Retail Inventory sales ratio Jan Feb r Mar p Apr May p See page 21 for manufacturing data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month 3 Seasonally adjusted end of period 2 Annual 20 4 Annual Sales 2 Inventories Inventory sales ratio 4 Retail and food services sales r r data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census MANUFACTURERS SHIPMENTS INVENTORIES AND ORDERS In May manufacturers shipments inventories and unfilled orders rose new orders fell Manufacturers shipments 1 Manufacturers inventories 2 Manufacturers new orders 1 Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries nondefense Manufacturers unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers inventory shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars seasonally adjusted except as noted May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr r May p Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month Shipments are the same as sales 2 Seasonally adjusted end of period 3 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios NOTE Manufacturers nondurable new orders not shown are the same as nondurable shipments Also there are no unfilled nondurable orders data shown for total unfilled orders are durable unfilled orders Total and durable shipments and inventories include data on semiconductors new and unfilled orders do not Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES The producer price index for all finished goods rose 0 8 percent in May Prices of finished consumer foods rose 1 5 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0 8 percent Capital equipment prices rose 0 3 percent monthly data seasonally adjusted Finished goods Period Total finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Consumer foods Consumer goods Total Total May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan r Feb Mar Apr May Intermediate Intermediate materials materials for food manufacturing and feeds Durable Nondurable Capital equipment Total finished consumer goods Crude materials Total Foods and feeds 1 Other Total Foodstuffs and feedstuffs Other Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics CONSUMER PRICES ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In May the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0 6 percent both seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted The index was 3 1 percent above its year earlier level except as noted monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted All items 1 Housing Transportation Shelter Period Not season Seasonally ally adjust adjusted ed NSA Food Total 1 Rent of primary residence Total 1 Owners equivalent rent Fuels and utilities Apparel Total 1 New cars Motor fuel Medical care Energy 2 All items less food and energy Rel imp May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Includes items not shown separately fuels gas piped electricity fuel oil etc and motor fuel Motor oil coolant etc excluded beginning 1983 2 Household 3 Relative importance December 2003 Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS Percent change from preceding period monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA Change from preceding period Period Change from 3 months earlier annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Change from 6 months earlier annual rate Change from year earlier total finished goods NSA Consumer goods Total finished goods Foods Excluding foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Foods Excluding foods Capital equipment r r r r Change Dec to Dec NSA Change month to month May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan r Feb Mar Apr May r r Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES ALL URBAN CONSUMERS Percent change from preceding period monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA Housing Transportation Shelter Period All items 1 Food Total 1 Total 1 Rent of Ownpriers mary equivaresilent dence rent Fuels and utilities Apparel Total 1 New cars Motor fuel Medical care Energy 2 All items less food and energy Addendum All items percent change annual rate From previous quarter 3 From From 3 6 months months earlier earlier From year earlier NSA Change December to December NSA Change month to month 2003 May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Includes items not shown separately fuels gas piped electricity fuel oil etc and motor fuel Motor oil coolant etc excluded beginning 1983 2 Household Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter Source Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In June prices received by farmers were unchanged while prices paid by farmers rose 0 7 percent Data are not seasonally adjusted not seasonally adjusted Prices received by farmers Period All farm products Prices paid by farmers Livestock and products Crops All commodities services interest taxes and wage rates 1 Production items interest taxes and wage rates Production items Ratio June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Mayr June Includes items not shown separately 2 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid interest taxes and wage rates NOTE The official indexes are published on a base as required by law The indexes have been converted to a base to facilitate comparison with other indexes Source Department of Agriculture 25 MONEY CREDIT AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK AND DEBT MEASURES In May M2 and M3 rose Averages of daily figures except debt end of period basis billions of dollars seasonally adjusted M1 M2 M3 Debt Sum of currency demand deposits travelers checks and other checkable deposits OCDs M1 plus retail MMMF balances savings deposits including MMDAs and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits RPs Eurodollars and institutional MMMF balances Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors1 Dec Dec Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r May r June r July r Aug r Sept r Oct r Nov r Dec r Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May Period Quarterly data shown in last month of quarter End of year data are for fourth quarter Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U S Government State and local governments and private nonfinancial sectors data from flow of funds accounts 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate 26 Percent change From year or 6 months earlier2 M1 r M2 M3 From previous period3 Debt r Annual changes are from fourth quarter to fourth quarter Quarterly changes are from previous quarter at an annual rate NOTE See p 27 for components Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK Averages of daily figures billions of dollars seasonally adjusted Period Currency Nonbank travelers checks Demand deposits Savings deposits including money market deposit accounts MMDAs Other checkable deposits OCDs Small denomination time deposits 1 Money market mutual fund balances Large denomination time deposits 1 Institutional Retail Overnight and term Overnight repurand term chase Euroagreedollars ments net RPs net Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec r Dec r r 517 8 r 592 6 r 733 3 r 833 2 r 925 0 r r May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r r r 261 3 r Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than and more than respectively r 880 1 r 868 2 r 864 3 r 852 5 r 825 2 r 813 7 r 262 5 r 269 8 r 279 1 r 280 1 r 286 8 r 286 4 r 288 7 Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE Averages of daily figures 1 millions of dollars seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Period Total Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve NSA Reserves of depository institutions Nonborrowed 3 Required Monetary base Excess NSA Total Primary Secondary Seasonal Adjustment r May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r 712 123 r 715 834 r 718 967 r Jan Feb Mar Apr May r Data are prorated averages of biweekly maintenance period averages of daily figures Reserves and monetary base incorporate adjustments for discontinuities or breaks associated with changes in reserve requirements 2 Seasonally adjusted break adjusted required reserves plus unadjusted excess reserves r 724 094 r 725 672 r Seasonally adjusted break adjusted total reserves less unadjusted total borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve 4 Discontinued after January Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 27 BANK CREDIT AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0 5 percent in May commercial and industrial loans fell 0 2 percent Billions of dollars seasonally adjusted 1 Securities in bank credit Period Dec Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r Dec r May r June r July r Aug r Sept r Oct r Nov r Dec r Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May Total bank credit Total securities U S Treasury and agency securities Loans and leases in bank credit Real estate CommerOther Total loans cial and securities and leases 2 industrial Data are prorated averages of Wednesday values for domestically chartered commercial banks branches and agencies of foreign banks New York State investment companies through September 1996 and Edge Act and agreement corporations Data are adjusted for breaks caused by reclassifications of assets and liabilities Total Revolving home equity Consumer Security Other Other Excludes Federal funds sold to reverse repurchase agreements RPs with and loans to commercial banks in the United States Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS Billions of dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Sources Uses External Net increase in liabilities Funds raised in markets Period Total 1994 r 1995 r 1996 r 1997 r 1998 r 1999 r 2000 r 2001 r 2002 r 2003 r I r II r III r IV r I r II r III r IV r I p Internal Credit market instruments Total Capital expenditures 3 Total Total net funds raised Net new equity issues Total Profits before tax book less taxes on corporate income less net dividends plus capital consumption allowance consumption of fixed capital plus capital consumption adjustment foreign earnings retained abroad inventory valuation adjustment and net capital transfers 2 Includes trade payables taxes payable and miscellaneous liabilities foreign direct investment in the U S pension fund contributions payable and other Securities and mortgages Loans and shortterm paper Other Increase in financial assets Discrepancy sources less uses Nonresidential fixed investment plus residential fixed investment inventory change with inventory valuation adjustment and nonproduced nonfinancial assets Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System CONSUMER CREDIT Billions of dollars seasonally adjusted Consumer credit outstanding end of period Period Total Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Revolving Nonrevolving 2 Net change in consumer credit outstanding 1 Total Revolving Nonrevolving Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr p Change based on data in billions of dollars as shown here For year end data change from preceding year end for monthly data change from preceding month 2 Includes automobile loans and all other loans not included in revolving credit such as loans for mobile homes education boats trailers or vacations These loans may be secured or unsecured Note Effective October 7 2003 data beginning 1977 include student loans extended by the Federal Government and by SLM Holding Corporation the parent company of Sallie Mae See Federal Reserve release G 19 Consumer Credit for details Source Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates rose in June Percent per annum U S Treasury security yields Constant Period June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Week ended 2004 June July Bank discount 3 month bills new issues 1 3 year maturities 2 10 year 30 year Highgrade municipal bonds Standard Poor s 3 Corporate Aaa bonds Moody s 30 Primary credit basis on actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures 4 Discount window borrowing for primary credit and discount rate adjustment credit The rate for primary credit replaced the rate for adjustment credit under an amendment to the Federal Reserve Board s Regulation A effective January Average effective rate for year rate in effect at end of month or week 2 Yields Discount window N Y F R Bank 4 5 6 Daily Discount rate Prime rate charged by banks 5 Federal funds rate 6 Newhome mortgage yields FHFB effective rate weighted average of rates on brokered trades 7 Effective rate in the primary market on conventional mortgages reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed on the average repayment at end of 10 years Series no longer published or discontinued Sources Department of the Treasury Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Federal Housing Finance Board Moody s Investors Service and Standard Poor s COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices rose in June Common stock prices 1 Period New York Stock Exchange indexes 2 3 December Dow Jones industrial average 4 Common stock yields percent 7 Standard Poor s composite index Nasdaq composite index Feb Dividendprice ratio Earningsprice ratio Composite Financial Energy Health Care June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Week ended 2004 June July Average of daily closing prices all the stocks nearly 3 000 listed on the NYSE January the NYSE relaunched the composite index with changes in methodology definitions and based on Dec Effective January 8 2004 new indexes for Financial Energy and Health Care were introduced by the NYSE Previous indexes shown for Industrial Transportation Utility and Finance were discontinued 4 Includes 30 stocks 2 Includes 3 Effective 5 Includes 500 stocks over 5 000 stocks Poor s series Dividend price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices Earnings price ratios based on prices at end of quarter 6 Includes 7 Standard Sources New York Stock Exchange Dow Jones Company Inc Standard Poor s and Nasdaq Stock Market 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS OUTLAYS AND DEBT In the first 8 months of fiscal 2004 there was a deficit of 344 3 billion compared with a deficit of 290 9 billion a year earlier Billions of dollars Total On budget Off budget Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit Receipts Fiscal year or period estimates Cumulative total first 8 months 1 Fiscal year Fiscal year Data from current issue Monthly Treasury Statement NOTE Data except as noted are from Budget of the United States Government Fiscal Year 2005 issued February Outlays Surplus or deficit Federal debt end of period Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit Gross Federal Sources Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget Held by the public FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 8 months of fiscal 2004 receipts were 26 3 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were 79 6 billion higher Billions of dollars On budget and off budget receipts Fiscal year or period Total estimates Cumulative total first 8 months 1 Fiscal year Fiscal year Data Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance and retirement receipts On budget and off budget outlays National defense Other Total Total Department of Defense military International affairs Health Medicare Income Social security security Net interest Other from current issue Monthly Treasury Statement Cumulative data from Monthly Treasury Statement for Department of Defense military include a small amount classified as international affairs and not included in national defense NOTE Data except as noted are from Budget of the United States Government Fiscal Year 2005 issued February Sources Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget 33 FEDERAL SECTOR NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 2004 according to revised estimates Federal current receipts fell 3 2 billion annual rate and Federal current expenditures rose 26 6 billion Billions of dollars quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates Federal Government current receipts Current tax receipts Period Total Total1 Calendar year III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I r Includes 2 Includes Personal current taxes Taxes on production and imports Taxes on corporate income Contributions for government social insurance taxes from the rest of the world not shown separately a subtraction for wage accruals less disbursements not shown separately Federal Government current expenditures Income receipts on assets Current transfer receipts Current surplus of government enterprises Total Consumption expenditures Current transfer payments Interest payments Source Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis Subsidies Net Federal Government saving INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Industrial production seasonally adjusted Period United States Canada Japan France Germany Italy Consumer prices NSA United Kingdom United States 1 Canada Japan Germany France p r 110 2 r Apr r 116 7 May r 115 6 June r 116 6 July r 115 8 Aug r 117 9 r 108 5 Sept r 118 6 Oct r 118 7 Nov r 119 9 r 103 2 Dec r Jan r 114 8 r 118 9 r 112 4 r 102 8 r 98 6 Feb r 114 8 r 119 9 r 102 4 r 98 9 Mar r r 115 7 r 100 2 Apr May p June p Data relate to all urban consumers NOTE See Note p 17 for information on U S industrial production series United Kingdom Italy r Data are as available in early July 2004 Source National sources as reported by Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration Office of Trade and Economic Analysis U S INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES Billions of dollars monthly data seasonally adjusted Goods Exports f a s value Goods Imports customs value Census basis by end use category Services BOP basis Balance of trade exports minus imports Census basis by end use category BOP basis Period BOP basis Total Census basis 1 Auto ConIndusmo sumer Foods trial Capital tive goods feeds supgoods vehi nonand plies except cles food bevand auto parts except erages mate motive and autorials enmogines tive BOP basis IndusAutoFoods trial Capital motive Total feeds supgoods vehiCensus and plies except cles basis 1 bevand auto parts erages mate motive and enrials gines Consumer goods nonfood except automotive Exports Imports Goods r 67 5 r 219 2 r 141 3 r 239 5 r 152 4 r 256 3 r 166 3 r 263 1 r 181 3 r 282 5 r 199 7 r 299 0 r 224 9 r 287 9 r r r r 200 4 r Apr r May r June r July r Aug r Sept r Oct r Nov r Dec r Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr p Total includes other exports or imports not shown separately NOTE BOP refers to balance of payments on international transactions basis BOP data shown here are consistent with figures shown on pp 36 and 37 Goods Census basis Services Goods and services r 98 4 r 77 9 r 96 3 r 87 1 r r 89 9 r r 81 8 r r 82 8 r r 74 1 r r 64 5 r NOTE Data reflect annual revisions released on June Source Department of Commerce Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis 35 U S INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the first quarter of 2004 the goods deficit rose to 150 8 billion from 139 4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2003 The current account deficit rose to 144 9 billion in the first quarter from 127 0 billion in the fourth quarter Series revised Millions of dollars quarterly data seasonally adjusted Credits debits Goods 1 Period Exports Imports Services Balance on goods Net military transactions I r II r III r IV r I r II r III r IV r I r II r III r IV r I p r 1995 r 1996 r 1997 r 1998 r 1999 r 2000 r 2001 r 2002 r 2003 r 1 Adjusted Net travel and transportation Other services net Receipts Payments Balance on income Unilateral current transfers net 3 Balance on current account from Census data for differences in timing and coverage excludes military 2 Transfers under U S military agency sales contracts exports minus direct defense expenditures imports 36 Income receipts and payments Balance on goods and services 3 Includes transfers of goods and services under U S military grant programs See p 37 for continuation of table U S INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Continued In the financial account U S claims on foreigners reported by U S banks increased 183 4 billion in the first quarter of 2004 in contrast to a decrease of 47 1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2003 U S liabilities to private foreigners reported by U S banks excluding Treasury securities increased 141 3 billion in the first quarter following an increase of 35 8 billion in the fourth quarter Series revised Millions of dollars quarterly data seasonally adjusted Credits debits Financial account Period Capital account transactions net U S owned assets abroad net increase financial outflow Total U S official reserve assets 4 Other U S Government assets Statistical discrepancy Foreign owned assets in the U S net increase financial inflow U S private assets Total Foreign official assets Other foreign assets Total sum of the items with sign reversed Of which Seasonal adjustment discrepancy U S official reserve assets net 4 unadjusted end of period I r II r III r IV r I r II r III r IV r I r II r III r IV r I p r 1995 r 1996 r 1997 r 1998 r 1999 r 2000 r 2001 r 2002 r 2003 r 4 Consists of gold special drawing rights SDRs foreign currencies and the U S reserve position in the International Monetary Fund IMF Note Data reflect annual revisions released on June Sources Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis and Department of the Treasury 37 Contents Page TOTAL OUTPUT INCOME AND SPENDING Gross Domestic Product Real Gross Domestic Product Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product and Related Price Measures Indexes and Percent Changes Nonfinancial Corporate Business Gross Value Added and Price Costs and Profits National Income Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Real Gross Private Domestic Investment Real Private Fixed Investment by Type Business Investment EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours Hourly Earnings and Weekly Earnings Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index Private Industry Productivity and Related Data Business Sector PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers Shipments Inventories and Orders PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY CREDIT AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Credit at All Commercial Banks Sources and Uses of Funds Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts Outlays and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector National Income Accounts Basis INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices Major Industrial Countries U S International Trade in Goods and Services U S International Transactions General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding Unless otherwise noted all dollar figures are in current dollars Symbols used p Preliminary r Revised c Corrected Not available also not applicable NSA not seasonally adjusted 38 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents U S Government Printing Office Washington D C 20402 Price 3 00 single copy 3 75 foreign Subscription price 33 00 per year 41 25 for foreign mailing U S GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

Prices Received and Paid, by Farmers

DATE: June 2004

PART OF:

Economic Indicators : June 2004

AUTHOR:

Council of Economic Advisers (U.S.)

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Council of Economic Advisers (U.S.) , United States. Congress. Joint Committee on the Economic Report, 1946-1956 and United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee, 1956-. "Prices Received and Paid, by Farmers," in Council of Economic Advisers (U.S.) , United States. Congress. Joint Committee on the Economic Report, 1946-1956 and United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee, 1956-. "June 2004," Economic Indicators (June 2004) : 27-27. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/1/item/93/toc/285125 , accessed on December 6, 2019.

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Economic Data