Full text of Economic Indicators : April 1992
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102d Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators APRIL 1992 (Includes data available as of May 1, 1992) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1992 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) CONNIE MACK (Florida) ROBERT C. SMITH (New Hampshire) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) KWEISI MFUME (Maryland) RICHARD K. ARMEY (Texas) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) STEVEN QUICK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman DAVID F. BRADFORD, Member PAUL WONNACOTT, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts prepared by'the Art Production Section, Design and Graphics Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce, Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.50 a single copy ($3.13 foreign), or by subscription at $28.00 per year ($35.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1992, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) rose 4.9 percent (annual rate) or $69.6 billion. Real GDP (GDP in 1987 dollars) rose 2.0 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 3.1 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE] 6,000 •JS OF DOILARS (RATIO SCALE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES r 5,600 <^~ / 5,200 GDP IN 1 987 DOLLAR S 4,800 ^x| 5,200 / . __ 4,800 .X _ „ />• \ 4,400 .jS 4,400 x- """ xi x- / 3,600 ^ / 4,000 GDP IN<:URRENT DO LLARS 3,600 / 3,200 2,800 \\ x X X I i I 1982 \ 1 3,200 \ I i I ! 1 E i 1985 1984 1983 i i 1986 i l l 1987 1 1989 1988 1 1 1990 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE i l l 1991 2,800 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment 3,149.6 3,405.0 3,777.2 4,038.7 4,268.6 4,539.9 4,900.4 5,244.0 5,513.8 5,672.6 2,059.2 2,257.5 2,460.3 2,667.4 2,850.6 3,052.2 3,296.1 3,517.9 3,742.6 3,889.1 503.4 546.7 718.9 714.5 717.6 749.3 793.6 837.6 802.6 726.7 3,195.1 3,547.3 3,869.1 4,140.5 4,336.6 4,683.0 5,044.6 5,340.4 2,128.7 2,346.8 2,526.4 2,739.8 2,923.1 3,124.6 3,398.2 3,592.8 n ra 5,422.4 5,504.7 5,570.5 5,557.5 m Period Gross domestic product Government purchases Exports and imports of goods and services 1 Federal Net exports Total State and local Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases 2 Addendum: Gross national product 3 Exports Imports -20.6 51.4 -102.7 115.6 -132.5 143 1 -108.0 829 74.4 -30.7 282.6 276.7 302.4 302.1 319.2 364.0 444.2 504.9 550.4 591.3 303.2 328.1 405.1 417.6 451.7 507.1 552.2 587.8 624.8 622.0 607.6 652.3 700.8 772.3 833.0 881.5 918.7 971.4 1,042.9 1,087.5 266.6 292.0 310.9 344.3 367.8 384.9 387.0 401.4 424.9 445.1 193.8 214.4 233.1 258.6 276.7 292.1 295.6 300.0 313.4 323.5 72.7 77.5 77.8 85.7 91.1 92.9 91.4 101.5 111.5 121.6 341.1 360.3 389.9 428.1 465.3 496.6 531.7 570.0 618.0 642.4 3,165.5 3,410.6 3,706.1 4,014.1 4,260.0 4,513.7 4,884.2 5,208.1 5,513.8 5,691.1 3,170.2 3,456.5 3,879.9 4,154.3 4,401.2 4,683.0 5,008.4 5,326.9 5,588.1 5,703.3 3,179.8 3,434.4 3,801.5 4,053.6 4,277.7 4,544.5 4,908.2 5,248.2 5,524.5 5,685.8 464.2 614.8 722.8 737.0 697.1 800.2 814.8 834.4 -29.5 -71.8 -107.1 -135.5 -133.2 -143.2 -106.0 -77.5 265.6 286.2 308.7 304.7 333.9 392.4 467.0 521.3 295.1 358.0 415.7 440.2 467.1 535.6 573.1 598.8 631.6 657.6 727.0 799.2 849.7 901.4 937.6 990.7 281.4 289.7 324.7 356.9 373.1 392.5 392.0 403.7 205.5 222.8 242.9 268.6 278.6 295.8 296.8 301.6 75.9 66.9 81.9 88.3 94.5 96.7 95.2 102.1 350.3 367.9 402.2 442.4 476.6 509.0 545.7 587.0 3,241.4 3,527.1 3,818.1 4,107.9 4,355.4 4,623.7 5,027.3 5,305.3 3,224.6 3,619.1 3,976.2 4,276.0 4,469.8 4,826.2 5,150.7 5,417.9 3,222.6 3,578.4 3,890.2 4,156.2 4,340.5 4,690.5 5,054.3 5,350.9 3,667.3 3,706.0 3,785.2 3,812.0 812.0 825.9 821.8 750.9 78.0 -60.4 -82.5 766 534.6 545.9 548.7 572.6 612.6 606.3 631.2 649.2 1,021.2 1,033.2 1,046.0 1,071.2 417.2 423.3 424.7 434.5 309.3 312.7 311.1 320.6 107.9 110.7 113.6 113.9 604.0 609.9 621.4 636.7 5,425.7 5,479.1 5,556.5 5,594.0 5,500.5 5,565.1 5,653.0 5,634.0 5,432.7 5,505.5 5,576.8 5,583.2 IV 5,589.0 5,652.6 5,709.2 5,739.7 3,827.7 3,868.5 3,916.4 3,943.7 709.3 708.8 740.9 747.9 -36.8 -17.2 -37.3 -31.4 565.9 589.8 597.0 612.5 602.7 607.0 634.3 643.8 1,088.8 1,092.5 1,089.1 1,079.5 451.5 452.1 444.9 432.0 332.3 328.4 322.3 311.0 119.2 123.7 122.6 121.0 637.3 640.4 644.2 647.5 5,628.2 5,689.6 5,712.8 5,733.8 5,625.8 5,669.8 5,746.5 5,771.1 5,611.7 5,660.6 5,720.1 5,750.7 1992- I p 5,809.3 4,023.5 712.4 — 22.7 613.6 636.3 1,096.1 441.8 315.0 126.8 654.3 5,842.0 5,832.0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: IV TV IV IV IV IV IV IV 1990' I IV 1991- I II 1 2 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Total 3 National defense Nondefense GDP plus net receipts of factor income from rest of the world. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN 1987 DOLLARS [Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Gross domestic product Period 3,760.3 3,906.6 4,148.5 4,279.8 4,404.5 4,540.0 4,718.6 4,836.9 4,884.9 4,848.8 Adden- Federal Nonresidential fixed investment Residential fixed investment Change in business inventories Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases 2 Gross national product 3 124.1 -17.5 — 7.4 4.4 174.2 56.1 199.3 67.9 -122.0 22.1 -145.3 202.0 8.5 226.2 155 1 26.3 -143.0 225.2 19.9 1040 222.7 214.2 32.6 -75.7 .2 -51.3 195.5 175.2 -13.9 -20.9 296.7 285.9 305.7 309.2 329.6 364.0 421.6 469.2 505.7 537.8 304.1 342.1 427.7 454.6 484.7 507.1 525.7 544.9 557.0 558.7 723.6 743.8 766.9 813.4 855.4 881.5 886.8 900.4 929.1 937.1 306.0 320.8 331.0 355.2 373.0 384.9 377.3 375.0 380.9 384.9 221.4 234.2 245.8 265.6 280.6 292.1 287.0 280.7 281.3 281.4 84.7 86.6 85.1 89.5 92.4 92.9 90.2 94.4 99.6 103.5 417.6 423.0 436.0 458.2 482.4 496.6 509.6 525.3 548.2 552.2 3,777.8 3,902.2 4,080.6 4,257.6 4,395.9 4,513.7 4,698.6 4,804.3 4,884.7 4,862.7 3,767.7 3,962.8 4,270.5 4,425.1 4,559.6 4,683.0 4,822.6 4,912.6 4,936.2 4,869.7 3,796.1 3,939.6 4,174.5 4,295.0 4,413.5 4,544.6 4,726.3 4,840.7 4,894.6 4,860.2 3,759.6 2,539.3 4,012.1 2,678.2 4,194.2 2,784.8 4,333.5 2,895.3 4,427.1 3,012.5 4,625.5 3,074.7 4,779.7 3,202.9 4,859.7 3,241.6 417.2 449.6 509.6 525.5 495.5 510.6 538.8 541.3 131.2 -44.9 19.0 29.3 83 7 190.6 198.8 47.9 -131.4 30.2 207.4 1554 230.5 -20.1 -156.0 59.9 223.3 1360 20.9 -102.7 225.3 30.0 -70.0 207.9 280.4 291.5 312.8 312.0 342.9 386.1 438.2 485.8 299.4 375.1 444.2 467.4 498.9 522.1 540.9 555.7 735.9 748.1 784.3 830.5 864.8 893.0 894.5 908.9 316.0 322.2 341.7 363.7 377.5 391.6 378.4 373.9 229.4 242.9 254.3 272.1 282.2 295.0 285.7 279.9 86.6 79.3 87.4 91.6 95.3 96.6 92.7 94.0 419.9 425.9 442.6 466.7 487.3 501.4 516.1 534.9 3,804.5 3,982.8 4,146.2 4,303.3 4,447.2 4,565.6 4,758.7 4,829.7 3,778.6 4,095.8 4,325.5 4,488.9 4,583.1 4,761.5 4,882.4 4,929.7 3,791.7 4,046.6 4,216.4 4,349.5 4,430.8 4,633.0 4,789.0 4,869.3 n ni 4,880.8 4,900.3 4,903.3 4,855.1 3,258.8 3,258.6 3,281.2 3,251.8 550.7 544.3 555.5 544.5 208.2 -4.0 22.1 199.5 13.9 190.9 183.3 -31.2 -56.0 525 -65.7 -31.2 496.2 502.1 501.6 522.5 552.2 554.5 567.4 553.7 923.0 928.1 927.5 937.9 379.3 383.3 378.4 382.6 281.5 283.8 278.0 282.0 97.7 99.5 100.4 100.6 543.7 544.8 549.1 555.3 4,884.8 4,878.1 4,889.4 4,886.3 4,936.8 4,952.7 4,969.1 4,886.3 4,890.2 4,901.2 4,909.2 4,877.7 n in 4,824.0 4,840.7 4,862.7 4,868.0 3,241.1 3,252.4 3,271.2 3,271.1 519.1 514.8 510.0 505.6 170.7 -32.8 172.0 -30.4 .1 176.5 181.7 7.6 -18.6 -12.3 -31.1 21 3 512.5 535.7 545.2 558.0 531.1 548.0 576.3 579.3 944.5 944.3 936.1 923.3 391.7 392.7 384.5 370.7 289.4 287.0 280.4 268.7 102.3 105.7 104.1 102.0 552.7 551.7 551.6 552.7 4,856.8 4,871.2 4,862.6 4,860.3 4,842.6 4,853.1 4,893.8 4,889.3 4,843.7 4,847.8 4,872.0 4,877.3 4,891.9 3,313.8 503.7 188.5 -26.1 17.8 559.4 577.1 929.8 372.8 267.6 105.2 557.1 4,918.0 4,909.7 IV IV IV TV IV IV IV IV 1990- I IV 1991- I IV 1992' I 2 Government purchases 433.9 420.8 490.2 521.8 500.3 497.8 530.8 542.4 548.8 512.4 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1 Exports and imports of goods and services l 2,503.7 2,619.4 2,746.1 2,865.8 2,969.1 3,052.2 3,162.4 3,223.1 3,262.6 3,259.0 1982 19821983" 1984198519861987' 19881989- Personal consumption expenditures p 3 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. GDP plus net receipts of factor income from rest of the world. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT [1987—100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Gross domestic product Period Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Total Durable goods Exports and imports of goods and services 1 Government purchases Federal Nondurable goods Services Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 83.8 87.2 91.0 94.4 96.9 100.0 103.9 108.4 112.9 117.0 82.2 86.2 89.6 93.1 96.0 100.0 104.2 109.1 114.7 119.3 90.1 92.4 93.9 95.4 96.9 100.0 102.0 104.3 106.1 107.9 88.6 90.8 93.4 95.9 96.1 100.0 103.7 109.3 115.9 120.0 76.7 81.9 86.2 90.8 95.7 100.0 105.1 110.3 116.1 121.5 95.3 95.1 95.6 96.6 98.4 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.0 107.4 85.2 87.3 89.7 92.0 95.8 100.0 104.2 107.8 110.4 111.3 95.2 96.8 98.9 97.7 96.9 100.0 105.3 107.6 108.9 109.9 99.7 95.9 94.7 91.9 93.2 100.0 105.1 107.9 112.2 111.3 87.1 91.0 93.9 96.9 98.6 100.0 102.6 107.0 111.6 115.7 87.6 91.6 94.8 97.3 98.6 100.0 103.0 106.9 111.4 115.0 85.9 89.5 91.3 95.7 98.6 100.0 101.4 107.5 112.0 117.5 81.7 85.2 89.4 93.4 96.4 100.0 104.3 108.5 112.7 116.3 85.0 88.4 92.2 95.5 98.0 101.2 105.5 109.9 83.8 87.6 90.7 94.6 97.0 101.6 106.1 110.8 90.6 93.3 94.4 95.9 97.8 101.0 103.1 105.2 89.4 91.8 94.1 97.0 96.3 101.5 105.6 110.8 79.0 83.7 87.7 92.9 97.3 101.9 107.1 112.2 95.3 95.0 96.4 97.3 99.2 100.7 104.0 105.9 86.0 88.0 90.7 93.1 97.3 101.5 105.3 108.7 94.7 98.2 98.7 97.7 97.4 101.6 106.6 107.3 98.5 95.4 93.6 94.2 93.6 102.6 106.0 107.7 89.0 89.9 95.0 98.1 98.8 100.2 103.6 108.0 89.6 91.7 95.5 98.7 98.7 100.3 103.9 107.8 87.7 84.3 93.7 96.4 99.2 100.1 102.6 108.6 83.4 86.4 .90.9 94.8 97.8 101.5 105.7 109.7 111.1 112.3 113.6 114.5 112.5 113.7 115.4 117.2 106.0 105.9 106.1 106.6 113.3 114.3 116.6 119.3 113.7 115.3 116.9 118.5 106.5 106.5 107.4 107.5 110.0 110.4 110.7 110.3 107.7 108.7 109.4 109.6 110.9 109.3 111.2 117.2 110.0 110.4 112.2 113.6 109.9 110.2 111.9 113.7 110.4 111.2 113.1 113.2 111.1 111.9 113.2 114.7 n m IV 115.9 116.8 117.4 117.9 118.1 118.9 119.7 120.6 107.3 107.6 108.3 108.5 119.4 119.8 120.2 120.8 119.8 121.1 122.1 123.2 107.9 107.7 107.2 106.6 110.4 111.2 112.0 111.7 110.4 110.1 109.5 109.8 113.5 110.8 110.1 111.1 115.3 115.1 115.7 116.5 114.8 114.4 114.9 115.8 116.5 117.1 117.9 118.6 115.3 116.1 116.8 117.2 1992- I p 118.8 121.4 108.9 121.3 124.4 106.3 111.3 109.7 110.3 118.5 117.7 120.6 117.5 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 19821983198419851986198719881989- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV 1990- I n . ... Ill IV 1991- I 1 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GDP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS AND PRICE INDEXES [Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross domestic product Period Constant (1987) dollars Current dollars Implicit price deflator Personal consumption expenditures Fixedweighted price index Constant (1987) dollars Current dollars (1987 Implicit price deflator weights) 11.9 3.9 8.1 10.9 6.9 5.7 6.4 7.9 7.0 5.1 2.9 6.1 9.1 7.6 8.1 7.8 6.3 4.6 4.9 6.3 6.2 4.9 -.9 2.3 4.6 4.1 2.2 4.9 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1988- I II Ill IV 1989- I II Ill IV 1990- I II Ill IV 1991- I II III IV 1992- I " .. .... .... ... NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quarer. 1.8 22 3.9 6.2 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.9 2.5 1.0 -.7 2.6 4.3 2.5 3.9 2.5 1.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.6 .2 -3.9 -2.5 1.4 1.8 .4 2.0 10.0 6.2 4.1 4.4 3.7 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.2 3.6 5.4 4.2 3.4 3.7 4.4 4.4 4.7 3.2 5.0 3.1 2.1 1.7 3.1 (1987 weights) 10.2 6.9 9.6 9.0 8.4 6.9 7.1 8.0 6.7 6.4 3.9 9.9 7.9 8.4 8.9 4.6 6.4 7.2 4.7 8.6 4.3 8.8 2.9 1.7 4.3 5.0 2.8 8.3 6.1 3.8 3.3 3.5 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.6 4.5 5.4 3.7 4.8 4.5 3.5 3.7 5.0 4.6 4.8 3.2 5.4 3.3 2.6 2.1 3.1 3.6 4.4 5.1 3.9 Fixedweighted price index 1.2 1.1 4.6 4.8 4.4 3.6 2.8 3.6 1.9 1.2 — .1 7.1 2.5 2.9 4.1 -.2 1.0 4.1 .1 2.1 -.0 2.8 -3.5 -1.3 1.4 2.3 -.0 5.3 9.0 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.9 3.1 4.2 4.2 4.7 5.1 4.0 2.8 5.2 5.1 4.7 5.0 5.3 3.0 4.5 6.3 4.3 6.1 6.4 3.1 2.7 2.7 3.0 2.7 8.6 5.4 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.0 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.2 4.1 2.7 5.2 5.4 4.6 5.0 5.6 3.1 4.6 6.7 4.1 6.1 6.8 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) 1 Gross domestic product of nonfinanciul corporate business (billions of dollars) Period Current dollars 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1,749.1 1,803.5 1,937.1 2,167.3 2,295.5 2 391 3 r ... 19821983: 198419851986: 1987198819891990- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I II III IV 1991- I II Ill IV ' 1 2,544.6 2,762.1 2,910.8 3,008.9 3,054.2 1,807.1 2,038.1 2,230.0 2,341.3 2,428.4 2,625.9 2,840.1 2 943 3 .. 2,974.7 3,025.6 3,021.2 3,014.2 3,011.8 3,043.9 3,070.1 3,091.1 1987 Total cost and profit 2 dollars 2,035.8 2,002.1 2,113.3 2,285.0 2,366.3 2,444.3 2,544.6 2,682.2 2,715.3 2,717.4 2,691.8 0.859 2,000.5 2,205.2 2,330.3 2,399.5 2,469.0 2,602.4 2,717.1 2,715.3 2,720.0 2,741.6 2,710.4 2,697.6 2,668.1 2,682.1 2,699.0 2,717.9 .903 .924 .957 .976 .984 1.009 1.045 1.084 1.094 1.104 1.115 1.117 1.129 1.135 1.138 1.137 .901 .917 .949 .970 .978 1.000 1.030 1.072 1.107 1.135 Consumption of fixed capital Net interest Profits Total tax liability Profits after 0.035 0.067 .115 .109 .109 .111 .111 .111 .116 .120 .127 .041 .036 .038 .038 .040 .042 .045 .052 .055 .054 .056 .076 .094 .094 .083 .096 .102 .096 .083 .076 0.031 .023 .028 .032 .030 .031 .037 .038 .037 .035 .031 0.036 .606 .604 .619 .638 .650 .659 .676 .708 .745 .763 .119 .119 .111 .110 .112 .110 .112 .119 .119 .119 .121 .123 .127 .128 .127 .127 .085 .086 .090 .092 .094 .093 .096 .100 .103 .103 .106 .109 .113 .113 .116 .116 .609 .604 .624 .644 .655 .665 .687 .720 .729 .737 .755 .758 .760 .763 .765 .763 .040 .036 .041 .038 .042 .042 .047 .054 .054 .054 .055 .056 .056 .054 .054 .052 .051 .079 .091 .092 .080 .099 .102 .090 .090 .091 .077 .072 .073 .077 .076 .079 .020 .029 .027 .030 .035 .038 .040 .034 .036 .036 .037 .033 .030 .031 .032 .032 .030 .050 .064 .063 .045 .060 .063 .056 .054 .055 .041 .039 .043 .046 .044 .047 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 3 Output per hour Compensation per hour of of all cmplovees (1987 dollars) empiovecs (dollars) 20.560 20.827 21.597 21.905 22.144 22.737 23.047 23.472 23.059 23.062 23.396 11.790 12.620 13.037 13.559 14.121 14.770 15.181 15.782 16.330 17.171 17.849 21.103 21.905 22.050 22.340 22.891 23.268 23.423 22.967 22.973 23.181 22.952 23.110 23.188 23.355 23.456 12.842 13.233 13.770 14.395 15.001 15.483 16.005 16.542 16.740 7.092 7.325 7.509 7.625 all tax" 0.573 Output is measured bv gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1987 dol- Compensation of employees 0.081 .083 .086 .089 .091 .094 .093 .095 .099 .105 .114 0.102 .115 lars. 2 Indirect business taxes 3 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments .033 .048 .062 .064 .052 .059 .064 .060 .047 .045 7.818 7.933 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). 4 NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates National income Period Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 19821983' 19841985' 198619871988' 19891990- 2,720.8 3,058.3 3,268.4 3,437.9 3,692.3 4,002.6 4,244.7 4,459.6 r 4,542.2 2,551.5 2,834.3 3,134.4 3,341.9 3,486.0 3,828.8 4,127.6 43005 4,395.5 4,461.0 4,475.2 4,506.8 4,489.8 4,530.8 4,559.8 r 4 588 3 .... IV IV IV IV IV IV JTV IV I II III IV 1991- I n rn IV 1992- I * 1 2,029.4 2,226.9 2,382.8 2,523.8 2,698.7 2,921.3 3,101.3 3,290.3 3,388.2 1,940.4 2,101.2 2,288.1 2,442.5 2,582.5 2,785.1 3,004.9 3,157.4 3,216.1 3,279.9 3,325.3 3,340.0 3,342.9 3,377.4 3,405.3 3,427.4 3,459.7 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Nonfarm 22.1 23.3 18.7 8.7 3.2 4.3 -7.9 -12.9 12 7 24.1 22.2 24.3 14.0 4.7 6.8 2.8 -12.5 -14.2 17 3 -10.4 95 -11.9 11 7 -14.2 -13.1 -10.7 184.3 214.7 238.4 261.5 279.0 293.4 305.5 330.7 344.5 169.6 193.8 217.7 250.9 260.9 282.6 302.5 310.2 324.9 328.8 336.5 332.7 331.4 340.4 350.5 355.9 366.2 2.4 21.3 21.5 22.3 31.3 30.9 41.4 42.5 35.1 10.2 6.3 21.9 17.8 23.6 42.4 30.9 41.0 50.9 45.3 32.4 41.2 32.8 39.6 32.0 36.1 37.0 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capita! consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total 212.7 264.2 280.8 271.6 319.8 365.0 351.7 319.0 r 306.8 150.3 229.1 261.3 284.9 264.6 343.3 378.3 334.7 340.2 339.8 299.8 296.1 302.1 303.5 306.1 r 315.6 Inventory valuation adjustment Profits before tax Total 210.7 240.5 225.0 217.8 287.9 347.5 344.5 332.3 r 312.4 168.6 223.8 220.1 231.8 235.7 311.2 372.2 332.8 336.6 331.6 335.1 326.1 309.1 306.2 318.2 r 316.1 202.2 236.4 225.3 227.6 273.4 320.3 327.0 318.2 r 315.5 160.0 216.2 223.6 228.0 225.0 293.4 340.5 319.2 330.0 335.4 302.4 304.9 315.7 316.1 313.4 r 316.9 Capital consumption adjustment -8.5 -4.1 .2 9.7 145 -27.3 -17.5 14 2 3.1 -8.6 76 3.5 -3.8 10 7 -17.8 31 7 -13.5 -6.6 3.8 32 6 -21.2 6.7 9.9 -4.8 .7 -3.7 10.4 27.8 55.5 44.1 46.4 44.7 24.7 .8 -8.7 -9.6 12.9 37.7 56.9 39.6 49.9 37.9 15.4 10.2 4.4 27 -8.8 -13.6 -12.6 -7.3 -1.3 10.4 Net interest 270.0 307.9 326.2 350.2 360.4 387.7 452.6 490.1 480.2 256.8 281.8 321.1 331.9 349.7 368.6 408.1 469.6 477.5 484.5 491.8 506.4 492.6 481.6 480.1 466.5 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN 1987 DOLLARS [Billions of 1987 dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total personal consumption expenditures Nondurable goods Durable goods Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Other 332.6 341.9 353.0 366.2 384.7 399.4 408.5 424.3 439.6 411.0 419.7 431.3 438.1 444.8 457.0 465.6 472.8 327.8 334.8 344.9 359.1 372.0 390.7 403.0 411.5 417.7 422.4 427.7 429.6 9.6 10.5 11.4 11.1 11.4 12.4 11.9 12.0 12.3 202.8 212.2 222.9 228.0 235.2 240.4 246.4 251.0 78.8 75.8 76.9 76.2 513.9 516.3 517.1 515.9 190.1 187.2 188.2 184.1 87.2 84.5 84.4 84.0 9.5 10.5 11.0 253.8 251.9 252.9 251.7 ,751.8 ,769.6 ,787.3 1,783.1 168.9 171.1 172.5 169.4 75.1 73.6 74.9 73.1 1,043.9 1,046.2 1,046.1 1,035.8 518.7 517.0 517.4 515.6 181.7 186.1 184.7 179.0 81.8 83.0 83.6 83.6 252.5 250.3 250.3 248.2 1,786.3 1,797.2 1,806.8 1,823.1 472.8 473.0 475.4 476.9 477.3 478.3 479.4 480.7 177.3 75.3 1,047.6 520.9 184.7 81.4 250.6 1,836.3 481.8 52.3 58.1 64.8 67.1 80.7 75.2 81.2 80.0 IV 3,258.8 3,258.6 3,281.2 3,251.8 452.7 438.7 440.3 424.0 200.7 192.0 192.9 179.8 173.1 170.9 170.5 168.0 I II Ill IV 3,241.1 3,252.4 3,271.2 3,271.1 410.8 408.9 418.3 412.2 166.7 164.2 170.9 169.7 1992: 1" 3,313.8 429.9 177.4 415.5 426.8 435.9 442.1 452.5 461.8 469.0 474.5 478.9 73.4 76.9 79.0 79.5 84.6 85.4 87.5 90.2 96.4 109.3 118.7 128.6 141.4 145.9 160.3 167.7 Includes other items, not shown separately. Housing 135.7 147.7 154.7 161.7 171.9 174.5 182.8 190.1 123.7 151.6 164.3 173.9 193.6 183.6 197.7 187.8 104.3 11.1 11.2 11.5 12.1 12.0 12.0 11.5 10.0 8.9 9.3 9.8 10.1 9.4 9.9 Retail sales of new passenger cars (millions of units) Total services ' 458.3 467.1 475.1 488.2 496.9 502.4 518.0 511.7 272.3 319.1 347.7 369.6 415.7 404.7 439.2 435.6 1 Other 1,421.4 1,473.0 1,537.0 1,576.1 1,637.4 1,698.5 1,732.9 1,773.0 1,803.4 1,386.2 1,443.9 1,494.2 1,557.1 1,595.8 1,655.5 ,716.9 ,750.7 2,539.3 2,678.2 2,784.8 2,895.3 3,012.5 3,074.7 3,202.9 3,241.6 1991: Fuel oil and coal 207.8 220.0 226.2 231.7 239.1 244.7 250.0 252.6 250.3 55.3 62.9 66.1 72.4 76.2 78.5 78.5 76.9 74.2 n ru and oil 75.7 77.9 79.2 82.9 84.7 86.1 86.7 85.0 83.0 115.3 123.8 136.3 144.0 155.4 166.1 170.6 170.5 1990: I Gasoline 142.4 153.1 158.8 170.3 174.5 178.9 187.9 187.4 182.9 138.1 160.3 180.2 193.3 183.5 194.8 196.2 191.4 167.9 IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV Clothing and shoes 463.4 472.3 483.0 494.1 500.7 513.4 513.3 515.8 517.2 297.7 338.5 370.1 402.0 403.7 428.7 440.8 438.9 412.5 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: Food 900.3 934.6 958.7 991.0 1,011.1 1,035.1 1,049.3 1,050.8 1,043.0 880.7 915.2 942.9 968.7 1,000.9 1,014.6 1,046.8 1,055.3 1,054.4 1,050.3 1,053.7 1,044.7 2,619.4 2,746.1 2,865.8 2,969.1 3,052.2 3,162.4 3,223.1 3,262.6 3,259.0 1983 Total nondurable goods Services Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Medical care 432.9 436.9 441.7 447.0 453.4 Domestics 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 6.9 6.1 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 7.5 6.2 7.1 6.8 7.1 6.6 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.1 6.0 Imports 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.3 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $27.3 billion (annual rate) in March after rising $48.5 billion in February. The increases were affected by subsidy payments to farm proprietors and by a speedup in February of life insurance dividends to veterans (included in transfer payments). Excluding these subsidy and dividend payments, personal income increased $22.3 billion in March and $36.7 billion in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 1,400 1,400 800 800 l i l 1 1 l l i i i I 400 1992 400 1984 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- Mar . May July Sept Get Nov Dec ... 1992- Jan ' Feb ' Mar". Total persona! income 2,690.9 2,862.5 3,154.6 3,379.8 3,590.4 3,802.0 4,075.9 4 380 2 4,879.8 4,834.4 4,781.4 4,792.0 4825 5 4,845.8 4 833 1 4,854.2 4,872.8 4,883.0 4,877.2 4,925.6 4,914.7 4,963.2 4,990.5 Wage and salary disbursements ! 1,593.3 1,684.7 1,849.8 1,986.5 2,105.4 2,261.2 2,443.0 2,585.8 2,738.9 2,808.3 2,773.4 2,779.4 2,799.5 2,822.8 2,808.1 2,823.6 2,835.9 2,830.2 2,835.0 2,852.7 2,836.7 2,870.3 2,882.0 Proprietors' income 3 Other labor income ' 2 165.4 174.6 184.7 191.8 200.7 210.4 230.5 253.7 274.0 290.6 285.8 287.2 288.6 289.9 291.3 292.7 294.2 295.6 297.0 298.3 299.7 301.1 302.4 1 The total of wage and salary dish rsements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it exclude employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursemen . 2 Consists primarily of employer con ributions to private pension and private welfare funds. » With inventory valuation and cap al consumption adjustments. Farm Nonfann 13.5 2.4 21.3 21.5 22.3 31.3 30.9 41.4 42.5 35.1 41.8 39.4 43.4 36.0 32.0 31.0 33.0 42.4 27.1 38.9 26.9 36.3 47.7 4 157.3 184.3 214.7 238.4 261.5 279.0 293.4 305.5 330.7 344.5 332.2 3,36.2 340.8 344.3 347.9 350.3 353.3 353.9 355.3 358.4 361.3 366.7 370.4 Rental income of persons 4 21.9 22.1 23.3 18.7 8.7 3.2 4.3 -7.9 -12.9 -12.7 -11.3 -11.7 -11.6 -11.6 -12.9 -14.2 - 15.5 -19.1 -11.5 -8.6 — 9.8 -11.3 -11.1 Personal dividend income 67.1 77.8 78.8 87.9 104.7 100.4 108.4 119.8 124.8 128.5 127.8 127.2 127.5 127.6 128.3 128.6 129.1 129.3 129.5 129.4 129.1 129.4 129.7 Persona! Transfer payincome 376.8 397.5 461.9 498.1 531.7 548.1 583.2 669.0 721.3 718.6 726.0 723.8 721.7 719.8 718.1 716.6 715.5 710.5 705.8 700.9 693.8 687.7 682.7 ments 5 408.1 438.9 452.9 485.9 517.8 542.2 576.7 624.4 684.9 759.5 741.5 746.5 752.6 755.5 758.7 765.0 767.4 780.1 779.1 797.1 820.2 828.6 833.0 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 112.3 119.7 132.8 149.1 162.1 173.6 194.5 211.7 224.3 238.0 235.8 235.9 237.0 238.3 238.3 239.4 240.2 239.8 240.1 241.4 243.3 245.6 246.4 Nonfarm personal income 6 2,649.8 2,832.6 3,106.1 3,333.2 3,545.6 3,749.4 4,023.9 4,316.6 4,614.5 4,775.5 4,716.2 4,729.1 4,758.5 4,786.2 4,777.3 4,799.3 4,815.7 4,816.6 4,825.8 4,862.5 4,863.6 4,902.6 4,918.4 With capital consumption adjustment, Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments, Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. S(lure(.. Dcpar , m( . m ,,f Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 5 6 DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME According to advance estimates, per capita disposable personal income in 1987 dollars rose in the first quarter of 1992. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE] BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 2,000 2,000 DOLLARS' (RATIOSCALE] DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE] PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 18,000 18,000 ] t ; 87 DOLLARS 16,000 16,000 •—• ^_^--1 \ 14,000 14,000 ^^r^T — " ^ «» 12,000 12,000 \ CUR RENT DOLLA RS "^^ ^^ 10,000 8,000 •— ^. 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1 1983 10,000 1 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 1 1 1 1989 1 1 1990 1 1 1 1991 1 1 8,000 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period Personal Less: Personal tax and nontax payments Less: Personal outlays 1 Disposable personal income Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in 1987 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars 1982 1983 1984 1985 . 1986 1987.. . 1988 1989 1990 1991 1987 dollars Per capita personal consumption expenditures Current dollars 1987 dollars 371.4 368.8 395.1 436.8 459.0 512.5 527.7 591.7 621.0 616.1 2,319.6 2,493.7 2*759.5 2,943.0 3*131.5 3,289.5 3*548.2 3,788.6 4,058.8 4,218.4 2,120.1 2*325.1 2,537.5 2,753.7 2*.944.0 3,147.5 3*392.5 3,622.4 3*853.1 ' 3,999.1 2,746.8 2,965.8 3,242.5 3,456.7 3,647.8 3,918.5 4,195.2 4,474.4 4,580.6 4,654.7 4,719.3 4,764.7 4,768.0 4,821.1 4,853.3 4,895.3 4,956.1 372.1 371.6 413.4 448.8 478.5 528.6 542.0 602.9 606.6 622.7 627.5 627.2 617.1 613.6 615.1 618.4 617.0 2,374.7 2,594.3 2,829.1 3,007.9 3,169.3 3,389.9 3,653.2 3,871.4 3,974.0 4,032.0 4,091.8 4,137.5 4,151.0 4,207.5 4,238.2 4,276.8 4,339.1 2,190.9 2,417.9 2,606.5 2,828.7 3,018.2 3,220.1 3,496.7 3,701.3 3,777.4 3,816.2 3,896.2 3,922.5 3,938.4 3,978.7 4,025.7 4,053.5 4,133.6 199.5 168.7 222.0 189.3 187.5 142.0 155.7 166.1 205.8 r 219.3 2,820.4 2,893.6 3*080.1 3,162.1 3*261.9 3,289.5 3*404.3 3,471.2 3*,538.3 3,534.9 9,989 10,642 11*673 12,339 13*010 13,545 14*477 15,313 16,*236 16,695 Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) * Percent Dollars 2,690.9 2,862.5 3,154.6 3,379.8 3,590.4 3,802.0 4,075.9 4,380.2 4,679.8 4,834.4 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income 10,782 12,146 12*,349 13*.029 13,258 13*,552 13,545 13*,890 14,030 14^154 13,990 12J.568 13,448 14,219 14*971 15,392 11,617 12,015 12,336 12,568 12*903 13,027 13*.051 12,898 12,154 12,591 13,145 13,278 13,522 13,685 13,996 14,063 14,185 14,204 14,168 14,058 13,965 14,022 13,992 13,981 14,049 9,134 9,980 10,649 11,445 12,101 12,819 13,814 14,464 14,731 14,848 15,120 15,183 15,208 15,334 15,481 15,542 15,817 10,895 11,390 11,739 12,095 12,472 12,615 13,020 13,051 13,090 13,056 13,107 12,952 12,877 12,892 12,930 12,891 13,027 8,868 9*634 10408 11,184 —0.1 1.7 5.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 1.0 .9 — 1.2 8.6 6.8 8.0 6.4 6.0 4.3 4.4 4.4 5.1 5.2 232,201 234,326 236,393 238,510 240,691 242,860 245,093 247,405 249,992 252,676 7.7 6.8 7.9 6.0 4.8 5.0 4.3 4.4 4.9 5.4 4.8 5.2 5.1 5.4 5.0 5.2 4.7 233,060 235,146 237,231 239,387 241,550 243,745 246,004 248,387 248,950 249,594 250,349 251,074 251,689 252,281 252,990 253,742 254,381 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I n m.... IV 1991: I n m.... IV 1992: I" 183.8 176.3 222.6 179.2 151.1 169.8 156.4 170.1 196.6 215.9 195.6 215.0 212.6 228.8 212.5 223.4 205.6 2,832.6 2,960.6 3,118.5 3,178.7 3,266.2 3,335.8 3,443.1 3,493.0 3,531.4 3,545.3 3,547.0 3,529.5 3,514.8 3,537.4 3,539.9 3,547.5 3,573.7 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer payments to rest of the world (net). 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. 10,189 11,033 11,925 12,565 13,121 13,907 14,850 15,586 15,963 16,154 16,344 16,479 16,492 16,678 16,752 16,855 17,058 -0.5 7.2 1.0 1.8 -1.7 5.2 3.2 1.9 3.5 .5 -1.0 -3.1 -2.6 1.6 — .9 -.3 2.0 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1991, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $5.2 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $4.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE] BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE] 240 240 200 160 • / ^ — ^/"> N 200 ' r———-" -<- 160 \ \ 120 120 GRO SS FARM WC( DME 80 80 60 60 S / 40 A / \ _ _ \ \\ \\ \ 20 / / A / \ \ s - -\ "*• ^ /" - "\ ^^X /. V \^ ^' \/ / 40 v / \' I \ 20 I HE T FARM \HCO ME 1 \ i \ i \ 10 >\ s \i 1 • i i i / ;\ / / \i \, 1 1 1 i i i 1982 1 983 10 I I I 1 984 I I 1 985 I I I 1 986 I I I I 1 987 I I I 1 988 I 1 989 I 1 1 990 1 1991 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total 1 Total 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 " 1990- I n m TV 1991- I *r n TTT ' TV" 1 166.3 164.1 153.9 168.0 161.2 156.1 168.4 174.5 190.3 195.1 187.9 r 199.3 r 191.5 188.3 r 201.6 187.2 186.3 186.5 191.7 141.6 142.6 136.8 142.8 144.1 135.3 141.8 151.1 160.9 170.0 166.8 166.0 166.8 173.7 173.4 164.4 163.2 173.1 166.6 Livestock and products 72.5 72.3 67.2 69.9 74.3 63.7 65.8 71.6 76.8 80.4 81.1 76.6 78.9 83.0 83.1 78.3 79.5 87.1 79.4 69.2 70.3 69.6 72.9 69.8 71.6 76.0 79.4 84.1 89.6 85.8 89.4 87.9 90.7 90.3 86.1 83.7 86.0 87.2 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and noiunoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. Crops 3 Value of inventory changes z 6.5 -1.4 109 6.0 23 -2.2 23 -3.5 4.3 2.9 1 r 4.7 3.6 2.3 r 1.2 .6 -.1 5 -.7 r Production expenses Current dollars 139.4 140.3 139.6 141.9 132.4 125.1 128.7 133.9 140.2 144.3 145.7 142.0 r 143.5 143.8 r 147.8 146.0 147.9 144.2 144.6 1987 dollars 3 26.9 23.8 14.2 26.1 28.8 31.0 39.7 40.6 50.1 50.8 42.3 r r 57.2 48.0 44.4 r 53.6 41.3 38.4 42.4 47.0 Income in current dollars divided by the GDP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. 34.1 28.5 16.3 28.7 30.5 32.0 39.7 39.1 46.2 45.0 36.0 r 51.6 r 42.6 r 46.9 39.1 35.6 32.9 36.1 39.8 CORPORATE PROFITS In the fourth quarter of 1991, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $2.1 billion (annual rate) and profits after tax rose $0.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 50 1982 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS •OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment l Profits after tax Domestic industries Period Nonfinancial Total 2 Total 166.4 202.2 236.4 225.3 227.6 273.4 320.3 327.0 318.2 315.5 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 r 1991 19821983: 1984: 19851986: 198719881989: 1990- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I n Ill IV . I II III IV r 1992- I" 1991: 1 2 160.0 216.2 223.6 228.0 225.0 293.4 340.5 319.2 330.0 335.4 302.4 304.9 315.7 316.1 313.4 316.9 138.6 171.9 205.2 194.5 194.6 233.9 271.2 273.1 258.0 249.5 130.8 182.6 192.9 193.5 192.5 246.3 285.9 258.3 271.9 282.1 245.8 232.1 241.2 254.4 250.4 251.9 Financial 15.6 24.5 20.3 28.7 35.8 36.4 41.8 39.2 39.6 41.7 23.0 22.1 20.3 29.0 34.7 39.4 46.1 32.4 41.4 41.5 39.3 36.4 40.1 42.1 43.5 41.3 Total 3 123.0 147.4 185.0 165.8 158.9 197.5 229.4 233.9 218.3 207.7 107.8 160.5 172.6 164.5 157.8 207.0 239.7 225.9 230.5 240.7 206.5 195.7 201.0 212.3 206.9 210.5 See p. 4 for profits with inventorv valuation and capital consumptic adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. Manufacturing 63.1 71.4 86.7 80.1 59.0 87.0 117.5 113.6 95.7 81.7 50.1 90.5 79.2 83.3 63.9 98.7 129.3 101.0 102.1 107.1 94.8 78.9 75.0 82.9 84.1 84.7 Profits before tax Tax liability 176.3 210.7 240.5 225.0 217.8 287.9 347.5 344.5 332.3 312.4 168.6 223.8 220.1 231.8 235.7 311.2 372.2 332.8 336.6 331.6 335.1 326.1 309.1 306.2 318.2 316.1 63.1 77.2 94.0 96.5 106.5 127.1 137.0 138.0 135.3 124.5 58.7 82.2 83.8 97.6 116.6 135.2 146.2 129.8 137.6 137.9 138.8 127.1 119.4 123.5 128.6 126.4 Wholesale and retail trade 31.9 38.7 49.7 43.1 46.3 39.9 37.1 42.8 39.8 45.8 33.8 40.7 50.8 39.0 43.1 39.3 39.3 45.1 41.6 45.1 34.4 38.2 45.3 46.9 44.6 46.4 3 Total 113.2 133.5 146.4 128.5 111.3 160.8 210.5 206.6 197.0 187.9 109.9 141.6 136.3 134.2 119.2 176.0 226.0 203.0 199.1 193.7 196.3 199.0 189.7 182.7 189.6 189.7 Dividends 70.0 81.2 82.7 92.4 109.8 106.2 115.3 127.9 133.7 137.8 72.5 84.2 83.4 97.4 111.0 106.3 121.0 130.7 132.3 132.5 133.8 136.2 137.8 136.7 138.1 138.5 138.6 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Undistributed profits 43.2 52.3 63.8 36.1 1.6 54.6 95.2 78.7 63.3 50.2 37.5 57.4 52.9 36.9 8.2 69.7 105.0 72.3 66.7 61.2 62.5 62.8 51.9 46.1 51.5 51.2 Inventory valuation adjustment -9.9 -8.5 -4.1 2 9.7 -14.5 -27.3 -17.5 -14.2 3.1 -8.6 -7.6 3.5 -3.8 -10.7 -17.8 -31.7 -13.5 -6.6 3.8 -32.6 -21.2 6.7 9.9 -4.8 .7 -3.7 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN 1987 DOLLARS According to advance estimates for the first quarter of 1992, nonresidential fixed investment in 1987 dollars fell $1.9 billion (annual rate) and residential investment rose $6.8 billion. There was a $26.1 billion decrease in inventories, following an increase of $7.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 1991. BILLIONS OF 1987 DOLLARS BILLIONS OF 1987 DOLLARS 900 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 700 700 500 NONRESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT 300 300 200 CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES 100 1988 1982 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] 'ixed iiivestmei) Gross private domestic Cliail K c ii business unen Nonn sidtiitiai Producers' Total Residential Tula] Nonfarm equipment 1989 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1090 1991 433 9 4''0 8 490 2 521.8 500.3 497 8 530.8 542 4 548.8 512 4 181.3 160 3 1828 745.9 735.1 749.3 773.4 7892 744.5 673 7 558 0 595 1 689 6 723.8 726.5 723 0 753.4 756 6 744.2 687 6 503 5 669.5 7564 763.1 705 9 793.8 785.0 779 2 548 4 640.2 7084 732.9 725 9 733.9 764.1 749 2 754.9 766.0 760 3 696.6 540 5 599 5 198219831984' 1985198(51987198819891990- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I II Ill IV 1991- I II III IV .... ... .... .. . .. .. ... 1992- I " f: Departrr 1 •t , Bureau of Economic Analysis 252 6 124 1 174 '* 197.4 176.6 171.3 174.0 177 4 177.9 1540 ''60 5 307 4 324 4 323.7 326 5 356 8 365 0 3708 358 3 202 0 22B 2 225 •> 222 7 214 •' 417 2 449.6 509 6 525.5 495 5 510.6 538.8 541 3 173.2 162.6 189 5 198.3 1704 177.9 175.7 178.6 •'44 0 287 0 3''0 1 327 2 325 0 332 7 363.1 362 7 758 9 743.8 746 4 727.8 550 7 544.3 555 5 544.5 182.3 178.9 180.0 170.4 657.0 656 3 686.5 694 9 689.8 686 8 686.5 687 2 519.1 514 8 510.0 505 6 666.1 692.2 503.7 1 99 3 175 44 67 9 22 1 o() 7 13 9 66 '> 19 8 10 6 3° 7 •'69 33 3 15 13 9 131 '' 1906 198 8 207 4 230 5 223 3 225.3 207 9 44 9 29 3 47 9 46 •' 3° 3 50 8 302 ''80 20 1 59 9 20.9 30 0 18 6 6'' 1 30 5 38 1 3684 365.4 375 5 374.0 208 2 199.5 1909 183 3 -40 ''2 1 139 -31.2 163.3 158.9 148.4 145.4 355.8 355 8 361.6 360 1 170.7 172 0 176.5 181 7 -32.8 -304 .1 76 — 31 1 30 8 14"> 2 361 5 188 5 — 26 1 •'6 0 195 5 1 75 '> 8.5 26 3 19 9 3° 6 •> 15 5 99 — 25 7 •' 8 9 •' EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department January-March 1992 survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 4.6 percent in 1992, following a decline of 0.6 percent in 1991. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RA ES 500 * --•' * 1 --T"" 1 -*• 400 -" ^___ 400 -..* — A 1 INDUSTRIE! _^ .— ,^-- ^ ' 300 - • ^ ' —' * t .X ' 200 .-- • """" 17 NO SMANUFACTLJRING- **" 200 ^ .— " ^ ** ,x'--N S S ,''"' *** — ""* — ^ ""' X *•" *-•**' ** "" "\ MANUFACTU RING 100 LI LI L/ I I 1 1983 \ \ 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 1 1985 1986 1 1 1 1 1987 1 1 1988 1 1 1 1989 1 1 1990 'SECOND HALF 1-/SURVEYED QUARTERLY i/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 \ 1 1 1991 1 1 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Industries surveyed quarterly Nonmanufacturing Manufacturing Period All industries Total Durable goods Addenda Nondurable goods Total ' Transportation Mining Public utilities Commercial and other Total nonfarm business 2 358.77 363.08 359.73 418.38 454.93 447.1! 461.51 508.22 563.93 591.96 588.74 616.25 Nonmanufacturing Manufacturing Total 230.09 239.11 242.38 278.77 302.05 309.16 320.45 344.77 380.13 399.34 405.13 433.43 Surveyed quarterly 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 T 1992 4 324.73 326.19 321.16 373.83 410.12 399.36 410.52 455.49 507.40 532.61 529.20 553.68 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.61 183.61 182.81 58.93 54.58 51.61 64.57 70.87 65.68 68.03 77.04 82.56 82.58 77.95 78.18 69.75 69.39 65.74 75.04 82.01 72.28 73.03 86.41 101.24 110.04 105.66 104.63 196.06 202.22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 339.99 345.59 370.86 15.81 14.11 10.64 11.86 12.00 8.15 8.28 9.29 9.21 9.88 10.02 9.12 12.67 11.75 10.81 13.44 14.57 15.05 15.07 16.63 18.84 21.47 22.69 24.44 47.17 53.58 52.95 57.53 59.58 56.61 56.26 60.37 66.28 67.21 66.51 71.31 120.41 122.79 129.41 151.39 171.09 181.59 189.84 205.76 229.28 241.43 246.37 266.00 1990: I 11 Ill IV 532.50 534.55 534.11 530.13 192.16 195.02 194.05 189.72 86.03 84.15 82.48 79.03 106.14 110.87 111.57 110.69 340.33 339.53 340.06 340.41 9.62 9.77 9.97 10.12 21.84 21.94 21.08 21.18 65.41 64.64 67.68 70.24 243.46 243.18 241.32 238.87 192 16 195.02 194.05 189 72 340 33 339.53 340.06 340.41 1991- I 535 50 524.57 527.86 528.88 191.13 187.35 177.05 178.90 81.24 79.69 74.51 76.36 109.90 107.66 102.54 102.54 344.37 337.22 350.81 349.98 9.89 10.09 10.09 10.00 23.25 23.05 22.83 21.65 67.04 64.58 66.47 67.96 244.19 239.50 251.42 250.37 191 13 187.35 177 05 178.90 344 37 337.22 350 81 349.98 544.99 557.48 556.12 181.84 186.26 181.57 80.32 79.63 76.38 101.52 106.64 105.19 363.14 371.22 374.55 9.12 9.29 9.04 21.42 23.85 26.24 70.40 72.40 71.21 262.20 265.68 268.05 181.84 186 96 181.57 363.14 II III IV 1992- I r 4 II4 2nd half 1 4 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.61 183.61 182.81 Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-Ma\ ved quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annuSource: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census 10 196.06 202.22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 339.99 345.59 370.86 371 99 374.55 Surveyed annualIy3 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 59.35 59.54 62.57 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In March, civilian employment rose 305,000 and unemployment was unchanged. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 130 MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 126 126 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 122 \ 118 114 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 106 102 102 12 UNEMPLOYMENT 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 *] 6 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Mar Apr May June .... July .... Aug Sept .... Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar Civilian employment Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA Resident Armed Forces NSA Labor force including resident Armed Forces 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 189,686 191,329 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 1,637 1,564 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 126,424 126,867 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 119,550 118,440 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 121,669 123,869 124,787 125,303 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 117,914 116,877 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,169 3,199 3,186 3,233 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 111,800 114,142 114,728 113,644 190,703 190,836 190,980 191,173 191,443 191,589 191,746 191,903 192,057 192,209 1,460 1,456 1,458 1,505 1,604 1,616 1,624 1,614 1,605 1,604 126,710 127,100 126,717 127,029 126,808 126,620 127,214 127,122 126,979 127,223 118,294 118,844 118,188 118,414 118,333 118,100 118,713 118,481 118,377 118,332 125,250 125,644 125,259 125,524 125,204 125,004 125,590 125,508 125,374 125,619 116,834 117,388 116,730 116,909 116,729 116,484 117,089 116,867 116,772 116,728 3,124 3,187 3,256 3,286 3,244 3,254 3,283 3,204 3,272 3,183 192,358 192,469 192,607 1,599 1,585 1,585 127,645 127,872 128,175 118,716 118,628 118,933 126,046 126,287 126,590 117,117 117,043 117,348 Employment including resident Armed Forces * Persons at work. Economic rca.snns include slack work, material shortages time work, etc. 2 Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian iioninstitntitmal j Unemployment Nonagricultural Civilian labor force Total Agricultural 15 Total Part time for economic reasons l Total weeks and over Civilian Labor force participation rate (percent) 2 Emplovrnent/ population ratio (percent) 2 4,965 4,657 4,860 5,767 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,874 8,426 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 1,610 1,375 1,504 2,323 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 66.4 66.0 61.5 62.3 63.0 62.7 61.6 113,710 114,201 113,474 113,623 113,485 113,230 113,806 113,663 113,500 113,545 5,760 5,791 5,697 5,469 5,660 5,710 6,040 6,055 6,123 6,084 8,416 8,256 8,529 8,615 8,475 8,520 8,501 8,641 8,602 8,891 2,144 2,180 2,213 2,488 2,355 2,417 2,422 2,570 2,623 2,843 66.2 66.3 66.1 66.2 66.0 65.8 66.1 66.0 65.8 65.9 61.7 62.0 61.6 61.6 61.5 61.3 61.6 61.4 61.3 61.2 3,166 113,951 3,232 113,811 3,194 114,155 6,429 6,213 6,180 8,929 9,244 9,242 3,059 3,204 3,185 66.1 66.2 66.3 61.4 61.3 61.4 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistic 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In March, the civilian unemployment rate remained at 7.3 percent and the overall unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 25 TEENAGERS (16-19) 15 A^A V ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS BLACK AND OTHER MEN 20 YEARS AND OVER \ WOMEN 20 YEARS AND OVER / WHITE I i I U I I I 1 I I I I ! 1992 1988 * UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIV 1989 1992 ^ LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] . | Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period Unemployment rate, all work- ers 1982 1983 1984 . 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Mar Apr May .... June ... July .... Aug .... Sept .... Oct Nov .... Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar 1 By sex and age By race civilian work- ers Men 20 years and over Women 20 years Both sexes and 16-19 over years 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 4.8 5.7 23.2 6.7 6.6 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.1 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 4.9 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.6 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.1 18.5 18.2 18.9 19.0 19.9 19.0 18.2 18.9 18.7 19.3 7.1 7.3 7.3 6.9 7.0 6.9 5.9 6.1 6.1 18.3 20.0 20.6 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 5.4 6.6 9.7 9.6 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.2 7.2 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.5 6.7 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 15.5 18.6 1 Unemployed as percent ol total labor force including resident Armed Forces. 2 Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic cent of potentially available labor force hours. 12 By selected groups All Black White and Black other 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.7 6.0 6.0 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.5 Experienced wage and salary workers Married who maintain families 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 10.1 11.1 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 11.3 12.4 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 5.3 6.5 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.6 11.1 11.1 11.5 11.0 11.5 12.3 12.5 12.8 12.7 11.9 12.4 12.3 12.8 12.3 12.7 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.7 12.6 12.2 12.2 13.7 13.8 14.1 6.9 7.1 7.2 4.8 5.0 4.8 9.3 9.2 Women men, spouse present 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 3.4 4.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 8.2 9.1 9.1 9.6 9.2 9.1 8.5 9.4 9.0 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.5 10.0 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor force time lost Fulltime workers 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 5.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.0 Parttime workers (percent) 2 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 7.4 8.3 11.0 10.9 8.8 8.2 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.8 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.6 9.1 8.8 9.0 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 6.2 7.6 8.1 8.3 8.3 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In March, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over rose, and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 15-26 weeks fell. The mean duration of unemployment rose to 17.1 weeks and the median fell to 8.0 weeks. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION 70 PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC A [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution Reason for unemployment: percent distribution State programs Number of weeks Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Medi- 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 46.1 40.1 41.1 40.2 42.2 39.2 39.8 39.9 39.0 38.2 38.1 37.1 36.8 33.3 36.0 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 32.0 32.3 33.3 33.1 31.8 32.3 32.3 31.6 32.7 32.1 31.5 31.0 29.5 31.7 29.1 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 11.8 14.5 14.3 14.5 13.9 15.7 14.6 14.8 14.7 16.4 15.1 15.4 16.1 16.1 15.5 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 10.1 13.0 11.2 12.2 12.0 12.8 13.2 13.7 13.6 13.4 15.3 16.5 17.7 18.9 19.4 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 12.1 13.8 13.0 13.4 13.1 14.0 13.9 14.1 14.2 14.6 14.9 15.3 16.4 17.0 17.1 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 5.4 6.9 6.5 6.9 6.6 6.9 6.8 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.7 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.0 Job losers an Job leavers Reentrants New entrants 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 27.4 24.8 24.6 25.0 25.3 24.4 24.3 24.9 23.8 24.2 24.6 24.4 26.4 23.5 24.0 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 9.5 8.9 8.4 9.0 9.0 8.5 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.8 Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment, "all regular programs (unadjusted)! Weekly average, thousands 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 .... .. 1991- Mar July Get Nov Dec 1992- Jan Feb Mar 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,874 8,426 8,416 8,256 8,529 8,615 8,475 8,520 8,501 8,641 8,602 8,891 8,929 9,244 9,242 1 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and Stat tended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensa i program. 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 48.3 54.7 54.4 54.0 53.6 54.7 54.7 55.4 56.1 55.1 54.8 56.2 53.7 57.8 57.3 7.9 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 14.8 11.6 12.5 12.0 12.1 12.3 11.6 10.5 11.0 11.4 11.5 10.3 11.0 9.8 9.9 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,081 2,158 2,522 3,342 3,467 3,490 3,475 3,406 3,336 3,283 3,267 3,273 3,313 3,317 3,349 3,324 3,340 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 388 447 511 460 433 421 418 415 415 418 448 464 446 452 440 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,135 2,205 2,575 3,407 4,060 3,864 3,262 3,177 3,270 2,999 2,795 2,795 2,846 3,565 r 4,197 r 4,199 4,182 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Kmplovment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 19,000 in March. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) 10 \ ALLN DNAGRICULT URAL ES fABLISHMEN S ^^ 00 RO - -— • SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 60 - MANUFACTURING 40 18 ~ ,| n i i i l i i i i ilm I'll m m-i-fi i il i M i ii Ill GOOI3S-PRODUCIS4G INDUSTRIES 30 "" V 1 CONSTRUCTION 70 l I M l l l l l l ' 1988 Mill Mill 1989 | 1 1 1 1 1 1 II IN 1991 1990 7 M | ,| 1992 imillll N ' 1988 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 II 1 1 1 I l l l l l l l l l l . 1992 N 1989 1990 | 19 91 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LASOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; Period Total nonagrieultural employment 1 seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Goods-producing industries Manufacturing Total 2 Construction Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate 8erviees Government Total Federal 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,536 108,329 109,971 108,981 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 24,558 24,708 25,173 25,322 24,958 23,819 3,905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,816 4,967 5,110 5,187 5,136 4,696 18,781 18,434 19,378 19,260 18,965 19,024 19,350 19,442 19,111 18,426 11,014 10,707 11,479 11,464 11,203 11,167 11,381 11,420 11,115 10,556 7,767 7,726 7,899 7,796 7,761 7,858 7,969 8,022 7,995 7,870 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74,967 77,492 80,363 83,007 85,014 85,163 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,255 5,372 5,527 5,644 5,826 5,824 5,296 5,286 5,574 5,736 5,774 5,865 6,055 6,221 6,205 6,072 15,161 15,595 16,526 17,336 17,909 18,462 19,077 19,549 19,683 19,346 5,341 5,468 5,689 5,955 6,283 6,547 6,649 6,695 6,739 6,708 19,036 19,694 20,797 21,999 23,053 24,235 25,669 27,120 28,240 28,779 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,386 17,779 18,322 18,433 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 3,085 2,966 108,902 108,736 108,887 108,885 108,859 108,971 109,066 109,073 108,843 108,882 23,877 23,794 23,847 23,792 23,798 23,826 23,797 23,727 23,595 23,552 4,720 4,688 4,715 4,710 4,695 4,691 4,699 4,671 4,584 4,589 18,443 18,396 18,426 18,378 18,402 18,442 18,414 18,377 18,337 18,293 10,584 10,560 10,575 10,534 10,546 10,553 10,531 10,493 10,457 10,414 7,859 7,836 7,851 7,844 7,856 7,889 7,883 7,884 7,880 7,879 85,025 84,942 85,040 85,093 85,061 85,145 85,269 85,346 85,248 85,330 5,824 5,814 5,819 5,809 5,809 5,820 5,829 5,828 5,816 5,811 6,105 6,086 6,085 6,068 6,064 6,050 6,049 6,047 6,034 6,023 19,378 19,324 19,339 19,345 19,347 19,343 19,338 19,288 19,227 19,224 6,735 6,718 6,712 6,703 6,688 6,687 6,692 6,697 6,694 6,701 28,576 28,576 28,645 28,712 28,733 28,831 28,937 29,019 29,008 29,057 18,407 •18,424 18,440 18,456 18,420 18,414 18,424 18,467 18,469 18,514 2,951 2,953 2,952 2,971 2,963 2,967 2,979 2,983 2,982 2,986 1992: Jan r... 108,760 Febr.... 108,867 Mar"... 108,886 23,506 23,490 23,492 4,602 4,574 4,584 18,238 18,252 18,249 10,367 10,386 10,381 7,871 7,866 7,868 85,254 85,377 85,394 5,794 5,800 5,797 6,007 5,996 5,987 19,168 19,292 19,268 6,693 6,702 6,706 29,073 29,076 29,086 18,519 18,511 18,550 2,983 2,978 2,980 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Mar.... Apr May.... June... July.... Aug.... Sept ... Oct .... Nov ... Dec 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pav for any part of the pav period which include.s the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this tahle not comparable with estimates of noiiagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Manufacturing Period Total private nonagricultural l Total Average gross weekly earnings Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Total private nonagricultural * Overtime Current dollars Current dollars Total private nonagricultural 1 1982 dollars2 Manufacturing Current dollars 1982 dollars z Manufacturing Construction Retail trade Percent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultural 3 Current dollars 1982 dollars 1982 . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987... 1988 1989 . 1990 1991 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.6 34.5 34.3 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 40.8 40.7 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.6 $7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.28 9.66 10.02 10.34 $7.68 7.79 7.80 7.77 7.81 7.73 7.69 7.64 7.53 7.46 $8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.19 10.48 10.83 11.18 $267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.02 334.24 345.69 354.66 $267.26 272.52 274.73 271.16 271.94 269.16 266.79 264.22 259.72 255.89 $330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.81 429.68 441.86 455.03 $426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 495.73 513.17 526.40 533.78 $163.83 171.13 174.47 174.81 175.80 178.80 183.62 188.72 194.69 200.20 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.8 3.4 2.6 -1.2 2.0 .8 -1.3 .3 -1.0 -.9 -1.0 1.7 1991- Mar Sept Oct Nov .... Dec 34.2 34.0 34.3 34.6 34.1 34.3 34.5 34.3 34.4 34.5 40.3 40.2 40.4 40.8 40.7 41.0 41.0 40.9 41.0 41.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 10.24 10.28 10.32 10.37 10.36 10.40 10.41 10.40 10.44 10.48 7.45 7.46 7.47 7.49 7.47 7.49 7.47 7.45 7.45 7.46 11.05 11.12 11.15 11.19 11.22 11.25 11.25 11.26 11.31 11.32 350.21 349.52 353.98 358.80 353.28 356.72 359.15 356.72 359.14 361.56 254.88 253.64 256.32 259.25 254.89 256.82 257.82 255.53 256.35 257.52 445.32 447.02 450.46 456.55 456.65 461.25 461.25 460.53 463.71 465.25 526.67 532.50 533.40 532.64 532.38 533.25 537.73 536.97 527.42 537.86 197.34 197.95 200.33 202.59 199.65 201.34 203.04 200.50 204.19 203.77 2.3 '2.5 2.9 3.1 1.9 3.0 2.8 3.3 3.0 3.0 -2.2 -2.1 -1.9 -1.4 -2.3 -.5 -.3 .6 .2 .3 1992: Janr' Feb .. Mar ». 34.2 34.6 34.6 40.8 41.1 41.1 3.6 3.7 3.7 10.47 10.51 10.55 7.45 7.46 7.46 11.28 11.33 11.38 358.07 363.65 365.03 254.85 258.27 257.97 460.22 465.66 467.72 531.62 523.77 532.60 202.64 207.48 206.35 3.1 3.8 4.0 .6 1.0 1.0 May July 1 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for url•ban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1982 = 100 base). -1.5 3 Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100) 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Period Total compensation Wages and salaries 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90.1 93.1 97.6 102.3 107.0 111.7 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 106.1 110.0 Benefits ' Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries • 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.4 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.7 Benefits ' Not seasonally adjusted 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 109.4 116.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 .8 .6 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 .7 .6 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 .9 7.2 7.4 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 6.6 6.2 Not seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted 1989: Mar June Sept Dec 98.9 99.9 101.2 102.4 99.1 100.0 101.1 102.2 98.2 99.9 101.5 103.0 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.6 1.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 1990: Mar June Sept Dec 103.8 105.0 106.2 107.2 103.3 104.4 105.4 106.2 105.2 106.7 108.3 109.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 .9 1.1 1.1 1.0 .8 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.0 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.6 1991: Mar Sept Dec 108.5 109.7 110.8 111.9 107.3 108.4 109.2 110.1 111.4 113.2 115.1 116.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 .7 .8 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.2 1992: Mar 113.0 111.0 118.4 1.0 .8 1.5 4.2 3.4 6.3 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. 55-104 0 - 9 2 — 2 Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Hours of all persons 2 Output * Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Compensation per hour 3 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implic t price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1982 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1981 1982 1983 1984 99.9 100.0 102.2 104.6 106.1 108.3 109.4 110.4 109.5 109.7 110.0 99.9 100.0 102.4 104.5 105.4 107.5 108.3 109.2 108.2 108.1 108.4 102.4 100.0 104.1 112.6 116.7 119.9 124.8 130.1 132.4 132.9 131.0 102.4 100.0 104.4 113.0 116.8 120.1 125.0 130.6 132.8 133.2 131.1 102.5 100.0 101.8 107.6 109.9 110.7 114.1 117.9 120.9 121.2 119.1 102.5 100.0 102.0 108.1 110.8 111.8 115.4 119.5 122.7 123.1 120.9 93.0 100.0 103.7 108.1 113.0 118.6 122.7 128.0 132.5 139.6 145.1 93.0 100.0 103.9 108.1 112.6 118.1 122.1 127.2 131.5 138.3 143.8 98.7 100.0 100.5 100.4 101.3 104.4 104.3 104.4 103.1 103.1 102.8 98.8 100.0 100.7 100.4 101.0 104.0 103.7 103.8 102.3 102.1 101.9 93.1 100.0 101.5 103.3 106.5 109.5 112.2 116.0 121.0 127.2 131.9 93.1 100.0 101.5 103.4 106.8 109.9 112.8 116.4 121.5 127.9 132.6 94.5 100.0 103.4 107.7 111.2 113.6 116.6 120.8 126.0 130.8 135.1 94.2 100.0 104.0 107.6 111.6 114.2 117.2 121.4 126.4 131.3 136.0 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 .. 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV 101.1 103.0 105.2 106.9 108.0 110.3 110.4 101.0 103.2 105.1 105.8 107.1 109.1 109.6 100.0 107.5 114.4 118.0 120.6 127.4 131.7 100.0 108.1 114.8 118.2 120.8 127.6 132.5 98.9 104.3 108.7 110.4 111.6 115.5 119.3 98.9 104.7 109.2 111.7 112.8 117.0 121.0 102.1 105.2 109.7 115.4 120.6 125.3 130.1 102.1 105.1 109.7 114.8 120.1 124.6 129.3 100.6 100.4 100.6 102.2 105.3 104.8 104.3 100.6 100.3 100.5 101.6 104.9 104.2 103.6 101.0 102.1 104.3 108.0 111.6 113.7 117.8 101.1 101.8 104.4 108.4 112.1 114.3 118.0 101.1 104.8 109.0 112.4 114.6 117.9 122.8 101.4 105.2 109.0 112.9 115.2 118.5 123.4 1989: I II... Ill IV 110.0 109.7 109.2 109.1 108.8 108.2 107.9 107.8 132.6 132.5 132.4 132.2 133.0 132.8 132.8 132.6 120.5 120.7 121.3 121.2 122.2 122.7 123.1 123.0 131.3 131.9 132.6 134.1 130.4 130.7 131.5 133.0 104.0 102.9 102.7 102.7 103.3 102.0 101.8 101.9 119.3 120.2 121.5 122.8 119.8 120.8 121.9 123.4 124.2 125.6 126.4 127.6 124.5 126.0 126.9 128.0 1990- I II Ill IV 109.6 110.3 109.6 109.4 108.1 108.6 107.9 107.9 133.2 133.9 132.9 131.8 133.5 134.1 133.1 132.0 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.5 123.5 123.4 123.3 122.4 136.2 139.0 140.9 142.3 134.9 137.6 139.5 141.0 102.6 103.6 103.3 102.6 101.7 102.6 102.3 101.7 124.3 126.1 128.5 130.1 124.9 126.7 129.2 130.7 128.8 130.2 131.6 132.5 129.2 130.6 132.2 133.3 1991- I II Ill IV 109.4 109.9 110.2 110.8 107.9 108.4 108.6 109.1 130.2 130.7 131.3 131.6 130.4 130.9 131.4 131.6 119.1 119.0 119.2 118.7 120.9 120.8 121.0 120.6 143.2 144.8 145.8 146.9 142.0 143.6 144.5 145.5 102.4 103.0 103.0 102.9 101.6 102.1 102.1 101.8 131.0 131.8 132.3 132.6 131.6 132.5 133.0 133.3 134.0 135.0 135.6 135.9 134.9 135.7 136.4 137.0 1.9 -2.3 4.1 8.2 3.6 2.8 4.1 4.3 1.8 .4 -1.5 1.6 24 4.4 8.2 3.4 2.8 4.1 4.4 1.7 .3 -1.6 0.6 -2.5 1.8 5.7 2.1 .7 3.1 3.3 2.6 2 — 1.7 0.7 -2.4 2.0 6.0 2.5 .9 3.3 3.5 2.7 .3 -1.8 9.4 7.6 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.9 3.5 4.3 3.5 5.4 3.9 9.6 7.5 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.9 3.4 4.1 3.4 5.2 4.0 -0.8 1.3 .5 — .1 .9 3.0 — .1 .1 -1.2 -.0 -0.7 1.2 .7 -.3 .6 3.0 2.6 4.2 .7 2.0 — .4 4.3 1.4 1.4 -.4 3.5 2.0 2.1 4.4 3.4 1.1 2.5 4.5 — 1.1 -1.3 -4.8 .3 .4 1.8 -.3 6.6 8.4 5.7 4.1 6.0 8.1 5.6 4.4 — .4 4.1 -1.3 -2.6 -1.0 3.9 2.6 4.6 2.7 3.2 2.7 4.6 2.6 2.7 -.6 2.0 0 — .4 — .5 2.1 — .1 -.9 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1.3 .1 2.2 2.3 1.4 2.0 1.0 9 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 n 2 0.9 .1 2.4 2.1 .8 1.9 .8 .9 -.9 I .2 .3 -.6^ 1.4 g .1 -.7 1989- 1 II Ill IV -1.5 -1.0 -2.0 2 -2.8 -2.0 -1.3 -.3 1990- I II Ill IV 1.7 2.4 -2.2 -.9 1.0 2.1 -2.5 -.3 3.0 2.0 -3.0 -3.0 2.7 1.8 -3.0 -3.1 1.2 -.5 -.8 — 2.2 1991- I II Ill IV -.1 1.9 1.1 2.2 .1 1.9 .9 1.7 -4.9 1.7 1.8 .8 -4.9 1.6 1.6 .6 -4.7 -.3 .7 -1.5 q 1 -a!s -4.9 3 .7 — 1.1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1987 dollars. Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates basi'd primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees phis employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the seifernployed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 2 NOTE.—Data relate to ali persons engaged in the sector. 16 o -4.0 -1.0 9 0 — 1.4 _.2 2 1 A -2.3 Percent, changes are from preceding jj differ slightly from percent changes based Dtila reflect the recent tvm/>ivht>twiv accounts by the Ik'/xtrtment of Counni-n-c, if, output and com/M'Hxation for W91 iitrorji recm-dx. However, the detailed VI inf( 8.0 7.4 1.5 1.9 3.0 2.8 2.5 3.3 4.3 5.2 3.7 8.6 7.4 1.5 1.9 3.3 2.9 2.6 3.2 4.3 5.3 3.7 10.1 5.8 3.4 4.1 3.3 2.2 2.6 3.6 4.3 3.8 3.3 10.1 6.1 4.0 3.5 3.7 2.4 2.6 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.5 5.1 3.1 4.2 4.6 6.4 3.2 3.8 4.8 4.7 4.4 2.7 3.7 3.9 4.7 3.0 3.5 4.8 5.8 8.1 5.0 5.0 5.9 8.4 4.7 4.0 4.3 4.4 2.8 3.8 4.5 4.8 3.4 2.7 2.6 1.6 .9 2.7 2.6 1.8 .9 4.5 2.9 1.8 1.1 4.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in March. INDE X, 1987 = 100* (RATIO SCALE) INDE X, 1987 = 100* (RATIO SCALE) 120 130 FINAL PRODUCTS TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 115 125 120 110 ,—-1 105 ^ V/~v /— 115 —" 110 100 95 | | i 1 1 j j | | i | _u i ii UNI 1 M ! 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 _I_L 1 1 1 1 n u i 105 1 1 1 liLl Ml! 100 120 MANUFACTURING /^ /r EQlJIPMEh T --^s" , — '\ ^'~\ -•-. J \~ \ ^.^ V 115 S* 105 t m^ _-/% -;fr~* I / v X ^ /" 80 I! 1 i 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1! 1 1 i 1 1 i M i !1 1 1 1 1 i 105 86 ii UTILITIES 84 X v V' -\ V- V >^ ViM 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ^^ 82 K/ y/XX^ 1 1 1 1 1I M 1 1 19 89 1988 i 1 1 11 I ! 1 1 ! 1 Mill MEM MINING I II I ! 1 1 I 1 1 I 1990 i—"^-, _/"^~"' •^^ -V-! / ~'~~\ \ 80 ./ 100 HIM 1 1 M 1 88 — CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE (TOTAL INDUSTRY) UTILITIES AND MINING 110 1 1111111 111 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 II 1 PER :ENT* M 1 ! 11M 1 1 i 120 115 "" * *S NONDURABLE 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 , 85 100 95 X DEFENSE AND SPACE EQUIPMENT 90 A/~V ^^~ 110 •** ,./ V CONSUMER GOODS 95 DURABLE >v-v r^ \ \^"%'~-v v BUSINES: 1 1 1 M 11 1 11 76 1992 1991 v—— \/""\ 78 1 1 1M 11M 1 1 n mini M | | M | 1 1989 1988 |M||| 1 1992 1991 1990 USTED OF COVER * SEASONALLY AD OURCE: BOARD COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER5 [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Industry production indexes, 1987=100 Total industrial production Period Index, 1987=100 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 r 1991- Mar May July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r 1992: 1 Jnnr Feb r Mar" Output as percent of capacity Capacity utilization rate, percent l Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 109.2 107.1 1.9 -4.4 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 1.0 -1.9 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 109.9 107.5 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 111.6 107.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 107.8 107.9 114.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 102.6 101.1 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 108.0 109.2 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 83.0 79.4 78.8 72.8 74.9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 82.3 78.2 105.0 105.5 106.4 107.3 108.1 108.0 108.4 108.4 108.1 107.4 -3.6 -3.0 -2.7 -2.5 -2.1 -2.3 -2.0 -1.4 2 .2 105.2 105.9 106.6 107.5 108.3 108.4 108.9 109.0 108.6 108.1 105.0 106.0 106.7 107.3 108.1 107.8 108.4 108.2 107.8 107.1 105.4 105.9 106.5 107.6 108.6 109.0 109.6 110.1 109.6 109.5 101.5 100.9 100.2 102.1 102.7 101.3 101.4 100.7 99.6 98.8 106.4 105.9 111.4 111.5 110.9 110.7 109.7 109.4 111.0 107.9 78.4 78.6 79.1 79.6 80.0 79.8 79.9 79.8 79.3 78.7 77.2 77.5 77.8 78.3 78.7 78.6 78.8 78.7 78.2 77.7 106.4 106.9 107.2 _ 2 1.1 2.1 107.2 107.8 107.9 105.8 106.7 106.8 109.0 109.1 109.3 97.5 98.1 97.9 106.8 106.6 108.8 77.8 78.0 78.1 76.9 77.1 77.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Products Materials Final products Intermediate products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 r 1991- Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec ' 1992- Jan ' Feb * Mar * 1 Durable goods Nondurable goods Total ' Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total Energy 80.8 83.0 91.0 94.2 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 110.9 109.6 84.5 88.8 92.8 93.7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 107.3 107.5 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 106.2 102.3 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 107.6 109.0 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 115.5 112.2 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 123.1 121.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 97.3 91.1 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 107.7 103.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 105.2 96.0 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 109.4 108.4 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 107.8 105.5 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 102.1 102.3 108.1 1087 109.3 110.1 110 2 109.8 110.4 110.6 110.6 109.9 104.7 105 5 106.6 108.0 108 3 108.4 109.4 109.7 110.0 109.1 95.9 99.3 101.1 104.2 105.5 104.0 107.7 107.5 106.0 104.6 107.1 107.2 108.1 109.0 109.0 109.6 109.8 110.3 111.1 110.3 112.5 112.8 112.7 112.8 112.8 111.6 111.8 111.9 111.4 110.9 120.3 121.3 121.7 121.9 122.5 121.3 122.2 122.3 121.8 121.4 93.9 92.5 91.5 91.0 90.0 89.8 89.1 89.1 88.8 88.1 101.3 101.2 102.7 104.0 104.0 104.4 104.3 104.1 103.9 103.8 94.0 94.9 95.8 97.4 96.9 96.7 96.5 95.4 95.9 95.0 106.4 105.6 107.5 108.5 109.0 109.7 109.7 110.1 109.4 110.0 102.6 103.4 104.5 105.4 107.0 107.2 107.5 107.4 106.6 105.8 101.3 101.1 102.4 103.4 104.1 103.3 103.6 103.1 102.2 100.4 108.6 109.3 109.6 108.0 108.5 109.0 101.4 104.6 105.1 109.8 109.6 110.1 109.5 110.4 110.5 119.8 121.2 121.4 86.9 86.3 85.8 103.4 103.6 103.9 95.3 95.3 95.1 109.0 109.4 110.1 104.9 105.2 105.4 100.2 100.4 101.0 Includes oi! and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1987—100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 ' 1991- Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec ' 1992- Jan r Feb ' . . Mar * Source: Board of Go tors of the Federal Reserve Svstei 18 Iron and steel Nondurable manufactures Transportation equipment Primary metals Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109 2 108.4 99.5 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 1093 109.9 98.0 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 105.9 100.4 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 126.5 123.5 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 111.4 110.1 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 105.5 98.6 58.8 74.5 90.6 99.0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 96.8 90.4 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 101.6 94.2 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 104.3 98.8 96.2 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 111.9 112.3 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 110.3 110.9 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 107.6 108.6 94.7 94.5 96.9 96.4 101.2 102.6 102.3 102.6 103.5 101.3 92.0 91.6 94.0 92.9 99.5 100.6 100.8 102.4 105.6 101.7 97.8 98.0 99.1 99.8 100.9 101.4 101.9 101.9 101.8 101.2 123.1 123.5 123.6 123.4 123.9 123.3 123.1 123.5 122.8 121.9 108.6 109.7 110.6 111.5 111.0 111.5 111.0 109.8 110.7 110.6 95.0 97.2 98.2 99.7 101.3 99.0 102.2 102.4 99.7 98.0 79.8 86.2 89.8 92.5 96.7 91.6 99.5 100.4 95.9 94.6 91.2 92.7 92.5 96.7 94.8 95.3 95.2 93.8 96.4 95.2 92.5 93.2 95.2 96.2 97.8 98.3 98.1 98.7 98.8 99.0 110.4 110.7 110.6 111.2 111.9 112.3 113.3 114.4 114.2 114.5 108.2 109.0 109.2 109.6 111.5 112.3 112.6 113.5 113.0 112.6 107.4 107.6 107.8 108.6 108.3 108.7 109.5 109.4 110.1 109.6 101.9 100.0 99.9 104.0 100.6 100.9 99.6 100.4 100.1 121.4 121.8 122.6 110.3 110.8 110.7 93.7 97.1 97.4 87.1 93.8 94.1 97.1 97.9 97 9 97.5 97.0 97.1 114.6 113.9 114.2 112.4 113.1 113.3 109.2 109.4 109.1 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Construction contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total Commercial and industrial 2 New housing units Total 1 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1987 = 100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 294.9 348.8 377.4 407.7 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ... 1988 1989 . . 1990 1991 419.3 432.2 443.7 446.4 404.0 231.5 278.6 299.5 323.1 328.6 337.4 345.4 337.8 295.2 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 196.6 182.9 160.6 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 139.2 128.0 110.8 48.2 50.8 51.3 51.6 50.0 51.4 54.6 58.5 58.6 57.7 74.0 89.8 84.4 84.0 88.0 94.3 96.4 76.0 75 83 91 96 100 101 105 95 88 63.5 70.2 77.8 84.6 90.6 94.8 98.3 108.7 108.8 Annual rates Annual rates 1991: Mar 401.9 407.1 293.3 299.0 May T ! 399.0 398.2 398.4 403.2 407.0 408.8 405.5 400.8 291.0 290.9 290.3 293.4 296.6 296.3 293.7 409.7 296.2 413.3 419.9 298.1 301.1 July . ' Sept Oct ' Nov * Dee ' 1992: Jan * Feb ... Mar" 291.2 152.4 151.8 154.6 158.3 158.0 162.8 166.6 166.9 166.5 165.4 100.8 100.6 103.2 106.7 109.9 114.4 118.0 118.2 118.8 119.0 83.2 87.0 78.2 73.8 73.4 72.0 71.2 70.7 68.3 67.3 57.6 60.2 58.3 58.8 58.9 58.6 58.8 58.7 58.9 58.5 108.6 108.0 108.0 107.3 108.1 109.7 110.4 112.5 111.8 109.6 170.1 170.7 173.7 120.4 122.3 125.0 65.8 66.8 66.7 60.3 60.6 60.6 113.5 115.2 118.8 1 Includes 2 Includes 3 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 961 783 545 r 87 93 89 F 83 88 92 '81 96 81 97 538 624 565 438 469 507 408 625 474 479 95 !03 94 472 563 497 r Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. residential improvements, not shown separately. hotels and motels. F.W. Dodge series. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Units started, by type of structure Period Total 1982 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,376.1 1,192.7 1,013.9 1983 1984. 1985 1986.... 1987 1988 1989 1990. 1991 1 unit 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,003.3 894.8 840.4 2^t units 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 37.5 35.6 Units completed Units authorized 5 or more units 319.6 260.4 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 1,338.4 1,110.8 137.9 961.4 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period * 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 1,308.0 " 1,090.8 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 534 509 253 301 353 346 357 366 368 365 321 283 1,097 1,188 1,090 1,072 1,104 1,065 1,051 1,193 1,073 1,021 r 1,021 1,033 1,051 490 497 505 511 513 505 522 499 526 578 312 308 302 298 296 295 292 292 289 286 283 281 269 276 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.4 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1991- Feb Mar Apr May y ' July .... Sept Oct Noy.... Dec 1992: Jan r Feb r Mar* 1 1C 11 Seasonally 2 A- 1,008 918 978 983 1,036 1,053 1,053 1,020 1,085 1,085 1,118 1,180 1,283 1,365 803 751 802 830 870 881 881 864 887 907 972 989 1,131 1,100 36 27 32 36 26 46 41 28 49 33 46 28 22 53 adjusted. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with earlier data. 169 140 144 117 140 126 131 128 149 145 100 163 130 212 876 892 913 966 999 1,005 953 982 1,028 993 1,055 1,111 1,166 1,093 . . . , . r 578 647 602 513 ,^nnn . . 7.5 7.3 7.6 7.3 7.4 . NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. B 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In February, manufacturing and trade sales rose 1.5 percent and inventories were about unchanged. In March, according to advance data, retail sales fell 0.4 percent, following a rise of 1.3 percent in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS '(RATIO SCALE| 900 "^ r"1 \ 700 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES ^^ n 250 ^—•— 800 200 -^1 RFTAIl INVENTORIE 600 •^/ 500 *s ^~ — ^ ' 'T~\ ,- -~-- 150 Mf kNUFACTURII-•IG AN D TRADE SA ES \ RETAIL SAL s 400 100 300 MM! 1 1 1 l l l l 1 1 II II 1 1 II 1 1 1 II 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 I II 1 1 1 II 1 Mill RATIC) * 1.60 INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.70 .. ,-A 1.60 200 1.50 'T'xA^r^/ — V" \^^ S 1988 1 Ml i l i u m 1 Ml l l l l III 1989 1991 1990 1.30 1 " V"" M 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 M Ml 1 ll II II 1 1 M M I ! M 1 1 1989 1988 1992 \ ^ MANUFACTURING 1.40 1 " v; A 1 III 1 111 11 1991 1990 M M i l l 1 1 II 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturing and trade ' Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Wholesale Inventories 3 Sales 2 Period 2 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Sales 348,755 370,441 411,391 423,806 431,668 459,088 496,330 525,839 542,917 535,356 527,818 r 523,518 530,872 535,926 536,977 541,023 539,578 540,898 542,982 542,757 532,637 537,166 545,301 574,518 590,968 650,789 665,060 664,031 711,595 767,700 810,257 825,363 816,683 827,588 819,615 816,893 811,713 807,105 806,802 806,648 809,793 813,024 813,898 816,683 812,989 812,970 96,290 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124,254 135,176 144,005 149,193 144,970 143,904 142,935 145,019 144,927 145,217 147,635 145,524 146,000 145,365 144,772 144,200 145,142 145,907 Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Manufacturing and trade * 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 238,159 241,860 244,767 241,082 236,900 236,696 236,204 235,098 235,994 236,757 239,745 241,955 242,186 244,767 242,426 242,431 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 120,663 120,488 118,327 119,189 116,041 116,087 115,490 114,305 114,754 115,279 117,437 118,172 117,735 118,327 116,529 117,569 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 117,496 121,372 126,440 121,893 120,859 120,609 120,714 120,793 121,240 121,478 122,308 123,783 124,451 126,440 125,897 124,862 1.67 1.55 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.50 1.49 1.51 1.51 1.52 1.57 1.57 1.54 1.51 1.50 1.49 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.53 1.51 1.49 Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- Feb r Mar Apr June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan ' Feb" Mar" 1 2 3 Set1 page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. End of period. 20 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,273 194,692 196,215 198,047 196,733 195,052 193,632 192,039 192,806 192,503 191,211 193,005 193,892 196,215 196,571 197,738 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,613 145,146 150,602 151,752 150,699 r 151,868 150,967 152,710 152,642 153,195 152,160 152,658 152,483 152,505 152,440 155,657 r !57,711 157,114 28,013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 54,349 54,563 53,747 53,088 T 53,943 53,490 54,074 54,212 54,117 53,390 54,619 54,657 54,247 54,687 56,178 r 57,375 57,487 4 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,332 90,797 96,039 98,005 97,611 r 97,925 97,477 98,636 98,430 99,078 98,770 98,039 97,826 98,258 97,753 99,479 r 100,336 99,627 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.60 1.59 1.58 1.60 1.56 1.57 1.55 1.54 1.54 1.56 1.57 1.59 1.59 1.61 1.56 1.54 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In March, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and new orders rose, while unfilled orders fell. BIlilONS OF DOUARS* (RATIO SCALE] 280 SHIPMENTS 240 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 440 200 360 TOTAL -DURABLE GOODS 160 :==—' TQTA 280 , \ • 120 •- \ 200 DURABLE GOODS \ 160 NONDURABLE GOODS 80 120 NCENDURABLE 3OODS 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 NEW ORDERS ^_^ 240 ' 60 ">*~ ' \ 200 ( TOTAL 160 ||im milllim I l l l l l l l l l l DURAB LE GOODS / 120 RATIO * 2.20 _lv .'•*—£.^ v^,-*--*^ ^-Ll •v •"" — — **" INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 2.00 \ 1.80 NONI URABLE GOC3DS 80 |Vf r-X .^, .„./%., — '^•"wv/ 1.60 V. 1.40 60 ||m| mill inn I l l l l l m i l mi ill M i i m i l i m i 1988 1989 1990 Manufacturers' shipments 1 1.20 mill mill 1992 1991 1989 1988 Manufacturers' inventories 2 ^^ 1991 1990 Manufacturers' new orders 1 Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 1992 Total Total Capital goods industries, non-defense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers' inventory — j s'liiMneiLs ratio s Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983... 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989.... 1990 1991 163,351 172,547 190,682 194,538 194,657 206,326 223,541 236,689 243,122 238,634 79,212 85,481 97,940 101,279 103,238 108,128 117,993 124,532 125,388 121,588 84,139 87,066 92,742 93,259 91,419 98,198 105,549 112,156 117,735 117,046 311,829 312,350 339,484 334,803 322,731 338,212 367,596 383,825 388,811 375,701 200,409 199,814 221,284 218,182 212,010 220,790 241,389 253,261 252,836 240,292 111,420 112,536 118,200 116,621 110,721 117,422 126,207 130,564 135,975 135,409 162,140 175,451 192,879 195,706 195,204 209,389 227,025 240,758 243,643 237,288 78,064 88,140 100,164 102,356 103,647 110,809 121,444 128,651 125,958 120,139 19,213 19,624 23,669 24,545 23,983 26,096 30,727 34,816 34,032 31,501 84,077 87,311 92,715 93,351 91,557 98,579 105,581 112,107 117,685 117,149 311,883 347,310 373.607 387,241 393,629 430,589 472,223 520,837 527,195 511,348 1.73 1.88 1.59 1.58 1.61 1.60 1.80 1991: Mar ' , 228,715 234,886 238,289 239,118 240,193 241,894 242,240 245,134 245,480 235,997 114,487 119,721 121,024 122,240 122,994 124,459 124,965 126,404 126,547 119,795 114,228 115,165 117,265 116,878 117,199 117,435 117,275 118,730 118,933 116,202 385,982 385,145 381,877 379,968 378,002 377,388 378,837 378,064 377,820 375,701 250,405 249,546 246,964 245,642 244,467 243,616 244,310 242,816 242,290 240,292 135,577 135,599 134,913 134,326 133,535 133,772 134,527 135,248 135,530 135,409 226,431 231,229 236,540 233,725 248,090 243,160 237,624 242,230 243,138 234,102 112,116 116,139 118,434 117,128 130,827 125,482 120,092 123,325 124,046 117,785 31,940 28,748 28,038 29,282 36,689 30,993 30,078 31,098 34,876 28,909 114,315 115,090 118,106 116,597 117,263 117,678 117,532 118,905 119,092 116,317 524,742 521,085 519,336 513,943 521,840 523,106 518,490 515,586 513,243 511,348 1.69 1.64 1.60 1.59 1.57 1.56 1.56 1.54 1.54 1.59 236,367 241,683 243,852 121,615 ' 125,378 126,534 114,752 116,305 117,318 373,992 372,801 372,850 238,891 237,534 236,914 135,101 135,267 135,936 235,188 236,942 240,796 31,636 31,186 34,068 114,621 116,080 117,446 510,169 505,428 502,372 1.58 1.54 1.53 Z July * * Sept Oct NOT . Dec 1992: Jan ' Feb '.. Mar* 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. * End of period. 3 r 120,567 120,862 123,350 r 1.95 1.73 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratio Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In March, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.2 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.5 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.4 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2 percent. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 110 100 100 90 90 1984 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate ma erials Finished goods Total finished Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 p 1991- Mar Apr May July Sept Oct Nov r Dec 1992- Jan Feb Mar 1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 119.2 121.7 121.2 121.4 121.6 121.4 121.2 121.5 121.8 122.1 122.2 122.1 121.7 122.0 122.3 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 124.4 r 124.1 124.9 125.3 125.0 124.7 124.0 123.4 123.3 123.3 123.1 122.9 122.5 123.8 123.2 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 117.4 120.9 120.0 120.1 120.4 120.2 120.1 120.6 121.2 121.7 121.9 122.0 121.4 121.6 122.0 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 111.5 115.0 113.6 113.9 114.5 114.2 114.0 114.9 115.3 116.1 116.2 115.7 114.7 114.9 115.5 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 122.9 126.7 126.2 126.2 126.6 126.7 126.8 126.9 127.1 127.3 127.5 127.7 128.0 128.0 128.3 Total Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 Nondurable Capital equipment Consumer goods 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 115.3 118,7 117.6 117.7 118.1 117.8 117.7 118.3 119.0 119.6 119.8 119.7 118.9 119.0 119.5 Durable 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 120.4 123.9 123.9 123.9 123.4 123.3 123.5 123.8 124.3 124.4 124.6 124.8 125.5 125.3 125.6 con- Foodstuffs and feedstuffs Total Foods and feeds l Other Total 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 114.5 114.4 114.5 114.1 114.0 114.2 113.8 114.1 114.3 114.0 114.0 113.9 113.3 113.9 113.9 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 113.3 111.1 112.4 112.4 110.5 110.2 108.5 110.6 110.8 111.7 112.0 112.0 111.1 112.6 111.6 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 114.5 114.6 114.7 114.2 114.2 114.4 114.1 114.3 114.5 114.2 114.1 114.0 113.4 114.0 114.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 101.8 103.5 104.7 94.8 95.8 93.2 87.7 96.2 93.7 96.0 106.1 103.1 111.2 108.9 .113.1 101.2 105.5 100.7 108.4 100.4 108.2 100.9 105.6 99.3 106.0 99.3 104.2 99.1 102.6 98.4 104.2 100.5 104.2 100.4 103.5 98.3 103.2 97.7 105.0 99.4 107.3 97.9 106.0 sumer goods 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 118.2 120.5 120.0 120.2 120.4 120.1 119.8 120.2 120.4 120.8 120.9 120.7 120.1 120.5 120.7 Crude materials Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Other 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 101.5 94.6 92.3 92.0 94.1 91.5 92.4 93.1 91.1 94.2 94.5 91.4 89.3 90.5 89.1 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In March, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.5 percent seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted. The index was 3.2 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84 . 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84 . 100 (RATIO SCALE) 150 150 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All items l Housing Transportation Shelter Period Not seasonally adjusted (NBA) Season- ally adjust- May June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Feb Mar Total ' Total ed 1000 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Mar Food 96 5 99 6 103.9 107 6 109.6 113 6 118.3 124.0 130 7 136.2 Renters' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Maintenance and repairs (NSA) 16,0 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 132.4 136.3 41.5 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 128.5 133.6 27.9 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 140.0 146.3 8.0 19.7 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133.6 138.9 146.7 155.6 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 144.6 150.2 0.2 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114.7 118.0 122.2 126.3 Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Total ' New cars Motor fuel 7.3 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 111.6 115.3 6.1 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 124.1 128.7 17.0 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 120.5 123.8 4.1 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 121.0 125.3 All items less food and energy Medical care Ener- 3.3 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 101.2 99.4 6.7 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 162.8 177.0 7.4 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 102.1 102.5 76.6 95.8 99.6 104.6 109.1 113.5 118.2 123.4 129.0 135.5 142.1 gy2 135.0 135.2 135.6 136.0 136.2 136.6 137.2 137.4 137.8 137.9 135.1 135.4 135.7 136.1 136.2 136.6 137.1 137.4 137.9 138.2 135.7 136.4 136.7 137.3 136.6 136.3 136.5 136.4 137.0 137.4 132.5 132.7 133.0 133.2 133.6 133.8 134.2 134.6 135.0 135.4 144.7 145.1 145.3 145.8 146.1 146.4 146.9 147.4 147.9 148.4 153.6 153.9 154.2 154.6 155.0 155.2 155.8 156.3 156.6 157.3 148.7 149.2 149.4 149.9 150.2 150.5 151.1 151.6 152.1 152.7 124.2 126.1 126.9 126.2 126.9 127.2 126.8 126.6 127.6 128.1 114.7 114.1 114.5 114.4 115.0 115.3 115.7 116.2 116.8 116.8 128.2 128.6 128.6 127.8 127.7 129.2 130.0 130.3 131.1 129.6 122.9 122.7 123.1 123.4 123.6 124.2 124.2 124.0 124.5 124.8 124.4 125.0 125.1 125.5 125.7 125.9 126.3 126.2 126.3 126.5 97.8 97.9 98.6 98.7 97.1 98.0 97.9 97.3 98.2 98.5 173.3 174.5 175.4 176.6 177.7 178.9 180.0 181.1 182.0 183.3 101.3 100.9 101.3 101.1 100.6 101.2 101.4 101.4 102.2 102.3 140.9 141.3 141.6 142.0 142.4 143.0 143.6 143.9 144.4 144.7 138.1 138.6 139.3 138.3 138.7 139.4 136.8 137.2 137.9 135.7 136.0 136.5 149.1 149.5 150.0 158.4 158.9 158.5 153.2 153.6 154.5 128.0 128.3 128.4 116.4 115.9 116.4 130.0 131.9 132.7 124.4 124.2 125.1 126.6 126.7 127.2 96.3 95.7 96.6 184.5 186.0 187.0 100.8 99.9 100.5 145.1 145.7 146.4 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Change from preceding per od Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 mouths earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Period Tola] finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from vear earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 4.0 4.9 5.7 -.1 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 » 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 9 5.7 5.2 2.6 -1.6 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 13 3.6 38 3.4 25 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 53 8.7 -.6 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 4.9 2.1 Change, month to month 1991- Mar 03 .2 2 -.2 -.2 .2 2 2 .1 May June July Sept Oct Dec r. -2.9 -3.2 0 .7 — .7 -.3 1.3 3.0 2.3 1.0 0 1.6 .6 -.6 -4.1 -5.0 -4.4 -2.2 -1.0 -1.3 -.3 1.1 -.5 — .7 .1 .4 2 0 -1.3 -.7 .7 -2.6 2.3 1.0 -.0 | 0 1 1992- Jan Feb ' Mar 0.2 0 .3 .1 .1 .1 .2 _2 .2 2 -8.4 -7.8 2 -.2 .1 .3 -.3 j .5 .6 .5 2 i 0.1 .3 -.2 _ 2 -.6 -.3 .2 .2 -0.9 .2 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 .5 0 -.3 -1.3 — 2.2 — 2.5 -3.2 -3.0 -2.9 0.3 -5.1 -4.9 -4.0 -4.0 — .7 2.4 3.3 2.9 3.3 3.9 3.6 3.7 3.4 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.6 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.0 .8 — .1 — .5 -.1 .8 .8 .8 -2.4 .6 ___ 2 2.0 1.2 .8 1.9 1.7 1.9 -.5 .4 .9 0.5 -1.3 -1.5 -1.1 -2.0 2 4.1 6.6 5.2 2.4 5.2 1.6 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 -2.3 -2.6 — .7 2.2 1.6 1.9 -2.0 .7 0 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change, from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Transportation Housing Shelter Period All items l Food Total ' Total ' Renters' costs Homeowners' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Motor fuel New cars Total ' Medical care Energy' All items less food and energy Addendum: All items, percent change (annua rate) From previous quarter 3 From 3 months earlier From 6 months From vear earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 6.1 3.1 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 5.3 1.9 0.1 .2 0.3 .5 9 .4 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.5 3.4 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.2 3.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 6.7 4.2 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 4.7 3.7 0.2 .2 2 .2 .3 .1 .3 .3 .3 .3 0.2 .3 .1 .3 2 2 .3 .3 .3 .3 0.3 .2 .2 .3 .3 .1 .4 .3 2 .4 0.1 .3 .1 .3 2 .2 .4 .3 .3 .4 0.1 — .5 .4 i .5 .3 .3 .4 .5 0 0.2 .3 0 -.6 -.1 1.2 .6 .2 .6 -1.1 9 .5 .3 .3 .7 .3 -.3 .3 .3 .6 -.3 -.4 .4 .3 1.5 .6 3.6 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 4.0 2.9 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 5.1 3.4 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 10.4 -1.5 1.5 — 6.5 3.4 — 1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 2.1 — 2.1 2.3 6.8 1.4 36.5 3.3 -16.0 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 9.6 7.9 0.6 .2 -4.7 .1 .7 .1 -1.6 .9 -.1 -.6 .9 .3 .1 .1 .4 -2.2 -.6 .9 .7 .8 .5 1.3 45 — .5 _2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 18.1 -7.4 4.8 4.7 4.3 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.4 5.2 4.4 -2.3 — .4 .4 9 -.5 .6 .2 0 .8 .1 0.3 .3 2 .3 .3 .4 A 2 .3 2 -1.5 .3 .4 .5 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.4 4.2 Change, month to month 1991: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Noy Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar 9 .3 .1 .3 .4 _2 .4 2 .1 .3 .5 1 2 9 .1 -.1 .4 .3 -.4 .3 .5 .2 .4 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electric ty, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., also included through 1982. 24 -0.8 0.3 .5 .1 .3 2 9 .3 2 .3 2 9 .5 0 2 .4 _2 1 .1 -.3 _ 9 3 .5 .7 .6 .7 .6 .6 .5 .7 n .6 3.6 2.7 2.1 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.2 3.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.1 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.4 3.8 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.3 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.4 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.3 2.4 2.7 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in April fell 0.7 percent from their March level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 200 200 180 160 PRICES RECEIVED 80 i i i i i 1i i i 80 RATION RATIOV 140 COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1977=100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices received by farmers Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- Apr June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar 1 All farm products Prices paid by farmers Livestock and products Crops Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Production items Ratio * 133 135 142 128 123 127 138 148 149 146 121 128 138 120 107 106 126 134 127 130 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 170 162 159 161 164 162 159 162 170 178 184 189 158 159 161 156 150 152 160 167 171 175 153 152 155 151 144 148 157 165 171 173 84 84 87 79 77 78 81 83 81 77 148 151 153 149 146 147 142 139 137 130 137 142 136 133 137 126 124 120 166 165 163 162 158 157 158 154 154 189 (3) (3) 189 (3) (3) 189 (3) (3) 176 (3) (3) 174 (3) (3) 173 (3) (3) 175 (3) (3) 173 (3) (3) 172 (3) (3) 78 80 81 79 77 78 75 74 72 138 142 143 142 123 128 r !31 128 152 156 155 156 !74 (3) (3) 176 171 (3) (3) 173 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of prices received by fanners to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid bv farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. 2 All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates l r !89 (3) (3) 191 r r 73 75 76 74 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required bv law. The indexes have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES M2 and M3 fell in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Ml M2 MS Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight KPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-onlv MMMF balances Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dee Dec 474.6 521.4 552.5 620.2 724.6 750.0 786.9 794.1 826.1 898.2 1,951.9 2,186.1 2,374.3 2,569.4 2,811.1 2,910.8 3,071.1 3,227.3 3,339.0 r 3,439.4 2,440.6 2,693.0 2,987.4 3,203.2 3,494.3 3,681.1 3,923.1 4,059.8 4,114.6 r 4,171.4 2,850.4 3,154.3 3,528.8 3,830.4 4,134.5 4,339.5 4,677.9 4,891.7 4,966.6 r 4,988.5 4,672.7 5,209.4 5,963.3 6,833.9 7,742.5 8,514.4 9,312.6 10,059.6 10,749.9 11,216.2 8.7 9.9 6.0 12.3 16.8 3.5 4.9 .9 4.0 8.7 8.9 12.0 8.6 8.2 9.4 3.5 5.5 5.1 3.5 3.0 9.3 10.3 10.9 7.2 9.1 5.3 6.6 3.5 1.3 1.4 9.3 11.5 14.5 14.6 13.3 10.0 9.4 8.0 6.9 4.3 1991- Feb Mar 3,369.4 3,386.9 •"3,394.8 3,405.6 3,411.8 3,407.4 3,409.5 3,411.5 3,417.4 r 3,431.2 ' 3,439.4 4,160.2 4,165.9 •"4,168.8 4,170.5 4,167.7 4,157.3 4,156.6 4,152.6 '4,158.9 r 4,167.1 •"4,171.4 •"5,008. 7 5,004.2 •"4,978.4 4,958.3 4,986.4 4,991.3 4,985.0 4,974.2 •"4,977.6 r 4,990.4 •"4,988.5 10,827.1 10,863.2 10,885.1 10,937.5 10,988.9 11,025.5 11,067.1 11,105.0 11,146.3 11,187.9 11,216.2 4.9 4.7 5.0 6.6 7.6 8.2 7.2 7.1 9.1 9.5 9.5 3.2 3.4 3.6 4.3 4.4 3.8 2.4 1.5 •"1.3 1.5 1.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.6 1.5 Dec 836.2 842.3 842.7 850.9 857.3 860.0 866.5 872.0 880.9 891.4 898.2 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.1 1992- Jan Feb Mar 910.3 930.8 938.6 r r •"4,983. 6 5,016.1 •"11,238.4 11,273.9 11.7 14.8 15 3 2.4 3.9 3.6 Period 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 19871988: 198919901991- May July Sept Get .... r ,3,448.2 3,475.4 3,473.6 4,175.2 •"4,200.1 4,189.8 L M3 plus other liquid assets Debt Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) 1 Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 Ml — 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate. 26 NOTE.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem. M2 Debt MS _ 9 r -.6 — .5 9 .2 •".9 •"2.1 1.8 3.9 3.7 COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Currency Demand deposits Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars l Money market mutual fund balances 2 General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Savings deposits, including money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Small denomination time deposits 3 Large denomination time deposits 3 NSA 19821983: 198419851986' 19871988' 1989' 1990" 19911991: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Feb Mar May ™3 July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar 132.5 234.0 146.2 238.5 156.1 243.9 167.9 266.7 180.8 302.0 197.0 286.8 212.3 286.5 222.6 279.0 246.8 277.1 267.3 289.5 254.6 275.9 256.0 276.9 256.3 276.1 256.6 278.4 257.6 280.1 259.3 279.3 261.3 280.1 262.9 280.6 264.8 283.8 266.0 287.6 267.3 289.5 269.4 ' 293.8 271.6 ' 305.0 271.9 309.6 103.7 131.8 147.2 179.7 235.3 259.3 280.6 285.1 293.9 333.2 297.5 301.3 302.5 307.8 311.6 313.7 317.3 320.6 324.5 329.7 333.2 338.9 346.0 349.1 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 84.1 83.2 77.6 74.7 75.7 70.4 69.2 69.6 r 68.5 67.9 64.9 67.3 66.4 69.5 73.3 75.7 r 77.2 '77.0 73.5 51.1 42.7 63.7 65.8 86.1 92.1 91.0 107.2 133.7 179.1 145.5 148.5 152.9 155.2 155.3 155.4 158.6 162.6 168.2 173.6 179.1 182.4 188.2 185.3 184.5 138.3 167.1 176.1 208.0 221.7 241.9 316.3 348.9 360.5 361.0 365.0 366.6 367.8 368.8 367.9 362.4 359.9 359.3 359.5 360.5 360.0 363.7 358.0 1 Includes continuing contract RPs. 2 Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally 3 adjusted. Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than 8100,000, respectively. 398.5 684.0 704.2 814.4 940.1 937.0 926.2 891.2 920.7 1,042.6 931.0 941.7 953.0 966.1 976.8 986.1 994.1 1,002.4 1,015.0 1,028.7 1,042.6 r 1,061.4 r 1,084.4 1,098.6 847.2 780.8 884.9 881.7 854.8 917.5 1,032.9 1,148.5 1,168.7 1,063.0 1,169.5 1,165.9 r l, 159.7 1,150.9 1,140.6 1,129.5 1,120.8 1,111.0 1,095.2 1,079.2 1,063.0 1,042.6 r 1,019.2 1,001.9 323.3 324.8 415.6 436.1 439.5 489.1 541.2 559.3 494.9 437.1 499.6 492.8 487.7 483.5 478.3 471.2 465.5 458.5 450.0 442.3 437.1 r 427.8 r 420.6 413.0 Term repurchase agreements (RPs) Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.6 106.0 121.8 99.1 89.6 70.9 86.7 83.5 82.2 80.4 78.4 78.8 78.4 76.7 75.5 73.7 70.9 70.9 r 72.1 73.8 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 105.7 79.5 68.7 '57.7 69.8 68.2 65.2 62.3 61.6 62.7 63.6 61.5 r 62.8 r 61.9 r 57.7 r 55.7 r 56.0 57.8 Savings bonds 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.5 91.8 100.6 109.4 117.5 126.0 137.9 127.9 129.0 130.1 131.3 132.4 133.5 134.4 135.2 136.1 137.1 137.9 138.9 140.1 Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 183.6 211.9 260.9 298.2 280.0 253.0 269.6 325.5 332.7 316.2 328.8 323.5 307.3 T 299.4 325.1 332.7 330.4 322.9 321.2 323.7 r 316.2 r 311.5 325.6 44.5 45.0 45.4 42.0 37.1 44.3 39.8 40.1 34.0 23.3 34.6 32.1 30.6 29.1 28.1 28.1 27.2 25.8 25.3 24.5 23.3 23.2 22.9 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.2 260.5 336.1 348.6 359.3 339.7 357.1 353.8 341.6 327.9 333.0 339.8 336.3 337.7 336.2 337.9 339.7 334.8 327.5 NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not show here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures 1; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Reserves of depository institutions Period Total 1982* 19831 1984198519861987" 1988' 1989' 1990199T 1991' Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar Apr May July Sent Oct Nov Dec 1992" Jan Feb Mar 1 . 27,835 29,901 31,662 37,061 45,863 45,812 47,596 47,729 49,104 53,752 49,530 49,344 50,000 50,345 50,410 50,886 51,147 51,816 52,695 53,752 54,367 56,418 57,331 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. "Monetary base data have been revised. Revised data prior to 1991 are not yet available. Nonborrowed 27,201 29,127 28,476 35,473 45,037 45,035 45,880 47,464 48,778 53,560 49,289 49,112 49,697 50,005 49,804 50,121 50,502 51,556 52,587 53,560 54,133 56,340 57,239 Nonborrowed plus extended credit 27,387 29,129 31,080 36,242 45,340 45,518 47,124 47,483 48,801 53,561 49,342 49,198 49,785 50,013 49,849 50,422 50,804 51,567 52,588 53,561 54,134 56,342 57,241 Monetary base Required 27,335 29,340 30,807 36,024 44,494 44,766 46,549 46,807 47,440 52,774 48,351 48,313 48,970 49,337 49,505 49,800 50,219 50,734 51,802 52,774 53,364 ' 55,353 56,302 Total 164,276 179,921 191,374 208,619 230,039 246,281 263,459 274,168 299,785 325,222 310,291 310,226 311,265 312,470 314,216 316,683 318,496 320,928 323,133 325,222 327,681 r 332,151 333,235 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 326 192 241 231 303 340 607 764 645 261 108 192 233 77 91 Seasonal 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 76 38 55 79 151 222 317 331 287 211 86 38 17 22 32 Extended credit 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 23 1 53 86 88 8 46 300 302 12 1 1 1 2 2 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.1 percent in March; commercial and industrial loans fell 0.4 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 3,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 3,200 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,800 2,400 2,000 1,600 1,200 800 800 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 400 400 OTHER SECURITIES \ 200 200 160 160 120 1984 1986 1985 1990 1988 1987 1992 1991 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted J ] All commercial banks Loans and leases Period 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991: 1991: 1992: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Total loans and securities 2 1,400.4 1,552.2 1,722.2 1,909.5 2,093.2 2,238.5 2,422.8 2,590.8 2,730.8 2,836.0 2,759.9 2,763.9 2,765.7 2,774.6 2,776.4 2,778.3 2,789.4 2,805.1 2,821.6 2,836.0 2,843.5 2,844.6 2,851.8 28 U.S. Government securities 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.8 310.0 335.8 363.5 398.2 454.1 562.5 470.8 478.2 484.1 493.9 503.7 513.2 523.4 538.4 550.5 562.5 564.2 568.7 576.8 Other securities 164.8 169.1 140.9 179.0 193.9 193.6 192.4 181.7 177.9 178.5 178.5 177.5 176.9 176.2 175.3 174.0 175.8 177.1 177.6 178.5 179.0 179.1 176.6 Total 2 1,033.9 1,123.9 1,321.1 1,459.8 1,589.4 1,709.1 1,866.9 2,010.9 2,098.8 2,095.0 2,110.6 2,108.3 2,104.8 2,104.6 2,097.4 2,091.1 2,090.2 2,089.6 2,093.4 2,095.0 2,100.2 2,096.7 2,098.4 Commercial and industrial 392.5 414.2 473.1 500.2 537.0 567.1 606.8 640.2 643.2 617.6 638.7 635.1 630.6 626.0 623.6 619.4 622.0 622.6 621.0 617.6 614.5 608.9 606.4 r Real estate Individual Security 299.9 331.0 376.2 425.8 494.0 586.9 670.1 759.5 843.3 871.1 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.7 25.3 28.0 34.4 43.0 40.3 34.8 41.2 41.5 44.7 54.6 48.2 48.5 49.1 49.0 47.4 48.4 50.1 51.2 53.6 54.6 59.1 56.9 60.4 857.7 861.5 863.8 868.6 867.7 866.9 867.9 869.0 870.6 871.1 870.7 875.4 877.0 315.3 328.3 354.5 374.8 379.6 363.9 375.2 374.3 373.6 372.9 371.0 370.3 367.2 364.4 363.2 363.9 363.9 364.2 362.9 Nonbank financial institutions 31.2 30.4 31.3 32,4 35.0 32,0 32.3 34.3 35.7 40.6 36.9 36.0 36.5 39.3 38.8 37.7 37.6 38.1 39.2 40.6 40.3 42,1 42.6 Agricultural 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.5 29.4 28.7 29.8 32.0 34.1 33.0 33.6 33.7 33.9 34.0 34.2 34.3 34.1 33.9 34.1 33.7 33.7 34.3 State and political subdivisions 0.0 .0 46.0 56.7 58.5 52.4 45.1 40.0 33.9 29.2 32.8 32.3 31.7 31.3 30.9 30.5 30.1 29.7 29.4 29.2 28.3 28.4 28.4 rorragn banks 14.7 13.4 11.6 9.9 10.3 7.8 7.7 8.2 7.5 7.2 7.5 7.1 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.6 6.8 7.2 7.1 6.6 6.4 Foreign official institutions Lease financing receivables 5.9 9.4 8.4 13.3 13.7 16.0 6.3 6.3 5.7 5.0 3.5 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.3 31.8 32.8 31.4 33.1 33.1 33.0 33.2 32.4 31.7 31.7 31.5 31.3 31.4 31.3 31.3 31.4 Other r r 26.8 31.8 30.2 35.6 38.8 40.1 46.2 47.1 43.3 42.9 44.7 44.2 43.6 41.5 42.8 43.1 40.2 40.0 41.8 42.9 49.0 46.9 46.4 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Uses Sources External Period Credit market funds Total Internal * Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 . 1989 1990 1991 p 1989- I n m IV 1990- I n TTT IV 1991- I n m rv Loans and short-term paper Securities and mortgages Total Total Other 2 Capital expenditures 3 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 313.7 431.2 491.4 464.3 521.5 545.0 586.7 549.3 470.6 472.5 247.6 292.3 336.4 351.9 336.8 376.1 404.4 404.9 381.5 391.5 66.1 138.9 155.0 112.3 184.7 168.9 182.3 144.4 89.1 81.0 50.7 81.0 92.5 52.4 126.7 63.0 63.0 42.1 16.5 39.7 -4.0 45.5 -13.0 -4.5 60.9 27.5 130 -41.7 -13.4 97.7 54.7 35.5 105.5 56.9 65.8 35.4 76.0 83.8 29.9 -58.0 15.4 57.9 62.5 59.9 58.0 106.0 119.3 102.3 72.6 41.4 337.9 428.9 506.3 458.1 505.1 477.5 558.3 525.3 489.7 452.9 286.1 303.8 399.1 375.3 353.9 365.8 394.5 421.4 403.2 365.6 51.8 125.1 107.2 82.8 151.2 111.7 163.8 103.9 86.5 87.3 -24.3 2.3 148 6.2 16.4 67.5 28.4 24.1 -19.1 19.6 538.3 630.1 473.0 556.1 401.4 404.3 410.5 403.7 136.9 225.8 62.5 152.4 -6.3 129.2 6.6 38.9 -101.8 -.6 -85.5 20.7 95.5 129.8 92.1 18.2 143.2 96.6 55.9 113.5 508.9 558.4 484.0 549.5 420.7 419.2 416.4 429.1 88.2 139.2 67.6 120.4 29.4 71.7 -11.0 6.5 542.1 518.1 444.1 378.1 393.8 395.2 361.2 375.9 148.3 122.9 82.9 2.2 54.0 49.8 14 -36.4 -13.6 8.5 -48.5 -.4 67.6 41.3 47.1 -36.0 94.3 73.2 84.3 38.6 507.7 523.0 529.4 398.8 402.4 415.9 418.2 376.2 105.3 107.1 111.2 22.6 34.4 -4.8 -85.3 -20.7 485.8 480.5 456.5 466.9 390.9 390.7 387.1 397.2 94.9 89.8 69.4 69.7 17.4 57.6 45.5 38.0 70.1 117.2 90.0 113.2 -52.7 596 44 5 -75.2 77.5 32.3 24.0 31.8 437.9 431.1 472.0 470.3 346.0 350.7 380.7 384.8 91.9 80.4 91.3 85.5 47.9 49.4 -15.5 -3.3 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abroad. 2 Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, pension fund liabilities, and direct foreign investment in the U.S. 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source. Board of Governors of tne Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding 1 Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period Automobile Revolving Mobile home 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,049 718,863 735,102 729,420 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,214 290,676 284,585 267,909 68,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,104 199,082 220,110 234,504 22,604 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,348 22,471 20,919 19,116 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,383 206,633 209,487 207,891 732,762 732,442 733,621 732,289 730,591 729,962 729,108 729,152 730,317 730,147 729,420 282,626 280,689 279,746 276,494 274,496 273,565 271,906 270,219 270,013 268,123 267,909 221,556 224,817 225,994 227,301 227,737 228,199 229,453 232,070 233,661 234,666 234,504 20,200 20,123 20,098 19,796 19,907 19,615 19,495 18,892 18,943 19,059 19,116 208,379 206,813 207,782 208,697 208,451 208,582 208,253 207,971 207,700 208,300 207,891 -201 -320 1,179 -1,331 1 698 -629 854 44 1,165 -170 728 729,473 729,274 268,256 267,780 234,816 236,001 18,649 18,292 207,752 207,202 53 -199 Total 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991- Dec . . Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec. . Dec 2 Dec Dec Dec 1991- Feb Mar May July Auer Sent Oct Noy Dec 1992: Jan r Feb" 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. 2 Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988 and subsequent months. Other Total Automobile 6,937 14,546 17,615 43,161 30,004 73,636 36,623 75,650 37,241 54,765 37,451 18,423 18,363 53,581 3 (3) ( ) 6091 16,239 5 682 -16,676 -1,120 1 937 -943 3252 -1,998 931 -1,659 1 687 -207 1 890 -214 Revolving Mobile home Other 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 21,026 (3) 21,028 14,394 2,546 958 2,299 989 246 1 176 -572 (3) -1,552 1 803 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 14,763 ,(3) 2,854 -1,596 1,968 3,261 1,177 1,307 435 462 1,255 2,617 1,591 1,005 -162 258 -78 24 302 111 291 -120 603 51 116 57 -791 1,566 969 915 246 131 329 -282 270 599 409 312 1,185 -466 358 139 -550 347 476 3 Because of breaks in series, net change not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates fell in April. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNU COUNCIt Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 .. 1990 1991 1991: Apr May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar Apr* Week ended: 1992- Apr 4 11 18 25 May 2". 1 2 3-month bills (new issues) l Constant maturities 2 3-year 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard3 & Poor's) Prime commercial paper, l 6 months Discount rate (N.T. F.R. Bank)4 Prime rate charged 4by banks New-home mortgage yields (FHFB)5 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 6.98 5.45 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 10.01 8.46 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 10.05 9.32 6.07 5.94 6.16 6.14 5.76 5.59 5.33 4.93 4.49 4.06 4.13 4.38 4.13 6.00-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.00 5.00-5.00 5.00-4.50 4.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 9.00-9.00 9.00-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.00 8.00-8.00 8.00-7.50 7.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 9.60 9.52 9.46 9.43 9.48 9.30 9.04 8.64 8.53 8.49 8.65 8.51 4.34 4.18 4.06 4.08 4.04 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 7.51 5.42 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 8.26 6.82 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 8.55 7.86 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 7.25 6.89 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 9.32 8.77 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 7.95 5.85 5.67 5.51 5.60 5.58 5.39 5.25 5.03 4.60 4.12 3.84 3.84 4.05 3.81 7.23 7.12 7.39 7.38 6.80 6.50 6.23 5.90 5.39 5.40 5.72 6.18 5.93 8.04 8.07 8.28 8.27 7.90 7.65 7.53 7.42 7.09 7.03 7.34 7.54 7.48 7.05 6.95 7.09 7.03 6.89 6.80 6.59 6.64 6.63 6.41 6.67 6.69 6.64 8.86 8.86 9.01 9.00 8.75 8.61 8.55 8.48 8.31 8.20 8.29 8.35 8.33 4.08 3.95 3.60 3.69 3.71 6.09 5.81 5.77 6.02 6.02 7.49 7.40 7.38 7.58 7.59 6.68 6.64 6.59 6.61 6.66 8.35 8.32 8.28 8.33 8.38 Bank-discount basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 8 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 30 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) 6 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices fell in April. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO SCALE) 24U v—-"i^\ •H( 140 / ^ ' 160 > —r \N /^r—1 140 f \ OMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX (NYSE) r 120 80 ^ ~/\ 160 100 24U 225 200 180 *-«_ 220 200 180 ^-^r~ ^~-~/ 120 100 80 60 60 40 ,r.,,l«tll 1 1 f 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 iinilniii 1989 1988 1 1 1 1 11 I 1I11 IIMll 1985 1984 1986 1987 l.llllltlll 1990 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 J 1 1 1 1 1 40 1991 1992 PER(:ENT 20 PERCi:NT 20 MGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMM (S&P) 15 10 15 10 / ~~"~ -^ — 5 i 0 i i 1984 1 1 1 1985 r-. 1 1 1 1 1986 ^ /"] 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 1 , —~~~* 1 1 1989 1 T == 1 1 1990 > 5 — 1 I 1991 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1 1 1 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Common stock yields (percent) • Common stock prices * New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31, 1965 Period Composite 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr May ^ 3 July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb ... Mar Week ended: 1992- Apr 4 11 18 25 May 2' 1 • Industrial Transportation Utility Finance Dow-Jones industrial average a Standard & Poor's composite (194143 = 10)4 Dividendprice ratio 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 183.46 206.33 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 225.78 258.14 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 158.62 173.99 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 90.60 92.66 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 133.26 150.82 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 2,678.94 2,929.33 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 334.59 376.18 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 3.61 3.24 207.71 206.93 207.32 208.29 213.33 212.55 213.10 213.25 214.26 260.15 260.13 261.16 262.48 268.22 266.21 265.68 264.89 266.01 166.90 170.77 177.05 177.15 178.52 177.99 187.31 188.52 185.47 92.92 90.76 89.01 90.05 92.38 93.72 95.25 96.78 98.08 152.64 151.32 152.31 151.60 157.70 157.69 158.94 159.78 159.96 2,925.54 2,928.42 2,968.14 2,978.19 3,006.09 3,010.35 3,019.74 2,986.12 2,958.64 379.68 377.99 378.29 380.23 389.40 387.20 386.88 385.92 388.51 3.19 3.23 3.23 3.20 3.10 3.15 3.14 3.15 3.11 229.34 228.12 225.21 224.55 286.62 286.09 282.36 281.60 201.55 205.53 204.07 201.28 99.31 96.18 94.15 94.92 174.50 174.05 173.49 171.05 3,227.06 3,257.27 3,247.42 3,294.08 ' 416.08 412.56 407.36 407.41 2.90 2.94 3.01 3.04 222.61 221.22 227.38 225.63 226.43 279.20 278.05 285.94 282.22 283.15 199.58 196.34 203.67 202.51 205.34 93.33 92.53 95.13 96.46 97.13 170.67 168.40 172.28 172.53 172.49 3,240.65 3,230.14 3,324.07 3,338.28 3,328.17 402.59 400.62 412.70 410.17 411.41 3.03 3.11 2.95 3.10 3.00 Average of daily closing prices, Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. * Includes 500 stocks. 6 Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2 3 0 Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 7.41 6.47 4.81 5.23 4.59 3.83 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 6 months of fiscal 1992, there was a deficit of $196.9 billion, compared with a deficit of $152.2 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,600 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS -^ 1,500 1,400 1,300 OUTLAYS^ 1,200 1,200 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 RECEIPTS1' 800 800 700 700 600 600 0 -100 _^~-— -200 -~^_ — -200 ^- ______^^ -300 -300 400 A i 1984 i 1985 i 1986 i i 1987 i i i^\ —--1 1989 f\ -400 1993 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Receipts 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 (estimates) 1993 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 6 months: l Fiscal year 1991 Fiscal vear 1992 Outlays Off-budget On-budget Total or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Gross Fe .eral debt or deficit (-) Total 599 3 617 8 600.6 666 5 371.8 409 2 458.7 503 5 590.9 678 2 7458 808.4 851 8 -73.7 — 53 7 — 59.2 — 40 2 — 73.8 — 790 -128.0 — 207.8 — 1854 231.7 278 7 314.2 365 3 403.9 469 1 474 3 453.2 5004 302.2 3285 369.1 403 5 476.6 543 1 5944 661.3 6860 -70.5 — 49.8 — 54.9 — 38 2 — 72.7 — 740 — 120.1 -208.0 — 185 7 66.4 76 8 854 98 0 113 2 130 2 143 5 147.3 166 1 69.6 807 89.7 1000 114 3 135 2 151 4 147.1 165 8 — 3.2 —3 9 — 4.3 — 20 — 1.1 —5 0 —7 9 .2 3 6290 706 4 776 6 828 9 908 5 994 3 1 136 8 1 371 2 1 564 1 477 4 549 1 607 1 639 8 709 3 784 8 919 2 1 131 0 1 300 0 734 1 769 1 854 1 909 0 990 7 1 031 3 1,054.3 1 075 7 1 165 4 946 4 9903 1 003 9 1 064 1 1 144.2 1 251 8 1,323.0 1 475 4 1 515 3 — 212 3 — 221.2 — 149 8 — 155 2 — 153.5 — 2205 -268.7 — 399 7 — 349 9 547 9 5689 640 7 667 5 727.0 749 7 760.4 774 8 839 6 769 6 806.8 810 1 861 4 933.3 1 026 7 1,081.3 1 223 9 1 251 3 — 221 7 — 238.0 — 1693 — 1940 — 206.2 — 277 1 -320.9 — 449 1 — 411 7 186 2 200 2 213 4 241 5 263 7 281 7 293.9 300 9 325 8 176 8 183 5 193 8 202 7 2109 225 1 241.7 251 5 264 0 94 16 7 19 6 38 8 52.8 56 6 52.2 49 4 61 8 1 817 0 2 120 1 9 345 6 2 600 8 2 867 5 3 206 3 3,599.0 4 077 5 4 543 0 1 499 4 1 736 2 1 888 1 9 050 3 2 1903 9 410 4 2,687.2 3 077 3 3 428 0 634 8 6909 — 152 2 — 196.9 339 2 3529 516 2 570 5 — 177 0 — 217.7 143 3 141 1 118 5 120 3 24 8 208 3 415 6 3 811 7 2 548 6 2 859 7 298.1 355 6 399 6 463 3 482 6 494 0 1993, Supplement, issued February 18, U)92, ami arc on ;i rush basis. SULIKTS: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management ;iml Budget. 32 Held by the public FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 6 months of fiscal 1992, receipts were $11.4 billion higher than a year earlier, and outlays were $56.1 billion higher. BILLICDNS OF DOLLARS 600 RECEIPTS ±J BILLIONS OF DO LARS 600 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES \ .. 500 _^_....- 500 400 400 \ ~ _ _ _ 300 300 • 200 CORPORATION ISirnME TAXES OTHER RECEIPTS \ 100 1 0 1 SOCIAL INSURANCE T'KF5: ANn rowTDiRi mnw<; 200 \ > 1 I 100 1 1 1 0 1,300 1,300 OUTLAYS J' 1,200 1,200 *r 1,100 ,— " 1,100 *^ 1,000 NONDEFENSE \ 900 1,000 ^- " --• 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 NATIONAL DEFENSE 400 400 \ 300 A 200 \S -—T— 1984 1 1985 1 1986 i 1987 i 1988 300 i 1989 T 1990 1991 i 1992 r\ 200 1993 N FISCAL YEARS MNQUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFCE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget receipts Fiscal year Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983.. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 (estimates) 1993 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 6 months: l Fiscal year 1991 Fiscal year 1992 1 Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes On-budget and off-budget outlays National defense Other Total Department of Defense, military International affairs Health Medicare Net Income Social securi- inter- ty ty est Other 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.8 808.4 851.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 209.9 227.4 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.5 42.6 52.5 68.8 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.3 93.5 98.1 89.0 103.8 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 380.0 396.0 410.9 446.7 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.9 82.3 90.9 92.3 97.1 99.7 946.4 990.3 1,003.9 1,064.1 1,144.2 1,251.8 1,323.0 1,475.4 1,515.3 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 299.3 273.3 307.3 291.4 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 289.8 262.4 294.6 278.3 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 13.8 15.9 17.8 18.0 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 57.7 71.2 94.6 108.2 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 98.1 104.5 118.6 129.3 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 147.3 170.8 198.1 196.7 188.6 198.8 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.6 269.0 286.7 302.3 129.5 136.0 138.7 151.8 169.3 184.2 194.5 198.8 213.7 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 159.8 202.7 223.8 253.4 255.7 44.6 40.4 188.3 189.3 45.2 49.1 634.8 690.9 130.3 146.9 124.8 140.8 9.3 9.6 32.7 42.7 49.2 57.6 87.1 100.6 130.2 139.8 96.8 100.6 99.3 93.0 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,031.3 1,054.3 1,075.7 1,165.4 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 466.9 467.8 478.7 515.2 482.6 494.0 204.5 215.2 90.8 106.5 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data (except as noted) are from Budget of the United States Oo\ Total and contributions 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 298.1 355.6 399.6 463 3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 131.6 Social insurance taxes •nt, Fiscal Year 1993, Supplement, issued February 18, 1992, and are on a cash basis. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the fourth quarter of 1991, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $1.6 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $34.5 billion. In the first quarter of 1992, according to advance estimates. Federal expenditures rose $52.5 billion; receipts data are incomplete. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BIUJONS OF DOLLARS SEASONAtlY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES MOO 1,400 1,200 1,200 EXPENDITURES 1,000 1,000 800 400 200 200 SURPLUS OR DEFICIT]-) \ 1982 1983 1984 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCI: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1988 : 1989 1990 1991 ' Calendar year: 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982- IV 1983: IV 1984- IV 1985: IV 1986- IV 1987: IV 1988- IV 1989- IV 1990: I n m TV 1991: I n m rv 1992: V Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total Purchases Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Net interest paid Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts 955.1 1,047.1 1,087.9 1,114.0 403.8 455.7 472.2 476.1 107.6 116.7 113.1 103.2 59.6 62.2 63.7 75.6 384.1 412.5 438.9 459.1 1,098.5 1,162.1 1,245.6 1,310.6 386.3 399.0 416.4 •445.9 430.9 459.4 502.0 508.5 108.4 115.8 128.3 147.0 143.8 160.3 175.3 185.2 28.9 27.6 23.7 24.1 -0.1 .0 .0 .0 -143.3 1150 157 8 -196.6 972.3 1,055.2 1,104.8 r 1,120.1 632.3 671.1 739.8 803.6 856.8 943.5 1,000.6 1,062.7 1,086.8 1,106.3 1,115.4 1,110.7 1,115.2 1,114.3 1,124.6 ' 1,126.2 410.1 460.2 482.2 470.4 301.6 290.5 323.5 351.8 371.7 414.8 420.0 467.9 471.2 485.4 486.6 485.5 473.9 468.8 469.9 469.0 466.8 111.0 113.9 112.1 r 102.9 45.5 65.4 67.0 77.0 91.4 109.7 118.5 107.4 113.7 114.1 115.1 105.7 99.0 102.0 106.2 r 104.4 60.9 61.9 65.8 78.8 49.2 55.4 58.2 56.8 54.8 59.5 61.4 62.1 64.6 64.8 65.2 68.5 78.2 77.1 78.7 81.2 80.5 390.4 419.4 444.7 468.0 235.9 259.8 291.1 318.0 338.8 359.4 400.7 425.2 437.2 442.0 448.5 451.1 464.1 466.3 469.9 471.6 480.2 1,109.0 1,179.4 1,270.1 1,321.7 815.7 855.7 926.6 990.8 1,034.3 1,096.3 1,135.5 1,206.0 1,247.6 1,263.2 1,265.1 1,304.4 1,261.6 1,321.0 1,334.8 1,369.3 1,421.8 387.0 401.4 424.9 445.1 281.4 289.7 324.7 356.9 373.1 392.5 392.0 403.7 417.2 423.3 424.7 434.5 451.5 452.1 444.9 432.0 441.8 436.3 469.5 510.8 513.5 346.0 351.1 360.1 383.8 404.2 419.7 444.5 486.4 501.6 507.2 510.7 523.8 457.5 505.1 534.9 556.6 598.5 111.3 118.2 132.2 152.8 84.3 86.9 97.7 104.5 103.8 102.9 113.0 121.9 128.1 132.2 131.2 137.3 143.7 151.0 153.3 163.3 168.5 146.0 164.7 177.5 188.7 86.8 99.2 122.3 129.2 131.1 143.1 151.2 168.8 170.9 177.5 183.7 177.7 185.7 189.7 187.9 191.4 187.2 28.4 25.5 24.7 21.5 17.3 28.8 22.2 16.4 22.1 37.8 34.9 25.1 29.8 23.0 14.8 31.2 23.4 22.7 13.9 26.0 25.8 .0 .0 .1 -.1 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .2 -136.6 124 2 165 3 r - 201.6 183 4 -184.6 186 8 -187.2 177 5 -152.7 134 9 143 3 -160.8 1569 149 7 193 6 - 146.4 206 7 -210.2 '- 243.1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analyeis. 34 ^ .0 .0 .0 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Consumer prices (1982-84=100; NSA) Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States 97.3 96.5 97.1 97.2 98.0 100.0 104.7 108.9 110.2 113.1 Germany 82.9 85.5 93.4 96.8 96.6 100.0 109.2 115.9 121.4 124.1 106.6 105.7 105.0 105.5 106.4 107.3 108.1 108.0 108.4 108.4 108.1 107.4 '96.6 95.6 '95.3 96.4 97.0 97.4 r 97.7 r 97.3 98.0 '97.0 '96.6 '95.0 125.8 T 110.4 125.7 109.8 123.0 106.8 123.3 109.8 126.0 109.6 122.8 109.7 126.6 110.9 122.8 110.9 123.7 109.6 123.9 111.1 123.8 ' 110.2 122.0 108.9 119.1 118.3 118.3 117.8 116.9 121.6 119.5 117.3 117.5 117.5 118.0 113.1 106.4 !069 107 2 95.4 r ' 119.2 120.0 1991: Jan Feb Mar May T ! July Sent .. Oct Nov Dec r r France 76.5 81.5 91.4 96.5 95.4 100.0 105.5 105.3 100.8 96.7 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 " 1992: Jan Peb Mar *.... Japan 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 109.2 107.1 1982 1983 1 Canada 121.5 121.1 lll.l 110.1 Italy 91.7 90.9 88.9 93.5 91.8 97.7 92.9 99.6 96.2 100.0 100.0 103.9 105.9 108.8 109.2 114.5 109.4 118.0 ' 107.1 90.3 ' ' ' ' * ' ' 108.7 108.4 108.5 103.5 105.3 110.6 106.5 104.1 'r 107.9 105.8 'iii.e ' 104.7 108.9 Data relate to all urban consumers. United Kingdom United Kingdom United States ' Canada Japan Prance Germany 86.4 89.6 89.7 94.6 96.9 100.0 103.6 104.0 103.4 100.4 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 130.7 136.2 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 135.5 143.1 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.1 104.8 104.9 105.7 108.0 111.4 115.0 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 133.2 137.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.8 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 112.1 116.0 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 159.6 169.8 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 148.2 156.9 r 99.9 ' 101.4 ' 101.4 98.7 98.5 r 101.6 101.6 100.0 100.2 r 100.7 ' r 100.3 99.9 134.6 134.8 135.0 135.2 135.6 136.0 136.2 136.6 137.2 137.4 137.8 137.9 141.7 141.7 142.3 142.3 143.0 143.7 143.8 143.9 143.7 143.4 144.0 143.4 113.8 113.5 114.0 114.7 115.3 114.8 114.7 114.9 115.1 116.4 116.6 116.0 135.5 135.7 135.8 136.3 136.6 136.9 137.4 137.7 138.0 138.6 138.9 139.1 114.0 114.3 114.2 114.7 115.2 115.8 116.8 116.8 117.0 117.4 117.9 118.0 165.4 167.0 167.4 168.2 168.8 169.7 169.9 170.4 171.1 172.6 173.8 174.2 153.0 153.8 154.4 156.4 156.9 157.6 157.2 157.6 158.1 158.7 159.3 159.4 138.1 138.6 139.3 144.0 144.1 144.6 115.8 139.4 115.7 ' 139.8 140.2 '118.5 119.2 175.5 175.9 176.6 159.3 160.1 160.6 98.7 99.8 Italy Source: National sources as reported bj Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration, Trade Information and Analysis). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] General merchandise imports (customs value) 3 Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) 1 Principal end-use commodity category Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- Peb Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan '. Feb Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other 2 216.4 205.6 224.0 5 218.8 6 227.2 254.1 322.4 363.8 393.6 421.6 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 22.3 24.3 32.3 37.2 35.1 35.7 61.7 56.7 61.7 58.5 57.3 66.7 85.1 99.3 104.4 109.1 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 138.8 152.7 166.7 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 34.8 37.4 39.9 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 17.7 23.1 36.4 43.3 46.1 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 35.9 34.6 43.4 17.2 20.7 24.1 33.6 34.0 35.6 35.3 35.0 35.2 34.4 35.3 37.1 36.9 35.9 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.4 9.7 8.9 9.2 9.4 8.7 9.1 9.1 8.5 9.3 8.8 8.9 12.4 13.5 14.4 13.7 14.4 13.7 13.4 14.3 14.4 15.4 14.2 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.1 3.8 35.4 37.8 3.1 3.6 9.3 8.9 13.9 15.4 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.1 Total2 1 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments, 2 Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988. 3 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 4 Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines 244.0 258.0 330.7 336.5 365.4 406.2 441.0 473.2 495.3 487.9 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.1 26.6 26.5 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 111.0 118.3 132.3 143.2 131.3 35.4 40.9 59.8 65.1 71.8 84.5 101.4 113.3 116.4 121.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.8 2.4 39.1 38.1 40.1 40.1 38.8 41.2 40.9 42.3 43.4 41.1 41.9 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 10.8 10.1 11.0 11.3 10.5 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.2 10.8 10.9 9.9 9.9 10.4 10.1 9.8 10.4 9.9 10.3 10.6 9.7 10.5 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.6 7.2 8.0 7.6 7.9 7.2 7.0 2.0 2.1 41.4 41.2 2.3 2.2 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.4 7.4 7.1 4 4 Other Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs value) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (c.i.f.) 6.5 6.3 7.8 9.4 10.4 12.1 12.8 13.6 16.1 16.0 254.9 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 459.5 493.2 517.0 509.1 -27.5 524 - 106.7 117 7 -138.3 152 1 -118.5 1094 -101.7 663 -38.4 642 -122.4 133 6 -155.1 1703 -137.1 1294 -123.4 -87.5 8.5 8.0 8.5 8.4 8.1 9.3 8.7 9.6 10.3 9.9 10.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 40.9 39.8 42.0 41.8 40.4 43.0 42.7 44.1 45.2 42.8 43.7 55 -4.1 45 -4.8 38 -5.9 65 -6.9 -6.3 -4.2 60 73 -5.8 64 -6.6 55 -7.8 -8.3 -8.8 -8.1 -5.9 -7.8 9.5 9.7 1.3 1.5 43.1 42.9 59 -3.4 -7.7 -5.1 39.7 40.8 44.9 60.0 53.5 66.8 68.3 78.2 79.4 85.2 88.7 87.7 95.9 86.1 102.9 87.3 105.7 84.8 108.0 Foods feeds, and beverages Capital goods except automotive Total General merchandise imports (c.i.f. value) Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Industrial supplies and materials 33.3 5 Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical month basis. NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS The current account deficit was $10.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 1991, compared with $11.6 billion in the third quarter. A decline in the merchandise trade deficit, augmented by a decrease in net unilateral transfers, more than accounted for the smaller fourth-quarter deficit. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 15 BALANCE ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND INCOME -40 - -45 45 1991 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)] Merchandise l 237,085 211,198 201,820 219,900 1985 215,935 223,367 1986 1987 250,266 320,337 1988 1989 361,451 389,550 1990 p 1991 .. 416,517 1989: HI 90,142 IV 92,493 95,244 1990- I II 97,088 in 96,638 IV 100,580 1991: I 100,549 II 103,889 in 104,018 IV ".... 108,061 1981 1982 1983 1984 1 3 36 Net travel and transportation receipts Other services, net 5 Receipts on U.S. assets abroad Payments on foreign assets in U.S. 3 Net 12,552 12,981 13,859 14,042 14,008 18,551 18,012 19,925 25,998 29,456 30,832 6,772 6,911 6,695 7,322 7,607 7,832 7,330 7,893 8,185 7,424 84,975 85,346 81,972 92,935 82,282 80,982 90,536 110,669 128,651 130,091 115,306 32,217 33,159 31,959 31,314 32,012 34,805 32,748 28,307 28,538 25,714 -53,626 -57,097 -54,549 -69,542 -66,115 -70,013 -82,908 -105,317 -125,963 -118,146 -105,943 -31,718 -30,687 -28,957 -31,307 -29,210 -28,672 -27,846 -25,942 -26,675 -25,480 31,349 28,250 27,423 23,394 16,166 10,969 7,629 5,353 2,688 11,945 9,363 499 2,472 3,002 7 2,802 6,133 4,902 2,365 1,863 234 Imports Net balance -265,063 -247,642 -268,900 -332,422 -338,083 -368,425 -409,766 -447,323 -477,368 -497,665 -490,103 -119,330 -121,104 -122,781 -121,178 -125,398 — 128,308 -119,087 -119,426 - 124,867 — 126,723 -27,978 — 36,444 -67,080 -112,522 — 122,148 -145,058 159 500 -126,986 -115,917 108 115 -73,586 -29,188 -28,611 -27,537 -24,090 -28,760 -27,728 -18,538 -15,537 -20,849 -18,662 144 -992 112 -163 -4,227 -2,147 9 153 4096 -10,788 -4,907 8 939 3 662 8 006 -5,743 -3,844 -6,204 2,621 7 220 4,140 -5,280 10,327 -1,161 652 -1,693 1,265 941 -1,737 -1,558 834 -1,683 479 1,885 -2,243 -2,329 2,089 -1,484 2,553 2,946 -882 2,739 -584 844 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. * Includes transfers of goods and services under U.S. military grant programs. 2 Investment income 5 Services Net military transactions s * Period Exports 2 Balance on goods, services, and income Unilateral transfers, net 4 Balance on current account 15,223 3,907 -30,188 -86,385 - 106,859 -129,384 -145,527 -111,294 -90,814 -69,794 -28,344 -22,426 - 19,656 -18,635 -17,485 -19,555 -14,122 -6,545 -4,211 -8,737 -8,849 -8,331 -9,775 -9,956 -12,621 -15,473 - 16,009 — 14,674 -14,943 -15,491 -22,329 19,728 -3,794 -5,044 -4,032 -4,693 -4,326 -9,280 16,919 7,108 -2,880 -1,417 6,892 -5,868 -40,143 -99,006 -122,332 -145,393 -160,201 -126,236 -106,305 -92,123 -8,616 -26,220 -24,700 -22,667 -22,178 -23,881 -23,402 10,374 2,897 -11,617 - 10,266 5 Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. See p. 37 for continuation of table. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $20.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1991, in contrast to a decrease of $2.3 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $26.0 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to an increase of $6.5 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S., NET / / L , . ^ . \ I i\ I , \ / V\ ' 1 /' \ / ' I I I I l\ I \ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, net [increase/capit Period Total -110,951 - 124,490 -56,100 -31,070 -27,721 -92,030 1986 -62,937 1987 -86,057 1988 -128,610 1989 -57,706 1990 -67,747 1991 p -45,743 1989: HI -41,021 IV 37,147 1990: I -33,462 n -26,689 m -34,703 IV -1,123 1991: I -15,181 n m .... -11,206 IV"... -40,235 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 U.S. official reserve assets 3 6 -5,175 -4,965 -1,196 -3,131 -3,858 312 9,149 -3,912 -25,293 -2,158 5,763 -5,996 -3,202 -3,177 371 1,739 -1,091 -353 1,014 3,877 1,225 Other U.S. Government assets Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase /capital inflow (+)3 3 ] U.S. private assets -5,097 -100,679 113 394 6 131 -5,006 5489 -2,821 -2,022 1,006 2,966 1,320 2,976 3,572 564 119 -669 -800 314 4,759 1,422 -493 3,197 -553 -49,898 22451 -21,043 90,321 -73,091 -85,111 104 637 -58,524 77,082 40 311 -37,938 40,993 33 033 28 114 -38,370 -2,192 15702 -18,281 -40,908 Total 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,599 229,828 221,534 216,549 86,303 79,503 74,255 70,238 -33,082 31,257 49,096 39,033 -729 3,503 26,979 49,751 6 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. Foreign official assets 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 -1,083 35,588 45,343 39,657 8,624 32,425 20,585 13,053 -7,158 -7,022 5,805 13,341 20,301 6,631 -3,105 3,854 13,205 Other foreign assets 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 184,485 181,877 207,925 53,879 58,918 61,202 77,396 -26,059 25,452 35,754 18,732 -7,361 6,608 23,125 36,546 Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDRs) 1,093 Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) 19,934 36,612 11,374 27,456 20,041 15,824 -6,690 — 9240 18,366 63,526 -3,139 -2,292 -4,517 18,601 24,383 1,475 19,072 -8,522 8,781 -4,156 750 Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy 6 379 3,096 4,367 105 6 473 2,007 4,322 496 -6,232 1,407 U.S. official reserve assets, net 6 (unadjusted, end of period) 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 83,316 77,719 68,418 74,609 76,303 77,298 80,024 83,316 78,002 74,940 74,731 77,719 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product in 1987 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product Changes in GDP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Implicit Price Deflators and Price Indexes Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures in 1987 Dollars Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment in 1987 Dollars Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, , Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.50 (single copy) ($3.13 foreign). Subscription price: $28.00 per year; $35.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1992 0—55-104