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Wist Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
JUNE 1989
(Includes data available as of June 29, 1989)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1989

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—SlsT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402

11




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
t3ROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 8.2
percent (annual rate) or $99.3 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 4.4 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 3.6 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,200

5,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

"
4,800

—

4,800

-^

-

—

4,400

GNP
INCU RRENT DOLLAR s

_

^—"

^\

4,400
—

4,000

4 000

,,---'""

—

—

< "
" 1
^ "
"

3,600

-

3,600
—

GNP
IN 1982DOLLA *S

3,200

^-

3,200
—

^

2,800

2,800

-

—

2,400

2,400

2,000

1 1 1
1981

1

1

1

\

\

\

1

1983

1982

1 1
1984

1

1

1

1

1985

1

1

1986

1

1 1
1987

1

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1 1
1988

1

1

1

2,000

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,240.3
4,526.7
4,864.3

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,807.5
3,012.1
3,227.5

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
665.9
712.9
766.5

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
589
-78.0
104 4
-123.0
-94.6

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
378.4
428.0
519.7

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
482.8
551.1
614.4

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
871.2
924.7
964.9

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.2
382.0
381.0

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.5
295.3
298.4

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.7
82.6

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,304.6

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,876.0

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
656.4

14.1
258
-67.9
- 103.2
-114.3

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
385.2

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
499.4

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
886.5

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
366.7

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
278.1

1987- III
IV

4,568.0
4,662.8

3,058.2
3,076.3

702.8
764.9

1252
-125.7

440.4
459.7 /

565.6
585.4

932.2
947.3

386.3
391.4

1988- I
II
Ill
IV

4,724.5
4,823.8
4,909.0
4,999.7

3,128.1
3,194.6
3,261.2
3,326.4

763.4
758.1
772.5
772.0

112 1
-90.4
800
-96.1

487.8
507.1
536.1
548.0

599.9
597.5
616.0
644.0

945.2
961.6
955.3
997.5

1989: I r

5,099.0

3,378.1

788.9

79.3

573.8

653.2

1,011.3

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:

1

Gross
national
product

Net
exports

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.0
542.8
583.9

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.7
4,487.5
4,815.9

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,344.7
4,649.7
4,958.9

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.7

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
519.7

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,306.6

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,418.9

299.8
299.2

86.4
92.2

546.0
555.9

4,553.5
4,590.7

4,693.2
4,788.4

377.7
382.2
367.7
396.3

298.4
298.8
294.3
301.9

79.3
83.4
73.4
94.3

567.5
579.4
587.6
601.2

4,659.2
4,780.1
4,859.3
4,965.0

4,836.6
4,914.2
4,989.0
5,095.8

397.6

299.5

98.1

613.7

5,058.6

5,178.4

Federal
Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
19841985:
1986-

1987- in .. .
rv
1988- I

n
in

IV
1989: I r
1

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
national
product

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

Gross private
domestic investment

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,721.7
3,847.0
3,996.1
3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,734.7
3,865.3
3,923.0
3,956.1
3,985.2
4,009.4
4,033.4
4,077.5

Noraesidential
fixed

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,455.2
2,521.0
2,592.2
2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,486.2
2,545.2
2,531.7
2,559.8
2,579.0
2,603.8
2,626.2
2,634.9

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
433.1
445.1
487.5
352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
427.3
462.8
464.8
473.4
490.2
495.0
491.4
500.5

Residential
fixed

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.0
195.2
191.8
115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
199.7
192.1
192.7
189.5
189.6
191.6
196.6
194.3

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Change
in
business
inventories

-6.9
23.9
-24.5
-6.4
62.3
9.1
15.4
34.4
42.5
593
27.0
41.7
7.7
105
13.0
67.1
66.0
35.3
39.5
29.1
35.5

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

57.0
49.4
26.3
199
-84.0
1043
-137.5
1289
-100.2
11.7
-46.2
-94.8
-125.3
-142.4
-130.7
- 126.0
- 109.0
-92.6
-93.9
-105.4
-85.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
378.4
427.8
504.8
336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
387.8
440.9
459.2
486.2
496.9
514.0
522.1
540.7

GTSP less exports o! goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Imports

Total
Total

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
515.9
556.7
605.0
324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
530.2
571.6
585.2
595.1
589.5
607.9
627.4
626.6

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
760.5
780.2
782.3
660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
774.5
782.9
792.6
776.4
783.8
773.5
795.5
798.2

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
333.4
339.0
328.7
289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
340.5
342.1
347.7
327.8
331.6
320.1
335.5
335.8

National
defense
171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
251.4
264.9
261.8
201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
253.1
269.5
268.2
264.6
263.6
256.4
262.5
256.6

Nondefense
75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.1
66.9
88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
81.4
72.6
79.5
63.2
67.9
63.7
72.9
79.1

State
and
local

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.1
441.2
453.6
370.6
376.2
S92.7
412.1
434.0
440.8
444.9
448.7
452.2
453.4
460.0
462.4

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases *

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,706.3
3,812.6
3,953.6
3,218.6
3,338.1
8,498.5
3,654.7
3,145.2
3,852.2
3,855.9
3,890.1
3,949.9
3,969.9
4,004.4
4,042.0

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,859.3
3,975.9
4,096.3
3,147.6
3,411.3
3,6SQ.O
3,787.6
3,871.2
3,996.0
4,049.0
4,065.1
4,077.9
4,103.4
4,138.8
4,163.4

Source: Department o! Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
HI
IV
1988: I

n
m

IV
1989: I r

Gross
national
product

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.9
117.7
121.7
101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.3
118.2
118.9
119.4
121.0
122.4
124.0
125.1

Total

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.5
124.5
101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.7
120.2
121.5
122.2
123.9
125.2
126.7
128.2

Durable
goods

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
107.9
110.1
100.7
103.1
104.1
104.T
106.2
108.6
108.9
109.1
109.6
110.4
111.4
111.5

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analyai




Gross private
domestic investment

Personal consumption
expenditures
Nondurable goods

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.4
101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
112.9
113.7
113.8
116.0
117.3
118.3
119.9

Services

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
128.5
134.8
102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.6
129.1
131.0
132.2
134.0
135.6
137.3
139.2

Nonresidential
fixed

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
100.2
100.4
100.2
100.7
98.3
97.9
97 .9
101.6
99.9
99.8
99.6
99.5
99.7
101.9
102.2

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7
99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
117.7
118.7
119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4
122.1

Exports

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
100.0
100.0
102.9
100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.3
99.9
100.1
100.3
102.1
104.3
105.0
106.1

Imports

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.6
99.0
101.5
99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.2
98.9
100.0
100.8
101.4
101.3
102.6
104.2

Total

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.8
112.7
115.9
101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
112.9
112.6
115.2
115.3
114.9
118.1
118.4

National
defense

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.4
111.5
114.0
102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.9
111.3
111.6
112.8
113.4
114.8
115.0
116.7

Nondefense
86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.2
117.0
123.4
99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.5
119.0
116.0
125.5
122.7
115.2
129.3
123.9

State
and local

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.2
123.0
128.7
102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
119.7
123.9
124.9
126.5
128.1
129.6
130.7
132.7

CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6,4
5.6
6.8
7.5
4,2
12.4
4.7
6.2
3.4
7.7
8.6
5,4
8.7
7.3
7.6
8.2

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987:
1988:

IV
IV.
IV
IV
IV.
III
IV
I...

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

. ..

n
m

IV
1989- I '

-0.2

1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.8
3.4
3.9
.6
7.3
1.1
3.0
1.4
4.5
6.1
3.4
3.0
2.5
2.4
4.4

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.8
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.4
3.6
3.4
3.0
4.8
4.7
4.2
4.3

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.7
3.3
3.4
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
2.1
3.1
2.4
1.7
5.5
4.7
5.3
3.6

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.8
3.6
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
2.8
3.7
3.8
3.5
5.0
5.3
4.2
4.6

Implicit
price
deflator

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Chain price
index

02
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
4.3
2.7
2.8

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.5
4.2

5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
1.2

4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.5

4.6
-2.1

4.4
4.4

4.5
3.0
3.9
3.5

2.3
5.7
4.3
4.9

1.3

10.6

10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.8
7.3
7.2
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
4.8
9.1
2.4
6.9
8.8
8.6
8.2
6.4

4,8

10.9

9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.5
4.2
4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.5
4.3
4.4
2.5
5.6
4.6
4.7
4.7

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)
10.5
9.0

5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.5
4.3
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.5
4.2
4.6
2.4
5.7
4.9
4.8
4.8

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at season

Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) 1

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Indirect
business
taxes 3

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.107
1.134

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.121
.122
.122

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.105
.106
.107

.131
.120
.118
.120
.122
.121
.121
.121
.122
.122
.123
.125

1982
dollars

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
HI
IV
1988- I .
II
Ill
IV

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,371.6
2,513.5
2,711.3
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.2
2,409.3
2,546.9
2,585.6
2,633.2
2,684.0
2,732.1
2,796.1

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,177.2
2,270.4
2,390.4
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,199.0
2,296.1
2,322.5
2,363.5
2,380.9
2,395.5
2,421.7

1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.109
1.113
1.114
1.127
1.140
1.155

1989- I '

2,824.9

2,432.7

1.161

1

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

2
This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
3
Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.




Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Current
dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
19841985:
19861987:

djusted annual rates]

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

.096
.098
.102
.104
.105
.106
.105
.105
.106
.108
.108

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.719
.732
.752
.685
.680
.694
.713
.725
.729
.738
.736
.747
.758
.766

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.039
.043
.048
.042
.037
.042
.037
.040
.044
.046
.045
.047
.048
.050

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.106
.105
.106
.057
.103
.107
.106
.104
.109
.103

.109

.778

.052

4

Total

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax 4

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

9.939
10.861
11.699
12.122
12.569
13.075
13.605
14.062
14.640
11.914
12.261
12.746
13.288
13.815
14.110
14.291

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.071
.061
.060
.034
.066
.075
.072
.065
.063
.059
.062
.060
.058
.061

17.096
17.194
17.318
17.865
18.287
18.584
18.927
19.216
19.471

.106
.106
.104
.107

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.044
.045
.023
.036
.032
.033
.039
.046
.044
.044
.046
.046
.046

.098

.046

.051

19.392

17.383
18.029
18.359
18.639
19.043
19.362
19.357
19.560
19.481
19.443
19.454

14.397
14.546
14.743
14.908
15.097

With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

Sources: Department of Commerce {Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

National
income

Period

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
198219831984:
19851986:
1987-

Kental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,437.1
3,678.7
3,968.4
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,496.6
3,708.0
3,802.0

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,507.1
2,683.4
2,904.7
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,565.8
2,702.8
2,769.9

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
36.4
43.0
36.3
28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
38.4
35.2
47.0

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
250.3
270.0
288.2
159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
255.8
271.5
279.0

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
12.4
18.4
19.3
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.4
18.1
20.5

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
298.9
310.4
328.4
146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
293.9
322.0
316.1

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
244.7
258.7
282.8
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
244.1
269.9
263.7

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
236.4
276.7
306.6
164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
252.1
289.4
281.9

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
17
8.3
-18.0
-23.8
-13.4
81
-1.6
66
-8.1
-19.5
-18.2

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
54.2
51.7
45.6
-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.8
52.1
52.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
331.9
353.6
391.5
266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
329.3
358.3
369.5

in

3,850.8
3,928.8
4,000.7
4,093.4

2,816.4
2,874.0
2,933.2
2,995.3

44.7
43.4
30.9
26.0

279.2
285.3
290.7
297.7

20.5
19.1
19.7
18.1

316.2
326.5
330.0
340.9

266.8
278.5
284.6
301.3

286.2
305.9
313.9
320.6

-19.4
-27.4
-29.3
-19.2

49.4
48.0
45.4
39.6

373.9
380.6
396.2
415.4

1989- I '

4,188.9

3,060.9

57.1

300.9

14.4

319.4

286.1

320.2

-34.1

33.3

436.2

.

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
in

rv

1988: I
II

IV

1

....

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)
Domestics

Imports

1982
1983
1984
1985 .. .
1986
1987
1988
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986- IV.
1987: HI
IV

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,807.5
3,012.1
3,227.5
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,876.0
3,058.2
3,076.3

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.5
421.9
451.1
263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
421.8
441.4
422.0

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.4
195.8
208.6
115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.0
212.9
194.0

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
140.0
148.3
159.0
99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.3
150.2
149.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.1
77.8
83.6
49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.5
78.3
78.6

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
943.6
997.9
1,046.9
786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
954.1
1,006.6
1,012.4

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
501.0
526.4
551.5
407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
512.6
528.4
530.9

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
167.0
178.2
186.4
126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
169.4
180.4
181.2

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.3
77.0
78.8
89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.3
79.3
79.3

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
202.2
216.3
230.2
163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.8
218.5
220.9

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,457.3
1,592.3
1,729.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,500.1
1,610.2
1,641.9

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
8.0
6.6

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.5
3.3

1988: I

n
ni
IV

3,128.1
3,194.6
3,261.2
3,326.4

437.8
449.8
452.9
464.0

202.2
208.7
210.2
213.2

154.7
159.5
159.5
162.3

81.0
81.5
83.2
88.5

1,016.2
1,036.6
1,060.8
1,073.9

535.9
546.3
558.9
564.9

180.5
183.2
188.4
193.6

76.3
78.8
80.5
79.5

223.5
228.2
233.0
235,9

1,674.1
1,708.2
1,747.5
1,788.5

7.6
7.5
7.6
7.5

3.2
3.1
3.1
3.0

1989- I *

3,378.1

459.9

206.8

167.7

85.4

1,092.7

577.9

194.0

79.2

241.6

1,825.5

6.9

2.9

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $13.0 billion (annual rate) in May, following an increase of $21.0 billion in April. The
kicreases were affected by three special factors: Profit-sharing payments to employees in the motor vehicle industry
"nd retroactive social security benefit payments—both occurring in March—lowered the April increase, while
changes in subsidy payments to farm proprietors lowered the April increase and raised the May increase. Excluding
these special factors, personal income increased $10.4 billion in May and $37.6 billion in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,0001
4,000

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

OTHER INCOME

800

800

TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

400

/•

nmlinii iMiilinii
1981

H/llllllll

1982

400

imilnin inniuin I l l l l l l l l l l Hlllllllll jjiiilmn imiliiin
1984

1983

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Total
personal
income

Wage and
salary
disbursements l

Proprietors' income 3
Other labor
income * 2

Farm

Nonfarm

Rental
income of
persons 4

Personal
dividend
income

Personal
interest
income

Transfer
payments 5

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

Nonfarm
personal
income 6

1980
1981
1982....
1983
1984....
1985
1986....
1987
1988....

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,531.1
3,780.0
4,062.1

1,372.0
1,510.3
1,586.1
1,676.6
1,838.6
1,975.4
2,094.0
2,248.4
2,436.9

138.4
150.3
163.6
173.6
182.9
187.6
196.1
207.9
218.3

20.5
30.7
24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
36.4
43.0
36.3

160.1
156.1
150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
250.3
270.0
288.2

6.6
13.3
13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
12.4
18.4
19.3

52.9
61.3
63.9
68.7
75.5
78.7
82.8
88.6
96.3

271.9
335.4
369.7
393.1
444.7
478.0
499.1
527.0
575.9

324.7
368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.8
521.1
548.8
586.0

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
149.3
161.1
172.0
195.1

2,215.8
2,465.6
2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,271.3
3,472.5
3,716.0
4,004.8

1988: May

4,021.4
4,044.9
4,075.3
4,091.8
4,114.7
4,175.5
4,165.2
4,200.8

2,408.4
2,427.5
2,451.9
2,459.1
2,475.0
2,506.9
2,514.1
2,529.5

216.4
217.4
218.5
219.5
220.5
221.5
222.5
223.5

45.2
40.3
34.1
31.4
27.2
41.5
13.5
23.1

285.2
287.5
289.4
290.2
292.6
296.1
297.5
299.5

18.9
19.0
19.3
19.7
20.0
19.0
18.0
17.2

95.0
95.4
96.3
97.5
98.0
98.9
99.4
99.8

563.7
568.7
574.9
581.8
589.1
596.4
603.7
611.1

582.0
583.6
587.0
589.2
589.7
594.7
596.5
597.9

193.4
194.6
196.2
196.5
197.4
199.5
200.0
200.9

3,955.1
3,983.3
4,020.2
4,039.3
4,066.3
4,112.8
4,130.4
4,156.4

4,273.1
4,318.2
4,355.7
4,376.7
4,389.7

2,559.2
2,571.2
2,593.6
2,611.2
2,616.1

224.5
225.4
226.4
227.4
228.4

47.3
64.7
59.4
52.0
50.7

300.8
301.1
300.9
302.8
303.1

15.7
14.3
13.1
12.8
12.5

101.2
102.1
103.0
103.6
104.0

621.5
634.1
646.9
654.9
662.9

612.4
615.2
623.7
624.4
624.8

209.4
210.0
211.2
212.5
212.8

4,204.5
4,232.1
4,274.9
4,303.2
4,317.4

July
Sept
Oct

Dec

1989- Jan r
Feb r
Mar r
Apr r
May p

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
'M;e accruals over wage disbursements.
I* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
4
With capital consumption adjustment.




5
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
6
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose again in the first quarter of 1989.
BHJ.IONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

6,000

6,000

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Personal

Less:
Personal
tax and
nontax
payments

T,

1

Disposable
income

Less:
Personal
outlays *

Equals:
Personal
saving

Per capita
disposable personal
income

Disposable
personal
income in
1982
dollars
(billions)

Current
dollars

22584
2,520 9
2 6708
2 838 6
3,1087
3 325 3
3,531 1
3,780.0
4,062.1

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986....
1987
1988

3405
393 3
409 3
4105
440 2
4866
511 4
5703
590.3

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars

Billions of dollars
1980.

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures

1 917 9

1 781 1

2 1276
2 261 4
2 428 1
2 6686
2 838 7
3 019 6
3 209 7
3,471.8

1 968 1
2 107 5
2 297 4
25045
2 713 3
2 8980
3,105 5
3,327.5

136 8
1594
153 9
130 6
164 1
125 4
121 7
1042
144.3

8421
9243
9 724
10 340
11 257
11 861
12 496
13 157
14,103

2 214 3

2 248 6
2 261 5
2 331 9
24698
2 542 8
2 6409
2,686 3
2,788.3

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent oS
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

2.1
4.9
20
2.9
.8
2.9

7.1
7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.4
4.0
3.2
4.2

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,322
241,650
243,944
246,179

9 722
9,769
9 724
9930
10,419
10 625
10929
11,012
11,326

7 607
8,320
8 818
9515
10,253
10985
11 618
12,348
13,110

8,783
8,794
8818
9,139
9,489
9,839
10,160
10,334
10,530

— 1.1

.5

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,599.6

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.9

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,064.7

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,967.9

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
96.8

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,649.4

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,635

9,749
10,151
10.491
10,667
10,923

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,857

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,250

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
-.2

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.2

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,557

1987: HI....
IV

3,801.0
3,906.8

576.2
591.0

3,224.9
3,315.8

3,152.3
3,171.8

72.6
144.0

2,683.9
2,728.9

13,204
13,543

10,989
11,145

12,521
12,564

10,421
10,340

3.7
5.8

2.3
4.3

244,236
244,845

1988: I

IV

3,951.4
4,022.4
4,094.0
4,180.5

575.8
601.0
586.5
598.0

3,375.6
3,421.5
3,507.5
3,582.5

3,225.7
3,293.6
3,361.8
3,428.7

149.9
127.8
145.7
153.8

2,762.3
2,762.2
2,800.4
2,828.4

13,760
13,919
14,231
14,497

11,260
11,237
11,362
11,445

12,751
12,996
13,232
13,461

10,435
10,492
10,564
10,627

4.2
-.8
4.5
3.0

4.4
3.7
4.2
4.3

245,318
245,806
246,469
247,123

1989: I r

4,315.7

635.1

3,680.6

3,482.7

197.9

2,870.8

14,861

11,592

13,640

10,639

5.2

5.4

247,667

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

n
m....

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).




2

Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
•ta the first quarter of 1989, according Jo preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $36.5 billion (annual rate)
Ind net farm income rose $42.8 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

240
200

1f~^-

160

—— ,

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

,
•*•

r ____

T^

—-^

120

r—" '

^"

240
200

/
r_^x~--^^ ^j

1

160
120

GR 3SS FARM INC OMb

80
60
*

/

'\
40

^...

/

%
20

"l
i

•

x

»

''

/
i

/

»
>
1
1
\
1

— —1

10

'V

^

60

1
1
1

\
\

V'

V

NN

/

/
/

,

/ ^\

1 '
l1
it

20

Ht T FARM INCOMt

l
.
1
t\
J
l \ I
I \l
1 \>

10

\J

\!
t

t 1 1

1

1

i i i

1

1

1983

T982

198?

1

1

1

1

t

1

1985

?984

! l
1986

i i t
1987

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

1

1

1

1986

1

1

1

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total '
Total

1980
1981
1982 ..
1983

Livestock and
products

Crops

149.3
166.4
163.5
153.0
174.9
166.2
159.8
169.8
174.0

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.6
142.4
144.0
135.1
138.1
150.2

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
76.2
77.9

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.2
63.6
61.9
72.4

158.1
162.6

137.8
137.7

77.3
73.0

60.5
64.7

IV

173.6
162.5
168.9
173.7
169.2
188.2
179.6
158.9

134.9
134.4
146.5
136.6
141.1
157.5
167.5
134.8

73.3
77.0
79.6
75.1
76.3
74.7
82.9
77.5

61.6
57.4
66.9
61.5
64.8
82.8
84.6
57.3

1989: I"

195.4

158.8

80.5

78.3

1984..

1985

1986 ..
•
1987
1988 ..
1986: III
IV
1987: I

.

n

m
IV
1988- I

n

in

.

Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
e, and
?'hysicalnonmoneyinincome furnished by farms, crop and livestock commodities valued at
changes
end-of-year inventory of
during the year.




average

3

Value of
inventory
changes 2

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
-10.9
6.3
24
-2.8
6

-6.0
-2.3
19
-.3
.1
-.4
-1.9
58
-6.3
64
-5.5
3.3

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

1982 dollars s

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.3
123.5
132.8

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.2
32.3
37.5
46.3
41.2

18.8
28.6
23.5
12.2
29.9
29.1
32.9
39.3
33.9

121.1
120.7

37.0
41.9

32.3
36.3

120.3
124.1
125.0
124.6
126.9
130.0
136.4
138.0

53.4
38.4
43.9
49.0
42.3
58.2
43.2
20.9

45.9
32.8
37.2
41.2
35.4
48.1
35.3
16.9

131.7

63.7

51.0

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $0.4 billion (annuj
rate) and after-tax profits fell $1.9 billion.
'
BULKDNS OF DOLLARS
360

BILLIONS OF DOL LARS

360

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320

/ \ ,

280

^

200

u

Af

V

240

\ punf ITS BEFORE

TA 1

S

rv i

f

240

200

*••**"" .
'"~%>--J>F

~~""~\

.^^.r.r

OFITS AFTER T AX

N

s-x

-

^
"
TAX LIABILITY

S^S'"'
*^

s

120

..--*"""

\.-,

"N

160

^s

S

\

80

280

/

160

120

X

J

\

320

80

, .,-4
\

40

_

r

*•
40

UNDI! TRIBUTED PRO =ITS

i i '

0

1

I

1

1982

1981

1 1 1
1983

1

|

1

1

1984

1985

1

1

1

1986

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

I

\

0

1989

1988

1987

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions at dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment J

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Total 2
Total

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1987:

HI
IV

1988:

Manufacturing

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
88.2
95.5
104.5

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
41.6
47.4
59.4

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
8.3
-18.0
-23.8

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
31.8
30.1
30.5

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
180.9
192.1
215.1

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
79.4
96.8
114.1

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
46.1
42.8
39.7

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
236.4
276.7
306.6

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.6
133.8
142.7

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
129.8
142.9
163.9

..

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
244.1

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
211.9

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.9

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
183.0

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
87.7

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
42.5

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
252.1

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
114.3

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
137.9

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
89.8

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
48.1

-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.1

.

269.9
263.7

234.6
222.2

29.5
28.8

205.1
193.4

107.0
101.7

44.1
43.0

289.4
281.9

140.0
136.2

149.5
145.7

97.0
99.3

52.4
46.4

-19.5
-18.2

266.8
278.5
284.6
301.3

236.6
243.1
243.8
259.2

27.6
30.0
32.7
31.8

209.0
213.1
211.1
227.4

110.6
114.5
111.4
120.1

43.9
37.0
36.6
41.3

286.2
305.9
313.9
320.6

136.9
143.2
144.8
146.1

149.4
162.7
169.1
174.5

101.3
103.1
105.7
108.0

48.1
59.6
63.4
66.4

-19.4
-27.4
-29.3
-19.2

286.1

243.8

31.7

212.2

112.9

34.3

320.2

147.6

172.6

111.1

61.5

-34.1

..
..

I

n
m

1989- I r
2

Total3

Total

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
212.8
222.3
245.7

IV

1

Financial

Tax
liability

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
244.7
258.7
282.8

1980 ..
1981
1982 ..
1983
1984 ....
1985
1986 ...
1987
1988 .
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

Profits
before tax

Nonfinancial

Period

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment rose $10.7 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment rose $0.6 billion. There was a $40.4 billion increase in inventories,
following an increase of $34.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

800

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
IWVF«;TMFKIT

700

/
J

1

~

'

-

700
-

/(

600

\^/

/

-_^

r>.
~- —

f

--"'

•4ONRESIDENT AL
XED INVESTMi:NT
—

^-.--•"""

400

^*'

—

300

300

RESIDENT IAL
FIXED INVES rMENT

-

—

_.-— •

200

100

500
-*"

/

400

600
_

\

500

^—

200

."

~

-

.-•--

r

H/ikNGE IN BUSIr-4E«

INVENTORIES
^ *
>

•«,^^^***^
^

[ i i

-100

1981

^-\
111
1982

/
^

, ' "
-"

I
1

'

1983

'

1

1

^wi^*-*
h-A J>*V»*•»«._
f ' '
f

1985

1984

/

' '
1986

—y
'''
1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

100

"
-

.
.

-

0
I

I I
1988

1

1

I

-ID

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

Gross
private
domestic
investment

1980
1981 ..
1982
1983..
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988...
1982: IV
1983- IV
1984: IV
1985- IV
1986: IV
1987: III

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
665.9
712.9
766.5

1988:

IV

763.4
758.1
772.5
772.0

1989- I r

788.9

rv
I

II

III

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
656.4
702.8
764.9

Nonresidential
Total

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
650.4
673.7
718.1
469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
658.4
688.3
692.9
698.1
714.4
722.8
737.2
748.5

Total
322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
433.9
446.8
488.4
354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
434.1

462.1
464.1
471.5
487.8
493.7
500.6
511.3

Structures

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
138.5
139.5
142.8
137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
134.6
143.0
147.7
140.1
142.3
143.8
145.0
148.0

Producers'
durable
equipment
208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
295.4
307.3
345.6

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
299.4
319.1
316.3
331.3
345.5
349.9
355.6
363.3

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
216.6
226.9
229.7
114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
224.4
226.2
228.8
226.6
226.5
229.1
236.6
237.2

Total

Nonfarm

67.7
11.3
15.5
39.2
48.4

2.4
18.3
23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
17.4
40.7
42.2

-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-2.0

-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
3.0

14.5
72.0

17.8
72.8

65.3
43.7
49.7
34.7

49.4
33. 1
41.9
44.6

40.4

25.7

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
7.1

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 9.9 percent in 1989, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

500

500

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

400

400

300

300

200

200
"
V __

MANUFACTURING
100

,100

80

80

60

60

40

40

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1987

1986

_!/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
_i/'SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total i

Transportation

Mining

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179.35

Total

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
316.70

Surveyed
quarterly
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

1980
1981
1982 .
1983
1984
1985
1986 .
1987
1988.
1989 4

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
429.67
472.08

-112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179.35

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.12
82.13

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
87.58
97.22

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.67
12.00

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.35
24.86

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.51
50.77

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.44
205.09

1987: in
IV

394.54
406.82

148.20
152.21

71.96
72.28

76.24
79.92

246.34
254.61

11.81
12.32

19.19
19.34

45.29
46.38

170.05
176.56

148.20
152 21

412.02
426.94
436.01
443.71

158.60
161.69
168.91
173.61

75.70
76.87
79.48
80.42

82.90
84.82
89.43
93.18

253.43
265.25
267.10
270.11

12.59
13.26
12.47
12.35

20.43
20.72
22.17
22.10

44.61
45.43
46.70
49.27

175.79
185.83
185.76
186.38

158.60
161.69
16891
173.61

457.64
467.50
478.79
484.38

175.83
177.10
182.70
181.79

81.71
80.21
84.08
82.54

94.12
96.89
98.61
99.25

281.81
290.40
296.09
302.59

12.12
13.08
12.21
10.60

23.24
23.11
25.85
27.24

50.26
51.42
50.18
51.24

196.20
202.79
207.86
213.51

175.83
177 10
182.70
181 79

31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

253.43
265.25
267 10
270.11

1989: I r
II 44
UI4

Iy3

246.34
254 61

1988: I..
TJ
III
IV

Surveyed
annual-

281.81
290.40
296.09
302.59

rv

1

Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and rea! estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nnnmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.

10



314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
482.40

3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capita! expenditures as reported by business in April-May 1989, corrected for biases.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In May, civilian employment rose 102,000 and unemployment fell 151,000.
MILLKDNS OF PERSONS*
124

MILLIONS OF PERS(DNS*
124

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

r^^"

120
116

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
- - t
k'
'

112

/~"
r

120
--•—

^-—

116

.--'— "

112

^^-"

108

^•-X

r"~~n

—'

^—|

•+*-*'*~~

108

""\"

104
100

104

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

f1*

,~.~^-

100

96

96

-

-

12
S-

8

^-^

12
1

•

.

——

8
V.^-

U MEMPLOYMEN T

4
0

1983

1 111111 1 11 1

in nl n in

1,11,1

1982

1981

4

1984

1985

1986

1987

16 YEARS OF AGE A "JD OVER
SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF LABOR

0
1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Unemployment

Civilian employment
Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultural

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

1,604
1,645

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669

99,303
100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169

95,938
97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800

4,064
4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539

6,800
6,523
6,624
6,797

Civilian
labor force

Agricultural

Total

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons l

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986'
1987
1988

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322

1,668
,676
,697
,706
,706
,737
,709

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378

1988:
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

186,088
186,247
186,402
186,522
186,666
186,801
186,949
187,098

1,714
1,685
1,673
1,692
1,704
1,687
1,705
1,696

122,917
123,209
123,331
123,692
123,688
123,778
124,215
124,259

116,117
116,686
116,707
116,895
117,074
117,260
117,652
117,705

121,203
121,524
121,658
122,000
121,984
122,091
122,510
122,563

114,403
115,001
115,034
115,203
115,370
115,573
115,947
116,009

3,110
3,121
3,060
3,142
3,176
3,238
3,238
3,193

111,293
111,880
111,974
112,061
112,194
112,335
112,709
112,816

4,676
5,073
5,102
4,972
4,862
4,727
4,819
5,033

1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673

125,124
124,865
124,948
125,343
125,283

118,407
118,537
118,820
118,797
118,888

123,428
123,181
123,264
123,659
123,610

116,711
116,853
117,136
117,113
117,215

3,300
3,223
3,206
3,104
3,112

113,411
113,630
113,930
114,009
114,102

4,837
4,697
4,709
4,930
4,609

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include alack work, material shortages, inability to find full*
time work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Total

8,312
8,237
7,425

6,701

6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

6,716
6,328

6,128
6,546
6,395

15
weeks
and
over

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9

59.2
59.0

1,614
1,543
1,619
1,636
1,568
1,554
1,502
1,495

65.7
65.8
65.9
66.0
66.0
66.0
66.1
66.1

62.0
62.3
62.3
62.3
62.4
62.4
62.6
62.6

1,512
1,304
1,310
1,426
1,313

66.5
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0
63.0

57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3

"Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because <
estimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In May, the overall unemployment rate and the civilian unemployment fell slightly, to 5.1 and 5.2 percent,
respectively.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20

15 A

vv

A
BLACK

10

10
AND OTHER
ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS

Vv-*

WHITE

11 n H11111
1986

1985

iiiliini

1987

1988

1989

1985

•UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN IABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

By sex and age

All
civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

By selected groups

By race
Both
sexes
16-19
years

Black
White

and

Black

other

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

6.9

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4

11.0
10.9

9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6

8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3

7.9

19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4

14.3
15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

4.2
4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6

6.9
6.1
5.4

7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5

8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9

5.6
5.4
5.4
5.6
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3

4.9
4.6
4.5
4.9
4.6
4.6
4.8
4.7

4.9
4.9
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.7

15.6
14.1
15.1
15.4
15.5
15.0
14.1
14.8

4.7
4.6
4.7
4.9
4.7
4.6
4.6
4.6

10.9
10.3
10.1
10.0
9.5
9.8
10.0
10.0

12.1
11.7
11.5
11.4
10.9
11.2
11.2
11.6

5.3
5.1
5.1
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.3
3.2
3.1
3.4
3.1
3.1
3.3
3.1

8.4

Oct
Nov
Dec

5.5
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

7.9
8.5
7.5
8.1
7.9
7.7
8.2

5.2
5.0
5.0
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.1

7.7
7.7
8.0
7.4
7.4
7.4
7.1
7.0

6.4
6.3
6.4
6.4
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.3

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

5.4
5.1
4.9
5.2
5.1

5.4
5.1
5.0
5.3
5.2

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3

4.7
4.5
4.6
4.1
4.8

16.4
14.8
13.7
14.4
15.2

4.6
4.3
4.2
4.6
4.4

10.6
10.6
9.8
9.6
9.5

12.0
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0

5.2
4.8
4.7
5.1
4.9

3.1
3.1
2.9
3.2
2.9

8.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
8.3

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.8

7.9
7.3
6.2
7.2
6.9

6.2
5.9
5.8
6.0
5.9

1980
1981
1982
1983

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: May
June....
July

Aug
Sept

1989:

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6

5.9
6.3

17.8

1
Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
2
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours.

12



4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3

9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

8.5

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In May, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks, for 5-14 weeks,
and for 15-26 weeks rose, while the percentage for 27 weeks and over fell. Both the mean and the median
duration of unemployment fell.

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT
60

60

-

50

JOB LOSERS
40

REENTRANTS

30

20
JOB LEAVERS

-

10
NEW ENTRANTS

11 II 1 l l

1989

1985

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Duration of unemployment
Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

State
programs

Number of
weeks
27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted)1

Weekly average, thousands
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

1988- May

July
. •>
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May
1

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,056

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

6,800
6,523
6,624
6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

45.5
47.3
44.9
46.8
47.4
47.4
47.6
46.2

30.6
29.2
30.7
29.0
28.8
28.5
29.5
31.1

11.7
11.4
12.4
12.3
11.8
12.2
12.0
11.5

12.2
12.1
11.9
11.9
12.1
11.9
10.9
11.2

13.8
13.2
13.5
13.5
13.5
13.4
12.6
12.8

5.9
5.9
6.2
5.9
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.8

47.4
46.7
46.1
46.2
46.7
45.9
46.2
46.5

13.9
14.5
13.8
14.6
14.9
15.3
14.7
15.1

26.7
26.6
28.1
27.3
26.8
27.2
26.9
26.2

12.0
12.2
11.9
11.9
11.5
11.6
12.2
12.1

2,051
2,050
2,082
2,069
2,025
1,972
1,989
2,032

311
304
327
305
293
296
301
309

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395

47.0
50.6
49.4
47.2
47.7

30.7
29.1
29.4
31.1
31.7

11.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
11.0

11.1
10.0
10.7
11.3
9.6

12.7
12.1
12.4
12.7
11.8

5.7
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.3

46.4
45,2
46.0
45.7
42.7

14.7
15.5
14.4
15.0
17.5

27.3
27.3
28.1
29.0
29.1

11.6
12.0
11.6
10.3
10.7

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063

293
309
323
300
317

Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125
1,949

r
l,881
r

2,052
' 1,914
' 1,734
' 1,677
' 1,857
T
2,205
2,685
' 2,695
2,567
2,221

Source: Department of Labor {Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 101,000 in May.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

(Series revised.)

MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

no
^.f'~

26
SERVICES

100

_

—

r-^O

.--'"

-

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

—

24

90

~

—

^.,---""'

22
80

—

—

—

—

20
RETAIL TRADE

70

18

.

\J^r^

—

SERV 'ICE-PRODUC:ING
INDUSTRIES

-

-GOVERNMENT

— — *•"

^-—'
60

mlfiimi

-

—

Illlllllllimillllllll

Illllllllll

'

*
MANlJFACTURtNC

20

50

•— |

\ ^ 1
^
40 -

-

18

30

in
Tr 1 1 1 ll

1

11

1988

1987

\

'

1985

1

1987

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF EC 3NOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands oi wage and salary workers;

l

seasonally adjustf

Service-producing industries

Goods-producing industries
Manufacturing
Total 2

n

V

1986

SEASONALLY ADJ JSTEO
DEPARTM NT OF LABOR

Period

1 11

Ul 1 1 1 1 , , I , mnlmii 11 \\ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 til
I

1989

s OURCE:

Total
nonagricultural
employment

r

ONSTRUCTIC

4

M
1,
20 41, ml, INI M mlii M] , , , , 1 1 1 , , , 1 , , , 1 1 , , , i i n i m , |J
1986

•

, , , , ii n , 1I 1 1 M ) 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 h 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II III
1

6

\

1985

1 11 1

~

GOC>DS-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

Construction

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

Retail
trade

Government

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services
Total

Federal

90,406
91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,584

25,658
25,497
23,813
23,334
24,727
24,859
24,558
24,708
25,249

4,346
4,188
3,905
3,948
4,383
4,673
4,816
4,967
5,125

20,285
20,170
18,781
18,434
19,378
19,260
18,965
19,024
19,403

12,187
12,109
11,039
10,732
11,505
11,490
11,230
11,194
11,437

8,098
8,061
7,741
7,702
7,873
7,770
7,734
7,830
7,967

64,748
65,659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74,967
77,492
80,335

5,146
5,165
5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,255
5,372
5,548

5,275
5,358
5,278
5,268
5,555
5,717
5,753
5,844
6,029

15,035
15,189
15,179
15,613
16,545
17,356
17,930
18,483
19,110

5,160
5,298
5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,283
6,547
6,676

17,890
18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
22,000
23,053
24,236
25,600

16,241
16,031
15,837
15,869
16,024
16,394
16,693
17,010
17,372

2,866
2,772
2,739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943
2,971

1988: May r.. 105,091
June ''. 105,561
July r.. 105,768
Aug ".. 105,954
Sept r.. 106,207
Oct r... 106,475
Nov r.. 106,824
Dec r .. 107,097

25,179
25,265
25,323
25,303
25,313
25,384
25,460
25,513

5,100
5,139
5,150
5,153
5,163
5,162
5,191
5,213

19,354
19,400
19,448
19,425
19,431
19,505
19,557
19,589

11,399
11,431
11,475
11,462
11,464
11,509
11,545
11,565

7,955
7,969
7,973
7,963
7,967
7,996
8,012
8,024

79,912
80,296
80,445
80,651
80,894
81,091
81,364
81,584

5,522
5,542
5,557
5,572
5,581
5,596
5,616
5,634

6,001
6,027
6,038
6,051
6,071
6,086
6,104
6,125

19,036
19,096
19,139
19,182
19,188
19,229
19,282
19,328

6,654
6,672
6,678
6,686
6,695
6,710
6,726
6,744

25,364
25,597
25,683
25,784
25,888
25,986
26,111
26,230

17,335
17,362
17,350
17,376
17,471
17,484
17,525
17,523

2,962
2,956
2,958
2,967
2,985
2,986
2,983
2,981

Jan r... 107,442
Feb r... 107,711
Mar ' .. 107,888
Apr r... 108,094
May '.. 108,195

25,626
25,629
26,646
25,664
25,631

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,275
5,261

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,669
19,651

11,605
11,594
11,604
11,599
11,586

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,070
8,065

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,564

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,694

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,207
6,209

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,491
19,508

6,746
6,763
6,774
6,781
6,788

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,647
26,711

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,622
17,654

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,975
2,964

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1989:

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultura! establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad
weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the

14



working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Note.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning January 1984; unadjusted revised beginning
April 1987.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAIi INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average weekly hours

Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Period

Overtime

Manufacturing

Retail
trade

Percent change from a
year ear ier, total
private
nonagricultural 3

Current
dollars

1977
dollars s

Manufacturing

Construction

$367.78 $147.38
158.03
399.26
163.85
426.82
171.05
442.97
174.33
458.51
174.64
464.46
176.08
466.75
' 480.44 ' 178.70
183.62
493.08

6.9
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2

-5.8
15
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
-1.0
9

Current
dollars

1977
dollars

T

July .
Aug T
Sept '
Oct '
Novr
Dec '
Jan r
Feb r
Mar r
May "

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9

$6.66
7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40

41.1
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.1
41.2
41.2
41.0

3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.9

9.26
9.27
9.31
9.32
9.37
9.43
9.42
9.45

10.14
10.18
10.18
10.21
10.25
10.29
10.30
10.31

321.32
321.67
323.99
322.47
325.14
328.16
326.87
327.92

168.23
167.89
168.39
166.82
167.68
168.55
167.28
167.39

416.75
418.40
418.40
418.61
421.28
423.95
424.36
422.71

487.84
494.16
493.29
492.53
494.05
499.66
503.04
497.07

182.12
183.33
185.18
183.57
185.08
186.30
185.60
187.11

3.1
3.3
4.1
2.8
4.2
4.1
3.3
3.9

7
-.5
.1
-1.2
-.0

34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6

May r.

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1

34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.7
34.7

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 .
1988 r

1989:

Total

Total
private
nonagricultural *

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7

1980
1981

1988:

Total
private
nonflgricultural l

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural '

Manufacturing

41.1
41.1
41.0
41.2
41.0

3.9
3.9
4.0
4.0
3.8

9.49
9.52
9.54
9.60
9.61

10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.41

330.25
329.39
331.04
335.04
332.51

167.55
166.44
166.44
167.35
165.18

424.56
426.21
426.40
428.48
426.81

496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
496.03

187.40
186.41
186.98
189.15
188.14

4.2
3.5
4.1
4.4
3.4

-.3
-1.2
8
-.8
19

1

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
2
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1977=100 base).
3
Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

1

-.9
5

NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning January 1984; unadjust
April 1987.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]

Index (June 1981 = 100)

Percent change from
12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Period

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1986:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Mar
June
Sept
Dec

1987:

Mar....

June
Sent . .
Dec
1988- Mar
June
Sept
Dec
1989: Mar
1

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

94.7
104.0
110.7
117.0
122.7
127.5
131.6
136.0
142.6
128.9
129.0
130.8
131.6
132.9
133.8
135.1
136.0
138.1
139.8
141.2
142.6
144.4

95.4
103.8
110.3
115.8
120.6
125.6
129.5
133.8
139.3
126.8
129.9
128.8
129.5
130.8
131.7
133.0
133.8
135.1
136.6
137.9
139.3
140.8

Benefits '

93.0
104.3
111.7
120.0
127.9
132.4
136.9
141.7
151.3
134.2
134.8
136.1
136.9
138.1
139.3
140.3
141.7
146.1
148.2
149.7
151.3
154.0

Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Benefits l

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.2
2.3
1.5
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.1

9.8
9.8
6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.9

9.0
8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.3
4.1

1.4
.4
1.0
.6
.9
.9
.7
1.0

3.8
3.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.3

3.9
3.7
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3

1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0

2.0
1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
.9
.7
.5
1.0
.7
1.0
.6
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0

3.1
1.4
1.0
1.1

3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9

3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1

1.3

1.1

1.8

4.6

4.2

2.1
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
.6
.6
.7
1.0
1.1
.8
.7
.6
1.0
.7
1.0
.7

Benefits '

11.8
12.2
7.1
7.4
6.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
6.8
3.2
3.5
3.3
3.4
2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8
5.4

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '

Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of all
persons 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.3
100.7
100.3
103.0
105.5

98.8
99.8
99.2
102.5
104.6

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.5
108.2
105.2
106.8
112.9

108.0
108.7
105.7
107.5
114.0

131.5
143.7
154.9
161.4
167.9

131.3
143.6
154.8
161.5
167.8

96.7
95.8
97.3
98.2
97.9

96.6
95.8
97.2
98.3
97.9

132.5
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.0
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

1985
1986
1987
1988

107.7
110.1
111.0
112.2

106.1
108.2
109.0
110.6

124.2
128.6
133.3
139.4

123.9
128.2
133.0
139.9

115.3
116.8
120.1
124.3

116.8
118.5
122.1
126.6

175.5
183.1
190.4
199.4

174.9
182.3
189.4
198.0

98.8
101.2
101.5
102.1

98.5
100.8
101.0
101.4

162.9
166.3
171.5
177.8

164.9
168.6
173.8
179.1

162.2
165.8
170.5
175.7

163.8
167.8
172.5
177.3

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
IV

101.0
103.8
105.9
108.5

99.7
103.3
104.9
106.5

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5

103.9
109.4
114.0
116.1

104.5
110.4
115.1
117.9

158.3
163.6
170.3
178.8

158.2
163.4
170.2
177.9

98.0
98.1
98.0
99.4

97.9
97.9
98.0
98.9

156.8
157.6
160.7
164.8

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5

1986:

HE
IV

110.0
109.8

108.0
107.8

128.5
129.3

128.1
128.8

116.8
117.8

118.6
119.5

184.0
186.2

183.1
185.4

101.6
102.1

101.2
101.7

167.3
169.6

169.5
172.1

167.0
167.5

169.0
169.5

109.9
110.6
111.7
111.8

107.8
108.6
109.6
109.9

130.5
132.2
134.3
136.2

130.1
131.9
134.1
136.0

118.8
119.5
120.3
121.8

120.7
121.5
122.3
123.8

187.3
189.0
191.1
194.0

186.4
187.9
190.0
192.9

101.4
101.1
101.3
101.9

100.9
100.5
100.7
101.4

170.5
170.8
171.1
173.5

172.9
173.0
173.3
175.6

168.7
170.1
171.2
171.9

170.9
171.9
173.2
174.0

110.8
110.1
110.7
110.9

138.0
138.8
139.8
140.9

137.9
139.2
140.5
142.1

122.3
124.1
124.5
125.8

124.4
126.4
126.9
128.1

195.8
198.1
201.1

IV

112.8
111.8
112.3
112.0

203.2

194.6
196.6
199.4
201.9

101.9
102.0
102.4
102.3

101.3
101.3
101.5
101.7

173.5
177.1
179.0
181.4

175.7
178.6
180.2
182.0

172.3
174.7
176.8
179.0

174.2
176.2
178.0
180.6

I"

112.5

110.6

142.7

142.9

126.8

129.2

205.9

204.6

102.3

101.7

183.0

185.0

180.5

182.0

1987: I

n
m
IV

1988: I

n
m

1989:

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

I I

03
1.4
-.4
2.7
2.5

-0.4
1.0
-.6
3.3
2.1

2.1
31
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.7
28
1.5
5.7

07
.7
-2.7
1.6
6.0

10.5
9.2
7.8
4.2
4.1

10.5
9.4
7.8
4.3
3.9

-2.7
-1.0
1.6
.9
2

-2.7
-.8
1.5
1.1
4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

2.1
2.2
.8
1.1

1.4
2.0
.8
1.5

4.2
3.5
3.6
4.6

3.9
3.5
3.8
5.2

2.1
1.3
2.8
3.5

2.5
1.5
3.0
3.7

4.5
4.3
4.0
4.8

4.2
4.2
3.8
4.6

.9
2.4
.3
.6

.6
2.3
.2
.4

2.4
2.1
3.1
3.7

2.8
2.2
3.1
3.1

2.5
2.3
2.8
3.1

3.0
2.4
2.8
2.8

1985....

1986
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
IV

3.0
3.1
1.7
.7

2.4
1.4
1.2
.2

-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5

-3.4
7.1
1.8
2.9

-3.5
8.2
1.9
3.4

4.5
5.5
3.8
5.4

5.0
4.3
3.9
5.1

3.2
1.4
.3
1.2

3.8
.2
.4
.9

1.5
2.3
2.1
4.7

2.6
2.8
2.7
4.9

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1

1986:

m
IV

-1.4
-.8

-1.5
-.9

.9
2.5

.8
2.4

2.3
3.4

2.4
3.3

4.4
4.8

4.3
5.1

2.0
2.0

1.9
2.2

5.8
5.7

5.9
6.1

5.0
1.1

5.1
1.2

.3
2.7
3.9
.6

.0
3.2
3.7
.9

3.7
5.3
6.6
5.7

4.0
5.7
6.8
5.9

3.4
2.5
2.6
5.1

4.0
2.5
2.9
4.9

2.5
3.6
4.6
6.2

2.1
3.4
4.5
6.4

-2.8
-1.2
.9
2.4

-3.2
-1.4
.7
2.6

2.2
.8
.7
5.6

2.1
.2
.7
5.4

3.0
3.2
2.8
1.4

3.3
2.3
3.1
1.8

3.5
-3.4
1.7
-1.0

3.4
-2.4
2.0
1.0

5.5
2.4
2.8
3.3

5.6
4.0
3.5
4.8

1.9
6.0
1.1
4.3

2.1
6.6
1.5
3.7

3.7
4.8
6.2
4.3

3.5
4.2
5.7
5.2

.0
.3
1.4
-.2

— .1
-.3
.9
.7

.2
8.5
4.4
5.4

.1
6.8
3.7
4.1

1.0
5.8
4.7
5.1

.6
4.7
4.1
6.0

1.7

-1.1

5.1

2.2

3.4

3.4

5.4

5.4

.0

.0

3.6

6.6

3.6

3.2

1987: I

n
m
IV

1988: I

n
m
IV

1989:

I"....

1

Output refers to grogs domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
* Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.

16



8

Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.
* Data do not reflect GNP revisions of June 22, 1989.
NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production was unchanged in May and capacity utilization fell slightly.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)

160

240

FINAL PRODUCTS

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
_—-

,--v

200

^^

180

120

Illllllllll

100 |Hll|l||||

Illllllllll

|=S=

^

100

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

140

CONSUMER
GOODS

NONDURABLE

120

iimliim Illiil""!

Illllllllll

100

/*"•

UTI LITIES

Illllllllll

hd

1985

1986

Illllllllll

80

"V

-~

__
^-^-|

-

70
Illllllllil

1985

1989

1988

M M M M !
S M M M

-

^X^—^ \^
MINING
Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1987

~

90

*.,''""

100

Illllllllll

CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)

120
<*

Illllllllll

Illllllim

PERCENT*

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION

f

_„—••••""

-'V"

120

t^^zZ?^*^'

^

^

140 _»*x.— «f ""•^.. - \^^

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

100

BUSINESS
E<3UIPMENT

Illllllllll

160

^"^

"^--V
1

..—r
^..--''

160

140 '— DURABLE

DFFFNSF AMD
SPACE
EQUIPMEN1

220

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986

1987

1988

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Period
Index,
1977 = 100

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: May
June
July
. J

Aug

Sept

Oct
No-v
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb r
Mar r
Apr T
May"
1

Capacity utilization
rate, percent *

Industry production indexes, 1977 = 100

Total
industrial
production

Output as percent of capacity.




-1.9
2.2
-7.1
5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7

84.21
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7

49.10
109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9

35.11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.8
143.9

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4

5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5

136.1
136.5
138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

6.2
5.7
5.7
5.5
5.7
5.2
5.1
4.9

141.8
142.1
143.6
144.0
144.4
145.3
145.8
146.3

141.5
141.7
142.9
143.2
143.8
144.6
145.2
145.7

142.1
142.6
144.6
145.1
145.3
146.3
146.7
147.1

102.6
103.0
104.3
103.8
103.7
103.1
104.7
104.9

111.6
113.2
114.4
117.8
113.0
113.9
113.7
115.4

82.9
83.0
83.7
83.8
83.7
84.0
84.1
84.3

83.3
83.3
84.0
84.0
84.0
84.3
84.4
84.4

140.8
140.5
140.6
141.4
141.4

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.5
3.9

147.2
146.8
146.7
147.7
147.6

146.2
145.9
145.6
146.6
146.4

148.5
148.1
148.4
149.3
149.3

103.0
100.9
101.9
102.9
104.1

114.0
116.5
116.9
116.9
116.4

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.1
83.8

84.7
84.3
84.0
84.3
84.0

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total1

Business

1977 proportion
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

44.77
112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144.3

25.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6

1988:

143.5
144.0
145.0
145.8
145.8
146.4
146.8
147.7

132.7
133.0
134.2
135.0
134.8
136.4
136.8
138.2

125.6
125.3
125.3
125.7
126.3
129.3
129.2
131.9

135.4
135.8
137.5
138.5
138.0
139.0
139.7
140.5

157.7
158.5
159.4
160.1
160.4
159.7
159.9
160.4

148.2
148.6
148.8
149.7
149.4

138.5
138.7
138.3
139.1
138.5

131.5
131.6
130.1
131.8
130.8

141.1
141.4
141.3
141.8
141.3

161.1
161.6
162.6
163.8
163.9

156.9
158.1
159.3
160.2
160.8
160.2
161.2
162.6
163.8
165.0
166.2
167.4
167.8

May
June
July

Aue
Sept

1989:

Oct.
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb r

Mar r

Apr T
May >>.
1

Defense
and
space
equipment

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8
185.5
184.6
184.9
184.9
184.5
184.0
182.2
180.5
180.0
179.3
178.2
178:6

178.0

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5

42.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
101.5

150.4
150.0
151.6
152.3
152.9
154.0
154.2
155.0
156.6
155.1
155.9
155.9
155.7

138.8
137.6
138.4
138.1
138.4
140.0
140.7
141.4

160.3
160.6
162.8
164.4
165.2
165.9
165.7
166.7

123.9
124.5
126.4
126.5
126.5
127.5
128.3
128.3

99.5
101.3
102.7
103.2
101.5
101.3
102.3
102.6

142.3
139.5
138.9
138.5
137.4

168.8
168.4
170.3
170.8

128.1
127.4
127.3
128.3
128.5

100.5
100.5
101.3
102.5
103.1

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals

Total

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: May
June
July
Auff
Sept

Oct.
Nov
Dec

1989: Jan.
Feb r.
Mar r
Apr r
May p

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89.2
89.2
87.5
91.5
90.8
93.1
94.2
92.7
90.0
93.2
91.1
88.4
89.4
894

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18




Lumber
and
products

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Foods

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2

3.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3

2. 79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7

133.1
132.8
131.9
131.8
132.7
134.8
135.2
136.8

119.6
119.1
116.6
117.5
118.5
121.7
122.9
125.5

139.8
136.4
136.6
133.8
133.5
137.5
139.4
143.0

108.6
109.3
109.4
108.9
109.9
109.5
110.1
108.8

180.7
182.3
184.9
186.7
188.0
188.1
188.5
188.0

149.1
150.5
153.4
154.8
155.3
156.7
157.5
158.1

141.0
141.3
143.3
143.3
143.2
144.0
145.7
145.8

136.7
136.4
134.7
136.7
135.3

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.7
120.1

139.9
132.8
133.1
132.5

110.2
110.2
109.6

193.0
194.6
197.4
199.3
200.0

159.0
158.5
159.1
159.2

146.6
146.3
145.5
146.3

Iron and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7
170.8

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1

78.6
74.2
80.2
78.9
81.4
83.1
80.8
77.6

119.8
120.4
121.7
122.1
122.5
122.6
124.6
125.1

170.3
171.2
173.1
174.1
174.8
173.8
175.4
177.8

179.1
179.5
181.5
182.2
181.8
183.0
182.2
180.9

82.2
79.1
75.9
77.4

124.5
124.5
124.0
123.6
124.0

178.7
180.8
182.3
183.6
184.4

180.9
181.7
181.4
182.9
182.3

Period

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Federal,
State, and
local

Residential
Total

New: housing
units

Total '

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Total value
index
(1982=100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars

1979

252.4

1980
1981
1982 ..
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

251.7
260.2
246.6

281.3
328.6
355:7

386.1
398.9

403.1

200.7
193.3
203.6
192.9
227.5
271.0
291.7
314.7
323.8
325.1

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
139.2

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.8
195.3

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
76.4

42.3
46.2
49.4
49.5
48.1
48.5
50.5
49.5
52.5
53.4

51.7
58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.4
75.0
78.0

109
97
100
100
124
136
150
158
164
161

Annual rates

Annual rates

1988- Apr
May

396.2
398.5
395.7
404.2
403.2
406.9
407.7

July

1989: Jan
Feb r.
Mar r
Apr "
May"
1

324.7
326.8
327.2
330.7
332.3
335.6

418.0
415.7
414.6
414.9

Oct
Nov
Dec

3

320.2

411.5
421.0

Sept

2

318.5
317.7

336.5
333.8
339.6
335.6

192.0
190.4
188.1
194.2
195.4
196.9
300.0
200.6

201.7
201.4
199.7
201.1
200.7

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
942

138.5
137.7
136.8
136.4
137.1
138.7
140.5
142.7
144.2

76.8
78.1
77.5
77.1
76.7
75.1
76.0
76.3
77.5

49.7
51.8
52.2
53.3
54.7
55.1
54.8
55.3
56.4

77.7
78.3
78.0
79.5
76.4
79.7
77.0
79.2
85.4

158
166
169
160
162
157
164
158
163

852
860
904
954
905
880
841
839
942

145.4
145.4
143.7
141.8

80.4
80.2
84.5
80.3

54.6
53.8
53.9
54.6

81.4
82.0
75.0
79.3

155
148
150
163
159

943
850
856
836
905

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W, Dodge Division.

Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.
Includes hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1979

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1

1980
1981
1982 ...
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1 unit
1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3

2-4 units

5 or more units

122.0

429.0
330.5
287.7

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8

319.6
522.0
544.0

576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0

Units
authorized
1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6

Units
completed

Homes sold

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1
3

397
337
275
253
301
353
346
357
365
366

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2
5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7

Seasonally adjusted annu al rates

1988- May

1,392
1,463
1,478
1,459
1,463
1,532
1,567
1,577

July
Sept

Oet
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

r

May"
1

1,001
1,088
1,067
1,076
1,039
1,136
1,138
1,141

53
62
50
59
62
63
68
65

338
313
361
324
362
333
361
371

1,448
1,485
1,425
1,466
1,432
1,526
1,508
1,518

1,461
1,517
1,528
1,539
1,536
1,516
1,429
1,539

679
716
701712
691
718
650
669

370
367
365
363
361
353
364
366

1,678
1,465
1,409
1 ,339
1,311

1,199
1,029
981
1,027
980

66
62
50
64
46

413
374
378
248
285

1,486
1,403
1,230
1,334
1,347

1,537

700
r
621
547
597
613

369
r
375
377
377
382

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.
2




r

l,610

1,453
1,555

7.7

7.8

7.3

7.3

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In April, manufacturing and trade sales rose 1.8 percent and inventories rose $4.4 billion. In May, according to
advance data, retail sales rose 0.1 percent, following a rise of 1.0 percent in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

r-

700

240

-

^—

_-r-^'

r \

MAM JFACTURINC,

600

180

—

160

500

^>
Rbl AIL INVENTC >R1ES

~~^
-

—

—

^— •*""""

-

NG
Ah•4D TRADE S> dES
M \NUFACTUR

400

,

140

-

-

—

^r^

200
AND

TRA 3E INVENTORIES

-

^,

220 —

120

-C"
A / •RETAIL SAl tb

,-''*-'

—

-

-

—

100

imiliiiii imiliiiii Illllllllll Illllllllll

300

Illllllllll

RATKy
1.80

-

-

_ INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

1.60

Y»

X.
L~~\,'~~ "».---*" "-''

^T-

1.40

200

RETA|L

/^

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.20

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll llll|||||ll
1985

1986

1987

iiiiiliiin

1.00

Illllllllll

1989

1988

1

Ullll ! \\\
1986

1985

IIM.hlM,

EA5ONALLY ADJU STED
s DURCE: DEPARTME sIT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade '
Sales

Inventories 3

1988

million
1989

COUNCIL OF ECC NOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail
Inventories 3

Sales 2

Period
2

MM lllllll

1987

Sales

2

Inventories 3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade J

Retail

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

61,093
64,754
68,985
72,434
74,802
79,077
83,384

134,468
147,377
167,159
180,825
185,224
206,981
221,242

61,469
68,984
79,257
88,608
90,477
106,271
114,994

72,999
78,393
87,902
92,217
94,747
100,710
106,248

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57

81,188
82,143
82,690
83,378
84,119
84,324
85,117
85,599
85,035

206,622
208,575
210,824
211,534
215,396
219,297
216,724
218,093
221,242

104,019
105,860
107,064
107,443
110,146
114,303
111,689
112,904
114,994

102,603
102,715
103,760
104,091
105,250
104,994
105,035
105,189
106,248

1.50
1.50
1.49
1.50
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.49
1.49

1.55
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.58
1.62
1.57
1.56
1.59

86,225
86,357
86,630
r
87,124
87,132

222,584
224,185
224,693
226,548

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,148

106,880
108,016
108,700
109,400

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.61

Nondurable goods
stores

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

348,747
368,813
407,869
418,151
423,700
449,536
485,756

1988: Apr r....
May..

.
r

July..
Sept..
Oct
Nov..
Dec

1989-

Jan
Feb...
Mar r
Apr"
May"

1
2
3

574,491
590,358
644,306
655,066
653,853
700,761
753,718

96,290
100,244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361

128,196
130,334
142,380
146,745
152,447
162,648
178,313

475,218
478,615
486,208
486,193
492,491
492,478
498,846
501,400
506,186

714,590
718,995
724,966
729,903
737,562
744,054
743,544
746,756
753,718

129,105
128,790
132,317
133,833
134,726
135,332
138,087
137,239
136,170

170,032
170,346
172,179
174,581
176,368
176,972
177,408
177,060
178,313

511,881
507,328
507,555
516,820

759,803
763,051
765,504
769,912

140,356
139,547
139,991
141,876

179,761
179,810
179,681
179,916

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period.

20



89,107
97,328
106,805
113,821
119,663
126,785
135,763
r

133,077
134,048
135,010
135,662
136,050
135,751
137,842
139,529
139,189

140,040
139,428
139,516
r
140,942
141,085

28,013
32,574
37,819
41,387
44,861
47,707
52,379
r

51,889
5 1,905
52,320
52,284
51,931
51,427
52,725
53,930
54,154

53,815
53,071
52,886
r
53,818
53,953
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In April, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders rose. In May, according to advance data, shipments by
durable goods manufacturers were about unchanged and new orders fell.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280
240

SHIPMENT";

—"I

200

'

•— ^

\
TOTAL

280

160
DUR ABLE GOODs

120

.—i— '

-•_

*•*"

"~~ "*~

- _.-

- — r"""

"*

\

80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
480
440 — INVENTORIES400
360
TOTAL

===^i!

200

DURABLE GOODS

160
120

NO NDURABLE C OODS

60
Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
BILLIO NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

NONDURABLE GOODS

80
60

280
240

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

200

RATIC *
2.20

160

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

2.00

DURABLE GOODS

120

r~^

1.80
1.60

- NONDURABLE GOODS-

80

-

" ^
~ 1

f\

1.40

60

miilimi I l l l l l l l l l l

Illllllllll

1986

1985

1987

I l l l l l l l l l l

niiiliiiii

MTIlllMI,

1985

1.20

1986

1989

1988

''MllH'M
1987

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

IT III III til

mill

1988

Manufacturers' shipments l

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders *
Durable goods

Period
Total

Durable
goods

1989

COUNCIL CF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total

Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
33,746
31,522
35,458
36,213
38,808
34,858
34,623
35,825
39,432
40,352
37,189
38,137
40,364
37,020

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
100,193
101,029
102,648
103,765
104,203
103,348
104,304
105,118
106,737
107,596
107,199
107,634
110,447

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
433,527
434,148
443,357
446,536
451,830
453,103
457,281
460,802
468,860
473,450
476,403
481,366
487,173

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.59
1.58
1.56
1.59
1.56
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.53
1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988.
1988: Apr
May
July
Sept
Oct

Nov

Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May"
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
213,036
215,777
218,881
216,698
221,715
221,395
222,917
224,632
230,827
231,485
228,353
228,048
234,002

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
112,521
114,751
116,522
113,122
117,866
118,030
118,439
119,874
124,175
123,578
120,924
120,432
123,349
123,284

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
100,515
101,026
102,359
103,576
103,849
103,365
104,478
104,758
106,652
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,653

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
337,936
340,074
341,963
343,788
345,798
347,785
349,412
351,603
354,163
357,458
359,056
361,130
363,448

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period.




200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
221,405
222,948
224,000
225,467
226,600
228,214
229,735
231,766
233,666
236,810
238,165
239,330
240,548

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
116,531
117,126
117,963
118,321
119,198
119,571
119,677
119,837
120,497
120,648
120,891
121,800
122,900
3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
217,029
216,398
228,090
219,877
227,009
222,669
227,095
228,153
238,886
236,075
231,306
233,011
239,809

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
116,836
115,369
125,442
116,112
122,806
119,321
122,791
123,035
132,149
128,479
124,107
125,377
129,362
123,973

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In May, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.9 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.8
percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 1.1 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.4 percent.
INDEX, 1982 =100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982 =100 (RATIO SCALE)

120

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

rONSI IMFR

FINISHED GOODS PRICES

Wv«
ruwuo
\

CAPITAL EQUIPMENT
\
,-.- <

'"'.

._

'""

.

_V'J"'
/

^

.-•> '—

^

-•"^-Ssi! ^-

/

."
'

fj.s'sl

-

.-"'">'"> .'''

-

i

~-~."

-—*—5V^H

*

-./

V'

•{V^^

. ia***^ i^x***.'
'
^

100

f

^••»

^ ^s

\

&$'

1

"-'

' P**f

f

*l"

"

%

.S^

t

/'
~-S~—**t —^**^
'
TOTAL /

,.'~''~

"\

100

CONSUMER GOODS
E KCLUDING FOC)DS

Y

90

-

—

80

Illllllllll iiiiiliiiii Illllllllll
1981

1983

1982

I11I(

IIIIll|||ll
1984

Illllllllll IIIIlll|||l Illllllllll Illllllllll

1986

1985

1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Total
1980...
1981
1982 ..

1983
1984....

1985
1986.
1987
1988
1988: May
June
July

Aue:
Sept

1989:

1

Oct
Nov
Dee
Jan r.
Peb
Mar
Apr
May




Durable

Capital
equipment

Total

Foods
and
feeds '

Other

Crude materials

Total

Foodstuffs
and

Other

stuffs

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3

85.8
94.8
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5

107.4
107.6
108.2
108.5
109.1
109.2
109.5
109.9

111.2
112.1
112.9
113.6
114.6
114.7
115.1
115.2

106.1
106.1
106.6
106.9
107.3
107.4
107.7
108.2

102.9
102.7
103.3
103.5
103.7
103.8
104.1
104.7

113.2
113.4
113.9
114.5
115.1
115.0
115.0
115.4

97.2
96.8
97.6
97.6
97.6
97.8
98.3
98.9

113.7
114.0
114.3
114.7
115.7
115.6
115.8
116.2

105.6
105.8
106.5
106.8
107.3
107.4
107.8
108.2

106.3
107.1
107.9
108.2
108.6
108.6
109.0
109.5

104.2
110.7
115.9
114.9
115.3
115.1
113.2
112.3

106.4
107.0
107.4
107.8
108.2
108.3
108.8
109.4

96.0
96.9
96.6
97.2
97.1
96.6
94.8
97.8

102.0
106.1
108.3
110.9
113.1
113.4
108.8
110.8

88.0
86.9
85.2
84.4
83.1
82.0
82.1
85.6

111.1
112.1
112.6
113.1
114.1

116.7
117.9
118.9
118.2
119.2

109.3
110.1
110.6
111.4
112.4

106.0
107.1
107.6
109.0
110.2

116.3
116.6
117.2
116.3

100.4
101.7
102.2
104.5
105.8

116.9
117.3
117.5
117.4
117. 9

109.5
110.7
111.3
112.0
113.2

110.8
111.2
112.0
112.5
112.6

115.2
114.6
116.7
115.2
113.6

110.5
111.1
111.8
112.3
112.6

101.8
101.3
103.6
104.2
105.1

113.3
111.7
115.1
111.9
112.3

90.2
90.3
91.8
94.8
96.0

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22

Nondurable

Consumer goods
Total

Total
finished
consumer
goods

in. 2

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In May,

the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.6

adjusted. The index was 5.4 percent above its year-earlier

percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally

level.
INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS .

110

110

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

60

Illllllllll

1981

Illllllllll

I l l l l l l l l l l

1983

1982

III I l l l l l l l
1984

Illllllllll

1985

Illllllllll

1986

I l l l l l l l l l l l 60

1987

1989

1988

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84—100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items l

Transportation

Housing

All

Shelter

Not
Period

seasonally
adjust-

ed
(NSA)

Ret. imp.3....

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:
May

Season-

Rent-

Pood

ally
adjust-

ers'

Total !
Total

ed

costs

owners'

90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107 6
109.6
113 6
118.3

114.7-

6.4
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4

17.2
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7

4.3
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9

3.1
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9

6.0
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6

7.3
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3

48.7
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9

and
repairs

7.9

19.7

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1

Ener-

7.6
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4

costs

27.8
81.0
90.5
969
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1

cal

el and
upkeep

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

42.3
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5

Medi-

Appar-

and
other
utilities

Maintenance

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

16.2
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2

100.0
82 4

Fuel

Home-

items
less
food,
shel-

Total !

New
cars

Motor
fuel

care

gy 2

(NSA)

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8

ter,
and
energy

Get
Nov
Dec

117.5
118.0
118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

117.7
118.1
118.6
119.0
119.5
120.0
120.3
120.7

117.1
117.8
118.9
119.5
120.3
120.6
120.8
121.2

117.9
118.2
118.5
118.9
119.3
119.6
120.1
120.6

126.2
126.7
127.0
127.6
128.1
128.3
128.9
129.4

132.6
133.0
133.4
133.8
133.8
134.1
134.2
134.9

130.3
130.8
131.2
131.9
132.5
132.7
133.5
133.9

114.3
114.7
114.5
115.0
115.3
115.0
115.4
115.8

104.0
103.9
104.0
104.0
104.4
105.1
105.5
106.3

116.3
115.9
115.7
113.9
116.0
117.4
117.4
117.7

108.2
108.4
108.7
109.6
109.7
110.1
110.4
110.4

116.5
116.6
116.7
117.0
117.7
117.8
117.9
118.1

81.4
80.9
81.3
82.8
82.0
81.3
81.1
79.7

137.6
138.4
139.4
140.0
140.7
141.6
142.2
142.9

88.9
88.7
88.9
89.5
89.3
89.2
89.5
89.2

121.5
121.8
122.2
122.4
123.0
123.8
124.2
124.6

1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
124.0

122.1
122.6
123.6
124.2
125.0

120.9
121.3
121.7
121.8
122.3

129.7
130.3
131.1
131.2
131.8

135.2
136.4
138.2
137.3
137.3

134.2
134.7
135.1
135.6
136.5

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4

106.9
106.7
106.9
107.4
107.6

117.7
117.5
119.1
119.4
120.4

111.2
111.9
112.6
115.0
116.1

118.9
119.3
119.7
119.8
119.6

80.5
81.8
83.6
93.0
96.6

144.0
145.2
145.9
146.6
147.6

89.9
90.4
91.4
96.1
97.6

125.4
125.8
126.3
126.6
127.2

July

Aug
Sept

1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
a included through 1982.
Relative importance, December 1988.
2

3




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
iource: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Change from preceding period

Period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
2

5.7

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6

Change, month to month
0.3
.2
.6
.3
.6
.1
.3
.4

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan '
Feb r
Mar
Apr '
May

0.5
.8
.7
.6
.9
.1
.3
.1

0.2
-.2
.6
.2
.2
.1
.3
.6

0.3
.3
.3
.3
.9
-.1
.2
.3

3.8
3.0
4.2
4.2
5.7
3.7
3.7
3.0

4.4
5.5
8.6
8.9
9.2
6.5
5.4
2.1

4.0
2.0
2.4
2.4
4.0
2.0
2.3
3.9

2.1
2.9
3.2
3.6
6.1
4.6
3.9
1.7

2.7
3.6
3.4
4.0
4.4
4.0
3.9
4.3

2.2
6.2
4.6
6.7
7.4
7.6
7.1
5.6

3.0
2.4
3.2
3.2
3.0
2.2
2.3
3.9

2.9
3.2
2.7
2.8
4.5
3.9
3.7
3.9

2.0
2.1
2.5
2.6
2.7
3.0
3.3
4.0

1.1
.9
.4
.4
.9

1988- May

1.3
1.0
.8
-.6
.8

1.2
1.0
.5
1.3
1.1

.6
.3
.2

7.1
9.8
10.2
7.4
7.3

7.2
10.1
13.5
5.2
4.5

8.8
12.0
11.5
11.8
12.1

4.6
5.3
4.6
1.7
2.1

5.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
8.6

6.8
7.7
7.6
6.2
7.3

5.3
7.1
7.7
10.3
12.1

4.6
4.6
3.1
3.1
3.7

4.5
5.3
5.6
5.6
6.2

1

.4

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Housing

Transportation

Shelter
Period

All
items 1

Food
Total '
Total i

Renters'
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total'

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: AH items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2

13.7
10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0

15.0
9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
56

1.6
2.9

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7

7.4
18.8
9.4
6.8
65
1.5
3.4 -1.7
2.5
24
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8
2.1 -2.1

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
197

8.2
.5

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7

Change, month to month
1988- May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

0.4
.3
.4
.3
.4
.4
.3
.3

0.4
.6
.9
.5
.7
.2
.2
.3

0.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.4
.4

0.3
.4
.2
.5
.4
.2
.5
.4

0.2
.3
.3
.3
0
.2
.1
.5

0.4
.4
.3
.5
.5
.2
.6
.3

0
-.1
.1
0
.4
.7
.4
.8

0.7
-.3
-.2
-1.6
1.8
1.2
0
.3

0.7
.2
.3
.8
.1
.4
.3
0

0.3
.1
.1
.3
.6
.1
.1
.2

1.6
-.6
.5
1.8
-1.0
9
-.2
-1.7

0.6
.6
.7
.4
.5
.6
.4
.5

0.6
-.2
.2
.7
.-.2
-.1
.3
-.3

0.4
.2
.3
.2
.5
.7
.3
.3

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

.6
.4
.5
.7
.6

.7
.4
.8
.5
.6

.2
.3
.3
.1
.4

.2
.5
.6
.1
.5

.2
.9
1.3
-.7
0

.2
.4
.3
.4
.7

.6
2
.2
.5
.2

0
-.2
1.4
.3
.8

.7
.6
.6
2.1
1.0

.7
.3
.3
.1
-.2

1.0
1.6
2.2
11.2
3.9

.8
.8
.5
.5
.7

.8
.6
1.1
5.1
1.6

.6
.3
.4
.2
.5

1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.
2

24



3

4.5

4.5

4.4

5.4

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter,

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

4.9
4.9
4.9
4.5
4.8
4.8
4.4
4.1

4.0
4.4
4.4
i-7
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.5

3.9
4.0
4.1
4.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
4.4

4.7
5.4
6.1
6.4
7.1

4.8
4.9
5.1
5.6
6.2

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in June were 2.0 percent below their May level. Prices paid by farmers in April were
1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

160

160
PRICES PAID

140

140

120

120
PRICES RECEIVED

100

80

80

lllllllllll

um

lmii

60
RATICW
140
120

ILU 60
RA
120

100 -

^~~

lllll

100

KAIIU

^
_

-

80
r-—^—'1
^
""
"1
60
lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll
1981
1983
1985
1982
1984
! 1986
1987
1988
1989

80
60

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

June
July

Aug;
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
May

T

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

139
133
135
142
128
123
r
!26
138
r
!39
142
144
144
143
144
145

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
r
!26
129
r
!37
136
135
133
136
136

149
148
149
147
149
146

140
138
136
140
141
137

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 'A.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and




143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
147
147
152
153
152
151
154
158
158
161
154
156
155

All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

150
159
161
164
162
159
161
170
(3)
172
(3)
(3)
173
(3)
(3)
175
(3)
(3)
177
(3)
(3)

151
!58
159
161
156
150
151
160

r

(3)
162
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)

Production
items

148
153
152
155
151
r
!44
147
157
(3)
159
(3)
(3)
162
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)

Ratio 2

92
84
84
87
79
77
79
81
r
83
83
84
84
83
83
84
85
85
85
83
84
82

NOTE. — The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes,
source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Ml fell again in May and the broader aggregates declined as well.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,600

4,000
3,600

3,200

3.200

2,800

2,800

2,400

2,400
M2

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

800

800

600

400

Minium
1982

1986

1983

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

• AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Ml

Period

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
19841985:
19861987:
1988:

Dec
Dec.
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

.

1988: May
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan T
Feb '
Mar r

May"
1

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
KPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term KPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3
790.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9
r
3,069.4

1,991.1
1,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.6
r
3,913.0

2,327.8
2,599.4
2,853.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
4,137.1
4,340.5
'4,673.5

'3,882.5
'4,258.0
'4,642.0
'5,176.0
'5,923.5
'6,733.3
'7,596.9
'8,310.7
'9,052.1

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6
5.1

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5
5.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2
'6.4

'9.6
9.7
9.0
11.5
'14.4
13.7
12.8
'9.4
'8.9

771.1
776.5
782.5
782.4
783.7
785.4
786.6
790.3

2,999.8
3,013.1
3,023.9
3,029.7
3,035.0
3,042.2
3,059.3
r
3,069.4

'3,794.3
'3,815.3
'3,837.8
r
3,849.8
'3,858.9
'3,875.6
'3,896.0
'3,913.0

'4,502.9
'4,520.1
'4,563.8
'4,582.3
'4,590.1
'4,610.9
'4,637.3
'4,673.5

'8,599.5
'8,659.1
'8,718.8
'8,784.3
'8,850.0
'8,912.4
'8,988.6
'9,052.1

4.4
6.5
6.5
6.0
5.3
3.7
4.1
3.6

6.7
7.2
6.5
5.4
4.5
3.5
4.0
3.8

6.9
7.6
7.5
6.5
5.6
5.2
'5.4
'5.2

'8.5
'8.6
'8.9
'9.0
'9.0
'8.9
'9.3
'9.3

786.3
787.4
786.3
783.2
773.4

3,065.7
3,069.2
3,078.7
3,081.3
3,072.8

3,918.1
3,927.7
3,949.5
3,957.6
3,954.3

4,677.2
4,689.7
4,723.0
4,739.2

9,107.2
9,172.3
9,229.4
9,286.0

1.0
1.3
.7
-.6
-3.3

2.8
2.6
2.9
2.6
.9

4.2
4.1
4.8
4.3
3.0

9.1
9.0
8.8
8.6

Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



L

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) l

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

er at an annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutual fund
balances
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

NSA

Institution
only

NSA

Small
denomination
time
deposits l

Large
denomination
time
deposits '

Savings
deposits

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

NSA

1980- Dec
1981: Dec
1982: Dec
1983: Dec....
1984- Dec
1985: Dec
1986- Dec
1987: Dec
1988: Dec

115.2
122.5
132.6
146.3
156.1
167.8
180.5
196.4
211.8

261.5
231.5
234.2
238.7
244.2
267.3
303.2
288.3
288.6

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4
282.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.3
78.3
r
78.3

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
221.1
239.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6
87.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.9
513.5
572.5
526.3
502.7

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4
431.3

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1
1,025.2

260.1
34.0
302.5
36.0
326.8
34.5
327.4
51.8
417.2
61.9
436.6
65.6
439.0
84.0
487.4 109.1
537.7 ' 123.1

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8
104.6

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.7
100.4
109.1

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5
r
275.0

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7
40.6

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.7
207.4
231.0
260.3
335.8

1988: May

203.4 288.1
204.7 289.8
206.4 290.4
207.0 289.9
208.6 288.8
209.7 288.9
210.5 287.7
211.8 288.6

272.2
274.7
278.5
278.3
279.0
279.4
281.0
282.3

80.4
'80.9
77.6
79.9
77.3
76.0
r
75.6
r
78.3

231.8
228.9
229.6
230.8
231.0
231.3
237.4
239.4

90.0
86.3
84.8
84.0
83.7
84.6
87.4
87.6

520.5
523.2
522.0
517.7
511.4
507.5
506.7
502.7

425.2
427.6
429.7
430.9
430.5
429.2
431.8
431.3

971.0
975.7
981.0
988.3
998.7
1,009.7
1,017.8
1,025.2

502.4 121.0 r91.5
507.8 124.3 r 92.9
514.0 125.6 r95.8
519.4 123.8 ' 101.5
526.7 ' 122.3 r!01.2
532.0 ' 124.7
98.6
534.4 T 127.5 100.5
104.6
537.7 r!23.1

105.3
106.0
106.8
107.4
107.9
108.4
108.7
109.1

* 264.6
r
257.7
' 268.7
' 272.6
' 272.8
' 273.3
' 268.4
' 275.0

41.1
40.7
40.7
41.2
41.7
41.3
40.5
40.6

297.8
300.4
309.8
311.3
308.8
312.3
323.7
335.8

213.4
214.3
215.6
215.9
216.4

281.3
280.9
279.1
278.5
271.5

81.6
78.8
77.2
73.9
72.6

241.7
247.2
256.0
260.2
259.9

89.3
89.6
87.6
87.7
91.6

495.2
485.3
480.3
471.3
456.9

427.8
424.6
420.8
412.9
404.9

1,035.7
1,048.3
1,061.0
1,083.2
1,106.1

544.4
551.6
558.8
567.7
572.0

109.7
110.6
111.5
112.3

274.0
267.3
271.6
273.7

40.6
39.9
41.2
41.4

334.9
344.2
349.2
354.2

July
Sent
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan '
Feb r
Mar r

May"

284.0
284.8
284.3
281.5
278.2

1

Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock hut are not shown

99.9
99.8
105.5
101.4
.101.4

124.1
127.1
129.4
127.0
127.6

here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

198019811982:
19831984:
19851986:
19871988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

' 33,401
r
35,315
r
37,388
' 39, 184
r
42,321
r
48,493
r
58,140
r
58,693
60,706

1988- May

60,422
60,576
61,058
60,903
60,824
60,862
60,853
60,706
60,370
60,260
59,854
59,463
58,740

July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989: Jan
Peb
Mar
May "

Nonborrowed

r

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit
r

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

31,714
34,827
'36,940
r
38,412
r
41,739
r
47,674
r
57,616
r
58,399
60,234

' 32,887
' 34,996
' 36,888
' 38,623
r
41,468
r
47,436
r
56,771
r
57,665
59,666

' 152,525
' 161,043
r
173,011
r
188,303
"•201,889
r
219,510
'241,448
r
257,991
275,501

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

57,845
57,493
57,618
57,663
57,985
58,562
57,991
58,990

59,951
60,047
60,157
60,316
60,043
60,343
60,314
60,234

59,382
59,688
60,051
59,950
59,852
59,800
59,733
59,666

266,761
268,205
270,308
270,979
272,420
273,659
274,380
275,501

2,578
3,083
3,440
3,241
2,839
2,299
2,861
1,716

246
311
376
423
421
332
186
130

2,107
2,554
2,538
2,653
2,059
1,781
2,322
1,244

58,708
58,773
58,041
57,174
57,019

59,754
59,822
59,376
58,880
58,217

59,226
59,106
58,896
58,686
57,709

276,784
277,553
278,615
278,674
278,329

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720

76
97
139
213
345

1,046
1,050
1,334
1,707
1,197

31,711
' 34,679
r
36,754
r
38,410
r
39,134
r
47,175
r
57,313
r
57,916
58,990

r

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System




27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.7 percent in May and commercial and industrial loans rose 0.9
percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
2,400

2,800
2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400

U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

~vr~

200
160
120

200
160

OTHER SECURITIES '

Illllllllll
1981

Illllllllll
1982

Illllllllll

Illllllllll
1984

1983

T986

1985

1987

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

1988

120

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

J

All commercial banks

Loans and leases
Period

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r ....
May"...

Total
loans and
securities 2

U.S.
Government
securities

1,307.7
1,401.5
1,553.6

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.7

1,723.6
1,910.1
2,092.8
2,237.4
2,408.0
2,325.5
2,343.5
2,358.5
2,371.4
2,373.5
2,392.6
2,400.6
2,408.0
2,412.8
2,441.8
2,454.9
2,460.9
2,476.9

309.5
335.5
362.4
346.4
348.8
349.3
350.9
353.2
356.0
358.5
362.4
361.8
363.4
370.3
372.2
375.3

Other
securities

Total

2

160.9
967.5
165.7 1,034.1
170.6 1,123.9
142.6 1,320.9
181.3 1,458.1
196.4 1,586.8
195.2 1,706.8
192.9 1,852.7
196.4 1,782.7
196.7 1,797.9
196.9 1,812.3
196.7 1,823.9
195.4 1,825.0
196.6 1,839.9
195.3 1,846.8
192.9 1,852.7
188.0 1,863.0
188.5 1,889.9
r
187.7 1,896.8
185.3 1,903.4
184.7 1,917.0

Commercial
and
industrial
355.4
392.6
414.1
472.9

499.7
536.1
562.6
599.7
584.5
589.3
594.9
595.3
594.3
597.8
598.9
599.7
604.5
616.5
614.5
616.2
621.9

Nonbank
Real
estate

Individual

284.1
299.8
330.8
376.3
425.5
493.5
588.2
664.8
620.5
626.9
633.3
640.3
646.9
654.7
659.3
664.8
671.2
678.3
T
685.5
694.8
700.9

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.0
314.9
328.4
355.1
341.9
343.4
344.6
346.5
348.9
350.8
352.3
355.1
357.0
357.9
359.9
362.1
364.7
2

State
and

Foreign
banks

Security

financial
institutions

Agricultural

political
subdivisions

21.5

29.9
31.3
30.5
31.4
32.5
35.0
31.9
29.9
30.6
30.6
31.0
31.0
30.5
30.2
30.0
29.9
30.1
30.5
29.6
29.1
28.9

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.6
29.4
30.7
29.5
29.6
29.6
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.3
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.4
30.3

0.0
.0
3.3
46.0
56.7

18.1
14.8
13.4
11.1
9.7

58.4
52.5
47.1
49.4
49.2
48.8
48.2
48.0
48.7
47:9
47.1
44.8
45.0
45.1
45.2
45.3

9.6
7.5
7.5
8.0
8.1
8.2
8.2
7.5
7.8
8.2
7.5
7.6
8.2
7.9
8.0
9.1

25.4
28.1
34.3
42.7
40.1
34.4
37.9
39.7
39.5
38.9
39.7
36.7
r
38.6
r
38.1
r
38.1
r
37.2
r
44.2
r
43.0
39.3
37.4

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

28



Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

7.2
5.9
9.4

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
18.9
22.3
24.4
28.1
26.2
26.8
27.5
27.6
27.8
27.9
28.0
28.1
28.3
28.4
28.6
28.6
29.6

7.9
6.0
5.9
5.3
5.6
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.2
5.2
5.1
5.4
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.5
5.6
5.6

Other

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
36.2
39.4
42.1
46.4
47.2
49.6
50.4
52.4
49.4
r
48.5
r
48.6
r
46.2
r
46.0
r
44.6
r
46.5
44.0
43.2

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billons of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Uses

Sources
1

1

Period
Total

External
Internal '

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total
1979
1980
1981
1982.
1983
1984
1985..

Capital
expenditures 3

Credit market funds
Loans and
short-term
paper

Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

326.0
324.8
375.8
298.5
420.3
492.6
459.2
519.8
482.9
467.5

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
357.5
352.8
366.8

128.4
124.7
136.4
56.2
134.6
156.3
106.9
162.3
130.1
100.7

60.1
70.7
90.7
49.8
77.9
95.8
50.9
121.3
68.5
63.8

9.0
34.5
29.4
10.3
52.6
-5.1
5.0
59.0
38.2
18 2

51.1
36.2
61.2
39.5
25.3
100.9
46.0
62.3
30.3
82.0

68.2
54.0
45.7
6.4
56.8
60.5
55.9
41.0
61.6
37.0

368.1
342.1
383.6
303.5
385.8
502.7
435.3
456.7
437.3
448.3

238.3
243.7
286.5
256.5
270.7
370.6
342.3
333.9
361.7
395.7

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
115.1
132.1
93.0
122.8
75.6
52.6

-42.1
-17.3
-7.7
-4.9
34.5
-10.1
23.9
63.0
45.5
19.1

IV

464.4
465.8
475.8
463.5

359.9
363.6
365.3
378.3

104.5
102.2
110.5
85.2

100.5
54.0
67.5
32.8

20.5
-20.0
12.4
86 1

80.0
74.0
55.1
118.9

4.0
48.2
43.1
52.4

433.9
447.3
459.6
452.2

387.8
386.7
398.6
409.3

46.1
60.6
61.0
42.9

30.5
18.5
16.1
11.3

1989- I p

431.4

355.8

75.6

75.6

80.9

425.3

406.6

18.7

6.0

1986 T
1987
1988 T
1988:

Ir

n rT
mr

81 0

-5.4

1

Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3

Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding 1

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period

19801981:
19821983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
19881988-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Apr
May
June
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
NEW SERIES:
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr p

Mobile
home

Revolving

Mobile
home

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
628,585
632,431
637,836
639,207
644,666
646,556
649,132
654,413
659,507

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
275,289
276,458
278,058
277,659
279,585
279,243
278,902
279,926
281,174

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
160,631
162,105
164,408
165,343
167,125
168,273
170,131
173,030
174,792

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
26,280
26,249
26,174
26,213
26,277
26,185
26,033
26,005
25,744

112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
166,385
167,619
169,196
169,993
171,679
172,855
174,066
175,452
177,798

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786
3,413
3,846
5,405
1,371
5,459
1,890
2,576
5,281
5,094

539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198
1,224
1,169
1,600
-399
1,926
-342
341
1,024
1,248

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908
1,276
1,474
2,303
935
1,782
1,148
1,858
2,899
1,762

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
643
-138
31
-75
39
64
92
-152
-28
-261

329
-1,529
344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323
1,051
1,234
1,577
797
1,686
1,176
1,211
1,386
2,346

682,022
687,397
691,084
693,815

286,382
288,768
288,755
289,507

176,716
178,570
182,615
184,382

26,036
25,992
24,143
23,964

192,887
194,068
195,571
195,963

(2)
5,375
3,687
2,731

(2)
2,386
-13
752

(2)
1,854
4,046
1,766

(2)
— 44
1 849
-179

<2>
1,180
1,503
392

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Because of break in series, net change not available.




Automobile

Automobile

Total

Other

Total

Revolving

Other

Source: Bo&td o< Governors o( the Federal Reserje Systfim.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates fell in June.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

, l\
\ \/

.A
»
-N
\ ' N!
' \

\ '-'

r \ \ /v\
•

A

\

'••

\

''••:

r
\\

X

\

\ /

1

1 I 1 1 1 ] M

i

\
u--\
\\

r\

^rr\
L

'

'''•

RATE
FEDERAL
RESERVE
BANK OF
NEW YORK

M

| | 1 M

C ORPORATE Asa BONDS
(MOODY'S
N(

A

\
\
\

A.

1982

1981

;\
\

V

1 i 1 1 1

1
"•„

'

.,-..../

III!

\

I
v '

1 1 1 M

1

1984

/\

TREASURY
A

\ i/
\/

\]

•4-1

\|

II i i i 1 I 1 i I [

1983

f

/-''
/

1 1 1 ( 1 1 1 M

1986

-

/r~_T~
,...,y| ' - \j
;

i i i i , i i i i i !•

I 1

1985

V

i i nt1i iiM

t 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 i 1 IK

1989

1988

1987

SOURCE; SEE TABLE BEtOW

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

3-month bills
(new issues) l

Constant maturities z
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) 4

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.R.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged by
banks 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB)6

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22
9.32

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dee

6.50
6.73
7.02
7.23
7.34
7.68
8.09

8.22
8.44
8.77
8.57
8.43
8.72
9.11

8.92
9.06
9.26
8.98
8.80
8.96
9.11

7.86
7.87
7.86
7.71
7.54
7.58
7.66

9.86
9.96
10.11
9.82
9.51
9.45
9.57

7.53
7.90
8.36
8.23
8.24
8.55
8.97

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50

9.00-9.00
9.00-9.50
9.50-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.50
10.50-10.50

9.26
9.17
9.06
9.26
9.10
9.43
9.39

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May . .
June p.

8.29
8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22

9.20
9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.38

9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.29

7.41
7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97

9.62
9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.11

9.02
9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.81

6.50-6.50
6.50-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10 50 10 50
10.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00

9.52
9.82
9.99
r
10.17
10.18

8.50
8.17
8.13
8.22
8.07

8.71
8.33
8.38
8.45
8.24

8.57
8:28
8.26
8.34
8.14

7.16
6.97
6.87
7.08
6.95

9.37
9.16
9.02
9.09

9.05
8.71
8.74
8.92
8.75

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00
11.00-11.00
11.00-11.00
11.00-

.

1988- June
July

1989:

Week ended:
1989: June 3.
10
17
24
July 1 "

1
Bank-discount basis.
2
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

30



5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
8
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in June.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS CALE)

INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180

/

160
COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX
(KfSE)
/-

HO

\

120

^
-^

~s\\

/-~s-~^~'

240
220
200
180

^

160

UO

/

120

^~~S

100

100

V-W
S

80
^

1

80

"A

Y^

60

60

^J
\\\\\{\\\\\

\\\\\\\\\\\

1981

40

1982

1984

1983

40

i \\\ \ \ \ 11 » i

I 1 1I t ( 1 I 1 1 1

1985

1986

1987

11 1 I 1 \ 1 1 1 1 1

1988

1989

PERC:ENT

PERC ENT

20

20
15

15
^

10

EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS

\

" ~
^
1

(S&P)

^___

--—_

10

-

/n__-

^
^

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

1982

1981

1

1

1

1983

OURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE A

•JD STANDARD & POC

i i i
1984

1

1 L_
1985

1

1

1

1986

i i i
1987

1

5
1

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

1987
1988
1988: June
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

June p
Week ended:
1989: June 3
10
17
24

July 1 f
1

Industrial

Utility




Finance

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143=10)"

Dividendprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
152.72
152.12
149.25
151.47
156.36
152.67
155.35
160.40
165.08
164.60
169.38
175.30
180.90

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
184.92
184.09
179.72
182.18
188.58
183.79
187.75
194.62
200.00
199.20
204.81
211.51
216.93

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
136.02
136.49
132.53
136.27
141.93
138.60
144.07
153.09
162.66
160.14
164.32
168.88
173.58

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77
72.25
71.50
70.67
71.83
74.19
73.83
74.81
75.87
77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.98

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
129.04
129.99
130.77
133.15
134.66
129.61
128.83
132.26
137.19
137.91
143.26
146.60
154.21

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64

2,104.94
2,104.22
2,051.29
2,080.06
2,144.31
2,099.04
2,148.58

270.68
269.05
263.73
267.97
277.40
271.02
276.51

3.58
3.65
3.75
3.69
3.61
3.70
3.68

2,234.68
2,304.30
2,283.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,497.51

285.41
294.01
292.71
302.25
r
313.93
324.00

179.52
181.58
180.49
180.27
181.50

216.01
217.75
216.44
216.01
217.56

171.80
172.03
173.31
174.96
174.76

86.59
88.50
87.51
87.74
88.62

151.62
155.00
154.40
153.83
154.12

2,491.04
2,503.93
2,497.42
2,486.34
2,500.19

321.77
325.33
323.08
322.79
325.13

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.00
7.92

3.64
3.59
3.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.47
3.40
3.43
3.48
3.43

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1
n 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2
3

4

0

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

New York Stock Exchange indexes (I ec. 31, 1965 = 5 3)2
Composite

I

ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Common stock prices 1

Transportation

1
1989

1988
COUNCIL OF

R'S CORPORATION

1

1

8.36
8.55

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE,—-All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 8 months of fiscal 1989, there was a deficit of $113.3 billion, compared with a deficit of $128.4 billion
a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200,
RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^

1,200

1,100

1,100

OUTLAYS-^

1,000

1,000

.V
900

900

800

800

700

700

600

600

-100

-200

-200
1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

1976
Transition quarter
1977
1978....
1979
1980....
1981
1982 ..
1983....
1984

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
59C.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

73 7
-14.7
53 6
-59.2
40 2
-73.8
-78.9
-127.9
-207.8
185 3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

1985
1986...,
1987
1988...,
1989 (estimates) *
1990 (estimates) l

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
979.3
1,065.6

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,143.0
1,160.4

-212.3
-221.2
149 7
-155.1
163 7
-94.8

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
711.8
776.4

581.8
641.5

710.2
754.9

-128.4
113 3

422.2
465.1

Cumulative total, first 8
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989

1
Estimates of February 9, 1989. Asset sales are included in 1989 data. Data for 1990 exclude
proposed loan asset sales ( — $3.6 billion) and the impact of credit reform, which is proposed to start
that year. The Administration endorses credit reform and loan asset sales.
2
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for May 1989, issued June 1989.

32



Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

70 5
-13.3

Receipts

Outlays

-54.9
38 2
-72.7
73 9
-120.0
-208.0
185 6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
932.1
939.5

-221.6
-237.9
169 3
-193.9
220 4
-163.1

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
267.5
289.2

576.8
615.8

-154.6
150 7

159.5
176.4

4.0 7

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

-3.9
43
-2.0
\ j
-5.0
79
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
210.9
220.9

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
56.7
68.3

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,868.8
3,107.2

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,193.8
2,285.0

133.4
139.0

26.2
37.4

2,514.5
2,785.1

1,998.7
2,149.6

-3.2
14

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 8 months of fiscal 1989,
billion higher.

receipts were $59.7 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $44.7
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500
RECEIPTS!/
400

. INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES^

400

300

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION.
INCOME TAXES

OTHER RECEIPTS

100

200
100

0

0

900

900

OUTLAYS-!/
800

-NONDEFENSE

800

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

NATIONAL DEFENSE
300
200

300

-

200
1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
_!/'INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMSSOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Fiscal year
Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates) 1
1990 (estimates) '
Cumulative total, first 8
months: 2
Fiscal vear 1988
Fiscal year 1989
1
2

298.1
355.6
399.8
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666 5
734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
979.3
1,065.6

581.8
641.5

National defense

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

61.3
334.5
349.0
63.1
83.9
392.6
94.5
401.2
534 .5
58! .9

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
364.7
391.9

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
80.1
83.8

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,143.0
1,160.4

52.2
58.6

222.4
242.5

51.6
56.0

710.2
754.9

255.6
284.5

See footnote 1, page 32.
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for May 1989, issued June 1989.




Social
insurance
taxes

Other

Total

and

contributions

Social
security

inter-

ty

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
49.8
53.7

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
86.8
94.8

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
137.0
138.3

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.3
246.6

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
168.8
173.3

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
160.8
136.1

29.1
31.9

51.8
54.6

89.3
93.4

143.4
151.8

101.9
112.2

93.4
105.7

Department of
Defense,
military

International
affairs

Health

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
298.3
300.4

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
289.8
291.2

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
16.3
17.2

194.1
198.6

188.7
193.0

Total

7.1
6.7

Medi-

Income
securi-

Net

Other

est

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates. Federal receipts rose $49.6 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $31.6 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,200

1,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1,000

1,000

• EXPENDITURES •

800

800

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)
-200

-200

I
1981

1982

1984

1983

1

I

J

1986

1985

I
1987

I

I I

1988

I

I 1
1989

CALENDAR YEARS
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Federal Government receipts

Period

Total

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Federal Government expenditures

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988

776.8
815.0
901.7
964.8

340.4
357.0
401.6
413.1

74.6
80.7
101.7
109.9

55.9
51.2
53.2
57.0

305.8
326.0
345.2
384.8

962.3
1,027.8
1,058.9
1,106.3

341.5
368.4
375.4
378.3

374.0
394.6
411.1
434.2

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.5

128.3
134.4
139.7
150.4

20.7
22.9
29.6
34.8

-0.1
.0
.1
j

185 5
212 8
-157.2
141 5

Calendar year:
1985 . .. .
1986
1987
1988

788.7
828.3
916.5
975.2

346.4
361.5
405.6
413.4

76.3
83.9
105.8
111.4

55.1
50.8
54.0
56.7

310.9
332.2
351.0
393.7

985.6
1,033.9
1,074.2
1,117.6

355.2
366.2
382.0
381.0

380.1
399.8
414.2
440.1

99.7
106.8
102.7
111.5

130.1
135.4
143.0
153.9

20.3
25.7
32.4
31.1

-.2
.0
.0
.0

-196.9
205 6
-157.8
-142.3

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
856.8

303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
378.3

46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
89.7

47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
51.0

236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.8

835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,040.1

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
366.7

347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.4

84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
102.3

87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.5

23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.1

.0
.0
.6
.0
.0

-202.6
169 2
-187.5
212 2
-183.3

1987: III

930.1
944.4

413.3
422.3

110.5
107.7

53.9
55.0

352.4
359.4

1,068.4
1,104.9

386.3
391.4

414.2
422.5

101.9
101.4

143.8
149.5

22.6
39.7

.2
2

-138.3
160 4

III
IV

951.0
983.0
975.5
991.5

404.6
425.0
408.3
415.8

107.2
111.7
113.1
113.8

55.9
55.9
,57.1
57.9

383.4
390.3
397.0
404.0

1,106.1
1,116.3
1,099.0
1,149.0

377.7
382.2
367.7
396.3

434.4
437.6
440.7
447.5

111.1
110.4
111.5
113.0

149.9
152.1
154.9
158.9

33.0
34.0
24.1
33.3

.0
.0
.0
.0

-155.1
133 3
-123.5
157 5

1989: I r

1,041.1

449.1

115.5

58.3

418.1

1,180.6

397.6

458.7

118.9

169.0

36.3

.0

139 5

IV

1988: I
II

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysi

34



INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84=100)

Industrial production (1977 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

Canada

108.6
111.0

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

104.8
106.9
96.5
102.7
115.2
121.4
123.2
129.6
137.2

135.4
136.1
136.5
138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

136.1
137.3
137.9
137.4
138.7
138.8
137.8
137.1
r
!37.9

T '

July
, 3
Sept
Oct
Noy
Dec

May p
1

Japan

France

Germany

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3

76.1
85.6
94.8
100.4
104.7
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.1

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.8
102.1
104.2
104.8
104.9
105.7

72.2
81.9
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.8

86.7
92.2
97.1
100.3
102.7
104.9
104.6
105.0
106.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.0
128.5
134.4
141.0

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.2
114.9
119.7
125.6

117.2
117.9
118.6
119.2
119.1
119.7
119.2
119.7
119.2

117.1
117.5
118.0
118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

122.0
122.8
122.9
123.7
124.1
124.1
124.7
125.1
125.1

105.5
105.6
105.4
105.2
105.5
106.4
106.9
106.5
106.1

123.6
123.9
124.3
124.7
125.1
125.3
125.6
125.8
126.0

106.0
106.2
106.3
106.2
106.3
106.3
106.4
106.7
106.9

139.6
140.0
140.4
140.8
141.4
142.1
143.2
144.4
144.9

124.3
124.8
125.3
125.4
126.8
127.4
128.7
129.3
129.6

117.9
117.5
118.2

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8

125.7
126.5
127.1
127.6
128.9

105.9
105.6
106.1
108.0

126.5
126.9
127.2

108.1
108.4
108.6

146.0
147.2
147.9
148.9
1495

129.3
131.4
132.0
134.3

Germany

119.0
120.3
120.7
124.5
136.1
141.0
140.8
145.7
159.1

107.2
106.1
105.0
105.0
106.1
106.1
107.2
109.4

108.0
105.9
102.7
103.3
106.2
111.0
113.0
113.7
118.1

114.8
113.0
109.5
105.9
109.5
110.7
113.7
118.3
124.3

99.8
96.7
98.5
102.2
102.4
107.9
110.2
114.1
118.2

157.0
153.3
158.4
156.4
160.8
161.6
160.2
165.0
166.1

112.2
112.9
114.9
116.0
116.0
117.2
113.2
r
118.0
r
l!7.3

115.8
116.1
118.5
116.1
121.3
120.0
119.4
119.1
121.2

124.1
120.8
122.7
126.2
118.9
122.9
126.7
128.5
129.2

Italy

121.2
120.5
!21.3
124 1

r

Data relate to all urban consumers.

United
Kingdom

Canada

France

140.8
137.2 167.3 rl!8.2
' 140.5 ' 137.5 164.5 117.3
' 140.6
137.2 r!72.5 116.2
'1414
168 1
141 4

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

United
States '

Japan

1980
1981

1988- Apr
May

United
Kingdom

Italy

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (t.a.s. value) l

deneiaV merchandise imports (customs vahie) 3

Principal end-use commodity category

1988- Apr
May
, 3
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb r
Mar

4

4

Other 2

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
84.9

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.1

15.7
16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.4

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.1

2.6
2.9
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.0
2.8
2.5
2.6

7.3
7.1
7.0
7.1
6.9
7.3
6.6
6.9
7.3

8.8
9.3
8.5
9.1
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.2

2.3
2.4
2.2
2.0
2.8
2.6
2.5
2.6
2.8

1.8
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
1.9
2.0
2.2

3.0
2.8
3.3
3.0

7.0
7.5
7.6
8.0

9.3
9.3
10.0
10.2

2.3
2.4
2.5
2.4

2.5
2.5
2.7
2.8

116.4
205.6
224.0
218.8
227.2
254.1
321.8

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.2

26.0
27.5
26.3
26.5
27.5
28.0
27.8
27.5
29.1
28.7
28.7
30.3
30.6

Total

1982...
1983
1984....
1985
1986
1987
1988

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Period

2

Principal end-use commodity category

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

1
Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
2
Includes undocumented exports to Canada.
3
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
4

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

-27.5
-52.4
101 7

-126.5
1383
-152.1
119 8

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-138.4

36.S
37.2
39.5
36.0
39.8
38.7
38.1
39.8
41.7

88
-8.3
-11.7
-8.0
-10.6
-9.2
-8.8
10 7
-11.0

-10 .8
-9.8
-13.2
-9.5
-12.3
-10.7
-10.3
-12.2
-12.7

39.0
40.0
41.6
40.4

-8.7
-9.8
-9.5
-8.3

-10.2
-11.3
-11.2
-9.9

Poods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

244.0
258.0
325.7
345.3
365.4
406.2
441.6

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.9

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.5

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.3

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.9

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
96.1

6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
460.2

3.2
3.8
4.0
3.4
3.4
3.6
4.5
4.1
3.9

34.8
35.7
37.9
34.5
38.1
37.2
36.6
38.2
40.1

2.0
2.0
1.9
1.9
2.2
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.1

9,5
10.5
10.2
9.7
10.2
9.4
9.8
9.8
10.1

7.9
8.1
9.0
7.8
8.9
8.7
8.1
9.1
9.2

7.2
6.5
7.4
6.6
7.3
7.9
7.7
7.5
8.2

7.S
7.6
8.3
7.5
8.5
8.1
7.7
8.4
9.1

1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2

4.7
4.2
4.2
4.1

37.4
38.5
39.9
38.8

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.0

10.7
10.0
11.0
11.3

8.8
9.5
9.4
9.0

7.0
7.7
8.0
7.1

7.8
8.4
8.3
8.3

.9
1.0
1.1
1.1

Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical




Trade Wante

Total

Other

6.5

month basis.
NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census/

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the first quarter of 1989, the current account deficit rose to $30.7 billion, from $28.7 billion in the fourth
quarter of 1988. (Series revised.)

PH,

\^-^~l
0

-5

x

--\

-10

Vi
v

0

fr

-A

\
'---/

-15

—5

V

\\\
\N
\

-10
-15

\
\

-20

V\
\\

^

-20

BALANCE ON GOODS
AND SERVICES

^

-25

-25

\X#V\Vx

-30

\

-35
-40

1 1 1

1

I

I

1982

1981

1 1 1
1983

A *

'/

-30

^*

/

-35

\ ^ \ S ^"7
' BALANCE ON
/
X
\ / •' CURRENT ACCOUNT
MERCHANDISE TRADE
"O-J /
BALANCE
>•-"

-45

^*\ ^\

,/K A>

I I I
1984

1

1

1

I I I

1985

1986

I I I

I ' l l

1987

1988

-40

I I I

-45

1989

• SEASONALLY ADJUS TED
SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)]

Merchandise l z

Investment income 3

Period
Exports

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986: I r
II r.

Ill r....

TV....
1987: I r
II

T

III r....

IV '....
1988:

Ir
II

r

III r....
IV T ....
1989: I p

Imports

224 269
237 085
122 198
201 820
219 900
215 935
223 367
250 266
319 251
53,899
56,796
56,182
56,490
57,255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447
78,471
80,604
83,729
88,496

— 249 749
265 063
— 247 642
268 900
— 332422
338 083
— 368425
409 766
—446 466
-89,549
-90,812
-92,983
-95,081
-95,916
-99,834
- 104,903
-109,113
-109,893
-109,882
-110,943
-115,748
-116,130

1

Net balance

Receipts

— 25480 72 506
27 978 86 412
— 36 444 83 548
67 080 77 251
112 522 85908
122 148 88 832
145 058 88 615
159 500 104 703
127 215 107 775
-35,650 23,970
-34,016 22,078
-36,801 21,744
-38,591 20,822
-38,661 25,117
-39,819 22,744
-40,606 23,578
-40,414 33,265
-33,446 26,750
-31,411 23,148
-30,339 24,720
-32,019 33,159
-27,634 26,862

Payments

42 119 30387
52 329 34 083
54 884 28 664
52 376 24 875
67 419 18489
62 901 25 931
66 968 21*647
82 420 22 283
2 227
105 548
-17,357
6,613
-17,533
4,545
-15,729
6,015
4,472
-16,350
5,362
-19,755
-20,554
2,190
-21,904
1,674
-20,207 13,058
2,795
-23,955
-25,613 -2,465
-27,310 -2,590
4,489
-28,670
-30,370 -3,508

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the
United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
2

3

36



Net

Net
military
transactions

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

2 577
1 523
474
343
2 099
3 557
4 576
2 857
4 606
-1,411
-1,298
-1,089
-777
-176
-210
-1,031
-1,440
-964
-1,033
-1,006
-1,604
-1,482

—997
144
992
4 227
7 885
9 832
8 031
7 324
2 633
-2,452
-1,465
-1,874
-2,241
-1,965
-2,088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
—464

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers '

Balance
on current
account

1 533
9 126 — 7 593
7 794
8 163
7 647
15 810
11 085
— 6997
2 191 — 9 188
11 436
44 286
9 776
12 264
34 510
104 186
12 299
91 718 — 12 468
112 682
15 426
12 351
97 256
18*547 — 117 470 — 15 778 — 133 249
14 212
143 700
17 909
129 488
126 548
20335 — 111 892 — 14 656
4,620 -28,280 -3,068 -31,348
-27,653 -4,199 -31,852
4,581
-29,210 -4,376 -33,586
4,539
-4,136 -36,466
-32,330
4,807
-34,327
4,250 -31,190 -3,137
4,372 -35,555 -3,265 -38,820
4,555 -36,687 -3,225 -39,912
4,734 -26,055 -4,586 -30,641
-32,046
4,787 -28,682 -3,364
5,042 -30,586 -2,899 -33,485
-28,964 -3,376 -32,340
5,126
-23,659 -5,018 -28,677
5,381
5,823 -27,265 -3,420 -30,685

Note.—Series revised beginning 1980.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

U.S.

INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued

In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $22.6 billion in the first quarter of
1989, compared with an increase of $30.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 1988. Liabilities to private foreigners
reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $10.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an
increase of $32.2 billion in the fourth quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

20

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

1989
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/capita
Period
Total

U.S.
official
reservez
assets l

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
-32,628
-99,665
-76,218
-82,110

-8,155
-5,175
-4,965
1 196
-3,131
3 858
312
9,149
-3,566

-15,401
-24,763
-26,078
-33,422

-115
16
280
132

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

1,956
3,419
32
3,742

4,540
-16,119
m ... -37,886
IV ".... -32,648
1989: I"
-31,816

1,503
39
-7,380
2,272

1980
1981 .
1982
1983
1984

1985 .
1986
1987
1988
1986: I r r
II
Ill r...
IV r....
1987: I r
II r
Ill r...
IV '....
1988: I '
II r r

-4,000

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase /capital inflow ( + )] 2
U.S.

private
assets

-5,162
— 72,802
-5,097 - 100,679
-6,131
110058
5 006 -43,576
-5,489 -13,685
2 821 -25,950
-2,024 -97,954
997 -86,363
2,999 -81,543
-232 - 15,054
238 -24,541
-1,565 -24,793
11 -33,565
40
6,763
195 -25,856
308 -26,316
843
40,955
-1,490
4,528
-885
-15,273
1,961
-32,467
3,413
-38,332
1,012
-28,828
-

Total

Other
foreign
assets

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

0! which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 1
(unadjusted,
end of
period)
26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

25,322
18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15,298
11,308
1,878
-10,641

58,112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
1 083
35,594
45,193
38,882

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418

39,048
50,291
69,927
62,339

2,720
15,838
15,785
1,251

36,328
34,453
54,142
61,088

7,701
6,324
-10,263
7,549

3,515
-3,306
4,669
4,463

44,919
46,595
48,087
48,511

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

14,040
10,329
753
20,070

19,341
40,805
72,822
39,879

-7,813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

3,895
-2,559
4501
3,166

48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798

27,027
65,334
46,179
80,759

24,631
5,895
-2,234
10,589

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
— 19,434

3,843
-3,714
-4,556
4,431

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

49,077

6,914

42,163

13,424

4,264

49,854

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
osition in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Foreign
official
assets

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

1,152
1,093

NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1980.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

p*ge

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of founding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
'Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.
38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1989

0—99-555