Full text of Economic Indicators : April 1962
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87th Congress, 2nd Session f < 1962' nail Economic Indicators APRIL 1962 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1962 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) PRESCOTT BUSH (Connecticut) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JOHN MARSHALL BUTLER (Maryland) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) WM. SUMMERS JOHNSON, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Deputy Executive Director JOHN R. STARK, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WALTER W. HELLER, Chairman KERMIT GORDON JAMES TOBIN [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 20 cents & single copy or by subscription at $2.00 per year (foreign, $2.75) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, B.C. Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $4.60 per year. The I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now available at 60 cents a copy. Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment ' , iv 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 & EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 9 10 11 12 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Trade Sales and Inventories Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balance of Payments 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public 31 32 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures arc in current prices. Ill TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product, according to preliminary estimates, rose $7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 11/l percent from the fourth quarter of 1961 to the first quarter of 1962. The gain over a year earlier was $48 billion. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1960: Third quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter Second quarter-. Third quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 1962: First quarter 5 __ Personal Disposable consumption personal expenditures 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 3 351. 8 364. 9 354. 4 354. 9 354. 3 361. 8 367. 7 375. 6 378. 2 International Business Persons 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 339. 0 329. 7 332. 3 330. 7 336. 1 341. 0 348. 4 352. 0 Personal Excess Gross saving Gross of private ( + ) or retained domestic investearn-2 disinvestment saving ings ment 17. 7 18. 9 19. 8 18. 9 17. 5 23. 0 23. 6 24. 7 23. 4 22. 9 25. 8 24. 6 22. 7 23. 7 25. 8 26. 8 27. 1 26. 2 31. 5 33. 2 34. 3 35. 5 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 50. 7 51.7 54. 1 51. 8 51. 2 50. 3 53. 9 54. 8 57. 3 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 69. 6 70. 5 65. 6 59. 8 68. 8 73. 2 76. 6 77. 5 Foreign Net exports of goods Excess of net and services transfers trans( + ) or fers by of net GovernNet ExImexports ment exports ports ports 2. 1 1. 5 1. 6 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 5 1. 6 1. 7 1. 5 1. 6 1. 6 1. 5 1. 7 1. 8 1. 7 -24. 8 -16. 6 -16. 0 -13.4 -21. 8 -24. 3 -20. 5 -11. 9 -21. 7 -20. 7 -15. 5 -18. 7 -14. 4 -9.5 -14. 9 -18. 4 -19. 3 2. 4 1. 3 —. 4 1. 0 1. 1 2. 9 4. 9 1. 2 -.7 3. 0 4. 0 3. 0 5. 1 5. 3 3. 9 2. 6 4. 0 4.0 17. 9 17. 4 16. 6 17. 5 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 23. 1 26. 7 27. 4 26. 8 27. 6 27. 6 26. 4 27. 0 28. 5 28. 7 15. 5 16. 1 17. 0 16. 5 18. 3 20. 2 21. 3 21. 5 23. 8 23. 6 23. 4 23.8 22. 4 22. 3 22. 5 24.3 24. 5 24. 7 -0. 2 .2 2. 0 .4 .4 -1. 5 -3. 5 .1 2. 3 -1. 5 -2. 3 -1. 4 -3. 6 -3. 7 -2. 4 —. 9 — 2. 2 —2. 3 Government Net receipts Period 1951 1952 . . . 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 _ . .. 1961 .. 1900: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1 '.Hi 1 • First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter I'.'ii'J: Firs! nuarter 5 1 Surplus ( + ) or deficit Tax and TransTrans- (-) on Purnontax fers, chases Total fers, income Net interest, of goods expendi- interest, and receipts receipts or and suband tures and subproduct 4 4 accruals sidies sidies services account 66. 6 72, 2 75. 7 68. 5 78. 4 84. 2 87. 5 82. 0 94. 9 102. 0 102. 2 101. 4 99. 7 97. 1 100. 7 103. 0 108. 3 (6) 85. 5 90. 6 94. 9 90. 0 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 129. 3 139. 1 143. 6 138. 8 138. 3 136. 9 141. 9 145. 4 150. 0 (6) Expenditures 18. 9 18. 4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41. 4 37. 4 38. 6 39. 8 41. 2 42. 3 42. 3 42. 4 60. 5 76. 0 82. 8 75. 3 75. 6 79. 0 86. 5 93. 5 97. 1 100. 1 108. 7 101. 9 101. 6 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 113. 2 115. 5 Terminal Income (p. 3} less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penallliv.( i-li-.l. rnent, ' l ndl: i r i h i t l c i l corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, r i i1p l h d I'ntr u i t i p l ion allowances, and excess of wage accruals over disbursements. ,\H inivirn investment with sign changed. 79. 4 94. 4 102. 0 96. 7 98. 6 104. 3 115. 3 126. 6 131. 5 137. 2 150. 1 139. 3 140. 2 144. 8 148. 5 151. 3 155. 5 157. 9 18. 9 18.4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41. 4 37.4 38. 6 39. 8 41. 2 42. 3 42. 3 42. 4 6. 1 -3. 9 7 j -&'. 7 2. 9 5. 2 1. 0 -11. 4 -2. 2 1. 9 -6. 5 -. 5 -1. 9 -7.9 -6. 6 -6. 0 -4. 9 (6) Total Stat income tica or discrc receipts anc 327. 7 345. 6 364. 1 362. 3 396. 5 421. 6 443. 4 446. 0 484. 5 507. 1 522. 9 509. 1 507. 4 503. 4 517. 9 527. 3 543. 0 (") 1 1. 2 1 1. 4 1 1. 3 .9 1 1. 0 — 2. 2 4 -. 0 — 11. 5 — 11. 7 2 2. 6 1. 5 — 4. 4 0 -2 2. 9 -2 2. 6 — 1.8 1. — 1. 5 (6) Gross national product or expenditure 329. 0 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397.5 419. 2 442. 8 444. 5 482. 8 504. 4 521. 3 505. 1 504. 5 500. 8 516. 1 525.8 542. 2 549. 0 * Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net by government, and subsidies less current surplus of net interest paid p srovernment government enterorises. enterpri; *6 Preliminary -.., estin „ Jinates by Council of Economic Advisers, Not available. able. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Consumer expenditures accounted for about $4 billion of the $7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) gain in gross national product in the first quarter of 1962, government purchases $2 billion, and private investment $1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 6OO GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 400 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1956 -^PRELIMINARy ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. ( E X C E P T AS NOTED). QDUNCIi. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total Personal Gross Net gross Total conprivate exports national gross sump- domestic of goods product national tion and in 1961 product expend- investment services prices itures Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 S38. 3 366. 5 396. 5 411. 7 4 SO. 6 Government purchases of goods and services Federal State Total Total ' National Other and 2 local defense 33. 0 22. 2 3. 8 40. 2 50. 0 19. 3 .6 39. 0 56. 3 2. 4 60. 5 38. 8 52. 9 49. 9 1. 3 76. 0 58. 0 50. 3 82. 8 -. 4 75. 3 47. 5 48. 9 1. 0 45. 3 63. 8 75. 6 1. 1 2. 9 45. 7 67. 4 79. 0 66. 1 49. 7 86. 5 4. 9 56. 6 52. 6 1. 2 93. 5 7 53. 5 72. 4 97. 1 52. 9 72. 4 3.' 0 100. 1 69. 6 4. 0 108. 7 57. 3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 47 S 6 466. 1 497. 6 511. 3 •521. 3 258. 1 284. 6 329. 0 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397. 5 419. 2 442. 8 444. 5 482. 8 504. 4 521. 3 181. 195. 209. 219. 232. 238. 256. 269. 285. 293. 314. 328. 339. 1960: Third quarter Fourth quarter. _ 510. 6 508. 0 505. 1 504. 5 329. 7 332. 3 70. 5 65. 6 3. 0 5. 1 101. 9 101. 6 1961: First quarter Second quarter___ Third quarter Fourth quarter. _ 1962: First quarter 4 _ _ _ 503. 1 517. 2 6S5. 2 539. 7 500. 516. 525. 542. 549. 330. 336. 341. 348. 352. 59. 8 68. 8 73. 2 76. 6 77. 5 5. 3 3. 9 2. 6 4. 0 4. 0 105. 0 107. 3 109. 0 113. 2 115. 5 422. o 455. 1 _-- --. 464. 8 544- l S 1 8 2 0 2 0 8 8 6 0 9 9 2 2 0 9 0 7 1 0 4 0 13. 6 14. 3 33. 9 46. 4 49. 3 41. 2 39. 1 40. 4 44. 4 44. 8 46. 2 45. 5 49. 2 8. 9 5. 2 5. 2 6. 7 9. 0 6. 7 6. 6 5. 7 5. 7 8. 3 7. 8 8. 0 8. 6 17. 9 19. 7 21. 7 23. 2 24. 9 27. 7 30. 3 33. 2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 47. 2 51. 4 54. 0 53. 0 45. 4 45. 7 9.1 7.9 48. 0 1 48. 6 54. 7 56. 6 57. 4 60. 0 61. 2 47. 2 48. 8 49. 0 51. 7 52. 9 8. 0 8. 3 8. 9 9. 0 9. 1 50. 3 50. 6 51. 6 53. 2 51. :i 1 2 Less Government sales. These expenditures correspond closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 31. 3 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1961 prices. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included b i v i n n l n r l'."'>' Source: Department of Comment (rxivpl ;i Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1961 = 1003 76. 3 77. 7 83. 0 84. 3 84. 9 86. 0 87. 3 90. 2 93. 5 95. 4 97. 0 98. 7 100. 0 98. <) 99. 3 99. (Ml. 100. 100. 5 S 1 5 1 ( M l . !l NATIONAL INCOME Compensation of employees rose $5.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 1962. In the noncorporate sector, farm income declined while other income rose or was maintained at the previous quarter's rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SOO BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 500 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND._ RENTAL INCOME 'V »NET INTEREST <J i 1956 1957 1958 1961 I960 1959 1- J/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. (EXCEPT AS NOTED). t i 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1949__ 1950 1951 1952 1953. 1954 1955 1956-. _ _ 1957 1958... 1959 . 1060 1961 Total national income 217.7 241.9 279. 3 292. 2 305. 6 301. 8 330. 2 350. 8 366. 9 367. 4 399. 6 417. 1 430. 2 Compensation of employees ' Business and professional Rental income of persons 22. 7 23. 5 26. 0 26. 9 27. 4 27. 8 30. 4 32. 1 32. 7 32. 5 35. 0 36. 2 36. 5 8.3 9.0 9. 4 10. 2 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10.9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 11. 7 11. 5 Proprietors' income Farm 140. 8 154.2 180. 3 195. 0 208. 8 207. 6 223. 9 242. 5 255. 5 257. 1 278. 4 293. 7 302.9 12. 9 14. 0 16. 3 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11.3 12. 0 13. 0 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Net interest 4,8 5.5 6. 3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11. 7 13. 4 14. 8 16. 6 18. 4 20. 0 Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 28. 2 35.7 41. 0 37.7 37.3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 46. 4 45. 1 46. 2 26. 4 40.6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 6 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 46. 8 45. 0 46. 1 1. 9 -5.0 -1. 2 1. 0 -1. 0 -. 3 -1. 7 -2. 7 -1. 5 -.3 -.5 .0 .1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates JIHiO: Third quarter _. Fourth quarter 419. 0 416. 5 296.0 294. 0 12. 4 12. 7 36. 3 36. 3 11. 7 11. 7 18. 6 18. 9 44. 1 42. 9 43. 2 42. 6 0. 9 .3 HHil ; Fir.st quarter Hocond quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Hlll'»! First qimrtfr 2 412. 426. 434. 447. (3) 292. 6 300. 2 306. 2 312. 7 317. 9 12. 9 12. 9 12. 8 13. 6 13. 0 36. 0 36. 3 36. 6 37. 2 37. 6 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 11. 5 19. 2 19. 6 20. 2 20. 7 21. 3 40. 0 45. 5 47. 0 52. 1 (3) 39. 6 45. 2 47.2 52. 4 (3) —. 2 2 0 3 9 «ItitMiMl*** wnpioycr contributions for social Insurance. (See also p. 3.) * (*ft»Hiiiiimry <%*tUtnntctt by Council of Economic Advisers. *K**I IIV*| lit Ml*. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning i960. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). .4 .3 .0 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $2.0 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in March to a new record level of $435.3 billion, or $32 billion more than the February 1961 low. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS 450 ••j 400 — — !- 350 BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME V 1956 Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 _. .. .. 1957 1958 . ... 1959 . 1960 1961 288. 289. 310. 332. 351. 360. 383. 402. 416. 1961: February. March April May June July August September. October November. December. 1962: January__. February. March 4 ... 3 8 2 9 4 3 3 2 7 403. 1 407. 3 409. 8 413. 2 417. 3 3 421. 2 419. 4 421. 1 425. 2 429. 3 431. 8 430. 1 433. 3 435. 3 3 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS fBillions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental salary disDiviBusiness income bursements of dends Farm and proand other fessional persons labor income)1 204. 1 13. 3 27. 4 9. 2 10. 5 202. 5 12.7 9. 8 27. 8 10. 9 11. 8 218. 0 30. 4 11. 2 10. 7 235. 7 12. 1 32. 1 11. 6 10. 9 32. 7 247. 7 11. 8 12. 6 11. 9 249. 2 13. 5 32. 5 12. 2 12. 4 11. 3 268. 8 35. 0 13. 4 11. 9 282. 2 12. 0 14. 1 36. 2 11. 7 13. 0 290. 8 36. 5 14. 4 11. 5 Seasonally adjusted annual 12. 9 280. 2 14. 2 35. 8 11. 5 13. 0 14. 2 36. 0 281. 7 11. 4 12. 9 285. 3 36. 1 14. 2 11. 5 12. 9 14. 2 288. 0 36. 3 11. 5 291. 7 13. 0 36. 4 11. 5 14. 3 12. 9 293. 4 11. 5 14. 3 36. 6 294. 0 12. 8 14. 3 36. 6 11. 5 12. 7 295. 2 14. 4 11. 5 36. 8 297. 8 13. 5 14. 5 37. 0 11. 5 300. 9 37. 3 14. 8 13. 8 11. 5 302. 4 13. 5 15. 5 37. 4 11. 5 302. 0 13. 1 14. 9 37. 4 11. 5 12. 9 305. 1 37. G 11. 5 14. 9 306. 4 13. 0 37. 7 11. 5 15. 1 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 2) excluding employer eoiHribuiions for social insurance and the excess of wasie accruals over uisbiir^enirnts, '^ Persona! income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm writes, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by atjneiiH ;:ral corporations. ^Includes steppcd-up payment oT National Service T^ife Insurance dividends 1962 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Total personal income 350 FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME 1957 I -i 400 Less: PerconPersonal Transfer sonal tributions payinterest for social income ments insurance 13.4 14. 3 3. 9 14. 6 4. 6 16. 2 15. 8 17. 5 5. 2 18. 8 17. 5 5. 8 21. 9 19. 6 6. 7 21. 0 26. 3 6. 9 23. 6 27. 2 7. 9 26. 2 9. 3 29. 1 27. 3 32. 9 9. 7 rates 31. 1 9. 4 26. 8 3 26. 8 33. 7 9. 6 32. 5 26. 8 9. 6 33. 0 27. 0 9. 7 27. 1 33. 0 9. 8 3 27. 2 35. 2 9. 8 32. 5 9. 8 27. 4 32. 7 27. 5 9. 8 27. 7 33. 1 10. 0 27. 9 10. 1 33. 2 10. 1 28. 2 33. 4 10. 3 28. 5 33. 1 JO. 5 33. 2 28. 7 10. r, 33. 4 28. 9 M( $150 million ($1.8 billion at a n n u a l rate) in M ; i r H i billion at annual rate) in July. 4 Preliminary, Nonagricultural personal2 income 271. 5 273. 8 295.0 317. 9 336. 1 343. 0 368. 1 386. 2 399. 4 386. 2 390. 1 392. 9 396. -1 400. 2 3 404. 0 402. 4 401. 1 41)7. 2 410. '.) 413. d 3 4 r.'. 3 1 l.'i S II V 1 ', DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Both disposable personal income ana1 personal consumption expenditures increased in the first quartei of 1962. the increase in income being less rapid than in expenditures, the saving rate dropped. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* With BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* J-^V 2°° 2,200 DOLLARS* 2,200 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME IN 1961 PRICES 2,000 ^gffSSUSt ^.^•"•".n™.,...,^^ ' .-•-" 1,800 —— 1—«""**" /I A I V I 1956 i i „ 1111^-"\°*" **"""• ^^~— r^-—— 1,800 IN CURRENT PRIC ES i i 1957 I 1 i 1958 i l' i i 1959 i i I960 1 1 19501951— 1952 1953 1 <)!>4 _. 1955 l!)5(i 1957 1958 l!). r >9 19(10 1 '.Mil 207. 227. 238. 252. 256. 274. 292.1 7 5 7 5 9 4 9 317. 337. 351. 364. 9 3 8 9 ''''V O .-,Ub. b Total 195. 0 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 339. 0 Durable goods Nondurable goods i 1962 1 'A A V COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal consumption expenditures Disposable personal income ' -^ I 1 1961 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. .I/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). Period 2,000 iijjj^ji***^ Personal saving Services Billions of dollars 64. 9 30. 4 99. 8 12. 6 110. 1 70. 2 17. 7 29. 5 29. 1 115. I 75. 6 13. 9 118. 0 81. S 19. 8 32. 9 32. 4 119. 3 86. 3 18. 9 124. 8 92. 5 17. 5 39. 6 100. 0 23. 0 38. 5 131. 4 40. 4 137. 7 107. 1 23. C 141. 6 114. 3 24. 7 37. 3 43. 5 147. 3 123. 2 23. 4 152. 4 1 32. 2 22. 9 44. 3 141. 2 42. 2 25. 8 155. 5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 152. 7 24. 6 43. 4 133. 6 22. 7 135. 4 43. 8 153. 1 137. 5 23. 7 39. 4 153. 7 42. 0 154. 1 139. 9 25. 8 142. 4 26. 8 156. 2 42.3 144. 9 27. 1 45. 5 158. 1 Per capita disposable personal income ] Current prices 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, ], 1, 1961 prices 2 Dollars 369 1, 474 1, 520 1, 582 1, 1, 582 660 1, 742 1, 804 1, 826 1, 905 1, 947 1, 987 1, 692 708 725 780 762 840 900 911 898 956 969 987 Saving as percent Popuiaof distion posable (thoupersonal sands) 3 income (percent) 6. 1 7. 8 7. 9 7. 8 7. 4 6. 4 7. 9 7. 6 7. 8 6. 9 6. 5 7. 1 151, 683 154, 360 157, 028 159, 636 162, 417 165, 270 168, 176 171, 198 174, 060 177,076 180, 670 183, 650 6. 9 181,084 I ' . M l t ) : Third quarter 329. 7 1, 957 1, 977 354. 4 6. 4 181, 898 332. 3 1, 951 1, 963 354. 9 1'ourth quarter 182, 601 6. 7 1, 940 1 9(11 : Kinst quarter.. 1, 946 354. 3 330. 7 7. 1 183, 292 1, 974 1, 978 336. 1 Srrcmd quarter 361. 8 184, 054 1, 998 7. 3 341. 0 T h i r d quarter . 1, 996 367. 7 2,032 184, 851 2,024 7. 2 F o u r t h quarter 348. 4 375. 6 2, 021 t'H;1.': i-'ir;l qimricr'1 2, 039 6. 9 185, 500 352. 0 147. 2 26. 2 44. 6 160. 2 378. 2 1 Preliminary. (p. :i) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalNOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. ii (ir.cc,^ divided by the implicit price deflator for personal I!hires on a 1901 base. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. if I ' n i l c d .States including armed forces abroad. Annual M i - f l y dsilin-entered in the middle of the period, interpolated FARM INCOME Realized gross farm income, seasonally adjusted declined and production expenses rose slightly during the first quarter of 1962. Net farm income fell below the fourth quarter 1961 level but remained above the first quarter 1961 leve'. BILL IONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 50 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME >. 40 ^.i«»ii i— _, 4O „,.___—••- \ / ^ A 30 30 2O 20 NET FARM INCOME INC -UDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 1 „,.—_<•* "^ 10 0 -^ \ \ j ! 1956 1 1 1 1957 1 1 1 ! I ! 1959 1958 I I960 i 1 1 1 1 .. - .. -_ - .- 1960: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961' First quarterSecond quarter. . Third quarter Fourth quarter 1962' First quarter ' From From agricul- nonagritural cultural sources 1 sources Total 2 17. 3 15. 1 14. 4 13. 5 13. 4 13. 6 15. 4 13. 1 13. 7 14. 8 (66) ( 6) () (°) (6) (") (6) (°) (G6 ) () (6) (") (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (") (") (6) (6) (6) (6) (66) (6) (6) () (") (66) ( 6) () (") (6) (66) () (66) () o her o! fiiniis is held coii-:l:ml w l l l i l n M yeiii '2 Net income per farm including net inventory change * Net ProducCash tion exreceipts penses from marketings Billions of dollars 37. 0 32. 6 22. 6 35. 3 21. 4 31. 1 33. 9 21. 7 30. 0 29. 6 21. 9 33. 3 34. 6 30. 6 22. 6 34. 4 29. 8 23. 4 37. 9 33. 4 25. 3 37. 5 33. 5 26. 3 38. 1 34. 0 26. 4 39. 6 34. 8 26. 9 Seasonally adjusted annual 38. 3 34. 2 26. 3 38. 7 34. 7 26. 3 39. 3 35. 3 26. 7 39. 2 34. 0 26. 7 39. 3 34 4 26 9 40. 6 35. 5 27 2 40. 1 35 2 27 3 ' Net income of farm operators from farming (including net inventory change) and wages received by farm resident workers. 2 Cash receipts from marketings. Government payments, and nonmoney income furnishe(i by farms. '* Inventory of crops and livestock vnlliod nt Ihc nvrmi'c prlee for the y r i r . " Series revised h c K i n n i n K Ill.ri2 on the Imsis ol HI.Ml I Vnsus <>f A r r i e i i H m v dell I l i l i m i of :i f a r m . The K i l l - i s " (li 1 Income received by farm operators from farming Realized gross 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1 1962 COUNCIL OF KOKOMIC ADVISERS Income received by total farm population From all sources 1 1961 SOUF CE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Period i 10 J Excluding inventory change Including net in- Current 1961 ventory3 prices prices 5 change 14. 4 13. 9 12. 2 11. 5 12. 0 11. 0 12. 6 11. 2 11. 7 12. 7 rates 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11. 3 12. 0 13. 0 12. 0 12. 4 12. 6 12. 5 12 4 13. 4 12 8 12. 4 12. 7 12. 9 12. 9 12. 8 13. 6 13. 0 •s ( l i v i i l r i i hy t i n - i r n | r \ i Dollars 3, 173 2, 951 2, 664 2,896 2, 844 2, 645 2, 529 2, 719 2, 574 2, 738 2, 695 2,778 3, 201 3, 233 2,762 2, 756 3,028 3, 028 3. 401 3, 401 3, 3, 3, 3, 3 3, 140 220 380 380 360 570 :; rr.'O 3, 3, 3, 3. 3 :i, 140 220 380 380 360 570 :; mo CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes are estimated to have risen $5.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 1961 to $52.4 billion. This brings the total rise from the first quarter of 1961 to the fourth quarter to $12.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS I96I ' E X C L U D I N G INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE'- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates) Period 1950 . --. 1951 . 1952 . . 1953 _ _ _ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 __ 1960 _ 1961 1 !)(>(): Third quarter Fourth quarter. _ 1961: I''ir,sl quarter Second quarter. _ Third quarter.. !'»!. ' I'linrt h quarter _ _ 1 if 1 ( M i . ' i H r r: **«-•!! frrt Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment l TransManufacturing portation, All All comNonDurable other indusdurable munigoods tries Total goods cations, indusindustries and industries tries public utilities 35. 7 12. 0 8. 4 4. 0 11. 3 20. 4 12. 0 41. 0 24. 4 10. 9 4. 5 13. 5 37. 7 21. 1 9. 3 4. 8 11. 8 11. 8 37. 3 21. 4 12. 1 4. 9 11. 0 9. 3 33. 7 4. 4 10. 1 8. 3 11. 0 18. 4 43. 1 12. S 14. 2 10. 8 5. 4 25. 0 12. 9 42. 0 12. 6 10. 9 5. 6 23. 5 41. 7 22. 9 9. 8 5. 5 13. 3 13. 1 37. 2 9. 3 5. 6 13. 3 18. 3 9. 0 46. 4 6. 4 24. 8 13. 2 11. 6 15. 2 12. 0 45. 1 11. 3 6. 8 15. 0 23. 3 46. 2 11. 4 7. 1 16. 0 11. 6 23. 0 22. 6 44. 1 11. 3 6. 6 14. 9 11. 4 42. 9 14. 6 21. 6 10. 7 10. 9 6. 8 40. 0 8. 5 10. 4 6. 5 14. 6 18. 8 11.2 22. 3 11. 2 7. 1 16. 1 45. 5 12. 1 23. 6 47. 0 11. 5 7.3 16. 1 12. 5 7. 7 52. 1 14. 6 17. 3 27. 1 3 3 3 3 3 () () (3) () () () juljiis! tuont. m-il of Kconomic Advisers. Corporate profits after taxes Corpo- Corpo- profits before taxes tax liability 40. 6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 46. 8 45. 0 46. 1 43. 2 42. 6 39. 6 45.2 47. 2 52. 4 (3) 17. 9 22. 4 19. 5 20. 2 17. 2 21. 8 21. 2 20. 9 18. 6 23. 1 22. 3 22. 8 21.4 21. 1 19. 6 22. 4 23. 3 26. 0 (3) Total 22. 8 19. 7 17. 2 18. 1 16. 8 23. 0 23. 5 22. 3 18. 8 23. 7 22. 7 23. 3 21. 7 21. 4 20. 0 22. 8 23. 8 26. 5 (s) Dividend payments 9. 2 9. 0 9. 0 9. 2 9. 8 11. 2 12. 1 12. 6 12. 4 13. 4 14. 1 14. 4 14. 1 14.3 14. 2 14. 2 14. 3 15. 0 15. 0 NOTE. — Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. „ -^ ^ ^ ofr ^ t j* Source: Department Commerce ,(except* as noted). Undistributed profits 13. 6 10. 7 8. 3 8. 9 7. 0 11. 8 11. 3 9. 7 6. 4 10. 3 8. 6 8. 8 7. 6 7. 2 5. 8 8. 6 9. 5 11. 5 (3) GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT .In the first quarter of 1962, business fixed investment and inventories rose while residential construction fell, resultins in a total gain of about $1 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in private investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 60 1956 1962 ^/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. (EXCEPT AS NOTED] COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953... 1954 . 1955 .. 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 ... ... .. 1960: Third quarter _ Fourth quarter _ 1961: First quarter ._ Second quarter.. Third quarter . . Fourth quarter 1962: First quarter 3 _ . 1 Total gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Total 33. 0 50.0 56. 3 49. 9 50.3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 69. 6 36. 0 43. 2 46. 1 46. 8 49. 9 50.5 58. 1 62. 7 64. 6 58. 6 66. 1 68. 2 67. 4 70. 5 65. 6 59. 8 68. 8 73.2 76. 6 77. 5 68. 1 67. 4 63. 8 66. 0 68. 7 71. 3 70.0 New construction ' Producers' durable Residenequiptial Totai Other * ment nonfarm 9. 6 9. 2 17.2 18. 8 24.2 14. 1 10. 1 1&9 12. 3 24. 8 12.5 21. 3 12. 7 12. 8 21. 3 25. 5 27.6 13. 8 13. 8 22. 3 29. 7 14.3 15. 4 20. 8 34. 9 18. 7 16. 2 23. 1 17.7 35. 5 17. 8 27. 2 36. 1 19.0 17.0 28,5 35. 5 17. 4 18.0 23.1 22. 3 40. 2 17. 9 25. 9 21. 1 40. 7 19. 6 27.5 41. 7 21. 2 20.5 25. 7 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 40. 4 19. 4 21.0 27. 7 40. 7 20. 5 20. 2 26. 7 39. 6 19. 3 20. 4 24. 2 41. 3 20. 7 24. 7 20. 6 42. 7 22. 1 20. 6 26. 0 28. 0 43. 3 23.0 20. 3 41. 8 21. 3 20. 5 28. 2 Revisions in series on new construction shown on p. 17 have not yet been incorporated into these series. 3 "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 17. 3 Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Huwnll Incliitlnl iH' Source: Department of Oomnirrco (cxtTpt iu» h*it« Change in business inventories Total Nonfarm -3. 1 6. 8 10. 2 3. 1 .4 -1. 6 5. 8 4. 7 1. 6 — 2.0 6. 3 4. 2 2. 2 -2.2 6.0 9. 1 2. 1 1. 1 -2. 1 5.5 5. 1 .8 -2.9 6.2 4. 0 1. 8 2. 4 -1. 9 -4. 0 2. K 4. .1 5, a 2.0 -2. 2 -.1, a '.!. -1 •1, 1 ft, 1 7, :! EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the January-February survey, business firms are planning to spend $37.2 billion on new plant and equipment in 1962, about 8 percent more than in 1961. Quarterly increases of 11/k to 2 percent (seasonally adjusted) are anticipated for the first and second quarters of 1962. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 10 1961 SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. AND DEPARTMENT of COMMERCE. 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Transportation Manufacturing Period Total ' Total 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 19611962 »-.. 25.64 26. 4S 28. 32 26. 83 28.70 35. 08 36.96 30. 53 32.54 35. 68 34.37 37. 16 10. 85 11.63 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14. 95 15.96 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 68 14. 90 1960: 35. 90 35. 50 33. 85 33. 50 34. 70 35.40 36. 10 36. 60 14. 65 14. 40 13. 75 13. 50 13. 65 1-4. 00 14. 40 14. 65 1961: 1962: Third quarter Fourth quarter First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter First quarter 3 Second quarter 3 Durable Nonduragoods ble goods Railroads Other 5. 17 1.47 5.68 .93 5.61 6.02 .98 1. 40 5. 65 6. 26 . 99 1.31 5.09 .98 .85 5.95 5. 44 . 96 6. 00 .92 7. 62 1.24 7. 33 1. 23 8. 02 1. 24 7. 94 1. 40 5.47 . 94 . 75 5. 96 5.77 .99 6. 29 .92 7. 18 7. 30 . 99 1. 03 6.27 . 98 . 67 7. 40 .80 7. 29 7. 62 1. 01 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 7. 35 1. 00 1. 00 7. 30 6. 85 7.55 .90 1. 00 6. 50 . 70 7. 25 . 95 6. 20 1. 00 . 70 7. 30 6. 10 1. 00 7. 55 . 65 6. 40 .60 7. 60 1.00 7. 00 .80 1. 10 7.45 7. 20 . 80 1. 05 7.50 1 Excludes agriculture. 2 Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. a Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business In late January and February 1962. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies In anticipatory date. 8 Mining Public utilities Commercial and other 2 1. 49 1. 50 1. 56 1. 51 1. 60 1. 71 1.77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 85 1. 84 3. 66 3.89 4.55 4.22 4. 31 4. 90 6. 20 6. 09 5. 67 5.68 5.52 5. 60 7.24 7.09 8. 00 8.23 9. 47 11.05 10. 40 9.82 10. 88 11. 57 11. 68 13. 00 1. 90 1. 80 1. 75 1. 80 1. 90 1. 95 1. 75 1. 90 5. 60 5.70 5. 35 5. 50 5. 65 5. 55 5. 25 5.20 11. 75 11. 65 11. 30 11. 05 11.85 12. 35 12.75 13.00 NOTE.—Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE In March, civilian employment (seasonally adjusted) changed little and the unemployment rate declined to 5.5 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* CIVILIAN LABOR FORGE V AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT •i"»n..,,,n,,,u.,,,nra,,i.w..,,,ll,1,,n,,l UNEMPLOYMENT ^ _ I 1I 1 I 1 1 I I i I I 11 1 I PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR - , - -,-, "1 P j -T~1 _ - - _ - fl -,_ ! Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: March April May___ June.. . July_. August September. October November. December.. 1962: January February March 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civilian employment Total Thousands 468 60, 890 848 62, 944 530 64, 708 946 65,011 647 63, 966 394 65, 581 612 66, 681 603 66, 796 Unadjusted 67, 68, 70, 70, 71, 71, 73, 74, 818 896 387 744 284 946 126 175 64, 65, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 73, 73, 74, 76, 76, 75, 73, 74, 74, 73, 540 216 059 790 153 610 670 345 096 372 71, Oil 70, 696 71, 546 74, 286 73, 639 73,081 71, 123 71, 759 71, 339 70, 559 65, 65, 66, 68, 68, 68, 67, 67, 67, 66, 72, 564 73, 218 73, 582 69, 721 70, 332 70, 697 65, 058 65, 789 66, 316 516 734 778 706 499 539 038 824 349 467 Nonagricultural Civilian employment Unemployment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural Nonagricultural Unemployment of persons 14 years of age and over 54, 395 3, 578 56, 225 2, 904 i 58, 135 2, 822 58, 789 2, 936 58, 122 4, 681 59, 745 3, 813 i 60, 958 3, 931 61, 333 4, 806 Seasonally adjusted ' 539 734 234 035 046 215 372 860 149 049 5,495 4, 962 4, 768 5, 580 5, 140 4, 542 4,085 3, 934 3, 990 4,091 72, 71, 71, 71, 71, 71, 70, 71, 71, 71, 60, 641 61, 211 61, 533 4, 663 4, 543 4, 382 71, 435 71, 841 71, 774 60, 60, 61, 62, 62, 62, 61, 61, 62, 62, 3 Seasonally adjusted totals iray differ from sum of components because totals and components have been seasonally adjusted separately. y 1961 1956 1957 * 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Total labor Civilian force (includ- labor ing force armed forces) ~~ -j- f FORCE 092 410 475 983 633 789 981 473 482 272 Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force) SeasonUnad- ally adjusted justed Percent 5. 6 4 4 4. 2 4 3 6 8 5 5 5. 6 6. 7 127 398 512 900 698 998 243 822 148 936 5, 787 5,297 5, 326 5, 504 5, 473 5,662 5, 156 5,472 5,311 5,204 61, 274 61, 101 61, 234 61, 543 61, 371 61, 417 61, 188 61, 369 61, 840 61, 618 4, 874 4, 950 5, 019 4,936 4, 923 4, 887 4, 867 4, 762 4,370 4, 274 7. 7 7.0 6. 7 7. 5 7. 0 6. 2 5. 7 5. 5 5. 6 5. 8 6. 8 6. 9 7. 0 6. 9 6. 9 (. 8 (. S (. 7 (. 1 (. 0 67, 278 67, 894 67, 947 5, 453 5, 603 5, 560 61, 690 62, 206 62, 280 4, 1 59 4, DOS 3, K M 6. 7 li. r, 6, '2 r. s r. i; 67, 66, 66, 66, 66, 66, 66, 66, 67, 66, NOTE. — For d e f m l l i o nnd covrnij'i', M-C fSinjiloyinntl a mcnt of Labor. J l i ^ i n n w IWiO, d u l ; i i n r l i u l i * A l i i s k u i m < l l Source: DcjmrUmMil of Labor. ngs, D r j m r t - UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Insured unemployment averaged 2.7 million in March, or about 700,000 less than in March 1961. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) SEPT. JAN. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LA80R. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All programs Insured Total unem- benefits Covered ploypaid employ- ment (milment (weekly lions of averdolage) ' lars) > Period Thousands 1957 1 958 1959 19(10 1961 __ 3901: February March . April __ May June.lulv August September ( Idohcr \ i >vinbor 1 Ircciubcr I'M)'.?: . I : i n u : i r v I 1 VI t n i ; i r y M.'.rrli •• \\ ,-,•], , - M , | . ' , | : r.lC,-.': M : i n - l i ", April 10 43, 447 44, 501 45, 727 .. 46, 334 (2) 44, 467 44, 873 45, 384 45, 899 46, 654 46, 762 47, 154 47, 224 (2) (2) _ (2) (2) (2) (2) 1, 567 3, 269 2, 099 2, 067 2, 994 3, 638 3, 403 3, 626 3, 290 2, 877 2, 678 2, 357 2, 122 2, 018 2, 172 2, 533 3,015 2, 925 2, 702 1, 913. 0 4, 209. 2 2, 803. 0 3, 022. 7 4, 358. 1 435. 5 500. 9 419. 4 457. 2 403. 9 321. 9 333. 5 263. 4 255. 3 261. 4 286. 0 395. 2 350. 0 380. 0 State programs Insured unemployment (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 891 834 759 631 510 Initial claims Insured unemployment as perExhaus- cent of covered employment tions Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Weekly average, thousands 23 268 1, 450 370 2, 509 50 1, 682 33 281 331 31 1 , 900 350 46 2, 290 49 480 3, 394 372 53 3, 168 367 58 2, 779 54 297 2, 328 279 53 1, 991 50 357 1, 958 271 44 1, 744 257 38 1, 558 277 35 1, 502 320 34 1, 662 394 35 2,017 429 39 2, 486 320 39 2,410 273 39 2, 218 2, (22) 2, (2 ) 2, (2) '.!•!.:1 2, (2 ) :;i 2, (2) 7 '•'• () H l u i r programs for temporary extension of benefits be' i'n'iiimrmry. Id NOV. Percent 3. 6 6. 4 4. 4 4. 8 5. 6 8. 4 7.8 6. 8 5. 7 4. 9 4. 8 4. 3 3. 8 3. 7 4. 1 5. 0 6. 2 6. 0 5. 5 Benefits paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 1, 3, 2, 2, 3, 6. 3 6. 3 5. 9 5.6 S. 3 5. 3 B. 2 5. 1 5. 1 5. 1 4.8 4- 7 4.6 4.4 (22) (2 ) (2) () (22) 733. 9 512. 7 279. 0 726. 7 422. 7 399. 3 461. 5 362. 5 320. 1 264. 4 224. 0 237. 2 185. 0 180. 9 190. 9 218. 5 314. 9 289. 0 310. 0 28. 17 30. 58 30. 41 32. 87 33. 80 34. 45 34. 37 34. 18 33. 46 32. 92 32. 91 33. 36 33. 12 33. 30 33. 67 34. 11 34. 44 34. 50 34. 75 5. 9 315 (22) (22) (2) 5. 8 306 (2) (2) (2) 270 5. 6 (2 ) (2) (2) 5. 3 255 () (2) (2) 244 5. 0 (22) (2 ) ( 22 ) 308 () () () () NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see i960 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods. Source: Department of Labor. 397 345 271 149 035 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT In March, nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, was 54.8 million, up 50,000 from February. MILLIONS OF WAGE ., AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 60 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 56 5Z 50 48 Lj, 1959 1961 I960 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 . 1 . 1 1 1 1959 I960 X SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA. SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1959 1962 1961 1961 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers : Manufacturing (private) Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 3 1961 _. 1961: February March April May June Julv August September October November December 1962: January 3 February March 3" Total, unadjusted Total BO, 675 52, 408 52, 904 SI, 423 53, 380 54, 347 54, 076 50, 675 52, 408 52, 904 51, 423 53, 380 54, 347 54, 076 16, 882 17, 243 17, 174 15, 945 16, 667 16, 762 16, 268 9, 541 9, 834 9, 856 8, 830 9, 369 9, 441 9, 044 62, 523 52, 785 53, 171 53, 708 54, 429 54, 227 54, 538 54, 978 55, 065 55, 129 55, 503 53 737 53, 826 53, 986 53, 485 53, 561 53, 663 53, 894 54, 182 54, 335 54, 333 54, 304 54, 385 54, 525 54, 492 54, 434 54, 778 54, 828 15, 962 16, 023 16, 119 16, 275 16, 373 16, 392 16, 381 16, 323 16, 361 16, 466 16, 513 16, 456 16, 574 16, 609 8, 797 8, 820 8, 904 9,058 9, 114 9, 138 9, 131 9, 105 9, 112 9, 213 9, 244 9, 217 9, 314 9, 38! Total Durable Nondura- Total2 goods ble goods 1 Includes all fall- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagric-ultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonaericultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 9, which include proprietors, self-employed parson?, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu- Nonmanufacturing (private) Contract Transporta- Wholesale construc- tion and pub- and retail tion lic utilities trade 7, 340 26, 879 2, 802 7, 409 27, 888 2, 999 7, 319 28, 104 2, 923 7, 116 27, 585 2, 778 7, 298 28, 523 2, 955 7, 321 29, 065 2, 882 7, 224 28, 977 2, 760 Seasonally adjusted 7, 165 28, 841 2, 765 2, 792 7, 203 28, 826 7, 215 28, 810 2, 766 7, 217 28, 845 2, 742 7, 259 28, 988 2, 795 7, 254 29, 108 2, 776 7, 250 29, 087 2, 770 7. 218 29, 045 2, 754 7, 249 29, 057 2, 758 7, 253 29, 067 2. 719 7, 269 29, 042 2, 699 7, 239 28, 949 2, 594 7, 250 29, 165 2, 685 7. 288 29, 094 2. 610 4, 141 4, 244 4, 241 3, 976 4, 010 4,017 3, 923 10, 535 10, 858 10, 886 10, 750 11, 125 11, 412 11, 365 3, 922 3, 919 3, 901 3, 903 3, 914 3, 942 3, 939 3, 939 3, 929 3, 927 3, 911 3, 906 3, 915 3, 918 11, 296 11, 252 11, 320 11, 355 11, 392 11, 437 11, 410 11, 363 11, 365 11, 374 11, 366 11, 384 11, 455 ] 1, 439 Government (Federal, State, local) 6, 914 7, 277 7, 626 7, 893 8, 190 8, 520 8, 831 8, 682 8, 712 8, 734 8, 774 8, 821 8, 835 8, 865 8, 936 8, 967 8, 992 8, 937 9, 029 9, 039 9, 065 meration of population, whereas the estimates In this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining; finance, insurance, and rcr.l estate; and service and miscellaneous, not shown separately. ; ~ Preliminary. NOTE—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of -Labor. 11 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK In March, the average workweek of production workers in manufacturins was 40.5 hours (seasonally adjusted), or 0.2 hours above the February workweek. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 36 RETAIL TRADE 40 — *— T^r-rNe=s=aes^ 1' 34 ——— T! i i i i i 1959 I 1959 I960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Average hours per week * Manufacturing industries Period All 1956 1957-- _ - - 1958 1 959 1 960 5 1961 _ 1961: February March April. May... J unc .Inly1 Au; ust Srpte iber ... . . . Orliil r N ' c i v r I|>IT 1 I I M - I - I her . I'lt',1.'' .1,'iini: V I ' V I i r i :i r v fl M . - m - l l •'• - \9SZ 1961 I960 SOURCE'. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. - 40. 4 39. 8 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 8 39. 3 39. 3 39. 7 39. 8 39. 9 40. 0 40. 0 39. 6 40. 2 40. 6 40. 4 39. 8 40. 3 40. 5 Contract NonDurable durable construc- Retail trade goods tion goods Hours per week 41. 0 37. 5 39. 6 40. 3 37.0 39. 2 39. 5 36. 8 38. 8 40. 7 37. 0 39. 7 40. 1 36. 7 39. 2 40. 2 36. 9 39. 3 Seasonally adjusted 39. 6 38. 1 38. 8 39. 7 36. 9 39. 1 40. 0 39. 3 35. 7 40. 2 36. 3 39. 3 40. 4 36. 8 39. 5 36. 9 40. 5 39. 5 40. 5 37. 1 39. 3 39. 8 39. 2 36. 7 40. 6 39. 6 37. 2 37. 5 41. 2 39. 7 41. 2 35. 5 39. 7 40. 3 34. 4 39. 2 40. 9 37. 0 39. 5 41. 1 39. 9 (6) workers or nonsupervisory employees. Beginning 3 39. 1 38. 7 38. 7 38. 7 38. 5 38. 1 38. 4 38. 2 38. 2 38. 3 38. 1 38. 2 37. 9 38. 0 38. 0 37. 9 38. 1 37. 9 37. 9 (6) Persons at work in noua^ricultural 2 industries by hours worked per week Under 35 hours Part-time for Over 40 35-40 economic reasons hours houre Total Usually Usually partfulltime 3 time * Millions of persons 14 years of ase and over 1. 1 0. 9 18. 7 27. 3 9. 4 1. 2 1. 0 17. 6 28. 6 9. 7 1. 6 1. 3 16. 6 28. 3 10. 4 1. 0 17. 3 27. 7 1. 3 11. 7 1. 2 1. 3 17. 7 11. 5 28. 7 1. 3 1. 5 18. 2 29. 0 11. 1 17. 4 17. 7 17. 7 18. 1 17. 9 17. 2 17. 7 18. 5 19. 3 39.5 19. 7 17. 8 18. 3 18. 9 27.9 29. 6 29. 9 29. 8 29. 9 27. 8 28. 4 29. 0 28. 4 29. 4 29. 1 28. 3 28. 2 29. 5 12. 7 11. 4 11. 3 11. 4 10. 5 9. 9 9. 7 13. 2 11. 9 11. 3 11.3 12. 1 12. 5 11. 2 7 1. 7 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 2 1. 1 1. 2 1. 1 1. 1 .1. 1 1. 1 1. 0 1. 0 1. 1 7 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 2. 0 1. 9 1. 9 1. 4 1. 2 1. 3 1. 2 1. 1 1. 2 1. 2 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. *b Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. Preliminary. 6 Not available. ' Average hours worked: usually full-time, 22.7; usually part-time, 17.1. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were $2.38 in March, unchanged from February. Average weekly earnings, however, rose to $95.91 in March, reflecting a rise in the workweek. DOLLARS e.eo 2.40 8.EO £.00 1.80 1959 I I960 1962 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Average hourly earnings— current prices Manufacturing industries Contract conRetail NonDurable durable structrade All goods tion goods Period $1. 65 1. 74 1.78 1. 86 1. 95 2.05 2. 11 2. 19 2. 26 2. 32 2. 29 2. 29 2. 31 2. 32 2. 32 2. 33 2. 31 2.33 2. 34 2. 36 2. 38 2. 39 2. 38 2. 38 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 19612 1961: February March April May June July August. September October _ _ _ November December 1962: January 2 February March 2 1 2 $1.75 1. 86 1. 90 1. 99 2. 08 2. 19 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 49 2.45 2. 46 2. 47 2. 48 2. 49 2. 49 2. 48 2. 50 2. 51 2. 54 2. 55 2. 56 2. 55 2. 56 $1. 51 1. 58 1. 62 1. 67 1. 77 1. 85 1. 91 1. 98 2. 05 2. 11 2. 09 2. 09 2. 10 2. 11 2. 11 2. 12 2. 10 2. 12 2. 13 2. 14 2. 15 2. 16 2. 15 2. 15 $2. 13 2. 28 2. 39 2.45 2.57 2.71 2. 82 2. 93 3. 07 3. 19 3. 16 3. 14 3. 15 3. 16 3. 16 3. 16 3. 17 3. 22 3. 22 3. 24 3. 29 3. 33 3. 22 Not available. S264S 0 — 62 3 Manufacturing industries All $1. 18 $67. 16 70.47 1. 25 1. 29 70. 49 1. 34 75. 70 1. 40 78. 78 1. 47 81. 59 1. 52 82.71 1.57 88. 26 1. 62 89. 72 1. 68 92. 34 1. 65 89. 31 1. 65 89. 54 1. 67 90. 78 1. 68 92. 10 93.03 1. 69 1. 69 93. 20 1. 69 92. 86 92. 73 1. 70 1. 71 94. 54 1.71 95. 82 96. 63 1. 69 1. 72 94. 88 1. 72 95. 20 95. 91 Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer priceindex on a 1961 base. Preliminary. 1 Average weekly earnings— current prices NonDurable durable goods goods $72. 63 $59. 95 62. 57 76. 63 76. 19 63. 18 82. 19 66. 63 70. 09 85. 28 72. 52 88. 26 74. 11 89. 27 78.61 96. 05 80. 36 97. 44 82. 92 100. 10 96. 29 80. 47 80. 88 97. 17 81. 27 98. 31 82. 29 99.70 101. 09 83. 56 100. 35 84. 16 83. 58 100. 44 100. 00 83. 74 84. 77 102. 66 104. 39 85. 39 105. 32 85.57 84. 24 103. 17 103. 53 84. 28 104. 70 84. 93 Contract Retail constructrade tion $82. 86 86. 41 8& 91 90. 90 96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108. 41 112. 67 117.71 114. 08 112. 41 112. 77 116. 29 119. 13 119. 76 122. 05 120. 43 123. 00 118. 26 114. 82 111. 22 113. 02 $47. 79 49. 75 51.21 53. 06 54. 74 56. 89 58. 82 60. 76 62. 37 64.01 62.87 62.70 63. 46 63. 84 64. 90 65. 57 65. 23 64. 60 64. 64 64. 13 64.73 64. 84 64. 67 NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of I/abor. Average weekly earnings, all manufacturing industries,1 1961 prices $75. 63 78. 83 78. 50 84. 58 86. 67 86. 80 85. 62 90. 62 90. 72 92. 34 89. 58 89. 81 91. 05 92. 47 93. 22 93.01 92. 77 92. 36 94. 16 95. 44 96. 34 94. GO 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) increased almost 1 percent in March, bringing the total rise since the low of February 1961 to about 1 3M> percent. INDEX, 1957 = 100 ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 TOTAL INDEX, 1957=100 ( SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 140 120 130 110 120 100 110 90 100 150 UTILITIES AND MINING 80 90 I960 1961 1962 1962 1962 I9S9 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1952 _.. . . .. 1953 1954 1955 1956 ... , 1957 .. 1958 „-. ... _ _ 1959 1960 1961 !_ 1961: February March April May t ^ June July August September October November December 1962: JanuaryFebruary __ March l J Preliminary. 14 Industry Total industrial production Total 83. 8 90.8 85. 4 96. 0 99. 3 100. 0 92. 9 104. 9 108. 0 109.0 102. 1 102. 6 105. 6 108. 3 110. .4 112. 0 113. 0 111. 0 112. 8 114. 1 114. 8 113. 6 114. 8 115. 8 84. 8 92. 1 85. 8 96. 7 99. 5 100. 0 92. 4 105. 3 108. 2 108. 8 101. 3 101. 9 105.2 108. 2 110. 5 112. 2 113. 1 111. 0 112. 8 114. 2 115. 1 113. 7 115. 1 116. 0 Market Final products Manufacturing NonDurable durable Mining Utilities 83. 3 86. 9 86. 9 95. 0 98. 9 100. 0 99. 9 110. 3 113. 4 116.8 110. 8 111. 6 113. 9 115. 5 117. 4 119.0 120. 2 118. 9 121. 2 121. 4 121. 6 120. 5 121. 3 121. 9 86. 5 88. 8 86. 2 94. 8 100. 1 100. 0 91. 4 95. 3 97. 1 98.0 96. 3 96. 3 97. 4 97. 1 97. 6 97. 8 98. 8 97. 1 99. 5 100. 6 100. 9 99. 0 99. 1 99. 3 65. 2 71. 1 76. 5 85. 4 93. 6 100. 0 104. 5 115. 0 123. 1 131. 2 125. 1 124. 9 127. 1 130. 2 131. 2 131. 6 134. 5 135. 4 135. 8 135. 1 134.7 136. 6 137. 5 139. 5 85. 1 96. 0 85. 0 97.9 100. 0 100. 0 86. 8 101. 5 104. 3 102. 9 94. 3 94. 7 98. 7 102. 7 105. 3 107. 3 107. 9 105. 1 106. 7 108. 9 110. 2 108. 6 110. 5 111.7 Total 85. 2 90. 7 86. 5 94. 6 98. 9 100. 0 95. 1 106. 5 110. 6 111. 9 106. 6 106. 7 109. 2 110. 8 112. 7 114. 3 114. 7 112. 9 115. 4 116.9 117.8 116. 2 117. 1 118. 2 Consumer goods 82. 5 88. 1 87. 2 96. 5 98.7 100. 0 99. 0 110. 0 114. 4 116.2 110. 2 110. 6 113. 7 115. 4 117. 8 119. 5 119. 8 116. 4 119. 3 120. 7 121. 9 120. 5 120. 6 121. 6 Equipment 90. 0 96. 1 85. 0 90. 9 99. 1 100. 0 87. 3 99. 5 102. 9 103. 5 99. 5 99. 0 100. 1 101. 6 102. 4 103.9 104. 7 105. 9 107. 4 109. 4 109.7 107.7 110. 1 111. 6 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. Mate' rials 82. 7 90. 8 84. 4 97.1 99.7 100. 0 91. 0 103. 5 105. 7 106. 4 98. 2 99. 1 102. 9 106. 2 108.7 109. 5 111.2 109. 2 110. 7 111. 2 112. 1 111.4 112.9 113. 7 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES In March, output of most manufactures (seasonally adjusted) increased or was maintained at February levels. The largest increases were registered among durable goods industries, particularly the machinery, transportation, and furniture groups. INDEX, 1957 = 100 [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) INDEX, I95r=l00 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 100 120 1959 I I960 I 1961 1962 1961 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC A.DVISE (SOURCE; BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1952 1953 --_ .. 1954 1955 . .. 1956 -- _ ... 1957 1958 ... 1959 1960 1961'.-1961: February March April May June July August September October November December 1962: January February March ' 1 1 Preliminary. Not available. Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Primary cated Machin- tation and apparel, metals ery metal equipprodand products ucts leather ment _ . _ ._ 88. 5 100. 3 81. 3 105. 5 103.7 100. 0 78. 0 89. 5 90. 3 88. 2 72. 6 73. 5 82.0 89. 9 92. 3 94. 6 98.2 98. 7 95.9 96. 2 99. 0 100. 5 105. 6 106 87.8 98. 8 88.8 96. 9 97. 4 100. 0 91. 6 103. 9 106.0 104. 9 95. 7 96. 3 98. 6 104. 8 107. 3 108. 1 111. 0 105. 3 109. 8 111. 8 112. 2 111. 5 113. 0 113 88. 4 96. 4 84.3 92. 6 102. S 100. 0 85. 2 102. 8 106. 4 106. 1 100. 8 100. 5 102. 9 104.3 107. 3 110. 2 108. 5 107. 8 108. 4 109. 8 112. 2 111. 4 112. 8 115 68. 6 86. 2 78.7 95. 9 91. 5 100. 0 84. 2 97. 8 101. 7 97. 3 87. 6 88. 1 94.0 99. 0 100. 6 102. 2 102. 7 94. 5 100. 5 106. 0 107. 7 103. 5 104. 5 106 100. 9 106. 7 103. 9 114. 2 109. 9 100. 0 99. 7 113. 1 106. 5 105. 2 99. 2 99. 8 105.7 106. 6 110. 6 111. 2 108. 8 107.4 103. 4 104. 7 106. 9 101.4 106. 1 (2) 92. 2 93. 6 89. 6 98. 4 101. 1 100. 0 99. 2 115. 2 114. 8 115. 6 107. 4 110. 2 111. 8 113. 3 115. 7 118. 2 120.3 118. 1 121.7 121. 6 122. 9 119. 6 120. 4 122 Paper Chemicals, Foods, and petrobeverprint- leum, and ages, and rubber tobacco ing 79. 4 84. 5 86.9 94. 6 99. 3 100. 0 99. 2 107. 6 111. 5 114. 9 111. 4 111. 2 113. 1 113. 6 114. 9 114. 8 117. 8 117. 1 117. 4 118.0 118. 7 118. 0 119. 3 120 74.5 80. 2 79.3 91. 8 96. 3 100. 0 98. 8 112. 7 117.7 122. 6 113. 4 113. 3 118. 0 121. 7 124. 6 127. 4 127. 3 125. 7 128. 4 128. 8 129. 6 128.0 128. 9 129 90. 2 91. 2 92. 8 96. 2 99.8 100. 0 102. 1 106. 5 109. 4 113. 2 110. 1 111. 2 111. 9 112. 1 113. 1 113. 9 114. 2 113. 8 116. 1 116. 1 114. 6 115.3 115. 5 116 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 15 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Cars and trucks assembled, freight loaded, and paperboard produced were higher in March than in February. Steel produced and electric power distributed were down about 2 percent in March. MILLIONS MltUONS OF TONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY A V E R A G E ) BITUMINOUS COAL 119621 • I960 i jjt ./— -4 196, I I 1 I I 1 i I 1 I I I I I t I I I I I t 1 I I I I3i I I I \ 1 I I t I I M I 1 I I I J F M A M J J A S O BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS 19 SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Period Weeklv average: 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 2 1961 -1961: February. -_ March April May, June. JulyAugust September October November December 1962: January-- .. February March 2 Week ended: 1962: March 10 17 24 31 2 April 7 14J3___ 1 3 1 Daily average. Preliminary, Not charted. 16 Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Cars and trucks Steel produced power coal mined loaded produced assembled (thousands) Index distributed (thousands (thousands Thousands' (thousands of net (1957-59 = (millions of of short of cars) Total Cars Trucks of tons) tons kilowatt-hours) tons) ' 100) 2, 204 2, 162 1, 635 1, 792 J, 899 1,880 1,560 1, 600 1, 768 2,027 1,993 1,831 1,955 2,083 2,071 2, 039 2, 165 2,337 2,425 2, 388 118. 3 116. 0 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 100. 9 83. 7 85. 9 94. 9 108. 8 107. 0 98.3 104. 9 111. 8 111. 2 109.4 116. 2 125.4 130. 1 128.2 11, 292 11, 873 ] 2, 076 13, 206 3 4, 685 15, 139 14, 854 14, 473 14, 295 14, 223 15, 100 15, 274 15, 917 15, 518 15, 146 15, 576 16, 287 16, 592 16, 340 15, 998 1, 693 1, 644 1,380 1,380 1,390 1,343 1, 222 1, 104 3, 212 1, 309 1, 447 1,292 1, 392 1,408 1,501 1, 525 1, 392 1,447 1,333 1, 328 728 683 581 596 .585 550 489 501 527 555 582 543 593 588 645 577 509 518 530 548 274 272 275 307 306 320 303 319 316 320 333 268 334 327 353 341 314 305 348 357 132. 8 138. 6 98. 4 129.5 151. 8 127.8 113. 2 109. 9 135. 8 141.0 153.1 118. 8 60. 3 103. 3 146. 2 174. 4 171. 2 159. 5 158. 5 161. 3 111. 6 117. 6 81. 6 107.6 128. 7 106. 1 91. 4 88. 7 111. 7 118. 4 127. 5 97.7 44. 6 83.8 125. 1 149. 7 145.4 136. 7 134. 0 136. 9 21.2 21. 0 16. 8 21. 9 23. 1 21. 7 21. 9 21. 1 24. 1 22. 6 25. 5 21. 1 15. 7 19. 6 21. 0 24, 7 25. 7 22. 8 24. 5 24. 4 2, 367 2,387 2, 394 2, 417 2,361 2, 244 ' 127. 1 128. 1 128. 5 129. 7 126. 7 120. 5 16, 418 16, 142 15, 879 15, 552 15, 569 1,313 1,369 1,372 1,373 1, 379 3 1, 337 526 545 556 565 548 350 358 354 366 351 157. 2 160. 4 165. 2 162. 4 3 168. 5 168. 2 133. 2 135. 6 140. 4 138. 4 144. 9 142. 5 24. 1 24. 9 24. 7 23. 9 23. 5 25. 6 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION Outlays for new construction (seasonally adjusted) were about the same in March as in February. A small rise in "other" private construction was offset by a decrease in the public area. Construction contracts rose 31/2 percent in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL BATES TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM w 01 , I956 I957 , , -i , I , , I958 , , I L. i i i i i I t i i i i I959 1 I960 . i i i i I i i i - i 1961 1962 *SEE NOTE 3.IN TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, Private Period 1957 . ^ _ . _ ... 1958 1959 1959 (ne"\v series) 3 1960 _ .. 19G1 Total new construction expenditures 47. 8 49. 0 54. 1 56. 6 55. 6 57. 4 Total 33. 8 33. 5 38. 0 40. 3 39. C 40. 4 Pt,esidentia (nonfarm) Commercial and industrial Billions of dollars 17. 0 7. 1 18. 0 6. 0 22. 3 6. 0 25. 0 6. 0 22. 5 7. 0 22. 5 7. 4 Other Construction contracts 1 Commervalue, cial and inFederal, Total 48 States dustrial State, and (index, floor space local 1957-59 = (millions 100) of square feet) 2 9. 6 9. 5 9. 7 9. 3 10. 0 10. 4 14. 1 15. 5 16. 1 16. 2 16. 0 17. 0 10. 1 10. 3 10. 4 10. 6 10. 8 10. 8 10. 7 10. G 10. 5 10. 4 10. 3 10. 4 10. 4 10. 6 17. 8 17. 3 16. 5 16. 3 16. 9 15. 9 10. 7 17. 2 17. 1 19. 0 17.0 17. 9 16. 8 16. 4 Seasonally adjusted annual rales 1961- February March April May June _ July .. .. . August . September October _ .. November December _ _ 1962: January February March 4 1 Compiled by F. \V. ! Relates to 48 States 3 55. 7 55. 8 55. 5 55. 5 57. 2 57. 0 58. 0 £8. 9 58. 9 61. 0 58. 9 59.0 56. 7 50. 6 38. 0 38. 5 39. 0 39. 2 40. 3 41.2 41. 3 41. 7 41. 8 42. 0 41. 9 41. 1 39. 9 40. 2 20. 0 20. 5 21. 0 21. 3 22. 3 23. 1 23. 3 23. 8 24. 0 24. 5 24. 4 23. 2 22. 2 22. 1 Doclt-e Corporation. beginning 1956 and to 37 Eastern States prior to 1956. In addition to major differences between old and new series, data for Alaska and Hawaii are included beginning January 1959. 7. 8 7. 7 7. 6 7. 4 7. 3 7.2 7. 2 7. 3 7. 3 7. 2 7. 2 7.5 7. 3 7. 4 421 359 440 440 461 443 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 443 95 104 458 421 103 102 431 111 448 110 428 116 477 103 460 401 114 507 116 119 498 115 453 119 537 93. 101. 105. 105. 105. 107. 2 7 1 1 2 6 'Preliminary. NOTE.—Total value index has been converted to the base 1957-59=100. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Corporation. 17 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housing starts increased sharply in March to an annual rate of 1,409,000 units (seasonally adjusted). applications and VA appraisal requests also increased. FHA MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED NEW SERIES PRIVATE NONFARM HOUSING STARTS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION { F H A ) , AND V E T E R A N S ADMINISTRATION (VA). .t'QUNal OF K~Ot46MIC ADVISERS. [Thousands of units] Total housing starts (farm and nonfarm) Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 ... ... .. . * 1959 1960 1961 1961: February. March April May. ... June.. . July August . September October. November 4 December 1962: January 4 February *_ __ March 4 Total private and public Private Total private and public Total Private Government programs FHA VA Old series 1, 328. 9 1, 309. 5 (22) 1, 118. 1 1, 093. 9 (2 ) 1, 041. 9 992. 8 ( 2) 1, 209. 4 1, 141. 5 (2 ) 1, 378. 5 1, 342. 8 () New series 3 1, 553. 5 1, 516. 8 1, 531. 3 1, 494. 6 1, 296. 0 1,252. 1 1, 274. 0 1, 230. 1 1, 355. 4 1, 303. 7 1, 327. 2 1, 275. 5 81. 0 75. 8 77. 7 72. 5 104. 6 102. 2 107. 3 109. 7 115. 3 108. 7 113. 0 111. 0 126. 6 128. 3 130. 7 124. 2 132. 4 135. 3 129. 5 138. 3 128. 5 125. 2 126. 0 122. 7 130. 1 127. 0 127. 4 124. 2 122. 4 126. 5 120. 7 128. 2 126. 4 124. 0 121. 5 128. 9 102. 5 103. 8 105. 5 100. 8 82. 4 84. 5 86. 7 80. 2 80. 6 83. 0 81. 7 79. 3 77. 4 75. 9 76. 3 74. 8 114. 0 115. 7 113. 9 112. 2 (2) (22) ( 2) () (2) : represented by mortgage applications lor new home construction. 'Starts, C 20-11 (Supplement), Bureau ol the Census, May 19CO, (Data lor Alaska and Hawaii included.) Private housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rates Nonfarm housing starts 1 276. 7 189. 3 168. 4 295. 4 332. 5 392. 9 270. 7 128.3 102. 1 109. 3 332.5 260. 9 244. 3 13. 0 20. 1 20. 1 23. 7 22. 1 21. 3 25. 5 20. 9 23. 4 22. 9 17. 3 18. 5 15. 5 20. 7 109. 3 74. 6 83. 3 4. 9 6. 4 6. 1 8. 0 7. 8 7. 3 8. 4 7. 3 9. 2 7. 3 5. 7 4. 0 5. 0 6. 1 Total farm and Nonfarm nonfarm New series 3 j 1, 169 1, 896 1, 166 1, 291 1, 381 1, 343 1, 326 1, 383 1,434 1, 351 1, 297 1, S73 1,149 1,409 1, 115 1 262 i, 143 1, 268 1, 351 1, 318 1,301 1, 365 1,404 1, 328 1, 267 1, H 47 1,131 1,383 Proposed home construction Applications for FHA commitments ' Requests for VA appraisals 1 306. 2 197. 7 198. 8 341. 7 369. 7 620. 8 401. 5 159. 4 234. 2 234. 0 369. 7 242. 4 243. 8 16. 9 24. 0 20. 8 23. 9 23. 4 20. 6 24. 4 19. 6 22. 1 17. 4 16. 4 14. 5 18. 7 24. 6 234. 0 142. 9 177. 8 12. 0 17. 7 17.5 14.7 17. 6 15. 1 17. 4 15. 7 16. 1 13. 5 11.0 12. 9 12. 0 19. 0 Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), .nd Veterans Administration (VA). TRADE SALES AND INVENTORIES Retail trade sales (seasonally adjusted) rose in February while sales declined at wholesale levels. Inventories showed little change. According to preliminary estimates, retail sales increased to $19.3 billion in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * 14 _ BILLIONS OF DOLLARS » RETAIL TRADE 1 16 _ WHOLESALE TRADE _ DURABLE GOODS STORES /> * 10 INVENTORIES ^i****^ >*—n«k. __«*T™" /* v^-™^ ^-^^ - J NVENTOR1ES 12 ^~~^r.~~-^»*™**^*~*~' +**/**•**/*' y ^Z^^f " ~*~--\ •s v - SALES SALES e ,. 8 „ ^ | J J .!4 ^ NONDURABt E I GOODS STO 16 i ,.,,,. ^ .,,,,1,1,1, , , , , , , ,,,,, j - , , , , ,1 INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 * DEPARTMENT STORES ^ES INVENTORIES INVE NTORIES jpt*** M*« 160 2^^^" -X^"^"" ^*s*~^ SALES 1nt, , 1 140 ^/"'^/~" ~^M— \ 12 ^^^S^^--^^^ ve^^f ^^<.+- xx, / £ XSALES - - 120 - n r, , , , i 1 , , 1 I , 1959 1 i, 1 I960 , , , ! , , , , , i , , , , , | , i, , ,^ , ion 1962 1961 1959 I960 1961 i 1962 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNOR'S OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Wholesale Bales ' 3 Period Sales ' Inventories 2 Total COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Department stores Retail Inventories 2 NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1954 - 1955 1956 - 1957 1958 1959 i 000 1961 .-- -. 1961: January Febriuirv „ March April May June July Aaifust September October _ November-- _ December 1962- January 6 6 February March 6 1 9. 7 10. 6 11. 3 11. 3 11. 1 12. 3 12 3 12. 6 12. 2 12. 4 12. 5 12. 1 12. 8 12. 8 12. 5 12. 8 12. ] 12. 9 13. 1 12. 7 13. 1 12. 8 10. 4 11. 4 13. 0 12. 7 12. 0 12. 6 1 3. 2 13. 5 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13. 4 13. 5 13. 5 13. 6 13. 6 13. 5 13. 4 13. 3 13. 5 13. 6 13. 0 14. 1 15. 3 15. 8 16. 7 16. 7 18. 0 1 8. 3 18. 2 ]7. 8 17. 8 18. 1 17. 9 18. 0 18. 2 18. 0 18. 2 18. ] 18. 6 19. 1 18. 8 18. 8 19. 1 19. 3 Monthly average lor year and total for month. -Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 rofrinninp January I960, data include Aiaska and Hawaii. 4 End of period, except nnnna] data, which Eire monthly averages. 4. 8 5. 6 5. 5 5. 7 5. 3 6. 0 5. 9 5. 0 5. 4 5. 3 5. 5 5. 4 5. 5 5. 6 5. 5 5. 5 5. 6 5. 9 6. 2 5. 9 5. 9 6. 0 6. 2 9. 2 9.7 10. 3 11. 0 11. 4 12. 0 12. 4 12. 6 12. 4 12. 4 12. 6 12.5 12. 4 12. 6 12. 5 12. 7 12. 5 12. 7 12. 9 12. 9 12. 9 13. 1 13. 1 20. 9 22. 8 23. 4 24. 6 24. 3 25. 5 27. 2 26. 9 26. 8 26. 6 26. 1 26 2 26.2 26. 2 26. 3 26. 0 26. 3 26. 4 26. 8 26. 9 26. 9 23. 9 9.3 10. 5 10, 5 11, 4 10. 7 11. 3 12. 3 11. 5 11. 9 11. 7 11. 4 11. 2 11.3 11. 4 11. 5 11. 0 11. 3 11. 3 11. 4 11.5 11. 5 11. 5 11.7 12. 2 12. 9 13. 2 13. 6 14. 3 14. 9 15. 3 14. 9 14. 9 14. 7 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 14. 9 15. 0 15. 1 15. 1 15. 3 15. 3 15. 3 15. 4 Sales ' Inventories 4 Index, 194 seasonally adjusted 5 128 118 136 128 148 135 152 135 136 148 144 156 146 165 166 149 162 1 42 161 145 161 146 162 148 164 144 163 149 1 (Hi . 151 Jf>9 150 170 150 170 151 172 153 156 172 172 M9 1 50 171 i r.s "Based on retail value. 'Preliminary. Sources: I ) < > p ; i r f m r n f of Reserve System. 19 MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' sales (seasonally adjusted) rose by 2 percent in February and inventories by 1 percent, or $500 million; new orders were unchanged. Preliminary data indicate that new orders for durable soods dropped again in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 4O MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES MANUFACTURERS' SALES NONDURABLE SOODS \ 40 -7 DURABLE GOODS 1 iii i i i Ii DURABLE SOODS \ ^ 20 ^-MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS. NONDURABLE SOODS NONDURABLE GOODS X DURABLE GOODS 1959 I I960 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Manufacturers' sales ' Period 1954 1955, 1956. 1957 1958 1959. 1960_ 1961 _ Total _ 1961: January February March April May June July ... August. September ( )ctober November i h'cember 1962: J ; u i t i : i r y 3 3 I'Vbrunrv M n r c h :l '< _ ___ NonDurable durable goods goods 23. 5 26. 3 27. 7 28. 4 26. 2 29. 7 30. 4 30. 7 28. 7 29. 0 29. 6 30. 1 30. 7 30. 8 31. 1 31. 4 31. 4 31. 8 32. 2 32. 4 32. 1 32. 8 m<l iota! for month. •'•nconaily adjusted. 20 11. 2 13. 1 13. 8 14. 2 12. 4 14. 5 34. 7 14. 5 13. 2 13. 3 13. 7 14. 1 14. 6 14.7 14. 8 15. 0 15. 0 15. 3 15. 6 15. 7 15. 6 15.9 16. 1 12. 3 13. 3 13. 9 14. 2 13. 8 15. 2 1 5. 7 16. 2 15. 5 15. 7 15. 9 16. 0 16. 2 16. 2 16. 3 16. 3 16. 4 16. 5 16. 6 16. 7 16. 5 16. 9 Manufacturers' inventories 2 NonDurable durable goods goods Total 24. 1 26. 7 30. 7 31. 1 27. 9 30. 1 30. 9 31. 5 30. 8 30. 6 30. 3 30. 2 30. 2 30. 2 30. 4 30. 8 31. 1 31. 4 31. 5 31. 5 31. 9 32. 2 43. 0 46. 4 52. 3 53. 5 49. 2 52. 4 S3. 7 55. 2 53.7 53. 6 53. 3 53. 4 53. 4 53. 4 53. 6 54. 0 54. 4 54. 8 55. 0 55. 2 55.7 56. 2 3 18. 9 19. 7 21. 6 22. 4 21. 3 22. 3 22 9 23. 7 22 9 23.0 23. 0 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 3 23. 4 23. 5 23. 7 23. 8 24. 0 Manufacturers' new orders 1 Total 22. 5 27. 2 28. 3 27. 3 25. 9 30. 1 29. 9 31. 0 28. 5 29. 1 29. 8 30. 4 31. 0 31. 0 31. 3 32. 1 32. 2 32. 6 32. 7 32. 8 33. 0 33. 0 Preliminary. Source: Department of Commerce. Durable goods NonMachinery durable and goods Total equipment 10. 2 3. 1 12. 3 4. 2 13. 9 13. 3 14. 4 4. 7 13. 9 4. 4 13. 1 14. 2 12. 0 3. 9 13. 9 14. 9 5. 0 15. 3 34. 3 4. 9 13. 7 14. 7 5. 2 16. 2 4,8 12. 9 15. 6 13. 4 4.8 15. 8 13. 8 5. 1 16. 0 14. 4 5.0 16. 0 14,8 5.2 16. 2 5. 3 14. 9 16. 2 5. 3 15. 0 16. 3 15. 6 5. 6 16. 5 15.7 5. 5 16. 5 16. 1 5. 6 16. 6 16. 1 5.8 16. 6 16. 2 5. 5 16. 6 16. 5 5.8 16. 5 16. 1 5. 6 16. 9 15. 5 5.5 4 Not charted. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS In February, exports (seasonally adjusted) rose sharply and imports fell slishtly, raisins the trade surplus to $514 million, the highest since March 1961. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS E.5 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS I 2.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING MUTUAL SECURITY PROGRAM SHIPMENTS GENERAL IMPORTS I9S8 I960 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT dp COMMERCE, AND DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Period [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports excluding Merchandise imports Mutual Security Program shipments General imTotal (includ-1 Imports for consumption3 Domestic exports ports2 ing reexports) Indus- Finished Indus- Finished Season- Unadmanu- Season- Unad- Total Food- trial manuFood- trial Total ' ally adally ad- justed facstuffs matefacstuffs matejusted rials tures rials tures * justed justed Monthly average: 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: January February _ March ApriL May June July AugustSeptember October _ _ November December 1962: January February COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1, 022 1,071 1, 191 1,444 1, 625 1,364 1, 366 1, 633 1, 672 1,646 1, 7S6 1, 711 1, 658 1,577 1,595 1, 668 1, 660 1, 688 1, 773 1, 716 1, 719 1,660 1, 888 1, 536 1, 606 1, 888 1, 648 1,676 1, 644 1, 558 1, 598 ] , 556 1, 817 1,759 1, 777 1, 592 ], 690 254 1,012 143 310 131 1,060 162 1, 180 351 216 441 1,432 529 1, 610 208 198 368 1, 350 210 365 1, 351 1, 617 230 510 254 486 1, 652 Unadjusted 221 494 1, 510 492 1, 593 245 1,857 283 525 242 454 1, 630 474 262 1, 658 239 457 1, 623 446 231 1, 538 226 493 1, 578 225 453 1, 540 309 522 1, 794 1, 740 288 513 284 513 1, 758 254 415 1, 567 1, 669 906 851 949 1,051 1,082 1,070 1, 267 1, 252 1, 227 614 620 667 775 872 784 776 877 911 795 856 1, 051 933 917 927 862 860 862 963 940 961 898 1, 151 1, 146 1, 158 1, 159 1, 155 1, 177 1,366 1, 261 1,280 1,SSS 1, Sll 1, 296 1, 320 1, 314 1, 150 I , 068 1, 255 1, 063 1, 223 1, 232 1, 285 1, 252 1, 197 1, 364 1, 342 1, 295 1, 373 1, 224 898 274 853 276 945 260 1,043 267 1,079 274 1,062 287 1,249 285 1, 251 274 1,220 277 Unadjusted 1,140 259 250 1, 058 1,260 311 251 1, 067 264 1, 217 287 1, 201 1, 259 275 285 1, 267 266 1, 196 301 1, 359 295 1, 337 280 1,273 285 1,354 263 1, 208 441 394 468 508 511 450 534 513 520 183 183 217 268 294 325 431 438 423 500 462 502 428 497 492 511 511 495 555 541 548 602 519 381 346 422 367 427 410 455 454 415 479 479 445 467 416 NOTE.—Btocause of revisions being made in series, subgroups do not necessarily Include all ddata reflected in totals. Sources: Department o. Commerce and Department of Defense. Q-I U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Despite a substantial increase in net exports of goods and services in the fourth quarter, the over-all deficit, as measured by U.S. sold sales and increases in foreign dollar assets, rose $2.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Subscriptions to international organizations were an important factor in the increase. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * •40 U.S. PAYMENTS U.S. PAYMENTS 30 U.S. RECEIPTS IMPORTS OF GOODS : AND SERVICES 40 U.S. RECEIPTS TOTAL — EXCESS OF RECEIPTS PH 3 1 > ^ 1 < < ^**^ '„ * 1 * < ' | EXPORTS OF GOODS ; > flND SERVICES 1. ,,*• -10 — EXCESS OF PAYMENTS - i i i i O SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. * INCLUDES UNRECORDED TRANSACTIONS^ SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. 0 ^ | 1961 ^ "i > 1 t 1958 1 S " -,,,',- '\ 5 ) "- - ,...,•„„ , - ~ . - . , " " • ; . i K;l i I 1959 i -J 't 1 ) r 1* t v i I960 -S LIQUID DOLLAR ASSET S. 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] U.S. receipts (recorded) U.S. payments (recorded) Balance on rePeriod Exports of goods and services Foreign capital other than liquid dollar assets U.S. grants and capital (net) Imports U.S. goods Government grants of and Total * services 1954 1955 1956 1 957 1 958 1959 1 960 1901 17, 949 20, 003 23, 705 26, 733 23, 325 23, 709 27, 300 28, 316 210 351 576 428 -27 709 200 577 Private capital [net payor receipts and (net) corded transactions Direct Total ( + )] capital 16, 088 17, 937 19, 829 20, 923 21, 053 23, 537 23, 327 23, 079 2 3, 788 4, 007 6,017 6, 451 6, 153 5, 152 7, 454 7, 652 2 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 554 211 362 574 587 986 750 831 1, 1, ?, 3, 2, 619 211 990 175 844 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2,375 3, 856 3, 951 1 717 — 1, 590 -1, 565 213 664 779 859 058 094 372 694 601 Unrecorded transactions — errors and omissions (net receipts) the U.S. -1, 838 167 446 643 748 380 528 — 648 -616 -3, 600 -4, 428 — 1, 160 2, 484 -3, 544 — 5, 132 -848 - 1, 308 -216 — 1, 860 436 -824 -3,908 -4, 271 -3,281 Increase in foreign gold and recorded liquid dollar assets through transactions with 1, 550 1, 144 922 -535 3, 528 3,743 3,929 2, 454 Seasonally adjusted annual rates I960: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1901; First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Ury !• ' Inn 174 mil ' Inrl 27, 28, 28, 27, 27, 29, 416 212 500 520 940 304 68 — 364 796 1, 100 28 384 23, 496 22, 016 21, 972 22, 156 23, 868 24, 320 7, 588 10, 260 8, 484 3, 980 7, 644 10, 500 ; rcmittiinces and pensions not shown separately. ,** U.'tV.'i inillion increase in U.S. subscription to International Mone• r.S. subscription to International Development Association of ($?tMi million nt annual rate). ; Hnplt 1 direct investment transaction of $370 million ($1,480 million 22 3 2, 420 3, 472 3, 480 -100 3, 752 4, 192 4 4, 340 5, 868 4, 156 3, 204 3, 020 5, 424 4 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 624 736 000 232 880 292 34 4, 448 5, 736 1, 376 5 -624 6 3, 108 7 5, 956 3 4 fi Includes advance debt repayment and interest payments on U.S. Government loans of $774 million ($3.1 billion at annual rate). 6 Before adjustment for receipts ol -principal and interest on government loans paid in the previous quarter. ? Includes over $400 million ($1.7 billion at annual rate) of subscriptions to international organizations and other special capital outflows. NOTE.—Data exclude goods and services transferred under military grants. Source: Department of Commerce. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Consumer prices rose in February, led by a 0.6 percent rise in food prices. Prices of other nondurable commodities aiso rose while those for durables remained stable. Services continued their upward price trend. INDEX, 1957-59 = 100 I N D E X , 1957-59 = 100 105 90 1956 1957 1959 1958 1961 I960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. All items Period 1951 1952 1953 .__ 1954 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1955 _ 1956 _ 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 . 1961: January February . March April -. _ _ _ xiM.a,j Mav - _ _- _- June July. _. -_ August _ September October November December _ 1962: January _ _ February _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 90. 5 92. 5 93.2 93. 6 93. 3 94. 7 98. 0 100. 7 101. 5 103. 1 104. 2 103.8 103. 9 103. 9 103. 9 103. 8 104 0 104 4 104.3 104 6 104 6 104 6 104 5 104 5 104.8 [1957-59=100] Commodities Services Commodities less food Services All comAll Food less Nonmodities services Rent Durable durable All rent 95. 5 96. 7 96. 4 95. 4 94 4 95. 3 98. 4 100. 7 101. 0 101. 7 102. 4 102.2 102.3 102.2 102. 1 101. 9 102. 2 102. 8 102. 5 102. 8 102. 9 102. 6 102. 4 102.3 102.7 NOTE.—Series has been converted to the standard reference base 1957-59=100. 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 95. 4 97. 1 95. 6 95. 4 94 0 94 7 97. 8 101. 9 100. 3 101. 4 102. 6 102. 8 102. 9 102.7 102. 7 102. 3 102. 5 103. 4 102. 7 102. 6 102. 5 101. 9 102. 0 102. 5 103. 1 95.9 96. 7 96. 8 95. 6 94 6 95. 9 98. 9 99. 8 101. 3 101. 8 102. 1 101.6 101.7 101. 6 101. 4 101. 5 101. 8 102. 1 102. 2 102. 6 103.0 102. 9 102. 6 102. 0 102. 2 101. 4 102. 7 101. 6 97. 7 94 9 94 9 98. 2 99. 7 102. 0 100. 7 100. 5 99.5 99.5 99. 2 99. 9 100. 0 100. 4 100. 6 101. 0 101.0 101.7 101. 6 101. 1 100. 8 100. 8 92.7 93.2 94.0 94 4 94 4 96. 5 99. 1 99. 8 101. 0 102. 6 103. 2 102. 9 103. 0 103. 1 102. 5 102. 5 102. 7 103. 0 103. 1 103. 8 103.8 103. 8 103. 6 102. 9 103. 3 Source: Department of Labor. 80. 4 84 0 87. 5 89. 8 91. 4 93. 4 97.0 100. 3 102. 7 105. 6 107. 6 106. 8 107.0 107.2 107. 3 107. 4 107. 5 107. 6 107.7 107. 9 108.0 108. 2 108. 5 108. 7 108.9 82. 3 85. 7 90.3 93. 5 94. 8 96. 5 98.3 100. 1 101. 6 103. 1 104 4 103. 9 104 1 104 1 1042 104 3 104 4 104 4 104 4 104 7 104 8 104 9 105. 0 105. 1 105. 2 80. 0 83. 8 87. 0 89. 1 90. 8 92. 8 96. 7 100.3 102.9 106. 1 108. 3 107. 5 107. 6 107.9 108.0 108. 1 108.2 108.3 108. 4 108. 6 108.7 108.9 109. 1 109. 3 109. 5 23 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices were stable on the average in March, with prices of industrial products and processed foods down slightly from February levels, and farm product prices continuing their upward trend. INDEX,1957-59 = 100 INDEX, 1957-59 = 100 COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS} SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Period 1954 _ 1955 1956 1957 1958 _ ._ 1959_- _ _ I960.... 1961 3. . 1961: February March April May June July August . September _. _ October. . . _ November. _ _ _ December 1 902: January . February March 3 Week ended: 4 1902: April 3 10.. _ _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commodities 92. 9 93. 2 96. 2 99. 0 100. 4 100. 6 100. 7 100. 3 101. 0 101. 0 100. 5 100. 0 99. 5 99. 9 100. 1 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 4 100. 8 100. 7 100. 7 100. 6 100. 6 [1957-59=100] Commodities other than farm products and foods (industrials) Consumer finIndusIndusFarm Procished goods extrial in- ProducAll intrial prodessed er fincluding food dustricrude termediucts foods ished Durmate- ate maNonals1 2 goods terials rials able durable 104. 4 97. 6 91. 8 88. 0 89. 8 83. 1 95. 3 90. 4 85. 6 97. 9 94. 3 92. 4 96. 6 92.5 92.8 95. 8 102. 3 92. 0 95. 9 97.7 96. 6 94. 3 97. 0 96. 5 97. 7 98. 7 99. 2 97. 9 99. 2 100. 9 99. 6 99. 9 102. 9 100. 2 100. 1 96. 9 99. 4 99. 3 103. 6 99. 5 102. 1 102. 3 101. 0 101. 3 100. 8 97. 2 99. 2 101. 3 102. 3 99. 9 98. 3 101. 4 100. 9 101. 5 96. 9 101. 3 102. 5 100. 6 97. 2 100. 1 100. 5 96. 0 100. 8 101. 5 102. 5 102. 4 102. 5 95. 5 100. 6 100. 6 98. 3 101. 2 102. 5 100. 5 101. 6 96. 5 100. 6 102. 2 98. 1 101. 2 102. 4 100. 5 96. 5 100. 5 96. 6 100. 8 101. 1 101. 5 102. 4 100. 5 94. 8 96. 5 100. 0 99. 7 100. 9 100. 8 102. 5 92. 9 96. 8 100, 6 99. 9 101. 2 98. 9 100. 6 102. 5 97. 5 100. 6 95. 1 99. 8 101. 2 99. 7 100. 6 102. 5 98. 7 96. 7 99. 7 100. 5 101. 3 100. 2 100. 6 102. 5 99. 2 99. 9 100. 5 101. 2 95. 2 100. 2 100. 7 102. 6 95. 1 99. 7 99. 8 100. 3 100. 4 100. 5 101. 2 102. 7 97. 2 99. 8 100. 4 101. 4 95. 6 100. 1 100. 7 102. 7 97. 2 99. 9 100. 3 95. 9 100. 9 100. 9 101. 8 102. 8 100. 0 100. 2 102. 0 97. 9 101. 0 98. 5 101. 8 102. 8 98.2 100. 1 101. 7 98. 2 99. 9 100. 8 101. 8 102. 8 97. 1 100. 0 100. 0 98. 5 101. 4 101. 3 100. 7 97. 6 98. 0 jjlij, f rojj})s (Jor.s j}Qi, correspond exactly to coverage of this .rludrs l i i ! r n i i r d i : i ! i ' innlerinl: for food injinufncturinfj and manufactured iJ f i - i - d ; ; ; JucJudr. 1 ;, in pnr!, ri'mr. products for further processing, i-llmliiiirv. 24 100. 5 100. 3 1 5 101. 0 100. 9 (55) () (55) () (5) (6) (55) () (5) (s) Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. Not available. NOTE.—Feries has been converted to the standard reference base 1957-59=:i00. Source: Department of Labor. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended March 15, the index of prices received by farmers rose slightly. remained unchanged and the parity ratio remained at 80. The index of prices paid INDEX, I9IO-I4 = IOO INDEX, 1910-14 = 1 325 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 250 225 — ^ f - 200 I i i i i i I i i i i RATIO •*/ too PARITY RATIO 1956 1 (957 i 1958 1959 I -^RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by farmers Period All farm products 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958. 1959_ 1960 1961 _____ _ 1961: February 15 March 15 April 15 Mav 15 June 15 July 15 August 15 September 15 October 1 5 November 15 December 15 1962: January 15-.. _ _ February 15__ March 15 . _ _ _ _ __ Crops 288 255 246 232 230 235 250 240 238 240 244 243 239 236 234 237 241 242 240 238 240 242 243 244 'Percentage ratio of imlex of prices received by farmers to index of prices paidInterest- taxes, and \vapc rates. 267 240 242 231 235 225 223 221 221 226 221 224 226 230 231 232 229 229 226 223 224 224 227 233 Prices paid by farmers All items, Livestock interest, Family Productaxes, and and living tion wage rates products items items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 306 268 249 234 226 244 273 256 253 251 263 259 251 241 236 241 251 252 252 250 255 256 257 254 287 277 277 276 278 286 293 297 299 301 302 302 302 302 300 300 301 301 301 301 302 304 305 :i()5 271 269 270 270 274 282 287 288 290 291 292 290 290 291 290 290 290 291 291 291 292 293 291 2<l-l Parity1 ratio 274 256 255 251 250 257 264 266 265 266 267 269 267 266 265 264 265 266 205 265 267 100 92 89 84 83 82 85 81 80 80 81 80 79 78 78 79 80 SO .SO 7'.t 7!l 2(iS lit IS SO '.!ii9 so so 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MOUKY SUPPLY The money supply declined slightly less than seasonally in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 IGO 120 100 |— 1957 1956 1958 1959 ! I960 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars) Money supply Seasonally adjusted Unadjusted Currency Currency Demand Demand Total outside Total outside deposits ' deposits ' banks banks Period 1953: 1954: 1955: ]95(i: 957: :>58: 959: 9(>0: 9(>1: J9(iJ: December DecemberDecemberDecember December December December December December March April May .]iine__ .Julv August _ _ _ September < iclnber November I )i v cf'inber 1 '. M 'i 'J : . 1 : t n u ; i r v i'Vbrunrv .M:ircli -' Firs!, ], ; ,|f Second h n l f - _ .. 128. 1 131. 8 134. 6 136. 5 135. 5 140. 8 141. 5 140. 4 144. 9 141. 5 142. 0 142. 0 142. 1 142. 0 141. 8 1 43. 0 1 43. 7 144. 1 144. 9 144. 6 144. 4 144. 6 144. 6 144. 6 27. 7 27. 4 27. 8 28. 2 2S. 3 28. 6 28. 9 29. 0 29. 5 29. 0 29. 0 29. 0 28. 9 29. 0 29. 0 29. 2 29^ 3 29. 4 29. 5 29. 6 29. 6 29. 8 29. 8 29. 7 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 100. 4 104. 4 106. 8 108. 3 107. 2 112. 2 112. 6 111. 4 115. 4 112. (i 113. 0 113. 0 113. 2 113. 0 112. 8 113. 8 114. 4 114. 6 ] 15. 4 115. 1 114. 7 114. 8 114. 8 114, 8 131. 4 135. 0 137. 9 139. 7 138. 8 144. 3 144. 9 143. 8 148. 5 140. 1 141. 7 140. 0 140. 7 141. 1 141. 1 142. 4 1 43. 6 145. 3 148. 5 147. 8 144. 0 143. 1 143. 6 142. 6 28. 2 27. 9 28. 3 28. 7 28. 9 29. 2 29. 5 29. 5 30. 1 28. 6 28. 7 28. 7 28. 9 29. 2 29. 2 29. 3 29! 4 29. 7 30. 1 29. 4 29. 3 29. 4 5 29. 3 103. 3 107. 1 109. 6 111.0 109. 9 115. 1 115. 5 114. 3 118. 4 111. 4 113. 0 111. 3 111. 8 111. 9 111. 9 113. 1 114. 2 115. 6 118. 4 118. 3 114. 8 113. G 114. 1 113. 2 Related deposits (unadjusted) 1 Gross time 44. 7 48. 5 50. 0 51. 8 57. 1 65. 1 67.0 72. 5 82. 3 75. 9 76. 9 78. 1 79. 0 79. 9 80. 7 81. 3 82. 0 82. 0 82. 3 83. 9 85. 8 87. 7 87. 3 88. 1 NOTE.—See note, p. 27. Source: Board of Governors of; e Federal Reserve System. U.S. Government demand 3. 8 5. 0 3. 4 3. 4 3. 5 3. 9 4. 9 4, 7 4. 9 4. 7 2. 9 4. 6 4. 5 4. 3 5. 5 5. 2 6. 5 5. 8 4. 9 3. 9 4. 7 5. 1 4. 2 6. 0 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans rose $1.6 billion in March, compared to a decline of about $100 million in March 1961. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 250 1959 END OF-MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS- All commercial banks End of period 1954 1955 . 1956 1957 1958 .. 1959 1960 5 1961 .. 1961: February March AprilMay June 5 July . s August _ 3 September __ October 5 5 November 5 December 1962: January 5r 5 Februarj March 5 . Investments Total loans and investments Loans 155. 9 160. 9 165. 1 170. 1 185. 2 190. 3 199. 5 215. 6 199. 3 198. 0 199. 7 201. 2 201. 8 205. 1 205. 1 209. 9 210. 3 211. 3 215. 6 213. 7 214. 2 2] 5. 1 70. 6 82. 6 90. 3 93. 9 98. 2 110. 8 117. 6 125. 2 116. 7 116. 6 117. 2 117. 9 118. 0 118. 1 118. 5 120. 5 120. 5 121. 7 125. 2 122. 5 123. 9 ] 25. 5 U.S. Government securities Business loans 2 Billions of dollars 16. 3 69. 0 16. 7 61. 6 16. 3 58. 6 17. 9 58. 2 20. 6 66. 4 20. 5 58. 9 20. 9 61. 0 23. 9 66. 5 21. 3 61. 3 21. 7 59. 7 21. 8 60. 7 21. 9 61. 5 22. 1 61. 8 22. 3 64. 7 22. 5 64. 2 23. 3 66. 1 23. 2 66. 6 66. 2 23. 4 66. 5 23. 9 24. 0 67. 1 24. 4 65. 9 25. 3 64. 3 1 Member banks are all nations! banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 'Commercial and industrial loans and prior to 1956 aerieultural loans. Series revised beginning January 1952, October 1955, JuJy 1958, July 195;i, and April 1901. 3 Debits durinp period to demand deposil accounts except i n l e r b i m k and U.S. Government. Prior to 1955, relate? to 3<M renter? outside New York C i i y , 1 Averages of daily figures. A n n u a l d a t a are for December. Other securities Weekly reporting member banks * 22. 4 26. 7 30. 8 31. 8 2 31. 7 2 30. 5 31. 9 32. 9 31. 5 32. 2 2 31. 7 31. 5 31. 8 31. 3 31. 5 31. 8 31. 9 32. 1 32. 9 32. 0 32. 2 33. 0 2 Bank All member banks 1 debits outside New York Reserves * BorrowCity (343 ings at centers) , Federal seasonally adjusted Required Excess Reserve Banks < annual3 rates Millions of dollars 18, 576 703 246 1, 148 18,646 594 839 1,277 652 18, 883 688 1, S85 710 18, 843 577 1, 468 557 516 1, 481 18, 383 482 18, 450 906 1, 656 1, 736 18, 527 87 756 19, 545 573 149 1, 832 1, 755 654 137 18, 310 1, 785 18, 263 546 70 1, 78 S 18, 266 56 618 96 1, 889 18, 307 549 612 1,824 63 18, 430 18, 482 1, 840 581 51 1,833 67 18, 619 604 1,848 18, 783 589 37 507 65 1,905 19, 153 614 105 1,904 19, 218 1,917 19, 545 573 14!) 19,473 (il(i g, Oil 70 502 19, 069 1, 917 (18 •108 1 . 9K~ 19, 076 0! 'Preliminary. JIM N O T K . — BoMviTti J : i n u : i r y u r t * ! expanded l o i n r l u d r d n t n (or n i l hu I t n l M A iii*!^ ;U!'I l l s t w n l ! i > i * t n l*»f siM m*IH her hank:, I n c l u d e A l i m k u i t i t d l (I «n w i i l l lu'dMlillH! HK,< nifl IWju, f«|wi-H»pl» I M i r l - ' r . l r l l l l I l . - w m li»!.l<'III 21 CONSUMER CREDIT In February, total consumer credit outstandin3 declined about $700 million, compared to a decrease of $900 million in February 1961. BILLIONS OF D O L L A R S BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING \ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED ^£S3£g*<?^^ g™^^—L";f-"j..i>i"g-^cni||| _»f™.. C < M> < n in t .^^ef?- [C^>K>^-^<^ -^ ^ ^•INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID ( 1 f r r i f f f f f i t 1956 1957 1958 1959 Instalment Total 1952 1953 1954 1955... --1956 .- .- .... 1957 ._- -1958 . 1959 _ . 1960 1961 1961: January February March April Mav June__ _ _ __ July . ... _ August _ September October November December __ _ 1902: January Kebruarv 1 27, 520 31, 393 32, 464 38, 807 42, 262 44, 848 44, 984 51, 331 55, 757 57, 139 54, 726 53, 843 53, 641 53, 756 54, 196 54, 602 54, 505 54, 739 54, 757 54, 902 55, 451 57, 139 56, 278 55, 592 Total > 19, 403 23, 005 23, 568 28, 883 31, 648 33, 745 33, 497 39, 034 42, 588 43, 163 42, 122 41, 662 41, 465 41, 423 41, 584 41, 888 41, 909 42, 090 42, 039 42, 181 42, 419 43, 163 42, 846 42, 632 Automobile paper 2 7, 733 9, 835 9, 809 13, 437 14, 348 15, 218 14, 007 16, 209 17, 444 16, 960 17, 220 17, 017 16, 922 16, 877 16, 933 17, 061 17, 003 17, 061 16, 902 16, 913 16, 960 16, 960 16, 878 16, 900 AI.'.M un'Iudos other consumer goods paper, repair and modernization loans, < | j i r i M j i i i i l loans, not shown separately. • i u h M i w r r credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and i'ijn'r) ) > v (ho Horns purchased ' ( 'un.sisis «f single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 28 1962 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars) Consumer credit outstanding (end of period; unadjusted) Period \ 1961 I960 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Noninstal-3 ment 8, 117 8, 388 8, 896 9, 924 10, 614 11, 103 11, 487 12, 297 13, 169 13, 976 12, 604 12, 181 12, 17C 12, 333 12, 612 12, 714 12, 596 12, 649 12, 718 12, 721 13, 032 13, 976 13, 432 12, 960 Consumer instalment credit extended and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Total i | Automobile paper 2 Extended 29, 514 31, 558 31, 051 38, 944 39, 775 41, 871 39, 962 47, 818 49, 313 47, 984 3, 866 3, 812 3, 894 3, 800 3, 907 3, 962 3, 909 4, 038 3, 942 4, 209 4, 317 4, 315 4, 194 4, 302 Repaid 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 629 37, 009 39, 775 40, 211 42, 435 45, 759 47, 412 3, 875 3, 889 3, 907 3, 907 3, 895 3, 962 3, 937 3, 994 3, 956 4, 028 4,017 4, 051 3, 979 4, 066 Extended 11, 764 12, 981 1 1, 807 16, 706 15, 421 16, 321 14, 069 17, 544 17, 408 15, 779 1, 286 1, 216 1, 255 1, 225 1, 270 1, 296 1, 300 1, 302 1, 271 1, 405 1, 511 1, 471 1, 474 1, 49C Repaid 10, 003 10. 879 11', 833 13, 077 14, 510 15, 451 15, 281 15, 411 16, 172 16, 262 1, 356 1, 353 1, 348 1, 356 1, 336 1, 354 1, 364 1, 362 1, 350 1, 372 1, 359 1,361 1, 380 1, 369 NOTE. — Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. „ -n , ~ ^ i~> -i i -r, r. * Source: Board of Governors off the Federal Reserve System. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES The rate on 3-month Treasury bills averaged somewhat less in March than in February. Bond yields also declined. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 1962 SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW. Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 1961: February March April May June July August September October November December 1962: January February March Week ended: 1962: March 10. 17. 24 31_. April 7_ 14. 21.. 'COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent ner annum] U. iS. Government High-grade security yields municipal bonds 3-month Taxable Treasury (Standard3 & 2 bonds bills i Poor's) 0. 953 2. 37 2. 55 2. 53 2. 84 1. 753 2. 658 2. 93 3. 08 3. 267 3. 60 3. 47 1. 839 3. 56 3. 43 3. 405 4. 08 3. 95 2. 928 4. 02 3. 73 2. 378 3. 90 3. 46 2. 408 3. 81 3. 33 2. 420 3. 78 3. 38 ^ 80 2. 327 3. 44 2. 288 3. 38 x 73 2. 359 i. 88 3. 53 2. 268 3. 53 3. 90 2. 402 4. 00 3. 55 4. 02 3. 54 2. 304 3, 46 2. 350 3. 98 3. 44 2. 458 3. 98 2. 617 4. 06 3. 49 4. 08 3. 32 2. 746 2. 752 4. 09 3. 28 2. 719 3. 19 4. 01 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 721 804 689 719 757 720 723 4. 06 4. 02 3. 97 3. 96 3. 90 '3. 89 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 23 18 18 18 14 11 Corporate bonds (Moodv's) Aaa Prime commercial paper, Baa 4-6 months 2. 90 3. 06 3. 36 3. 89 3. 79 4. 38 4. 41 4. 35 4. 27 4. 22 4. 25 4. 27 4. 33 4. 41 4. 45 4. 45 4. 42 4. 39 4. 42 4. 42 4. 42 4. 39 4. 40 4. 39 4. 39 4. 38 4. 37 ! 4. 34 3. 51 3. 53 3. 88 4. 71 4. 73 5. 05 5. 19 5. 08 5. 07 5. 02 5. 01 5. 01 5. 03 5. 09 5. 11 5. 12 5. 13 5. 11 5. 10 5. 08 5. 07 5. 04 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 05 04 02 02 03 02 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. * Not charted. on new issues within period. Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Series includes: Apri! 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after; April 1952-March 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; October 1941-March Reserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 1952, bonds due or callable after 15 years. 1. 58 2. 18 3. 31 3. 81 2. 40 3. 97 3. 85 2. 97 3. 03 3. 03 2. 91 2. 76 2. 91 2. 72 2. 92 3. 05 3. 00 2. 98 3. 19 3. 26 3. 22 3. 25 3. 25 3. 25 3. 25 3. 25 3. 25 '3. 25 1 Hate ! QQ "° STOCK PRICES Stock prices averaged about the same in March as in February but have declined in recent weeks. I N D E X , 1957-59*100 220 INDEX, 1957-59=100 220 ISO 160 130 !00 i i . i I i r . i i i i 70 1956 1957 1958 1962 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Composite index 1 Period Weekly average: 1953 ._ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1961: February__ March April Mav June. _ July August September _ October November December _ _ 1962: Januarv February March Week ended: 1962: March 16 23 30 April 6 13 2 _ . _ [1957-59^1001 Manufacturing NonDurable durable Total goods goods Utilities Trade, finance, and service Mining 51. 9 61. 7 81. 8 92. 6 89. 8 93. 2 116. 7 113. 9 134. 2 125. 4 129. 8 133. 0 134. 9 132. 8 132. 7 137. 4 136. 2 138. 0 144. 0 145. 8 140. 4 142. 8 142. 9 46. 7 57. 6 79. 5 93. 2 90. 7 92. 5 116. 5 110. 9 126. 7 119. 2 123. 9 125. 8 127. 6 126. 0 125. 2 130. 1 128. 9 129. 1 133. 7 135. 6 130. 8 133. 4 133. 5 43. 0 54. 7 78. 7 91. 5 88. 5 90. 4 120. 8 117. 3 129. 2 121. 4 127. 8 128. 5 130. 6 128. 0 126. 5 131. 3 131. 7 132. 2 135. 7 138. 1 133. 6 134. 4 134. 0 49. 8 60. 0 80. 1 94. 5 92. 8 94. 4 112. 6 104, 9 124. 4 117. 3 120. 3 123. 3 ]24. 9 124. 2 123. 9 129. 0 126. 4 126. 4 131. 9 133. 3 128. 1 132. 6 133. 1 73. 9 78. 6 108. 2 110. 6 93. 2 91. 0 115. 6 95. 8 105. 7 102. 6 104. 2 103. 4 107. 5 105. 1 103. 2 107. 0 106. 8 110. 1 109. 9 107. 9 108. 5 110. 5 107. 4 67. 3 75. 3 84. 8 86. 4 86. 3 95. 8 117. 6 129. 3 168. 4 156. 0 159. 2 168. 9 170. 0 164. 0 166. 7 170.6 168. 9 173. 9 186. 0 188.4 181. 4 183. 0 184. 2 60. 8 69. 1 87. 1 89. 9 82. 2 95. 1 122. 3 127. 4 160. 2 139. 8 146. 7 150. 4 153. 1 156. 0 158. 4 164. 2 166. 4 176. 6 187. 7 188. 0 175. 2 176. 4 175. 2 70. 4 78. 2 91. 6 104. 6 107. 2 97. 9 95. 0 73. 8 92. 5 89. 0 89. 2 93. 5 96. 9 97. 0 93. 1 92. 8 87. 3 90. 2 95. 1 101. 1 104. 1 109. 7 106. 6 144. 3 143. 2 141. 4 139. 8 137. 8 135. 0 133. 9 132. 0 130. 1 128. 1 135. 6 134. 6 132. 2 130. 6 128. 6 134. 4 133. 3 131. 9 129. 7 127. 7 107. 6 107. 1 106. 0 104. 2 103. 2 185. 5 184. 3 182. 0 182. 1 179. 8 177. 0 176. 9 175. 0 173. 9 171. 1 105. 104. 104. 104. 103. ' liu'liuics ;i(JO common stocks: 108 for durable goods manufacturing, 85 for non duriil»l<> f,'oodp iiifinufncturinR, 18 for transportation, 342 for utilities. 45 for trade Iliiunn-, itn<! service, nm] 10 for mining. Not charted. 30 Transportation NOTE.—Indexes are based on weekly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 5 6 1 1 4 FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The budget deficit for the first 9 months of fiscal 1962 was $8.2 billion. deficit was $4.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS For the comparable period of 1961, the BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 75 75 60 50 NET BUDGET RECEIPTS o I960 1958 1961 + 10 NATIONAL DEFENSE 1959 I960 1961 BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (ENLARGED SCALE) 75 (-) +5 ! FIRST 9 MONTHS 50 -15 1957 1958 I960 1961 1962 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 1962 FISCAL Y E A R S *EST1MATE SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal 1961: year 1957 year 1958 year 1959 year 1960 year 1961 year 1962*__ . _ year 19635•"__ . __ February .-_ __ 5 March , . _ April55 May June 5 _ _ __ _ _ . _ _ _ July5 5 August September 5 - _ _ _ _ October 5 6 November 5 _ _ December 1962: January 5 5 February _ _ _ __ _ _ March 5 _ 5 Cumulative totals first 9 months: Fiscal year 1961 _ _ Fiscal year 1962, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net National defense 1 budget Department Total receipts Total of Defense, military 2 69. 0 70. 6 43. 4 40. 8 71.4 68. 5 44 2 41. 3 80. 3 67. 9 46. 5 43. 6 76. 5 42. 8 77.8 45. 7 81. 5 77. 7 47. 5 44. 7 89. 1 82. 1 48. 2 51. 2 92. 5 93. 0 52. 7 49. 7 6. 2 6. 5 3. 8 3. 5 7.0 8. 5 4. 3 4. 0 6. 5 5. 1 3. 8 3. 5 7. 2 4. 2 6. 5 3. 9 8.0 4. 6 4. 3 10. 8 6. 3 3. 0 3. 2 3. 5 7.6 4. 0 6.4 3.8 6. 8 3. 6 8. 9 3. 9 7.8 4. 1 3. 8 3. 1 7. 5 4. 0 6. 4 4. 3 7. 2 4. 3 4. 1 8. 0 7. 4 4. 0 5. 4 4. 3 6. 9 3. 9 6. 7 4. I 7. 7 4. 3 9. 1 4. 6 55. 2 57. 0 1 Expenditures for m IHary activities of the ]">ep;irtnient of .Defense (military functions and the niili ary assistance portion of the inulimj security program), atoinic energy, and dpf nse related services. s Military functions m i l i t a r y assistance. ; Includes p u n n i i i t r o securilirs held outside I he Treasury. Not. n i l of l o l n l shown is Mibjrcf to st;i tilory debt i i n i i l a l i o n . 59. 9 65. 2 35. 0 37. 0 32. 0 3-1 9 Budget surplus or deficit (-) 1.6 -2. 8 -12. 4 1. 2 -3. 9 -7.0 .5 .3 1. 5 — 1. 3 Public debt (end of3 period) -4. 7 — 1. 1 .8 — 2. 0 -. 1 1. 4 270. 6 276.4 284. 8 286. 5 289. 2 295.8 295. 6 290. 7 287. 7 288. 2 290. 4 289. 2 292. 6 294.0 294. 0 290. 0 297. 3 290. 5 296. 9 297. -1 290. 5 — -1 7 — S. 2 287. 7 -Mm. 5 i, 9 -3. 3 — 1. 3 2. 2 6 Preliminary. NOT,-:.---Total budget. mental trnn.saetton,'". utul t'Xj'->mUturt i "-. rvcUi'U' <n1i' it tunl Unread n, the Hilil^*'!. 31 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the first quarter of calendar 1962, cash receipts exceeded cash payments by $300 million; on a seasonally adjusted basis, however, payments exceeded receipts by $3.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) 30 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS -5 I 1959 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, -AND BUREAU OF THE.BUDGET. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS , [Billions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year total: 1957 1958 1959 1960 1061. 1 962 ' 1963 ' Calendar year total: 1 058 " 1 959 1 !><!(> 1901 2 ... _ _ _.. . Qiiiirtorly total (calendar years): ii'liO: Third quarter Fourth quarter H M i i ; First quarter _ Si-conn quarter2 Third quarter 2 F o u r t h quarter _. l*Mi.' | it ii q u a r t e r ' * ftvllminury. Cash payments to the public Excess of rereceipts ceipts ( + ) or Cash from the payments public (-) 82. 1 81. 9 81. 7 95. 1 97. 2 102. 6 116. 6 80. 0 83. 4 94. 8 94. 3 99. 5 111. 1 114. 8 2. 1 — 1. 5 -13. 1 .8 -2. 3 -8. 5 1. 8 81. 7 87. 6 98. 3 97. 9 89. 0 95. 6 94. 7 104. 7 Unadjusted -7. 3 -8. 0 3. 6 -6. 8 24. 2 24. 5 23. 4 27. 4 26. 7 27. 2 26. 0 — 8 -3. 9 1. 4 1. 1 23. 4 20. 6 24. 8 28. 5 23. 4 21. 3 26. 3 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (+) or payments (-) Seasonally adjusted o o O. fj -5. 9 .3 25. 1 24. 8 22. 5 25. 0 25. 2 25. 6 23. 9 23. 6 24. 2 24. 9 26. 9 26. 1 26. 8 27. 6 Sources; Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. l«,r ir.U by I he mperliilemlont of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 20 cents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.75 foreign 32 U . S . G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C E : 1962 1.5 .6 -2. 3 -I. 9 -. 9 -1. 2 -3. 7