Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1971
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Economic Indicators May 1971 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1971 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY (Minnesota) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, Jr. (Texas) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) JAMES B. PEARSON (Kansas) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. 11EUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) BARBER B. CON ABLE, Jr. (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) BEN B. BLACKBURN (Georgia) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director JAMES W. KNOWLES, Director of Research LOUGHLIN F. McHuGH, Senior Economist COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS PAUL W. McCRACKEN, Chairman HENDRIK S. HOUTHAKKER HERBERT STEIN Economic Indicators -prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—Isx SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled. That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators/' and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copy or by subscription at $3.00 per year (foreign, $4.00) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. The 1967 edition of the Historical and Descriptive Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at 70 cents a copy from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office. 11 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Revised estimates for the first quarter indicate that gross national product rose $30% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), following a strike-depressed fourth quarter rise of only $4% billion. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Government Persons PerEquals: Personal sonal Less: Less: Tax saving consumpTotal Trans- Equals: Total Trans- Equals: and or tion excludPurfers, fers, nontax interest, Net expend- interest, expend- dising chases of goods interest itures saving receipts and receipts itures and or and and subsubtrans2 accruals sidies 2 services sidies fers Less: Interest paid and transfer payments to foreigners Period Total 1963. 1964_ 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968_ 1969_ 1970_ 404. 6 438. 1 473.2 511.9 546. 3 591. 2 631. 6 684. 8 9. 7 10. 7 12. 0 13. 0 13.9 15. 0 16.5 17. 9 394,9 427.4 461. 3 498. 9 532.4 576. 2 615. 1 666. 9 375.0 401. 2 432.8 466.3 492. 1 535. 8 577.5 616.7 19. 9 26.2 28. 4 32. 5 40.4 40. 4 37. 6 50.2 168. 8 174. 1 189. 1 213. 3 22a 9 263. 3 298.7 302.9 44. 4 46. 7 49. 9 55. 5 62.8 70. 5 77. 9 92. 5 1970: !___ IIIII_ IV.. 1971: !*>__ 665. 3 683. 6 693. 0 697. 2 715. 1 17. 3 17.8 18. 2 18.4 18. 9 648. 0 665. 8 674. 8 678. 8 696.2 603. 1 614. 4 622. 1 627.0 646.4 44. 8 51. 5 52. 7 51.8 49.8 300. 2 303. 6 304.2 303.5 316.4 81. 8 96. 1 94. 3 97.6 101.0 Business Period Expenditures Net receipts Disposable personal income Surplus or deficit (->, income and product accounts iea 2 192.8 220. 8 210.4 166.9 175.4 186. 9 212.3 242. 9 270.7 290. 1 313. 0 44. 4 46.7 49. 9 55.5 62. 8 70.5 77.9 92. 5 122.5 128.7 137.0 156.8 180. 1 200. 2 212. 2 220.5 1.8 -1.4 2.2 1. 1 -13. 9 -7.3 8.7 -10.1 218.4 207. 4 209. 9 205. 9 215.4 301. 5 314. 5 315. 3 320. 8 329.7 81. 8 96. 1 94. 3 97.6 101.0 219. 6 218.4 221. 0 223. 2 22&7 — 1. 2 -10. 9 -11. 2 -17.3 -13.2 124,3 127.3 139.2 157. 9 International Gross Net Net exports of goods Total Statis- national and services transfers Excess of income tical product Gross Gross private Excess to foror transfers discrepor retained domestic of eigners or receipts ancy expendby perearnof net iture invest-4 investment sons and Exports Less: Equals: ings 3 exports ment Net GovernImports exports ment 1963. 1964. 1965_ 1966_ 1967_ 1968. 1969_ 1970_ 68. 8 76. 2 84. 7 91. 3 93. 0 95. 6 97. 3 98. 1 95. 7 1970: I II 97. 9 99. 1 III 99. 8 IV_ 1971: I » ________ I 106. 4 cluded in disposable personal income. 87. 1 94. 0 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126. 5 139. 8 135. 7 -18. 4 -17. 8 -23. 4 -30. 1 -23. 5 -31. 0 -42. 5 -37.6 2. 8 2. 8 2.8 2. 8 3. 0 2. 8 2.8 2.9 32. 3 37. 1 39.2 43.4 46. 2 50. 6 55. 5 62. 2 26.4 28.6 32. 3 38. 1 41. 0 48. 1 53.6 58. 6 5.9 8. 5 6. 9 5.3 5. 2 2. 5 1. 9 3. 6 -3. 1 -5.7 -4. 1 -2.4 -2. 2 .3 .9 590. 8 633.7 688. 0 750.9 794. 6 867. 4 936. 1 978. 3 1 -0.3 -1.3 -3. 1 -I. 0 —. 7 -2. 4 -4. 7 — 1. 8 590.5 632.4 684. 9 749. 9 793.9 865.0 931.4 976. 5 133. 2 134. 3 138. 3 137. 1 142. 4 -37. 5 -36. 4 -39. 2 -37. 3 -36.0 2.8 3. 0 2. 9 2.9 3. 1 61. 1 62. 8 62. 8 62.0 64. 6 57. 6 58. 7 58. 6 59. 3 61.3 3. 5 4. 1 4. 2 2. 6 3.3 964. 9 —. 7 -1.1 974. 1 -1.2 986. 7 .3 987. 4 -.2 1, 021. 1 -5.4 -3. 1 -1. 1 2.4 959. 5 971. 1 985.5 989. 9 1, 020. 7 . n A GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) increased at an annual rate of 1 3 percent in the first quarter, according to revised estimates. When adjusted for price changes, the rate was 7 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,100 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,000 1,000 900 900 SCO 800 •700 700 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 600 600 500 500 . GOVERNMENT PURCHASES _ OF GOODS AND SERVICES 400 400 200 100 200 IIIIIIIII H'M........ IMMHIIIIMI""""""" 100 NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1965 1966 1967 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 1968 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: I II III IV 1971: I _ _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Gove rnmcnt |purchases of good s and Total Personal Gross Net services congross Total private exports sump- domestic of goods national gross Federal State product national tion Total investand and National in 1958 product expend- ment Total 1 services defense Other local prices itures Billions <3f dollars; quarter Ijr data at s easonalbp ad juste;d annual rates 487. 7 497.2 529. 8 551. 0 5S1. 0 617. 8 658. 1 675. 2 707. 2 727. 1 724.1 723. 8 724. 9 727. 4 720.3 732. 7 1, 503.7 520. 1 560.3 590. 5 632.4 684. 9 749. 9 793. 9 865. 0 931. 4 976. 5 959. 5 971. 1 985.5 989. 9 020. 7 325. 2 335. 2 355. 1 375. 0 401. 2 432. 8 466.3 492. 1 535. 8 577. 5 616. 7 603. 1 614. 4 622. 1 627. 0 646. 4 748 71.7 83. 0 87. 1 94.0 108. 1 121.4 116. 6 126. 5 139. 8 135.7 133. 2 134. 3 138. 3 137. 1 142. 4 1 This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 36. 2 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1958 prices. 1971 1970 4,0 5. 6 5. 1 5.9 8. 5 6.9 5.3 5.2 2. 5 1. 9 3.6 3. 5 4. 1 4. 2 2. 6 3.3 99.6 107. 6 117. 1 122. 5 128.7 137.0 156. 8 180. 1 200. 2 212. 2 220. 5 219. 6 218. 4 221. 0 223. 2 228.7 53. 5 57. 4 63. 4 64. 2 65. 2 66. 9 77.8 90. 7 99. 5 101. 3 99. 7 102. 3 99. 7 98. 6 98. 2 98. 4 44. 9 47.8 51. 6 50. 8 50.0 50. 1 60.7 72. 4 78. 0 78. 8 76.6 79. 3 76. 8 75. 8 74. 6 74.0 8.6 9.6 11.8 13.5 15.2 16. 8 17. 1 18. 4 21. 5 22. 6 23. 1 23. 0 22. 9 22.9 23.5 24. 5 46. 1 50.2 53.7 58. 2 63.5 70. 1 79. 0 89. 4 100. 7 110. 8 120. 9 117. 4 118. 7 122. 4 125.0 130. 2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1958 =1002 103. 29 104.62 105. 78 107. 17 108. 85 110. 86 113. 95 117. 59 122. 31 128. 11 134. 87 132. 57 133. 98 135. 50 137. 44 139. 31 FATIONAL INCOME National income increased $28% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter following a decline in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 700 700 600 60Q 500 500 400 400 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT i \ I PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME I 100' 100 ||||»ft. NET INTEREST J 1965 1966 J/l I 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 J/PRELIMINARY SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total national income Compen- Proprietojrs7 income of employees 1 Farm 2 Business and professional Rental income of persons Net interest Corporal ;e profits and inventory va luation acij ust men t Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 414. 5 427. 3 457.7 481. 9 518. 1 564.3 620. 6 653. 6 712. 7 769. 5 800. 1 294. 2 302. 6 323. 6 341. 0 365.7 393.8 435. 5 467. 2 514. 1 564. 2 599. 8 12. 0 12. 8 13. 0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16. 1 14.8 15.0 16. 4 16. 2 34, 2 35.6 37. 1 37.9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47.3 49. 1 50. 5 51. 4 15. 8 16. 0 16. 7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 3 22. 0 22. 7 10. 0 11. 6 13. 8 15.8 18.2 21.4 24. 4 27. 8 30.7 33.5 49.9 50. 3 55. 7 58. 9 66.3 76. 1 82.4 78.7 85. 4 85.8 76.5 49. 7 50. 3 55. 4 59. 4 66.8 77.8 84. 2 79. 8 88. 7 91. 2 81.3 — .5 -1.7 -1.8 -1. 1 -3.3 -5.4 -4.8 1970: I II III IV 791. 5 797.4 806.6 804. 8 592. 2 596. 4 603. 8 606.7 17. 0 16. 5 16. 1 15. 3 50. 6 51. 2 51. 7 52. 0 22. 5 22. 6 22. 7 23. 0 32. 4 33. 1 33. 8 34. 5 76.7 77.5 78.4 73. 3 82. 6 82. 0 84.4 76.3 -5.8 -4. 5 -5.9 -3. 0 1971: I" 833.2 625. 2 14. 7 52. 2 23. 1 35. 2 82. 7 86. 4 -3.7 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 _ _ _ 8.4 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 0.2 — .1 .3 -.5 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income in April rose $4% billion (seasonally adjusfed annual rate), less than the March increase but more than the average monthly rise over the past year. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME 700 700 600 600 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS \ ..-J— -~*~~-~~ 500 500 400 400 300 300 OTHER INCOME \ 200 200 UlitMMi""**""" .TRANSFER PAYMENTS. 100 i i I i t l.i i i i i I t i i i 1967 1968 i i 1 i 1965 1966 100 1970 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: M a r _ _ _ Apr____ May___ June July___. Aug Sept_._ Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar Apr " _ _ 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] J Wage Rental Other Propriet(3rs income income Transfer Total and Divi- Personal labor 2 personal salary Business interest paydends of income disburseincome and pro- persons income ments Farm l ments fessional 442.6 465. 5 497. 5 538.9 587.2 629. 3 688. 7 748. 9 801.0 787. 6 806. 0 799.7 798. 2 803.3 806. 4 811. 9 809.9 812. 6 817. 5 827. 4 830.4 836. 8 841.3 1 i 296. 1 311. 1 333. 7 358.9 394. 5 423. 1 464. 8 509. 0 540.1 535. 0 539. 9 540. 5 538. 1 541. 5 543. 2 546. 6 541. 8 544. 1 549. 8 557. 8 559. 8 564. 2 567. 0 13.9 149 16. 6 18.7 20.7 22. 3 24. 9 27. 6 30.4 13.0 13. 1 12. 1 14.8 16. 1 14, 8 15. 0 16. 4 16.2 29. 6 29. 8 30. 0 30. 3 30.6 30. 8 31. 1 31. 3 31. 5 31. 7 31. 9 32. 1 32.3 32. 5 17. 2 16. 9 16. 5 16. 2 16. 2 16. 1 16. 0 15. 7 15. 3 15. 0 14. 9 14 7 14 7 146 37.1 37. 9 40. 2 42.4 45. 2 47. 3 49. 1 50. 5 51.4 50. 7 51. 0 51. 3 51. 5 51. 6 51. 7 51. 8 51. 9 52.0 52. 1 52.2 52. 1 52.3 52. 4 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employee contributions for social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 16.7 17. 1 18. 0 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 3 22. 0 22,7 22. 6 22. 6 22. 6 22. 7 22. 7 22, 7 22. 8 22. 9 23. 0 23. 1 23. 2 22. 8 23. 3 23. 4 15.2 16. 5 17. 8 19.8 20. 8 21. 4 23.3 24 7 25.2 25. 2 25. 2 25. 3 24 7 25. 2 25. 3 25. 5 25. 6 25. 7 24. 1 25. 9 25. 9 25. 7 25. 7 27.7 31.4 34 9 38.7 43. 6 48. 0 54 0 59.7 65.2 63.7 64 2 64 5 64 8 65. 3 66. 0 66. 8 67. 0 67. 1 67.1 67. 5 67. 7 67.7 67.9 Less: Peronagrisonal con- N tributions cultural for social personal 3 insurance income 33.3 35. 3 36.7 39.9 44 1 51. 8 59. 0 65. 1 77.6 10.3 11.8 12. 5 13.4 17.7 20. 5 22. 8 26. 0 27.8 425.5 448. 1 480.9 519.5 566. 3 609. 4 71. 1 84 1 76. G 77. 6 78. 1 78. 6 79.6 81. 7 81. 9 82. 9 84. 5 86. 0 87.6 88. 8 27. 5 27. 7 27. 7 27. 6 27. 8 28. 0 28. 2 28. 0 28. 1 28.4 764 3 783. 0 777. 0 775. 7 780. 9 784 0 789. 7 787.9 791.0 796. 2 30. 6 30. 7 30. 9 3L 1 806. 2 809.2 815.7 820. 2 eea 2 726.7 778.6 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. SPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Because of tax cuts, most of the $18 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) rise in persona! income in the first quarter showed up in disposable personal income. The saving rate declined from 7.4 to 7.0 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 700 600 600 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 1971 1965 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less : Personal Personal tax and income nontax payments COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per cap>ita disL ess: Perse>nal outlayrs posable personal Equals: Persoilal consurnption incc)me Equals: Disex penditures 2 Personal Total posable saving personal personal1 Durable NonCurrent 1958 Services prices income outlays prices goods durable goods Billions of dollars 1982 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 442.6 465. 5 497. 5 538.9 587. 2 629. 3 688. 7 748. 9 801. 0 57.4 60. 9 59. 4 65. 7 75. 4 83. 0 97. 5 117. 3 116. 3 385. 3 404. 6 438. 1 473. 2 511. 9 546. 3 591. 2 631. 6 684.8 363.7 384. 7 411. 9 444.8 479. 3 506.0 550. 8 593. 9 634.6 49.5 53. 9 59. 2 66. 3 70. 8 73. 1 84. 0 90. 0 89. 4 Saving as percent of Populadistion posable (thou-3 personal sands) income (percent) Dollars 162.6 168. 6 178.7 191. 1 206. 9 215. 0 230. 2 245. 8 264. 7 143.0 152.4 163. 3 175. 5 188. 6 204. 0 221. 6 241. 6 262. 6 21.6 19. 9 26. 2 28.4 32. 5 40. 4 40. 4 37. 6 50. 2 2,066 2, 139 2,284 2,436 2, 605 2, 751 2,947 3, 117 3,344 1,969 2,015 2, 126 2,240 2,336 2,404 2,487 2, 525 2, 587 5.6 4. 9 6.0 6.0 6. 4 7. 4 6.8 6.0 7. 3 186, 189, 191, 194, 196, 198, 200, 202, 204, 504 197 833 237 485 629 619 599 800 012 526 107 728 Seasc nally adji i-sted annu al rales 1970: I-_ 782. 3 II- 801. 3 III. 807.2 IV__ 813. 3 117. 0 117. 7 114. 2 116. 1 665. 683. 693. 697. 1971: !___ 831. 5 116. 4 715. 1 3 6 0 2 5 1 2 5 89. 1 91. 9 91. 2 85.3 258. 262. 265. 271. 8 6 8 5 255. 2 259. <J 265. 1 270. 2 44 8 51. 5 52. 7 51. 8 3, 261 3, 342 3,378 3, 389 2, 563 2, 601 2,604 2,576 , 6. 7 7. 5 7.6 7.4 204, 204, 205, 205, 665. 3 97. 5 272. 8 276. 1 49. 8 3,467 2, 610 j 7.0 206, 259 620. 632. 640. 645. Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, and personal transfer payments to foreigners. 2 See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. 8 Includes Armed Force? abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data are >r middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. FARM INCOME Net farm income excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) dropped 2 percent in the first quarter. Including inventory change, the decline was about 4 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 60 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 50 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 \ 20 I 10 I I I I 1965 I 1 1966 J L J 1968 1967 L ! I ( 1969 J 1970 Personal income re ceived by total f arm popu lation ]income re ceived fro in farming Net t(3 farm oper itors Realize d gross 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: I II III IV From all sources From farm sources From nonfarm sources 20.4 20.6 20.6 23.6 24. 9 24. 0 25. 4 27. 5 27. 9 12.3 12. 1 11.3 13. 5 14. 4 13. 1 13. 5 14. 7 14. 6 8.2 8.5 9.3 10.0 10. 5 10. 9 11. 8 12. 8 13. 3 Net inc ome per farm incl ading net inventory' change 3 ProducCash tion ex- Ex elud- Includreceipts penses ing net in- ing net in- Current 1967 l from Total ventory ventory2 prices prices 4 marketchange change ings Billions c)f dollars Dol lars 13.2 41.3 3, 941 36.4 28.6 12. 6 3, 586 13.2 42.3 29.7 37.4 4, 030 12.6 3, 708 42. 6 12. 3 13. 1 37. 2 29. 5 3, 564 3, 832 44.9 14. 0 39.3 30.9 15.0 4, 487 4, 723 49. 7 33. 4 16. 3 5, 019 43. 3 16. 3 5, 121 42. 7 14. 9 34. 8 14. 2 4, 730 49. 0 4,730 51. 0 44. 2 36. 0 15. 0 15. 1 4,957 4, 766 54. 6 16. 2 5, 563 47. 2 16. 5 5, 104 38. 4 56. 2 15. 8 16. 3 40. 4 5, 563 48. 7 4,880 Seaso natly adj-u,sted annu at rates 5, 850 16. 5 17. 1 5, 220 56. 3 39.8 49. 0 10. 6 5, 680 16. 1 56. 2 40. 1 5,030 49. 0 15. 7 16. 2 5, 540 56. 5 40.8 4, 860 48. 8 14. 9 5, 270 40. 9 15. 4 55. 8 48. 0 4, 580 1971: I * Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and noninoney income furnished by farms. 3 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. » Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. L COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ..SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Period J 1971 L 56. 1 48.8 41. 5 14. 6 14. 8 5, 150 43 400 < Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1967 base. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits (including inventory valuation adjustment) in the first quarter rose $91/2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rare) from the strike-depressed fourth quarter level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 20 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS -RTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Cor £^orate pr ofits Cori>orate pi ofits (befc re taxes) and invei itory a fter taxe s Corpo- Profits valuation adjustmei it plus rate TransI Corpo- CorpoM anufactur ing capital capital portation, rate { rate conconDiviUncomPeriod tax profits NonAll dend distrib- sump- sumpDurable durable All munibefore liabil- Total industion tion payuted goods ity goods cations, other * taxes Total tries allow-2 allow-3 profits ments indusand indusances ances tries public tries utilities 31.2 16. 0 14, 1 15.2 30. 1 12. 5 24. 2 20. 5 26. 6 55. 4 61. 3 8. 5 1962 55. 7 33. 1 16.5 64. 8 13. 0 16.6 15. 8 20. 6 28. 3 26. 3 31. 8 59. 4 9. 5 58. 9 1963 38.4 20. 6 72. 3 17.8 17.8 33. 9 14.9 32. 7 66.8 28. 3 23. 5 10. 1 66,3 1964 46. 5 36.4 26.7 82.9 16. 6 22. 8 19. 8 39. 3 25. 6 77. 8 31. 3 70. 1 11. 1 1965 49. 9 34. 3 20. 8 29. 1 39. 5 89. 5 42. 6 24. 0 84, 2 18. 6 27. 9 11. 9 1966 _ _ _. 82.4 46. 6 25. 3 43, 0 33. 2 89. 6 21. 4 18. 0 20. 7 29. 1 79. 8 38. 7 10. 8 1967 78. 7 48. 2 23. 3 94. 7 40. 6 24. 9 46. 5 42. 4 23. 3 19. 1 32. 0 88. 7 11. 0 1968- _ ... 85. 4 48. 5 24. 7 23. 9 98. 3 42. 7 49.8 22. 4 19. 3 4.1. 8 91. 2 33. 4 10. 7 1969.. _ _ _ . 85. S 43. 8 97.3 37. 5 25. 2 18. 6 53. 5 15. 4 18. 1 33. 5 33. 9 81. 3 9. 1 1970_ 76. 5 1970: ! _ _ _ _ II__111IV.. 76. 7 77. 5 78. 4 73. 3 1971: I "_. 82. 7 35. 2 35. 5 34. 7 28. 6 16. 9 17. 2 16. 3 11. 0 18. 3 18.2 18. 3 17. 7 9. 1 8. 6 9, 1 9. 6 32. 4 33. 4 34. 6 35. 1 12 Includes all other industries and financial institutions. Includes depreciation and accidental damages. 8 Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 60-771 «—71™ S2. 6 82, 0 84. 4 76. 3 38. 0 38. 1 38. 9 34. 8 44. 6 43. 9 45. 4 41. 4 25. 2 25. 1 25. 4 25. 1 19. 4 18. 8 20. 0 16. 3 52. 0 53. 0 54. 0 55. 0 96.6 96. 9 99,4 96. 4 86. 4 38. 9 47. 5 25.8 21. 7 56. 2 103.7 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Fixed investment (seasonally adjusted) was up sharply In the first quarter, after changing little during 1970. Inventory investment declined for the second quarter in a row. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 40 20 20 1965 SOUJtCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMEtCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed imvestment Total gross private domestic investment Period Total ___ 74.8 71.7 83. 0 87. 1 94. 0 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126. 5 139. 8 135. 7 133. 2 134. 3 138. 3 137. 1 142.4 Total 71.3 69. 7 77.0 81.3 sa 2 98. 5 106.6 108. 4 118.9 131. 4 132. 3 131. 6 131.2 132. 7 133. 5 141. 0 48. 4 47.0 51.7 54. 3 61. 1 71. 3 81.6 83. 3 88. 7 99. 3 102. 6 102. 6 102. 8 103. 6 101.3 105. 1 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. 8 Produce rs' durable equ ipment Struc tures Total 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: I II III IV 1971: I Resid ential struc tures N(president ial 18. 1 18.4 19.2 19.5 21.2 25. 5 28.5 28. 0 29. 6 33.8 35. 2 35. 7 35. 3 35.0 34.7 36. 1 Nonfarm Total 17. 4 17.7 18. 5 18.8 20.5 24. 9 27. 8 27. 3 28.9 33. 0 34. 3 34. 8 34. 5 34. 2 33. 8 35. 3 30. 3 28. 6 32. 5 34.8 39. 9 45. 8 53. 1 55. 3 59. 1 65. 5 67. 4 66. 9 67. 5 68. 6 66. 6 69.0 Nonfarm 27. 7 25. 8 29.4 31. 2 36.3 41. 6 48.4 50. 0 54. 3 60. 8 63. 0 62. 4 63. 2 64. 1 62. 3 64.3 Total 22.8 22.6 25. 3 27.0 27. 1 27. 2 25. 0 25. 1 30.3 32. 0 29. 7 29. 1 28. 4 29. 2 32.2 35.8 Source: Department of Commerce. Nonfarm 22. 2 22. 0 24.8 26. 4 26.6 26. 7 24. 5 24, 5 29. 7 31. 5 29. 1 28. 4 27. 8 28.6 3L6 35.2 Change in business inv entories Total 3.6 2. 0 6. 0 5.9 5. 8 9. 6 14.8 8. 2 7.6 8. 5 3. 5 1. 6 3. 1 5.5 3.6 1.4 Nonfarm 3. 3 1.7 5.3 5. 1 6.4 8.6 15.0 7. 5 7. 5 8.0 2.9 .9 2. 6 5.0 3.0 L2 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the OBE-SEC survey conducted in late January and February, businessmen are planning to increase their plant and equipment expenditures by 4 percent from 1970 to 1971. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BRUONS OF DOLLARS 100 100 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 80 80 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 60 60 ,«**** NONMANUFACTURING 40 ,.,„,„»..."»""" .,„,..«•«•""" MANUFACTURING 20 20 t ! 1 1965 .! I J 1 1966 1 L 1967 ! I 1 1968 I 1969 t 1970 J/SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOW. -SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1971 H COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufacturi ng Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 _ 1968 1969 1970 3 1971 1970: I II III IV 1971: I 33 II 2nd half 3 Total ' _ _ _ _ _ 36. 75 35.91 38. 39 40.77 46. 97 54.42 63. 51 65.47 67.76 75. 56 79. 71 83. 13 78. 22 80. 22 81. 88 78. 63 80. 55 82. 54 84. 61 Total 15.09 14.33 15. 06 16. 22 19. 34 23. 44 28. 20 28. 51 28. 37 31. 68 31. 95 31. 86 32. 44 32. 43 32. 15 30. 98 30. 28 31. 44 32. 76 Durable Nonduragoods ble goods 7. 23 6.31 6. 79 7.53 9. 28 11. 50 14. 06 14. 06 14. 12 15. 96 15. 80 15. 40 16. 40 16. 32 15. 74 14. 92 14. 67 15. 45 15. 70 'Excludes agricultural business; reai estate operators; medical* legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. 2 Includes trade, service, finance, communications, insurance, and construction. s Estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business in late January and February 1971. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in expectations data. NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not Transpo]rtation 7. 85 8. 02 8. 26 8. 70 10. 07 11. 94 14. 14 14.45 14. 25 15. 72 16. 15 16. 45 16. 05 16. 11 16. 40 16.05 15. 62 15. 98 17. 06 Mining Railroads Other 1.30 1. 29 1.40 1. 27 1. 34 1.46 1. 62 1. 65 1. 63 ]. 86 1.89 1. 90 1. 92 1. 84 1. 86 1. 94 1. 85 1. 96 1. 89 1. 16 .82 1. 02 1.26 1.66 1.99 2.37 1. 86 1.45 1. 86 1.78 1.82 1.74 1. 88 1. 96 1. 56 1. 62 2. 11 1. 79 1. 97 1. 96 2. 17 1.98 2. 52 2. 91 3. 39 3. 77 4. 15 4. 19 4. 26 3. 75 4. 31 4. 00 4. 46 4. 30 3. 22 3. 87 3. 95 Public Commerand utilities cial other 2 5.24 5. 00 4. 90 4.98 5.49 6. 13 7.43 8. 74 10. 20 11. 61 13. 14 15. 44 12. 14 12. 72 13.84 13. 68 15.51 15. 12 15. 57 11.99 12.52 13.84 15. 06 16. 63 18.49 20. 50 20.94 21. 97 24. 35 26. 69 28. 36 25.66 27.36 27. 62 26. 17 28.08 28.04 28. 66 necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce; EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE The civilian labor force (seasonally adjusted) rose by 308,000 in April. Employment increased by 223,000 and unemployment increased by 85,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE uNElv\ PLO>rM EhJ7 PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE SE>SiSONA LI f ADJUSTED */O"E "" 1 :« 19 6;r 19<M> 19d>5 "1 1 j| M niii fflIt ¥lt] Hill 1 1966___ 1967___ 1968___ 1969___ 1970___ 1970: Mar_ Apr.May. June_ July. Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec_ 1971: Jan__ Feb. Mar_ Apr.. 1 —r H 1 197 0 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 Unempl oyment Civilicin ernTotal ploy nent labor force Non- Unemploy- (includagriing Total ment culArmed tural Forces) Thousands of \jersons 16 72, 899 68, 915 2,875 78, 893 74, 373 70, 527 2, 975 80, 793 75, 921 72, 103 2,817 82, 272 77, 902 74, 296 2, 831 84, 239 78, 627 75, 165 4,088 85, 903 Unadj isted years of age and over 75, 770 72, 899 3,979 77, 347 74, 373 3,844 78, 737 75, 921 3,817 80, 733 77, 902 3, 606 82, 715 78, 627 3,462 *,Seasonally adj'usteo I 68, 915 70, 527 72, 103 74, 296 75, 165 Labor rate (percent of force Unem- civilia n labor particifor ce) pation plovment Unad- Season- rate, ad- unad-l justed ally justed justed Percent 2,878 60. 1 3. 8 2,977 60. 6 3.8 2, 816 60. 7 3.6 2, 832 61. 1 3. 5 4, 085 61. 3 4.9 85, 008 85, 231 84, 968 87, 230 87, 955 87, 248 85, 656 86, 255 86, 386 86, 165 77, 957 78, 408 78, 357 79, 382 80, 291 79, 894 78, 256 78, 916 78, 741 78, 516 74, 786 74, 877 74, 632 75, 174 76, 173 76, 112 74, 730 75, 522 75, 515 75, 564 3,733 3, 552 3,384 4. 669 4,510 4, 220 4, 292 4, 259 4, 607 4, 636 85, 918 86, OS1 85, 849 85, 392 85, 865 85, 904 86, 084 86, 879 86, 512 86, 622 88, 600 82, 760 82, 621 82, 213 82, 711 82, 770 82, 975 83, 800 83, 473 83, 609 78, 969 78, 886 78, 601 78, 299 78, 574 78, 508 78, 479 78, 691 78, 550 78, 463 3,631 3,874 4,020 3,914 4,137 4, 262 \ 4,496 4,609 4,923 5,146 4. 6 4. 3 4. 1 5. 6 5. 3 3,353 3, 408 75, 436 75, 317 75, 031 74, 763 75, 066 75, 073 75, 043 75, 398 75, 197 75, 055 5. 2 5. 1 5. 5 5. 6 5. 5 85, 628 85, 653 85, 598 85, 780 77, 77, 77, 78, 74, 361 74, 415 74, 452 74, 699 5, 5, 5, 4, 86, 873 86, 334 86, 405 86, 665 83, 897 83, 384 83, 475 83, 783 78, 864 78, 537 78, 475 78, 698 3,413 3, 329 3,396 3,558 75, 451 75, 208 75, 079 75, 140 5,033 4,847 5, 000 \ 5,085 6. 6 6. 6 6. 3 5. 7 5. 8 6. 0 6. 1 Total labor force (including Armed Forces) 78, 893 80, 793 82, 272 84, 239 85, 903 238 262 493 204 414 442 175 694 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. 10 - f *16 YEARS OF AGE 'AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period ~ : 1969 19 58 _<™ -^ Civiliabn emplo yment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural 3,533 3,569 3,570 3,536 3,508 3,435 3,436 <z? 5>Q<? O, fjtjfj Nonagricultural 5.0 NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 4-4 4- 7 4. 9 4. 8 5. 0 5. 1 5.4 5.9 6. 2 6.0 60.9 61. 0 60.7 62. 3 62. 7 62. 1 60. 9 61. 2 61.2 61. 0 60. 5 60.5 60.3 60. 4 DELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose from 6.0 percent in March to 6.1 percent in April. The unemployment rate for married men declined from 3.2 to 3.1 percent. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED 1965 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IA8OR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Uner iplovmen I rate (percen t of civilijin labor for ce in groi P) Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Labor Experi- Married force enced All men time lost! Over 40 wage and hours (wife workers salary present) workers 3.8 3.8 3.6 3. 5 Per cent 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.3 1. 9 1.8 1.6 1. 5 2. 6 4. 8 Seasonalt y adjusted 4. 2 2. 2 4. 4 4.9 1970: Mar Apr__ May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan_ Feb Mar _ __ Apr_ __ _ _ Persons at work i n nonagri cultural ir idustries by hours worked p>er week 2 Uiider 35 ho urs 4.7 4.9 4. 8 5. 0 5. 1 5. 4 5.5 5.9 6. 2 6.0 5. 8 6. 0 6. 1 4.3 4.8 4. 6 4. 9 5. 0 5. 2 5.4 5.7 6. 1 5. 8 5. 6 5. 8 5. 7 2.3 2. 5 2. 5 2. 7 2. 8 2. 9 3. 0 3. 2 3.4 3.3 3. 2 3. 2 3. 1 4.2 4. 2 4.0 3. 9 5. 4 4. 8 5.0 5. 5 4. 9 5. 4 5. 5 5. 9 6. 1 6.4 6. 4 6.4 6. 3 6. 5 6. 4 Part-ti me for economi c reasons Total Part-ti me for economi c reasons Usually Usualty Usually fullpartfulltime 3 time 4 time 3 Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye ars of age and over 21, 334 32, 088 12, 034 871 793 20, 920 32, 616 13, 290 1,060 853 20, 600 32, 658 14, 785 895 820 20, 608 34, 201 15, 210 955 855 18, 925 33, 537 18, 222 1, 201 995 I Jnadjustec I Seasonall y 20, 321 35, 857 15, 807 1, 120 768 1,083 19, 818 36, 110 16, 019 1, 308 799 1, 378 19, 928 35, 898 15, 737 1, 116 835 1,235 19, 263 36, 354 14, 182 1, 321 1, 250 1, 145 18, 529 34, 686 13, 402 1,204 1, 559 1,248 18, 459 34, 782 13, 004 1, 390 1, 307 1,392 12, 872 17, 072 40, 209 1,071 973 1,005 19, 639 34, 154 18, 177 1, 253 920 1, 347 18, 647 31, 704 21, 993 1, 250 1, 103 1,249 20, 233 36, 249 16, 433 1, 020 1,309 1,382 19, 070 35, 687 16, 576 1, 442 973 1,377 18, 463 33, 881 18, 966 1, 267 1, 123 1,227 19, 448 1 35, 830 16, 267 5 1, 284 1,5 093 1, 242 18, 207 35, 767 16, 650 1, 242 988 1,309 1 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. 2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. 8 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 35-40 hours Usually parttime * adjusted 852 958 993 979 1, 058 967 1,070 1,062 1, 164 1, 151 3, 107 1,231 1,213 1,185 *6 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24.1; usually part-time, 18.6 NOTE.—See Note, p. 10. Source: Department of Labor. II UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In April, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 349/000 higher than a year earlier. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rale rose slightly to 4.0 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS JAN. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MAR. MAY APRIL JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. A 11 progranOS 1967 1968 1969 1970 » 1970: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan* Feb * Mar " Apr v Week ended: 1971: Apr 3 10 17 24 p May 1 8" Source: Department of Labor. 12 DEC COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURC6 DEPARTMENT OF lABOt Period NOV. OCT. Steite progra ms Total Insured unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unem(milemploy- ment ployment (weekly lions ment averof dolage) lars) Thou sands 56, 342 1,270 57, 976 1, 187 "60, 003 1, 177 1, 950 "59, 167 1, 917 1,885 1,778 1, 696 1,897 ___ 1, 855 1,746 1, 886 2, 233 2, 632 3, 198 3,214 3,091 2, 628 2, 920 2 ? 865 2, 797 2, 686 2, 592 2, 220. 0 2, 191. 0 2, 298. 6 4, 131. 4 355. 1 345.6 315. 5 315. 4 340. 8 340. 5 328.5 332. 0 372. 9 484. 1 567. 2 579. 5 605. 3 599. 6 Initial claims Insurec 1 unernBenefit & paid ploymei] t as percent of covered Total Average emplo yment (milweekly lions of check Unad- Seasonad- dollars) (dollars) justed ally justed Exhaustions Weekly iiverage, t housands 1, 205 226 17 1, 111 16 201 1, 101 16 200 1,810 24 295 1,798 245 20 1,770 298 23 1,667 24 246 1,583 248 25 1,761 24 333 1,710 248 26 1,607 244 26 1, 724 26 278 2, 017 30 335 2, 369 28 398 2,799 31 427 2,751 321 31 2, 582 275 36 2, 119 257 35 2,406 2,374 2,323 2,227 2, 144 267 278 258 249 237 260 Per cent 2.5 2.2 2. 1 3.4 3. 5 3. 4 3. 2 3. 0 3.3 3.2 3. 0 3. 2 3.7 4. 4 4-1 4.4 4. 5 4.0 5.3 3. 7 5. 2 4. 9 4. 5 1 2.8 3. 1 3. 6 3. 7 8. 5 3. 7 3.8 8.9 4.0 2, 092. 3 2, 031. 6 2, 127. 9 3, 848. 5 331. 1 321.5 293. 6 292. 3 314,2 312. 3 299. 2 304. 2 342. 1 461.5 524. 4 536. 1 565. 9 559. 7 41. 25 43. 43 46. 17 50. 31 48. 93 49. 20 49.46 49. 68 49. 57 50. 63 50. 64 51. 45 52. 24 52. 43 52. 91 53. 89 54. 19 54.37 4. 5 4. 5 4. 4 4. 2 4. 0 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included and for Puerto Rico since 1963. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT kTotal nonagricultural payroll employment (seasonally adjusted) rose by 57,000 in April. Employment declined in manufacturing but rose in private nonmanufacturing and government employment with the increases concentrated mainly in construction and State and local government. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 16 (ENLARGED S<:ALE) 76 | +~*>~r~^ ^ \ WHOI ESALE AND RET/UL TRADE &**** *^ 1 - - — . —•-"""*"" r—r "" SERVIC ES 1A J V 40 - ^•L»*^"* i-T-t ..I ! DURABLE MANUFACTURE4G *~* , 12 NONMANUFACTURINC NONMANUFACTURING . (PRIVATE) L,., '" ^ *v* •^ > in NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING * I MANUFACTURING \ 20 «i,v ^ .... '<«•« - 7 16 GOVERNMENT *COh4TRACT CONS'FRUCTION 4 12 A\ \ i i l 1 l l l l l 1968 1969 1970 1968 1971 ,,.,-!,,,,, 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR ! ! ! ! 1 1 ! ! 1 1 l ! ! 1 1 ! 1 i ! 1 I IK 1970 1971 S COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted] Manufac turing (]arivate) Total Period Total 1965. _ _ _ _ 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Mar.. Apr__ MayJune. July— Au%'_Sept_ Oct__ Nov.. Dec__ 1971: Jan Feb__ Mar*Apr *_ 60, 815 63, 955 65, 857 67, 915 70, 274 70, 664 71, 242 71, 149 70, 839 70, 629 70, 587 70, 414 70, 531 70, 182 70, 085 70, 303 70, 652 70, 590 70, 662 70, 719 18, 062 19, 214 19, 447 19, 781 20, 169 19, 393 19, 944 19, 795 19, 572 19, 477 19, 402 19, 271 19, 285 18, 684 18, 538 18, 842 18, 807 18, 728 18, 679 18, 645 NonDurable durable goods goods 10, 406 11, 284 11,439 11, 626 11, 893 11, 203 11, 648 11, 529 11, 386 11, 286 11, 217 11, 134 11, 145 10, 602 10, 455 10, 756 10, 717 10, 662 10, 618 10, 582 7 656 7 930 8 008 8 155 8 277 8 190 8 296 8,266 8, 186 8, 191 8, 185 8, 137 8, 140 8, 082 8,083 8,086 8,090 8,066 8,061 8,063 N onmanu Facturinj? (private) Total Mining 32, 679 33, 950 35, 012 36, 288 37, 902 38, 675 38, 795 38, 744 38, 666 38, 593 38, 594 38, 547 38, 661 38, 780 38, 772 38, 682 39, 022 39, 013 39, 099 39, 122 i Includes ail full-and part-time wage and salary workers in nonciffricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part ol the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servant?, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed 632 627 613 606 619 622 626 622 620 620 618 619 621 621 625 625 625 623 622 621 Con- Transtract portation conand strue- public tion utilities 3,186 4,036 3, 275 4, 151 3, 208 4, 261 3, 285 4, 310 3,437 4,431 3,347 4,498 3, 481 4, 502 3, 426 4,468 3,351 4, 478 3, 324 4, 511 3, 314 4, 539 3,305 4,520 3, 262 4, 511 3, 278 4, 509 3, 303 4,493 3, 319 4,437 3,241 4,499 3, 198 4,521 3,258 4,517 3, 307 4, 481 Whole- Finance, insursale ance, Services and and retail real trade estate 12, 716 3,023 9,087 13, 245 3, IOC 9,551 13, 606 3,225 10, 099 14, 084 3,382 10, 623 14, 645 3, 557 11,211 14, 950 3,679 11, 577 14, 984 3, 665 11, 537 14, 991 3, 673 11, 564 14, 968 3, 677 11, 572 14, 927 3, 679 11, 532 14, 933 3,676 11, 514 14, 912 3, 670 11, 521 14, 961 3,684 11, 622 15, Oil 3, 696 11, 665 14, 945 3,711 11, 695 14, 851 3,723 11, 727 15, 133 3,746 11, 778 15, 141 3, 745 11, 785 15, 142 3, 753 11, 807 15, 143 3, 779 1 11, 791 Gover nment Federal State and local 2,378 2,564 2,719 2,737 2, 758 2,705 2,766 2,838 2,768 2,689 2,668 2, 659 2,649 2,654 2,661 2, 650 2,656 2,659 2,657 2, 668 7, 696 8,227 8, 679 9, 109 9,446 9,891 9,737 9,772 9,833 9, 870 9,923 9,937 9, 936 10, 064 10, 114 10, 129 10, 167 10, 190 10, 227 10, 284 persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes: and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based ou roports from employing establishments. NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 13 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek (seasonally adjusted) for private nonfarm production workers rose by 0.1 hours to 37.1 hours in April. Average hours also increased in retail trade but declined in manufacturing and construction. HOURS PER WEEK-i 46 HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY 46 TOTAL NOT-^AGRICULTURE0. PRIVATE iASONALLY ADJUSTED) MANUFACTURING 44 A") 42 in 40 38 <****»**>™»*^ •V**" 38 *»«^ % "N p36 ~)A 34 Al 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 i V i i i i i 1 i i i .1 i1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 3970 1969 1968 1 1 I 1 ! I I I 1 1 1K 1971 34 l/li n i i I i > 1968 1969 1970 1971 42 42 RETAIL TRAC)E CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 40 40 38 -50 36 1A 34 34 32 00 ! p^~»^_____w_iBB^___^ -*** 30 / ! > . . . . 1 . . . , . 30 1968 1969 1970 V 1971 1968 \ 1 I 1 I I I ! 1 1 1 1 f I 1 1 \ f 1 1 ! 1 1 1 ! 1 ! 1 ( T I_ ! ! K 1970 1969 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Average hours per week1] Period Total nonagricultural private 2 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 196S 1969 1970 1970: Mar... Apr__ _ May June_ _ Julv Aug... _ Sept Oct Nov__ Dec 1971: Jan Feb v Mar . Apr v 38. 6 38.7 38.8 38. 7 38. 8 38.6 38. 0 37. 8 37. 7 37. 2 37.2 36. 9 37. 0 37.4 37. 6 37. 6 37. 0 37. 0 36. 8 37. 1 36. 7 36. 6 36. 8 36. 8 1 _ _ _ _ _ Manufacturing Contract construction Unad justed 39. 8 36. 9 40. 4 37. 0 40. 5 37. 3 37. 2 40. 7 41. 2 37. 4 41. 3 37. 6 40. 6 37. 7 40. 7 37. 4 40. 6 37. 9 39. 8 37. 4 40. 0 37. 2 39. 7 37. 9 39. 8 38. 1 40. 0 38. 4 39. 9 38. 5 39. 8 38. 5 39. 6 36. 2 39. 6 37.6 39. 7 36. 2 39. 9 37.4 39. 6 36. 1 39.4 35. 5 39. 7 37. 1 37. 1 39. 5 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. IS. 14 Retail trade 3 Total nonagricultural private 2 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 Seasonal!}r adjusted 37. 6 37. 4 37. 3 37. 0 36. 6 35. 9 35. 3 34. 7 34. 2 33. 8 33. 4 33. 3 33. 5 34. 1 34. 9 35. 0 33. 9 33. 5 33.4 33. 9 33.2 33. 1 33. 2 33. 4 i 37.4 37. 2 87. 1 37. 2 37. S 37. 2 36. 8 36. 9 36. 9 37. 0 37. 1 36. 9 37.0 37. 1 * Includes eating and drinking places. Source: Department of Labor. 40. 2 40. 0 39. 8 39. 8 40. 1 39. S 39.3 39. 4 39. 6 39. 6 39. 8 39.5 39.9 39. 8 S8.0 38. 3 38. 1 37. 6 37. 4 37. S 35. 1 36. 9 37. 1 38. 0 37. 1 36. 8 37.9 37. 5 <2?<2? C 00. 0 &a> 7 fJO. &0 I Q oo. & ff>0 Q OO. 0 O<3 Q OO. <J 33. 9 33. 8 33. 8 33. 8 33. 6 83.6 33.5 33. 6 0Q Q 00. O AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of private nonfarm production workers increased by 2 cents in April to $3.39, or about percent above a year earlier. Average weekly earnings increased 73 cents in April to $124.75. DOLLARS 240 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS DOLLARS 6.00 AVERAGE 1HOURLY EARNIINGS ,~> tr f)f\ yx<cx^^ CONTRACT A* cc)NSTRUCTION .+4' "s-^y CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION - iM 160 3.00 , X -*— """" MANUFACTURING ^...«« <*y k-*** MAN JFACTURING ""•'•'"^Zi^p —TOTAL -~^ NONAG \ RICULTURAL 120 PRIVA TE TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE *— '""T""' •^ ""*"*"""* 2.00 80 RETAIL TRADE - A RETAIL TRADE 1 00 A, . M , ! , , , ,, Y 1 I 1 t ! 1 t ! 1 M ! 1 I 1 ! 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 ! 1 ! 1 I t t I 1 IN 1970 1969 1968 40 Ij, 1971 1968 1969 1970 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Period Average ] lourly earn ings— curr<3nt prices Average Tweekly earrlings— curr ent prices Total nonagricultural private l Total nonagricultural private 1 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Mar Apr May June July Aug>__ _ _ Sept Oct Nov_ Dec 1971: Jan F e b _ _v_ _ _ _ _ Mar Apr v 1 Also includes other 2 Includes eating and 3 $2. 14 2.22 2.28 2. 36 2. 45 2. 56 2.68 2.85 3. 04 3.23 3. 17 3. 18 3.20 3. 21 3. 23 3. 25 3. 29 3.28 3. 29 3. 30 3. 34 3. 35 3.37 3. 39 Manufacturing $2. 32 2.39 2. 46 2. 53 2. 61 2. 72 2.83 3.01 3. 19 3.36 3.31 3. 32 3.34 3. 36 3. 37 3. 37 3. 42 3.37 3. 39 3.47 3. 50 3. 51 3. 52 3. 54 Contract construction $3. 20 3. 31 3. 41 3.55 3.70 3.89 4. 11 4. 41 4.78 5. 22 5. 06 5. 09 5. 10 5. 13 5. 20 5. 30 5.36 5.42 5. 43 5. 43 5.50 5. 53 5. 51 5. 54 Retail trade 2 $1. 56 1. 63 1. 68 1.75 1. 82 1.91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 44 2.41 2. 41 2.43 2. 43 2. 44 2. 44 2. 48 2.48 2. 49 2.47 2. 52 2. 54 2. 54 2. 55 private industry groups shown on p. 13 drinking places. Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude the effects of overtime and anterindustry shifts. 60-771 °—71- $82. 60 85. 91 88. 46 91.33 95. 06 98. 82 101. 84 107. 73 114. 61 120. 16 117. 92 117. 34 118. 40 120. 05 121. 45 122. 20 121. 73 121. 36 121. 07 122. 43 122. 58 122. 61 124. 02 124. 75 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 2 $92. 34 96.56 99. 63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 132. 40 131. 80 132. 93 134. 40 134. 46 134. 13 135. 43 133. 45 134. 58 138. 45 138. 60 138. 29 139. 74 139. 83 $118. 08 122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 38 146. 26 154. 95 164. 93 181. 16 195. 23 188. 23 192. 91 194. 31 196. 99 200. 20 204. 05 194. 03 203. 79 196. 57 203. 08 198. 55 196. 32 204. 42 205. 53 $58. 66 60. 96 62. 66 64. 75 66. 61 68. 57 70. 95 74. 95 78. 66 82.47 80. 49 80. 25 81. 41 82. 86 85. 16 85. 40 84.07 83.08 83. 17 83. 73 83. 66 84. 07 84.33 85. 17 Manufa icturing indusstries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, ings, 1967= 1967 100s prices 4 83. 6 85.7 87.8 90. 0 92.4 95. 5 100.0 106. 1 112. 3 119. 4 117. 4 118. 0 118. 8 119. 1 119. 7 120.3 121. 5 121. 0 121. 8 123.7 124. 6 125. 2 125. 6 126. 6 $103. 106. 108. 110. 113. 115. 114. 117. 117. 114. 115. 114. 114. 115. 115. 114. 115. 113. 113. 116. 116. 115. 116. 06 58 65 84 79 58 90 57 95 99 63 41 89 56 22 74 26 00 57 25 28 82 64 * Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION In April, industrial production (seasonally adjusted) increased 0.3 percent to the highest level since August 1970. However, April production was 2.5 percent below a year earlier. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 150 UTILITIES AND MINING TOTAL ion 140 nfi 130 UTILITIES ,-i • ••• inn —^1 •""—1 120 on 80 110 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 I ! I ! i i i i i 1 i i i iI 1968 1969 i i t i i 1 i i iii 1970 II MINING ! I 1 1 1 1 t 11 100 1971 1968 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969___ _ 1970 p 1970: Mar Apr Mav June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec__ 1971: Jan Feb Mar Apr* _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___ Total 104 65.4 72.0 76. 1 81. 6 90. 7 100. 7 100. 0 103.7 107. 8 73. 0 77.5 81. 0 85. 8 91. 1 97.5 100.0 105. 6 110. 3 82.9 84. 8 87. 2 90. 1 92.7 97.3 100. 0 102. 3 105. 2 66. 1 71. 1 75.7 81.8 87. 0 94. 1 100. 0 109. 5 119. 6 70.2 75. 6 78. 9 83. 3 90. 0 98.2 100.0 104. 3 107. 9 75.8 80.6 84.3 88. 7 94. 5 99.3 100. 0 105.7 109. 4 60.4 66. 7 69. 2 73.6 81. 9 96. 2 100. 0 101. 8 105. 1 68.7 74. 1 78.4 84. 2 91. 4 99.5 100.0 105. 1 106 68.6 74.3 78.2 83. 3 90. 8 99. 3 100. 0 104. 5 108. 9 108. 2 107. 7 106. 9 106. 8 107. 0 106.8 104. 9 102. 7 102. 2 104. 0 104.7 104.5 104. 7 105.0 107. 0 106. 4 105. 3 105. 2 105. 5 105. 0 102. 5 99. 8 99.6 101. 5 102. 4 102. 1 102.4 102. 5 104. 5 102.9 102. 4 102.2 102. 3 101. 8 98.0 93.8 92. 5 95. 4 96.4 96. 3 96.3 96. 3 110. 3 111. 2 109. 1 109. 2 110. 0 109.3 108.5 108. 0 109. 1 109. 8 110. 5 109. 9 110.4 110.7 109. 1 108.2 108. 9 109. 5 108. 1 110. 7 112.2 113. 0 112. 6 112. 1 111. 4 110. I 112. 0 112. 5 124. 6 126. 4 127. 0 127. 3 127.8 127. 5 131. 3 132. 4 129. 1 129.8 130. 6 132. 6 131. 0 132. 5 107. 2 106. 4 105. 9 105. 6 105. 4 105. 2 103.0 100. 9 100.7 102. 9 103. 2 103. 0 103. 2 103.0 109. 1 109.9 109. 9 109. 6 110. 1 110. 1 107.8 105. 7 105. 7 109.4 110.8 110.8 111.9 112. 3 103. 8 100. 3 98.8 98.3 96.8 96. 4 94. 5 92.5 91. 7 91.5 89.9 88.9 87. 7 86. 8 108. 8 108.9 108. 0 108. 5 108. 6 108.5 107.0 104. 4 103. 8 105. 2 106. 5 106. 3 106.5 107. 2 Total industrial production Period _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Miinufactur ing Mining Utilities NonTotal Durable durable 69.4 74. 8 78. 6 83. 7 90.7 98. 9 100. 0 104. 7 109. 3 101 110 NOTE.—The indexes In this table were converted to a 1967 base from the Federal Keserve indexes published on a 1957-59 base. 16 110 128 Mai•ket Fiiaal produi3tS 105 Consumer goods 109 Equipment 98 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. T\/T 4-f\ rials 110.6 108 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES (n April, production of primary metals (seasonally adjusted) rose 2% percent, reflecting a further increase in iron and steel. The 21/2 percent decline in transportation equipment was largely in motor vehicles. Output of most nondurables registered small gains. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 120 PRIMARY METALS FABRICATED METAL \ /"..., PRODUCTS A .V. > " V / 110 100 JL 90 1968 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 FOODS, BEVERAGES, ) TOBACCO TOBACCO \-— _TEXTILES, APPAREL, AND LEATHER 80 1968 1968 1969 1970 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Durab le manufctctures Period 1961 1962._ 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970* 1970: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar_ Apr » Primary metals 74.6 78. 9 85.5 97. 4 103. 8 107. 7 100. 0 103. 4 112. 5 106 107. 1 104. 8 107. 6 107. 7 109. 6 109. 9 107. 6 101. 1 97. 6 102.2 103. 8 106. 3 108.0 111 FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, cated Machin- tation and and apparel, petrobevermetal ery equipand prodprint- leum, and ages, and products ment ing leather rubber tobacco ucts 65. 8 72.3 76.2 82. 0 91. 3 100.7 100. 0 103. 7 111. 1 60.2 67. 3 70.4 77.1 87. 5 100. 2 100.0 100. 5 106.7 62. 5 71. 4 76.6 78. 9 90. 0 100. 7 100. 0 108.3 105.4 86.7 90.8 93.2 96. 3 100.4 102. 1 100. 0 104.6 101. 9 77.8 82. 6 85. 0 89.8 97.4 101. 6 100. 0 103. 9 103. 4 98 108 118 110. 1 108. 2 105. 9 106. 4 106. 5 106. 2 104.5 99. 2 98. 0 98.8 100.7 101. 4 101.8 108. 6 106. 3 104. 1 103. 9 104.3 103. 8 101. 5 99. 7 97.6 96.3 95.3 94. 3 94.5 94. 1 92.4 94, 9 96. 5 95.4 94. 6 83. 9 73.6 73.6 86. 0 89.7 89.8 88.5 96.7 98. 8 99. 3 92. 0 94.5 97. 7 92. 6 94. 2 91. 5 90.5 100.1 100. 0 98.6 99. 6 98. 1 97.4 97.5 97. 5 97.0 97. 3 95. 4 97.3 98. 3 96. 9 97.9 109.9 110. 3 109. 0 108. 1 108. 2 108. 4 105. 3 105. 4 107. 3 106. 8 106. 9 106.9 106.6 118. 3 119. 5 115. 9 118. 1 119. 4 117. 6 116. 8 116. 6 117. 9 118. 5 118. 9 117.9 118.6 106 102 103 95 NOTE.—The indexes in this table were converted to a 1967 base from the Federal Keserve indexes published on a 1957-69 base. Nc>ndurable manufactu res 90 86 98 75. 1 78. 0 80. 3 85.2 90. 4 97. 9 100. 0 103.9 109. 9 i 106 62. 6 69. 1 74.6 80. 3 86. 6 95. 7 100. 0 109. 3 117. 2 119 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 83.7 86. 0 88. 7 91. 7 93. 7 97.3 100. 0 102. 7 105. 5 107 107.3 108. 0 107. 3 105. 7 106. 3 106. 4 107. 1 105. 1 107. 2 108. 4 110. 0 110. 1 110.5 111 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Production of steel continued to increase in April. Output of cars was somewhat below the levels of recent months. Most other weekly indicators also declined. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS STEEL (DAILY AVERAGE) 2.5 3.5 2.0 1968 2.5 1.5 \ W 1968 -1969 1.0 1.5 * J F M A M J N J J F BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS THOUSANDS 35 300 M A M J J 25 20 M A M SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE.' DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Fericd Weekly average: 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970* 1970: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec__ _ _ _ 1971: Jan Feb Mar Apr? Week ended: 1971: Apr 3 10 17 24 May 1 8" 15" Steel p reduced Index Thousands (1967= of net tons 100) 18 Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Car 3 and trLicks power coal mined assemb led (thoiisands) produced loaded distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of short (millions of Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) kilowatt-hours) tons) l 2,431 2, 521 2, 572 2, 440 2, 515 2, 709 2, 522 2,683 2,654 2, 613 2,639 2, 439 2,430 2, 506 2, 415 2, 333 2, 361 2, 545 2, 719 2,854 2,925 99.6 103. 3 105. 4 100. 0 103. 1 111. 0 103.4 110. 0 108. 8 107. 1 108.2 100. 0 99. 6 102. 7 99. 0 95.6 96. 8 104. 3 111.4 117.0 119. 9 18, 728 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 25, 244 27, 588 29, 288 28, 116 27, 508 27, 875 29, 747 31, 406 32, 191 30, 180 27, 664 28, 306 29, 442 31, 200 30, 864 29, 993 28, 570 1,630 1,735 1, 798 1,868 1, 827 1,894 1, 990 1, 988 1, 981 1, 937 1, 899 2, 019 2,017 2, 067 2, 047 2, 173 2, 057 2, 058 1, 954 2, 125 2,067 558 562 570 540 543 543 522 518 536 566 557 501 540 541 553 514 454 488 487 506 523 384 410 446 439 479 507 489 513 510 516 498 446 490 469 497 501 442 488 506 516 508 178.8 213.7 199. 3 172. 9 207.6 195. 7 158. 9 184. 6 177. 9 212. 6 228. 1 133. 9 99. 6 137. 8 113. 1 108. 0 155. 8 220. 3 231. 0 230. 2 211. 6 148.8 179.4 165. 4 142. 4 170.1 158. 1 125. 9 148. 6 145. 5 171. 9 185. 0 102. 9 64. 6 107. 1 88. 8 86. 7 125.7 181. 7 188. 8 188. 1 170. 6 30.0 34.3 33. 9 30. 5 37.5 37. 6 33. 0 36.0 32. 4 40.7 43. 1 31. 0 34. 9 30. 7 24. 4 21. 3 30. 1 38. 5 42. 2 42. 1 40. 9 2, 940 2, 932 2, 905 2,926 2,960 2,960 2 2, 927 120. 5 120. 2 119. 1 119. 9 121. 3 121. 3 120. 0 29, 326 28, 633 28, 111 28, 641 28, 897 28, 755 2, 140 2, 195 2,237 2,233 2, 162 2 2, 083 514 506 511 535 542 535 526 524 504 507 498 512 228. 1 179. 9 190. 6 239. 0 236. 7 238. 0 2 238. 0 184. 0 146.4 150.3 193. 5 192. 3 197. 3 195. 7 44. 2 33. 5 40. 3 45. 5 44. 4 40. 7 42. 3 1 Daily average. Includes data for Alaska. *Not charted. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Sources- American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) declined 1% percent in March—the first decrease since July 1970. Small declines were recorded in private nonresidential and public construction. Xs BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 100 SEASC)NALLY ADJUSTED ANNUA RATES , 90 / on TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION^ ^^ ,-^1 70 80 , X --—^ 50 —N^ ^a- V-- s f.n ^+*"~l *m> PRIVATE * ^ en *** 40 30 ,...,...»...,........,...«•»""" •""•• .„.."..,. ,<••.. PUBLIC »«««»«»««'«fititj ^••••""" ..•*»,v % «•' ..•-•.....••-n,,, \ " OA %v...««»....^./ 20 A] \ 1 I 1 ! 1 I 1 ! 1 1 1 ! I I 1 f I 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 I I ! ! 1 I 1 f 1 I t ! t 1 1 V ! 1 1 t I l i l t ? i i » r ? 1 i r i i iK 40 PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) 20 1965 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Total new construction expenditures 72. 3 75. 1 76. 2 84.7 90. 9 91. 3 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total 50. 3 51. 1 50. 6 57.0 62.8 63. 1 Private Residentiabl nonfarm CommerNew • cial and housing industrial Total l units Bi] lions of doll ars 20. 4 26.3 11. 9 24. 0 18. 0 13. 6 17. 9 23. 7 13. 1 22. 4 13.9 28. 8 30. 6 23. 7 16. 5 21. 9 16. 5 29. 3 Other 12. 1 13. 6 13. 7 14.2 15. 7 17. 4 Federal, State, and local 22. 1 24. 0 25. 6 27. 7 28. 1 28. 2 92.0 90. 7 90. 7 89. 7 90. 1 89. 1 90. 0 91. 0 92. 3 92.9 98. 0 101. 8 104.2 102. 7 63.3 64. 2 63. 6 62. 7 61. 7 60.7 61. 5 62. 7 64. 5 64. 5 66. 9 69.9 70.8 70.5 28.7 29.4 29. 8 29. 2 27. 7 27. 0 27.5 28. 8 30. 5 31. 8 33. 3 34. 4 35. 6 36. 5 21. 2 21. 4 21. 3 20. 6 20. 0 20. 4 21. 4 22. 3 23.2 24. 1 25. 7 26. 9 28. 1 28.9 1 Includes nonhousek<jeping resident! 11 construction imd additions a nd alterauons, not shown separa tely. 2 F. W. Dodge series, Relates to 50 S tates beginning 1970 for value ndex and beginning 1971 for floor £ pace. 17.7 17.7 16. 8 16.4 16. 8 15. 9 16.4 16. 1 16. 2 15. 0 15. 7 17. 5 17. 4 16. 5 93.2 94. 8 100.0 113. 2 123.7 123. 1 Seasonally adjusted £easo?ia^/ adjusted atinual rates 1970: Feb Mar Apr May _ _ . . June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan___ ... Feb Mar" Constructio a con tracts2 CommerTotal value cial and index, industrial (1967 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 17.0 17. 0 17. 0 17. 1 17. 2 17.7 17. 5 17. 8 17.8 17.7 17. 9 18. 0 17. 8 17. 5 28.6 26. 6 27. 1 27. 0 28. 4 28.4 28. 5 28. 3 27.9 28.3 31. 1 31. 9 33. 4 32. 1 137 132 130 110 120 116 135 118 115 130 132 117 126 141 693 769 705 792 902 760 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 946 831 790 717 658 830 742 746 623 647 656 652 600 785 NOTE.— Data fc>r Alaska and 11awaii included b eginning 1959 (e?tceptasnoted). and McC raw-Hill Inforalation Systems „ Sources: Depai•tment of COITLmerce ompany, F. W. Dodge Divisiori. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housing starts leveled off in April at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.9 million units. MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 1.0 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA) [Thousands of units] Hou sing star ts Period 1965__ 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar v Apr* Total private Total and private public (including (including farm) farm) Total One unit 1, 509. 6 1, 195. 9 1, 321. 9 1, 545. 5 1, 499. 6 1, 467. 0 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 7 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 7 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 963. 8 778. 5 843. 9 899. 5 810. 6 812. 9 117. 8 130. 2 127. 3 141. 6 143. 4 131. 6 133.4 143. 4 128.3 123.9 114. 8 104. 6 168. 6 202. 9 114. 7 128. 4 125. 0 135. 2 140. 8 128. 7 130. 9 140. 9 126.9 121. 4 110. 6 102. 2 167. 2 200.4 1, 392 1,224 1,242 1, 393 1, 603 1,425 1,509 1,583 1, 693 2,054 1, 725 1,754 1,950 1,903 708 697 728 835 827 838 881 890 934 Total (includingI farm) 1, 240 20 946 985 1,045 1, 081 'Authorized by issuance of local building permit; in 13,000 permit issuing places beginning 1967; 12,000 for 1963-66; and 10,000 prior to 1963. '* Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. Propose d home constr action Private Gover nment home p rograms (nonl arm) Two or FHA more VA units 509. 1 159.9 49. 4 386. 5 129. 1 36. 8 141. 9 52. 5 447.7 608. 2 147. 7 56. 1 656. 2 153. 6 51. 2 620. 7 233. 5 61. 0 Seasona lly ad justed annu al 684 527 514 558 776 587 628 693 759 814 779 769 905 822 185 207 194 215 230 238 246 266 288 354 410 290 265 60 60 57 52 51 64 60 64 71 78 76 73 83 93 New private housing units authorized l 1, 239. 8 971. 9 1, 141. 0 1, 353. 4 1, 322. 3 1, 324. 2 rates 1,085 1, 177 1,309 1,285 1,309 1,378 1,388 1,523 1,487 1, 768 1, 635 1,563 1,627 1,618 Applica- Requests tions for for VA FHA appraiscommitals 2 ments 2 188. 9 153. 0 167. 2 168. 9 187. 6 315. 0 102. 1 99. 2 124. 3 131. 7 138. 2 143. 7 258 281 271 291 297 327 337 326 345 474 371 350 336 144 135 133 126 126 152 139 168 157 149 190 174 183 210 NOTE.—Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and Veterans Administration (VA). USINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE Dusiness inventories (seasonally adjusted) rose about $0.5 billion in March continuing the pattern of modest monthly changes evident since last fall. Business sales rose 1 percent in March. Retail sales rose 0.5 percent in April, according to advance reports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 180 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) ! 25 I—DURABLE GOODS STORES 20 INVENTORIES 15 10 SALES 30 NONDURABLE GOODS STORES 1969 1968 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total tmsiness l Period Sales 1971 1970 2 Whol esale 4 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Inventories 3 R<-tail 5 Sales 2 Total Inventories> 3 NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total Durable goods stores 29, 386 31, 094 34, 405 38, 073 38, 952 41, 604 44, 623 44, 918 44, 133 44, 325 44, 326 44, 109 44, 527 44, 965 45, 453 45, 691 44, 883 44, 507 44, 918 44, 984 45, 432 46, 416 12, 572 13, 318 15, 253 17, 258 17, 277 18,851 19, 980 19, 040 19, 388 19, 471 19, 426 19, 346 19, 552 19, 739 20, 119 20, 270 19, 291 18, 542 19, 040 18, 987 19, 480 20, 131 Nondurable goods stores liMillions of <dollars, se asonally a dj usted 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept___ Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan Feb v Mar Apr _._ __ 68, 969 73, 685 80, 276 87, 184 88, 962 96, 989 103, 755 106, 488 106, 164 105, 487 105, 087 106, 847 107, 612 108, 393 108, 175 108, 074 106, 224 104, 917 107, 019 108, 996 110, 748 111, 886 105, 477 111, 457 120, 900 136, 988 143, 334 152, 699 164, 917 171, 136 165, 638 166, 149 167, 059 166, 734 167, 375 168, 635 169, 364 170, 038 170, 352 170, 873 171, 136 171, 431 171, 758 172, 281 1 2 The term "business" also includes manufacturing 8 Monthly average for year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adiusted. < Beginning 1961, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 13, 382 14, 527 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 18, 329 19, 726 20, 554 20, 571 20, 463 20, 012 20, 684 20, 656 20, 639 20, 698 20, 714 20, 754 20, 641 20, 718 21, 338 21, 334 21, 386 (see page 22). 16, 048 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 557 22, 528 24, 363 26, 604 24, 853 24, 842 24, 942 24, 990 25, 142 25, 410 25, 423 25, 689 26, 003 26, 334 26, 604 26, 646 26, 806 26, 655 20, 556 21, 823 23, 677 25, 330 26, 151 28, 277 29, 303 30, 381 29, 980 29, 801 30, 536 30, 502 30, 518 30, 729 30, 781 30, 885 30, 534 30, 208 30, 481 31, 154 31,611 32, 183 6 32, 344 6,661 7,049 7,849 8, 192 8,348 9, 187 9,398 9, 141 9, 143 9, 134 9,340 9, 320 9,411 9,487 9, 503 9,556 8,927 8,380 8, 659 9,480 9,785 10, 132 6 10, 269 13, 895 14, 773 15, 828 17, 138 17, 803 19, 090 19, 904 21, 240 20, 837 20, 667 21, 196 21, 182 21, 107 21, 242 21, 278 21, 329 21, 607 21, 828 21, 822 21, 674 21, 826 22, 051 6 22, 075 16, 814 17, 776 19, 152 20, 815 21, 675 22, 753 24, 643 25, 878 24, 745 24, 854 24, 900 24 763 24, 975 25, 226 25, 334 25, 421 25, 592 25, 965 25, 878 25, 997 25, 952 26, 285 5 6 Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Unofficial estimates. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' shipments (seasonally adjusted) increased 1 percent in March while new orders edged down after four monthly increases. ^^ BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 110 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 70 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 100 60 TOTAL 90 50 DURABLE GOODS 30 70 DURABLE GOODS NONDURABLE GOODS- 20 60 J I I M I I I IM 50 40 MANUFACTlJRERS' NEW CORDERS •3A DURABLE GC)ODS \ - v*^-^/**^"^*11>sv ^ —y fn i i t i I i i i i i SOURCE: 1968 40 NONDURABLE GOODS \ NONDURAI iLE GOODS 20 V r*j™.~ y1 ••••"»,„«»»'•••"•«"»•«»••' ,,«m •"""""* 10 -/*s^ t ii i i1 i iiii 1969 1 I ! 1 ! I I ! ! 1! 1970 1 30 . . i . i 1 . . . . .K 1971 „.».>•"•••"" 20 N 1969 1968 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar ^ 35, 032 37, 335 41, 003 44, 876 45, 712 50, 384 54, 727 55, 554 55, 613 55, 223 54, 539 55, 661 56, 438 57, 025 56, 696 56, 475 54, 936 54, 068 55, 820 56, 504 57, 803 58, 317 NonDurable durable goods goods 18, 247 19, 634 22, 216 24, 635 24, 973 27, 653 30, 415 30, 127 30, 273 29, 757 29, 633 30, 488 30, 638 31, 315 31, 270 30, 863 29, 369 28, 815 30, 024 30, 545 31, 352 31, 958 Total Millions 16, 786 60, 043 17, 701 63, 386 18, 788 68, 221 20, 240 78, 224 20, 738 82, 825 22, 731 88, 567 24, 311 95, 931 25, 427 99, 614 25, 340 96, 652 25, 466 96, 982 24, 906 97, 791 25, 173 97, 635 25, 800 97, 706 25, 710 98, 260 25, 426 98, 488 25, 612 98, 658 25, 567 99, 466 25, 253 100, 032 25, 796 99, 614 25, 959 99, 801 26, 451 99, 520 26, 359 99, 210 1 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 NonDurable durable goods goods of dollars 35, 813 38, 436 42, 227 49, 849 53, 530 57, 399 63, 547 65, 548 63, 977 64, 263 64, 689 64, 447 64, 395 65, 079 65, 290 65, 323 65, 628 65, 920 65, 548 65, 610 65, 347 65, 311 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 22 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufac turers' sh ipments 1 Manufacl ,urers' inv entories 2 Period 1970 Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs Total 1 Durat>le goods NonProducers' durable capital Total goods goods industries seasonal] y ad juste d 24, 230 35, 322 18, 521 24, 950 37, 952 20, 258 25, 994 41, 803 22, 986 28, 375 45, 938 25, 709 29, 295 45, 928 25, 189 31, 168 50, 670 27, 942 32, 384 54, 933 30, 624 34, 066 55, 009 29, 570 32, 675 54, 714 29, 368 32, 719 54, 339 28, 861 33, 102 53, 374 28, 449 33, 188 55, 139 29, 977 33, 311 55, 778 30, 028 33, 181 57, 111 31, 399 33, 198 55, 968 30, 537 33, 335 55, 523 29, 856 33, 838 54, 190 28, 504 34, 112 54, 291 29, 009 34, 066 56, 431 30, 602 34, 191 57, 377 31, 405 34, 173 58, 288 31, 867 33, 899 57, 892 31, 504 3,412 3,935 4,435 5, 268 5, 250 5, 804 6, 553 6,429 6,627 5,998 5,984 6,302 6, 281 6,411 6, 299 6,759 6, 552 6,873 6, 554 6, 990 7,518 6,644 16, 801 17, 694 18, 817 20,229 20, 739 22, 728 24, 309 25, 439 25, 346 25, 478 24, 925 25, 162 25, 750 25, 712 25, 431 25, 667 25, 686 25, 282 25, 829 25, 972 26, 421 26, 388 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1958. Source: Department of Commerce. Manufacturers' mventoryshipments ratio 3 1. 69 1. 64 1. 60 1. 62 1.77 1. 70 1. 69 1. 76 1.74 1. 76 1. 79 1. 75 1. 73 1. 72 1. 74 1. 75 1. 81 1. 85 1. 78 1. 77 1.72 1. 70 'fEERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS tie merchandise trade surplus rose to $245 million (seasonally adjusted) in March from $1 36 million in February, or the first time this year, the monthly surplus exceeded the 1970 monthly average of $225 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4.0 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4.0 2.0 2.0 J.5 1.5 J.O 1.0 i i I M f t i ?t M r t i I»i i i i 1965 1971 J/ SEE NOTE BELOtf. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] JN^erehandi se exporlbs Merch andise iiuports Total (includDomesti c exports Gen eral imp Drts 3 mg reexports) l 2 Food, Crude Food, Crude To tal bever- mate- Manubever- mateSeason- Unad- Total 1 2 ages, rials facSeasonages, rials ally ad- justed and to- and ally ad- Unad- and to- and tured justed bacco fuels justed justed good-* bacco fuels Monthly average: 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1 748 1 869 2 153 2 229 2 458 2 586 2 831) 3 111 3 555 1, 725 1, 845 2, 123 2, 201 2, 421 2, 554 2, 802 ,'i, 066 3, 502 312 349 386 377 432 392 M8o 370 421 280 U5 361 ]56 J67 J94 405 417 558 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 139 191 377 453 602 737 985 232 445 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2 2, 3, 3, 366 428 562 786 135 24] 769 004 330 U uidjuste d 1970: Feb__ Alar. Apr__ May. June. July. Aug _ Seot. Oct.. Nov_ Dec__ 1971: Jan.. Feb__ Mar. 3, 547 3, 876 3, 409 3,661 3, 730 3, 699 3, 592 3, 553 3,689 3,499 3; 570 3, 735 3,690 3,815 3, 387 3, 578 3, 597 3, 906 3, 718 3, 550 3, 265 3, 335 3, 917 3,494 3,685 3, 482 3, 527 4, 108 3, 335 3, 538 3, 542 3, 845 3, 670 3, 488 3, 216 3, 283 3, 844 3, 445 3,634 3, 434 3, 470 4, 058 390 371 367 381 396 424 405 429 535 512 485 439 403 455 391 396 419 453 476 447 503 533 546 637 672 759 937 204 313 719 918 159 382 441 590 444 323 345 70 107 225 1, 849 2, 164 2, 208 2, 086 2, 279 2, 186 1, 965 2 271 2, 384 2.263 2, 265 2, 266 2, 163 2, 620 1 269 158 146 323 465 445 246' 125 188 71 166 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, Unad justed 485 538 556 565 608 545 528 536 629 574 667 554 537 596 }tal excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supind equipment under the Military Assistance Program. )tal includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. )tal arrivals of imported goods other than intrarisit shipments. 306 322 335 334 382 392 447 442 520 Grossmerchandise trade Manu- surplus, seasonfacally adtured justed goods 2, 390 2, 555 2, 553 2, 814 2, 564 2, 426 2, 205 2, 242 2, 621 2, 294 2,375 2, 351 2,445 2, 936 3. 278 3, 218 8, 263 3, 338 3, 266 3, 254 3, 346 3,428 3,501 3, 428 3,404 3, 686 3, 553 3, 569 2, 946 3, 381 3, 391 3, 176 3, 504 3, 312 3, 116 3, 452 3, 599 3, 406 3, 556 3, 422 3, 194 3, 912 475 538 560 474 546 504 484 511 547 518 575 523 442 528 533 580 516 520 567 507 561 551 547 516 600 515 480 641 49 136 245 NOTE.—Data adjusted to include silver ore and bullion reported separately prior to 1969. Source: Department of Commerce. <u.& U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES The merchandise trade surplus increased to $1.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 19"/ Data for other components of the balance on soods and services are not yet available. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 40 30 20 SOURCE. DJEPAKTMENT OF COAWEROE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Exports of good s and sei vices Impor ts of good s and senrices Ineomie on investr nents Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 J970 Total Merchan-1 dise Military sales Private Government 39, 399 43, 360 46, 203 50, 622 55, 514 62, 962 26, 447 29, 389 30, 681 33, 588 36, 490 41, 988 830 829 1,240 1,395 1,515 1,479 5,384 5, 659 6,235 6, 922 7,906 8,706 509 593 638 765 932 911 Other services Total Merchan-1 dise 6, 230 6, 891 7,409 7, 952 8, 687 9,825 32, 278 38, 060 40, 990 48, 129 53, 564 59, 291 21, 496 25, 463 26, 821 32, 964 35, 830 39, 859 Balance on Miligoods Other tary and expend- servservices itures ices 2,952 7,831 7, 121 3,764 8,833 5, 300 4,378 9,791 5,213 4,535 10, 630 2,493 4,850 12, 880 1,949 4,837 14, 598 3, 672 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1969: III IV 1970: I II __ III IV.__ 1971: I * 58, 368 59, 068 61, 456 63, 192 63, 876 63, 324 ___ 38, 432 39, 560 40, 964 42, 328 42, 792 41, 868 44, 160 1,832 1,408 1,024 1,720 1,356 1,816 8 172 8 332 9 036 8 264 8 680 8 844 J Adjusted from customs data ior differences in timing and coverage. NOTE.—Merchandise exports and imports of goods and services (p. 24) have been revised for 1969 and 1970. The balances on liquidity basis and on official reserve transactions basis (p. 25) have been revised for 1969 and the fourth quarter 24 972 8,960 924 8,844 960 9,428 964 9,900 896 10, 144 824 9,828 55, 708 56, 300 58, 072 59, 036 59, 876 60, 188 37, 124 37, 616 38, 908 39, 320 39, 948 41, 260 43, 000 4,880 4,980 4,712 5,020 4,840 4,780 13, 704 13, 704 14, 444 14, 700 15, 088 14, 164 2, 660 2,768 3, 384 4, 156 4,000 3, 136 of 1970. See the forthcoming issue of Survey of Current Business, June 1971 for revisions of other data for these periods. Source: Department of Commerce, .S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS Curing the first quarter of 1971, there were balance of payments deficits of $12.3 billion on the liquidity basis and of $22.0 billion on the official reserve transactions basis (both seasonally adjusted annual rates). Both these figures include the 1971 allocation to the United States of $717 million of Special Drawing Rights. BiLLiONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 : BALANCE, OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BASIS -20 1965 1971 J/INCLUDES ALLOCATION OF SPECIAL DRAWING RIGHTS SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] U.S. Government grants and capital, net 1 Period 1965___ 1966___ 1967__ 1968___ 1969___ 1970 _ _ _ 1969: III___ IV... 1970: I !!___ III... IV... 1971: !"___ U.S. pr ivate capi tal, net Direct investment - 3, 406 -3,468 - 3, 444 -3,661 -4, 223 -3, 137 -3,975 -3,209 -3,828 -3,070 -3,235 -3, 967 Other longterm Shortterm Bahmce Errors Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidity net 1 transactions basis 2 Official reserve transactions basis 3 1, 244 - 3, 744 -9, 116 -2,328 652 6,540 1,680 2, 0561 - 3, 420 -5,644 - 1, 960 760 456 -2, 496 -2,900 -5,736 772 -3, 216 -2,844 -2,632 -924 -3, 508 -3,408 -1,640 2, 340 -820 5, 268 -3, 116 4, 256 — 2, 140 980 3,588 certain special Government transactions. Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign official holders, other foreign holders, and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, Special Drawing Rights, convertible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. ~ Equals changes in liquid and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official holders shanges in official reserve assets consisting of gold, Special Drawing Eights srtible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. icludes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of Government bonds and notes. 8 Uentral banks, governments, and U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from reversible gold sales to, and gold deposits with, the U.S. Changes in U.S. To foreigrn official official hold ers 5 To other reserve foreign 6 assets holders (increase N onLiquid [-]) liquid -18 85 - 1, 335 - 1, 289 131 1, 222 761 266 — 1, 595 -1,357 2, 384 568 1, 346 3,472 -3, 544 -3,418 2,020 52 2, 340 1, 641 — 3, 101 171 3, 810 -880 -517 2,700 -996 -7, 012 8, 716 -1, 187 7 — 271 -6,250 -3, 846 7 -9, 821 7, 619 2, 477 Qua rterly tot als, unadj Listed -1,079 753 270 — 576 -256 — 514 — 415 2, 531 -1,292 -1,209 3,360 -1,088 — 1, 116 -1,087 — 514 8,701 -1,588 -575 4, 132 — 2, 841 - 1, 266 -1, 118 3,863 -1, 274 Season ally adjus ted anmKil rates 1, 384 -4,088 -3, 508 -1,796 -3,480 -1, 104 -1, 132 -1, 320 1 Includes 2 Chartges in sel ected liabiliti(3s (decrea se[-]) 4 2, 235 — 506 -509 -165 79677 — 11,604 940 -7, 120 40077 -7, 260 — 2, 248 -13,300 2, 764 539 2, 049 2, 267 412 -1, 692 508 — 129 — 238 -1, 211 -129 -3, 218 - 12,312 7- 22,024 4, 757 7 -5, 7 — 4, 7 -2, 7 7 1, 423 -384 -686 -154 8 — 386 1, 022 801 1, 040 -2,472 145 6 Private holders; includes banks and international and regional organizations' excludes IMF. 7 Includes allocations of Special Drawing Rights. $42: currencies, $G20 million. NOTE.—Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMI See Note, p. 24. Source: Department of Commerce. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES in March, the consumer price index rose 0.3 percent. Food prices were up 0.9 percent, the sharpest monthly rise since late 1969. Nonfood commodities rose 0.3 percent. Consumer services were unchansed on the average with the continued decline in mortgage rates offsetting price increases for other services. Index, 1967 = 100 Index, 1967 = 100 110 110 100 too 90 90 1965 1966 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1967 = 100] Commoditie 3 Period All items 1961 _. 1962 _._ 1963 1964__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Feb Mar _ __ _ Apr _ _ May— June __ July Aug __ Sept ___ Oct __ Nov _ _ __ _ Dec _ 1971: Jan_ Feb Mar 89. 6 90. 6 91. 7 92. 9 94. 5 97. 2 100. 0 104. 2 109.8 116. 3 113.9 114. 5 115. 2 115. 7 116. 3 116. 7 116. 9 117. 5 118. 1 118. 5 119. 1 119. 2 119. 4 119. 8 Source: Department of Labor. 26 All commodities 92.0 92. 8 93. 6 94.6 95.7 98. 2 100. 0 103. 7 108. 4 113. 5 111. 7 112. 0 112. 6 113. 1 113. 5 113. 8 113. 8 114. 2 114. 8 115. 1 115. 6 115. 4 115.5 116. 1 Food 89. 1 89. 9 91. 2 92. 4 94. 4 99. 1 100. 0 103. 6 108. 9 114. 9 114. 1 114. 2 114. 6 114. 9 115. 2 115. 8 115. 9 115. 7 115. 5 114. 9 115. 3 115. 5 115. 9 117. 0 Comm odities leg s food All Non- services All Durable durable 93.4 85.2 96. 6 91. 2 94. 1 97. 6 86. 8 91. 8 92. 7 88. 5 97. 9 94.8 90. 2 93. 5 95.6 98. 8 92. 2 96. 2 94. 8 98. 4 95. 8 97. 5 97.0 98. 5 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 103. 1 104. 1 105. 2 103. 7 107. 0 112. 5 108. 1 108. 8 112. 5 111. 8 113. 1 121. 6 110. 3 109. 0 118. 0 111. 2 110.6 109. 4 119. 3 111. 5 120. 1 111. 4 110. 1 112. 3 112. 0 120. 7 112. 7 111. 1 112. 5 112. 9 121. 4 111. 9 122. 0 112. 1 113. 0 112.5 112. 6 112. 2 113. 0 122. 7 114. 1 113. 4 112. 5 123. 5 114.5 114. 9 124, 1 113. 9 115. 1 124. 9 114. 7 115. 4 115.7 115.5 115. 2 125. 6 115. 2 115. 2 126. 3 115. 3 115. 4 115. 0 115. 2 126. 6 115. 5 115. 2 115. 7 126. 6 Services Rent 92. 9 94. 0 95. 0 95. 9 96. 9 98. 2 100. 0 102. 4 105. 7 110. 1 108. 4 108. 8 109. 1 109. 4 109. 8 110. 1 110. 5 110. 9 111. 4 111.8 112.6 112.9 113.6 113.9 Services less rent 83. 9 85. 5 87. 3 89.2 91. 5 95. 3 100. 0 105. 7 113. 8 123.7 119. 8 121. 2 122. 1 122. 8 123. 5 124. 2 124. 9 125. 8 126. 5 127. 3 128.0 128.7 129. 0 128. 9 WHOLESALE PRICES The wholesale price index rose 0.3 percent in April; on a seasonally adjusted basis, the increase was 0.5 percent. Industrial prices advanced 0.4 percent. Farm products were unchanged and processed foods and feeds declined 0.2 percent. index, 1967 = 100 Index, 1967 = 100 PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS 95 1965 SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Mar Apr May June Julv Aug__ _ _ Sept__ _ _ Get Nov. _ _ Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar___ Apr All commodities 94.5 94. 8 94. 5 94. 7 96. 6 99.8 100. 0 102. 5 106. 5 110. 4 109. 9 109. 9 110. 1 110. 3 110. 9 110. 5 111. 0 111. 0 110. 9 111. 0 111. 8 112. 8 113. 0 113. 3 Farm products All industrials1 Crude materials 96. 3 98. 0 96. 0 94. 6 98. 7 105. 9 100. 0 102. 5 108. 8 111. 0 114. 6 111. 6 111. 3 111. 6 113. 4 108. 5 112. 1 107.8 107. 0 107. 1 108.9 113. 9 113. 0 113.0 91. 0 91. 9 92.5 92. 3 95. 5 101. 2 100. 0 102. 2 107. 3 112. 0 111. 8 111. 8 111. 1 111. 7 113. 3 112. 9 113. 0 111. 8 111. 7 110. 7 111. 8 113. 3 113. 7 113.5 94 8 94. 8 94. 7 95. 2 96. 4 98. 5 100. 0 102. 5 106. 0 110. 0 108. 9 109. 3 109.7 109. 8 110. 0 110. 2 110. 4 111. 3 111. 3 111. 7 112.2 112. 5 112. 8 113.3 97. 2 95. 6 94. 3 97. 1 100. 9 104. 5 100. 0 102, 0 110. 5 118. 8 118. 5 120. 3 120. 0 119. 5 118. 0 117. 2 118.7 120. 6 118. 2 119. 8 121. 4 121. 8 121. 4 124. 1 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index, 2 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain product, for further processing. Iiidustrial c ommoditi es Processed foods and feeds Inter- Producmediate er finmate-2 ished rials goods 95. 5 91. 8 95. 3 92. 2 95. 0 92. 4 95.6 93. 3 96. 9 94. 4 98. 9 96. 8 100. 0 100. 0 102. 6 103. 5 106. 2 106.9 110. 0 111. 9 109. 0 110. 7 109. 4 110. 8 109. 9 111. 1 110. 1 111. 3 110. 3 111. 6 110. 5 111. 9 112. 3 110. 7 113. 8 111. 0 114. 2 111. 0 111. 0 115. 1 111. 5 115. 6 112. 0 115. 9 112. 7 116. 0 113. 3 116. 1 Consurtier finished g<3ods excludin g food DurNondurable able 98. 8 94.7 98. 3 94. 8 97.8 95. 1 98. 2 94. 8 97. 9 95. 9 98. 5 97. 8 100. 0 100.0 102. 2 102. 2 104. 0 104.8 107. 1 108. 2 106. 0 107. 0 106. 0 107. 2 106. 2 107.8 106. 3 108. 1 106. 5 108. 2 106. 5 108. 6 106. 6 109. 0 109. 7 109. 2 109. 9 109. 5 109. 9 110. 4 110. 5 110. 9 110. 8 110. 8 110. 4 110. 7 110. 5 110. 7 NOTE.—Beginning 1967, the indexes incorporate a revised weighting structure reflecting 1963 values of shipments. The classification structure also changed. _ Source: Department of Labor. r>7 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended April 15, prices received by farmers declined by 1 percent while prices paid rose 1 percent,. The actual and adjusted parity ratios each declined 1 point. 1967=100 130 1967=100 130 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND : RATES 110 110 PARITY RATIO 80 '"" 80 .....^"'%*\.,... 70 60 1965 1966 1968 1967 1969 I 1970 1971 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO IhOEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14 «•-100 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices ireceived by "armers All farm products Period 1961 1962 1963 1964_ 1965 1966 1967.. 1968 1969_ 1970___ 1970: Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 June 15 July 15Aug 15__ _ _ _ Sept 15___ __ Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 1971: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 __ Apr 15 _ _ _ 94 96 96 93 98 105 100 103 108 110 114 111 111 111 113 109 111 108 106 104 107 112 112 111 Crops 100 103 106 106 103 105 100 101 97 101 98 97 103 103 104 100 104 101 102 100 103 105 108 108 Prices paid by farmers All items, Livestock interest, Family Production and living taxes, and products wage rates items items Index, 1967=100 88 90 93 91 92 94 90 91 92 89 91 95 92 94 93 85 94 94 95 96 98 105 98 99 100 100 100 100 104 102 104 104 106 109 109 117 114 114 118 109 112 113 125 109 121 114 113 109 113 113 117 109 114 114 117 109 114 114 119 109 114 114 109 115 116 115 110 115 111 115 113 115 111 110 115 115 116 111 116 108 110 116 112 117 117 117 118 113 117 114 114 118 119 117 114 115 • Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 28 Parity ratio l Actual 79 80 78 76 77 80 74 73 74 72 75 72 72 72 74 71 72 70 68 67 68 70 70 69 Adjusted2 83 83 81 80 82 86 79 79 80 77 81 78 78 77 79 76 77 75 74 72 72 75 75 74 2 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture. MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK The money stock grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 9.5 percent in the first 4 months of 1971. Since June 1970 the money stock has grown at an annual rate of 6.7 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 250 200 200 100 1965 1971 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] ! JVloney sto 3k IV [onev sto(3k Period 1965: 1966: 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1970: Dec___ _ __ __. _ Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar Apr May June _ __ _ July Aug _ _ _ Sept _ _ Oct__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Nov Dec 1971: Jan ,_ Feb Mar. Apr * _ _ _ _ Total 168. 0 171. 7 183. 1 197. 4 203. 6 214. 6 206. 6 208. 3 209. 2 209. 6 210. 6 211. 8 212. 8 213. 0 213. 5 214. 6 214. 8 217. 3 219.4 221. 2 Currency outside banks Seasonallyr adjusted 36. 3 131. 7 133. 4 38. 3 40. 4 142. 7 43. 4 154. 0 40. 0 157. 7 48. 9 165. 7 159. 8 46. 7 161. 2 47. 1 47. 7 161. 6 47. 8 161. 9 162. 5 48. 1 163. 7 48. 2 164. 6 48. 2 48. r> 164. 5 164. 8 48.7 48. 9 165. 7 49. 2 165. 5 167. 7 49. 6 50. 0 169.4 170. 7 50. 5 Deposits at all commercial banks. NOTE.—Effective June 9, 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from time deposits and from loans at all commercial banks. Time deposits l Demand deposits 146. 8 158. 3 183. 5 204. 8 194. 6 ! 230. 4 195. 3 198. 5 200. 3 202. 2 208. 2 213. 2 218. 5 222. 2 225. 0 230. 4 235. 3 240. 9 246. 1 248. 3 Total 173. 1 176. 9 188.6 203. 4 209. 8 221. 1 204. 7 209. 3 205. 3 207. 8 209. 0 208. 7 211. 4 213. 0 215. 3 221. 1 221. 3 215. 5 217.4 222. 3 Currency outside banks 37. 1 39. 1 41. 2 44. 3 46. 9 50. 0 46. 3 46. 6 47. 3 47. 7 48. 3 48. 3 48. 2 48. 5 49. 2 50. 0 49. 1 49. 2 49. 5 50. 1 Demand deposits Jnadjuste d 136. 0 137. 8 147. 4 159. 1 162. 9 171. 1 158. 4 162. 6 158. 0 160. 1 160. 7 160. 4 163. 1 164. 5 166. 1 171. 1 172. 1 166. 3 167. 8 172. 2 Time deposits l 145. 2 156. 9 182. 1 203. 2 193. 2 228. 7 195. 9 199. 3 201. 1 202. 3 208. 1 214. 0 218. 4 222. 5 224. 6 228. 7 234. 5 240. 3 246.9 i 249. 2 U.S. Government demand deposits ! 4. 6 3. 4 5. 0 5. 0 5. 6 7. 1 6.9 5. 3 6.4 6. 5 6.8 7. 1 6.8 6. 1 5. 6 7. 1 6. 6 8.3 5. 4 5. 5 Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Public holdings of selected liquid assets (seasonally adjusted) changed little in April, following a sharp rise in March. B1LUONS OF DOLLARS 850 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 850 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH 750 750 TOTAL SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS 650 650 550 550 SAVING TYPE ASSETSJ/ 450 350 450 350 - 250 250 DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY 150 I t M I 1I I I I 1965 1966 1967 1968 150 1 I t I I. I I 1971 1969 37ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] End of period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969__ 1970 *_ _ 1970: Mar Apr _ May June _ _ _ _ _ July Aug Sept _ Oct* _ _ Nov p Dec * __ 1971: Jan »_ ___ Feb *>__ Mar * Apr- Total selected liquid assets 530. 573. 601. 650. 709. 731. 785. 733. 731. 734. 738. 749. 751. 765. 764. 773. 785. 788. 795. 813. 811. 5 1 5 4 6 8 3 7 4 1 7 9 1 6 7 7 3 4 2 6 7 Demand deposits and currency * 156. 7 164. 1 168. 6 180. 7 3 199. 2 206. 8 207. 6 199. 3 196. 7 197. 9 199. 8 198. 7 199. 3 203. 6 199. 6 201. 2 207. 6 202. 5 204. 1 210. 9 205. 3 ! Time c eposits Commercial banks 127. 1 147. 1 159.3 183. 1 203. 8 197. 1 233. 7 198. 8 201. 5 201. 7 202. 9 211. 8 215.4 221. 5 224. 5 230.3 233. 7 239. 6 244. 2 249. 2 249. 9 1 Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data for last Wednesday of month. Data prior to July 1969 have not been revised to conform to the money supply revision. 30 Mutual savings banks 49. 0 52. 6 55.2 60. 3 64.7 67. 3 71. 5 67. 5 68. 0 68. 4 68. 7 69.2 69. 4 69. 9 70.4 70. 9 71. 5 72. 2 73. 5 74. 7 75. 8 Postal Savings System 0.4 .3 .1 Savings and loan shares 101. 4 109.8 113. 4 123. 9 131.0 135. 0 146. 0 135. 9 136. 5 137.0 137. 6 139.2 140. 3 142. 4 143. 5 144. 8 146. 0 148. 7 151. 6 155. 7 158. 2 U.S. Government U.S. Gov- securities ernment maturing savings2 within bonds year 2 49. 9 50. 5 50. 9 51. 9 52.5 52. 4 52. 7 52. 0 52. 0 52. 0 52. 0 52. 4 52. 0 52. 1 52. 1 52.2 52. 7 52. 8 52.8 53. 0 53.2 46. 1 48. 6 53. 9 50. 5 58.5 73.2 73. 8 80. 1 76. 8 77. 2 77. 7 78. 5 74. 6 76. 0 74. 5 74. 3 73. 8 72. 6 69. 0 70. 1 69. 3 2 Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks. Federal Reserve Banks, and beginnir February 1960, savings and loan associations. s Estimates for Dec. 31. NOTE.—See Note, p. 29. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Tofal bank credit (seasonally adjusted) was unchanged in April following a $4.0 billion rise in March. Free reserves were positive in April for the first time since February 1968. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 400 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 100 100 INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES I f I I I I 1 1 1 I I ! I I I I I 11! I 1 I 1I I I I I I I I I I I ! 1i I I 1f I I 1971 1965 *SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Bank Weekly debits reporting outside large commercial New York Total Investinents City (232 banks Loans, loans excluding centers) , and inter- U.S. Gov- Other Commercial seasonally investbank ernment securi- and indus- adjusted ments annualJ securities ties trial loans rates Billions of dollars 1 267.2 38. 7 42. 1 2, 706 167. 7 60. 7 3 294.4 192. 6 8,013 57. 1 44,8 53. 1 208.2 310. 5 48.7 60.7 53. 6 3,421 346. 5 225. 4 59. 7 8, 740 61. 4 65. 8 384.6 251.6 61.5 71.5 73.1 4,354 401. 3 51. 9 71. 3 6, 163 278. 1 81. 5 432. 5 85. 6 288. 9 58. 0 81. 6 5,744 400. 9 277. 6 5, 505 50. 3 73. 0 78. 5 403. 5 52. 4 5, 742 277. 0 74. 0 78. 5 o, 766 405. 9 278. 0 74. 5 77. S 53. 4 5,770 406. 4 54. 1 277. 4 79. 6 75. 0 412. 8 281. 5 79. 3 55. 8 75. 5 5, 884 5, 780 418. 3 284, 1 57. 5 79. 2 76.7 423. 7 81. 2 287. 3 57. 6 78. 8 5,884 5, 880 424. 0 80. 0 286. 9 56. 3 80. 8 5, 710 427. 3 79. 9 287. 7 56. 5 83. 2 432. 5 -5, 880 85. 6 81. 6 288. 9 58. 0 291. 2 80.0 438. 0 88. 4 58. 4 5, 884 6,058 443. 6 80. 8 294. 3 89. 8 59. 6 447. 6 294. 3 92. 1 61. 2 81. 2 6, 133 447. 6 81. 2 59. 9 293. 9 93.8 Pill member banks 2 All comiiaercial bank s (s easonally adjusted dsita) End of period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 4 1969 1970* 1970: Mar Apr May__ __ __ June July Aug Sept Oct*__ Nov"-.. Dec » 1971: Jan "__ Feb * Mar vT> ___ Apr 1 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and iJ.S. Government. New series beginning January 1964. ' -Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. 'New series; see Federal Reserve Bulletin, March 1P67. * New series beginning June 1969; see Federal Reserve Bulletin, August 1969. Total reserves 21,609 22, 719 23, 830 25, 260 27, 221 28, 031 29, 265 27, 473 28, 096 27, 910 27, 567 28, 128 28, 349 28, 825 28, 701 28, 558 29, 265 30, 488 29, 880 29, 686 29, 906 Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions o f dollars 411 243 452 454 392 557 238 345 455 785 257 1. 086 272 321 896 115 822 318 976 181 187 888 141 1, 358 827 145 272 607 462 254 120 425 321 272 370 279 328 201 199 319 162 148 168 2 -165 107 -310 -829 -49 -781 — 704 -795 -701 -1, 217 -682 — 335 -208 -305 -49 -91 -127 -120 14 NOTE.—Effective June 1966, balances accumulated for payment 01 personal loans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from loans at ail commercial banks, and certain certificates of CCC and Export-Import Bank totaling about $1 billion are included in other securities rather than in loans. Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Total consumer credit outstanding declined $210 million in March; a year earlier the decline was $380 million Seasonally adjusted instalment credit outstanding rose $495 million, the largest rise since November 1969, as credit extensions set a new record. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period [Millions of dollars] Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of j:>eriod; Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended iinadjusted and r epaid (seasonaily adjiisted) Instalment To tal Automofc >ile paper NonA t Total Total i bile Personal instal-2 Extended Repaid Extended Repaid ment paper loans 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1970: Feb Mar Apr May June_ _ _ July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 63, 821 71, 739 80, 268 90, 314 97, 543 102, 132 113, 191 122, 469 126, 802 120, 077 119, 698 120, 402 121, 346 122, 542 123, 092 123, 655 123, 907 123, 866 123, 915 126, 802 48, 720 55, 486 62, 692 71, 324 77, 539 80, 926 89, 890 98, 169 101, 161 96, 892 96, 662 97, 104 97, 706 98, 699 99, 302 99, 860 100, 142 99, 959 99, 790 101, 161 19, 381 22, 254 24, 934 28, 619 30, 556 30, 724 34, 130 36, 602 35, 490 36, 119 36, 088 36, 264 36, 455 36, 809 36, 918 36, 908 36, 738 36, 518 36, Oil 35, 490 13, 414 15, 618 17, 848 20, 412 22, 187 24, 018 26, 936 29, 918 31, 612 29, 816 29, 809 30, 030 30, 193 30, 547 30, 765 31, 047 31, 226 31, 163 31, 268 31, 612 15, 101 16, 253 17, 576 18, 990 20, 004 21, 206 23, 301 24, 300 25, 641 23, 185 23, 036 23, 298 23, 640 23, 843 23, 790 23, 795 23, 765 23, 907 24, 125 25, 641 56, 191 63, 591 70, 670 78, 586 82, 335 84, 693 97, 053 102, 888 104, 130 8, 625 8,392 8,491 9,004 8,683 9, 065 8,809 8,849 8, 580 8,414 8,536 51, 360 56, 825 63, 470 69, 957 76, 120 81, 306 88, 089 94, 609 101, 138 8, 207 8, 194 g, 195 8,589 8, 242 8, 622 8, 577 8,490 8,662 8,716 8,515 19, 694 22, 126 24, 046 27, 227 27, 341 26, 667 31, 424 32, 354 29, 831 2, 536 2, 496 2, 571 2,595 2, 587 2, 685 2,537 2, 621 2, 349 2, 127 2,170 17, 447 19, 254 21, 369 23, 543 25, 404 26, 499 28, 018 29, 882 30, 943 2, 550 2,501 2, 527 2,600 2,573 2, 752 2,632 2,599 2, 550 2,577 2,618 1971: Jan _ _ . Feb Mar 125, 077 123, 815 123, 604 100, 101 99, 244 99, 168 35, 004 34, 869 35, 028 31, 455 31, 396 31, 504 24, 976 24, 571 24, 436 8,916 9,081 9, 533 8, 829 8, 979 9,038 2,461 2, 687 2,897 2, 623 2,636 2,696 1 Also Includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 'End of period, unadjusted. 32 Mortgage debt outstanding nonfarm, 1- to 4family houses 3 166, 182, 197, 212, 223, 236, 251, 266, 279, 500 200 600 900 600 100 200 800 800 268, 500 271, 700 275, 800 279, 800 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and Aug 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System and Federal Hoi. Loan Bank Board. 1OND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES ireasury bill rates rose during April, were firm through the first half of May, and then increased again. Yields on long-term Government, corporate, and municipal bonds increased in April and early May. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 10 10 CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'S) 1965 1971 SOURCE: SEE TABLE BELOW Period 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967__ 1968 1969__ 1970 1970: Mar Apr_ _ Mav JuneJuly Aug_ _ _ __ Sept Oct Nov _ _ _ _ Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar Apr Week ended: 1971: Apr 9 _ _ _ 16... 23___ 30___ May 7 14___ 21___ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Gove»rnment secui*ity yields municipal 3-month bonds 3—5 year Taxable 2 Treasury 8 (Standard & issues bonds bills i Poor's) 4 3. 157 3. 72 4. 00 3.23 3. 549 4. 06 4. 15 3. 22 3. 954 4.22 4.21 3.27 4. 881 5. 16 4,65 3. 82 4321 5. 07 4.85 3. 98 5. 339 5.59 5.26 4.51 6. 677 6. 85 6. 12 5. 81 6. 458 7. 37 6. 58 6. 51 6. 710 7. 20 6. 39 6. 14 6. 480 7. 49 6. 53 6. 55 7. 035 7. 97 6. 94 7. 02 (x 742 7. 86 6. 99 7. 06 6. 468 7. 58 6. 57 6. 69 6. 412 7. 56 6. 75 6. 33 6. 244 7. 24 6. 63 6. 45 5. 927 7. 06 6. 59 6. 55 r>. 288 6. 24 6. 37 6. 20 4. 860 5. 86 5. 71 r>. 97 4. 494 5. 72 5. 92 5.70 :i 773 5. 84 5. 31 5. 55 3. 323 4. 74 5. 71 5. 46 3. 844 5. 42 5.75 5. 65 3. 703 4. 039 3. 770 3. 865 3. 865 3. 861 4,352 1 Rate on new issues within period. 8 April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 4 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 5 5. 08 5. 37 5. 59 5.77 5. 92 5. 98 5. 66 5.73 5. 82 5. 81 5. 92 5. 96 2 Selected note and bond issues. 10 years and after. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate 7 percent beginning February 17, 1971) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 5. 44 5. 56 5. 68 5. 91 6. 05 6. 17 Corpora :e bonds (Moo dy's) Aaa Baa 4. 26 4. 40 4. 49 5. 13 5. 51 6. 18 7. 03 8. 04 7. 84 7. 83 8. 11 8. 48 8. 44 8. 13 8. 09 8. 03 8. 05 7. 64 7. 36 7. 08 7. 21 7.25 4. 86 4.83 4. 87 5. 67 6.23 6.94 7. 81 9. 11 8. 63 8. 70 8.98 9.25 9. 40 9. 44 9. 39 9. 33 9. 38 9. 12 8.74 8. 39 8.46 8. 45 7.23 7.24 7. 24 7. 30 7. 43 7.48 8. 45 8.45 8. 42 8.47 8.52 8.59 Prime FHA commercial new home paper, mortgage 4-6 yields 6 months 5.47 3. 55 5.45 3. 97 5.46 4. 38 6.29 5. 55 5. 10 6.55 5. 90 7.13 7.83 a 19 7. 72 9. 05 9. 29 8. 33 8. 06 9. 20 8.23 9. 10 8. 21 9. 11 8. 29 9. 16 7. 90 9. 11 7. 32 9.07 9. 01 6.85 6. 30 8. 97 5. 73 a 90 5. 11 8. 40 4. 47 4. 19 4. 57 7. 32 4. 28 4. 58 4. 70 4. 80 5.00 5. 00 Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS Common stock prices continued to rise during April but receded during early May. Index, 1941-43 = 10 Index, 1941-43=10 WEEKLY 120 120 no 110 COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 i i i i 60 i i i I l I 1 1 ! 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 I ! II I I 1 1 ! 1 1 f 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 ! M 1 1 1 f 1 ! 1 1 1 f 60 1 ! PERCENT PERCENT 5 MONTHLY - DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS - 4 3 3 2 2 RATIO RATIO _ 25 25 PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO ON COMMC}N STOCKS \ 20 15 10 ^— " 1 ! ' 1965 r^-—--ir\ ^ 1 ' ! ' , f 1966 j 1967 i ^ ! SOURCE: STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ___ 1970: Apr.. _ _ _ _ Mav __ _ June_ _ _ July Aug Sept Oct Nov _ . _ _ Dec 1971: Jan Feb Mar Apr_ Week ended: 1971: Apr 9 16 23 30 May 7 4 14 __ 1 34 \ \ N 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Price i ndex 1 Industrials Consumers' goods Total Total 88.17 85. 26 91.93 98.70 97. 84 83. 22 85. 95 76. 06 75. 59 75. 72 77. 92 82. 58 84. 37 84. 28 90. 05 93. 49 97. 11 99. 60 103. 04 93.48 91.08 99. 18 107. 49 107. 13 91. 29 94. 01 83. 16 82. 96 83. 00 85. 40 90. 66 92. 85 92. 58 98. 72 102. 22 106. 62 109. 59 113. 68 1941-;13 = 10 85. 26 M. 94 84. 86 74. 10 96. 96 79. 18 105. 77 86.33 103. 75 87. 06 87. 87 80. 22 93. 18 82. 28 80. 47 71. 65 80. 77 73. 10 77. 99 73. 10 78. 38 74. 76 84. 96 79. 65 87. 90 82. 12 86. 47 83. 09 92. 12 88. 69 95. 97 91. 72 101. 58 95. 38 104. 69 98. 54 109. 38 102. 41 101. 103. 103. 104. 103. 102. 111. 113. 114. 115. 114. 113. 108. 109. 108. 111. 110. 109. 60 25 72 34 39 56 90 87 48 35 36 39 Capital goods Includes 500 common stocks: 425 industrials, 55 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; all3 other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields ! 1970 1969 1968 21 51 66 14 84 16 100. 102. 102. 104. 103. 103. 47 08 61 47 89 01 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 76. 08 68.21 68. 10 66.42 62. 64 54. 48 57. 19 51. 15 49. 22 50. 91 52. 62 54. 44 53. 37 54. 86 59. 96 63. 43 62. 49 62. 42 62. 06 46.78 46. 34 46.72 48.84 45. 95 32. 13 36. 05 31. 10 28.94 26. 59 26. 74 29. 14 31. 73 30. 80 32. 95 36. 64 38. 78 39. 70 42. 29 3.00 3. 40 3.20 3.07 3. 24 3.83 3. 70 4. 20 4. 17 4. 20 4. 07 3.82 3. 74 3. 72 3. 46 3. 32 3. 18 3. 10 2.98 62. 69 62. 57 61. 99 60. 85 60. 08 59. 93 41. 33 42. 13 42. 66 43. 65 43. 02 42. 53 3. 02 2. 98 2. 99 2.95 2. 98 3.01 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 17. 08 14. 92 17.52 17. 20 16.57 15.06 13. 33 15. 77 17.26 _ are8 averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. *Not charted. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS, EXPENDITURES, AND NET LENDING In the first 9 months of the current fiscal year there was a deficit of $24.8 billion/ for the corresponding period of last year there was a deficit of $11.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 200 i OUTLAYS (EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING) 160 i 160 RECEIPTS 120 120 80 80 J_ J_ (ENLARGED SCALE) 1961 (ENLARGED SCALE) 1962 1963 1964 1965 I/ESTIMATES 1966 1967 FISCAL YEARS 1968 1969 1970 1971 -I/ 1972 U COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCESr TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] Bindget receipts, expenditures, and net lendn*g Period Receip1^-expenditure "iccount Loan account Expenditures Net lending Receipts Fiscal year: 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 _ _ 196S__._ 1969. 1970 s 1971s __ 1972 _ _ Cumulative totals for first 9 months: Fiscal vear 1970 Fiscal vear 1971 94 4 99. 7 106. 6 112. 7 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153.7 187. 8 193. 7 194. 2 217. 6 96.6 104.5 111. 5 118. 0 117.2 130. 8 153. 2 172.8 183. 1 194.5 211. 1 228. 3 -2. 2 -4.8 -4. 9 -5. 4 —.3 (2) — 3. 6 -19. 1 4.7 .7 -17. 0 -10. 7 1.2 2. 4 j .5 1.2 3.8 5. 1 6.0 1.5 2. 1 1. 6 .9 135. 2 131. 7 145. 4 156. 0 -10.2 -24, 3 1.4 I11 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. I Surplus of $26 million. -Estimates. Surplus or deficit (-) .0 Total surplus or deficit (— ) Gross Fed eral debt (end of period) Total1 Held by the public -2.8 18. 6 -11. 6 292.9 303. 3 310.8 316.8 323. 2 329. 5 341. 3 369. S 367. 1 382. 0 407. 0 429. 4 ;n:;. i -11.6 -24. 8 3S4. 2 403. 9 ;-;o2. 7 -3.4 -7. 1 -4,8 -5.9 -1.6 -3.8 -8.7 -25.2 3.2 238. 6 248.4 254, 5 257.6 261. 6 264 7 267. 5 290. 0 279. 5 284. 1) :U)2. 5 12!) i.:* Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Hud^t. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 9 months of the current fiscal year, receipts were $3.5 billion below a year earlier while outlays were $9.7 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 H 20 i i ! 180 ! 1 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES ! ! ! ! ! ! 1 0 180 OUTLAYS (EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING) 160 «*^ 140 — i +*** \ — s NONDEFENSE 19f> „--.—>— ' 100 100 • \ __ i 80 i 60 40 A "'"" I 1961 I/EST.MATES 1962 M \ \ ^-'*~ __^^>^^ i *•.-—---°""""""""""""* I 1963 ! 1964 __ .__ 80 ^^^"^\ ! 1965 140 ! 1966 1967 FISCAL YEARS 60 ! ! 1968 ! 1969 ! 1970 SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMEN] AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET ! 1971^ ^ 40 1972^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars) Receipts Outlays Natio nal defense Period Fiscal year: 1961_____ 1962___, 1963 1964_ 1965____ 1966 1967__, 1968__, 1969. 1970 J 197121972 t Cumulative totals for I5rst 9 nonths: Fiscil year 1970 Fiscal year 1971 * Expeii<fture account. Estimaes. 2 36 Total Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes Other Total Total Department of Defense,1 military 94. 4 99. 7 106. 6 112. 7 116.8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187.8 193. 7 194. 2 217.6 41. 3 45. 6 47.6 48. 7 48. 8 55. 4 61. 5 68. 7 87. 2 90.4 88. 3 93. 7 21. 0 20. 5 21. 6 23.5 25. 5 30. 1 34.0 28.7 36. 7 32. 8 30. 1 36.7 32. 1 33.6 37.4 40. 5 42. 6 45. 3 54. 1 56. 3 63. 9 70. 5 75. 8 87. 2 97. 8 106. 8 111. 3 118. 6 118. 4 134. 7 158. 3 178. 8 184.5 196. 6 212. 8 229. 2 47. 4 51. 1 52. 3 53. 6 49.6 56. 8 70. 1 80. 5 81. 2 80. 3 76. 4 77.5 43. 3 46. 9 48. 1 49. 6 46. 0 54. 2 67. 5 77.4 77. 9 77. 2 73.4 75. 0 135. 2 131. 7 65. 1 62. 9 20. 2 15. 7 49. 8 53. 1 146.8 156. 5 60. 1 57.2 57.8 55. 1 Interna- Health tional and Inaffairs income terest Other and finance security 4. 5 4. 5 4. 6 3. 8 3. 6 3. 6 4. 0 22. 1 23. 7 25. 5 26. 8 27.4 31. 6 37. 9 43. 8 49. 4 56.8 70.5 76. 7 8. 1 8. 3 9. 2 9. 8 10. 4 11. 3 12. 6 13. 7 15. 8 18.3 19. 4 19. 7 16. 8 19. 2 20. 2 24. 2 26. 7 30. 5 33. 2 36. 2 34. 3 37.6 42. 8 51. 3 2. 7 2. 2 40.3 50.7 13. 5 14. 6 30. 2 31. 8 3.4 4. 5 4. I 4. 1 4.3 Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. EDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS According to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter and expenditures rose $41/3 billion, yielding a deficit of $1 31/3 billion or nearly $5 billion less than in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 ! BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ICO +20 +20 SURPLUS Q li ii -, ^2 ~~ DEFICIT 1 ! -70 1965 F-l \ 1 — m \ \ 1966 m n m m ii ! ! 1967 f nn H^ f T "~ ! i 1968 CALENDAR YEARS "J-^PRELIMINARY ! I ^ ! ^ ! 1970 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE ^ !1 m j/i f f -70 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC-ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Cjovernm snt receip ts Period Fiscal year: 1967 1968. 1969 1970 1971 ! _ _ _ 1972V _ _ Calendar year : 1967 1968 1969 1970 Feeleral Go^/ernmeni t expendi tures feurplus or deficit (-), income and product accounts GrantsSubsidies Less: Purless in-aid Indirect ContriWage Personal Corpochases Trans- to State Net current accruals rate business butions and profits Total tax tax and for less Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus nontax ments tax nontax social inlocal and paid of Govt. disreceipts accruals services enter- bursegovernaccruals surance ments prises ments 147. 2 160. 4 191. 3 198.7 200. 0 225. 9 64. 5 71. 0 89. 5 93.7 90. 6 99. 0 31. 2 34. 0 38.9 36. 8 35. 8 43. 5 15.8 17. 1 18. 6 19.4 20.3 21. 8 35. 7 38.3 44. 2 48.9 53.2 61. 6 154. 5 85.3 172.3 95. 2 186.7 100. 6 197. 9 100. 8 215.0 97.9 230. 1 102. 2 39. 4 44. 5 50. 5 56. 5 69. 2 75. 0 14.8 17. 6 19. 1 22. 1 27.0 34. 4 9. 9 10. 9 12. 3 14.0 14. 6 14. 3 5. 1 4. 1 4. 1 4. 6 6.2 4. 2 0. 1 151. 2 175. 4 200. 6 194. 8 67. 5 79. 3 95. 9 91.6 30. 7 37. 5 39. 2 34. 3 16. 3 18. 0 19. 1 19. 6 36. 7 40. 7 46. 5 49. 3 163. 6 90. 7 181. 6 99. 5 191. 3 101. 3 206.3 99. 7 42. 2 47. 8 52. 1 62. 0 15. 8 18. 4 20. 2 24. 5 10. 2 11. 8 13.1 14.5 4. 6 4. I .0 .0 .0 1970:I___ 195. 9 93. 4 93. 5 89. 4 90. 3 34. 8 34. 9 35. 7 32. 0 19. 3 19. 4 20. 1 19. 5 48. 4 48. 9 49. 7 49. 9 197.7 102. 3 210. 9 99. 7 206. 7 98. 6 209. 9 98. 2 55. 3 64. 4 62. 9 65. 4 23. 0 25. 1 24. A 2f>. (i 14. 3 M. S 14. :; f>. '> «>. •> f>. G M. 7 G. 0 . 0 i 89.8 35. 5 20. 6 54. 9 214. 2 68. 4 27. ] 14. 2 G. 0 .0 II— 196. 7 III- 194. 9 IV - 191. 7 1971:1 *>_ 200. 8 i 'Estimates. NOTE: Data for Alaslra and Hawaii included beginning 19GO. 98. -1 4. G 5. G •° 2. f> •> | --. <\ 1 Source: Department oJ Commerce. 37 UNSTED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIViSlON OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales 7and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices ^ Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts, Expenditures, and Net Lending Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. P Indicates preliminary and not available. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office. Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 25 cents per copy, $3 per year ; $4 foreign. Domestic air mail, $3.60 additional per year. U.S. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G OFFICE: 1971