{
    "name": [
        {
            "role": "creator",
            "namePart": [
                "Ho, Paul"
            ],
            "recordInfo": {
                "recordIdentifier": [
                    "10672"
                ]
            }
        },
        {
            "role": "creator",
            "namePart": [
                "Lubik, Thomas A."
            ],
            "recordInfo": {
                "recordIdentifier": [
                    "4241"
                ]
            }
        },
        {
            "role": "creator",
            "namePart": [
                "Matthes, Christian",
                {
                    "$": "1979-",
                    "@type": "date"
                }
            ],
            "recordInfo": {
                "recordIdentifier": [
                    "4244"
                ]
            }
        }
    ],
    "genre": [
        "article"
    ],
    "abstract": [
        "We discuss a statistical time series model to capture and forecast the dynamics of COVID-19 in the fifty U.S. states and Washington, D.C. We design the model to replicate the typical pattern of infections during a pandemic. We rely on Bayesian methods, which provide a straightforward way to quantify the uncertainty surrounding our estimates and forecasts. In this brief, we focus on North Carolina and Washington, D.C., since they have experienced different trajectories of COVID-19 and may have different implications for the efficacy of our approach."
    ],
    "language": [
        "eng"
    ],
    "titleInfo": [
        {
            "title": "COVID-19 Over Time and Across States",
            "subTitle": "Predictions From a Statistical Model",
            "titlePartNumber": "No. 20-10"
        }
    ],
    "originInfo": {
        "issuance": "multipart",
        "sortDate": "2020-09-01",
        "dateIssued": "September 2020"
    },
    "recordInfo": {
        "recordIdentifier": [
            "596464"
        ],
        "recordUpdatedDate": "2025-07-09 14:45:19",
        "recordCreationDate": "2020-09-04 16:38:50",
        "recordType": "item"
    },
    "typeOfResource": "text",
    "physicalDescription": {
        "form": "electronic",
        "extent": "6 pages",
        "digitalOrigin": "born digital",
        "internetMediaType": [
            "application\/pdf"
        ]
    },
    "location": {
        "url": [
            "https:\/\/fraser.stlouisfed.org\/title\/economic-brief-6034\/covid-19-time-across-states-596464"
        ],
        "iiif_manifest_url": [
            "https:\/\/iiif.slf.digirati.io\/presentation\/item\/596464"
        ],
        "apiUrl": [
            "https:\/\/fraser.stlouisfed.org\/api\/item\/596464"
        ],
        "pdfUrl": [
            "https:\/\/fraser.stlouisfed.org\/docs\/historical\/frbrich\/econbrief\/frbrich_eb_20-10.pdf"
        ],
        "textUrl": [
            "https:\/\/fraser.stlouisfed.org\/files\/text\/historical\/frbrich\/econbrief\/frbrich_eb_20-10.txt"
        ]
    },
    "relatedItem": [
        {
            "@type": "parent",
            "recordInfo": {
                "recordIdentifier": [
                    "6034"
                ]
            },
            "titleInfo": [
                {
                    "title": "Economic Brief "
                }
            ],
            "name": [
                {
                    "role": "contributor",
                    "namePart": [
                        "Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond"
                    ],
                    "recordInfo": {
                        "recordIdentifier": [
                            "521"
                        ]
                    }
                }
            ]
        }
    ],
    "accessCondition": "For more information on rights relating to this item, please see: https:\/\/fraser.stlouisfed.org\/title\/economic-brief-6034\/covid-19-time-across-states-596464"
}