The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
■ — — — ■ IW III, II Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /O ^O j Form P. R. 567 END SHEET K IN D OF M A T E R IA L OR HUMBER 333*~©-2 name o r s u b j e c t Open Market Policy Conference Meetings Open Market Operations DATES Jan — Jill 1933 (In c lu s iv e ) PART NUMBER Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 3 ^ 3 October 11, 1955* Mr* W* Randolph Burgees, Secretary, federal Opm Market Ocwaittoe, M a s a i Heaerre Bask o f He* York* Hew York, New Toxic* Dear Mr* Bu rgaaes Receipt la acknowledged of your la tter of October 4, 1993* addressed to Governor Black, Inclosing coplea of tha revised ndmtee of tha meeting of tha executive caaraittee of the Open Market Poltey Conference on Jftme 29, 1933, and of tha Fedaxal Opan Marloet Comittee on J o ly 20, 1933* fery truly youra, Secretary Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E ^ J o Z o j 1 -//• [/ l/V/U I'll '^ Fe d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k ! ' ^33 I Cv;‘of Ne w Yo r k L ~ ^ i CONFIDENTIAL 3 ^ 3 3 . — "C. October 4, 1955, Dear Governor Blacks I am enclosing revised minutes of the executive ___= ~ r ip v Z A - t: ■ committee meeting of June Zdfaxia of the Open Market Committee meeting of July 20, to be substituted for the preliminary drafts which you have previously received. Very truly yours, U j-ji * . A. W. Randolph Burgess Secretary, Federal Open Market Committee Honorable Eugene R. Black, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. WBB.H encl. /Q / ' ! / Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority A AO / 2 3 3 . — JUL271933 Mr* W* Randolph Burgees, Secretary, Ifcderal Open Market Coamittee, Federal Beaarva Bask of Han York, Nan York, Haa York* Dear Mr# Burgess: Refereno© is nade to your latter of June 30, 1933, addreaaed to Governor Blaek, with which you ineloaed a oopy of a tentative draft of tha «lautea of tha meeting of tha executive e omittae of tha Open Market Policy Conference, held ia Haa York on June 29, 1933* Governor Blaek haa requested ae to advise you that he has no suggestions to sake aa to Qhaugaa ia tha draft* Vary truly yours, 2 - Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority BSOEiVISD JUL1 1933 F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k O F F lo t O F T H E o f N e w Y f e d e r a l o r k r e O O V’ F .W s vs,-. r-.n.> 3 -3 3„ June 30, 1953. Dear Governor Blacks aiclosed herewith is a tentative draft of the | ^ 7 -^S minutes jof the meeting of the Executive Committee of the ............ — Open Market Policy Conference held in Hew York yesterday, together with copies of the Report of Operations and the Preliminaiy Memorandum on Credit Conditions* I should be glad to receive at your early conven ience any suggestions you nay have for changes in these minutes# Very truly yours, fta Q t W. Randolph Burgess Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference Honorable £• R. Black, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. w h b /h end# /L2 *- 7/ ^ / Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority fT.d. /n$<oj /une (89# 1935* 3 .......................................................... 3 3 . — £ ' t a K U M k l i f t UttCtUNCOlt K R THE EXtettlTO COiMITTEE' m m s (g a r m t o e t b c l i c t c ^ m M s a ^ m s : g a . ■; Sine© open market purchases were resumed in the statement week beginning May 17, t h e p n ^ f f >iased $159,000,000 of govftrMmaTit aftoirritifta. These purchases have not resulted in any increase in the total amount of Federal reserve credit outstanding, but, on the contrary, there has been a small decline due to further reductions in member bank borrowing and the virtual elimination of tbe Systems bill holdings through maturities as shown in the following table* (In millions of dollars) June 28 Bills . . -----Other securities - - - - - - - - Total bills and securities - - ------- 2,250 i #S76 215* 8* 3* ♦ 139 - 115 - 70 ? 2,202 - 48 % u n e 27 While the total volume of Federal reserve credit has not increased there has, nevertheless, been an increase in the excess reserves held by member bafojss# The following table shows the excess reserves of the principal Mew York City banks and all merabor banks* (In millions of dollars) Hew Ytorfc City May 17 111 Member Banka i -MM— WWH—» 84 311 " 24 166 376 » 31 111 335 June 7 89 358 14 125 410 21 49 349 fe8 70 estimated 475 ©sfc!»A®d * • - Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority jT.fi, j s 2 The general tendency toward an increase in excess reserves has been due principally to a return of currency from hoarding at the rate of about $25,000,000 a week, despite additional requirements for currency due to increased business activity and higher prices# The diminished excess reserves in IFew York and increased excess reserves in other centers is due to a transfer of funds out of New York following the enact ment of the Glass Bill providing for the termination of interest on demand de posits* After the passage of that Act New York City banks lost $420,000,000 of demand deposits, of which about $215,000,000 consisted of deposits of out-of-town banks* There has been some evidence of cessation of these withdrawals in the past few days, though it remains to be seen whether they will be resumed again. A considerable amount of the funds withdrawn by out-of-town banks, and other de posits as well, was employed by depositors in the purchase of government securi ties, bankers bills, or other securities* Although the excess reserves in New York City have been considerably reduced recently there has been no evidence of greater firmness in money largely because of continued large excess reserves elsewhere and a tendency for deposi tors to eiEploy their money* While the demands upon the money market may be expected to increase somewhat over June 30 and the Fourth of July holiday, a return flow of currency is to be expected after that time, together with a reduction of Treasury balances in the Reserve banks. deposits may take place. It remains to be seen, however, what further shifting o f T Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority i W O^OGOj- — TENTATIVE ORAFT - SUBJECT TO CHANGE C C K F ID M IA L MINUTES OF MEETING OF EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF THE OPEN MARKET POLICY CONFER M C E , ___________IN NEW IDRK - JUNE 29, 1935__________ The meeting was called to order at 11:10 a# m#, there being present Governor Harrison, chairman, Governors Young and Fancher, and Deputy Governors Hutt, McKay, and Burgess (secretary) and Dr. J* H. Williams (of the New York bank) The preliminary memorandum and the report of operations were distributed, and after discussion accepted* Governor Harrison reviewed recent open market operations carried On under action of the Open Market Policy Conference at its meeting on .April 22, as modified later# Governor Black entered the meeting at this point. In a discussion of future policy Governor Harrison indicated that with the return flow of currency after the July 4 holiday it seemed possible that ex cess reserves might increase to the neighborhood of $500,000,000# A situation would thus be created which would provide some justification from a technical point of view for tapering off purchases of government securities# On the other hand the psychological effect of the continuance or discontinuance of purchases needed careful consideration, particularly as they might be related to movements foreign exchanges or any stops which might dr tion of the dollar* in the m ight not be taken toward stabiliza The increase in prices and in business activity required some continued support until it became more firmly established. If the impetus which has arisen from the instability of the dollar in foreign exchange should be removed, it might be desirable to increase purchases of government securities, in accordance with the suggestion made by Governor Black at the meeting on May 23. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority r .o ./o ^ o i 2 There ensued a discussion of the desirable policy to be pursued in the current week, and at the conclusion of this discussion it was moved and carried that purchases of egpproximately $20,000,000 be made in the current week. It was agreed that these purchases should be made for delivery on Thursday and $!riday, June 29 and 30, in order to provide the market with funds to avoid any stringency over the end of the half year. It was also agreed that it would be unwise to reach any definite decision beyond the current week because of the great uncertainties as to the position of the dollar and other influences affecting business activity. Governor Harrison then reviewed briefly his discussions in London and the present situation with respect to plans for monetary stabilization. There was also a discussion of the policy to be pursued in keeping open licensed member banks, Governor Black stating that it was the Administration^ policy to make the utmost effort to keep open all licensed member banks* The meeting adjourned at 12s 15 p. m. W. R. Burgess, Secretary. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority lO ^ O f - OOKFIDgrriiL BEPGRT OF OPEN MARKET (PUPATIONS TO MEETING OF EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF (FEN MARKET POLICY C O NF E RM C E HELD IN __________ IEP3RAL RESiRVE BANK OF NEW YORK, JONE 29, 1955 At the time of the last meeting of the Executive Committee of the Open Market Policy Conference held in Washington on May 23, 1955, the total holdings of United states Government securities in the System Special Investment Account were - - - - ------ -- - — $1,629,399,500* Under authority of resolutions adopted at the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference on April 22, 1953, later amended hy tele graphic vote, approved by the Federal Reserve Board on May 12, and by agreement of the Executive Committee, purchases of short-term United States Government securities were made far the System Account, since the May 23 meeting, as follows: Week W tt it tt M ay ended » It June w it » tt w tf 24 51 7 14 21 28 Total Purchases $ 25,000,000 28,000,000 22,000,000 20,550,000 22,500,000 20,900,000 $138,750,000 These purchases increased the amount of total holdings in the System Account t o -------------------- ----------------------- $1,768,149,500. 2 - Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 2 Other transactions effected in th© System Account since the May 23 meeting consisted of (1) Redemptions of $127,600,000 aggregate amount of Treasury bills matured May 24 to June 28 inclusive, which were replaced by purchases in the market of a like amount of short term issues of government securi ties* (2) Exchange at maturity, by exchange sub scription, of $83,925,000 - 1 1/2$ certificates of indebtodnoss matured June 15, 1933, for a liko amount of 3/4$ certificates of in debtedness due March 15, 1934* (3) Exchange in the market of $27,000,000 aggregate amount of short-term issues of government securities for a like amount of other short term issues of government securi ties* (4) Sale to foreign correspondent of $16,550,000 Treasury bills duo August 30 (to carqpleto order for $35,000,000 Treasury bills matur ing not later than August 30) which was replaced by purchase in the market of a like amount of short-torm issues of government securities. Tho following is a statement of the issues of united states Government securities held in the System Account on May 23, 1933,and on June 28, 1933: Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives d e c l a s s if ie d ” Authority E .0 . 5 May 33, 1955 24, 31, t» June it « »t tl 7, « tt tt w w tt 21, tt tt ft tt « tt 28, » tt m » tt July 5, tt tt tt tl tt w 18, w tt tt tt tt tt 19, tt tt tt tf tt tt 26, tt tt tt tt tt Aug. 9, tt tt tt tt »t tt 16, tt tt tt « tt tt 23, w tt n tt n n 30, tt Sept. it tt t» it 6, tt « tt tt m tt 20, w tt tt » n tt 27, tt June 15, 1 1/2fo Cert. of Ind. tt w tt w Aug. 15, 4 $ « ft it t» Sept. 15, 1 1/4$ tt m w Dec. 3/4$ tt 15, w w tt tt ♦t 15, 4 1/4$ tt tt tt 3/4$ Mar. 15, tt May 3 $ ■Ereas« Notes 2, w n tt 2 1/6$ 1, Aug. tt tt June 3 fo tt 15, tt tt »t 2 7/8$ Apr. 15, tt tt Aig. 3 1/4$ »t 1, tt tt tt 2 3/4$ Dec. 15, « tt Apr. 15, 3 fo m » tt » 3 1/4$ Sept. 15, tt tt 2 5/8$ m 1, Feb. n « tt S 7/8$ June 15, 3 1/2$ First L/L Bds. of 1932/47 »t tr 4 1/4$ » " 1932/47 4 1/4$ Fourth » n " 1933/38 U. S. Treas* Bills w tf « w due May tt it 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1934 1934 1934 1935 1936 1936 1936 1937 1937 1938 1938 $ 41,000,000 17,500,000 33,150,000 11,350,000 24,250,000 4,738,000 31,000,000 2,650,000 42,900,000 7,500,000 7,500,000 0 0 0 0 0 83,925,000 51,655,000 200,533,000 83,454,000 75,770,000 0 101,587,000 137,527,000 91,277,000 75,337,500 25,892,000 61,743,000 25,225,000 36,750,000 19,570,000 0 25,025,000 29,000,000 281,591,000 #1,629,399,500 June, 28, 1955 $ 0 0 0 0 0 10,213,000 31,400,000 2,925,000 43,100,000 7,500,000 7,600,000 12,500,000 28,950,000 18,500,000 20,830,000 19,270,000 0 62,405,000 187,433,000 87,254,000 101,020,000 114,225,000 106,287,000 142,477,000 95,577,000 113,987,500 31,892,000 72,943,000 33,025,000 55,650,000 23,070,000 2,500,000 25,025,000 29,000,000 281,591,000 #1,768,149,500 Attached Exhibit "A" shows the holdings of government securities in the System Account, by maturities, at the close of each month during 1932-33* Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 4 Participations and Outrifjit Holdings of United States Government Securities The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas repurchased the $5,000,000 of its participation in government securities in the System Account which had been taken over temporarily into the Federal Reserve Bank of Now York’s participation on .April 28, 1933, as follows: M ay 35 June 16 $8,500,000 2,500,000 $5,000,000 Tho following is a statement showing the amount of each Federal Reserve Bank’s participation in the purchases made for System Account since May 23, and in the total holdings in the Account on June 28, 1933, and each Federal Reserve Bank’s holding ratio, i* e*, tho ratio percentage that each Federal Roservo Bank’s holdings in tho Account bear to the total holdings in tho Account; also, tho amount of each Federal Roservo Bank’s outright holdings of United States Government securities at tho close of businoss Juno 21, 1933* Participation in New Purchases Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Totals Participation in Total Holdings Holding Ratios $ 16,194,500 25,655,000 5,717,500 5,891,000 8,208,500 5,958,000 48,106,000 7,166,500 1,932,000 5,247,000 0 8,674,000 $ 108,599,500 629,165,000 139,506,000 182,431,000 56,357,500 54,583,000 241,821,500 72,498,000 49,156,000 61,495,500 38,939,500 133,597,000 6 35 8 10 3 3 13 4 2 3 2 7 $138*750,000 $1,768,149,500 100 1/4* 1/3* * l/4£ 1/4* * 3/4* * 3/4* 1/8* 1/4* 1/2* * Outright Holdings $ 705,450 120,296,550 3, 352,100 0 0 353,200 62,736,000 500,000 7,147,150 171,600 10,000,000 0 $205,262,050 "gam Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 5 System Purchases of Bankers Acceptances The amount of bankers acceptances purchased by the System, since the M a y 23 xaaQ&lsg, has been negligible and no purchases or allotments woro made by the Federal Besatrye Bank of N * w TOrk# Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority EXHIBIT "A" MATURITI1S OF HOLDINGS IN SYSTEM ACCOUNT _______ END OF BACH ..MONTH - 1952-33 (In Millions of Dollars)" 1952 Within Six Months Per cent Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. #165 191 299 585 716 744 755 622 606 651 765 779 29 52 44 57 51 48 45 58 37 40 47 48 644 577 709 570 545 641 41 56 44 55 52 56 Within Per One Year cent $ 555 65 575 . 64 475 69 778 76 1,058 75 1,106 71 1,098 67 1,029 65 998 61 1,051 64 1,046 64 1,021 62 Within Two Years .$ Per cent 5-5 Years Per Inc, cent «• 555 575 475 779 1,115 1,175 1*167 1,194 1,170 1,229 1,227 1»205 65 64 69 76 79 75 71 75 71 75 75 75 64 152 110 134 75 77 101 1,107 1,090 1,090 958 962 1,099 71 67 67 59 57 62 116 205 205 555 584 323 Per cent 4 8 6 8 4 4 6 §212 212 212 259 290 522 556 556 556 556 556 •556 37 36 31 24 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 7 12 12 20 25 19 536 336 356 556 556 336 22 21 21 21 20 19 - - •* - • Call able Bonds Totals $ 5^7 58? 687 1,018 1,405 1,559 1,635 1,640 1,640 1,640 1,640 1,640 1955 Jan. Feb. Mar* Ipr. May Jimd 905 856 856 725 825 861 58 55 55 45 49 49 . .. , ■ 1,559 1,629 1,629 1,629 1*682 1,768 » Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E r O ^ jO ^ O f * i \ fc rA'.'V' / vy w x i m Sir* v/» Bandolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference, c/o federal Bp serve Bank of Hen York, New York, Hew York* Bear Mr* Burgess: Receipt is acknowledged of your letter of June 28, 1953, inclosing copies of the revised fflin- ai J« - C - i~ utes of the meeting of the Open Market Policy Confer ence oa April 22, and of the rneeting of the Executive Committee of the Conference on May 23, 1933* It is noted that while the last paragraph of the minutes of the meeting on April 22 has been changed somewhat, the last portion of the suggestion contained la the Board* s letter o f May 18 was not adopted* Very truly yours, Chester Morrllli Secretary V s ' . Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o . i o S o f - F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k of JUN 29 1933 Ne w Yo rk June 28, 1955. Dear Governor Black: Sh We are sending you herewith revised minutes\of / < the Open Market Policy Conference meeting held on April 22, 1955,/ and of the executive committee meeting held on May 25, 1955. | Hill you please substitute these for the preliminary drafts previously sent you. Veiy truly yours, 1W. Randolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference. Honorable Eugene R. Black, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. G. Enc. 1 3 / 33 i y >* 3 3 3* -X Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority fO ^ O f June 3, 1953 Dr. f. Bandolph Burgess, Federal Keserve Bank, l e w York, I, T . ---~ j ; Dear Doctor Burgessj I thank you for your letter of June 19 Inclosing preliminary draft of the minutes of tbe Executive Coraaittee of the Open Maifcet Policy Conference held in Washington on May 23. In response to your request for suggestions, the following are submitted* On pages 1 and 2, where reference is made to the federal Re serve Board *s approval of the resolution adopted at the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference on April 22ad, substitute the following language for that now used: Page Is ^Governor Harrison referred to the fact that the Pederal Heserve Board *s approval of purchases of United States Governaent securities by the Executive Comndttee of the Open Market Policy Conference up to an aggregate of $1,000,000f000 m s broader in scope than the resolution adopted at the last meeting of the Conference, on April 22, ***». Page 2i *It m s pointed out that this action, if approved by the Conference, would enlarge the powers of the Comaittee to conform to the broader action of the Federal Heserve Board in ap proving purchases of United States Government obligations without the limitation as to Treasury requirements*. i On p£^e 2, substitute the following at the end of the last cagplata paragraph, beginning immediately after the statement made by Governor Toungi r Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /O ^O j - 2 - •’Governor Black advised tlie laembers of tha Committee that he m s inclined to belienre that a larger amount of securities possibly $100,000,000 or $200,000,000 - should be purchased, when there was more evidence of a real need therefor* He inquired whether, if the present improvement in business activities and prices should fall off seriously, the Conunittec would then be in favor of heavy purchases of securities. Members of the Corralttee expressed the view that they would be in favor of such purchases under such circumstances. Governor Black then stated that in consideration of the views expressed at this meeting, as to the possible advantages of prompt action, he was agreeable to the proposal to $25,000,000 of securities this state ruent week, irith the understanding that, if need for more vigorous action develops, such action will be taken promptly.” With ny w a n regards, I am Sincerely yours, Governor* EMM/vmt Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /O ^ O f F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k t of Ne w Yo r k CONFIDENTIAL June 1, 1933, Dear Governor Black: I am enclosing herewith preliminary draft\ of the minutes of the meeting of the executive committee of the Open Market Policy Conference held in Washington on May 25, together with tha secretary1s report and the preliminary memorandum which were presented to that meeting. I shall be glad to have at your early convenience any suggestions you may have for changes in these minutes# Very truly youijs, if, Randolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference. Honorable Eugene R. Black, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C* fine. 2L« Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority / TENTATIVE DRAFT - SUBJECT TO CHANGE CQUFIDENTIAL MBTOT1S OF MEETING OF EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF THE O P W MAEKET POLICY CONFSRINCE - MAY 23, 1953 A meeting of the Executive Committee of the Open Market Policy Conference was called in Washington at Governor Black’s office on Tuesday, May 23, at 11 a«m. There were present: Governor Harri son, Chairman, Governors Young, Norris, Fancher and McKay, and Governor Black* Governor Harrison called attention to the fact that because of Governor Black’s appointment to the Federal Reserve Board, there was a vacancy on the Executive Committee of the Open Market Policy Conference and that with the approval of the other members of the Committee he had invited Governor Fancher to serve in Governor Black’s place ponding another meeting of the Opon Market Policy Conference, Governor Harrison then presented to tho Committee the secretary’s report, of operations and a preliminary memorandum on credit conditions which was read and discussed in some detail. Governor Harrison referred to the fact that the Federal Beserve Board’s approval of the resolution adopted at the last meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference on April 22 was broader in scope than the resolution it self, and stated that Governor Black had Requested him to take up with all of the members of the Conference in some appropriate fashion the question whether or not tho authority given to the Executive Committee by the resolution passed at the last meeting of the Conference might not be extended. After discussion it was voted unanimously to be the sense of the Executive Conroitteo that the authority given to the Executive Commit tee at the last meeting of tho Conference, which limits the right to purchase government securities, either in the market or direct Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E . f r f r t G O j . 2 from the Treasury, Mto meet Treasury requirements,” should be amended so as to Remove that restriction in order that purchases of securities may be made promptly if in the judgment of the Committee such purchases are considered desirable, whether or not to meet Treasury requirements. It was pointed out that this action, if approved by the Conference, would enlarge the powers of the Committee to conform to tho broader action of the Federal Reserve Board in approving the resolution of the Conference without limitation as to Treasury requirements# Governor Black expressed himself as being in agreement with this action by the Executive Committee# The Committee then discussed the general situation in the light of the preliminary memorandum with a view to ascertaining whether or not it would be advisable to initiate some purchases of government securities at this time# After discussion it was unanimously voted that the Committee should purchase $25 million of government securities this statement week provided a majority of the Open Market Policy Conference approved of the proposed extension of authority to the Executive Committee# Governor Young explained that his vote v/as predicated on the assumption that the Treasury would approve this action# Governor .Black asked whether, if the present improvement in business activity and prices should 1 fall off seriously, the Committee would then be in favor of heavy purchases of \ i securities. Members of the Committee expressed tho view that they would be in favor of such purchases in such circumstances. j Governor Black said that he was in favor of the proposal to buy $25 million securities this statement week, and j $ I would be in sympathy with large purchases in the event that there is any notice- \ able falling off in business improvement # Governor Black advised the Committee, prior to the final action on the resolution to purchase government securities, about proposed legislation to eliminate the so-called gold clause from new issues of government securities# Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority [T , & f & G O f 3 He showed the Committee a memorandum, prepared by the Treasury on this subject and stated that the Treasury and Administration were in favor of the bill. point Secretary Woodin joined the meeting. At this Governor Harrison advised the secretary that the Committee had voted to purchase $£5 million of securities this statement week, but that one of the members of the Committee wanted to be in formed of the views of tho Treasury with respect to such a program. Secretary Y/oodin stated that he and the Treasury would have no opposition to open market operations, bui? he felt, as did a majority of the Committee, that there is no necessity for Treasury approval of the proposal* At the request of Governor Black each member of the Executive Committee than expressed his opinions regarding: (1) the proposed open market operations; (2) the problem of keeping open licensed member banks; membership requirements in tho Federal Reserve System. and (3) liberalization of During tho course of this discussion it appeared to be the unanimous opinion that one of the most im portant problems now before the system is to devise a procedure or program for keeping open all member banks which have been licensed to open. To accomplish this, either the Federal reserve banks should have some legal protection against losses on account of liberal 10(b) loans made for the purpose of keeping member banks open, or else tho Reconstruction Finance Corporation Act should be amended so as to make it possible for the R* F. C. to advance sufficient funds to keep open any member bank that had been licensed to open. If this were done, and membership requirements in the Federal Reserve System were liberalized, and prompt action taken upon the applications of sound state banks for membership, it was felt that it would be possible adequately to take care of all sound banks either through liberal 10(b) loans by the Federal reserve banks, or by loans through the R. F. C. Governor Black reported steps which were being taken designed to handle these problems, but stated that there might be difficulty in obtaining the requisite amendments to the law* sa r Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority ^ A / 0 9 0 1 4 During the course of tho discussion it was pointed out that various governmental agencies had substantially different yardsticks for appraising loan values and that it would be helpful were a more uniform basis of appraising values arrived at. There was also some feeling that the office of the Comptroller of the Currency was becoming more strict rather than more liberal in the reopening of closed banks and that the present regulations of the Federal Reserve Board re garding the admission of state banks to membership in the system are probably more strict than present circumstances require. G-eorge L. Harrison, Chairman. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority CQNFED3NTIAL REPORT OF OPEN MARK3F OPERATIONS TO MSETING- OF 3X2COTIV3 COLMTTTSS OF THE OP3T MARKET POLICY C0NF5RMC5 H5LD IN WASHINGTON MAY 25, 1955 There has bee change in the amount of total holdings of United States Government securities in the System Special Investment Account since the last meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held in Washing^on on April 19, 1953, the total remaining at 629,599,500• Transactions effected in the System Account since the report to the April 19 meeting consisted of: (1) Redemptions of $112,500,000 aggregate amount of maturing Treasury bills and $50,000,000 2$ certificates of indebtedness matured May 2, 1933, i;hich were replaced by purchase in the market of $162,500,000 aggregate amount of short-term issues of government securities. (2) Exchange at maturity, by exchange subscription, of $25,537,500 - 2$ certificates of indebtedness matured May 2, 1935, for a like amount of 2 7/8% Treasury notes due April 15, 1936, (3) Exchanges in the market, of $38,559,500 aggregate amount of short-term issues of government securities for a like amount of other short term issues of government securities. The following is a statement of the issues of United States Government securities held in the System Account on April 12, 1953 and on May 20, 1935, Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority May 20, 1955 April 12, 1955 U# S,#. Treas, Bills 17, 1933 3 6 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 May tt tt w tt w 24, 1933 4 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 tt tt tt tt 31, 1935 1 7 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 7 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 tt » tt June 1933 ' 3 5 ,1 5 0 ,0 0 0 5 3 ,1 5 0 ,0 0 0 w 21, 1935 1 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,3 5 0 ,0 0 0 28, 1933 2 3 ,5 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,2 5 0 ,0 0 0 5, 1933 0 » 12, 1933 * tt 0 tt n', « 1 6 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 ♦ « n ■ 1933 2 9 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 tt « \tt « 10, $ tt tt tt \ 0 0 1933 26, n w 1933 3 1 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 19, « tt tt due Apr.# tt » « 7, 0 »■ tt,' tt tt tt » t? tt tt tt tt tt »> tt tt tt July tt H tt tt » tt tr tt w tt tt 19, 1935 0 2 ,6 5 0 ,0 0 0 tt » tt tt tt tt 26, 1933 0 4 2 ,9 0 0 ,0 0 0 9, 16, 1933 0 7 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 1933 0 7 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 tt n tt tt » Aug. tt tt tt tt tt tt 2 io Cert. of Ind. tt tt tt « w n « tt tt 1 1/4J6 tt tt tt tt 3/4$ ti tt tt tt tt tt tt tt 1 1/2% 4 fo 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 ,7 3 8 ,0 0 0 3 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 0 1933 7 9 ,3 9 7 ,0 0 0 15, 1935 1 1 6 ,4 2 5 ,0 0 0 15, 1933 4 3 ,1 5 5 ,0 0 0 5 1 ,6 5 5 ,0 0 0 2, 8 3 ,9 2 5 ,0 0 0 15, 1935 2 0 0 ,5 5 5 ,0 0 0 2 0 0 ,5 3 3 ,0 0 0 15, 1953 7 8 ,1 0 4 ,0 0 0 8 3 ,4 5 4 ,0 0 0 15, 1933 6 8 ,6 7 0 ,0 0 0 7 5 ,7 7 0 ,0 0 0 May 2 , 1934 tt Aug# tt » 1, 1934 1 / 8 fo w tt tt June 1 5 , 1935 $ tt Apr# ti 1 5 , 1936 7/85 6 tt w tt ♦t Aug# I /456 1, 1936 tt tt w Dec, 1 5 , 1 9 3 6 3/4$ # tt Apr# 1 5 , 1 9 3 7 ^ tt Sept, 15, 1 9 3 7 tt tt 1/4J6 tt t» tt Feb. 5/8$ 1, 1938 1/2$ First L/L Bds of 1932/47 tt tt tt » 1932/47 l/49b tt 1933/38 w 1 / 4 # Fourth n 9 7 ,0 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 0 1 ,5 8 7 ,0 0 0 1 5 7 ,5 2 7 ,0 0 0 1 3 7 ,5 2 7 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,4 7 7 ,0 0 0 9 1 ,2 7 7 ,0 0 0 4 1/456 3 ■ fo 2 May June Aug# Sept # Dec# 3 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Treas • Notes tt tt Tot als 0 75, 357, 500 1 2 ,0 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,8 9 2 ,0 0 0 2 7 ,5 8 0 ,0 0 0 6 1 ,7 4 3 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,1 5 0 ,0 0 0 25,225,000 32,750,000 16,440, 5t)0 25,025,000 29,000,000 281,591,000 25,025,000 29,000,000 281,5 9 1 , 000 |1,629,399,500 #1,629,399,500 3 6 ,7 5 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,5 7 0 ,0 0 0 On April 28, owing to the low reserve ratio of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, $5,000,000 of its participation in government securities in the System Account was taken over temporarily into the participation in the System Account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York# The following is a statement showing the amount of each Federal Reserve Bai&^s participation in government securities held in the System Account at the close of business May 20, 1935, and each Federal Reserve Bank’s holding ratio, i*e#, the ratio percentage that each Federal Reserve Bank’s total holdings in the tfg f" Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives " W DECLASSIFIED Authority 3 Account bear to the total holdings in the Account; also, the amount of each Federal Reserve Bank’s outright holdings of United States Government securities at the close of business May 17, 1933: Amount of Participation Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Ri chmond Atlanta Chi cago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Tot als $ Holding Ratios 92,405,000 608,510,000 133,788,500 176,540,000 48,149,000 48,625,000 193,715,500 65,331,500 47,224,000 56,248,500 33,939,500 124,923,000 5 37 8 10 3 3 11 4 |1,629,399,500 100 5 3/4$ 1/4$ 1/4# 3/4$ $ fo Z/4$ fo fo 3 1/2$ 2 fo 7 3/4$ $ Outright Holdings | 706, 050 120,296, 500 3,352, 100 0 0 24, 400 62,836, 000 500, 000 7,043, 650 171, 600 10,000, 000 0 $204,930, 300 System Purchases of Bankers Acceptances The amount of bankers acceptances purchased by the System, since the April 19 meeting, has been negligible and no purchases or allotments were made by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Attached are exhibits showing: "A” - Classification of Issues held in the System Account as of May 20, 1933, and the percentage of each issue held in the Account as compared with the amount of the respective issue outstanding.MBn - Maturities of Government Securities held in System Account as of May 20, 1933. "C” - Approval received from Federal Reserve Board under date of May 12, 1933, authorizing the executive committee of the Conference to proceed with its proposed purchases of United States Government Securities up to an aggregate of $1,000,000,000* - £ j» ' Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 2&HIBXT "A" Classification oi _ss Held in tho System Accoun. as iay 20, 1933 and tho Percentage of Each Issuo Hold in tho Account as Comparod yith the Amount of the Respective Issue Out stranding_____ (ooo'1omitted) Amount of Respective Issues Outstanding Amount of Issues Held in System Account By Classification TREASURY BILLS u. S. Treasury Bills due May tr tr tt tt tt »t tt tt « tt tt ft tt t» tt tt tt tt t» tt tt tt « tt tt n tt n tt tt tt tt »t tt tt tt tt tt tt tf t» tt tt tt n tt tt tt tt rt 24, 31, June 7, tt 21, « 28, July 5, tt 12, n 19, tt 26, Aug. 9, »t 16, tt 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 TOTALS C M I FT CATES OF INDEBTEDNESS 1 1 / 2 $ Cert . of Ind* due June 1 5 , ti tt Aug. 1 5 , tt 4 $ « » w w Sept . 1 5 , 1 1/4$ « » w w Dec. 1 5 , 3/4$ « tt w n » 15, 4 1/4$ 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 TOTALS TREASURY NOTES 3 $ Treas. Notes due tt « »t 2 1/8$ « tt tt 3 $ tt » w 2 7/8$ w »t tt 3 1/4$ tt M » 2 3/4$ tt tt tt 3 $ tf tt tr 3 1/4$ tt w w 2 5/8$ May 2, Aug, 1, June 15, Apr. 15, Aug. 1, Dec. 15, Apr. 15, Sept,,15, Feb. 1, TOTALS LIBERTY LOAN BONDS 3 1/2$ 1st L/t Bds. of 1932-47 4 1/4$ M w * * 1932-47 4 1/4$ * * ”” " 1933-38 TOTALS 1934 1934 1935 1936 1936 1936 1937 1937 1938 Percentage of Issues Held to Amount Outstanding $ 41,000 17,500 33,150 11,350 24,250 4,738 31,000 2,650 42,900 7,500 7,500 $ 60,074 100,613 75,216 100,569 100,158 100,096 75,733 75,188 80,295 75,067 75,442 68 17 44 11 24 4 41 3 53 10 10 1/4$ 1/2$ $ 1/4$ 1/4$ 3/4$ $ 1/2$ 1/2$ $ $ $223,538 $918,451 24 1/4$ $ 83,925 51,655 200,533 83,454 75,770 $ 373,856 469,089 451,447 254,364 473,328 22 1/2$ 11 $ 44 1/2$ 32 3/4$ 16 $ $495,337 $2,022,084 24 1/2$ $101,587 137,527 91,277 75,337 25,892 61,743 25,225 36,750 19,570 $ 41 39 22 13 7 17 5 4 7 $574f908 $3,924,466 244,2*34 345,292 416,603 572,419 365,138 360,553 508,329 834,401 277,517 25,025 29,000 281,591 $ 1,392,227 535,983 6,268,095 3 3 5 ,6 1 6 $ 8 ,1 9 6 ,3 0 5 1/2$ 3/4$ $ 1/4$ $ 1/4$ $ 1/2$ $ 14 3/4$ 1 3/4$ 5 1/2$ 4 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Exhibit »»BMr MATURITIES OF GOVERNMENT SECURITIES HELD IN S M ACCOUNT AS OF MAY 20, 1955 SHORT -TEEM ISSUES Treasury Bills, Certificates and Notes MATURING WITHIN 1 YEAR Within 5 months 3 to 6 " 6 « 9 *» 9 « 12 « $359,118,000 200,533,000 159,224,000 101,587,000 TOTAL MATURITIES WITHIN 1 Y E A R ----------------------------- 0 MATURING 1 TO 1 1/2 YEARS - - -------------------- r 820.462.000 137.527.000 ---------- MATURING 1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 YEHARS----------------------------------- 91,277,000 MATURING 2 1/2 TO 5 Y E A R S --------------------------------------- 75,337,500 MATURING 3 TO 5 Y E A R S ------------------------------------------- 169.180.000 $1,293,783,500 LIBERTY LOAN BONDS First 5 1/2f0 Liberty Loan Bonds ” 4 1/4$ w « « (Due June 15, 1947 Callable on or after Dec. 15, 1955) § 25,025,000 29,000,000 § Fourth 4 1/4$ Liberty Loan Bonds (Due Oct. 15, 1958 Callable on or after Apr. 15, 1954) 54,025,000 281,591,000 GRAND TOTAL §1,629,399,500 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E ^ / O ^ O j Exhibit "C" C O P Y F E D E R A L OF T S L 3 G E A H R E S E R V E B O A R D WASHINGTON May 12, 1933. Harrison - N e w York Tho Federal Reserve Board has given careful consideration to the resolutions adopted at the meeting on April 22, 1933, of the Open Market Policy Conference, and has requested me to advise you that it authorizes the executive committee of the Conference to proceed with its proposed purchases of United States Government securities up to an aggregate of $1,000,000,000. In granting this authority the Board will expect to be kept informed currently by the executive committee of its program of purchases and as to any developments in the situation which may affect the application of the program# The Board will have the whole matter of open market policy under constant review, and will ad vise the committee of changes to be made in the program in order more fully to adjust it to the requirements of the national situation# (Signed) CHESTER MORRILL Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority ■V- itoy bb, H 38 During tlie pest month there has been a considerable further increase ' -------------------- -- “ ?'**■* r business activity, a strong r i m is comaodity and security prices, and a further i^ T 0r m m i in the banking situation. Indications of the extent of the rise in business activity and in prices are given in the following table: Per cent 1933 Biiugtrial production — -----------If* B* Board usonthly index) Merchandise and miscellaneous carloadings (f. B* Bank t»f If. Y. weekly index) l&olesale prices of 285 ccawodities - *-■ (?• B* .Board weekly index) iSholesale prices of ,15 basic couaaDdities(Moody*s dally index) J*rlees of 9 0 stodcs - — (Standard Statistics Co* daily index) -W o i& prices TJ. 3* Government bonds — ------- * (F. B* Bank of H. T* average) A m bonds (Moody*s average) ------- A * » ' * --------Baa " " » --- - - B " (F. B. Bank of N. Y* average) - 60 Lst^ept Low (Mar.) 66 .. . (April) ♦ 10 46.1 (Mar.) 54.1 (May 13) + ir 59.6 (Mar.) 63.2 (May 12) 6 78.7 (Feb.) 116.0 (May 18) + 47 43.9 (Feb.) 68.7 (May 20) + 56 98.8 (Mar.) 102*6 (May 20) + 4 97.8 72.2 53.3 31.1 103.3 80.7 67.0 41.8 + 6 12 + 26 ♦ 34 (Apr;) (Apr.) (Apr.) (Apr.) (May " * * 19) " • » " 4* Steel mill aerations have considerably more than doubled since the bank holiday and have risen well above a year previous for the first time since 1929* Hectric power production also has recently reached a level above that of e year previous for the first time in about three years* The railroad movement of merchan dise is now closer to the level of the year previous than at any time since the beginning of the depression# Bet ail trade also has ir^roved considerably* The relatively faiwable caparisons with a year ago are due partly to tho downward course of business t^year ago, but, in general, business activity appears to have about regained the level of last autumn* The principal industries which have not yet shown a material increase in activity are those dependent upon the investment of now c%ital, sttfii as the building and industrial equipment industries. if? rise in ccnaodity prices thus far haa b « n largely ** **• tlee-such as grain, cotton, rubber, and basic jnetals. COTCodi in index of 15 such cccsooditi Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E c . i o S o f 2 is now nearly 50 per cent above the low point of the year, whereas the broad indexes of wholesale cormodity prices have risen only about 6 per cent* gasic cocnodity prices have reached the highest level since the early autumn of 1931, while wholesale connodity prices in general remain close to the lowest levels reached up to the end of 1932* As a result, the gap between basic coEEJQclity prices and the general level of wholesale comodity prices has been naterially reduced. During the past few days a noderate reaction in connodity prices has occurred* The Position of Member Banks* The renewed publication of data on the loans and investments and deposits of selected member banks in principal cities throughout the country shows that be sides the substantial recovery in deposits and a renewed increase in loans and investments in New York City, deposits in other cities have increased moderately, and there has been some increase in loans and investments, reversing the tendency of several previous months* These changes arc summarized in the following table; (Millions of dollars) Hew York City Mar. 8 Loans On securities - -------All other - - - - - - - - - - -------1,453 Total - ------ -- - -■ -------- 3,121 Mar* 8* May 17 1,735 1,617 3,352 2,091 3,098 5,189 1,989 3,080 5,069 1,105 2,378 1,117 3,495 2,241 1,886 4,127 2,556 1,874 4,430 -------- 6,412 6,847 9,316 9,499 --------------- 749 5,230 5,558 692 6,250 4,794 3,496 8,290 5,123 3,579 8,702 Investments U. S. securities---- ----- Other securities - - - - - - - -------T o t a l -- ----- ----- -- - Total loans and investments - May 17 Other Reporting Pities Deposits Time - - - - - - - -- - ---Total - - - - - - - - - - %apublished dat a Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority !n$O f S The increase in deposits reflects to a considerable extent the return flow of currency since the bank holidays, although a part has been the result of additional loans and investments* Funds received through the return of currency have been used largely to retire indebtedness at Federal Reserve Banks, but until a month ago there was also a fairly rapid increase in the reserve balances of member banks# Since the April meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference, however, the growth of member bank reserves has been checked, although currency has continued tc flow back to the banks# The reasons for this are indicated in tho following table: (Millions of dollars} ipril 19 to May 17 Gain (+) ot Loss (-) Gain or loss of reserve funds through Reduction in currency outstanding — ---- ---------------- + Reduction in "Treasury currency adjusted” -- -- - Increase in foreign balances in F. R. banks - — Net gain - - - - - - - -— - - - - ------- ---------- +• Reduction Reduction Reduction Net in F. R. discounts - - - - - - - - — in F. R. bills bought - - - - - - - - - in other F* R. credit - - - - - - - - - loss through reduction in F# R# credit- - Change in member bank r e s e r v e s -- - - - - - — - 216 13 11 192 - 84 - 131 - 32 - 257 -45 As this ta£le shears, the deduct itm in Federal Reserve credit has proceeded some what more rapidly during the past month than the gain of funds to member banks from other sources# As a result, member bank balances showed a net decline of $45,000,000 during the past four weeks. In addition there has been a fairly steady increase in reserve require ments, accompanying the expansion in member bank deposits# For all membei* banks the increase in reserve requirements during the past month has been in the neigh borhood of $75,000,000. Consequently, excess reserves of all mgnber banks, which a month ago were above $400,000,000, have since declined to around $300,000,000. In New York City, excess reserves, which a month ago were around $200,000,000, were nearly wiped out at the beginning of May, and after a renewed flow of funds to Now Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 4 York remain below §100,000,000. prospects for Issuing Weeks* During the two weeks ending Ma y 31 most of the remaining dollar ac ceptances held by the System, about $65,000,000 will mature. The payment of these bills at maturity will tend to reduce member bank reserves, and may result in in creased offerings of bills to bill dealers, whose portfolios are now rather large * This might result in a temporary tightening of the money market. In the week ending May 24 there should be a further return flow of cur rency to offset the effect of the decline in the System’s bill holdings, and in addition there will probably be Treasury expenditures of the free gold which has resulted from making all forms of money legal tender. During the last week of May, however, there is usually some increase in the demand for currency for the monthend and the Decoration Day holiday, which may add to the effect of maturities from Federal Reserve bill holdings in reducing member bank reserves. foreign Exchange A factor of some importance in the rise in prices during the past few weeks has been the decline in the dollar relative to the principal foreign curren cies. This appears to have been effective in stimulating prices more because it has seemed to indicate a decline in the value of the currency unit of this country than because of any increase in the actual experts of commodities from this country. In the case of wheat, which is among the commodities that have shown the largest price increases during recent weeks, exports have declined in volume, and in the case of cotton the increase in exports has not been large. The decline in the dollar relative to foreign currencies appears to have been the result chiefly of movements of capital, rather than of ordinary settlements of balances due between this and Other countries. The balancc of payments position of this country, exclusive of capital movements, remains favorable, and would Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 5 ordinarily tend to maintain tho dollar in a strong position. During the past ten days the depreciation in the dollar against the principal foreign currencies has diminished somewhat* For the time being at least, therefore, this factor as a stimulus to prices is no longer effective. The Government Security Market As the table on the first page of this report shows, there has been a moderate recovery in the market for United States Government bonds following the decline in February and early Mar£h, and the same is true of Treasury notes. In the case of Treasury certificates and bills, yields declined rapidly after the abrupt rise during the banking crisis, and have remained at low levels in recent weeks• The moderate strength of Government obligations recently, in the face of expected large additional issues of Government securities, appears to have been due at least in part to purchases by dealers in anticipation of large operations in Government securities by tho Reserve Banks. As the result of those purchases, dealers* portfolios are now at unusually high levels. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 3 3 $ r < Z Mr* Randolph Burgsas, issiotary, Opsa Marks* Policy Co&f«r»&as, e/o M o r a l Rsssrrs Bank o f K n T«vl» Row York, H»v Tojfc# Star Mr* Burgsssi Bosoipt is asksonlodosd of your lstto r of Juxmi as , 1933, iaslosing ooplas o f tbs rsTlsod ada* «ta * of tbs sM tlag o f tbs Gpsa Market Policy Confaro f tbs Sxsoutft* COBBittOS Of tbS COSltSfOai* oa ifsy 23, 1933. It Is astsA tbst abila tbs last paragraph of tbs Kiautss of tbs raaatiag on April baa boss changed soasvbat, tbs last portion of tbs sisgtsstlon contained la tbs Board9s Xsttsr o f May 18 vaa aot adopted* Vsry truly yours, (Signed) thesis? Men' i Cheater M orrill secretary Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority m m m m & L HESIHVE BASK OF HEW lOHK Jtm© 28, 1933* Dear Govoraor fil&ok: Wo aro oonding you horowith roviood mlnntoojog y tho Qpon Market Policy ©oaforonoo nesting hold on April ■'3 3 ?. - C - x 22 9 1933 9 and of tho oxoeutiTO oam it t oo mooting hold on. Ifey 239 1933* Will yon ploaoo onbotituto thooo for tho preliminary drafto proYiously sont yon* Tosy truly yoisrs, (Signed) V* Bandolph Bargoso W. Randolph Burgoao, Soorotary9 Qpoa Market Policy Coaforonoo# Honorable Eugene B. Black, Governor, Federal Rasorre Board, Washington D. C. Eno* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority V F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k of Ne w Yo r k June 5, 1933. Mr. Chester Morrill, Secretary, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. Dear Mr. Morrill: I think I have never acknowledged the receipt of the Board1s letter of May 18 suggesting a number of changes in the tentative draft of the Minutes of the Open Market Policy Conference held on April / 2 2 / 1933. I have noted the contents of this letter and shall endeavor to revise the minutes of the meeting in such fashion as to cover the points raised in your letter. Very truly yours, W. Randolph Burgess, Deputy Governor. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority f^ G O j MAY 181933 Mr* W* R. Burgess, Secretary, Open Policy Conference, c/o Federal .Reserve Bank of New York, New York, New York. Dear Mr* Burgessj Becelpt la acknowledged of your letter of jtey 8, 1933, transmitting a copy of a tentative draft of tha minutes of tha m e t i n g of the open Masfeet Policy Conference la Waahlngton on April BB§ 1933* The Board dealres to suggest the following substitute for the next to the laat paragraph on page 3: "At I I 1 50 a, a* the Open Maxfcet Policy Conference met with the federal Beserve Board* Coplea of the three resolutions adopted by the Conference were presented to the Board, and Governor Harrison outlined sons of the reasona which prompted the adoption of the resolutions In the font sutoaltted* / In reaponae to an Inquiry by Governor Meyer, Governor Harrison stated that the resolutions did not require lanedlate action by the Board.” atnoe then, aa you probably know, the Board advised Governor Harrleon, aa Chalxiaan of the Open Market Policy Confer* ence, In a letter dated m y 2, 1933, that the Board waa In agree ment with the proposal that the executive coaralttee of the Confer ence work out a new system of allotment of Government aeeurltlee In the System account, and In a telegram dated May IS, 1933, that the Board authorised the executive co&nlttee of the Conference to proceed with Its proposed purchases of Government securities up to an aggregate of #1,000,000,000* Action on the resolution adopted Y the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives d e c l a s s if ie d Authority -2by the Conference with regard to the shifting of maturities of securities hold in the System account has been deferred, although, as you know, the natter has been dlsoussed informally. Vory truly yours, Chester Morrill, secretary. -«**»•* w i u H l i Mr. Pteas# irtttfeU0» copy if you appr<ws ansi return to Secretary's Office, DECLASSIFIED Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives Authority /O ^O j r/ y ■?*$ Memorandum for Governor Blacks k I enclose, for what interest it may have for you, correspondence with the Secretary of the Open Market Policy Conference relating to the recent report of the last conference, on which comments were invited. George J. Seay, Governor. May 16, 1955. \ Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Misc 129 FEDER> - R J E R V E B A N K O F RIC iMC JD May 8, 1935* Dear Dr* Burgess: I am in receipt of your letter of the 0th, accompanied by a tentative draft of the minutes of the Open Market Poliey Conference, which I have read with care, as you suggest. Subsequent events have made i t plain that our action at that conference may be fraught with very grave consequences, although we fu lly realized i t at the time. " The text of the minutes reflects the discussion of the sug gestion then made that i t might be necessary to cooperate with the Treasury bypurchasing government securities in the market, in order to support such securi ties and make public issues possible upon better terms* I stated then, and I state now, that the terms of the resolution reflect bqt opinion, which is that, i f circumstances require us to purchase any large amount of government securi tie s , we should buy them directly from the Treasury, and thus force the Treasu ry, in e ffect, to make us it s direct instrumentality of expansion, or in flation , which of course is the purpose of the Act, and thus make the Treasury responsi ble for what might follow. I stated then, and I state now, required to purchase up to three b illion is easily conceivable that the entire might be wiped out lay market decline sition in which member banks a ll ove: tion of their investments. Of course1 this might not occur in theory, turing and in theory would be c take other securities in sibly market the securitie the Federal Reserve Banks are government securities, i t of Federal Reserve Banks securycies and leave us in the potry have been placed by depreciay were very short-time securities cause such securities would be mapar; but in fact we would have to as Mr* Glass stated, we could not pos- I s t i l l think t® ± thisnform of in flation , by "negotiation" with the Federal Reserve Banks for t^^ptichase of government securities, is the least harmful of any proposed in the b ill, because i t is more subject to scien tific control and would be credit inflation pure and simple. Mr* Glass thinks that the issue of Treasury currency to the extent of three b illion s of dollars would be less harmful, in which I do not agree with him. In making these statements I simply wish to emphasize what I stated at the time in voting for the resolution as phrased. I was not then and am not now in favor of purchasing any very large amount of government securities except through and at the behest of the Treasury Department. I voted for the resolution as i t was the sense of the conference that a system of allotment of existing hold ings should be worked out; but, at the same time, I stated that i t was essential, in ny opinion, for the Federal Reserve Banks to be operated as a system i f we were to engage in wholesale purchases or even redistribution of government securities now held. Therefore I would prefer incorporating in the next to the la st paragraph of the minutes some allusion to the necessity of operating the Federal Reserve Banks as a system, under the control of the Federal Reserve Board, and requiring the approval of the Board as much as in the purchase of one b illion dollars of new securities, as specified in the la st paragraph of the minutes. *J (V/ Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority jQ ^ Q j We of course could not purchase any such volume of government securi ties as specified in the inflation bill without the waiver of reserve require ments, and without coordination of all the banks under the supervising authority of the Board. lours very truly, GJS-CCP (Signed) GEORGE J. SEAY, Governor. Dr. W. R. Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Misc (O ^ O j 29 FEDER, R 'iERVE BANK OF RH m* ID May 16, 1 Dear Doctor Burge®®! I have your letter of the 15 th replying to- mine of the relative to the policy of purchasing a huge amount of government se curities* / I do not think there 1® any point to the suggestion or argu ment of preserving the jMegendence of the Federal Reserve Banks, or System, when it comm to buying three billions of securities, or even one billion, in addition to what we already have. 1 as quit© post* tive that the conference, or the majority of th« conference, if not confronted with the inflation bill and if it did not have to choose between methods of inflation would vote against the- purchase of such an extraordinary amount* I do not call that preserving the independence of the Federal Reserve Bystesu —fy It is not wgr recollection that tnl conference favored buying in tb.e aarket, but rather that it was tj^w;h\ and expressed that, in the carrying out of the policy of the 'niQ]tMXi bill,, we might also have to buy in the market* And, %p£jj*k ifc^V broughi out in the dis cussion that buying in the imrket^ms iVjhas heretofore been done had the effect of piling up excess yS^Wcejp chiefly in the money centers, although the excess, of cours^-^rew&vsd to eso?se extent into the country generally, whereas from the treasury and having the amounts bought by each fbd^ralSAaolrve Bank checked out of the sev eral bank* by the freasgfer us© would bring about a more gener al distribution of crcdfff* x y V / Of course w^tojgp^kaow fros\ the beginning to what extent ’ purchases by the %etesNuyp^b| but if government securities are Issued, to cover all of the purposes which Congress has in aind, the prices of government securities will, of course, suffer, and we as .holders of such securities will be likely to suffer by decline, especially if we tone up the atorket, a» you say, in advance by taking securities off the aarket* He are very fir® here in desiring to have a policy determined in this case by the Federal Reserve Board for the &yste*« Very truly yours, CtfS-CCP (Signed) GEORGE J, S1AI, Governor* Dr. K Randolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Coaferenee, Federal Reserve Bank of Sew Xork, Mew lrork City. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority IT ,# , l o ^ o f Fe d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k of Ne w Yo r k May 8, 1933 Dear Governor Meyer: V- I am sending you herewith a tentative draf \ of the minutes of the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held on April 22. These are subject to cor rection and the final draft will be forwarded later. Veiy truly yours, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference Honorable Eugene Meyer, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. WRB.H encl. MAYS 1933 OFFICE OF THTi, GOVERNOR FEDERAL RI',. TJaVE BOARD Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E~,0. l o ^ o j 53 It i« the i o b m of the eonferoaee that while, m t $e&siml pipta#i|>lii# the aiw m $ * natttritj^of :.6Mnran»itt securi ties held la the ayatea aeeotmt ehould he fceft aa wtowrt a* a e r e r th e le e e , In in timt ef la e e tin g the a # e d of th e p r e a e a t e a e rg ^ n e y , and e a p e o i a l l y fu ll ftoopeumtloa with Txmwax# ia Its fiaoal prohlseaf the *3e»«\rttiri ©orasittee ahould he & u th o r iz 4 d fro m % i m t o t i n e a c c o u n t aa «©aditi©a* ia the T r e a a u r y app®eur to m fce u n d e rs t th e ood that ia the to a h ift » a ta r itie e m r f c e t o r r e q > iir e * e B t8 that ajIriaahXe* r & p la o in * ■ a t u r l t i e e o f w . 1 t te e w i l l ia th e eye tarn we ita fm r tk tm o v * ia the of the # it it e y a te a a c c o u n t, di t e r a t i o n ia the of e x i s t i n g o o n d itio n a aad t h i a r e s o l u t i o n i a s e le c t in g re p la o e m e n t# . (Uhajiinoae) ^iiiftutrnvsj mmmmm lig f c t Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority £ ~ 0 . Rssolutlon It Is ths BOAS* ©f ths 0O3rfSl*fttS t&at ths •xsoutirs a w i t t + s fes instruct*d to work out a eystwi of allotasnt of sxiatin* holdings *s well i« as* pareh&sss of OtarsriMsat *#*urltU« with a riow to arriYln* St a aors squitabls relationship of rss«rra psrsantagss of ths s s w r a l Fsdsr^l vsssrtw bosks* APR2 C 1<B9 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority It ia tbo m m m E g ./o Z o ) of th« tpen Market Policy Conf«r«iifl» that, § u & > # t to th* approval of th« F«<2bral & M * r m Board, th« «x«eutlT« ooiaaltt*e be aut ho ri M d to arr*ag* with th* $•£*»***? of the Tr*e«ury from tin# to tia» to purohft** up to #1,000,000,000 of Q m i W M i t »«curitU« t# M*#t Tr»a*ury r*qulr«o»nt«. (Itoanlaoug, wit& Bijraty OovoraeHP McK&y not ▼otia«) wm Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Exoerpt from the Minutes of the Meeting of the Federal Reserve Board with the Governors of the Federal Reserve Banks, April 22* 1933 3 3 3 ,— ^ •~*2fc Governor Harrison stated that a meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference was held this morning at which the follcnring resolution m s adopted, Deputy Governor MoKay not voting t * * * * * * Governor Harrison stated that the resolution nas approved in this form with the idea, not that all purchases of securities made pursuant there to would be made directly from the Treasury Department, but that purchases would also bs made in the open market whenever conditions made such action desirablef that it was the feeling of the conference that the resolution was necessary to prepare the System to pake arrangements with the Secretary of the Treasury along the lines proposed in the Thomas Billj and that, even if that bill is not enacted into law, it is felt that the ocomittee should be free to act if a situation developed which would require the Treasury Department to turn to the Federal reserve banks for assistance. Governor Harrison then presented the following resolutions which he stated had been unanimously approved by the Conferences Governor Harrison stated that, in approving the first of the two resolutions quoted above, it was not intended that there should be any change in the fundamental policy of maintaining a portfolio of Gcremment securities with short maturities, but that the resolution would give to the committee authority to adopt a more liberal policy as to longer maturities than it has had in the past, and, as there does not seem to be much to anticipate a major liquidation of the System account, it was felt tli&t consideration might be given to the advisability of acquiring longer maturities, at the appropriate time, for the purposes (1) of avoiding the R e p ro d u c e d fro m th e U n c la s s ifie d / D e c la s s ifie d H o ld in g s o f th e N a tio n a l A rc h iv e s DECLASSIFIED Authority E g. io 9o ! EX001“pt m Z wide ■$pww& b « $ m m the yieldi on abort and long t o m naturitioa* mmi (2) Of toning x%> tho aarket for short maturities which would enable the Trwaaury Department to market an laaue of iooiiri'U## without the a**1stance of ife* Federal reserve banka, whore «uoh assistance might otherwise bo neoeseary tkpraraor liarrieon added that it H I .sot oonsidered that the *itnfctio» required immediate aotion 'by the Federal Reserve Board on those resolutions* Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Excerpt - 2 wide spread between the yields on short and long term maturities, and (2) of toning up the market for short maturities which would enable the Treasury Department'to market an issue of securities without tho ac si stance of the Federal reserve banks, where such assistance might otherwise l-c necessary. Cover nor Ilarrison added that it m s not considered that the situation required immediate action by the federal Reserve Board on these resolutions* reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives . ' .w DECLASSIFIED Authority It 11:50 a*m* the Open Market Policy Conference met with the Federal Beserve Board, Copies of the three resolutions adopted b y the Conference were presented to the Board, and Governor Harrison outlined some of the reasons which prompted the adoption of the resolutions in the farm submitted. In response to an inquiry by Governor Meyer, Governor Harrison stated that the resolutions did not require immediate action by the Board. This is as quoted in the Board’s letter to Dr. Burgess under date of May 18* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /Q ^Oj CONFIDENTIAL TENTATIVE DRAFT OF MINUTES OF MEETING OF THE OPEN MARKET POLICY CONFERENCE SATURDAY, APRIL 28, 1933, WASHINGTON, D. C. The meeting was called to order at 11 a. n u , there being present the following: Governor Harrison, chairman, and GovernorsYoung, Norris,'Fancher, Seay, Black, Martin, Geery, Hamilton, McKinney, and Calkins, and Deputy Governor McKay. Following completion of the deliberations of the governors con ference, a meeting of the open market policy conference was convened to consider what, if any, action should be taken by the conference with a view to giving the executive committee power to function if necessary in the emergency pending another meeting of the conference. The report of the secretary of the operations in the system account since the last meeting, which had been previously distributed, was received and ordered to be placed on file. The conference then considered the pre liminary memorandum which had also been distributed during the course of the governors conference. There was a general discussion of the memorandum and a review of banking and business conditions which had been considered during the course of the governors conference. Particular reference was made to the fhomas Amendment to the Farm Bill giving the President among other powers the right to direct the Secretary of the Treasury to arrange with the Federal re serve banks for the purchase of government obligations up to three billion dollars. As drafted, this provision of the law is not obligatory so far as the Federal reserve banks are concerned. But the conference was generally in O'- agreement that during the period of the emergency it would be necessary for the Federal reserve banks, so far as possible and consistent with their own position and requirements, to cooperate with the Treasury with a view to facilitating any necessary issues of government securities or to support the Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority IT , 0 . 2 market for government securities in order to make such public issues possible. The majority of the conference however did not feel thet at the present time it would be advisable for the Federal reserve banks to purchase government securities solely for the purpose of increasing member bank reserves. After further discussion and in order that the executive committee might be prepared, if deemed advisable at the time, to purchase government securities with a view to making it possible for the Treasury to meet its requirements, it was y l ‘~U f~ VOTED to be the sense of the conference that subject to ar-proval of the Federal Reserve Board the executive committee be authorized to arrange with the Secretary of the Treasury from time to time to pur chase up to one billion dollars uf government securi ties to meet Treasury requirements. Deputy Governor McKay of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago asked to b© recorded as not voting* All the other governors voted in the affirmative. During the debate on this resolution it was pointed out that this authority, if approved by the Federal Reserve Board, would permit the executive conmittee to purchase government securities in the market as a means of facili-* tating public issues of government securities rather than to force the Treasury to seek accommodation directly from the Federal reserve banks. It was understood that a purchase in such circumstances would be with a view to meeting Treasury requirements as specified in the resolution. The conference then considered the question of the average maturity of the securities held in the system account, it being pointed out that in present circumstances a larger proportion of longer time government securities might not be inappropriate, especially if the exchange of short term securities for longer maturities would facilitate the marketing of government issues when necessary. It was emphasized that it might be possible by shifting various issues in the system account from shorter to longer maturities to promote a better relationship of rates in the government security market and also tone up the market so as to facilitate public issues where otherwise direct recourse to Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o . j O ^ O f the Federal reserve banks might be sought. After discussion it was unanimously VOTED to be the sense of the conference that while as a general principle the average maturity of governments held in the system account should be kept as short as possible, nevertheless in the present emer* gency and especially in view of the need of full coopera tion with the Treasury in meeting its fiscal problems, the executive committee should be authorized from time to time to shift maturities in the system account if condi tions in the market or requirements of the Treasury appear to make that advisable. Furthermore, it is understood that in replacing maturities in the system account the executive committee will use its discretion in the light of existing conditions and this resolution in selecting replacements. In view of the fact that the present emergency might make it necessary or advisable for the Federal reserve banks to acquire further amounts of govern ment securities, it was the belief of the conference that there should be the dullest cooperation on the part of the several Federal reserve banks in reallo cating existing and passible future holdings of government securities as between reserve banks. Accordingly, it was unanimously executive system of purchases at a more VOTED to be the sense of the conference that the committee should be instructed to work out a allotment of existing holdings as well as new of government securities with a view to arriving equitable relationship of reserve percentages. It was pointed out that the reallocstion of securities between reserve. banks might be necessary not only to permit of further purchases of securities by the system but also to enable any Federal reserve bank freely to accommodate its member banks on 10 B loans in cases wh^-re large amounts of such loans might be required to keep open licensed member banks in its district. f After the adoption of these resolutions, the Federal Reserve Board joined the conference and each of the resolutions was read to the Board, it j being pointed out that the first resolution authorizing the executive committee | to purchase up to one billion dollars of government securities would require the I approval of the Federal Reserve Board. At 12:30 the meeting adjourned#. George L. Harrison, Chairman* Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /0 9 0 j J CONFIDENTIAL 3 3 3 . REPORT OF OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS TO MEETING OF OPEN MARKET POLICY CONFERfNCf _________ HELD IN WASHINGTON ON APRIL 19, 1935__________ — -------------------f / ! cj / 5 5 A t the last meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held in Washingtoa on January 4, 1933, the following resolution was passed by unanimous vote; It is the sense of the Open Market Policy Conference that there should be no change in the System’s policy intended to maintain a substantial amount of excess member bank reserves inasmuch as the continuance of excess reserves in substantial amounts is desirable in present conditions. In view of the return flow of currency during January and prospective gold movements the amount of excess reserves may rise considerably above the present level which is deemed appropriate under pres ent conditions. BE IT RESOLVED, THEREFORE, That, pending another meeting of the Conference, the Executive Committee be given authority (a) to reduce the System’s holdings of short-term Treasury bills in order to offset such amount of the return flow of currency as may seem de sirable, provided such action does not result in any substantial reduction in existing excess reserves and (b) if necessary, to purchase Government securities in sufficient amounts to prevent member bank excess re** serves falling below the present genrral level. It was understood informally that the resolution should be interpreted by the executive committee as follows: (1) Treasury bills up to $125,000*000 would be allowed to run off in January to the extent that there is a return flow of currency, but not to bring excess reserves below $500,000,000* (2) When the resolution refers to the present level of re serves it means approximately $500,000,000. (3) When the resolution refers to the return flow of cur rency it means the return flow from the December peak just before Christmas. (4) There would be another meeting of the Conference before any increase in the System holdings of government secur ities above $1,851,000,000. In line with this policy, a part of the System*s holdings of maturing Treasury bills was redeemed without replacement during the month of January, i Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Eo.lQ^Oj indicated below: January 11 n 11 « 18 n 18 ft 25 Total $35,600,000 from holdings in ♦» w n 2,756,000 n » » n 30,208,000 t t ♦ t » t 4,000,000 w 15,000,000 System F.R.B. System F.R.B. System Account Chicago Investment Account Account New York Investment Account Account $87,564,000 These redemptions reduced the amount of total holdings in the system from $1,850,900,000 to $1,763,311,000, of which amount $1,558,799,500 was held in the Open Market Investment Account and the balance of $204,511,500 in the Investment Accounts of Federal Reserve Banks. Within the course of the following ten days member bank excess reserves declined to a point below $500,000,000 and in line with the resolution passed on January 4, purchases of short-term issues of Government securities were made in the market for System Account as follows: Week Ended February 8 w " " 15 " " " 22 $520,600,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 Total #70,600,000 These purchases increased the amount of total holdings in the System Account from $1,558,799,500 to $1,629,399,500, which figure has been maintained since February 22, 1933. Other transactions effected in the System Account since the report to the January 4 meeting consisted of: (1) Redemptions of $288,300,000 aggregate amount of maturing Treasury 3 ills and $5,234,500 - 3 3/4$ Certificates of Indebtedness matured February 1, 1933, (representing the unallocated porti'on of exchange subscription), which were replaced by purchase in the market of $293,534,500 aggregate amount of short-term issues consisting for the greater part of Treasury Bills. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E .O . jO O O j 5 (2) Exchange at maturity, by exchange subscription, of $ 8,540,500 - 3 3/4$ C/l due 2/ 1/33 for $8,540,500 - 2 5/8$ T/N due 1/38 81,025,000 - 3 3/4$ " " 3/15/33 " 25,855,000 - 4 $ C/l " ^15/33 ___________ 55,170,000 - 4 1/4$ " "12/15/ 33 $89,565,500 $89,565,500 (3) Exchanges in the market, at advantageous rates, of $83,640,500 aggregate amount of short-term issues of Government securities for a like amount of other short-term issues of Government securities* (4) Sales to a New York City bank, in lieu of purchase from them of a large block of bankers acceptances, of $50,000,000 - 3 3/4$ Treasury Certificates of Indebtedness due March 15, 1933, which were replaced by purchases in the market of a like amount of other issues of short-term Government securities. (5) Sale to a foreign correspondent of $40,000,000 aggregate amount of Treasury Bills which was replaced temporarily by purchase in the market of a like amount of Treasury Certificates and later exchanged for Treasury Bills when the latter were avail able in the market. The following is a statement of the issues of United States Government securities held in the System Account on December 28, 1932 and on April 12, 1933: Dec. 28, 1932 U. S. Treas. Bills due Jan. 11» 18, ti ft ft tt tf tt 25, tf t» ft tt tt Feb. 8, tt ft tt tt tt « 15, tf ft tt tf tt tt 23, f? tt ♦t tt tf Mar. 1, n t» tf tf n ft 29, tt ti tt tf tt Apr. 19, tt tt tt tf « tt 26, tt t» tt May tf »f 10# tf tt tt tt tt n 17, tt tt tt tf tt tt 24, tt tt tt tf tf »t 31, tt tt tt ♦t tt 7, June tt tt tt « tt tt 21, tf tt tf M tt tt 28, tf » tt tf V July 12, 3 3/4$ Cert, Of Ind • tt Feb. 1, ti Mar. tl tt 3 3/4$ tt 15, tt tt tt May 2 $ it 21 tt tt June n 1 1/2$ w 151 tt t» « 4 $ f« Aug. 151 tt tt n 1 1/4$ Sept. 15, tt ft tt tt tt tt 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1953 1933 1933 1933 1933 1935 1953 $ 55,600,000 46,208,000 69,550,000 43,200,000 38,600,000 49,950,000 35,000,000 34f350,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13,775,000 151,025,000 123,257,500 118,725,000 0 175,983,000 Apr. 12, 1953 $ o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29,000,000 31,100,000 16,100,000 36,500,000 41,000,000 17,500,000 55,150,000 11,000 ,000 25,550,000 51,000*000 0 0 79,397,000 116,425,000 43,155|000 200,533,000 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o .jO ^O f 4 3/4# Cert . of Ind. due Dec. 15, m « ii n it 15, 4 1/4# i t May 3 Treas. Notes 2, 1o it it it Aug. 2 i/a f o 1, ♦t it June tt 3 15, fo it Aug. « 3 1/4fo n If i ? ♦ i i t Dec. 2 z/yfo 15, » w Apr. 3 15, # tt i t « Sept. 15, 3 1/4# ii ii it Feb. 2 5/8fo ii 1, 3 1/2# 1st L/L Bds. of 1932- 47 « 1932-■47 ii it 4 1/4fo « i t 1933-38 i t t t 4 1/4fo 4th 1933 1933 1934 1934 1935 1936 1936 1937 1937 1938 TOTALS $ Dec. 28? 1932 66,454,000 0 78,225,000 104,952,000 79,277,000 0 19,880,000 0 0 0 25,025,000 29 ,000,000 281,591,000 |1,639,607,500 Apr. 12, 1953 # 78,104,000 68,670,000 97,025,000 137,527,000 90,477,000 12,050 ,000 27,380,000 24,150,000 32,750,000 16,440,500 25,025,000 29,000,000’ 281,591,000 $1,629,399,500 On January 20, 1953, a sale was made of $2,500,000 United States Govern ment securities from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s participation to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas* participation in the System Account. This sale to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas represented part of its shortage in the hold ings in the System Account which it was able to take over owing to its improved re serve position at that time. The following is a statement showing the amount of each Federal Reserve Bank's participation in Government securities held in the System Account at the close of business Wednesday, April 12, 1933, and each Federal Reserve BankTs hold ing ratio, i. e., the ratio percentage that each Federal Reserve Bank's total holdings in the Account boar to the total holdings in the Account; also, the amount of each Federal Reserve Bank's outright holdings of Government securities: Amount of Partic ipation Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco TOTALS $ 92,405,000 603,510,000 133,788,500 176,540,000 48,149,000 48,625,000 193,715,500 65,331,500 47,224,000 56,248,500 38,939,500 124,923,000 #1,629,399,500 Holding Ratios 5.6711# 37.0388# 8.2109# 10.8347# 2.9550# 2.9842# 11.8887# 4.0096# 2.8983# 3.4521# 2.3898# 7.6668# 100 # Outright Holdings $ 707,000 120,296,550 3,352,100 0 0 18,000 62,836,000 500 ,000 7,034,350 171,600 10,000,000 0 $204,915,600 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Statement showing adjustments in earning asset holdings of Federal Reserve Banks made during March and April, owing to the low reserve ratios of the Federal Reserve Banks which relinquished either temporarily or outright part of their holdings. All of the Government securities and the bills discounted re ferred to in this statement have been taken back by the banks which temporarily relinquished them* F .R .B. tt tt w tt tt tt t» tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt rt tt n tt tt tt tt tt tt Boston purchased temporarily from ft « Chi cago ” it tt Cleveland ” rediscounted for Bost on tt tt Cleveland tt tt Chicago tt tt S t . Louis San Fran, purchased outright from tt ti tt Ri chmond F .R .B. New Tork §25,000,000 Gov’t sec. n 145,000,000 tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt ti 40,000,000 tt tt tt tt t» 20 ,000,000 bills disc. tt tt tt tt tt tf tt 25,000,000 tt ft tt tt tt tt tt 150,000,000 n tf tt tt ?t tt tt 15,000,000 it n tt »t tt 1 0 ,000,000 bankers’ bills tt t» ti tt tt tt ft 1 0 ,000,000 Total amount given off by tt tt tt tt tr $440,000,000 F*R#B* Boston purchased temporarily from F.R.B# Phila. " " " « " outright " " »» " " Total amount given off by n ” " $ 10,000,000 Gov’t s e c . 5,000,000 bankers’ bills $ 15,000,000 ” F,R.B. New York purchased outright from F#R.B. San Fran.f 10,000,000 bankers’ bills n it w Chicago » » » »» » " " » 10,000,000 " " Total amount given off by” ” " TOTAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR S I E T M " ” $ 20,000,000 $475,000,000 Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority j0 ^ 0 j SYSTEM PURCHASES OF BANKERS ACCEPTANCES Statement showing amount of bankers acceptances purchased by Federal Reserve Banks in their respective markets and the amount each Federal Reserve Bank received by allotment from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York during period December 28, 1932 to April 12, 1933, exclusive of any adjustments made between Federal Reserve Banks owing to low reserve ratios. _____________________ (000 Omitted)_____________________ Purchased By Allotment Own Market From New York Totals Bost on New York | 15,413 103,454 | 49,711 | 65,124 0 103,454 812 16,666 17,478 90 8,019 8,109 331 11,021 11,352 Atlanta 1,640 18,056 19,676 Chicago 42,229 56,781 99,010 S t « Louis 0 19,145 19,145 Minneapolis 0 17,600 17,600 Kansas City 0 9,218 9,218 16 2,833 2,849 3,524 45,447 48,971 $167,509 $254,477 $421,986 Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Dallas San Francisco TOTALS Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority ■ Classification of Issues neld in the System Account on April 12, 1933 and the Percentage of Each Issue Held in the Account as Compared With the Amount of the Bespective Issue Outstanding (OOO Omitted) Amount of Respective Issues Cutstanding Amount of Issues Held in System Account by Classification Percentage of Issues Hal5. to Aiuount putotanding TREASURY BILLS U . S . Treasury Bills due April tt tt n tt w n tt tt May tt tt tt tt tt n tt tt t» tt tt tt tt tt tt « it tt » tf tt t» tt i» tt tt June »» » ft n it tt t» tt it tt tt tt tt July ti tt tt w 19, 26, 10, 17, 24, 31, 7, 21, 28, 12, $ 2 9 ,0 0 0 3 1 ,1 0 0 1 6 ,1 0 0 3 6 ,3 0 0 4 1 ,0 0 0 1 7 ,5 0 0 3 3 ,1 5 0 1 1 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,5 5 0 3 1 ,0 0 0 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 TOTALS $ 7 5 ,0 3 2 8 0 ,0 2 0 7 5 ,2 2 8 7 5 ,2 0 2 6 0 ,0 7 4 1 0 0 ,6 1 3 7 5 ,2 1 6 1 0 0 ,5 6 9 1 0 0 ,1 5 8 7 5 ,7 3 3 38 3 /4 $ 38 3 /4 $ 2 1 1 /2 % 48 1 /4 # 6 8 1 /4 % 1 7 1 /2 % 44 % 11 % 2 3 1 /2 % 41 % $ 269,700 $ 817,84:5 33 1 $ 79,397 116,425 43,155 200,533 78,104 68,670 $ 239,197 373,856 469,089 451,447 254,364 473,328 33 31 9 44 30 14 1/4$ 1/4$ 1/4$ 1/2$ 3/4$ 1/2$ $ 586,284 $ 2,261,281 26 1o $ 97,025 137,527 90,477 12,050 27,380 24,150 32,750 16,440 $ 244,234 345,292 416,603 365,138 360,533 508,329 834,401 277,517 39 39 21 3 7 4 4 « 437,799 $ 3,352,047 13 * 25,025 29,000 281,591 $ 1,392,227 535,983 6,268.095 1 3/4$ 5 1/2$ 4 1/2$ $ 335,616 $ 8,196,305 4 $1,629,399 $14,627,478 ° CERTIFICATES OF HTDEBTMKESS 2 % Cert. of Ind • due May 2 , 1933 tt tt w 1 1/2% tt June 15, 1933 4 % 1 1/4% 3/4% 4 1/4% tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt tt » It tt ti n tt tt Aug. 15, Sept,.15, Dec. 15, tt 15, 1933 1933 1933 1933 TOTALS TREASURY NOTES 3 - $ Treas. Notes due M a y ’ 2, 1934 tt " " Aug* 1, 1934 w $ » " June 15, 1935 it 1/4$ " M Aug. 1, 1936 tt 3/4$ " " Dec. 15, 1936 n $ " n Apr. 15, 1937 « 1/4$ " »* Sept .15, 1937 tt 5/8$ » M Feb. 1, 1938 2 1 /8$ 3 3 2 3 3 2 TOTALS 3/4$ 3/4$ 3/4$ 1/4$ 1/2$ 3/4$ $ 6 $ $ LIBERTY LOAN BONDS 3 1/2$ 1st L / L Bds. of 1932-47 w 4 1/4$ " " " 1932-47 tt 4 1/4$ 4th " " 1933-38 TOTALS GRAND TOTALS 11 1/4$ Total of all issues of Treasury Bills, Certificates, ITotes and Bonds outstanding #20,708,733. Percentage of issues held in System Account 7 3/4$. $ Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 8 MATURITIES OF G O V S M E N T SECURITIES HELD 3N S T S T m ACCOUNT CUT APRIL 12, 1955 SHORT-TERM ISSUES Treasury Bills, Certificates and Notes MATURING V/ITHDT 1 YEAR Within 3 montlis 3 to 6 ” 6 " 9 ” 9 "22 " $465,522,000 243,688,000 146,774,000 0 •---$ TOTAL MATURITIES WITHIN 1 YEAR - 855,984,000 MATURING- 1 TO 2 Y E A R S -------------- 234,552,000 MATURING 2 TO 3 Y E A R S -------------- 90,477,000 MATURING 3 TO 4 Y E A R S -------------- 63,580,000 MATURING 4 TO 5 Y E A R S --------------TOTAL -------------- $1,293,783,500 LIBERTY LOAN BONDS First 3 1/2$ Liberty Loan Bonds " 4 1/4$ " " " (Due June 15, 1947 Callable on or after Dec, 15, 1933) f 25,025,000 29,000,000 ____________ Fourth 4 1/4$ Liberty Loan Bonds (Due Oct. 15, 1938 Callable on or after Oct* 15, 1933)* $ 54,025,000 281,591,000 (HAND TOTAL -------- $1,629,399,500 *As no call was issued on April 15, 1933, callable date has been changed to April 15, 1934* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED A u th o r ity E o j Q ^ O f STATEMENT SHOWING EARNINGS OF ALL FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS FOR THS FERST THREE MONTHS OF 1953 Gross Earnings Boston | 653,502 Current Expenses and Net Deductions From or Net Additions to Net Earnings $ 702,651 Available for Depreciation Allowances, Reserves, Surplus and Franchise Tax § 49,149 (a) New York 4,465,494 2,625,903 1,839,591 Philadelphia 1,327,820 813,180 414,640 Cleveland 1,259,161 990,758 268,403 Richmond 441,458 480,322 38,864 (a) Atlanta 471,284 390,125 81,159 Chi cago 1,596,852 1,328,713 268,139 S t • Louis 379,494 488,606 Minneapolis 371,748 334,982 36,766 Kansas City 445,154 496,670 51,516 (a) Dallas 282,850 366,972 84,122 (a) 1,059.618 871,573 188,245 §12,654,435 §9,890,255 §2,764,180 San Francisco TOTALS (a) deficit 109,112 (a) Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E & M £ < 2 1 £ 3 3 . April 18, 1933 m u a m B x v m m u B L J B *. Tm policy m m im m ammmm. jp rx l 19 y 1953 The extent to which the banking system has recovered since the banks were reopened is reflected in the following summary: (In millions of dollars) * Money in circulationF* B * discounts far member banks- » - m --------Member baaak reserves- - Total reserves of F. B* B a n k s ------- m Excess gold reserves of F. B. Banks - «■» Combined reserve ratio of F. B. Banks • 6,611 400 mjtS m 7,538 6,147 408 2,006 3,529 1,315 1,414 2,513 1,776 3,460 2,809 440 1,47* 45.6# 65*4# M 60.«j6 \ - As this table shows, the improvement of banking conditions folloilng t&e reopening of the beaks has been almost as rapid as the preceding deterioration* due largely to the heavy return flow of currency fco the banks. A large part of member bank indebtedness has been repaid, and member bank reserves, after a sub stantial shrinkage, have again increased moderately. The position of Federal Reserve Banks has been strengthened correspondingly* The number of member banks licensed for full reopening is more than 80 per cent of tha total number of member banks, and the proportion of member bank deposits released is more than 90 per cent* This still leaves, however, approxi mately §2,700,000,000 of deposits in member banks that have not been licensed, and in addition a substantial volume of deposits is still tied up in unlicensed nonmember banks* The total volume of deposits still unavailable, therefore, is probably in the neigiborhood of $3,500,000,000* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority £ 7 O ^ O ^ O j . 2 Although efforts were made to continue business operations as far as possible during the suspension of bank operations, the general level of business declined at that time to a new low level for recent years, ’ The industries most seriously affected were those which were already operating at the lowest levels, such as the automobile, building, and steel industries. Subsequently there has been a fairly rapid recovery, but the movement thus fax does not appear to have extended beyond a resumption of the level of activities prevailing early in Feb ruary. Steel mill activity, which had declined from 20 per cent of capacity in the week of February 16 to 14 per cent in the week of March 23, increased again to 19 1/2 per cent in the week of April 15* Sales of automobiles showed a renew al of the spring expansion after the bank holidays, and automobile production was resumed. The railroad movement of merchandise also showed a resumption of the usual seasonal increase. Retail trade, at least in some localities, showed marked improvement after the reopening of the banks. Commodity prices rose sharply when the commodity exchanges were reopen ed on March 16, but in most cases the rise was short-lived. Recently, however, there has been renewed strength in a number of important commodities, especially in grain prices which have reflected poor crop prospects. Wheat prices rose about 16 cents a bushel, or about one-third, from the low point of March to April 15; corn rose about 12 cents a bushel, or more than 50 per cent in the same period. Other commodities which have shown moderate strength recently include cotton, sugar, silk, rubber, copper, lead, silver, and scrap steel. Broad in dexes of commodity prices, which include a large number and variety of quotations, however, remain only slightly above the lowest levels of the year. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority T .O * lQ * ? O j 3 Bond prices, which reflected the influence of liquidation of bank assets during February and early March, have thus far shown no sustained recovery. In the security markets, as in the commodity markets, there was a rise when trading was resumed, but the higher prices were not long sustained. The pressure of liquidation from closed banks has continued, and corporation bond averages on the whole remain about 8 points below the January levels, and close to the lowest levels of the year. In the absence of the usual weekly data on member banks in principal cities, the information on recent tendencies in member bank credit is limited. In the principal New York City banks there was an increase of approximately $550,000,000 in deposits between March 8 and April 12, following a decline of about $1,500,000,000 in the preceding five weeks. The greater part of the recent in crease represents a renewed increase in the balances of out-of-town correspondents, which were heavily reduced prior to the bank holiday. The loans and investments of the New York banks, which declined about $800,000,000 between February 1 and March 8 , have shown no material change subsequently. With a large part of their indebtedness at the Reserve Banks paid off, member banks have again been accumulating excess reserves in moderate amount dur ing recent weeks. For all member banks the excess is probably now around $300,000,000, although the actual volume of reserves remains about $400,000,000 less than in January. More than half of the excess reserves are again concentrat ed in New York, due to tendency of banks in other localities to place their surplus funds on deposit in the large New York banks, but the actual ownership of the funds probably is fairly widely distributed. The return flow of currency to the banks continues to add to the amount of excess reserves, but has diminished con siderably since the first of April* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority April 6, 1933 ir« If* Randolph Burgees, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference, c/o Federal Reserve Bank of New fork* Hew Xork, New fork# Dear Mr# Burgessi Governor Meyer has received your letter of April 4# 1933# and is bringing to the attention of the other aeabars of the Board the final ttinutea* \ inolosed therewith* of the Meeting of the Open Msrket Policy Conference, held on January 4 and 5, 1933# It is noted that these alnutes incorporate all of the changes in the tentative draft which were suggested by the Beard* Very truly yours, Chester Morrill* Secretary ain/fsf : ? a ^^ Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority F o rm N o . 131 Office Corresponue ~ce FEDERAL RESERVE E 0A R D Date April 6 f 1933 To_____ F ile s __________________________ Subject:_________________________ - ^ F ro m __ Mr. McClelland___________________________________________________________ ______ a ro 2— 8495 All of the changes suggested by the Board in the tentative draft of .. — these minutes were incorporated in the final minutes* ... . / / --v The only other changes from the tentative draft were (l) unimportant changes in verbage of Governor McDougal* s statement at bottom of page 6$ (2) an addition which does not appear to change the sense of Governor McDougal* 3 statement at the bottom of page 7$ and (3) the addition of a statement by Governor Yoong at the bottom of page 8. f 4 . Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o . i o ^ o f 3 2 3 F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k of Ne w Yo r k April 4, 1933. Dear Governor Meyer: j _3 3 l j x Enclosed are the final minute s\ of the U A J 6 |K.t meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held on January 4 and 5, 1933, in which are incorporated the changes which have been suggested. Will you therefore please substitute these in your files for the tentative draft previously sent you. Very truly yours, W. Randolph Burgess Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference. Hon. Eugene Meyer, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. Encl. *.,1 Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 2 — \v r > F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k of 'i Ne w Yo r k . I, i ■ \i \ %- / # January 31, 1955, Dear Mr. Morrill: Thank you for your letter of January 50 with the suggestions for changes in the minutes of the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held on January 4 and 5, 1933, which will be reviewed with great care. Veiy truly yours, Randolph Burgess Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference Mr. Chester Morrill, Secretary, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. WKB.H 3 - 3 ,- C - w Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority S 3 3 -— January 30 , 1S83* Hr* W* Randolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference, c/o Federal Reserve Bank o f New York, New York City, Hew York* Dear Mr* Burgess: Receipt is acknowledged of your letter of January 9, 1933, transmitting a ten tat ive draft of the minutes of the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held on January 4 and 5, 1933* In reap ana e to your request for suggestions aa to changes which might be made in the tentative minutes, the following are sub mitted: On pages 1 and 8, in naming the members of the Board's staff in atte$4 anee at the meeting, the name of i£r« Carpenter is Incorrectly recorded as Mr* Carter* Following the statement on pa 00 1 that Dr* Gold ear e is er reviewed the recent developments in the credit situation add "and presented a memorandum on the subject prepared in the Board's Division of Research and Statistics* During Dor* Goldenweiser*s statement the Chairman of the Board joined the meeting* ” Change the following sentence to read "’The Secretary of the Conference then read the preliminary memorandum on credit conditions previously distributed,” and transfer it to follow, rather than precede, Governor lleyer’s opening statement. Change Governor Meyer's opening statement to read "Governor Meyer stated that probably at no time since the war has the relation between the open market policy of the Federal Reserve System and the general ecanonic situation been so important and that *or this reason it is particularly necessary that the decision of tfre Open l&rtet Policy Conference be of such a character as to be capable of express ion in definite terms which will be understandable to the public and justify confidence i " 2 - Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority {0 ^ 0 j . -2 - wln tho soundness end stability of the system’a policy* II© referred to the agitation, especially in Congress, for the adoption of inflationary measures and pointed out that under conditions like these the system must of necessity give due consideration to such factors in reaching a determination as to future policy* He also stated that during his recent visits to seven of the Federal reserve hanks, when he dis cussed the open market policy with the directors of those banks, he found what appeared to be general approval, and he expressed the opinion that the policies of the system, in the light of conditions which have existed during the last two years, have been remarkably free from public criticism*” On page 3, in line 4 of paragraph (1) change "the only effective argument" to "the most effective argument*" In outlining the arguments for and against some reduc tion in the portfolio of governments, you will recall that Governor Harrison suggested that, if a reduction should be made in the system account, the amount of securities disposed of should not exceed the amount of the return flow of currency, and that the system should not attempt to offset gold imports, for the reason that if such imports are sterilized, under present conditions, the position of the United states in con nection with any attempt of foreign nations to return to the gold standard would be considerably weakened* You may wish to add soi, to thing to this effect after paragraph (3) on page 3* On page 3 , in Governor Meyer’s statement immediately following paragraph (3) the verb "was* should be changed to ’'is * in the two places it is used* At the top of page 4 change the first paragraph to read *Governor Noiris raised the question of the probable renewal of the provisions of sections 2 and 3 of the Glass-Steagall Bill, and in general discussion it was suggested that there would probably be little difficulty in the renewal of the provisions referred to, and that in any event the situation of the banks with respect to collateral for Federal reserve notes could not be relieved by the sale of any reasonable amount of Government securities*** At about the middle of page 4 change Governor Black’s statement to read "Governor Black said that while he sa% no economic reasons for not lilting maturities run off, ho was greatly impressed by the dangers of unsound inflationary proposals and believed that they could only be combated by the continuance of the present policy of the federal Reserve System.” On -pftfge 7 eliminate, the clause *pfcwss|in^ another meeting of i}he voftfeH^ce” Bit the end/0f’''’1^o/Ws^Xu1iion^^t^4 by tve COfcfejunfce* ?hi<f clause H a ^eputit^on of that tearing Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o J o ^ o f at tho bo g in n in g o f on th* r o e o lu t lo n . 8 | fo llo w in g o n tr» *© o o f tb # e o a b o r* o f t b * o i i w l i u i t o QO*e>«iQ^ m f + v * 9 f i r * t o io to a io n t and a * y r»»olnti«i fcdoptwi fcy ti* Oojiforono* iwu» proaontod to tb* Bomrd $b * im a n iiK K L B ly upprotod by i t * * I n t b * n *a rt p o r*« T *i> b m U M m t * t b # * .# n t# n o * * i t w m impQTta&t, bo*«tirf t&*t a oaroful *iplanfttAon of tb* option ahoold b * Bftd# to B M b f 7 b a »k * *ad o t b o r a * and «ru b # titu t« tb# following! ^Oovttnoap M*y*r tb*a a t m t M tbat it la tb* opinio® of tb* y*4*r*i 8**«rtn B o n d tbat tbe C k ) t f « o w of tb* y*<l*r*l r***rr* bank* o*mfontribut* a gi*at &•*! to tb* aaoo*a» of tb* ay*t#» op*n p&lioy by oxplaAnln^ to £i*eibojf banka In a poaiiiy* wbw**?*r m ^tporfciaity i* affor£*<i# tb* £tq*p$*** aoagbt to bo aoooepliabid by tb* polloy** T**n*f*r O©T*yn0i- M*?*#** atat*ia*nt* r***rding r*<iuotto* la tb* rat* o$ 10(b) loan* and tb* iinportano* o f building up t b * wmn p a w * ? o f tb* T*d*f*l H # w m &yat** to t b * and © f t b * mii»it#at imi p*o#o4in« aajatmsaa&t* T o r y t r u l y y « ro r*# (Signed) Chester ^ ’ ,f. CbsrttV Morrill, 3**y*tary. For APPROVAL tytCySfa «**«•** M r. H a m i ln . lC - Ur James Mt.Magwwr- -----J' W r M ille r . - » J copy * and return Please initial file ii you approve to S ecretary’s Otfice*. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o . / o ^ o j 333 - F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k of Ne w Y o r k January 9, 1933, Dear Governor Meyer: Enclosed is a tentative draft of the minute s\of the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference on January 4 and 5, I should be glad to receive at your early convenience any changBs which you have to suggest. Very truly yours, '¥<. Randolph Burgess, Secretary, Open Market Policy Conference. Honorable Eugene Meyer, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C, line • , Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority y TENTATIVE DRAFT - SUBJECT TO CORRECTION 3 3 3 : CONFIDENTIAL MINUT3S OF MEETING OF THE 0 P M MARKET POLICY CONFERS'TCS W3IK3SDAY, JANUARY 4, 1933, WASHINGTON, D. C. The meeting was called to order at 10:20 a# m*, there being present the folloT/ing: Governor Harrison, chairman, and Governars Young, Norris, Fancher, Seay, Blade, McDougal, Martin, Geery, Hamilton, McKinney, and Calkins, and Deputy Governor Burgess, secretary*. The secretaryfs report of operations was received, and placed on file# The preliminary memorandum on credit conditions was distributed* Governor Harrison pointed out that the present organization of the con ference called for rotation in the membership of the executive committee, and it was moved and carried that the present executive committee be continued for another year* Governor Young reported that the committee on banking legislation had been in session the previous day and had reached a general agreement. He indicated that the preliminary report of the committee would be mailed to the governors in a few days• At 10:35 the members of the Federal Reserve Board entered the meeting, there being present: Governor Meyer, Messrs. Hamlin, James, Miller, Magee, and from the Board Staff Messrs* Floyd Harrison, Morrill, Goldenweiser, Wyatt, Smead, McClelland, and Carteg-» S t n J L j * Dr* Goldenweiser reviewed the recent developments in the credit situation^ The Secretary p res eat the preliminary memorandum on credit conditions ^ 0 Mot/*. ' Governor Meyer stated that Federal reserve policy at this time was attend-^. ed with public and political implications especially in view of the inflationary drive being made in Congress* He believed that the policy up to this point had . been well support ed and the system had been successful in operating in a way to in spire confidence*.. _ i r f J ii< A . , Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E c > . ! o $ o j 2 Secretary Mills on request reviewed the budgetary situation of the gov ernment. He also reviewed the proposals for inflation whi ch ¥/ere being made to the Congress and suggested that any slackening in Federal reserve open market policy might provide an excuse for an unsound inflation bill* Secretary Mills pointed out, however, that the Treasury itself was not directly or indirectly in terested in the decision the open market policy conference might reach. The Treasury should pay the market price for its money and should not expect, for example, to take advantage of any abnormal situation for a large refunding opera tion. Policy should be deteimined independently of the Treasury position. As a basis for discussion by the Conference, Governor Harrison then out lined the various arguments both for and against some reduction in the security holdings of Federal reserve banks. He surested the following arguments in favor of som§ reduction. (1) The System open market policy had not been one to accumulate any definite amount of securities but rather to check deflation through the reduction of bank debt and the creation of substantial excess reserves, which had been accomplished. It had been generally agreed that after a substantial effective pressure had been secured the System would reduce its security holdings as soon as possible without relieving that pressure. The turn of the year appeared to offer the best chance to de crease the amount of securities without reducing member bank reserves and so not changing policy. If this opportunity were not used during January it might not be feasible to liquidate for a year without decreasing bank reserves and thus giving the ap pearance of a change in policy. (2) Any further substantial increase in excess reserves migftt not in fact increase effective pressure and would thus serve only to minimize control when necessary. (3) Though it was not the motive the fact that the Beserve banks have bought so large amounts of government securities has in fact enabled the Treasury to borrow cheaply and so in some measure has encouraged the continuance of an unbalanced budget. Governor Harrison suggested the Ibllowing arguments in favor of holding the fiiwemmont portfolio intact Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o * l O ^ O j y (1) There is danger that a redi^zxion in security holdings might be construed as a reversal of/£olicy which might in turn increase the danger of the adoption of some radical inflationary policy by Congress since the only effective argument against such inflation is that an orderly policy of reflation is now at woik, Any move so interpreted also miggit be discouraging to business or to bankers holding a large volume of government securities, who migjit start to liquidate. I I (2) A reduction in the total holdings might operate as a check to the bond market thus retarding business recovery and further injuring bond portfolios of banks, (3) One question was the effectiveness of varying amounts of excess reserves. There are indications that interest on deposits in principal centers might be eliminated. It is difficult to trace the effects of such a move but if limited to bank deposits it would probably distribute the pressure for putting money to work more widely and would thus justify a larger total of excess reserves. /s Governor Meyer suggested that what was most required v& s assurance as to r the continuance of the pressure of excess reserves, Mr, Miller suggested that the precise amount of excess reserves main tained was an incidental detail, but that the important question was one of policy and direction of movement, and that there mi^it be harm in stopping excess reserves from accumulating. There ensued a general discussion during "which the question was raised whether country banks could and would make use of excess reserves if driven back from the centers. Governor Martin pointed out that fear of bank failures was preventing banks fran using their excess reserves and if that situation were cor rected the excess reserves would be put to use* Governor Calkins emphasized the same difficulty, particularly in relation to agricultural banks. Governor Meyer pointed out that one effect of the policy had been to relieve greatly the finances of cities and states, so that they could secure money in the market for relief and other necessary activities. This was helpful in keeping the social organization going. ( Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o . i o ^ o f Governcr Norris raised the question of the*probable renewal of the^ Glass Steagall bill, and in general discussion it was suggested that there would probably be little difficulty in the renewal, of tha£~btHafc-, and that in any event the situation of the banks with respect to collateral for Federal reserve notes could not be relieved by the sale of any reasonable amount of government securities. There ensued some further discussion of the use of excess reserves and the probable effects of a discontinuance of interest on deposits in New Yoik should that occur. There was some difference of opinion as to the extent to which an excess of reserves would be put to use by banks if it were distributed more widely throughout the country, some expressing the belief that the funds would be put to use in investments or somewhat freer lending, and others expressing the opposite opinion. The meeting adjourned at 1:10 p, m. The meeting reconvened at 2:25 p. m,, there being present the following: Governor Harrison, chairman, and Governors Young, Norris, Fancher, Seay, Black, McDougal, Martin, Geery, Hamilton, McKinney, and Calkins, and Deputy Governor Burgess, secretary. After some further general discussion each of the governors stated his views which may be summarized briefly as follows: Governor Black said that while he saw no economic reasons for not letting maturities run off he was greatly impressed by the dangers of unsound inflationary proposals and believed they could only be combated by a continuation of a Federal reserve policy of controlled inflation. Governor Geery favored letting January maturities run off after making a statement that the policy of maintaining excess reserves would be continued. Future policy could be governed by the effects of this operation. Governor Seay believed that the dangers of a further accumulation of reserves were greater t&an those of disposing of seme securities. He believed a statement that there was no change in policy would be adequate to deal with politi cal problems T$uch have a way of not materializing. He would let not less than Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED lO ^ O j Authority 5 $200 ,000*000 of securities go. Governor Young emphasized the opportunity in January for letting govern ments go without interfering with excess reserves. He would let January maturi ties run off and perhaps those of February and would try to speed up the renewal of the Glass SteagaLl bill. Governor Calkins stated that he was not impressed by the political argument and particularly with the System’s power to deal with inflationists. He was not a supporter of the theory that excess reserves were effective in expanding credit. He would, however, let a smaller emount cf governments than the January maturities run off and not decide yet about February. Governor Martin thought the elimination of interest on deposits would result in hoarding gnd other difficulties. He believed the banking situation must be straightened out before excess reserves would have their full effect. He would favor letting some securities run off with the executive committee keeping in close touch with the results. Governor Hamilton believed the System should not base its action on the political situation. He would favor letting January maturities run off and having another meeting to decide on February maturities. He considered it important to explain the action to the public. Governor Fancher thought an elimination of interest charges due to in creasing reserves would be undesirable. He believed some of the maturities in January should not be replaced, relating any changes to the return flow of currency. Governor Norris suggested that further increases in excess reserves would adversely affect bank earnings and incur the .risk of disturbance which might arise from eliminating interest on deposits. As to political effects one danger was the encouragement to an unbalanced budget. The other related to inflationary propos als. policy. He believed this latter difficulty could be met by a careful statement of He would favor letting January maturities run off to the extent of the currency return but would only favor doing this if an explanation were made. If Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 6 no e:xplanation were made he would favor maintaining the portfdLio. Governor McDougal believed that further increase in excess reserves would be unhealthful and that reductions in the portfolio might make open market money rates firmer and strengthen the position of the Beserve Systan. J at least January maturities run off; He favored letting perhaps February also* Governor McKinney did not favor giving too much consideration to the political aspects* He would permit the greater proportion of January maturities to run off. Governor Harrison said he had felt all along that some securities should be allowed to run off in January but he attached considerable weight to the dangers of the inflationary movement all over the country* He feared misinterpretation of sales by the banks,the market and by Congress, but believed that this difficulty might be largely avoided if the policy were clearly understood to be one of con tinuing to maintain substantial excess reserves in present conditions. This might involve purchases as well as sales of securities. The conference then proceeded to draft a resolution, starting with a motion by Governor Calkins that the executive committee be authorized to dispose of $100,OCX),000 to S&25,000,000 of securities in January to offset currency returns. Before adjournment a preliminary draft of the resolution was voted upon favorably, Governors McDougal, Seay, and Black, voting in the negative. It was decided to hold a further meeting in the morning, and since Governor Black was unable to stay until morning he desired to record his dissent from any proposal for reducing the System portfolio, as follows: MI am in accord with the economic reasons given by the Conference for the proposed reduction in governments. I, however, have an intense feeling that the present situation as to proposed inflationary measures creates a new condition that is most serious and should be persuasive of action re sulting in maintaining our present holdings; and I therefore vote rno* on the present motion.” After further discussion of the draft resolution the meeting adjourned at 6:05 p . m . Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority January 5, 1933. The meeting was called to order at 10:06 a. m . , there being present the following: Governor Harrison, chairman, and Governors Young, Norris, Fancher, Seay, McDougal, Martin, Geery, Hamilton, McKinney, and Calkins, and Deputy Governor Burgess, secretary. The discussion of the draft resolution was continued, and after further At modifications ,Awas passed by unanimous vote in the following fora: It is the sense of the Open Market Policy Conference that there should be no change in the System’s policy intended to maintain a substantial amount of excess member bank reserves inasmuch as the continuance of excess reserves in substantial amounts is desirable in present conditions. In view of the return flow of currency during January and prospective gold move ments the amount of excess reserves may rise considerably above the present level which is deemed appropriate under present con ditions, BE IT RESOLVED, THEREFORE, That, pending another meet ing of the Conference, the Executive Coumittee be given authority (a) to reduce the systemfs holdings of short term Treasury bills in order to offset such amount of the return flow of currency as may seem desirable, provided such action does not result in any substantial reduction in existing ex cess reserves and (b) if necessary, to purchase Government securities in sufficient amounts to prevent member bank excess reserves falling below the present general level ^pending another meeting of the Conference^ Governors Seay and McDougal desired to be recorded as voting with a reservation* They believed that the proposal represented a step in the right direction but would prefer to see a larger reduction in the portfolio and did not favor the maintenance of as large excess reserves as at present. Some reservation as to the value of the maintenance of the present volume of excess reserves was expressed by several of the governors. It was understood informally that the resolution should be interpreted by the executive Committee as follows: (1) Treasury bills up to §125,000,000 would be allowed to run off in January to the extent that there is a return flow of currency, but not to bring excess reserves below $500,000,000* Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E & J o Z o i 8 (2^ When the resolution refers to the present level of re serves it means approximately $500,000,000* (3) When the resolution refers to the retuafti flow of currency it means the return flow from the December peak just before Christmas* (4) There would be another meeting of the Conference before any increase in the System holdings of government securi ties above $1,851,000,000* a;m; At 11 :0Q/ o ’clock the members of the Federal Reserve Board entered the meeting, there being present, in addition to the governors of the Federal reserve banks, the following: Governor Meyer, Messrs. Miller, Hamlin, James, Magee, Moirill, Harrison, Wyatt, McClelland, and Sart-erv— • Ctefrearner M eygp -gto*^ that ~£he Federal Reserve Board ,__ „ considered the action— of the conference and approved it unanimously* Governor Meyer expressed satisfaction with the form of resolution in that it provided a more scientific basis for action than the usual resolution v&ieh siiqply indicated a definite amount of securities to be bought or sold* The resolu tion gives assurance to banks and business men as to the continuation of easy money and should help make the policy more effective* It was important, however, that a careful eaqplanation of the action should be made to member banks and others* Governor Meyer said that the Board had approved reductions in the rate on 10-B loans in the case of two reserve banks and would be glad to act upon other applications* Governor Meyer suggested the importance of building up the man power of the Reserve System by bringing in able young men. There ensued some discussion of the aid which an adequate pension plan would give to this proposal, and it was indicated that the Board was studying the recanmendations of the governors upon that point-* Govetrnar Harrison reported the interpretations of the resolution upon which the -conference was agreed*’ I J Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority r . d . / a Z o / 9 There ensued a general discussion of what if any statement might be given to the press, and Dr, Miller and Mr, Hamlin, and Governors Harrison and Norris were constituted a committee to draft a statement, and they withdrew to prepare a statement. At 12:52 p. m t, the coumittee returned and the following statement was read and adopted without dissent: The Open Market Policy Conference of the Federal Beserve System, with representatives from all of the twelve Federal reserve banks in attendance, coneluded its meetings with the Federal Beserve Board today. The sessions of the Conference were devotod to a review of economic, business, financial and banking conditions in each of the twelve Federal reserve districts and to the economic and financial situation in the country as a whole. Particular reference was made in the discussions to the workings and effects of the open market policy thus far pursued by the Federal Beserve System during the course of the economic depression. Consideration was also given to the attitude of the System in adjusting its oper ations to conditions and needs as they nay change and develop♦ The first and imaediate objective of the open market policy was to con tribute factors of safety and stability in meeting the forces of deflation. The larger objectives of the System^ open market policy, to assist and accelerate the forces of economic recovery, are now assuming importance. With this purpose in mind, the Conference has decided that there should be no change in the Systems policy intended to maintain a substantial amount of excess manber bank reserves, the continuance of which is deemed desirable in present conditions. Adjustments in the System*s holdings in the open market ac count will be in accordance with this policy. At 1:00 p. m,, the meeting adjourned. ¥, Eandolph Burgess, Secretary* Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E o , i Q 9 o j CONFIDENTIAL R3POKT OF O P M MAP HEP OPERATIONS TO 1MZFI7-C- OF 0PUT MARKET POLICY OONFEOTCE _________________ HELD IN WASHING-TCET ON JANUARY 4, 1955____________________ At the last meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference held in Washington on November 15, 1932, a motion was carried, that it was the consensus of the Conference that no change should be made at that time in the amount of the System holdings of government securities and that there should be another meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference during the first week in January to consider the System's policy in the li^it of conditions as they exist at that time* Pursuant to this action there has been change in the amount of holdings of government securities in the System Account, the total remaining up to the close of business Wednesday, December 28, 1932, at $1,639,607,500* Transactions effected in the System Account since the report to the November 15 meeting consisted of (1) Redenptions of $224,114,000 aggregate amount of maturing Treasury bills and $19,900,000 - 5 1/4% Treasury notes matured December 15, 1952, (representing the un allocated portion of exchange subscription) which were replaced by purchases in the market of $244,014,000 aggre gate amount of short-term issues consisting principally of Treasury bills. (2) Exchange at maturity, by exchange subscription, of $55,454,000 - 5 1/4$ Treasury notes matured December 15, 1932, for $40,554,000 new one year 3/4% Treasury certificates and $14,880,000 new four year 2 5/4% Treasury notes. (3) Exchanges in the market at advantageous rates of $92,200,000 aggregate amount of short-term issues of govern ment securities for a like amount of other short-term issues. The following is a statement showing the issues of United States Govern ment securities held in the System Account on November 2, 1932, and on Decanber Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority £ ^9 , I f ' Q O l Nov. u S. Treasury Bills due Nov. st tt tt t; tt tt !T tt ft tt TT TT TT IT n tt TT Xt ft tt - tt tt tt tt tt tt v :? it tt W IT tt :? TT T7 tt TT TT ft TT tt it 3 3 3 2 1 1 1/4# Treasury Notes 3/4# Cert, of Ind. tt n 3/4# tt 7° 1/2# 1/4# 3/4# tt tt tt tt tt t? tt tt tt tt tt »» 3 /° Treasury Notes tt tt 2 1 / 8 5b tt »t 3 tt tt 2 3 /4 % 3 1/2# 1st L/L Bds of tt tt tt tt 4 1/4?, 4 l/4 f„ 4th ” " ’’ 9, 16, tt ft 23, It tt 30, ft Dec. 28, ft Jan. 11, tt ft 18, tt 1? 25, w Feb. 8, ft tt 15, tt tt 23, ft Mar. 1, :t tt 29, tr Dec. 15, :? Feb. 1, tt Mar . 15, tt Ma y 2, tt June 15, tt Sept .15, tt Dec. 15, t? May 2, tt Aug. 1, tf June 15, ft Dec. 15, 1932-47 1932-47 1933-38 St tt 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1932 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1934 1934 1935 1936 Totals 9 1932 33,500,000 59,500,000 38,677,000 45,587,000 61,100,000 54,100,000 42,208,000 27,000,000 0 0 0 0 0 101,197,000 13,775,000 174,025,000 123,987,500 113,575,000 163,483,000 0 75,225,000 102,452,000 74,600,000 0 25,025,000 29,000,000 281,591,000 $1,639,607,500 Dec. 28, 1932 0 0 0 0 0 0 55,600 000 46,208 000 69,550 000 4-3,200 000 38,600 000 49,950 000 35,000 000 34,350 000 0 15,775 000 151,025 000 123,237 500 118,725 COO 175,983 000 66,454 000 78,225 000 104,952, 000 79,2 77 000 19,880 000 25,025 000 29,000 000 281,591 000 $1,639,607, 500 The following is a stat ement showing the amount of each Federal reserv bank’s participation in Government securities held in the System Account at the close of business Wednesday, December 28, 1932, and each Federal reserve bank’s holding ratio, i. e., the ratio percentage that each Federal reserve bank's total holdings in the Account bear to the total holdings in the Account; also the amount of each Federal reserve bank’s outright holdings of Government securities; Bost on New York Philadelphia Cleveland Ri chmond At lant a Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Tot als Amount of Part ic ip ation Holding Ratios $ 5.8538# 37.0487# 8.2897# 10.8735# 2.8746# 2.8397# 12 .1489# 4.0043# 2.8719# 3.4875# 2.1786# 7.5288# 95,978,500 607,453,000 135,919,000 178,282 ,000 47,152,500 46,560,000 199,195,000 65,655,500 47,087,000 57,180,500 35,721,000 123,443,500 $1,639,607,500 100 # Outright Holdings $ 689,000 124,296,550 3j550,100 0 0 oo,o o Q 65,015,000 500,000 7,106,000 71,600 10,000,000 0 $209,086,600 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority E . Q . j O ^ O j Classification of Issues Held in the System Account on December 28, 1932, and the Percentage of Each Issue Held in the Account as Compared ______ With the Amount of the Respective Issue Outstanding_________ (000 Omitted) Percentage Amount of Issues Amount of of Issues Held in System Account Respective Issues Held to Amount by Classification Outstanding Outstanding TREASURY BILLS | 55,600 46,208 69,550 45,200 38,600 49,950 35,000 34,350 $ 75,954 75,110 80,295 75,056 75,480 60,000 100,000 100,039 73 61 86 57 51 83 35 34 1/4% 1/2% 1/2% 1/2% % 1/4% % 1/4% $372,458 #641,934 58 % $ 13,775 151,025 123,238 118,725 175,983 66,454 # .144, 372 660,716 239,197 373,856 451,447 254,365 9 22 51 31 39 1/2% 3/4% 1/2% 3/4% % Tot als $649,200 #2,123,953 30 1/2% 3 Treasury Notes due May 2, 1934 TT it ft 2 1/8% Aug. 1, 1934 Tl ?! t? 3 June 15, 1935 % tt II tt 2 3/4% Dec. 15, 1936 $ 78,225 104,952 79,277 19,880 § 244,235 345,29 3 416,603 360,534 32 % 30 1/2% 19 % 5 1/2% Tot als $282,334 $1,366,665 20 3/4% 25,025 29,000 281,591 § 1,392,228 535,983 6,268,100 1 3/4% 5 1/2% 4 1/2% tf <*> 335,616 $ 8,196,311 4 $1.,639 ,608 $12,328,863 u.. S. Treasur'J ■Bills due Tan. 11, 1933 tf TT ft 18, 1933 1T TT Tf TT TI TT tt tt 25, 1933 Tl It Tt Tl tf tt Feb. 8, 1933 tf ft TT tl TT tt 15, 1933 tt tt II Tl TT It 23, 1933 tt tt TT tf TT Mar. 1, 1933 TI TT TT tt Tt tt 29, 1933 Tot als CERTIFICATES OF indebtedness 3 3 2 1 1 1, 3/4% Cert. of Ind. due Feb. TT tt TT Mar. 15, 3/4% Tt TT IT t? May 2, % ft T? T! ft tl 1/2% June 15 , TT ft tt Sept . 15 , 1/4% ft tt Tt ft tt 3/4% Dec. 15, 1933 1933 1933 1933 i.933 1933 TREASURY NOTES LIBERTY LOAN BONDS 3 1/2% 1st L/L Bds of 1932-47 4 1/4% " If " 1932-47 4 1/4% 4th 55 1933-38 Totals GRAND TOTALS <*> 13 1/4% Total of all issues of Treasury Bills, Certificates, Notes and Bonds outstand ing $19,303,154. Percentage of issues held in System Account 8 1/2%. % mr Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority jO ^ O f 4 MATURITIES OF GOVEPNMM1 SSCUhiriEp HELD IN SYSTEM ACODUMT ON DECEMBER 28, 1932 SHORT-TERM 15SUBS Treasury Bills, Certificates and Notes MATtBING WITHIN 1 YEAR Within 3 months 3 to 6 months 6 to 9 months 9 to 12 months $537,258,000 241,962,500 175,983,000 66,454,000 TOTAL MAT IB TP123 WITHIN 1 M R ---------------------- $1,021,657,500 MAT IKING 1 TO 2 YEARS----------------------------.------ 183,177,000 MATURING 2 TO 3 YEARS-------------------- ------- ------ 79,277,000 MATURING 3 TO 4 YEARS----------------------------------- 19,880,000 TOTAL --------- $1,303,991,500 LIBERTY LOAN BONDS First 3 1/2$ Liberty Loan Bonds t? 4 1/4# " ” r? $ 25,025,000 29,000,000 (Due June 15, 1947 Callable on or after June 15, 1933) $ 54,025,000 Fourth 4 1/4# Liberty Loan. Bonds (Due Oct. 15, 1938 Callable on or after Oct. 15, 1933) 281,591,000 GRAN D TOTAL $1,639 ,607 ,500 Changes in participations in government securities in the System Account since November 2, 1932. Sales of $5,000,000 (aggregate amount) from the Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkTs participation to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas1 participation as follows: November 12, 1932 December 6, 1932 $2,500,000 2,500,000 $5,000,000 This sale to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas was due to the improved reserve position of the latter bank and represented part of its shortage in the holdings in System Account• Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority j 5 System Purchases of Bankers Acceptances The amount of bankers acceptances purchased by the System since November 2, 1932, has been negligible, and no allotments were made by the Federal Heserve Bank of New York* Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority J S 3 .— a January 3 * 1933 R.& S. Or. 3 COmffiEUTIAL BUSINESS AND CREDIT CONDITIONS Some of the factors in the business and credit situation to be considered in deciding on an opeiwnarket program are discussed in the following paragraphs. Business activity Business activity, after increasing substantially between July and Septem ber, has been relatively stable since that time, except for seasonal movements. Industrial production, as measured by the Board* s seasonally adjusted index, has continued through December at about 66 per cent of the 1923-1925 average as com pared with 58 per cent in July, and factory employment and payrolls have also been maintained in recent months at a relatively higher level. The value of construction contracts which increased in the third quarter, contrary to sea sonal tendency, declined considerably in the fourth quarter; residential build ing continued to be an unusually small part of the total, while the proportion of public works was unusually large. Distribution of commodities by rail has continued at a relatively higher level since September, The value of commod ities sold by department stores, however, showed considerably less than the usual increases at the Christmas season and was smaller than a year ago, re flecting in large part lower prices, H?holesale commodity prices, after reaching a low level in June, increased during July, August, and early September, but since that time have declined by an amount slightly larger than the previous advance,. The summer advance in wholesale prices was largely in farm products, foods, hides, and textiles; the subsequent decline has also b^en in prices of these commodities, particularly grains and livestock, and haa reflected in part seasonal factors. Prices of cotton and other textile raw materials, which showed a substantial increase, Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority F , o , / o $ o i have declined considerably, but are still somewhat above the low levels of early summer. In general, the increase in industrial production this fall has been con centrated in industries producing non-durable goods, such as textiles and shoes. During recent months, however, there has been a marked increase in production of bituminous coal, and in December output of automobiles increased substantially in connection with the introduction of new models. Activity at textile mills continued at a relatively high rate in December, according to preliminary re ports, and was at about the same level as in the corresponding months of the two preceding years. Output of steel,, however, was considerably smaller in December than in the preceding month, or than a year ago, Member bank credit Volume of member bank credit, as indicated by weekly statements of report ing member banks in leading citiesTSdeclined bv $ 250 ,000.000 between the middle of October and the middle of December, This decline represented a further con traction of loans, both on securities and other, with little change in the vol ume of the banks* investments. At banks in New York City there was a slight increase in loans and a larger increase in investments, while at banks outside of New York City both loans and investments were reduced. The decrease of $250,000,000 in loans and investments of these banks dur ing the past two months followed upon an increase of nearly $800,000,000 between July and October, so that the volume of credit in December was still $550,000,000 above its low level in mid-summer. Notwithstanding the decline in loans and investments, deposits of the re porting banks continued to increase. Time deposits increased by $155,000,000 between July and October and then declined by $50,000,000 to December 21; demand Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED !0 9 0 j Authority 3. deposits increased by $650,000,000 between July and October, and by an addi tional $3^5,000,000 since that time. This increase has been largely the result of a transfer of funds from Government to private account, and an increase in the volume of balances re-deposited by country banks with their city corres pondents. The following chart shows the volume of funds of out-of-town banks in New York City. These funds ordinarily consist of street loans and balances with correspondents. At the present time street loans for out-of-town banks are negligible and the total volume of $ 1 ,^70 r000,000 of out-of-town bank funds in New York consists of balances held there by correspondent banks. This amount, which represents largely the re-deposit of surplus funds of interior banks with their city correspondents, has increased by about $ 650 ,000,000 since Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority last February, !o ^ o ) The increase in these balances since February has been about twice as large as the excess reserves of the banks in New York City. Increases in the volume of deposits since the middle of 1932 have been accompanied by further declines in the rate of turnover of deposits; the growth in the means of payment has not been accompanied by an increase in the volume of payments. The rate of turnover of deposits, or their velocity, was ^5 times per year in 1929 > decreased to 26 by the last quarter of 1930 * and to l6 by the last three months of 1932 . r ' Two charts are shown, giving the course of the principal items in the reporting member bank statement, and. the course of loans and investments at banks in New York City, Chicago, and other cities. vol'ume and Another chart shows the distribution of the excess reserves of member banks. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority iQ^nl Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 7. EXCESS RESERVES OF MEMBER BANKS ^Wednesday F ig u r e s ) M illio n s o f D o l l a r s Millions : . 600 of Dollars 6oo , G-old movements Since the middle of June, this country's stock of monetary gold has in of which $105 ,000,000 was imported, $^59,000,000 re creased by leased from earmark, and $3 1 ,000,000 represented domestic production and other minor items. recovery of This addition of $59^*000,000 to the stock of gold represents a more than one-half of the gold lost by this country during the nine months preceding last June. The table shows the countries to which the gold was lost during the nine months and from which it was received in the following six months. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority {O ^ O j CHANGES IN UNITED STATES GOLD STOCK September l6 , 1931 to December 28, 1932 (In thousands of dollars) Sept. 16, 1931 June lb, 1932 to to June 15, 1932 Dec. 28, 1932 Sept. l6, 1931 to Dec. 28, 1932 -1,107,507 - 777,105 35S,51^ 2 8 ,1 1 2 + + 595,733 + 105,528 + 459 ,i4i + 31,0 69 -511,769 -671,577 + 100 ,627 + 5 9 ,18 1 France.................... Netherlands.......... . Switzerland............ . Belgium..... .............. Siam..... ................. Germany................... - 1 .003,423 - 165,888 - 1 12 ,9 7 9 - 1 2 1 ,33^ 14,649 +194,i4i + 17,725 + 9,791 + 2 3 ,1 5 7 • •• + 7,467 - 809,282 -147,503 - 103,188 - 9^,177 - 14,649 - 5,393 Japan..................... England................... 205,753 15,557 13,H2 9,008 + 10,681 + 160,798 + 30 ,10 5 + 26,686 + 17 ,9 2 8 + 9,372 + 1 9 ,5 1 8 + 216,434 China...................... India.. ................ Mexico......... .......... Czechoslovakia........... . + + + + + - +115,331 + 86,491 + 47,348 + 33,485 + 22,484 + 10 ,5 10 Other countries.... ....... + 37,919 + 37,24o + 75,159 Net import (+) or export (-).... Earmarking operations.......... Domestic production, etc....... Gains from (+) or losses to (~): 12,860 45,^67 56,386 20,662 Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 9. Taking the period as a whole there was a loss of gold to France of $809,000,000, to Netherlands of $1^8,000,000, and to Switzerland of $103r000,~ 000, while receipts were $216,000,000 from Japan, $115,000,000 from England, $86,000,000 from Canada, $^7,000,000 from China, $33»000,000 from India, and $22,000,000 from Mexico. Indications are that the gold inflow will continue in the next few months both as a result of this country receiving a consider able part of the new gold mined and of continued imports from Canada, Mexico, and the Far East, The chart shows the total monetary gold stock of the United States from 1919 date and brings out particularly the fact that losses of gold by this MONETARY GOLD STOCK OF THE UNITED STATES Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority ^ ,0 . ( O Q O j 10 . country in 19 2 5 . 1927 - 19 2 8 > and 19 3 1-19 3 2 have in each case been followed by a return flow of gold. The losses were in all cases due to special circum stances like the Dawes loan in 19 2 5 » the easy money and large vol-ume of for eign loans in 1 9 2 7 , and the withdrawal of central bank balances in 19 31 - 19 3 2 * The inflow of gold, on the other hand, has lasted over longer periods and has reflected in general the favorable position of the United States in its bal ance of international payments. Gold position of the Federal reserve banks As is indicated by the table below, the reserve ratio of the Federal re serve banks on December 28 was 62.7 P©** cent, the ratio varying from ^9*3 Per cent in Minneapolis to 71*7 per cent in Boston, On that date the system had $ 1 ,330 *000,000 of excess reserves, the largest amount, $^3 2 ,000,000, being shown by the Chicago bank, and the smallest, $11,000,000, by the Dallas bank. The table shows also the amount of United States securities pledged as col lateral for Federal reserve notes by the different Federal reserve banks and the extent to which they would be deficient in their gold position if the authority to pledge Government securities were withdrawn. a whole this deficiency would amount to $335*000,000. For the system as This deficiency could be made up to the extent of $264,000,000 if some arrangement were devised by which the banks would hold none of their own Federal reserve notes in vault. But even in that case there would still be a deficiency of $70,000,000, indi cating the great importance of having the provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act continued. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority IT, 0 ./ & £ & / ■ 11. GOLD POSITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS (Amounts in thousands of dollars) District Re serve ratio Excess reserves Federal reserve notes out standing Elig ible paper Collateral United States Gold secur ities Defici ency in gold Own Federal reserve notes (1 ) (Per cent) Boston...... 71.7 107,511 218,931 13,360 21,400 57.0 378,921 666,654 57,3*9 9,000 205,571 - 19,606 21,127 609,265 - 1,669 87,944 Philadelphia. 56. T 67,028 255,800 49,561 52,000 206,239 - 45,839 16,176 Cleveland.... 59.2 90,881 301,546 26,111 85,000 275,435 - 70,642 13,501 Richmond.... 62.2 37,502 110,490 17,192 18,000 93,298 - 15,500 7,602 Atlanta...... 55-6 27,643 115,861 25,590 32,000 90,271 - 24,822 18,145 Chicago..... 77.3 1+32,446 730 , 773 16,801 27,000 713,972 - 6,002 39,263 St. Louis.... 5S.3 33.633 111,772 6,827 36,200 104,951 - 30,362 3,535 Minneapolis.. ^9.3 i3 ,'+o1i 84,407 8,128 34,900 76,279 - 30,883 3,4-12 Kansas City.• 58.3 32.^97 99.767 11,13 6 29,000 88,631 - 20,239 8,636 50.1 1 1 , 1471+ 44,096 5,065 16,000 39,031 - 12,199 5,069 San Francisco 63.9 97.536 259,614 15,144 68,000 244,470 - 57,545 34,249 Total.,. 62.7 (1) 1.330.537 2,999,717 252,304 428,500 2,747,413 -335,308 264,259 If no United States Government securities were pledged as collateral. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority /O O O ) 12. Currency movements Return flow of currency from hoards was resumed in December, after a period of two months in which there was little change in hoarded money. The chart shows the volume of money in circulation, after adjustment for seasonal variations, for the period from 1922 to 19 3 2 . On the basis of available information, it may be roughly estimated that, barring unforeseen contingencies, the return flow of currency from the Christmas peak to the end of January will be about $200,000,000, National bank notes Issues of new national bank notes amounted to less than $1,000,000 dur ing the week ending December 28. The rate of new issues reached a peak late Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y 13. in August of $19,000,000 for the week ending August 3I 1 &nd has been declining since then. It averaged $12,000,000 per week in September, $8,000,000 per 7/eek in October, $4,000,000 per week in November,, and $2,000,000 per week in December. One large bank in New York Citybas retired its notes. Total new issues of national bank: notes since passage of the Federal Home Loan Bank Bill amount to $164,000,000. These issues were distributed by Fed eral reserve districts as follows: NEW NATIONAL BANK NOTES ISSUED AGAINST BONDS: DECEMBER 28, 1932, INCLUSIVE JULY 22 TO (In thousands of dollars) Boston..................... New York................... Philadelphia............... Cleveland.................. Richmond................... Atlanta.................... Chicago.................... St. Louis.................. Minneapolis................ Kansas City................ Dallas..................... San Francisco.............. 3,228 19,822 8,962 8,357 5,205 8,304 24,481 4,793 6,313 16,021 5,280 52,765 Total................. 163,533 National bank notes retired— including re demptions against which new issues have not yet been made (partly estimated) July 22 to December 28, 1932, inclusive.. 17,062 Increase in national bank notes outstanding July 22 to December 28, 1932, inclusive.. 146,471 National bank notes outstanding, December 28, 1932.............................. 880,825 Position of the public debt The table below shows the volume and composition of the public debt on December 31, 1930j and November 30 , 1932. During this period the total gross Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y ^ l4. debt increased from $ 16,000,000 to $21,000,000, all classes of obligations showing an increase: PUBLIC DEBIT (In millions of dollars) Bonds Notes Cer tifi cates Bills Non-interestbearing debt Total gross debt Dec. 31, 1930... 12,113 2,3^2 1,192 127 252 16,026 Nov. 30 , 1932... 1^,257 3 ,5 3 9 2 ,03S 642 330 20,806 Increase from Dec. 31, 1930 to Nov. 30 , 1932......... 2 ,lift 846 515 72 4,780 Outstanding 011: 1,197 December financing resulted in an increase of $15,000,000 in the public debt. The cost of Government borrowing on different kinds of paper in the last two years is shown below; it indicates that financing in December, 1932, was at the lowest cost on record. High Bonds Notes 3 3 /8 $ 3 iA Certificates 3 3/4 Bills 3 l/H (Month) (Mar. 1931) (Dec, 1931 and Sept. 1931) (Feb, and Mar. 1932) (Dec. 1931) Low 3 /! 2 l/S 3/*+ 0 .0 9 (Month) (Sept. 1931) (Aug. 1932) (Deo. 1932) (D ec. 1932 ) Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y Z . - Z * 2OTFIDMTU& De combor 31, 1932. PB2LIMINABY MMGRfflOTM fOB. THj3 0 P M MARKET POLICY CONFERENCE, JANUARY 4, 1933. When the decision was made last February to begin open market purchases of securities the -nriTnnry aim of thfi policy as revealed in the discussions was to check the unprecedented liquidation of bank credit vtiich was exerting a seriously depressing influence on business and on prices. It was hoped that purchases of Government securities would enable member banks to pay off indebt-* edness and accumulate some excess reserves, with the consequence that the pressure to liquidate might be lessened and a moderate expansion of bank credit might occur, which would exert seme influence in the direction of a recovery in business and in commodity and bond prices. In the first half of the year fluids made available by open market operations were largely absorbed by gold exports and currency hoarding, bat in the second half of the year both these movements were reversed and, with the discontinuance of open market purchases, currency ret urns and gold imports were largely responsible for building up excess reserves and so became the active factors operating towards the objectives which had been set for open market operations. Changes in Credit and Business There have been substantial results towards achieving the objectives outlined above. (1) These results may be summarized as follows: Member bank borrowings Whan the open market policy was under discussion doubts ware expressed as to the possibility of reaching the member banks outside of principal canters, whose borrowings accounted for a major part of reserve bank discounts. Since February 24 when purchases of government secur ities were begun discounts have been reduced from $835,000,000 to $265,000,000. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y an; Report > BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 23 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1000 800 600 400 200 J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D 1931 1932 Excess Reserves and Indebtedness cf All Liorabcr Banks, Compared with Loans and Investments of Weekly Reporting Banks 7,/i3 > Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y [T ,# , / O ^ O j 2 (2) Bank credit.. Loans and investments or the reporting banks stopped declining in July and since that time have increased by $500,000,000. The in crease was wholly in government securities though other forms of credit have shown greater stability. The increase also was concentrated in New York,, but in other parts of the country the decline in credit has been checked, (3) Bond market. The bond market made a recovery of about 25% and then lost approximately half the gain* The reaction was followed by a number of weeks of relative stability, and there is now some evidence of renewed strength. In recent weeks buying of long term government securities by banks, insurance com panies and investors has resulted in new high prices since the autumn of 1931, and this buying movement appears to be spreading into other parts of the bond market. The prospects for an improved bond market are better than, for some weeks past. (4) Commodity prices, Coinmodity prices rose about 5 per cent and sub sequently lost all of this gain, reflecting in part the pressure of depreciated currencies upon world prices, and especially the weakness of sterling. While de preciation of currencies has tended to increase or stabilise domestic paper prices it has depressed world gold prices by reducing the buying power of countries with depreciated currencies, and decreasing their production costs so they can sell at lower gold prices, (5) Business. The volume of business as measured by production indexes rose about 14 per cent but has lost part of this gain. The present situation may be summarized by saying that a good start was made toward recovery, thaijbhis movement has been interrupted, and is now hesitant and uncertain. The improvement in sentiment is perhaps even more marked than the improvement in the statistics; in recent weeks. but in this respect also some ground has been lost Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y 3 Precedents in Earlier Depressions 1/Vhether or not these developments in business and in prices are to be viewed as disappointing depends very largely upon expectations* A comparison of recent developments with those of previous periods of depression shows that recent events have followed much the usual pattern of business recovery from depression which is usually highly irregular and uncertain in the early stages. The accompanying series of charts indicates the sequence of events in the more important depressions of the past fifty years. The amount of excess reserves that accumulated in New York banks in each of these periods, and the lapse of time before a sustained recovery in prices and in business activity got under way are summarized in the succeeding table. Excess reserves - N. Y. City Banks Amount _ ($ million) Period Per cent of Requirements 1884— *85 1893-*94 1896-’97 1908 1921-522 26 to 64 34 to 67 39 to 100 37 to 74 33 to 55 25 to 38 30 to 58 11 to 18 (Practically none; borrowings equal to 1 1/2 times reserve requirements retired) 1932 (since July ) 100 to 300 14 to 40 Lapse of time until sustained rise in bond prices began 1884-*85 1893-T94 1896-»97 1908 1921-*22 - about 6 months practically none none practically none v/ithin 3 months of substantial reduction in bank indebtedness. Lapse of time until sustained rise in business activity began 1884-,85 1893-t94 1896-’97 1908l92l-*22 - nearly a year and a half about 10 months about 10 months about 6 months about 6 months after substantial reduction in bank indebtedness Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y E d . ) 0 ^ 0 f F ederal R eserr# o f Hew York R eports Department PERCENT +75 PERCENT + 75 PER CENT +50 PERCENT +20 STOCK PRICES ^BUSINESS ACTIVITY- - 10 -20 --PER CENT 140 120 fac+r 7 » 199X> 13X1.1 -- 100 80 WHOLESALE PRICES |_ 60 1910-1 4*100 1884 1885 1886 1883 -20 PERCENT 80 — — WHOLESALE i | PRICES _19tO-1914 “ 100 1893 PERCENT +50|RESERVE POSITION PER CENT +25 I 1894 1895 1896 1897 1932 1933 PER CENT +50 OF N.Y .C ITY B A N K S O H (PE FORE BOR R OW IN G' ! FROM F.R.BANK) v ^T -50l "RESERVE POSITION O F N.Y. C I T Y B A N K S BILLIONS OF $ 1.6I \^\/5TOCK PRICES401PER CENT +10 BUSINESS WHOLESALE PRICES' 1910-1914.100 1907“ _______ [ _______ _ 1908 ‘ 1909 1930 Sequ ence o f B ra n ts In P e r io d s o f D e p re s sio n 1931 Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y jQ ^ O j 4 Lapse of time until sustained rise in comnodity prices began 1884-f85 1893-*94 1896-197 1908 - 1921-r22 - over two years limited rise after at least 1 1 / 2 years about one year gradual rise within 3 months; more rapid after 1 year about a year after substantial reduction in bank indebtedness Present and Prospective Reserve Position. Excess reserves of member banks have generally been maintained since the November meeting of the conference at something above §500,000,000. Christmas currency demands proved smaller than were ejected, and gold receipts which in cluded the $95,550,000 debt payment of the British Government were larger than had been expected. Hence the member banks come to the end of the year with between $500,000,000 and $600,000,000 of excess reserves. after the turn of the year. This figure will be increased It remains to be seen how large the return flow of currency will be for we do not know whether the small Christmas takings of currency were due wholly to the depressed conditions or reflected some return of money from hoarding. The gold flow is definitely toward this country. From these tv/o causes a gain to reserves may be anticipated in the next six weeks of anywhere from $200,000,000 to §400,000,000, in the absence of any unusual circumstances. In determining the effectiveness of any given amount of excess reserves in constituting pressure for the employment of funds several considerations appear important. Location. Excess reserves are now largely concentrated in New York and Chicago as shown on the attached chart. In both these cities, however, the increase in excess reserves has been paralleled by an increase in amounts "due to banks" so that the excess funds really represent largely funds of out-of-town banks and the pressure to put these funds to work rests not alone on the New York and Chicago banks but on the banks generally throughout the country. The excess ci ir fiepcriu _ \ NEW YORK CITY CHICAGO JL OTHER WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS of Weekly Reporting Banks in New York City, Chicago, and Other Centers Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives D E C L A S S IF IE D A u t h o r it y of reserves is thus widespread in its influence. (2) Time* The experience of the past summarized in a previous chart indicates that the effectiveness of excess reserves depends in part on the length of time they are hold. In previous periods of depression it has frequently taken six months to a year for very large amounts of excess reserves to find reflection in business. (3) Assurance of Continuance. The use of reserves depends in part on the confidence the banks feel in their.-continuance. In the pre-war days it was believed that excess reserves would continue until they were used; mechanism for absorbing them. there was no In recent months there has been uncertainty as to the effects on excess reserves of Federal reserve policy or possible demands, upon the banks. Foreign Influence. During the year influences from abroad have been inport ant and at times dominating. Early in the year gold vdthdrawals were disturbing. When the gold movement turned,strengthening our position but weakening the European position, depreciating exchanges became a depressing influence on world prices as noted above The debt uncertainties were a disturbing influence second only to the political campaign. Debts, Prices, and Recovery. While the financial and business situation shows now a considerable im provement from the position of mid-summer the improvement is not sufficient and the direction of movement is not sufficiently well established to assure a solu tion to the major economic problem which confronts this country and other countries as well. That problem is whether the economic structure to conform to something like the present whether must be readjusted price level and volume of business or we may expect in a reasonable period of time sufficient advance from • r Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 6 the present price level and sufficient resumption of business activity so that a general readjustment of debts will not be necessary. The condition of panic which prevailed last spring has been checked but the critical problem of prices and debts remains. It is clear that a continuance .5 of the present price level and the present volume of business activity would in/ s ' __ — — — ------- — -------------------------- ■ s ~ volve a vast readjustment of the entire debt structure, including readjustment of .— v, '> a number of banking situations. The question arises whether the grinding process of deflati on ofc-r. ocent .mo&ths must continue or whether it would be preferable to \V move decisively either for a more rapid deflation or for some measure of inflation. The improvement which took place fron mid-summer into the autumn gave some reason to hope that recovery might go far enough and rapidly enou^i to relieve greatly the weight of debts. not. The question now is whether that recovery can be resumed or The question is complicated by widespread public and political interest both in this caintry and abroad so that every decision in the field becomes in some sense apolitical question. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives DECLASSIFIED Authority 3 32 December 28, 1932. Mr* George L* Harrison, Chaiman, Open Market Policy Conference, e/o Federal Heserve Bank of New York, New York, New York* Dear Governor Harrison: This letter will confirm Governor Meyer* s recent telephone conversation with you in which he ad vised that, in accordance with the understanding at the meeting of the Open Market Policy Conference on November 15, 1932, that another meeting of the Conference should be held during the first week in January, the Federal Reserve Board has approved Wednesday, January 4, 1932, as the date for the meeting* Very truly yours, •■ic"ed) Chester Chester Morrill, Secretary* /^> 11 /}