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December 21, 1936*

e I do not know that there is much I need add to the
you already have and the explanation* I came over at the
etaryfs request so that as a matter of convenience, in case any
questions came up relative to the bearing of this action on the domestic credit picture, I would be able to answer them off the record
for background purposes•
\
The Secretary referred this entire matter upon its intion to the Board of Governors and requested informally a stateof any views or objections that might arise from the standpoint
he Reserve System. The entire subject has been very thoroughly
ssed and considered. The Board authorized me to report that
would be no objections to having the plan become effective as
soon as the Treasury considered it practicable.
The Board looks upon the action with favor because it
simplifies our problem with respect to excess reserves. It removes
from the picture the necessity and responsibility for dealing with
future acquisitions of gold after they have become part of the banking reserves. In other words, the action has the effect of locking
up this gold before it gets into banking reserves. It enables us to
judge with a great deal more accuracy the volume of reserves with
which we probably will be left after the holidays when there is a return flow of cash. We know that at that time we will have somewhere
bety/een 2 and 2^ billions of excess reserves, and we are in a position
to deal with that volume through the two instrumentalities of reserve
requirements and open market operations. In fact, there is a leeway
now of authority to deal with not far from 4 billions of excess reserves. As long as the Treasury's action remains in effect to offset
or mop up new supplies of gold, whether from abroad or domestically
produced, the Reserve System is not only in a position to cope adequately
with the volume of reserves now in prospect, but in the event that there
should be an outflow of gold, that gold could run out from the Treasury
stocks to be acquired under this plan with a minimum of disturbance upon
the domestic banking structure.
I should like to anticipate the question which I suppose
would be in your minds as to what bearing this action might have on
the indicated intention of the Reserve authorities to reconsider the
problem of excess reserves early in the new year, and I would like to
point out that there is not necessarily any bearing other than the
fact that we will now be in a better position to know, as I have said,
what volume of excess reserves we probably will have to deal with in
the future, whether at that period or later on. And, of course, what
the decision might be, I cannot undertake to predict since it would depend upon factors which we cannot judge with finality this early. Nor
could I, of course, undertake to speak for the other members of the
Board whose views I could hardly attempt to forecast. It is recognized
that this action deals with effects rather than with causes and that
possibly some further steps may become desirable if the inflow of gold
does not abate in the future.