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June 26, 1946.

Dear Matt:
In accordance "with our telephone conversation, I am enclosing a letter and a brief
memorandum on a suggestion which I think the
President might wish to consider in connection
with any public statement he intends to make on
the QPA. I hope it can oe placed in his hands
promptly.
Sincerely yours,

Mr. Matthew J. Connelly,
The White House.

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June 26, 1946.

My dear Mr. President:
I am venturing to pass on to you
the attached brief suggestion, which I have
also given to John fhyder, in connection
with whatever statement you may decide to
make public on the OPA.
Respectfully yours,

The President,
1
he White House.

Enclosure

June 26, 1946

The President may wish to consider including, in whatever
public statement he may make on GPA, a recommendation that Congress
restore an excess profits tax, possibly of 75 per cent rather than
the wartime maximum of 95 per cent, "hen this tax was removed, it
was expected or at least hoped that OPA price ceilings would continue to be effective. That hope has vanished in the delay, confusion
and mutilation of the OPA extension by Congress. Some of the widespread public dismay and fear of higher prices would be offset if it
were known that the Government would recapture, through this tax,
excessive or exorbitant profits resulting from removal of price ceilings and that this revenue would be used to pay down the public debt.
In effect, the Government would say to the public:

If the

wrecking of price controls does result in unreasonaoly higher prices
for things that people need or want, the public can take some comfort
from the knowledge that the extra dollars they pay will not go to
fatten profiteers but will be gathered in by the tax collector if
profits are excessive, and used to reduce the debt owed by all of the
public.
It is entirely possible that with price ceilings destroyed,
corporate and business profits, before taxes, will by the end of the
year exceed the wartime peak in many lines. If that should turn out
to be the case, would not the Government be open to criticism if it
failed to anticipate such a result and to guard against it be reimposing the excess profits tax?

If prices and profits do not turn out

to be excessive, then the tax would not apply.




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An adequate excess profits tax would make it less profitable for business to increase prices and woula thus exert a positive
anti-inflationary pressure. To the extent that the tax resulted in
revenue to the Treasury and a paying clown of the public debt, the effect would also be anti-inflationary.

Moreover, it would be an

important deterrent upon the wage-price spiral because if excessive
business profits were subject JDO this tax it would remove a justification that woula otherwise exist for labor to demand a share in
those profits.
If the President recommended and Congress refused to reenact the tax, the responsibility would in any case be clearly
fixed in the event that excessive profits do result from the
wreckage of price controls. Those who previously favored removal
of the tax could with entire consistency support its reenactment
now because of the changed situation.