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EXPANSION I N COMMERCIAL BANK LOANS, 19^6 AND 19^7

D u r i n g 19^6 and t h e f i r s t 10 months o f 19*1-7, l o a n s a t commercial
banks expanded about 10 b i l l i o n d o l l a r s .

T h i s e x p a n s i o n r e f l e c t e d an i n c r e a s e

i n l o a n s t o b u s i n e s s e s , consumers, r e a l e s t a t e owners, and f a r m e r s o f over
b i l l i o n d o l l a r s , w h i c h was o f f s e t i n p a r t b y a d e c l i n e i n l o a n s on
s e c u r i t i e s o f o v e r If- b i l l i o n s .
Growth i n l o a n s has been p a r t i c u l a r l y r a p i d i n r e c e n t months.
I n t h e f o u r month p e r i o d June-October 19^7 > l o a n s i n c r e a s e d o v e r 3 b i l l i o n
d o l l a r s , r e f l e c t i n g p r i m a r i l y e x t e n s i o n o f bank c r e d i t t o b u s i n e s s e s , b u t
a l s o f u r t h e r s u s t a i n e d g r o w t h i n l o a n s t o consumers and r e a l e s t a t e owners.
B u s i n e s s l o a n s . — B u s i n e s s demand f o r bank c r e d i t r e v i v e d on a
b r o a d s c a l e i n mid-19^5 and has c o n t i n u e d s t r o n g i n 19^-6 and 19^*7•

Since

June t h e demand f o r b u s i n e s s l o a n s has i n t e n s i f i e d , and such l o a n s have
i n c r e a s e d o v e r 2#5 b i l l i o n d o l l a r s o v e r t h i s p e r i o d .
Consumer l o a n s . - - B a n k l o a n s t o consumers have shown s u s t a i n e d
i n c r e a s e s i n c e t h e end o f t h e w a r , and a t t h e end o f October were more t h a n
t w i c e as l a r g e as a t t h e end o f 19^5 •

Consumers a r e c u r r e n t l y

increasing

t h e i r d e b t t o banks a t t h e r a t e o f about 100 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s a month.
*

R e a l e s t a t e l o a n s . — B a n k c r e d i t t o owners o f r e a l e s t a t e expanded
more t h a n k b i l l i o n d o l l a r s i n 19^6 and t h e f i r s t 10 months o f 19^7.

This

g r o w t h r e f l e c t s b o t h t h e l a r g e volume o f mortgages on t h e market and t h e
i n c r e a s e i n t h e p r o p o r t i o n o f mortgages p l a c e d i n commercial b a n k s .
Loans on s e c u r i t i e s * — I n 19^6 l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g and c a r r y i n g
s e c u r i t i e s d e c l i n e d almost k b i l l i o n d o l l a r s , r e f l e c t i n g l a r g e l y

liquidation

o f bank c r e d i t extended i n c o n n e c t i o n w i t h purchase o f Government s e c u r i t i e s




- 2 -

I n t h e V i c t o r y Loan D r i v e *

Some r e d u c t i o n i n l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g and

carrying other s e c u r i t i e s also occurred.

Decline i n these loans

in

I9IJ-6 o f f s e t i n p a r t t h e g r o w t h i n o t h e r "bank l o a n s and dampened somewhat
t o t a l l o a n expansion.
I n 19^7 r e d u c t i o n s i n l o a n s on s e c u r i t i e s have amounted t o
about o n e - h a l f b i l l i o n d o l l a r s — n o t a l a r g e enough d e c l i n e t o h o l d down
s i g n i f i c a n t l y t o t a l l o a n expansion.
T a b l e s showing, f o r a l l i n s u r e d commercial banks and f o r
banks i n l e a d i n g c i t i e s , t h e changes i n l o a n s , b y k i n d s , a r e a t t a c h e d .




Loans a t A l l I n s u r e d Commercial Banks, b y K i n d
( I n b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s )

Kind of loan
All
loans

Commercial,
industrial,
and a g r i cultural

1 9 3 9 , Jane

16.0

6.9

1*.0

1910, Dec*

25.8

10.8

lu7

2.U

6.8

1.2

19U6, June

26.8

11.7

5.7

3.1

5.1

1.2

Dec*

30.7

I5.lt

7.1

lwl

3.1

1.1

33.3

16.3

8.2

U.9

2.8

1.0

36 *U

18.8

8.8

5.2

2.5

1.1

Bate

191*7, June

Real
estate

Loans
on
Consumer s e c u r i ties
e
2.U
1.6

All
other
e
1.1

e
O c t . 29

e - Estimated*
Mote*-—Excludes l o a n s a t n o n i n s u r e d commercial banks w h i c h comprise
about one p e r c e n t o f t h e l o a n s a t a l l commercial banks*




Loans a t Member Banks i n Leading C i t i e s
( i n b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s )

.
All
loans

Date

Eind

Commercial,
industrial,
and a g r i cultural

Real
estate

l/

of lean

Other—
Loans
largely
on
consumer s e c u r i t i e s

Loans
t o banks

19.1+

11.3

2.5

2.8

2.7

.1

19.6 I

11.6

2.6

2.8

2.1*

.2

February 26

19.8

11.8

2.6

2.8

2.3

.2

March 26

19.9

12.2

2.7

2.9

1.9

.2

A p r i } 30

19.9

12.0

2.8

2.9

1.9

.2

May 28

20,0

11.8

2.9

3-0

2.2

.2

June 26

20.2

11.8

3.0

3.1

2.3

.2

J u l y 30

20.5

12.0

3.1

3.1

2.1

.2

August 27

21.1

12.1+

3.2

3.2

2.2

.2

September 2I+

21.6

12.9

3.2

3.2

1.9

•3

October 29

22.6

13.8

3.3

3.3

1.9

.2

November 26

23.1

14.3

3.k

3.k

1.9

.2

19Deoember

31

191+7, January 29

l / Includes ijijl member banks i n 94 leading c i t i e s *




Low P r i c e s o f L i b e r t y Bonds and V i c t o r y Notes
F o l l o w i n g W o r l d War I

Issue

t
1
»

Date o f Loir
Bid Price

t
t

»
Bid

t

t

Ask

1

s
t Mean
*

*
*

Yield at
Mean

X

(Percent)
1932-1947
1932-1947
1932-1947
1932-1947
1927-1942
1927-1942
1928
1933-1938
1922-1923
1922-1923

3-1/2J6 1 s t L i b e r t y . . .
4*
4-1/4*
4-1/4$
456
4-1/456
4-1/4* 3rd L i b e r t y .
4-1/4* 4th Liberty
4-3/4*
3-3/4*

O f f i c e of the Secretary of the Treasury
O f f i c e of the Technical S t a f f
Note:

1921
1920
1920
1920
1920
1920
1920
1920
1920
1920

86.30
83.00
84.00
91.00
81.70
82.00
86.00
82.54
94.82
94.72

86.34
83.50
85.00
94.50
81.90
82.10
86.10
83.00
94.86
94.80

4.39
5.16
5.34
4.73
5.41
5.67
6.58
5.78
6.68
5.67

November 2 0 , 1947

U n i t e d S t a t e s Government s e c u r i t i e s were quoted i n d e c i m a l s r a t h e r t h a n i n t h i r t y - s e c o n d s
t h e p e r i o d i m m e d i a t e l y f o l l o w i n g W o r l d War I #




86.32
83.25
84.50
92.75
81.80
82.05
86.05
82.77
94.84
94.76

in