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This is copy of a program submitted to the President by Carrie, Henderson and Lubin in conference with the President on November 8th, 1967. Koveaber 8, 1937, CAUSES OF THK 1. Ifcs rsceBslon, in our opinion, i s directly traceable to an in costs aad prices, which led to (a) » f l l l l w inventory* j p g and AMMHNI Hwflwrtug sad (b) intwwdi <>*• • pnaAaiag 3* al l a building* (See charts. Hate p t r t i e a i a v l j «!*• w t r i c e s disparity after «Tuiy, 1956.) Purchasing JK>W©T in the l u l l of oonmrn^ra failod to sufficiently to i i l O i l the a n l«V«l.l o^ v:uf?ia©sr ^ctiTity, 1)®- JMnHtaNMH store <!oll&-r MklM MMffNrf no tMSnMMM tf%MP laffMOFy^ 1937, despite monthly tnar>—!•• in retnil p r t w « iHEtalsimst MNMMII MMI 111 i t not been for Toltase of r e t a i l trede wo^iltf karvt bi*Qn MtiJLM tbere wae ao tftttNMMI utter Hity in th« Monthly tttliai of nations! incoiaa. AWOB** th© factors accounting for t h i s failure of national i a - -eoiso to taMNMMM ^OTQ 1* Ueolino i« butIding in the fOVHnMIPMi^i Ef?t contribution* (B&e chart.) for too f i r s t tine sine© 1930, the govanmont i s now doNSttotin^ from buyto? pow&T M iroch M i t i« 4« %ere i s ao 0QftYi&Gix\r ©vldonco thet the uudistr! uted tax, t!i@ capital gains tax, or the Tarlous re^jlntory of gov#ra^ent played any significant part in brisking about the decline* In teportftRt gagaants of Industry, capital earp—tfitWX l s s t was limited only by physical capacity of capital goods coesp^nlss-* ^or the f i r s t nine HK5nths of 1937, aaw plant and t; expend! iurea of minims and mmifeeturisg companies approxira&tad the* ioval of 19£8, ID addition to the $4 billion Mi astda annually fa* depreciation, •ftn-flJBKftelitl corpora tio;,s can retain 40$ of t h e i r MOMMvp *9f psflsjpfct or on tw&mgtQ un^is'ijibu'-.o nni'jji mti t t t There la liii>l«future* VHUMHI |o expect a n3i^.turalw wtfmrn i n the Th^ reetssfciaii caulo be Mrv«r« ttM |9MAm§Ml i f ftVanMM does sot interfB»e. Halthax «f tha t^;o forces corns.o.Mli it«t*4 as factors, ?is, oorrMtloa of the inventory sitaatiax*. or riMVtiflta or ter&bl« goo<3a MM INI AtpoMttfl upon for r a sumpx.ion of xecovery. Bui doeli&c l l 35a?? (ptlwifm sK>ta@Bu^mf ana the longer raaedial &c-iioa la illiTtt!, the LMM offseti^a Kill to xaoaaoires of intervention* K i r t W H^MVMMioai th«:.t follow m iitttfifil f i r s t to ate th« dealifta i n oonaiumr ^uylag a»3 lAtav h.2ip to brl&u stibstantial iBcr««ss in ywlwnrtttg pow-^r, jL» Crpy rrsaentRl puicuuaob. I t l i W g g » i f 4 that tfeid i ^ t a meixt plsee orders a t the e a r l i e s t possible 4*%m for *aoh m a t e r i a l s a sapplies tts w i l l b© r*qs&x*d for the op«»r»tlo& of the and ageacit»t» for the ratH-.iuder of the f i s c a l -5- £• Aat^elpatlon of ®om® items of expenditurea. The p o s s i b i l i t i e s oliould be explored of transferring oortuia expenditures froa the 1939 budget to 1938. Uote: Keitfc**r (1) nor (i,) above would incre&se t o t a l gove-rft- jaent eaeeerf&twes » f l the two yeet period. I t 'ni r ht M H r e - s u l t in savings. izusressee i s req.u.ir«ao&td MT W.P.ii. t h i s Winter should o ^ p y « Tor P.«.A. piojeotfl -hich Ma v wti isnddlately should be J^» Priviate hQUiai.ja^« She on*:; field on wljt^h rellajtte can be plea for a syffioiesiu voltuao of sjq»eadllttree to Iwra the t!4e 4 i stlimilatiori i s -'iTea, i s r e s i d e n t i a l b u i l d i n g I t hM b««?n <3es»on- stratod lOuDiy ti.ied 9 p a r t i culerly in the recession years 1921 and 1924, ta*it buildinK construction can MPMi Vpmrd in tfeeftMM»of a (lovH?«or4 trend i n business e c t i T l t y . (Bee c h ^ r t . ) A bulldinr, prograti iau*t ee d^-yls^d, wliich, ftbeve e^afy otbor ©oralderation, provides houses Hud upertments on terms «bich art* taore n thao. those pr^vsilis;;: on vsMeasures to Rwduce Bulliijiv^ Costa One oi* ta© fundaiaontale for securing lov builuiHg costs i s attract* ing large aeaie builders i n t o Ike f i e l d of housing. possible lo^or builaing fiaterial, This would make equipn&nt sal lsbor JL« foilfligg gnterial cogta« lap ri«SM indiestas that soltipl© ^ifc- romilts in Kltaga M M£h M 20$. This arises from sharing of r e t a i l mar&ius i.M savings In ths feulfe iMttttittg o:' mi>.terinlB n l Mnltlpla tioa pf fcaU£lttg lalMNP awploymoB.t, UM) gXMlMHr aaBytsl laeojao. In re- turn ftar • -.sU3raiiv.;e<: tWHli laoonw, c('i",ne89iji;ji5 i n W^a ra*eo tire £• Fiaanco^ cliurr^-n. Financial d iv» as bttildiOf; oquijBildnt, matorlal and lut>or •©•••• 0a October 1, 19r*6, HI inn I nil 1 bcudu in tight**! ^totc • Here obtaining 3?« Bad oTa ox. t k s bulk o; ihoir iadivldnel reel e s t a t e loans., Thu Bs tv© 3*®t** charged bj- l^ciarsl SnlXdiiig r-nf bMa i m i o t u t t o m ?^S i n 21 vtftttfl in Mijrch, I9M* IWMI •s.)rti:&ge3 m i l y PHMHlMi by th© goTeriaaMit, ere y l ^ l d l ^ i l i t o x over 5 | $ •»<> wr# *betl«i borrowers &£$+ [The bulk of BtgHtil s-i-nicleiiticl fca1Hl«g h i s been fam on ncing OOftti con ba reduced by* to J56. B of |3l adtzTico charge OB Insured nortij of dpMl p^yiaeiit to 10$ on houses i n the Adoption of tiie abo-ve proposals would have the srsiae offset «ie r e ducing construction costs by H & I f the a e t r a t e t o borrowers -5- fcn-s tm% to 4&£t th« itrrfagi MfitM b© equivalent tt a deeiijae of 15#3$ in • — t t m i t l f costa. If, in acidities.* actual c a s t s wmld be Stt1 by 9V*B M HttX* ftfl 5^» tfci t o t a l KNril Of quiring a n&it ha-,^ WO8X4 b^^ M#SMMril b;/ fyyiliMrtOily 8 0 ^ of tin r>erieKi of w^ort-lKation nssli also result in SIM •>—Iiiit1tr>n of spttrtMntff oxk! f l a t i c^n be ttaricm ^-C lij i t till oertein Housing A#t« Q3UU^MI4 t l y a d ; i>ra0«rite<!, in ^iJ.@ I Eliffiinatio-. of the 1 l « r wtM puiiwlsw w&uld cut f iBr? eosta bx D:J sriaujst oqut.l t o 6,1^S o:" the oo&etruetlMI co In Ikia f i e l d , a ehi&f pronletc i s DM a i t r ; ctlfsu O q C«rt*ia aiaeofiRentR to the Federal HWMItim AH WW provide t h i s i *.». fi> I t HAC ^| 9tti<9U.et« Ule pux-chasa of s. r M txamptior Of %11 MTmifigtf up to #15,000, (Tbi? w o l i of a l l •*ff9**tlO*Ui aafl would apply t o i s s s than 10^ of tiie g of a l l eorporfttioj..©#) b# ifxeitptios ©f aftfilmgA is. QJ;C©«>« of #15tCKK> shall be applicable to «uek MiHMti Mi ONi actually <axp&isd<*a> ffijr MBf 9OS«tratttOS of pl.-s.nt and nqulpMSitt. This sannption should w>t axooad 30^ of t o t a l -6- eanainga ana be applicable to actual expaaAitoum tfl exeesa of to curruBi- BBBHd depreciation charges. Further, this be absolutely e-:>-.:dit-ioiisd upon iffiponlt.ior; of • penelty ifct* of not usud Ito these st.-^tod pnrrjoses, sdiiek will in^ura their Capj-tal ^alas t^3t» So^:it-s >l 1—1 iliiini to azpansiosii of ,£.• aay IM provided by applying Iff* flat awrt— to capital f«lM up to •50,000. ^.» few tazeo, CDLEidsratlo^ of rev. taxes jsi^ht be 3«I&y<*d uutil next «? when a olearor vlt^vr of fc)M IfliiflOi *inc FMPSBM |VMpMNtf will be a. Baj>itRC©d budget. The objective of a bol«nc#d Imigvt for 1959 should be retained. Lsuchlla Curris Leon Hen^ereos Isedor Lubin