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• il N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n of Ninth Annual ouiueicuuc Washington, D. C. Stephen S. Gardner Vice Chairman, Federal Reserve July 19, I am delighted to a d d r e s s Board 1976 to b e h e r e a n d h a v e t h e this fine a u d i e n c e . opportunity The NAFCU and I have a l o n g w e l l in d e b a t e s b e f o r e C o n g r e s s gotten that concerned ing the p o w e r s of F e d e r a l , in fact a l l , c r e d i t extend- unions. W h i l e I u s e d to w o r r y a b o u t C r e d i t U n i o n s as a p r i v a t e b a n k e r , now I have an account w i t h the F e d e r a l Federal Credit Union. T h i s i s n ' t the t y p i c a l Reserve conversion of a former sinner; it's m o r e a commentary on how our works. O b v i o u s l y , banks and many other financial tions compete with credit u n i o n s . cannot overlook But government the 20,000 credit unions instituregulators that are a major p a r t of the f i n a n c i a l s t r u c t u r e in this c o u n t r y for of system millions Americans. Your conference committee originally asked me j o i n in a p a n e l d i s c u s s i o n w i t h t h e N a t i o n a l C r e d i t A d m i n i s t r a t o r a n d t h e C h a i r m a n o f the F e d e r a l H o m e Bank Board. T h e i r d e f e c t i o n is y o u r l o s s , b u t i n sense it's perhaps a p p r o p r i a t e . has traditionally been viewed Part of their to Union Loan another responsibility to b e a d v o c a c y o f t h e industries -2they r e p r e s e n t in this h i g h l y c o m p e t i t i v e e c o n o m y . The F e d e r a l R e s e r v e as t h e n a t i o n ' s m o n e t a r y a u t h o r i t y central bank has not been comfortable in a n p o s i t i o n for any one p a r t of the n a t i o n ' s and advocacy financial a n d so I c a n t r y to e x p r e s s m y v i e w s o n r e g u l a t o r y here w i t h , hopefully, objectivity and industry, trends independence. F i r s t , w e ' r e in a v e r y s e n s i t i v e p h a s e of i m p o r t a n t recover)'- i n t h e e c o n o m i c c y c l e . quicker recovery possible. guessed T h e rate of i n f l a t i o n has b e e n cut m o r e L i q u i d i t y of b u s i n e s s e s institutions has improved and business been atypically lower of the c y c l e . rising. It's b e e n a than m o s t observers w o u l d have than m a n y e x p e c t e d . and rapidly financial credit demand t h a n in p a s t r e c o v e r i e s This has helped has at this phase to k e e p i n t e r e s t r a t e s from P e r s o n a l i n c o m e a n d c o n s u m e r s p e n d i n g s e e m to b e proceeding at a h e a l t h y p a c e . The financial markets recovered to a d e g r e e a n d a r e a c c e p t i n g n e w i s s u e s . perceived i n f l a t i o n p r e m i u m in i n t e r e s t r a t e s h a s narrowed. an But while grudgingly rather m o r e in c h a r a c t e r . The been industrial production and GNP m o v i n g u p , i n v e s t m e n t in c a p i t a l goods has risen V 1*> I f t k <-7 have are only t h a n 1-eading the r e c o v e r y w h i c h w o u l d M o r e i m p o r t a n t l y , the number of u n e m p l o y e d , d e s p i t e a s i g n i f i c a n t d r o p , is be people unacceptable. T h e c o n s t r u c t i o n i n d u s t r y , i n c l u d i n g h o m e b u i l d i n g , is -3still depressed. The continuity of social programs and g o v e r n m e n t s e r v i c e s a n d t h e i r e x p a n s i o n is t h r e a t e n e d the precarious finances of m a n y state and local by governments. T h u s , the s p e c t r e of the d a m a g e that could b e done b y tinuing unmanageable federal deficits haunts many con- people. These latter problems w o u l d , h o p e f u l l y , be lessened by a continued recovery in t h e e c o n o m y a t t h e p r e s e n t But that course may not be acceptable issues will be key issues the r e c o v e r y . occurred i n 19 76 w h e n in a n a t i o n a l I've been impressed with rate. economic election. the r a p i d p r o g r e s s of The conventional response has been that it t h a t w a y b e c a u s e w e w e n t so f a r d o w n so f a s t . a n s w e r is so w h a t . We had a sharp and severe recession a l o t o f r e a s o n s a n d s o m e o f the m o s t b a s i c c a u s e s not been corrected. My have The energy problem has not been n o r has the w o r k n e c e s s a r y solved to a s s u r e a s o l u t i o n r e a l l y The slow g r o w t h of investment in c a p i t a l g o o d s m e a n s that foretells inflation. begun. that w e can a g a i n be i m p e r i l e d b y l i m i t e d c a p a c i t y in m a n y industries, a situation for key And government deficits are still very large and can hardly those be e x t i n g u i s h e d g i v e n the social s e n s i t i v i t i e s , w h i c h I s h a r e , of our p e o p l e . In s u m m a r y , t h e q u i c k r e c o v e r y w a s a b l e s s i n g , b u t it leaves much term. to b e d e s i r e d in b o t h the s h o r t a n d long -4I began with an economic analysis and the campaign issue because cannot move independently soqiety for very l o n g . experiences with mentioned the course of r e g u l a t o r y f r o m the f o r c e s that shape As a result of our r e c e n t the business the g o v e r n m e n t and the p u b l i c w i l l c o n t i n u e t i o n to the s a f e t y a n d s t r e n g t h o f f i n a n c i a l operations of foreign banks to our bitter c y c l e , w e can expect Capital adequacy, insider loans, loans trends that to p a y atten- businesses. affiliates, in t h e U . S . , a n d o p e r a t i o n s U.S. banks abroad will all receive attention the C o n g r e s s , and the r e g u l a t o r s . from the B e c a u s e of the of cities and the d i s a d v a n t a g e d , efforts to e n c o u r a g e , discrimination and redlining will be strictly enforced. public, plight n o t a l l o c a t e , c r e d i t to h o u s i n g w i l l b e p r e s s e d b y m e n t and statutes p r o h i b i t i n g in More of if govern- lending, record- keeping by business will become necessary, and more intensive supervision backed by stronger penalties w i l l be required of r e g u l a t o r s . general T h e s e trends w i l l b e true of the consumer protection measures benefiting women and elderly and ethnic groups the that society has slighted. The Fair Credit Reporting Act w i l l require standards and norms for d i s c l o s u r e on all types of c r e d i t t r a n s a c t i o n s . The holder-in-due-course rule published by Commission the F e d e r a l Trade is j u s t a n o t h e r e x a m p l e of t h e n e w c o n c e p t a lender's role and responsibility to s o c i e t y . The of pressures for b r o a d e n e d powers to s a v i n g s b u s i n e s s e s and credit unions while basically a legislative matter will influence r e g u l a t i o n of i n t e r e s t rate ceilings on s a v i n g s , and the regulations check- that govern transaction balances s u c h as ing a c c o u n t s , share drafts and NOW a c c o u n t s . Further, m o n e t a r y a u t h o r i t i e s w i l l b e t r y i n g to s o r t o u t the p r i a t e f o r m of r e v i s i o n of r e g u l a t i o n s reserves and laws the appro- governing for demand deposits wherever such accounts are permitted. A m o n g all of these r e g u l a t o r y you are more likely those that to e n c o u n t e r in t h e s h o r t r u n a r e consumer protection measures. out for p u b l i c c o m m e n t . the T h e y a r e i n the l a w o r r e g u l a t o r y p o w e r s of the agencies I don't really want trends today. Some proposals S o m e w i l l b e in the n e x t f e w to m a k e a s p e e c h a b o u t t h e s e T h e Congress has s p o k e n , and the r e g u l a t o r s of i n t e r p r e t i n g or a d m i n i s t e r i n g months. issues. a r e in the process the l a w t h r o u g h p u b l i c i n g s , p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n c o u r t c a s e s in w h i c h the are hear- regulators' a c t i o n s a r e b e i n g c h a l l e n g e d , a n d in a l l t h e o t h e r w a y s federal regulation evolves. 1 a m m o r e i n t e r e s t e d in t a l k i n g a b o u t the t h a t a r e c o m i n g in t h e p o w e r s o f f i n a n c i a l T h i s , I suspect, unions anyway. that institutions. is t h e k e y i s s u e t h a t i n t e r e s t s I am not going changes credit: to b e b o l d e n o u g h to predict -6e x a c t l y w h e n C o n g r e s s w i l l p a s s l e g i s l a t i o n s u c h as the F.I.A. and Y o u a r e g o i n g to h e a r f r o m e x p e r t l o b b y i s t s observers and from Congressmen themselves at this conference. T h e y w i l l b e a b e t t e r s o u r c e for such f o r e c a s t s . l i k e to s y n t h e s i z e s o m e o f the r e a s o n s present opposition to c h a n g e w i l l b e I would that I think the overcome. L e t ' s s t a r t w i t h the p r e s s u r e of s t a t e l a w . t e n d to t h i n k in W a s h i n g t o n pervasive. savings We t h a t F e d e r a l r e g u l a t i o n is W e a r g u e i s s u e s s u c h as b r o a d e n e d p o w e r s all for i n s t i t u t i o n s , b a n k s a n d c r e d i t u n i o n s as t h o u g h h a d a common form of financial structure 50 s t a t e s . T h a t , o f c o u r s e , is u n t r u e . have granted checking account powers in some cases for m a n y y e a r s . New York. law throughout The northeast to s a v i n g s N e w J e r s e y is t h e n e x t c a n d i d a t e . to Savings In R h o d e most commercial banks are owned by savings states institutions, The trend has spread loans in T e x a s can g r a n t c o n s u m e r l o a n s . we and Island, institutions. The r e g u l a t o r y a g e n c i e s . h a v e been p e t i t i o n e d by New England commercial banks savings to r e m o v e the differential granted institutions., u n d e r R e g u a l t i o n Q b e c a u s e they b e l i e v e savings b a n k s h a v e e s s e n t i a l parity of p o w e r s . on about variable rate mortgages the differences the I could in C a l i f o r n i a , o r r e f e r go to in b r a n c h a n d h o l d i n g c o m p a n y l a w s i n m a n y s t a t e s , b u t t h e p o i n t is t h a t s t a t e l a w l e a d s o r l a g s federal -7law. B u t i t is l a w a n d w e do n o t h a v e a s i m i l a r s y s t e m in 50 states. I t ' s n o t h a r d to t h i n k o f r e a s o n s tion. financial f o r this situa- In a f r e e e c o n o m y , s o c i e t y ' s n e e d s m u s t b e m e t institutional forms seen great changes services that keep pace with change. in t h e u s e a n d f o r m o f in t h e l a s t 20 y e a r s . transfers We differences T h e p r o s p e c t of electronic further in t h e w a y f i n a n c i a l a r e u s e d b y a n d s o l d to t h e p u b l i c . have financial displacing paper instruments portends and more dramatic by services The p r e s s u r e of tech- n o l o g i c a l c h a n g e is a n o t h e r c o m p e l l i n g r e a s o n w h y I w o u l d n o t b e t on the status q u o . You will hear Congress is a w a r e o f this. from EFTS experts on a Congressional during your conference. It is a l s o t r u e t h a t t h e i s s u e even now spilling over into court cases and state issues in the d i s p u t e o v e r w h e t h e r o f f - p r e m i s e terminals are credit commission is legislative customer a r e b r a n c h e s o f b a n k s or n o t a n d w h e t h e r d e b i t cards. One of the k e y r e a s o n s b r o a d e n e d powers h a v e f a r e d b e t t e r , in the C o n g r e s s , o f c o u r s e , is t h e not opposition o f t h o s e t h a t b e l i e v e t h a t t h e d i f f e r e n t i a l in R e g u l a t i o n is e s s e n t i a l to h o u s i n g . arguments The cards t h a t Q is u n f a i r This a r g u m e n t and the counter to the s m a l l s a v e r a r e w e l l t h r u s t o f the f i n a n c i a l r e f o r m m e a s u r e s Q that are at known. -8- i s s u e is to g r a n t p o w e r s to s a v i n g s institutions which w o u l d p e r m i t t h e m to c o m p e t e m o r e e f f e c t i v e l y a n d the need for the price control p r o t e c t i o n diminish t h e y h a v e in Q . W h e n I l o o k a t t h e s u c c e s s o f y o u r i n d u s t r y in w e a t h e r i n g periods of h i g h i n t e r e s t r a t e s , I think reform have a powerful argument. the p r o p o n e n t s Further, when 1 assess the volume and strength of consumer interest in o t h e r fields I w o u l d h a v e to w a g e r a g a i n arguments will be legislation t h a t the and efficient system of financial institutions in B u t i t is a l s o t r u e t h a t b e c a u s e o f its it is f r a c t i o n a t e d a n d diverse this diversity and perhaps its s u c c e s s to c h a n g e . T h i s is f u r t h e r c o m p l i c a t e d b y the f a c t financial institutions are among industries resistant the m o s t h e a v i l y in t h e U . S . , a n d , t h u s , c h a n g e m u s t b e l a r g e l y b y the l e g i s l a t i v e p r o c e s s . Y o u c a n a n d do w o r k are beneficial accomplished for changes I w a n t to c o n c l u d e b y y o u to a l s o b e c o m e i n v o l v e d i n the w h o l e c l o t h o f institutional reform. regulated t h e p u b l i c a n d in industriously to y o u r i n d u s t r y . that Credit unions have a broad and responsive constituency among Congress. housing overcome. I think w e have a uniquely competitive, country. of that urging financial While you could have some success p r e s s i n g f o r y o u r o w n p a r t i c u l a r o b j e c t i v e s , it is m y ment you are much more likely the to a c h i e v e m o r e f l e x i b l e in assesspowers -9if t h e h i g h l y c h a r g e d i s s u e s affect savings yourselves benefit. in i n s t i t u t i o n a l r e f o r m institutions, commercial banks, and, are r e s o l v e d in the n e x t y e a r for the It's a p l e a s u r e indeed, public to b e h e r e , a n d I w i l l b e to t r y a n d a n s w e r a n y q u e s t i o n s y o u m a y h a v e . that Thank happy you.