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BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE 1790-1830 NORMAN J. SILBERLING brought down to 1837 i n the History ofPrices,1with the assistance of Mr. M. L. Merac, who likewise derived practically all of hisfiguresfrom the Price Current. The table of prices as given in this volume includes the high and low quotations at four periods within each year: (1) about the middle of January, (2) the last days of March and first days of April, (3) about the middle of July, and (4) about the middle of November. There are many gaps in the data, especially in the quotations for the first and last periods during the earlier years. This series was continued in the subsequent volumes of the History of Prices. In the early sixties, Professor Jevons conceived the plan of casting these materials into the form of an index number, in order that the general trend of prices might be ascertained. His results first appeared in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society for June, 1865.2 Jevons utilized practically all of Tooke's quotations, as given in the History of Prices, and supplemented these by a very few others from different sources. No attempt was made to average the four sets of quotations for each article each year, and Jevons used merely those for the second quarter, for which the figures were on the whole most complete. This fact is of importance in the proper use and understanding of his results. Taking the prices of 1782 as a base, Jevons constructed a series of index numbers, using the geometric mean of the individual ratios to obtain the final indices. No weights were given to the COMMODITY PRICES various commodities except by the inclusion in some Statistics of price movements form a natural starting instances of several varieties of the same article, as in point for an inquiry of this sort. For the well-known the case of cotton, coffee, and sugar. Jevons also obindex numbers of W. Stanley Jevons, for the years from tained index numbers for various groups of commodities 1782 until 1865, we are primarily indebted to Mr. such as " corn " (six cereals), metals, fibres, oriental Thomas Tooke, an English merchant in the Russian and tropical produce. The commodities entering into trade whose career extended through and beyond the his general index number, and the composition of the war period. Tooke, an earnest student of currency and special groups for the limited period 1782-1830 are prices, published in 1823 a work entitled Thoughts and enumerated in Table 1. An examination of this list T HE monetary and financial events which attended the military operations carried on by Great Britain and her continental allies against the armies of France, between 1793 and 1815, have acquired at this time a special interest. The wars of the Napoleonic era present, in their political and economic aspects, numerous points of similarity to, as well as interesting points of contrast with, the great war of the past five years. An examination of some of the financial experiences of England during and immediately following this earlier period may be useful, not only in setting forth historical parallels and contrasts, but in furnishing valuable lessons for our own time. It is proposed to consider in this paper, certain aspects of the financial history of England for a period beginning just before the war and extending to the year 1830, thus including the interval of recovery and return to normal conditions. The object of this study is primarily to bring together statistical data concerning currency, prices, the rate of interest, etc., which are available without elaborate research and special calculation. It is not intended to enter at any length into a causal inquiry or reasoned interpretation of the events disclosed, but rather to present the materials in clear and usable form, enabling comparison to be made between the various sets of data and laying a basis for further investigation. Details on the High and Low Prices of the Last Thirty Years, later expanded into the first two volumes of his more widely familiar History of Prices. In his Thoughts and Details Tooke included a table, extending from 1782 to 1822, of the prices of seventy-eight raw materials and foodstuffs (including different varieties) which were furnished by a friend, Mr. A. Hinrichs. The principal source was Prince's Price Current established in 1782, the leading publication of its kind in that day. Only about forty of these quotations were later copied and 1 Vol. 2, Appendix, 1838. Reprinted in his Investigations in Currency and Finance, 1884, pp. 119 f. In the reference above to the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society I have used the present name of the publication. Previous to 1887 it was called the Statistical Journal. 2 [282] TABLE 1. —COMMODITIES REPRESENTED IN JEVONS' INDEX NUMBERS FROM 1782 TO 1830 CORN Wheat, Gazette average Barley, " Oats, Rye, Beans, « Peas, " " from 1792. MEAT Mutton, St. Thomas' Hospital average. Beef, St. Thomas' Hospital average. Irish mess beef, St. Thomas' Hospital average. BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 283 base year, 1782; and for eight commodities, later than Cotton, Upland, 1793 Tooke until 1801; after 1801 1790, the year from which I shall hereafter compare " Pernam, 1788 from Journal of the Royal Statis- Jevons' series with various other series.1 All the articles " Surat, 1790 tical Society, December 1862. in Jevons' list are foods and raw materials, but they " Surinam, 1782-1844; Demerara after 1820. include a fair proportion of the important articles of Wool, Southdown, average 1784-1845, McCulloch's Dicthis nature for the period concerned. Table 2 contains tionary. FIBRES Silk, China, raw. Flax, St. Petersburg. TIMBER Memel fir, in bond. Quebec yellow pine, 1784-1806, McCulloch's Dictionary. 1820-39, 1813-21, OILS Gallipoli, in bond. Fish. Hay, Gentlemen's Magazine^ 1798. Clover, Gentlemen's Magazine, 1803. Straw, Gentlemen's Magazine, 1798. METALS Copper, tough cakes. Lead, British pigs. Tin, English bars. Pig. Iron Wrought, Russia. Bars, Welsh. Logwood, Jamaica. Indigo superior and inferior, East India. Cochineal, Spanish. TROPICAL FOODS, ETC.* Sugar, Muscovados, Tooke 1782-1805, Gazette average after 1800. Havannah, for exportation, after 1801. Tea ^° n g 0 U - hyson Coffee, superior British plantation. " inferior British plantation. " St. Domingo, for exportation, after 1807. Rum, Jamaica, Rice, Carolina. Pepper, East India black. Cinnamon, first quality, in bond. Tobacco, Virginia, in bond. MISCELLANEOUS Butter, Waterford, etc. Tallow, St. Petersburg. Ashes, barilla, Carthagena in bond. u pearl; Danzig or Russia. Hemp, St. Petersburg, clean. Tar, Stockholm. * Another group of " oriental produce " for which a separate series was calculated includes sugar, tea, pepper, cinnamon, indigo, China silk, and Surat cotton. discloses an aggregate of fifty-two items — counting different varieties of the same article — and of about forty distinct commodities. For several articles the first quotations obtained were for years later than the The years in which the quotations begin are as follows: 1792, 1793, 1798, 1801, 1803, 1806, and 1808. 1782 1785 1786 1787 1788 1789 I79O 1791 I79 2 1793 1794 1795 1796 DYES 1 Year (usually the second quarter) 1783 1784 FODDER " TABLE 2. —JEVONS' INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES FOR FORTY COMMODITIES AND FOR CEREALS, METALS, AND ORIENTAL PRODUCE, 1782-1830.* 1797 1798 1799 l8oo I8OI I8O2 1803 1804 I805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO l8ll I8l2 1813 1814 I8I5 I8l6 1817 I8l8 1819 I82O I82I l822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 183O Forty commodities IOO 93 90 Cereals IOO I27 Il6 IO4 85 87 87 85 87 89 93 99 98 117 IO5 IO2 125 I no 112 118 116 I S9 130 141 153 119 128 122 136 *33 132 149 161 164 147 148 149 153 132 109 120 135 117 106 94 88 89 88 103 90 90 81 79 81 99 5 I0 117 112 no 129 140 168 53 252 253 140 127 138 182 163 173 201 211 203 182 272 256 165 137 148 198 209 186 152 116 92 125 147 i57 152 155 136 135 138 Metals IOO Oriental produce IOO IOO IOI 9O 89 95 93 96 94 93 82 9i 9i 93 92 IOO 108 85 113 in 108 117 123 122 127 *35 152 148 148 151 166 i74 156 160 164 165 161 i45 144 151 138 115 no 122 119 109 101 IOO 107 108 123 III 103 95 89 81 80 89 107 96 84 96 85 107 IOO 80 87 80 76 73 81 81 75 86 88 96 81 81 88 121 98 82 83 93 78 67 68 67 65 61 80 56 58 53 5i 52 * Based on currency prices relative to those in 1782. Jevons' data for various groups of articles are given for the years 1801-20 inclusive, in terms of gold; these figures were therefore reconverted to paper by the index of the price of gold which Jevons used. THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS 284 CHART 1. —JEVONS' INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES FOR FORTY COMMODITIES, FOR CORN, FOR METALS, AND FOR ORIENTAL PRODUCE, 1782-1830 (DATA GIVEN IN TABLE 2) (a) FORTY COMMODITIES. (b) CORN (CEREALS). UNITS OP ONE PER CENT. " « the index numbers derived for all articles, and for those of three important special groups, namely, " corn," metals, and oriental produce. These data are plotted in Chart 1. Before interpreting the Jevons indices, it will be well to consider another series which appeal's hitherto to have escaped the attention of economists and statisticians. In 1848 Mr. John Taylor, a London publisher interested in monetary questions, presented before the Commons' Secret Committee on Commercial Distress a table containing the average index numbers for ninety commodities for seven-year periods, from 1784-90 (the base period) down to 1833-37 (the last being only a fiveyear period). These were presented both for each commodity separately, and averaged for the entire list.1 This list embraces all of the articles used by Jevons2 1 (C) METALS. « " (d) ORIENTAL PRODUCE. * SERIOUSLY DEFICIENT HARVESTS. See Parliamentary Papers, 1847-48, 8, Pt. 1, p. 434. The original table bears the heading: " Table of the comparative prices of ninety of the principal articles of commerce, expressed in centesimal proportions," and is given in full in the appendix to the present 2 paper. Irrespective of minor diversities in variety or grade. UNITS OF ONE P E R CENT. " « " « with the exception of beans, peas, mutton, Georgia cotton, fodder, and wrought iron; and in addition it contains those listed in Table 3. TABLE 3. —COMMODITIES REPRESENTED IN TAYLOR'S INDEX NUMBERS, BUT NOT USED BY JEVONS Raisins, Malaga. Alum, British. " Smyrna, red. Ashes, pot. Rum, Leeward Islands. Bark, oak, British. Seeds, Caraway, foreign. Brandy, cognac. tt Clover, red, foreign. Candles. " Clover, white, foreign. Coal, Newcastle. tt " Rape, British. Sunderland. " Linseed, foreign. Coffee, Mocha. Silk, raw, Bengal and Brutia. Copper, sheets. Cotton, Berbice and Smyrna. Silk, thrown, Piedmont. Spirits, British malt. Cotton yarn, Turkish. Sugar, Refined, powder-loaves. « « British. " Refined, lumps. Currants. Sugar, Raw (brown), Jamaica. Figs. " Raw (fine), Jamaica. Flour, British. BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 Hemp, Riga, Rhine. Hops, pockets. Leather, butts, superior. Malt. Nutmegs. Oils, Rape seed, British. " Linseed, British. " Vitriol. Opium, Turkish. Pimento. Pork, mess. Quicksilver. Tallow, London, melted. Tar, Archangel. Tea, Bohea. Timber, Riga fir. Tobacco, Maryland, fine yellow. Wax, Bees', British. " Bees', Foreign. Wines, Port. " Sherry. Wood, Mahogany, Jamaica. Wool, Spanish Leonesa, best. " Long Kent. 285 CHART 2. — INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES AND WAGES, 1784-1837, BY PERIODS CENTERED (DATA GIVEN IN TABLES 4 AND 5) (a) TAYLOR'S INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES. (b) JEVONS' INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES. (c) WOODS' INDEX NUMBERS OF WAGES. Taylor stated that the figures were taken from a work entitled Tables of Taxation, Currency, and Prices (1837), of which the author, though unnamed, was quite possibly himself. The prices used were exclusive of duty. The sources and exact method of deriving the individual (average) price ratios are not stated. The final index numbers are a simple arithmetic average of the several items for each period. In Table 4 the reTABLE 4. —TAYLOR'S AND JEVONS'* INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES BY PERIODS (AVERAGE FOR 1784-90 = 100) PERIOD 1784-90 1791-97..... I798-1804 1805-II I8I2-I8 Taylor's index Jevons' index 100 100 120 1l8 150 143 166 174 177 1826-32. . , 125 104 153 110 94 1833-37 104 92 1819-25 * Computed by averaging annual figures of each period and reducing to base period 1784-90 as 100. suits for all commodities for the eight periods are given, and in Chart 2 they are plotted and placed in comparison with Jevons' figures, averaged similarly, and reduced to the same base (an operation sufficiently accurate for the present purpose). The two price series are in substantial agreement except that (1) the Taylor figures run consistently higher; and (2) the Jevons index reaches a maximum in the period from 1805-11, dropping from 166 to 153 in the following period, while the Taylor index rises from 174 in the period from 1805-11 to a maximum of 177 in the period 1812-18. These differences between the two series are due almost altogether to differences in the two basic commodity lists.1 If only those items of the Taylor lists are taken for which there are corresponding items in the Jevons lists, the indices resulting from the paired items are thoroughly consistent. Furthermore 1 Jevons' use of the geometric mean would tend to make his index only slightly lower. 2 Mr. Silberling left for London in July. As we go to press we have received a letter from him stating that he has secured additional data concerning prices. He has found a new index based on the prices of 90 articles covering the period 1790-1830. Separate indices for domestic produce (34 articles) and imported produce (56 articles) are if the Jevons list is made to include the additional items in Taylor's, the effect is to raise the Jevons index noticeably and to delay the final drop in the index until after 1814. It may fairly be argued that the longer list employed by Taylor gives a more reliable index of the general price level. Jevons' mean is too much affected by the relatively large number of oriental products whose prices show exceptional decline. Certainly Jevons' index cannot be accepted unreservedly in the light of the Taylor series.2 The course of commodity prices during the Napoleonic period and until 1830 is reasonably clear. From 1793 to 1814 was a period of increasing prices, in spite of the apparent drop from 1810-14 in Jevons' index. By 1801 prices had risen about 50 per cent above the pre-war level.3 The upward movement appears then to have halted for two or three years. Early in 1802 the first phase of the war with France was closed by the Peace of Amiens. Hostilities were resumed, however, in 1803, and continued with varying scope and intensity computed. The high point of prices, as shown by these data, was reached in 1813-14 and not in 1810 as the Jevons series indicates. These data strengthen the conclusion that the Taylor series rather than the Jevons series correctly describes the general price movement. —Editor. 3 Of course, these war prices were paper money prices, for the Bank of England had suspended specie payments February 26, 1797. THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS 286 until 1815. The price level, temporarily declining from 1801 to 1804, rose rapidly again from 1805 to 1810. From 1810 to 1814 there was probably no material change, the general level remaining about 70 per cent above the average of the decade before the war.1 The return to the old level was rapid, occupying only seven or eight years, and beginning shortly before the declaration of peace. The fall of prices in 1815 and 1816 was pronounced. The following two years witnessed a tendency toward somewhat higher prices. Resumption of specie payments was begun by the Bank of England in 1819, and fully accomplished in 1821. By the latter year prices were generally at about the pre-war level. The higher prices of 1825-26 are rather the outward phases of deficient harvests and speculative enterprise than of the price cycle of the war. In accounting for the quick drop of prices in England after 1814 it should be remembered that conditions were unlike the present in at least three important particulars: periods chosen by Taylor to enable a comparison to be made, particularly if the averages are taken of 1805 and 1810, and of 1820 and 1824. I have also reduced these figures to 1790 as a base year. Table 5 contains the original figures and my revision of them. 1. A return to pre-war prices was a question of bringing an inconvertible paper circulation to a sound specie basis. Questions of convertibility do not complicate the present situation. The existing monetary inflation persists in the face of unrestricted gold payments. 2. In the years following the Napoleonic wars the general tendency of agricultural prices was downward. No such tendency is to be expected at this time. 3. The production of the precious metals was low during the first decades of the nineteenth century.2 No sustained diminution of gold output is observable at present. These results are plotted for comparison with the two price curves on Chart 2. Wages show a striking similarity to Taylor's price curve through their fifth period, when they both reached maximum values, 160 and 177 per cent respectively. It is quite probable that if the indices had been computed and averaged for shorter periods, e. g., annually, wages would have lagged in topping their crest and starting down, as they lagged in rising, but by not as long as the seven years between periods measured from center to center. Another noteworthy feature is the sluggish downward slope of the wage curve in the last two periods, the era of reconstruction. In studying this wage curve, it should be remembered that both price bases are the 1784-90 average, while the wage base is the level in 1790, when a rise had probably already begun. This has the effect of giving line (C) a later " take-off " from 100 than it would in fact have shown if data had made closer comparability of base practicable. To compensate for that fact, we should have to move the points on the dotted line upward by a percentage equal to the percentage excess of the 1790 wage level over the unknown average 1784-90 wage level. Thus the greater sensitiveness of wages in their rise than in their fall, already seemingly pointed out by the curves as they stand, would be still more strikingly demonstrated. MONEY WAGES Statistics of wages for this period are difficult to obtain; but for the sake of completeness I offer for comparison with the average price data of Taylor and Jevons the interesting index numbers of wages calculated by Mr. G. H. Woods, published in the Economic Journal for December 1899.3 These numbers represent money wages in twenty-four industrial centers in the United Kingdom (no agricultural wages being included) at four- or five-year intervals. For some of the earlier years not all the centers are represented. The base year is 1840. The years fall sufficiently well within the 1 The following seventeen articles included in Taylor'sfigures,but not in Jevons7, rose higher in the period 1812-18 than in 1805-11: alum, cognac, Sunderland coal, currants, figs, flour, malt, Malaga raisins, caraway seeds, rape seeds, linseed, quicksilver, Jamaica rum, refined sugar, port wine, sherry wine, Bohea tea. 2 Soetbeer's statistics of the average annual gold production of the world for the period are as follows: 1761-1780 20,705 kilograms 1781-1800 17,790 1801-1810 17,778 1811-1820 1821-1830 11,445 " " " 14,216 " (Litteraturnachweis uber Geld und Munzwesen.) 3 " The Course of Average Wages between 1790 and 1860," Economic Journal (London), 9, p. 588. TABLE 5.—WOODS' INDEX NUMBERS OF WAGES YEAR 179° 1795 1800 1805 1810 1816 1820 1824 1831 Original data Average for period Average referred to base 1790 72 82 72 82 93 104 122 93 114 129 113 157 115 l6o no 153 103 143 115 109 112 103 IOO PRICE OF GOLD AND SILVER AND COURSE OF THE EXCHANGES In addition to the prices of commodities, it is desirable to study the prices of gold and silver and the course of the exchanges during the existence of the Bank restriction. Weekly quotations for standard gold bars, foreign gold coin, standard silver bullion, and Spanish silver dollars, as well as the course of exchange on Hamburg, Paris, and Lisbon, are given in the Appendices of the Commons' and Lords' Reports on Resumption of Payments, 1819, and continued in the Commons' Report on the Bank Charter, 1832. The price of gold was published in the money-market only when sales occurred BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 in sufficient magnitude to be of significance, and so many of the quotations are lacking that it was found desirable to use the price of silver instead of gold for securing annual averages. Monthly averages for both silver dollars and gold coin were, however, first obtained and plotted. These indicated, where comparison was possible, a nearly perfect correspondence, and hence justified the use of silver alone for the purpose in hand. The weekly data for Spanish dollars were accordingly averaged for each year. The theoretical gold price of dollars was then calculated according to Soetbeer's figures of the ratio between gold and silver at Hamburg. 1 Then, for each year, the percentage deviations of the average price in paper from this approximate calculated true par were obtained, from 1790 until 1824 inclusive. The results are given in Table 6. TABLE 6.—ANNUAL AVERAGE PRICES (IN PAPER AND IN GOLD) OF SPANISH DOLLARS PER OUNCE, AND DEVIATIONS FROM PAR, 1790-1824 YEAR Actual price (paper) (pence) 179° 6l.O I79 1 i79 2 1793 1794 1795 1796 1797 1798 1799 1800 1801 1802 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 1810 1811 1812 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 61.7 63.9 6O.6 6O.O 62.4 634 6l.6 6O.O 67.2 69.7 65.8 64.4 63.8 63-7 65-4 65.2 63.5 65.6 67.4 71.6 75-i 81.2 75-3 69.2 59.9 61.3 65.1 61.7 58.9 57.9 57-3 57-O 57.8 Theoretical price (gold) (pence) 6O.7 60.7 6O.2 60.9 594 58.7 584 59-3 58.6 58.0 58.2 59-i 59.8 59- 2 59-2 57.8 58.8 59-2 56.8 57-3 58.0 58.8 56.7 56.2 60.7 59.8 59-8 60.4 59-5 59-6 58.5 57-3 57-9 57-7 57-7 Deviation (pence) + O.3 + I.O + 3.7 - °-3 + 0.6 Percentage deviation (Units of 1%) + + + + O.5 1.6 6.2 0.5 1.0 + 3.7 + 5.o + 2.3 + 14 + 5.3 + 9.0 +10.6 + 6.0 + 5.2 + 4-6 + 6.3 + 8.6 + 3-9 + 2.4 + 9-1 +15.5 +18.0 + 5-9 + 6.6 + 6.0 + 6.7 + 8.3 + 94 +12.8 +18.4 +23.0 +14.6 + 94 + 0.1 + 0.9 + 5.6 + 2.1 + 0.4 + 0.6 - 0.6 ~ 0.7 + O.I +10.2 +11.2 +10.1 +10.0 + 8.8 + 7.8 +11.8 +14-5 +16.2 +21.8 +324 +40.9 +24.1 • +15-7 + 0.2 + 1.5 + 94 + 3-5 + 0.7 + 1.0 — 1.0 — T.2 + O.2 1 Soetbeer's figures may be found in Laughlin, History of Bimetallism, pp. 19 and 24. The Spanish dollar is taken as 43/48 fine (Dubost, Elements of Commerce, 2, p. 54) causing one ounce to contain 430 grains of fine silver. Since 430 grains of fine gold were equal (at £3,17s.,101/2d.,per standard ounce) to 913.277d. [Laughlin, Appendix] the price of silver dollars, in gold, would be found by dividing the 287 TABLE 7. —ANNUAL AVERAGE QUOTATIONS OF LONDON EXCHANGE ON HAMBURG, AND DEVIATIONS FROM THE PAR OF EXCHANGE, 1790-1824 YEAR I79O 1791 1792 1793 1794 1795 1796 1797 1798 1799 1800 l8oi I8O2 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO l8ll l8l2 1813 1814 1815 I8l6 1817 I8l8 1819 I82O I82I 1822 1823 T824 Actual quotations 3542 35.58 34.5O 36-33 35-65 33-67 33-92 36.75 37.58 34.92 31.67 31.67 33.00 34.25 35.5O 34.83 34.17 34.58 34.08 29-75 29.92 24.92 28.17 27-75 30.42 31-67 36.00 3542 34.25 35- 2 5 37.00 38.25 37.58 38.00 37.25 Ratio of gold to silver* I5.O4 I5.O5 15-17 15.OO True par f 34-86 34.88 35.16 34.77 35.63 36.04 36.28 35.72 36.14 36.48 36.34 35.83 35-37 3572 3572 36.60 15.37 15.55 15-65 15-41 x 5-59 15.74 15.68 15.46 15.26 I54I 1541 15-79 I5-52 1543 16.08 15.96 15-77 15.53 16.11 16.25 15.04 15.26 15.28 15.11 15.35 15.33 15,62 35.37 3542 35.O2 35-58 35.53 36.21 15.95 15.80 15.84 15.82 36.97 36.62 36.72 36.67 35.97 35.76 37.27 37.OO 36.56 36.OO 37.34 37.67 34.86 Deviations f Percentage deviation + + + + - O.6 O.7 O.7 1.6 0.02 2.4 2.4 + 1.7 + 2.O - + O.I " + I-°3 + + 14 + - 1.6 - 4-7 - 4.2 - 2.4 — - i-5 0.2 1.8 1.8 — 1.2 - 3-2 - 7.2 - 6.6 — 11.1 + + 2.O + 4.6 6.7 6.6 2.9 3-9 44 — 12.9 -11.7 - 6.8 - 4.2 - 0.6 - 4-9 5.o 34 8.6' -18.0 -30.9 -24.6 — 26.2 -12.6 -10.5 9.2 9.9 44 3.7 0.6 0.4 + 1.7 + 1.1 - i-3 - 0.3 + 0.8 - 3.7 - 0.8 + 2.2 + i-3 + 1.0 + + + + + 1.3 + 0.6 3.5 2.7 3.5 1.6 * Corrected by the Hamburg ratio. Cf. footnote above. f Expressed in schillings, Flemish banco (silver), per pound sterling. The most satisfactory and also the most significant exchange quotations are those for Hamburg, at that time the great entrepot for continental trade.2 The data for the Paris Exchange are incomplete and somewhat difficult of interpretation, while the usefulness of the Lisbon rates is lessened by the existence in Portugal of a depreciated paper currency. The weekly Hamburg quotations are averaged and expressed in the number of Hamburg schillings, Flemish banco money, given for a pound sterling. The usance of the bills was two and one-half months. Since the Hamburg banco money was payable in silver, it is necessary, in calculating the true par, to employ once more the ratio of gold to silver. ratio of gold to silver into 913.277, on the assumption that the Hamburg ratio would, ordinarily, indicate the ratio in London. 2 Mr. Silberling left for London in July. As we go to press we have received a letter from him stating that he has secured additional series of still more significant exchange rates bearing upon the depreciation of British currency. 388 THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS CHART 3. — PERCENTAGE DEVIATIONS FROM PAR OF SPANISH SILVER DOLLARS AND HAMBURG EXCHANGE, 1790-1824 (DATA GIVEN IN TABLES 6 AND 7) (a) SPANISH SILVER DOLLARS. (6) HAMBURG EXCHANGE. PERCENTAGE DEVIATIONS FROM PAR. U " « " This par having been calculated,1 the percentage deviations from it were taken for each year. The data, as they appear in Table 7, are believed to be as accurate and complete as it is possible to make them; but for a perfect measure of the depreciation of the currency from its standard by means of the exchange it would be necessary to have further data relative to the balance of payments, to the specie points, and to the discount rates at London and Hamburg. All that can be stated regarding the specie points is that the cost of transporting specie to the continent rose from about 3 per cent in 1797 to about 5 §-7 per cent in 1810, but fluctuated consider1 According to an appendix in the Lords' Report of 1819 (furnished by Dr. Kelly, the cambist) 2§ Hamburg schillings Flemish banco equaled one Flemish marc banco, of which it took 27! to purchase one marc (Cologne weight) of fine silver equal to 3608 grains fine. A schilling Flemish banco would, then, be worth 48.7567 + grains of fine silver. A pound sterling is 113.0016 + grains of fine gold. If the market ratio be multiplied, therefore, by = 2.3177, the result will be the number of schillings given in Hamburg for the bullion equivalent of a pound sterling. 2 Bullion Reporty Parliamentary Papers, 1810, 3, p. 11. UNITS OF ONE PER CENT. « " « " ably from week to week.2 In 1811, the embargoes against British trade and the confiscation of British manufactures in Europe reached a high degree of effectiveness, and the consequent probable rise of freight and insurance may have produced the peculiar results indicated for that year on Chart 3, where the deviations of the price of silver and the course of exchange from their respective calculated pars are presented. The general inverse movement is virtually perfect except during 1810-12, but deviations of silver are in general greater than for exchange rates. The maximum price of silver was reached in 1813, two years after the maximum price level according to Jevons. Comparing the silver curve of Chart 3 with the two price curves of Chart 2, it is instructive to observe that: (1) the range of deviations from 100 per cent is much narrower for silver than for either Taylor's or Jevons' general commodities; (2) the silver curve increased later and dropped earlier than any of the curves on Chart 2, in other words showing a naturally much greater stability about its par than commodities at large. A detailed BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 study of the changes in both silver and gold exchange would disclose at many points a close connection between their fluctuations and the state of military and naval operations.1 289 CHART 4. —INTEREST RATES, 1790-1830 (DATA GIVEN IN TABLES 8, 9, 10) (a) AVERAGE YIELD ON BRITISH THREE P E R CENT CONSOLS, 1790-1830. (b) AVERAGE INTEREST PAID BY GOVERNMENT ON EXCHEQUER INTEREST AND DISCOUNT RATES We now turn to a consideration of interest and discount rates. It has long been customary to measure the changes in the rate of interest in England by the calculated yield upon 3 per cent Consolidated Annuities. In order to obtain more reliable figures than are afforded by the usual average of the yearly high and low quotations for consols, an annual average has been taken of the mean of the monthly high and low prices given by the Gentlemen's Magazine.2 The average yield is derived in the usual manner by dividing 3 per cent by the average price, and the results are given in Table 8. BILLS, 1790-1830. (c) AVERAGE YIELD ON WEST INDIA DOCK COMPANY STOCK, 1806-28. TABLE 8. —ANNUAL AVERAGE PRICE AND YIELD OF BRITISH 3 PER CENT CONSOLS, 1790-1830 YEAR I79O 1791 I79 2 1793 1794 1795 1796 1797 1798 1799 I8OO l8oi I8O2 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO Average price (Units of £1) 76.89 83.75 9O.O4 75-7O 68.2O 66.37 62.47 50.84 5O.53 59.17 63.64 6O.93 70.89 60.16 56.59 59-3O 61.47 62.74 66.35 68.32 68.41 Yield (Units of YEAR 1%) 3-9 3.6 3-3 3-9 4.4 4.5 4.8 5-9 5-9 5.1 4.7 4.9 4.2 5.o 5.3 5.i 4.9 4.8 4-5 4.4 4.4 l8ll I8l2 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 Average price (Units of £1) Yield (Units of 64.I9 59-72 58.8l 66.79 59-9O 62.I3 75.3O 78.17 7O.93 68.54 7448 79.34 79-51 93.78 89.69 79.62 84.14 85.72 88.83 89.68 4-7 5-o 5-i 4.5 5-o 4.8 4.0 3-8 4.2 4.4 4-o 3-8 3.8 3-2 3.3 3.8 3.6 3-5 3-4 34 1%) I shall defer comment upon the data until I have explained several other series of interest rates assembled on Chart 4. To ascertain the rate of interest at this time upon funds invested in private undertakings involves unusual difficulties. The published quotations of security prices 1 A study of the exchanges from week to week in connection with political affairs would be desirable, though not possible within the scope of the present article, in which annual data alone have been used. 2 Of the trustworthiness of this source William Newmarch testifies as follows, in an article dealing with Pitt's war finance: "Those returns (of prices in the magazine) were furnished by the brokers whose names they bear, and give the highest and lowest price of each kind of stock on each week-day of each month; and of their accuracy, and sufficiency for the present purpose, there can be no question." Statistical Journal, (1855) 18, p. 262. are meagre and must be pieced together from diverse sources (mainly monthly periodicals). In the second place, funds were much more frequently invested in consols and the stocks and shares of docks, insurance companies, and other undertakings, than loaned at a fixed rate of interest upon bonds. I have been able to discover one enterprise, however, which meets our requirements to a fair degree for the years 1806-28. In the year 1806 there were completed in London the West India Docks, running through from Blackwall to Limehouse on the Thames. The dock company was formed in 1799; it opened an import dock with warehouses in 1802, and an export dock, which completed the undertaking, in 1806. The capital of the company, originally £500,000, was increased to £1,200,000 at the completion of the construction, and was entirely paid up at that time. By the terms of the charter the docks were to enjoy a monopoly of all the shipping with the West Indies until 1824, and until then the dividends upon the capital stock were not to exceed 10 per cent per annum from the time that the entire plant was put into operation. The enterprise was ably planned and managed, and proved extremely successful. But what is important for the present investigation, the gross dividends declared remained constant at 10 per cent from 1807 until July 1829, when, according to the Gentlemen's Magazine, they dropped to 8 per cent. During this time, therefore, the price of this stock can furnish information as to the rate of interest, which is probably as accurate and reliable as that which would be given by a first-class seasoned "public utility" bond at the present time. The quotations of the company's stock are to be found in several contemporary periodicals: prior to September 1813, they are taken from the London Monthly Magazine; thereafter from the Gentlemen's Magazine, with occasional use of the New Monthly Magazine and the European Magazine for purposes of THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS 290 from time to time to correspond as nearly as possible to the rate prevailing in the market, but might not exceed 51/2per cent nor fall below 2 per cent. A considerable proportion of the unfunded debt consisted of such Exchequer bills. In the Parliamentary Accounts and Papers for 1857-58, vol. 33, is given a statement of the capital value and interest charge on Exchequer bills for each year (ending January 5), from 1696 to 1857.2 Dividing the latter by the former we obtain approximate figures of the rate of interest actually paid to the holders from 1790 to 1830. These rates being fixed at stated intervals (once a year) naturally do not respond to influences bearing upon the money market during those periods, but nevertheless they will be found a valuable supplement to our other data (see Table 10). During the Napoleonic war and continuing down to the year 1834, the rates of interest and discount in England were subject to the limitations imposed throughout the period of this study by the Usury Laws, which proclaimed a maximum rate of 5 per cent. The existTABLE 9. —YIELD OF STOCK OF THE WEST INDIA ence of these laws did not, of course, prevent higher DOCK COMPANY, 1806-28 rates of interest than 5 per cent from being obtained through security transactions;3 nor did it prevent the N E T DIVIDEND (EXCLUSIVE OF TAX) AND ANNUAL AVERAGE PRICE OF THE STOCK* government from occasionally paying a higher rate. The Laws did have the effect, however, of discouraging Actual Average price Actual rate the published statement of the rates of discount (plus dividends Net yield YEAR of stock f of dividend (Units of (Units of £1) (Units of 1 %) (Units of 1 %) £1000) commissions) charged by all banks save the Bank of England.4 The Bank maintained a constant rate of 5 1806 6.2 IO8.6 144.7 9-O5 per cent for the discount of private paper (usually 1807 I46.8 III.2 6.3 9.27 sixty-five day bills) until June 20, 1822, when the rate 1808 6.3 9.61 153-5 "54 on the best securities was lowered to 4 per cent. On 1809 5-6 177.6 IO.OO I2O.O l8lO 5.2 December 13, 1825, the rate again became 5 per cent 172.0 9.OO IO8.O l8ll 5.6 161.1 9.OO IO8.O and remained so until July 5, 1827, when the 4 per cent I8l2 150.8 9.OO IO8.O 5.9 rate was resumed and continued through 1830.5 6.2 146.2 9.OO 1813 IO8.O Let us now examine these statistics of interest rates 1814 156.9 9.OO IO8.O 5-7 as they appear together on Chart 4. The course of the 149.2 9.OO IO8.O I8I5 6.0 three curves indicates unmistakably the limits of the 145.8 I8l6 IO.OO I2O.O 6.8 184.6 1817 IO.OO period of war strain. By 1819-22 the rate on bills is I2O.O 5-4 1818 IO.OO I2O.O 5.o 199-5 precisely what it was during 1789-94. In 1821-22 the 1819 IO.OO I2O.O 181.8 5-5 yield on consols is clearly back at the pre-war level. IO.OO l82O I2O.O 170.7 5-9 Thus the effects of the war on the market seem to have I82I IO.OO 172.1 I2O.O ' 5.8 been overcome by the opening of the decade of the 1822 184.4 IO.OO I2O.O 5-4 I twenties. 1823 IO.OO I2O.O i9 -5 5-2 comparison and checking. The quotations were furnished to these magazines by various stock brokers, and give the ruling market price (sometimes the high and low, which are never far apart) for about the first three weeks of each month. Dividends were paid in January and July, and the stock was frequently, but not uniformly, quoted ex dividend during these and some succeeding months; but in converting the monthly prices into annual averages no correction for this fact was thought possible or necessary. It is important to add that during the war the company usually paid dividends with the property tax deducted; the net dividends actually paid are to be found in the appendix to a Parliamentary Report of 1823 in which the company's history and affairs are examined in great detail, and these have been used in the calculation of the actual yields.1 These have been obtained by dividing the dividend by the average yearly price of the stock. The results appear in Table 9. 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 I2O.O I2O.O I2O.O I2O.O I2O.O IO.OO IO.OO IO.OO IO.OO IO.OO The capital was £1,200,000. 236.4 218.7 187.6 202.2 213.8 4.2 4.6 5-3 4.9 4-7 t Par = £100. As a still further expedient for measuring interest rates, and particularly those upon securities of intermediate maturity, resort may be had to the interest paid by the government on Exchequer bills. These were securities issued annually for current expenses and usually against the revenues of the succeeding years, and at the option of the holder might be redeemed at the end of one year at par, or converted into the subsequent issue. The rate of interest allowed on them was varied 1 Report from the Select Committee (Commons') Appointed to Consider the Means of Improving and Maintaining the Foreign Trade of the Country. West India Docks. — With minutes of evidence and appendix; 1823. (Parliamentary Papers, 1823, vol. 1.) Brief accounts of the docks will be found in Palgrave's Dictionary, Rees's Cyclopedia, vol. xii, (1809), art. Docks; and in earlier editions of the Encyclopedia Britannica. 2 Following the table is an historical and descriptive account of Exchequer bills (pp. 94-105). See also Penny Cyclopedia, vol. 10 (1837), sub nom: Charles Fenn, Compendium of the English and Foreign Funds, and Wm. Fairman, Public Funds of England. 3 See the evidence given by David Ricardo and others before the Committee of the Commons appointed in 1818 to inquire into the Usury Laws. 4 The only market rates of discount thus far obtained are those of Overend, Gurney and Co., monthly, from 1824 to 1847. (Lords' Report of 1848, p. 467.) It is barely possible that by intensive search among the records of some of the older banking houses, materials may be found throwing light upon these rates for earlier years. 5 Charles Fenn, Compendium of the English and Foreign Funds, 14th ed., p. 74. BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 TABLE 10. — UNREDEEMED 291 CAPITALS, ANNUAL TABLE 11. — (a) ANNUAL AVERAGE OUTSTANDING CHARGE, AND COMPUTED RATE OF INTEREST NOTES OF THE BANK OF ENGLAND, 1792-1830; ON EXCHEQUER BILLS, 1789-1830 (6) ANNUAL AVERAGE COMMERCIAL PAPER UNDER DISCOUNT AT THE BANK OF ENGLAND IN YEAR Capital values (Units of £1000) Interest paid (Units of £1000) Interest rate (Units of 1%) LONDON, 1795-1826; (c) DIFFERENCE BETWEEN NOTES AND DISCOUNTS, 1795-1826 1789 I79O 1791 I79 2 I7Q3 1794 1795 1796 1797 1798 1799 18OO l8oi I8O2 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO l8ll l8l2 1813 1814 1815 l8l6 1817 I8l8 1819 I82O l82I 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 5,6OO 6,829 6,958 7,455 5,796 8,406 7,4ii 6,572 11,688 17,608 22,043 X 9,°33 i4,35o 17,862 24,549 26,311 27,141 3i,7O4 38,758 39?o67 37,786 40,918 42,528 44,755 56,988 41,442 44,463 56,975 43,765 37,250 31,036 3i,566 36,281 34,742 32,39% 27,994 24,566 27,547 27,657 25,490 25,610 25,55! 168 2O5 209 224 174 252 394 35O 3.O 3-o 3-o 3-o 3-o 3-o 5-3 5-3 5-3 5-3 5-3 4.6 4.6 5-3 5-3 5-3 5-3 5-3 4.4 622 937 M73 S6S 655 95i x ,3O7 1,400 i,445 1,688 1,709 1,766 1,604 4.5 4.2 4-3 4-7 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.3 3-5 2.8 2.8 i,773 2,014 2,148 2,799 1,972 1,929 1,976 1,244 1,049 944 960 3-o 3-o 3-o 3-o 2.4 1,103 i,o57 787 653 747 838 841 716 584 584 2.3 3-o 3-o 3-o 2.8 . 2.3 2.3 Until the end of the war it is seen that the fluctuations of the yield on consols and the interest on Exchequer bills follow the same general course, the former being usually somewhat higher. After 1815, the rate paid on bills falls considerably below the yield of consols. The yield on the West India Dock stock, so far as these figures go, bears a remarkably close relation to the yield on consols, being approximately 1 per cent above it, except in the year 1816. This demonstrates clearly that ordinarily the yield upon consols may be taken. as a fairly close indication of variations in the general condition of the market for capital. The divergence of the two curves in 1816 is, however, of considerable importance, the fall of the consols rate being due to the political circumstances attending successful termination (MILLIONS STERLING) YEAR 1792 1793 1794 1795 1796 1797 1798 1799 18OO I8OI I8O2 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO l8ll l8l2 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 1818 1819 I82O I82I 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 Notes Discounts Difference * II.4 11.6 10.8 "•5 2.9 10.2 3-5 5-4 4.5 5-4 6.4 7-9 7.5 10.7 11.0 12.6 13.5 i5-i 15.8 16.7 16.5 17.4 16.9 16.8 16.7 17.1 18.9 22.5 23.3 23.2 24.0 26.9 26.9 26.6 28.2 27.2 2 5-i 23-9 21.6 17.9 18.6 10.0 11.4 12.4 x 3-5 13.0 !5-5 20.1 14.4 14-3 12.3 13-3 14.9 11.4 4.0 4.3 6.5 3-9 2.7 8.6 6.7 5-6 8.1 8.1 8.7 7.9 9.2 5.8 7-4 5-5 44 3-2 4.1 3-4 2.4 8. 9 8.9 11.7 13.6 12.0 15.2 24.2 22.9 18.6 20.0 3-4 3-i 2.4 18.9 14.5 15-5 17.7 22.3 4.9 4.9 17.4 21.5 f 20.1 20.1 15.2 f 21.0 19.6 20.5 * Difference gives approximately notes issued to purchase Exchequer bills and specie. f After 1826 the discounts given in the account do not include those at the branch banks which were started in 1827. of the long war in the preceding year; while the rise in the yield from the West India dividends bears accurate witness to the severe crisis which occurred in 1816 — concerning which there is abundant corroborative testimony in other quarters.1 It is quite possible that the fall of the rate on consols in 1802 should be interpreted in the same manner, for a similar reason. 1 See Tooke, History of Prices, vol. 2, chap. 6; and Bouniatian, Geschichte der Handelskrisen in England, pp. 226 ff. 292 T H E REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS CHART 5. — OUTSTANDING CIRCULATION AND DISCOUNT OF COMMERCIAL PAPER, AND DIFFERENCE BETWEEN NOTES AND DISCOUNTS OF THE BANK OF ENGLAND (DATA GIVEN IN TABLE I I ) (a) ANNUAL AVEEAGE OUTSTANDING CIRCULATION OF THE BANK OF ENGLAND, I 792-1830. UNITS OF £1,000,000 STEELING. (b) ANNUAL AVERAGE DISCOUNTS OF COMMERCIAL PAPER HELD BY BANK OF ENGLAND, 1795-1826. " " " " (c) EXCESS OF NOTES OVER DISCOUNTS, 1795-1826. " " " u on Chart 5. Unfortunately, we do not possess official In passing to statistics of currency, we may begin annual data for either of these last mentioned accounts. with the note circulation of the Bank of England. In The nearest approximation to them are figures for but Appendix 82 to the Report of the Committee on the Bank two days in each year, one at the end of February, the Charter of 1832, there are data of the average outstand-other at the end of August— to be found in Appendix ing bank notes for each quarter year from 1792 to 1831. 5 of the Report for 1832. It would be unsafe to attempt From these quarterly averages annual averages were to employ such meagre data for comparison with, and derived. In Appendices 56 and 58 of the same Report, further elaboration of, the above statistics; but since the quarterly average and also annual average holdings during the restriction the specie holdings of the Bank of private commercial paper discounted by the Bank are probably did not fluctuate with very great suddenness, given; and these annual figures have been placed to- the February-August data for the reserve may be pregether with the outstanding circulation in Table 11. sented for purposes of a rough comparison (Table 12). Appendices 24 and 32 of the Report give the average These figures permit the statement, in a general way, public and private deposits in the Bank beginning with that the Bank made considerable purchases of bullion 1807,1 from which it appears that the private deposits from 1798 to 1800, 1805 to 1808, and subsequent to were very moderate and steady, varying between one 1816, when preparations began for the resumption of and two millions at the outside. The great bulk of the cash payments. Making due allowance for the issue of notes for private discounts therefore involved note issues. If, specie, it appears from the different curves on Chart 5 then, the difference between the average discounts and the average total circulation be taken, the result will that the advance in notes made by the Bank directly or indicate with fair accuracy the notes issued by the Bank indirectly to the government were extremely small durfor the purchase from the public or the government of ing the war, and during 1805-10 almost negligible. The Exchequer and Treasury bills (the only forms of public magnitude of the credits granted to the government in security in which the Bank then invested) and for the other forms can be very roughly seen only for the period purchase of bullion and coin. The results are plotted after 1807 in the data of the annual average public deposits. (See Table 13.) These vary but little from 1 Prior to 1807 no distinct accounts were kept at the Bank for year to year, and decline sharply after 1816. The public and private deposits. CURRENCY BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 293 TABLE 12. — GOLD RESERVES OF THE BANK OF TABLE 13. —ANNUAL AVERAGE PUBLIC DEPOSITS ENGLAND: (a) BULLION AND COIN HELD BY HELD BY THE BANK OF ENGLAND, 1807-1830* THE BANK OF ENGLAND ON FEBRUARY 28 AND (UNITS or £100,000) AUGUST 3 1 , 1790-1830; (6) AVERAGE OF FEBRUARY 28 AND AUGUST 31 Year Average Year Average Year Month Reserve (Units of £1000) I79O 1791 Feb. 8,633 Aug. 8,386 Feb. 7,869 Aug. 8,056 Feb. 6,468 Aug. 5,357 Feb. 4,011 I Aug. 5>322 Feb. 6,987 Aug. 6,770 f Feb. 6,128 Aug. 5,136 Feb. 2,540 Aug. 2,123 | Feb. 1,086 Aug. 4,090 Feb. 5,829 Aug. 6,546 Feb. 7,564 Aug. 7,000 Feb. 6,144 Aug. 5,150 Feb. 4,640 Aug. 4,335 Feb. 4,153 Aug. 3,892 Feb. 3,777 Aug. 3,592 Feb. 3,372 Aug. 5,879 Feb. 5,884 Aug. 7,624 Feb. 5,987 Aug. 6,215 Feb. 6,143 Aug. 6,484 Feb. - 7,855 Aug. 6,016 Feb. 4,489 Aug. 3,652 Feb. 3,5oi Aug. 3,192 [ f / 1793 1794 f 1792 1795 1796 1797 I798 1799 I8OO l8oi I8O2 1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 l8lO { { { { { { { { { { { { { Average Reserve (Units of million £) } 8.5 } } } 4.6 } 6.9 } 5.6 } } } } 7.3 } 5.6 } 44 } 4.o } 3-7 } 4.6 } 6.8 } } 6.3 } 6.9 } } 3-4 Year Month £1000) l8ll 8.O l8l2 6.O 1813 Feb. [ Aug. Feb. | Aug. Feb. [ Aug. 1814 1815 | I8l6 1817 [ 2.6 I8l8 f 6.2 1819 2.3 6.1 4.0 Reserve (Units of I82O I82I 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 { { { { { { { { { { { { { Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Feb. Aug. Average Reserve (Units of million £) 3,351 3,243 2,983 3,O99 } 3-3 } 3-o 2,884 2,712 } 2,2O4 2,098 } 2,O37 3,4O9 } 4,641 7,563 } 9,68l 10.7 11,668 } ,o55 6,363 } 4,185 3.9 3,595 } 4,9n 8,211 } 6.5 11,870 11.6 ",234 } ,o57 10.6 10,098 } 10,384 12,658 } " • 3 13,810 12.8 11,787 } 8,779 3,634 } 2,460 4.6 6,754 } 10,159 10.6 10,464 } !o,347 10.4 10,499 } 6,835 6.8 6,796 } 9,i7i 9.6 11,150 } 2.8 2.2 2.7 IO 8.2 1819 I82O l82I 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 183O 12.6 11.8 11.1 12.0 10.2 10.4 10.4 12.2 11.7 10.8 8.7 4.5 3.7 3-9 4.1 5.5 7.2 5.3 4.2 4.2 3* 3-9 4.8 * Commons1 Report of 1832, Appendix. 6.1 TABLE 15. —VALUES OF ENGLISH COUNTRY BANK NOTES (OF £ 1 AND £5) STAMPED I N EACH YEAR: ONE POUND NOTES, 1805-25; FIVE POUND NOTES, 1805-30; ONE AND FIVE POUND NOTES COMBINED, 1805-25 (UNITS OF £1,000,000 STERLING) Year* £1 notes £5 notes £1 and £5 notes 3.75 5.O6 3.23 2.29 3-°6 8.31 5^3 443 7.27 8.94 5.98 5-94 4.21 7.22 3.76 2.75 2.35 7-79 6.15 4.98 4.16 6.79 7.27 2.98 2.67 3.39 3.15 3.22 4.62 5.60 Ix 6.2 advances in the form of notes made by the Bank to the mercantile community and to other banks are the outstanding feature of its accounts. During the war, the market rate of interest was frequently above, or very little below, thefixedBank rate of 5 per cent, and the Bank directors pursued a policy of granting as liberal accommodation to commerce as was consistent with their customary limitations respecting the quality of the paper accepted. One consequence of the Bank's fixed discount rate (until 1822) was that, in periods of financial strain, the Bank was called upon to grant an extra measure of accommodation, so that the maximum points upon the curve of its discounts do not, in all cases, 1807 I8O8 1809 l8lO l8ll l8l2 I8I3 1814 1815 I8l6 1817 I8l8 i8oq 1806 1807 1808 1800 1810 1811 1812 1813 1814 181c; 1816 1817 1818 1810 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1821? 1826 1827 1828 1820 1830 2.40 2.14 3.O8 4.75 2.88 2.88 3.01 4.03 34O 2.63 1.86 3.28 3.54 1.68 1.66 2.17 1.85 1.90 2.45 3-O4 4.19 4.I9 3.IO 2.30 3.5i 3.73 13.0 I.OI 1.22 1.30 1.32 2.17 2.56 .70 1.23 1.88 1.67 i-35 * Year beginning January 6. coincide with the peaks of the price curve.1 After 1816 the rate of interest paid by the government on Exchequer bills declined so greatly that the Bank was forced to carry a much larger amount; and the investment by 1 The Bank's discounts together with other data are compared with prices in Chart 6. THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS 2Q4 TABLE 14. — (a) AMOUNT OF STAMP DUTY PAID IN EACH YEAR BY COUNTRY BANKS ON PROMISSORY NOTES; (b) ESTIMATED VALUE OF NOTES STAMPED OFFICIAL YEARS; AND CHANGES OF DUTY Duties imposed by 44 Geo. Ill, ch. 98 (1804) Year ended January 5, 1806 " « " " « " " 1807 " 1808 January 5, 1808 to October 10, 1808 Duties imposed by 48 Geo. Ill, ch. 149 (1808) October 10, 1808 to January 5, 1809 Year ended January 5, 1810 « « « " « « " " « « " « " « 1811 1812 1813 1814 1815 January 5, 1815 to October xo, 1815 Duties imposed by 55 Geo. Ill, ch. 184 (1815 ) October 10, 1815 to January 5, 1816 Year ended January 5,1817 « « « « « " " « « .« « « « « « « « « « « " " « « « « " « « « « " « " " " « « « « « « « « « « « 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 1832 (a) (b) (a) (b) Not exceeding £1/1 Value of notes (taken at £1) Notes over £2/2, not over £5/5 Value of notes (taken at £5) At tf. Uo) £40,580 29,964 26,774 16,808 At**. Orb-) £37,960 £3,246,000 2,397,000 2,142,000 1,344,000 24,258 17,154 20,380 At is. (yta) At Ad. {-h) £28,978 79,111 48,019 47,941 50,162 67,191 56,694 21,421 £1,739,000 4,747,000 2,881,000 2,876,000 3,010,000 4,031,000 3,402,000 1,285,000 £14,742 41,935 3O,977 30,651 42,144 37,6O9 27,479 IX At sd. (is) £27,952 38,701 68,380 73,656 35,O99 34,600 45,159 38,616 39,695 51,028 63,310 £5,061,000 3,234,000 2,287,000 2,717,000 ,959 £1,474,000 4,193,000 3,098,000 3,065,000 4,214,000 3,761,000 2,748,000 1,196,000 At is. sd. (A) £1,342,000 1,858,000 3,282,000 3,535,000 1,685,000 1,661,000 2,168,000 1,854,000 1,905,000 2,449,000 3,039,000 £14,417 28,715 j 1 43,&14 46,598 16,259 12,636 15,233 16,201 16,449 27,157 31,934 8,725 15,369 23,545 20,897 16,882 18,142 £1,153,000 2,297,000 3,508,000 3,728,000 1,301,000 1,011,000 1,219,000 1,296,000 1,316,000 2,172,000 2,555,ooo 698,000 1,230,000 1,884,000 1,672,000 1,350,000 1,451,000 the Bank in public securities was made all the more necessary by the fact that the market rate of discount on commercial paper fell much further below the Bank rate than it had been in the earlier years.1 From 1821 on the amount of accommodation granted by the Bank to the mercantile community was no greater than at the opening of the war period. Statistics of the metallic circulation of England for this period do not exist. We know simply that soon after the commencement of the Bank restriction, in 1797, specie began to disappear from circulation, and its place was taken by paper. The loss of the gold coin was earliest and most seriously felt (the silver being in a much more worn and degraded condition), and the Bank consequently was permitted to issue, during the con- tinuance of the suspension, notes of one and two pounds. In 1798 the country banks likewise were given this privilege, which lasted until 1829. Other important substitutes were (1) the Exchequer bills of the government, which were negotiable and passed not only in payments to the government but to some extent in ordinary transactions; (2) the notes and checks of the country banks; (3) inland bills of exchange. The last were very commonly circulated in commercial dealings, being endorsed from holder to holder until completely covered with signatures. In the West Riding, bills of exchange were long used almost to the exclusion of other forms of large currency. Of the amount of these bills created there are no immediately available statistics for our period, except estimates for 1 I have not attempted to include data of the note circulation in Scotland or Ireland. It may be mentioned, however, that after the restriction of cash payments had been extended by Parliament to the Bank of Ireland, an extraordinary increase of its notes, as well as of the circulation issued by countless country banks and even trades- men, took place. A rapid depreciation, observable in the prices of goods and specie and in the Irish exchanges, took place, culminating in 1804. As the result of a Parliamentary inquiry in that year, greater caution was observed by the Irish Bank, and steps were taken to limit the provincial paper. BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 295 CHART 6. — SMALL COUNTRY BANK NOTE CIRCULATION, GENERAL PRICES, INTEREST RATES, AND BANK *OF ENGLAND DISCOUNTS (DATA GIVEN IN TABLES 2, 9, n , (a) (b) 15) ESTIMATED CIRCULATION OF SMALL COUNTRY BANK NOTES, 1805-30. JEVONS' INDEX NUMBERS OF PRICES OF FORTY COMMODITIES, 1782-1830. (c) AVERAGE YIELD OF WEST INDIA DOCK COMPANY STOCK, 1806-28. (d) DISCOUNTS OF BANK OF ENGLAND, 1795-1826. UNITS UNITS UNITS UNITS OF £1,000,000. OF T E N PER CENT. OF ONE PER CENT OF £1,000,000. allowance for the practically unknown quantity of this bill circulation.3 a reliable Wakefield banker, calculated from the reA stamp tax was imposed, not only upon bills of turns of bill stamps, which he obtained directly from exchange, but also upon bankers' reissuable notes, bethe Stamp Office, that in those years the total amounts 1 ginning October 1804. The returns of the Stamp of bills drawn were as follows: Office of receipts from the stamps on the notes of bankTotal bills drawn Bills outstanding 1815 £649,921,163 £l62,OOO,OOO ers, from that year until 1831, are to be found in the 1824 316,363,783 79,000,000 Report of 1832, Appendix 99. The rates of duty on 1825 354,405,293 87,000,000 each class of notes were twice increased, in 1808 and in 1815, 1824, 1825, and 1826-27. Mr. William Leatham, 1826-27* 1835 282,222,305 405,403,051 71,000,000 101,000,000 * Last half of 1826; first half of 1827. Leatham calculated (for other than the above years) that the average amount of bills outstanding at a given time was one-fourth of the total number created,2 and the figures inserted in column 2 are obtained in this manner. In any statement of the displacement of coin by paper during the restriction, it is most important to make 1 Letters to William Raynor Woody 26. series, 1841, p. 13. Leatham included estimates for the years 1832-39. See also Newmarch, Statistical Journal, (1852), 14, p. 143. The accessible published returns of the Stamp Office were found by the present writer not to give sufficiently complete returns to permit a calculation of the amounts created for other years. 2 Assuming the average maturity to be three months. 3 Thus Bouniatian, op. cit., pp. 217, 218, takes an estimate of the gold coin in 1798 as 35 millions sterling (Lord Liverpool) and in 1811 as 3 millions (George Rose) and, adding these respective amounts to the Bank circulation, he obtains a total of 46.3 millions and 26.0 millions, respectively, and draws the conclusion that upon the whole the currency was not enlarged. THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS 296 TABLE 16. —PUBLIC DEBT OF GREAT BRITAIN AND IRELAND, 1790-1830* (UNITS OF £1,000) FUNDED D E B T UNFUNDED D E B T TOTAL DEBT YEARf Great Britain Ireland Great Britain Ireland I790 229,952 1,586 1791 227,989 1,625 9,5O9 9,42O 629 629 I79 2 232,065 1,970 12,656 1793 1794 244,936 297,392 2,941 4,469 I4,38i 18,490 1,183 1,064 I79S 1796 349,947 375^60 5,377 6,366 7,4H 1797 406,829 8,107 6,572 11,688 1798 413,543 9,824 17,608 1799 1800 435,X45 485,184 12,002 22,043 11,860 I9,O33 1801 508,924 1802 515,158 1803 1804 53^643 559,625 13,307 13,103 14,160 1S05 1806 577,841 585,960 1807 1808 586,833 596,414 1809 606,416 18,375 17,886 1810 615,518 1811 Great Britain Ireland GENERAL TOTALS United Kingdom 241,676 239,461 2,215 237,409 244,721 2,255 239,663 3,153 4,005 247,874 I,III 259,318 315,882 1,164 862 357,357 381,732 5,58o 263,323 321,463 6,541 7,228 363,899 388,960 902 418,517 9,009 427,526 1,348 1,704 1,436 43i,i5i 457,i89 504,216 H,I73 13,706 442,324 470,894 I4,35O 17,862 1,072 14,379 537,653 I,6lO 523,274 533,020 J 4,7i3 547,733 24,549 26,311 27,141 779 556,192 29 585,936 604,982 *4,939 X 3,934 16,114 57i,i3i 599,87o 621,097 31,704 37o 617,663 16,143 633,806 38,758 39,o67 501 606 !7,955 18,981 106 1,699 643,546 654,461 662,194 20,065 37,786 40,918 625,591 635,480 644,202 640,348 21,062 42,528 2,316 656,436 682,876 1812 717,5^ 763,064 727,767 792,033 45,554 57,78o 42,229 2,516 1813 1814 22,514 25,092 1815 772,765 1816 1817 755,738 768,802 1818 770,158 1819 1820 777,3o8 771,062 24,258 1821 77o,74i 1822 765,361 25,789 26,341 1823 753,i68 27,955 1824 747,072 13,905 16,114 15,773 17,454 24,278 23,435 21,004 23,065 24,822 24,251 44463 56,975 43,765 37,25O 31,036 31,566 38,677 35,778 37,900 13,295 i7,99i 21,764 678,200 23,378 25,030 706,254 788,094 2,501 2,498 785,547 834,263 275,93 26,776 813,140 5,3O5 5,665 817,228 812,713 28,740 845,968 26,669 839,382 4,95o 4,300 2,300 812,568 28,015 840,583 807,409 29,122 808,343 802,628 26,558 836,531 834,901 809,418 1,105 25,356 861,039 827,984 835,207 801,140 25,789 26,341 .... 791,068 27,955 819,024 31,703 25,025 27,622 .... 778,775 809,831 .... 777,135 774,3o8 768,800 31,056 31,692 30,790 805,099 31,233 31,626 800,032 32,131 784,804 32,927 782,717 1825. 752,no 31,056 31,692 1826..., 746,686 30,790 1827 741,090 27,710 .... 1828 739,626 31,233 31,626 25,548 .... 1829 1830 725,356 722,616 32,131 27,317 32,927 27,173 * From Parliamentary Accounts and Papers, 1857, 1858, 33. .... .... 765,173 752,672 749,789 827,480 808,826 796,800 t Year beginning January 6. 1815, at which times the circulation outstanding could not be reissued, but was replaced by new notes bearing the higher stamps.1 If a calculation were made of the notes stamped, the results would be affected by the larger demand for stamps directly after a change in the scale of duties. This circumstance, however, is probably of no great consequence for the notes of the smaller denominations — particularly those of one pound — since these circulated so rapidly and became so worn in the space of a year that a considerable proportion of them would in any case be replaced by new notes within a year's time. If then a calculation is made for the smaller notes, the results will be of value in indicating at least the scale of fluctuations in the notes circulated by the provincial bankers outside the London area. Such a calculation has been made of the notes falling in two of the several classifications, namely, (1) notes not exceeding £1, is., which are assumed to be mainly one pound notes, and (2) notes falling between £2, 2s. and £5, $s.9 which are taken as five-pound notes, on the 1 It is not wholly clear whether the notes were actually called in or simply not again reissued; but in the former case the process would not have been sufficiently immediate to affect the assumptions made in the course of the analysis. BRITISH FINANCIAL EXPERIENCE, 1790-1830 297 CHART 7. —FUNDED AND UNFUNDED DEBT OF GREAT BRITAIN, 1790-1830 (DATA GIVEN IN TABLE (a) FUNDED DEBT. UNITS OF £10,000,000. average. The results obtained by dividing the stamp receipts by the rates of duty are given in Tables 14 and 15. The data are plotted on Chart 6, together with Jevons' index numbers of general prices, the rate of interest derived from the yield of West India Dock dividends, and the Bank of England discounts. The correspondence between the curves is extremely close. A lag is to be observed between the country issues and prices, which is probably due in part to the failure of Jevons' index numbers to include the entire year. The country banks, relieved like the Bank of England from meeting their obligations in specie, appear to have taken an active part in bringing about those successive speculative oscillations in prices which are the striking feature of the war period. When the money market \^ as i n a n easy condition speculative operations were set on foot, the banks increased their discounts, many of them rediscounting directly or indirectly at the Bank of England, and in return receiving Bank notes capable of sustaining further local advances. 16) (b) UNFUNDED DEBT. UNITS OF £I,000,000, PUBLIC DEBT Mention has already been made of the purchase by the Bank of England of government securities in the form of Exchequer bills; in conclusion a presentation of the total magnitude both of these and of the funded debt is desirable. Figures for the unfunded debt (consisting primarily of Exchequer bills during the war) and for the funded debt are contained in the Parliamentary Accounts and Papers of 1857-58, volume 33. These data are for official years, ending January 5th, and are presented in Table 16 for the corresponding calendar years. The figures are plotted on Chart 7. The funded debt reached its maximum in 1814, and the unfunded debt in 1813 and 1816. The use of government securities as collateral for private loans at the local banks is a topic upon which further research is needed to furnish sufficient information; but presumably the practice occurred upon a considerable scale and in this manner the borrowing operations of the government contributed indirectly to augment the volume of the currency. {For Taylor's index numbers of prices and bibliography see Appendix, pp. 321-323.)