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L*lu3 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of KANSAS CITY M A Y 1 0 1957 BANKING R j IN APRIL 1957 Summaryo Total loans and investments at all commercial banks rose substantially in April largely reflecting increased holdings of U 0 So Government securities but loans and holdings of other securities also rose* Demand deposit and currency holdings of businesses and individuals increased considerably more than the usual seasonal amount® Time deposits rose further» Net borrowed reserves of member banks increased sharply early in April but declined somewhat in the latter part of the month* Bank credit* Preliminary estimates indicate that total loans and investments at all commercial banks rose about $1*8 billion in the April reporting period (from March 27 through April 2k) with increased holdings of U* S» Government securities accounting for about three-quarters of the rise, as shown in Table 1* Commercial banks initially took most of the #3*1* billion of certificates and notea offered for cash on March 28# but subsequently reduced their holdings substantially* In addition, loans increased $300 million and holdings of other securities about $200 million* Holdings of other securities have been increasing since January, when the general downtrend prevailing since early 1956 was reversed* In April last year; which included no new Treasury financing, total credit increased $200 million# Loans increased about twice as much as this year, but U» S. Government security holdings declined, and holdings of other securities were unchanged* In April 1955, which also included a new cash offering, total credit increased $2 billion* Business loans at all commercial banks were probably unchanged in April as a small reduction at city banks was about offset by the usual second quarter seasonal expansion at banks outside the weekly reporting group. Business loans had increased ^Somewhat in April of both 1956 and 1955 but in most previous years had declined® Net loan repayments by food processors and commodity dealers continued at a substantial rate but only slightly above last year's level, as shown in Table 5» Loans to sales finance companies increased further, bringing outstanding loans of these concerns about $U00 million above the level in late February and over $200 million, above the level at tjaa end of Decembero Loans to trade and petroleum and chemical concerns also rose, but at a substantially slower rate than last year# Loans to metals manufacturers, after rising rapidly during most of the year, declined slightly, and those to public utilities also fell* f Not for publication - 2 - L.U.3 Table 1 Estimated Changes in Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks tin billions of dollars) Item Total loans (excluding interbank Business Real estate Security Agricultural Consumer I All other Mar* 28, Mar, 29) 1956 1957 Apr, 2hi Apr. 25, 1956 1957 + 0.3 + 5o6 +12.1 + 0»3 + 0.3 + 1.6 + U.3 + 1.2 2/+ 7.2 !/+ 2,2 K.s + 0.6 - 0.6 — 0*6 + 0.5 + 1.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 *K.i •• o.U -1=5 •* 3®U - l.U - 7.U + 0.5 - 0.1 + 0,1 - o.U «p l.U — + U«3 + U*3 + 0*2 Business Real estate Security Agricultural Consumer All other + 1.9 + 0.1 + 0.1 - 0,1 Other securities Total loans (excluding interbank - 0oU Hi + 0*2 + 1*3 Item + 0«6 + 0.2 - 0,1 U, 8* Government securities Total loans and investments (less interbank) Dec* 27# Jan* 1, Year ending t 1956 1956 Apr. 2U# Apr. 25, Apr. 2kt Apr* 25j 1956 1957 1956 1957 + I08 - 0.1 y + 0,2 — 0.2 - 0.2 + 0.1 Ic6 - 0.1 1/ * + 0.1 - 0.1 + 2*2 + 0,8 Jan© 1^ J an 0 1 # Jan9 1, Jan. 1, Jan. 1, Jan. 1, 1950 1951 1952 1953 195U 1955 Apr, 26# Apr. 25, Apr. 30 Apr* 27, Apr. 28, Apr. 29s s 1950 1951 1952 1953 195k 1955 l.U - 1.1 + 0.7 + 0.2 * 1,7 + 0,6 + 0.7 - 1.0 - 0,1 - 0.7 0.3 «* 0.2 — 0.8 - 0.6 + 1.7 + o.U + 0.3 — 0*6 0,3 + 0.8 + 0©2 + 0.5 + + + 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 0,2 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.2 1/ + 0.1 0.6 0.2 0,3 0.1 + 0.6 — 0.3 U. S. Government securities - 3.U * 1*3 - U.U •» 1*0 - 3*5 • 1.5 Other securities + 0.7 + 0.5 + 0.3 + o.U + 0.2 + 0.8 + 0.2 1/ Total loans and investments m 0.1 - 1*7 - 1.2 - 1,9 • 3*6 — 0.6 (less interbank) 1/ Less than $$0 million. 2/ Level of business loans increased by# and real estate loans decreased by# "" $300 million at end of October 1955 to correct classification errors, No^ back figures revised? most of the misclassification probably occurred during 1955. Note* Data for April 1957 are estimates and subject to change. Preliminary data for April will be shown in the Board's statement, "Assets and Liabilities of All Banks in the United States" available at the end of May. Not for publication L.l*.3 - 3 Table 2 Changes in Commercial and Industrial Loans (IrTlnlllions of dollars] Business of Borrower MarI28) Mar,29, 19561957Apr.2l*g Apr,25, 1956 1957 Total change 1/ 1956 1955 -2l*6 - 81* + 61* - 80 + 91 THE -183 +186 4*09 -369 + 1*9 -729 + 92 + 1*1 +227 -280 +301* Sales finance Classified Unclassified 1957 -378 -337 — 60 - 75 All other - total Metals and products Textiles, apparel and leather Petroleum, coal, etc® Other manufacturing and mining Public utilities Construction All other types of business First seventeen weeks - 55 Food processors Commodity dealers Trade concerns Total +801 +1,690 rli + 6 1953 1952 -397 -1*53 -302 -1*17 — 60 +182 "-7!?9 -653 -1+38 -111 195U -230 - 1 -328 + 620 +1,030 "mi 7913 -ryg +7L-6 -103 -=iW +11*3 + 83 +139 +261 +185 +271 + 60 - 52 +232 - 7 + 26 - 19 + 100 5 + 25 + + 67 - 87 + 38 30 - 72 T&9 + 1 1/ + 129 + 50 - 1 + 30 + 57 + 11 - 35 + 2 + 18 .118 + 28 +123 +105 — itl +187 - 2 + 59 + 98 + 31 - 19 - 21 -151 - 1*0 + 30 - 28 — 56 + 18 + 50 +252 -172 +322 -1,092 - 70 +1,167 3/ -106 - 187 2/-200 + 51 -5oi - 1*7 - 8k + 98 + 80 +1,218 2/+122|2/:1,197 - 257 -51*8 - +155 - 26 Prior to week ending January 11, 1956, included changes in agricultural loans. 2/ CCC certificates of interest, which are included in data, may have declined *™ $300 million, 3/ CCC certificates of interest, which are included in data, may have increased *™ $125 million. Notes Classified data are for a sample of about 210 banks reporting changes in their larger loans; these banks hold over 90 per cent of total commercial and industrial loans of all weekly reporting banks and nearly 70 per cent of those of all commercial banks. Data are preliminary for week of April 21*, 1957. Not for publication — ii. -* Not for publication So far this year, business loans at all commercial banks have increased $300 million compared with $1.6 billion in 1956 and $700 million in 1955® In many previous years, however, these loans showed a net decline for the first four months of the year. Half of this year's growth was at banks in New York City in contrast with less than a quarter in the comparable period last year* This shift was due in part to the fact that sales finance companies, whose borrowings recently have been concentrated in New York, increased their borrowings this year whereas last year they paid off bank debt. Following the exceptionally large expansion in the second half of 1956, net loan repayments by food processors and commodity dealers were considerably larger than a year ago but the decline in 1956 was much less than the usual seasonal reduction. Net borrowing by other businesses was about half as large as last year, but, in general, not unlike other recent years. Real estate loans declined further at city banks in April but probably increased at other bankse So far this year, these loans have shown little change at all commercial banks compared with last year's $600 million rise* Consumer loans at all commercial banks, which had changed little during the first quarter, probably increased about $100 million in April$ in the January—April 1956 period they had increased $500 million. Agricultural loans declined slightly in April, but on balance have shown little change thus far this year compared with a small decline last year. Security loans increased somewhat reflecting expansion around the time of the Treasury financing in late March® So far this year, total credit at commercial banks has declined $1„U billion, slightly less than last year, and ©lightly S o r e than in 1955. Expansion in April offset more than half the $3«2 billion cumulative decline since the end of December, most of which occurred in January* Total loans declined about IU00 million whereas they rose about $2 billion in 1956 and Sle5 billion in 1955. Loan liquidation was unusually large in January this year, but subsequent expansion, while smaller than in 1956 or 1955, has been substantial. Holdings of Ue S* Government securities, however, declined much less than in earlier years, reflecting in part acquisitions in late March* Prior to that, this year's decline had been about the same as a year ago* Holdings of other securities increased #500 million, comparable with most other recent years except 1956 when they had declined. Deposits and currency. Preliminary estimates indicate that demand deposits and currency held by businesses and individuals increased about $1 billion more than the usual seasonal amount in April, as shown in Table 3» This more than offset the decline in the money supply on a seasonally adjusted basis, which had occurred during the first quarter. At the month-end, the seasonally adjusted money supply was slightly less than one-half per cent above the year-ago level. This is about the same yearto-year change as at the end of March, there having been a large rise in April last year as well. L.iu3 •* 5 -• Table 3 Estimated Changes in Deposits and Currency (In billions of dollars] Ear7"5r, Ear. 29, Dec, 27, Jan, 1, Item Seasonally adjusted data* 1/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Unadjusted data l/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Time deposits U, S, Government deposits Total Year ending: 1956 19561956 1957 Apr• 2h> Apr, 25, Apr, 2U, Apr, 25, Apr, 2U, Apr, 25, 1956 1956 1957 1956 1957 1957 + 1*2 - 0,1 +XT + 1.3 + 1.6 z + 1,7 - 0*2 + 0,5 + 0*3 + 0.8 - 0,3 T${ 3/- Itelt m 1/- o i l + l.U — 0»3 + ioi + 0,2 + 0*3 + 0.5 + 1@6 + 0,2 + l«b — ~ + + — 3o8 1„3 + 0,2 + 0< 3 0.9 0,6 3«6 + 5*8 * Oeh + 5.8 + + + + — + 5a '+ o*5 1.6 0,3 l j 3*1 0o6 ti.i; (signs indicate effect on depositsand currency) Factors affecting deposits and currency Bank loans and investments other than United States + 8,0 +1L,1 + 0,6 + 0,9 + 0o7 Government securities hf + 5.7 +11.7 + 6,1 + 0,15 + 0«5 Commercial + 0.8 + 0.9 + 2»U + 2.5 + 0,2 + 0,2 Mutual savings Bank holdings of U, S. — 8,ij. - 2,0 - 5«o Government securities: + lclt - 0.9 — 3,2 - 0,1 +"0.1 — o,u — lob Federal Reserve - 1.5 — o.u - l.h o,U Commercial — 7.U — — 1.5 - 3.U + m 0,6 + 0,1 - 0,1 — 0,5 2/ Mutual saving and other 2/'3 Gold stock and foreign + 0,5 + 0.1 + o.U + 0,1 deposits at F, R, Banks 2/ 2/. + 0.1 - 1.2 - 0.7 - leti - o,U - 0o3 Other factors Seasonally adjusted data are for last Wednesday throughout; unadjusted data are V for last Wednesday except in case of June and December call dates, when available. Less than $50 million. Changes between December 26 and December 31, 1956, are estimated as follows: Demand deposits adjusted, +#700 million; currency outside banks, -$100$ time deposits, +$300 million; and U, S. Government deposits, -$300 million* Total includes foreign loans on gold, holdings of bankers' acceptances at the Federal Reserve, and loans to foreign banksj changes in these items are generally relatively small. In addition even if there were no changes in these items, changes at commercial and mutual savings banks would not add to total change which is "net" because commercial banks exclude all interbank loans, domestic and foreign; in addition, there are probably some bookkeeping discrepancies among various banking records. H, y Note: Data for April 1957 are estimates and subject to change• Preliminary data for April will be shown in the Board's statement, "Assets and Liabilities of All Banks in the United States" available at the end of May, Not for publication Ue S, Government deposits at commercial banks increased sharply on March 28, when payments were made for the $3eh- billion of new certificates and notes* Subsequently# however# they declined steadily, and on April 2k were only $500 million above the level a month earlier# Time deposits at commercial banks may have increased about SUOO million further in April compared with little change in the same month last year* Although this rise was considerably smaller than in March, time deposits usually increase less in April than in March* During the first quarter of the year, time deposits at all commercial banks had increased about $2 billion, considerably more than in any other year on record. At mutual savings banks, deposit growth in January and February was generally less than in other years, but in March and April probably equaled that of a year ago* On balance, total deposits and currency increased about $2 billion in Aprila As noted above, commercial bank credit increased substantially and mutual savings banks and the Federal Reserve Banks also added to their loans and investments. Last year in April, while the increase in demand deposits adjusted and currency was about the same as this year, U» S, Government deposits declined sharply and time deposits were unchanged, and, on balance, total deposits and currency declined about SUOO million. Bank reserves. Net borrowed reserves of all member banks averaged $U90 million in April, about $175 million higher than in March, as shown in Table ha Central reserve city banks in New York accounted for most of the increase* Borrowings at all member banks averaged over $1 billion, the first month they have been that high since April a year ago, but excess reserves continued at about $500 million. The effective trading rate on Federal funds was consistently at 3 per cent. Reserve positions fluctuated widely during the month. They tightened substantially early in April, particularly at banks in New York City, with net borrowed reserves averaging $6?0 million during the three weeks ending April 17, In the two following weeks ending May 1> net borrowed reserves declined to B315 million, with most of the reduction at central reserve city banks in New York and Chicago Over April, as shown in Table 5> more reserves were absorbed principally through increases in required reserves, currency outflows, and increases in nonmeniber deposits and other Federal Reserve accounts than were supplied through System purchases of U, S, Government securities and increases in Federal Reserve float. Most of the increase in required reserves occurred during the week of April 3 when bank credit expanded sharply as banks purchased new Treasury issues. In addition, during the Not for publication E«Uo3 •* 7 Table b Free Reserves (Excess reserves minus member bank borrowings; based on average of daily figures; in millions of dollars) Period All member New York Chicago Reserve City Country M 26 - 338 550 338 - 353 336 298 b29 b68 356 • - 382 296 2b6 193 203 379 310 319 32b 205 305 360 27b 380 358 393 195b $ December 1955$ December b59 - 2b5 - 50 - 161 ~ - 16 83 19 £6 j January February March April May June July August September October November December - 255 266 b08 533 « « - 195 139 339 213 195 15b 36 - 198 - 138 - 17b « 167 - 88 - 33 - 108 «• 158 - 20b - 192 - 21b - 91 . ~ - 83 103 256 262 153 111 U8 72 93 lib - 86 January February March April 117 - 126 - 316 - 1*89 - Ll - 123 - 101 - 300 - bo - 53 - 253 - 210 - 172 2b9 2b2 263 369 299 280 28b Quarterly averages 1955: First Second Third Fourth 25b 158 - 127 - 365 - 29 1 - 112 - 192 - - 99 - 150 - 323 - bl8 b57 37b 375 3bl - - 170 - 96 - 157 - 166 - Ib7 - 175 - 71 - 113 - 329 bl8 3bl 2lb 336 278 338 365 - 108 - - 115 - 221 316 » •» - - 78 - 169 - b82 — I4.26 - 236 - 82 - * - 369 133 301 298 383 173 1957* 1956: First Second Third Fourth 1957: First - 5ob 310 101 230 128 210 707 6bl 660 333 298 88 - lbo 75 6b 67 95 3b2 bib 212 229 21b 123 - 3bb 1957* Marsh 27 April 3 10 17 2b May 1 Note? Data for second half of April and May are preliminary. Not for publication 159 257 2b8 303 266 263 3bb Lelu3 first half of April# currency in circulation increased and Treasury and other deposits at the Reserve Banks were built up# System holdings of U» S* Government securities increased $190 million# on the average# during the three weeks ending April 17* During the two following weeks ending May 1# however# a considerably larger volume of reserves was supplied to banks through the intramonthly seasonal increase in Reserve Bank float# currency inflows# reductions in Treasury deposits at the Reserve Banks# and declines in nonmeniber deposits and other Federal Reserve accounts than was absorbed through reductions in System holdings of U. S. Government securities and small increases in required reserves. During the first quarter of 1957# net borrowed reserves of member banks had averaged $110 million# little different from the $130 million average in the fourth quarter of 1956. The volume of reserves supplied to banks during the first quarter of 1957 (based on three month averages of daily figures) principally through currency inflows# foreign transactions# and reductions in required reserves was about the same as the volume absorbed mainly through reductions in holdings of U„ S, Government securities and in Reserve Bank float* System holdings of U, S. Government securities increased slightly between March 31 and April 30. Repurchase contracts# which had totaled $110 million on March 31 and which rose to $230 million on April 3 when reserve pressures were heavy, were gradually eliminated over the remainder of the month* In mid-April# however# the System purchased $130 million of bills outright. During the first quarter of 1957# holdings had declined $1#770 million reflecting reductions of $2,030 million in January and February and net acquisitions of $260 million in March. Not for publication •w 9 •* L»U,3 Table 5 Changes in Member Bank Reserves, with Relevant Factors (Monthly average of daily figuresj in millions of dollars) Jan* - April "April Item 1956 1957 Year ending ApriT 1957 1956 1957 1956 Member bank reserve balances Total Required reserves Excess reserves + 203 - 77 - UU8 - 393 + 2U0 + 199 + U - 20 57 - 318 » 326 + 21*5 Effect of above factors on reserves - 67 - 5 + 110 - 63 (signs indicate effect on reserves) Principal factors Currency in circulation Gold stock and foreign accounts Treasury operations Federal Reserve float Other factors - 130 k7 - 15 + 11 +1,162 +1,020 - 368 - U38 — + 2 It 12 35 8 62 7 • 395 + 29 - 523 - 289 + 167 - 107 - U6it + 568 - 183 + - 28 + 185 - 129 + + + + - 151 - 31 + 77-U + 588 + U2lt - 205 + 356 - h6 -1,221 - 977 I - 181 + 252 + 178 TIE + 5U + l - 112 - 56 56 1 -1,526 -1,377 - 1U9 - 25 -1,192 -955 - 171 ~57? + 101 + 11 - 222 -""211 - 11 1 + 177 + 67 + 323 + 221 ** « + + 565 + + 86 - + 168 87 10 87 1x9 Federal Reserve loans and investments: Total U e S. Govt* securities Outright Repurchase agreements Acceptances Discounts and advances: To member banks To others 1/ Data for April 1957 are preliminary. Not for publication 7 - 267 - 5 1 U9 25 - 90 w L*U.3t 10 — Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks (in billions of dollars) Loans and investments Date Other Gov't® secur- Total secur- ities loans ities Uo So ConReal SecuAll Business estate rity Farm sumer other 9.U 2.1 19U7* 19U8: 19U9s 1950$ 1951$ 1952$ 1953$ 195U$ Dec. Dec, Dec. Dec. Dec* Dec. Dec. Dec, 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 116.2 11U.2 120.1 126*6 132.5 1U1»5 1U5.5 155.7 69,2 62*6 67,0 62.0 61,5 63*3 63.U 69.0 9.0 9.2 10.2 12.U 13.3 iua 1U.7 16,3 37.9 U2.U U2.9 52.2 57.6 6U.0 67 »U 70.U 18*3 18.9 17.1 21.9 25.9 27.9 1955$ Mar. 30 June 30 Sept.28 Dec. 31 152 .U 15U.8 156.U 160.3 6U»2 63*3 62.0 61.6 17.0 16.8 16.9 16.7 71.2 7U.8 77.5 82.0 27.U 28.9 30.5 1/33.2 Jan, 25 Feb. 29 Mar. 28 Apr. 25 May 30 Jyne 30 July 25p Aug, 29p Sept.26p Oct. 31p Nov. 28p Dec. 26p Dec. 31e 158,3 157.1 158.5 158.7 158.U 159.3 158.3 159.8 160.7 161.3 162,6 16U.U 16U.U 60.9 59.2 58.6 58.2 57.3 56*6 56.2 57.2 57.0 57.U 58.1 58.3 58.U 16*5 16,6 16.6 16.6 16.U 16.5 16,3 16.U 16.5 16.3 16.3 16.2 16.3 80.9 81.2 83.3 83.9 8U.7 86.2 85.8 86.3 87,2 87.6 88.3 89,9 89.7 32*7 32,9 3k. 5 3U.8 3U.8 20.9 35.8 36.U 36.9 37*2 37*8 38.8 38.7 21.9 U.3 22,1 U.O 22*3 U.I 22. U U.l 22.5 U.o Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 161.5 161.0 161.2 163.0 57.5 56.6 55.5 56.8 16.2 16*3 16.5 16.7 87.8 88.0 89.2 89.5 37.6 37*8 39.1 39.1 22.6 3.7 22.6 22.6 3.6 3.8 1956$ 1957$ p e 1/ ~ 30p 27p 27p 2Ue 27.2 26,9 36.1 10.8 11.5 13.5 1U.6 15.7 16.7 l8oU 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.6 3.2 3.6 U«5 1.7 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.U 3.9 5,0 5c2 3.8 U.8 5.8 7 eU 7.5 9.U 10.9 10.9 19.0 U.i 19.8 U.5 20.6 U.2 U.9 u»u з.9 U.5 11.2 U.6 U.U U.5 U.U U.3 U.U 14.3 U.2 U,0 U.2 ii.O U.l U.2 U.2 13.3 13.3 1/20.8 5.0 21.0 It.5 21.2 U.5 U.U 21.6 U.5 21.8 U.U 21.U 22.6 U.3 22.6 1.3 22.6 3.7 U.3 и.u U.3 U.2 12.1 12,7 13,2 13.5 13.7 13.9 1U.3 1U.U 1U.U 1U.5 1U.5 1U.5 1U.7 1U.7 1U.6 1U.6 1U.7 1U.8 Preliminary Estimated Level of business loans increased by, and real estate loans decreased by >300 million at the end of October 1955 to correct classification errors. No back figures revised; most of the misclassification probably occurred during 1955# Note* """"""" Data exclude interbank loans. Total loans are after and types of loans before deductions for valuation reserves. Consumer and "other loans" are partly estimated for all dates. Other data are partly estimated on all but June and December dates. Data for December 31# 1956, and April 2U# 1957, are estimates and subject to change. All data for December 31* 1956 are based on preliminary member bank call report data. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Not for publication Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Banking Section, Board of Governors May 7, 1957 .