Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : October 13, 1958
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DicoNiRoi^) AFTER s i x MONrns H.llt October 13, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of new p u b l i c s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g continues t o be small. During the week ending October 10, l a r g e corporate i s s u e s t o t a l ing i&Ui m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l government.issues f o r $36 m i l l i o n were s o l d . The calendar f o r t h i s week includes only one l a r g e corporate i s s u e f o r $15 m i l l i o n and two S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s with t o t a l proceeds of $31 m i l l i o n . Bond y i e l d s - Changes i n y i e l d s on outstanding bonds were mixed l a s t week. Yields oh U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s declined sharply (11 b a s i s points) l a s t week. Yields on high-grade corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds remained s t a b l e , while t h o s e f o r Baa-rated corporate and municipal bonds increased s l i g h t l y . A new Aa-rated, f i r s t mortgage p u b l i c u t i l i t y i s s u e was o f f e r e d t o the p u b l i c l a s t week a t a y i e l d of It.57 per c e n t . This- was the f i r s t o f f e r i n g of t h i s type since l a t e J u l y , when the y i e l d was Ii7 b a s i s p o i n t s lower. Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s increased sharply l a s t week. Standard and Poor's index of 500 stocks increased 2 p e r c e n t , c l o s i n g a t 51.39 on October 10. The volume of t r a d i n g continues to be very heavy, again averaging 3.8 million shares a day. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market i s presented in t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS H.lii Exhibit b Tables Tor E x h i b i t A High-grade Bond Yieldo Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / 3.42 2.05 4.l4 it. 13 3.55 3.19 2.45 3.76 3.83 3.07 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t u and local govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 1953 1951* 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low Sept. 12 Sept. 19 S e p t . 26 Oct. 3 Oct. 10 2/ (6/19) (1/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) 4.07 4.10 4.11 1.13 4.13 (6/5). (8/6) (10/16) (10/3) (4/25) 2.73 ( 6 / 2 5 ) 1.90 ( 9 / 2 ) 3.45 ( 8 / 2 9 ) 3.31(9/11) 2.64 ( 5 / 1 ) 3.31 - 3.28 3.24 3.25 3.25 3.75 3.76 3.74 3.83 3.72 .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 .83 .30 .47 .62 .34 .32 .34 • 37 .30 .41 .44 .48 .50 .58 .47 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate tiaa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Ha a y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per c e n t ) 1953 1554 1957 1958 - High —.Low - High - High Low Sept. 12 Sent. 19 Sept. 26 Oct. 3 Oct. 10 g / 3.89 3.44 5.10 4.96 4.51 4.86 4.88 4.90 4.92 4.94 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 ( 8 / 5 ) 4 . 5 1 (8/29) 4.34 (9/11) 3.64(5/1) 4.34 4.32 4.29 4.2° 4.10 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .98 .79 .78 .79 .79 .81 1.03 1.04 1.05 i.o4 1.05 2 / Preliminary. 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y fip-ures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly avera.ro of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s i n c l u d e s bonds due or c a l l a b l e i n 10 y e a r s or more. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s bonds a r e i n c l u d e d ; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r different series. STOCK MARKET Exhibit D Table f o r E x h i b i t C Stock Market Date Stock p r i c e index 1 / Common Trading stock volume 2/ yields V (millions of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market customer credit Bank Customers' T o t a l d e b i t b a l - loans to ances 1*/ "others" 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Xow 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.51* (1/2) 22.95 ( 9 / 1 8 ) 35.98 (12/31) 21.93 2*5.89 ( 1 2 / 9 ) 35.28 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 ( 7 / 1 2 ) 39.1*8 (12/20) 51.39 (10/10) 10.37 (1/10) August September S e p t . 26 Oct. 3 Oct. 10 p / 1*7.70 1*8.85 1*9.66 50.37 51.39 1*9.61* 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* 3.8 1.7 5.38 6.25 1*.32 5.82 1*. 08 1*.1*1 3.82 l*.3i* 3.91 1*.72 3.% 1*.58 2,1*55 2,0 55 3,1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* 1*,031 3,576 1*,252 3,551* 3.0 3.h 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.78 3.69 3.63 3.57 3.50 1*,202 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 3,021 2,1*87 3,016 n.a. n.a. 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 • 1,163 1,051* 1,317 1,051 1,186 1,199 r/1,199 1,176 n.a. n.a.—Not available. jo/ P r e l i m i n a i y . ^/Revised. 1 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 19l*l-l*3"10. Monthly d a t a a r e averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of F r i d a y s ' only. Highs and lows a r e f o r F r i d a y ' s data o n l y . 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e Now York Stock Exchange. 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday d a t a conv e r t e d t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by F e d e r a l Reserve. Yields shown a r e f o r d a t e s on which p r i c e index reached i t s high o r low, l j / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a n y margin a c c o u n t s ; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . j>/ Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes l o a n s f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 70 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. ' Exhibit E H.1U Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1958 New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l 2 / 1 1956 1 1956 1958 1957 1 1957 January February March i , | y April May June l,l4l 600 881 2/1,101 e/500 e/1,100 e/550 1,090 789 1,076 1,08^ 1,088 3,445 3,149 2,899 2,954 6,591 JulyAugust September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three q u a r t e r s Year 3,135 2,622 e/2,701 5,757 e/8,U58 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 812 953 511 742 572 506 404 696 390 1,453 818 1,146 841 i n 551 765 546 393 378 490 735 1,003 92k 973 1,063 654 - 838 803 403 2/645 529 584 431 408 206 357 e/650 698 633 698 639 347 409 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,276 2,2.44 ^1,851 1,820 1,70k 1,544 2,029 1,490 1,603 971 1,395 4,907 ' 7,463 10.384 4,520 2/6,371 3,524 5,069 7,099 3,093 4,064 5,459 % 12,447 . . Excluding finance companies 5/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,894 2,583 e/2,651 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 1,647 2,541 2,246 2,826 11,518 9,260 e / Estimated. ^ Preliminary7 E/ 1 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2 / Data through June 1956 a r e Bond Buyer data c l a s s i f i e d as new c a p i t a l by Federal Reserve; l a t e r data a r e from the Investment Bankers Association of America and a r e somewhat more complete as t o coverage than the e a r l i e r data, - -.particularly f o r Federal Government loans. 3 / Includes #718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 4 / Includes #571.5 million AT&T common stock i s s u e . 1 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. H.Ik Exhioit F Other Security Offerings 1 / ( I n millions of d o l l a r s ) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 195b 1957 1 1956 195b 1 1957 1 72 __ 523 125 60 196 53 8k k9 30 April May June 139 198 120 123 k8 k2 9 28 7 30 — 215 k 60 1 kk 5 . 21 100 507 300 572 July ' August September October November December Year 37 8 50 ' — 95 — 2 39 161 233 k6 0 273 3# k55 lk7 April May June 357 35k 26k 205 337 153 289 S/h23 July August September October November December Year ~ 60 — 109 — Short-term State and l o c a l government U/ January February March 1956 1,163 251 January February March 169 Federal ap;ency 3/ 196 . 357 2k9 371 208 lkk 6# k30 505 380 220 283 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 k69 501 323 31k . 260 272 272 252 195 207 179 601 206 22k 370 512 303 9k 159 29k 328 lk8 1,238 255 116 k07 222 128 3,27k 2,706 5,5k3 3,k57 . . - 222 k25 273 e / Estimated. jd/ Preliminary. 1 / Data presented i n t h i s exhibit d i f f e r from those In Exhibit E in that refunding i s s u e s , as well as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s a r e defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s offered in the United States by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l organizations. Source: Se c u ri t i es and Exchange Commission. 2 J Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. h / Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority notes. Xn some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. H.lli Exhibit G Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) \ J Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of -dollars) Corporate Month 1957 - August September October November December 1958 - JanuaryFebruary March April May S t a t e and l o c a l government 266 133 393 • 3UU koh I4IO 553 182 300 #5 195 275 109 288 526 \ 537 51 h 120 399 318 605 1,093 725 3# . 281 -771 209 825 July August September Other 2/ 2 hi l$h 1,357 266 653 161* 86 ill 18 Large Individual Issues Offered October 1 through 10 Issuer American Cement Corp. Public Service Co. of Ind. Type 3/ Coupon Amount Offering (millions Maturity net i n t e r - yield of e s t cost dollars) S.J?', deb. Ffd. s t k . 20.0 2h.3 G.O. liev. -Ut. 23.7 12.0 Rating 5.16 1978 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Boston, Massachusetts Venice, I l l i n o i s None OTHER 1959-78 1988 3.80 n.a. 2.20-3.85 5.00 A — H.lli G-2 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. 2 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Eev.-Q«Ut., revenue bondis secured only by revenue of qua s i u t i l i t i e s 5 Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. n.ii* Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings l o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During i.ionth following date shown S t a t e and Other 2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 1957 - Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 311958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 2-9 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 578 576 -1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 3# 266 768 161 785 113 183 " 33U 339 363 31*5 370 13U #8 193 177 225 55 . 2lil 295 Subsequent t o date shown S t ate and Other 2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. 30 30 18. 150 110 150 36 — 8U5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 381 91U 216 379 551 5U3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 2# 125 1*35 521* 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 10 Issuer Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) • CORPORATE Idaho Power Co. Peoples Gas Light and Coke Co. 1 s t mt.g. bdc. Cap. s t k . Cincinnati-Suburban Bell T e l . Co. ^Florida Power &. Light Co. ^ I n t e r n a t i o n a l Harvester Credit Corp. tfGlidden Co. Pupet Sound Power 4 Light Co. J. I . Case Co. Columbia Gas System, Inc. Indiana & Michigan Hilectric Co. Consumers Power Co. Montana Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Martin Co. Deb. Common s t k . Deb. S.F. deb. Deb. Conv. deb. Deb. 1 1 s t nitg. bds. | - Pfd. s t k . >.b 1 s t rntg-. b d s . bds. 4 common S.F. deb. 15.0 18.3 25.0 20.0 50.0 30.0 15.0 • 20.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 20.0 1*5.0 25.0 ] STATE; AND LOCAL OOVKRMMKNT Metro. Wtr-. D i s t . of So. California State of Si'uth Carolina Oct. 15 Oct. 20 ( r i g h t s expire) Oct. 22 Oct. 29 Oct. 30 Oct. 30 Oct. 30 Oct. 30 (right.s expire) Nov. 6 Nov. 7 1958 1958 1958 1958 Rev.-lit. G.O. 18.0 13.0 Oct. l h Oct. 15 ti.llt H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 10 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) *Cook County, 111. Oakland, C a l i f o r n i a City and Co. of San F r a n c i s c o , C a l i f Denver, Colorado Los Angelas Dept. of Wtr. Pwr., Calif. *St. Louis, Mo. New York Sta te Power Auth. F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Detroit-Metro. Expressway Chesapeake Bay Ferry Comm. S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. 25.0 10.0 26.U 12.8 10.0 10.8 200.0 12.5 35.0 lUt.O 50.0 Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Nov. Nov. Dec. Bds. Bds. Deb. 25.0 16.7 28.0 Oct. 2k Oct. Oct. 21 22 27 29 29 29 15 3 OTHER -^Commonwealth of A u s t r a l i a -^-Republic of Panama -^Montreal, Canada *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 million and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of #10 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than sale of i s s u e : None. H.lU Exhibit I Y i e l d s on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 - 1957 High . Low 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/514) 1958 - January February March h 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 ; 'fering yields Aa-ratcd o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned y i e l d s seasoned y i e l d s Actual (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) " 3 T Oct. 7 87 -3 *3.60 3.892/ -8 22 ii.15 Loo U.00 UU 5o 26 26 U.05 3.98 U.00 31 23 25 L.22 3.75 3.90 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 17 3.95 3 a . 00 25 3.82 . 4,57_ ! 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51) 3.96^/ U.07 li.25 123 -15 3 9 6 U.07 -7 3.98 5 I4.OU U.00 11 3 1.07 U.35 h 32 h.00 3.95 -1 -6 3.98^/ 1 1.352/ 31 *•—Single o b s e r v a t i o n , n o t an average. 3 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as r e p o r t e d i n Moody1a Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s d u r i n g t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and o f t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s o f s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same d a y . Average m a t u r i t y f o r t h e seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2 / Provides f o r a 5 - y e a r p e r i o d d u r i n g which i s s u e may n o t be c a l l e d f o r r e f u n d i n g a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked i n c l u d e one o r m o r e i s s u e s w i t h such a p r o v i s i o n . Other I s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n .