Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 7, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU November 7, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s was mode r a t e during t h e week ending November 2. Two corporate o f f e r i n g s t o t a l i n g $li3 m i l l i o n , one S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g f o r $7 m i l l i o n and a $35 m i l l i o n Canadian i s s u e were f l o a t e d l a s t week. The calendar f o r t h i s e l e c t i o n - s h o r t e n e d week i n d i c a t e s a small volume of underwritten i s s u e s , but includes e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s f o r t h e $573 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e . Another corporate issue f o r %k$ m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r ings amounting to $2ii m i l l i o n a r e scheduled f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Bond y i e l d s continued t o move upward l a s t week. Yields on a l l types of outstanding bonds e s t a b l i s h e d new highs f o r the y e a r with S t a t e and l o c a l government y i e l d s passing t h e i r 1953 peaks f o r the f i r s t time. Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stock p r i c e s increased 3.0 p o i n t s l a s t week, c l o s i n g a t 278.0 on November 2. The volume of t r a d i n g picked up, averaging 2 . 1 m i l l i o n shares a day. Stock p r i c e s increased on Monday, but l o s t . m o s t of t h i s gain on the day a f t e r e l e c t i o n s . Trading volume increased f u r t h e r ; a c t i v i t y i n r e c e n t days has been t h e h i g h e s t s i n c e June. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly Per' cent per annum 1953 1954 u. s, Corporate Aaa 1/ 1955 long-term 2/ Old s e r i e s New series 1956 Spread between State and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. (old series) and CorporatelState and Aaa 3/ Aaa 1local Aaa (Per cent) 1956 - High Low 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3-65 3.07 October 5 October 12 October 19 October 26 November 2 3.58 3.57 3.57 3.61 3.65 1953 - High - 195k - High 1955 - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) (11/2) (3/2) 3.15 2.78 2.71, 2.UU 2.9U 2.62 3.26 2.80 3.lit 3.16 3.16 3.22 3.26 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) (11/2) (2/17) n.a. 3.03 2.89 3.29 2.92 3.21 3.21 3.22 3.27 3.29 (8/5) (6/10) (11/2) (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.31 2.05 2.7U 2.17 2.61 2.63 2.68 2.72 2.7U (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (11/1) (2/23) .38 .19 .1*3 .32 • 3l* .13 .1*1* .13 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 . .51* .68 •1*5 .a .la .1*1 .39 • 39 .53 .53 .1*8 .50 .52 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures" The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable a f t e r 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter;, the average tern to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from ll* years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/1* per cent bond of 1978-833 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for-different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum V ! Corporate Baa 1 / Date State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.71 3«a 3.63 3.U5 U.20 3.58 October 5 October 12 October 19 October 26 November 2 U.16 18 h-20 k.lk h.16 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1U) (11/2) (3/9) 3.79 2.9.6 3-32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.82 3.20 3.58 3.62 3.71 3.77 3.82 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (11/1) (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.71 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (11/2) . (2/2U) r - 3.U9 3.52 3.56 3.6U 3.71 1/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation, bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Bate Stock price index 1 / Trading Conmon volume 2j (millions y i e l d s J / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers1 debit bal- loans t o ances V "others" 5 / Total (Millions of dollars) 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 lWt.0 221.lt 156.5 270.7 217.1i , 295.5 257.U September October October 19 October 26 November 2 278.2 275.7 271;. 8 275.0 " 278.0 1953 - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/lit) (8/3) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3-7 1.1* li.6. 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.1 2,hhS 1,665 l,3Ht 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7UO 780 66U l,0lt8 7lt6 l,2Ul 1,018 1,267 1,167 lt.2lt It. 23 3,950 2,782 n.a. 1,16C n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.75 5.15 . 5.33 It. 20 It.22 3.78 lt.2lt 3.86 2,0 55 3, It 36 2,lt05 It,030 3,537 lt,0lt7 3,950 1,177 1,171 n.a.—Not available. 1 / SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939*1003 converted t o 19H7-1i9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s . 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/Moody's 200 common stocksj end of month f i g u r e s . jj/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which cariy margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. i y Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. • Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . n.ih Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) . Corporate New c a p i t a l S t a t e and l o c a l 1955 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 1 s t half 3rd quarter Three quarters Lth quarter Year e/1,120 e/1,200 1,2*90 1,603 3,093 e/2,670 e/7,533 1,372 2,331* 3,706 _/925 e/%,018 6j%9 Excluding finance companies 2 / 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year 1,727 e/2,L70 1,927 1,911 1,792 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 2/ Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. ' Note.--Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. « H.1U Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1955 - October . November December 1956 - January February March . April May June - July August September October State and l o c a l government Other 2/ 716 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 623 185 592 25 50 1*01 fd 227 192 Wj. 163 157 233 to l6h 35 37 383 35 50 20 18U 386 . Large Individual Issues Offered October 1 through November 2 Issuer Type J / Amount Coupon Offering Rating (millions Maturity r a t e or net i n t e r yield of dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE United A i r c r a f t Corp. Conv.pfd.stk. Allegheny Ludlum' S t e e l Corp. Conv. deb. Columbia Gas System, Inc. Deb. Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Co. Deb. Pacific. Finance Corp. Deb. Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Pfd. s t k . Long Island Lighting Co. Conv.pfd. stk. Georgia P a c i f i c Corp. Common s t k . Commonwealth Edison Co. Pfd. s t k . Johns-Manville Corp. Common s t k . Consolidated Edison Co. 1st & r e f . mtg. bds. National S t e e l Corp. 1 s t mtg. bds. Ohio -Power Company 1st mtg.bds. Allied Stores Corp. S.F. deb. 31.8 16.3 25.0 1981 1981 k h 3A Loo . h*70 Baa A 60.0 15.0 15.0 18.0 15.9 10.0 25.9 1983 1971 It h 5/8 3.90 U.75 Aaa 1*0.0 55.0 28.0 15.0 1986 1986 1986 1976 hl/h 3 7/8 hl/h h3/h U.13 3.90 it. 20 a . 75 Aa Aa Aa A —— • H.lk E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l Issues Offered October 1 through November 2 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount O f f e r i n g Rating (millions Maturity r a t e or net i n t e r yield of est cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT D e t r o i t , Michigan S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a B u f f a l o , New York S t a t e of South Carolina San Bernardino Co., Cal. T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii Baltimore Co., Md. Washington Co., Md. Hagerstown, Md. C h a r l o t t e , N. C. S t a t e of Massachusetts Ft. Pierce, Florida G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Hwy. r e v . G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Elec. & water rev. St. Louis School D i s t r i c t , Missouri. G.O. New Jersey Highway Auth.. Rev. F l i n t , Michigan G.O. P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pa. G.O. Boston, Massachusetts G.O. T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii G.O. S t a t e of Maryland G.O. Orlando, U t i l i t y Elec. & Commission, F l a . water r e v . S a l t River P r o j e c t & A g r i c u l t u r a l Improvement & Pwr. D i s t . , A riz . G.R. S t a t e of Ohio Rev. Cook Co. High School G.O. D i s t . #212, 111. Purdue U n i v e r s i t y , Ind. Rev. D a l l a s , Texas Airport rev. 12.3 1957-81 35.0 1958-77 11.U 1957-71 15.0 1957-76 6.0 1957-76 12.5 - 1958-86 21.0 1959-96 8.0 1957-81 5.8 1957-81 5.2 1958-95 57.6 1957-96 5.1 1959-88 1958-76 5.5 1988 25.0 1958-86 5,U 58.8 1958-87 5 . 8 " 1957-76 12.0 1959-76 8.7 1959-71 3.09 2.80 2.35 2.64 2.80 3.8U 3.15 2.98 2.99 2.99 2.93 2.20-3.20 2.15-2.85 ' 1.90-2.10 2.00-2.65 2.10-2.85 2.70-3.80. / 2.50-3.25^ 2.10-3.00 2.10-3.00 2.30-3.W 1.90-2.95 A . Aa Aaa Aa Aa A A Aa Aa A Aa It. 36 3.20-ii.20 Baa 2.69 2.00-2.75 U.38 U.53 3.13 . 2.15-3.20 2.60 1.90-2.70 3.63 2.25-3.20 2.10-2.50 2.53 2.60-3.75 3.75 Aa A A : A Aaa Aa 7.5 1957-77 < k.09 3.10-U.00 Aa 10.0 25.0 1960-87 1957-72 2.9k 2.90 2.20-3.00 ;2.00-3.00 A Aa 5.0 12.h 6.5 1957-76 1959-96 1957-81 1.00 U.17 h.Sk Baa 2.75-3.90 n.a. n.a. 3.00-U.U0 . Baa 35.0 1981 M A OTHER Quebec Hydro-Elec. Comm. Deb. U.32 . A n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 2 / Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over3 S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes gene r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. . h/ 1986-96 m a t u r i t i e s not r e o f f e r e d . • H.ll* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s During month following date shown State and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 1*37 2U7 369 315 683 1955 - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 -May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 359 162 50 37 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. 10.2 . 230 85 ~ 376 233 1,013 818 1*1*8 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 91*1 690 726 958 1,197 955 , __ 50 37 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November 2 Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of dollars) CORPORATE American Tel. & Tel. Co. Common s t k . 572.6 Northspan Uranium Mines, Ltd. •Public Service E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. S i n c l a i r Oil Corp. Gen. mtg. bds. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. 170.6 Seaboard Finance Co. J . P. Stevens & Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern New England Telephone Co. P a c i f i c Lighting Corp. S.F. notes S.F. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Common s t k . Conv. p f d . 15.0 28.7 25.0 20.1* 20.0 Elec. rev. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. • 13.5 5.3 5.0 5.0 12.5 1*5.0 5o.o November £ ( r i g h t s expire) November 8 November 15 December 3 ( r i g h t s expire) Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter STATE AND-LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles,Calif. Trenton, New Jersey San Antonio, Texas Chicago, 111. Newark, New Jersey November November November November November 8 8 8 13 13 H.llt F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November 2 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Chicago Bd. of Education,. 111. Cleveland, Ohio S t a t e of Oregon ^Houston, Texas Long Beach, C a l i f . F l o r i d a S t a t e Bd. of Education S t a t e of Connecticut Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center A u t h . , F l a . New York S t a t e Thruway Authority J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway A u t h o r i t y F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Memphis, Tennessee Oklahoma Turnpike Authority ^ # . 10.0 10.0 5.7 20.0 5.0 9.3 75.0 62.0 227.0 20.0 50.0 U2.0 185.0 135.0 65.0 . G.O. water r e v . G.O. G.O. G.O. \ G.O. Expressway r e v . Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Elec. r e v . Rev. November November November November November November November Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter lit lU lU lU 20 27 OTHER None — *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 million and o v e r j S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Note.—Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : H a r r i s County, Texas, $6.0 m i l l i o n issue—reduced t o l e s s than $5 m i l l i o n . 1 i IJ . ! # H.1U Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 1953 1954 1955 average average average average 1956 - January February March 8 16 23 30 April U h 11 \ 25 May 9 16 2h June 8 20 1 July 3 18 25 August 1 30 September 11 13 25 October 10 31 A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis p o i n t s ) (basis points) 3.16 3.L6 3.03 3.23 • 13 16 3 9 None *3.15 3.19 3 5 3.37 .18 3.77 . hO 3.53 3.52 19 18 3.62 3.70 26 33 a . 07 4.20 it. 17 a.oi 52 62 58 37 4.20 - . h 8 3.35 3.78 3.12 - 3.33 None. 3.23 12 26 -3 12 -5 . 3.35 7 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.67 25 23 26 . 29 3.80 3.73 32 2k 3.75 3.82 27 28 Loo U3 h.hO 63 • *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average m a t u r i t y f o r t h e seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s .