Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 3, 1955
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I , till Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lii November 3* 1955 CAPITAL iiARXET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s o f f e r e d p u b l i c l y f o r new c a p i t a l during the week ending October 28 t o t a l e d $U6 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments and 58 m i l l i o n f o r c o r p o r a t i o n s . This week, S t a t e and l o c a l governments expect t o f l o a t 109 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e i s s u e s ; no l a r g e corporate o f f e r i n g s a r e scheduled. The hl$ m i l l i o n d o l l a r I l l i n o i s S t a t e T o l l Highway i s s u e , which was o f f e r e d on October 25 was w e l l r e c e i v e d by i n v e s t o r s , t h e e n t i r e i s s u e having been sold by t h e following day. An o f f e r i n g of 122 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of bonds i s s u e d by the Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s , f l o a t e d t h e day a f t e r the turnpike o f f e r i n g , was l e s s f a v o r a b l y r e ceived; only about one-half of t h e i s s u e was s o l d the f i r s t day and a s u b s t a n t i a l amount remains i n the syndicate account. This ^cont r i b u t e d t o t h e r e p o r t e d r i s e i n d e a l e r s 1 i n v e n t o r i e s l a s t week, which a r e now g r e a t e r than a t any p o i n t s i n c e e a r l y J u l y . Expected November volume - The estimated volume of new c a p i t a l f o r both corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s i n November i s s u b s t a n t i a l , although w e l l helot? the very l a r g e October t o t a l s . Corporate i s s u e s a r e expected t o t o t a l 550 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , almost twice t h e volume of l a s t November's unusually low t o t a l . The estimate f o r S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s i s a l s o 550 million d o l l a r s , 30 per cent above the corresponding monthly t o t a l i n 195b. Bond y i e l d changes mixed - Treasury o b l i g a t i o n y i e l d s decreased s l i g h t l y during the week ending October 28, while h i g h grade corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l government y i e l d s were s t a b l e . Yields on S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa bonds r o s e t h r e e b a s i s p o i n t s . Corporate Baa and S t a t e and l o c a l government revenue bond y i e l d s decreased moderately. The y i e l d on an A- r a t e d 30-year f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c power bond o f f e r e d on October 27 was f o u r b a s i s p o i n t s lower than y i e l d s on outstanding bonds of somewhat s h o r t e r m a t u r i t y . This spread i s near t h a t of a s i m i l a r i s s u e o f f e r e d the preceding week and s u b s t a n t i a l l y changed from mid-September when t h e y i e l d of a newly-offered i s s u e was 23 b a s i s p o i n t s above seasoned y i e l d s . # ) —2— Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stocks decreased s l i g h t l y t o 25)1.6 during the week ending October 28. P r i c e s "were r e l a t i v e l y s t a b l e d u r i n g the f i r s t t h r e e days of t h i s week i n I O V T t r a d i n g volume. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments vd.ll be found i n t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Business. Finance and C a p i t a l Markets Section , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the F e d e r a l Reserve System, H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a a U. 5. GOVERNMENT STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a Corporate Aaa y U. S. Govt. long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. (icnrfc. and State and local Corporate State and govt., Aaa 2 / Aaa local Aaa (Per cent) 1 # 2 - High Low 1 9 # - High Lor 1951* - High Low 1 9 # - High Low 3.03 2.91 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.11* 2.91 September 30 October 7 October lit October 21 October 28 3.12 3.12 3.11 3.10 3.10 (1A) (2A5) (6/19) (1/9) (V8) (1/23) (9/9) (1/7) 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.a 2.91* 2.62 2.86 2.83 2.81 2.82 2.81 (12/27) (5A7) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.27 2.27 2.25 2.21* 2.21* (10/23) (5/D (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) .37 .19 .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .13 1.02 .71 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .26 .29 .30 .28 .29 .59 .56 .56 .58 .57 3/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds Included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Weekly average <tf daily f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s 11-21* years. 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are Included; average term. I s 20 years. Note.—Highs and loirs are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT 6 L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS •Weekly Per. cent p e r a n n u m • i U t / \ m j s 1952 d m j s 1953 d Corporate Baa y 3.5 STATE m j s 1954 d State and local govt. Baa V m J S 1955 D State and local govt. rev, y (Per cent) 1552 - High Low 1953 - Higi Low 195b - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.63 3Ji8 3.89 3.50 3.71* 3M 3.59 3Ut5 September 30 October 7 October lU October 21 October 28 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.1s OA) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (10/21) (VIh) 2.98 (10/23) Z M (V17) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96(1/8) 1-25 (9/22) 3.02 (1/6) 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.95 2.76 3.23 3.23 3.22 3.20 3.23 2.90 2.90 2.89 2.89 2.87 is ® y Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bends included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 2 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bonds included ia between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f a r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Date Stock p r i c e index 3 / aarket custcBar c r e d i t Customers' d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances Bf "others" jy volume 2 / (millions y i e l d s V of shares) (Per cent) (Millions of d o l l a r s ) 1952 - High Low . 1953 - High Low 1954 - Hi& Low 1955 - High Low 165.3 151.7 167.1 ll*l*.0 221.lt 156.5 269.7 217.lt September 263.6 250.1* 21*5.9 252.8 251.6 October lit October 21 October 28 (12/26) (10/26) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (9/23) (1/Ht) 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 . 1J* lt.6 1.5 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 It .20 lt.22 3.78 1,986 1,80U 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 3,966 3,537 1,332 l,2ltl 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2.9 2.0 2J* 1.7 1.8 3.93 3,966 2,805 1,161 n.a. 1,159 1,150 n.a. n.a.- n.a. 656 552 780 661t l,0lt8 71*6 1,177 1,018 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / SEC index of 260 conmcn s t o c k s , weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939-100; converted t o 1957-1*9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversim f a c t o r i s 123.91. 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 5 f Moody's 200 conmcn s t o c k s ; end cf month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes a l l loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Covernnents f o r 1952; since' 1953 cnly t h e s e . l o a n s a t banks in New York and Chicago a r e excluded. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans t o o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and loirs are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. H.lU Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements ( i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 January February March Corporate 195U 1 666 532 312 538 b26 h9h h97 779 675 1,123 h21 531 639 e/750 909 183 • 325 753 k70 October November December 635 656 8ii2 % 1,003 • 290 2,21,3 2,094 e/1,920 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,1+90 35° 6hl e/235 ^390 577 ih •60k . 1955 136 1,261 903 697 July August . September New c a p i t a l 1953 :S She April May June 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r ljth q u a r t e r Year 1 . 2 j 1,912 2,578 E" a/900 S/550 1,385 1,1(18 5/1,095 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 195k 1 396 Ss 1953 390 360 L26 329 61i9 853 h3h 279 261 519 259 ^75 6U9 877 1,372 2,33lt 1,188 1,89k 6,789 . 771 1,176 1,U12 as 5,477 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r kth quarter Year 1,791 1,912 e/l,Wi5 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 - 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3a 7,227 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes 637,2 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 2f Includes 602„5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 3 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.14 1 Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r N o t C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) 1 / * Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1954 - October November December 1955 - J a n u a r y February March April May' June July August September October I S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2 / . 388 268 689 341 107 337 2# 152 403 278 65 234 716 433 ,0 121 141 63 750 173 483 175 101 405 328 805 30 35 15 — — A Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d during October Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity net i n t e r of yield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Public Service E l e c t r i c and Gas American T e l . & T e l . Southern B e l l T e l . & T e l . Burlington Industries N.Y. S t a t e E l e c t r i c & Gas P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Long I s l a n d L i g h t i n g Southern Mew England Tel. & Tel. Deb. 35.0 Conv. d e b . 637.2 . Deb. 30.0 Sub. conv. deb. 30.0 1st mtg, bds. 15.0 Pfd. stk. 25.0 1st mtg. b d s . 15.0 Com* s t k 17.9 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.R. 4o.o 8.6 7.0 5o.o 1/2 7/8 1/4 1/4 3/8 1975 1967 1995 1975 1985 3 3 3 4 3 1985 3 3/8 3.35^ 3 7/8 3.20 4.25 3.25 A Aa Aaa Ba A 3.30 A STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT Cook County, I l l i n o i s S t a t e of Tennessee I Monterey C o . , C a l i f . N.Y. S t a t e Thruway Auth. ' 1956-75 1966-67 1957-95 1985-95 2.54 2.19 2.70 2.52 2.25-2.45 2.10 1.60-2.95 2.35-2.50 A' A A Aaa H.lLt E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d d u r i n g October ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type 2 / Coupon Amount Offering (millions r a t e or M a t u r i t y yield of net i n t e r dollars) est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GGVERM 5ENT (Cont'd) Orleans P a r i s h , La* Philadelphia, Pa. J e r s e y C i t y Sewerage Auth. Corning, New York I l l i n o i s Turnpike Auth. P u b l i c Housing A u t h s . C l e v e l a n d , Ohio G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev, Rev. 6.0 •1961-9? 1957-81 39.9 13.0 1959-93' 5 . 1 " 1956-04. 415.0 1995 122.3 1957-96 1960-83 9.0 .2.80 2.58 3.35 2.27 3.83 2.40 2.57 2.15-2.85 1.80-2.65 2.35-3.35 1.45-2.35 3o75 1.50-2.50 2.00-3.42 A A < Baa Aa — Aaa A OTHER None over5 S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 5 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; R e v . , revenue bonds; G . R . , g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y s e c u r e d by ' f a c i l i t i e s r e v e n u e s ; a n d , L . L , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s s e c u r e d by p l e d g e of designated revenues. HOlt Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s During month f o l l o w i n g date shown Corporate Date of computation 195U - Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1955 - J a n . 31 • Feb. 28 Mar. 3 1 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 1 15 94 18b 16 710 211 425 160 67 1*07 222. 805 202 1*3 o "661 567 682 52li 208 116 339 3UU 100 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Other Corporate local govt. 30 l81t 813 330 135 , 2U6 216 122 1,395 922 1,110. 850 830 1,135 920 909 1112 1,957 2,6% 2,1a 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,815 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 30 30 35 — — — — ' — / — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 28 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) - CORPORATE United Gas New England Telephone & Telegraph National Tea Company Michigan Consolidated Gas Commonwealth Edison Southern Co. ^Wheeling S t e e l ^Pacific lighting -^-Consolidated Edison Co. of New York New J e r s e y B e l l Telephone -KRadio Corporation of America -MSheraton Corporation 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. Deb. 1 s t n t g ; bds Common stock Common stock Deb. P f d . stock 1st & r e f . bds. Deb. Deb. Deb. 20.0 30.0 15.0 30.0 41.6 26,It 19.1 20.0 70.0 25.0 100.0 . 15.0 November November November November November November November November December December December 1956 10.6 60.0 7.5 10.0 November November November November 9 15 15 16 16 22 6 lit STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii Port of New Orleans, Louisiana Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. 1 2 2 3 H.lh F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of October 28 ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LCCAL GOVERNMENT ( C o n t ' d ) Hamilton-County, Ohio W e s t Palm Beach, F l o r i d a * S t a t e of Oklahoma D a l l a s , Texas S t , Louis Bd. of E d u c a t i o n , M i s s o u r i •^Maryland S t a t e Roads Coranission Commonwealth of M a s s a c h u s e t t s ^Sonoma Co. Flood C o n t r o l and Water Conservation D i s t . , C a l i f . •^Georgia R u r a l Roads A u t h o r i t y Onondaga Co. Water A u t h o r i t y , N. Y. Los A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a S t a t e of Colorado ; C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority C o n n e c t i c u t Expressway I n t e r "American- Center A u t h . , F l a . Texas Turnpike Company Llichigan Turnpike A u t h o r i t y C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge A u t h o r i t y L o u i s i a n a Turnpike Commission Oklahoma Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. * P o r t of New York A u t h o r i t y G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. . n.a* n.a. n.a. 6.7 lit .3 9.0 10.0 6.5 15.0 159 c9 November November November November November November November 3 3 9 10 15 15 16 n.a. n«a. Rev. , n.a* n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. - Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev, Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 5.7 12.6 20.0 8.0 ij.6.0 100.0 25.0 137.0 186.0 23^.0 100.0 11:6.0 62.0 227.0 16.0 November November December December December December 19# 1955 1955 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1956 1956 17 22 6 ' 6 6 13 OTHER None n.a,—Not available• *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1/ I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s .of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over5 S t a t e . and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . •( Exhibit G Y i e l d s on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bends, Rated Aa and A 3 / Date Aa-rated offering yioldr A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per c e n t ) seasoned y i e l d s (per c e n t ) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points). (basis points) 195)2 average 3.16 13 3.35 12 1953 average 3.46 16 . 3.78 26 195>h average 3.03 3 3.12 -3 195b - J a n u a r y February March April May June July August September October November December 3.19 3.01 *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02 3.03 None None 6 -1 0 5 3 3 *3.35 *3.20 3.05 3.10 3.Hi 3.1b *3.13 3.11 *3.10 / 3.10 2 -1 -10 • -6 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 --- 3.11 0 19$$ - January . February. March April May *3.15 * 3 . lit *3.17 None *3.22 *3.20 None None *3.23 3.29 3.31 3.35 *3.30 None 9 lit 16 1b 10 3.57 3.50 30 23 July August 3 1 September l b 21 October 19 20 27 3.32 3.22 b l 13 7 8 10 7 — 10 7 3.25 3.30 — -7 .-b • * S i n g l e o b s e r v a t i o n , n o t an a v e r a g e . 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s r e p o r t e d i n Moody ! s Bond Survey. Except -where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e a n d ^ t h e amount above . seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s d u r i n g t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d arid of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on .seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. The number of new i s s u e s i n c l u d e d i n t h e monthly a v e r a g e s v a r i e s f r o m 2 t o it except f o r October 195b when 6 i s s u e s were i n c l u d e d . Average m a t u r i t y f o r t h e seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s .