Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 15, 1956
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.14 November 15, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings issued for new capital during the week ending November 9 totaled $617 million f o r corporations and $2U million f o r State and local governments. The corporate t o t a l includes the $572 million AT&T common stock issue, rights for which expired on November 5. This week, two corporate u t i l i t y issues t o t a l i n g $70 million and State and local government offerings for $66 million are scheduled f o r sale. One of the corporate issues expected this week was originally scheduled for sale in l a t e October, but was postponed u n t i l a f t e r the elections. Bond yields - Bond yields continued to move upward l a s t week for a l l categories of outstanding bonds, except f o r those on U. S. Government (new series) obligations, which remained stable. The increase was s l i g h t f o r yields on corporate and U. S. Governmen (old series) bonds, but i t was quite sharp for State and local government bonds. Offering yields on new corporate issues also continue to increase. A new Aa-rated 30-year f i r s t and refunding mortgage bond issue was reoffered this week a t a yield of it. 30—10 basis points above the l a s t comparable issue, an offering made on October 31. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, declined 2.3 points l a s t week, closing a t 275.7 on November 9. Daily figures through Wednesday of t h i s week indicate a substantial decline in prices on Wednesday a f t e r slight increases on Monday and Tuesday. • More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments i s presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a o \ u. S. GOVERNMENT: y / X / ^ " STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a D. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Date Corporate Aaa 1 / Old series New s e r i e s Spread between U. S. Govt, State and l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and CorporatelState and Aaa J / Aaa | l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.66 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (3/7) (11/9) (3/2) 3.15 2.78 2.7U 2.a 2.9U (6/6) n.a (12/26) n.a n.a ( 1/9) ... (8/7) (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 3.27 (11/9) 3.29 (11/9) 2.80 (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) iM I IS 3.27 3.21 3.22 3.27 .3.29 3.29 2.73 (6/25) .38 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) lU3 M i 2.79 (108) ill 2.17 (2/23) .13 2.63 2.68 .la 2.*7U 2.79 .bi .39 .39 .39 .29 J .1*5 £ .50 .52 1/ Weekly -average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included Is 25-26 years. 2 / Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable a f t e r 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable i n 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined f r e e 1U years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on different dates for different s e r i e s . L O W E R - G R A D E BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE M .1955 1953 Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa 2/ J 1956 S D State and local govt, rev. 3 / (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - Higi Low 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.71V (1/8) 3.1*L (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.1*5 (1/1h) 1*.21 (11/9) 3.58 (3/9) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 3.89.(11/8) 3.20 (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.80 2.89 October 12 October 19 October 26 November 2 November 9 1*.16 I*.l6 1*.18 U. 20 1*.21 3.62 3.71 3.77 3.82 3.89 3.52 3.56 3.61* 3.71 3.80 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 8® (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (11/9) (2/21*) 1/ Weekly average .of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average, terra i s 20 years. Note.--Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on different dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET y Stock price - Common, Trading volume 2/ (millions yields- J / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' debit b a l - loans to ances h / "others" S J Total (Millions of dollars) 1956 - High Low 167.1 1M+.0 221.1+ 156.5 270.7 217.1+ 295.5 257.li September October October 26 November 2 November 9 278.2 275.7 275.0 278.0 275.7 1953 - High Low | 195U - High Low 1955 - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/lU) (8/3) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1+ 1+.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 . 2.0 1.8 1-6 2.1 2.3 > 5.75 5.15 5.33 It. 20 1+. 22 3.78 1+.21+ 3.86 2,165 2,055 3,1+36 2,Uo5 1|,030 3,537 l+,0l+7 3,950. 1,665 ' 1 , 3 lit 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,71+0 780 66U 1,01+8 71+6 1,21+1 1,018 1,267 1,166 1+.2U 1+.23 3,950 2,782 n.a. n.a. , n.a. 1,168 1,166 1,171 1,166 . n.a. n.a.—Not available. V SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices* 1939-100; converted t o 1957-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . • U/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5 / Wednesday figures f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Hig^is and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. n/ H.lk Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March New c a p i t a l Corporate • State and l o c a l 1956 195U 1 1955 1 1 1955 1 5k7 U26 635 UoV 696 390 535 312 538 396 iai #5 178 886 687 il97 : 656 81+2 377 U90 735 1+27 350 6I4I 73U 7U8 #3 597 6 kk 670 909 335 7U7 579 70U 790 535 i;07 1,223 April May June 816 1 , 1 kk 830 July August September 1,066 669 836 October November" December e/800 e/l,200 B 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 1 s t half 3rd quarter Three quarters iith quarter Year 2,073 2,790 1,863 2,571 7 »k3k 195U . 376 199 e/350 170 2U9 279 261 koS 6h9 1,162 ^ 632 900 1,003 .290 60U e/635 .e/325 919 658 W8 59k U23 877 2,165 2,052 i|,217 1,911 6,128 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 3,603 1,991 5,591 1,896 7,k90 1,A|.90 1,603 3,093 e/925 e/E,018 1,385 l,iil8 2,803 1,12k 3,927 1,981 5,911 1,372 2,33k 3,706 1,188 k,8 9k 1,8 9k 6,789 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r 1+th quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,321 1,727 1,870 1,U3U 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 . 1,792 7,158. e / Estimated. ' ' 1 / Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 2/ Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due t o rounding. # Exhibit E H.lU Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate State and local government Other 2/ 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 6# 185 592 217 558 386 716 1*01 227 192 __ 1955 - October November December 1956 - January February March April May June July August September October 25 50 khh 163 157 233 163 16U 35 18U 383 50 20 37 35 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through November 9 Issuer . Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r - yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Allied Stores Corp. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Northspan Uranium Mines, Ltd.• S.F. deb. Common stk. 15.0 571.5 1976 h 3/h 1.75 A C-en. mtg. bds. L5.0 1963 5 3/h 5.93 — Elec. rev. G.O. G.O. 13.5 5.3 5.0 1957-86 1957-81 1957-76 3.36 2.99 3.57 2.25-3.35 2.10-3.00 2.1*0-3.60 STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, Calif. Trenton, New Jersey San Antonio,.Texas . OTHER None - Aa Aa A E-2 1 / Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15> million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. ~ • 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues. "$/. In the case of State, and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit F H.1U • Forthcoming large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation During month following date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 1*37 2U7 369 315 683 1 9 # - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 •.July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 359 162 50 Subsequent to date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt, , U12 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 m 37 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1,650 756 618 917 . 785 811 832 9Ul 690 726 958 1,197 955 50 37 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 9 Type Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Pacific Lighting Corp. Sinclair Oil Corp. Chase Manhattan Bank *Long Island Lighting Co. ^Public Service Electric & Gas -^Burroughs Corp. Seaboard Finance Co. J . P. Stevens & Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern New England Telephone Co. Amount (millions Approximate date 1 of dollars) of offering Ist'&ref. mtg.bds. Conv. pfd. Conv. sub. deb. 50.0 20.0 170.6 Cap. stk. 1|7.0 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. Deb. 20.0 33.0 " 30.2 S. F. notes S. F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 15.0 28.7 25.0 20.U November 15 November 16 December 3 (rights expire) December 3 (rights expire) December 5 December December (rights expire) Winter . Winter Winter Winter . H.lit " . F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 9 (Cont'd) Type ' Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Chicago, 111. Water rev. Newark, New JerseyG.O. Chicago Board of Education, 111. G.O. Cleveland, Ohio Water rev. State of Oregon G.O. Houston, Texas G.O. -xHempstead School Dist. No. 5, N. Y. G.O. •Long Beach, Calif. G.O. Florida State Board of Education G.O. ^Niagara F a l l s , New York G.O. State of Connecticut Expressway rev. Memphis, Tennessee Elec. rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Rev. • Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. New York State Thruway Authority G.O. m Jacksonville Expressway Authority Rev. • Florida State Turnpike Authority Rev. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Rev. 5.0 1-2.5 10.0 7.it 5.7 20.0 5.6 5.0 9.3 6.k 51*. 0 15U.0 62.0 227.0 20.0 50.0 1*2.0 185.0 65.0 November November November November November November November November November November November December Winter Winter Winter Winter ' Winter Winter Winter 13 13 Ik 111 Ik Ik 15 20 27 28 20 . OTHER None *—Included in table for f i r s t time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of &15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. S c f