Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 3, 1956
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J/7 Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H»1U . • May 3, 1 9 # CAPITAL MARKET' DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d s e c u r i t y i s s u e s was heavy during the week ending April 2 f . Three corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s with aggregate proceeds of $66 m i l l i o n , S t a t e and l o c a l bond i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $80 m i l l i o n and a $50 m i l l i o n f o r e i g n government debenture i s s u e were s o l d . The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c o f f e r • ings t h i s week, ending May U, i s expected to be somewhat l i g h t e r . Corporate i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $>60 m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l i s s u e s of 96I4 m i l l i o n are scheduled f o r s a l e . Divestors were considerably more r e c e p t i v e to l a s t week's new i s s u e s , o f f e r e d a t higher y i e l d s , than they had been to e a r l i e r o f f e r i n g s , and most new i s s u e s were quickly d i s t r i b u t e d . Bond y i e l d s - Yields on outstanding corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds increased f u r t h e r during t h e week ending A p r i l 2'/. U. S. Government bond y i e l d s declined somewhat. Yields on newly o f f e r e d i s s u e s also increased f u r t h e r . An Aa-rated 30-ysar f i r s t mortgage p u b l i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was r e o f f e r e d on April 25 a t a y i e l d of 3.77 per c e n t , UO b a s i s p o i n t s higher than t h e y i e l d on outstanding bonds of s i m i l a r term and q u a l i t y . In l a t e March a s i m i l a r new o f f e r i n g was p r i c e d to y i e l d 3.19 per c e n t , 18 b a s i s p o i n t s above t h e then p r e v a i l i n g y i e l d l e v e l of outstanding i s s u e s . Despite the small volume of f l o t a t i o n s , S t a t e and l o c a l government new i s s u e y i e l d s have a l s o r i s e n more r a p i d l y than y i e l d s on outstanding bonds, p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r the s h o r t e r m a t u r i t i e s . This i s i l l u s t r a t e d t y the t a b l e on t h e following page which compares y i e l d s on the Aa-rated S t a t e of Ohio highway i s s u e sold l a s t July and t h e one sold l a s t week, with the y i e l d s on outstanding bonds of comparable r a t i n g a t both d a t e s . H.1U -2— July 20, •1955 April 2St 1956 (Per cent) State of Ohio f l o t a t i o n s (limited tax revenue) Reoffering yields. 1-year maturity 5-year maturity 10-year maturity 15-year maturity ITet i n t e r e s t cost Yields on outstanding Aa-rated S t a t e and l o c a l issues (Moody's) 20-year 10-year 1.30 1.85 2 = 15 2.30 2.31 : ! Change (Basis p o i n t s ) 2.30 2.75 2.90 3.00 3*09 +100 +90 +75 +70 +78 2.69 2.U7 +31 +U3 Expected May volume - An estimated $1,050 million of corp o r a t e s e c u r i t y issues are expected to be offered during the month of May. This i s about one-third g r e a t e r than the volume in April and 16 per cent greater than in the corresponding period l a s t year. Large publicly o f f e r e d i s s u e s expected t o t a l $568 million, i n c l u d ing the $300 million General E l e c t r i c debenture i s s u e . S t a t e and l o c a l governments are expected to o f f e r $375 million of bonds during May, somewhat g r e a t e r than the volume sold in both A p r i l t h i s year and May 1955* No very large issues are expected. Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 stocks, increased 1.6 points during the week ending April 27, to close a t 286.2. Daily indexes indicated some decline i n prices on balance through Wednesday of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent market developments i s presented in t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE \ u. s. GOVERNMENT: A T V - / o i d s""5 '/ STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a J 2.00 long-term * / U. S. Date Corporate New s e r i e s Spread between •State and l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Corporate(State and Aaa 3 / | l o c a l Aaa " (Per cent) 1956 - High Low 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3-30 3-07 March -30 April 6 April 13 April 20 April 27 3-lit 3.16 3-21 3-27 3-30 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (it/27) (3/2) 3-15 2.78 2.71* 2.UU 2.9lt 2.62 3.08 2.80 (6/6) n.a. (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) (1/7) " 2.89 (6/10) (it/20) 3-13 (lt/20) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.51 2.17 2.96 3-03 3.06 3-08 3-07 3.01 3.07 3.09 3.13 3.11 2.33 2.38 2.38 2. it 3 2.51 .y average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (it/26) (2/23) .38 .19 • it3 .32 • 3it .13 .28 ' -13 .18 • 13 • 15 •19 .23 .81t" •30. .61 • 29 .70 • 5U .68 • 56 .63 •65 .68 .65 .56 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s i n c l u d e s f u l l y . t a x a b l e , marketable 2 1/2 p e r cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 y e a r s through September 1955, and those due or c a l l a b l e i n 10-12 y e a r s t h e r e a f t e r ; t h e average term to f i r s t c a l l of t h e bonds included declined from lU y e a r s i n e a r l y 1953 t o 11 1/2 y e a r s in e a r l y 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and t h e 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83«' 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . On general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Bo, 1953 1954 1955 1956 Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and. l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / 3.89(9/18) 3.50 ( 1 / 2 ) . 3;71 ( 1 / 8 ) 3.UU (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.U5 ( 1 / l U j 3.72 (U/27) 3.58 ( 3 / 9 ) 3-79 ( 6 / 2 5 ) 2.96 ( 1 / 8 ) 3.32 ( 1 / 7 ) ' 2.93 (8/5) 3.26(12/29) 3.02 ( 1 / 6 ) "3-UU (1/26) 3.20 ( 3 / 8 ) , 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 3.29 3.33 3.35 3.U0 3-UU 3.00 3.01 3.06 3.10 3.12 Date State and l o c a l govt, r s v . 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 -.High 1956 - High Low March April April April April 30 6 13 20 27 3.62 3.61 . 3*67 3.70 • 3.72 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (U/27) (2/21) 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds i n c l u d e d i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are i n c l u d e d ; average term i s 20 y e a r s . 3/ Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds i n c l u d e d i s between -aa and A; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Date Stock p r i c e Trading 1 'Common Stock market customer c r e d i t volume 2 / stock Customers' ( m i l l i o n s 1yields 3 / d e b i t b a l - loans to of s h a r e s ) [ ( p e r c e n t ) | ances k / " o t h e r s " 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 - High Low 167.1 1UU.0 221.li 156.5 270.7 217. It 290.8 257.k February March A p r i l 13 A p r i l 20 A p r i l 27 266.3 283-2 285.6 28b.6 286.2 1953 - H i g h 19514 - High 1955 - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/110 (U/6) (1/20) 2,1445 2,055 3,1436 2,1405 U,030 3,537 2.5 0.9 3-7 1.1* li. 6 1-5 3-1 2.0 5.75 5-15 5-33 It.20 U. 22 3.78 14,08 3-68 2.3 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.5 3.93 3.68 3,991 " 14,038 n.a. n.a. n.a. in . a . k,oko 3,991 1,665 1,3114 2,388 • 1,653 2,805 -2,517 2,786 2,710 .2,7140 2,786 n.a. n.a. 780 66U . l,0l»8.._ 7U6 1,2U1 1,018 1,267 1,219 1,251 1,252 r/l,2ii7 1,260 n.a. " n.a.—Not available. 1 / SEC i n d e x of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939=100; converted t o 19H7-lt9=100 by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . T h e - c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y - m a r g i n a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s - s e c u r e d by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g o r c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D H.lli Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January FebruaryMarch April May June ! Corporate 1955 1 New c a p i t a l 1954 1956 State and l o c a l 1 1?55 1 1954 487 708 e/875 546 436 1,261 547 426 6# 404 696 e/375 535 312 . 538 396 411 565 e/800 e/1,050 494 903 697 ' 497 656 842 • e/350 I/375 427 350 641 734 748 853 283 654 680 909 335 747 470 249 406 279 261 649 1,207^ 631 921 1,003 290 6o4 919 658 408 594 423 877 2,243 2,09k 1,917 2,760 9,01k 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,490 July August September " . October November December ^ 1 s t quarter P 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year e/2,070 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year e/1,670 e/l,li75 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 5,911 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 - Excluding finance companies 2 / 1,791 1,912 1,441 2,619 7,762 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture "issue. 2 / Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. I 1 H.lU : Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) S t a t e and l o c a l government Corporate Month 1955 - March April May June July August September October • November December 1956 - January February March 750 173 m 175 101 ko$ 328 805 221 263 95 . 212 278 , 337 238 152 103 278 65 2 3h 716 396 205 192 h33 163 Other £ / __ 15 . 25 50 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered April 2 through 27 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating JMaturity n e t i n t e r of yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Bank of America S c o t t Paper P l a n t a t i o n Pipe Line F l o r i d a Porer & Light Duquesne Light C a t e r p i l l a r Tractor Columbia Gas Southern C a l i f . Edison Wisconsin E l e c t r i c Power Westcoast Trans. Ltd. Natiomri.de Corporation Com. s t k . .56.0 Conv. deb. 98.7 SF deb. 25.0 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1 s t mtg. bds. - 20.0 Com. s t k . 3k.U Deb. ho.o 1st & r e f . mtg. bds. ko.o 1 s t mtg. bds. 30.0. Sub. deb. 20.5 Com. s t k . 15.2 1971 1986 1986 1986 3 3 1/2 3 5/8 3 1/2 1981 1981 1986 1981 3.00 3-50 3.57 3.U0 A A A Aaa 3 7/8 3.85 A 3 5/8 3 7/8 1. 3.68 3.77 U.00 Aa Aa Baa H.lt* E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered April 2 through 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Awount Offering (millions r a t e or Rating Maturity yield of net i n t e r e s t cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Escanaba, Michigan La. State Bldg. Auth. P h i l a . School D i s t . , Pa. State of Massachusetts D e t r o i t , Michigan Omaha Public Power D i s t . , Nebraska Oklahoma City School D i s t r i c t No. 89 Wichita, Kansas Oakland, California State of Ohio Hempstead, N.I .' Union Free School D i s t . No. 3 Columbus, Ohio Territory of Hawaii * Rev.L.L. G.O. G.O. G.O. 7.0 12.0 12.0 18.0 5-U 1959-8 7)^/ ' 3.89 1960-352.88 1958-81 2.37 1957-86 Var. 1957-81 3.00^3,80 2.90-3,00 2.00-3.10 1.80-2.35 2.00-2.90 Baa A Aa A Rev. 15-0 1958-86 2.9b 2.10-2.95 Aa G.O. G.O. G.O. L.L. 6.8 6.9 5.0 50.0 1958-71 1957-66 1957-76 1956-72 2.89 2.93 2.59 3.09 2.20-2.80 2.20-2.80 1.90-2.65 2.15-3.00 A A Aa Aa G.O. G.O. G.O. 6.0 5.0 7-5 1957-85 1958-82 1959-76 3.50 2.89 3.22 2.UO-3.50 2.20-2.80 2.70-3.20 Baa Aa A Deb. 50.0 1981 3 7/8 OTHER Province of Ontario 3.90 A 1/ Includes corporate and other security o f f e r i n g s of $15 million and over; State"and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ For 1961-66 m a t u r i t i e s only; 1967-8$ not r e o f f e r e d . 1 9 Exhibit F H.lll Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Corporate (other 2j Date of computation 1955 - Apr, 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug, 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 116 339 3kh ICO lSii 8U3 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 Subsequent to date shown Corporate [other 2 / 1,111 50 850 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 3$ 233 1,013 818 1,917 1,861 1,8U5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 27 Amount Issuer o S - S S f Approximate date of °ffering CORPORATE Duke Power "Kaiser Aluminum and Chemical General Telephone .California Oregon Power General American Transportation Niagara Mohawk Power General E l e c t r i c Northern I l l i n o i s Gas ^Consolidated Edison ^Southern C a l i f o r n i a Gas American Telephone and Telegraph 1st & ref.mtg.bds. Conv. p r e f . s t k . Conv. deb. 1 s t irtg. bds. Conv. deb. 30,0 30.0 53*0 I60O 23.8 Gen'l. mtg. bds. 30.0 Deb. 300.0 1 s t mtg. bds. 15.0 1st &ref.mtg.bds. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. kO.O Deb. 250.0 May 1 May 3 May 7 ( r i g h t s expire) May 8 May 9 ( r i g h t s expire) May 9 May 15 May 16 May 23' May 23 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Allegheny County Sanitary Auth., Pa. Baltimore, Maryland *La Mesa, Lemon Grove & Spring Valley Irrigation Dist., Calif. Rev. G.O. 25.0 25.0 May 1 May 1 5.2 May 1 H.Ik F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of April 2? (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Los Angeles, C a l i f . , Dept. cf Water & Power Great F a l l s , MontanaPas idena, C a l i f . •K-Tulsa, Oklahoma S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona ^Toledo, Ohio Dade Co,, F l o r i d a , Special Tax School D i s t . No. 1 Orleans P a r i s h , La. ^Cleveland, Ohio Georgia Rural Roads AuthorityChesapeake Bay Ferry Commission e s t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Auth. Oklahoma Turnpike AuthorityPennsylvania Turnpike Commission ^ Washington S t a t e To ll Bridge- Auth'. W Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. 9.0 5.0 11.0 5.0 11.0 5.0 G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 15.0 5.0 16.2 15.5 20.0 50.0 185.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 May > May May May May May 2 7 8 8 15 16 " May 16 May 16 May 22 May May June 13 Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None *—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and local"government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 j Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . I Exhibit G Yields on Mew and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and. A 1 / Date 1952 average 1953-average 195h average 1955 average. 1956 - January February March 8 16 . 23 . 30 April L k 11 • 2 ? Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s . A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Actual 1 above Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) 3.16 3.1*6 3.03 3.23 13 16 . 3 9 None *3.15 3.19 3 5 3.37 18 3-77 ItO I 3.3S 3.78 3.12 3-33 12 26 -3 12 None 3.23 -s 3.35 7 3.# 3.57 3-60 3.67 2$ 23 26 29 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of o f f e r i n g s d u r i n g . t h e i n d i c a t e d period and of . the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. The number of new i s s u e s included i n the monthly averages v a r i e s from 2 to U except f o r October 19 5U when 6 A-rated i s s u e s were included. Average m a t u r i t y f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from.26 to 28 y e a r s .