Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 11, 1959
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n jjecOHTEOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS K.Ik May 11, 1959. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of p u b l i c s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g i s expected t o be l a r g e r t h i s week than t h e v e r y small volume a week e a r l i e r . During t h e week ending May 8, a c o r p o r a t e i s s u e f o r $26 m i l l i o n was t h e only l a r g e s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g made t o t h e p u b l i c . The c a l e n d a r f o r t h i s week i n c l u d e s l a r g e c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $U6 m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds, with a g g r e g a t e proceeds of *131 m i l l i o n . Bond y i e l d s - Y i e l d s c o n t i n u e d t o advance l a s t week f o r a l l t y p e s of o u t s t a n d i n g bonds e x c e p t t h o s e f o r U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s , which remained s t a b l e f o r t h e second week. High-grade c o r p o r a t e bond y i e l d s reached new postwar p e a k s , w h i l e t h o s e f o r o t h e r t y p e s of bonds a r e a t o r n e a r t h e i r 1959 h i g h s . Mortgage r e c o r d i n g s and l o a n s — Nonfarm mortgage r e c o r d i n g s i n January and February c o n t i n u e d s t r o n g . Unadjusted t o t a l r e c o r d i n g s showed some s e a s o n a l d e c l i n e s but s e t new h i g h s f o r t h e months, and FHA-insured l o a n s c l o s e d and c o n v e n t i o n a l a c t i v i t y a l s o were a t new r e c o r d s . VA l o a n s c l o s e d were above y e a r - e a r l i e r l e v e l s but w e l l below peaks a t t a i n e d i n t h e m i d - 1 9 5 0 ' s . In J a n u a r y , s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d t o t a l r e c o r d i n g s r o s e s l i g h t l y t o a monthly r a t e of n e a r l y $>2.7 b i l l i o n , t h e h i g h e s t f o r any month on r e c o r d . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s d e c l i n e d on b a l a n c e l a s t week. Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common s t o c k s c l o s e d a t 57.32 on May 8 a f t e r p a r t i a l . r e c o v e r y from t h e sharp drop i n p r i c e s on Thursday. Trading a c t i v i t y i n c r e a s e d , a v e r a g i n g 3 . 8 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day. More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d in t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. EXHIBIT A ' HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS V\/ Exhibit b H.ll* Tables l o r Exhibit A High-grade bond Y i e l d s Date Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and C o r p o r a t e S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa 3 / (Per cent) 195U - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low Apr. 10 Apr. 17 A p r . 21* May 1 May 8 g / 2.85 (4/23) 4.14 (9/27) L.13 (10/10) 3.55 (5/2) 4.33 (5/8) k.09 ( 1 / 9 ) 4.20 2.45 (0/6) 3.76 (10/18) 3.84 (12/26) 3.07 ( 4 / 2 5 ) 4.05 (5/8) 3.83 (1/2) 3.97 4.01 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.22 4.26 4.30 4.33 1.90 3.45 3.31 2.64 (9/2) (8/29) (9/11) (5/1). .30 .60 .1.7 .72 .34 .51 .22 .28 3.23 (5/7) 3.06 (3/26) .92 .65 .16 3.09 ' 3.09 3.14 3.18 3.23 .23 .21 .21 .92 :U 1 Lower-grade Bond Y i e l d s Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baay 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 3 . 4 4 (12/31) 5 . 1 0 (11/29) 4.96 (1/3) 4.51 (7/11) 4.93(5/8) 4.83 (4/17) 2.93(8/5) 4.51 (8/29) 4.34 ( 9 / 1 1 ) 3.64 ( 5 / 1 ) 4.13 (2/5) 3.92 (3/26) Apr. 10 Apr. 17 A p r . 24 May 1 May 8 2 / 4.84 4.83 4.88 4.91 4.93 3.98 3.98 4.06 4.09 4.12 Date Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) .52 1.27 1.20 .77 .77 .60 .96 1.21 1.11 .93 .98 - .86 .64 .61 .62 .61 .60 .89 .89 .92 .91 .89 2 / f'reli.min.3 r y . 1 / Weekly a v e r a g e of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average t e r m of bonds i n c l u d e d i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly a v e r a g e of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s i n c l u d e s bonds due o r c a l l a b l e i n 10 y e a r s o r more. J / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n bond.*" a r e i n c l u d e d ; a v e r a g e term i s 20 y e a r s . N o t e . — h i g h s and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r different series. STOCK MARKET MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND LOANS \—r. V COHVCNTIONAl Exhibit D - Tables f o r Exhibit G Stock Market Stock p r i c e index 1/ Date 1953-1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 5U.11 22.95 57.96 51.37 March April Apr. 2k May 1 May 8 q/ 56.15 57.10 57.96 57.65 27.32 Stock market customer c r e d i t Bank Customers' debit b a l - loans to "others" 5/ ances V ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Trading Common volume y stock" yields 2/ (millions ( p e r c e n t ) of s h a r e s ) (12/2U/58) (9/18/53) (k/24) (2/6) Total 3.30 6.25 3.21 3.3k 1.9 ^.9 4.3 3.0 4,492 2,055 1,597 1,527 3,285 1,31k 3,305 3,253 1,317 669 1,332 1,210 3.25 3.25 3.21 3.22 3.25 3,9 3.4 3.6 3.6 3-8 4,597 3,305 n.a. n.a. 1,292 1,320 1,332 1,320 n.a. n . a . . - - Hot a v a i l a b l e . £ / Preliminary. 1 / S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s composite Index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1941-43=10. Monthly d a t a a r e a v e r a g e s of d a i l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r t h i n of firidays' o n l y . Highs and lows a r e f o r F r i d a y s ' d a t a o n l y . 2 / S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s composite s t o c k y i e l d based on Wednesday d a t a c o n v e r t e d t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . Y i e l d s shown aro f o r d a t e s on which p r i c e index r e a c h e d I t s h i g h or low. 3 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volu.no on t h e New York Stock Sbcohange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y margin a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member h a n k s . Excludes l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g o r c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n Hew York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks a c c o u n t f o r a b o u t 70 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . . Nonfarm Mortgage Recordings and Loans 1 / Date Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jt:ne July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Unadjusted Total Seasonally VA Unadjusted FHA adjusted 2/ ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1,959 1,971 1,993 2,087 2,192 2,291 2,413 2,488 2,576 2,652 2,629 2,677 1,701 1,866 2,022 2,151 2,275 2,543 2,535 2,596 2,857 2,432 2,629 ^ 2,353 2,245 • 279 319 306 311 343 368 371 1,80 501 457 510 585 506 142 123 85 73 98 127 156 189 239 216 257 276 238 Conv. 1,280 1,424 1,632 1,767 1,835 2,048 2,007 1,927 2,116 1,759 1,861 1,491 1,500 n.a.—Not available. 1 / T o t a l r e c o r d i n g s d a t a a r e e s t i m a t e s based on r e p o r t s from about 450 a r e a s and i n c l u d e mortgages of $20,000 or l e s s s e c u r e d by nonfarm r e a l e s t a t e , p r i m a r i l y r e s i d e n t i a l p r o p e r t i e s . FHA-insured l o a n s r e p r e s e n t g r o s s amount of i n s u r a n c e w r i t t e n , and VA-guaranteed l o a n s t h e g r o s s amount of l o a n s c l o s e d , o n 1 - 4 f a m i l y h o u s e s . Conventional d a t a a r e d e r i v e d a s a r e s i d u a l , a l t h o u g h t o t a l r e c o r d i n g s and VA and FHA l o a n s a r e n o t s t r i c t l y comparable i n concept o r t i m i n g . 2 / Three-month moving a v e r a g e , s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . Source: F e d e r a l Home Loan Bank Board, F e d e r a l Housing A d m i n i s t r a t i o n and V e t e r a n s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n . Exhibit K H.lli Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1959 1 New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1958 1 1957 1959 1 1958 1; 1957 January February March 6/782 2/#3 e/650 723 April May June e/700 is/600 I,l4l 600 881 765 1,453 1,102 538 1,144 636 855 2/623 812 953 511 i ® 798 895 551 393 1,003 924 973 806 403 651 % 4311 858 1*73 91U 1,090 789 1,076 456 474 435 698 633 w 3,135 2,622 2,781 2,250 3,4145 3,149 2,899 2,954 2,276, 2,2441,860 1,365 1,820 1,704 5,757 8,5W. 10,791 6,594 9,193 12,a? July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/2,1(# 1st half Three quarters Year 1^060 1,065 1,320 B/a,iHt 7U2 Si. ;•$ 4,520. 7,099 Excluding finance companies y 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 2,89k 2,583 2,753 2,161 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 10,391 11,518 2/1,905 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net" proceeds, 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America- estimates' of principal-amounts*. 3/ Includes $718,3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue; H/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Exhibit F H. i k Other Security Offerings 1 / (In millions of dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ ~ 1958 1959 1959 I 1956 19W m r 1 January February March 77 59 196 53 — April May June 81* 1*9 30 • 199 1,163 251 — 125 139 198 120 123 1*8 1*2 523 9 •5 17 28 7 30 161* October November December 58 123 74 1* 60 1 220 Year 992 July August September 326 1*55 11*7 April May June 357 351* " 261* July August September October November December Year 215 — 100 — — 2,321 507 233 1*60 273 190 1*28 • 2/265 60 — Short-t;erm State and l o c a l government b/ January February March 72 mm* — 572 Federal agency 3J~ 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 505 205 337 153 209 161 325L 336 1*69 501 289 1*23 369 272 272 252 1*37 206 330 231 1*15 21*3 303 91* 169 1*51* 111* 137 3,910 3,271* 359 5oo 1*89 3,098 • 221* 370 512 1,238 255 116 5,51*3 2 / Preliminary. 1 / Data presented in t h i s exhibit d i f f e r from those in Exhibit E in that refunds ing i s s u e s , as well as new capital i s s u e s , are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2 / Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. jj/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances P&A. notes included may have a somewhat http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ longer term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Exhibit G II. lit Large Long-term P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r hew C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1958 - A p r i l May June July August September October November December 1959 - January February March April S t a t e and l o c a l government 725 35b 281 771 209 825 259 227 305 369 310 215 359 • 300 505 195 275 109 288 172 259 229 335 551 369 563 Other 2 / 653 1614 86 ia 18 209 100 79 nk 35 176 20 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d May 1 through 8 Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or . O f f e r i n g Maturity net i n t e r - yield of dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Alabama Power Co. Textron, Inc. 1 s t mtg. bds. Sub. deb. 20.0 25.5 1989 1981 L 7/8 L65 5.00 A Ba STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT None OTHER n.a.—Not available. 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of jlO m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by F e d e ra l a g e n c i e s . 3 / In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s ; R e v . - U t . , revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev„-S;T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s o n l y ; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue bonds s e c u r e d s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. .114 Forthcoming Large Long-term P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s l o r New C a p i t a l ( O t h e r t h a n U. S. T r e a s u r y ) 1 / Expected Proceeds f r o m Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Subsequent t o During month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shown d a t e shown S t a t e and S t a t e and C o r p o r a t e l o c a l g o v t . Other 2 / C o r p o r a t e l o c a l g o v t . Other 2 computation 1958 - Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 J u l y 31 Aug. 29 S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 1959 - J a n . 30 Feb. 27 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 3# 266 768 161 #5 113 20U 301 210 270 198 396 21*6 150 ii93 177 225 55 36 ' - 2 la 295 258 . 229 261 551 292 550 251 71 75 U5 20 50 561 h6h 1,0148 381 9114 216 326 to 370 365 279 176 3U6 193 208 235 125 h3S 5214 675 683 515 856 I48I 761 517 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of May Issuer type CORPORATE Idaho Power Co. Southwestern E l e c t r i c Power Co. General American O i l Co. of Texas B a l t i m o r e Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. C o n s o l i d a t e d Edison Co. Potomac E l e c t r i c Power Co. ---National S t e e l Corp. Southern E l e c t r i c G e n e r a t i n g Co. -"Public S e r v i c e E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. -"-Florida Power & Light Co."5" --Duke Power Co. C o n s o l i d a t e d N a t u r a l Gas Co. V i r g i n i a E l e c t r i c & Power Co. "-Philadelphia E l e c t r i c Co. -"-Spiegel, i n c . 1 s t l:iv. £ . fcds. 1 s t rntg. b d s . Sub. deb. Conv. deb. 15.0 16.0 15.0 19.9 May 13 nay 13 May 15 May 25 ( r i g h t s expire) 1 s t &. r e f . rntg. b d s . 7 5 . 0 May 27 Com. s t k . May 27 35.0 (rights expire) 1 s t rntg. b d s . 80.0 Nay 28 1 s t r-itg. b d s . 25.0 May 29 1 s t fr r e f . rntg. b d s . 50.rJune 3 1 s t n t r . bds. June k 25.0 , Pfd. s t k . June 10 2^.0 Cap. s t k . June 10 10.0 ( r i g h t s expire-) Com. s t k . June 18 20.0 ( r i g h t s expire) Com. s t k . June 23 30.0 ( rights expire) Conv. s u b . deb. June I5.ll ( r i g h t s expire) 150 36 71 75 k$ 20 50 H.lk H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of l-iay 8 ( C o n t ' d ) Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) . CORPORATE ( C o n t ' d ) Commerce O i l R e f i n i n g Corp. Glickman Corp. Deb., b d s . & common Com. s t k . U5.0 31.0 Spring Spring STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio New York Thruway A u t h o r i t y S t a t e of New J e r s e y King Co. Sch. D i s t . No. 1, Wash. Kanawha Co., W. Va. P u b l i c Housing A u t h o r i t i e s ^Pennsylvania S t a t e Highway & Bridge Auth. -a-State of C a l i f o r n i a Oroville-Wyandotte I r r i g a t i o n D i s t . , California C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge A u t h o r i t y Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission Memphis, Tennessee Oakland Co., Michigan •^Commonwealth of Pennsylvania A l b e r t a Municipal Financing Corp. May May . May May May May May 12 12 12 13 13 20 26 Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 15.0 26.9 50.0 25.0 1L5 18.0 ioli.8 Rev.-Ut. G.O. . 10.0 100.0 June 3 June 6 Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. 62.0 3h.O Ihh.O 10.0 12.7 120.0 June 11 June 2k Spring Spring Spring Spring S . F . deb. 50.0 Way 21 *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over j S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by F e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r r e a s o n s o t h e r t h a n s a l e of i s s u e : None. H.lii Exhibit I Y i e l d s on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 - 1957 . High Low 1958 - January February March April May July 2 9 18 23 Oct. 7 15 28 29 Dec. 17 1959 - J a n . 7 20 28 Feb. 18 Mar. 11 25 26 31 Apr. 3 15 16 29 May 1 A-rated offering yields Aa-rated offering y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) ( p e r c e n t ) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(9/lU/57) 2.93(3/31/51) 87 -3 *3.60,/ 3.89^ it. 08 3.91 3.87 3.87 -8 22 35 18 18 17 LOO it. 10 it. 10 ii.57 it. 50 it.itO / h.k2* it.itit 25 28 29 25 22 12 lh 23 it. 60 it.65p/ 3ii itO h.hoi/ it.it3 U.it3 b.U7 11 9 9 13 it.60 L59, h.SSS/ 22 21 7 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/54) * 123 -15 3.96%/ U.07 it. 16 it.01 it.07 3 9 -1 8 6 3 : ; ^ i it. 3 5 ^ 31 it. 7 5 ^ 23 it.67 18 it. 85 17 * — S i n g l e o b s e r v a t i o n , n o t an a v e r a g e . 1 / Covers only 3 0 - y e a r f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e a v e r a g e s of o f f e r i n g s d u r i n g t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average m a t u r i t y f o r t h e seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2 / Provides f o r a 5 - y e a r p e r i o d d u r i n g which i s s u e may n o t be c a l l e d f o r r e f u n d i n g a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked i n c l u d e one o r more i s s u e s w i t h such a p r o v i s i o n . O t h e r e i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n .