Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 3, 1955
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a/cf Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECOKTBOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS March 3, 1955 H.Ik l CAPITAL MARIET DEVELOPMENTS. Small volume of s e c u r i t y i s s u e s l a s t week - Large S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l t o t a l e d 25 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s during the week ending February 25; no l a r g e c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s were o f f e r e d . The volume of l a r g e corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l f l o t a t i o n s expected t h i s week i s 1+lii m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and includes 250 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of General Motors Acceptance Corporation debentures. February experience - February estimate of t h e volume of S t a t e and l o c a l s e c u r i t i e s i s now 310 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , considerably lower than the preliminary e s t i m a t e . At t h e end of January, 682 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e i s s u e s were expected f o r o f f e r i n g i n the following month, b u t only 101 m i l l i o n were s u c c e s s f u l l y f l o a t e d . Several i s s u e s t o t a l i n g 650 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s which had been t e n t a t i v e l y scheduled f o r o f f e r i n g , notably those of t h e I l l i n o i s T oll ftoad, Texas Turnpike, F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike, and Sam Houston Turnpike, f a i l e d t o reach the municipal market i n February. Since these i s s u e s were t o be sold by n e g o t i a t i o n , t h e i r o f f e r i n g dates were f i x e d l e s s d e f i n i t e l y than f o r most S t a t e and l o c a l s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s . The l a t t e r a r e sold on an auction b a s i s w i t h a predetermined bidding d a t e . The I l l i n o i s T o l l Road Authority expects t o o f f e r the 390 m i l l i o n i s s u e i n March, but no d e f i n i t e d a t e s a r e c u r r e n t l y l i s t e d f o r t h e o t h e r s . .All b i d s were r e j e c t e d on two smaller bond i s s u e s ; one was r e o f f e r e d and sold l a t e r i n the month. March outlook - Corporate s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s f o r new capi t a l i n March a r e estimated a t 1,150 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , a volume l a r ger t h a n any month s i n c e December 1953* Included i n t h i s estimate are two o f f e r i n g s with aggregate proceeds of almost 600 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s t o be issued by General Motors and GMA.C. The March estimate f o r S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s i s 750 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , almost a ' t h i r d greater than the volume i n the corresponding month a year ago and n e a r l y two and one-half times as l a r g e as i n February 1955* As noted above, t h i s estimate includes the proceeds from the I l l i n o i s Toll Road i s s u e . F i r s t q u a r t e r e s t i m a t e s f o r corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l o f f e r i n g s a r e 1,750 and 1,595 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s r e s p e c t i v e l y . Excluding f i n a n c e companies, the c o r p o r a t e f i r s t q u a r t e r volume i s estimated a t 1,575 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , s l i g h t l y l a r g e r than the corresponding p e r i o d a year ago. 11' H#H| -2 — Bond y i e l d s - Yields on corporate Aaa, Baa, and U. S. Government and high-grade municipal bonds rose during the week ending February 25. On a weekly b a s i s , Treasury y i e l d s rose f i v e b a s i s p o i n t s ; no f u r t h e r change occurred on a d a i l y b a s i s on lionday and Tuesday of t h i s week * Corporate Aaa y i e l d s increased thr ee points l a s t week and rose one point on March 1. Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 26£ common stocks, decreased s l i g h t l y l a s t week. A small i n crease was indicated by d a i l y indexes through March 2. Daily t r a d ing volume on the New York Stock Exchange decreased t o an average of 2.9 million shares per day l a s t week. S t a t e and Local Government Security O f f e r i n g s , Fourth Quarter and Year, 1953-195U S t a t e and l o c a l governments issued a greater volume of . s e c u r i t i e s in 195k than in any other year—a t o t a l of 6,969 mill i o n d o l l a r s , as shown in the accompanying t a b l e , 25 per cent greater than the 1953 volume. Refunding i s s u e s , which are only a small p a r t of t o t a l o f f e r i n g s , increased 100 million d o l l a r s over the previous y e a r ' s volume and t o t a l e d 180 million f o r 195k» Offerings f o r new c a p i t a l were l,89li million d o l l a r s in the f o u r t h . p e r i o d , a q u a r t e r l y t o t a l second only t o the record volume of t h e second period l a s t year. Purpose of issues Highway, bridge and tunnel financing accounted f o r the l a r g e s t use of funds in the f o u r t h quarter and year' of both 1953 and 195b. The volume was 2,136 million d o l l a r s in 195kf over a t h i r d larger than the volume in the previous y e a r . Included in these t o t a l s were several very large issues of over 100 million d o l l a r s . Another important purpose in t h e f o u r t h period of 195k was miscellaneous public service e n t e r p r i s e s , due mainly t o t h e 335 million d o l l a r New York Power Authority i s s u e offered in Decemb e r , the l a r g e s t single financing in the municipal market since February 1950. Bond issues f o r school construction in the l a s t t h r e e months of 195k were somewhat below the corresponding 1953 volume. School o f f e r i n g s increased in volume f o r the year as a whole but decreased as a proportion of t h e new c a p i t a l t o t a l . Issuing authority Unlike a year e a r l i e r , S t a t e governments were t h e l a r gest i s s u e r s in both the f o u r t h quarter and year of 195k• States offered 2,0U7 million d o l l a r s of s e c u r i t i e s during 195U in contrast t o only 767 million in 1953* Almost half the volume of l a s t y e a r ' s State i s s u e s were f l o a t e d in the f o u r t h period. Special a u t h o r i t i e s offered 1,1*63 million in 195k, considerably l e s s than in 1953 • H.lli when a very large l a s t quarter brought the y e a r l y t o t a l t o 2,091 m i l l i o n , the l a r g e s t group t h a t y e a r . Type of issue The proportion of type of issue t o t o t a l o f f e r i n g s has varied s u b s t a n t i a l l y in the l a s t two y e a r s . Revenue bonds r e p r e sented 2|6 per cent of t o t a l o f f e r i n g s in 195k as compared with 23 per cent the year e a r l i e r . The increased volume of revenue i s s u e s , e s p e c i a l l y in the large issues of over 50 million d o l l a r s , as shown in the t a b l e below, made up a major portion of the r i s e in t o t a l s e c u r i t y 4 o f f e r i n g s . Included i n the 1,889 million dollar t o t a l of large revenue o f f e r i n g s were four issues of over 200 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s — t h r e e turnpike o f f e r i n g s and the New York Power Authority i s s u e . Only one issue of t h a t s i z e was f l o a t e d in 195)3, the 280 million d o l l a r Indiana Toll Road o f f e r i n g . Small revenue i s s u e s increased 5It8 million d o l l a r s from 1953 t o l a s t y e a r . Mo general revenue bonds were f l o a t e d i n 19$h in contrast t o a t o t a l of 535 million d o l l a r s of such issues i n t h e e a r l i e r y e a r . S t a t e and Local Government Security Issues Year 1953 1954 Total 5,558 6,969 General obligation 3,a# 3,739 General revenue 1/ Total Revenue Small Large 2 / 1,566 3,235 798 1,3^6 768 1,889 of t h e S t a t e . 2 / Issues of 50 million d o l l a r s or more. Mote.--Details may not add t o t o t a l s because of rounding. Further d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments available from exhibits - More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found in t h e following exhibits which are attached hereto: , A - Bond Yields B - Stock liarket C - Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements D - Large IJublic Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) E - Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H.14 -ULong-Term Security Issues of State and Local Governments Fourth Quarter and Year, 1953 and 1954 (in millions of d o l l a r s ) Type of issuer or purpose of issue Fourth Quarter Issuing a u t h o r i t y : State County and township Municipality School d i s t r i c t Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of issue: New c a p i t a l t o t a l Schools Highways, bridges, tunnels Residential-buildings Hospitals and i n s t i t u t i o n s Sewer and waiter Misc. public service e n t e r p r i s e s Recreation Port and a i r p o r t Veterans aid I n d u s t r i a l building Other Unidentified 1/ Refunding Total 1954 1,006 102 138 172 106 157 164 69 195 190 901 152 2,01*7 1,076 967 828 1,163 587 767 271 1,052 834 2,091 543 1,980 1,671 6,969 5,558 1,89k 1,636 6,789 252 - 652 1 6 173 406 32 22 60 303 703 121 <50 140 26 12 26 5 135 15U 93 152 1,1x32 2,136 456 77 671 597 58 88 162 2 533 . 576 , 86 35 180 82 1,980 1,671 6,969 5,558 1 1/ Issues of l e s s than £500,000 not c l a s s i f i e d . Itfote.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s because of rounding. Sources.—Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve. i Year 1953 1954 1 1953 . I M 1,320 1,588 506 133 647 156 45 49 > 141 7 344 542 ^ EXHIBIT H.14 A BOND YIELDS PER WEEKLY CORPORATE CENT PER ANNUM Baa CORPORATE A a a U.S. G O V E R N M E N T LONG-TERM 1 /V Vv' 1 V / H I G H - GRADE MUNICIPAL NDVP O O R ' S CORP. I V/ . 5 1 AN U A K JljL I I l 1'' I ' I ' 1 I I I • • I • I 1 ' ' 1 M J S 1951 J S 111111»lyj J s 1953 1952 Corporate 1 / i U. s . Govt, long-term 2 / J S 1954 Spread b e t w e e n Corporate Aaa and U. S . Govt. Highgrade lAin. 1 ' (Per c e n t p e r annum) 1952 - High Low 1953 - High 19SU - High 1955 Hi#i Low January 2 8 . February k February 1 1 February 18 February 2 5 3.03 2.91 3.L2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.02 2.91 2.9U 2.97 2.97 2.99 3.02 3.63 . 3.U8 3.89 3.50 3.7lt 3>U8 -3.U5 3.1:6 3.U6 3.hi 3.1i7 3.W 2.79 2.56 3-15 2.7ii 2.7li 2.Hi 2.77 • 2.62 2.67 2.70 2.69 2.72 2.77 .37 .19 ,38 .19 •U3 .32 .29 2.1,3 .27 .27 2.Ill 2.1*3 .27 .25 2.Ill 2.2i3 .2$ .28 2.00 3.Ik 2.U3 2.56 2.23 2.U1 1 / Moody's I n v e s t o r s S e r v i c e ; w e e k l y a v e r a g e of d a i l y f i g u r e s . ? / Federal Reserve; weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . 3 / Standard and P o o r ' s C o r p o r a t i o n ; Wednesday f i g u r e . N o t e . — H i g h s and l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. STOCK MARKET Date Bank l o a n s Common s t o c k Customers' t o " o t n e r s " Trading f o r purchases S t o c k p r i c e volume y yields 3/ of s e c u r balances it/ index 1 / (per cent (millions itiel (millicns (19U7-U9-100) of s h a r e s ) p e r annum) (millitons of d o l l a r s ) of d o l l a r s ) 1952 - High Low 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 - High Low January February February 1 1 February 18 February 2 5 165.3 151.7 167.1 3M.0 221.lt 156.5 228.1 217.lt 2l8.lt 226.8 228.1 227.6 226.2 ' 2.0 0.9 2.5 . 0-9 3.7 l.lt lt.6 2.8 . 3.6 3.2 3.It . 3 .It . 2.9 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 It.20 1,328 l,2ltl 1,665 l,fk 2,?88 1,653 It.22 2,517 " • 295 250 327 252 187 328 lt97 lt75 lt8l lt90 lt88 lt89 lt97 1 / SF.n index o f common stocks. weeklv elosina nriee . 1919*100; converted to 19it7-It9-10O by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . - The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r . i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / Weekly a v e r a g e s of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on New York S t o c k Exchange. 3 / Moody's 2 0 0 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s ; t / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of New York S t o c k Exchange; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d b y U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g member banks i n New York and C h i c a g o ; e x c l u d e s l o a n s f o r purchase of U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . On March It, 1953# t h e l a s t d a t e on which f i g u r e s f o r a l l r e p o r t i n g banks were a v a i l a b l e , New York and Chicago a c c o u n t e d f o r US p e r c e n t of s u c h l o a n s . I n t h e p a s t New York and Chicago l o a n s have f l u c t u a t e d more than t o t a l l o a n s . n.a.—Not available. N o t e . — H i g h s and l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may b e on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit C Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) - 1955 January February. March r 1953 1955 $hh 439 660 623 #3 666 V535 e/310 e/750 486 652 859 898 316 776 e/450 3/350 e/1,150 April • May June July August September ' October November • December •1st.quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r 4t h q u a r t e r Year 1,008 298 592 3/1,9# Nevf c a p i t a l Corporate i1 1 1954 - 1,6^3 1,998 2,021 1,899 7,561 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1954 1 1953 #6 111 5# 389 360 426 779 #5 1,123 73k 718 8# 329 649 434 A83 325. 753 279 261 649 519 259 475 577 te9lZ 1,1*38* 594 423 877 453 408 774 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 1,176 1,412 1,253 1,636 5,477 1,912 2,578 e/1,595 8,495 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r 4th q u a r t e r Year e/1,575 1,562 1,931 1,91*1 1,795 7,229 - 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,344 7,227 1/ Includes 602,5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T debenture i s s u e . 2 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal f i n a n c e companies. e / Estimated. Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.lii - Exhibit D Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1954 - February March April May June July August September October November December 1955 - January February S t a t e and l o c a l government 103 160 169 32h 350 3# 75 335 413 0 9k liil 72 Other 2 / 213 378 557 557 . 603 50 % 86 . 455 388 268 MP 3 U101 30 35 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered during February Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or .Offering Rating Maturity n e t i n t e r of yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE A l l i e d Stores Common s t k . Hilton Hotels Deb. Kansas City Power & Light 1 s t mtg. bds. l6.lt 39.9 16.0 1970 1985 4 1/2 :i; 3 / 4 3.25 n.a. 3.12 n.a. Aaa 2.37 3-09 1.43 0,90-2.55 1.20-3.10 0.85-1.45 A Baa Aaa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Allegheny Co., Pa. Miami, F l o r i d a Milwaukee County, 17is. Long Beach Unified School D i s t r i c t , Cal. F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education San Antonio, Texas G.O. L.L. G.O. 7.2 1956-85 6.0 1956-81 1 5 . 5 ^ 1956 r 62 G.O. 16.3 1956-75 2.48 0.90-2.50 A L.L. G.O. 9.2. 6.0 1956-75 1957-70 Var. 2.36 1.00-2.75 1.20-2.55 A Baa H.ll* D-2 Large Individual Issues Offered during February (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Amount ^ o n £ Maturity ( B i 'dollars) Coupon r a t e or. Offering Rating yield net i n t e r e s t cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Huntington, New York Baltimore County, Hd. Fort YTorth, Texas Fort n o r t h , Texas Milwaukee, .Wisconsin Washington Suburban Sani t a r y D i s t r i c t , Hd. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. 5.6 7.0 1955-8U. / 1958-95=/ 1956-80 1956-80 1956-75 9.8 1956-95 10.0 % 1.10-3.00 2.1*1* 1.83 1.00-2.1*0 1.00-2.90 0.80-2.00 Baa A Aa A Aaa 2.98 1.10-3.1*0 Baa 2 .1*9 2.1*2 2.21 1.20-2.70 OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 15 million d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation"; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; and, L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h / Bonds maturing 1990-95 not publicly r e o f f e r e d . H-lU Exhibit E Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S . Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following • date shown S t a t e and o t h e r 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt, - Date of computation 195k •- Feb. 26 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 28 June 30 J u l y 30 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - J a n . 31 Feb. 28 108 2 Oh 323 332 336 100 33k 3h3 15 9h 18k 16 710 . 1*9.8 555 525 596 86 5b 300 333 436 661 567 682 524 50 27 30 . Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. 690 555 6U7 526 532 30) 608 hlh 135 2i;6 216 122 1,395 . 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,52k 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2flhb 1,961 1,978 other y 2_ 50 27 * 30 30 35 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , , as of February 25 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE May Department Store ^Central and South West Corp. Union Oil Company P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c Co. General Motors Acceptance Corp. General' Motors Corp. New England Telephone and Telegraph Alabama Power American Telephone and Telegraph *Joy Manufacturing Company SF deb* 25.0 Common stock 19.7 Cony. deb. 21.0 I s t & r e f . mtg.bds. 50.0 Deb. 250.0 Common stock 328.6 Common stock 15.7 1 s t mtg. bonds 15.0 Conv. deb. 650.0 20.0 SF deb. March 1 March 2 . March 2 March 2 March 3 March 7 March 31 May 31 . 1955 1955 STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT P o r t l a n d , Oregon S t a t e of Louisiana Hempstead, North Hempstead, II. Y. Houston, Texas Multnomah County, Oregon ' Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. New York Bridge Authority G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 8.0 10.0 15.5 15.0. 15-5 8.0 16.0 March March March March March March March 1 3 3 k 8 9 9 H.14 E-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of February 25 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) S t a t e of South Carolina S t . Petersburg, F l o r i d a . S t a t e of M i s s i s s i p p i ^ S t a t e of New Jersey I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority New J e r s e y Turnpike Authority Connecticut Expressway ' Texas Turnpike Authority Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a San Diego County, C a l i f o r n i a Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana Sam Houston Turnpike Corp. Texas Turnpike Company F l o r i d a S t a t e Tyrnpike Authority Sam Houston Company Dade County Port A u t h o r i t y , F l a . Springfield, Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary Authority C a l i f o r n i a Toll Bridge Authority J e r s e y City Sewerage Auth., N. J . North Carolina Turnpike Authority ' G.O. L.L. Rev. Rev. n«a* Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. .. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. . Rev. Rev. n.a. 20.0 14.0 ' 5.2 6.6 390.0 • 30.0 100.0 5 - i o .p . 8.4 60.0 186.0 80.0 46.0 140.0 74.0 100.0 21.0 9.0 85.0 235.0 16.0 200.0 March 9 March 10 March 15 March 15 March Winter Winter Winter April 6 Spring Spring Spring Spring 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 OTHER None and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . '