Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 21, 1956
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=$/>- ^ Nbt f o r Publication SIZMOIM . H.lU March 21, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Three State and local government bond issues totaling OUO million were the only large public security issues sold during the week ending March l o . This week, large State and local government issues are expected to t o t a l #23 million. Corporations are scheduled to o f f e r large issues with proceeds aggregating $176 million." This includes the £>100 million Tide Water Associated Oil Company debenture issue. Bond yields - Yields on a l l types of outstanding bonds rose l a s t week. The increase was particularly sharp for yields on State and local government Aaa-rated bonds and revenue bonds, which rose 7 and 5 basis points, respectively. f . Stock market credit - Customer c r e d i t i n the stock market, excluding U. S. Government securities, declined $1*9 million during February to t o t a l $3,991 million.at the end of the month. This was the f i r s t decrease since October 1955 and was primarily the result of a decline in customers' net debit, balances. Despite the decline in debit balances, borrowing by NYSE firms maintaining margin accounts increased moderately during February. The following table shows these and other data on stock market credit for January and February. End of month January February . Change (Millions of dollars) •Customer credit Excluding U. S. Govt, securities - Total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Govt, securities On customer c o l l a t e r a l Money borrowed on U. S. Govt, securities | Customers' net f r e e credit balances U,oUo 27m 1,25k 36 3,991 277H0 1,251 -U9 3h -3 -2 37 36 -1 2,129 1,7 3k 2,137 1,756 52 913 +8 +22 +11 +8 hi 90$ Stock prices - Common stock prices advanced sharply l a s t week in the heaviest trading volume since l a t e September 1955* The SEC index of 26£ common stocks rose 6.6 points during the week "to a new high of 286 on March 16. Daily indexes indicate a continued sharp advance in prices Monday and Tuesday of t h i s week. More detailed information concerning recent market developments i s presented in the attached exhibits. B u s i n e s s F i n a n c e and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of R e s e a r c h and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. CORPORATE Aa« STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A o o I "TXl U. S. Govt., long-term 'if Corporate Aaa 1 / Spread between State and U• S* Govt. l o c a l govt. (old series) and Corporate IState and Aaa 3/ Aaa Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 3-U2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/6) 2.85 (U/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (1/7) 3.1U (1/6) 3.07(3/2) 3.07 3-07 3-07 3.08 3.10 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7U (1/9) 2.hh (8/7) 2.91 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 2.90 (1/6) • 2.80(2/17) 2.80 2.83 2.eu 2.86 2.89 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 3.03*(8/5) 2.89. . (6/10) . . 2.97 (3/16) 2.92(2/3) 2.93 2.9U 2.9U 2.96 .2.97 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.29 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.18 2.18 2.25 (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (1/5) (2/23) • 38 .19 • li3 • 13 :LT .23 .22 .21 .8U • 30 .61 .29 :S .68 • 56 •63 .66 • .66 .68 .6I4 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. .The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable after 12 years through September 1955j and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from 1U years i n early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in earihr 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/h per cent bond of 1978-83if Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different s e r i e s . LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Boa STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a , n r i STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE tyKJ I I I I 1 I 1 I I I I I I II Date Corporate Baal/ S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa £ / State and l o c a l govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 19$k - High High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.UU 3.63 3.U5 3-62 3.58 February 17 February 2k March 2 March 9 March 16 3.58 3»58 3.58 3.58 3-59 1955 - High 1956 (9/18) (1/2.) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/lU) (1/6) (3/9) 3.79 ( 6 / 2 5 ) 2.96 ( 1 / 8 ) 3.32 ( 1 / 7 ) 2.93(8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 ( 1 / 6 ) 3.26 ( 1 / 5 ) 3.20 ( 3 / 8 ) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 2.96 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (3/16) (2/2L) 3.20 3-20 3.20 3-20 3.23 2.89 2.89 2.90 2.91 2.96 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . J / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Date Stock price index 1 / Common Trading volume 2 / (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers1 Bank debit bal- loans to ances h / "others" 5 / Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 1951 - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low January February March 9 March 16 167.1 HiU.O 221.U 156.5 270-7 217.U 286.0 257.U (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/1U) (3/16) (1/20) 262.8 266.3 27k.5 279.1 286.0 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,786 2,710 780 66L ' 1,0U8 7U6 1,2!a 1,018 1,267 l,2la U,0it0 3,991 2,786 2,7U0 n.a. n.a. 1,25U 1,2U1 1,251 1,251 n.a. 2.5 0.9 3-7 i.u U.6 1.5 3.1 2.0 5-75 5-15 ' 5-33 U.20 • u.22 3.78 It. 08 3.93 ' 2,Ub5 2,055 3>L36 2,U05 U,030 3,537 U,oUo 3,991 2.2 2-3 2.8 2.8 3.1 U.08 3.93 n.a. . - n.a.—Not available. 1 / SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19H7-U9=100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. It/ End of month figures f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry"margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5 / Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (in millions of dollars) 1956 J anuary February March 1 Corporate 1955 1 487 e/725 e/975 April May June October November December ^ 1st quarter W 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year e/2,M5 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year e/1,765 1956 546 436 1,261 547 426 635 I e/400 e/650 e/425 494 903 697 497 656 642 583 654 680 State and local 1 1 1955 1954 535 312 5# 396 411 565 427 350 641 . 734 748 853 909 335 . 747 470 249 406 279 261 649 1,207 631 921 1,003 290 604 919 658 408 594 423 877 2,243 2,09k 1,917 2,760 9,014 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,490 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 5,911 1,372 ,2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 ' July August September New cs p i t a l 1954 ; 3/1,475 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1,791 1,912 1,410. 2,619 7,762 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. T/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. : • H.lU Exhibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) l / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 6} . 750 173 1I83 175 101 U05 328 805 221 263 95 212 1 9 # - February " March April May June July August September October November December 1956 - January February S t a t e and | l o c a l government 1 107 337 238 152 103 278 65 23U . 716 396 205 192 U33 Other 2 / 15 25 50 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d March 1 through 16 Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions M a t u r i t y r a t e or Offering yield of net i n t e r dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE B e l l Telephone of P a . Houston L i g h t i n g and Povrer Fruehauf T r a i l e r Co. Deb. 35-0 1996 3 iA 3.20 Aa 1st mtg. b d s . 30.0 Conv. sub. deb • 37-5 1996 1976 3 1/h k 3.19 U.00 Aa Baa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Antonio, Texas Penn Township School D i s t r i c t , Pa. S t . Louis, Missouri Santa Clara, C a l i f . Denver C o l o . , School D i s t r i c t #1 Bethlehem A u t h . , Pa. S t a t e of Alabama S t a t e of New Hampshire San Diego, C a l i f . G.O. ' 5.0 1957-76 2.71 1.90-2.75 Baa L.L. G.O. G.O. 5.3 12.2 5.2 1957-86 1962-75 1957-81 3.31 2.16 2.29 1.95-3.35 1.85-2.25 1.60-2.35 Baa Aa Aa G.O. Rev. L.L. G.O. Rev. 26.5 :1957-75 8.0 1959-96 15.0 1958-75 1 9 . 3 . 1957-83 6.0 1956-75 2.27 2.81 2.96 2.25 2.57 1.60-2.30 2.00-2,82 2.00-2.90 1.60-2.35 1.80-2.60 Aa A A Aaa Aa 1 E-2 1 H.lit Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 16 (Cont!d) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering of net interyield est cost dollars) Rating OTHER None State and local government security offerings of S3' million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. e # II.lit Exhibit F Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S. T r e a s u i y ) 1 / Expected P r o c e e d s f r o m Forthcoming Large I s s u e s During month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shown S t a t e and l o t h e r 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt.1 —. . Date of computation 1955 - Feb. 23 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - J a n . 31 Feb. 29 710 211 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 52U 208 116 339 3Wi 100 18U 8L3 330 205 -121 #7 220 —— —- 50 — Subsequent t o d a t e shown C o r p o r a t e 1 S t a t e and Other £ / 1 l o c a l govt' 1,395 922 l,lUl 850 830 1,135 920 909 k!2 230 85 376 233 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,845 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 '— —— 50 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of March 16 Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g Iof d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c "Whirlpool-Se eger T i d e Water A s s o c i a t e d O i l Westcoast Transmission, Ltd. New York Telephone Bank of America . S c o t t . Paper F l o r i d a Power and L i g h t Duquesne L i g h t •^Plantation Pipe Line ^Caterpillar Tractor -* Columbia Gas S o u t h e r n C a l i f o r n i a Gas S h e r a t o n C o r p o r a t i o n of America Kentucky U t i l i t i e s P e n n s y l v a n i a S a l t Mfg. ^ S o u t h e r n C a l i f o r n i a Edison l s t & z e f . mtg.bds. 25.0 SF d e b . . 30.0 SF d e b . 100.0 Sub. d e b . . 20.5 R e f . mtg. b d s . 55/0 Com. s t o c k 56.0 Conv. d e b . 98.7 1 s t mtg. b d s . 15.0 1 s t mtg. b d s . 20.0 SF d e b . 25.0 Com. s t o c k 33-5 Deb. hO . 0 Mtg. b d s . Uo.o Deb. 15.0 1 s t mtg. b d s . 19.0 SF d e b . 15.0 1 s t & r e f . mtg. b d s . Uo.o • March 20 March 20 March 21 March 21 March 27 April 2 ' April 3 April 3 April k April k April k A p r i l 10 May 1956 1956 1956 1956 H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 16. (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of dollars) STATE .41 ID LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Milwaukee, Wisconsin State of New Mexico Key VJest, Florida Dallas, Texas Washington State Toll 'Bridge Auth. •»-State of Delaware St. Louis County, Missouri Louisville, Kentucky Alexandria, Louisiana Inter-Merican Center Auth., £La. Louisiana State Building Auth. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Georgia Rural Roads Authority Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission Florida State Turnpike Auth. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Salt River Project, Arizona G.O. L.L. Rev. . G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O.. G.O. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 8.0 5-0 9-5 8.5 9.3 10.8 10.7 6.0 8.3 70.0 12.0 12.0 15-5 20.0 209.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 , March 20 March 20 March 20 March 26 March 27 March 27 March 28 March 28 March 29 March April 5 April 10 May Spring Summer . 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None *—Included in table for f i r s t time. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and-Development issues. Exhibit G Y i e l d s on New and O u t s t a n d i n g E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, R a t e d Aa and A l / Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A c t u a l I Amount above A c t u a l I Amount above ( p e r c e n t ) . [seasoned y i e l d s ( p e r c e n t ) Iseasoned y i e l d s |(basis points) 1(basis points) Date 1952 a v e r a g e 3.16 1953 a v e r a g e 3-U6 • 13 3.35 12 16 3-78 26 195U a v e r a g e 3.03 3 1955 a v e r a g e 3.23 9 *3.12 *3.1k -x-3.17 13 7 8 *3.22 *3.20 10 7 *3.32 *3.25 *3.27 *3.32 10 7 7 12 1955 ~ J a n u a r y February March April Hay June July August • September October November December None None None 1956 - J a n u a r y None • — F e b r u a r y 1$ 28 29 March 8 >1 rVl a nv»Tf ft + 4 a»% 3.15 3 3.19 S ; 3.12 -3 3.33 12 None . *3.23 3.29 3.31 3.3S *3.30 9 1U 16 1U 10 *3.^7 *3*50 3-28 30 23 -5 None None None None — 3-20 3.25 -8 -3 v-i a 1/ Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in-Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. The number of new issues included in the monthly averages varies from 2 to U except for October 195U when 6 A-rated issues were included. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years.