Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 15, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS March 15, 1957 H.Ik CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS (Including Quarterly Review of Corporate Security Financing) The volume of public security financing continues to be substantial, particularly for corporate securities. During the week ending March 8, corporations sold large issues totaling $173 million, including expiration of subscription rights for two issues, and a State government issue for &13 million was sold. The calendar for this week includes issues totaling *170 million for corporations, of which $79 million are subscription issues, and 938 million for State and local governments. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on State and local government Aaa and re- ' venue bonds and U. S. Government (old series) obligations increased, while those for the Aaa corporate and Baa State and local government bonds remained stable. The Baa corporate and (J, S. Government (new series) bond yields registered a slight decline. During the past two weeks Aaa State and local government bond yields have increased half as much as they had declined earlier in the year. Reoffering yields on new corporate securities have increased after showing a decline earlier. A new A-rated, 30-year, electric utility issue was reoffered this week to yield U.58 per cent — 17 basis points about that for a comparable offering made last week and at about the level of a comparable offering late in January. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks increased 1.8 points last week, closing at 265.1 on March 8. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate some further increase in prices. Corporate Security Offerings In 1956 Net proceeds for new capital Corporations sold $10. ^ billion of security issues to obtain new capital during 1956, as shown in Table 1, 17 per cent more than the previous record volume achieved in 1955. Manufacturing companies made the most significant contribution to 'this increase, offering securities with proceeds of billion. Manufacturing new issue volume was Ip. per cent greater than in 1955, and accounted for one-third of all corporate offerings. Nearly all industries sold a markedly greater volume of securities than a year earlier, with the lumber and wood products and petroleum and refining industrial groups showing the biggest percentage increases. Rubber, primary iron and steel, and motor vehicle manufacturing subgroups registered a significant decline from the previous year in the volume of securities sold... New offerings by these groups were unusually large in 1955, reflecting principally the large issues by Goodyear Tire and Rubber, Bethlehem Steel and General Motors. , , New capital offerings by electric, gas and water utilities totaled $2.5 billion last year — 10 per cent greater than the volume of 1955, but below the volume in -the three previous years. Finance and real estate companies, with total net proceeds of 01.7 billion, ranked third in importance. However, this total was slightly below 19551s peak volume. It should be noted that the volume in 1955 included two y>200 million debenture issues publicly offered by GMACj there was no .single issue of this magnitude sold by finance companies in 1956. There were increases in the volume of offerings by railroads, communication and mining companies\ however, offerings by commercial and other corporations showed a moderate decline and those for other transportation companies remained about the same in volume. Total gross proceeds Gross proceeds from corporate offerings, which include refunding issues and costs of flotation, were a record #11.0 billion during 1956, 7 per cent greater than a year earlier. Refunding issues last year were only about &U00 million, as compared to over Si,200 million in 1955 and over $1,800 million in 195b. H.il* - 3 Table 1 Corporate Security Offerings for New Capital by Type of Business of Issuer 1952-1956 (Net proceeds in millions of dollars) All corporate offerings Manufacturing Electrical machinery Petroleum Nonelectrical machinery Paper Motor vehicles and equipment Chemicals Primary iron and steel Stone, clay and glass Lumber and wood products Primary nonferrous metals Textiles and apparel Foods Other transportation equipment Fabricated metal products Rubber Other 1/ 1956 1955 195U 1953 1952 10,362 8,821 7,leo 8,495 6,716 4 # 335 113 11*6 322 kk6 108 n.a. n.a. : . 72 22 68 U3 n.a. 32 229 563 237 150 16 829 21*5 n.a. n.a. 306 93 136 18 n.a. 159 366 1*13 362 306 265 231 198 180 157 136 130 113 9k 68 56 2 la 100 168 119 i;l6 163 313 . 60 2k 107 82 . 91 95 93 152 219 292 253 125 103 2U8 ?6U 66 6 H*5 50 101 30 35 23 131 Electric, gas and vater utilities 2,479 2,251 2,675 2,905 2,539 Communication 1,389 1>0U5 651 871 7U7 Railroad 365 221 213 267 297 Other transportation 322 323 288 286 461 Commercial and other 300 382 363 282 ) Mining to 386 1*68 220 ) 1,719 ^ 1±812 1,129 1,227 216 327 263 369 788 332 228 228 Financial and real estate Consumer finance, companies Banks Other 512 1,536 10*8 103 165 77 . 106 1^55 n.a.—Not separately available. 1/ Includes small volume of foreign issues not further classified in the manufacturing group. Note,—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Souice,--Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve, - h - Table 2 Total Corporate Security Offerings by Type of Issue 1952^1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 10,963 10,2l»0 9,516 8,898 9,531 Type of offering Public Private 7,059 3,903 6,763 3,U77 11 5,580 3,318 5,533 It,002 Type of security ..Bonds and notes Public Private 8,020 k,22h 3,796 7,120 It,119 3,301 7,U88 it,003 3,1# i s 3,228 111 (Gross proceeds in millions of dollars) Type of issue Total corporate offerings Preferred stock Common stock 1956 . 633 635 816 2,309 2,185 1,326 1*8 9 1,326 Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Source.--Securities and Exchange Commission Public issues totaled &7.1 billion in 1956. Representing nearly two-thirds of total security offerings, these public issues were a slightly smaller proportion of total security financing than in 1955, but a slightly greater proportion than in other recent years. Debt financing was somewhat larger in volume last year than in 1955, primarily because of the increase in privately placed obligations. Common stock financing also increased, but preferred stock financing remained about the same. ,The proportional distribution by type of security did not change significantly from that of a year . earlier. Nearly one-tenth of the new securities offered were convertible issues—predominatly bonds. Convertible financing totaled $1,1 billion and compares to the volume of $1.U billion in 1955# including the %637 million AT&T debenture issue, and to slightly less than $250 million in 195U. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance ancTCapital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. . 561t 1,369 H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE U. S. GOVERNMENT STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A o o ,«4 1955 ' U. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt, local govt. (old series) and CorporatelState and Aaa 2/ Aaa Jlocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 3.k2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 3.82 3.66 February 8 February 15 February 22 3.69 3.67 3.66 3.66 3.66 March 8 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (1/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (1/k) (3/8) 3.15 2.78 2.7k 2.kk 2.9k 2.62 3.U9 2.80 3.53 3.15 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) (12/21) (2/17) (1/k) (2/15) 3.15 3.15 3.2k 3.27 3.30 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. n.a. 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.3k 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/28) 3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.k5 (1/k) 3.05 3-22 (2/8) 2.76 3.22 3.26 3.29 3.28 3.26 2.61 2.76 2.76 2.83 2.90 (6/25) (V8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (1/10) (2/21) .38 .19 •k3 .32 .3k .13 .kk .13 '.5k .29 .8k .30 .61 .29 .70 .5k .68 .32 .k8 .26 .5k .52 .k2 .39 .36 .3k .39 .k8 .kk .kO Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the .bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 31/k per cent bond of 1978-83. 2 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum Date Corporate Baa y State and local govt. Baa |/ State and local govt, rev. ]/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.74 3.1* 3.63 3.45 4.4l 3.58 4.50 4.45 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (12/28) (3/9) (1/18) (3/8) February 8 February 10 February 22 March 1 March 8 4.48 4.47 4.46 4.47 . 4.45 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 4.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 4.22 (1/10) 3.90(2/21) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 3.70 4.00 3.94 3.90 3.99 3.99 3.80 3.70 3.70 3.83 3.85 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/24) (1/4) (2/22) , 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average terra is 20 years. y Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average terra is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK M A R K E T Stock price Trading 6on*non volume 2j (millions. yields j / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances jt/ "others" jy (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 167.1 (1/2) lltlt.O (9/18) 221. It 156.5 w 270.7 217.lt iiXS 295.5 ( 8 / 3 ) 257. h (1/20) 279.2 ( i A ) 260.3 ( 2 / 8 ) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* It.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 1.7 273.0 2.2 261.3 263.3 265.1 1.7 1.7 262.1; 2.0 . ' 5.75 5.15 5.33 a.20 It. 22 3.78 It. 25 3.86 It.ltlt It. 31 1 U>030 3,537 h,0k7 3,91U fcfi 3,903 ; 1,66$ l,31ii 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7L0 2,762 780 66I1 1,0U8 7U6 s s 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 i,ua 1,117 1,121 1,117 n.a.—Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19u7-lt9e100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange.' z 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end .of month figures. £/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accountsj excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 January ''February March e/1,035 e/1,050 e/1,275 Corporate 1 1956 I 579 70U 790 New capital | State and local 1 1956 I 1955 f 1957 535 1*07 1,223 e/660 3/525 e/325 1955 hOh 696 . 390 535 312 538 April May- 1,1a 1*78 886 687 - 377 1*90 735 1*27 350 6la July August September 1,066 66? 836 597 6hh 670 376 199 333 1*70 21*9 1*06 1,09k 1,162 ^ 632 . 900 61*5 311 kn 919 656 1*08 2,073 2,790 2,571 2,929 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,1*90 1,603 908 . '1,3*3 1,385 1,1*18 1,121* 1,981* 3,093 1*,001 5,301* 2,803 3,927 5,911 816 830 October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter l*th quarter 5/3,361, 1st half Three quarters Year 1,863 . 7 ,k3h 10,363 e/1,510 It, 217 6,128 8,821 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd l*th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/3,16], Year 1,617 2,520 2,263 2,831; 1,727 1,870 1,1*3U 2,551* '9,23k 7,569 y Includes §637•2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue, 2/ Includes $571*5 million AT&T common stock issue. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note,—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. h.lk Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ . Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1956 - Februaiy March April May June July August September October November December 1957 - January Februaiy State and local government 212 278 395 623 185 592 217 558 386 701 h30 567 . 671 Other 2/ kkh 163 157 233 463 16U 35 m 383 135 201 #6 306 50 20 — 37 35 . 100 5o 1 Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 8 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield . m w s of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co, Anaconda Co. Columbus & So. Ohio Elec. Connecticut Lt. & Pwr, Co. Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Southern Counties Gas Co. Sub. notes 25.0 1977 Common stk. 86.7 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 1987 Common stk. 15.3 1st.mtg. P. L, bds. 1*0.0 1977 1st.mtg.bds. 15.0 1982 It 1/2 U.65 — U 1/2 h.hl A h 7/8 h 5/8 4.91 4.53 Baa A 3.50 3.21 3.19 2.35-3.50 2.35-3.25 2.00-3.25 A A A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Houston Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas Seattle, Washington State of Rhode Island € G.O. G.O. G.O. 16.8 1958-87 6.5 1959-77 13.0 1958-85 I -I.1U E-2 Ltiirge Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 8 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost OTHER None 3/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general' obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R. general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L. limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit F E.lk Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and other 2/ Corporate |Other 2/ Corporate local govt, Date of computation 1956 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov; 30 Dec. 31 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 123 380 568 198 1*37 2h7 369 315 683 U36 U76 591 7 ho 220 132 173 332 81 . 131 359 162 U8 280 153 153 37 23 100 35 233' 1,013 818 UU8 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 U81 796 966 795 785 811 832 9hl 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61# 631 37 23 100 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison Co. Central & South West Co. *Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corp. American Natural Gas Co. Dresser Industries, Inc. Consolidated Edison Co, *E1 Paso Natural Gas Co. Appalachian Electric Power Co. Public Service Elec. & Gas Co. Consumers Power Co. Lone Star Gas Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. ^General Public Utilities Corp, 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. Common stk. Common stk. 50.0 21.5 16.3 2U.1 Conv. sub. deb. Conv. deb. 20.0 5U.8 Cum. pfd. stk. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Common stk. 15.0 29.0 50,0 23.5 Conv. pfd. stk. 15.5 Deb, -Common stk. 250,0 20.7 March 3 March 13 March 13 March lit (rights expire) .March lit March 15 (rights expire) March 19 March 20 March 21 March 22 (rights expire) March 25 (rights expire) March 26 March 29 (rights expire) H.lit F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 8 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering CORPORATE (Cont'd) *E1 Paso Natural Gas Co. Southern Company — Conv.2nd pfd.stk. 30.0 / ^Reynolds Metals Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Common stk. 30.1 Common stk. 17.7 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 April 2 (rights expire) April it (rights expire) April (rights expire) Winter • STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Femdale Sch. Dist., Michigan G.O. 5.5 . Chicago, Illinois Wtr. rev. 15.0 Memphis, Tennessee G.O. 11.5 Broward Co. Spec. Tax Sch. Dist.,Fla, G.O. 6.0 Alabama Highway Authority L.L. 1U.0 Commonwealth of Massachusetts G.O. 20.2 Dade Co. Tax Dist. No. 1, Florida G.O, 10.0 Glendale, California Elec. rev. 6.5 Louisiana State Bldg. Authority L.L. 9.9 State of South Carolina G.O. 10.0 Palm Beach Sch. Dist. No. 1, Florida G.O. 6.9 ^Commonwealth of Puerto Rico G.O. 18.3 State of Ohio Thoroughfare rev. 32.0 ^Melbourne, Florida Wtr. & swr. rev 6.8 ^Jefferson Co., Texas G.O. 5.U Los Angeles City Sch. Dist,, Calif. G.O. 20.0 Jacksonville Expressway Authority Rev. 1*2.0 ^Milwaukee, Wisconsin G.O, 22.2 State of California G.O. 75.0 Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. 62.0 Inter-American Center Auth.,Florida Rev. " 20.0 New York State Thruway Authority G.O. 50.0 Florida State Turnpike Authority Rev. 185.0 Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Rev. 65.0 State of Connecticut Expressway rev. 5U.0 uinj-oV None March 11 March 12 March 13 March ll* March 19 March 19 March 20 March 20 March 20 March 20 March 25 March 26 March 27 March 27 April 1 April 2 April 9 April 16 April 2h Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter H.lU F-3 *—Included in table for first time, 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over, 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: University of Illinois, $6.8 million issue — reduced to less than $5 million by rejection of bid for part of issue. H.14 Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ A-rated offering yields Aa-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) Date . 1952 average 1953 average 1954 average 1955" average 1956 average 1956 - January February March April May ' . June . July 3 3.16 3.1*6 3.02 3.23 3.81 13 16 2 9 35 *3.15 3.28 *3.77 *3.53 *3.52 3 11 40 19 18 None I j 18 25 August 1 30 September 11 13 25 October 10 31 November 21 • December 6 12 1957 - January 8 16 18 22 • 24 February 5 19 27 . March 6 . 3.62 3.70 26 33 4.07 4.20 4.17 4.01 52 62 58 37 4.20 4.30 48 . 52 4. 30 47 4.50 62 4.43 56 4.40 4.29 4.25 53 > 45 4.22 11 26 -3 12 ' 28 ' 3.35 3.78 3.12 .3.33 3.7i* • . None 1 3.45 3.61 3.76 *3.75 3.82 -6 15 26 28 27 28 4.00 43 4.40 !j 4.58 " 63 70 4.67 70 4.56 57 4.41 35 46 43 -x—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure arid the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings.during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years.