Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 1, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX SOUTHS H.1U March 1, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS S t a t e and l o c a l governments o f f e r e d $71 m i l l i o n of l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s during the week ending February 2h. Two l a r g e c o r p o r a t e stock i s s u e s were also p u b l i c l y f l o a t e d f o r new c a p i t a l l a s t week, but no l a r g e o f f e r i n g s are expected t h i s week. S t a t e and l o c a l governments are scheduled t o o f f e r l a r g e i s s u e s with t o t a l proceeds of $1$3 m i l l i o n , including the $100 m i l l i o n o f f e r i n g f o r t h e Connecticut Expressway. Expected March volume - The March e s t i m a t e f o r corporate new c a p i t a l i s s u e s i s $750 m i l l i o n , more than UO per cent below t h e volume f o r March of 1955- L a s t y e a r , however, two i s s u e s alone accounted f o r most of t h e volume of l a r g e i s s u e s , and almost h a l f of t h e t o t a l of a l l new c a p i t a l f l o t a t i o n s . This y e a r only about o n e - s i x t h of t o t a l volume i s expected i n l a r g e p u b l i c i s s u e s , none of which compares i n s i z e with the General Motors or GMAC i s s u e s of l a s t March. New c a p i t a l o f f e r i n g s f o r the f i r s t t h r e e months of t h i s year are estimated a t $2,160 m i l l i o n , four per cent below the $2,2U3 m i l l i o n a y e a r ago. The estimated March volume f o r S t a t e and l o c a l government f i n a n c i n g i s &U25 m i l l i o n , about o n e - f i f t h below t h e corresponding t o t a l a year ago, and more than o n e - t h i r d l e s s than l a s t month's volume. The f i r s t q u a r t e r estimate of t o t a l volume i s $1,1*75 m i l l i o n , s i x per cent above the corresponding t o t a l f o r 1955* Bond y i e l d s - Corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l government bond y i e l d s did not change during the week ending February 2hYields on U. S. Government long-term bonds (old and new s e r i e s ) r o s e , as can be seen i n the attached e x h i b i t s . Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stocks rose t o a new high of 271.2 during the week ending February/ 2h i n tile l a r g e s t average d a i l y t r a d i n g volume t h i s y e a r . P r i c e s decreased on balance through Wednesday of t h i s week, with the i n i t i t a l advance on Wednesday morning following the P r e s i d e n t ' s announcement o f f s e t by s u b s t a n t i a l d e c l i n e s i n the a f t e r n o o n . More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l mark e t developments i s presented i n t h e attached e x h i b i t s . H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a o \ U. S. GOVERNMENT : long-lerm / STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a U. S. Govt., long-term 2 / Date Corporate Aaa 1 / Old s e r i e s New s e r i e s Spread between S t a t e and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. ( o l d s e r i e s ) and Corporate IState and Aaa 3 / Aaa [ l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 3-1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3-17 2.91 3.1k 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (1/23) (12/23) (V7) (1/6) (2/2lt) 3.09 3.09 3.08 3.07 3.07 3-15 2.78 2.7U 2.UU 2.9k 2.62 2.90 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) 3.03 (8/5) (8/5) 2.89 (6/10) (1/7) 2.96 ( 1 / 6 ) (1/6) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 2.29 2.17 2.83 2.81 2.81 2.80 2.83 2.9k 2.92 2.93 2.93 2.9k 2.27 2.2k 2.18 2.17 2.17 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (1/5) (2/23) • 19 •k3 :S .13 .28 • 2k .26 .28 .27 .8k • 30 .61 • 29 1 .56 • 56 1 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of d a i l y figures-. The old s e r i e s i n c l u d e s f u l l y t a x a b l e , marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955, and t h o s e due or c a l l a b l e i n 10-12 y e a r s t h e r e a f t e r ; the average term t o f i r s t c a l l of t h e bonds included d e c l i n e d from Ik years i n e a r l y 1953 t o 11 1 / 2 y e a r s i n e a r l y 1955• The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/k per cent bond of 1978-83. 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average tern i s 20 y e a r s . N o t e . - - H i g h s and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS Weekly V* Date ! Corporate Baa 1 / . State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3-Uli 3-63 3-1*5 3.62 3.58 January 27 February 3 February 10 February 17 February 2k 3.59 1% 3.58 3.58 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/lU) (1/6) (2/2U) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.26 3.20 3.22 3.22 3.22 3.20 3.20 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (1/5) (2/23) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 2.91 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (1/6) ' (2/2U) 2.90 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are inducted; average term i s 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average terra i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Stock p r i c e index 1 / Common Trading stock volume 2 / (millions y i e l d s 3/ of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' d e b i t b a l - loans to ances h / "others" 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 167-1 1UU.0 221.U 156.5 270 . 7 217-U 271.2 257-U (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/ 30) (1/lU) (2/2U) (1/20) 269-2 262.8 260.9 266.U 271.2 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.u U.6 ' 1.5 2.6 2.0 2.1i 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.6 5.75 5.15 5-33 U-20 1.22 3.78 2,165 2,055 3,U36 2,1*05 r/U,030 " 3,537 n.a. n.a. U-06 U.08 r/U,030 U,0lt0 1,665 1,31h 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 780 66U l,0lt8 7U6 1,2U1 1,018 1,267 l,2ia " 2,786 1,239 1,25U 1,2U6 1,252 n.a.—Not available. ' — — — — — — — — — — — — r / Revised. 1 / SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939=100; converted to 19H7-U9-100 try Federal Reserve. The-conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91. 2 / Averages o f d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. ~V Moody's 200 common, s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stodc Exchange which cariy margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or c a r i y i n g U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans t o o t h e r s . N o t e . — H i # i s and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D H.lU Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate 1955 1 New capital 195U 1956 5U6 U36 1,261 H U26 635 e/UOO e/650 e/U25 April May June U9U 903 697 July August September 583 65U 680 1956 January . February March e/735 e /675 e/7# 1 1,207 y 631 921 October November December & 1st quarter " 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year e/2,l60 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year e/l,660 2,2U3 2,09U 1,917 2,760 9,01U State and. l o c a l 1 1955 1 195U 396 535 312 538 u U97 656 8U2 U27 350 6U1 a 853 909 335 7U7 U70 2U9 U06 279 261 • 6U9 1,003 290 60U 919 658 e/UOO 59U U23 " 877 1,385 1,U18 1,12U e/1,977 e/5,90U 1,372 2,33U 1,188 1,89U 6,789 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 , 7,U90 e/l,U75 Excluding finance companies 2 / 1,791 1,912 1,UU1 e/2,560 e/7,70U 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 T / Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 2 / Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due t o rounding. # H. lit Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury ) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1955 - January' February March April MayJune July August September , October November December 1956 - January State and l o c a l government 1hi 63 750 173 U83 175 101 U05 328 805 269 215 95 Other 2/ 3k 1 107 337 238 152 U03 278 65 23U 716 396 205 192 35 15 25 50 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 2k [ Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Northwestern Bell Telephone Reynolds Metals - Chemical Corn Exchange Bank So. C a l i f . Edison M. Lowenstein & Sons Hoppers Co., Inc. Tennessee Gas Transmission- Deb. Pfd. s t k . . 25.0 Uo.o Com. s t k . Pfd. s t k . Conv. sub.deb. Com. s t k . 26.0 30.7 3L 3 15.6 Pfd. s t k . 1996 3 1/U 3.15 Aaa 1981 L 3/8 U.38 Ba 1.85-3.10 1.80-2.75 1.70-2.75 A Aaa A W.O STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Public Housing Auth. I New Orleans, Louisiana ( G.O. G.O. 13.2 106.8 11.5 1958-81 1956-90 1957-95 ~'2 .U9 2.69 2.57 H.1U E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 2h (Cont'd) Issuer type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) e s t cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. C a l i f . Lubbock, Texas New York State Thruway Chicago, I l l i n o i s Puerto Rico Los Angeles, C a l i f . Montgomery Co., Md. Indianapolis, Ind. Rochester, New York Weber Basin Water Cons. D i s t r i c t , Utah Rev. G.O.-Rev. G.R. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 7.3 9.8 50.0 12.0 9-5 2U.0 6.8 18.0 7-h . 5-U 1957-81 1957-81 1985-95 196^-78 1957-76 1957-86 , , 1957-86 1958-87 1957-69 2.2k 2.80 2.U2 2.60 2.78 2.U7 2.88 2.29 1.89 1.50-2.35 1.90-2.85 2.25-2.UO 2.30-2.65 1.90-2.75 1.65-2.25 1.85-3.00 1.65-2.38 1.50-1.90 1960-96 3.38 2.50-3.50 Aa A Aaa A A Aa Baa Aaa Aaa OTHER 1/ Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 million and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government security o f f e r i n g s of $5. million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes gene r a l obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally s e cured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. V 198U-86 m a t u r i t i e s not r e o f f e r e d . e H.1U Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Corporate jother 2 / Date of computation — Feb* 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 . July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 710 211 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 52U 208 116 339 3UU 100 18k 8U3 330 205 ' 121 . 327 220 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and j o t h e r 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. ~ —— 50 — 1,395 922 1,111 850 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 85 376 233 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,8U5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of Februaiy 2it Issuer ' Type Amount | Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Bell Telephone of Pennsylvania . Westcoast Transmission, Ltd. Houston Lighting and Power *Freuhouf T r a i l e r Co. New York -Telephone Southern California Gas Sheraton Corporation of America Deb. Sub. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. Ref. mtg. bds. Mtg. bds. Deb. 35.0 20.5 30.0 37-5 55-0 10.0 15.0 March March March March . April May 1956 6 7 7 7 30 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Fort Worth, Texas Connecticut Expressway Los Angeles Co., C a l i f . S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a San Antonio, Texas Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Penn Township School D i s t r i c t , Pa. S t . Louis, Missouri G.O.-Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. 10.0 100.0 7.9 30.0 5.0 70.0 5.3 12.2 Februaiy February Februaiy Februaiy March 1 March 6 March 6 March 6 27 28 28 29 . H.llt F-2 - Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of February 2U (Cont'd) Issuer - Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND.LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Santa C l a r a , C a l i f o r n i a Denver, Colorado, School D i s t . //I Bethlehem Authority, Pa. S t a t e of North Carolina * S t a t e of Alabama S t a t e of New Hampshire . *San Diego, C a l i f o r n i a * S t a t e of Oklahoma *Dallas, Texas Georgia Rural Roads Authority F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e Toll Bridge Auth. S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 5.2 28.5 8.0 25.0 15.0 l?-3 6.0 11.6 8.5 15-5 185.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 March 6 March 7 March 8 March lit March lit . March 15 March 15 March 20 March 26 May Late spring 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER ^ None -a—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . l / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and local""government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . e ?