Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 9, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS — ^ H.lli ' June 9, 1958 = CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security issues for new capital during the week ending June 6 totaled #100 million for corporations and $56 million for State and local governments. This week, the volume of new financing is expected to be somewhat smaller- Large corporate issues are expected to total $75 million and no large State and local government issues (issues of *10 million and over) are scheduled for sale. New exhibits - A new exhibit — F — is included in this report for the first time this week. It presents data on the volume of long-term bond offerings made in the United States by foreign governments, long- and short-term issues sold by Federal agencies but not ' guaranteed by the Federal government (issues of the Banks for Cooperatives, Federal Intermediate Credit Banks, Federal Land Banks, Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal home Loan Banks) and shorttern security offerings of State and local governments. The exhibit will be shown every week and will be kept as current as available data permit. Data shown in tnis cxuibit differ, from those presented on long-term, corporate and State and local government security offerings in Exhibit E in that the new exhibit includes all security offerings, while Exhibit E includes only issues sold to obtain new capital. Data on individual large long-term foreign government and Federal agency issues recently sold or definitely scheduled for future sale will be included in Exhibits G and H. Information on current developments in mortgage financing will shortly be added to this weekly report, which will hereafter be distributed in the early part, rather than the later partsof the week. The data to be added on mortgage financing will include charts and tables on mortgage interest rates, mortgage recordings, and FNFiA activities„ Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on State and local government Aaa-rated and U. S. Government obligations increased, while those for lower rated State and local government bonds remained stable„ Yields on corporate bonds declined slightly. Stock prices - Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stock prices continued to increase last week, closing at 14;.61* on June 6, Current levels are 13 per cent above the December 1957 low and 9 per cent below the July 1957 high. Trading activity also increased last week, averaging 2.7 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS u. s. G O V E R N M E N T / LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS I A H.lU Exhibit B Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ State and local govt. Aaa y Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 1954 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low May 9 May 16 May 23 May 30 June 6 E/ 3.42 2.85 4.14 3.68 3.55 (6/19) (4/23) (9/27) (1/3) (5/2) 3.19 2.15 3.76 3.28 3.07 (6/5) (8/6) (10/16) (1/31) (4/25) (6/25) (9/2) (8/29) (1/9) (5/D 2.66 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.72 3.14 • 3.15 3.13 — 3.13 3.14 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.56 2.73 1.90 3.45 2.86 2.64 .38 .30 .60 .51 .28 .83 .30 .47 .62 .34 .43 .42 .44 .44 .42 .48 .44 .42 .42 .42 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa j/ Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953 1954 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low May 9 May 16 May 23 May 30 June 6 eZ 3.89 3.44 5.10 4.96 4.58 4.63 4.62 4.62 4.60 4.58 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) ^ (6/6) 3.79 (6/25) 2,93. (8/5) 4.51 (8/29) 3.92 (1/2) 3.64 (5/1) .69 .52 1.27 1.28 1.02 1.21 .93 1.21 1.11 -99 3.65 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.03 1.02 .99 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 £/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note. —Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different for FRASER dates for different series. Digitized STOCK MARKET Millions of Dollars 1941 43 Averoge-10 STOCK MARKET CREDIT Exhibit D Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common Stock market customer credit Customers' . Bank volume 2/ stock (millions yields 3/ Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances h/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* -High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.5k (1/2) 2.5 22.95 (9/18) 0.9 35.98 (12/31)> 3.7 1.1* 2U.93 (1/8) 1*.6 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/HO 1.5 49.61* (8/3) 3.1 1*3.22 (1/20) 1.5 . 1*. 2 1*9.08 (7/12) 1.1* 39.1*8 (12/20) l*l*.61i (6/6) 2.8 1*0.37 (1/10) 1.7 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 1*.1*2 3.61* 1*.35 3.82 1*.72 3.91 1*.58 1*.09 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 1*,047 3,911* 1*,031 3,576 3,980 3,551* 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 780 661* 1,01*8 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 2,735 2,1*87 1,21*5 1,051 March April May 23 May 30 June 6 g/ 1*2.11 1*2.31* 1*3.87 1*1*.09 1*1*. 61i 1*5 35 1*.33 1*.16 ii.ll* 1*.09 3,863 3,980 2,665 2,735 n.a. n.a. 1,198 1,21*5 1,226 1,213 2.2 2.1* 2.5 2.3 2.7 •• n.a.—Not available, p/ Preliminary. * 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19l*l-U3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted, to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firais of the.New York Stock Exchange which cariy margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibits H.Ik Long—term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March i.'Ss/ April May June e/900 723 1 Corporate 1957 1 1,060 1,065 1,320 New capital 1956 573 712 817 1958 State and local 1/ 1 1956 1957 1 812 953 511 71*2 572 506 1*01* 696 390 795 765 51*6 393. 378 1*90 735 ;s 1,1*53 818 1,11*6 81a July August September 1,003 92k 973 1,063 651* 838 529 581* 1*31 1*08 206 357 October November December 1,090 789 1,076 71*5, / 1,0892/ 1,088 . 698 633 698 639 31*7 1*09 3,1*1*5 3,11*9 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year e/2'675 5/5,810 i:S3 6,59 It 9,1*93 12,W S:S 10,381 $fo 2,276 e/2,201 1,820 1,701*. 1,51*1* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 e/l*,l*77 3,52k 5,069 7,099 h,06k 5,1*59 Excluding finance companies k/ 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810- 1,61*7 2,51a 2,2li6 2,826 11,5.18 9,260 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve3 later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 3/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. h/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance 5/• companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Exhibit F H.lU Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ 193T 19 56 1958 I 1957 ~19ffi m r January February. March 196 53 April May June 8U U9 30 37 123 50 8 hd U2 95 July August September 28 7 30 2 39 October . November December h 60 a Year 233 160 2/271 April May e/520 125 109 215 100 507 300 512 326 . U55 ; 1U7 205 337 . 153 - 638 U30 505 380 220 283 125 252 176 209 336 L69 501 323 31U 260 22k 370 512 U2$ October November December 303 2 9h 328 1U8. 3,271* Federal agency y 371 208 liiU 195 207 179 U59 169 196 357 2U9 272 272 252 9h 60 60 5 21 July August September Tear 72 1 State and local government hf January February March 1,163 251 2,706 222 273 U07 1,238 255 116 222 128 5,5U3 3 - h$l e/ Estimated. g/ Preliminary. 5 l/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit F in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities arc defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. 3/ Issues not guaranteed by the U . S . Government. h/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public DigitizedHousing for FRASER Authority notes. In some instances FHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one year. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis H.lli Exhibit G Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) ___ Corporate Month 1957 - May State and local government 176 81 221* 266 133 393 3^ 1*01* 1*10 553 182 300 505 329 877 525 526 537 571* 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 July August September October November December 1958 - January February March April May Other 2/ 25 99 25 21*5 75 100 1,378 266 653 165 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 6 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity of net inter- yield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Consolidated Edison Co. 1st.ref.mtg.bds. 50.0 1988 Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Pfd. stk. 15.0 Owens-Illinois Glass Co. S.F. deb. 3U.7 1988 lj. 3 3/U 3.85 Aa 3.72 Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Port of New York Authority Tulsa Mun. Airport Trust, Oklahoma OTHER None n.a.—Not available. Rev.-Ut. 35.0 1988/68 3-UU 3.1*0 A Rev.-Ut. 20.5 1983/59 n.a, 1*.50 Baa G-2 2/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10. million and over, 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.0„, denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. H.lii Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuxy) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - May 31 June 28 July 31 •Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 During month following date shown Corporate | ^ % ^ | o t h e r 2/ 525 370 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 266 | 87 153 218 183 331* 339 363 3U5 370. 131* 298 1*93 177 — 25 V 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 Subsequent to date shown Corporate | Other 2/ 1*07 1*79 1*71 379 551 51*3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 525 1*15 811 81*5 • 6U7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 6?0 561 1*61* 25 , 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of Jvne 6 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Virginia Electric & Power Co. Niagara Mohawk Power Corp. Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. Mountain Fuel Supply Co. Pacific Power & Light Co. United Gas Corp. ^Standard Oil Co, of California Florida Power Corp. Pacific Gas & Electric Co. New England Telephone & Telegraph Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Consolidated Natural Gas Co. 1st ref. mtg. bds. Gen. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. Common stk. 25.0 50.0 15.0 16.0 20.0 ltO.O 150.0 25.0 20.0 22.6 Deb., bds. & common 1*5.0 1st mtg. bds. 1*0.0 S.F. deb. 1*5.0 June 11 June 12 June 17 June 19 June 25 June 26 June 26 July 2 July 8 t (rights expire) July 11 (rights expire) 1958 1956 1950 H-2 H.ii* Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 6 (Cont'd) Amount 'lApproximate date STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT^/ State of New York State of Minnesota -»-hilwaukee, Wisconsin State of Texas haiyland State Roads Commission ' State of Ohio . G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. . G.O. Rev.-S.T. 1+9.0 35.0 17.8 . 12.5 25.0 31.0 June June June June June July 17 17 17 18 2b 22 S.F. deb. 35.8 June 20 OTHER Metropolitan. Toronto, Canada -*high Authority of European Coal & Steel Community -xHigh Auth. of European Coal & Steel Community Bonds 25.0 June 26 Wotes 15.0 June 26 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and . Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies, 3/ Beginning with this report only State and local government issues with proceeds of &L0 million and over will be included. As a result of this change, issues under $10 million previously included have, been deleted. Exhibit I H.lU Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) Date 1952 - 1957 High' Low ; i 1958 - January February March k 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/51) 87 -3 *3.60, 3.89^/ -8 22 li.l5 1.22 li.00 ii.00 hh 50 28 26 14.05 3.98 ii.oo 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 21 3.85 3.65 16 16 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00v3/17/510 3.9&E/ 1.07 L.25 li.07 123 -15 3 9 6 . -7 3.98 5 li. Oh 1.00 li 3 1.07 U.35 32 h.OO 3.95 -1 -6 h •k•—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Coders only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are avers pes of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned is:ics of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the. seasoned issi varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.