Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 8, 1956
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.Ik June 8, 1956 CAPITAL - MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of publicly offered securities was quite small during the holiday-shortened week ending June 1; the only large issue sold was a $25 million corporate issue. This week, ending June 8, the volume will be quite substantial with large corporate issues totaling $105 million and State and local government.issues of $78 million scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding U. S. Government and State and local government bonds declined further during the week ending June 1, while yields on Aaa-iated corporate bonds were stable and Baa corporate yields increased slightly. Yields on newly-offered corporate issues apparently have changed little in recent weeks; an Aa-rated electric utility bond issue was reoffered at 3.57 per cent on June h, about the same yield as on a similar offering of May 2b. Stockyprices - Common stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265stocks, recovered some of their May losses last week, but, at 272.9 on June 1, were, still well below their earlier levels. Trading volume continued to be light. Daily indexes indicate that on balance there was some further increase in prices through Thursday of this week. More detailed information concerning recent market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly I CORPORATE Aaa 1953 1954 1955 long-term 2/ Date Corporate Aaa y Old series New series 1956 Spread between State and U. S. Govt, local govt. (old series) and Aaa 3/ Corporate 1 State and Aaa 1local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.30 3.07 May 1* May 11 May 18 May 25 June 1 3.30 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27 ~ (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (li/23) (12/23) (1/7) (5/U) (3/2) (6/6) 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.1*1* 2.9U 2.62 3.08 2.80 n.a. (12/26) n.a. (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) ( V 7 ) 2.89 (6/10) (V20) 3-.13 (U/20) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 2.51 2.17 2.99 2.98 2.9k 2.89 2.87 3.08 3-05 3.03 3.00 2.99 2.51 2.1*8 2.W*. 2.10, 2.1*2 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .13 .1*0 .13 .31 .29 .33 .38 .1*0 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .68 .1*5 .1*8 .50 .50 . .1*5 .1*5 l7 Weekly average of daily figures.Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS W u Date STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 1/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 19# - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.Wi 3.63 3.U5 3.7U 3.58 May h May 11 May 18 May 25 June 1 3.72 3.72 3.73 3.73 3.74 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1U) (6/1) (3/9) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.UU 3.20 3.Ui 3.1*0 3.37 3.33 3.31 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (5/3) (3/8) 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 (3/1) 2.72 (8/13) 2.99 (12/30) 2.76 (1/7) 3.12 (U/27) 2.89 (2/2U) 3.10 3.06 3.0U 3.0U 3.03 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET 1953 Date Stock price index 3/ 1954 1955 1956 Trading Comnon volume 2/ (millions yields 2/ of shares) (per cent) narket customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances h/ "others" $/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 ll*l*.0 221.li 156.5 270.7 217 .U 290.8 257.lt April May May 18 May 25 June 1 286.8 280.1 279.1 268.0 272.9 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/llt) (l*/6) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1, U.6 1.5 3.1 2.0 5.75 5.15 5.33 1*.20 U.22 3.78 li.08 3.68 2 ,1*1*5 2,055 3,1,36 2,1*05 U,030 3,537 l*,0l*3 3,991 1,665 1,311. 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,788 2,71*0 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,237 2.6 2.1* 2.2 2.3 2.2 3.69 l*,0l*3 2,788 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,255 1,21*0 1,237 1,21*0 n.a. n.a.—Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 comnon stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 1967-1*9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 comnon stocks; end of month figures. ljJ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. '<0 H.Ik Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 19# January February March April May June Corporate .'1955 1 State and loc;,1 1 1955 1 i 1954 535 312 538 1*78 886 687 k97 656 8U2 e/350 a/500 e/700 U27 . 350 6kl . 73k 7k8 853 597 6kk 670 909 335 7k7 U70 2k9 ko6 279 261 6h9 1,162 632 900 1,003 290 60k 919 658 I1O8 59k k23 877 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995. 1,991 1,896 7,k90 e/890 a/1,050 e/675 2,073 e/2,815 1950 kOk 696 e/375 535 k07 1,223 October November December New capital 195k 5k 7 k26 . 635 579 70k 790 July August September Tst quarter ®id quarter 3rd quarter kth quarter Year 1 e/l,l»75 e/1,550 1,385 1,418 1,12k 1,98k 5,911- . 3# 111 : 565 1,372 2,33k 1,188 1,89k 6,789 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year I I | 1 1,617 e/2,615 1,727 1,870 l,k3k 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 je/ £/£> ujjiidueu. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue., 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 8 ' - ' H.Ui Exhibit E Largo Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1955 - April May State and local government 238 152 403 278 65 234 716 401 227 192 444 163 . 157 233 173 483 175 101 4o5 328 805 221 #3 95 212 278 395 623 July August . September October • November December 1956 - January February March April May Other 2/ ' 15 25 50 50 EM* Large Individual Issues Offered during May • Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount 1 (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of dollars)| est cost CORPORATE Duke Povrer Kaiser Aluriiinum & Chem. General Telephone Calif. Oregon Power -General American Trans. Niagara Mohawk Power General Electric Northern Illinois Gas Consolidated Edison Southern Cal. Gas Lockheed Aircraft Mountain States Telephone ' & Telegraph 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 30.0 Ccnv. pref. stk. 3P=0 Conv. deb. 53.0 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 Conv. deb. 23.8 Gen'l. mtg. bds. 30,0 Deb. 300.0 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 40.0 Deb. 30.0 Deb. 25.0 1986 3 5/8 3.50 Aaa 1971 1986 1981 u 3 7/8 k it .00 3.80 4.00 A Baa 1986 1976 1981 3 5/8 3 1/2 3 3/1) 3.55 3.47 3.70 Aa Aaa A 1986 1981 1976 3 5/8 3 7/8 . It 1/2 3.55 3.75. 4.50 Aa Aa Baa 1990 3 1/2 3.45 Aaa —— H.lii E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered 'during May (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Allegheny Co. Sanitary Auth., Pa. Baltimore, Maryland La Mesa, Lemon Grove & Spring Valley Irrigation Dist., Cal. Los Angeles, Calif. Dept. of Water & Power Great Falls, Montana Pasadena, Calif. Tulsa, Oklahoma Salt River Project, Ariz. Toledo, Ohio Dade Co., Fla., Special Tax School Dist. No. 1. Omaha,Neb., School Dist. Port of N. Y. Auth., N. I. ate of Minnesota aveland, Ohio Baltimore County Metropolitan Dist., Md. Houston, Texas Mahoning Valley Sanitary Dist., Ohio Kansas City, Missouri § Rev. G.O. 25.0 25.0 1961-96 1958-82 3.35 2.81 2.75-3.35 2.10-2.80 Aa 5.2 1966-96 3.90 3.30-3.85 Baa Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 9.0. 5.0 11.0 5.0 11.0' 5.o 1957-86 1973 1958-71 1958-81 1960-87 1958-77 2.91 it. 35 2.47 2.82 3.36 2.51 2.10-2.95 Aa . 2.00-2.50 2.20-2.85 2.65-3.35 2.00-2.56 Aa A A Aa G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. 15.0 20.0 30.0 10.0 16.2 1959-76 ^ 1958-77 1986 1959-71 1957-76 3.31 2.28 3,Ok 2,23 2.h3 2.60-3.20 1.85-2.30 3=00 1.95-2-25 1.80-2.55 Baa Aa A Aa Aa G.O. G.O. 10.0 17.0 1959-96 1956-81 2.82 2.66 2.20-2.95 2.OO-2.9O A A ' G.O. G.O. 6.0 7.1 1957-76 1957-76 2.89 2.31 2.10-2.90 1.80-2.W A ' Aa G.O. * . OTHER None l/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues, 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. V 1972-76 maturities not reoffered. jy 1971-76 maturities not reoffered. I R.lh Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Corporate State and o t h e r 2 / local govt. Date of computation 1555 - hay 31 June 30 'July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 160 ,67 kOl 222 805 202 215 ~ 70 176 123 380 568 198 339 3UU 100 184 8143 330 205 121 327 , Subsequent to date shown Coip orate State and Other 2/ local govt. 50 220 132 173 332 850 830 1,135 #0 909 U12 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 448 1,861 1,81*5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 941 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 1 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison U. S.- Plywood Household-Finance -^Combustion Engineering •^Halliburton Oil Well Cementing Co. ^National Gypsum Boston Edison American Telephone and Telegraph CIT Financial Pacific Finance 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. Conv. sub. deb. Common- stk. Common stk. 40.0 15.0 50.0 15.0 25.9 20.0 Pfd. stk. Deb. Deb. Deb, 18.0 250.0 75.0 25,0 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 6.0 8.5 30.0 5.3 22.0 6.0 June 5 June 6 June 6 June 15 June 20 June 25 • (rights expire) June July 10 1956 1956 STATE-AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Washington Toll Bridge Authority Cincinnati, Ohio New York, New York Denver, Colorado Chicago, Illinois Tallahassee, Florida June 5 June 5 June 5 June 6 June 6 Jun e 7 H.1U F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June, 1 (Cont'd) m Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Pennsylvania General State Auth. Georgia Rural Roads Authority State of California -xHudscn County, New Jersey Long Beach, California Grant County Public Utility District, Washington Public Housing Authorities Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Per.r sylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. "Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. - Rev. Rev. 20.0 15.5 50.0 - 5.1 5.9 163.0 110.0 185,0 65.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 . June 12 June 12 June 23 June Ik June 21 June June Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None *—Included in table for- first time. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of y>l5 million and over; State and local "government issues of &5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. | 9