Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 4, 1958
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Not for Publication n B C O m O l M , AFTER SIX MONTHS H.ll; June k, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security issues for new capital during the week ending May 29 totaled $65 million for corporations and $158 million for State and local governments. The calendar for this week includes corporate offerings amounting to $100 million and State and local government issues totaling $Ll million. Bond yields - Yields remained stable last week for all categories of outstanding bonds, except those for Baa-rated corporate bonds, which declined slightly. Yields on new corporate issues also show little change. A new Aa-rated, first and refunding mortgage bond issue was offered to investors this week to yield 3*B5_£er cent — the same as for comparable offerings made on May 20 and May 21. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, increased last week to Wi.09, slightly above the previous high for the year. Prices continued to increase the early part of this week, closing at ij.i4.-U6 on Tuesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum i 4.00 3.50 CORPORATE j Moody's */ r Aaa i W x : A-/. 3.00 U . S. G O V E R N M E N T 1 U | long-le rm ' STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Moody's Aaa I i J 2.00 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt. Aaa J/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low . 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low May May May May May 2 9 16 23 30 3-U2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) 2.85 (U/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.07 (3/2) . h.lh (9/27) 3.66 (U/12) 3.68 (1/3) 3.55(5/2) 3.55 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.19 (6/5) 2 .71* (12/31) 2.71 (1/8) 2.1t5 (8/6) 2.97 (8/5) 2.6k (1/7) 3.L5 (12/28) 2.81* (2/17) 3.76 (10/18) •3.18 (2/8) 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 1.90 2.31* 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.1*5 (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/29) 3.28 (1/31) 3.07 (ii/25) 2.76 (2/21) 2.86 (1/9) 2.61* (5/1) 3.15 3.13 3.13 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.6k 2.66 .38 .20 .1*3 .30 .27 .11 .2*1 .12 .60 .27 .51 .28 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 .k7 .15 .62 .31* .ill .1*3 .1*2 .1*1* Jik .50 .1*8 .1*1* .1*2 .1*2 .83 .33 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum 5.0 CORPORATE Moody's Baa — 4.5 H 4.0 / STATE AN D LOCAL Moody's GOVT. Baa. - / 19 5 3 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 * Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa ZJ Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - high Low 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.74 (1/8) 3 . a . (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.15 (1/14) it .41 (12/28) 3.58 (3/9) 5.10 (11/29) 4.42 (4/12) 4.96 (1/3) 4.6o (5/30) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/0) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02(1/6) 4.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 4.51 (8/29) 3.90(2/21) 3.92 (1/2) 3.6ii (5/1) .69 .42 .68 .52 .54 .45 .63 .42 1.27 . 6I4. 1.28 1.03 May May May May May 4.66 4.63 4.62 4.62 4.60 3.64 3.65 3.76 3,76 3.76 1.11 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.03 2 9 16 . 23 30 . 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.04 1.11 .99 . 1.00 .99 1.05 1.05 . 1.05 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-2o /-ears. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET M i l l i o n s of Dollars 1 I I l I i——i—i——i—i——i—i—i—i—i——i—i——,—i—:—h-t——i—,——,—,— 1941-43 A v e r a a e O O 2800 2000 : i l ii VOLUME YIELDS 1955 Millions of Shares 10 Stock price - Index 1/ Trading ~ Common Stock market customer credit volume 2/ stock Customers' Bank (millions yields 3/ debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances 4/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1933 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low . 1958 - High . Low 26.5k (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 2L93 (1/8) 15.69 (12/9). 35.28 (1/14) 49.64 (8/3) 13.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.48 (12/20) 44.09 (5/30) 10.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 4.2 1.4 2.8 1.7 March April May 16 May 23 May 30 ii2.11 42.34 13.36 W.8? 44.0 9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.3 6.25 5.38 5.82 • 4.32 4.42 • 3.64 4.35 3.82 4.72 3.91 , 4.58 . 4.14 4.35 4.33 4.21 4.16 4.14 2,455 2,055 3,436 2,405, . 4,030 3,537 4,047 3,914 4,031 3,576 3,980 3,554 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,740 2,887 2,482 2,735 2,487 780 664 1,048 746 V 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 l,051i " 1,245 1,051 3,863 3,980 2,665 2,735 1,198 1,245 1,225 1,226 n.a. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19Ul-U3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. k/ End of month figures for member firms of the New- York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. £/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series". Exhibit D H.lU Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital Corporate 1958 January February March 1 1957 1 195b 529 58U U3l U08 1,690 789 1,076 1,0892/ 1,088 633 3,W5 3,lU9 2,899 2,95U 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,335 e/2,20U i:E e/U,539 1,003 92U 973 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd Uth 1st half Three quarters Year e/5,810 1956 1,063 65U 838 July August September J'MI 1 378 U90 735 818 1,1U6 8Ul quarter quarter quarter quarter 1957 765 5U6 393 765 1,453 eA.°7 5 433 1 UOU 696 •s April May June State and local 1/ 7U2 572 506 1,060 1,065 1,320 723 1958 6,59U 9,U93 12,UU7 573 10,38U 812 952 571 S 698 698 1,820 390 206 357 % U09 1,70U l,5UU 2,029 1,U90 1,603 971 1,395 3,52U 5,069 7,099 3,093 U,06U 5,U59 Excluding finance companies hj 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter e/1'625 Year " s 2,582 2,810- 11,518 1,6U7 2,5U1 2,2U6 2,826 9,260 e/ Estimated. g/ Preliminary. 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are froa the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 3/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. h/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.--Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lli Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - April May State and local government 111 329 877 525 #6 537 57h h2Q 399 318 605 1,093 725 July Augur, r. Sep r,ember October November December 1958 - January February March April U99 2U8 176 265 357 185 135 38b 1439 506 629 26U 51k, Other 2/ 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 15 . 133 Large Individual Issues Offered during May Issuer Type y Amount Coupon Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield of dollars) est cost Potomac iiilec. Pvir. Co. Conv. dob. 19.7 Deb. R. R. Donnelly & Sons Co. 15.0 Public Serv. Co. of Okla. 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 United Gas Impr. Co. i1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Long Island Lighting Co. 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Long Island Lighting Co. Com. stk. 15.5 Nat'1 Distillers & Chem. S.F. deb. 60.0 Gulf States Utilities Co. 1st mtg; bds. 20.0 Intern11 Tel. & Tel. Co. Conv.sub.deb. 28.7 Illinois Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0Public Service Co. of Colo. Pfd. stk. 16.0 Brooklyn Union Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. 22.0 Central Hudson Gas. & Elec. 1st mtg. bds. 18.0 . Appalachian El. Pwr. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Transcontinental Gas. P.L. 1st mtg. p.l. Corp. bds. 25.0 Transcontinental Gas P.L. - Corp. Cum. pfd. stk.15.0 Rating 3.75 3.85' 3.90 ii.03 1.07 A Aa Aa A A ; a 3/a b a 7/8 h It. 80 3.85 Li' 3.^ Baa Aa tia Aa 1983 1988 1988 h 1/8 lil/8 U 1.05 L.00 3.95 A A A 1978 5/e it.66 Baa 1973 1978 1988 1983 1988 3 3 3 L h 1983 1988 1983 1988 . 3/L 3/h 7/8 1/8 1/8 H.li;' ' E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered during May- (Cont'd) : Issuer Type 3/ Coupon . Amount Offering rate or ^millions Maturity net inter- yield of est cost dollars) Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Peoria Co. .S.D.#l05, 111. State of Connecticut Cook Co., Illinois Fulton Co., Georgia State of West Virginia State of New York Boston, Massachusetts Cincinnati, Ohio Wichita, Kansas State of South Carolina Franklin Co., Ohio Bergen Co. Swr. Auth.,N.J. New York, New York Pittsburgh Sch. Hist., Pa. State of Ohio Greensboro, North Carolina Elizabeth, New Jersey Baltimore Co., Maryland Public Housing Authorities Houston, Texas Richmond-Petersburg Turn. Auth. Louisiana State Bd. of Ed. State of Iowa Territory of Hawaii State of Michigan Tacoma, Washington Pennsylvania State Univ. Pennsylvania State Univ. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.—S.T. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 5.8 29.7 25.0 10.a 5.0 Uo.o 2U.5 13.U 6.8 25.0 10.0 15.8 U7.3 5.0 32.0 10.0 5.0 12.0 69.9 15.6 Aa " 2.56 1.00-2.70 1960-78 Aaa .80-2.70 2.hl 1959-78 A .85-2.80 . 2.51; 1959-73 Aa .80-3.00 2.85 1959-87 .85-2.85 . A 2.65 1959-83 Aaa .75-2.60 2.37 1959-78 A .90-3.10 2.89 1959-78 2.82 .75-3.00 - 1959-98 A .90-3.00 1959-78/68 2.61; Aa .80-2.70 1959-78/731 2.23 Aa .80-2.95 1959-82 2.73 A ' 3.59 1.50-3.65 1961-97/67 A .85-2.90 2.53 1959-73 A .90-2.90 2.50 1959-83 2.67 .75-2.85, ,, Aa 1958-72 .75-3.OOa/ Aa 2.-7U 1959-83 A .90-3.20 2.97 1959-88 A 1960-98 3.09 1..20-3.30 Aaa 2.89 .75-3.05 1959-98/67 A 2.91 .85-3.20 1959-83 Rev.-Ut. 6.2 1995 Rev.-Q.Ut. 1961-88 5.5 G.O. 2U.7 1959-76/58 G.O. 8.0 1961-78 Rev.-S.T. 100.0 1959-82 G.O. 7.9 1960-78/68 Rev.-Rent. 5.0 J1961-83 Rev.-Rent. 7.0 1999 lw 67" 3.00 2.50 3.05 3.31 2.92 n.a. n.a. i;.50 .70-2.60 1.60-3.25 1.00-3.U0 1.20-3.10 1.75-3.U5 3.70 Aaa A A A — — OTHER Montreal, Canada Int. Bk. for Reconstruction and Development S.F. deb. Bds. 2U.5 150.0 1978 1; 3 A lw75 A 1968 ' 3 3/k 3.75 Aa n.a.--Not available. n.r.—Not reoffered. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of §15 million and over; •State and local government security offerings of §5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities,. G.O., denotes general obligationsj Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilitiesj Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue,from specific taxes only* Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. h/ Is of 1983 not reoffered. H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 During month following date shown State and Corporate local govt. Other 2/ 525 370 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 266 97 172 252 . 21*3 370 369 . 387 383 1*29 175 31*0 521* 209 25 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 Subsequent to date shown State and. Corporate local govt. Other 2/ 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 573 589 6ll* 51*6 389 372 530 251 525 1*15 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of May 30 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Consolidated Edison Co. Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. Owens-Illinois Glass Co. Virginia Electric & Power Co. Niagara Mohawk Power Corp. Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. Mountain Fuel Supply Co. Pacific Power & Light Co. United Gas Corp. ^Florida Power Corp. ^Pacific Gas & Electric Co. New England Telephone & Telegraph Commerce Oil Refining Coip. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Consolidated Natural Gas Co. 1st ref. mtg. bds. Pfd. stk. S.F. deb. [ 1st ref. mtg. bds. Gen. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. Conjmon stk. Deb., bds. & common 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 50.0 15.0 35.0 25.0 5o.o 15.0 16.0 20.0 1*0.0 25.0 20.0 22.6 1*5.0 Lo.o 1*5.0 June 1* June.5 June 5 June 11 June 12 June 17 June 19 June 25 June 26 July 2 July 8 (rights expire) July 11 (rights expire) 1958 1958 1958 F-2 H. Hi- Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of May 30 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Kansas City, Missouri Port of New York Authority -sTulsa Municipal Airport Trust, Okla. Pueblo Co. Sch. Dist. No. 60, Colo. Sacramento Utility Dist., Calif. Norfolk, Virginia State of New York State of Minnesota West Allis, Wisconsin Florida Development Commission State of Texas •JfMaiyland State Roads Commission *State of Colorado State"of Ohio G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.—Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O, G.O. Rev.vUt. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.T. 6.1 35.0 20.5 7.8 5.7 6.0 li9.0 35.0 5.9 6.2 12.5 25.0 5.0 31.0 June June June June June June June June June June June June July July k k 6 10 12 17 17 17 17 18 18 2h 1 22 OTHER -^Metropolitan Toronto, Canada S.F. deb. 35.8 20 -*—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. H.lli Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa arid A 1/ Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March h 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/51) *3.60. 3.89^/ 87 -3, -8 22 L15 1.22 ' U.oo Loo a 50 28 26 L05 3.96 In 00 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51) 3.962/ It. 07 1.25 1.07 123 -15 3 9 6 -7 3.98 5 h.OU Loo 11 3 k.Q7 It. 35 b 32 Loo 3.95 -1 -6 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.