Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 30, 1958
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n , H.lii $EC0HTH0IlLBD a f t e r SIX HOHTHS ... ! ,- June 30, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large p u b l i c s e c u r i t y i s s u e s f o r new c a p i t a l d u r i n g t h e week ending June 27 t o t a l e d $75 m i l l i o n f o r c o r p o r a t i o n s , $25 m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e .and l o c a l governments, and $50 m i l l i o n f o r f o r e i g n governments. Another c o r p o r a t e i s s u e — Standard O i l Company of C a l i f o r n i a ' s $150 m i l l i o n debentures— scheduled f o r s a l e l a s t week was postponed i n d e f i n i t e l y because of market c o n d i t i o n s . The c a l e n d a r of l a r g e i s s u e s d u r i n g t h i s h o l i d a y - s h o r t e n e d week i n c l u d e s only two c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $50 m i l l i o n . No l a r g e s t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s a r e expected. Bond y i e l d s - Y i e l d s i n c r e a s e d l a s t week f o r a l l c a t e g o r i e s of o u t s t a n d i n g bonds. The i n c r e a s e was s l i g h t f o r y i e l d s on c o r p o r a t e B a a ' s , b u t s u b s t a n t i a l f o r o t h e r t y p e s of bonds. Y i e l d s on new c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s a l s o i n c r e a s e d l a s t week. An A a - r a t e d f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was o f f e r e d t o i n v e s t o r s a t a y i e l d of 3 . 9 5 p e r c e n t — 13 b a s i s p o i n t s above t h a t f o r a comparable i s s u e o f f e r e d a week e a r l i e r . ' J u l y s e c u r i t y volume - The J u l y volume of c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s f o r new c a p i t a l i s expected t o t o t a l about $1,150 million., t w o - f i f t h s g r e a t e r t h a n t h e r e v i s e d e s t i m a t e of t h e volume i n J u n e , and 15 p e r cent l a r g e r t h a n t h e o f f e r i n g s i n J u l y of l a s t y e a r . Large p u b l i c i s s u e s a r e expected t o t o t a l over $750 m i l l i o n , i n c l u d i n g a $300 mill i o n debenture i s s u e of United S t a t e s S t e e l C o r p o r a t i o n , S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y i s s u e s a r e c u r r e n t l y e s t i m a t e d a t $525 m i l l i o n . T h i s volume would be 10 p e r c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n i n June and about t h e same a s t h e volume i n J u l y 1957. Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , a s measured by Standard and P o o r ' s i n d e x of 500 common s t o c k s , i n c r e a s e d . s l i g h t l y l a s t week, c l o s i n g a Wi.90 on June 27. The volume of t r a d i n g a g a i n averaged 2.7 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day. More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS STATE A N D LOCAL GOVERNMENT L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS H.Ik Exhibit B Tables f o r Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 3 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa J / Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1953 195k 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low May 30 June 6 June 13 June 20 June 27 2 / 3.42 2.85 k.lk 3.68 3.55 (6A9) (li/23) (9/27) (1/3) (5/2) 3.19 2.k5 3.76 3.28 3.07 (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (1/31) (k/25) (6/25) (9/2) (8/29) (1/9) (5/1) 2.71 2.72 2.72 2.75 2.78 3.13 3.11* 3.15 3.21 3.26 3.57 3.56 3.56 3.57 3.61 2.73 1.90 3.1*5 2.86 2.6k .38 .30 .60 .51 .28 .83 .30 .1*7 .62 .3k .16 .k2 .1*1 .36 .35 .1*2 .1*2 .1*3 .1*6 .1*8 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 1953 1551* 1957 1956 - High Low High High Low May 30 June 6 June *13 June 20 June 27 g / 3.89 3.1*1* 5.10 1*.96 li.53 1*.60 1*.58 1*.55 1*.53 1*.51* — (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) ( 6/20) 3.79 2.93 l*.5l 3.92 3.6k 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.8k (6/25) (8/5) (8/29) (1/2) (5A) .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .93 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .99 1.03 1.02 .99 .96 .93 1.05 l.ok 1.0k 1.01 1.06 g / Preliminary. " ~ 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e i n 10 y e a r s or more. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only, general o b l i g a t i o n s bonds a r e included; average t e r a i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. STOCK MARKET Million: of Dollars 1941 43 Ay«rofl»-10 STOCK MARKET CREDIT Exhibit D Stock Market Stock price index 1 / Common Trading stock volume 2/ yields 3/ (millions of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers1 Bank • debit bal- loans t o ances 1*/ "others" 5 / Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low April May June 13 June 20 .June 27 e / 26.51* (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21*. 93 (1/8) 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 ( 1 M ) 1*9.61* (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 (12/20) 65.02 (6A3) 1*0.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*. 2 1.1* 2.8 1.7 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 l*.i*2 3.61* 1*.35 3.82 lt.72 3.91 1*.58 1*.05 1*2.31* 1*3.70 1*5.02 1*1*. 85 1*1*.90 2.1* 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 lt.33 1*.17 li.05 1*.07 1*.07 2,1*55 2,0# 3,1*36 2,1*05 I,030 3,537 1i,0IJ7 3,91k U.031 3,576 II,0(9 3,55k 3,98° It,069 n.a. n.a. 1,665 1,3114 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7UO • 2,887 2,182 2,856 2,1*87 2,735 2,856 780 661* 1,01*8 716 1,2 Ul 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 i,051i 1,296 1,051 i,2U5 1,213 1,217 1,296 g / Preliminary. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 3 / Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 19lil-U3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are f o r Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of d a i l y trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2 / Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly closing p r i c e s by Federal Reserve. k / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. £ / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 70 per cent of loans t o others. For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see Bulletin. Note.--Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. Exhibit E H.Ik Long-term Corporate and State and. Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March 723 April May June 2/1,12k e/700 e/800 July August September e/L,l50 October "November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Tear 3,135 e/2,62li e/5.759 New capital Corporate 1 / State and l o c a l 2/ 1 1956 1 1956 1958 1 1957 1957 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 812 953 511 765 1.U53 818 l,lk6 8kl 795 B/856 e/k75 1,003 92k 973 1,063 65k 838 e/525 1,090 789 1,076 1,088 2,102 3,kk5 3,lk9 2,899 2,95k 2,922 6,59k 9,k93 12,kk7 10,38k i:@ 7k2 506 s 393 529 58k k31 698 633 698 kok 696 390 378 k90 735 k08 • g %7 k09 2,276 e/2,126 1,820 1,70k 1,5kk 2,029 l,k90 1,603 971 . 1,395 e/k,k02 3,52k 5,069 7,099 3,093 k,06k 5,k59 Excluding finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89k e/2,57lt 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 l,6k7 2,5kl 2,2k6 2,826 9,260 11,518 z e / Estimated. — 1 / Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2 / Data through June 19556 aire Bond Buyer data c l a s s i f i e d as new capital byFederal Reserve; l a t e r data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the e a r l i e r data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3 / Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. k/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. 5 / Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Tear " Exhibit F H.lb Other Security O f f e r i n g s 1 / ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Long-term Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ 1958 1958 1 1957 1 1957 1 1956 January February March 196 53 April May June 139 — 81* 1*9 30 37 123 1*8 1*2 50 8 1,163 251 — — — 523 125 60 60 95 July August September 28 7 30 — 215 October November December 1* " 60 1 1*1* 5 21 100 Year 2 39 507 — 109 — - - 300 ~~ 169 572 Short-term S t a t e and l o c a l government 1*/ January February March 1956 72 Federal agency 3/ 233 1*60 273 326 1*55 11*7 196 357 21*9 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 505 380 220 283 357 2/353 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 336 1*69 501 323 314 260 July August September 272 272 252 195 207 . 1 7 9 221* 370 512 222 U25 273 October November December 303 91* 1*59 29h 328 11*8 1,238 255 116 1*07 222 128 2,706 5,51*3 3,1*57 April May June Year ' 3,271* . e / Estimated. p / Preliminaiy. " " 1 / Data presented i n t h i s e x h i b i t d i f f e r from those i n Exhibit E i n t h a t r e f u n d ing i s s u e s , a s well as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , a r e included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s a r e def i n e d as those maturing i n more than one y e a r . 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n t h e United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s . - Source: S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. j j / I s s u e s not guaranteed by t h e U. S. Government. Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission; short-tenu, Federal Reserve. lj/ P r i n c i p a l l y t a x and boad a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t e s , warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority n o t e s . In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one y e a r . Source: Bond Buyer. H.lU Exhibit G Large Long-term Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month ^ 1957 - May June July August September October November December 1958 - January February March April May Coiporate S t a t e and l o c a l government 176 61 22k 266 133 393 3Wt hOh hio 553 182 300 505 329 677 525 #6 537 571 120 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 Other 2 / 25 99 25 245 75 100 1,378 266 653 165 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 27 Type 2 / Amount Coupon r a t e or Offering (millions Maturity n e t i n t e r - y i e l d of dollars) e s t cost Rating CORPORATE Consolidated Edison Co. 1 s t . r e f . m t g . b d s . 5 0 . 0 1988 Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Pfd. s t k . 15.0 O v e n s - I l l i n o i s Glass Co. S.F. deb. 31.7 1988 Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. 1 s t r e f . m t g . b d s . 2 5 . 0 1988 Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Corp. Gen. mtg. bds. 50.0 1988 Oklahoma Gas & Elec. Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. 15.0 1988 Mountain Fuel Supply Co. Deb. 16.0 1983 P a c i f i c Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. 20.0 1988 Wilson & Co. S.F. deb. 15.0 1978 United Gas Corp. S.F. deb. 10.0 1978 U 3 3 3 3 k L k L 3/L 7/8 7/6 7/8 3/8 1/8 5/8 3.85 Aa 3.72 3.82 3.80 3.82 lt.00 It'. 35 it. 20 1U5 Aa Aa Aa Aa A Baa A Baa 3.40 A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Port of New York Authority Tulsa Mun. Airport T r u s t , Oklahoma S t a t e of New York Rev.-Ut. 35.0 198ti/b8 Rev.-Ut. G.O. 20.5 1*9.0 1983/59 1960-2008 2.92 3.1tit 14.50 1 .00-3.25 Baa Aaa -Hellt G-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered June 1 through 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 2 / Amount Coupon ( b i l l i o n s Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r - yield dollars est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Milwaukee, Wisconsin S t a t e of Texas Maryland S t a t e Rds. Comm. t}.0. G.O. Rev.-S.T. 17.8 12.5 25.0 1959-78 2.55 1966-90/73 2.9k 1959-73/66 3.09 OTHER Metro. Toronto, Canada High Auth. of European Coal and S t e e l Com. High Auth. of European Coal and S t e e l Com. .75-2.75 2.10-3.02 1.00-3.10 • S.F. deb. 35.8 1978 h Aaa Aa Aa ' U.05 Bds. 35.0 1978 5 5.2k Ser. n o t e s 15.0 1961-63 k 1/2 It. 60 A — 1 / Includes coiporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. 3 / In t h e Case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O., denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Re.v.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. Exhibit H H.ll* Forthcoming Large Long-tern Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 During month following date shown S t a t e and Corporate Other 2 / l o c a l govt. 525 . 370 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 U98 1,123 555 356 266 768 87 153 218 183 33U 339 363 3U5 370 13U 298 U93 177 225 25 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2/ 1*07 1*79 1*71 379 551 51*3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 525 1*15 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,0U8 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 27 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering Iof dollars) CORPORATE F l o r i d a Power Corp. Martin Co. Northern Indiana Public Service Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Common s t k . P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Common s t k . *New York Telephone Co. Ref. mtg. bds. Mead Corp. Deb. New England Telephone & Telegraph Co, Common s t k . Southern Natural Gas Co. Boston Edison Co. •Boeing Airplane Co. •United S t a t e s S t e e l Corp. • P a c i f i c Lighting Corp. •Washington Water Power Co. •Boeing Airplane Co. •Burroughs Corp. S.F. deb. Pfd. s t k . S.F. deb. S.F. deb. Common s t k . 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. Deb. July 2 July 3 July 7 ( r i g h t s expire) l*l*.l* July 8 ( r i g h t s expire) July 10 65.0 July 10 25.0 July 11 22.6 ( r i g h t s expire) July 11 30.0 July 11 25.0 July 17 60.0 July 17 300.0 July 17 1*5.0 July 21* 15,0 July 29 30.6 ( r i Rhts expire) July 25.0 25*0 25.0 15.2 H.lii H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of June 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate d a t e of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE (Cont'd) ^Burroughs Corp. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas P i p e l i n e Co. of America Consolidated Natural Gas Co. Standard Oil Co. of C a l i f o r n i a STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Common s t k . Deb., bds. & common 1 s t mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. Pennsylvania General S t a t e Auth. Rev.-Ut. *Metro. S a n i t a r y D i s t . of Chicago,111. Rev.-Ut. *Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Pwr., California Rev.-Ut. G.O. S t a t e of North Carolina S t a t e of Ohio Rev.-S.T. ^ T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii Rev.-Ut. S tate of C a l i f o r n i a G.O. San .Diego Unif. Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . G.O. 12.0 1*5.0 liO.O 1*5.0 150.0 July ( r i g h t s expire) 1958 1958 1958 1958 30.0 July 9 July 10 21.0 J u l y 16 J u l y 16 •July 22 J u l y 22 J u l y 23 Sept. 10 15.0 15.0 31.0 12.5 100.0 10.0 OTHER None . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1/ I n c l u d e s corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of #10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. Note. —Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r (than s a l e of i s s u e : None. H.llt Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 - 1957 High Low Aa-rated offering y i e l d s A-rated offering yielda Amount above Amount above ' Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) 5.00(8/LV57) 2.93(3/31/51) 1958 - January February March h 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 12 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 *3.60,. 3.892/ 87 -3 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/5k) -8 22 LIS L22 Loo Loo a 50 28 26 LQ5 3.?8 Loo 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 . 3.82 3.95 17 12 2h 123 -15 3.962/ L07 L25 * 3 9 6 U.07 -7 3.98 5 it. oli Loo 11 3 ii.07 L 35 h 32 Loo 3.95 - -1 -6 •--Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2 / Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.