Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 27, 1957
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'/• ) 0 v- Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS hi.Ik June 27, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings issued for new capital during the week ending June 21 totaled #150 million for corporations and &2b million for State and local governments. This week, corporate issues with aggregate proceeds of »198 million, including expiration of subscription rights, are expected. Also scheduled for sale this week are large State and local government issues totaling &U7 million and a foreign issue for $3? million. Bond yields - Yields on all types of outstanding bonds continued to increase last week, establishing new postwar highs in every category. The increase in yields on U. S. Government obligations was particularly sharp—16 basis points for the old series and 13 basis points for the new series. Daily data indicate further increases for corporate bond yields through Tuesday of this week. Estimated July volume - Corporate security issues during July are expected to total $900 million, one-third below the estimated June volume and only one-seventh below the"exceptionally large volume in July last year. Large publicly offered issues are expected to total over #300 million, including the *120 million First National City Bank of New York capital stock issue, for which subscription rights expire in mid-July. State and local government issues for July are currently estimated at ^375 million. This total would be less than one-eighth below.the estimated June volume and about the same as the volume in July 1956. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks declined sharply last week, closing at 283.0 on June 21. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate little change in prices, on balance. More detailed information concerning recent capital market -"developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 1 CORPORATE U. S. Govt., long-term £J Corporate Aaa y Old series State and local govt. Aaa J / New series Spread between U. S. Govt. (old series) and (Per cent) 3.12 (6/19) 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 3.914 (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (6/21) 3.66 (1/12) 3.75 3.79 3.82 3.9k 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.71 (1/9) 2.kh (8/7) 2.9li C8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 3.19 (12/21) 2.80 (2/17) 3.70 (6/21) 2.73 n.a. 1.98 n.a. 2.21 n.a. 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.3k 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/28)3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.62 (6/21) 3.23 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (6/20) 3.15 (2/8) 3.22 (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) 3. 3.L2 3.51 3.5U 3.70 3.1<9 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 3.62 2.99 3.10 • 3.23 .38 '.3h :8 .13 -51* .2h •I .29 I .32 .35 .31 .31 .3L .2b Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 2 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included) average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different peries. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Be STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Boa V"V V - 1 ; T ' ; Zz'v ' STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE 4 S 1953 0 M 1 " S 1954 D M Corporate Baa 1/ J 1955 S' D M J S . 1956 C M J 1957 State and local govt, rev. y State and local govt. Baa 2/ (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low May 2h May 31 June 7 June lh 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.a 3.63 3.L5 h.hl k.h2 h.Sh L.56 a. 59 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (I/Ik) (12/28) k.22 (h/12) £'33 $20) 3.90 (2/21) 1 h.lS V . 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) L.23 (12/27) 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 (1/1) 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 . (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) W 3.70 (2/22) ii.62 a. 66 14.33 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average tern is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. h / Series discontinued, as of March 15. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series! STOCK MARKET 1953 Date 1954 Stock price 1955 1956 Trading Common volume 2/ (millions yields ]/ of shares) (per cent 1957 Stock market customer credit Customers1 debit bal- loans to . ances h/ "others" SJ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 19514 - High 195$ - H i g h 1956 - High 1957 - High Low April May June lli June 21 167.1 1W.0 221.U 156.5 270.7 217.U 295.5 257.lt 290.0 260.3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/Ut) (8/3) (1/20) (6/lU) (2/8) 273.3 384.2 287.it 290.0 283.0 2.5 0.9 3.7 1-1* • . U.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 . 1.6 2.3 ' 2.1* ' 2.2 2.6 2.2 5.88 5.15 5.19 lt.09 lt.23 3.59 14.13 3.65 14.28 3.71* 3.96 • 3.62 3.80 3.714 3.83 . 2,W5 2,055 3,1436 2,1405 14,030 3,537 14,01:7 3,911* 3,938 3,832 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7140 2,7914 2,713 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 3,938. 3,92k 2,792 2,7914 n.a. n.a.- n.a. 1,1146 1,130 1,137 1,1142 n.a. n.a.--Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19^7-149-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the «ew *ork Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 125 industrial-stocks; weekly data based on Friday. 5/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured tjy U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks In New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates - for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) January February March April May June July August September 1957 Corporate 1 1956 I' 1,063 1,071 1,3^ quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year State and local 1 1956 1 1955 1957 573 712 817 535 1*07 .1,223 685 566 1*99 1*01* 696 390 535 312 538 e/950 J/750 e/1,300 - 818 1,1146 61*1 U78 886 687 762 e/550 e/k25 378 - 1*90 735 1*27 350 61*2 e/900 1,063 651 838 597 6a 670 e/375 376 199 . 333. 1*70 21*9 1*06 61*5. 3U 1*26 919 658 1*08 'rf October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth New Capital . 1955 71*5 1,089i/ 1,088 1,1621/ 632 900 3,179 e/3,000 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,750 e/1,737 1,1*90 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,1*18 1,121* 1,981* e/6,k79 1,907 7,163 10,38k l*,2l6 6,127 8,821 e/3,k87 3,093 i*,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 Excluding finance companies y 1st 2nd 3rd l*th quarter quarter quarter quarter 3,268 e/2,750 Year 1,6k? 2,5la 2,216 2,826 1,727 1,870 1,1*1*1* 2,55k 9,259 7,595 e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issues. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issues. y Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.--Details may not add to totals due to rounding. • H.lli V Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) \/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate • 1956 - May June. July August • September October November December 1957 - January Febru'ary March April May . State and local government 623 185 592 217 #8 386 701 100 567 671 788 177 329 233 463 161| 35 . 184 , 393 135 201 386 306 19U Ii99 2h8 Other 2/ 20 -- 37 35 100 50 . 125 25 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 21 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon | (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost 1 CORPORATE Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. Common stk. 2U.2 Boston Edison Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 General Tele. Co. of Calif. 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Columbia Gs s Synfcem, Inc. Deb. 20.0 Georgia Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.5 Metropolitan Edison Co, 1st mtg. bds. 19.0 Comnercial Credit Co. Sr. notes 75.0 Int. Business Machines Coip, Conmon stk. 231.0 General Telephone-Corp. Conv. deb Uii.5 Kichigan Wisconsin P.L. Co. 1st mtg. P.L. bds . 30.0 Consolidated Nat., Gas Co. Deb. 25.0 Michigan Consol. Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 Fairbanks, Morse & Co. Deb. 15.0 Southern Bell TeL & Tel. CoDeb. 70.0 Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Conv. pfd. ; stk. 20.0 Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Deb. •15.0 1987 1987 1982 1987 1987 1977 ' U 5/8 5 5 1/2 5 l/u li 7/8 5 Aaa li.53 5.00 5.h0 5.10 1.78 h.9$ A A Aa A 1977 1977 1982 1982 1972 , 1986 U 1/2 " 6 i/a 1* 7/8 6 1/h 5 3/U 5 it. 25 6.00 80 6.00 5.75 1.85 Ba Baa Aaa A Ba Aaa 1977 6 6.13 Ba H . l U fc-2 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 21 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions rate or Maturity of net interdollars) est cost Offering Rating yield STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Tacoma, Washington i Lt & pwc rev. Columbus, Ohio G.O. Los Angeles, California Elec. rev. San Antonio, Texas Water rev. Dallas, Texas Airport rev. Cheltenham S.D. Auth., Ra.. Rev. State of Ohio Highway rev. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania G.O. Cowlitz Co. P.U.B. No. 1, Washington G.O. Hempstead C.H.S.D. No. 3, New York G.O. San Diego, California G.O. Independence, Missouri Elec. rev. State of Rhode Island G.O. State of Vermont G.O. 5.0 5.0 15.0 13.9 6.3 6.I4. 32.0 5.2 20.0 8.2 5.0 ^.0 7.0 9.3 1959-83 1959-83 1958-87 1966-82* 1962-81 1958-91 1957-72 1958-77 h.29 3.35 3.88 3.78 lull U.I46 3.75 3.13 1960-2007 5.06 1958-86 1958-77 1960-87 1958-77 1958-77 h.3k 3.73 h.lh 3.59 2.9U , 3.15-1.25 2.60-3.W 2.50-3.90 3.30-3.80 2.80-I1.50 2.20-3.65 2.W-3.W Baa Aa Aa Aa n.a. A Aa A 3.25-5.00 2.85-U.30 2.50-3.75 3.35-L.70 2.50-3.60 2.20-3.10 Baa . A A Aaa OTHER None n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of §15 million and over5 State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.l4 Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Procoeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation I956 - May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Deo. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 • Apr .. 30 May 31 During month following date shown State and Corporate Other 2/ local govt. 198 . h37 247 369 315 683 436 476 591 740 I461 187 525 - 332 81 131 359 162. I48 280 153 153 290 179 97 37 23 100 35 25 25 Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate Other local govt. 448 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 481 796 966 795 486 258 525 9U1 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 648 631 862 396 388 37 — —• 23 100 35 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 21 Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering I of dollars) CORPORATE Delaware Power & Light Co. Kerr-McGee Oil Industries, Inc. *Kerr-McGee Oil Industries, Inc. Philadelphia Electric Co. 1st & coll. tr. bds. S.F. deb. Common stk. Common stk. 15.0 20.0 15.6 22.1 Puget Sound Power & Light Co. Household Finance Corp. Southern California Gas Co. Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. Timken Roller Bearing Co, 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds, Conv. pfd. stk. Common stk. Southern California Edison Co. Rochester Gas & Electric Co. Central Illinois Light Co. Wisconsin Telephone Co. Washington Water Power Co. West Penn Power Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1*0.0 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Deb, 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 20.0 1*0.0 35.0 30.0 19. k June 25 June 25 June 25 June 25 (rights expire) June 26 June 27 June 27 June 27 July 1 (rights expire) July 2 July 3 July 10 July 10 July 11 July 11 - ti.liv F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 21 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering I of dollars) CORPORATE.(Cont'd) •it-Texas Electric Service Co. Jersey Central Power & Light Co. *-First Nat. City Bank of N. Y. Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Associates Investment Co. - 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Capital stk. 16.0 . 15.0 120.0 July 16 July 17 July 22 (rights expire) 1957 1957 Pfd. stk. Deb. 20.0 I Water rev. 5.0 June 2k 8.0 June 25 25.0 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Sabine River Auth., Texas Louisville & Jefferson Cos. Sewer Dist., Kentucky Dist., La. Louisiana State University Harris Co., Texas Wayne Co., Michigan Ft. Worth Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas *Salt River Agric. Imp. & Power Dist., Arizona -*Fresno Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. *Met. Water Dist. of So. California *St. Louis Co., Mo. •it-State of Louisiana Atlanta, Georgia Milwaukee, Wisconsin State of California Los Angeles City Sch. Dists., Calif. State of Ohio State of Texas Jacksonville, Florida University System Bldg. Auth., Ga. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. New York State Thruway Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Rev. G.O. , Bldg. rev. G.O. Airport rev. G.O. 10.0 7.5 5.0 6.6 5.0 June June June June June G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. G.O. Highway rev. G.O. Utilities rev. Rev. Rev. ; Rev. G.O. Rev. 5.0 7.0 15.0 6.8 10.0 15.0 10.0 50.0 31.0 12.5 ' 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 65.0 July 2 July 9 July 9 July 17 July 17 July 20 July 23 July 2h Aug. 13 Sept. 10 1957 1957 1957 . 1957 1957 1957 1957 . 39.U 25.0 June 26 July 10 kh.o 26 26 27 27 27 OTHER Metropolitan Toronto, Ontario Montreal, Quebec Deb. Deb. •id H.lU F-3 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 515 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.