Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 2, 1955
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Not l o r P u b l i c a t i o n . DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.ll; June 2 , 1955 CAPITAL L'ARKLT DEVELOPMENTS Heavy volume of new c a p i t a l l a s t week - The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c corporate o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l v.as 312 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s during t h e week ending L'ay 27. S t a t e and l o c a y governments f l o a t e d 83 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s W e s l a s t week and a r e scheduled to i s s u e 87 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of such o f f e r ings t h i s week. Ho l a r g e corporate i s s u e s w i l l be o f f e r e d t h i s June outlook - The June estimate of t h e corporate v o l ume f o r new c a p i t a l i s 650 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , about 20 per cent l e s s than e i t h e r l a s t month's t o t a l or t h a t of June 195k* The estimated second q u a r t e r t o t a l i s new two b i l l i o n d o l l a r s , about t h e same as i n t h a t p e r i o d l a s t y e a r . Compared t o the l a s t few months, l a r g e , public o f f e r i n g s a r e expected t o account f o r a smaller proportion and p r i v a t e placements a g r e a t e r proportion of t o t a l i s s u e s in June. Large p u b l i c o f f e r i n g s a r e expected t o t o t a l 160 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and a l l a r e those of public u t i l i t y companies. The S t a t e and l o c a l government t o t a l of s e c u r i t y o f f e r ings i n June i s estimated a t 550 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , considerably more than the L'ay volume but over a t h i r d below the t o t a l f o r l a s t June. The estimated second q u a r t e r volume i s w e l l below the corresponding t o t a l in 195^. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on outstanding corporate Aaa and on U. S . Government long-term bonis rose one b a s i s point during the week ending Liay 27. S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa y i e l d s did not change. Daily f i g u r e s i n d i c a t e l i t t l e change i n the corporate and Treasury y i e l d s t h i s week. Corporate Baa bond y i e l d s increased one b a s i s p o i n t l a s t week. Yields on S t a t e and l o c a l Baa and revenue bonds remained stable. Stock p r i c e s r i s e - Stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , increased s l i g h t l y l a s t week t o 23lu6, a new h i g h . Average d a i l y t r a d i n g volume was only two m i l l i o n s h a r e s . L i t t l e change i n p r i c e s occurred on Tuesday and Wednesday of t h i s week according to d a i l y indexes. —2— State and Local Government Security Offerings i n the F i r s t Quarter, 1955 • Purpose of issue State and l o c a l governments offered 1,409 million d o l l a r s of long-term security issues in the f i r s t quarter of 1955* as shown i n the attached, t a b l e , an amount j u s t s l i g h t l y larger than the f i r s t quarter 1954 volume and 19 per cent more than that of 1953• Refunding i s s u e s t o t a l e d about twice the volume o f f e r e d in the two previous f i r s t q u a r t e r s , but were s t i l l only a small portion of the t o t a l . Offerings f o r new c a p i t a l amounted to 1,385 million d o l l a r s " i n the f i r s t t h r e e months of 1955» As i n the f i r s t quarter of each of the l a s t two years, more issues were sold f o r school building construction than f o r any other purpose. The volume of such i s s u e s was 1+U9 million d o l l a r s t h i s year compared t o 1*05 million i n 1954 and 319 million in 1953• Offerings f o r construction of r e s i d e n t i a l buildings t o t a l e d 57 mill i o n d o l l a r s t h i s year, considerably l e s s than "the.182 million doll a r volume in the corresponding period the year before or t h e 137 million dollar t o t a l in 1953. Highway, bridge and tunnel issues were moderately above, and sewer and water o f f e r i n g s moderately below, the volume of the two previous f i r s t . q u a r t e r s . Comparison of the f i r s t quarter volume with the q u a r t e r l y average of the l a s t two years r e s u l t s in a somewhat d i f f e r e n t p i c t u r e . Total volume of new c a p i t a l in the f i r s t quarter t h i s year was about the same as the average for 1953 but 18 per cent smaller than that of l a s t y e a r . F i r s t quarter highway, bridge and tunnel issues were only one-third and r e s i d e n t i a l housing issues one-half . l a s t y e a r ' s average, but bond issues f o r educational financing were one-fourth g r e a t e r . This r e l a t i v e l y greater importance of school issues and l e s s e r importance of highway issues in the f i r s t quart e r than f o r the year as a whole undoubtedly r e f l e c t s seasonal i n f l u e n c e s t o some extent. ^ • Issuing a u t h o r i t y State governments f l o a t e d the l a r g e s t percentage of t o t a l s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s from January t o liarch t h i s year i n contrast t o 1953 and 1954, tvhen m u n i c i p a l i t i e s were the most important issuing a u t h o r i t y . The greatest decline i n volume from the f i r s t quarter of the l a s t two years occurred in i s s u e s of special, a u t h o r i t i e s . Issues f l o a t e d by S t a t e governments t o t a l e d 344 million d o l l a r s compared to a q u a r t e r l y average of over 500 million d o l l a r s in 1954 but of only about 200 million i n 1953* The volume of both county and township o f f e r i n g s and special a u t h o r i t i e s issues was considerably l e s s than l a s t y e a r ' s q u a r t e r l y average. With the -3. Long-Term Security Issues of S t a t e and Local Governments F i r s t Quarter, 1953-1955 and Quarterly Average for 1953 and 1951* (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Quarterly average F i r s t quarter " 19# Issuing a u t h o r i t y : State County and township Liunicipality School d i s t r i c t Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of i s s u e : New c a p i t a l t o t a l k ' Schools Highways, b r i d g e s , tunnels ' Residential buildings Hospitals and i n s t i t u t i o n s Sewer and water Misc. public service e n t e r p r i s e s Recreation Port and a i r p o r t Veterans aid I n d u s t r i a l building Other Unidentified 1 / Refunding I 1954 I 1953 195IT 1953 512 269 2k2 207. 366 11*7 192 68 263 209 523 136 31*1*. 109 333 291* 1*9 280 217 126 1*12 232 258 139 253 65 315 225 232 97 1,1*09" 1,381; 1,188 1,71*2 h m h m I M 1,385 - 1,389 1i369 1*1*9 176 57 30 159 77 13 1 82 0 65 277 1*05 115 182 15 186 70 9 25 67 0 133 137 2l* 11 12 1,1*09 1,381: 1,188 1,71*2 1,389 1,122 287 0 1,028 356 0 991 197 0 935 808 0 861 392 131* 1,109 1,381 1,188 1,71*2 1,389 ' 319 il*i* 137 25 190 75 lit - 1 - ,111 1 61 97 358 531* 111* 19 168 11*9 in 22 1*1 Neg. 133 11*1* 330 397 126 33 162 39 11 12 35 2 86 136 1*5' 20 Type of i s s u e : General obligation RevenueGeneral revenue Total • Note .-—Details -may not add t o t o t a l s because of rounding. Sources.—Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve. -hexception of t h e s p e c i a l a u t h o r i t i e s , - a l l the i s s u i n g a u t h o r i t i e s f l o a t e d more o f f e r i n g s during t h e - f i r s t q u a r t e r t h i s year than the q u a r t e r l y average" of 1953* Type of i s s u e General o b l i g a t i o n bonds accounted f o r 80 per cent of t o t a l i s s u e s t h i s y e a r , s l i g h t l y more than in the corresponding p e r i o d l a s t y e a r . Mo l a r g e revenue i s s u e s — t h a t i s , those with proceeds over £0 m i l l i o n dollars—v/ere included in e i t h e r f i r s t q u a r t e r ; a t l e a s t one l a r g e revenue i s s u e of over 100 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s 'was sold i n each of t h e other q u a r t e r s l a s t y e a r . uore d e t a i l e d information concerning.recent c a p i t a l mark e t developments w i l l be found i n the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital 'Markets Section; Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I 6 H - GRADE BOND YIELDS Per c e n t p a r 1952 Date 1953 Corporate Aaa y U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / 1954 State and l o c a l govt., Aaa 3 / 1955 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1952 - High 1953 - High Low 1951 - High 1955 - High April 29 May 6 -May 13 May 20 May 27 3.03 2.91 " 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.05 . 2.91 (iA) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (5/27) (1/7) 3.01 3.02 3.Oh 3'Ok 3.05 2.79 (12/27) 2.56 (5/17) 3.l5<6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7h (1/9) 2 . h i (8/7) 2.77(5/6) 2.62 (1/7) 2.77 2.77 2.75 2.7k 2.75 , 2 . 0 0 (10/23) 1.65 (5/1) 2.73(6/25) 1.98 ( 1 / 8 ) 2.21 (6/10) i.90(9/2)\ 2.11 (2/10) 2.05 (5/26) 2.08 2.08 2 .07 2.05 2.05 .37 .19 .38 .19 .13 .32 •314 .2 h 1.02 .71 .81 .30 .61 .29 .70 -'• ' -51* .2ii .25 .29 .30 •30 .69 .69 ,.68 .69 .70 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average tern to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s 13-12; years. 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average tern i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . ' L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE B o o STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Date^ Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt. (Per cent) 1955 - High Low 3.63 (1A) 3.W(5/16) 3.89(9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3-bh (12/31) 3.50 (5/27) 3.15 d M ) 2.98 2 .li8 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.08 3.02 April 29 May 6 May 13 . May 20 May 27 3.19 3.L9 3.50 3.19 3.50 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.06 3.06 1952 - High 1953 - High 195U - High (10/23) (Vl7) (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (5/12) (1/6) - 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3-.00 2.72 2.80 2.76 (12/19) (V25) . (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (Vl5) (1/7) 2.78 2.78 2.77 2.77 2.77 __ _ _ Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average tern i s 20 years. Note.—Hi^ig^and lows are for individual series and may for different series. be on different dates EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET 1952 Date Stock p r i c e index 1/ 1953 1954 1•Trading Common lvolume 2 / ( m i l l i o n s y i e l d s 3/ 1 of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) 1955 S t o c k market Customers' debit b a l - loans to a n c e s h/ " o t h e r s " 2J Total (Mil) i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1952 - High 1953 1951 - High 1 9 : 5 - High Lo- Apria Kay i &:ay 2 May 2 165.3 (12/26) 151.7 (10/2ii) 167.1 (1/2) liih.O ( 9 / 1 0 ) 221.li ( 1 2 / 3 1 ) 156.5(1/6) 231.6 (5/27) 2 1 7 . li ( 1 / H t ) 225.6 231.1 231.2 233.3' 231.6 ' 2.0 0.9 2.5' 0.9 3-7 l.L ii.6 2.0 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.1 - 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 u.20 - a.22 L .12 ' L.21 • .'4.12 1,986 1,G0L 2,kh? 2,055 3A36 2,k05 3,T55 . 3,732 3,78: 1,332 1,211 1,065 • 1,311: 2,388 1,653 2,701 2,517 #6 552 780 661j 1,0U8 7L6 1,091 1,010 2,652 2,70li 1,080. 1,001 1,085 ' 1,091 t o lyll7.-^9=100 by F e d e r a l i t e s e r v e . The c a . v e r s : 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the Hew York Stock Exchange. 3/- L'ooay's 2 0 0 ccnur.cn s t o c k s j end of month 5-.v York S t o c k Kxchange which 1/ i n d n a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s r, •ruv/ed f o r c a r r y i n g U. 5 . Government .'obligations 5 / V.'fdnesday f i i o u ' c s f o r w e e k l y r - ' p o r t i n - member b a n k s . E x c l u d e s a l l l o a n s on U. S . Governments f o r 1 9 5 2 ; s i n c e 19T3 on3y l o a n s s e c u r e d by l o v e r m e n t s a t banks i n : mv l o r k arc Ghzcaro a r e e x c l u d e d . Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks a c c o u n t f o r a b o u t 72 per c e n t o f . l e a n s t o o t h e r s . n.a.—%ot a v a i l a b l e . ' f.'ote.—rllighs and l o w s a r e f c r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and -lay b e on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different s e r i e s . H.11+ Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 •I Corporate 1952* 1 1953 1955 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1952* 1 1953 January February March 52*6 2*36 1,261 52*7 2*26 635 623 #3 666 535 312 538 396 2*11 565 389 360 2*26 April May ' June e/$00 e/%0 e/650 197 656 81*2 779 675 1,123 3/2*25 V350 s/550' 732* 72*8 853 329 62*9 2*32* 2*83 325 753 279 261 62*9 519 259 2*75 592* 2*23 877 • 2*53 2*08 772* 1,372 2,332* 1,188 1,892* 6,789 1,176, 1,2*12 1,253 1,636 5,2*77 July August September 909 335 71*7 October November December 1,003 290 602* 577 2*29 1 / 1,2*38 1,608 1,992 1,991 1,896 7,2*90 1,912 2,578 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r 2*th q u a r t e r Year ' 2,22*3 5/2,000 - 1,385 1,325 8,2*95 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r J r d quarter 2*th q u a r t e r Year 1,791 e/1,950 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,128 1 / # 1,991 1,223 2,32*2* 7,227 2 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l finance' companies. - e / Estimated. Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.m Exhibit E Large Public. Security Issues f o r New Capital - (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceedc of Large Issues Offered (trillions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 19%k - May June July August September October November December 195# - January February March April ^ ' May State and l o c a l government 32k 350 • 336 75 335 U13 0 9k 111 72 750 175 183 Other 2 / 557 603 92 % lt55 388 268 6# 3kl 107 337 238 109 . 30 35 • 15 Large Individual Issues Offered during Hay Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon ({millions r a t e or Offering Maturity Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Public Service of Indiana, Inc. Pacific Northwest Pipeline American Trust Co. of San Francisco Transamerica Corp. Ohio Edison Co. W. K. Grace fit Co. Bethlehem S t e e l Co. Alabama Power Detroit Edison General Telephone Corp. Lockheed A i r c r a f t Corp. Pfd. stock Con. stock 21.3 15.5 Com. stock 19.5 . Com. stock 51.5 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 ' 1985 Conv. sub. deb . 30.0 1975 Conv,, deb. 191.7 1980 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1985 Genl.. & r e f . mtg. bds. 60.0 1980 Pfd. stock 15.0 |Cenv. sub. deb. 30.0 1980 i/U 1/2 iA 1/2 3.22 3.JU0 3.25 3.37 Aa Ba A A . 3 1/k 3.25 Aa , 3 3A 3.75 Ba : 3 3 3 3 V.Ik E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered during Hay (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions Offering r a t e or Rating Ilaturity net i n t e r of yield dollars) est cost STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERN! £HT Wash. T/;p.-Marion Co., Sch. Blag. Corp., I n d . C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a Louisiana S t a t e Building Authority S t a t e of Maryland Memphis, Tennessee S t . Paul, Minnesota Port of Hew York Auth. Chicago, I l l i n o i s Allegheny County, Pa. Cakaale, C a l i f o r n i a South San Joaquin, Cal. Rev. G.O. Rev. 6.6 19.7 6.0 1957-77 1956-95 1956-85 3.02 2.10 2.28 1.80-3.05 1.05-2.45 1.05-2.40 L.L. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. 9 . 9 . 1960-81 11.3 1958-70 3.3 1956-85 6.9 1956-85 30.0 1985 6.0 1957-75 1956-85 5.5 20.8 200k 20.8 200k 2.87 1.77 2.09 2.06 2.79 2.21 2.25 3.Oli 3.0k 2.00-2.90 1.25-1.80 1.00-2.25 1.00-2.20 2.75 1.30-2.30 1.10-2.40 3.00 3.00 — Aaa Aa Baa Aaa Aa Aa A A A. OTHER None o v e r / " S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $ m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; and, L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge.of designated revenues. H.llt Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues 195k - May 28 June 30 July 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1955 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 336 100 33h 3U3 15 .9h 18U 16 710 211 1|25 160 Sn During month following date shown • . State and Corporate l o c a l govt. i Date of computation Subsequent.to date shown State and Corporate l o c a l Eovt. Other 2 / % 5k 300 383 1*36 661 567 682 52k 208 116 339 526 532 303 608 hlh 135 216 216 30 1&22 1,395 922 l,liil 850 1,971 1,52k 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,lklt 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 30 30 ..35 * Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of May 27 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Virginia E l e c t r i c and Power Southern California Edison Baltimore Gas and E l e c t r i c Co. Southern New England Telephone and Telegraph ^Oklahoma Gas and E l e c t r i c Consolidated' Natural Gas Peoples Gas Light & Coke American Telephone and Telegraph Southern California Gas Co. 1st &ref. mtg.bds. Conv. deb. Conmon stock Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stock Common stock Conv. deb. Bonds 25.0 la.o 20.1 20.0 15.0 22.9 15.5 650.9 ko.o . June 7 June lit June 21 June June June June 1955 1955 21 21 21 2lt STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of North Carolina New York City Housing Authority Houston, Texas Galveston Co. Navigation Dist., Texas Baltimore, Maryland G.O. G.R. G.O. G.O. G.O. 11.0 27.2 12.5 6.0 2li.7 June June . June June June 1 1 1 2 2 H.lU ' F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of Hay 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GCViPlJ:J1MT (Cont'd) . •^Minneapolis, Minnesota F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Texas Turnpike Authority Kansas C i t y , Kansas Cleveland, Ohio Tacoma, Washington •^-Pennsylvania -General S t a t e Auth. D a l l a s , Texas Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission. Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority Connecticut Express,?ay Texas Turnpike Company Dade County Port Authority, F l a . Springfield, Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania S a n i t a r y Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority J e r s e y City Server age Auth., N. J . North Carolina Turnpike Authority Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 5-2 7U.0 5:0.5 7.0 13.2 15.0 50.0 9.2 25.0 60.0 136.0 30.0 390.0 100.0 lho.o 21.0 9.0 . June June June June June June June June June 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 Rev. Rev, Rev. n.a. 85.0 235.0 -16.0 200.0 1955 3.955 1955 1955 1 G.0-. ' Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 2 7 lii 111' 21 21 22 27 OTIICR None 1/ Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of l£ million d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and .Development i s s u e s . n.a<—Not a v a i l a b l e . —Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. Exhibit G H.lU' Y i e l d s on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 3 / Date •offering y i e l d s I A-rated o p ~ r i n _ g j a S M i Anount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per c e n t ) seasoned y i e l d s (hasis points) (per c e n t ) ( b a s i s p o i n t s ) 3.16 13 3.35 12 19^2 average 1953 average 3.U3 15 3-79 27 3.Oil 3.12 -3 192ft - January . February March April May . June July August September October November December 3.20 3.02 *2.93 2,99 *3.3$ *3.20 3.0% 3.10 3.1U3.1U *3.13 3.11 *3.10 3.10 None 3-11 2 -1 1955 - January February March April *3.15 *3.lit *3.17 None 195h average May 11 11 18 . . 2k 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02 3.03 None None 3.22 13 7 10 v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s . •if—Single o b s e r v a t i o n , not ary a v e r a g e . . -10 -6 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 . None *3.23 3.29 3.31 9 111 16 3.3^ 3.32 lUll 3.37 16