Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 5, 1956
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H,lli ' • . J u l y $ , 1956 CAPITAL mRKET DEVELOPMENTS The r e l a t i v e l y small volume of new l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s o f f e r e d p u b l i c l y during the week ending June 29 was dominated by a bond i s s u e t o t a l i n g • $91=8 m i l l i o n o f f e r e d by the Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s . Of t h i s t o t a l , $ 8 8 m i l l i o n was r e o f f e r e d p u b l i c l y and appears to have met a. f a i r r e c e p t i o n , with approximately $5>0 m i l l i o n l e f t i n account near the end of the week. This i s s u e brought l a r g e s t a t e and l o c a l o f f e r i n g s to a t o t a l of vl|63 m i l l i o n f o r June—the h i g h e s t monthly volume i n over a year. ' The week's only a d d i t i o n to June corporate - o f f e r i n g s came through the e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s to a *19.6 m i l l i o n i s s u e of i n d u s t r i a l common s t o c k . This brought the t o t a l of new l a r g e corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s to a modest %185 m i l l i o n f o r the month. The only other l a r g e o f f e r i n g during the week was a (,20 m i l l i o n B r i t i s h Columbia sinking fund debenture, rFor the week ending J u l y 6, including the J u l y k holiday, no l a r g e s t a t e or l o c a l public o f f e r i n g s and only one $20 m i l l i o n corporate i s s u e are scheduled. A s u b s t a n t i a l increase i s r e p o r t e d , however, among new i s s u e s now scheduled f o r o f f e r i n g l a t e r i n the month as can be noted in Exhibit F. Bond Yields - Last week was marked by a s l i g h t upward trend i n y i e l d s g e n e r a l l y , carrying the y i e l d on corporate Baa's to 3,77—a new 1956 h i g h . On J u l y 2, a »20 m i l l i o n i s s u e of 30-year A-rated f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bonds was sold to y i e l d 3 , 8 2 . This was 7 b a s i s p o i n t s above a comparable o f f e r i n g during the week of June 20, Stock Prices - The SEC index of 265 common stock p r i c e s recorded a r i s e of 2.U p o i n t s during the week ending June 29, This brought the index to 280,1 by the end of the week—equal to the average l e v e l f o r May though s t i l l w e l l below A p r i l h i g h s . Trading volume, though s t i l l l i g h t , was up 0 , 2 m i l l i o n from the y e a r ' s low of 1 , 6 m i l l i o n the preceding week. Daily indexes i n d i c a t e t h a t the beginning of the s t e e l s t r i k e had a moderately adverse e f f e c t on the market Monday, b u t the recovery on J u l y 3, c a r r i e d the index to a l e v e l s l i g h t l y higher than the close on F r i d a y , June 29. More d e t a i l e d information concerning the r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and' C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , . Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS CORPORATE U. S. GOVERNMENT ! STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a U. S. Govt., long-term 2 / Date • Corporate Aaa 1 / Old s e r i e s New s e r i e s Spread between U. S. Govt, S t a t e and l o c a l g o v t . (old s e r i e s ) and Corporate (State and Aaa 3 / 1local Aaa (Per c e n t ) 1953 - High 1956 - High Low 3.42 2.99 3.09 2.85 3-17 2.91 3.30 3.07 June 1 8 15 22 June 29 3.27 3.27 3.26 3.26 3.27 1954 - High 1955 - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (4/23) (12/23) (1/7) (5/4) (3/2) 3.15 2.78 2.74 2.44 2.94 2.62 3.08 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) • (1/7) (4/20) (2/17) 2.87 2.87 2.87 2.88 2.92 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . n.a. 3.03 2.89 3.13 2.92 2.99 2.98 2.97 2.98 3.00 • (8/5) (6/10) (4/20) (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.34 2.05 2.51 2.17 2.42 2.38 2.33 2.32 2.34 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .38 .19 .43 • 32 .34 • 13 .40 .13 .84 .30 .61 .29 •70 .54 .68 .45 .40 .40 .39 .38 •35 .45 .49 .54 .56 .58 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y t a x a b l e , marketable 2 l / 2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955* and those due or c a l l a b l e in 10-12 years t h e r e a f t e r ; the average term t o f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included d e c l i n e d from 14 years i n e a r l y 1953 t o 11 l / 2 years in e a r l y 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent btyid of 1995 and the 3 ' l / 4 P e r cent bond of 1978-83. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . ' Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS CORPORATE B a a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a ZV j Moody's I j. W 1 !. - . / i" I i STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate -Baa 1/ State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / State and l o c a l govt. rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High 1954 - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low June 1 June 15 June 22 June 29 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.44 3.63 3.45 3.77 3.58 3.74 3.75 3-75 3.75 3.77 OAS) (1/2)' (1/3) - (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (6/29) (3/9) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 ( 1 / 7 ) 2.93-(8/5) 3 . 2 6 (12/29) 3.02 ( 1 / 6 ) 3.44 (5-/3) 3.20 ( 3 / 8 ) • 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 3.31 3.28 3.23 3.24 3.24 • 3.03 3.02 3.00 3.01 3.03 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (4/27) (2/24) l / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and nay be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . FRASER Digitized for STOCK MARKET Date Stock p r i c e index l / T r a d i n g . Common volume 2 / stock (millions yields 3 / of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances 4 / " o t h e r s " 5 / Total ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High 1954 - High 1955 - High 1956 - High Low May June 29 167.1 144.0 221.4 156.5 270.7 217.4 290.8 257.4 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/14) (4/6) (1/20) 280.1 275-5 277.0 277.7 280.1 1,665 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 1.5 3.1 1.6 5.75 5.15 5-33 4.20 4.22 3.78 4.08 3.68 2,445 2,055 3,436 2,405 4,030 3,5374,047 3,991 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,740 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.8 3-97 4,047 2,810 n.a. n.a. n.a. 780 664 1,048. 746 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,217 1,237 1,217 1,222 n.e.--Not available. l / SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939=100; c o n v e r t e d t o 19^7-49=100 by F e d e r a l B e s e r v e . The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / Averages-of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y margin a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member b a n k s . E x c l u d e s l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g o r c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r a b o u t 72 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e arid Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) . 1956 January February March 579 70k 790 New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 1955 1 195U 1956 535 U07 1,223 51+7 1*26 635 UOU 696 '390 535 312 538 396 lai 565 S t a t e and l o c a l | 1955 | 195k April May June e/890 e/1,100 - e/875 k78 . 886 687 k97 656 81*2 377 e/500 e/730 U27 350 6kl 73k 7L8 853 July August September e/1,075 597. 616 670 909 335 7k7 e/LOO U70 2U9 k06 279 261 61*9 919 658 ko8 59k U23 877 1,385 l,kl8 1,12k 1,98k 5,911 1,372 2,33k 1,188 1,89k 6,789 . October November December 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r kth q u a r t e r •Tear 2,073 e/2,865 1,162^/ 632 900 1,003 290 . 6ck 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,k90 1,U90 e/1,607 Excluding ; f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r Uth q u a r t e r Year 1,617 e/2,665 1,727 1,870 l,k3k 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes $637.2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 2 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. Note#—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. 1/ # H.lli Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1955 - June July August September October November December 1956 - January February March April » • May June S t a t e and l o c a l government 1*03 278 65 23U 716 1*01 227 192 Wi 163 157 233 . 175 101 U05 328 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 623 185 to Other 2 / __ 25 50 50 20 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered during June Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount O f f e r i n g Rating (millions Maturity r a t e or of yield net i n t e r e s t cost dollars) CORPORATE Commonwealth Ediaon U. S. Plywood Household Finance Boston Edison Combustion Eng'g. Halliburton Oil Well Cementing Co. National Gypsum 1 s t mtg, bds. Deb, Deb. Pfd. stk. Conv.sub.deb. Common s t k . 1*0.0 15.0 50.0 18.0 15.0 27.6 Common s t k . 19.6 * 1986 1981 1978 1981 3 1/2 kl/h ij. 1.25 3 3/8 3.50 U.25 a . oo Aaa Baa 3.38 Baa 7 H.ll* E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered During June (Cont r d) Issuer type 3/ Amount (millions Maturity of dollars) Coupon Offering r a t e or Rating yield net i n t e r est cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Rev. Wash. Toll Bridge Auth, G.O. C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio G.O. New York, N. Y. G.O. Denver, Colorado G.O. Chicago, I l l i n o i s Elec. r e v . Tallahassee, F l o r i d a J t i l . t a x rev. Tallahassee, F l o r i d a Rev. Pa. Gen. S t a t e Auth. Rev. Georgia Rural Roads Auth. G.O. S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a G.O. Hudson County, N. J . U t i l . rev. Alexandria, La. G.O. Long Beach, C a l i f . G.O. Wash. Sub. San. Dist.,Md. G.O. "State of Vermont Rev. Pwr. Auth. of the S t a t e of N. Y. Rev. Grant Co. Pub. U t i l . D i s t . , Wash. Public Housing Authority OTHER. B r i t i s h Columbia Power Commission — I S . F . Deb j 6.0 = 8.5 30.0 5.3 22.0 . U.o 1.5 20.0 15.5 50.0 5.1 8.3 5.9 8.5 7.6 7.3 1956-96 1957-96 1957-71 1967-95 1958-75 1959-78 1958-82 1958-82 1958-72 1958-77 1958-81 1959-86 1958-81 1957-95 1957-66 1961-85 166.0 2005 91.8 1957-96 20.0 1986 2.35 2.80 2.50 2.61 3.13 3.07 2.66 2.81 2.30 2.7k 3.21 2.16 3.12 1.98 2.86 4.05 • 2.18 3 3A y 1.70-2.50 2.00-2.80 2.10-2.55 2.10-2.65 2.60-3.15 2.25-3.10 2.10-2.70 2.20-2.75 1.80-2.35 2.00-2.75 2.UO-3.25 1.90-2.52 2.50-3.60 1.65-2.00 2.30-3.00 Aaa A . Aa A Baa A A Aa A A Aa Baa Aaa — 3.92 1.75-2.55 — Aaa 3.81 1/ Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; State*~and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of &5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes gene r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. hf Kb r e o f f e r i n g . H.lli Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation 1955 — June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 Sept.30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 30 During month following date shown sTaTe and Other-2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. 67 lt07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 1*37 3hh 100 18U 813 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 50 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 85 376 233 1*013 818 m 567 1,845 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 9hl 690 50 —* Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of June 29 Type Amount Approximate date (millions , of o f f e r i n g I of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE 36.6 P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c Common s t k . F l o r i d a Power Corp. American Telephone and Telegraph Union E l e c t r i c Co. of Mo. Sperry Rand 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Common s t k . 20.0 250.0 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. Deb, Deb. 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. Deb. Deb. . Deb. 20.0 30.0 30.0 ^ I l l i n o i s Power . Tennessee Gas Transmission tfFood Machinery and Chemicals •MChampion Paper ^Inland S t e e l •^Superior Oil of C a l i f . Consolidated Natural Gas CIT F i n a n c i a l P a c i f i c Finance UO.O 60.0 16.5 50.0 U5.7 30.0 75.0 25.0 July 2 (rights expire) July 2 J u l y 10 July 17 July 25 (rights expire) J u l y 25 July July July July July Summer 88 • H.lU Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of June 29 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT *New Jersey Highway Authority S t a t e of Massachusetts e s t a t e of Michigan *New York S t a t e Thruway Authority •a-Tulsa, Okla. Irid. Sch. D i s t . Dearborn, Mich. School D i s t r i c t Maryland S t a t e Road Commission Jacksonville, Florida * J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway Authority F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. 22.0 G.O. 38.5 Rev. 16.0 G.O. 50.0 G.O. 5.5 G.O. lh.o G.O* 15.0 E l e c . r e v . bdsi. lU.o Rev. 12.0 Rev. 185.0 Rev. ' 65.0 Rev. 62.0 Rev. 227.0 Rev. 70.0 J u l y 10 July- 11 July 17 July 17 July 17 J u l y 18 July 2U July 2h Sept. Fall 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $1$ m i l l i o n and over; Statie and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r ' Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . '