Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 28, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS ' H.lU . July 28, 1958, CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of public security financing was moderate last week. Large corporate issues sold totaled $65 million, while State and local governments offered bonds for $11*4. million. This week's calendar is light; rights expire on two corporate issues with proceeds of $16 million, while one $h0 million State and local government bond offering is scheduled. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding corporate bonds increased last week, while those on U. S, Government obligations .and Baa-rated State and local government bonds decreased slightly. Aaa-rated State and local bond yields were unchanged. A new Aa-rated, first mortgage electric utility bond issue was offered to investors at 1*. 10 per cent last week, the same yield as that for a comparable offering made the preceding week. Stock prices - Common stock prices increased sharply last week in the heaviest trading volume of the year. Standard and Poor's index of stock prices closed at 1*6.97 on Friday, a new high for the year and only h per cent below the 1957 peak. Trading volume averaged 3.7 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS W«elely Per cent per annum / \/ 11.ll Exhibit B Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields \ Corporate Aaa 1/ • Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt. Aaa 1/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and . Aaa local Aaa (Per cent) 1953195k 1957 1958 - July July July July High Low high High Low 3Ji2 2.85 U.lU 3.70 3.55 (6/19) (1/23) (9/27) (7/25) (5/2) (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (7/18) (1/25) 3.26 3.26 3.31 3.39 3.38 3.61 3.62 3.63 3.67 3.70 I4 11 18 25fiZ 3.19 2.15 3.76 3.L0 3.07 2.73 (6/25) 1.90 (9/2) 3.15 (8/29) 2.86 (1/9) 2.61* (5/1) . .38 .30 .60 .51 .28 .83 .30 Ml .62 • 3U 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 .35 .36 .32 .28 .32 •U8 • .U8 .52 .62 .60 Lover-grade Bond Yields Bate Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa Spread between ' Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953.- High lS5ii - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High 3.89 (9/18) 3.lil* (12/31) 5-10 (11/29) L96 (1/3) ii.51 (7/11) June July July July July k.5k 14.53 L.51 h.52 L.55 27 li 11 16 252/ . 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 (8/5) m' 3.61* (5/1) 3.8L 3.8k 3.85 - 3.83 3.82 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .85 .93 .91 .88 .85 .85 1.23 1.21 1.11 .99 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.05 1.0U vj .Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. ' The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average tern is 20 years. 'Mote.—highs and lows are for individual series and nay be on different dates for different series. STOCK M A R K E T t. t" 1 t.I\ 1 Table for Exhibit C Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Trading • Common Stock market customer credit stock volume 2/ Customers' Bank (millions yields V debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent; ances 4/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1 9 # - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low May July 11 July 18 July 25e/ 26.5U (1/2) 2.5 22.95 (9/18) 0.9 35.98 (12/31) 2li.93 (1/8) US.89 (12/9) 35.28 (l/lli) 49.64 (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) ll9.08 (7/12) 39.48 (12/20) 46.97 (7/25) 40.37 (1/10) 43.70 44.75 15.72 45.77 16.97 8 1.5 S 4.2 1.4 3.7 1.7 2.6 2.7 2.5 3.1 3.7 6.25 It. 32 5.82 1.08 4.41 3.82 4.34 3.91 4.72 3.88 4.58 4.17 . 4.07 3.99 3.98 3.88 II 2,1.05 4,030 3,537 4,047 3,91k It,031 3,576 It, 226 3,55k 4,069 4,226 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,740 2,887 2,482 2,929 2,487 2,856 2,929 n.a. n.a. n.a. 780 664 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,054 1,317 1,051 1,213 1,297 1,307 1,294 n.a.—Not available. g/ Preliminary. " • 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 5d0 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43-10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. J/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. 1±/ End of month figures for member firas of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. %/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit E H.lli Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements ^(In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March 1 723 i S * New capital State and local 2/ Corporate 1/ 1958 1 1957 1 1956 1957 1 1956 1,060 1,065 1,320 April May June 2/1,121* 2/621* e/800 1,153 July August September e/1,150 1,003 October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter . 3rd quarter j*th quarter 3,135 2/2,51*8 1st half Three quarters Tear e/5,683 ;» 92U 973 . 71*2 1*04 1,11*6 81*1 797 871 2/532 765 51*6 393 378 1*90 735 1,063 651* «/5?5 529 581* 1*31 1*08 206 357 573 712 817 812 953 511 818 838 1,090 789 1,076 1,088 3,1*1*5 3,11*9 2,899 2,951* 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 6,591* 9,1*93 12,1*1*7 10,381* 698 i s 633 698 2,276 2/2,200 1,820 i:S 2,029 2/1*, 1*26 696 390 • 3,521* 5,069 7,099 639 31*7 1*09 1,1*90 , " 1,603 971 1,395 3,093 It,061* 5,1*59 Excluding finance companies $/ 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89li e/2,U98 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 1,61*7 2,51*1 2,21*6 2,826 11,518 9,260 3/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 5/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. jgy Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. . 11.1k Exhibit F Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 1958 I 1957 I 193& 1958 1957 January February. -March 196 53 81* 1*9 30 April May 139 197 123 1*8 1*2 July August September 28 7 30 October November December 1* 60 1 Year 507 37 8 1,163 251 72 523 125 50 2 39 April May June 109 1*1* 5 21 100 300 169 572 Federal agency 3/ 233 1*60 273 326 1*55 11*7 196 357 21*9 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 505 380 220 283 . 357 35U B/26U 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 323 311* 260 272 272 252 195 207 179 221* 370 512 222 1*25 273 303 91* 1*59 291* 328 11*8 1,238 255 116 1*07 222 128 3,271* 2,706 July August September October November December 60 215 Short-tenu State and local government k/ January February March 1935" 60 95 ; E . ^Year 5,51*3 ' 3,1*57 e/ Estimated. g/ Preliminary. 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. jj/ Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commissionj .short-term, Federal Reserve. h/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer terra than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Exhibit Q H.lii Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U, 8. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1957 - June July August September October November December 1958 - January February March April May June State and local government 81 22k 266 133 393 3W» iiOii ltlO 553 182 300 505 195 877 525 526 537 57U U20 399 318 6o5 1,093 725 356/ 281 Other 2/ 99 25 2U5 75 100 1,378 266 653 165 86 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 25 Issuer "type ]/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost CORPORATE Florida Power Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Northern Ind. Pub. Sv. Co. Com. stk. 15.2 Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. Com. stk. hh.k N. Y. Telephone Co. Ref. mtg. bds. 65.0 New Eng. Tel. & Tel. Co. Com. stk. 22.6 Southern Nat. Gas Co. S.F. deb. 30.0 Boston Edison Co. Pfd. stk. Southern Railway Co. 1st coll. tr. 22.0 S.F. deb. Boeing Airplane Co. 1*0.0 United States Steel Corp. S.F. deb. 300.0 Com. stk. Pacific Lighting Corp. 16.3 Burroughs Corp. S.F. deb. 25.0 Washington Wtr. Pwr. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Nat. Gas Pipeline Co. Conv. deb. of America 35.0 Nat. Gas Pipeline Co. Pfd. stk. of America 15.0 3.98 A h 1/8 1.00 Aaa 1978 h 1/2 h.$0 Baa 1988 1978 1983 h 1/2 5 h U.50 -5.12 3.97 A Baa Aa 1983 1988 a 3/8 h 3/8 lt.38 U.35 A A 1978 h 3A L 83 Baa 1988 h 1/8 1993 H.1U G-2 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 25 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Penna. Gen. State Auth. Met. San. Dist. of Chicago, Illinois Memphis5 Tennessee Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California State of North Carolina z State- of Ohio Territory of Hawaii State of California Rev.-S.T. 30.0 1960-84/68 Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. 15.0 10.0 Rev. -Ut. G.O. ' Rev.-S.T. Rev.-Ut. G.O. 21.0 15.0 31.0 12.5 100.0 3.34 1.30-3.50 — 3.03 1960-88/68 3.09 1.25-3.20 1.25-3.25 A Aa 1959-88/61 1960-78 1959-72 1960-87.cx 1960-84/79 3.30 2.76 2.88 4.15 2.34 1.00-3.50 1.20-2.90 .90-3.05 2.00-4.25 1.20-3.35V Aa Aa Aa A Aa 1 3/4 1.90 1960-78 OTHER Federal Land Banks Loan Bds. ^ ia. 0 Oct. 1959 — State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. .2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O., denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent, revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. h/ The 3.35 per cent yield is for the 1983 maturity. The l's of I98U were offered to yield 3.75 per cent. H.li* Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation Subsequent to date shown During month following date shown Corporate 1957 - May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 525 526 Si U50 383 378 1*98 1,123 . % 266 768 | Other V 87 153 218 183 33U 339 lui 370 134 298 U93 177 225 25 30 30 18 150 110 Corporate | ^ % ^ J o t h e r 2 / 1*07 1*79 1*71 379 SI 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 IS Hi* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 25 30 15 I 110 •5 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 25 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Boeing Airplane Co. Burroughs Corp. Montana Power Co. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. Houston Corp. ^Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Standard Oil Co. of California Martin Co. Conv. sub. deb. Common stk. 30.6 15.0 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 S.F. deb. 1*5.0 Deb, & common,-stk* 36.2 1st ref. mtg. bds. 60.0 Deb., bds. & common 1*5.0 Deb. 150.0 S.F. deb. 25.0 July 29 (rights expire) July 30 (rights expire) Aug. 13 Aug. 11* Aug. 15 Aug. 21 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles Sch. Diets., Calif. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ^Georgia Rural Roads Auth. 0.0. 0.0. Rev.—Ut• 1*0.0 12.0 21.0 July 29 Aug. 5 Aug. 5 H.1U H-2 Forthcoming Large Offering, as of July 2$ (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of.offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) *Los Angeles, California -xState of Indiana San Diego Unif. Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. Rev. G.O. 21.5 30.0 10.0 Aug. 19 Sept. 9 Sept. 10 OTHER None -x—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and. other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issues: None. H.lli Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date . 1952 - 1 9 5 7 High Low Aa-rated <offering yields A-rated oJ^ferine yields .. Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) 5.00(8/1^/57) 2.93(3/31/51*)- 1958 - January February March U *3.60 5 6 12 19 21 25 , 87 -3 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51) —8 3.89i/ 22 U.15 U.22 U.00 In 0 0 UU 50 28 26 L 05 3.98 LOO 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.96^/ U.07 U.25 U.07 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 3.90 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 18 23 . 16 3.85 3.85 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 2it a.oo 25 t-18 3 9 6 -7 3.98 5 U.0U a. 00 11 3 U.07 U.35 U 32 21 •8 16 20 21 22 28 123 -15 II U.oo -i 3.95 -6 1 3.98^ U.35 1 31 *—Single observation,^ not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage, bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between, these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.