Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 11, 1957
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Not for Publication 'DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.14 July 11, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS (Including Quarterly Review of State and Local Government Security Financing) Few large security issues were offered publicly last week which included the July It holiday. Large corporate debt offerings consisted of two mortgage issues^ totaling $55 million, and rights expired on a $19 million subscription offering of common stock. A $5 million flotation by a regional power district was the only State or local obligation sold. This week's calendar for large issues •' will be heavier with $115 million in corporate and $50 million in State and local issues scheduled. Also scheduled is a foreign issue for $25 million. Bond yields - Yields on high-grade outstanding corporate bonds reached a new high weekly average of U.00 per cent last week. On a daily basis, however, the Friday figure was down slightly from a peak earlier in the week, and daily figures since then show further slight declines. Lower grade corporate bonds, which also established a new high, have not as yet registered a similar decline. Yields on both Aaa- and Baa-rated State and local issues turned down slightly while long-term Government bond yields declined for the second week. An Aa-rated electric utility thirty-year first mortgage issue was reoffered on Tuesday of this week.to yield U.58 per cent, down 20 basis points from a similar issue on June 11. The following day, however, an A-rated issue with five-year protection against refunding was reoffered at it.88, 8 basis points higher than a July 3 issue with comparable provisions. The two electric utility issues marketed last week sold quickly and are currently being quoted at premiums. ' Stock prices - The SEC index of 265 common Stocks closed at 291.8 on July 5> the highest level of stock prices reached this year. Trading volume increased, averaging 2.3^ million shades per day. Daily indexes indicate little change on balance during the first three days of this week. State and Local Government Security Offerings in the Second Quarter of 1957 State and local governments sold $1.7 billion of bonds during the second quarter, a somewhat larger volume than a year earlier, but below the record volume of the second quarter of 19Sh$ when four exceptionally large toll-highway issues accounted for two' fifths of the $2.3 billion total. New issue volume declined from the high level of April in both May and June, particularly the latter month which is usually a month of a large volume of sales. In June this was due to a considerable extent to postponements or failures to sell issues offered, because of rapidly rising interest rates and.unstable market conditions. In the early months of 1957> when.interest rates declined temporarily, there was a record first quarter new issue volume as issuers took advantage of the somewhat lower rates. As a result, the volume of bond sales was about the same in both quarters whereas usually second quarter volume is substantially larger than in the first quarter. Purpose - Bonds sold during the second quarter to provide funds for school construction accounted for one-third of the total, and amounted to $568 million. This was probably an increase over last year, but precise comparison is impossible, because data for 1956 and earlier years exclude small school bond issues and thus understate school issue volume. - Sales of highway and of veterans' aid bonds were substantially larger during the second quarter than a year earlier; in the case of veterans'aid bonds the increase reflected the sale of a large issue by the State of California. Type - Sales of general obligations were somewhat larger in volume this year than last, while revenue bond volume was somewhat smaller. Issuers - All types-of issuers except special authorities -appear to have sold more bonds during the second quarter of 1957 than in 1956. Issues of special authorities were only one-half as large .. as in 1956. Except for issues of State governments, however, comparison is difficult because of the unclassified small issues in the earlier data. • More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H.l4 - 3 Long-Term Security Issues of State and Local Governments Second Quarter (In millions of dollars) 1957 Issuing authority: State County and township Municipality School district Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of issues New capital total Schools 2/ Highways, bridges, tunnels Residential buildings • Hospitals and institutions Sewer and water Misc. public service enterprises Recreation Port and airport Veterans1 aid Industrial buildings Other Unidentified 1/ Refunding 107 106 602 353 235 1,697 k Total 12 1,697 1955 1954 668 . 164 2 54 118 134 53 466 152 363 287 , 241 247 312 496 745 165 125 129 1,617 1,429 2,372 1,418 m 568 312 42 26 247 96 15' 47 136 1 193 ' Type of issue: General obligation Revenue Federal Government loans 3/ 1956 3 94 159 lilt 15 213 2 45 6 76 68 3 116 165 lh 1,617 365 226 140 28 192 37 14 59 . 20 3 210 125 11 1,429 " 1953 136 66 299 263 524 154 1,442 1,412 M S 416 502 1,068 323 123 133 43 44 162 178 30 .57 8 13 22 9 10 25 2. '1 186 ill; 127 153 39 2,372 30 lshh2 1,071 912 1,244 1,048 165 457 1,126 ^ 533 393 — 38 13 1 3 Total 1,697, 1,617 1,129 2,372 l bh2 1/ Issues of less than $500,000 not further classified. 2/ Data for years prior to 1957 probably understate school issues by about one-fourth because of unclassified small issues. This is partially offset by the fact that 1957 data are for elementary and secondary schools only while data for prior years include in addition a small amount of bond sales for higher education facilities, libraries, art galleries, and museums. 3/ Coverage for 1957 is broader than for earlier years„ Note.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source.—1953-1956, Bond Buyer and Federal Reservej 19575 Investment Bankers Association of America. Data for 1957 not strictly comparable with data for Baarlier years. 1,19k 9 HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS i, 19S3 1954 1955 1956 long-term ~£J Date Corporate Aaa 1/ SERIES New series 1957 Spread between State and U. S. Govt, local govt. (old series) and Aaa | / Coiporatel State and Aaa jlocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 195b - High 1955 •• High 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) U/23) (12/23) (1/7) 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7k (1/9) 2.W, (8/7) 2.9U (8/5) 1956 - High 2.62 (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.1,9 (12/21) 3.07 (3/2) 2.80 (2/17) 1957 - High Low. U.OO (7/5) 3.66 ( V 1 2 ) 3.82 3.88 June 28 3.9k 3.97 U.oo n.a. 2.73 n.a. 1.98 n.a. 2.21 n.a. 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.31 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/28)3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.62 (6/21) 3.23 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (6/27) 3.22 (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) iS 3.68 3.61 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 3.47 3.U9 3.62 3.60 3.56 3.1U 3.17 3.23 3.23 3.20 .38 .19 .8U .13 & :K 1 :S 2 .2k 1 .29 .39 .29 .32 I Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable H I 10-12 years thereafterJ the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from 1L years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/ii per cent bond of 1978-83. . ] / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included) average term is 20 years. M o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS V Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt, rev. y State and local govt; Baa y (Per cent) 1957 - H i g h Low » 3.79 (6/25) 3.69 (9/18) 2.96 (1/8) 3.50 (1/2) 3.32 <1/7) 3.7k (1/8) 2.93 (8/5) •3.Wt (12/31) 3.26 (12/29) 3.63 (12/30) 3.02 (1/6) . 3.15 (1/llt) lulil (12/28) . it. 22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) .3.58 (3/9) lt.35 (6/27) lt.71 (7/5) It. 1*2 ( V 1 2 ) 3.90 (2/21) June June June June July it. 59 1.62. I4.66 lt.68 it. 71 1953 - High 19Sh - High 1955 - H i g h 1956 - High 7 lit 21 28 5 It. 27 It. 31 U. 33 It. 35 • it. 33 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 3.70 (6/%) (1/2) (1/1) (8A3), (12/30) (1/7) ^ (12/28) (2/2lt) O A ) (2/22) V 1/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . A v e r a g e term of bonds included is 25-26 years. y Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. h/~Series discontinued, as of March 15. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Date Stock price Trading Common volume 2/ yields (millions of shares) (per cent Stock market custc>rner credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances hJ "others" $J Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 19Sh - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low May June June 28 July 5 167.1 Utlt.O 221.lt 156.5 270.7 217.it 295.5 257.U 291.8 260.3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/llt) (8/3) (1/20) (7/5) (2/8) 381*. 2 286.2 283.0 28li.lt 291.8 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.lt h.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 1.6 2.L 2.2 2.2 1.9 2.3 .. ' 5.88 5.15 5.49 1.09 • U.23 3.59 . It. 13 3.65 It.28 3.73 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,136 2,lt05 14,030 3,537 lt,0h7 3,91It 3,938 3,832 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7ltO 2,79k 1,713 780 66U l,0lt8 7h6 l,2lil 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 3.82 3.79 3.83 3.79. 3.73 3,92lt 2,79k n.a. n.a. 1,130 1,11*7 1,145 1,147 n.a. n.a.--Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19li7-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the tiew *ork Stock Exchange. . 3/ Moody's 125 industrial stocks; weekly data based.on Friday. V/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. Sj Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about.72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.lli Corporate arid State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 January February March April May . July August September 1 Corporate 1956 | New Capital State and local 1 1956 I 1955 19 55 1957 685 566 1*99 I4OI4 696 390 535 312 538 U27 350 61*2 1470 2149 I4O6 1,063 1,071 1,3^4 573 712 817 ' 535 li07 1,223 e/950 e/750 e/1,350 818 1,1L6 8UX U78 886 687 762 V550 e/380 378 1*90 735 1,063 651*. 838 597 6a 670 e/375 376 199 333 7 hS.' 1,0892/ 1,088 1,1622/ 632 900 2,165 1,750 2,052 e/1,692 1,911 ' 2,695 e/900 October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter hth quarter - 3,U79 e/3,05b 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 1st half Three quarters Year e/6,529 14,907 7,163 10,38*4 1,216 6,127 8,821 311 U26 919 658 408 1,1490 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 I/I4I8 1,121* 1,981* 3,093 1,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 616 e/3,!A2 . Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st quarterEnd quarter 3rd quarter uth quarter 3,268 e/2,800 Year 1,617 . 1,727 1,870 2,826 9,259 7,595 e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issues. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issues. 3/ Total ne«Pcapital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. - - Exhibit E H.m Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1956 - June July August September October November December 1957 - January „ February March April ^ May " . 185 592 217 . 558 . 386 701 U30 567 671 786 lt77 329 877 State and local government 2t63 . 16U . 35 18U 383 135 201 386 306 • 19lt h99 21+8 176 Other 2/ 20 37 35 100 50 125 25 39 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 5 Type y Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering of net inter- yield Rating dollars) est cost CORPORATE Southern Calif. Edison Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds,itO.O 1982 Rochester Gas & Elec. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1987 Timken Roller Bearing Co. Common stk. 19.h ii.70 It. 80 Aa A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Salt River Agric. Lnpr. & Power Dist., Arizona None G.O. 5.0 1960-87 It.29 3.20-U.25 A H.lli E-2 n.a.--Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State arid local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.ll* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1956 - June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar„ 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 Subsequent to During month following — date shown date shown State and State and Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ Corporate local govt. U37 21*7 369 315 683 136 U76 591 7lt0 U6l 187 525 370 81 131 359 162 1*8 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 __ 37 23 100 35 25 25 . 25 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 966 795 1*86 258 525 1*15 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 ' 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 5 Type Central Illinois Light Company Wisconsin Telephone Company Washington Water Power Company West Penn Power Company Associates Investment Company Texas Electric Service Company Jersey Central Power & Light Company Inland Steel Company First National City Bank of New York •^Pacific Gas and Electric Company -sSears Roebuck Acceptance Corp. Public Service Electric & Gas Co. -^Tennessee Gas Transmission 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Capital stk. Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering 15.0 30.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 16.0 15.0 50.0 120.0 1st & ref. mtg. bds., 60.0 Deb. 50.0 Pfd. stk. 25.0 Deb. . 25.0 July 10 July 10 July- 11 July 11 July 12 July- 16 July 17 July 18 July 22 (rights expire) July 2li July 1957 1957 H.lU Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 5 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Fresno Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O.Met. Water Dist. of So. California Rev. Port of New York Authority Airport rev. Cook Co. Sch. Dist. No. 205, HI. G.O. Philadelphia School Dist., Penna. G.O. State of Minnesota Highway rev. Atlanta, Georgia G.O. St. Louis County, Missouri G.O. State of Louisiana G.O. -HWestport, Connecticut G.O. ^Georgia Rural Roads Authority Rev. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Water rev. State of California G.O. *State of Oregon G.O. Los Angeles City Sch. Dists., Calif, G.O. State of Ohio Highway rev. k State of Texas G.O. " Jacksonville, Florida Utilities rev. University System Bldg. Auth., Ga. Rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. New York State Thruway Authority G.O. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority . Rev. 7.0 15.0 28.8 5.5 12.0 12.0 15.5 6.8 10.0 5.14 17.5 10.0 5o.o 15.0 a.o 31.0 12.5 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 65.0 July 9 July 9 July 10 July 15 July 16 July 16 July 16 July 17 July 17 July 18 July 23 July 23 July 2k July 29 Aug. 13 Sept. 10 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 ' 25.0 July 10 OTHER Montreal, Quebec Deb. *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1956 High Low 1956 - July August September October November December 1957 - January.8 16 18 22 2U February 5 19 27 March 6 12 20 29 April 3 10 12 May 10 15 16 21 23 29 June 5 7 11 - July 3 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual yields seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) L30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/5k) 62 -3 3.66 *14.07 li.13 *lu20 *14.30 *1.30 29 52 53 . U8 52 li.50 62 iwii3 56 \k.kO h.29 k.25 I46 U.22 a. 29 h.SO hi 53 1.58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/5k) 70 -15 28 *3.82 *1.00 None k3 63 None *1.58 70 U.67 70 It. 56 57 k5 h3 50 li.38 2/ 65 51 1.63 75 li.78 87 li.ljl li.58 1.55 k.k5 I1.60 li.50 14.53 U.53 2/ - 35 52 Ii9 U3 59 k? k.70 52 52 69 5.00 5.25 98 123 5.10 106 1W802/ 6U 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual, yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies ffrom 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision. I