Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 4, 1957
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Not for publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lLj. January 4 , 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOP1.IENTS No l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s were p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d d u r i n g t h e h o l i d a y - s h o r t e n e d week, ending December 2 8 . The only l a r g e o f f e r i n g s scheduled f o r f l o t a t i o n t h i s week a r e two S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s , each f o r $5 m i l l i o n . Bond y i e l d s - Changes i n y i e l d s on o u t s t a n d i n g bonds were mixed b u t minor l a s t week. Yields on c o r p o r a t e iiaa^s and B a a ' s , S t a t e and l o c a l government B a a ' s and U. S. Government (new s e r i e s ) o b l i g a t i o n s i n c r e a s e d s l i g h t l y while t h o s e f o r S t a t e and l o c a l government A a a ' s remained s t a b l e and U. S. Government ( o l d s e r i e s ) bond y i e l d s d e c l i n e d one b a s i s p o i n t . January e s t i m a t e s - The c o r p o r a t e volume of new c a p i t a l i s s u e s f o r January i s e s t i m a t e d a t ^1,050 m i l l i o n , about 5. per c e n t above t h e December e s t i m a t e and f o u r - f i f t h s above t h e corresponding t o t a l l a s t y e a r . Included i n t h e t o t a l a r e e x p e c t e d l a r g e p u b l i c i s s u e s t o t a l i n g between v 450 and->500 m i l l i o n . A s u b s t a n t i a l volume i n take-downs of p r i v a t e placements i s also expected. S t a t e and l o c a l governments a r e expected t o o f f e r *500 m i l l i o n of bonds d u r i n g . J a n u a r y . This would be more t h a n o n e - t h i r d g r e a t e r than t h e volume e s t i m a t e d f o r December and about o n e - f o u r t h above l a s t J a n u a r y ' s volume. Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , as measured by t h e S;£C index of 265 common s t o c k s , i n c r e a s e d 1 . 6 p o i n t s l a s t week, c l o s i n g a t 277.8 on December 2 8 . The volume of t r a d i n g picked up, a v e r a g i n g 2 . 6 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day. Daily f i g u r e s through Thursday of t h i s week i n d i c a t e a f u r t h e r i n c r e a s e i n p r i c e s . More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS CORPORATE A a a W SIK,IS " 'i y- J ®010 *' U. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa y Date Old s e r i e s New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. (old series).and Corporate!State and Aaa J / Aaa (local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.42 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 November December December. December December 3.73 3.72 3.72 3.76 3.79 30 7 Hi 21 28 (6A9) (1/9) (1/8) (1/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) 3.15 2.78 2.74 2.1tlx 2.94 2.62 3.1i9 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) .... (12/21) (2/17) 3.36 3.35 3.38 3.49 3.1*8 c / Corrected. 1 / Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . n.a. . 2.73 n.a. 1.98 n.a. 2.21 n.a. 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.3k 2.89.(6/10) .2.05 3.39 (12/28) 3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.33 3.33 3.3U 3.38 3.39 3.01 3.02 3.04 3.05 3.05 (6/2$) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) .38 .19 .43 .32 .34 .13 .W* .13 ' .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .54 .68 .32 .37 .37 .34 .27 .31 .35 .33 • 34 c/.hh .43 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of daily figures. The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term .to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from 14 years in early 1953 to 11 l / 2 years in early 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/4 per cent bond of 1978-83. y Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates f o r different s e r i e s . EXHIBIT B L O W E R - GRADE B O N D YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE B a a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a I" I I I STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa 2/ S t a t e and l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High. Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.UU 3.63 3.U5 U.Ul з.58 November December December December December U.30 14.32 U.35 It. 38 30 7 lit 21 28 и.ia (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1U) (12/28) (3/9) " 3.27 (6/26) U.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/2U) U.12 U.15 U.17 U.20 U.22 3.9U 3.9U 3.91 3.97 3.98 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 (1/1) 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds a r e i n cluded i average term i s 20 y e a r s . 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading Common volume 2 / (millions yields 3 / of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market custc aner c r e d i t Customers' debit b a l - loans t o ances V "others" 5 / (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 lltlt.O 221.14 156.5 270.7 217.U 295.5 257.It October November December lit December 21 December 28 275.7 273.1 277.U 276.2 277.8 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1M) (8/3) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.lt It.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 z.k 2.3 2.6 , 5.75 5.15 5.33 U. 20 it. 22 3.78 lt.25 3.86 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,136 2,105 U,030 3,537 lt,0lt7 3,9Ht 1,665 l,3Ui 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7ltO 780 661t l,0lj8 7U6 l,2ltl 1,018 1,267 1,155 U.23 lt.25 3,911t 3,9lt6 2,7lt8 2,781t n.a. n.a. 1,166 1,162 1,155 1,163 n.a. n.a.—Not. a v a i l a b l e . 1/ SEC i n d e x of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939*100; converted t o 19U7-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2/ Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end o f month f i g u r e s . %/ End o f month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which carry margin a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s secured by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 per c e n t o f l o a n s to o t h e r s . • Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) . Corporate. 1 1956 1 1957 January February inarch e/1,050 579 704 790 April May. - 816 1,144 830 October November December 778 2 / e/l,050 — 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 2,073 2,790 2,571 e/2,828 7 4,863 7,434 4o4 390 377 490 735 427 3)3 376 199 470 249 406 V370 408 644 1,162 632 1/ 900 2,165 . 350 641 919 658 m 1,385 1,490 1,911 • 2,695 1,603 908 e/l,330 4,217 6,128 8,821 3,093 4,001 e/5,33i 2,052 1955 535 312 538 696 . 670 e/1,000 e/lO,262 ,;e/50£V 535 407 1,223 687 1,066 669 836 1st half Three q u a r t e r s Year S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1956 1 1957 1955 478 886 July August. September quarter quarter quarter quarter New c a p i t a l 1,418 - 1,124 1,984 2,803 3,927 5,911 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Year quarter quarter quarter quarter 1,617 2,263 9/2,703 1,727 1,370 1,434 2,554 e/9,103 7,569 2,520 J l / I n c l u d e s V&37*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . '£/ I n c l u d e s v571«5 m i l l i o n AT&T common s t o c k i s s u e . 3 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s e x c l u d i n g o f f e r i n g s o f . s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. Note . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due. t o r o u n d i n g . H«lU Exhibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) i j P r o c e e d s of Lur^e I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 221 26) 95 212 273 395 62) 185 592 217 558 3# 701 2.955 - November December 1956 - J a n u a r y February March April May | S t a t e and l o c a l government July August September October November Other 2 / 401 227 192 25 50 444 16? 157 233 1+63 161+ 35 184 383 135 50 . 20 37 35 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d December 1 t h r o u g h 28 Issuer Type 3 / Amount • Coupon (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity net i n t e r of Yield dollurs) est cost Rating CORPORATE S i n c l a i r Oil Corp. Chase Manhattan Bank Michigan B e l l T e l . Long I s l a n d L i g h t i n g Co. Public Service Elec. & Gas Co. General Telephone Corp. Texas E a s t e r n -Transm i s s i o n Corp. F l o r i d a Power & L i g h t Co. Burroughs Corp. N a t i o n a l Cash R e g i s t e r Co. Conv. sub.d3b. 167# 2 Cap. s t k . 1+7.0 • Deb. 30.0 1 s t n t g . bde 1. . 2 0 . 0 Common s t k . Common s t k . u 3/8 4.38 A 1991 1986 . h 3/8 k 3A 4.25 4.58 Aaa Aaa 1976 • 1986 1981 1981 51/2 U 3/8 /* 1 / 2 it 1 / 2 5.50 4.30 4.50 4.50 Ba Aa Baa Baa 31.2 31.1 Deb. 30.0 1 s t mtg. bds . 1 5 . 0 Conv.sab. deb. 3 0 . 2 Conv. sub. deb. 2 8 . 2 1986 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d December 1 through 28 ( C o n t ' d ) Type 3 / Amount 1 (million^ ^ ^ 3 . ^ dollars)| Coupon net intere s t cost Offering yield Rating Baa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT P r i n c e Georges Co., Md. Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission Milwaukee, Wisconsin F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Memphis, Tennessee G.O. 5.0 1957-81 U.28 3.00-U.25 G.O. G.O. 15.0 8.U 1958-72 1957-76 3.60 2.81 2 . 7 5 - 3 . 5 0 , Aa 2.20-2.85ii / Aaa 9-3 1958-77 163.2 _ 1963-92 3.79 h.lfl 5/ 3.50-1^.20 L.L. Elec. rev. n.a. A . OTHER None n.a.—Not available. l/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of jl5 million and over; State and local government security offerings of 35 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3 / In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. i t / P&rt n 6 t r G o f f e r e d . 5 / Not reoffered. H.14 Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) l / Expected P r o c e e d s f r o m Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation - Dec. 30 - J a n . 31 F e b . 29 Mar. 30 A p r . 30 May 31 June 29 J u l y 31 Aug..31 S e p t . 28 O c t . 31 • Nov. 30 Dec. 31 During month F o l l o w i n g d a t e shown Corporate L ® ^ Corporate 70 176 123 380 568 198 1+37 21+7 369 315 683 1+36 1+76 Subsequent t o d a t e shown 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 359 162 i|8 280 , 37 23 100 85 376 233 1,013 818 W+8 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1+81 796 e 618 917 785 811 832 91+1 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 l o t h e r 2/ 37 23 100 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 28 Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Idaho Power Co. S t a n d a r d O i l Co. of Ohio Aluminum Co. of America New England T e l . & T e l . Co. I n t e r s t a t e O i l P i p e Line Co. S e a r s Roebuck Acceptance Corp. • P a c i f i c Petroleums, Ltd. •Household F i n a n c e C o r p . L o u i s i a n a Power & L i g h t Co. Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Armco S t e e l Corp. Niagara-Mohawk Power Co. American T e l . & T e l . Co. Michigan Wisconsin P i p e Line Co. S o u t h e r n New England Telephone Co. May S t o r e s R e a l t y Corp. 1 s t mtg. b d s . S.F. deb. Deb. Deb. S.F. deb. . Deb. Conv. s u b . d e b . Deb. 1 s t mtg. b d s . 1 s t mtg. b d s . Common s t k . 20.0 25.0 125.0 35.0 25=0 50.0 15.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 65.0 Conv. deb. 1+6.2 Deb. 1 s t mtg. b d s . Common s t k . Gen. m t g . b d s . 250.0 25.O . 20 .1+ 25.O January 8 January 8 January 9 January 9 J a n u a r y 10 , J a n u a r y 11 J a n u a r y ll+ J a n u a r y 16 J a n u a r y 16 J a n u a r y 18 J a n u a r y 21+ n (rights expire) J a n u a r y 28 (rights expire) March Winter Winter Winter H.H+ F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 28 ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT •San A n t o n i o , I n d . Sch. D i s t . , Texas G.O. F o r t Worth I n d . S c h . D i s t . , Texas G.O. Los A n g e l e s , C a l i f . G.O. Fort Lauderdale, Florida Wtr. & swr. rev. Caddo P a r i s h School D i s t r i c t , L a . G.O. D a l l a s , Texas G.O. D a l l a s , Texas Rev. Orange County Flood D i s t r i c t , C a l i f . G.O. S t a t e of Michigan 3 / L.L. Georgia R u r a l Roads A u t h o r i t y ' Rev. . Spokane Co. School D i s t r i c t " N o . 81, Washington G.O. • S t a t e of Colorado Hwy, r e v . •King Co. S c h . D i s t . No. 1, Wash. G.O. S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a G.O. . San A n t o n i o , Texas E l e c . & gas r e v . • W i c h i t a S c h . D i s t . No. 1, Kansas G.O. Denver, Colorado G.O. . Birmingham,. Alabama G.O. •San Diego U n i f i e d Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . G.O. P e n n s y l v a n i a Turnpike Commission Rev. I n t e r - A m e r i c a n -Center A u t h . , F l a . Rev. New York S t a t e Thruway A u t h o r i t y . G.O. J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway A u t h o r i t y Rev,. F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Rev. Oklahoma T u r n p i k e A u t h o r i t y Rev. S t a t e of C o n n e c t i c u t Expressway r e v . 5.0 5-0 18.0 11.0 5.0 ; 10.0 5.0 10.0 27.0 17.5 January January January January January January January January January January 3 U 8 8 9 ll+ li+ 15 15 15 6.0 8.0 10.0 85.O • 20.0 6.0 20.0 6.7 5.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 1+2.0 135.0 65.O J a n u a r y 15 J a n u a r y 15 January 16 J a n u a r y 16 J a n u a r y 17 J a n u a r y 17 J a n u a r y 18 J a n u a r y 23 February 5 Winter Winter Vf i n t e r Winter Winter Vfinter Winter 100.0 January 5U.o OTHER I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n & Development Bonds *—Included i n t a b l e for f i r s t t i m e . l / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of ^15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and local""government i s s u e s of £5 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s , 3 / Reduced f r o m -352 m i l l i o n and r e s c h e d u l e d w i t h h i g h e r maximum p e r m i s s i b l e i n t e r e s t c o s t a f t e r f a i l i n g t o r e c e i v e b i d s on December 4 . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r r e a s o n s o t h e r t h a n s a l e of i s s u e : Washington S t a t e T o l l B r i d g e A u t h o r i t y ;>227.0 m i l l i o n r e v e n u e bond i s s u e — t o l l highway p r o j e c t dropped b y t h e A u t h o r i t y . ~~~