Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 26, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n " 3XBC05TBOLLED AFTER SIX MOHTHS H.ll* January 26, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPilSOTS. The volume of p u b l i c l y sold i s s u e s has been small in January. The f i r s t l a r g e p u b l i c corporate o f f e r i n g of t h e year— $75 m i l l i o n of s e n i o r notes—was f l o a t e d l a s t week by Commercial Credit Company. P r i v a t e s a l e s t o insurance companies, however, have been l a r g e r than a t t h i s time l a s t y e a r , apparently r e f l e c t ing l a r g e takedowns of commitments to two f i n a n c e companies—$100 million each to CIT F i n a n c i a l and GMAC. One #30 m i l l i o n corporate o f f e r i n g i s scheduled f o r t h i s week. Large S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s t o t a l e d $58 m i l l i o n during the week ending January 20, and $15 m i l l i o n of such o f f e r i n g s are expected t h i s week. I l l i n o i s ' turnpike i s s u e , viiich was sold l a s t October, was f i n a l l y cleared of l i t i g a t i o n on Monday, and the # 1 5 m i l l i o n of t o l l road revenue bonds were delivered t o t h e u n d e r w r i t e r s . A major f a c t o r i n s e c u r i t y markets l a s t week was the Ford Foundation's o f f e r i n g of Ford Motor Company stock on January 17. Amounting t o $61*2.6 m i l l i o n , i t was the l a r g e s t i s s u e of i t s type on r e c o r d . Apparently the i s s u e was heavily oversubs c r i b e d j the s t o c k , tdiich was i n i t i a l l y o f f e r e d , a t $61*. 50 per s h a r e , reached a high of $71.00 early i n over-the-counter t r a d i n g . Since t h e n , however, the p r i c e has decreased t o $61* 7/8 bid', $65 1/8 asked. The stock w i l l n o t be l i s t e d on the New York Stock Exchange u n t i l sometime a f t e r t h e s e t t l e m e n t d a t e of January 26. Some r e p o r t s a t t r i b u t e r e c e n t strong demands f o r U. S. Government short-term s e c u r i t i e s t o a n t i c i p a t i o n of reinvestment of t h e proceeds of t h i s f l o t a t i o n , as well as of t h e I l l i n o i s Turnpike i s s u e mentioned above. Bond y i e l d s - IT. S. Government long-term bond y i e l d s dropped f i v e b a s i s p o i n t s during t h e week ending January 20. Yields on S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa bonds decreased t h r e e b a s i s p o i n t s . Other bond y i e l d s decreased more moderately, with t h e exception of S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa bond y i e l d s which d i d not change l a s t week. Daily f i g u r e s i n d i c a t e moderate i n c r e a s e s on both Monday and Tuesday of t h i s week f o r Treasury o b l i g a t i o n s . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , as measured by t h e SEC i n dex of 265 common s t o c k s , dropped 8.8 p o i n t s to 257.L during the H.lli -2- week ending J anuary 20, the lowest p r i c e l e v e l s i n c e October 28 . Since the beginning of t h e y e a r , t h i s index has f a l l e n by 5 per c e n t . During the f i r s t t h r e e days of t h i s week, however, p r i c e s increased somewhat. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l mark e t developments i s presented i n the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of*Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a a GOVERNMENT STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a Date Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt., Aaa 3/ Spread between U* S» Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) . 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 December 23 December 30 J anuaiy 6 January 13 January 20 3.17 3.16 3.1k 3-13 3.11 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) 3.15 2.78 2.71 2.U1 2 -9U 2.62 2.88 2.89 2.90 2.88 2.83 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.30 2.30 2.29 2.27 2.27 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) .38 .19 .U3 .32 -3k .13 • 29 •27 •2U .25 .28 •8U • 30 .61 .29 .70 „ •58 .59 .61 .61 .56 1/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 yearsT £ / Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s II-U4 years. 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ts 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum J \ STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a /\ Moody". W V ! I Corporate Baa 1 / Date / State and local govt. Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3-71* 3-hk 3.63 3.1*5 December 23 December 30 January 6 January 13 January 20 3.63 3.63 3.62 3.61 3.60 (9/18) (1/2) (3/8) (12/31) (12/30) (I/Hi) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3-25 3.26 3.26 3.25 3.22 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) 2.99 ^ 2.99 2.91* 2.91 2.90 v Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Date Stock p r i c e index 3 / Common Trading volume 2/ (millions yields J / of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market customer c r e d i t Bank Customers 1 T o t a l d e b i t b a ^ - loans t o "others" 5/ ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low November December January 6 J anuary 13 J a n u a r y 20 167.1 ia.0 221. U 156.5 270.7 217.14 (2/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/lh) 265.0 269.2 268.8 I 266.2 1 257. U 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.U U.6 1.5 5.75 5.15 5-33 U.20 U.22 3.78 2,1*5 2,055 3,1*36 2,1,05 a,025 3,537 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 780 66U 1,01*8 7U6 1,21a 1,018 2.3 2.U 2.3 2.1i 2.3 U.09 U.06 3,980 1,025 2,759 2,786 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,221 1,239 1,253 1,253 n.a. 1 / SEC i n d e x of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939-100; converted t o 1957-U9-100 by Ftederal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91. 2/ Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. "%f Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . k / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y - m a r g i n accounts; excludes b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d t y D. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . i f Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes a l l l o a n s f o r purchasing o r c a r r y i n g U. S. Governments f o r 1952; s i n c e 1953 only t h e s e l o a n s a t banks i n New York and Chicago a r e excluded. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 p e r cent of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Corporate 1955 1 Nevr c a p i t a l 195k 1956 5U6 U36 1,261 . 5U7 U26 635 e/360 April •May' June U9U 903 697 July August September #3 65k 680 October November December 1,136 y 601 e/850 1956 January February March e/600 ! 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r iith q u a r t e r Year | ' 2,213 2,09b 1,917 e/2,590 e/8,8U5 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1955 1 1954 535 312 538 396 1*11 565 197 6# 8U2 1*27 350 61*1 73k 7U8 853 909 335 7U7 1*70 21*9 1*06 279 261 61*9 1,003 290 60k 919 658 e/UOO 59U 1*2 3 877 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,190 1,385 1,108 1,121 e/l,977. e/5,90U 1,372 2,33b 1,188 1,891 6,789 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year 1 1,791 1,912 1,UU1 e/2,390 1/7,535 . 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. T / Includes $637*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 2 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal f i n a n c e companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. H.Ik Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury). 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 195h - December . 1955 - January February March April May June July August September October November December 121 llil 63 750 . 173 k&3 175 101 W5 328 805 269 215 S t a t e and l o c a l government Other _2/ 6# . 3hi 107 337 238 " 152 103 278 65 23k 716 396 205 30 • 35 15 — — —— 25 50 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered January 2 through 20 Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount (millions r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating of . Maturity n e t i n t e r yield e s t cost dollars) CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co. j Notes 75.0 1976 3 5/8 3.63 — STATE &.LOCAL GOVERNMENT Wayne County Sewer System," Michigan P l a t t e County, Missouri Allegheny Co., Pa. Los Angeles, C a l i f . S t a t e of Colorado D e t r o i t , Michigan Gwinnett County, Ga. San Diego,. C a l i f . S p r i n g f i e l d , Ohio S t a t e of Michigan G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. L. L. Rev. L* L. G.O. G.O. L.L. V • 6.7 $.h 6.0 10.0 8.0 8.0 5.9 9.5 5.2 10.0 1956-93 1986 1957-86 1957-76 1957-71 1961-76 1959-81; 1957-81 1957-80 1957-78 3.21 2.53 2.58 2.29 2.U1 2.56 2.1*8 2.37 1.90-3.20 3.75 1.75-2,60 1.80-2.65 1.70-2.25 2.10-2.U5 3.00-3.50 1.75-2.60 1.75-2.55 1.70-2.1*0 A A Aa Aa Aa AA Aa H.lli E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered January 2 through 20 (Cont'd) Issuer type 3/ Coupon Amount r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating (millions Maturity net interof yield e s t cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont' d T ~ S t a t e of Michigan D e t r o i t , Michigan Caddo P a r i s h , La. La. S t a t e Building Auth. L.L. G. 0. G. 0« L. L* 10,0 5.2 5.0 7-6 1957-72 1957-81 . 1957-76 1961-85 2.30 Var. 2.57 3.06 1.70-2.30 - Aa 1.80-2.60 A 1.80-2.60 A Baa 2.50-3.05 OTHER Var.—Various n,a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of #15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. * 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 5/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r Mew Capital (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s During month following date shown S t a t e and Other 1/ Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 18U lo 710 211 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 195U - Dec. 31 1955 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 567 682 52U 208 116 339 3kh 100 18U 8U3330 205 .^121 50 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Other 2y Corporate l o c a l govt. 216 h22 1,395 922 1,1U1 850 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 85 . 2,'lUU 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,81*5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 35 50 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of January 20 Issuer Textron-American Northwestern B e l l Telephone Texas U t i l i t i e s ^Chemical Corn Exchange Bank #M« Lowenstein and Sons Reynolds Metals Bell Telephone of Pennsylvania New York Telephone . Southern C a l i f o r n i a Gas Sheraton Corporation of America ^Southern C a l i f o r n i a Edison Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) . Conv. deb. Deb. Com. stock Com., stock Conv. sub. deb. P f d . stock Deb. Ref. mtg. bds. Iltg. bds. Deb. P f d . stock 30.0 25.0 15.0 26.0 3U-3 UO.O 35.0 55.0 Uo.o 15.0 30.0 G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 8.9 6.0 7.8 5.0 January 26 February 1 February 1 February 8 February 15 February March 6 March 27 May 1956 1956 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Milwaukee County, Wisconsin P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania S t a t e of Maryland Tacoma, Washington January January January January 23 25 31 31 H.llt F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of January 20 (Cont'd) Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) | Issuer STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Walsenburg, Colorado Oklahoma C i t y , Oklahoma Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s *New Orleans, Louisiana ^Harris County, Texas ^Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So Gal. *lVeber Basin 1,'ater Conservancy D i s t r i c t , Utah Rochester, New York . ^Georgia Rural Roads Authority • F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona Connecticut Expressway Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 21.0 13.2 106.8 11.5 5.5 7.3 5-U 7.U 15.5 185.0 25.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 100.0 February February February February . -February February 2 7 7. 8 lit lii February 15 February 21 May Late spring 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1/ Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 million and over; S t a t e and local!"government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 j Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s .