Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 24, 1957
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^ //V - • Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU January 2U, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of publicly sold security issues was quite large last week, particularly for tax-exempt issues, but is expected to be somewhat smaller this week. During the week ending January 18> corporations sold large issues totaling $70 million while State and local government offerings amounted to $223 million. The State and local government financing total includes the $27 million Michigan State Highway bond issue, which was sold at a net interest cost of 3*37 per cent. The issue had been rescheduled for sale with a i+.OO per cent maximum cost limit after no bids were received on a larger issue with a -3»50 per cent limitation on December This week ^subscription rights expire on a common stock issue for $6l million, and two corporate debt issues with aggregate proceeds of §50 million are scheduled for flotation. State and local government offerings totaling §32 million are expected. Bond yields - Bond yields declined last week for all categories of outstanding bonds, except those for corporate Baa's which increased one basis point. The decline was particularly sharp for the TJ. S. Government (old series) bond yields, bringing them down to the level of mid-November. Offering yields on new corporate issues showed some signs of leveling off after increasing almost continually during 1956. A new A-rated, 30-ysar, first mortgage electric utility issue for $10 million was re offered this week at a yield of I+.56 per cent. This yield is 11 basis points below that for the last comparable issue, an offering made on January 16. 'However, an Aa-rated first and refunding utility issue was also offered this week, at a yield of i+.50 per cent—7 basis points above that for a comparable offering made late last week and the same as the yield for an issue sold January 8. Stock prices - The SEC index of 265 common stocks declined 9.7 points last week, closing at 267 .U on January 18—about 1+ per cent below prices at the end of the year with most of the decline occuring last week. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate some increase in prices on balance. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly # W I > °l° \ i ) . S. GOVERNMENT y V ; Spread between U. S. Govt, State and New series local govt. (old series) and Corporate!State and Aaa 2/ Aaa 1 local Aaa U. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Date Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.12 (6/19) 3.15 (6/6) 2.99 (V9) 2.78 (12/26) 3.09 (V8) 2.7U (1/9) 2.1*1* (8/7) 2.85 ih/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.9k (8/5) 3.03 2.91 (1/7) 2.62 (1/7) 2.89 3.79 (12/28) 3.U9 (12/21) 3.39 3.07 (3/2) 2.80 (2/17) 2.92 December 21 December 28 January 1* January 11 January 18 3.76 3.79 3.82 3.81 3.78 3.U9 3.18 3.53 3.1*5 3.30 3.38 3.39 3.1*5 3.W* 3.37 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) (8/5) 2.31* (9/8) (6A0) 2.05 (5/26) (12/28) 3.05 (12/27)I (2/3) 2.17 (2/23) .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .13 .1*1* .13 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .68 ' .32 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.02 .27 .31 .29 .36 .1*8 .1*1* .1*3 .1*8 .1*0 .28. J Weekly average of daily figures.Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from 14 years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/1* per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. ' LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa 1/ State and local govt, rev. .2/ . (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low December 21 December 28 January U January 1 1 January 18 3.89 3.50 (9/18) (1/2) 3.79 2.96 (6/25) (1/8) 3.7U 3 . a 3.63 (1/8) (12/31) (12/30). 3.32 2.93 3.26 (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (12/28) 3.02 a.22 (1/6) (12/27) 3 . 5 8 ( 3 # ) 3.20 (3/8) U.38 U.20 3.15 (l/lU) U.Ul U.Ul I f . 22 h.22 . U.U9 U.50 U.22 h.hS U.17 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 3.00 2.72 (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) 2.99 (12/30) 2.76 3.98 2.89 (1/7) (12/28) (2/2U) 3.97 3.98 3.98 3.95 3.90 included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. FRASER Digitized for STOCK M A R K E T Stock price Trading Common Stock market customer credit Customers volume 2/ (millions yields 2/ Total debit bal- loans to Iof shares) (per cent) ancea h/ "others" 5/ (millions of dollars) 1957 - High Low 221.lt 156.5' a / i f 270.7 217.2; MS' 295.5 257.1; 279.2 267.lt 3.7 3-.lt lt.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 2.3 November December January It January 11 January 18 273.1 277.7 279.2 277.1 267.lt 2.2 2.It 2.7 2.It 2.3 195a - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 5.33 It. 20 It. 22 3.78 It. 25 3.86 n.a. It. 25 It. 13 3,U36 2,lt05 1,030 3,537 lt,0lt7 3,911* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7UO l,0lt8 716 l,2ltl 1,018 1,267 1,155 2,781t 2,823 1,162 1,161 1,163 1,157 n.a. . 3,9k6 3,981, n.a. nil] n.a.—Not available 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19U7-li9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. 5/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which cariy margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes leans for purchasing or cariying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.Ui Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1957 January February March e/1,050 Corporate 1 1956 I 535 312 538 178 . 886 687 377 U90 735 127 350 6I4I 1,066 669 836 597 6hh 670 376 199 333 U70 2U9 U06 , 778 2 / s/1,057 & e/950 1,162 ^ 632 900 2,073 2,790 2,571 e/2,785 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,U90 1,603 908 e/1,370 1,385 1,10-8 1,121+ 1,98k 1,217 6,128 . 8,821 3,093 . k,001 e/5,371 2,803 3,927 5,911 535 bQ7 1,223 April May June 816 i,ia 830 July August September 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1955 hoh 696 390 579 10k 790 October November gpecember State and local 1 1956 I 1957 1955 L,863 7,k3h e/10,219 e/600 ' 6h$ e/325 e/iiOO . 919 658 U08 Excluding finance companies 3/ .1st 2nd 3rd itth quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,263 e/2,660 1,727 1,870 1,U3U 2,55.1 e/9,060 7,569 - 1/ Includes §637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue, 2/ Includes $571«5 million AT&T common stock issue. \ 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note,—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than XT* S. Treasury) V Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month . 50 50 20 . 16U 592 July August September October November December Other 227 192 Wi 163 157 2% 463 263 95 212 278 395 623 185 1955 - December 1956 - January February March April May i State and local government 217 558 37 35 18U 383 135 201 . 386 701 430 35 — 1 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 18 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount Offering rate or (millions Maturity. net interyield of est cost dollars) Rating CORPORATE 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Idaho Power Co. S.F. deb. 25.O Standard Oil Co. of Ohio Deb. Aluminum Co. of America 125.0 Deb. New England Tel. & Tel. Co. 35.0 S.F. deb. 25.0 Interstate Oil PL Co. Deb. Sears Roebuck Accept.Corp. 50.0 Deb. 30.0 Household Finance Corp. Louisiana Power & Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 1987 1982 1982 1986 1987 1972 1977 1987 1987 U 1/2 It l/U k i / u 1*3A U iA k 5/8 U 3 A k 5/8 4.50 4.25 U.25 1+.60 4.25 U.57 U.60 4.67 4.43 Aa Aa Aa : Aa Aa A Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Antonio Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas IFort Worth Ind. Sch. " Dist., Texas G.0» 5-0 1958-75 3.76 2.80-3.75 A G.O. 5.0 1958-82 3.58 2.70-3.80 A H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 18 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions rate or Offering , Maturitynet interof yield dollars) est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Los Angeles, California G.O, 18.0 Port Lauderdale, Florida Vftr. & swr, rev.11.0 Caddo Parish Sch. Diet* La. G.O. 5.0 Dallas# Texas G.O. 10.0 Dallas, Texas Rev. 5.0 Orange Co. Flood Dist., CaL G.O. 10.0 State of Michigan L.L. 27.0 Ga-« Rural Roads Auth. L.L. 17.5 Spokane Go. Sch, Dist, No. 83, Washington G.O. 6.0 King Co, Sch. Dist. No. 1, • Washington G.O. 10.0 State of California G.O. 85.0 Alabama Highway Authority 6;0 L.L. Elec. San Antonio, Texas 20.0 ,/ichita Sch. Dist. No. 1, Kan. G.O. 6.0 Denver, Colorado G.O. 20.0 C 1958-87 1957-86 1958-77 1957-76 1957-77 1958-96 1958-77 1958-72 3-38 1+.51 3.49 3.31 3.33 3-33 3-37 3.81 2.50-3.50 3.00-4.50 2,50-3.25 2.50-3.35 2,U0-3»25V 2.50-3.55 .50-3*55'2 2.50-3.35 3.00-3.75 Aa Baa A A Aa Aa Aa A 1958-80 2.96 2.U0-2.90 Aa 1959-77 1958-83 1959-76 1958-80 1958-77 1968-95 3.39 3.32 3.69 3.36 3.33 3.02 2.65-3 .Uo 2.60-3.40 2.90-3.70 2.50-3.30 2.60-3.35 2.65-3.05 A Aa A Aa A Aa 1977 4 1/2 4.39 OTHER Int. Bank for Reconstruction & Development 100.0 l/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State, and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. j/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. ]xf Is of 1993-96 not reoffered. H .14 .Exhibit \P Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U . S . Treasury) \f. Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and State and Corporate local govt. Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2 Date of computation 1955 - Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 ' July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 70 176 123 380 568 198 437 247 369 315 683 436 476 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 359 162 48 280 37 . 23 100 - 618 85 376 « 917 233 785 1,013: . 811 818 832 w? 941 690 567 1,096 726 1,202 958 1,009 1,197 990 955 481 979 796 763 . 37 . 23 100 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 18 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Pacific Petroleums, Ltd. Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Armco Steel Corp. . Niagara-Mohawk Power Co. Conv. sub. deb. ' 15*0 1st & ref.mtg. bds. 55.0 Common stk. 60.9 Conv. deb. 46.2 Mountain States Tel• & Tel .Co. •Currier Corp. •Douglas Aircraft Co. Socony Mobil Oil Co. Deb. 35.0 Conv. sub. deb. 18.0 Conv. sub. deb. )0.0 Common stk. 200.0 •Colorado Fuel & Iron Corp. Conv. SiF. deb. •Phillips Petroleum Co. American Natural Gas Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. 5| Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. .W May Stores Realty Corp. 19.9 Conv. deb. 171.8 Common stk. 25.0 Deb. 1st mtg. bds, Gen. mtg. bds. 250.0 25.0 25.0 January 23 January 23 January 24 (rights expire)/ January 28 f (rights expire) January 29 February 6 February 6 February 19 (rights expire) February 23 (rights expire) February 25 (rights expire)" February 25 (rights expire) March Winter Winter H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 18 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Columbus, Ohio G.O. Tulsa, Oklahoma G.O. Birmingham, Alabama G.O. DeKalb County Soh. Dist., Georgia G.O. Boston Metropolitan District, Mass. G.O. Port of New York Authority Rev. State of Connecticut G.O. •Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin G.O. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. New York, New York G.O. Fresno Unified Soh. Dist., Calif. G.O. Public Housing Authorities •State of Missouri G.O. •San Francisco (City & Co.), Calif. G.O. •El Peso Co. Sch. Dist. No. 11, Colo. G.O. ' •Houston Ind. Sch. Dist.,.Texas G.O. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth, Fla. Rev. New York State Thruway Authority G.O. Jacksonville Expressway Authority Rev. Florida State Turnpike Authority Rev. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Rev. State of Connecticut Expressway rev. 5.0 6.5 6.7 5.1 8.2 50.0 29.2 11.2 5.0 25.2 5.5 28.6 20.0 23.6 6.9 16.8 62.0 20.0 50.0 I42.O 185.0 65.0 54.0 January 22 January 22 January 23 January 2i+ January 21+ January 29 January 30 February I4. February 5 February 5 February 5 February 6 February 13 February 18 February 20 Marchrl Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission Deb. 35.0 February 7 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of §15 million and over; State and local government issues of ^5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. • Bote.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue* Southern New England Telephone Co., '420 million common stock issue—withdrawn from registration. H.lU Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) Date. 1952 1953 195k 1955 1956 1956 average average average average average - January February March April May June July 3 18 25 August 1 30 September 11 13 25 October 10 31 November 21 December 6 12 - 1957 - January 8 16 18 3.16 3.16 3.02 3.23 3.81 None *3.15 3.28 *3.77 *3.53 *3.52 3 11 ko 19 18 3.62 3.70 26 33 1.07 it. 20 U.17 it.01 52 62 58 37 it. 20 it. 30 18 52 it. 30 it7 1+.50 62 13 16 2 9 35 56 3.35 3.78 3.12 3.33 3.73 None 3.23 3.U5 3.61 3.77 *3.75 3.82 i u 26 -3 12 27 lt.00 it3 U.itO 63 it.58 70 it. 67 • -6 15 26 28 27 28 70 *—Single observation, not an average, 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years.